May 2016 OPB FOX 12 Primary Election Survey Democrats (High Turnout) Crosstabs Prepared by DHM Research 503.220.0575 th
239 NW 13 Ave #205 Portland, OR 97209 www.dhmresearch.com 1
OPB Fox 12 Primary Election Survey General Election May 6-­9, 2016;; N=900 How to Read Crosstables: In the example chart (left), rows represent the three possible response options to the question “All in all, do you think things are headed in the right direction, or are things pretty much on the wrong track?” The three response options are: “right direction,” “wrong track,” and “don’t know.” The amounts in each response category sum to the amount in the “total” row at the top of the table. The first column, or banner, is the “Total” column. It reflects the overall results. The next two columns reflect the results of a subgroup, “Gender.” The gender subgroup is composed of Males and Females, each with their own column. Both gender groups are assigned a letter (Male=B, Female=C). These two columns show how male’s attitudes compare to female’s attitudes. As shown in the chart, 69% of the full sample thinks things are headed in the right direction. Looking at the gender subgroup, 71% of women think things are headed in the right direction, compared to 66% of males. Statistically Significant Differences: If a pair of cells has a difference which is statistically significant, the larger of the two cells is flagged with the letter of the opposite column. The test shows the difference in female’s attitudes about things being headed in the right direction is statistically significantly different than those of male’s, which is signified by a “B” (the letter given to Males) next to female’s results for “right direction.” The footnote indicates the level of significance (sig=.05). This level of significance means that 5% of the time, the difference between how the two groups feel about the direction is due to random chance, while 95% of the time the difference is meaningful. Statement of Limitations: Any sampling of opinions or attitudes is subject to a margin of error, which represents the difference between a sample of a given population and the total population. The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in a survey's results and differs by sample size, as reflected in the table below. Margin of Error Based on Sample Size N=1200 N=1000 N=800 N=600 N=500 N=400 N=300 N=200 N=150 N=100 N=50 +/-­ 2.8% +/-­ 3.1% +/-­ 3.5% +/-­ 4.0% +/-­ 4.4% +/-­ 4.9% +/-­ 5.7% +/-­ 6.9% +/-­ 8.0% +/-­ 9.8% +/-­ 13.8% 2
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q5. There is a primary election in Oregon on May 17.
Have you received your ballot in the mail?
Last week, ballots were mailed to registered voters.
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
Yes
287
94%
143
94%
74
97%
70 118 169
92% 95% 94%
24
89%
58
95%
106
94%
99
96%
52
90%
122
93%
113
98%
17
6%
9
6%
2
3%
3
11%
3
5%
6
6%
5
4%
6
10%
9
7%
3
2%
No
6
8%
7
5%
10
6%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
3
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q5. There is a primary election in Oregon on May 17.
Have you received your ballot in the mail?
Last week, ballots were mailed to registered voters.
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
Yes
287
94%
72
95%
69
94%
144
95%
44
99%
56
93%
54
94%
42
95%
24
91%
23
100%
114
100%
168
100%
2
100%
16
90%
227
95%
16
86%
10
100%
17
95%
17
6%
4
5%
4
6%
8
5%
1
1%
4
7%
3
6%
2
5%
2
9%
-
2
10%
12
5%
3
14%
-
No
-
-
-
1
5%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
4
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q6. Do you plan to vote in the primary election?
Base:
Those who have not received their ballots
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
17
100%
9
100%
(B)
2
100%
(C)
6
7
10
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
3
100%
(G)
3
100%
(H)
6
100%
(I)
5
100%
(J)
6
100%
(K)
9
100%
(L)
3
100%
(M)
Yes
17
100%
9
100%
2
100%
6
7
10
100% 100% 100%
3
100%
3
100%
6
100%
5
100%
6
100%
9
100%
3
100%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
5
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q6. Do you plan to vote in the primary election?
