JACC: CARDIOVASCULAR IMAGING VOL. 9, NO. 5, 2016 ª 2016 BY THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY FOUNDATION ISSN 1936-878X/$36.00 PUBLISHED BY ELSEVIER http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jcmg.2015.09.021 EDITORIAL COMMENT Imaging Atherosclerosis for Global Predictive Health and Wellness* Mosaab Awad, MD, Parham Eshtehardi, MD, Leslee J. Shaw, PHD A ge shifts have drastically changed the land- of non-CVD conditions, such as cancer, pneumonia, scape of the U.S. population with nearly 1 in chronic every 7 Americans being 65 years of age and chronic kidney disease (CKD), and hip fracture (4). older (1). As the population ages, the impact on the At first glance, it is hard to envision how an image of health care system is expected to be dramatic, in calcification in the coronary arteries could possibly particular as it relates to the care of patients with estimate beyond atherosclerotic disease. One may chronic comorbid age-related conditions, in addition consider that CAC scoring is an amazing procedure to the heavy burden of cardiovascular disease that seems limitless in its ability to identify patients (CVD). The structure of health care is anticipated to at risk of CVD and non-CVD conditions, thus war- be more complex requiring multispecialty services ranting full implementation of CAC into every adult and the already overburdened primary care services screening program. obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), are required to manage obesity and other modifiable However, a more thoughtful evaluation of this CVD risk factors. This is prompting frequent discus- report (4) integrates the concept of vascular aging and sions regarding health care system reform to reorient its proportional relationship with chronologic age. By care pathways toward patient wellness and popula- applying the age-old adage “common things being tion health management. common,” the strongest connection between CAC and all of these stated non-CVD conditions is age. As is SEE PAGE 568 well-established, CAC increases with age in both Within the field of CVD imaging, much of the prevalence and extent (5). Based on 1 large registry of ongoing and published evidence on screening for 35,388 asymptomatic individuals, <1% of those <40 CVD is directly relevant to these discussions on years of age had a CAC score $400, whereas this rate patients Coronary increased to 29% to 45% for elderly patients in their artery calcium (CAC) scoring has been at the core of 70s and 80s (6). Importantly, the prevalence of CVD screening tests applied for more than a decade and increases with age along with other non-CVD condi- has a well-established body of evidence of effective tions, such as COPD, cancer, pneumonia, pulmonary prognostication for CVD events (2,3). Extending this embolism, and dementia. with frequent comorbidities. prior evidence, Handy et al. (4) in this issue of As we observe a shift in the aging of the popula- iJACC, using the National Institutes of Health– tion, the report by Handy et al. (4) on CAC as an National Heart, Lung Blood Institute sponsored estimator of an array of ailments has direct impact MESA Atherosclerosis), on public health and society in general. Furthermore, reported that CAC, as a global measure of health, this MESA report exemplifies how a disease-specific was also a long-term (median, w10 years) predictor screening test, such as CAC, may also serve as a (Multi-Ethnic Study of global health screening tool, extending beyond the CVD system to additional major afflictions impacting older patients. In the current report’s most compre*Editorials published in JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging reflect the views hensive model comparing CAC >400 with CAC ¼ 0, of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of JACC: the relative hazard was 1.53 for cancer, 1.70 for CKD, Cardiovascular Imaging or the American College of Cardiology. From the Emory University Clinical Cardiovascular Research Institute, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia. All authors 1.97 for pneumonia, 2.71 for COPD, and 4.29 for hip fracture; whereas there was no significant difference have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents in the rate of deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary of this paper to disclose. embolism, and dementia. Interestingly, for those 578 Awad et al. JACC: CARDIOVASCULAR IMAGING, VOL. 9, NO. 5, 2016 MAY 2016:577–9 Editorial Comment with CAC of 0 the relative hazard for a non-CVD one may not infer either causality or directionality of event was reduced 25% when compared with MESA the association between CAC and non-CVD. More- enrollees over, we have observed similar findings in several with detectable and more extensive CAC scores. prior series reporting on the relationship between The astute reader of this editorial would retort CAC and all-cause mortality (12,13). In a recent that, in some of these conditions, there are in report examining the independent prognostic value fact potential underlying mechanisms that would of CAC for estimation of long-term mortality at explain the relationship between COPD and CAC, 15-years of follow-up, we posited that CAC may CKD and CAC, or hip fracture and CAC that also serve as a marker of global health based on its strong involve shared risk factors or a common disease predictive ability for all-cause mortality (12). The mechanism or pathophysiologic pathway. These current report from MESA further expands this interesting connections are some that are known but concept of CAC as a marker of global health by others that have yet to be unearthed. Many studies examining its prognostic power across a diversity of have shown an influential role of inflammation and non-CVD conditions. oxidative stress not only in developing CVD (7) but Regardless of the directionality or magnitude of also other age-related non-CVD conditions, such as the connections between CVD and non-CVD condi- cancer (8), COPD (9), and CKD (10). All of these tions, the extent to which CAC guided patient connections between CVD and non-CVD conditions adherence to risk factor–modifying and lifestyle rec- might indicate common pathways or linkages that ommendations impacted on these non-CVD condi- underlie the findings within the report by Handy tions remains an additional link that should be et al. (4). explored further. A synthesis of evidence, including Although the authors applied a sophisticated Cox the Handy et al. (4) series, now supports the predic- model accounting for competing risk of fatal CVD, it tive ability of CAC to estimate cardiac (3), cerebro- seems that residual confounding from age remains an vascular (14), and non-CVD conditions (4). We likely important consideration in this MESA analysis. Con- should come full circle in the discussion and founding is defined as 1 or more extraneous factors acknowledge the far reaching implications of CAC’s that have an association (i.e., significant p value) to a predictive ability. Perhaps the index response that common outcome but do so through different path- CAC should be fully integrated into all adult wellness ways. In the Handy et al. (4) report, for example, CAC and screening evaluations is on target after all. predicts cancer likely through common covariates, Although CAC has not been without its critics and is such as smoking or aging. Interestingly, when anal- not supported as a reimbursable procedure, its ysis was limited to MESA enrollees <65 years of age, expansive evidence warrants a more thoughtful dis- none of the non-CVD endpoints were significantly cussion within the CVD community that this powerful associated with CAC. This illustrates the significant procedure provides valuable information to guide association of CAC and non-CVD conditions with age. health care decision making. Thus, the heavy burden of these conditions in the elderly seemed to be the primary impetus for the REPRINT REQUESTS AND CORRESPONDENCE: Dr. modeling results. Leslee Some have posited that CVD conditions may be exacerbated during other serious life-impacting conditions (11). Therefore, from this MESA series, J. Shaw, Emory Clinical Cardiovascular Research Institute, 1462 Clifton Road NE, Room 529, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia 30324. E-mail: [email protected]. REFERENCES 1. 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