THE FUTURE OF RETIREMENT One, two, three: Optimising each stage of retirement For professional investors only Your income needs will change during later life. Make the most of every day with these steps All the world’s a stage, And all the men and women merely players; They have their exits and their entrances, And one man in his time plays many parts, His acts being seven ages.” As You Like It, play by William Shakespeare The three stages of retirement STAGE 1 ACTIVE STAGE 2 PASSIVE Shakespeare’s soliloquy on the seven ages of man holds up surprisingly well as a guide to financial planning in retirement. Although advances in healthcare mean we need no longer dread progression from wise justice to ‘second childishness’ via a ‘lean and slippered pantaloon’, research shows there are three stages to retirement. We should structure our financial planning accordingly. STAGE 3 SUPPORTED Government figures show that the average woman has 23.7 more years to live after the age of 65, and the average man almost 21.51. However, health, interests and needs change dramatically during that time, which means the money you spend changes too. It makes sense to ensure you have made the correct assumptions about the different stages so you are on track with saving for retirement and sensible spending during retirement. Average number of years to live after age 65 Women 23.7 Men 21.5 1 Source and source for diagram above: Office for National Statistics, Expectations of life from 2014 based life tables, male and female cohorts. Cohort figures incorporate assumed improvements in age-specific mortality STAGE 1 - THE ACTIVE PHASE The active phase of retirement is the part that most of us are looking forward to. How long it will last depends on health as well as one’s outlook on life and resources. Despite around 1.1 million5 pensioners continuing to work beyond retirement age, this is still a time when most people begin to decumulate, or take money out, from their pension. Remember that 25% is tax free from defined contribution pensions, whether taken immediately as a lump sum or in stages. It may be wise to take it more gradually – for example if part-time income is coming in – leaving money invested in your pension for longer. Some people choose to retire early. In a 2011 report2, the UK government cited three key factors that affect rates of early withdrawal from the labor market: wealth, health and caring duties. Some people prefer not to purchase an annuity but to keep their pension pot fully invested. In this way, it has the potential to increase in value and an income can be drawn from the pot on a drawdown basis. This does carry risk, however, as capital and incomes fluctuate. Lower annuity rates and the closure of generous defined benefit pension schemes, however, have created strong financial reasons against early retirement. The rise in the retirement age at which pensioners can draw a state pension is also lengthening people’s perception of how long they are expected to work. Most people will already have considered estate planning before they reach the active phase. Leaving assets to loved ones such as residential property or part of a pension can have a major bearing on pension income in later stages of retirement. The important thing is to make the most of the active phase. After four decades of work, this is a time to enjoy the freedom that can come from a wellfinanced retirement. Nevertheless, most people retire in their sixties3, with the state pension age a close proxy for the average age of retirement; understandably because it remains an important element of many pensioners’ retirement income. According to NEST (National Employment Savings Trust)4, the government’s UK workplace pension expert, the active phase lasts typically from the mid to late sixties to the mid to late seventies. Spending too little could mean being cash rich but health poor in later life; spending too much could mean struggling to get by. UK state pension age timetable Date state pension age reached 2010 65 60 2018 65 65 2020 66 66 2028 67 State pension age Source: www.gov.uk, figures taken from state pension age timetables. A sliding scale typically operates between dates 2 Source: Houses of Parliament, Postnote, ‘An ageing workforce’, October 2011 3 Source: ONS Pension Trends – Chapter 4: The Labor Market and Retirement, 2013 Edition 4 Source: NEST, ‘The future of retirement’, June 2015 5 Source: www.gov.uk, Department for Work and Pensions, October 2014 2046 67 68 68 STAGE 2 - THE PASSIVE PHASE The second stage of retirement is often known as the passive phase. According to NEST, you typically enter it at around 75 and it lasts until your mid-eighties. However, everyone’s retirement staging will vary, with those who retire early or in very good health having a longer active stage. UK average weekly expenditure per person7 Annuity rates: single person, standard