Documentos CEDE ISSN 1657-7191 Edición electrónica. The Political Economy of Rural Property Rights and the Persistence of the Dual Economy Leopoldo Fergusson 09 JUNIO DE 2012 CEDE 1 Centro de Estudios sobre Desarrollo Económico Serie Documentos Cede, 2012-09 ISSN 1657-7191 Edición electrónica. Junio de 2012 © 2012, Universidad de los Andes–Facultad de Economía–CEDE Calle 19A No. 1 – 37 Este, Bloque W. Bogotá, D. C., Colombia Teléfonos: 3394949- 3394999, extensiones 2400, 2049, 3233 [email protected] http://economia.uniandes.edu.co Ediciones Uniandes Carrera 1ª Este No. 19 – 27, edificio Aulas 6, A. A. 4976 Bogotá, D. C., Colombia Teléfonos: 3394949- 3394999, extensión 2133, Fax: extensión 2158 [email protected] Edición y prensa digital: Cadena S.A. • Bogotá Calle 17 A Nº 68 - 92 Tel: 57(4) 405 02 00 Ext. 307 Bogotá, D. 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CEDE Centro de Estudios sobre Desarrollo Económico The Political Economy of Rural Property Rights and the the Dual Economy The PoliticalPersistence Economy of Rural Property Rights and the Persistence of the Dual Economy Leopoldo Fergusson∗ Leopoldo Fergusson June 20, 2012 ∗ June 20, 2012 Abstract If property rights in land are so beneficial,Abstract why are they not adopted more widely? I propose a theory based on the idea that limited property rights over peasants’ plots may be supported byproperty elite landowners (who are depend on peasants achievemore two widely? goals. First, like If rights in land so beneficial, why for are labour) they nottoadopted I propose other distortions as taxation, limited property rights peasants’ income their a theory based onsuch the idea that limited property rights overreduce peasants’ plots may be from supported ownelite plots, generating(who a cheap labour Second, unlike theygoals. force peasants to by landowners depend onforce. peasants for and labour) to taxation, achieve two First, like remaindistortions in the ruralsuch sector protect limited their property, if job opportunities the urban other as to taxation, propertyeven rights reduce peasants’appear incomeinfrom their sector. Thegenerating theory identifies under whichand weak property rights institutions emerge, own plots, a cheapconditions labour force. Second, unlike taxation, they force peasants to providing a specific mechanism for the endogenous persistence of inefficient rural institutions as remain in the rural sector to protect their property, even if job opportunities appear in the urban development unfolds. It also predicts a non-monotonic relationship the quality emerge, of rural sector. The theory identifies conditions under which weak propertybetween rights institutions property rights and mechanism land in the for hands peasants. persistence of inefficient rural institutions as providing a specific the of endogenous development unfolds. It also predicts a non-monotonic relationship between the quality of rural JEL classification: O1;hands O10; of P16 property rights andH2; landN10; in the peasants. Keywords: Political economy; institutions; economic development; taxation; property rights; land;classification: dualism JEL H2; N10; O1; O10; P16 Keywords: Political economy; institutions; economic development; taxation; property rights; land; dualism ∗ Universidad de los Andes, Department of Economics, Calle 19A No. 1-37 Este Bloque W, Of W-812, Bogotá, Colombia, Email: [email protected], Tel: +571 339 4949 Ext 2439, Fax: +571 332 4492. I thank Daron Acemoglu, Abhijit Banerjee, and James Robinson for advice and many useful discussions. I also thank Ximena ∗ Universidad de los Andes, Department of Economics, Calle 19A No. 1-37 Este Bloque W, Of W-812, Bogotá, Cadena, Sarah Hamilton, Ana Marı́a Ibáñez, Samuel Pienknagura, and Juan Fernando Vargas for comments. Two Colombia, Email: [email protected], Tel: +571 339 4949 Ext 2439, Fax: +571 332 4492. I thank Daron anonymous referees, seminar participants at the MIT political economy breakfast, MIT development lunch, the 2010 Acemoglu, Abhijit Banerjee, and James Robinson for advice and many useful discussions. I also thank Ximena Midwestern Political Science Association, and members of the Political Economy and the Economic History/Historical Cadena, Sarah Hamilton, Ana Marı́a Ibáñez, Samuel Pienknagura, and Juan Fernando Vargas for comments. Two Development (EHHD) groups at Harvard-MIT also provided useful suggestions. In particular, I thank Dave Donaldanonymous referees, seminar participants at the MIT political economy breakfast, MIT development lunch, the 2010 son, Esther Duflo, Rachel Glennerster, Gina M.S. Lambright, Carl Levan and Benjamin Olken. Financial support Midwestern Political Science Association, and members of the Political Economy and the Economic History/Historical from the Central Bank of Colombia is gratefully acknowledged. Development (EHHD) groups at Harvard-MIT also provided useful suggestions. In particular, I thank Dave Donaldson, Esther Duflo, Rachel Glennerster, Gina M.S. Lambright, Carl Levan and Benjamin Olken. Financial support from the Central Bank of Colombia is gratefully acknowledged. 1 La economı́a polı́tica de los derechos de propiedad rurales y la persistencia de la economı́a dual Leopoldo Fergusson∗ Resumen Si los derechos de propiedad sobre la tierra son tan benéficos, ¿Por qué no se establecen con mayor frecuencia? Este documento propone una teorı́a en la que derechos de propiedad limitados para las parcelas de los campesinos pueden ser defendidos por una elite terrateniente (que depende del trabajo de los campesinos) con dos objetivos en mente. Primero, como otras distorsiones como la tributación, los derechos de propiedad incompletos reducen el ingreso de los campesinos en sus parcelas, generando una mano de obra barata. Segundo, y contrario a la tributación, obligan a los campesinos a quedarse en el sector rural para cuidar su propiedad, inclusive si aparecen oportunidades de trabajo en el sector urbano. La teorı́a identifica condiciones bajo las cuales surgen instituciones débiles de derechos de propiedad, sugiriendo un mecanismo especı́fico para la persistencia endógena de instituciones rurales ineficientes a medida que se da el desarrollo económico. También predice una relación no monotona entre la calidad de los derechos de propiedad rurales y la cantidad de tierra en manos de los campesinos. Clasificación JEL: H2, N10, O1, O10, P16 Palabras clave: Economı́a polı́tica, instituciones, desarrollo económico, tributación, derechos de propiedad, tierra, economı́a dual ∗ Profesor Asistente, Economı́a, Universidad de los Andes, Calle 19A No 1-37 Este, Bloque W, Bogotá, Colombia, Email: [email protected], Tel: +571 339 4949 Ext 2439, Fax: +571 332 4492. 2 1 1 1 A 1 The fact that the wage level in the capitalist sector depends upon earnings in the subsisThe fact thatisthe wage levelofinimmense the capitalist sector depends upon the tence sector sometimes political importance, sinceearnings its effectin thatsubsiscapiThe fact thatisthe wage levelofinimmense the capitalist sector depends upon earnings inis the subsistence sector sometimes political importance, since its effect is that capitalists have direct interest in holding downsector theimportance, productivity of the subsistence workers The fact thataisthe wage levelofin the capitalist depends upon earnings inisthe subsistence sector sometimes immense political since its effect that capitalists have aisdirect interest down theimportance, productivity of the subsistence workers (...) In actual fact the record ofholding every imperial power in Africa inits modern iscapione tence sector sometimes ofin immense political since effect times is that talists have a direct interest in holding down the productivity of the subsistence workers (...) Inhave actual fact the recordinofholding every imperial power in Africa in modern times isorone of impoverishing the subsistence economy, either by taking away the people’s land, by talists a direct interest down the productivity of the subsistence workers (...) In actual fact the record of economy, every imperial power in Africa in modern times isorone of impoverishing the subsistence either by taking away the people’s land, by demanding forced labour in theofcapitalist sector, or imposing taxes to drive people to (...) In actual fact the record every imperial in Africa times isorone of impoverishing the subsistence economy, eitherpower by by taking away in themodern people’s land, by demanding forced labour in the capitalist sector, or by imposing taxes to drive people to work for capitalist employers. of impoverishing the subsistence economy, either by taking away the people’s land, or by demanding forced labour in the capitalist sector, or by imposing taxes to drive people to work for capitalist employers. demanding forced labour in the capitalist sector, or by imposing taxes to drive people to work for capitalist employers. Sir W. Arthur Lewis, 1954 work for capitalist employers. Sir W. Arthur Lewis, 1954 Sir W. Arthur Lewis, 1954 Sir W. Arthur Lewis, 1954 Introduction Introduction Introduction central question in political Introduction economy concerns the persistence of inefficient institutions. This A central question in political economy concerns the persistence of inefficient institutions. This paper addresses thisinissue in theeconomy context of rural property rights. Property rightsinstitutions. over land areThis key A central question political concerns the persistence of inefficient paper addresses thisinissue in theeconomy context of rural property rights. Property rightsinstitutions. over land areThis key A central question political concerns the persistence of inefficient because the ruralthis sectors less-developed countriesrights. are characterized by poor paper addresses issue of in many the context of rural property Property rights over specification land are key because the ruralthis sectors of many less-developed countriesrights. are characterized by poor paper addresses issue in the context of rural Property rights over specification land are key and weak of of property rights. Moreproperty specifically, areas in developing countries because theenforcement rural sectors many less-developed countries are rural characterized by poor specification and weak enforcement of property rights. More specifically, rural areas in developing countries because the history rural sectors of many countries are characterized bythan poorone specification throughout and of even todayless-developed frequently involve the coexistence of more regime of and weak enforcement property rights. More specifically, rural areas in developing countries throughout history and of even today frequently involve the coexistence of more than one regime of and weak enforcement property rights. More specifically, rural areas in developing countries property rights andand production. A frequently more “modern” of “capitalist” landowners, large throughout history even today involvegroup the coexistence of more than onewith regime of property rights andand production. A frequently more “modern” of “capitalist” landowners, with large throughout history even today involvegroup the coexistence of more than one regime of farms around institutions of private property, coexists with a more “traditional” or “subsistence” property rights and production. A more “modern” group of “capitalist” landowners, with large farms around of private property, coexistsgroup with of a more “traditional” or “subsistence” property rightsinstitutions andwho production. more “modern” “capitalist” landowners, with large group around of peasants, farm smallAplots with limited rights. farms institutions of private property, coexistsproperty with a more “traditional” or “subsistence” group around of peasants, who farm small plots with limited property rights. farms institutions of private property, coexists with a more “traditional” “subsistence” At of thepeasants, same time, broad consensus that individual, well-specified and or secure property group whothere farmissmall plots with limited property rights. At of thepeasants, same time, there issmall broad consensus that individual, well-specified and secure property group who farm plots with limited property rights. rights productive assets,is and land in particular, improve economic outcomes. Of course, this At over the same time, there broad consensus that individual, well-specified and secure property rights over productive assets,is and land in particular, improve economic outcomes. Of course, this At the same time, there broad consensus that individual, well-specified and secure property impliesover thatproductive the “dual”assets, structure agricultural sector may cause low productivity, and rights and within land in the particular, improve economic outcomes. Of course, this impliesover thatproductive the “dual”assets, structure within the agricultural sector may cause low productivity, and rights and land in particular, improve economic outcomes. Of course, this raises some Why aren’t private property rights adopted more low widely? Why did this implies thatkey thequestions: “dual” structure within the agricultural sector may cause productivity, and raises some key Why aren’t private property rights adopted more low widely? Why did this implies that thequestions: “dual” structure within the agricultural sector may cause productivity, and socially sub-optimal organization emerge? Why did it persist? raises some key questions: Why aren’t private property rights adopted more widely? Why did this socially sub-optimal organization emerge? Why did it persist? raises key questions: Why private rightsa adopted widely?rural Whyproperty did this In some this paper, I examine thesearen’t questions andproperty put theory ofmore endogenous socially sub-optimal organization emerge? Why did forward it persist? In this paper, I examine these questions and put a theory of endogenous rural property socially sub-optimal organization emerge? did forward it persist? rights. The theoryI rests on the premise thatWhy politically powerful landowners use theirrural power to imIn this paper, examine these questions and put forward a theory of endogenous property rights. Thepaper, theoryI rests on the premise thatand politically powerful landowners use theirrural power to imIn this examine these questions put forward a theory of endogenous property poverish thetheory subsistence to offer them cheap labour. Admittedly, landowners rights. The rests sector on theforcing premisepeasants that politically powerful landowners use their power to impoverishThe thetheory subsistence sector forcing peasants to offer them cheap labour. Admittedly, landowners rights. rests on the premise that politically powerful landowners use their power to im-I can hold the (and have held)sector downforcing the productivity thethem subsistence sector Admittedly, in various ways. Still, poverish subsistence peasants to of offer cheap labour. landowners can hold the (and have held)sector downforcing the productivity thethem subsistence sector Admittedly, in various ways. Still, I poverish subsistence peasants to of offer cheap labour. landowners argue that(and limited rights especially attractive because, unlikeinother distortions suchI can hold haveproperty held) down theare productivity of the subsistence sector various ways. Still, argue that(and limited property rights are especially of attractive because,sector unlikeinother distortions suchI can hold have held) down the productivity the subsistence various ways. Still, as taxation, they achieve an rights additional goal: theyattractive tie peasants to land. Imperfect property rights argue that limited property are especially because, unlike other distortions such as taxation, they achieve an rights additional goal: theyattractive tie peasants to land. Imperfect property rights argue that limited property are especially because, unlike other distortions such force peasants to remain agricultural their property. as taxation, they achieve in anthe additional goal:sector they to tie protect peasants to land. Imperfect property rights force peasants to remain in the agricultural sector to protect their property. as taxation, they economy achieve an additional goal:that they tie peasants to land. political Imperfect property Inpeasants the model is an elite land and power. Therights elite force to remain in there the agricultural sectorowns to protect theirholds property. In the model economy there is an elite that owns land and holds political power. The elite force peasants to remain in the agricultural sector to protect their property. usesInitsthe political to tax peasants and that to setowns property institutions peasants’ model power economy there is an elite land rights and holds politicalinpower. Thefarms. elite usesInitsthe political power to tax peasants and that to setowns property rights institutions inpower. peasants’ model economy there is an elite land and holds political Thefarms. elite Peasants, on the other hand, are the only source of labour. Peasants can work on their own farms, uses its political power to tax peasants and to set property rights institutions in peasants’ farms. Peasants, on the power other hand, the only source of property labour. Peasants can work on own farms. farms, uses itsrural political to taxare peasants and tosector. set rights institutions in their peasants’ for the or migrate alternative The alternative sector may anyown other that Peasants, on elite, the other hand, to areanthe only source of labour. Peasants can work onbe their farms, for the rural elite, or migrate to anthe alternative sector. The alternative sector may be anyown other that Peasants, on the other hand, are only source of labour. Peasants can work on their farms, competes with landowners fortolabour and require peasants’ outmigration. is natural think of for the rural elite, or migrate an alternative sector. The alternative sectorItmay be anyto other that competes with landowners fortolabour and require peasants’ outmigration. Itmay is natural to think of for the rural elite, or migrate an alternative sector. The alternative sector be any other that it as the “urban sector,” and associate increase in the outmigration. urban wage with competes with landowners fortolabour and an require peasants’ It is“modernization.” natural to think of it as the “urban sector,” and associate an increase in the outmigration. urban wage with competes with landowners fortolabour require peasants’ It is“modernization.” natural to think of choosing property theand elite the following trade off. with Bad property rights may it asWhen the “urban sector,” andrights, to associate anfaces increase in the urban wage “modernization.” choosing property the elite the following trade off. with Bad “modernization.” property rights may it asWhen the “urban sector,” andrights, to associate anfaces increase in the urban wage When choosing property rights, the elite faces the following trade off. Bad property rights may When choosing property rights, the elite faces1 the following trade off. Bad property rights may 1 1 1 3 Peasants, on the other hand, are the only source of labour. Peasants can work on their own farms, for the rural elite, or migrate to an alternative sector. The alternative sector may be any other that competes with landowners for labour and require peasants’ outmigration. It is natural to think of it as the “urban sector,” and to associate an increase in the urban wage with “modernization.” When choosing property rights, the elite faces the following trade off. Bad property rights may be beneficial for the elite since they increase the cost of migration and reduce the returns to labor be beneficial for the elite since they increase the cost of migration and reduce the returns to labor be beneficial for the eliteThese since they increase the 1increase cost of migration and reduce returns to labor in the peasants’ farms. factors, in turn, labour supply to thethe elite’s farms. Bad be beneficial for the eliteThese since they increase the increase cost of migration and reduce returns to labor in the peasants’ farms. factors, in turn, labour supply to thethe elite’s farms. Bad be beneficial for the elite since they increase the cost of migration and reduce the returns to labor in the peasants’ farms. These factors, in turn, increase labour supply to the elite’s farms. Bad property rights, however, also reduce agricultural productivity, and hence the tax base used to in the peasants’ farms. These factors,agricultural in turn, increase labour supply to the elite’s farms. Bad property rights, however, also reduce productivity, and hence the tax base used to in the peasants’ farms. These factors, in turn, increase labour supply to the elite’s farms. Bad property rights, however, also reduce agricultural productivity, and hence the tax base used to finance redistribution to the elite. propertyredistribution rights, however, also reduce agricultural productivity, and hence the tax base used to finance to the elite. property rights, however, also reduce agricultural productivity, and hence the optimally tax base used to finance to the elite. The redistribution model’s key predictions the conditions under which the elite set bad finance redistribution to the elite.concern The model’s key predictions concern the conditions under which the elite optimally set bad finance tothe theelite elite.extracts The redistribution model’s concern revenue the conditions whichcheap the elite optimally bad property rights. key Sincepredictions both byunder producing labour and byset raising The model’s key predictions concern revenue the conditions under whichcheap the elite optimally set bad property rights. Since the elite extracts both by producing labour and by raising Thethe model’s key concern the conditions whichincheap the elite optimally set bad property rights. Sincepredictions the elite of extracts revenue both byunder producing labour and by raising taxes, importance of each these sources of rents is crucial determining it’s choice of property rights. Since the elite of extracts revenue of both by is producing cheap labour and by raising taxes, the importance of each these sources rents crucial in determining it’s choice of property rights. Since the elite extracts revenue both by producing cheap labour and by raising taxes, therights importance of each these sources influencing of rents is this crucial in determining it’s choice of property institutions. Theof key parameters decision are urban wages, the size taxes, the importance of each of these sources of rents is crucial in determining it’s choice of property rights institutions. Theofkey parameters influencing this decision are urban wages, the size taxes, therights importance of each these sources(it’s of rents crucial in determining it’s choice of property institutions. The key parameters influencing this decision are urban wages, the size of peasants’ plots, and the elite’s fiscal capacity abilityis to raise taxes). property rights institutions. The key parameters influencing this decision are urban wages, the size of peasants’ plots, and the elite’s fiscal capacity (it’s ability to raise taxes). property rights institutions. The key parameters influencing thisraise decision are urbanrights wages, the size of peasants’ plots, the predicts elite’s fiscal capacity (it’s abilityare to taxes). Specifically, theand model that when urban property prevail as of peasants’ plots, and the predicts elite’s fiscal capacity (it’s wages abilityare to low, raisegood taxes). Specifically, the model that when urban wages low, good property rights prevail as of peasants’ plots, and the elite’s fiscal capacity (it’s ability to raise taxes). Specifically, the model predicts tax thatpeasants. when urban wages are low, good property rights to prevail as longSpecifically, as landowners can effectively Intuitively, in this case the elite wants impose the model predicts tax thatpeasants. when urban wages are property rights to prevail as longSpecifically, as landowners can effectively Intuitively, in low, this good case the elite wants impose the model predicts that when urban wages are low, good property rights prevail as long as landowners can effectively tax peasants. Intuitively, in this to case the elite wantsfrom to impose high as taxes on income from peasants’ both for tax revenue getthe more them. long landowners can effectively taxplots peasants. Intuitively, in and this to case elitelabour wantsfrom to impose high taxes on income from peasants’ plots both for tax revenue and get more labour them. long as landowners can effectively tax peasants. Intuitively, in this case the elite wants to impose high taxes on income from peasants’ plots both for tax revenue and to get more labour from them. A relatively high tax rate, in turn, compels the elite to prioritize extracting resources via taxation. high taxes onhigh income from in peasants’ plots both for tax revenue and to get more labourvia from them. A relatively tax rate, turn, compels the elite to prioritize extracting resources taxation. high taxes income from peasants’ plots for tax revenue and toinget more labour from them. A relatively high tax rate, in turn, compels the elite to prioritize extracting resources via taxation. Thus, whenonhigh selecting property rights, the both elite is mostly interested increasing productivity to A relatively tax rate, in turn, compels the elite to prioritize extracting resources via taxation. Thus, when selecting property rights, the elite is mostly interested in increasing productivity to A relatively high tax rate, in turn, compels the elite to prioritize extracting resources via taxation. Thus, when selecting property rights, the elite is mostly interested in increasing productivity to increase tax selecting revenues, property rather than in reducing returns to labor in theinpeasants’ farms to increase Thus, when rights, the elite is mostly interested increasing productivity to increase tax revenues, rather than in reducing returns to labor in the peasants’ farms to increase Thus, when property rights, thegood elitereturns is mostly interested increasing productivity to increase tax selecting revenues, rather than in reducing to labor in theinpeasants’ farms to increase labor supply. This entices thethan elite to reducing set property Hence, with low farms urban wages