Oceanographic and glacier information from observations of 330 000 Antarctic icebergs Olav Orheim, NPI & GRID-Arendal* Norsk Geofysisk Forening, Solstrand 21 October 2015 * With collaborators Barry Giles & Jo Jacka, Australian Antarctic Division, Hobart, and Are Bjørdal, Stein Tronstad & Jan-Gunnar Winther, Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø The Antarctic ice masses flow outwards to form floating ice shelves which give rise to the large tabular icebergs, or grounded glaciers which forms smaller icebergs. The tabular bergs may reach 100 x 50 km². Annual Antarctic iceberg production is around 2000 km³. At any time there are more than 200 000 icebergs floating in the Southern Ocean 1977: HRH Prince Mohamed Al-Faisal Al-Saud established Iceberg Transport International & Icebergs For the Future (IFF). IFF contact Olav Orheim about getting field iceberg data. OO involves Arne Foldvik, UnivB – they study icebergs on NARE 1978/79. 1981: OO establishes, through SCAR, International Iceberg Observing Programme, the so-called «Blue forms». Since then 223 ship cruises have made 28 100 observations of altogether 338 800 Antarctic bergs, of which 271 500 have been classified by size. The t Blue forms were sent to all institutions with research vessels going to Antarctica. The instruction was to record icebergs every six hours, classified into five size classses. An observation is typically of what is seen within a 12 nm (22 km) radius, i.e. within 500 km². % size distribution of 271 599 bergs: Observed size classes (m) 10-50 50-200 200-500 500-1000 >1000 39,2% 33,1% 18% 7,3% 2,5% Geographic distribution of the observations: Density of observations mirror ship tracks to the coastal research stations. The number of observations are particularly large around the northern part of the Antarctic Peninsula, which has the highest density of stations. Number of observations are given for each «box» of 1° latitude x 5°longitude. A box is white when there are no observations. Total area of observations is approx. 14x10⁶km Concentration of icebergs (defined as total no. of bergs in box/no. observations). Distribution reflect both variations in sources, and the currents around Antarctica. Note “exit” routes for the bergs. The currents around Antarctica Yellow line marks Antarctic Convergence Dashed line is the Antarctic Divergence. This divides the clockwise and anticlockwise currents near the continent Zero iceberg observations. i.e. observations of no icebergs in a box. At 60°S the area of a box of 1x5° is 30 000 km² (9000 nm²). Frequency of zero iceberg observations (zero berg observed /no. obs.). Obviously the frequency will increase with distance from the continent, but there are also other patterns: * high at the Divergence * high in the Ross Sea High frequency of zero berg observations north of Dronning Maud Land coincide with the Antarctic Divergence which divides east and westward trending currents (dashed line). The bathymetry of the Southern Ocean is one factor in the distribution of the currents. The deep ocean exchange with the underside of the ice shelves is another. Satellite interferometry shows the regions of major mass loss from the Perimiter of Antarctica. Number of icebergs > 1000m Concentration of bergs >1000m (Number bergs > 1000m/ number of observations in each box) Some observations, which still needs statistical testing Large year-to year variations – reflecting variations in calving rates? i.e: 1986/87: 17 bergs /observation (1400) All other years 1982-89 around 12 bergs/obs, most years 1500 + obs. Minimum in 1992/93 with 7 bergs/obs (1600) Very large regional variations: Sector out from Pine Island Bay largest density: > 17 bergs/obs. Out of Ross Sea has lowest density, < 7/obs, but largest proportion of largest icebergs size, with 