Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) General Overview Alberta has a strong and growing trade relationship with the 10 countries that comprise the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN): Singapore; Indonesia; Malaysia; the Philippines; Thailand; Brunei; Cambodia; Laos; Myanmar (Burma); and Vietnam. With a combined population of more than 620 million people, ASEAN already represents a significant trade destination for Alberta’s exports. ASEAN currently ranks as the fourth largest trade destination for Alberta products (2014 figures) – after the USA, China and Japan – with two regional markets (Indonesia, Singapore) ranking in top 25 countries for Alberta exports. With a younger population, rapid urbanization and a growing middle class, Southeast Asia has an immense growth potential for Alberta companies of all sizes. The rapidly growing domestic consumer market has resulted in an increased demand for the products Alberta businesses offer – such as agricultural and agri-food. As well, the increase in manufacturing and urbanization is leading to an increase in energy needs and services. Southeast Asia remains one of the most rapidly growing regions of the global economy supported by strong domestic consumption and investment while also remaining a major global hub of manufacturing and trade. Alberta’s exports to the Southeast Asian region have grown by 13.5 per cent since 2010, totalling more than CAD $1 billion worth of goods and services. Economic Overview As of 2014, ASEAN’s gross domestic product (GDP) stands at USD $2.4 trillion while its per capita GDP is USD $3,832. It is the second-fastest growing economy in Asia, after China, with the ASEAN economy having expanded 300 per cent since 2001. To further economic integration within the region, ASEAN created the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) with the goal of establishing a common market amongst member countries by the end of 2015. In addition to the AEC, the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) was created in 1992 to promote the free flow of goods between member states. The goals of AFTA are to create a single market and production base that will allow the Southeast Asia region to fully integrate into the global economy. ASEAN countries are lowering their import duties with member nations with a goal of having zero import duties by 2015. . A major challenge within ASEAN is the significant economic variation amongst its members. As noted by McKinsey & Company, GDP per capita in Singapore is more than 30 times higher than in Laos and more than 50 times higher than in Cambodia and Myanmar. Indonesia represents almost 40 per cent of the region’s economic output and is a member of the G20, while Myanmar, emerging from decades of isolation, is still a frontier market working to build its institutions. Export Development Canada regards Southeast Asia as a high priority strategic region when economic growth and development will exceed the global average for the next several years. It should be noted that while the Southeast Asia region macroeconomic framework and regional/international economic policy engagement are stable, the day-to-day business environment remains challenging for many firms. Market Opportunities There is an opportunity to grow Alberta trade across all sectors. The ASEAN region has a growing demand for niche, value-added products and other agricultural inputs, which Alberta has the capacity to supply. ASEAN countries are midsized economies and (in the case of Singapore and Malaysia in particular) relatively easy to penetrate even for Alberta SMEs. They can also provide a solid base from which Alberta companies can expand business into the broader Asian market. Alberta exporters can execute a market entry strategy targeting one of the Southeast Asian or Oceania economies followed by building a broader Asian footprint. The region also represents a potentially significant source of capital and investment into Alberta. This includes the potential for sizable investments by sovereign wealth funds (in infrastructure, natural resources), state controlled energy companies (oil and gas and oil sands) and family funds, as well as smaller private sector investments (in infrastructure, food processing and distribution, tourism and technology for example). Alberta - ASEAN Relations ASEAN was Alberta’s fifth largest market for agri-food exports in 2014. Alberta’s agri-food exports to ASEAN were valued at $289 million. Indonesia was the number one ASEAN market for Alberta agri-food exports ($187.1 million), followed by Singapore ($36.9 million), the Philippines ($25.6 million) and Thailand ($15.1 million). Alberta and Singapore also enjoy strong links through research and education agreements, as well as a strong level of trade and investment in the energy and agriculture sectors. These ties are enhanced by the hundreds of Singaporeans who have chosen to study, work and reside in Alberta and the many Albertans who reside in Singapore. In order to strengthen Alberta's position in priority international markets and better support Alberta companies, the Alberta Singapore Office was opened in January 2014 and serves as a regional hub to access Singapore and other priority markets in Southeast Asia. The office was established to promote Alberta’s business interests, attract investments to Alberta and educate local stakeholders on Alberta’s key sectors and international priorities. 2 Demographics, Language and Culture Overview Many ASEAN countries are experiencing rapidly growing populations of working-age adults, which when combined with low mortality and fertility rates, means that there is the opportunity for strong economic growth in the medium and long-term. At current growth rates, Southeast Asia’s working-age population will account for 68 per cent of the region’s total population by 2025. Indonesia, Vietnam, Malaysia and the Philippines are expected to experience doubledigit labour force growth through 2020 and beyond. The Southeast Asia region is a diverse mix of ethnicities, religions, languages and economies, both in size and in maturity. Philippines is more than 80 per cent Roman Catholic, while Indonesia is almost 90 per cent Muslim, and Thailand is more than 95 per cent Buddhist. While English is to be the “working language of ASEAN”, the region currently has more than 1,000 languages and dialects. This diversity means that neither the Alberta government nor Alberta companies can look at this region as a monolithic block: a once-size-fits-all strategy will not work in this region. As well, this diversity means that the barriers to enter the overall Southeast Asia market is higher when compared to expanding into a single country and companies should be aware of local preferences and cultural sensitivities. Free Trade Agreements An important strategic factor to consider in the ASEAN is its stance on trade liberalization. The ASEAN nations are focused on deeper integration among its member states through the Economic Community integration plan, which aims to create an ASEAN Economic Comm unity (AEC) allowing the freer movement of goods, services, skilled labour and capital amongst member countries. ASEAN countries are involved in two major multilateral trade agreement negotiations: the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). To date four ASEAN countries are involved in the TPP: Singapore, Brunei, Malaysia and Vietnam along with United States, Mexico, Canada, Chile, Peru, Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. RCEP’s discussions include all 10 ASEAN countries plus China, Japan, South Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand. In October 2011, Canada and ASEAN signed the Joint Declaration between ASEAN and Canada on Trade and Investment to enhance economic relations between the two areas. For further information please contact: Alberta Singapore Office The High Commission of Canada One George Street, #11-01 Singapore 049145 Phone: 011-65-6854-5838 Email: [email protected] July 2015 3
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