Climate Dynamics (2003) 21: 11–25 DOI 10.1007/s00382-003-0315-7 C. Chou Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon Received: 18 January 2002 / Accepted: 30 December 2002 / Published online: 4 March 2003 Springer-Verlag 2003 Abstract Mechanisms determining the tropospheric temperature gradient that is related to the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon are examined in an intermediate atmospheric model coupled with a mixed-layer ocean and a simple land surface model with an idealized Afro–Eurasian continent and no physical topography. These include processes involving in the influence of the Eurasian continent, thermal effects of the Tibetan Plateau and effects of sea surface temperature. The mechanical effect on the large-scale flow induced by the Plateau is not included in this study. The idealized land– sea geometry without topography induces a positive meridional tropospheric temperature gradient thus a weak Asian summer monsoon circulation. Higher prescribed heating and weaker surface albedo over Eurasia and the Tibetan Plateau, which mimic effects of different land surface processes and the thermal effect of the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau, strengthens the meridional temperature gradient, and so as cold tropical SST anomalies. The strengthened meridional temperature gradient enhances the Asian summer monsoon circulation and favors the strong convection. The corresponding monsoon rainbelt extends northward and northeastward and creates variations of the monsoon rainfall anomalies in different subregions. The surface albedo over the Tibetan Plateau has a relatively weak inverse relation with the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon. The longitudinal gradient of ENSO-like SST anomalies induces a more complicated pattern of the tropospheric temperature anomalies. First, the positive (negative) longitudinal gradient induced by the El Niño (La Niña)-like SST anomalies weakens (strengthens) the Walker circulation and the circulation between South Asia and northern Africa and therefore the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon, while the corresponding C. Chou Environmental Change Research Project, Institute of Earth Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei, 115, Taiwan E-mail: [email protected] monsoon rainbelt extends northward (southward). The El Niño (La Niña)-like SST anomalies also induces colder (warmer) tropospheric temperature over Eurasia and warmer (colder) tropospheric temperature over the Indian Ocean. The associated negative (positive) meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies is consistent with the existence of the weak (strong) Asian summer monsoon. 1 Introduction The Asian summer monsoon has a significant impact on the regional climate and it also plays an important role in the global climate system. It has been thought that land–sea heating contrast is a fundamental mechanism driving the summer monsoon circulation (e.g. Webster 1987; Young 1987). The relation of the land–sea heating contrast and the Asian summer monsoon has been discussed in Fu and Fletcher (1985), Meehl (1994a) and Li and Yanai (1996, LY96 hereafter). They found that the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon is related to the strength of the temperature gradient due to the land–sea heating contrast. The greater the temperature gradient, the more intense the Asian summer monsoon. Liu and Yanai (2001) showed that the summer all-India rainfall is positively correlated to the mean tropospheric temperature at 200–700 hPa averaged over Eurasia in summer, while the highest correlation appears in western Eurasia. On the seasonal time-scale, the onset of the Asian summer monsoon is coincident with the reversal of meridional upper tropospheric temperature gradient (LY96). Among the monsoons of the world, the Asian summer monsoon is the most intense and also the most complicated because of the existence of the Himalaya– Tibetan Plateau. Many studies (e.g. Flohn 1968; Hahn and Manabe 1975; He et al. 1987; Murakami 1987; Yanai et al. 1992; Ye 1981) show the importance of the 12 Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon Tibetan Plateau as an elevated heat source in the Asian monsoon circulation. Luo and Yanai (1984) and Yanai and Li (1994a) showed that dry convection associated with sensible heat flux from the surface is an important process in heating up the atmosphere above the Plateau before the onset of the Asian summer monsoon. After the onset, the latent heat dominates over the eastern Plateau (Nitta 1983; Luo and Yanai 1984). Wu and Zhang (1998) showed that the Tibetan Plateau plays a crucial role in organizing the three consequential stages of the Asian summer monsoon onset: the Bay of Bengal, the South China Sea and India. Some studies discuss the impacts of the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau on the evolution of the Asian monsoon (e.g. Ramstein et al. 1997; An et al. 2001). As the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau continues, the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon enhances and central Asia tends to be drier. Broccoli and Manabe (1992) showed that the existence of the Tibetan Plateau induces the dryness of interior Eurasia in summer and reduces the moisture transport across the continent. Another component affecting the seasonal land–sea heating contrast is the variation of snow cover over Eurasia (e.g. Bamzai and Shukla 1999; Dickson 1984; Douville and Royer 1996; Hahn and Shukla 1976; Kripalani et al. 1996; Liu and Yanai 2002; Yang and Xu 1994). The Eurasian snow cover has an inverse relation with the succeeding Asian summer monsoon rainfall. Heavy snow in the previous winter and spring will cool and delay the heating over Eurasia in summer because of the high albedo of snow and consumption of heat for snow melting. It results in a weaker Asian summer monsoon and a delay of the monsoon onset (Shukla 1984; Shukla and Mooley 1987). However, the inverse relationship between the Eurasian snow cover and the monsoon rainfall tends to be disrupted by El Niño events (Yang 1996). Snow cover also plays an active role in the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) in cooperation with the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation (Iwasaki 1991; Meehl 1994b; Nicholls 1978; Yasunari and Seki 1992). Yanai and Li (1994b) showed that the snow cover leads the Asian summer monsoon intensity in the quasi-biennial range. In