Kent Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (Kent JSNA) Kent ‘Adult Physical Activity’ JSNA Chapter Summary Update ‘2015-16’ Contact: Andy Fairhurst Website: www.kpho.org.uk Introduction Adult physical inactivity is now recognised as a distinct public health concern. Physical inactivity is the fourth-leading risk factor for worldwide global mortality1 and is responsible for more worldwide deaths every year than overweight and obesity 2. In the UK, physical inactivity is responsible for 17% of annual all-cause mortality and reduces life expectancy by three - five years3. Physical inactivity is directly responsible for a range of non-communicable disease conditions and has been identified as the cause of 10.5% of UK coronary heart disease burden, 13% of Type II diabetes, 18% of breast cancers and 19% of colon cancers4. An inactive person will also spend 38% more days in hospital than an active person, requires 5.5% more GP visits and accesses 13% more specialist services5. The cumulative annual cost of physical inactivity to the national economy has been estimated as £20bn per year6 and the annual cost to local authorities in Kent has been calculated at just over £264million7. Physical activity definitions and guidelines These guidelines refer specifically to adults aged 19-74. Physical inactivity is defined by the Chief Medical Officer as an adult who achieves fewer than 30 minutes of moderate physical activity per week8. The Chief Medical Officer recommends that adults achieve 150 minutes of moderate physical activity or 75 minutes of vigorous physical activity per week in order to maintain or improve health9. To meet these guidelines, the total minutes per week must be achieved: over at least two days in bursts of 10 minutes or longer. Moderate physical activity includes walking, cycling, gardening or other forms of movement that elicit an increase in heart rate. Vigorous physical activity includes exercise activities such as running, weight training, swimming and active sports. For clarity, in this document: a A physically inactive individual is a person achieving less than 30 minutes per week of physical activity. b A physically active individual is a person achieving more than 150 minutes of physical activity per week. c An individual achieving more than 30 minutes but fewer than 150 minutes is classified as ‘Not Meeting Guidelines’ (NMG). November 2015 2 Effect of physical activity on non-communicable disease There is clear evidence that increasing levels of physical activity can be effective in preventing the development of conditions as well as managing existing chronic noncommunicable disease conditions. Key conditions that physical activity levels can impact include cardiovascular disease such as coronary heart disease and ischaemic heart disease, stroke, diabetes and hypertension, cancers, overweight and obesity, mental health, and musculoskeletal conditions10. Individuals meeting physical activity guidelines can reduce all-cause mortality by 30%, reduce diabetes risk by 30-40%, lower risk of breast cancer by 20% and colon cancer by 30%, and reduce risk of cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease and stroke by 20% to 35%. Physical activity also reduces the physical decline with age, with a 30% risk reduction in the prevention or delay in loss of function and physical limitation in older adults,11 including a 30% reduction in the risk of falls. Physical activity can also reduce the risk of depression, dementia and Alzheimer’s, improve self-esteem, mood and sleep quality, and reduce levels of anxiety and fatigue12. The higher an individual’s level of physical activity, the lower their level of health risk and increasing levels of physical activity from any level will result in a reduction in risk. The dose-response relationship for physical activity is greatest in the most inactive people, meaning that for the most inactive people even a minor increase in physical activity will show a significant reduction in risk, at all ages13. National policy and strategy drivers Public Health Outcomes Framework The Health Improvement section of the Public Health Outcomes Framework contains indicators directly relating to physical activity: 2.13(i) Number of physically active adults 2.13(ii) Number of physically inactive adults Quality and Outcomes Framework Since April 2013, there have been two Quality and Outcomes Frameworks (QOF) targets for GPs related to physical activity listed under hypertension indicators; QOF Indicator HYP004: The percentage of patients with hypertension aged 16 to 74 years in whom there is an annual assessment of physical activity, using General Practice Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPPAQ), in the preceding 12 months. QOF Indicator HYP005: The percentage of patients with hypertension aged 16 to 74 years who score 'less