Base:
Those who have not received their ballots
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
Yes
17
100%
4
100%
(B)
4
100%
(C)
8
100%
(D)
1
100%
(E)
4
100%
(F)
3
100%
(G)
2
100%
(H)
2
100%
(I)
17
100%
4
100%
4
100%
8
100%
1
100%
4
100%
3
100%
2
100%
2
100%
-
-
-
-
(J)
(K)
(L)
(M)
-
-
-
-
2
100%
(N)
12
100%
(O)
3
100%
(P)
2
100%
12
100%
3
100%
(Q)
-
1
100%
(R)
1
100%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
6
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q7. Which of the follow applies to you:
Base:
Those who received their ballots
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
287
100%
143
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
70 118 169
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
24
100%
(G)
58
100%
(H)
106
100%
(I)
99
100%
(J)
52
100%
(K)
122
100%
(L)
113
100%
(M)
You have already
returned your ballot
114
40%
54
38%
30
41%
29
42%
41
34%
73
43%
12
48%
20
35%
40
38%
42
42%
21
40%
40
33%
53L
47%
You have received
your ballot, but not
returned it yet
168
59%
86
60%
44
59%
39
56%
74
63%
94
56%
13
52%
33
57%
66
62%
57
58%
31
60%
77
63%
60
53%
You are not planning
to vote in this
election
2
1%
2
1%
-
-
-
2
1%
-
2
3%
-
-
-
2
1%
-
Don't know
3
1%
2
1%
-
2
2%
3F
3%
-
-
3IJ
6%
-
-
-
3
3%
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
7
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q7. Which of the follow applies to you:
Base:
Those who received their ballots
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
287
100%
72
100%
(B)
69
100%
(C)
144
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
56
100%
(F)
You have already
returned your ballot
114
40%
29
40%
37D
54%
46
32%
17
39%
22
40%
You have received
your ballot, but not
returned it yet
168
59%
41
57%
30
44%
96C
67%
27
61%
You are not planning
to vote in this
election
2
1%
-
-
2
1%
Don't know
3
1%
2
2%
2
2%
-
54
100%
(G)
42
100%
(H)
24
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
27IJ
50%
15
37%
5
22%
4
18%
114LM
100%
-
34
60%
25
47%
25
59%
19G
78%
19G
82%
-
-
-
-
2
4%
-
-
-
-
2
3%
-
-
-
2
100%
(M)
16
100%
(N)
227
100%
(O)
16
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
17
100%
(R)
-
8R
46%
96R
42%
5
31%
3
32%
2
9%
168KM
100%
-
9
54%
129
57%
11
69%
7
68%
12
71%
-
-
2KL
100%
-
-
-
-
2O
9%
-
-
-
-
2
1%
-
-
2O
10%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
8
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q8. For the Presidential Primary election, do you plan to vote for Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders?
Base:
Democrats
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
Hillary Clinton
137
45%
66
43%
38
50%
33
44%
49
39%
88
49%
2
8%
15
24%
Bernie Sanders
114
38%
60
40%
24
32%
30
39%
55
44%
59
33%
Will skip this
contest
16
5%
9
6%
6
7%
1
2%
6
5%
10
6%
-
Don't know
37
12%
17
11%
8
11%
12
15%
15
12%
23
13%
-
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
62GH
55%
59GH
57%
15
26%
59K
45%
62K
54%
25
23%
29
28%
37LM
63%
46
36%
31
27%
3
5%
6
5%
6
6%
2
4%
9
7%
4
4%
8
14%
19G
17%
9
9%
4
7%
15
12%
18
15%
25HIJ 35IJ
92%
57%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
9
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q8. For the Presidential Primary election, do you plan to vote for Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders?
Base:
Democrats
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
Hillary Clinton
137
45%
33
43%
40
55%
62
41%
20
46%
28
46%
28
48%
19
42%
12
45%
5
23%
66L
58%
66
39%
-
5PR 132NPQ
26%
55%R
Bernie Sanders
114
38%
30
39%
25
34%
60
39%
19
44%
24
39%
21
36%
16
37%
7
26%
13I
58%
40
35%
64
38%
-
8
46%
72
30%
Will skip this
contest
16
5%
6
8%
3
4%
6
4%
1
3%
3
5%
6
10%
2
3%
1
3%
-
5
4%
8
5%
2KL
100%
2
11%
7
3%
1
7%
1
7%
5O
26%
Don't know
37
12%
7
10%
5
7%
24
16%
3
8%
6
11%
4
7%
8
17%
7G
26%
4
19%
2
2%
30K
18%
-
3
17%
27
11%
1
6%
1
7%
5
27%
-
10
100%
(Q)
-
16NOR 9O
86%
86%
18
100%
(R)
9
48%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
10
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q9. For the Democratic primary election for secretary of state,
do you plan to vote for Richard Devlin, Brad Avakian, or Val Hoyle?