addition to the land surface conditions and topography discussed already, sea surface temperature (SST) plays a crucial role in a complicated process to determine the horizontal temperature gradient associated with the Asian summer monsoon circulation. The SST anomalies of ENSO, for instance, induce a longitudinal gradient of tropospheric temperature anomalies and modify the Walker circulation. The positive (negative) gradient of SST anomalies for the warm (cold) phase of ENSO reduces (enhances) the Walker circulation which is one of the three principal circulations of the Asian summer monsoon (Webster et al. 1998). The ENSO-like SST anomalies are also accompanied by the variation of the tropospheric temperature over the region of the Eurasian continent (LY96). The El Niño (La Niña)-like SST anomalies is associated with a cold (warm) tropospheric temperature over Eurasia and a negative (positive) meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies. Yang and Lau (1998) showed that a premonsoon moistening and cooling of the Eurasian landmass associated with the El Niño SST anomalies weakens the intensity of the following Asian summer monsoon. Other studies, such as Meehl (1987), Rasmusson and Carpenter (1983) and Webster and Yang (1992), also discussed the relationship between the weak and strong Asian summer monsoon and ENSO. The present work aims to explore mechanisms that influence the horizontal temperature gradient in a simple Afro–Eurasian geometry. The emphasis is on understanding the effects of surface conditions of Eurasia, the Tibetan Plateau and the SST of the surrounding oceans. The relationship between the horizontal temperature gradient and the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon is also examined. A brief review of the model and a detailed description of experiments design is given in Sect. 2. The impacts due to the variations of the land surface albedo and the heat source over Eurasia are examined and discussed in Sect. 3. This is followed by a discussion in Sect. 4 on the thermal effect of the Tibetan Plateau regarding the uplift of the Plateau and snow cover. The influence of SST are complicated and experiments associated with meridional and longitudinal gradients of SST anomalies are presented in Sect. 5. The latter is relevant to ENSO-like SST anomalies. The last section summarizes my finding. 2 The model and experiment design To examine mechanisms determining the horizontal temperature gradient associated with the Asian summer monsoon circulation, a coupled ocean–atmosphere–land model of intermediate complexity (Neelin and Zeng 2000; Zeng et al. 2000, ZNC hereafter) with prescribed divergence of ocean heat transport (Q-flux) is used. Based on the analytical solutions derived from the Betts-Miller moist convective adjustment scheme (Betts and Miller 1993), typical vertical structures of temperature, moisture and winds for deep convection are used as leading basis functions for a Galerkin expansion (Neelin and Yu 1994; Yu and Neelin 1994). The atmospheric model constrains the flow by quasi-equilibrium thermodynamic closures and is referred to as QTCM1 (quasi-equilibrium tropical circulation model with a single vertical structure of temperature and moisture for deep convection). In QTCM1, the vertical structure of horizontal winds are divided into the baroclinic and barotropic components (see Fig. 1 of ZNC). The vertical profile of temperature is associated with the moist adiabatic process, while the moisture profile is estimated from a typical profile of moisture in the tropical deep convective region (see Fig. 1 of ZNC). The convection in QTCM1 is driven by a measure of the projected convective available potential energy (CAPE) and a positive CAPE indicates the conditional instability at the subgrid scale. Because the basis functions are based on vertical structures associated with convective regions, these regions are expected to be well represented and similar to the GCM with the Betts-Miller moist convective adjustment scheme. Far from deep convective regions, QTCM1 is a highly truncated Galerkin representation equivalent to a two-layer model. A cloud-radiation scheme (Chou and Neelin 1996; ZNC) simplified from the full radiation schemes (Harshvardhan et al. 1987; Fu and Liou 1993) is included. In the scheme, deep and cirrocumulus/cirrostratus cloud fraction is estimated by an empirical Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon 13 Table 1 List of experiment types. The motivation for each experiment is discussed in the text Experiment name Description Control Surface albedo 0.25, Qmax 50 Wm–2, and no prescribed heating Maximum/minimum values of prescribed heating varied: 50/–50 and 100/–100 Wm–2 over Eurasia; 100/–100, 200/–100, and 300/– 100 Wm–2 over the Tibetan Plateau Surface albedo varied: 0.2 and 0.15 over Eurasia with no prescribed heating; 0.2 and 0.15 over the Tibetan Plateau with maximum/minimum prescribed heating 300/–100 Wm–2 Q-flux varied: 70, 90, and 110 Wm–2 in Qmax for the meridional direction; 30, –30, and –60 Wm–2 in maximum Q-flux anomaly at the dateline for the longitudinal direction Prescribed heating Fig. 1 An idealized land–sea geometry for Eurasia, Africa, the Indian subcontinent, the Indochina peninsula and the region of the prescribed Tibetan Plateau-like heating (see text) parametrization (Chou and Neelin 1999). An intermediate landsurface model (ZNC) is used to simulate interaction between the atmosphere and land-surface. This model simulates processes such as evapotranspiration and surface hydrology in a single land surface layer for calculating energy and water budgets. Soil moisture is balanced by precipitation, evaporation, surface run-off and ground run-off. To examine interaction between the atmosphere and the ocean, a mixed-layer ocean with prescribed Q-flux is used (Chou et al. 2001). The Q-flux excluding seasonal variation is specified to be symmetric about the equator: Q-flux ¼ cosðu 3:0Þ Qmax e3juj ð1Þ with the maximum value (Qmax) at the equator and latitude / in radians. The magnitude of Q-flux is roughly estimated from the zonal average of the observed annual mean. An idealized continental configuration (Fig. 1) is used to represent Eurasia, Africa, the Indochina peninsula, and the Indian subcontinent. South America, North America and Australia are not included in this study. A constant surface albedo, 0.25, forest surface stype and Qmax = 50 Wm–2 are used in the control run. A prescribed seasonally varied heat source