Using Gr ph and Formulas LEARNING OBJECTIVE j1 VI . t"" 'J e of 9 or-o 10 ' .1ul G raphs a re used to illu strate key eco n om ics id eas. Graphs ap pear no t just in econom ics textb o ok s but also on Web sites an d in n ewspap er and ma gazine arti cles that di s cuss even ts in busin ess an d eco no mics . Why th e heavy use o f graph s? Beca use th ey se rve two usefu l p ur poses: (l ) T he y sim p lify eco no m ic ideas, an d (2) they m ake the id eas mo re co ncrete so t he y can be a ppl ied to re al-worl d pr obl ems. Eco no m ic a nd busin ess issue s can be co m p lica ted, but a graph can hel p cu t th ro ugh comp lica tio n s an d h ighl ight th e key relations h ips needed to und erstand th e issue. In th a t sens e, a gra ph ca n be like a stree t m ap . Fo r examp le, sup po se yo u ta ke a bus to New York C it y to see th e Em p ire State Building. After ar riv ing at th e Port Author ity Bus Term ina l, yo u will proba bly use a map simi lar to th e one sh own below to fin d your way to the Empi re State Bu ilding. F'. ' ~.;;;;- t, e 'b :ml <i I _i: , E.-;~llll_ III:llIIW'lI 1I'"",,,6OllI ~ / ./ " ~Qf h ; - > • I::. :>4m:sL ...... I 50th 1,i: ~~ I? I ~ D1JellnS. Boro Bridge S7tl1 E. , ~ ~'-, 66thSl .....c; ..... ....... .. . ~. CIS \ C HAP TER 1 I Economics: Foundations and Models 25 Map s are very familiar to just about everyone, so we don't usually th ink of them as simplified versi ons of reality, bu t th ey are. This ma p do es not sh ow much mo re ~l11~he streets in th is par t of New Yo rk City an d some of the m ost imp ortan t bu ildings. -o:nnam es, addresses, and telep hone numbers of the people wh o live an d work in the a aren't given. Almo st no ne of th e stores and build ings those peo ple wo rk and live in ar~ shown eithe r. The ma p doesn't tell which streets allow curbside pa rk ing and which don't- In fact, the map tells alm ost n ot hin g about th e mess y reality of life in thi s section of New Yo rk City, excep t how the streets are laid out, wh ich is the essentia l information you need to get from the Po rt Authori ty to the Empire State Bui ld ing . Think abou t so meo ne who says, " I know how to get around in the city, but I just can't figur e out how to read a map ." It certa inly is poss ible to find you r destination in a city witho ut a m ap, but it's a lot easier with one. Th e same is true of using graphs in eco nomic s. It is possi ble to arrive at a solu tion to a real-world p rob lem in economics and business witho ut using graphs, b u t it is usu ally a lo t easier if yo u do use them. Often , the difficu lty studen ts have with graphs and formulas is a lack of fam iliari ty. With pr actice, all the graphs and formulas in this text will become fam iliar to you. Once you are fam iliar with th em , you will be able to use them to an alyze prob lems that would other wise seem very d ifficult. Wha t follow s is a bri ef review of how graphs and formu las are used. bei Gra phs of One Variable Figure lA -l displays values for market shares in the U.S. au to mobile marke t, using two commo n types of graph s. Market sha res show the percentage of industry sal es accoun ted for by differe nt firms. In this case, th e in for mation is for groups of firm s: the "Big Three"-Ford, Gen eral Motors, and Dai mlerChrys ler -as well as Japanese firms , Europe an firms, an d Ko rean firm s. Panel (a) d isplays the in for m ation on market sha res as a bar graph, where th e ma rke t share of eac h group of fir ms is rep resen ted by the Shares of the U.S: automobile market 60% Korean firms 56 .2% 4.3% European firms " \ 6.5% 40 30 20 Japanese firms Big Three 33 .0% 56 .2% 10 o Big Three Japan ese firms European firms Korean firms (a) Bar graph (b) Pie chart Figure 1A- l Va lues for an economicvariable areoften displayed as a bar graph or as a pie chart. In thiscase, panel (a) shows market share data for the U.S.automobile industry as a bar graph. where the market share of eachgroup of firms is represented bythe height of - its bar. Panel (b) displays the same information as a pie chart, with the market share of each group offi rms represented by the size of its slice of the pie. So urce: "Au to Soles," m,ll Street [our nal, Ma rch 1, 2007. -26 II PAR TI l Introduction Sales 7.5 (mill ions of 7.4 automobiles) 7.3 Sales 8.0 (millions of automobiles) 7.0 ... ; 6.0 7.2 7.1 5.0 7.0 4.0 69 6.8 3.0 6.7 2.0 6.6 1.0 65 0 .0 2000 0.