Phytoplankton diversity and community structure affected by oceanic dispersal and mesoscale turbulence Marina Lévy1*, Oliver Jahn2, Stephanie Dutkiewicz2, Michael J. Follows2 DISPERSAL IMPACT ON PLANKTON DIVERSITY * Corresponding author, [email protected] 1 LOCEAN-IPSL, CNRS/UPMC/IRD/MNHN, Paris, France 2 Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, USA 1 1 Abstract 2 We explore the role of oceanic dispersal in setting patterns of phytoplankton diversity, 3 with emphasis on the role of mesoscale turbulence, in the context of numerical simulations 4 that resolve mesoscale eddies and a diverse set of phytoplankton types. The model suggests 5 that dispersal of phytoplankton by oceanic transport processes increases phytoplankton 6 diversity at the local scale of O(10-100) km (α-diversity), extends the range of many 7 phytoplankton types, and decreases the ability of rare types to persist in isolated areas. As a 8 consequence, assemblages are modified and diversity is decreased at the regional scale of 9 O(1000) km (γ-diversity). By progressively accounting for different classes of motion, we 10 show that the increase of α-diversity ensues from vertical mixing of the organisms, dispersal 11 by mean lateral currents and, in slightly larger proportion, by dispersal due to eddies. With the 12 progressive inclusion of mechanisms of dispersal, the population becomes dominated by a 13 smaller number of types but with larger degree of co-existence, in larger home range areas. A 14 resource competition interpretation shows that physical transport can reduce the effective 15 subsistence concentration of a limiting resource. In addition, co-existence of types with 16 unequal fitness is enabled by disequilibrium. The simulations suggest that mesoscale 17 turbulence plays a particular role, concomitantly providing a means for different types to 18 achieve comparable fitness and extending the exclusion timescale for less competitive types. 19 20 21 22 23 Keywords: plankton, biodiversity, dispersion, eddies 24 25 2 25 26 27 Lay abstract 28 freely transported by the flow and make up the base of the oceanic food web. This work 29 explores how their diversity is affected by the dispersal induced by different scales of motions 30 in the flow. Previous theoretical studies, based mostly on terrestrial ecosystems, have 31 suggested that the number of types able to co-exist at the same location should increase with 32 increasing levels of dispersal. Here we test this hypothesis for a realistic range of oceanic 33 conditions using a set of computer simulations of phytoplankton ecology coupled to a 34 turbulent ocean circulation model. Our results illustrate that with the progressive increase of 35 means for dispersal, the global population becomes dominated by a smaller number of 36 phytoplankton types but with larger ability for co-existence and in larger home-range areas. 37 We show that dispersal due to oceanic eddies contribute significantly to these changes. 38 Moreover, we show that mixing of populations can only partly explain the increase in local 39 co-existence. We offer a complementary view in which dispersal allows more types to 40 become equally competitive. Phytoplankton are an extremely diverse set of floating, microscopic organisms which are 41 42 3 42 Introduction 43 [1] Phytoplankton form the base of the marine food web and critically mediate the earth's 44 carbon cycle. The significant diversity of this set of organisms is important for the ecology 45 and biogeochemistry of the ocean, and almost certainly lends stability to the system (Ptacnik 46 et al. 2008; Tilman et al. 1997). The question of what maintains the magnitude and patterns of 47 diversity have long been discussed (e.g., Hutchinson 1961; Barton et al. 2010) and are not yet 48 resolved. Here we focus on the role of dispersal in the fluid environment of the open ocean. 49 [2] Dispersal in the terrestrial environment has been explored and understood as a 50 community-structuring mechanism (Pulliam 1988), expanding niches (Pulliam 2000) and 51 affecting diversity (Mouquet and Loreau 2003). Ecologists distinguish between diversity at 52 the local scale and at the regional scale: α-diversity describes the number of locally co- 53 existing species at a given location; in contrast, at broader scale, γ-diversity designates the 54 sum of existing local communities over an extended region; those do not necessarily co-exist 55 locally. Theoretical results suggest that moderate dispersal has the ability to increase α– 56 diversity at constant γ –diversity (Mouquet and Loreau 2003). Compilation of experimental 57 data (Cadotte 2006) confirmed this theoretical trend for α–diversity, but are more ambiguous 58 as to what happens to γ –diversity. 59 [3] Dispersal is an essential element of the oceanic habitat, yet only recently have 60 oceanographers started to relate dispersal and phytoplankton diversity at basin scale in the 61 open ocean (though much study has been undertaken with dispersal of planktonic larvae in the 62 coastal oceans, e.g. Cowen et al, 2000). Some recent open ocean studies suggest that 63 phytoplankton assemblages might be structured by dispersal including recent global-scale, 64 remote-sensing approaches (d’Ovidio et al. 2010; De Monte et al. 2013) and numerical 65 simulations (Barton et al. 2010; Clayton et al. 2013). These studies suggest that dispersal 66 could explain the existence of localized phytoplankton diversity hotspots. In parallel, 67 idealized numerical modeling studies with limited “two types competing for one resource” 68 setups have emphasized that the two types could only co-exist after inclusion of means for 69 dispersal (Bracco et al. 2000; Perruche et al. 2010, 2011). Importantly, these studies have 70 revealed the influence of dispersal arising from different scales of motion (Table 1): the large- 71 scale lateral motions associated with the mean currents (Barton et al.2010; Clayton et al. 72 2013), the 3D-motions associated with mesoscale eddies and frontal dynamics (hereafter 4 73 mesoscale turbulence; Bracco et al. 2000; Perruche et al. 2011) and the vertical motions 74 resulting from convective mixing (hereafter vertical diffusion, Perruche et al. 2010). 75 [4] Here we examine the relationship between α–diversity, γ –diversity and dispersal in 76 the ocean and identify which scales of motion might be the most significant in shaping 77 assemblages. We test the hypothesis that dispersal of phytoplankton by oceanic transport 78 processes (1) increases the ability of different types to co-exist, (2) expands the area of their 79 niches, and (3) that transport processes at the mesoscale and submesoscale contribute 80 significantly to these changes. We investigate the consequences on diversity at the regional 81 scale and whether the changes ensue from mixing of nearby communities or are associated 82 with modifications of the community structure. 