Radiative Treatment of Ice Crystals in UM John M Edwards, Stephan Havemann, JeanClaude Thelen, Anthony Baran 1 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Overview 2 00/XXXX Does non-sphericity matter? Crystal shape and crystal size in a GCM The new scheme Experimental set-up Impact Future directions © Crown copyright Does Non-sphericity matter? 3 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Crystal Shape and Crystal Size Irregular ice crystals are the most common habit; pristine crystals are much less common. – Processes determining shape are not well understood – No attempt to use multiple shapes Crystal size is crucial for parametrizations – Various relationships to environment proposed 4 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Crystal Size Simple relationships based on temperature have been used in GCMs – Kristjánsson et al. (2000): Dl = 719.89 exp(0.05522(T − Tm )) – Source: Analysis of observational data from CEPEX, FIRE and other sources by D. L. Mitchell 5 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Crystal Size 6 00/XXXX Other proposals involve temperature and ice water content – Donovan and Van Lammeren (2002) Variation in real situations is enormous © Crown copyright Crystal Size 7 00/XXXX © Crown copyright New Parametrization in UM 8 00/XXXX Radiative treatment is based on the ensemble model of ice crystals (Baran (2001, 2003)) Single scattering properties depend on ice water contents and effective dimension Effective dimension predicted from temperature, consistently with previous relationship to temperature © Crown copyright Experimental Set-up Assess the new scheme in parallel ten-year climate runs using prototype version of new Met Office climate model (HadGEM1) – Control: Treatment of single scattering properties follows Kristjánsson et al. (2000) – Experiment: New ensemble scheme 9 00/XXXX Radiation is fully interactive © Crown copyright Impact on TOA Fluxes 10 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Impact on Heating Rates 11 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Impact on Zonal Mean Temperatures 12 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Conclusions and Future Developments 13 00/XXXX Given crystal size, shape and IWC, radiative fluxes can be predicted with some confidence Considerable uncertainties still remain on the microphysical side: what determines the size? If radiation is well-characterized, it should be used as a tool to exploit satellite data to reduce other uncertainties. © Crown copyright Potential Impact of Crystal Size 14 00/XXXX © Crown copyright Forward Modelling: SEVIRI 0.78µm channel 15 00/XXXX © Crown copyright
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