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 (a) Time-series graph with truncated scale The slashes (If) indicate the scale on the vertical axis is truncated. which means that some numbers are omitted. The numbers jump from 0 to 6.5. Figure 1A-2 2006 L..- 2000 ~ 200 1 2002 ~ 2003 2004 2005 _ 2006 (b) Time-series graph where the scale is not truncated TIme-Serie Graphs Bothpanels present time-series graphs of Ford Motor Company's worldwide sales during each year from 2000-2006. Panel (a) has a truncated scale on the vertical axis, and panel (b) does not.Asa result, the fluctua tions in Ford's sales appear smaller in panel (b) than in panel (a). Source: Ford Motor Company, A:rnuar Report, va r ious years. heigh t of its bar. Pan el (b ) displays the same in fo rma tion as a pie chart, with the market share of each group of firms represen ted by th e size of its slice of th e pie . In fo rm at ion o n econom ic var iab les is also ofte n d ispl ayed in time-series graphs. T irne-ser ies grap hs are displayed on a coordinate gri d. In a coordinate gr id , we can m ea sure the value of one variable alo n g th e vertical ax is (or y-axis) , and the valu e of ano ther vari able alo ng the horizo nt al ax is (or x-ax is). The point wh ere the vert ical axis inte rsects the h orizon tal axis is called the origin. At the or igin, the value of both variables is zero. The poin ts on a coo rd inate grid represent values of the two variables. In Figure l A-2, we m easure th e numb er of au tomo biles a n d tru cks so ld wo rldwide by th e Ford Mo tor Co mpa ny on the vertical axis , and we measure time on the horizon tal axis. In time ser ies graphs, the he ight of the line at each date shows the valu e of th e variable m easur ed on the vertical axis. Both p an els of Figur e lA -2 show Ford 's wo rldwide sales durin g each year fro m 2000 to 2006 . T he differenc e between panel (a) and panel (b) illust ra tes the imp ortance of the scal e used in a time -ser ies graph. In panel (a ), the sca le o n the ver tical axis is tru ncated , whic h m eans th at it does no t sta rt with zero. T he slashes (II) near the botto m of the axis in dicate that the scale is truncated. In p anel (b) , the scale is not trun cate d . In panel (b ), th e declin e in Ford's sales since 200 0 appears smalle r than in panel (a). (Tech n ically, the horizon tal ax is is also tru n cat ed because we sta r t with the year 2000, not the year 0.) Gra phs of Two Variables We often use graph s to sh ow th e rela tionship between two vari ables. For example, sup pose you are int erested in the relationship between th e price of a pepperoni pi zza and the quantity of pizzas so ld per week in the small town of Bryan, Texas. A gra ph showing the relatio nsh ip between the price of a good and th e q ua n tity of the good dem and ed at each price is called a demand curve. (As we will discuss later, in drawing a demand curve for a good, we have to hold constant any va riab les o the r th an price th at mi gh t affect the - CHAPTER 1 Price $16 (dollars per pizza) 15 Economics: Foundations and Models Figure 1A-3 Price (dollars per pizza) Quantity (pizzas per week) Points $15 50 A 14 55 B 13 60 C 12 65 0 11 70 E : .. . . ~ The figure shows a two-dimensional grid on which we measure the price of pizza along the vertical axis (or y-axis) and the quantity of pizza sold per week along the horizontal axis (or x-axis). Each point on the grid represents one of the price and quantity combinations listed in the table.By connecting the points with :A 14 i a line, we can better illustrate the relationship between the two variables. .... ,. ...... ....i . 