83 [5] To unravel the role of vertical mixing, mean currents and mesoscale turbulence in 84 regulating phytoplankton local diversity, regional diversity and community structure, we 85 employ a recent ecosystem model framework (referred to as “DARWIN” in the following, 86 Follows et al 2007), which here resolves a hundred distinct phytoplankton types, resulting in 87 flexible self-assembly of communities. Previous studies have used this tool to examine the 88 role of mechanisms including competitive exclusion, near-neutral co-existence (Barton et al. 89 2010), top-down control (Prowe et al. 2012), and immigration (Clayton et al. 2013) in shaping 90 patterns of diversity. Here we embed this ecosystem model within a high-resolution physical 91 simulation representative of the Northwest Atlantic (Lévy et al. 2010) that captures basin 92 scale circulation and resolves mesoscale features. 93 [6] In the following section, we describe in more detail the modeling approach, model 94 diagnostics and measures of diversity. Then we introduce a theoretical framework to explore 95 the roles of diffusion and transport in setting diversity in a hierarchy of idealized simulations 96 for which we present and discuss the results. 97 Method 98 [7] We used a model that resolves features analogous to the Gulf Stream, stratified 99 subtropics, and strongly seasonal subpolar regimes (Fig. 1). A physical simulation (Levy et al 100 2010) provided the physical fields used to drive the DARWIN ecosystem model in a series of 101 "off-line" experiments. Next we present the model used, the series of experiments, the model 102 diagnostics and the measures of diversity that will be analyzed. 5 103 Physical simulation 104 [8] The physical model is an idealized representation of the North Atlantic seasonally 105 varying subpolar and subtropical gyres at high-resolution (Lévy et al. 2010). In this model, a 106 baroclinicaly unstable jet (the model’s Gulf Stream) separates a warm, oligotrophic 107 subtropical gyre from a colder, more productive subpolar gyre (Fig. 1A,B). A region of 108 highest eddy kinetic energy (> 0.15 m2.s-2) is located in the offshore extension of the jet, 109 with areas of moderate eddy kinetic energy (> 0.05 m2.s-2) on the southern and northern 110 flanks of the jet, consistent with the levels observed in the North Atlantic (Fig. 1C,D). The 111 emerging mesoscale turbulence is characterized by a large number of interacting mesoscale 112 eddies, which give rise to intense vertical circulation at submesoscale fronts (Fig. 2A,B). Five 113 years of high-resolution velocities, temperature and vertical mixing saved from the physical 114 run of Lévy et al (2010) were used to drive the DARWIN model (see Appendix A for more 115 details). 116 DARWIN ecosystem model 117 [9] The ecosystem model is modified from Barton et al (2010) (see Dutkiewicz et al. 2009 118 for details, equations and parameter values). It resolves the cycling of nitrogen, phosphorus 119 and silica through inorganic, living and dissolved and particulate organic forms. The 120 simulations resolve separate pools of ammonium, nitrite, and nitrate, but does not nitrogen 121 fixation. There are 100 phytoplankton types each with unique physiology. Light-, 122 temperature- and resource-dependent growth, along with sinking, grazing, and other mortality 123 shape their relative fitness. Transport and mixing by the fluid flow also significantly influence 124 the interactions and development of populations. The phytoplankton types are initialized with 125 randomly assigned broad range of physiological attributes for temperature, light and nutrients. 126 We resolve two grazers size classes. 127 Offline Experiments 128 [10] To examine the influence of dispersal on phytoplankton diversity, we conducted a 129 series of off-line experiments using the physical fields provided by the physical run as 130 external forcings. All offline experiments were run within the MIT-GCM (Massachusets 131 Institute of Technology General Circulation Model) framework (Marshall et al. 1997) at 1/9° 132 horizontal resolution and integrated forward for 20 years, by repeating 4 times the 5 years of 133 forcings provided by the physical model. After about 7 years a repeating annual cycle in 6 134 ecosystem structure emerged. Results shown in this paper are shown for the last 3 years of the 135 simulations. 136 [11] In the most comprehensive experiment (hereafter HR for High Resolution), the 137 DARWIN ecosystem model was forced by the high-resolution physical fields (velocity, 138 vertical mixing and temperature) from the physical run (Figs. 2A, 2B). For details on 139 DARWIN initial conditions, the reader is referred to Appendix A. We used the HR simulation 140 to evaluate the realism of the model and to provide the monthly nutrient field that forces the 141 following four experiments. 142 [12] To unravel the influence of the different physical transport mechanisms driving 143 phytoplankton dispersal (i.e., mean advection, eddy advection and vertical mixing), we then 144 conducted a coherent series of four off-line experiments where we progressively modified the 145 advecting velocity and vertical mixing fields (Table 2). To ensure that the only difference was 146 in the phytoplankton transport equation (Eq.1) and not other environmental conditions, we 147 imposed identical nutrient and temperature distributions in this set of “forced” simulations. 148 Practically, treating nutrient as external forcing was done by strongly restoring (with a one 149 day time scale) the nutrient field to the monthly mean of experiment HR, coarse-grained to 1° 150 (Fig. 2D). For temperature, we used the temperature from the physical run (Fig. 1A) monthly 151 averaged and coarse-grained to 1°. Hence, in the four forced runs the only sources of small- 152 scale fluctuation were plankton advection and plankton vertical mixing. The suite of 153 experiments was conceived as follows: starting from no transport (experiment 0D) we 154 progressively added vertical mixing (experiment 1D), mean advection (experiment 3D-m) and 155 eddy advection (experiment 3D-e) in the phytoplankton transport equation. Thus in the 0D 156 experiment, there was no transport of phytoplankton. In the 1D experiment, we added 157 constant vertical mixing throughout the water column Kc=10-4 m2s-1. In the 3D-m experiment, 158 phytoplankton was diffused vertically with Kc and advected with the annual mean velocity of 159 the physical run, coarse-grained at 1° (Fig. 2C). In the 3D-e experiment, phytoplankton were 160 diffused vertically with Kc and advected with the high-resolution velocities of the physical run 161 (Fig. 2A,B). Note that since they were started from the same base field, the mean currents in 162 3D-m and 3D-e were therefore identical. We made the choice of using a constant vertical 163 mixing coefficient in the four forced runs to make them more comparable. In the HR run, the 164 K field has strong seasonal variations, particularly in the north. 