over the Eurasian continent is used to examine the sensitivity of the meridional heating contrast created by the Eurasian continent and the surrounding oceans. Two values of maximum heating (cooling) are used: 50 (–50) and 100 (–100) Wm–2. The maximum heating appears in July, while the maximum cooling appears in January. Besides the prescribed heating source over Eurasia, the Eurasian surface albedo can also modify the meridional heating gradient. In contrast to the surface albedo, 0.25 in the control run, 0.2 and 0.15 are used to examine an effect equivalent to, for instance, change of the snow cover over Eurasia. The version of the model used here does not include topography. Thus to simulate the seasonal thermal effect of the Tibetan Plateau, a prescribed Tibetan Plateau-like heating is specified (see Fig. 1) with the maximum heating in July and the maximum cooling in January. The elevation of the Tibetan Plateau is assumed to be zero in the model. Because of the specific treatment for the vertical profile in the model, the prescribed heating has been vertically integrated over the entire troposphere. The vertical structure of the prescribed heating is similar to a typical deep convective heating (e.g. Q1 in Yanai et al. 1973). Fennessy et al. (1994) found an improvement of the simulated Indian monsoon rainfall with a mean orography rather than an enhanced silhouette orography. I thus use a constant value of the heating over the entire Tibetan Plateau. Three experiments with the maximum values of the heating, 100, 200, and 300 Wm–2 are conducted and the maximum value of the cooling is –50 Wm–2 for all three experiments. These experiments mimic the thermal effect of the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau. However, the lack of mechanical forcing due to the topography (Murakami 1958; Riehl 1954; Staff Members 1958a, b; Trenberth and Chen 1988; Wu and Zhang 1998; Yin 1949) implies caveats on the discussion of the effect of the Tibetan Plateau. Caveats on the climatology of the Asian summer monsoon simulated by this model, such as a less distinctive maximum precipitation over Bay of Bengal, have been discussed in Chou and Neelin (2002). Nevertheless, we should be able to read some insight into the Surface albedo Q-flux mechanisms of a Tibetan Plateau-like heating that possibly affect the Asian summer monsoon. Experiments with different surface albedos (0.25, 0.2 and 0.15) over the Tibetan Plateau are used to examine effects due to variations of the snow cover over the Plateau and the thermal effect of the Tibetan Plateau is simulated by a prescribed heating with the maximum value, 300 Wm–2. In the mixed-layer ocean model, SST is determined by the surface energy balance and Q-flux. To examine the effects of SST on the horizontal temperature gradient and therefore the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon, Q-flux is modified. First for the meridional direction, three values of Qmax, 70, 90, and 110 Wm–2 are used for comparison to the control run with the value of Qmax, 50 Wm–2. For the longitudinal temperature gradient, Q-flux anomalies are added on to the original Q-flux in the control run: Q-flux0 ¼ sinð/ pÞ Q0max ej/pj e3juj ð2Þ with the maximum value (Q¢max) at the dateline and longitude / in radians. These create ENSO-like SST anomalies. The values of Q¢max, are –30 and –60 Wm–2 for the El Niño cases and +30 Wm–2 for the La Niña case. The results of all experiments are seasonal climatology from a 10 year average. In addition to the control run, 15 different experiments are designed to examine mechanisms determining the horizontal temperature gradient and the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon. A summary is given in Table 1. 3 Thermal influence of the Eurasian continent Figure 2a shows July precipitation and 850 hPa wind for the control run in which a constant albedo is used everywhere and there is no topography. The monsoon rainbelt starts from tropical Africa and extends along the south coast of Asia to the east coast of Asia and the western North Pacific. Most regions of the rainbelt is found over ocean surface and the rainbelt slightly tilts from the southwest to the northeast. The east–west asymmetry of the rainbelt has been discussed in an idealized monsoon study (Chou et al. 2001). Two mechanisms are responsible for the east–west asymmetry: the interactive Rodwell-Hoskins (IRH) mechanism and ventilation. In the IRH mechanism, Rossby-wave descent induced by the monsoon diabatic heating in the east interacts with the convergence zone. The ventilation 14 Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon introduces the asymmetry by importing low moist static energy air from ocean regions into the continent. Both effects reduce convection over the western part of the continent and favor convection over the eastern part of the continent. In Fig. 2a, the cross equatorial flow (at 850 hPa) along the east coast of Africa becomes the southwesterly monsoon flow and merges with the trade winds in the western Pacific. This concurs with the monsoon rain zone. The southwesterly flow characterizes a special feature of the Asian summer monsoon. The trade winds over the western Pacific have a strong influence on the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon (Webster and Yang 1992). Fig. 2 a July precipitation and winds at 850 hPa from the control run. Differences of July precipitation and winds at 850 hPa for the prescribed heating experiments over Eurasia between b Q (the prescribed heating) = 50 Wm–2 and the control run, and c Q = 100 Wm–2 and Q = 50 Wm–2. The contour interval is 4 mm day–1 for a and b and 8 mm day–1 for c. Wind vectors are in m s–1 Both patterns of the precipitation and 850 hPa winds in the control run capture the major features of a typical Asian summer monsoon even without topography in the experiment. However, the monsoon rainfall is relatively weak and the rainbelt does not extend as far north as shown in most observations in which the rainbelt extends to 30–40N at East Asia and the western North Pacific. Examining the corresponding mean temperature averaged over 200–500 hPa in the control run (Fig. 3a), the positive meridional temperature gradient is relatively weak. According to the studies in Meehl (1994a) and LY96, the weak meridional temperature gradient is associated with a weak Asian summer monsoon and a low monsoon rainfall. To enhance the meridional temperature gradient and examine the sensitivity of the Asian summer monsoon