13 12 11 oL\ I 50 55 60 65 Demand curve 70 75 Quantity (pizzas per week) As you learned in Figure 1A-2, the slashes (If) indicate the scales on the axes are truncated, which means that numbers are omitted: On the horizontal axis numbers jump from 0 to 50, and on the vertical axis numbers jump from 0 to 11 willingness of consumers to buy the good.) Figure lA-3 shows the data you have col lected on price and quantity. The figure shows a two-dimensional grid on which we measure the price of pizza along the y-axis and the quantity of pizza sold per week along the x-axis. Each point on the grid represents one of the price and quantity combinations listed in the table. We can connect the points to form the demand curve for pizza in Bryan, Texas. Notice that the scales on both axes in the graph are truncated. In this case, truncating the axes allows the graph to illustrate more clearly the relationship between price and quantity by excluding low prices and quantities. Slopes of Lines Once you have plotted the data in Figure lA-3, you may be interested in how much the quantity of pizza sold increases as the price decreases. The slope of a line tells us how much the variable we are measuring on the y-axis changes as the variable we are measur ing on the x-axis changes. We can use the Greek letter delta (6) to stand for the change in a variable. The slope is sometimes referred to as the rise over the run. So, we have sev eral ways of expressing slope: 51 ope = 27 Change in value on the vertical axis Rise Change in val ue on the horizontal axis Run Figure lA-4 reproduces the graph from Figure lA-3. Because the slope of a straight line is the same at any point, we can use any two points in the figure to calcu late the slope of the line. For example, when the price of pizza decreases from $14 to $12, the quantity of pizza sold increases from 55 per week to 65 per week. Therefore, the slope is: Slope = 6Price of pizza ($12 - $14) -2 i1Quantity of pizza (65-55) 10 -0,2, 28 I I I I I PAR T 1 I In troduction Fig ure lA-4 COlculating the Slape ot a Line We cancalculate theslope ofa line as thechange in thevalue of thevariableon they-axis divided by the change in thevalue of the variableon the x-axis. Because the slope of a straight line is constant,wecan use anytwo points in the figure to calculate the slope of the line. For example, when the price of pizza decreases from $14 to $12, the quantity of pizza demanded increases from55perweek to65perweek. $0, theslope of this line equals -2 divided by lO,or -0.2. Price (dolla rs per pizza) ':: ~ • •..•.. . 14 r .. :r . - ~ Demand .curve L-,-·------'--- -----'-- -----'- ---- -- '-------' ! o 50 55 60 65 70 75 Quantity (pizzas per week) T he slo pe of this line gives us some insig ht into how respo nsive co nsume rs in Bryan, Texas, are to cha nges in the price of pizza. The larger the value of the slope ( igno ring the negative sign ), the steeper the line will be, which in d icates that not m any ad d itional piz zas ar e sold wh en the pr ice falls. The sm aller the value of the slope, the flatter the line will be, whi ch in d icates a greater increase in pizz as sold wh en the price falls. Taking into Account More Than Two Variables on a Graph T he dem and curve gr aph in Figu re lA -4 shows the-relations hip between the p rice of pizza and the quantity of piz za sold, but we know tha t the quantity of any good sold de pends on mo re than just th e price o f the good. Fo r example, th e quan tity of pizz a sold in a given week in Bryan, Texas, can be affected by such other variables as the price of hamburgers, whether an advert ising cam pai gn by loc al pizza p arl ors has begu n that week, and so on. Allowing th e values of any other variables to change will cause the posi tion of the demand curve in the graph to change. Sup pose, for example, th at the demand curve in Figure lA -4 was d rawn holding the price of hamb urgers constan t at $1.50 . If the price of hamburgers rises to $2.00, then some consumers will sw itch from b uying ha m burgers to buy ing pizz a, and m o re pizzas will be so ld at ever y p rice. The result on the gr aph will be to shift the lin e representing the demand curve to the right. Sim ilarly, if the p rice of hamburgers falls from $1 .50 to $ 1.00, so me co nsumers will switch fro m buyin g pizza to bu ying hamburgers, and fewer pizza s will be so ld at every pr ice. T he resu lt on th e graph will be to sh ift the line repre sen ting th e dem and curve to th e left. The table in Figure