basis for £100,000 pension fund Age 60 65 70 75 Level rate, no guarantee £259.80 Age 65 to 74 £4,616 £5,203 £5,298 £7,118 3% escalation, no guarantee £201.40 Age 75 or over £2,973 Source: ONS, Family Spending, 2014 Figures from the Office for National Statistics show that weekly spending per person falls with age. While those in the active phase of retirement – aged 65 to 74 – spend an average of £259.80 a week, it drops to £201.40 for those aged over 75. However, although spending declines, retirees should remember that their money may not go as far as they expect. By this time, its value is likely to have been eroded by inflation. Those who have bought an inflation-linked annuity will escape this; the state pension also increases according to the triple lock – rising at the rate of inflation, the rate of average earnings increase or 2.5%, whichever is the higher6. However, any other regular payments from annuities may not increase in this way. Some investors choose the passive phase as an opportunity to purchase an annuity to lock in a guaranteed income. Remember that annuity providers will typically offer a higher rate when you are older because there are likely to be fewer years to pay out. £3,577 £4,349 £5,303 Source: www.sharingpensions.co.uk Annuity rates at 1 December 2016. Assumes pension fund of £100,000 after a tax free lump sum of £33,333 has been taken from the full fund of £133,333 for a single life based on a central London postcode. Any quantitative information including annuity rates is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Figures for illustrative purposes only. No liability can be accepted for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use or reliance upon this information. With annuity rates currently low, some people might want to hold off purchasing an annuity in the hope that bond yields might be higher in the future, although there is no certainty that this will be the case. Investing in the stock market offers potential for capital to keep pace with inflation. However, this approach carries risk, because the value of your investments can fluctuate both ways. A good multi-asset fund could be a solution since it spreads risk across different asset classes. Blending an annuity with a managed pension pot is also popular, allowing peace of mind over a portion of retirement income while retaining control over some of the capital for potential capital growth, discretionary spending, and bequests. 6 Source: The UK government has indicated this will be the case for the remainder of this parliament, i.e. until 2020, but there are no guarantees. The inflation rate used here by the government is the Consumer Prices Index. STAGE 3 - THE SUPPORTED PHASE The third, or supported, phase of retirement can see costs rise again. This is when many people need money for a care home or a nurse to visit the house to assist with day-to-day living. The amount of money needed can be substantial. According to the most recent Laing & Buisson report, the average fee for a nursing home has increased by 3.8 per cent over the past year to £39,300 and for a residential home by 2.4 per cent to £29,300 per year7. It’s at this point that the pension income may well not be enough and people call on other assets such as the equity in their home. It is important to have a plan to deal with this, whether it is equity release, downsizing or using the remainder of the pension capital. It is a good idea to make sure legacy planning is in place well before this phase as mental deterioration can be a common condition for older people. Making arrangements early can avoid distress later on and ensure that the estate passes smoothly and as intended. Many happy returns: Retirement may be longer than you think 122 Source: Wikipedia. Jeanne Calment, born 1875 in France, died 4 August 1997 aged 122 years; the longest lived human being to date. Henderson Core Multi-Asset Solutions Henderson Core Multi-Asset Solutions is a range of four funds that are designed to provide lower cost, attractive investment portfolios for clients, while offering a regular and competitive income. The range utilises a multi-asset approach, with each fund investing in a wide spectrum of asset classes, funds, selected securities and other investment vehicles. Making full use of the broad investment universe helps to diversify risk as well as well as income streams for investors. The funds are all actively managed, leveraging off the team’s expertise in both asset allocation and investment selection. Each fund in the range is tailored to be appropriate to a particular investor risk profile. The funds have a competitive pricing point, with a capped ongoing charges figure (OCF) of 0.75%8. 7 Source: FT Adviser, Live long but plan for care, October 6 2016 8 Source: As at 30 October 2016. OCF may vary over time. 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