and increase tax revenues, rather in returns torights. labor in the peasants’ to increase labor supply. This entices the elite to set good property rights. Hence, with low urban wages and increase taxthreat revenues, rather labor in the increase labor supply. This entices thethan elite in to reducing set good returns property rights. Hence, with low farms urban wages and no effective outmigration elitetoonly selects badpeasants’ property rightsto if its fiscal labor supply. This of entices the eliteby topeasants, set good the property rights. Hence, with low urban wages and no effective threat of outmigration by peasants, the elite only selects bad property rights if its fiscal labor supply. This entices the elite to set good property rights. Hence, with low urban wages and no effective threat of outmigration by peasants, the elite only selects bad property rights if its fiscal capacity is very limited. no effective threat of outmigration by peasants, the elite only selects bad property rights if its fiscal capacity is very limited. no effective threat of outmigration the elite only selects bad rights if its fiscal capacity is very limited. The implications of this theoryby atpeasants, higher levels of modernization areproperty markedly different. The capacity is very limited. The implications of this theory at higher levels of modernization are markedly different. The capacity is very limited. Theisimplications ofeffective this theory at of higher levels increasing of modernization are markedly different. The reason that, with an threat migration, taxes on peasants’ income no longer Theisimplications ofeffective this theory at of higher levels increasing of modernization are markedly different. The reason that, with anof threat migration, taxes onare peasants’ income no longer The implications this theory at higher levels of modernization markedly different. The reason isthem that, to with an for effective threat ofOn migration, increasing taxes the on peasants’ income no longer induces work landowners. the contrary, it reduces attractiveness of rural arreason isthem that, to with an for effective threat ofOn migration, increasing taxes the on peasants’ income no longer induces work landowners. the contrary, it reduces attractiveness of no rural arreason is that, with an effective threat of migration, increasing taxes on peasants’ income longer induces them to work for landowners. On the contrary, it reduces the attractiveness of rural areas and the ensuing migration decreases labour input for landowners. Thus, when hoping to avoid induces them to work for landowners. On the contrary, it reduces theThus, attractiveness of rural areas and the ensuing migration decreases labour input for landowners. when hoping to avoid induces them to work for landowners. On the contrary, it reduces theThus, attractiveness ofbecome rural areas andforce the ensuing migration decreases labour input for landowners. when hoping to avoid labour migration, the elite will choose minimal taxation. This implies tax revenues an eas andforce the ensuing migration decreases labour input for landowners. Thus, when hoping to avoid labour migration, the elitedecreases will choose minimal taxation. This implies tax revenues become an eas and the ensuing migration labour input for landowners. Thus, when hoping to avoid labour force migration, the elite will choose minimal taxation. This implies tax revenues become an unimportant componentthe of elite landowner’s income, muting incentives to adopt good property rights. labour force migration, will choose minimal taxation. This implies tax revenues become an unimportant component of landowner’s income, muting incentives to adopt good property rights. labour force migration, the will choose minimal taxation. Thiselite implies tax revenues become an unimportant component of elite landowner’s income, muting incentives to adopt good property rights. To avoid migration and extract more labour from peasants, the select poor property rights unimportant component of landowner’s income, muting incentives to adopt good property rights. To avoid migration and extract more labour from peasants, the elite select good poor property property rights. rights unimportant component of landowner’s income, muting incentives to adopt To avoid migration andprevails extract morepeasants labour from peasants, the elite select poor property rights institutions. This logic when own little land. If peasants own sufficient land, howTo avoid migration and extract more labour from peasants, the elite select poor property rights institutions. This logic prevails when peasants own little land. the If peasants ownpoor sufficient land,rights howTo avoid migration and extract more labour from peasants, elite select property institutions. logic prevails when farms peasants ownenough little land. peasants own sufficient land, however, taxable This income from peasants’ is high thatIf the elite assign greater importance institutions. This logic prevails when peasants own little land. If peasants own sufficient land, however, taxable This income from peasants’ farms is high enough thatIfthe elite assign greater importance institutions. logic prevails when peasants own little land. peasants own sufficient land,rights however, taxablefrom income from peasants’ farms is tax high enough that the elite assign greater importance to resources taxation. Thus, to increase revenues, the elite promote strong property ever, taxable income from peasants’ farms is highrevenues, enough that the elite assign greater importance to resources taxation. Thus, to increase the elite promote strong property rights ever, taxablefrom income from peasants’ farms is tax highrevenues, enough that the elite assign greater importance to resources from taxation. Thus, to increase tax the elite promote strong property rights for peasants. to resources from taxation. Thus, to increase tax revenues, the elite promote strong property rights forresources peasants.from to taxation. Thus, to increase tax revenues, the elite promote strong property rights for peasants. More precisely, the model predicts a non-monotonic relationship between the quality of rural for peasants. More precisely, the model predicts a non-monotonic relationship between the quality of rural for peasants. More rights precisely, modelland. predicts a non-monotonic relationship between quality property andthe peasant When peasants’ landholdings increase, they the work more of in rural their More rights precisely, the modelland. predicts a non-monotonic relationship between the quality of property and peasant When peasants’ landholdings increase, they work more in rural their More precisely, the model predicts a non-monotonic relationship between the quality of rural property rights and peasant land. When peasants’ landholdings increase, they work more in their own plots and less for landowners. Starting with very limited peasant landholdings, this initially property rights andfor peasant land. When peasants’ landholdings increase, they work more in their own plots and less landowners. Starting with very limited peasant landholdings, this initially property andfor peasant land. When peasants’ landholdings increase, they work more in their own plotsrights and landowners. Starting with very limited peasant thisHowever, initially strengthens theless rural incentives to reduce property rights in order tolandholdings, extract labour. own plots and less forelite’s landowners. Starting with very limited peasant landholdings, thisHowever, initially strengthens the rural elite’s incentives to reduce property rights in order to extract labour. own plots and less landowners. Starting with very limited peasant landholdings, thisHowever, initially strengthens the rural elite’s incentives to reduce property rightsincome in order extract labour. if sufficient land is for allocated to peasants, peasants’ taxable is to large enough and the elite strengthens the rural elite’s incentives to reduce property rightsincome in order to extract labour. However, if sufficient land is allocated to peasants, peasants’ taxable is large enough and the elite strengthens the rural elite’s incentives to reduce property rights in order to extract labour. However, if sufficient land issetting allocated toproperty peasants,rights peasants’ taxabletoincome is tax large enough and the elite prefers promoting good institutions increase revenues. if sufficient land is allocated to peasants, peasants’ taxable income is large enough and the elite prefers promoting setting good property rights institutions toincome increase revenues. if sufficient land isthe allocated toof peasants, peasants’ taxable is tax large enough and the elite prefers promoting setting good property rights institutions to and increase tax revenues. Therefore, in presence landowner political power a small subsistence sector, the prefers promoting setting good of property rightspolitical institutions to and increase tax revenues. Therefore, in the presence landowner power a small subsistence sector, the prefers promoting setting good property rights institutions to increase tax revenues. Therefore, presence of landowner power and a small subsistence sector, the theory suggestsin a the specific mechanism for the political endogenous persistence of bad rural institutions as Therefore, presence of landowner power and a small subsistence sector, the theory suggestsin a the specific mechanism for the political endogenous persistence of bad rural institutions as Therefore, in the presence of landowner political power and a small subsistence sector, the theory suggests a specific mechanism for the endogenous persistence of bad rural institutions as theory suggests a specific mechanism for the endogenous persistence of bad rural institutions as theory suggests a specific mechanism for the endogenous persistence of bad rural institutions as 2 2 2 2 42 development unfolds. This contrasts other theories of the dual economy in which the disappearance development unfolds. This contrasts other theories of the dual economy in which the disappearance of the subsistence sector a more orother less theories natural consequence of an exogenous process of capital development unfolds. Thisis contrasts of the dual economy in which the disappearance of the subsistence sector is a more or less natural consequence of an exogenous process of capital accumulation. In this sense, relates to underdevelopment theories of the “dependency” of the subsistence sector is a this morework or less natural consequence of anaffect exogenous process of capital informal property rights may “tie” households to property and labor decisions is accumulation. In this sense, this work relates totheir underdevelopment theories of market the “dependency” 1 . As Clarke (1975) puts it: “the ‘traditional’ social tradition, most notably applied to Africa accumulation. In this sense, this work relates to underdevelopment theories of the “dependency” 1 . She studied in amost different context by Field (2007). examines a large titling program in urban social Peru, As Clarke (1975) puts it: “the ‘traditional’ tradition, notably applied to Africa forms are not simply relics of thetopast but1 .have been necessary and integral to‘traditional’ the development, As Clarke (1975) puts it: “the social tradition, most notably applied Africa findingare that no legal claimbeen to property work hours they spend forms notsquatter simply families relics of with the past but have necessary andfewer integral to –since the development, maintenance and reproduction of peripheral capitalism (...) the and state, continues to development, support such forms are not simply relics of the past but have been necessary integral to the more hours per week maintaining tenure security– arestate, morecontinues likely to work inside their maintenance and reproduction of informal peripheral capitalism (...)and the to support such ‘traditional’ structures [which] have been made thoroughly modern, poor, and dependent” (p. such 75). maintenance and reproduction of peripheral capitalism (...) the state, continues to support homes. ‘traditional’ structures [which] have been made thoroughly modern, poor, and dependent” (p. 75). ‘traditional’ structures [which] have2000) been famously made thoroughly modern, poor, and dependent” (p. 75). Moredeveloping generally, De Soto (1989, emphasized to legal property The world provides several illustrations of dualbarriers rural economies where, ownership as in the The developing world provides illustrations of dual rural economies where,the asworld’s in the of assets in developing countries as aseveral major obstacle for property prosperity. Without titles, model in this peasants limited and legal less political influence Theproposed developing worldpaper, provides severalhave illustrations of dual rights rural economies where, as in the model proposed in this paper, peasants have limited property rights and less politicalDeinfluence poor landowners. can’t use their houses, land, and machines as leverage to gain capital. However, Soto is than In some cases, like the settler colonies of Southern Africa, the rural dual economy model proposed in this paper, peasants have limited property rights and less political influence than In cases, like extralegality. the settler colonies of Southern the rural economy more landowners. vague aboutinstitutionally thesome causes of such This paper, while Africa, emphasizing the dual factor market has fact been and land has been geographically along racial thaninlandowners. In some cases, codified like the settler colonies of Southern Africa, segregated the rural dual economy has in fact been institutionally codified and land on hastheir beenpossible geographically segregated along racial consequences of imperfect property rights, focuses political economy determinants, or lines. these economies, the white ruralhas minority historically had much more political hasother in fact beenIninstitutionally codified and land been geographically segregated along racial or other lines. In these economies, the white rural minority historically had much more political arguing(and that land) property rights are intentionally precarious. power than the black rural minority. However, the theoretical mechanisms may be or other lines. In these economies, the white rural minority historically had much more political power (and land) than the black rural minority. However, the theoretical mechanisms may be A fewfor papers provided formal models which poor property rights may be intentionally relevant manyhave other poor countries where in large landowners have more political power power (and land) than the black rural minority. However, the often theoretical mechanisms may be relevant for by many other poor countries where large landowners often havearemore political power encouraged elites. However, the arguments put forward in this paper distinct. In Besley and better-defined rights poor than countries smallholders (see, for landowners example, Binswanger Deininger relevant for many other where large often haveand more political(1997), power and better-defined rights than smallholders (see, forofexample, Binswanger and on Deininger (1997), and Ghatak (2010a), for example, the consequences informal property rights factor markets Deininger and Binswanger (1999), Deininger (see, and Feder (2001), Binswanger and World Bank (2008)). (1997), and better-defined rights than smallholders for example, and Deininger Deininger andsome Binswanger (1999), Deininger and Feder (2001), and World Bank (2008)). mayMoreover, explain groups’ interests in sustaining them. The authors explore the consequences political economy approach and to explain the dualistic structure of the rural sector of is Deininger andthe Binswanger (1999), Deininger Feder (2001), and World Bank (2008)). Moreover, the political economy approach to explain the dualistic structure of the rural sector is creating and improving property rights so that fixed assets can be used as collateral. They show well-established. large historical that land rights grow out of power relationships. Moreover, theApolitical economyliterature approachshows to explain the dualistic structure of the rural sector is well-established. A large historical that land rights grow outcompetition of power relationships. that the impact will vary with theliterature degreetoofshows market competition. Where is weak, it Large landowners their political power generate distortions in grow various discriminate well-established. Ause large historical literature shows that land rights outmarkets of powertorelationships. Large landowners use their political poweroff to when generate distortions in improve. various markets to discriminate is possible that borrowers willtheir be worse property rights Intuitively, imperfect against peasants and support (arguably inefficiently large) estates. al. (1995) Large landowners use their political power to generate distortions in variousBinswanger markets to et discriminate against peasants andinsupport their (arguably inefficiently large)ofestates. Binswanger et al. (1995) property rights may effect protect borrowers from the power lenders to force them to put up offer a review, noting as assumed this paperinefficiently that getting labour for the large estates “required against peasants and support theirin(arguably large) estates. Binswanger et al. (1995) offer aofreview, notingas ascollateral. assumed inAn this paper thatofgetting labour for the largecertain estatesconditions, “required more their wealth implication the theory is that, under lowering expected utility profits in in the peasant sector inlabour order to peasants’ offer a review, noting as of assumed thisfree paper that getting forreduce the large estatesreservation “required lowering expected utility of profits in the free peasant sector in order to reduce peasants’ reservation borrowers may thus oppose thesupply improvement of property rights. utility (...) or shift their labor curve to the right” (p. 15). Historically, other restrictions on lowering expected utility of profits in the free peasant sector in order to reduce peasants’ reservation utility (...) or shift their labor supply curve to the right” (p. 15). Historically, other restrictions on Diaz mobility (2000) argues rural laws, eliteslabour prefer passes, grantingetc.) landhave inefficiently in Latin America. In her argupeasant in China, America, utility (...) or shift(vagrancy their labor supply curve to the right” (p.been 15). present Historically, otherLatin restrictions on peasant mobility (vagrancy laws,defined labour rights passes,and etc.) have been present in China, Latin America, ment, granting plots with poorly low productivity “destroys” land. This strategy and many parts of Africa. However, the passes, mechanisms and objectives of such laws Latin are much more peasant mobility (vagrancy laws, labour etc.) have been present in China, America, and many parts of under Africa.sufficiently However,strong the mechanisms and objectives of such laws are much more profits landowners complementarity of land and labour and sufficient land direct and parts easieroftoAfrica. understand than the those of weak property rights. of Theoretically, these policies and many However, mechanisms and objectives such laws are much more direct and easier to understand than those of weak property rights. Theoretically, these policies abundance. She argues these conditions prevailed when in Latin Unfortunately, other just correspond migration cost that increases theseAmerica. laws areTheoretically, in place (like these a many sanction or direct and easiertotoa understand than those of weak property rights. policies just correspond to aland-reform migration cost that increases when these laws In arecontrast, in place (like a sanction or distortions on the sector have similar consequences. the attractiveness ajust penalty if caught It is that clearincreases that thiswhen detersthese migration and therefore be used by correspond to amigrating). migration cost laws are in can place (like a sanction or a penalty if caught migrating). It is clear that this deters upon migration and can therefore be used by of poor property rights in the theory I propose depends a characteristic that distinguishes elites to lower labour costs. Property rights, instead, also have the productivity effect of increasing a penalty if caught migrating). It is clear that this deters migration and can therefore be used by elitesdistortion to lower labour costs. Property rights, instead, alsoproductivity have the productivity effect increasing this from others: it simultaneously affects the of the andof the costthis of taxable hence creating the more tradeoff for productivity elites thatsector iseffect examined in elites to income, lower labour costs. Property rights,interesting instead, also have the of increasing taxable income, hence creating moreoffers interesting tradeoff for elitesonthat is examined in this migration to other sectors. Soninthe (2003) a theory more focused property rights, though paper. taxable income, hence creating the more interesting tradeoff for elites that is examined in this paper. 2 . The his emphasis this is not rural sector He comparatively uses the Russian case to argue thatidea the that rich However, roleinofthe property rights or hasland. received little attention paper. 2 . The idea that However, this role of property rights has received comparatively little attention have a comparative advantage in the private provision of property rights. Hence,2 poor definition 1However, this role of property rights has received comparatively little attention . The idea that See Phimister (1979) for a historiographical essay. Arrighi (1970) argued, against the ideas in Barber (1961), of property rights for a wide cross section of the population allows them to use this comparative 1 Phimister (1979) forbegan a historiographical essay. and Arrighi against the ideasand in that Barber that See capitalist development with labour scarcity high(1970) wages,argued, not unlimited labour, as (1961), capital 1 See Phimister (1979) forbegan a the historiographical essay.(1972), Arrighi (1970) argued, against ideasand in that Barber (1961), advantage toproceeded predate poor. that capitalist development with labour scarcity and high wages, notPalmer unlimited labour, as Palmer capital accumulation itfrom created cheap labour. Amin Clarke (1975), and the Parsons (1977), and that capitalist development began with labour scarcity andlatter high not unlimited and that as Palmer capital accumulation proceeded it created cheap labour. Amin Clarke (1975), Palmer and labour, Parsons (1977), and (1977b) express similar views. Below, I draw heavily on(1972), the towages, discuss the Rhodesian case. Mosley (1983) offers On a more general level, cheap the paper isAmin related to the literature on endogenous institutions and accumulation proceeded it created labour. (1972), Clarke (1975), Palmer and Parsons (1977), and Palmer (1977b) express similar views.ofBelow, I draw heavily on the latter to discuss the Rhodesian case. Mosley (1983) offers a critique of certain versions underdevelopment theory. 2 (1977b) similar views. I draw heavily onBinswanger the latter toetdiscuss the (or Rhodesian case.and Mosley (1983)(1993) offers a critique of certain ofBelow, underdevelopment theory. Forexpress instance, it versions is not part of the list suggested by al. (1995) Binswanger Deininger 2 forcritique the case of not South But the mechanism has notetbeen completely neglected, and and Deininger Binswanger and a of certain ofAfrica). underdevelopment theory. Forspecific instance, it versions is part of the list suggested by Binswanger al. (1995) (or Binswanger (1993) 2 Deininger (1993) recognize its relevance they note: “A furtheretdistortion black African farming was the For instance, it is not part of the listwhen suggested by Binswanger al. (1995)against (or Binswanger and Deininger (1993) 3 imposed by successive land laws [in South Africa], the excessively restrictive ‘traditional’ communal tenure system first and most important of which was the Glen Grey Act3of 1894” (p. 1461). 3 4 5 a penalty if caught migrating). It is clear that this deters migration and can therefore be used by elites to lower labour costs. Property rights, instead, also have the productivity effect of increasing taxable income, hence creating the more interesting tradeoff for elites that is examined in this paper. However, this role of property rights has received comparatively little attention2 . The idea that informal property rights may “tie” households to their property and affect labor market decisions is 1 See Phimister a historiographical essay.toArrighi (1970) argued, againstlabor the ideas in Barber (1961), informal property(1979) rightsformay “tie” households their property and affect market decisions is studied inproperty a different context by Field (2007). She examines a large titlinglabor program inthat urban Peru, informal rights may “tie” households to their property andunlimited affect market decisions is that capitalist development began with labour scarcity and high wages, not labour, and as capital studied inproperty aproceeded different context by Field (2007). Shetheir examines a large titling program in urban Peru, informal rights may “tie” households to property and affect labor market decisions is accumulation it created cheap labour. Amin (1972), Clarke (1975), Palmer and Parsons (1977), and Palmer finding that squatter context families by with no (2007). legal claim to property work titling fewer hours –since they spend studied inproperty a different Field Shetheir examines a large program in urban Peru, informal rights may “tie” households to property and affect labor market decisions is (1977b) similar views. Below, IField draw onShe the to latter to discuss the Rhodesian case.