lA-5 show s the effect of a change in the price of hamburge rs on th e quanti ty of pizza dem an ded . For exam ple, su ppose at first we are on th e line labeled Demand cur vej' If the pri ce of pizza is $14 (poi n t A ), an increase in the price of ham burge rs fro m $1.50 to $2.00 inc reases the quantity o f pizzas de manded from 55 to 60 per week (po in t B) an d shifts us to Dem and curve 2 , O r, if we start on Demand curve j and the price of pizza is $ 12 (po int C), a dec rease in the price o f ham burgers from $ 1.50 to $1.00 decreases the quantity o f pizzas dem ande d from 65 to 60 per week (p oint D ) and shifts us to Demand curve3• By shiftin g the demand curve, we have take n in to accou nt the effect of ch anges in th e value o f a th ird variable-the price of ham burgers, We will use th is techniqu e of sh ifting curves to allo w for the effects of ad d itio nal variables man y times in thi s book, Positive and Negative Relationships We can use graphs to show th e rela tionships be twee n an y two var iables. Sometimes th e rela tionshi p betwee n t he va riab les is nega ti ve, m eanin g th at as o n e variable increa ses in value, the other va riable decreases in value. Th is wa s the case with the Ec onom ic s: Found ati o ns and Mode ls CHAPTER 1 29 Fig ure lA-5 auantlty (pizzas per week) Price (dollars pe r pizza) When the Price of Hamburgers = $1.00 When the Price of Hamburgers = $1.50 When the Price of Hamburgers = $2 .00 $15 45 50 55 14 50 55 60 13 55 60 65 12 60 65 70 11 65 70 75 Showing Three Variables o,:!-a Graph The demand curve for pizza shows the relationship between the pnce of pizzas and the quantity of pIZZa, demanded, holding constant other factors that mIght affect the wllililgness oj consumers to buy pizza. If the pnce of pIZZa is $14 (point A), an increase 10 the price of hamburgers from $1.50 to $2.00 increases the quantity of pizzas demanded from 55 [0 60 per week (pomr B) and shifts us [0 Demand curve? Or, if we start on Demand curvel and the pnce of pizza IS $12 (point C). a decrease in the pnce of hamburgers from $ 1.50 to $l.00 decreases the quantity of pIZZa demanded from 65 [Q 60 per week (poin t D) and shifts us to Demand curve). Price $ 16 (dollars per pizza) 15 14 13 12 11 Demand . c u rv~3 10 Demand ' [)ema~ <:! ' curve, , cu.rv.e.2 9 c .". . ,_ ----'--_ -----'_ _ -----'-_ _ o 45 50 55 L -_ - L -_ 60 _ 65 - ' -_ - - - ' -_ 70 -------' 75 80 auantity (pizzas per week) price of p izza and the quan tity of pizzas dem anded . T he relation sh ip between two variables can also be positive, meaning th at the values of both variables inc rea se or decrease togeth er. For example, when the level of to tal inco m e-o r disposable personal income-receIved by h ou sehol ds in th e Uni ted States in creases, the lev el of total co nsumption spending, whi ch is sp end in g by households on goo ds and services, also increases. Th e table in Figure l A-6 shows the values for in come and co n sump t io n spen d in g fo r the years 200 3- 2006 ( the values are in billions of do llars). Th e graph Comsumption spending (billions of dollars) Year Disposable Person al Income (billions of dolla rs) Consum plion Spend ing (billions of dollars) 2003 $8 ,163 $7,704 200 4 8,682 8,2 12 20 05 9 ,036 8,74 2 2006 9,523 9,269 Figure 1A-6 •• • • 9,000 8,500 8,000 7,500 7,000 L ,<-,-----'- _ $8,000 ----'-_ 8,200 --'-_ 8,400 --l.._ - - l . ._ 8,600 8,800 '.' In a positive relationship between twoeconomic variables, as one variable Increases, the other variable also increases. This figure shows the posuive relationship between disposable personal mcorne and consumption spending.As disposable personal mcorne III [he United States has increased,so has consumpnon spending. Source: U.S Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic i\nolysis $9,500 o :: --'-_ ---'-_ -'---_ g,OOO 9,200 9400 Disposable personal income (billions of dollars) -----l 9.500 a 30 PART 1 Intro duction plot s th e data from th e ta ble , w ith nati on al in co me measu red alo ng the h orizontal axis an d consu mption sp endin g me asu red alo ng the ve rtica l ax is. No tice th at th e four points do not all fall exactly o n the line. This is