to the temperature gradient, two different prescribed heat sources, 50 and 100 Wm–2 with shape of Eurasia are used. Figure 2b, c shows the differences between the two experiments with the prescribed heating over Eurasia and the control run. As the prescribed heating increases from 0 to 100 Wm–2, the monsoon precipitation becomes more intense and the Fig. 3a–c As in Fig. 2 but for the upper tropospheric (200– 500 hPa) temperature. The contour interval is 2 C for a and 1 C for b and c Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon rainbelt extends farther northward. The angle of the northeast–southwest tilt of the rainbelt also increases due to the stronger IRH mechanism and ventilation (Chou et al. 2001). To the south of the positive precipitation anomalies, the precipitation decreases. The value of the negative precipitation anomalies is less than that of the corresponding positive anomalies in the north. Local maximum precipitation anomalies are found over the Indian subcontinent and the Indochina peninsula in the prescribed heating experiments. They resemble the Fig. 4 Differences of July precipitation and winds at 850 hPa for the surface albedo experiments over Eurasia between a Rs (surface albedo) = 0.2 and Rs = 0.25 (the control run), and b Rs = 0.15 and Rs = 0.2. The contour interval is 1 mm day–1. Wind vectors are in m s–1 Table 2 Indices of the Asian summer monsoon intensity for experiments listed in Table 1. WYI is the vertical shear of zonal wind between 850 and 200 mb averaged over the region (0–20N, 40–110E) (Webster and Yang 1992). CI is the mean OLR averaged over (10–25N, 70–120E) (Li and Yanai 1996) 15 heavy rainfall along the west coast of India and the Bay of Bengal in observations. The 850 hPa wind anomalies in Fig. 2b, c behave similarly to the corresponding mean winds. The increase of the prescribed heating is equivalent to the enhancement of the land–sea heating contrast (Fig. 3) which induces the stronger cyclonic circulation that associates with the enhanced Asian summer monsoon. Thus, the corresponding low-level moisture convergence associated with the monsoon rainfall moves northward and enhances the monsoon rainfall. The differences of the temperature averaged over 200–500 hPa are shown in Fig. 3b, c. Both meridional and longitudinal temperature gradients are increased, while the change of the meridional gradient is more than the longitudinal gradient. The maximum temperature tends to shift northeastward to East Asia and the western North Pacific. To measure the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon, two monsoon indices are used here. The first monsoon index (WYI) is based on a vertical shear of zonal wind between 850 hPa and 200 hPa averaged over the region of 0–20N, 40–110E (Webster and Yang 1992). The second index (CI) is a mean OLR averaged over 10– 25N, 70–120E (LY96). The first three rows in Table 2 are the monsoon indices for the experiments shown in Fig. 2. The intensity of the Asian summer monsoon indeed increases as the meridional temperature gradient is enhanced by the increase of the prescribed Eurasian continental heating. This result is consistent with the studies in Meehl (1994a) and LY96. To examine the surface albedo effect a series of experiments with different surface albedo over the Eurasian continent are conducted and the results are shown in Figs. 4 and 5. When the Eurasian surface albedo decreases, the upper tropospheric temperature gradient increases. The increase of the meridional temperature gradient is relatively stronger than the longitudinal temperature gradient (Fig. 5). The corresponding summer monsoons become more intense (see Table 2) and extend farther northward. The northward extension of the summer monsoon rainfall creates a north–south Experiment Control Prescibed heating Over Eurasia Surface albedo Over Eurasia Prescribed heating Over the Tibetan Plateau Surface albedo Over the Tibetan Plateau Q-flux Meridional Q-flux Longitudinal 50/–50 Wm–2 100/–100 Wm–2 0.20 0.15 100/–100 Wm–2 200/–200 Wm–2 300/–300 Wm–2 0.20 0.15 70 Wm–2 90 Wm–2 110 Wm–2 30 Wm–2 –30 Wm–2 –60 Wm–2 WYI CI 13.7 28.5 42.2 19.9 25.6 18.8 24.1 29.0 29.6 30.6 21.0 27.1 32.6 15.2 12.3 10.8 266.8 256.8 247.6 264.4 261.6 268.6 270.1 270.5 271.0 271.5 252.8 246.6 246.6 270.8 262.4 257.3 16 Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon Fig. 5a, b As in Fig. 4 but for the upper tropospheric (200– 500 hPa) temperature. The contour interval is 0.5 C monsoon study. On the other hand, the drier landmassinduced high surface temperature enhances the monsoon intensity, so both effects associated with the drier landmass cancel each other out. Xue (1996) showed that the effect of the reduction in evaporation dominates the change of the surface temperature in a desertification experiment in central Asia, so the Asian monsoon is weakened. Another effect associated with a drier landmass is surface albedo: a drier land surface has greater surface albedo. The greater surface albedo associated with a drier landmass reduces convection and weakens the corresponding monsoon circulation. In a region with strong surface albedo, such as northern Africa, the monsoon convection cannot occur even with saturated soil moisture (Chou and Neelin 2002). The effect of snow cover is different to the effect of drier landmass. When the snow cover increases, the surface temperature decreases due to the absorption of solar radiation for melting the snow, while the surface albedo is increased due to the greater albedo of the snow. Both effects of the high snow albedo and the snow-induced low surface temperature weaken the summer monsoon intensity. 