–since Mosley (1983)spend offers finding express that squatter families with no heavily legal claim property work fewer hours they studied in aper different context by (2007). examines a large titling program in urban Peru, more hours week maintaining informal tenure security– and are more likely to–since work inside their finding that squatter families with no legal claim to property work fewer hours they spend a critique of certain versions of underdevelopment theory. studied in aper different context by Field Shesecurity– examines a large titling program in urban Peru, more week maintaining informal and are (or more likely to–since work inside their 2 hours finding that squatter families with no (2007). legaltenure claim to property work fewer hours they spend For instance, it is notmaintaining part of the listinformal suggested by Binswanger et al. (1995) Binswanger and Deininger (1993) homes. more hours per week tenure security– and are more likely to work inside their finding that squatter families with no legal claim to property work fewer hours –since they spend homes. more hours per week maintaining informal tenure security– and are more likely to work inside their More generally, De Soto (1989, 2000) famously emphasized barriers to legal property ownership homes. more hours per week maintaining informal tenure security– and are more likely to work inside their More generally, De Soto (1989, 2000) famously emphasized barriers to legal property ownership 3 for prosperity. Without legal titles, the world’s homes. of assets in developing countries as 2000) a major obstacle More generally, De Soto (1989, famously emphasized barriers to legal property ownership homes. of assets in developing countries as 2000) a major obstacleemphasized for prosperity. Without legal titles, the world’s More generally, Soto (1989, famously to legal property ownership poor can’t use theirDe houses, land, and machines as for leverage tobarriers gain capital. However, De Soto is of assets in developing countries as a major obstacle prosperity. Without legal titles, the world’s More generally, Soto (1989, 2000) famously to legal property ownership poor can’t use theirDe houses, land, and machines asemphasized leverage tobarriers gain capital. However, De Soto is of assets in developing countries as a major obstacle for prosperity. Without legal titles, the world’s more can’t vagueuse about thehouses, causes land, of suchand extralegality. This paper,towhile emphasizing the factor market poor their machines as leverage gain capital. However, De Soto is of assets in use developing countries as and a extralegality. major obstacle for prosperity. Without legal titles, the more vague about thehouses, causes of such This paper,towhile emphasizing the factor market poor can’t their land, machines as leverage gain capital. However, De world’s Soto is consequences of imperfect property rights, focuses on their possible political economy determinants, more vagueuse about thehouses, causes land, of suchand extralegality. This paper,towhile emphasizing the factor poor can’t machines leverage gain capital. However, De market Soto is consequences oftheir imperfect property rights, focusesas on their possible political economy more vague about the causes of such extralegality. This paper, while emphasizing the determinants, factor market arguing that property rights are intentionally precarious. consequences of imperfect property rights, focuses on their possible political economy determinants, more vague the causes of extralegality. This paper, whilepolitical emphasizing the factor market arguing thatabout property rights aresuch intentionally precarious. consequences of imperfect property rights, focuses their possible economy A fewthat papers have rights provided formal models in on which poor property rights may bedeterminants, intentionally arguing property are intentionally precarious. consequences of imperfect property rights, focuses their possible political economy A fewthat papers have rights provided formal models in on which poor property rights may bedeterminants, intentionally arguing property are intentionally precarious. encouraged by elites. However, the arguments forward this paper aremay distinct. In Besley A fewthat papers have rights provided formal modelsprecarious. input which poor in property rights be intentionally arguing property are intentionally encouraged by elites. However, the arguments put forward in this paper aremay distinct. In Besley A few papers have provided formal models in which poor property rights be intentionally and Ghatak by (2010a), for example, consequences of informal property rights on factorInmarkets encouraged elites. However, thethe arguments put forward in this paper aremay distinct. Besley A few papers have provided formal models in which poor property rights be intentionally and Ghatak by (2010a), for example, the consequences of informal property rights on factorInmarkets encouraged elites. However, the arguments put forward in this paper are distinct. Besley may Ghatak explain (2010a), some groups’ intereststhe in consequences sustaining them. The authors explore theonconsequences of and for example, of informal property rights factorInmarkets encouraged elites. However, thethe arguments forward this paper are the distinct. Besley may Ghatak explainby some groups’ interests in sustainingput them. Theinauthors explore consequences of and (2010a), for example, consequences of informal property rights on factor markets creating and some improving property rights so that fixed assets can be used as collateral. They show may explain groups’ interests in sustaining them. The authors explore the consequences of and Ghatak forproperty example, the consequences ofassets informal property rights onconsequences factor markets creating and (2010a), improving rights so that fixed can be used as collateral. They show may explain some groups’ interests in sustaining them. The authors explore the of that the and impact will vary with the degree market competition. is weak, it creating improving property rights so of that fixed assets can be Where used ascompetition collateral. They show may some groups’ interests in sustaining them. Thecan authors explore the consequences of that explain the and impact will vary with the degree of market competition. Where competition is weak, it creating improving property rights so that fixed assets be used as collateral. They show is possible that borrowers will be worse offofwhen property rights improve. Intuitively,isimperfect that the impact will vary with the degree market competition. Where competition weak, it creating improving property rights sooffof that fixed assets rights can beimprove. used ascompetition collateral. show is possible that borrowers will be worse when property Intuitively,They imperfect that the and impact will in vary with the degree market competition. Where isto weak, it property rights may effect protect borrowers from the power of lenders to force them put up is possible that borrowers will be worse off when property rights improve. Intuitively,isimperfect that the impact will in vary with theworse degree market competition. Where to competition weak, it property rights may effect borrowers from the power of lenders force them to put up is possible that borrowers willprotect be offofwhen property rights improve. Intuitively, imperfect more of their wealth as collateral. An implication of the theory is that, under certain conditions, property rights may in effect protect borrowers from the power of lenders to force them to put up is possible that borrowers willprotect be worse off when property rights improve. imperfect more of their wealth aseffect collateral. Anborrowers implication of the the power theory that, under certain property rights may in ofislenders to Intuitively, force themconditions, to put up borrowers maywealth thus oppose the improvement of from property rights. more of their as collateral. An implication of the theory is that, under certain conditions, property rights may in effect protect borrowers from the power of lenders to force them to put up borrowers maywealth thus oppose the improvement of property rights. more of their asrural collateral. An implication of the theory is in that, under certainInconditions, Diaz (2000) argues elites prefer granting land inefficiently Latin America. her arguborrowers may thus oppose the improvement of property rights. more of their asrural collateral. An implication of the theory is in that, under certainInconditions, Diaz (2000) argues elites prefer granting land inefficiently Latin America. her arguborrowers maywealth thus oppose the improvement ofand property rights. ment, granting plots with poorly defined rights low productivity “destroys” land. This strategy Diaz (2000) argues rural elites prefer granting land inefficiently in Latin America. In her arguborrowers may thus oppose the improvement of property rights. ment, granting plots with poorly defined rights andland low productivity “destroys” land. This strategy Diaz (2000) argues rural elites prefer granting inefficiently in Latin America. In her arguprofitsgranting landowners under sufficiently strong complementarity of land “destroys” and labourland. and sufficient land ment, plots with poorly defined rights andland low productivity This strategy Diaz (2000) argues rural elites prefer granting inefficiently in Latin America. In her arguprofits landowners under sufficiently strong complementarity of land and labour and sufficient land ment, granting plots with poorly defined rights and low productivity “destroys” land. This strategy abundance. She argues these conditions prevailed in Latin America. Unfortunately, many other profits landowners under sufficiently strong complementarity of land and labour and sufficient land ment, granting withthese poorly defined rights and low productivity “destroys” land. This strategy abundance. Sheplots argues conditions prevailed in Latin America. Unfortunately, many other profits landowners under sufficiently strong complementarity of land and labour and sufficient land distortions on theargues land-reform sector have similar in consequences. In contrast, the attractiveness abundance. She these conditions prevailed Latin America. Unfortunately, many other profits landowners under sufficiently strong complementarity of land and labour and sufficient land distortions on the land-reform sector have similar consequences. In contrast, the attractiveness abundance. She argues these prevailed in Latin America. Unfortunately, many other of poor property rights in the conditions theory propose depends upon a characteristic thatattractiveness distinguishes distortions on theargues land-reform sector Ihave similar consequences. In contrast, the abundance. She these conditions prevailed in Latin America. Unfortunately, many other of poor property in the theory propose depends upon a characteristic thatattractiveness distinguishes distortions on from therights land-reform sector Ihave similar consequences. In of contrast, the this distortion others: it simultaneously affects the productivity the sector and the cost of of poor property rights in the theory I propose depends upon a characteristic that distinguishes distortions on from therights land-reform sector Ihave similar consequences. In of contrast, the attractiveness thispoor distortion others: it simultaneously affects the productivity the sector and the cost of of property in the theory uponfocused a characteristic that distinguishes migration to other sectors. Sonin (2003)propose offers adepends theory more on property rights, this distortion from others: it simultaneously affects the productivity of the sector and the though cost of of poor property rights in the theory I propose depends upon a characteristic that distinguishes migration to other sectors. Sonin (2003) offers a theory more focusedofon property rights, though this distortion from others: it simultaneously affects the productivity the sector and the cost of his emphasis is notsectors. in the rural sector land. a He uses more the Russian to arguerights, that the rich migration to other Sonin (2003)oroffers theory focusedofcase on property though this distortion from others: it simultaneously affects the productivity the sector and the cost of his emphasis is notsectors. in the rural sector oroffers land. a He uses more the Russian case to arguerights, that the rich migration to other Sonin (2003) theory focused on property though haveemphasis a comparative advantage insector the private provision property rights. Hence, his is notsectors. in the rural oroffers land. He usesofmore the Russian case to arguepoor thatdefinition the rich migration to other Sonin (2003) a theory focused on property rights, though haveemphasis a comparative advantage insector the private provision of the property rights. Hence, poor definition his is not in the rural or land. He uses Russian case to argue that the rich of property rights foradvantage a wide cross section of the population allows rights. them toHence, use this comparative have a comparative insector the private provision of the property poor definition his emphasis is not in the rural or land. He uses Russian case to argue that the rich of property rights foradvantage a wide cross section of the population allows rights. them toHence, use this comparative have a comparative in the private provision of property poor definition advantage torights predate from thecross poor. of property for a wide section of the population allows them to use this comparative have a comparative in the private provision of property poor definition advantage torights predate from thecross poor. of property foradvantage alevel, wide section of the population allowsonrights. them toHence, use this comparative On a more general thepoor. paper is related to the literature endogenous institutions and advantage to predate from the of property for from alevel, wide cross section of the to population allowsonthem to use this comparative On a more general the paper is related the literature endogenous institutions and advantage torights predate the poor. On a more general level, the paper is related to the literature on endogenous institutions and advantage to case predate from the for the of South Africa). But the is mechanism hasthe not literature been completely neglected, and Binswanger and and Onspecific a more general level, thepoor. paper related to on endogenous institutions for the specific case of South Africa). But thethey mechanism has not been completely neglected, and Binswanger and Deininger (1993) recognize its relevance when note: “A further distortion against black African farming was the On a more general level, the But paper ismechanism related to the literature on endogenous institutions and for the specific case of‘traditional’ South thethey not been neglected, and Binswanger Deininger (1993) recognize its Africa). relevance when note: “Ahas further distortion against black African farming was and the excessively restrictive communal tenure system imposed by completely successive land laws [in South Africa], for the specific case of‘traditional’ South Africa). But thethey mechanism has not been completely neglected, and Binswanger and institutional persistence. It concurs with the political economy or “social conflict view” of instituDeininger (1993) recognize its relevance when note: “A further distortion against black African farming was excessively restrictive communal tenure system imposed by successive land laws [in South Africa], the first and most important of which was the Glen Grey Act of 1894” (p. 1461). Deininger (1993)case recognize its Africa). relevanceBut when note: “Ahas further distortion againstneglected, black African farming was and the for the specific of South thethey mechanism not been completely and Binswanger first and most important of which was the Glen Grey Act of 1894” (p. 1461). first and (Acemoglu most important of which was the Glen Grey Act4of imposed 1894” (p.by 1461). excessively restrictive ‘traditional’ communal tenure system successive land laws [in institutions South Africa], are the benefit et al., 2005). This view contrasts others which emphasize that first and most important of which was the Glen Grey Act4of 1894” (p. 1461). excessively restrictive ‘traditional’ communal tenure by1461). successive land laws [in South Africa], the first and most important of which was the institutions Glen Greysystem Actarise of imposed 1894” tions which contends that inefficient and (p. persist because powerful groups excessively restrictive ‘traditional’ communal tenure system imposed by successive land laws [in political South Africa], Deininger (1993) recognize its relevance when they note: “A further distortion against black African farming was the largely determined by economic forces, ideology,4or historical accidents. The paper is closely re6 lated, both in following this approach and in the 4formal analysis, to Acemoglu (2006). Specifically, 4 the theoretical mechanisms capture two of the sources for inefficient institutions highlighted by institutional persistence. It concurs with the political economy or “social conflict view” of instituinstitutional persistence. It concurs with the political economy or “social conflict view” of institutions which contends that inefficient institutions arise and persist because powerful political groups tions which contends that inefficient institutions arise and persist because powerful political groups benefit (Acemoglu et al., 2005). This view contrasts others which emphasize that institutions are benefit (Acemoglu et al., 2005). This view contrasts others which emphasize that institutions are largely determined by economic forces, ideology, or historical accidents. The paper is closely relargely determined by economic forces, ideology, or historical accidents. The paper is closely related, both in following this approachwith and in the formaleconomy analysis, to Acemoglu (2006). institutional It concurs political conflict view”Specifically, of institulated, both inpersistence. following this approach andthe in the formal analysis,orto“social Acemoglu (2006). Specifically, the theoretical mechanisms capture two of the sources for inefficient institutions highlighted by tionstheoretical which contends that inefficient andfor persist because powerful political groups the mechanisms capture institutions two of the arise sources inefficient institutions highlighted by Acemoglu (2006). The first source, revenue extraction, in which elites extract resources from other benefit (Acemoglu et al., 2005). This view contrasts which emphasize that institutions are Acemoglu (2006). The first source, revenue extraction,others in which elites extract resources from other groups in society via instruments which, like taxation, are typically distortionary. The second largely determined by instruments economic forces, ideology, or historical accidents. The paper isThe closely regroups in society via which, like taxation, are typically distortionary. second 3. source, factor price manipulation, arises when the elite compete for factors 3 lated, both in following this approach andwhen in the analysis, for to Acemoglu source, factor price manipulation, arises theformal elite compete factors3 . (2006). Specifically, the theoretical mechanisms capture two of the sources for inefficient institutions highlighted by The paper proceeds as follows. In Section 2, I lay out the basic setup of the model. Section 3 The paper proceeds as follows. In Section 2, I lay out the basic of the model.from Section Acemoglu (2006). The first source, revenue extraction, in which elitessetup extract resources other3 describes the economic equilibrium for a given set of institutions. Next, Section 4 characterizes the describes economic equilibrium which, for a given of institutions. Next, distortionary. Section 4 characterizes the groups in the society via instruments like set taxation, are typically The second equilibrium institutions by finding the political equilibrium and describes the main results. Section 3 equilibrium institutions by finding arises the political equilibrium and describes the. main results. Section source, factor price manipulation, when the elite compete for factors 5 discusses a simple but important extension to the baseline model. Section 6 offers an historical 5 discusses a simple but important extension to the baseline model. Section 6 offers an historical discussion on the relevance of someIn of the model’s assumptions and setup predictions, using the case of3 The paper proceeds as follows. 2, I lay out the basic of the model. Section discussion on the relevance of some of Section the model’s assumptions and predictions, using the case of Rhodesia. Section 7 concludes with some final thoughts. describes the economic equilibrium a given of institutions. Next, Section 4 characterizes the Rhodesia. Section 7 concludes withfor some final set thoughts. equilibrium institutions by finding the political equilibrium and describes the main results. Section 5 discusses a simpleof but(Poor) importantProperty extension to Rights the baseline Section 6 offers an historical 2 A Model inmodel. the (Dual) Rural Econ2 A Model of (Poor) Property Rights in the (Dual) Rural Econdiscussion on the relevance of some of the model’s assumptions and predictions, using the case of omy omySection 7 concludes with some final thoughts. Rhodesia. Consider a society with three sectors. The urban sector (denoted by U ) and two rural or agricultural Consider a society with three sectors. The urban sector (denoted by U ) and two rural or agricultural subsectors: the capitalist or elite sector (E) and the peasant or subsistence sector (S). The rural 2 A Model of (Poor) Property inorthe (Dual) Rural Econsubsectors: the capitalist or elite sector (E) andRights the peasant subsistence sector (S). The rural sector as a whole is denoted by R. I now describe these sectors and set the basic notation. sectoromy as a whole is denoted by R. I now describe these sectors and set the basic notation. 2.1 The rural with sector Consider a society three sectors. The urban sector (denoted by U ) and two rural or agricultural 2.1 The rural sector subsectors: capitalist elite and the peasant or subsistence sector (S). The In the rural the sector R thereorare twosector types(E) of producers. Capitalists landowners controlling the rural elite In the rural sector R there are two types of producers. Capitalists landowners controlling the elite sector as aEwhole is denotedpowerful by R. I now sectors set the but basichave notation. subsector are politically and describe own mostthese of the land and in society, no labour of subsector E are politically powerful and own most of the land in society, but have no labour of their own. Peasant farmers in the subsistence subsector S face the opposite situation: while their their own. Peasant farmers in the subsistence subsector S face the opposite situation: while their 2.1 The rural political power andsector ownership of land is limited, they are the sole suppliers of labour in society. political power and ownership of land is limited, they are the sole suppliers of labour in society. The political powerRofthere the elite translates into the ability to select two key variables: taxation and In the rural sector are two types of producers. Capitalists landowners controlling the elite The political power of the elite translates into the ability to select two key variables: taxation and property rights protection in the rural subsistence sector. subsectorrights E areprotection politicallyinpowerful own mostsector. of the land in society, but have no labour of property the ruraland subsistence There are L peasant households in the economy, each possessing a unit of labour, and the size their own.are Peasant farmers in the subsistence subsector face the opposite while There L peasant households in the economy, eachSpossessing a unit ofsituation: labour, and thetheir size of the elite is normalized to 1. Peasants may stay in the are rural areas or migrate of to labour the urban sector. political power and ownership of land is limited, they the sole suppliers in society. of the elite is normalized to 1. Peasants may stay in the rural areas or migrate to the urban sector. I denote the number ofthe migrating households with m. Each household in the rural areas allocates The political power ofof elite translates intowith the m. ability tohousehold select two iikey variables: taxation and I denote the number migrating households Each in the rural areas allocates of its labour input to the subsistence sector and the rest (1 − e ) to the landowner a share e i i property protection in thetorural a share erights ii of its labour input the subsistence subsistence sector. sector and the rest (1 − eii ) to the landowner 3There are L peasant households in the economy, each possessing a unit of labour, and the size Political consolidation, alsoown a powerful source of inefficient if the elite’s power is threatened sector. Since landowners no labour, the labour institutions input in their farmspolitical (LE ) amounts to total 3 3 Political consolidation, also a powerful source of inefficient institutions if the elite’s political power is Political consolidation, also a powerful source of inefficient institutions if the elite’s political power is threatened threatened when other groups prosper, is not explored in this paper. of the elite is normalized to 1. Peasants may stay in the rural areas or migrate to the urban sector. (1this − epaper. peasant is,is when otherinput. groups That prosper, isLnot not explored in this paper. i ). Total labour input in the rural sector is defined as E = when other groups prosper, explored i∈Rin ILdenote the number of migrating households with m. Each household i in the rural areas allocates R = i∈R 1, and in the subsistence subsector5 as LS = i∈R ei . Hence, LE = LR − LS and landowner aL share e of its labour input to the subsistence 5 sector and the rest (1 − ei ) to as the given. R = L −i m. Landowners hire labour and pay a wage rate wE , which they take Total land amounts also to Ta powerful hectares. Outofofinefficient these, tinstitutions hectares ifare by peasants and the Political consolidation, source thecontrolled elite’s political power is threatened 3 when other groups is not explored in this each paper.household rest by the elite.prosper, For simplicity, I assume t/L units of land. 5 The capitalist or elite subsector 7 has the same initial land endowment of sector. Since landowners own no labour, the labour input in their farms (LE ) amounts to total sector. Since landowners own no labour, the labour input in their farms (LE ) amounts to total peasant input. That is, LE = i∈R (1 − ei ). Total labour input in the rural sector is defined as input in the rural sector is defined as peasantinput. That is, LE = i∈R (1 − ei ). Total labour LR = i∈R 1, and in the subsistence subsector as LS = i∈R ei . Hence, LE = LR − LS and LR = i∈R 1, and in the subsistence subsector as LS = i∈R ei . Hence, LE = LR − LS and LR = L − m. Landowners hire labour and pay a wage rate wE , which they take as given. LR = L − m. Landowners hire labour and pay a wage rate wE , which they take as given. Total land amounts to T hectares. Out of these, t hectares are controlled by peasants and the Total land amounts to T hectares. Out of these, t hectares are controlled by peasants and the rest by the elite. For simplicity, I assume each household has the same initial land endowment of rest by the elite. For simplicity, I assume each household has the same initial land endowment of t/L units of land. t/L units of land. The capitalist or elite subsector The capitalist or elite subsector The The tion tion capitalist agricultural sector consists of a representative landowner with the following produccapitalist agricultural sector consists of a representative landowner with the following producfunction: function: 1 Lαα , AE F (T − t, LE ) = AE 1 (T − t)1−α AE F (T − t, LE ) = AE α (T − t)1−α LE E, α where α ∈ (0, 1) and AE is a productivity term that will be normalized to 1. where α ∈ (0, 1) and AE is a productivity term that will be normalized to 1. The consumption of a representative member of the elite is the sum of farm profits (πE ) and a The consumption of a representative member of the elite is the sum of farm profits (πE ) and a lump-sum transfer TE : lump-sum transfer TE : cE cE = = = = πE + T E , πE + T E , [F (T − t, LE ) − wE LE ] + TE . [F (T − t, LE ) − wE LE ] + TE . Notice that in the expression for cE there are no taxes imposed on the elite’s farm income, as elite Notice that in the expression for cE there are no taxes imposed on the elite’s farm income, as elite members would never tax themselves. members would never tax themselves. The peasant or subsistence subsector The peasant or subsistence subsector The rural subsistence sector has potentially weaker property rights institutions than the elite sector. The rural subsistence sector has potentially weaker property rights institutions than the elite sector. Thus, a key assumption concerns the impact of property rights. Defining property rights is not Thus, a key assumption concerns the impact of property rights. Defining property rights is not simple. First, property rights refer to a variety of rights. These include: (i) transfer rights, which simple. First, property rights refer to a variety of rights. These include: (i) transfer rights, which determine the right to sell, rent, bequeath, or mortgage the land, and (ii) use rights, which establish determine the right to sell, rent, bequeath, or mortgage the land, and (ii) use rights, which establish permissible activities. Second, there are many types of property rights. A key distinction is between permissible activities. Second, there are many types of property rights. A key distinction is between communal systems, where a customary authority holds and administers land rights, and private communal systems, where a customary authority holds and administers land rights, and private property rights, which lie in the hands of individuals. property rights, which lie in the hands of individuals. Despite the conceptual difficulties, in the model I just assume that a fall in “property rights” Despite the conceptual difficulties, in the model I just assume that a fall in “property rights” produces two effects that are present under various meanings of the term. The first effect is that produces two effects that are present under various meanings of the term. The first effect is that it increases the cost of migration. The logic for this effect is very simple: with worse property it increases the cost of migration. The logic for this effect is very simple: with worse property rights, like less security against expropriation, absence of selling or renting rights, or with land use rights, like less security against expropriation, absence of selling or renting rights, or with land use rights that are contingent on staying in the land as in many communal systems, migraton creates rights that are contingent on staying in the land as in many communal systems, migraton creates additional costs. Indeed, migration implies that land rights are lost, or the land is stolen, or it additional costs. Indeed, migration implies that land rights are lost, or the land is stolen, or it cannot be sold or rented out. 6 The second effect is that a lower level of property rights reduces the productivity of the subsis6 tence sector. The underlying theory justifying this assumption is summarized by Besley and Ghatak (2010b) under two broad categories. First, secure property rights limit expropriation, incentivizing investment and effort and reducing resources diverted for protection. Second, well-defined individual rights facilitate market transactions, improving asset collaterilazability (which may ease credit constraints that hinder investments) and generating gains from trade (by making sure land is held by the most productive owner). Although communal tenure systems may increase tenure 8 security and provide some basis for land transactions under certain circumstances (Deininger and Binswanger, 1999), in practice private property rights, when clearly specified and well-enforced, The second effect is that a lower level of property rights reduces the productivity of the subsisThe second effect is that atheory lowerjustifying level of property rights reduces the productivity theGhatak subsistence sector. The underlying this assumption is summarized by Besleyofand tence sector. The underlying theory justifying this assumption is summarized by Besley and Ghatak tence sector. theory justifying this property assumption is summarized by Besleyincentivizing and Ghatak (2010b) underThe twounderlying broad categories. First, secure rights limit expropriation, (2010b) under two broad categories. First, secure property rights limit expropriation, incentivizing (2010b) under broad secure property limit expropriation, incentivizing investment andtwo effort andcategories. reducing First, resources diverted for rights protection. Second, well-defined indiinvestment and effort and reducing resources diverted for protection. Second, well-defined indiinvestment effort and reducing resourcesimproving diverted for protection. Second, well-defined vidual rightsand facilitate market transactions, asset collaterilazability (which may indiease vidual rights facilitate market transactions, improving asset collaterilazability (which may ease vidual rights facilitate marketinvestments) transactions,and improving asset collaterilazability (which may ease credit constraints that hinder generating gains from trade (by making sure land credit constraints that hinder investments) and generating gains from trade (by making sure land credit that hinder investments) and generating gains fromsystems trade (by making sure land is heldconstraints by the most productive owner). Although communal tenure may increase tenure is held by the most productive owner). Although communal tenure systems may increase tenure cannot be sold or rented out. is held by theprovide most productive communal tenurecircumstances systems may increase tenure security and some basis owner). for land Although transactions under certain (Deininger and security and provide some basis for land transactions underreduces certain the circumstances (Deininger and The second effect is that a lower level of property rights productivity of the subsissecurity and provide basis private for landproperty transactions under certain and Binswanger, 1999), insome practice rights, when clearlycircumstances specified and(Deininger well-enforced, Binswanger, 1999), in practice private property rights, when clearly specified and well-enforced, 4 tence sector. The underlying theory justifying thisrights, assumption summarized by Besley and Ghatak Binswanger, 1999), ininpractice private whenisclearly specified and well-enforced, . property improve productivity agriculture 4. improve productivity in agriculture 4 (2010b) under two broad categories. propertycaptured rights limit incentivizing improve productivity Property rights in in theagriculture subsistence.First, sectorsecure are therefore by aexpropriation, positive scalar µ ∈ µ, µ̄, Propertyand rights in the sector arediverted therefore by a Second, positive well-defined scalar µ ∈ µ, µ̄, investment andsubsistence reducing resources forcaptured protection. indiProperty in the subsistence sector are therefore captured byaffects a positive scalar ∈ µ, µ̄ , where a largerrights µ effort both increases the productivity of the subsector and the cost of µ migration. where a larger µ both increases the productivity of the subsector and affects the cost of migration. vidual market transactions, improving asset collaterilazability (which may ease where arights larger µfirst both increases the productivity of the subsector andassume affects that the cost migration. To capture thefacilitate part, I consider a reduced-form formulation and eachofhousehold’s To capture the first part, I consider a reduced-form formulation and assume that each household’s credit constraints that hinder investments) gainsand from trade that (by making sure land To capture thesubsistence first part, Isector consider a reduced-form formulation assume each household’s output in the is given by and generating output in the subsistence sector is given by is held by the subsistence most productive Although communal tenure systems may increase tenure output in the sector owner). is given by 1 s 1−α α s security and provide some basisAfor , ei ) = A (µ) under eαi , circumstances (Deininger and (µ)land f (xsi transactions 1 (xi ) certain α A (µ) f (xis , ei ) = A (µ) 1 (xsis )1−α 1−α eiα , (µ) α (x ) clearly ei , specified and well-enforced, (µ) f (xproperty Binswanger, 1999), in practiceAprivate when i , ei ) = Arights, α i s s 4 where xsiproductivity is the land in input (with . xsi = t). Also, I assume A(µ) = µAE , with µ̄ = 1 and improve agriculture where xis is the land input (with i∈R xis = t). Also, I assume A(µ) = µAE , with µ̄ = 1 and i∈R where xi(i.e. is the (withthis i∈R xi =aret).therefore Also, I captured assume = µA with µ̄µ = 1µ,and µ small µ ≈land 0). Adopting functional form simplifies theA(µ) analysis and satisfies key E , scalar Property rights in input the subsistence sector by a positive ∈two µ̄ , µ small (i.e. µ ≈ 0). Adopting this functional form simplifies the analysis and satisfies two key µ smalla larger (i.e.A µ(µ) 0).0 increases Adopting this form the analysis andcost satisfies two and key > and A (µ̄)the = productivity Afunctional follows the theoretical arguments properties: E . The first where µ≈both ofproperty thesimplifies subsector and affects the of migration. properties: A (µ) > 0 and A (µ̄) = AE . The first property follows the theoretical arguments and 0 andI consider A (µ̄) = aAStill, . The firstremain property follows the theoretical arguments and properties: A (µ) empirical referred to before. I will agnostic about the exact channels at play. E To captureevidence the first> part, reduced-form formulation and assume that each household’s empirical evidence referred to before. Still, I will remain agnostic about the exact channels at play. empirical referred to before. Still, remain agnostic about the exact at play. The second is a sector useful with perfect property rights, both channels rural sectors are output in evidence theproperty subsistence isbenchmark: given byI will The second property is a useful benchmark: with perfect property rights, both rural sectors are The second property is a useful benchmark: with perfect property rights, both rural sectors are technologically identical. technologically identical. 1 s 1−α α technologically identical. To capture the second part, AI assume can rent his land, but , ei ) a=migrating A (µ) (xpeasant ei household , (µ) f (xsithat i) α To capture the second part, I assume that a migrating peasant household can rent his land, but To capture the second part, I assume that a migrating peasant household rent his land, but the poor definition of property rights expropriation of his land uponcan migration. Hence, if facilitates the poor definition of property rights facilitates expropriation of his land upon migration. Hence, if s s where x is the land input (with x = t). Also, I assume A(µ) = µA , with µ̄ = 1 and E of property facilitates expropriation of his upon migration. if rthe is poor the prevailing rate ofrights land from sector, theland migrating household Hence, will only i definitionrental ithe subsistence i∈R rµ issmall the prevailing rental rate of land from the subsistence sector,the the analysis migrating household will only t (i.e. µ ≈ 0). Adopting this functional form simplifies and satisfies two key r is µ the rental rate of remaining land from fraction the subsistence migrating household only rprevailing as rental income. The (1 − µ) sector, may bethe expropriated and sharedwill among get t The remaining fraction (1 − µ) may be expropriated andarguments shared among get µL (µ) income. t r as rental L > 0 and A (µ̄) = A . The first property follows the theoretical and properties: A E rate remaining fraction (1 in − µ) be expropriated shared among get non-migrating µ L r as rental income. all peasants.The The rental of land themay subsistence sector is and taken as given by all non-migrating peasants. The rental rate of land in the subsistence sector is taken as given by empirical evidence referred to before. Still, I will remain agnostic about the exact channels at play. all non-migrating peasants. The rental sector. rate of land in the subsistence sector is taken as given individual members of the subsistence Subsistence farmers cannot rent land from nor by to individual members ofis the subsistence sector.with Subsistence farmers cannot rent land from norare to The second property a useful benchmark: perfect property rights, both rural sectors individual members of the subsistence sector. Subsistence farmers cannot rent land from nor to technologically identical. A microeconomic literature, too vacant large toland do itisjustice, the effects property rights investment the44 landowners. Note also that sharedexamines by peasants, notoflandlords. Thison assumption A microeconomic literature, too large toland dovariables itisjustice, examines the effects property rights investment the4productivity. landowners. Note also that vacant shared by peasants, notof landlords. Thison assumption and Papers using an instrumental strategy to address the endogeneity problem offer mixed To capture the second part, I large assume that a migrating peasant household can rent his land, but A microeconomic literature, too do it justice, examines thewould effects of property rights on offer investment stacks the decks against the oftothe model, aseffects landlords have aon direct interest and productivity. Papers using anresults instrumental variables strategy to address the clearly endogeneity problem mixed results. For example, Besley (1995) reports some positive of individual’s transfer rights investment in stacks the decks against the results of the model, as landlords would clearly have a direct interest and productivity. Papers using an instrumental variables strategy to address the endogeneity problem offer mixed results. For example, Besley (1995) reports some positive effects of individual’s transfer rights on investment in the poor definition of property rights of land upon migration. if Ghana, whereas Brasselle etifal. (2002) findfacilitates no effectalso ofexpropriation tenure securityby onhis investment in Burkina Faso. Hence, However, in poor property rights vacant land could be grabbed them. results. For example, Besley (1995) reports some positive effects of individual’s transfer rights onFaso. investment in Ghana, whereas Brasselle et al. (2002) find no effect of tenure security on investment in Burkina However, in poor property rights ifinvacant landofcould alsorights be grabbed bynatural them.experiments or policy reforms find other studies using variation the security property induced by rGhana, is Consumption the prevailing rental rate ofsecurity land from the issubsistence sector, the migrating household only whereas Brasselle et in al.the (2002) find effect ofrights tenure security on investment in Burkina Faso. However, of non-migrating peasants the sum of farm profits and wages (π ) will and any iSreforms other studies using variation ofnoproperty induced by natural experiments or policy find positive effects of better property rights (e.g. Banerjee et al. sum (2002), Goldstein and Udry (2008), Hornbeck (2010), Consumption of non-migrating peasants is the of farm profits and wages (π ) and any other studies using variation in the security of property rights induced by natural experiments or policy reforms find t iS positive of rents better property rights (e.g. Banerjee al. (2002), Goldstein and elite Udry farmers, (2008), (2010), reffects as rental income. The remaining fraction (1 − µ) may be expropriated and shared among get µ Let Jacoby al.land (2002)). In expropriated a recent survey for the case of et West Africa, Fenske (2010) concludes that,Hornbeck empirically, the potential from migrating households. Unlike peasant may positive effects of better property rights (e.g. Banerjee et al. (2002), Goldstein and concludes Udry (2008), Hornbeck (2010), Jacoby et al. (2002)). In a recent survey for the case of West Africa, Fenske (2010) that, empirically, the potential land rents expropriated from migrating households. Unlike elite farmers, peasant may link between more complete land rights and investment has been found to be weaker than expected. Several reasons all non-migrating peasants. The rental rate ofof has land in the subsistence sector iselite taken asrationally given by Jacoby et al. more (2002)). In aon recent survey for investment the casethey West Africa, Fenske (2010) concludes that, empirically, the farm revenue, and receive no redistribution (the will face positive taxes τ S link between complete land rights and been found to be weaker than expected. Several reasons ranging from thin credit markets to revenue, empirical and difficulties help explain this, yet in an examination of multiple data on farm they receive no redistribution (the elite will rationally face positive taxes τ link between more complete land rights and investment has been found to be weaker than expected. Several reasons S ranging from thin revenues credit toseems empirical difficulties help explain farmers this, an examination multiple individual members ofmarkets the subsistence sector. Subsistence cannot rent land nordata to sets for the the relationship robust for certain investments, such as fallow. peasants is: transfer noregion tax to peasants). Therefore, consumption foryet a in member of the Lof R from ranging from thin the credit markets toseems empirical difficulties explain this, an examination multiple sets for the relationship robust for certainhelp investments, such as fallow. peasantsdata is: transfer noregion tax revenues to peasants). Therefore, consumption foryet a in member of the Lof R sets for the region the relationship seems robust for certain investments, such as fallow. m t 4 7 examines the effects of property rights on investment A microeconomic literature, ciS = πiS + m (1too − large µ) r tto do it justice, L L and productivity. using instrumental variables7 strategy to address the endogeneity problem offer mixed R an ciS =Papers π + (1 − µ) r iS 7 L some positive results. For example, BesleyLR (1995) reports in m rights on investment t t of individual’s transfer s effects s (1 −etτSal.) A − t security − x (µ) ffind (xis ,noei )effect (1 − µ)Faso. r t . However, r + (1 − i ) wE + in m Burkina Ghana, whereas = Brasselle (2002) ofis tenure oneinvestment L r + (1 − ei ) wE + LR (1 − µ) r L . = variation (1 − τin A (µ) f (xiof, eproperty i ) − xrights S )the i − induced other studies using security by natural experiments LR or policyLreforms find L positive effects of better property rights (e.g. Banerjee et al. (2002), Goldstein and Udry (2008), Hornbeck (2010), Noticeetthat peasants payofout any net land use at the rental that, rate r, and receive Jacoby al. (2002)). In receive a recent farm surveyrevenue, for the case West Africa, Fenske (2010) concludes empirically, the Notice thatmore peasants receive farm revenue, pay out any net land use at the rental rate r, and receive link between complete land rights and investment has been found to be weaker than expected. Several reasons wage payments from landowners. These are the three components in πiS . The last term in ciS is ranging from thin credit to empirical this, yet in in an multiple data . The last of term in ciS is wage payments from markets landowners. Thesedifficulties are the help threeexplain components πiSexamination the for share − µ the of land rents expropriated theinvestments, m migrating sets the 1 region relationship seems robust forfrom certain suchhouseholds as fallow. and shared by the LR the share 1 − µ of land rents expropriated from the m migrating households and shared by the LR non-migrating households. non-migrating households. 7 in the rural areas, VR , and is thus crucial The maximized value of ciS is the value of remaining in the rural areas, VR , and is thus crucial The maximized value of ciS is the value of remaining 9 in determining the migration decision. in determining the migration decision. Consumption of non-migrating peasants is the of farm profits and wages (πiS ) and any in poor property rights if vacant land could also be sum grabbed by them. Consumption of non-migrating peasants is the sum of farm profits and wages (πiS ) and any in poor property rights if vacant land could also be grabbed by them. potential land rents expropriated from migrating any Consumption of non-migrating peasants is thehouseholds. sum of farmUnlike profitselite andfarmers, wages (πpeasant iS ) and may potential land rents expropriated from migrating households. Unlike elite farmers, peasant may ) and any Consumption of non-migrating peasants is the sum of farm profits and wages (π iS on farm revenue, they receive no redistribution elite will rationally face positive potential landtaxes rentsτSexpropriated from and migrating households. Unlike elite(the farmers, peasant may on farm revenue, they receive no redistribution elite will rationally face positive taxes τSexpropriated potential rents from and migrating households. Unlike elite(the farmers, peasant may is: transfer noland tax revenues peasants). for a member of the R peasants farm revenue,Therefore, and they consumption receive no redistribution (the eliteLwill rationally face positive taxes τS onto is: transfer no tax revenues peasants). for a member of the R peasants farm revenue,Therefore, and they consumption receive no redistribution (the eliteLwill rationally face positive taxes τS onto transfer no tax revenues m to peasants).t Therefore, consumption for a member of the LR peasants is: transfer no to peasants). ciStax=revenues πiS + m (1 − µ) r t Therefore, consumption for a member of the LR peasants is: LmR (1 − µ) r L ciS = π + iS t + LR (1 − µ) r L ciS = π iS m ts m t t s L L R ciS = π(1 + (1 − µ) r iS − τS ) A (µ) f (xi , ei ) − xi − t r + (1 − ei ) wE + m (1 − µ) r t . s s L L = (1 − τSR) A (µ) f (xsi , ei ) − xsi − L t. t r + (1 − ei ) wE + LmR (1 − µ) r L = (1 − τS ) A (µ) f (xis , ei ) − xis − L t. t r + (1 − ei ) wE + LmR (1 − µ) r L L r + (1 − ei ) wE + LR (1 − µ) r L . = (1 − τ , e ) − x − ) A (µ) f (x i S i i Notice that peasants receive farm revenue, pay out any and receive LR rate r, L L net land use at the rental Notice that peasants receive farm revenue, pay out any net land use at the rental rate r, and receive The rate last term ciS is wage payments from receive landowners. These are components in the πiS .rental Notice that peasants farm revenue, paythe outthree any net land use at r, andinreceive The rate last term inreceive ciS is wage payments from receive landowners. These are the three components in the πiS .rental Notice that peasants farm revenue, pay out any net land use at r, and the share 1 − µ of land rents expropriated from m migrating households and last shared byinthe R term ciSLis wage payments from landowners. These are thethe three components in πiS . The the share 1 − µ of land rents expropriated from the m migrating households and last shared byinthe Lis R . The term c wage payments from landowners. These are the three components in π iS iS non-migrating the share 1 − µhouseholds. of land rents expropriated from the m migrating households and shared by the LR non-migrating households. the The sharemaximized 1 − µ of land rents from the m migrating households and shared by the LR value of cexpropriated iS is the value of remaining in the rural areas, VR , and is thus crucial non-migrating households. The maximized value of ciS is the value of remaining in the rural areas, VR , and is thus crucial non-migrating households. in determining the migration is the value of remaining in the rural areas, VR , and is thus crucial The maximized value of ciSdecision. in determining the migration is the value of remaining in the rural areas, VR , and is thus crucial The maximized value of ciSdecision. in determining the migration decision. in determining the migration 2.2 The urban sector decision. 