often th e case with real-world data. To exa m ine th e relatio ns hip between two vari ab les, economists often use the stra igh t line that be st fit s th e d ata. Determining Cause and Effect Wh en we gra p h th e relat ionsh ip bet ween two va riab les, we oft en wa n t to d raw con cl usi o ns about wheth er ch a ng es in one variab le ar e caus ing chan ges in th e other var iable. Doing so, however, ca n lead to in co rr ec t co ncl usio ns. Fo r example, suppose you gra ph th e number o f homes in a neighbo rho od that have a fire bu rning in the fireplac e and the numbe r of le aves on trees in th e neighborhood . You wo uld get a relatio ns h ip like that show n in panel (a) o f Figure lA- 7: T he m o re fires burning in the neig h bo rho od, th e fewer lea ves the trees have. Can we draw th e conclusion from thi s graph that using a firepl ace cau ses tr ees to lose th eir leaves? We k no w, of course, tha t such a co nclusio n wo uld be inc orrect. In sp ring and sum me r, th ere are relatively few fireplac es bein g used, and th e tr ees are fu ll o f leaves. In th e fall , as tre es begin to los e th eir leaves, firepl aces ar e used more frequently. And in winter, many firepl aces are bein g used an d m an y trees have lost all the ir leaves. The reason th at the gr aph in Figure lA-7 is m islead ing abo ut cau se and effect is that th ere is o bv io usly an omi tted varia ble in th e an aly sis-the se ason o f the ye ar. An o m itted va ri able is one that affects oth er variables , and its om ission ca n lead to false conclusions about cause and effect. Altho ug h in our exa m ple the o mitted variable is o bvious , there are m any debates abou t caus e and effect where the existence of an om itt ed vari able has not been clear. For ins tance, it has been kn own for many year s th at people who smoke cigar ette s suffer fro m hi gher ra tes o f lu ng can cer th an do non smoke rs. For so me time, tob acco compa nie s and some scien tists ar gued th at th er e was an omitted variable- pe rhaps psycho logical temperament-tha t m ade som e peop le mo re likely to smoke and m ore likely to develop lun g canc er. If thi s omitted variable exist ed, then the finding th at smokers were Number of leaves on trees Rate at which grass grows o Number of fires in fireplaces (a) Problem of omitted variables Figure 1A-7 o Number of lawn mowers being used (b) Problem of reverse causation Determ ning Cause and Elfe , i Using graphs to draw conclusions about cause and effect can be hazardous. In pane! (a), we see that there are fewer leaves on the trees in a neighborhood when many homes have fires burning in their fireplaces. We cannot draw the conclusion that the fi res cause the leaves to fall because we have an omitted variable-the season of the year.In panel (b), wesee that more lawn mowers are used in a neighborhood during times when thegrass grows rapidly and fewer lawn mowers are used when thegraSS grows slowly. Concluding that using lawn mowers causes the grass to grow faster would be making the error of reverse causality. C HAP TER 1 i I Ec o no m ic s: Fo und ati ons and Models more likely to devel op lung cancer wo uld not have been evide nce th at smoking caused lung cancer. In th is cas e, however, n earl y all sc ien tists eventu ally co nclu d ed tha t th e omitted variable d id no t exist an d th at , in fact , sm ok ing doe s cause lung ca ncer. A related p ro blem in determ inin g ca use and effect is kn own as reverse causality. The error o f rever se ca usa lity occ u rs whe n we con clud e that cha nges in va ria ble X ca use changes in variable Ywhen , in fact, it is actually changes in va ria ble Yt ha t cause cha nges in variable X. For example, pa ne l (b ) of Figur e l A-7 plot s the n umbe r of lawn mowers being used in a ne ighbo rhood agai ns t th e rate at which gra ss on lawns in the neighbo r hood is growing. We co uld conclude from this graph that usin g lawn mowe rs causes the grass to grow faster. We kn ow, h ~wever, tha~ in reality, the cau sality is in .the other direc tion: Rapidly growin g grass dunng the sp n ng and summer caus es th e Increased use of lawn mowers. Slowly grow ing grass in the fall