7 165 Emerging community structure and diversity 166 [13] After an initial adjustment, the biomass of some of the initial 100 types of 167 phytoplankton fell below the threshold of numerical noise, and these types were assumed to 168 have become extinct. The remaining types Pj, and their relative proportions p j = Pj ∑P , j j 169 constitute what we refer to as the “community structure”. In our experiments, the community 170 171 structure is not imposed, it “self assembles” according to the relative fitness of the € phytoplankton types. Our suite of experiments enables different community structure to 172 emerge, which we compare. We evaluate the “change in community structure” between 2 173 model experiments A and B as ∑ j 174 175 p Aj − p Bj 2 . This index varies between 0 and 1. It equals 0 when all types are in exact same proportion in the two runs, and 1 when all types differ. [14] Different types € Pj in the community are not present everywhere, but occupy specific 176 habitat whose surface, the “home range area”, varies. We empirically defined it as the area 177 where the annual mean, depth integral of Pj was larger than a concentration threshold of 10-2 178 mmole P/m2. With this definition, the home range is essentially the "realized niche" 179 (Hutchinson, 1957). We defined “rare types” as the phytoplankton types whose home range 180 area occupied less than 5% of the domain. 181 [15] For diversity, we defined the metric ‘‘richness’’ to be the number of phytoplankton 182 types Pj that exceed a relative threshold biomass concentration of Pj > 10-5 max(Pj) (similar to 183 Barton et al. 2010; Prowe et al. 2012). We distinguished between local richness (at the scale 184 of the model grid, O(10)km), from regional richness (at the scale the model domain, 185 O(1000)km). Practically, local richness was computed at each grid cell and for each month, 186 using local, monthly mean concentrations for Pj. Local richness were sensibly the same when 187 using full resolution Pj or 1° coarse-grained Pj, revealing that local richness represented the 188 richness over the O(10-100)km scale range. Regional richness was computed using domain- 189 averaged concentrations for Pj. With these definitions in mind, local richness provides a 190 measure of the α-diversity, while regional richness corresponds to γ-diversity. 191 192 [16] We also used the local Shannon Index (H) which gives a complementary view: it measures the joint influence of types richness and evenness (Stirling and Wilsey 2001): 8 193 j 194 195 € ( ) H = −∑ p j ln p j , where pj is the biomass of Pj divided by the total biomass ( p j = P j ∑ P ). j j H has its maximum value of ln(n), with n the number of types, when all types are represented by equal amounts. € 196 [17] There is a certain degree of seasonality and vertical structure in the local richness, 197 because different phytoplankton types are adapted to different light and nutrient levels. Here, 198 we present the richness after averaging over the first 100 meters and over the year. We noted 199 that using annual mean Pj instead of monthly mean did not significantly change our results, 200 and that surface richness showed very similar patterns to the depth integrals. Regional 201 richness did not show any seasonal variations, because a type has to persist all year long to be 202 selected by the model. The modeled richness depends to a limited extent on the physiological 203 traits of phytoplankton types initialized (as indicated by an ensemble of related simulations 204 with different initial sets of parameters for the phytoplankton types; Barton et al. 2010) as 205 well as on the chosen threshold. However, the key patterns and results discussed here are 206 robust. 207 Theoretical Framework 208 [18] To illustrate how dispersal might affect the community structure, and the α and γ 209 diversities we first describe two theoretical concepts: “mimimum R*” and “contemporaneous 210 disequilibrium”. 211 [19] Minimum R*: This theoretical framework follows from resource competition theory 212 (Tilman 1977, 1982) with modifications here for transport terms. We can represent 213 phytoplankton changes in time be the following equation (simpler than the numerical model) 214 where several types j with biomass Pj competing for a resource R: 215 ∂P j R = µj P − m j P j + V j P j + M j P j +E j P j ∂t R+k j j (1) 216 € 217 Here, µj is a maximal growth rate of type j, a function of light and temperature. Nutrient 218 type j, and mj represents a simple parameterization of sinking, grazing, viral lysis and other 219 loss terms. Vj is the vertical mixing per unit biomass ( V j = limitation is parameterized as a Monod function where kj is the half-saturation constant for € 1 ∂ K∂ P ), Mj is the mean Pj z z j 9 1 ∇⋅ uP j ), and Ej is eddy transport per unit biomass ( Pj 220 transport per unit biomass ( M j = − 221 1 ∇⋅ u' P' j ), where u is the mean current, u’ is the eddy circulation and K the vertical Pj € mixing coefficient. Thus the first two term on left hand side of the equation denote local 222 223 € 224 Ej =− growth and loss, the third represents vertical dispersion, the fourth represents the large scale advection, and the fifth the eddy motions. The convention we use here is that any addition of 225 biomass by any of these processes to a location has a positive value (i.e. Vj, Mj, Ej>0) and 226 removal has a negative value. 227 228 229 230 € 231 232 [20] To explore how competition for resources can set community structure, we solve for the equilibrium solution at steady state Rj*. We get the expression: R*j = ( k j m j − M j − E j −Vj ( ) µj − m j − M j − E j −Vj ) (2) In the absence of transport or mixing (as in Experiment 0D) Eq. (2) reduces to: R*j = k jm j µj − mj (3) [21] The equilibrium resource concentration Rj* suggests that the ambient concentration € 233 of the limiting resource is determined by characteristics of the organism including its 234 maximum growth rate (µj) nutrient half-saturation constant (kj), and mortality rate (mj). The 235 ambient resource concentration will be drawn down to the lowest positive R* amongst the 236 organisms present and other organisms will be excluded over time [Stewart and Levin, 1973]. 237 If steady-state conditions are satisfied, types can co-exist if they have the same (lowest 238 positive) Rj* which can be accomplished by various combination of physiological parameters 239 kj, mj and µj. 240 [22] In the presence of vertical mixing (neglecting large scale transport and eddy 241 transport for present, as in Experiment 1D), there become more ways to have the same Rj*: 242 Eq. (4) 243 If a type has a transport source supplied to it (i.e. Vj>0) this will reduces its effective R*, 244 making it potentially more competitive with another local population. 10 245 [23] Consider for example two depths z1 and z2 and three types of plankton A, B and C. 246 Assume that the types are identical except for their growth rate (i.e. kA=kB=kC, mA=mB=mC). 