4 Effects of the Tibetan Plateau dipole pattern of the monsoon precipitation anomalies similar to the results in Fig. 2. Meanwhile, in contrast to the positive anomalies at the southern and southeastern part of Asia, negative precipitation anomalies at the northwestern Indian Ocean and Africa create an east– west dipole pattern. This east–west dipole indicates the increase of the tilting angle of the east–west asymmetry of the monsoon rainbelt. When the convection in the east increases, the enhancement of the subsidence associated with Rossby-wave in the west and the drier air imported from the north both contribute the negative anomalies of the precipitation in the west. The surface albedo experiments over Eurasia can mimic the effect of the surface albedo due to the variations of snow cover and vegetation. The strong surface albedo induced by more snow cover and desert area, for instance, reduces the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon and extends the monsoon rainbelt southward. This is consistent with the results of Meehl (1994a) for the effect of land surface albedo. The prescribed heating experiment over Eurasia are associated with a higher land surface temperature compared to the control run, so these experiments can mimic the mechanisms associated with a drier landmass and reduced snow cover. The drier landmass and reduced snow cover over Eurasia is favorable to a strong Asian summer monsoon. However, the local hydrological process plays a different role in determining the location of the monsoon rainfall and the intensity of the summer monsoon. For instance, the drier Eurasian landmass has less evaporation to maintain the monsoon rainfall, so the Asian summer monsoon rainfall decreases. Chou et al. (2001) showed the importance of soil moisture in determining the monsoon rainfall in an idealized The major difference between Asia and other continents is the existence of the Tibetan Plateau which averages over 4000 m in height. The air above the Tibetan Plateau in summer is warmer than the surrounding atmosphere (Flohn 1957, 1960; Yanai et al. 1992). It is generally believed that the Plateau acts as an elevated heat source (Yeh et al. 1957; Yeh and Gao 1979; Luo and Yanai 1984; Yanai and Li 1994a). Enhanced and vertically integrated heating prescribed over the Tibetan Plateau shown in Fig. 1 is used to mimic the heating effect of the elevated Plateau surface. Figure 6 shows differences of the precipitation and the 850 hPa winds between the prescribed heating experiments over the Tibetan Plateau with different values of the heating, 100, 200, and 300 Wm–2 and the control experiment (Fig. 2a). The Asian summer monsoon rainbelt extends northeastward as the heating over the Tibetan Plateau increases (Fig. 6). The north–south and east–west dipole patterns of the precipitation anomalies are also found in Fig. 6. The corresponding 850 hPa wind anomalies show a low-level moisture convergence along the rainbelt anomaly. The Pacific trade wind anomalies are stronger than the southwesterly monsoon flow anomalies. It implies that the easterly trade winds from the Pacific are more dominant than the southwesterly monsoon flow from the Indian Ocean in modifying the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon when the heating of the Tibetan Plateau increases. A strong southward anomaly associated with the Rossby wave transports dry air into the western part of the Indian subcontinent and the ocean in the west of the Indian subcontinent and therefore the tilting angle of the east– west asymmetry of the monsoon rainbelt increases. Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon Fig. 6 Differences of July precipitation and winds at 850 hPa for the prescribed heating experiments over the Tibetan Plateau between a Q = 100 Wm–2 and the control run, b Q = 200 Wm–2 and Q = 100 Wm–2, and c Q = 300 Wm–2 and Q = 200 Wm–2. The contour interval is 1 mm day–1 for a and b and 2 mm day–1 for c. Wind vectors are in m s–1 However, the negative precipitation anomalies may be overestimated because of the lack of the Iran–Afghanistan-western Plateau which plays a role in the Indian summer monsoon (Yanai et al. 1992). To examine the relation between the monsoon intensity and the prescribed heating, Table 2 shows two monsoon indices with respect to the different prescribed heat sources. When the prescribed heating over the Tibetan Plateau increases, the WYI shows an increase of the monsoon intensity, while the corresponding CI has little change. The monsoon circulation associated with winds becomes intense, but the strength of the corresponding convection in to the region for calculating CI does not change much. Examining Fig. 6 carefully, the 17 monsoon convection does increase, but the corresponding positive rainfall anomalies are not confined in to the region (10–25N, 70–120E) used for calculating CI. This implies that the monsoon index is sensitive to the region which is chosen to calculate the index. The increase of the prescribed heating represents an equivalent thermal effect of the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau, but it does not include the mechanical effect of the Tibetan Plateau. The simulations in Fig. 6 imply that the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau enhances the Asian monsoon, which is consistent with the studies in An et al. (2001) and Ramstein et al. (1997). Figure 6 also shows a northeastward extent of the monsoon rainbelt. When considering regional Asian monsoon, the impact of the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau on the summer monsoon rainfall is different. As the prescribed heating over the Tibetan Plateau increases, the Indian summer monsoon rainfall has a relatively small change, while the rainfall over the Indochina peninsula, the southeastern and eastern parts of China and the western North Pacific increases significantly. The rainfall over the ocean southeast of China is smaller. This implies that the East and Southeast Asian monsoons are more sensitive to the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau than the South Asian summer monsoon (Liu and Yin submitted 2002). Figure 7 shows the upper tropospheric temperature for the different prescribed heating experiments over the Tibetan Plateau in Fig. 6. The patterns of the positive temperature anomalies in Fig. 7 are narrow in latitude compared to the prescribed heating experiments over Eurasia because the heating area of the Tibetan Plateau is smaller than Eurasian. However, the temperature anomalies spread much wider than the area of the prescribed heating, especially in longitude. This implies that the impact of small regional heating cannot be distinguished from the large-scale heating in the upper tropospheric temperature. Therefore, the temperature gradient presents a relation with a broader scale of the summer monsoon circulation rather than a subregional scale of the detailed monsoon structure, such as the Indian monsoon and the Southeast Asian monsoon. As in Fig. 3, the maximum temperature is found in South Asia. In comparison to the observations (e.g. Fig. 3 in LY96), the prescribed heating, 300 Wm–2 over the Tibetan Plateau (Fig. 9a) induces reasonable magnitude of the meridional temperature gradient, so an experiment with the prescribed heating, 300 Wm–2 is used to simulate the effect of the Tibetan Plateau in the