or winter or during per iod s of low rainfa ll causes decreased use of lawn mowers . Once again, in o ur examp le, the potential error of reverse cau salit y is obv ious . In many econ omic deb ates, however, ca use and effect can be more difficult to dete rmi ne. For exampl e, changes in the m on ey supply, or the total amoun t of m oney in the econ omy, tend to occur at the sam e time as cha ng es in the total amoun t of in com e people in the econ omy earn. A famo us debate in eco nom ics was about whe the r th e changes in the money su pply ca us ed the cha nges in total in come or wheth er the changes in total income caused th e ch an ges in th e m oney sup ply. Each side in the d eb ate accused the oth er side of co m m itt ing the error of rever se cau salit y. t i r J e Are Gra phs of Economic Relationships Always Straight Lines? The graphs o f relatio ns hips between two economic vari ables that we have d rawn so far have been straig h t line s. T he relationship between two variables is linear wh en it can be represented by a st raight line . Few economic relationships are actually line ar. Fo r exam ple, if we carefully plot dat a o n the p rice of a product and the quantity dem anded at each price, holding con stan t other varia bles that affect the quantity demanded , we will usu ally find a curved- or nonlinear-relationship rather than a linear relati onship . In pr ac tice, however, it is ofte n useful to app roxim ate a nonlinear relationship with a lin ear rela tionship. If th e relatio ns h ip is reason abl y close to being linear, th e ana lysis is not significantly affected. In add itio n , it is easie r to calculate the slope o f a straig ht line, an d it also is easier to calcu late th e area und er a st raigh t line . So, in th is text book, we often assume th at the relationsh ip between two economic variables is linear even when we know that thi s assumption is not p recisely correct. Slopes of Nonlinear Curves ng ISS ter In some situa tio ns, we need to take into account the nonlinear nature of an econo m ic relation ship . For exa m p le, panel (a) o f Figure lA- 8 shows th e hypothetical rela tionshi p benveen Apple 's to tal cos t o f pr od uc ing iPod s and the qu antity o f iPod s pr odu ced. The relation ship is curved , rathe r than linear. In this case, the cost o f p rod uc tion is increas ing at an increasing ra te, whic h often happens in ma nu facturi ng. Put a d ifferent way, as we move up th e curve , its slo pe becomes larger. (Rem embe r tha t with a stra ight line , the slope is always constant. ) To see thi s effect, first rememb er th at we calculate the slope of a curve by dividing the ch an ge in the variable on the y-axi s by the cha nge in the variable on the x-axis. As we m ove from point A to point B, the qu anti ty pro d uced increases by 1 million iPo ds, wh ile the total cost of production increases by $50 mi llion . Farther up the curve, as we move from point C to point D, the change in quantity is the same-l millio n iPod s-but the cha nge in the total cost of production is n ow much lar ger: $250 millio n. Because the cha nge in the y variable has in creased, whi le th e change in the x variable has rem aine d the same, we know that the slop e has incr eased. To me asure th e slo pe of a n on linea r curve at a pa rt icular point. we m ust mea sure the slope of th e tangent line to th e curve at that poi nt. A tange n t lin e will only to uch the curve at that po int. We can m easure the slo pe o f the tan gent line just as we wo ul d 31 32 PART 1 Introd uc tion Total cost of production (millions of dollars) Total cost of production (mill ions of dollars) Total cost Total cos t o $ 1,000 $900 ~Y= 250 750 750 350 300 o 350 A 275 L ,/ - -- - ' -4 3 - - -- - 8 -----'-- 9 o L,- 3 - - - - - 4 Figure 1A-8 8 e- pe 0 'on1l1"9 r ..If - - -----'-8 - - 9 auantity produced (m illions per month) auantity produced (m illions per month) (a) The slope of a nonlinear curve is not constant - (b) The slope of a nonlinear cu rve is measured by the slo~e of the tangent line - e The relationship between the quantity of iPods produced and the total cost of production is curved, rather than liner. In