247 Here we assume that at depth z1, µ1A>µ1B>µ1C and at depth z2 µ2B>µ2A>µ2C. Without vertical 248 mixing, R*1A<R*1B<R*1C suggesting that plankton type A will be more competitive at depth 249 z1and type B and C will be excluded. Similarly at depth z2, type B will be more competitive 250 and A and C will be excluded. Thus the community structure will consist of type A at depth z1 251 and type B at depth z2; there will be no co-existence of A and B and type C will be excluded 252 everywhere. Now assume mixing between depth z1 and z2: at depth z1, V1A is negative - type A 253 is removed, but V1B is positive - type B is brought into that depth (visa versa at depth z2 for 254 V2A and V2B). Thus, at depth z1 the R*1A for type A will now include the V1A (negative) term, 255 and this will increase the effective R*1A, but the R*1B for type B decreases since V1B is positive. 256 If V1A and V1B are large enough, R*1A=R*1B and the two types will co-exist at depth z1. 257 Moreover type C can become competitive if V1C is sufficiently large. On the other hand, if V1A 258 is strongly negative, type A will have a potential loss of competitivity (R*1A will become 259 greater than R*1B) and A will become extinct. Thus vertical mixing adds an extra dimension 260 for the competition between types that implies more potential for co-existence and potential 261 for change of the γ –diversity and community structure. 262 [24] Similarly, adding large-scale transport Mj (Experiment 3D-m) or eddy terms Ej 263 (Experiment 3D-e), adds yet another dimension that allows for different levels of competition 264 and potential for co-existence. Though, it should be stressed that eddy mixing is intermittent 265 by nature and thus potentially constantly disrupts the steady state hypothesis that supports the 266 definition of R*. In fact, to properly account for eddy terms in the definition of R*, we must 267 assume that the system is in statistical steady-state, i.e. in steady-state after averaging over 268 many possible realizations of the turbulent system. 269 [25] The R* scenario is thus relevant when the system is close to statistical steady-state 270 equilibrium, i.e. all year long in the subtropical ocean and during summer in the subpolar 271 ocean, as shown by Dutkiewicz et al. (2009; their Fig. 4). Indeed in the subpolar ocean, 272 summer equilibrium is halted by nutrient entrainment in winter leading to an intense bloom in 273 spring. This sudden disruption eventually leads to competitive exclusion of all but the single 274 phytoplankton type that grows fastest (Barton et al. 2010). 11 275 [26] Contemporaneous disequilibrium: The “contemporaneous disequilibrium” 276 (Richerson et al. 1970), in contrast, suggests that dispersal can maintain types with unequal 277 fitness out of equilibrium. Let’s consider that, in the absence of dispersion, the community 278 consists of two types A and B living in adjacent habitats SA and SB: A is at a competitive 279 advantage in SA, and B is more competitive in SB; A and B do not co-exist. At any location, 280 there is only one type, A or B. In this situation, α –diversity is one and γ –diversity is two. 281 Dispersal can allow type A to continuously invade SB. If this occurs frequently enough and at 282 a rate faster than the competitive exclusion time scale, than types A and B can now co-exist 283 over SB. α –diversity becomes two over SB, γ –diversity remains two. This theoretical 284 framework was illustrated by the model experiments of Perruche et al. (2010; 2011) with two 285 types of phytoplankton. In this scenario, dispersal increases α –diversity but without changing 286 the community structure and the γ –diversity. 287 [27] To sum up, in the “minimum R* scenario”, the phytoplankton types with the lowest 288 R* are expected to outcompete other phytoplankton types over time. Transport processes lead 289 to more ways to have the same minimum R*, but also can lead to some types having 290 increased R* and becoming less competitive. Thus community structure and γ –diversity can 291 be altered. This scenario is particularly relevant to the subtropical ocean. In contrast, in the 292 subpolar ocean, the steady-state hypothesis breaks and the “contemporaneous disequilibrium” 293 scenario is more plausible. In that case, α –diversity is expected to increase with increased 294 dispersal but without significant changes in the community structure and γ –diversity. 295 Results 296 [28] We now describe the changes in diversity, home range areas and community 297 structure in our series of forced offline experiments: 0D, 1D, 3D-m, 3D-e, where dispersion 298 was progressively increased by adding more and more ingredients to the transport equation. 299 Results from a second set of experiments (LR and HR, Table 2) which mimic 3D-m and 3D-e 300 but where environmental factors such as temperature and nutrient supply are allowed to 301 dynamically vary are discussed in Appendix B. They show similar results than the set of 302 experiments presented here. We start by evaluating our model for the HR experiment, which 303 is the most realistic in terms of circulation and forcing. 304 Model evaluation 12 305 [29] The total phytoplankton biomass distribution in our model was qualitatively and 306 quantitatively consistent with remote and in situ observations in the Northwest Atlantic (Fig. 307 3A,B), and similar to what was obtained with a model with a single phytoplankton type (Lévy 308 et al. 2012). It was characterized by a larger biomass in the subpolar gyre and lower 309 concentrations in the oligotrophic subtropical gyre. 310 [30] Richness was significantly larger in the subtropical gyre, where it averaged 14, and 311 dropped to half of that value in the subpolar gyre (Fig. 3C). There was also a marked diversity 312 hotspot over the jet area (Fig. 3C). The decline of diversity with increasing latitude and the 313 presence of diversity hotspots over boundary currents are patterns that had previously been 314 identified with a global coarse-resolution configuration of the DARWIN model (Barton et al. 315 2010). The hotspot over our model’s jet is corroborated by the observed interleaving of 316 several dominant groups of phytoplankton determined from remote-sensing observations 317 based on their optical anomalies (De Monte et al. 2013) over the Gulf Stream path (Fig. 3D). 318 Greater diversity over subtropical regions is not seen from remote-sensing observations (Fig. 319 3D). But this pattern is evident in in-situ observations of many taxa in both marine and 320 terrestrial ecosystems (Currie 1991; Hillebrand 2004). 321 [31] Thus, despite the very simplified geometry and forcing, the emerging community 322 structure in our model showed some consistency with observed phytoplankton distribution 323 and diversity which give us confidence in the ability of our model in representing the 324 processes responsible for this community structure. In the more dynamically consistent 325 simulations (3D-m, 3D-e), these patterns are also evident. However there are very strong 326 differences between the different experiments in terms of local and regional diversity, home 327 range and community structure that we describe and discuss further in the following. 