Topic 2: Time value of money ECMI Discrete Financial Models Rafał Weron Capitalization vs. discounting discounting today future €100 €110 capitalization 2 Simple interest • Calculated on the original principal only – Accumulated interest from prior periods is not used in calculations • where – PV – present value (price); FV – future value; – r – (annual) interest rate; T – maturity (in years) 3 Compound interest • Calculated each period on the original principal and all interest accumulated during past periods • where – PV – present value (price); FV – future value; – r – (annual) interest rate; T – maturity (in years) 4 Semiannual, quarterly compounding • Compounding m-times per year • where – PV – present value (price); FV – future value; – r – (annual) interest rate; T – maturity (in years); – m – compounding frequency (per year) 5 Continuous compounding • Continuous compounding, i.e. for m • where – PV – present value (price); FV – future value; – r – (annual) interest rate; T – maturity (in years) 6 Compounding frequency vs. FV • Let PV= €1000, r=10%, T=1 year. Then: Compounding m Future value annual 1 FV = 1000 (1+0.1) = €1100.00 semiannual 2 FV = 1000 (1+0.1/2)2 = €1102.50 quarterly 4 FV = 1000 (1+0.1/4)4 = €1103.81 monthly 12 FV = 1000 (1+0.1/12)12 = €1104.71 daily 365 FV = 1000 (1+0.1/365)365 = €1105.16 continuous FV = 1000 e0.1 = €1105.17 7 Effective rate • • • • • • For annual compounding re = 10% For semiannual compounding re = 10.25% For quarterly compounding re 10.38% For monthly compounding re 10.47% For daily compounding re 10.52% For continuous compounding re 10.52% 8 Current value of a future cash flow discounting today future €? €110 9 Current value of a future cash flow • Simple interest • Compound interest • Continuous compounding 10 Discount factors • Simple interest • Compound interest • Continuous compounding 11 Future value of a series of cash flows €10 €10 €? 12 Future value of a deferred annuity • where 1 2 3 C C C ... n C C – coupon; n – #coupon payments (n = mT); r – interest rate (r = rp.a./m) • Actuarial name and notation for FV (with C=1): annuity-immediate, s n 13 Future value of an annuity due 0 1 2 C C C ... n-1 n C • where C – coupon; n – #coupon payments (n = mT); r – interest rate (r = rp.a./m) • Actuarial name and notation for FV (with C=1): annuity-due, sn 14 Current value of a series of future cash flows €? €10 €110 15 Current value of a deferred annuity C C C 1 2 3 C ... n • where C – coupon; n – #coupon payments (n = mT); r – interest rate (r = rp.a./m) • Actuarial name and notation for PV (with C=1): annuity-immediate, a n 16 Current value of an annuity due C C C 1 2 C ... n-1 n • where C – coupon; n – #coupon payments (n = mT); r – interest rate (r = rp.a./m) • Actuarial name and notation for PV (with C=1): annuity-due, an 17 Current value of a perpetuity C C C ... 1 2 3 ... • where C – coupon; r – interest rate (r = rp.a./m) • Actuarial name and notation for PV (with C=1): perpetuity-immediate, a 18 Future value of a series of irregular cash flows • where 1 2 3 C1 C2 C3 ... n Cn – Ct – t-period coupon; n – #coupon payments (n = mT); – r – interest rate (r = rp.a./m) 19 Current value of a series of irregular cash flows C1 C2 C3 1 2 3 Cn ... n • where – Ct – t-period coupon; n – #coupon payments (n = mT); – r – interest rate (r = rp.a./m) 20 Current value … in the case of floating interest rates C1 r1 C2 r2 C3 r3 Cn rn • where – Ct – t-period coupon; rt – t-period interest rate 21 Net Present Value (NPV) • NPV is the difference between – current value of future cash flows generated by the investment – and the capital outlay at the beginning of the investment (I0) 22 Internal Rate of Return (IRR) • Mathematically the IRR is defined as a discount rate that results in a NPV of zero of a series of cash flows – Numerical methods have to be used to compute IRR – IRR ‘assumes’ that the coupons are reinvested at the same rate 23
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