panel (a), in moving from point A to point B, the quantity produced increases by l million iPods, while the total cost of production increases by $50 million. Farther up the cure, as we move from point Cto point D, the change in quantity is the same- l million iPods- but the change in the total cost of production is now much larger: $250 million. Because the change in the y variable has increased, while the change in the x variable has remained the same, we know that the slope has increased. In panel (b), we measure the slopeof the curve at a particular point by the slope of the tangent line. The slope of the tangent line at point B is 75, and the slope of the tangent line at point C is 150. th e slo pe of any st raig h t lin e, In pan el (b) , the ta ngent line at poin t B ha s a slop e eq ual to : c.Cost c.Qua nt ity 75 1 75 . The tan gen t line at poi nt C has a slope eq ual to: c.Cost c.Qua ntity = 150 1 150. Once again, we see that the slope of the curv e is larger at poin t C than at poin t B. Formulas We have just seen tha t graphs are an im port an t economic too l, In th is sectio n, we will review severa l useful fo rm ulas and show how to use th em to sum marize data an d to cal culate imp or tant relations hips, C HAP TER 1 I Economics: Fo und a tio ns and Models 33 Formula for a Percentage Change One importan t form ula is the pe rcen ta ge change. The percentage change is the cha n ge in some economi c variable , usually fro m one p er iod to the next, expressed as a percenta ge. An important ma croecono m ic m easure is th e real gross domestic product (GDP ). GDP is the value of all th e final goo ds an d ser vices produced in a country during a yea r. "Real" GDP is corrected for the effects of in flation . 'Wh en economists say that the U.S. economy grew 3.3 percent du rin g 2006, they mea n that real GDP was 3.3 percent hig h er in 2006 than it was in 200 5. T he form ula for ma king thi s calculation is: [ GDP2006 - GDP 200S ) x 100 GDP 200S or, mo re gen erally, for any two per iods: Percentage c ha nge = Val ue in th e seco nd pe rio d - Va lue in th e first pe riod Val ue in the first per iod x 100. In this case, real GD P was $ 11,049 bill ion in 2005 an d $ 11,4 15 bill ion in 2006 . So, th e growth rate of th e u.s. eco nomy du ring 2006 was: ( $11,415 - $11,049J x 100 = 3.3%. $11,0 49 Notice tha t it didn't matter th at in usin g th e form ul a, we ign ored the fact that GDP is measured in billions of do lla rs . In fact, w hen calc ulating percentage changes, the uni ts don't matter. The percen tage increase fro m $11 ,049 billion to $11,415 billion is exactly the same as the percen tage increase from $ 11,049 to $11 ,415. Formulas for the Areas of a Rectangle and a Triangle Areas that form rect an gles a nd trian gles on graphs can have important eco no m ic mean ing. For example, Figure 1A-9 shows the demand curve for Pepsi. Suppose th at th e price is currently $2.00 and th at 125,000 bottles of Pepsi are sold at that p rice. A firm 's total revenue is equ al to the amo unt it receives from selling its prod u ct, or th e quantity sold multiplied by the pr ice. In th is case, total revenue will equal 125,000 bottles times $2 .00 pe r bottle, or $250 ,000 . Th e form ula for the area of a rectangle is: Area of a rect an gle = Base x Height Price of Pepsi (dollars per bottle) Figure 1A- 9 -Showing a Firm's rotol Revenue on a Graph The area of a rectangle is equal to its base multiplied by its height.Total revenue is equal to quantity multiplied by price, Here, total revenue is equal to the quantity of 125,000 bottles times the price of $2,00 per bottle, or $250,000, The area of the green-shaded rectangle shows the firm's total revenue, $2 .00 Total. Revenue Dema nd curve for Pe psi o 125 ,000 Quantity (bottles per month) 34 PAR TI l In t ro d u c t io n Price of Pepsi (dollars per bottle) Figu re 1A- 10 . : .. . . ..:' The area of a triangleis equal to .K multiplied by its base multiplied by its height. The area of the blue-shaded triangle has a base equal to 150,000 - 125,000, or 25,000, and a height equal to $2.00 - $1.50, or $0.50. Therefore, its area equals X x 25,000 x $0.50, or 56,250. Area = 1/ 2 X base