Base:
Democrats
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
Richard Devlin
39
13%
21
14%
9
11%
10
13%
16
13%
Brad Avakian
55
18%
33
22%
11
15%
10
13%
Val Hoyle
45
15%
19
13%
16
21%
Will skip this
contest
34
11%
16
10%
131
43%
63
42%
Don't know
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
23
13%
3
10%
8
14%
19J
17%
9
8%
9
15%
16
13%
14
12%
25
20%
30
17%
5
19%
10
17%
15
13%
24I
24%
3
5%
18
14%
34KL
29%
10
13%
11
9%
34E
19%
6
23%
6
10%
18
16%
15
15%
7
11%
21
16%
18
16%
10
13%
9
12%
12
10%
22
12%
1
4%
2
3%
16
14%
16H
15%
4
6%
19
15%
11
10%
30
39%
38
49%
60
48%
70
39%
12
45%
34
56%
45
40%
39
38%
36LM
63%
56
43%
38
33%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
11
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q9. For the Democratic primary election for secretary of state,
do you plan to vote for Richard Devlin, Brad Avakian, or Val Hoyle?
Base:
Democrats
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
Richard Devlin
39
13%
4
5%
9
12%
27B
18%
5
11%
10
16%
12
20%
7
17%
1
5%
2
8%
24L
21%
14
8%
Brad Avakian
55
18%
10
13%
14
19%
30
20%
6
13%
6
10%
8
15%
10
24%
7F
27%
7F
31%
25
22%
Val Hoyle
45
15%
14
18%
11
16%
20
13%
9
19%
8
13%
9
16%
9
20%
4
15%
3
11%
Will skip this
contest
34
11%
13
17%
8
11%
13
9%
4
9%
6
10%
5
9%
4
8%
3
13%
131
43%
36
47%
32
43%
62
41%
21
48%
31
51%
23
40%
14
31%
11
40%
Don't know
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
-
2
11%
34
14%
2
10%
-
27
16%
2L
100%
-
48N
20%
2
12%
1
13%
3
18%
23
21%
20
12%
-
3
14%
37
16%
3
18%
1
11%
1
5%
2
8%
14
12%
19
11%
-
3
18%
28
12%
2
8%
1
14%
-
10
42%
27
24%
89K
53%
-
10
57%
92
38%
10
53%
6
62%
12O
68%
2
9%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
12
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q12. If the general election were held today and the candidates for president were Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton,
who would you vote for?
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
18
6%
6
4%
239
79%
119
78%
56
74%
63
84%
Some other candidate
19
6%
8
5%
6
8%
Will skip this
contest
10
3%
7
5%
Don't know
18
6%
11
7%
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
76
100%
(C)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
10
5%
1
5%
2
2%
10
9%
5
5%
4
8%
11M
8%
3
2%
89 150E
71% 84%
16
58%
41
67%
93G
82%
90GH
87%
37
65%
100
76%
5
7%
10
8%
9
5%
6IJ
22%
7J
12%
4
4%
1
1%
4
7%
11
8%
4
4%
-
3
4%
5
4%
5
3%
2I
9%
6IJ
10%
-
1
1%
8LM
13%
2
1%
1
1%
4
5%
2
3%
13F
10%
5
3%
2
6%
5
8%
6
5%
6
5%
4
7%
8
6%
6
5%
10BD
13%
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
2
3%
8
7%
102KL
88%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
13
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q12. If the general election were held today and the candidates for president were Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton,
who would you vote for?
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
18
6%
2
3%
5
7%
11
7%
4
9%
5
8%
2
4%
6
13%
1
4%
239
79%
62
82%
58
79%
117
77%
30
68%
45
74%
51EH
88%
31
70%
23
88%
Some other candidate
19
6%
3
4%
4
5%
12
8%
3
6%
4
7%
2
4%
3
6%
1
5%
Will skip this
contest
10
3%
3
4%
2
3%
4
3%
4
9%
4
7%
1
2%
-
-
Don't know
18
6%
5
7%
5
6%
8
5%
4
8%
2
4%
1
2%
5
11%
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
1
3%
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
8
7%
9
5%
-
17
74%
96M
85%
129
77%
-
-
3
13%
5
4%
11
7%
-
-
-
-
3
3%
7
4%
-
-
-
-
3
13%
2
1%
12K
7%
2KL
100%
-
-
-
-
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
18OPQR 100%
239NPQ
100%R
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
-
-
-
-
-
-
19NOQR 100%
-
10NOPR 100%
-
18NOPQ
100%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
14
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q13. Would you say that this vote is more because you support Donald Trump or more because you oppose Hillary Clinton?
Base:
Those who would vote for Donald Trump
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
18
100%
6
100%
(B)
10
100%
(C)
Support Donald Trump
6
31%
1
14%
5
49%
Oppose Hillary
Clinton
12
64%
4
71%
5
51%
2
8
10
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
2
100%
3
30%
3
32%
6
70%
6
59%
1
100%
(G)
1
100%
2
100%
(H)
10
100%
(I)
5
100%
(J)
4
100%
(K)
11
100%
(L)
3
100%
(M)
2
100%
1
9%
3I
62%
1
20%
3
28%
2
60%
8
82%
2
38%
4
80%
7
63%
1
40%
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
15
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q13. Would you say that this vote is more because you support Donald Trump or more because you oppose Hillary Clinton?