surface albedo experiments over the Tibetan Plateau. However, 300 Wm–2 is larger than the observed heat source shown in Yanai et al. (1992), Yanai and Li (1994a) and Yanai and Tomita (1998). This is because the model must warm up the air from the surface around 1000 hPa to the tropopause, compared to the air above the Tibetan Plateau which is from 600 hPa to the tropopause. When considering effects of snow cover, surface albedo experiments over the Tibetan Plateau (Fig. 8) are conducted. As the surface albedo over the Tibetan Plateau becomes smaller due to less snow cover, the Asian 18 Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon Fig. 7a–c As in Fig. 6 but for the upper tropospheric (200– 500 hPa) temperature. The contour interval is 1 C summer monsoon intensifies (see WYI in Table 2) and moves farther northeastward. Dickson (1984) showed a similar negative correlation between the Himalaya snow cover and the subsequent Indian summer monsoon rainfall. The north–south dipole pattern of the precipitation anomalies is found, while the east–west dipole pattern of the precipitation anomalies is weakened. Since the positive and negative precipitation anomalies cancel each other out, the CI of the surface albedo experiments over the Tibetan Plateau has little change. The tropospheric temperature in Fig. 9 shows only small differences between the surface albedo experiments over the Tibetan Plateau and the control run. The rainfall anomalies in Fig. 8 are also relatively small compared to the other experiments discussed before (e.g. the experiments in Fig. 6), especially the Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Bamzai and Shukla (1999) showed no significant relation between the Himalaya snow cover and the Indian monsoon rainfall in the following summer. In East Asia and Southeast Asia, the impacts of the snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau are different. The East Asian summer rainfall is negatively correlated to the snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau associated with the Fig. 8 a July precipitation and winds at 850 hPa for an experiment with the prescribed heating, 300 Wm–2 over the Tibetan Plateau. Differences of July precipitation and winds at 850 hPa for the surface albedo experiments over the Tibetan Plateau between b Rs = 0.2 and Rs = 0.25, and c Rs = 0.15 and Rs = 0.2. The contour interval is 4 mm day–1 for a and 0.5 mm day–1 for b and c. Wind vectors are in m s–1. Note the wind vector in a is different from b and c but the same as in Fig. 2 surface albedo, but the Southeast Asian summer rainfall is positively correlated to the snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau. The snow cover of the Tibetan Plateau shows a relationship with the regional Asian summer rainfall, such as the East and Southeast Asian summer rainfall, but not with the Asian rainfall as a whole. 5 Impacts of sea surface temperature The relation between SST and the Asian summer monsoon rainfall is complicated (e.g. Arpe et al. 1998; LY96; Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon Fig. 9a–c As in Fig. 8 but for the upper tropospheric (200– 500 hPa) temperature. The contour interval is 2 C for a and 0.2 C for b and c Rasmusson and Carpenter 1983; Shen and Lau 1995; Wang et al. 2000; Wang et al. 2001; Webster and Yang 1992; Weng et al. 1999; Yang and Lau 1998). To study the effect of SST directly involving in the tropospheric temperature on the Asian summer monsoon, two idealized Q-flux anomalies are specified: a zonally symmetric anomaly to the equator and an ENSO-like anomaly in the tropics. The zonally symmetric anomaly associated with varied Qmax induces a meridional gradient of SST anomalies and the ENSO-like anomaly induces a longitudinal gradient of SST anomalies. For the meridionally Q-flux experiments, three values of Qmax, 70, 90, and 110 Wm–2 are used for comparison to the control run with Qmax, 50 Wm–2. Figure 10 shows differences of the corresponding SST (or land surface temperature, Ts) between the meridional Q-flux experiments and the control run. Because the ocean transports energy out of the tropics more efficiently, the tropical SST decreases as Qmax increases. The SST anomalies are symmetric to the equator. Over land, clouds associated with the monsoon rainbelt reflect more solar radiation and the land surface temperature in convective regions decreases. Outside the convective regions, the decrease 19 Fig. 10 Differences of July sea (land) surface temperature for the meridional Q-flux experiments between a Qmax = 70 Wm–2 and Qmax = 50 Wm–2 (the control run), b Qmax = 90 Wm–2 and Qmax = 70 Wm–2, and c Qmax = 110 Wm–2 and Qmax = 90 Wm–2. The contour interval is 2 C of the land surface temperature is caused by changes in surface heat fluxes which is induced by the cold air temperature (Fig. 11). Figure 11 shows the difference of the upper tropospheric temperature between the meridional Q-flux experiments and the control run. The upper tropospheric temperature anomalies are symmetric to the equator which is consistent with the SST anomalies in Fig. 10. A similar symmetric pattern of the upper tropospheric temperature anomalies is also found in the observation and is related to the existence of the Asian summer monsoon (Liu and Yanai 2001). The tropospheric temperature is colder than the control run and the maximum anomaly is at the equator. The distribution of the tropospheric temperature anomalies is smooth and does not resemble the detailed variation of the land surface temperature (Fig. 10). The meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies is enhanced, while the longitudinal gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies has little change. Because of the wave 20 Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon Fig. 11a–c As in Fig. 10 but for the upper tropospheric (200– 500 hPa) temperature. The contour interval is 1 C Fig. 12a–c As in Fig. 10 but for July precipitation. The contour interval is 3 mm day–1. Wind vectors are in m s–1 propagation as discussed in Su et al. (2001) and Wallace et al. (1998), the change of the meridional temperature gradient extends into the atmosphere over land surface. The precipitation differences between the meridional Q-flux experiments and the control run are shown in Fig. 12. The rainbelt extends farther northward as the upper tropospheric temperature gradient increases. The north–south dipole pattern of the precipitation anomalies is found, but there is no clear east–west dipole