Deutsche Bank Corporate & Investment Bank FX Indices on Autobahn™ Trade a currency Why trade FX Indices? Why should you care about Deutsche Bank FX Indices? Clients often have a single currency view that they want to express in the simplest way possible. This is where tradeweighted indices come in - let the central bank decide what the most relevant measure of the currency’s strength is - and trade that! What is a trade-weighted index? A trade-weighted index (TWI) is designed by central banks to measure the strength of their currencies on the world stage in terms of international trade-competitiveness. Central banks take into account countries they import from, countries they export to and also countries they compete with for trade in third party markets. This makes it the most representative measure of a currency’s strength. What type of clients does it appeal to? Institutional investors use the indices to express a view on the strength of a particular currency. For instance, selling EURTWI to speculate on broad EUR weakness due to the sovereign debt crisis is an effective way to express this macro view. The low volatility of the index also means it’s cheaper to buy options on TWIs. Retail clients want a product where they can trade a single currency view. They don’t necessarily have a strong opinion on which other currency to trade against; they just want to trade it against the most ‘relevant’ basket of other currencies. They leave the choice of that basket to the respective central bank. Central banks are also interested in hedging their exposure to their foreign exchange reserves typically based in USD. So, for example, a USDTWI put option would protect against excessive USD weakness against the other major currencies in a cheap and diversified way. USDTWI captures broad USD strength Where can I see live prices? The live prices from Autobahn™ are streamed to Reuters™ page FXINDEX and Bloomberg™ page FXIN. FXIN page on Bloomberg™ Can I graph the indices? On Bloomberg™ all tickers can be plotted. For example, the spot rate for EURFXI has the ticker TWI EUSP Index<Go> and the front contract has the ticker TWI EUC1 Index<Go> (turnover for details of how to trade this contract). What is the key advantage of trading TWIs? Trading TWIs makes capturing macro currency trends easier as they are less susceptible to the idiosyncratic moves of a specific currency pair. For example, you can see from the picture of USDTWI spot (above, right) and its components that trading a bullish USD view over a one week period via USDEUR would have resulted in a loss, whereas the USDTWI captured the underlying USD strength and would have resulted in a profit. EURTWI Spot plotted on Bloomberg™ How to trade FX Indices How are the indices traded? What is liquidity like? The indices trade as OTC forward contracts to the next quarterly IMM date (MAR,JUN,SEP,DEC). The IMM week is the week containing the third Wednesday of the month. The contracts expire on the Monday of the IMM week and cash settle on the Wednesday of the IMM week. Liquidity is derived from the liquidity of the underlying spot market. The maximum tradeable amount at the moment has been capped at 30-50mio USD worth but this can be increased on demand. If you buy 1 contract of EURTWI IMM1 forward at 130.00 and later sell it for 130.01, you’ll have made 10EUR. The IMM1 forward is always the first quarterly IMM date and it is published to Bloomberg™ as ticker TWI EUC1 Index <Go>. If a client wishes to roll their position from the expiring near contract to the next one then he or she can do this at a tight spread by calling the sales desk. What are the FX Indices on Autobahn™? Most of the indices on Autobahn™ are trade-weighted indices on G10 currencies. So, for example, in the Index Liquidity Window in Autobahn™, the code EURFXI corresponds to the trade-weighted index for the Euro. What’s the notional amount of 1 contract? 1000 multiplied by the index level (in the index currency). This is because each contract pays 10 of the underlying index currency per pip (0.01). So 1 contract of EURFXI at 128.00 represents 128k EUR. 1 contract of JPYFXI at 135.50 represents 135.5k JPY. Can I see the notional amount in Autobahn™? In Autobahn™, the equivalent notional amount is shown in the index currency when a number of contracts is entered. By clicking on the currency code, this can be flipped from the natural currency of the index to USD or EUR amounts. How are the indices rolled? How can clients book them? The simplest way is to book them as forwards or NDFs. You can then mark to market based on the Reuters™ or Bloomberg™ feeds for the relevant contract. Can I trade options on TWIs? Yes, we can trade vanillas and exotics on TWIs. Ask your sales representative for a price or trade ideas. Miscellaneous What’s the difference between DXY and USDTWI? DXY is the branded USD Index that trades as futures on ICE US. DXY is a trade-weighted index which was constructed in 1973 and has not changed weights since. USDTWI on the other hand is the same basket but has had its weights rebalanced over time to represent the changing dynamics of world trade. The relevant metric of USD strength in 1973 was the DXY, the relevant metric today is the USDTWI. DXY is very popular however as it trades technically with many market participants looking at key levels in this particular USD index. Both DXY and USDTWI are tradable on Autobahn™ (as DXYFXI and USDFXI respectively). How are the indices rebalanced? Index trading interface in Autobahn™ Is the pricing robust? The index prices are calculated within Autobahn™ itself. The prices will therefore be as robust as the component spots and forwards that make up the index. We provide pricing 24hrs a day and the stability of our Autobahn™ platform is market leading. Once a year the tradeable indices are rebalanced to represent changes in the underlying central bank’s index. This rebalancing is outsourced to iboxxFX which is a subsidiary of Markit. This makes the rebalancing process both transparent and independent. For more information, see www.iboxxFX.com. Contact your local Deutsche Bank sales team or email [email protected] for more information Without limitation, this document does not constitute an offer, an invitation to offer or a recommendation to enter into any transaction, nor does it constitute the provision of investment advice and is not intended to do so, but is intended to be general information.. DB is not acting as your legal, financial, tax or accounting adviser or in any other fiduciary capacity with respect to any proposed transaction mentioned herein. 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