Base:
Those who would vote for Donald Trump
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
18
100%
2
100%
(B)
Support Donald Trump
6
31%
2
66%
Oppose Hillary
Clinton
12
64%
1
34%
5
100%
(C)
11
100%
(D)
4
100%
(E)
5
100%
(F)
-
4
37%
1
23%
2
50%
4
82%
7
63%
3
77%
1
31%
2
100%
(G)
2
100%
6
100%
(H)
2
27%
4
73%
1
100%
(I)
1
100%
-
8
100%
(K)
9
100%
(L)
-
2
32%
3
37%
-
-
5
68%
6
63%
-
(J)
(M)
18
100%
(N)
-
-
-
-
(O)
(P)
(Q)
(R)
6
31%
-
-
-
-
12
64%
-
-
-
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
16
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q14. Would you say that this vote is more because you support Hillary Clinton or more because you oppose Donald Trump?
Base:
Those who would vote for Hillary Clinton
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
239
100%
119
100%
(B)
56
100%
(C)
Support Hillary
Clinton
129
54%
67
56%
29
51%
33
52%
46
52%
Oppose Donald Trump
85
36%
40
34%
18
32%
27
43%
Neither
18
8%
7
6%
9BD
16%
7
3%
5
4%
1
1%
Don't know
63
89 150
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
16
100%
(G)
41
100%
(H)
93
100%
(I)
90
100%
(J)
37
100%
(K)
100
100%
(L)
102
100%
(M)
83
55%
3
22%
24G
60%
54G
59%
46
52%
16
44%
60
60%
53
52%
30
33%
56
37%
12HIJ 14
78%
34%
27
29%
32
36%
19
50%
30
30%
37
36%
2
4%
12F
13%
7
4%
-
2
6%
9
9%
7
8%
2
6%
7
7%
9
9%
1
2%
2
2%
5
3%
-
-
3
3%
4
4%
-
3
3%
4
4%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
17
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q14. Would you say that this vote is more because you support Hillary Clinton or more because you oppose Donald Trump?
Base:
Those who would vote for Hillary Clinton
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Total
239
100%
62
100%
(B)
58
100%
(C)
117
100%
(D)
30
100%
(E)
45
100%
(F)
51
100%
(G)
129
54%
26
42%
38B
65%
63
54%
13
43%
25
57%
27
53%
Oppose Donald Trump
85
36%
28
46%
17
28%
40
35%
12
41%
16
35%
Neither
18
8%
7
11%
2
4%
9
8%
5
15%
7
3%
1
1%
2
3%
4
4%
-
Support Hillary
Clinton
Don't know
31
100%
(H)
23
100%
(I)
17
100%
(J)
96
100%
(K)
129
100%
(L)
21EI
70%
9
38%
8
48%
59L
62%
19
38%
8
27%
8
34%
8
47%
2
5%
3
6%
1
3%
5
21%
1
3%
2
3%
-
2
7%
-
-
(M)
(N)
62
48%
-
-
28
29%
54
41%
-
-
6
7%
12
9%
1
5%
2
3%
2
2%
239
100%
(O)
-
-
-
(P)
(Q)
(R)
129
54%
-
-
-
-
85
36%
-
-
-
-
-
18
8%
-
-
-
-
-
7
3%
-
-
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
18
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q15. Scientists believe that there is a significant chance that Oregon will experience a major earthquake in the coming years.
If that were to happen, who would you trust more as President of the United States to help Oregon in the aftermath:
Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton?
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Don't know
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
20
7%
5
3%
9B
12%
7
9%
7
4%
1
5%
2
2%
10
9%
7
7%
4
6%
12
9%
4
4%
232
76%
114
75%
60
79%
57
75%
90 141
73% 79%
17
64%
45
73%
89
79%
81
78%
45
78%
95
73%
91
79%
53
17%
33C
22%
7
9%
12
16%
21
17%
8I
31%
15
24%
13
12%
16
15%
9
16%
24
18%
20
17%
13F
10%
31
17%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
19
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q15. Scientists believe that there is a significant chance that Oregon will experience a major earthquake in the coming years.
If that were to happen, who would you trust more as President of the United States to help Oregon in the aftermath:
Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton?