328 Changes in local and regional phytoplankton diversity 329 [32] A key result is the increase of α-diversity, accompanied by a decrease of γ-diversity, 330 with increasing levels of dispersal (Fig. 4). In the absence of physical transport (experiment 331 0D), local diversity was low everywhere. No more than two types were able to co-exist at a 332 single location, while a total of more than 40 types (out of the initialized 100) persisted across 333 the domain. The progressive addition of transport processes (experiments 1D, 3D-m, 3D-e) 334 led to the progressive increase in the number of types that co-existed (α-diversity), from 335 averaged values of ~5 in 1D, to ~8 in 3D-m and ~15 in 3D-e. In parallel to this increase of 13 336 local diversity, we observed a significant decrease in the total number of types that persisted 337 in the domain (γ-diversity): from ~40 in 0D, to ~30 in 1D and ~20 in 3D-m. 338 Changes in home range area 339 [33] How can α-diversity be increasing and at the same time γ-diversity be decreasing? 340 This apparent paradox can be explained by examination of the change in home range area 341 with dispersal. In the absence of dispersal, types that persisted occupied limited geographic 342 areas in the horizontal and in the vertical and were extinct elsewhere (Fig. 5). These habitats 343 were characterized by a temperature, light and nutrient range, close to optimum values for the 344 types (not shown). The geographical distribution of the habitats was thus very zonal in close 345 association with the isolines of temperature and nutrients (Fig. 1 and 2), and followed 346 constant depth in the vertical, corresponding to homogeneous light levels. There was a clear 347 segregation between types that occupied the surface, those at subsurface, types in the subpolar 348 gyre, those in the subtropical gyre and some others in narrower regions between the two 349 gyres. About 50% of the types that persisted could be categorized as “rare”, meaning that they 350 had very small home range areas that covered less than 5% of the total area (Fig. 6). Thus in 351 the absence of dispersion, the physical landscape was organized in a large number of adjacent 352 areas of very small extension. In this extreme situation, the local diversity was low, i.e. very 353 few types coexisted at the same location but the regional diversity was large and there was a 354 large proportion of rare types. In presence of dispersal, the decrease of regional diversity 355 mostly reflected the disappearance of rare types (Fig. 6) that were excluded by invaders. In 356 parallel, the overall size of the area occupied by each phytoplankton type increased: in 357 experiment 3D-e, 12 types occupied more than 50% of the domain while in 0D and 1D, not a 358 single type occupied more than 30%. This implied that in 3D-e, there were large intersections 359 between areas, where many types co-existed. Our result thus illustrate that with the 360 progressive inclusion of means for dispersion, the global population became dominated by a 361 smaller number of phytoplankton types but with a higher degree of co-existence, and larger 362 ranges. 363 Changes in community structure 364 [34] Changes in diversity were accompanied by a change in community structure (Fig. 7). 365 The change in community structure was more complex than the simple extinction of some of 366 the types. Although the eight most dominant types in 3D-e were present in all runs, they 14 367 changed in proportion. It was not necessarily the less abundant types in 0D and 1D that 368 became extinct in 3D, but also some that were quite abundant (such as #s 95, 68 or 46). The 369 changes in community structure ranged between 20 to 50% (Table 3). They illustrated that, at 370 the type level, transport could either be beneficial or unfavorable, and the net effect would 371 depend on the type. But at the community level, more transport was favorable to more co- 372 existence. 373 [35] Figure 8 provides a schematic illustration of the biogeographic changes associated 374 with increasing dispersal that summarizes our results. Habitats of the different phytoplankton 375 types composing the community structure are represented by ellipses, whose size are 376 proportional to the home range area and whose color serve to characterize individual types. 377 The habitats are organized along the north-south temperature gradient. α-diversity is large 378 where ellipses intersect, γ-diversity corresponds to the number of ellipses, larger home range 379 areas correspond to larger ellipses. Note the change in community structure identified by the 380 partial change in colors between the low dispersion and high dispersion cases. 381 Discussion 382 Dispersal and α-diversity 383 [36] We have addressed the question of whether dispersal increases co-existence in 384 phytoplankton communities and, if so, why? To do so, we conducted a suite of model 385 experiments, with velocity and temperature fields from a high-resolution physical hydro- 386 dynamical model, coupled with a high-complexity (100 phytoplankton types) ecosystem and 387 biogeochemical model. The physical model simulated a mesoscale turbulence regime close to 388 oceanic conditions in the Gulf Stream region. The biogeochemical model enabled the 389 emergence of diverse phytoplankton communities. Our models suggest that dispersal and 390 mesoscale turbulence increased ability for co-existence at the local scale of O(10-100) km 391 (i.e. increased α-diversity), and changed the community structure. That local diversity should 392 increase with dispersal is consistent with hypotheses from theoretical ecological studies (e.g. 393 Mouquet and Loreau, 2003) and a meta-analysis of terrestrial ecosystem observations 394 (Cadotte, 2006). 395 396 [37] α-diversity, however, is far from homogeneous over our model’s domain (Fig. 3C). Barton et al. (2010) obtained α-diversity patterns similar to ours in a global ocean model 15 397 coupled with the same DARWIN ecosystem model. They explained the larger diversity in the 398 subtropics by the relatively weak seasonality that enables coexistence of multiple 399 phytoplankton types with comparable fitness R*. In contrast, they argued that strong seasonal 400 variability of the environment in the subpolar ocean leads to competitive exclusion of 401 phytoplankton with slower growth rates and explains the lower diversity. In a subsequent 402 study at higher resolution, Clayton et al. (2013) suggested that the confluence of biomes along 403 with enhanced nutrient supplies partly explained the presence of diversity hotspots over 404 western boundary regions. 