2.2 The urban sector 2.2 In the The urbanurban sector, sector workers are paid an exogenous wage wU . It is useful to think of this sector as 2.2 The urban In the urban sector, sector workers are paid an exogenous wage wU . It is useful to think of this sector as the urban or industrial sector,are but it could representwage any additional sectortothat competes with the In the urban sector, workers paid an exogenous wU . It is useful think of this sector as the urban or industrial sector,are but it could representwage any additional sector that competes with the In the urban sector, workers paid an exogenous w . It is useful to think of this sector as U landowner forindustrial labour. The crucial assumption is thatany peasants mustsector migrate the U sector the urban or sector, but it could represent additional thattocompetes with and the landowner forindustrial labour. The crucial assumption is thatany peasants mustsector migrate tocompetes the U sector and the urban or sector, but it could represent additional that with the cannot work the agricultural sector simultaneously a peasant with his entire unitand of landowner forinlabour. The crucial assumption is that (i.e., peasants must leaves migrate to the U sector cannot work inlabour. the agricultural sector simultaneously (i.e., a peasant leaves with his entire unitand of landowner for The crucial assumption is that peasants must migrate to the U sector labour).work in the agricultural sector simultaneously (i.e., a peasant leaves with his entire unit of cannot labour). cannot the agricultural simultaneously (i.e.,Aa more peasant leavesformulation with his entire unitrecof Thework urbaninwage is assumed sector exogenous for simplicity. realistic would labour). The urban wage is assumed exogenous for simplicity. A more realistic formulation would reclabour). ognize urban wages fall withexogenous rural-urban 5 I briefly discuss thewould effects of Thethat urban wage is assumed formigration. simplicity. InAsection more realistic formulation recognize that urban wages fall withexogenous rural-urban migration. InAsection 5 I briefly discuss thewould effects of The urban wage is assumed for simplicity. more realistic formulation recextending model in this The most important results 5inI the model, however, do not ognize thatthe urban wages fall direction. with rural-urban migration. In section briefly discuss the effects of extending the model in this direction. The most important results 5inI the model, however, do not ognize that urban wages fall with rural-urban migration. In section briefly discuss the effects of depend crucially on this assumption. extending the model in this direction. The most important results in the model, however, do not depend crucially on this assumption. extending the model intogether this direction. The most the are model, do not These assumptions with the fact thatimportant a share µ results of landinrents lost however, upon migration depend crucially on this assumption. These assumptions together with the fact that a share µ of land rents are lost upon migration depend crucially on this assumption. , is given imply that the value of together going to with the urban sector, These assumptions the fact that VaUshare µ of by land rents are lost upon migration , is given imply thatassumptions the value of together going to with the urban sector, These the fact that VaUshare µ of by land rents are lost upon migration imply that the value of going to the urban sector, VU , tis given by imply that the value of going to the urban VUµ, tisr.given by VU sector, = wU + (1) VU = w U + µ L (1) t r. VU = w U + µ L (1) t r. VU = wU + µ L r. (1) L 2.3 The game The government’s budget constraint completes the description of the environment. It is given by: 8 TE = τS A (µ) (2) 8 f (t, LS ) . 8 8 I assume there exists an upper bound τ̄ on taxation, with τ̄ ≤ 1, for example because producers can hide each dollar of income at a cost of τ̄ . I consider the following simple game: 1. A representative agent of the landowning elite chooses tax policies τS and a level of property rights protection µ, with TE given by the government budget constraint. 2. Subsistence farmers compare the value of going to the urban sector (VU ) with the value of staying in the rural areas (VR ), and decide whether or not to migrate to the city. 10 consumption. Non-migrating peasants choose 3. Producers in the rural areas maximize their labour and land inputs in the subsistence sector (ei and xi ) to maximize consumption (ciS ). can hide each dollar of income at a cost of τ̄ . I consider the following simple game: 1. A representative agent of the landowning elite chooses tax policies τS and a level of property rights protection µ, with TE given by the government budget constraint. 2. Subsistence farmers compare the value of going to the urban sector (VU ) with the value of staying in the rural areas (VR ), and decide whether or not to migrate to the city. units of labour: 3. Producers in the rural areas maximize their consumption. Non-migrating peasants choose τS ) subsistence A (µ) f1 (t, Lsector −m− ) = r, maximize consumption (ciS (4) and xi ) to ). labour and land inputs(1in−the (eL i E consumption Labour markets are competitive Landowners hire labour(1(L E ). w ) Amaximize (µ) f2 (t, L − m − LE ) (c= (5) −Eτ)Sto E. and all agents take the wage rate (wE ) as given. For a given m, (3)-(5) determine the equilibrium rural wage rate (wE ) and the allocation of Stages 2 between and 3 determine theand economic equilibrium ofE the for a precisely, given set given of policies. andmodel, LS ). More m as rural labour landowner subsistence farms (L This is the focus of Section 3. The incentives of the elite to alter this economic equilibrium via determined in the second stage, LE (m) will satisfy: their choice of policy in stage 1 gives us the political equilibrium, which is analyzed in Section 4. F2 (T − t, LE (m)) = (1 − τS ) A (µ) f2 (t, L − m − LE (m)) ≡ w (m) . 3 (6) Economic Equilibrium where the last term defines the resulting equilibrium rural wage, a monotonic and increasing func5. tion of migrationthe To characterize economic equilibrium, consider the landowners’ problem in the third stage. To complete the of the(Leconomic equilibrium, only the level of migration remains They choose optimaldescription labor demand E ) to maximize consumption (cE ). At this stage, TE is , staying unestablished. In the the landowners. second stage,That peasants continue act to migrate as politically long as VUin >theVRfirst taken as given by is, landowners as a team stage thestage. optimal of ciS .condition This canfor bethis written using in ruralgame, areasbut otherwise. Recall R islast of the atomistically in Vthe Thevalue first-order problem is the the homogeneity of degree zero of f and competitive markets (equations (4) and (5)) as the sum of standard condition labour and land rents: Each of the LR LE ) = w E . (3) F2 (T − t, t m (1 − µ) . (7) VR = w E + r 1 + LR land (xs ) and labour (ei ) inputs in the non-migrating peasants, inLturn, choose i taking migration as given. The subsistence to components maximize consumption In (7), theresector are two of rural land(crent rents fromand the policies initial endowment and iS ), income: optimal must satisfy the usual pair of equality each land leftchoice behind by migrant households. Offirst-order course, ifconditions either no specifying one migrates (m =between 0) , or there factor’s marginal productivity its price for all i ∈(µR.=These conditions can be written as those are perfect property rights for and migrating households 1), this second component of land rents of a representative subsistence producer with access to t units of land, hiring LS = L − m − LE vanishes. units of labour: Starting with a situation with VU > VR , migration will continue until VU = VR , or t (1 − τS ) w AU(µ) −− mµ) − LE )r. = r, (4) − fw1E(t,=L(1 (8) LR (5) (1 − τS ) A (µ) f2 (t, L − m − LE ) = wE . 9 In words, when there is positive migration the wage gain from going to the city wU − wE , must equate loss in rents from migration. This lossrural arises duerate to imperfect rights in For the a given m,land (3)-(5) determine the equilibrium wage (wE ) andproperty the allocation of the that migrating households not get the full(Lvalue ofLtheir land’sprecisely, rent. Clearly, with given m as ruralsense labour between landowner and do subsistence farms E and S ). More µ = 1 there in is no loss;stage, the no-migration condition simplifies to wU = wE . determined thesuch second LE (m) will satisfy: Of course, it is possible that VU < VR at m = 0. In this case, there are no incentives to migrate. F2 (T − t, L (1 − τS )can A (µ) (t, L − m −in LEcomplementary-slackness (m)) ≡ w (m) . (6) E (m)) =decision In general, therefore, the migration bef2summarized form: where the last term defines the resulting equilibrium rural wage, a monotonic and increasing func(9) m (V R − VU ) = 0, m ≥ 0, VR − VU ≥ 0. 5 tion of migration . ThisTocompletes description of economic the economic equilibrium, I define as follows.remains completethe thebasic description of the equilibrium, onlywhich the level of migration 5 unestablished. In≡the peasants continue to migrate as long as VU > VR , staying Similarly, r (m) (1 −second τS ) A (µ)stage, f1 (t, L − m − LE (m)) . in rural areas otherwise. Recall VR is the optimal value of ciS . This can be written using the 10 markets (equations (4) and (5)) as the sum of homogeneity of degree zero of f and competitive labour and land rents: VR = w E + t 11 r 1+ m (1 − µ) . (7) determined in the second stage, LE (m) will satisfy: determined in the second L= (m) F2 (T − t, Lstage, (1 −will τS ) satisfy: A (µ) f2 (t, L − m − LE (m)) ≡ w (m) . (6) E (m)) E F2 (T − t, LE (m)) = (1 − τS ) A (µ) f2 (t, L − m − LE (m)) ≡ w (m) . (6) F2 (T − t, LE (m)) = (1 − τS ) A (µ) f2 (t, L − m − LE (m)) ≡ w (m) . (6) F2 (Tdefines − t, LEthe (m)) = (1 − equilibrium τS ) A (µ) f2 (t, L −wage, m−L (m)) ≡ w and (m) .increasing func(6) where the last term resulting rural a Emonotonic where the last term defines the resulting equilibrium rural wage, a monotonic and increasing func5. tion ofthe migration where last term 5 . defines the resulting equilibrium rural wage, a monotonic and increasing function of migration where the last term defines the resulting equilibrium rural wage, a monotonic and increasing funcTo complete the tion of migration55 . description of the economic equilibrium, only the level of migration remains To complete the tion of migration . description of the economic equilibrium, only the level of migration remains staying unestablished. second stage, continue to migrate as long U > VR , remains To completeIn thethe description of thepeasants economic equilibrium, only the level as of V migration staying unestablished. second stage, continue to migrate as long To completeIn thethe description of thepeasants economic equilibrium, only the level as of V migration U > VR , remains the optimal value ciS . This can as be Vwritten the in rural areas otherwise. Recall VR is , staying unestablished. In the second stage, peasants continue to of migrate as long U > VRusing the optimal value ciS . This can as be Vwritten the in rural areas otherwise. Recall VR is , staying unestablished. In the second stage, peasants continue to of migrate as long U > VRusing homogeneity degree zeroRecall of f and (equations and as the sumthe of the optimalmarkets value of ciS . This(4) can be(5)) written using in rural areasofotherwise. VR iscompetitive homogeneity degree zeroRecall of f and (equations and as the sumthe of the optimalmarkets value of ciS . This(4) can be(5)) written using in rural areasofotherwise. VR iscompetitive labour and land rents: zero of f and competitive markets (equations homogeneity of degree (4) and (5)) as the sum of m t markets labour and land rents: zero of f and competitive homogeneity of degree (equations (4) and (5)) as the sum of (7) VR = wE + t r 1 + m (1 − µ) . labour and land rents: (7) VR = w E + L labour and land rents: t r 1 + LmR (1 − µ) . (7) VR = w E + L t r 1 + LmR (1 − µ) . L r rent LR (1 −rents µ) .from the initial endowment and (7) wE +land 1 +income: VRof=rural In (7), there are two components L rent income: LR In (7), there are two components of rural land rents from the initial endowment and land left behind by migrant households. Of course, if either no one (mendowment = 0) , or there In (7), there are two components of rural land rent income: rents frommigrates the initial and land left behind by migrant households. Of course, if either no one (mendowment = 0) , or there In (7), there are two components of rural land rent income: rents frommigrates the initial and are perfect property rights forhouseholds. migrating households 1), this second component rents land left behind by migrant Of course, (µ if = either no one migrates (m = of 0)land , or there are perfect property rights forhouseholds. migrating households 1), this second component rents land left behind by migrant Of course, (µ if = either no one migrates (m = of 0)land , or there vanishes. are perfect property rights for migrating households (µ = 1), this second component of land rents vanishes. are perfect property rights for migrating households (µ = 1), this second component of land rents Starting with a situation with VU > VR , migration will continue until VU = VR , or vanishes. Starting with a situation with VU > VR , migration will continue until VU = VR , or vanishes. Starting with a situation with VU > VR , migration willt continue until VU = VR , or V , migration will continue until VU = VR , or Starting with a situation with VUw> (8) U −RwE = (1 − µ) t r. wU − wE = (1 − µ) LtR r. (8) wU − wE = (1 − µ) LtR r. (8) LRfrom wU − wthe (1 − µ) r. going to the city w − w , must (8) E =wage In words, when there is positive migration gain U E L In words, when there is positive migration the wage gainRfrom going to the city wU − wE , must equate thewhen loss in landisrents frommigration migration. arises to imperfect property in In words, there positive theThis wageloss gain fromdue going to the city wU − wrights E , must equate thewhen loss in landisrents frommigration migration. arises to imperfect property in In words, there positive theThis wageloss gain fromdue going to the city wU − wrights E , must the sense households do not get theloss fullarises valuedue of their land’s rent. Clearly, with equate thethat loss migrating in land rents from migration. This to imperfect property rights in the sense households do not get theloss fullarises valuedue of their land’s rent. Clearly, with equate thethat loss migrating in land rents from migration. This to imperfect property rights in = w . µ = 1 there is no such loss; the no-migration condition simplifies to w U land’s E rent. Clearly, with the sense that migrating households do not get the full value of their wE . rent. Clearly, with µ = sense 1 there is no such loss;households the no-migration condition simplifies wU = the that migrating do not get the full value oftotheir land’s = 0. In this case, there to migrate. course, possible VU < VR at mcondition =no wEincentives . µ =Of 1 there is it noissuch loss; that the no-migration simplifies to wUare = 0. In this case, there to migrate. course, possible VU < VR at mcondition =no wEincentives . µ =Of 1 there is it noissuch loss; that the no-migration simplifies to wUare In general, therefore, the migration decision can summarized in complementary-slackness form: Of course, it is possible that VU < VR at m = be 0. In this case, there are no incentives to migrate. In general, therefore, the migration decision can summarized in complementary-slackness form: Of course, it is possible that VU < VR at m = be 0. In this case, there are no incentives to migrate. In general, therefore, the migration decision can be summarized in complementary-slackness form: In general, therefore, the migration decision form: VU ) = can 0, mbe≥summarized 0, VR − VU in ≥ complementary-slackness 0. (9) m (VR − (9) m (VR − VU ) = 0, m ≥ 0, VR − VU ≥ 0. (9) m (VR − VU ) = 0, m ≥ 0, VR − VU ≥ 0. ) =economic 0, m ≥ 0,equilibrium, VR − VU ≥which 0. (9) m (VR −ofVUthe This completes the basic description I define as follows. This completes the basic description of the economic equilibrium, which I define as follows. 5 completes the basic description of the economic equilibrium, which I define as follows. This Similarly, r (m) ≡ (1 − τS ) A (µ) f1 (t, L − m − LE (m)) . 5 completes the basic description of the economic equilibrium, which I define as follows. This Similarly, r (m) ≡ (1 − τS ) A (µ) f1 (t, L − m − LE (m)) . 5 Similarly, 5 r (m) ≡ (1 − τS ) A (µ) f1 (t, L − m − LE (m)) . Similarly, r (m) ≡ (1 − τS ) A (µ) f1 (t, L − m − LE (m)) 10 . 10 10 10 12 Figure 1: Economic Equilibrium Figure Figure 1: 1: Economic Economic Equilibrium Equilibrium Figure 1. Economic Equilibrium F Figure igure 1. 1. Economic Economic Equilibrium Equilibrium Panel A Panel B Panel A Panel B Panel A Panel Economic Equilibrium without migration Economic Equilibrium withBpositive migration Economic Equilibrium without migration Economic Equilibrium with Economic Equilibrium without migration wU < wE+(1-µ)(t/L)r Economic Equilibrium with positive positive migration migration wU > wE+(1-µ)(t/L)r wE+(1-µ)(t/L)r wU < w >w wE+(1-µ)(t/L)r +(1-µ)(t/L)r w U < wE+(1-µ)(t/L)r wU > U (1-τ)A(µ)f2(t,L S ) (1-τ)A(µ)f (1-τ)A(µ)f22(t,L (t,L SS )) AEF2(T-t,LE) A AEEF F22(T-t,L (T-t,LEE)) AEF2(T-t,LE) A AEEF F22(T-t,L (T-t,LEE)) (1-τ)A(µ)f2(t,LS ) (1-τ)A(µ)f (1-τ)A(µ)f22(t,L (t,LSS )) wU w wUU wE+(1-µ)(t/L)r w wEE+(1-µ)(t/L)r +(1-µ)(t/L)r (1-µ)(t/LR)r (1-µ)(t/L (1-µ)(t/LRR)r )r wE w wEE wE w wEE LE L LEE E LS L LSS LR = L L LRR = =L L LE LEE L ! ! ! LR L LRR L L L LS L LSS m m m ! ! ! Definition 1 (Economic Equilibrium) The economic equilibrium is given by a tuple {meq , Leq eq eq E ,, eq Definition 1 (Economic Equilibrium) The economic equilibrium is given by a tuple {m E, Definition 1 (Economic Equilibrium) The economic equilibrium is given by a tuple {m ,, L Leq eq eq E , wE such that: req eq eq } } such that: rreq ,, w wE } such that: E 1. Taking wE , r and m as given, landowners choose LE to maximize their consumption cE and , r and m as given, landowners choose LE to to maximize maximize their their consumption consumption ccE and 1. Taking Taking w 1. wE E , r and m as given, landowners choose LE E and each non-migrating peasant i ∈ R chooses ei and xSiSS to maximize his consumption ciS . In . In each ii ∈ eq eq peasant and x xii to to maximize maximize his his consumption consumption cciS each non-migrating non-migrating ∈ R R chooses chooses eeii and iS . In eq satisfy Leq , req ,peasant w (3)-(5), and particular, eq E E eq eq particular, wE satisfy satisfy (3)-(5), (3)-(5), and and particular, L LE ,, rreq ,, w E E 2. Migration (meq eq ) satisfies (9). 2. satisfies (9). (9). 2. Migration Migration (m (meq )) satisfies Figure 1 illustrates the economic equilibrium. In Panel A, even at m = 0 the resulting wage Figure Figure 11 illustrates illustrates the the economic economic equilibrium. equilibrium. In In Panel Panel A, A, even even at at m m= = 00 the the resulting resulting wage wage wE , which equates the marginal product of labour in the capitalist and subsistence subsectors, is , which equates the marginal product of labour in the capitalist and subsistence subsectors, is wE w E , which equates the marginal product of labour in the capitalist and subsistence subsectors, is sufficient to avoid migration. The urban wage is not large enough to compensate for the wage sufficient sufficient to to avoid avoid migration. migration. The The urban urban wage wage is is not not large large enough enough to to compensate compensate for for the the wage wage and relative land-rent benefit of the rural areas. Accordingly, in Panel A, wU is smaller than is smaller and relative land-rent benefit of the rural areas. Accordingly, in Panel A, w U than and relative land-rent benefit of the rural areas. Accordingly, in Panel A, wU is smaller than wE + (1 − µ) Lttt r when m = 0. However, if wU rises above this level, as in the case depicted in Panel + (1 − µ) r when m = 0. However, if w rises above this level, as in the case depicted in Panel w E U when m = 0. However, if wU rises above this level, as in the case tdepicted in Panel wE + (1 − µ) L L r incentives B, there will be to migrate that only cease when wU − wE = (1 − µ) LttR r. − wE = r. B, there will be incentives = (1 (1 − − µ) µ) L r. B, there will be incentives to to migrate migrate that that only only cease cease when when w wU U − wE LR R Thus far, I largely ignored functional form assumptions. Given the Cobb-Douglas assumption Thus far, I largely ignored functional form assumptions. Given the Cobb-Douglas Thus far, I largely ignored functional form assumptions. Given the Cobb-Douglas assumption assumption for both subsectors, the only difference in technology results from the parameters AE and A (µ). and A (µ). for both subsectors, the only difference in technology results from the parameters A for both subsectors, the only difference in technology results from the parameters AE E and A (µ). It is also useful to define the following “distortion adjusted” measure of the land endowment in It It is is also also useful useful to to define define the the following following “distortion “distortion adjusted” adjusted” measure measure of of the the land land endowment endowment in in 1 society: T̃ ≡ t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α + (T − t). Absent11any policy distortion (when µ = 1 and τ = 0), 11 T̃ = T . Much of the following analysis focuses on11elite’s incentives to reduce µ or increase τ , which effectively reduce T̃ below T . Along these lines, I define the “distortion-adjusted” share of land in the capitalist sector as γE = T −t , T̃ and similarly, for the subsistence sector, γS = 1 − γE . Then, the 13 equations that satisfy the economic equilibrium indicate that the subsistence and capitalist sectors absorb a share of rural labour proportional to the size of their (distortion-adjusted) landholdings: 1 society: T̃ ≡ t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α + (T − t). Absent any policy distortion (when µ = 1 and τ = 0), 1 society: T̃ ≡ t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α + (T − t). Absent any policy distortion (when µ = 1 and τ = 0), T̃ = T . Much of the following analysis focuses on elite’s incentives to reduce µ or increase τ , which T̃ = T . Much of the following analysis focuses on elite’s incentives to reduce µ or increase τ , which effectively reduce T̃ below T . Along these lines, I define the “distortion-adjusted” share of land in effectively reduce T̃ below T . TAlong these lines, I define the “distortion-adjusted” share of land in , and similarly, for the subsistence sector, γS = 1 − γE . Then, the the capitalist sector as γE = TT̃−t −t the capitalist sector as γE = T̃ , and similarly, for the subsistence sector, γS = 1 − γE . Then, the equations that satisfy the economic equilibrium indicate that the subsistence and capitalist sectors equations that satisfy the economic equilibrium indicate that the subsistence and capitalist sectors absorb a share of rural labour proportional to the size of their (distortion-adjusted) landholdings: absorb a share of rural labour proportional to the size of their (distortion-adjusted) landholdings: LE = γE LR and LS = γS LR . Factor prices, in turn, are given by: LE = γE LR and LS = γS LR . Factor prices, in turn, are given by: α 1−α 1 LR /T̃ α and wE = T̃ /LR 1−α . r = [(1 − α) /α] [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 and wE = T̃ /LR . r = [(1 − α) /α] [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α LR /T̃ As for migration, (9) implies that As for migration, (9) implies that 1−α T̃ 1−α 1−α m = 0 if wU < T̃ 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − α γS ≡ w̄ (τS , µ) . m = 0 if wU < L 1 + (1 − µ) α γS ≡ w̄ (τS , µ) . α L Otherwise, m satisfies Otherwise, m satisfies (10) (10) 1−α 1−α T̃ 1−α wU = 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − α γS . (11) T̃ wU = L − m 1 + (1 − µ) α γS . (11) α L−m The right hand side of (11) is the wage in rural areas plus an extra term capturing the relative The right hand side of (11) is the wage in rural areas plus an extra term capturing the relative advantage of land rents a peasant enjoys if he decides to stay in the rural areas rather than migrate. advantage of land rents a peasant enjoys if he decides to stay in the rural areas rather than migrate. Similarly, the function w̄ (τS , µ) , defined in the right hand side of (10), is the rural wage plus the Similarly, the function w̄ (τS , µ) , defined in the right hand side of (10), is the rural wage plus the relative land rents advantage of rural areas when m = 0. It crucially determines whether or not relative land rents advantage of rural areas when m = 0. It crucially determines whether or not there will be migration in equilibrium. This function is decreasing in τS , whereas the impact of there will be migration in equilibrium. This function is decreasing in τS , whereas the impact of property rights is more subtle. I summarize the features of w̄ (τS , µ) in the following remark. property rights is more subtle. I summarize the features of w̄ (τS , µ) in the following remark. defined in (10). Remark 1 Consider the function w̄ : [0, τ̄ ] × µ, 1 → R+ Remark 1 Consider the function w̄ : [0, τ̄ ] × µ, 1 → R+ defined in (10). 