than active' on GPPAQ in the preceding 12 months, who also have a record of a brief intervention in the preceding 12 months. Everybody Active, Every Day In October 2014 Public Health England published ‘Everybody Active, Every Day’, a national implementation framework for physical activity14. Four domains identified for action are: November 2015 3 active society moving professionals moving at scale active environments This framework outlines the importance of creating environments and cultures that support physical activity including the provision of leisure and sport facilities, outdoor gyms, active travel and walking and cycling opportunities, business workforce engagement and the role of the health sector in promoting physical activity. Who’s at Risk and Why? Current statistics Figure 1: Population Physical Activity Status by Local Authority Area 100% 90% Percentage of Population 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Active 30% NMG Inactive 20% 10% 0% Source: Active People Survey (2015) In Kent, 28.37%15 of adults are currently classed as physically inactive16, slightly higher than the national average of 27.73%17. A total of 43.43% of the Kent adult population do not currently meet the recommended levels of 150 minutes per week18, including the 28.37% who are physically inactive. Currently 56.57%19 of adults in Kent meet the guideline of 150 minutes per week of physical activity in order to maintain or improve their health20, which is slightly lower November 2015 4 than the national average of 57.04%21, meaning Kent performs poorly in comparison to the national average on both measures. Across all districts, there is a strong negative correlation between the number of physically inactive individuals and the number of physically active individuals in a district (r=-0.8458, p<0.001). Thanet has the highest percentage of physically inactive people and the lowest number of physically active people, whilst Sevenoaks has the highest percentage physically active and the lowest percentage physically inactive of the adult population Changes in physical activity levels since 2012 Physical activity is measured through Sport England’s Active People Survey 22, which changed its’ methodology in 2012 to include physical activity for health and is now the national measure recognised by Public Health England. Since 2012, the number of physically inactive people in Kent has shown a net increase, and the number of people achieving the recommended physical activity guidelines has fallen. Figure 2: PHOF 2.13ii - Percentage of Physically Inactive Adults (Kent & England, 2012-2014) 29.50 Percentage of Population 29.00 28.50 28.00 Kent England 27.50 27.00 26.50 26.00 2012 2013 2014 Source: Active People Survey (2015) The percentage of the Kent population failing to achieve the minimum 30 minutes per week required has shown a net increase since 2012 from 27.46% to 28.31%. This is in contrast to the national trend, which has shown a net decrease . After being below the national average in 2012, the percentage of adults classed as physically inactive in Kent is now higher than the national average for the first time. November 2015 5 Table 1: PHOF 2.13ii - Percentage of Physically Inactive Adults (All Districts, Kent & England, 2012-2014) Area Ashford Canterbury Dartford Dover Gravesham Maidstone Sevenoaks Shepway Swale Thanet Tonbridge and Malling Tunbridge Wells Kent Average England Average November 2015 2012 27.37 27.37 29.73 30.04 30.32 26.90 21.29 35.12 28.42 31.15 2013 24.19 22.02 25.59 30.85 25.21 25.22 25.47 27.60 31.68 35.50 2014 29.12 30.91 27.29 26.31 29.11 25.37 20.90 28.42 32.38 34.50 22.58 19.87 27.46 28.51 24.40 23.83 26.81 28.86 23.14 31.48 28.37 27.73 6 Figure 3: PHOF 2.13ii - Percentage of Physically Inactive Adults (All Districts, Kent & England, 2012-2014) 40.00 35.00 Percentage of Population 30.00 25.00 20.00 2012 2013 15.00 2014 10.00 5.00 .00 Source: Active People Survey (2015) Most Kent districts show yearly variation in levels of physical inactivity. Sevenoaks, Shepway and Canterbury have all reported large changes from year to year in levels of physical inactivity; Tunbridge Wells has shown a consistent increase in levels of physical inactivity from being the district with the lowest level of inactivity in 2012 to the third worst in 2014. Changes in levels of physical inactivity by district are likely to be due to the low sample sizes collected by Active People Survey at district level. Error bars on Figure 3 show confidence intervals reported in the source data23. Actual values at district level may be up to 5% above or below the reported figure. Care should therefore be taken when interpreting Active People Survey figures for individual data collection years at district level. November 2015 7 Figure 4: PHOF 2.13i - Percentage of Physically Active Adults (Kent & England, 2012-2014) 