APEC Energy Demand and Supply Outlook – 5th Edition
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Non-Energy Sector Demand
N O N - E N E RG Y S E C T O R
DEMAND
APEC NON-ENERGY DEMAND
‘Non-energy demand’ refers to demand for fuels
that are used as raw materials and not consumed as a
source of energy or transformed into another fuel.
This would include the manufacture of products such
as bitumen (used in road asphalt and various building
materials), lubricants, solvents, paraffin waxes, and
ammonia (used for making fertilizers). It would also
include feedstocks for the production of various
petrochemicals (IEA et al, 2005, pp. 29 and 67).
Petrochemicals are the building blocks for a wide
variety of products including plastic, paints,
adhesives, artificial fibres, and detergents (AFPM,
2012).
Non-Energy Demand by Economy
Figures 7.1 and 7.2 show the projected nonenergy demand by energy type for each APEC
economy during the outlook period, from 2010 to
2035. The large difference in vertical axis scales
between the two graphs demonstrates the
considerable difference in non-energy demand
between larger and smaller non-energy consuming
economies.
The economies that will likely post the highest
non-energy use by 2035 are China, the United States
and Russia. The combined non-energy use of these
three economies represents over 60% of the total
non-energy consumption of the APEC region.
Of the four final demand sectors, non-energy
demand accounts for the smallest share of the APEC
final energy demand, about 10% in 2010. However, it
is projected to grow under business-as-usual (BAU)
assumptions at a similar rate to total industry energy
demand, about 1.3% per year. Specifically,
consumption is projected to grow from 479 Mtoe in
2010 to 662 Mtoe in 2035.
Oil meets the largest share of non-energy
demand in most APEC economies. However, the gas
share is larger than the oil share in Russia, Indonesia,
Peru, Chile, and Brunei Darussalam.
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APEC Energy Demand and Supply Outlook – 5th Edition
Non-Energy Sector Demand
Figure 7.1: Non-Energy Demand, Larger Non-Energy Consuming Economies
180
Coal
Oil
Gas
160
140
MTOE
120
100
80
60
40
20
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
-
PRC
US
RUS
ROK
JPN
THA
CDA
CT
INA
SIN
Oil
Gas
Source: APERC Analysis (2012)
Figure 7.2: Non-Energy Demand, Smaller Non-Energy Consuming Economies
16
Coal
14
12
MTOE
10
8
6
4
2
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
-
MEX
VN
AUS
MAS
PE
CHL
Source: APERC Analysis (2012)
76
BD
HKC
NZ
RP
PNG
APEC Energy Demand and Supply Outlook – 5th Edition
Non-Energy Sector Demand
Per Capita Non-Energy Demand by Economy
2010 to 2035. The economies with the largest per
capita demand are those with relatively large
petrochemical industries: Singapore, Chinese Taipei,
Brunei Darussalam, and Korea.
Figures 7.3 and 7.4 show the projected per
capita non-energy demand by energy type for each
APEC economy during the outlook period, from
Figure 7.3: Per Capita Non-Energy Demand by Energy Source, Larger Non-Energy Per Capita Consuming
Economies
2.5
Coal
Oil
Gas
2.0
TOE/Person
1.5
1.0
0.5
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
-
SIN
CT
BD
ROK
RUS
CDA
US
THA
JPN
AUS
Source: APERC Analysis (2012)
Figure 7.4: Per Capita Non-Energy Demand by Energy Source, Smaller Non-Energy Per Capita Consuming
Economies
0.3
Coal
Oil
Gas
TOE/person
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
2010
2020
2035
-
MAS
PRC
MEX
CHL
NZ
Source: APERC Analysis (2012)
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VN
INA
HKC
PE
RP
PNG
APEC Energy Demand and Supply Outlook – 5th Edition
Non-Energy Sector Demand
REFERENCES
AFPM (American Fuel & Petrochemical
Manufacturers) (2012), Chart of Products Made from
Petrochemicals, www.afpm.org/petrochemicals/
IEA et al (International Energy Agency, Organisation
for Economic Co-operation and Development,
and Eurostat) (2005), Energy Statistics Manual,
www.iea.org/stats/docs/statistics_manual.pdf
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