pattern. The northward extension of the monsoon rainbelt is found not only in Asia, but also in Africa. The positive rainfall anomalies in Africa and Asia appear to connect to each other and the Asian summer monsoon extends farther northward than the African summer monsoon (Liu and Yanai 2001). This southwest–northeast tilt of the positive rainfall anomalies is induced by similar mechanisms to the idealized monsoon study in Chou et al. (2001). The meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies is zonally symmetric to the equator in a global scale, but the northward extent of the convection zones occurs only over land surface. It is evident that the existence of land is important in the monsoon circulation. In the meridional Q-flux experiments, the tropospheric temperature is colder than that in the control run, but the monsoon rainfall does not fall as the temperature becomes colder. The horizontal temperature gradient is more dominant than the tropospheric temperature itself in determining the summer monsoon rainfall. As the positive monsoon rainfall anomalies extend into the African continent, the southwesterly monsoon flow and the easterly trade wind merge over tropical Africa instead of South Asia in the previous experiments. The cross-equatorial flow over the Indian Ocean along the east coast of Africa is significantly weakened. The easterly trade winds extend farther west and into the African continent. The cyclonic circulation associated with the Rossby wave subsidence also extends farther west and limits the northward extent of the African convection zone. The WYI of these experiments shows an increase in the monsoon intensity as the tropical SST becomes lower. The monsoon intensity is largely modified by the strong variations of the upper tropospheric winds induced by the global meridional temperature Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon 21 Fig. 13 Differences of the July SST for the longitudinal Q-flux experiments between a Q¢max = 30 and the control run, b Q¢max = –30 and the control run, and c Q¢max = –60 and the control run. The contour interval is 0.2 C Fig. 14 Differences of the July upper tropospheric (200–500 hPa) temperature for the longitudinal Q-flux experiments between a Q¢max = 30 and the control run, b Q¢max = –30 and the control run, and c Q¢max = –60 and Q¢max = –30. The contour interval is 0.2 C gradient. The corresponding CI does not show any increase of the monsoon convection because most rainfall anomalies occur outside of the region for calculating CI. Next, the impacts of the longitudinal SST gradient on the variations of the Asian summer monsoon are examined. In the longitudinal Q-flux experiments, La Niña-like SST anomalies (Fig. 13a), weak El Niñolike anomalies (Fig. 13b) and strong El Niño-like SST anomalies (Figs. 13c) are specified. For the La Niña (El Niño) SST anomalies, strong cold (warm) SST anomalies in the central and eastern Pacific are associated with weak warm (cold) SST anomalies in the western Pacific. The corresponding upper tropospheric temperature differences are shown in Fig. 14. Two longitudinal gradients of the temperature anomalies are found: western Pacific to eastern Pacific and western Pacific to Africa. These two longitudinal gradients of the temperature anomalies modify the transverse circulations (Webster et al. 1998): the Walker circulation between South Asia to the eastern Pacific and the circulation between northern Africa and South Asia associated with Rossby- wave dynamics. For the La Niña case (Fig. 14a), the two transverse circulations are enhanced by the longitudinal gradients of the temperature anomalies, so a strong monsoon is expected (see WYI in Table 2). Over Eurasia, a clear positive meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies associated with a strong summer monsoon is also found. For the two El Niño cases, the transverse circulations are reduced and the corresponding monsoons are weakened (see WYI in Table 2). A negative meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies is also found. The variations of the longitudinal SST gradient change not only the longitudinal upper tropospheric temperature gradient, but also the meridional upper tropospheric temperature gradient. The upper tropospheric temperature anomalies associated with ENSO are consistent with observations (e.g. Fig. 12 of LY96). The meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies associated with ENSO is caused by the SST anomaly induced Rossby wave and Kelvin wave. For instance, the cold tropospheric temperature over Eurasia in Fig. 14c is induced by a Rossby wave in 22 Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon response to the cold SST anomalies in the western Pacific in Fig. 13c. The warm tropospheric temperature over the Indian Ocean is induced by a Kelvin wave in response to the warm SST anomalies in the central and eastern Pacific. The tropospheric temperature anomalies over Eurasia are farther modified by coupling with land hydrology. Yang and Lau (1998) showed that wetter and colder surface condition, due to more snow cover over Eurasia is induced by the El Niño SST anomalies. The tropospheric temperature over Eurasia in Fig. 14c will be farther reduced by interaction between the atmosphere and land surface. Figure 15 shows the corresponding precipitation difference. For the La Niña case (Fig. 15a), a dipole pattern of the rainfall anomalies is found with positive anomalies in the south and negative anomalies in the north. The summer monsoon rainbelt moves southward, while the intensity of the monsoon is enhanced (Table 2). The observation (e.g. Fig. 14 of LY96) also shows a similar pattern for the strong monsoon case. The patterns of rainfall anomalies in Fig. 15 is a little further south compared to the observations, so the CI is Fig. 15a–c As in Fig. 14 but for the precipitation. The contour interval is 1 mm day–1. Wind vectors are in m s–1 inconsistent with the WYI. For the El Niño case (Fig. 15b, c), the intensity of the summer monsoon is reduced and the monsoon rainbelt extends northward. The northward extension of the summer monsoon rainbelt associated with El Niño is due to an anomalous anticyclone induced by local cold SST anomalies and Rossby wave-induced subsidence in response to the warm SST anomalies in the central and eastern Pacific (Chang et al. 2000a, b; Wang et al. 2000). The anticyclonic circulation is confined to the lower troposphere. The anomalous anticyclonic circulation provides