5% > 1000m. Smaller seasonal variations than expected, but winter data are few. Large icebergs drift in a different route from smaller tabular bergs. Why? More affected by Coriolis, also by larger base area giving more sheear forces (all tabular bergs have similar draughts). This is work in progress and like these penguins we are riding a course with no clear end in sight. Thank you for your attention! NPI final database (30 Jan 2015) No. Number Total Bergs Observed numbers of each size class total % for each size class Season Vessel names ships observations bergs /obs. 10-50 50-200 200-500 500-1000 >1000 classified 10-50 50-200 200-500 500-1000 >1000 Comments 2011/12 Puerto Deseado 1 13 112 8,7 23 45 28 14 2 112 20,5 40,2 25,0 12,5 1,8 summer 2009/10 Shackleton 1 176 628 3,6 209 316 13 1 1 540 38,7 58,5 2,4 0,2 0,2 summer 2007/08 Shackleton 1 198 1642 8,3 1243 217 72 15 5 1552 80,1 14,0 4,6 1,0 0,3 summer 2006/07 Polarstern 1 853 14566 17,1 6822 4364 1867 565 112 13730 49,7 31,8 13,6 4,1 0,8 year, April-March 2005/06 Pstern Tangaroa 2 423 9019 21,3 5412 1987 846 212 80 8537 63,4 23,3 9,9 2,5 0,9 summer 2004/05 P.stern Agulhas 2 454 4053 8,9 748 696 442 338 65 2289 32,7 30,4 19,3 14,8 2,8 summer 2003/04 Shack, Agul Pstern Italica Tangaroa 5 944 6264 6,6 3096 1549 401 200 108 5354 57,8 28,9 7,5 3,7 2,0 summer + Aug, May 2002/03 Agul Pstern Shack, Explora Rongel 5 828 10659 12,9 4769 3360 1223 293 55 9700 49,2 34,6 12,6 3,0 0,6 summer+June, July 2001/02 Shack Pstern Agulhas Rongel Italica 5 688 7676 11,2 677 1480 547 315 187 3206 21,1 46,2 17,1 9,8 5,8 summer, incl. May 2000/01 Irizar Pstern Agulhas Rongel Italica Hesperides 7Unknown 956 15241 15,9 5627 3808 2363 938 268 13004 43,3 29,3 18,2 7,2 2,1 summer, incl. May 1999/2000Pstern JCR Shack Shirase Italica Gorruchaga Rongel 7 847 6325 7,5 1682 1259 597 277 66 3881 43,3 32,4 15,4 7,1 1,7 summer 1998/99 Palmer Pstyern Irizar JCR Rongel Italica Puerto 8Deseado 1143 9606 8,4 2756 2862 1549 739 402 8308 33,2 34,4 18,6 8,9 4,8 summer+May-July 1997/98 Palmer Pstern Irizar Bransfield Rongel Endurance 11 JCR1631 Inach 19027 Puerto 11,7 Deseado Marco 6788 Polo5376 Italica 2651 1146 633 16594 40,9 32,4 16,0 6,9 3,8 summer+May-July 1996/97 Bransfield Explora Pstern Italica JCR 5 370 4892 13,2 1402 892 421 322 128 3165 44,3 28,2 13,3 10,2 4,0 summer 1995/96 JCR Bransfield Irizar Aviso Castillo Puerto Deseado 7 Umitaka 537 13817 Maru Italica 11,3 6865 3934 1256 434 110 12599 54,5 31,2 10,0 3,4 0,9 summer 1994/95 Irizar Somov Bransfield JCR Explora Italica 6 916 10340 11,3 2320 2889 2173 1154 390 8926 26,0 32,4 24,3 12,9 4,4 summer, incl. May 1993/94 Pstern Agulhas Irizar Africana Hesperides Italica 7 de Teffe 654 10398 15,9 1765 1705 994 399 106 4969 35,5 34,3 20,0 8,0 2,1 summer 1992/93 A. Australis Bfield Icebird Agulhas Polarbjørn Irizar 8 de 1638 Teffe12310 Gurruchaga 7,5 2578 3496 2129 659 217 9079 28,4 38,5 23,4 7,3 2,4 summer 1991/92 Bfield JCR de Teffe Irizar Gondwana Agulhas Italica 7 771 8110 10,5 2443 2642 1537 662 164 7448 32,8 35,5 20,6 8,9 2,2 summer 1990/91 Gondwana Irizar Explora Bfield Pstern de Teffe 11Italica992 Las Palmas 8431 Aviso 8,5 Irigoyen 2392 Gorruchaga 2760Cariboo 1612 686 294 7744 30,9 35,6 20,8 8,9 3,8 summer 1989/90 Bfield Irizar Thuleland Andenes VII Brazil Agulhas 9 Columbialand 781 9961Gurruchaga 12,8 Cariboo 3540 3455 1613 583 194 9385 37,7 36,8 17,2 6,2 2,1 summer 1988/89 Somov Bfield Icebird Irizar de Teffe Shirase Arctica 12 Lady 1643Franklin 17059Prof. 10,4Viese Barken 3060 Prof. 4432 Zubov Agulhas 3131 1082 367 12072 25,3 36,7 25,9 9,0 3,0summer, incl. Oct. May 1987/88 Somov Viese Bfield Zubov Icebird Shirase de Teffe 17 Lady 2046Franklin 26514Pstern 13,0 Finnpolaris 8172 Irizar 7143 Bahia Paraiso 3689 Alm. 1559 Camara Prof. 403 Bernard 20966 Kaiyo-Mara 39,0 Agulhas 