57.40 57.20 Percentage of Population 57.00 56.80 Kent 56.60 England 56.40 56.20 56.00 55.80 2012 2013 2014 Source: Active People Survey (2015) The percentage of the Kent population achieving the 150 minutes required to maintain or improve health24 has decreased yearly. This is in contrast to the national trend, which has improved each year. After being above the national average in 2012, the percentage of adults achieving the recommended levels of physical activity in Kent is now below the national average for the first time. Table 2: PHOF 2.13i - Percentage of Physically Active Adults (All Districts, Kent & England, 2012-2014) Area Ashford Canterbury Dartford Dover Gravesham Maidstone Sevenoaks Shepway Swale Thanet Tonbridge and Malling Tunbridge Wells November 2015 2012 54.47 60.06 52.94 56.20 55.68 60.90 64.32 48.70 52.65 52.41 2013 57.35 58.38 56.63 54.75 58.99 58.72 62.75 56.90 50.71 48.42 2014 52.90 53.70 55.80 61.05 55.53 59.28 62.76 59.26 54.12 48.81 61.14 64.80 60.29 63.34 59.82 57.53 8 Kent Average England Average 57.19 56.03 57.14 56.03 56.57 57.04 Figure 5: PHOF 2.13i - Percentage of Physically Active and Inactive Adults Active Adults (All Districts, Kent & England, 2012-2014) 70.00 Percentage of Population 60.00 50.00 40.00 2012 30.00 2013 2014 20.00 10.00 .00 Source: Active People Survey (2015) Changes in levels of physical activity by district also show yearly variation. Canterbury and Tunbridge Wells have shown a consistent reduction in the number of physically active adults, whilst Shepway has shown a year-on-year increase. It is likely that these variations are partly due to the low sample sizes collected by Active People Survey. Error bars on Figure 5 show confidence intervals reported in the source data25. Actual values at district level may be up to 5% above or below the reported figure; care should be taken when interpreting Active People Survey figures for individual data collection years at district level. Populations at risk Public health interest in physical activity is specific to populations where individuals are at risk of ill health as a result of a lack of physical activity. There is a strong relationship between levels of physical inactivity and socio-economic status26, so much so that people living in the most deprived areas are twice as likely to be physically inactive as those living in the least deprived areas27. Populations experiencing high deprivation are likely to have additional disease burden that increasing levels of physical activity will help to prevent or manage, including excess weight, hypertension and mild to moderate depression. Physically inactive people from populations in areas of highest deprivation should be considered the primary target group for increasing levels of physical activity. November 2015 9 Common characteristics of populations at high risk of physical inactivity include low levels of employment low incomes and high levels of benefit need and state dependency; reliance on social housing, supported housing and residential care; low levels of qualification, and single-parent families. Physically inactive people often also have a number of long-term health conditions that contribute to their low levels of activity and that are exacerbated by low levels of activity. Other physical activity concerns in key demographic groups include: a Men are more active than women in virtually every age group28. b Physical activity declines with age, to the extent that by the age of 75 years only one in ten men and one in 20 women are active enough for good health29. c On average, disabled people are half as likely as non-disabled people to be active with over 80% of people with learning disabilities failing to achieve the minimum recommended level30 and only one in four people with learning difficulties take part in physical activity each month31. Opportunities for engaging populations Identified as being at risk Opportunities to engage with at-risk populations are available through both structured and opportunistic channels in health and community settings, including: a Primary care, including during new patient registrations or through screening existing disease registers or other practice records. b Aligning with other NHS initiatives to measure health outcomes for example blood pressure, body mass index or blood glucose levels. c Existing community health and care services, for example NHS Health Checks, the adult obesity care pathway, stop smoking clinics and community pharmacies. d Clinical condition-specific pathways such as cardiac rehabilitation, diabetes management and stroke rehabilitation. e Partnerships with organisations including local authorities, housing associations, community groups, charities supporting physical or mental health and wellbeing, police and community safety, and other community welfare organisations. f Other