1. w̄ (τS , µ) achieves a global maximum at (0, µ∗∗ ) , where 1. w̄ (τS , µ) achieves a global maximum at (0, µ ) , where µ∗∗ = 1 if α ∈ [1/2, 1). µ = 1 if α ∈ [1/2, 1). µ∗∗ < 1 otherwise. Moreover, w̄ (τS , µ) is increasing for µ ∈ [µ, µ∗∗ ) and decreasing for µ < 1∗ otherwise. Moreover, w̄ (τS , µ) is increasing for µ ∈ [µ, µ ) and decreasing for µ ∈ (µ∗ , 1] µ ∈ (µ , 1] 1−α 1−α ≈ w̄ τ , µ for small µ. 2. w̄ (τS , 1) = T̃T̃L 1−α > TTL−t S 1−α > L−t ≈ w̄ τS , µ for small µ. 2. w̄ (τS , 1) = L (a) (a) (b) (b) Proof. See Section A.1. Proof. See Section A.1. The second part is straightforward. Consider the first part. It should be clear that ∂ w̄/∂τS < 0, The second part is straightforward. Consider the first part. It should be clear that ∂ w̄/∂τS < 0, so an increase in taxation makes a migration threat more likely. Indeed, in τ reduces an increase 1−α in τSS reduces so an increase in taxation makes a migration threat more likely. Indeed, an increase two terms in w̄. First, the rural equilibrium wage wE at zero migration T̃ /L1−α , and second, , and second, T̃ /L two terms in w̄. First, the rural equilibrium wage wE at zero migration the effective share of land in the subsistence sector (γS ). In other words, given more rural taxation, 12 peasants earn less from both land and labour, so12they are more willing to migrate. Property rights have a more intricate effect. A decrease in the degree of property rights’ enforcement in the subsistence sector has two countervailing effects: (i) by reducing the productivity of the subsistence sector, it reduces the relative value of the rural areas in a similar way as taxation 14 effect encourages migration, a lower µ does (by reducing wE and γS ); (ii) while this productivity also has a security effect as captured by (1 − µ) in the expression. This second effect encourages the effective share of land in the subsistence sector (γS ). In other words, given more rural taxation, the effective share of land in the subsistence sector (γS ). In other words, given more rural taxation, peasants earnshare less of from both land and labour, so they migrate. the effective land in the subsistence sector (γS ).are Inmore otherwilling words, to given more rural taxation, peasants earn less from both land and labour, so they are more willing to migrate. Property haveboth a more effect. A are decrease the degree of property rights’ peasants earnrights less from land intricate and labour, so they more in willing to migrate. Property rights have a more intricate effect. A decrease in the degree of property rights’ enforcement the subsistence sector has twoeffect. countervailing effects: reducing productivity Property inrights have a more intricate A decrease in (i) thebydegree of the property rights’ enforcement in the subsistence sector has two countervailing effects: (i) by reducing the productivity of the subsistence sector, it reduces the relative value of the rural areas in a similar way as taxation enforcement in the subsistence sector has two countervailing effects: (i) by reducing the productivity of the subsistence sector, it reduces the relative value of the rural areas in a similar way as taxation while this productivity encourages migration, lower µ does reducing sector, wE and S ); (ii) the of the(by subsistence it γ reduces relative value of the effect rural areas in a similar way asataxation does (by reducing wE and γS ); (ii) while this productivity effect encourages migration, a lower µ also has security weffect asγcaptured by (1 − µ) in the expression. This second effect encourages this productivity effect encourages migration, a lower µ does (by areducing E and S ); (ii) while also has a security effect as captured by (1 − µ) in the expression. This second effect encourages peasants remain effect in theascountryside to (1 protect land which would be (partially) lost upon also has atosecurity captured by − µ) in therents, expression. This second effect encourages peasants to remain in the countryside to protect land rents, which would be (partially) lost upon migrationtotoremain the cities. peasants in the countryside to protect land rents, which would be (partially) lost upon migration to the cities. Now, recall α is the coefficient of labour in the Cobb-Douglas production function. Thus, migration to thethat cities. Now, recall that α is the coefficient of labour in the Cobb-Douglas production function. Thus, when α ≥recall 1/2, income from rents isofrelatively compared to wage function. income. ThereNow, that α is theland coefficient labour inunimportant the Cobb-Douglas production Thus, when α ≥ 1/2, income from land rents is relatively unimportant compared to wage income. Therefore, and increaseunimportant in µ improves the relative value of ruralThereareas whenthe α ≥productivity 1/2, incomeeffect from prevails land rents is an relatively compared to wage income. fore, the productivity effect prevails and an increase in µ improves the relative value of rural areas and if land rents are important enoughin(ifµ αimproves < 1/2), the withrelative high µvalue the security fore, w̄. theHowever, productivity effect prevails and an increase of rural effect areas and w̄. However, if land rents are important enough (if α < 1/2), with high µ the security effect prevails and the value of µ that maximizes w̄ is less than 1. and w̄. However, if land rents are important enough (if α < 1/2), with high µ the security effect prevails and the value of µ that maximizes w̄ is less than 1. This and remark is useful establishing following prevails the value of µinthat maximizesthe w̄ is less thanthree 1. regimes that arise regardless of the This remark is useful in establishing the following three regimes that arise regardless of the value of α. This remark is useful in establishing the following three regimes that arise regardless of the value of α. value of α. 1. No migration regime wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ. If the urban wage is lower than w̄ τ̄ , µ, the global 1. No migration regime wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ. If the urban wage is lower than w̄ τ̄ , µ, the global willτ̄ , be equilibrium of w̄regime (τS , µ), wthere µ no . Ifmigration the urbaninwage is lower regardless than w̄ τ̄ ,of µ ,the thepolicies global 1. minimum No migration U < w̄ minimum of w̄ (τS , µ), there will be no migration in equilibrium regardless of the policies =SL. adopted, R (τ , µ), there will be no migration in equilibrium regardless of the policies minimumsoofLw̄ adopted, so LR = L. adopted, so LR = L. 2. Avoidable migration regime wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ). If the urban wage is at an interme2. Avoidable migration regime wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ∗ ). If the urban wage is at an intermelevel,migration the elite can avoidwmigration policies. µ , w̄the If the urbanofwage is at an interme(0, right µ ) .combination 2. diate Avoidable regime U ∈ w̄ τ̄ ,with diate level, the elite can avoid migration with the right combination of policies. diate level, the elite can avoid migration with the right combination of policies. 3. Unavoidable migration regime (wU > w̄ (0, µ∗∗ )) . With high wages, not even zero rural taxation 3. Unavoidable migration regime (wU ∗> w̄ (0, µ∗ )) . With high wages, not even zero rural taxation ) that (τS ,wages, µ) cannot forestall migration. the levelmigration of property rights w̄ (0,maximizes µ )) . Withw̄high even zero rural taxation 3. and Unavoidable regime (w(µ U > and the level of property rights (µ∗∗ ) that maximizes w̄ (τS , µ) can forestall migration. and the level of property rights (µ ) that maximizes w̄ (τS , µ) can forestall migration. Figure 2 depicts the functions w̄ (τ̄ , µ) and w̄ (0, µ). It also shows the regions for wU in which Figure 2 depicts the functions w̄ (τ̄ , µ) and w̄ (0, µ). It also shows the regions for wU in which the Figure economy finds itself each regime. The avoidable regime a transitional in 2 depicts the in functions w̄ (τ̄ , µ) and w̄ (0, µ).migration It also shows theis regions for wU regime in which the economy finds itself in each regime. The avoidable migration regime is a transitional regime in which policiesfinds gradually converge from those prevailingmigration of the no regime migration to those of the the economy itself in each regime. The avoidable is a regime transitional regime in which policies gradually converge from those prevailing of the no migration regime to those of the unavoidable migration Forfrom this those reason, and to reduce number ofregime cases to analyzed, which policies graduallyregime. converge prevailing of the the no migration to be those of the unavoidable migration regime. For this reason, and to reduce the number of cases to be analyzed, Iunavoidable relegate themigration analysis of the political equilibrium in the unavoidable migration case to Appendix regime. For this reason, and to reduce the number of cases to be analyzed, I relegate the analysis of the political equilibrium in the unavoidable migration case to Appendix B. Also, I focus throughout the intuition of theinresults in the mainmigration text, and case present algebraic I relegate the analysis of theon political equilibrium the unavoidable to Appendix B. Also, I focus throughout on the intuition of the results in the main text, and present algebraic details A.2-A.4. on the intuition of the results in the main text, and present algebraic B. Also,inI sections focus throughout details in sections A.2-A.4. details in sections A.2-A.4. 4 4 4 Political Equilibrium Political Equilibrium Political Equilibrium The political equilibrium is defined as the level of property rights and taxation on the subsistence The political equilibrium is defined as the level of property rights and taxation on the subsistence sector that maximizes elites’ consumption: The political equilibrium is defined as the level of property rights and taxation on the subsistence sector that maximizes elites’ consumption: sector that maximizes elites’ consumption: 13 13 13 15 Figure 2: Three Regimes Figure 2. Three Migration Regimes Case α < 1/2 Case α ≥ 1/2 wU ! Unavoidable migration ! wU Unavoidable migration ! Avoidable migration 0 No migration µ 1 µ* Avoidable migration ! ! 0 µ*=1 No migration µ Definition 2 (Political Equilibrium) A political equilibrium is defined as a tuple {τSP OL , µP OL , TEP OL } such that eq eq P OL τSP OL , µP OL ∈ arg max F T − t, Leq E − wE L E + TE τS ,µ where TEP OL satisfies (2), and migration, labour allocation, land rents, and wages, are given by eq eq eq in Definition 1. m , LE , req , wE The elite’s problem in the previous definition can be written more explicitly by using the functional form assumptions and substituting our previous findings, namely: LE = γE LR , LS = 1−α γS LR , and wE = T̃ /LR : 1 1 α 1−α α 1−α (γE LR ) (T − t) µ (γS LR ) t + τS , max (1 − α) τ,µ α α with LR given by: LR = min L, LIR , (12) (13) where I is for “interior” and LIR is found by solving for L − m in (11): LIR 1 = T̃ wU 1−α γS 1 + (1 − µ) α 1 1−α . (14) The previous discussion showed the conflicting effects on elite’s welfare of limited property rights 14 in peasant plots. To gain intuition and highlight these conflicting effects, I analyze problem (12), as in Acemoglu (2006), with two separate problems: (i) the Factor Price Manipulation (henceforth FPM) problem, which arises when the elite has no tax revenue-generating motive and maximizes 16 only the first term in (12); (ii) the Revenue Extraction (henceforth RE) problem, which focuses squarely on this latter motive, the maximization of the second term in (12). I discuss each case, The previous discussion showed the conflicting effects on elite’s welfare of limited property rights in peasant plots. To gain intuition and highlight these conflicting effects, I analyze problem (12), as in Acemoglu (2006), with two separate problems: (i) the Factor Price Manipulation (henceforth FPM) problem, which arises when the elite has no tax revenue-generating motive and maximizes only the first term in (12); (ii) the Revenue Extraction (henceforth RE) problem, which focuses squarely on this latter motive, the maximization of the second term in (12). I discuss each case, emphasizing the conditions under which a dual rural economy arises, or those in which µ < 1 and the subsistence sector has inferior economic institutions. 4.1 Factor Price Manipulation Consider first the pure FPM problem that arises when maximizing only the first term in (12): max (1 − α) τ,µ 1 (γE LR )α (T − t)1−α . α (15) Ignoring constant terms, and substituting γE , this expression underlines the fact that under purely FPM objectives, landowners choose tax and property rights to maximize the ratio of labour to distortion-adjusted land LR /T̃ to minimize the equilibrium rural wage. The main features of the solution are as follows. First, FPM incentives compel the elite to impose maximal distortions (high levels of taxation and low property rights) when there is no threat of migration. Second, when wages increase, checks are imposed on these distortions. In the case of taxation, any effort to reduce the peasants’ welfare in the subsistence sector is eventually self-defeated by their freedom to move to an alternative sector. But while taxation is reduced to a minimum, the level of property rights protection is not raised to its maximum level, even with a very high urban wage. At the root of this result is that part of peasants’ land rents would be lost upon migration under poor property rights. The following proposition summarizes these and other features of the solution: Proposition 1 (Summary of FPM policies) Suppose the elite maximizes the first term in (12). Then, with w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10) and µ∗ from Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features the following level of taxation τSF P M and property rights µF P M : 1. (No migration) If wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ , then τSF P M = τ̄ and µF P M = µ. 2. (Unavoidable migration) If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗ ) , then τSF P M = 0 and µF P M ∈ (0, 1/ (2 − α)). Moreover, ∂µF P M /∂T > 0, ∂µF P M /∂α > 0, and ∂µF P M /∂t < 0. Finally, as T → ∞ or t → 0, µF P M → 1/ (2 − α) . Proof. See Section A.2. 15w̄ τ̄ , µ . In this no migration regime, regardless Consider the results of Proposition 1 for wU < of the policies selected by the elite, LR = L. The FPM motive compels landowners to make peasants’ outside option as poor as possible. Since without an effective threat of migration to another sector the only peasant outside option is income from their own plots, this is achieved by imposing the highest taxation and poorest property rights institutions on the subsistence subsector, 17 τ̄ and µ. These policies minimize the rural equilibrium wage and thus increase their rents, or, equivalently, maximize the proportion of rural labour in the capitalist sector. Consider the results of Proposition 1 for wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ. In this no migration regime, regardless Consider the results of Proposition 1 for wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ. In this no migration regime, regardless landowners to make of the policies byProposition the elite, L1Rfor=wL. Consider theselected results of w̄ τ̄ FPM , µ. Inmotive this nocompels migration regime, regardless U <The The FPM motive compels landowners to make of the policies selected byProposition the elite, L1Rfor=wL. Consider the results of < w̄ τ̄ , µ . In this no migration regime, regardless U peasants’ outside optionof poor as possible. Since without an effective threat of migration to The FPM motive compels landowners to make of the policies selected byas the elite, L1Rfor=wL. Consider the results Proposition < w̄ τ̄ , µ . In this no migration regime, regardless U peasants’ outside optionbyas the poor as possible. Since without an effective threat of migration to = L. The FPM motive compels landowners to make of the policies selected elite, L R another sector the only peasant outside option is income from their own plots, thisofismigration achieved by peasants’ outside option as the poor as possible. Since without an effective threat to = L. The FPM motive compels landowners to make of the policies selected by elite, L Roption is income from their own plots, this is achieved by another the option only peasant outside peasants’sector outside as poor as possible. Since without an effective threat of migration to imposing the highest taxation and poorest property rights institutions on the subsistence subsector, another sector the option only peasant outside option is income from an their own plots, thisofismigration achieved by peasants’ outside as poor as possible. Since without effective threat to imposingsector the highest taxation and poorest property rights from institutions on the subsistence subsector, thepolicies only peasant outside option is income their own plots, thistheir is achieved by These minimize the rural equilibrium wage and thus increase rents, or, τ̄another and µ. imposingsector the highest taxation and poorest property rights from institutions on the subsistence subsector, another thepolicies only peasant outside option is income plots, thistheir is achieved by τ̄ and µ. the These minimize the rural equilibrium wagetheir and own thus increase rents, or, imposing highest taxation and poorest property rights institutions on the subsistence subsector, equivalently, maximize the proportion of rural labour in the capitalist sector. τ̄ and µ. the These policies minimize the rural equilibrium wage and thus increase their subsector, rents, or, imposing highest taxation and poorest property rights institutions on the subsistence maximize theminimize proportion ofrural rural labour in the capitalist sector. τ̄equivalently, and µ. These policies the equilibrium wage and thus increase their or, I In the other extreme, the societythe is of inrural the unavoidable migration regime, LR = Ltheir for rents, any comequivalently, maximize the proportion rural labour in the capitalist sector. R τ̄ and µ. These policies minimize equilibrium wage and thus increase rents, or, I In the other extreme, theproportion society is of in rural the unavoidable migration regime, LR = LIR for any comequivalently, maximize the labour the capitalist sector. I /T̃ .inLet’s examine the intuition of this solution, bination of policies. Thus landowners maximize L = L for any comIn the other extreme, the society is in the unavoidable migration regime, L R R equivalently, maximize thelandowners proportion of rural labour the capitalist sector. R examineregime, the intuition this solution, bination policies. Thus LIIR /T̃ .inLet’s for any comIn theofin other extreme, the society1.ismaximize in the unavoidable migration LI R/T̃= isLofIR as stated part 2 of Proposition It is straightforward to verify that L / T̃ . Let’s examine the intuition of this solution, bination of policies. Thus landowners maximize L RR = LIRmonotonically for any comIn the other extreme, the society is in the unavoidable migration regime, L R I as statedofinpolicies. part 2 of Proposition 1. maximize It is straightforward verify the thatintuition LIR /T̃ isofmonotonically /Landowners T̃ . Let’sto examine this imposing solution, bination Thus landowners LIR , and this has a simple intuition. receive no benefit from decreasing in τ I S / T̃ is monotonically as stated in part 2 of Proposition 1. It is straightforward to verify that L T̃ . Let’s examine theno intuition this imposing solution, bination of in policies. Thus landowners maximize LR /Landowners R I /T̃ isof has a simple receive from decreasing τS , 2and monotonically as statedon in the part of this Proposition 1. It intuition. is while straightforward to verify that Lbenefit R taxation subsistence sector because, increasing the share of rural labour in their plots, I , and this has a simple intuition. Landowners receive no benefit from imposing decreasing in τ S 2 of Proposition 1. It is straightforward to verify that LR /T̃ is monotonically as statedon in the part taxation subsistence sector because, while increasing the share of rural labourfrom in their plots, , and this has a simple intuition. Landowners receive no benefit imposing decreasing in τ S enough migration to the urban sector thatthe overall labour input falls. γ E , it encourages taxation onintheτSsubsistence sector because, while increasing share of rural labour in their plots, , and this has a simple intuition. Landowners receive no benefit from imposing decreasing enough migration to the urban sector thatthe overall labour input falls. γ E , it encourages taxation on the subsistence sector because, while increasing share of rural labour in their plots, Although optimal taxation is zero, not all distortions disappear under this regime. In particular, enough migration to the urban sector thatthe overall labour input falls. γE , it encourages taxation on the subsistence sector because, while increasing share of rural labour in their plots, Although optimal taxation is zero, not all distortions disappear under this regime. In particular, it encourages enough migration to the property urban sector that overall labourainput falls. γ E , subsistence the sector will not have perfect rights, µ = 1. Instead, similar basic trade-off optimal taxation is zero,tonot distortions disappear under thisinput regime. In particular, it encourages enough theall urban sector that overall labour falls. γ E , Although the subsistence sector will migration not have perfect property rights, µ= 1. under Instead, a similar basic trade-off Although optimal taxation is zero, not all distortions disappear this regime. In particular, between better rural productivity and protection of property rights (i.e., between the productivity the Although subsistence sector taxation will not have perfect property rights, µ = 1. under Instead, a similar basic trade-off optimal is zero, not all distortions disappear this regime. In particular, between better sector rural productivity and protection of rights, property rights (i.e., between thebasic productivity the subsistence will not have perfect property µ = 1. Instead, a similar trade-off F P M < 1. and security effects before), implies the of optimal level of property rights is µFproductivity between better ruraldiscussed productivity protection property rights (i.e., between the the sector will not before), haveand perfect property rights, µ= 1. Instead, arights similar P Mtrade-off < 1. and subsistence security effects discussed implies the of optimal level of property is basic µFproductivity between better rural productivity and protection property rights (i.e., between the P M solution alsodiscussed shows that the equilibrium of property isbetween anrights increasing function < 1. of andThe security effects before), implies thelevel optimal level ofrights property is µFproductivity between better rural productivity and protection of property rights (i.e., the P M The solution alsodiscussed shows that the equilibrium level of property rights is anrights increasing function < 1. of and security effects before), implies the optimal level of property is µ α. Moreover, in the empirically relevant case ofthe Tlevel large t small, it isisalmost wholly F determined Pfunction M < 1. of The solution alsodiscussed shows that the equilibrium of and property rights anrights increasing and security effects before), implies optimal level of property is µ α. Moreover, in the empirically relevant case of Tlevel large and t small, it isisalmost wholly determined TheLarger solution also shows that the important equilibrium of property rights an increasing function of by α. means landthat is relevant less the of production function and land rents are less α. Moreover, inα the empirically case of in Tlevel large and t small, it isisalmost wholly determined The solution also shows the equilibrium property rights an increasing function of by α. Larger α means land is less important in the production function and land rents are less α. Moreover, in the empirically relevant case of T largeµand small, it itis weakens almost wholly determined F P Mt because the security important in peasants’ decision to This increases by α. Larger means land is relevant lessstay. important in the production function and land rents areeffect less α. Moreover, inα the empirically case of T large and small, it itis weakens almost wholly determined F P Mt because the security effect important in peasants’ decision to stay. This increases µ by α. Larger α means land is less important in the production function and land rents are less F P M because (theα.importance of losing land rents upon pushes µit down) to the proweakens the security important in peasants’ decision stay. Thismigration, increases µwhich by Larger α means land is to less important in the production function andrelative land rents areeffect less F P M (the importance of losing land rents upon migration, which pushes µ down) relative to the probecauseand it weakens the security effect important in peasants’ decision to stay. This increases µproductivity ductivity effect (the impact on the subsistence sectors’ effective land endowment, F P M (the importance of losing land to rents upon which because pushes µit down) relative to theeffect proweakens the important in peasants’ decision stay. Thismigration, increases ductivity effect (the impact on the subsistence sectors’ µproductivity effective landsecurity endowment, (the importance of losing land rents upon migration, which pushesand µ down) relative to the prowhich persuades the elite to concede better property rights). ductivity effect (the impactland on the subsistence sectors’ productivity effective land endowment, (the of losing rents upon migration, which pushesand µ down) relative to the prowhichimportance persuades the elite toon concede better property rights). ductivity effect (the impact the also subsistence sectors’ productivity and effective land endowment, The comparative static results indicate that when peasants have more land it is important which persuades the impact elite toon concede better property rights). ductivity effect (the the also subsistence sectors’ productivity and effective land endowment, Thepersuades comparative statictoresults indicate that when peasants have more land it is important which the elite concede better property rights). to reduce the security of their property rights, compelling them to have stay. more Indeed, if it t is small Thepersuades comparative static results alsobetter indicate that when peasants land is very important which the elite to concede property rights). to reduce the securitystatic of their property rights, compelling them to have stay. more Indeed, if it t is very small The comparative results also indicate that when peasants land is important then staying the rural to protect their land rents ispeasants relatively unimportant. Instead, where to reduce theinsecurity of areas their property rights, compelling them to have stay. Indeed, if it t is very small The comparative static results also indicate that when more land is important then staying insecurity the rural areas to protectrights, their land rents is them relatively unimportant. Instead, where to reduce the of their property compelling to stay. Indeed, if t is very small peasants are able control or to obtain larger concessions, thetomodel predicts that landowners then staying in thetorural areas protect theirland land rents is them relatively unimportant. Instead, where to reduce the security of their property rights, compelling stay. Indeed, if t is very small peasants are in able torural control or to obtain larger the model predicts that landowners thentry staying thecompensate areas protect theirland landconcessions, rents