405 [38] Interestingly in this study, it was particularly in the subtropical gyre and jet area that 406 the progressive addition of transport processes (experiments 1D, 3D-m, 3D-e) led to the 407 progressive increase of α-diversity (Fig. 9). The increase was just as pronounced for the 408 Shannon index as for richness, revealing that the additional types were present at relatively 409 high abundances. In contrast, in the subpolar gyre, the increase in α-diversity was not as 410 marked. In fact, despite a moderate increase in the Shannon Index, local richness only 411 increased when mesoscale motions were resolved. This highlights that dispersal did not 412 significantly increase the number of co-existing types but made their relative proportions 413 more even. 414 [39] We can understand the large increase of α-diversity in the subtropical gyre with the 415 R* scenario. In the case of 0-D, competition reduces to Eq. 3: the phytoplankton with the 416 physiological characteristics that leads to the lowest R* will dominate. Since µj is a function 417 of light and temperature, different phytoplankton type will have the lowest R* in different 418 vertical and horizontal regions of the model domain. Co-existence within each grid-cell 419 occurs as there is a seasonal cycle of both temperature and light. Similar R* and long 420 exclusion times (Barton et al., 2010) allow there to be co-existence on the timescale of these 421 integrations. With the progressive inclusion of vertical mixing Vj, mean transport, Mj, and 422 eddy mixing Ej, competition within a grid cell becomes more complex. There are many more 423 ways to have similar R* (Eq. 2). Thus, though in a single grid cell, a phytoplankton type is 424 physiologically best suited (as in 0-D), transport or mixing out of the grid cell will increase 425 the R*. At the same time, transport or mixing into the grid cell of a different type from a large 426 population outside of the grid cell will lead to a decrease of that type’s R*. With the inclusion 427 of more ways to be transported or mixed in each of 1D, 3D-m, 3D-e more types in any 428 location have a similar R* and co-exist. 16 429 [40] In contrast in the subpolar region, the local diversity was low and previous studies 430 (Dutkiewicz et al. 2009; Barton et al. 2010) have shown that the types that have the fastest 431 growth rates dominate. Dispersion can potentially lead to the sustained mixing of nearby 432 areas, allowing for more types to co-exist in a state of “contemporaneous disequilibrium”. 433 [41] Moreover, the theory suggests changes in community structure should occur in the 434 case of the R* scenario, but not in the case of contemporaneous disequilibrium. Thus the 435 more drastic changes in community structure in the subtropical gyre compared to the subpolar 436 gyre (Fig. 10) further support the expectation that “R* minimum” is more likely to explain the 437 observed changes in the subtropical gyre and “contemporaneous disequilibrium” in the 438 subpolar gyre. 439 [42] We should note that we obtain a similar (although slightly larger) increase in α- 440 diversity in our set of forced experiments at controlled nutrient levels than in our set of free 441 runs (Fig. 4). This enables us to conclude that the increased ability for co-existence largely 442 ensues from phytoplankton dispersal by the eddying flow. However, differential nutrient 443 supplies over frontal regions allows there to be a larger increase in α-diversity in our free runs 444 (Fig. 11) suggesting that hotspots in jet regions develop due to mingling of different seed 445 populations provided with increased nutrient supply, consistent with Clayton et al (2013). The 446 complex controls on diversity in frontal regions still remain to be fully understood. 447 What are the consequences of dispersal on γ-diversity? 448 [43] Theoretical ecological studies hypothesized that global diversity would remain 449 constant with more dispersion (e.g. Mouquet and Loreau, 2003) but this hypothesis could not 450 be clearly tested against observations (Cadotte, 2006). The decrease in γ-diversity with 451 dispersal in our simulations was not anticipated, but we find the decrease is due to the strong 452 reduction in the number of rare types. In the absence of dispersion, these rare types are 453 characterized by very small home range area where they are best adapted and outcompete the 454 rest of the types. In presence of dispersion, emerging types have larger home range or 455 “realized niche” (Fig. 6) although in all experiments the "fundamental niche" (defined by 456 Hutchinson 1957 as the niche a organism would fill in the absence of any competition) are 457 identical. This highlights that types must be adapted to a wider range of environmental 458 conditions in order to survive and that the quality of competition is very different depending 459 on the amounts of dispersal. 17 460 [44] In a fully mixed system with sufficiently long exclusion times, α and γ-diversity 461 would be the same. However, though they are tending to towards similar values in our model 462 studies with increasing dispersal (Fig. 4), they do not reach the same number. This is because 463 the jet between the two gyres acts as a partial barrier and because the timescales for water 464 masses to mix throughout the domain are on the scale of, or longer than, the exclusion 465 timescales. Thus we always expect a γ-diversity larger than the α-diversity. 466 Which scales of motion are the most crucial to maintaining diversity? 467 [45] The forced experiments progressively added vertical mixing, mean transport and 468 eddy transport (0D, 1D, 3D-m, 3D-e) to explore how each altered diversity. All play a 469 significant role (Fig. 4). In principle, vertical diffusion and mean advection are very different, 470 because one adds dispersal on the vertical and the other on the horizontal direction; on the 471 other hand, eddy advection acts both on the horizontal and vertical directions because of the 472 strong sub-mesoscale vertical velocities (Fig. 2D). 473 [46] An intriguing result is that mesoscale turbulence, although the most effective at 474 maintaining high levels of diversity at the local scale, was not responsible for any significant 475 decline of diversity at the regional scale (unlike other means for dispersion) (Fig. 4). 476 However, the changes detected in the community structure between 3D-m (large scale 477 transport alone) and 3D-e (including eddies) were substantial (Fig. 7). Some types, such as #s 478 63, 17 and 44, were significantly more abundant in 3D-m, some others (#s 57, 4, 94) were 479 less; some were present in 3D-m but extinct in 3D-e (#s 61, 21, 80); others were present in 480 3D-e but extinct in 3D-m (#s 13, 23, 89). 481 [47] A possible explanation for this paradox lies in the particular transport properties of 482 mesoscale turbulence. Mesoscale eddies, when they form, decay or interact, are an effective 483 mean for mixing and dispersal. On the other hand, they also have the ability to isolate water 484 masses in their core for very long periods of time (e. g. Lehahn et al. 2011; d’Ovidio et al. 485 2013). The temporary refuge provided by eddies thus adds a level of complexity which could 486 explain the maintenance of less competitive types (Bracco et al., 2000; d’Ovido et al., 2010). 