local authority health and social care services including family support services, social workers, welfare or employment support services. g Organisations with specific memberships of religion, faith, belief or ethnicity groups. h Disability groups, charities and residential services. Identifying physically inactive individuals Screening individuals for levels of physical activity should be done using a validated physical activity screen, such as: General Practice Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPPAQ) 32 GPPAQ is a validated screening tool, used in primary care to assess the physical activity levels of adults (16 to 74 years). It provides a simple, four-level physical November 2015 10 activity index. Practitioners can use this index to help them decide when to offer interventions to increase physical activity. International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ)33 IPAQ is a validated screening tool used internationally, thereby allowing comparison of data across programmes, to assess physical activity levels of adults (15-69 years). The IPAQ short form is a seven-question instrument and assigns one of three levels of physical activity to indicate the level of risk in the individual. Single-item screen The single-item physical activity questionnaire was developed to assess respondents’ eligibility for physical activity interventions34 and is recommended in the Standard Evaluation Framework for Physical Activity35. The screen is a single question and asks respondents on how many days in the last week they have been active for 30 minutes or more. Care should be taken over the selection of screening tools, including ensuring the tool is validated for use with the participant cohort, and whether the tool is appropriate for screening only or can be used for measuring pre and postintervention changes in physical activity levels. The Level of Need in the Population There is a high level of need for a county-wide service to reduce physical inactivity in the most high-risk individuals. An individual’s level of physical activity can be placed in one of three risk categories, where risk refers to the likelihood of developing non-communicable disease caused by or exacerbated by a lack of physical activity. Table 3: Risk Level High risk Category Inactive Moderate Not Meeting risk Guidelines Low risk Meeting Guidelines % Kent Definition Population 28.37% Fewer than 30 cumulative minutes per week of moderate physical activity36 15.06% Fewer than 150 cumulative minutes per week of moderate physical activity or 75 minutes of vigorous physical activity 56.57% Achieving or exceeding 150 cumulative minutes per week of moderate physical activity or 75 minutes of vigorous physical activity37 a The highest level of need for physical activity services, interventions and support is in the highest risk group as inactive people are at high risk of developing disease conditions as a direct result of inactivity. November 2015 11 b Individuals not meeting guidelines are at moderate risk of disease conditions but are not at high risk of developing disease conditions as a result of inactivity. c Individuals who meet or exceed physical activity guidelines are at no significant risk of developing disease conditions as a result of physical inactivity. Conditions caused by physical inactivity Level of need in the population can also be determined from disease burden directly caused by inactivity. Table 4: Incidence or Prevalence of Major Non-Communicable Conditions and aAtributable Fraction Directly Caused by Physical Inactivity Condition Diabetes Mellitus % Attributable to Physical Inactivity38 13% Coronary Heart Disease 10.5% Breast Cancer 18% Colon Cancer 19% Kent Burden 74,894 total patients on disease register39 47825 total patients on disease register40 1,094 new diagnoses in 201241 1,012 new diagnoses in 201242 Inactivity Attributable Fraction 8763 total cases* 5022 total cases 197 new cases in 2012 193 new cases in 2012 *Diabetes Mellitus prevalence includes Type I diabetes, estimated to be 10% of diabetes cases in the UK43. Attributable fraction adjusted to 90% to represent Type II cases caused by inactivity. It is estimated that over 8,700 patients on the diabetes register for Kent developed their conditions as a direct result of physical inactivity. It is also estimated that 5,000 patients in Kent diagnosed with coronary heart disease developed their condition as a direct result of physical inactivity; of the new cases of breast cancer diagnosed in Kent in 2011, 196 were directly due to physical inactivity; and 193 new cases of colon cancer were due to inactivity. Physical inactivity is also a cause of high blood pressure, stroke, metabolic syndrome, depression, falling, bone health, joint health and muscle health44, however no reasonable calculation of the total disease burden of these