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Don't know
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
20
7%
7
9%
4
5%
9
6%
6
13%
3
5%
3
5%
5
11%
2
7%
1
4%
8
7%
11
7%
232
76%
56
74%
59
80%
115
76%
32
71%
45
75%
50J
87%
33
76%
21
81%
13
58%
93M
82%
125
74%
53
17%
13
18%
11
15%
28
18%
7
16%
12
20%
5
8%
6
13%
3
12%
9GH
38%
13
12%
32
19%
2
100%
(M)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
-
13OPQR 5
73%
2%
1
4%
1
7%
-
3
18%
214NPQ 4
90%R 21%
3
33%
7
39%
6NO
61%
11NO
61%
2KL
100%
18
100%
(N)
2
9%
19
8%
14NO
75%
18
100%
(R)
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
20
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q16. Next, I'd like to ask you about a measure that may be on your ballot in the November general election.
I will it exactly as it will appear.
Increases corporate minimum tax when sales exceed $25 million; funds education; healthcare, senior services
A "Yes" vote increases corporate minimum tax when sales exceed $25 million; removes tax limit; exempts "benefit companies";
increased revenue funds education, healthcare, senior services.
A "No" vote retains existing corporate minimum tax rates based on Oregon sales; tax limited to $100,000;
revenue not dedicated to education, healthcare, senior services.
If the election were today, would you vote "Yes" to support the measure or "No" to oppose it?
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
Total yes
---------
210
69%
102
67%
55
73%
53
69%
140
46%
71
47%
35
46%
70
23%
31
20%
47
15%
No - lean
No - certain
Yes - certain
Yes - lean
Total no
--------
Don't know
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
83 127
67% 71%
16
60%
48
78%
80
71%
66
64%
45
77%
90
69%
75
65%
34
44%
54
43%
86
48%
14
50%
28
46%
50
44%
48
47%
35L
60%
52
40%
53
46%
20
27%
19
25%
29
23%
41
23%
3
10%
20
32%
31
27%
17
17%
10
17%
38
29%
22
19%
26
17%
12
15%
9
12%
23
18%
24
13%
6
22%
6
10%
20
18%
14
14%
7
13%
22
17%
17
15%
14
5%
6
4%
6
8%
3
4%
5
4%
9
5%
1
4%
2
4%
8
7%
4
4%
3
6%
9
7%
2
2%
32
11%
20
13%
6
7%
6
8%
18
14%
14
8%
5
19%
4
7%
13
11%
11
10%
4
7%
14
10%
15
13%
47
16%
24
16%
9
12%
14
19%
18
15%
29
16%
5
18%
7
12%
12
11%
23I
23%
6
10%
18
14%
24
20%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
21
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q16. Next, I'd like to ask you about a measure that may be on your ballot in the November general election.
I will it exactly as it will appear.
Increases corporate minimum tax when sales exceed $25 million; funds education; healthcare, senior services
A "Yes" vote increases corporate minimum tax when sales exceed $25 million; removes tax limit; exempts "benefit companies";
increased revenue funds education, healthcare, senior services.
A "No" vote retains existing corporate minimum tax rates based on Oregon sales; tax limited to $100,000;
revenue not dedicated to education, healthcare, senior services.
If the election were today, would you vote "Yes" to support the measure or "No" to oppose it?