34,1 17,6 7,4 1,9 summer 1986/87 Somov Bfield Viese Irizar Pstern Glacier Bahia10 Paraiso 1391 Agulhas 24161 Aurora 17,4de Teffe 8642 7596 4062 1646 505 22451 38,5 33,8 18,1 7,3 2,2 summer 1985/86 Pstern Agulhas Zubov Glacier Bfield Endurance 10Bahia1197 Paraiso 13533 Polar 11,3 Star Irizar 4424 John Biscoe 3657 2157 813 298 11349 39,0 32,2 19,0 7,2 2,6 summer 1984/85 Capt. Myshevskij Endurance Discovery Icebird15 Nella 2009 Dan Unknown 22848 11,4 Andenes Agulhas 5687 Bahia 5708Paraiso3235 Irizar Sibex2 1069 Kaiyo Rulegi 233 Depot 15932Halley 35,7 Jantar 35,8 Bfield 20,3 6,7 1,5 summer, some Oct. 1983/84 Somov Agulhas Bfield Viese Endurance Myshevskij 16 de 2294 Teffe31520 Nella Dan 13,7Polar Sea 8486Pstern 7544 Nanok Kaiso 5090 Maru Shirase 2604 Irizar 887 Hakuhu24611 Maru 34,5 30,7 20,7 10,6 3,6 summer 1982/83 Somov Bfield Nanok Viese Zubov Polar Circle 13 Lady Franklin 806 11837 Piloto Pardo 14,7 Agulhas 2566Capt. Alcazar 2815 Polarbjørn 2224 Hero848 John Biscoe 339 Nella8792 Dan 29,2 32,0 25,3 9,6 3,9 summer, some Oct. 1981/82 Bfield Bahia Paraiso Polar Queen Fuji Agulhas Irizar, 7 Polar 489 Circle 3974 8,1 1203 1181 662 146 45 3237 37,2 36,5 20,4 4,5 1,4 summer 1980/81 John Biscoe 1 33 40 0 0 0 3 37 40 0,0 0,0 0,0 7,5 92,5 summer 1979/80 Bransfield 1 22 22 0 0 0 3 19 22 0,0 0,0 0,0 13,6 86,4 summer 1978/79 Bransfield Agulhas Polarsirkel Yelco 4 208 2342 11,3 970 628 179 95 18 1890 51,3 33,2 9,5 5,0 1,0 summer 1976/77 Polarsirkel 1 159 1873 11,8 0 0 0 0 0 0 summer Total sums 223 28110 338800 12,1 106367 89796 48763 19820 6738 271484 39,2 33,1 18,0 7,3 2,5 April May June July August September October May-Sept Winter, April-Oct Summer 1844 16222 8,8 401 3215 8,0 156 818 5,2 182 427 2,3 92 103 1,1 139 429 3,1 466 3459 7,4 970 4994 5,1 3295 24706 7,5 24815 314094 12,7 3936 917 239 245 38 72 1369 1511 6805 99562 4165 987 444 156 61 71 709 1719 6576 83220 2454 643 63 17 3 105 539 831 3849 44914 888 200 3 1 0 7 246 211 1346 18474 315 76 2 1 0 5 103 84 500 6238 11758 2823 751 420 102 260 2966 4356 19076 252408 33,5 32,5 31,8 58,3 37,3 27,7 46,2 34,7 35,7 39,4 35,4 35,0 59,1 37,1 58,8 27,3 23,9 39,5 34,5 33,0 20,9 22,8 8,4 4,0 2,9 40,4 18,2 19,1 20,2 17,8 7,6 7,1 0,4 0,2 0,0 2,7 8,3 4,8 7,1 7,3 2,7 2,7 0,3 0,2 0,0 1,9 3,5 1,9 2,6 2,5 ceberg statistics on NPI final database (3 July 2015) Number Sector observ ⁰ - 44⁰ 59 W 9694 5⁰ - 89⁰ 59W 7334 0⁰ - 134⁰ 59W 471 35⁰ - 180⁰ W 963 80⁰ - 135⁰E 1661 34⁰ 59 - 90⁰E 1585 9⁰ 59 - 45⁰E 2564 4⁰ 59 - 0⁰E 3838 otals 28110 Total Bergs Observed numbers of each size class total % for each size class bergs /obs. 10-50 50-200 200-500 500-1000 >1000 classified 10-50 50-200 200-500 500-1000 >1000 115322 11,9 38940 32253 16591 6753 2420 96957 40,2 33,3 17,1 14,4 2,5 117168 16,0 45492 30111 15145 5580 1612 97940 46,4 30,7 15,5 5,7 1,6 8397 17,8 1503 2157 1294 469 164 5587 26,9 38,6 23,2 8,4 2,9 10951 11,4 2424 3288 1698 724 302 8436 28,7 39,0 20,1 8,6 3,5 10381 6,2 2499 2369 1695 996 501 8060 31,0 29,4 21,0 12,4 6,2 25686 16,2 4532 5638 3892 2088 795 16945 26,7 33,3 23,0 12,3 4,7 32310 12,6 5577 7955 5676 2150 706 22064 25,3 36,1 25,7 9,7 3,2 18828 4,9 5400 6025 2682 1060 238 15405 35,1 39,1 17,4 6,9 1,5 339043 12,1 106367 89796 48673 19820 6738 271394 39,2 33,1 17,9 7,3 2,5 0 - 74 59W 10680 154202 5 - 159 59W 1110 19083 60W-160E 1944 13090 59 59E - 30E 4693 60354 9 59E - 29 59W 9683 92071 ontrol 14,4 17,2 6,7 12,9 9,5 58703 3575 3580 10459 30250 40378 4497 3488 14213 27220 20441 2691 2129 10120 13382 7770 1025 1026 4576 5423 2328 392 534 1602 1882 129620 12180 10757 40970 78157 271684 45,3 29,4 33,2 25,5 38,7 31,2 36,9 32,4 34,7 34,8 15,8 22,1 19,8 24,7 17,1 6,0 8,4 9,5 11,1 6,9 1,8 3,2 5,0 3,9 2,4 00 - 135W 19,0 1266 1980 1144 471 150 5011 25,3 39,5 22,9 9,4 3,0 390 7397
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