conditions attributable to physical inactivity can be made. November 2015 12 Assessment of future need Levels of physical activity are declining. The need for support in for the most inactive people is expected to rise in future; there has been a 20% reduction in physical activity levels over the last 50 years and projections suggest that a further 15% drop is likely by 2030. By this time, the average British person will expend just 25% more energy than if they had spent the day in bed45. This decline in levels of physical activity is likely to impact rates of major non-communicable disease conditions. Current Services in Relation to Need Current provision of and access to physical activity opportunities and facilities There are a range of services and opportunities to facilitate achieving the recommended 150 minutes of physical activity per week, including free-to-use natural environment assets, commercial and local authority sport and leisure offerings, and specialist sports provision. Sport England’s Active Places Power46 lists over 3,900 recognised sites for recreational or competitive sport in Kent including over 2,300 grass pitches, 340 sports halls, 335 tennis courts, 150 swimming pools and 130 artificial grass pitches. Flagship facilities in Kent include Cyclopark in Gravesend, Julie Rose Stadium in Ashford and Royal St George’s golf course in Sandwich all of which host national and international sporting events in addition to providing specialist sports facilities for community and recreational use. There are also a number of private commercial gyms and commercial health and fitness service providers. Availability of built facilities for sport and recreation is generally higher in the urban population centres such as Maidstone, Canterbury, Dartford and Gravesham with lesser availability in areas with lower population density. Kent has a particular strength in natural environment assets due to the diversity and accessibility of natural environment settings including farmed land, woodland, grassland, and both inland and coastal waterways 47. Kent has two Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty (AONB) in the Kent Downs and the High Weald, which have UK statutory protection equivalent to that of National Parks. Kent also has a number of managed country parks, local and urban parks, green infrastructure, amenity grassland, and over 4,200 miles of public rights of way such as footpaths, bridleways and byways. There are a number of structured opportunities for increasing levels of physical activity through the natural environment, largely delivered by organisations in the charities, community and public sector. There are also a range of commissioned and led services made available to populations with high physical inactivity including Sky Ride and Walking for health. Large-scale or strategic changes to physical activity opportunities and facilities are not necessary to increase population levels of physical activity in Kent. Addressing the quality, accessibility and local provision of facilities or access in response to local need and protecting existing sport and leisure assets such as local authority grass fields are key issues, but must be locally driven and focussed in areas with populations experiencing higher deprivation. November 2015 13 Changing individual behaviour There is currently no county-wide approach to reducing physical inactivity. Emphasis on commissioning should be placed on programmes and services that engage with individuals identified as physically inactive and support long-term behavioural change. Kent County Council Public Health does not currently commission a county-wide service specifically for the purpose of reducing physical inactivity. A pilot project was commissioned in 2015 to test a delivery approach based on the Department of Health’s Let’s Get Moving (LGM) commissioning model48. Evaluation of this project will support the development of a county-wide programme for Kent for physical activity and wider health improvement services. Evidence of What Works NICE guidance National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) has produced a number of guidelines giving recommendations on how people can be encouraged to meet physical activity guidelines. Table 5: Summary of NICE Guidance on Increasing Levels of Physical Activity PH2 PH8 PH13 PH41 Date of Publication 2006 2008 2008 2012 PH44 PH54 2013 2014 Guideline Title Four commonly used methods to increase physical activity Physical activity and the environment Promoting physical activity in the workplace Walking and Cycling: local measures to promote walking and cycling as forms of travel or recreation Physical activity: Brief advice for adults in primary care Exercise referral schemes to promote physical activity For the Department of Health, NICE produced guidance on four common methods