487 Along this line, we can hypothesis that mesoscale turbulence allows the minimum R* and 488 contemporary disequilibrium scenario to work in concert with one another: by improving 489 more ways to achieve the same fitness (thus increasing α-diversity) and by avoiding the 18 490 extinction of the less competitive types in the new, fluctuating environment (thus maintaining 491 γ-diversity). 492 Significance to aquatic environments 493 [48] This study suggests that dispersal leads to a complex pattern of diversity of 494 phytoplankton types in the ocean. The small ranges of types in the absence of dispersal 495 become significantly altered when the full spectrum of transport processes is accounted for. In 496 general dispersal leads to an increased home range, but not always. Best locally adapted types 497 are not necessarily the same in a stable environment and in an environment which puts them 498 constantly in movement. Hence dispersal does more than allowing co-existence of nearby 499 types by permanently mixing them: it allows more ways to co-exist. 500 [49] More precisely, we considered two ways through which dispersal can allow co- 501 existence: either by allowing more ways to achieve the same fitness (minimum R* scenario) 502 or by maintaining types with unequal fitness out of equilibrium (contemporary disequilibrium 503 scenario). A resource competition perspective suggests that the relative fitness of any given 504 phytoplankton community is regulated by a variety of factors, including physical conditions, 505 predation, competition for resources, variability of the environment and dispersal. In this 506 context, the types that are more likely to coexist are those who achieve the maximum fitness 507 (minimum R*) and this fitness depends on physiological parameters as well as physical 508 transport. Advection/ diffusion potentially increases the capacity for coexistence because it 509 provides more ways to achieve the same minimum R*. On the other hand, in the 510 contemporary disequilibrium case, advection/diffusion continuously puts in contact 511 communities that are best fit in nearby habitats. Because this occurs at a rate faster than 512 competitive exclusion, the communities can co-exist. The minimum R* appears to explain the 513 diversity and community structure changes in the stable subtropics. On the other hand in the 514 more dynamic subpolar regions changes are better explained by contemporary disequilibrium. 515 [50] An important message is that local competition between types in aquatic 516 environments cannot be understood in terms of local resource availability alone. We must also 517 account for the transport of populations. This suggests that in the aquatic environments, 518 diversity will be highly dependent not only on local nutrient and temperature conditions but 519 also on velocities, mixing, and on those conditions in surrounding linked regions. 520 19 520 521 522 Appendix A: Model details Construction of physical forcing fields 523 [51] The physical forcing fields used to drive the DARWIN model in off-line mode come 524 from the high-resolution physical model run described in Levy et al (2010). This physical run 525 was performed on a high-resolution horizontal grid (1/54°) with 30 vertical levels with and 526 primitive equation ocean model NEMO (Madec 2008). 527 [52] The physical model domain is an idealized representation of the North Atlantic, in 528 the form of a rectangle rotated by 45° on the β-plane (Fig. 1). This choice was made to 529 encompass model equivalents of the Gulf Stream, subtropical and subpolar regimes in a 530 domain small enough to allow long integrations at high resolution. The model was forced at 531 the surface with seasonal buoyancy fluxes and wind. 532 [53] The model was spun-up for 850 years at low resolution (1°) and for another fifty 533 years at high-resolution (1/54°). We used 5 years of physical fields (velocities, temperature 534 and vertical mixing) saved from the original model run at a time-resolution of 2 days and a 535 grid resolution of 1/9°. This degradation does not affect the resolution of the finest resolved 536 structures: no difference can be seen between the coarse-grained 1/9° fields (Fig. 2A,B) and 537 the original fields at 1/54° resolution. The reason for this stems from the level of 538 dissipation/diffusion required during the online integration of the original model (Lévy et al. 539 2012b). We refer to these fields as the “high-resolution” physical fields. 540 Construction of initial conditions 541 [54] In Lévy et al. (2012a), this physical model was coupled online to the simple 542 biogeochemical model LOBSTER that comprises a single phytoplankton and run for another 543 50 years. We used the spun-up nitrate field from the Lévy et al. (2012a) run to initialize 544 DARWIN in the HR simulation. The LOBSTER model did not include phosphate or silica. 545 Thus phosphate was initialized as 1/16th of the nitrate field and silica with a uniform depth 546 profile consistent with the North Atlantic (Garcia et al. 2006). To initialize phytoplankton and 547 zooplankton, we used identical distributions of biomass for all. 548 20 548 549 550 Appendix B: Free runs 551 which mimic 3D-m and 3D-e but where environmental factors such as nutrient supply and 552 temperature vary dynamically. More precisely, in the set of experiments presented in this 553 paper (0D, 1D, 3D-m, 3D-e), we treated nutrients and temperature as a set of coarse- 554 resolution external forcings. This enabled us to impose the same external environment 555 conditions for all runs and to conduct a coherent suite where the only difference was in the 556 phytoplankton transport equation. In this second set of experiments (LR, HR), we run the full 557 ecosystem model freely at two different grid resolution: at high-resolution (HR), hence 558 capturing the full strength of eddy turbulence, and at low resolution (LR) thus only capturing 559 large-scale currents (Table 2). In the LR experiment, the full ecosystem model was run freely 560 with the velocity, vertical mixing and temperature fields from an original low resolution (1°) 561 online run, and initialized with the nutrient field of that run. In the HR experiment, the full 562 ecosystem was freely run with the high-resolution fields from the original high resolution run. 563 The environment conditions in the HR and LR experiments differ in many respects because 564 the dynamical fields were integrated at different resolutions. For instance in the HR run, the 565 Gulf Stream position is shifted south by 5° compared to the LR run, due to non-linear terms in 566 the momentum equation (Lévy et al., 2010). The change in resolution also induces different 567 supplies of nutrients, because the nitracline depth and the vertical velocities are different in 568 the two runs (Lévy et al., 2012a). 