is relatively unimportant. Instead, where will to partly for this by reducing µ. peasants are able to control or obtain larger land concessions, the model predicts that landowners thentry staying in thecompensate rural areas to protect their landµ.rents is relatively unimportant. Instead, where will partly this by reducing peasantstoare able to control orfor obtain larger land concessions, the model predicts that landowners will try to partly compensate for this by reducing µ. peasants are able tohighlights control orinobtain larger land the model predicts landowners The FPM case the simplest formconcessions, the main argument about poorthat property rights will try to partly compensate for this by reducing µ. The FPM casecompensate highlights in the simplest form µ. the main argument about poor property rights will try to partly for this by reducing as aThe distinct whichinpersists because it ties to the about land. poor However, it does so FPM distortion case highlights the simplest form the peasants main argument property rights as aThe distinct distortion whichinpersists because it ties peasants to the about land. poor However, it does so FPM case highlights the simplest form the main argument property rights by any direct tax benefit for elite landowners. To argument understand the puzzle of persistently as aremoving distinct distortion which persists because it ties peasants to the about land. However, it does so The FPM case highlights in the simplest form the main poor property rights by removing any direct tax benefit for because elite landowners. To understand the puzzle of persistently as a distinct distortion which persists it ties peasants to the land. However, it does so bad property rights, one tax must ask whether choose them even when they directly from by removing any direct benefit for because eliteelites landowners. To understand the puzzle of benefit persistently as a distinct distortion which persists it ties peasants to the land. However, it does so bad property any rights, one tax must ask whether choose them even when they directly from by removing direct benefit for eliteelites landowners. Toinunderstand the puzzle of benefit persistently taxation in the subsistence sector. I turn to these issues two steps. First, I demonstrate by bad property rights, one must ask whether elites choose them even when they directly benefit from by removing anysubsistence direct tax benefit for elite to landowners. Toinunderstand the puzzle of persistently taxation in the sector. I turn these issues two when steps. they First, I demonstrate by bad property rights, one must ask revenues whether elites choose them even directly benefit from solving the RE problem that tax accruing to the elite are always increasing in property taxation in the subsistence sector. I turn to these issues in two steps. First, I demonstrate by bad property rights, one must ask whether elites choose them even when they directly benefit from solving the RE problem thatsector. tax revenues accruing to the in elite aresteps. alwaysFirst, increasing in property taxation in the subsistence I turn to these issues two I demonstrate by rights. Next, show that despite this result, in theto full toalways the First, model may solving that tax revenues accruing thesolution elite aresteps. increasing in property taxationthe in RE theII problem subsistence sector. I turn to these issues in two I landowners demonstrate by rights. Next, show that despite this result, in the full solution to the model landowners may solving low the property RE problem that tax revenues accruing to by the“modernization.” elite are always increasing in property choose rights, especially when threatened rights. Next, show that despite this result, in thetofull the model landowners may solving low the REI problem that tax revenues accruing thesolution elite aretoalways increasing in property choose property especially threatened by “modernization.” rights. Next, I showrights, that despite thiswhen result, in the full solution to the model landowners may choose property especially threatened by solution “modernization.” rights. low Next, I showrights, that despite thiswhen result, in the full to the model landowners may choose low property rights, especially when threatened by “modernization.” 16 choose low property rights, especially when threatened by “modernization.” 16 16 16 16 18 4.2 Revenue Extraction 4.2 Revenue Extraction 4.2 Revenue Consider now the Extraction problem of maximizing Revenue Extraction (RE) only66 : 4.2 Revenue Consider now the Extraction problem of maximizing Revenue Extraction (RE) only6 : Consider now the problem of maximizing Revenue Extraction (RE) only : 1 α 1−α (RE) only6 : Consider now the problem of maximizing Revenue Extraction (16) max τS 1 µ (γS L R )α t1−α . τ,µ τ (16) max µ (γS LR )α t1−α . S α 1 . τ,µ τ (16) L ) t max µ (γ S α S R 1 τ,µ α . (16) τSthat, LRRE )α t1−α max µin (γSthe Unlike Proposition 1, this section shows solution, policies are similar at different τ,µ α in the RE solution, policies are similar at different Unlike Proposition 1, this section shows that, levels the urban1,wage. In particular, thereinis the an intermediate of taxation, level Unlikefor Proposition this section shows that, RE solution, level policies are similarand at the different levels for the urban wage. In particular, there is an intermediate level of taxation, and the level Unlike Proposition this section showsI that, RE key solution, policies aresolution similarand at the different of property always summarize features ofofthe in next levels for therights urbanis1,wage. Inmaximal. particular, thereinis the an the intermediate level taxation, level of property rights is always maximal. I summarize the key features of the solution in the next levels for therights urbanis wage. particular,I summarize there is an the intermediate levelofofthe taxation, the level Proposition. of property alwaysInmaximal. key features solutionand in the next Proposition. of property rights is always maximal. I summarize the key features of the solution in the next Proposition. Proposition 2 (Summary of RE policies) Suppose the elite solves problem (16). Then, with Proposition. Proposition 2 (Summary of∗ RE policies) Suppose the elite solves problem (16). Then, with frompolicies) Remark 1,Suppose the unique political equilibrium features µRE =1 w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10) andof µ∗ RE Proposition 2 (Summary the elite solves problem (16). Then, with RE inLaf µ from Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features µ =1 w̄ (τ, µ) as defined (10) and RE f er Proposition 2 (Summary of RE policies) Suppose the elite solves problem (16). Then, with ∗ RE =defined min τ̄ ,in τ Laf and , where: =1 w̄ (τ,τµ) (10) and µ from Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features µ SREas f er =defined min τ̄ ,in τ Laf and τµ) , where: ∗ from Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features µRE = 1 SREas w̄ (τ, (10) and µ f er and τS = min τ̄ , τ , where: f er ∈ (1 − α, 1) . w̄ τ̄ , µ , then τ Laf (No=migration) If fwerU < min τ̄ , τ Laf , where: and1.τSRE f er ∈ (1 − α, 1) . 1. (No migration) If wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ , then τ Laf Laf f er ∈ (1 − α, Laf f er Laf f er < w̄ τ̄ , µ , then τ 1)f.er /∂t > 0. Finally, as T → ∞ or 1. Moreover, (No migration) If w U ∂τ Laf f er /∂T < 0, ∂τLaf f er /∂α < 0, and ∂τ Laf Laf f er /∂t > 0. Finally, as T → ∞ or Laf<f er ∂τ /∂T < 0, ∂τ /∂α 0, and ∂τ < w̄ τ̄ , µ , then τ ∈ (1 − α, 1) . 1. Moreover, (No migration) If w U f erLaf →f er 1 /∂T − α. < 0, ∂τ Laf f er /∂α < 0, and ∂τ Laf f er /∂t > 0. Finally, as T → ∞ or t → 0, τ Laf Moreover, ∂τ Laf f er →f er 1 − α. < 0, ∂τ Laf f er /∂α < 0, and ∂τ Laf f er /∂t > 0. Finally, as T → ∞ or t → 0, τ Laf∂τ Laf Moreover, f er → 1 /∂T − α. t → 0, τ f er = 1 − α. 2. (Unavoidable If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) , then τ Laf Laf f ermigration) → 1 − α. t → 0, τ Laf = 1 − α. 2. (Unavoidable migration) If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗ ) , then τ Laf ff er er = 1 − α. 2. (Unavoidable migration) If wU > w̄ (0, µ ) , then τ Proof. See Section migration) A.3. 2. (Unavoidable If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗ ) , then τ Laf f er = 1 − α. Proof. See Section A.3. The intuition for A.3. this solution in the no migration regime (when LR = L) is simple. To maximize Proof. See Section The intuition for A.3. this solution in the no migration regime (when LR = L) is simple. To maximize Proof. See Section tax The revenue, the for landowning eliteinhas interest on raising in theTosubsistence maximize intuition this solution the anodirect migration regime (when Lproductivity R = L) is simple. tax The revenue, the for landowning eliteinhas anodirect interest on raising productivity in theTosubsistence = L) is simple. maximize intuition this solution the migration regime (when L R other hand, there is ainstandard Laffersector to increase the tax base. With τS , on the tax revenue, the landowning elite hasrespect a directtointerest on raising productivity the subsistence , on the other hand, there is a standard Laffersector to increase the tax base. With respect to τ S tax revenue, the landowning elite has a direct interest on raising productivity in the subsistence curve Although there is no labour-leisure workers a unit of , on the for other hand, and therethey is a supply standard Laffersector logic. to increase the tax base. With respect to τStrade-off curve logic. Although there is no labour-leisure trade-off for workers and they supply a unit of , on the other hand, there is a standard Laffersector to increase the tax base. With respect to τ S there aexists labour inelastically, labour supply the subsistence sector for responds to and τS because curve logic. Although there is no in labour-leisure trade-off workers they supply unit an of there aexists an labour inelastically, labour supply in the subsistence sector for responds to and τS because curve logic. Although there is no labour-leisure trade-off workers they supply unit of alternative, untaxed sector in the elite’s farms. Therefore, increasing the tax rate reduces the tax labour inelastically, labour supply in the subsistence sector responds to τS because there exists an alternative, untaxed sector in the elite’s farms. Therefore, increasing the tax rate reduces the tax because thereofexists an labour supply ininthe subsistence sector responds to Stax base byinelastically, reducing thelabour share thefarms. subsistence sector. Unless the level feasible alternative, untaxed sectorof inlabour the elite’s Therefore, increasing theτexogenous rate reduces the tax base by reducing the share of labour in the subsistence sector. Unless the exogenous level of feasible Laf f er alternative, sector thewill elite’s farms. Therefore, increasing the tax∈ rate thethat tax (1 −reduces α, 1) of such taxation, τ̄ , untaxed is binding, taxation set at the interior taxUnless rate τthe base by reducing the share ofinlabour inbethe subsistence sector. feasible Laf exogenous f er ∈ (1 − level α, 1) such that taxation, τ̄ , is binding, taxation will be set at the interior tax rate τ base by reducing the share of labour the sector. exogenous of feasible Laf f er ∈ (1 the marginal in taxation revenue from raising tax rate equates theτthe marginal decrease revenue − level α, 1) in such that taxation, τ̄ , isincrease binding, willinbe setsubsistence atthe the interior taxUnless rate the marginal increase in revenue from raising the tax rate equates the marginal decrease in revenue Laf f er ∈ (1 − α, 1) such that taxation, τ̄ , is binding, taxation will be set at the interior tax rate τ frommarginal the tax increase base erosion. the in revenue from raising the tax rate equates the marginal decrease in revenue from the tax base erosion. I revenue the marginal increase in revenue the tax ratemigration equates the marginal for any thetax other societyfrom is inraising the unavoidable regime and decrease LR = Lin fromIn the baseextreme, erosion. IR for any In the other extreme, society is in the unavoidable migration regime and L = L R R from the tax base erosion. I combination of policies. characterize solution inmigration this case,regime it canand be L shown again that In the other extreme, To society is in thethe unavoidable R = L R for any combination of policies. To characterize the solution inmigration this case,regime it canand be L shown again I for that = L any In the other extreme, society is in the unavoidable R although poorofproperty may deter some maximand is increasing inagain µ R for each combination policies.rights To characterize the migration, solution inthe this case, it can be shown that although poor property rights may deter some migration, the maximand is increasing in µ for each combination policies. To level characterize the migration, solution this case, it given, can bethe shown that the preferred µ remains equal 1. in Taking this as optimal level of τalthough S . Therefore, poorofproperty rights mayofdeter some the maximand is increasing inagain µ for each . Therefore, the preferred level of µ remains equal 1. Taking this as given, the optimal level of τalthough S poor property rightslevel mayofdeter some migration, the maximand is increasing in µ for each the preferred remains equal 1. Taking this as given, optimal level of τS . 6 Therefore, One may alternatively think of the RE µproblem as that which emerges when all the landthe is under the control of 6 One may alternatively think of the RE emerges when all they the land is under of Therefore, the preferred level of the µproblem remains equal 1. Taking this as given, the optimal level of τthe sector, t = T. Indeed, when elites as arethat not which involved in production, inevitably dothe notcontrol compete S . 6subsistence One may think of the REand problem that emerges when all they the is under the control of the subsistence sector, t = T. Indeed, when the elites are not which involved in production, inevitably not compete for factors withalternatively the subsistence producers, focusas merely on revenue extraction. Theland features of do the solution to 6 the subsistence sector, tseen = T. when the are not which involved in production, they inevitably not compete One may think of the RE problem that emerges when the is under the control of for withalternatively the be subsistence focusas merely on revenue extraction. Theland features of do the solution to suchfactors a problem can asIndeed, a producers, special caseand of elites problem (16). Thus I focus on theall latter. for with sector, the be subsistence focus are merely on revenue extraction. The features of do thenot solution to the subsistence tseen = T.asIndeed, when the not involved in production, they inevitably compete suchfactors a problem can a producers, special caseand of elites problem (16). Thus I focus on the latter. suchfactors a problem seen as a producers, special caseand of problem (16). on Thus I focus on the latter. for with can the be subsistence focus merely revenue extraction. The features of the solution to such a problem can be seen as a special case of problem 17 (16). Thus I focus on the latter. 17 17 17 19 f er , can be easily calculated as τ Laf f er = 1−α. Again, the exogenous limit to taxation taxation, τ Laf taxation, τ Laf f er , can be easily calculated as τ Laf f er = 1−α. Again, the exogenous limit to taxation = min {τ̄ , 1 − α}, as may become binding. Thus, the equilibrium level of taxation is given by τ RE RE = min {τ̄ , 1 − α}, as may become binding. Thus, the equilibrium level of taxation is given by τ Laf f er Laf f er taxation, τ Proposition. , can be easily calculated as τ = 1−α. Again, the exogenous limit to taxation noted in the noted in the Proposition. RE = min {τ̄ , 1 − α}, as mayRegarding become binding. Thus,static the equilibrium of taxation is given comparative results, thelevel tax rate is higher when by α isτ small. In this case, the Regarding comparative static results, the tax rate is higher when α is small. In this case, the noted Proposition. extent in of the distortions is reduced, since there are greater diminishing returns to labour and labour extent of distortions is reduced, since there are greateris diminishing to labour and labour Regarding comparative static thethe tax higher whenreturns α iselite small. case, the input declines little in response to results, taxes. In norate migration regime, the alsoIn setthis a higher tax input declines little in response to taxes. In the no migration regime, the elite also set a higher tax extent of distortions since More there land are greater returns to labour andincrease labour rate when t is larger is orreduced, T is smaller. in the diminishing traditional sector amounts to an rate when t is larger or T is smaller. More land in the traditional sector amounts to an increase input little response thealternative no migration regime, the eliteisalso higher less tax in thedeclines tax base. A in decrease in to T taxes. impliesInthe landowner sector ableset toaabsorb in the tax base. A decrease in T implies the alternative landowner sector is able to absorb less rate when t isoflarger T is reduce smaller. land in the traditional to an increase labour. Both theseoreffect theMore elasticity of peasant labour sector supplyamounts to taxation, increasing labour. Both of these effect reduce the elasticity of peasant labour supply to taxation, increasing in tax base. A decrease in T implies the alternative is able oftorelative absorb land less thethe optimal tax rate. With unavoidable migration, instead,landowner taxation issector independent the optimal tax rate. With unavoidable migration, instead, taxation is independent of relative land labour. Both The of these effect reduce elasticity of peasant supplyis to taxation, increasing endowments. reason is that thethe relevant outside option labour for peasants now the urban sector, endowments. The reason is that the relevant outside option for peasants is now the urban sector, the optimal rate. With unavoidable instead, taxation independent of relative land which has a tax capacity to absorb workers migration, that is independent of rural is land. which has a capacity to absorb workers that is independent of rural land. endowments. The reason is that the relevant outside option for peasants is now the urban sector, In has sum,a when theto objective is maximizing revenues,ofincreasing urban wages reduce taxawhich capacity absorb workers that is tax independent rural land. In sum, when the objective is maximizing tax revenues, increasing urban wages reduce taxation to some extent, but property rights are maintained at their maximum level. This moderate tionIntosum, somewhen extent, property rights are maintained at their maximum This moderate thewbut objective is maximizing tax revenues, increasing urbanlevel. wages reduce taxachange in policy as U rises contrasts the FPM solution, where bad property rights persist and rises contrasts the FPM solution, where bad property rights persist and change in policy as w U tion to some extent,bybut property rightsIn arethe maintained at their maximum level. moderate taxation is limited “modernization.” RE solution, unlike FPM, the dual This economy does taxationinispolicy limitedasby In FPM the RE solution, unlike FPM, the dual economy rises the solution, where bad property rights persist does and change wU“modernization.” not emerge endogenously as wcontrasts U increases. Revenue extraction, in other words, poorly explains the increases. Revenue extraction, in other words, poorly explains the not emerge endogenously as w U taxation limited by “modernization.” the RE solution, unlike FPM,with the differential dual economy does dual ruraliseconomy. The RE economy is In instead a single-sector economy taxation dual rural economy. The RE is instead a single-sector economy with differential taxation 7U. increases. Revenue extraction, in other words, poorly explains the not politically-weak emerge endogenously as weconomy Thus, it is important to examine whether the argument about on producers 7 . Thus, it is important to examine whether the argument about on politically-weak producers dual rural economy. The RE economy is instead a single-sector economy with to differential the persistence of bad property rights set forth with the FPM case is robust inclusion taxation of a RE the persistence of bad property rights set forth with the FPM case is robust to inclusion a RE 7 . Thus, it is important to examine whether the argumentof about on politically-weak producers concern. The next section tackles this issue. concern. The next section tackles this issue. the persistence of bad property rights set forth with the FPM case is robust to inclusion of a RE concern. TheCombined next sectionProblem tackles this issue. 4.3 The 4.3 The Combined Problem In this section I examine problem (12), so that the elite receives the full benefit of taxation of peas4.3 Combined Problem In thisThe section I examine problem (12), so that the elite receives the full benefit of taxation of peasants’ income and is also concerned with obtaining cheap labour. The next Proposition summarizes ants’ income is also concerned(12), withso obtaining labour. the Thefull next Proposition summarizes In this sectionand I examine that that the cheap elite of taxation peasthe solution. To simplifyproblem the cases, I suppose the receives exogenous limit benefit to taxation is not of binding the solution. To simplify the cases, I suppose that the exogenous limit to taxation is not binding ants’ income and Corollary is also concerned with obtaining cheap labour. The next Proposition summarizes (and note in the an important instance where the solution changes if it were). (and note in the Corollary an important instance where the solution changes if it were). the solution. To simplify the cases, I suppose that the exogenous limit to taxation is not binding Proposition 3 (Summary COM instance policies)where Suppose the elitechanges solves problem (12). Also, (and note in the Corollary an of important the solution if it were). Proposition 3 (Summary of COM policies) Suppose the elite solves problem (12). Also, ∗ assume that τ̄ = 1. Then, with w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10) and µ∗ from Remark 1, the unique µ from Remark 1, theCOM COM assume that τ̄3 =(Summary 1. Then, with w̄ (τ, µ) policies) as definedSuppose in (10) andelite Proposition of following COM solves problem (12). unique Also, political equilibrium features the level of taxation τthe SCOM and property rights (µCOM ): and property rights (µ ): political equilibrium features the following level of taxation τ ∗ assume that τ̄ = 1. Then, with w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10) Sand µ from Remark 1, the unique COM ∈ (τ Laf f er , 1), where τ Laf f er 1. (Noequilibrium migration)features If wU <the w̄ following τ̄ , µ , then µCOM = 1 and ττCOM and property rights (µCOM ): is political level of taxation S 1. (No migration) If wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ , then µCOM = 1 and τSSCOM ∈ (τ Laf f er , 1), where τ Laf f er is as in Proposition 2, part 1. Proposition 1. as (Noinmigration) If 2, wUpart < w̄1. τ̄ , µ , then µCOM = 1 and τSCOM ∈ (τ Laf f er , 1), where τ Laf f er is 7 Since property rights are maintained at their maximum level and taxation is moderated by the desire not to 7 as in Proposition 2, part 1. property rights maintained their maximum level andintaxation moderated by the desire to erodeSince the tax base, the RE are solution is also at associated with lower costs terms ofisproductivity. Relatedly, thenot share erode the working tax base,inthe RE solutionsector is alsois associated with lower costs ineconomy. terms of productivity. Relatedly, the share of labour the capitalist not as large as in the FPM 7 Sinceworking property are maintained maximum level and economy. taxation is moderated by the desire not to of labour in rights the capitalist sector isat nottheir as large as in the FPM erode the tax base, the RE solution is also associated with lower costs in terms of productivity. Relatedly, the share 18in the FPM economy. of labour working in the capitalist sector is not as large as 18 18 20 (Unavoidable migration) If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) , then there exist thresholds t and t̄ with 0 < t < (Unavoidable migration) If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗ ) , then there exist thresholds t and t̄ with 0 < t < t̄(Unavoidable < 1 such that: migration) If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗ ) , then there exist thresholds t and t̄ with 0 < t < t̄(Unavoidable < 1 such that: migration) If wU > w̄ (0, µ∗ ) , then there exist thresholds t and t̄ with 0 < t < t̄(Unavoidable < 1 such that: migration) If wU > w̄ (0,COM µ ) , then there exist thresholds t and t̄ with 0 < t < t̄ <i.1ifsuch that: = 0 and µCOM = µFF PP M ; t ∈ (0, t], then τSCOM COM t̄ <i.1ifsuch that: ; t ∈ (0, t], then τSCOM = 0 and µCOM = µF P M M COM = COM 01 − and µand = µF = ; i. if t ∈ (0, = α, µ 1. ii. [t̄, Tt],], then then ττSSCOM COM P M COM = COM 01 − and µand = µ ; i. if t ∈ (0, = α, µ = 1. ii. [t̄, Tt],], then then ττSSCOM COM COM FPM; COM = 0 and µ = µ i. if t ∈ (0, τ = 1 − α, and µ = 1. ii. [t̄, Tt],], then then τ SSCOM α(1−α) COM α, and µCOM =f er 1., then µCOM = µ and τSCOM = τ̄ . ii. if1t If ∈w [t̄,UT< ], w̄ then Corollary τ Laf τ̄ , τµSCOM and=τ̄ 1<−1+α(1−α) α(1−α) < Laf f er α, and µ = 1., then µCOM = µ and τ COM = τ̄ . ii. if1t If ∈w [t̄,UT< ], w̄ then Corollary < τ τ̄ , τµS and=τ̄ 1<−1+α(1−α) α(1−α) Laf f er , then µCOM = µ and τSCOM = τ̄ . Corollary 1 If wU < w̄ τ̄ , µ and τ̄ < 1+α(1−α) < τ SCOM α(1−α) Laf f er COM Corollary If wU A.4. < w̄ τ̄ , µ and τ̄ < 1+α(1−α) Proof. See 1Section α(1−α) < τ Laf f er , then µCOM = µ and τSCOM = τ̄ . Corollary If wU A.4. < w̄ τ̄ , µ and τ̄ < 1+α(1−α) < τ , then µ = µ and τS = τ̄ . Proof. See 1Section To understand 3, it is useful to contrast it with Propositions 1 and 2. Starting with Proof. See SectionProposition A.4. To understand Proposition it is useful to contrast it with Propositions 1 and 2. Starting with Proof. See Section A.4. Part 3, the no understand migration regime, 1 it of isProposition 3 showsit that the elite 1can benefit from To Proposition 