lowlevel moisture convergence from the western Pacific and extends the corresponding monsoon rainbelt northward. Figure 15b, c shows a similar anticyclonic circulation over the ocean southeast of Southeast Asia. 6 Summary and conclusions Motivated by the close relationship between the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon and the horizontal temperature gradient (LY96), a series of numerical experiments are conducted in an idealized Afro–Eurasian geometry. The focus of the study is to examine the mechanisms that influence the horizontal temperature gradient induced by land–sea heating contrast and modified by other processes involving in the surface conditions of Eurasia, the thermal influence of the Tibetan Plateau and the SST distribution over the surrounding oceans. The relation between the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon and the horizontal temperature gradient induced by the different processes are also discussed. The meridional temperature gradient can be intensified by colder tropical SST anomalies and higher prescribed heating sources and weaker surface albedo over Eurasia and the Tibetan Plateau. These mimic effects of different land surface processes and the thermal effect of the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau. Caveats are underlined on these experiments based on the prescribed heat source and albedo. Without the physical topography in the model, the mechanical effect of the Tibetan Plateau has been neglected and the prescribed heating is larger than the observation in order to warm up the thicker air column. Varied surface albedo can roughly estimate the effect of snow cover, but its hydrological effect is neglected. Nevertheless, the intensified meridional temperature gradient enhances the Asian summer monsoon circulation and the corresponding rainfall. The Asian summer monsoon rainbelt also extends northeastward and creates different regional rainfall responses, particularly over East Asia. Thus, the meridional temperature gradient can represent a broader scale of the Asian summer monsoon with regional differences in rainfall anomalies. The prescribed heating experiments over Eurasia show that the higher prescribed heating warms up the atmosphere above Eurasia and the Eurasian landmass, so the meridional tropospheric temperature gradient Chou: Land–sea heating contrast in an idealized Asian summer monsoon increases. The positive gradient of the meridional temperature anomalies enhances the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon and extends the corresponding monsoon rainbelt northeastward. In the surface albedo experiments over Eurasia, the greater surface albedo results in lower surface and tropospheric temperatures over Eurasia and the meridional temperature gradient decreases. The Asian summer monsoon weakens and the monsoon rainbelt moves southward. The prescribed heating experiments over the Tibetan Plateau indicates that the higher prescribed heating favors a stronger Asian summer monsoon and the corresponding monsoon rainbelt extends farther northeastward. The tilting angle of the monsoon rainbelt also increases. When the heating reaches a critical value, the East Asian monsoon continues to extend northward, while the South Asian monsoon has little change in position. This implies that the East Asian monsoon is more sensitive to the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau than the South Asian monsoon (Liu and Yin submitted 2002). In the surface albedo experiments, the enhancement of the Asian summer monsoon is relatively weak and it is confined to Southeast Asia and East Asia. The Southeast Asian summer monsoon rainfall has a positive relation with the surface albedo over the Tibetan Plateau, while the East Asian summer monsoon rainfall has a negative relation with the surface albedo. To discuss the impact of SST anomalies, two types of Q-flux experiments are conducted: meridional Q-flux experiments and longitudinal Q-flux experiments. The positive meridional gradient of SST anomalies enhances the meridional tropospheric temperature gradient and therefore the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon increases. The effect of the longitudinal gradient of SST anomalies is much more complicated than the effect of the meridional gradient of SST anomalies. The El Niñolike SST anomalies (Fig. 13b, c) weaken the Walker circulation and induce a positive longitudinal gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies across the entire Pacific, so the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon reduces. The circulation between South Asia and northern Africa is also weakened by the negative longitudinal gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies in the regions. Likewise, the La Niña-like SST anomalies (Fig. 13a) are associated with a stronger Asian summer monsoon. However, the corresponding monsoon rainbelt extends northward, while the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon reduces. It is due to the anticyclonic circulation over the south and southeast of South Asia which transports more moisture from the western Pacific into the monsoon rainbelt. The ENSO-like SST anomalies also induce meridional tropospheric temperature anomalies (Fig. 14). The variations of the tropospheric temperature over Eurasia are associated with a Rossby wave in response to the SST anomalies over the equatorial western Pacific. The variations of the tropospheric temperature over the Indian Ocean result from a Kelvin wave in response to the warmer SST over the central and eastern Pacific. In the 23 El Niño-like SST anomaly case, the colder tropospheric temperature over Eurasia and the warmer tropospheric temperature over the Indian Ocean induce a negative meridional gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies. This further weakens the Asian summer monsoon that has already been reduced by the longitudinal gradient of the tropospheric temperature anomalies. Land hydrology associated with snow cover might play a role in further reducing the atmospheric temperature above Eurasia (Yang and Lau 1998). Acknowledgements The author thanks Prof. M. Yanai for his valuable suggestions. Comments from Prof. W. L. Gates and an anonymous reviewer are greatly appreciated. This work was supported under National Science Council grant 90-2119-M-001-020. The author thanks M.-J. Yang and J.-Y. Yu for provision of their computing facilities. 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