Deelstra, J. et al. / Bioforsk FOKUS 5(2) 18 Can we simulate runoff from agriculturedominated watersheds? Comparison of the DrainMod, SWAT, HBV, COUP and INCA models applied for the Skuterud catchment A good understanding of the hydrology and its implementation in models is a prerequisite to facilitate decision making relative to the implementation of water management – and farming practices. This paper presents the results of the application of 5 hydrological models in the Skuterud catchment. Johannes Deelstra1, Csilla Farkas1, Alexander Engebretsen1,2, Sigrun H. Kværnø1, Stein Beldring3 and Alicja Olszewska4 1 Bioforsk; 2University of Oslo; 3NVE; 4University of Gdansk [email protected] Introduction The Skuterud catchment, located in south eastern Norway was chosen as the pilot area for model comparison studies. Skuterud catchment is since 1993 part of JOVA – the Norwegian Agricultural Environmental Monitoring Programme. The catchment is located in south-eastern Norway. The total are is 450 ha, arable land constitutes 61%, forest covers 29%, while the rest is urban area (8%) and bog (2%). A large data base containing detailed information about runoff, nutrient and soil loss is available in addition to data on farming practices, soil physical and chemical properties and meteorological data. (Deelstra et al. 2005). Five different dynamic mathematical models were parameterised, calibrated and validated and compared with respect to i) spatial resolution, ii) the processes considered, iii) data and parameters required, iv) initial and boundary conditions and v) goodness of fit to the measured runoff at the catchment outlet. Two of the models – Drainmod (Skaggs 1990) and Coup (Jansson & Karlberg 2004) are profile-based, while the HBV (Sælthun 1996), INCA (Butterfield et al. 2008) and SWAT (Arnold et al. 2002) – are catchment models. The models also differ in complexity and in there differentiation of different flow processes like surface- subsurface and groundwater runoff not. The comparison of the main processes incorporated in the five models is given in Table 1. Models harmonisation and parameterisation The models were harmonised for the Skuterud catchment by i) using the same driving meteorological variables, ii) defining common initial and lower boundary conditions and iii) synchronising the input data and parameters, using the information available for the Skuterud catchment. The model output was compared with the measured runoff at the catchment outlet. Nash-Sutcliffe statistics (N-S) was used for model evaluation. In case of distributed models one simulation consisted of one model run, while the profile-based models were run separately for agricultural and forest areas. In the latter case, the total runoff was obtained by calculating the area weighted average runoff from Drainmod and Coup. The models were run for the period between January 1, 1993 and December 31, 2007. The year 1993 was considered as a “warming up” period to eliminate initial bias. The calibration and validation periods were defined from 1 January 1994 to 31 December 1999 and from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2007, respectively. The simulation exercise started with model validations, when all the input data and model parameters were synchronised in the five models. Furthermore, the models were calibrated individually by tuning on model parameters to minimise the difference between the measured and simulated runoff. Results Figure 1 presents N-S statistics, based on the simulations for the period from 1994 - 2007 comparing the measured and simulated runoff data on a daily, weekly, monthly and yearly base. Model performances, in general, improved when integrating the results over longer time periods. This indicates that in case the Deelstra, J. et al. / Bioforsk FOKUS 5(2) daily runoff dynamics was not simulated satisfactorily, the total amount of water leaving the catchment within a week or monthly period was estimated quite well. In some cases the yearly statistics were worse compared to the monthly and weekly periods, most probably because these time series were too short. Discussion and conclusions In overall, good agreement between the measured and simulated values was obtained for the different models when integrating the results over a week or longer periods. However efforts have to be made to obtain improved results on a daily basis, especially as models are potentially useful tools in assessing the possible consequences of climate change on hydrology, nutrient and soil loss. A prerequisite for the further improvement of hydrological modelling for mixed catchments (agricultural and forested) is the availability of data on soils in addition to important elements of the water balance (evapotranspiration, runoff) for forested areas. Hydrological pathways are important in the transport of soil and nutrients and some of the applied models do simulate both surface and subsurface runoff. However improved information on the relative contribution of the different runoff components at catchment scale is of utmost importance to be able to calibrate these models. References Figure 1. Nash-Sutcliffe statistics for various time periods and different models. Arnold J.G., Williams J.R., Srinivasan R., Neitsch J.G. & Kiniry J.R. 2002. Soil and Water Assessment Tool, User’s Manual (http://swatmodel.tamu.edu/). Butterfield, D., Wade A.J. & Whitehead, P.G. 2008. INCA_N v1.9 User Guide. University of Reading. Deelstra. J. et al. 2005. A general description of the Skuterud catchment. Jordforsk Rep. 61/05. Jansson, P-E. & Karlberg, L. 2004. Coup Manual (http:// www.lwr.kth.se/vara%20datorprogram/CoupModel/index.htm). Skaggs, R. W. 1990. DRAINMOD User` s Manual. North Carolina State University, Raleigh (http://www.bae.ncsu. edu/soil_water/drainmod/). Sælthun, N.R. 2006. The “Nordic” HBV model. NVE publications No. 07. Jord Table 1. Comparison of the five different models with respect to hydrological processes 19
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