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
Total yes
---------
210
69%
43
57%
52
71%
115B
76%
27
61%
44
74%
41
70%
33
75%
23E
87%
16
69%
71
62%
124
74%
2
100%
12
65%
167
70%
13
69%
7
73%
11
62%
140
46%
32
42%
31
43%
76
50%
19
43%
27
44%
28
49%
22
51%
14
53%
10
44%
49
43%
80
47%
2
100%
7
39%
116
49%
5
25%
7
73%
5
25%
70
23%
11
14%
20
28%
39
25%
8
18%
18
29%
13
22%
10
24%
9
34%
6
25%
22
19%
45
27%
-
5
27%
50
21%
8O
45%
-
7
36%
47
15%
17D
23%
12
17%
17
11%
12FI
28%
7
11%
10I
17%
6
13%
-
6I
25%
22
20%
21
13%
-
4
24%
34
14%
4
20%
1
7%
3
19%
No - lean
14
5%
6
7%
5
7%
3
2%
5
11%
3
5%
3
5%
1
2%
-
3
12%
6
5%
7
4%
-
3O
15%
11
5%
-
No - certain
32
11%
12
16%
7
9%
13
9%
7I
17%
4
7%
7
12%
5
11%
-
3
12%
17
15%
14
9%
-
2
9%
23
10%
4
20%
1
7%
3
15%
47
16%
15
20%
9
13%
20
13%
5
11%
9
15%
7
12%
5
12%
3
13%
1
6%
20
18%
23
13%
-
2
11%
38
16%
2
10%
2
21%
3
19%
Yes - certain
Yes - lean
Total no
--------
Don't know
-
1
4%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
22
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q17. Gender
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
Male
125
41%
64
42%
24
32%
37C 125F
48% 100%
Female
179
59%
88
58%
52D
68%
39
52%
-
179E
100%
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
10
38%
28
46%
45
40%
41
40%
28
48%
50
39%
47
40%
17
62%
33
54%
67
60%
62
60%
30
52%
80
61%
69
60%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
23
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q17. Gender
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
Male
125
41%
34
46%
34
46%
55
36%
18
42%
20
33%
24
41%
17
38%
9
35%
14F
62%
41
36%
74
44%
Female
179
59%
41
54%
40
54%
97
64%
26
58%
40J
67%
34
59%
27
62%
17
65%
9
38%
73
64%
94
56%
2
100%
(M)
2
100%
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
8
46%
89
37%
10
51%
5
50%
13O
70%
10
54%
150R
63%
9
49%
5
50%
5
30%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
24
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q18. Age
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
18 - 29
27
9%
15
10%
4
5%
8
11%
10
8%
17
9%
30 - 44
61
20%
35
23%
11
14%
15
20%
28
22%
33
18%
-
45 - 64
112
37%
57
38%
29
38%
26
34%
45
36%
67
38%
-
-
65+
103
34%
44
29%
32
42%
27
36%
41
33%
62
35%
-
-
27HIJ
100%
61
100%
(H)
61GIJ
100%
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
-
-
19LM
32%
-
-
14M
25%
39M
30%
8
7%
-
19
33%
52
40%
41
36%
103GHI 6
100%
10%
31K
24%
66KL
57%
112GHJ
100%
-
9M
7%
116
100%
(M)
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
25
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q18. Age
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
18 - 29
27
9%
7
9%
13D
18%
7
5%
30 - 44
61
20%
8
10%
14
19%
39B
26%
6
13%
16
26%
45 - 64
112
37%
26
34%
28
38%
58
38%
12
27%
65+
103
34%
36CD
47%
18
25%
48
32%
19
42%
8HI
18%
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
4
6%
9HI
16%
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
1
6%
12
10%
13
8%
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
-
1
8%
16
7%
6O
32%
2
24%
2
9%
2
8%
41
17%
7O
39%
6NO
62%
-
-
10
17%
10
23%
5
20%
5
24%
20
18%
33
20%
2KL
100%
17
28%
22
38%
23EF
52%
15EF
56%
11
46%
40
35%
66
39%
-
10Q
55%
93
39%
4
22%
24
40%
17
29%
11
25%
6
24%
6
24%
42
37%
57
34%
-
5
29%
90P
38%
1
7%
5
28%
-
6
32%
1
14%
6
31%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
26
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q20. Vote History
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
0 of 4
18
6%
9
6%
4
6%
5
6%
11
9%
7
4%
1 of 4
40
13%
16
11%
12
16%
11
14%
17
13%
2 of 4
75
25%
42
28%
16
21%
17
22%
3 of 4
56
18%
23
15%
15
20%
4 of 4
116
38%
61
40%
28
36%
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
6J
10%
4
3%
1
1%
18LM
31%
-
-
23
13%
11HIJ 8
42%
13%
16J
14%
5
4%
40LM
69%
-
-
28
22%
47
26%
6
23%
27IJ
45%
28J
25%
13
13%
-
75KM
57%
-
17
23%
22
18%
33
19%
2
9%
11
19%
24
21%
18
18%
-
56KM
43%
-
27
35%
47
37%
69
38%
-
8
13%
41GH
37%
66GHI
64%
-
7IJ
27%
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
-
116
100%
(M)
116KL
100%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
27
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q20. Vote History
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