569 [55] Here we present and discuss a second set of experiments (LR and HR, Table 2) [56] The change of local diversity between LR and HR was comparable in magnitude to 570 the change obtained between 3D-m and 3D-e (Fig. 4). Moreover, no significant change in 571 regional diversity was detected between CR and HR, as for 3D-m and 3D-e (Fig. 4). The 572 decrease of local richness in the LR run compared to the HR run was particularly strong in the 573 jet area and subtropical gyre (Fig. 11A), as for 3D-m and 3D-e (Fig. 9). This increase in local 574 diversity was also associated with an increase of the area occupied by each type (Figs. 11B 575 and 6). Finally, the change in community structure between LR and HR (0.31) was of the 576 same order than the change between 3D-m and 3D-e (0.24, Table 3). 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Lehman and K. Thomson. 1997. Plant diversity and ecosystem productivity: theoretical considerations. Proc. Nat. Acc. Sc. 94: 1857–1861. 673 25 673 Table 1: Scales of ocean motion responsible for dispersal examined in this work. Spatial scale Temporal scale Direction Large scale circulation 100-1000 km Month to year XY Mesoscale turbulence 1-100 km Week to month XYZ Vertical mixing 10-1000 m Day to week Z 674 675 Table 2: Characteristics of the offline model runs. Uhr, Khr and Thr are high-resolution 676 velocity, vertical mixing and temperature from the original model run. Ucg is Uhr coarse- 677 grained at 1° resolution and averaged annually. Tcg is Thr coarse-grained at 1° resolution and 678 averaged monthly. NO3cg is nitrate from the HR run, coarse-grained at 1° resolution and 679 averaged monthly. Ulr, Klr and Tlr are coarse-resolution velocity, vertical mixing and 680 temperature obtained from the same original model but run at coarse-resolution (1°). “Free 681 run” means that nitrate is let free to evolve after initialization and “forced run” means that 682 nitrate is restored to a prescribed value. U K NO3 T Free run HR Uhr Khr Free Thr Free run LR Ulr Klr Free Tlr Forced run 3D-e Uhr 1.e-4 NO3cg Tcg Forced run 3D-m Ucg 1.e-4 NO3cg Tcg Forced run 1D None 1.e-4 NO3cg Tcg Forced run 0D None None NO3cg Tcg 683 684 26 684 Table 3: Change in community structure between pairs of experiments, ranging between 0 685 (identical community structure) and 1 (complete change of community structure) (see text for 686 more details). 687 0D 1D 3D-m 3D-e 0D 0.00 0.29 0.46 0.36 1D 0.29 0.00 0.28 0.17 3D-m 0.46 0.28 0.00 0.24 3D-e 0.36 0.17 0.24 0.00 27 687 Figure Legends 688 Figure 1. Model configuration. Annual mean sea surface temperature (SST) and eddy kinetic 689 energy (EKE) in the original high-resolution physical model compared with satellite 690 observations from the North Atlantic. The arrow on panel A shows the location of the mean 691 jet (Gulf Stream equivalent) that separates the two gyres. Satellite SST is from AVHRR 692 Oceans Pathfinder and EKE is derived from multi-satellite altimetric product Aviso 693 (www.aviso.oceanobs.com). Adapted from Resplandy et al. (2012). 694 695 Figure 2. Physical and chemical fields used to force the DARWIN simulations. A) High- 696 resolution surface current used to force experiments HR and 3D-e; Dec, 1st snapshot. B) High- 697 resolution vertical velocity at 50m used to force experiments HR and 3D-e; Dec, 1st snapshot. 698 C) Coarsed-grained surface current used to force experiment 3D-m. D) Coarsed-grained 699 surface nitrate distribution used to force experiments 3D-e, 3D-m, 1D and 0D; December 700 distribution. See text for more details on how these fields are constructed. 701 702 Figure 3. Model evaluation. A) Model annual mean surface chlorophyll (in HR run). B) 703 Satellite annual mean surface chlorophyll (SeaWifs). C) Model annual mean local richness (in 704 HR run). D) Proxy of phytoplankton diversity based on area-based mixing (De Monte et al., 705 2013) of satellite optical anomalies (Alvain et al., 2008). 706 707 Figure 4. Change of α-diversity (black) and γ-diversity (grey) with dispersion. The α and γ- 708 diversities are measured as the domain integral of the annual local and regional richness, 709 respectively. Experiments 0D, 1D, 3D-m and 3D-e are ranked along the x-axis by increasing 710 level of dispersion in the flow field. Starting with no dispersion (0D), means for dispersion 711 are progressively accounted for: vertical mixing, advection by mean currents, eddy advection. 712 Results from the LR and HR experiments are marked with a dot and a star, respectively. Our 713 results show an increase in α-diversity with increasing means for dispersion, and a decrease in 714 γ-diversity. 715 716 Figure 5. Habitats of a sub-sample of six phytoplankton types (# 79, 65, 17, 62, 59,95) in our 717 set of experiments with increasing level of dispersion. For each type, the upper rectangle 28 718 shows the annual mean surface biomass over the x/y domain , the lower rectangle shows the 719 annual mean vertical distribution over the x/z domain (from 0 to 100m depth). 720 721 Figure 6. Area of each phytoplankton type, sorted in decreasing order along the x-axis. The 722 area is expressed in % of the total area and represents the fraction of the domain where the 723 type is present. The area associated with rank n is the area of the nth more spatially spread 724 type. The largest area (rank 0) occupies ~70% of the domain in 3D-e, but only ~35% in 0D. 725 Inversely, the smallest area in 3D-e is ~10% (rank 20), and 0.1% in 1D (rank 31) and 0D 726 (rank 43). Types occupying less than 5% of the domain (shaded in grey) are defined as “rare”. 727 728 Figure 7. Changes in community structure. Abundance of individual phytoplankton types, in 729 experiments 0D, 1D, 3D-m and 3D-e and sorted by their rank in experiment 3D-e. 730 731 Figure 8. Schematic representation of the changes in community structure and bio-geography 732 at high and low levels of dispersion. At low dispersion, there are a large number of types, over 733 small home range areas that are not overlapping: there is no co-existence. The different 734 habitats are organized along the temperature gradient. At high dispersion, the number of types 735 decreases, but the size of the home ranges increases and they intersect: different types co- 736 exist. Note that the types are not all the same between the high dispersion and low dispersion 737 cases. The different colors illustrate the change in community structure. 738 739 Figure 9. Changes of α-diversity with dispersion in the subtropical gyre, subpolar gyre and 740 jet area. Annual-mean, depth-integrated, zonally-averaged A) local richness and B) local 741 Shannon index, against meridional direction (in km) in experiments 0D, D, 3D-m and 3D-e. 742 743 Figure 10. Changes in community structure between pairs of experiments in the subtropical 744 gyre, subpolar gyre and jet area. 745 746 Figure 11. Results for the free runs LR (dashed lines) and HR (plain lines). A) Annual-mean, 747 depth-integrated, zonally-averaged local richness against meridional direction (in km). B) 748 Ranked area. 749 29 749 750 Figure 1 30 Figure 2 31 Figure 3 32 Figure 4 33 Figure 5 34 Figure 6 35 Figure 7 36 Figure 8 37 Figure 9 38 Figure 10 39 Figure 11 40
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