used to increase the population's physical activity levels. The four interventions considered were: brief interventions in primary care, exercise referral schemes, pedometers and community-based walking and cycling programmes49. This guidance has been partially updated by ‘Walking and Cycling’50, and ‘Physical activity: brief advice for adults in primary care’51. The brief advice document aims to support routine provision of brief advice on physical activity in primary care practice. A recent update on exercise referral schemes52 concluded that exercise referral is less effective in increasing levels of activity in the population in comparison with other methods, including brief interventions and signposting. Guidelines have also been produced on physical activity and the environment53 and promoting physical activity in the workplace54. November 2015 14 Brief intervention and motivational interviewing Let’s Get Moving 55 is a behaviour change intervention developed by the NHS and Department of Health designed to provide a systematic approach to identifying and supporting adults to become more active, for the purpose of both the prevention and management of inactivity-related chronic disease. An evaluation of the Let’s Get Moving pilot found brief intervention and motivational interviewing to be a feasible method of reducing physical inactivity56. This approach is also recommended in NICE commissioning guidance57. NICE also established that brief intervention for physical activity in primary care is cost effective, with the strength of cost-effectiveness increasing for patients over the age of 5458. Everybody Active Every Day – A framework for increasing levels of physical activity The ‘Everybody Active, Every Day’59 national implementation framework published by Public Health England describes a number of methods that may lead to increases in physical activity in response to locally-identified demand. Unmet Needs and Service Gaps There is a requirement for a county-wide service to systematically identify those at risk of developing long-term conditions as a result of physical inactivity. This needs to be focussed in areas of high deprivation and population-level prevalence of physical inactivity, and individuals should be supported to increase their levels of physical activity. Recommendations for Commissioning It is recommended that programmes be commissioned to address physical inactivity based on the brief intervention and motivational interviewing model60. The pathway should include: a A comprehensive recruitment and referral process focussing on at-risk populations. b Brief intervention, motivational interviewing and support for behavioural change in an appropriate setting and delivered by an appropriate agent. c Signposting to a range of local activity services, facilities and appropriate opportunities based on patient preferences, confidence to change and level of motivation. d Ongoing support to patients over at least 12 months following intervention. Services should be integrated where possible with pathways for other health improvement and health promotion services. Additional local action recommended to increase levels of physical activity include: a Protecting and improving existing grass playing fields. b Integrating physical activity into transport and environmental planning and services. November 2015 15 c Improving physical activity assets and facilities in response to local demand. d Increasing use of the natural environment for physical activity and health reasons. Recommendations for Commissioning Needs assessments are recommended in the following areas: a Provision of green space and green infrastructure in Kent and possible areas for improving provision, access and usage of green space. b Provision of and efficacy of active travel strategies in raising general health in the population, and possible areas for targeted investment in Kent. Key Contacts Andy Fairhurst, Physical Activity Programme Manager, Kent County Council Public Health [email protected] November 2015 16 References 1 World Health Organisation (2010). Global Recommendations on Physical Activity for Health. http://www.who.int/dietphysicalactivity/factsheet_recommendations/en/ 2 Department of Health (2011). Start Active, Stay Active: a report on physical activity from the four home countries' Chief Medical Officers. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/start-active-stay-active-a-report-onphysical-activity-from-the-four-home-countries-chief-medical-officers 3 Lee, I, et al. (2012). Effect of physical inactivity on major non-communicable diseases worldwide: an analysis of burden of disease and life expectancy. The Lancet. 380 (9838), 219-229. http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(12)61031-9/abstract 4 Lee, I, et al. (2012). 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