0 of 4
18
6%
8
11%
3
4%
7
4%
1 of 4
40
13%
10
13%
12
17%
2 of 4
75
25%
14
19%
3 of 4
56
18%
4 of 4
116
38%
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
6GH
14%
6H
10%
1
2%
17
11%
8
19%
8
14%
21
29%
38
25%
11
25%
15
19%
14
20%
27
17%
28
38%
22
30%
63
41%
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
8
7%
9
5%
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
-
1
5%
10
4%
-
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
-
1
5%
-
6NOPR 2
56%
9%
11
19%
6
14%
1
5%
1
6%
13
12%
22
13%
-
4
20%
28
12%
4
22%
2
19%
3
14%
13
22%
13
22%
10
22%
6
24%
7
32%
21
18%
47
28%
-
7
39%
54
23%
7
38%
1
11%
6
31%
6
13%
14
23%
11
19%
11
25%
5
18%
4
16%
20
17%
31
18%
2KL
100%
4
21%
46
19%
3
18%
1
7%
2
12%
13
29%
18
31%
22
38%
17
39%
13
48%
10
46%
53
46%
60
36%
-
3
15%
102N
43%
4
22%
1
7%
6
34%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
28
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q21. Area of the state
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
Portland Metro
152
50%
152CD
100%
-
-
64
51%
-
Willamette Valley
76
25%
-
76BD
100%
Rest of State
76
25%
-
-
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
88
49%
15
56%
35
58%
57
51%
44
43%
26
44%
65
50%
61
53%
24
20%
52
29%
4
15%
11
18%
29
26%
32
31%
17
29%
31
24%
28
24%
76BC 37
100% 29%
39
22%
8
29%
15
24%
26
23%
27
26%
15
27%
34
26%
27
23%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
29
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q21. Area of the state
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
Portland Metro
152
50%
33
44%
34
46%
83
55%
14
31%
24
41%
29
50%
Willamette Valley
76
25%
20
27%
17
23%
39
26%
13
29%
21J
35%
Rest of State
76
25%
22
30%
23
31%
30
20%
18H
40%
14H
24%
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
28EF
65%
15
55%
14E
63%
54
48%
86
51%
2
100%
6
34%
119
50%
8
43%
7
73%
11
63%
12
20%
12
28%
6
24%
2
8%
30
26%
44
26%
-
10OQ
53%
56
24%
6
31%
-
4
23%
17H
29%
3
8%
6
21%
7H
29%
29
26%
39
23%
-
2
13%
63
27%
5
26%
3
27%
2
14%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
30
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q22. What is the highest level of education that you have achieved?
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
6
2%
3
2%
3
3%
1
1%
4
3%
2
1%
High school diploma
or GED
69
23%
30
20%
18
23%
22
29%
30
24%
2-yr degree or
college
74
24%
34
22%
17
22%
23
30%
4-yr degree
88
29%
52D
34%
24D
32%
Graduate degree
64
21%
31
21%
15
20%
2
1%
2
1%
Less than high
school
Refused
-
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
3
3%
3
3%
2
4%
3
2%
1
1%
-
-
39
22%
7
24%
8
12%
22
20%
33HI
32%
16
27%
26
20%
28
24%
34
27%
40
22%
13IJ
49%
14
23%
28
25%
18
17%
15
27%
36
27%
22
19%
12
16%
27
22%
61E
34%
5
18%
24
39%
33
30%
26
25%
19
34%
38
29%
30
26%
18
23%
29
23%
36
20%
3
9%
15
25%
24
22%
22
21%
5
8%
27
20%
33K
28%
1
1%
1
1%
2
1%
1
1%
2
2%
1
1%
2
1%
-
-
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
31
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q22. What is the highest level of education that you have achieved?
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
Less than high
school
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
2
4%
2
4%
6
2%
6CD
8%
-
-
High school diploma
or GED
69
23%
69CD
92%
-
-
22FGHI 9
49%J 15%
2-yr degree or
college
74
24%
-
74BD
100%
-
12
28%
4-yr degree
88
29%
-
-
88BC
58%
Graduate degree
64
21%
-
-
64BC
42%
2
1%
-
-
Refused
-
58
100%
(G)
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
1
1%
6
3%
-
-
239
100%
(O)
-
-
15
26%
4
9%
2
9%
2
8%
29
25%
35
21%
-
2
13%
56
24%
3
17%
2
21%
5
28%
21HIJ 19HJ
34%
32%
5
11%
3
11%
2
8%
37L
33%
30
18%
-
5
27%
58
24%
4
19%
2
24%
5
25%
5
11%
17
28%
17E
30%
24EFG
54%
9E
36%
7
32%
26
23%
55
33%
2
100%
7
38%
64
27%
11OR
56%
4
41%
2
13%
4
9%
11
19%
7
12%
10
24%
12EFG 12EFGH 20
44%
51%
18%
41
24%
-
4
22%
53
22%
1
8%
-
6
33%
-
-
-
1
*
-
-
-
1
7%
-
1
1%
2
1%
1
7%
18
100%
(R)
1
1%
-
-
10
100%
(Q)
-
-
6
2%
19
100%
(P)
-
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
Note: Percentage less than 0.5 printed as *.
32
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q23. What was your total household income in 2015?