x height = 1/2 x 25,000 / / $2.00 x $0.50 =$6,250 1.50 Demand curve for Pepsi o 125,000 150,000 Quant ity (bottles per month) In Figur e lA-9 , the green-shaded rectangle also represents the firm's total revenu e because its area is given by the base of 125,000 bo ttles mu ltiplied by the price of $2.00 per bottle. We will see in later chapters th at areas that are triangles can also have economic sig nificance. The form ula for the area of a trian gle is: Area of a triangle = !.2 x Base x Height. The blu e-shaded area in Figure 1A-1O is a tr iangle . The base eq uals 150,000 - 125,000, or 25,000. Its height equals $2.00 - $ 1.50, or $0.50. Therefore, its area equals Y; x 25,000 x $0.50, or $6,250. Notice tha t the blue area is a t riangle only if the demand curve is a straight line, o r linear. No t all demand curves are linear. However, the form ula for the area o f a triangle wi ll usua lly still give a good approximation , even if the demand curve is not linear. Summary of Using Formulas Yo u will enco un ter severa l other formulas in this book. Whenever you must use a formula, you should follow these steps : ~ Make sure you understand the econom ic con cept that th e form ula represents . Make sure you are using the correct formula for the problem you are so lving. Make sure that the number you calculate using the formula is econom ically reaso n abl e. For example, if you are usin g a form ula to calcu late a fir m's rev en ue and your answer is a neg ative n umber, you know you m ade a mistake somewhere. LEARNING OBJECTIVE II • • rt....' ,Iilo.'I"/<.oI r..I· (,.,-.... Vlsil www .rnvec onlob.c orn to om. !e te th9se e xerc ise s c ntlne oo o ge r Insta nt feedba c k Problems a nd Applications l A.l The following table gives the relationship between the price o f cus tard pie s and the num ber of pies Jacob b uys per week. " . pa ges 24-34 . PRICE QUANTITY OF PIES $3 .00 2.00 5.00 6 7 July 9 4 July 16 6.00 3 8 5 July 30 1.00 4.00 WEE K July 2 July 23 Augu st 6 I C HAP TER 1 a. Is the relationshi p between the price of pies and the number o f pies Jacob buys a po sitive rela tionship or a neg at ive relationship? b. Plot the data from th e table on a graph similar to Fig ure lA-3. Dr aw a stra igh t line that best fits th e point s. c. Calcula te the slope of th e lin e. lA.2 T he follow ing tabl e gives informa tio n o n the qu an tity of glasses of lemonade deman ded on sun ny and overcast days. Plot th e da ta fro m the tabl e on a grap h similar to Figure l A-5. Draw two straig h t lines represen ting th e two demand curves-one for sunny days and one fo r overcas t days. PRICE (DOllARS PER GLASS) QUANTITY (GLASSES Of LEMONADEPER DAY) WEATHER $080 0.80 0 70 0 70 0.60 0.60 0.50 0.50 30 10 40 20 50 30 60 40 Sunny Overcast Sunny Overcast Sunny Overcast Sunny Overcast lA .3 Using the informa tion in Figure l A-2, calculate th e pe rcen tage ch an ge in au to sales from on e yea r to the next. Between wh ich years did sales fall at th e fastest rate? lA.4 Real GDP in 198 1 was $5,292 billion. Real GD P in 1982 was $5, 189 b illion . Wh at was the percent age cha nge in real GDP from 1981 to 1982? Wh at d o econ omists call the percenta ge change in real GD P fro m one year to the next? lA.5 Assu m e that the d em and curve fo r Pepsi pa sses through the following two point s: PRICE PER BOTTLE Of PEPSI NUMBER OF BOTTLES Of PEPSI SOLD $250 1.25 100.000 200,000 35 lA.6 Wha t is th e are a of the blu e tr ian gle show n in th e following figure? Price of Pepsi (per two-liter bottle) $2.25 1.50 Demand curve for Peps i o 115,000 175,000 Quantity of two-liter 'b o tt les of Pepsi sold per week lA.7 Calcul ate th e slope of the to tal cos t cur ve at point A and at point B in the followin g figu re. Total cost of production (millions of dollars) Total cos t $900 700 . 300 . 175 a. Draw a grap h with a lin ear demand curve th at pass es throu gh th ese two poin ts. b. Show on th e graph the areas rep resent in g to ta l revenue at each pr ice . Give the valu e fo r total re ven ue at each price. \ ? Ec ono mic s: Fou nd cn ons and Models o 5 7 12 14 Quantity produced (millions per month)
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