Area
------------------ Gender
Vote History
Port- Willa- Rest --------Age
----------------land mette Of
Male Fe- ----------------------- 0-1
2-3
4
Total Metro Valley State
male 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ of 4 of 4 of 4
----- ----- ------ ----- ---- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
152
100%
(B)
76
100%
(C)
76 125 179
100% 100% 100%
(D) (E) (F)
27
100%
(G)
61
100%
(H)
112
100%
(I)
103
100%
(J)
58
100%
(K)
131
100%
(L)
116
100%
(M)
Less than $25,000
44
15%
14
9%
13
17%
18B
23%
18
15%
26
14%
8I
29%
6
10%
12
11%
19
18%
15M
25%
17
13%
13
11%
$25,000 to less
than $50,000
60
20%
24
16%
21B
28%
14
19%
20
16%
40
22%
4
13%
16
26%
17
15%
24
24%
15
25%
27
21%
18
16%
$50,000 to less
than $75,000
58
19%
29
19%
12
16%
17
22%
24
19%
34
19%
9
33%
10
16%
22
20%
17
16%
12
21%
24
18%
22
19%
$75,000 to less
than $100,000
44
14%
28D
19%
12D
16%
3
4%
17
13%
27
15%
-
10
17%
23GJ
20%
11
11%
6
11%
20
16%
17
15%
$100,000 to less
than $150,000
26
9%
15
10%
6
8%
6
7%
9
7%
17
10%
-
5
9%
15
13%
6
6%
2
4%
11
9%
13
11%
More than $150,000
23
7%
14
9%
2
2%
7
9%
14F
11%
9
5%
1
5%
5
9%
11
9%
6
5%
1
2%
11
8%
10
9%
Refused
48
16%
28
18%
10
13%
11
15%
22
18%
26
15%
5
19%
9
15%
13
12%
21
20%
6
11%
20
16%
22
19%
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EF, GHIJ, KLM
33
DHM Research - Oregon Public Broadcasting/Fox 12: Oregon Primary Election Survey (Democrats High Young Tournout) - May 6-9, 2016
Q23. What was your total household income in 2015?
Education
Returned Ballot
----------------Income
-----------------------Q12: Trump Vs. Clinton
H.S.
-----------------------------------Not Yet Not
----------------------------Grad Some Coll
$25K- $50K- $75K- $100K- $150K
Returned Planning
ClinTotal Or < Coll Grad+ <$25K $50K $75K $100K $150K Or > Ballot Ballot
To Vote Trump ton
Other Skip
Und
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ------ -------- -------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----Total
304
100%
76
100%
(B)
74
100%
(C)
152
100%
(D)
44
100%
(E)
60
100%
(F)
58
100%
(G)
Less than $25,000
44
15%
23D
31%
12D
17%
9
6%
$25,000 to less
than $50,000
60
20%
11
15%
21
28%
28
19%
-
$50,000 to less
than $75,000
58
19%
15
20%
19
25%
24
16%
-
-
$75,000 to less
than $100,000
44
14%
5
6%
5
7%
34BC
23%
-
-
-
$100,000 to less
than $150,000
26
9%
2
3%
3
4%
21BC
14%
-
-
-
-
More than $150,000
23
7%
2
2%
2
3%
19BC
12%
-
-
-
-
-
Refused
48
16%
17D
23%
12
17%
16
11%
-
-
-
-
-
44FGHI 100%J
44
100%
(H)
26
100%
(I)
23
100%
(J)
114
100%
(K)
168
100%
(L)
2
100%
(M)
18
100%
(N)
239
100%
(O)
19
100%
(P)
10
100%
(Q)
18
100%
(R)
-
-
-
-
17
15%
27
16%
-
4
21%
30
13%
3
14%
4O
41%
4
20%
60EGHI 100%J
-
-
-
22
20%
34
20%
-
5
26%
45
19%
4
22%
4
41%
2
13%
58EFHI 100%J
-
-
27
24%
25
15%
-
2
11%
51
21%
2
13%
1
11%
1
7%
-
-
15
14%
25
15%
2KL
100%
6O
30%
31
13%
3
14%
-
5
28%
26EFGH 100%J
5
5%
19
11%
-
1
6%
23
10%
1
7%
-
1
5%
4
4%
19K
11%
-
-
17
7%
3
16%
-
3
17%
22
20%
20
12%
-
1
5%
42
18%
3
15%
1
7%
2
10%
44EFGI
100%J
23EFGH
100%I
-
--------------------------------(sig=.05) (all_pairs) columns tested BCD, EFGHIJ, KLM, NOPQR
34