3, useful to contrast with once Propositions andalso 2. Starting with Proof. See Section A.4. the To no understand migration regime, Part 3, 1 it of isProposition 3 showsit that once the elite 1can also benefit from Proposition useful to contrast with Propositions and 2. Starting with taxation of peasants’ income, RE-type policies with optimal property rights and positive but less the To no understand migration regime, Part 3, 1 it of isProposition 3 showsit that once the elite 1can benefit from Proposition useful to contrast withproperty Propositions andalso 2. Starting with taxation of peasants’ income, RE-type policies with optimal rights and positive but less the no migration regime, Part 1 of Proposition 3 shows that once the elite can also benefit from than confiscatory taxation similar toProposition those of Proposition 2 will prevail. taxation of peasants’ income, RE-type policies with optimal property rights andalso positive butfrom less the no migration regime, Part 1 of 3 shows that once the elite can benefit than confiscatory taxation similar to those of Proposition 2 will prevail.rights and positive but less taxation of peasants’ income, RE-type policies with optimal property The intuition for why, without migration, incentives to extract revenue prevail over reducing than confiscatory taxation similar to those of Proposition 2 will prevail.rights and positive but less taxation of peasants’ income, RE-type policies with optimal property intuition for why, without incentives to extract revenue prevail over reducing thanThe confiscatory taxation similar tomigration, those of Proposition 2 will prevail. wages stems directly from the proof in Section A.4. In particular, elite consumption can be either The intuition for why, without migration, incentives to extract revenue prevail over reducing than confiscatory taxation similar to those of Proposition 2 will prevail. wages stems directly from the proofmigration, in Section incentives A.4. In particular, elite consumption can be either The intuition for why, without to extract revenue prevail over reducing increasing or directly decreasing with the level property in peasants’ plots, for the reasons already wages stems from the proof inofSection A.4.rights In particular, elite consumption can be either The intuition for why, without migration, incentives to extract revenue prevail over reducing increasing or directly decreasing with the level ofSection property rights in peasants’ plots, for the reasons already wages stems from the proof in A.4. In particular, elite consumption can be either emphasized the FPM and RE cases, respectively. On the hand, FPM implies by be reducing increasing orindirectly decreasing with the level ofSection property rights inone peasants’ plots, for thethat reasons already wages stems from the proof in A.4. In particular, elite consumption can either emphasized the FPM and respectively. On theinone hand, FPM implies that by reducing increasing orindecreasing withRE thecases, level of property rights peasants’ plots, for the reasons already peasant income in their own plots, bad property rights increase peasants’ labour supply for the elite. emphasized in the FPM and RE cases, respectively. On the one hand, FPM implies that by reducing increasing or decreasing withplots, the level of property rights in peasants’ plots, for the reasons already peasant income in FPM their own bad respectively. property rights increase peasants’ labour supply for the elite. emphasized in the and RE cases, On the one hand, FPM implies that by reducing On the other hand, RE indicates that also reduce tax revenues, received by politically powerful peasant income in FPM their own plots, badthey property rights increase peasants’ labour supply for the elite. emphasized in the and RE cases, respectively. On the one hand, FPM implies that by reducing On the other hand, RE indicates that they also reduce tax revenues, received by politically powerful peasant income in their own plots, bad property rights increase peasants’ labour supply for the elite. landowners. While REindicates and plots, FPM push the elite on different directions regarding property rights On the other hand, RE that they also reduce tax revenues, received by politically powerful peasant income in their own bad property rights increase peasants’ labour supply for the elite. landowners. While RE and FPM push the elite on different directions regarding property rights On the other the hand, REhas indicates that to they also reduce tax revenues, received byfor politically powerful institutions, elite incentives impose high taxes on peasants both tax revenue and landowners. While REindicates and FPM push the elite on different directions regarding property rights On the other the hand, RE that they also reduce tax revenues, received byfor politically powerful institutions, elite has incentives to impose high taxes on directions peasants both tax revenue and landowners. While RE and FPM push the elite on different regarding property rights to get more labour from them. this reason, as noted proposition, thetax desired level of institutions, the elite has incentives to impose taxes in onthe peasants both for revenue and landowners. While RE and FPMFor push the elitehigh on different directions regarding property rights to get more labour from them. For this reason, as noted in the proposition, thetax desired level of institutions, the elite has incentives to impose high taxes on peasants both for revenue and Laf f er COM RE exceed the RE taxation, τSRE in =the τ Laf . A high tax rate, in turn, taxation τSCOM to get more labour from For desired this reason, as noted proposition, the desired level of institutions, the will elite has them. incentives to impose high taxes on peasants both for tax revenue and f er . A will exceed the RE desired taxation, τSRE in =the τ Laf high tax rate, in turn, taxation τSCOM to get more labour from them. For this reason, as noted proposition, the desired level of f er resolves the ambivalence over property rights: it compels the elite to focus on extracting peasants’ τ Laf . A highthe taxdesired rate, in turn, will from exceed the RE desired taxation, τSRE in=the taxation τSCOM to get more labour them. For this reason, as noted proposition, level of f er resolves the ambivalence overthe property rights:taxation, it compels the=elite to focus on extracting peasants’ will exceed RE desired τ τ . A high tax rate, in turn, taxation τ S S revenue from taxation and thus to be directly in=elite increasing peasants’ by resolves ambivalence over property rights: itinterested compels the focus on extracting will exceed the RE desired taxation, τSRE τ Laftof er . A high taxproductivity rate,peasants’ in turn, taxationthe τSCOM revenue from taxation and thus to be directly interested in elite increasing peasants’ productivity by resolves the ambivalence over property rights: it compels the to focus on extracting peasants’ selecting good propertyand rights institutions. revenue from taxation thus to be rights: directlyitinterested in elite increasing peasants’ productivity by resolves the ambivalence over property compels the to focus on extracting peasants’ selectingfrom goodtaxation propertyand rights institutions. revenue thus to be directly interested in increasing peasants’ productivity by The intuition of theand preceding paragraph also has an in interesting corollary. Ifproductivity the exogenous selecting goodtaxation property rights institutions. revenue from thus to be directly interested increasing peasants’ by The intuition of the rights preceding paragraph also has an interesting corollary. If the exogenous selecting good property institutions. limit to taxation τ̄ is low enough, then the elite’s FPM incentives will again prevail, because tax The intuition of the preceding paragraph also has an interesting corollary. If the exogenous selecting good property rights institutions. limit to taxation τ̄ofisthe low enough, then the elite’s incentives willcorollary. again prevail, tax The intuition preceding paragraph also FPM has an interesting If words, thebecause exogenous revenues form a relatively unimportant component of their consumption. In other without limit to taxation τ̄ofisthe lowpreceding enough, then the elite’s FPM incentives willcorollary. again prevail, because tax The intuition paragraph also has an interesting If the exogenous revenues form a relatively unimportant component of their consumption. In other words, without limit to taxation τ̄ of is migration, low enough, then the FPM incentives prevail, because tax an effective threat the casecomponent forelite’s bad property rights inwill theagain subsistence sector is only revenues form a relatively unimportant of their consumption. In other words, without limit to taxation τ̄ is low enough, then the elite’s FPM incentives will again prevail, because tax an effective threat of migration, the case for bad property rights in the subsistence sector is only revenues form a relatively unimportant component of their(low consumption. In other words, without compelling if the elite has limited ability to tax the sector τ̄ ). an effective threat of migration, the casecomponent for bad property rights in the subsistence sectorwithout is only revenues form a relatively unimportant of their(low consumption. In other words, compelling ifthreat the elite has limited ability to tax sector τ̄ ).in the subsistence an effective of migration, the case for badthe property rights sector is only Proposition 3 also shows that when the urban wage is high and the threat of migration effective, compelling ifthreat the elite has limitedthe ability to tax the sector (low τ̄ ).in the subsistence sector is only an effective of migration, case for bad property rights Proposition 3 also shows that when thetourban wage is high and threat of migration effective, compelling if the elite has limited ability tax The the sector (low τ̄ ).the the prevalence of3 also RE incentives less obvious. reason forand this alsothreat follows from the preceding Proposition shows thatiswhen thetourban wage is high the of migration effective, compelling if the elite has limited ability tax the sector (low τ̄ ). the Proposition prevalence of3 also RE incentives iswhen less obvious. The reason forand thisthe alsothreat follows from the preceding shows that the urban wage is high of migration effective, discussion. In of particular, recall that with an The effective threat of the migration, increasing taxes on the prevalence RE incentives iswhen less obvious. reason forand this alsothreat follows from the preceding Proposition 3 also shows that the urban wage is high of migration effective, discussion. In of particular, recallis that with an The effective threat of migration, increasing taxes on the prevalence RE incentives less obvious. reason for this also follows from the preceding peasants’ income is noincentives longer useful from theanpoint of view of FPM. As follows Proposition 1the established, discussion. In of particular, recall that with effective threat of migration, increasing taxes on the prevalence RE is less obvious. The reason for this also from preceding peasants’ is no longer useful from theanpoint of view of FPM. As Proposition 1 established, discussion.income In particular, that with effective threat of migration, increasing taxes on increasing taxes reduces therecall attractiveness of an rural areas and theFPM. ensuing decreases labour peasants’ income is no longer useful from the point of view of As migration Proposition 1 established, discussion. In particular, recall that with effective threat of migration, increasing taxes on increasing taxes reduces the attractiveness of rural areas and of theFPM. ensuing decreases labour peasants’ income is noand longer useful fromThus, the point of view As migration Proposition 1noestablished, input for landowners their profits. we can no longer conclude, as in the migration increasing taxes reduces the attractiveness of rural areas and the ensuing migration decreases labour peasants’ income is noand longer useful fromThus, the point of view of FPM. As Proposition 1noestablished, input for landowners profits. we areas can no longer conclude, as in the migration increasing taxes reduces thetheir attractiveness of rural and the ensuing migration decreases labour input for landowners and their profits. Thus, we can no longer conclude, as in the no migration increasing taxes reduces the attractiveness of rural areas and the ensuing migration decreases labour input for landowners and their profits. Thus, we can no longer conclude, as in the no migration input for landowners and their profits. Thus, we can no longer conclude, as in the no migration 19 19 19 19 1921 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. case, that a high level of taxation prevails, inducing the elite to focus on RE-type policies with case, that a high level of taxation prevails, inducing the elite to focus on RE-type policies with optimal property institutions. case, that a high rights level of taxation prevails, inducing the elite to focus on RE-type policies with optimal property rights institutions. case, that a high level of taxation prevails, inducing theforce elite migration, to focus on policies with Inthat fact, sufficiently concerned with avoiding labour theRE-type elite choose minimal optimal property rights institutions. case, aif high level of taxation prevails, inducing theforce elite migration, to focus on RE-type policies with In fact, if sufficiently concerned with avoiding labour the elite choose minimal optimal property rights3 institutions. taxation. Proposition establishes that the elite will be “sufficiently” concerned with migration, In fact, if sufficiently concerned with avoiding labour force migration, the elite choose minimal optimal property rights3 institutions. taxation. Proposition establishes that avoiding the elite labour will be force “sufficiently” concerned with migration, In fact, if sufficiently concerned with migration, the elite choose minimal relative to tax revenues, if peasants own Since land for peasants means more land for taxation. Proposition 3 establishes thatlittle the land. elite labour will beless “sufficiently” concerned with migration, In fact, if sufficiently concerned with avoiding force migration, the elite choose minimal relative to tax revenues, if peasants own little land. Since less land for peasants means more land for taxation. Proposition 3 establishes that the elite will be “sufficiently” concerned with migration, the elite,tothis only 3reduces the own importance of revenues from of peasants’ production, relative tax not revenues, ifestablishes peasants little land. Since less landtaxation for peasants means more land for taxation. Proposition that the elite will be “sufficiently” concerned with migration, the elite,tothis only reduces the own importance of revenues taxation of peasants’ production, relative tax not revenues, peasants little land. Since lessfrom land for peasants means more land for but elite, alsoto increases that reduces ofif profits in own landowners’ which are taxation increasing the amount of rural the this not only the importance offarms revenues from ofinpeasants’ production, relative tax revenues, if peasants little land. Since less land for peasants means more land for but elite, also increases that reduces of profitsthe in importance landowners’offarms whichfrom are taxation increasingofinpeasants’ the amount of rural the this not only revenues production, labour. factor manipulation incentives dominate and the desired tax amount rateproduction, is zero. A but also Thus, increases thatprice of profits in importance landowners’ whichfrom are increasing the of rural the elite, this not only reduces the offarms revenues taxation ofinpeasants’ labour. Thus, factor price manipulation incentives dominate and the desired tax amount rate is zero. A but also increases that of profits in landowners’ farms which are increasing in the of rural zero also tax Thus, rate obviously implies noinincentives to adopt good property institutions labour. factor price manipulation incentives dominate andincreasing therights desired tax amount rate to is increase zero. A but increases that of profits landowners’ farms which are in the of rural zero tax Thus, rate obviously implies no incentives to adopt good property rights institutions to increase labour. factor price manipulation incentives dominate and the desired tax rate is zero. A taxable In the resulting equilibrium, avoid migration and extract more labour from zero tax income. rate obviously implies no incentives to to adopt good property rights institutions to increase labour. Thus, factor price manipulation incentives dominate and the desired tax rate is zero. A taxable In theimplies resulting equilibrium, to avoid migration extract more labour from zero tax income. rate obviously no incentives to adopt good propertyand rights institutions to increase peasants, the elite thus selects poor property rights institutions. taxable income. In the resulting equilibrium, to avoid migration and extract more labour from zero tax rate implies poor no incentives adopt good property rights institutions to increase peasants, the obviously eliteInthus propertyto rights institutions. taxable income. theselects resulting equilibrium, to avoid migration extract Due moretolabour from However, if peasants own enough land, the elite face the reverseand situation. sufficiently peasants, the elite thus selects poor property rights institutions. taxable income. In the resulting equilibrium, to avoid migration and extract Due moretolabour from However, if peasants own enough land, the elite face the reverse situation. sufficiently peasants, the elite thus selects poor property rights institutions. large peasant income and sufficiently small landowner profit from their own farms, the elite focus However, peasants own enough land, therights elite institutions. face the reverse situation. Due to sufficiently peasants, the ifelite thus selects poor property large peasant income and sufficiently small the landowner profit from their own farms, elite focus However, iftaxation peasants own enough land, eliteThus, face the reverse situation. Due the to sufficiently on increasing and not on reducing wages. in this case, peasant property rights are large peasant ifincome andown sufficiently small the landowner profit from their own farms, the elite focus However, peasants enough land, elite face the reverse situation. Due to sufficiently on increasing taxation andsufficiently not on reducing wages. Thus, in this case, peasant property rights are large peasant income and small landowner profit from their own farms, the elite focus optimal and taxation isand positive. on increasing taxation not on reducing wages. Thus, in this case, peasant property rights are large peasant income and sufficiently small landowner profit from their own farms, the elite focus optimal and taxation isand positive. on increasing taxation not on reducing wages. Thus, in this case, peasant property rights are COM = 0, RE has no Turning to comparative static results, over the range t ∈ (0, t] where τ optimal and taxation isand positive. on increasing taxation not on reducing wages. in this case, peasant property rights are COM = 0, RE has no Turning to comparative static results, over the Thus, range t ∈ (0, t] where τ optimal and taxation is positive. withτ COM µFF PP M thehas FPM bearing on the desired level of property rights. µCOM Turning to comparative static results, over Hence, the range t ∈coincides (0, t] where =from 0, RE no optimal and taxation is positive. COM M COM coincides withτ µF P M=from thehas FPM bearing on the desired level of property rights. Hence, µCOM Turning to comparative static results, over the range t ∈ (0, t] where 0, RE Proposition 1, and satisfies same comparative static results. Similarly, over range t∈ [t̄, no T] COM coincides with µF Pthe from the FPM bearing on the desired level the of property rights. Hence, µCOM = 0, RE has Turning to comparative static results, over the range t ∈ (0, t] where τ M Proposition 1, COM and satisfies the same comparative staticµresults. Similarly, over the range t ∈ FPM [t̄, no T] coincides with µ from the bearing on the desired level of property rights. Hence, COM RE = 1level implies that τcomparative coincides exactly with τ RE =with 1− α Proposition the fact on thatthe COM Fof P M Proposition 1,µCOM and satisfies the same static results. Similarly, over the range t ∈ FPM [2t̄,for T] coincides µ from the bearing desired of property rights. Hence, µ COM = 1 implies that τcomparative coincides exactly withSimilarly, τ RE = 1 − α ofthe Proposition 2t̄,for the fact that1,µCOM Proposition and satisfies the same static results. over range t ∈ [ T] COM the RE case. perfect rightsstatic and positive the rural wagetw∈E[2t̄,will = 1with implies thatproperty τcomparative coincides exactly withmigration τ RE = 1 − α of Proposition for fact that1,µIndeed, Proposition and satisfies the same results. Similarly, over the range T] COM COM will the RE case. Indeed, with perfect property rights and positive migration the rural wage w E 2 for = 1 implies that wage τ COMwcoincides exactly with τ REfor=factor 1 − α price of Proposition fact thattoµCOM , eliminating any scope manipulation. be identical the exogenous urban U will the RE case. Indeed, with perfect property rights and positive migration the rural wage w E 2 for = 1 implies that wage τ exactly τ for=factor 1 − α price of Proposition fact thattoµ the exogenous , eliminating anywith scope manipulation. be identical urban wcoincides U rights the RE case. Indeed, with perfect property and positive migration the rural wagevariation wE will Nonetheless, the comparative static results of the combined problem are richer because , eliminating any scope for factor manipulation. be identical the exogenous urbanproperty wage wU rights the RE case.toIndeed, with perfect positive migration the price rural wagevariation wE will Nonetheless, theexogenous comparative static results theand combined problem richer because eliminating any scope with forare factor price manipulation. be the identical to the urban wage wU , of in model’s parameters may move the economy from a situation t ∈ (0, t] to one in which Nonetheless, theexogenous comparative static results the combined problem richer because variation eliminating scope with forare factor price be the identical to the urban wage wU , of in model’s parameters may move the economy from a any situation t richer ∈ (0, t]because tomanipulation. one variation in which Nonetheless, the comparative static results of the combined problem are tin∈the [t̄, model’s T ]. More specifically, they predict a non-monotonic relationship quality rural parameters may move the economy a situation with ∈ (0, t]because to one variation inofwhich Nonetheless, the comparative static results of thefrom combined problem aretbetween richer t ∈the [t̄, model’s T ]. More specifically, they predict a non-monotonic relationship between quality ofwhich rural to one in in parameters may move the economy from a situation with t ∈ (0, t] and land in themove hands of When peasants hold relatively little land tproperty ∈the [t̄, model’s T ].rights More specifically, they predict apeasants. non-monotonic relationship between quality ofwhich rural in parameters may the economy from a situation with t ∈ (0, t] to one in rights and land in they the hands ofapeasants. Whenrelationship peasants hold relatively little land tproperty ∈ [ t̄, T ]. More specifically, predict non-monotonic between quality of rural ∈[t̄,(0, t]), obtaining more increases the rural elite’s incentives reduce property rights property rights and land in land the hands ofapeasants. Whenrelationship peasants to hold relatively little land t(t ∈ T ]. More specifically, they predict non-monotonic between quality of rural (t ∈ (0, t]), obtaining more land increases the rural elite’s incentives to reduce property rights property rights and land in the hands of peasants. When peasants hold relatively little land in order to obtain cheap labour. However, if land isincentives allocated to the peasants suchrights that (t ∈ (0, t]), obtaining more land increases theenough rural elite’s reduce property property rights and land in the hands of peasants. When peasants hold relatively little land in order to obtain cheap labour. However, if enough land isincentives allocated to the peasants suchrights that obtaining more land increases the rural elite’s reduce property (t ∈ (0, t]), t(t∈order [t̄,(0, T ],t]), theobtain elite promote optimal propertyif rights institutions to increase tax peasants revenues. in to cheap labour. However, enough land isincentives allocated to the suchrights that ∈ obtaining more land increases the rural elite’s reduce property t ∈order [t̄, T ],to theobtain elite promote optimalHowever, propertyifrights institutions to increase tax peasants revenues. such that in cheap labour. enough land is allocated to the This is interesting given its implications for the much-debated of inequality tin∈order [t̄, T ],prediction theobtain elite promote optimal property institutions to increase taximpact revenues. to cheap labour. However, ifrights enough land is allocated to the peasants such that This is interesting given its implications for the much-debated impact of inequality [t̄, T ],prediction the elite(for promote optimal property rights institutions to increase tax revenues. ton∈ development reviews, see Bénabou (1996) and Aghion et al. (1999)). In particular, this This prediction is interesting given its implications for the much-debated impact of inequality ton∈ development [t̄, T ], the elite(for promote optimal property(1996) rights and institutions to tax revenues. reviews, seegiven Bénabou Aghion et increase al. (1999)). In particular, this This prediction is interesting its implications for the much-debated impact of inequality result highlights that ifinteresting the relatively poor (here, peasants) are sufficiently wealthy, then elites on development (foris reviews, seegiven Bénabou (1996)the and Aghion et al. (1999)).impact In particular, this This prediction its implications for the much-debated of inequality result highlights that if the relatively poor (here, peasants) are sufficiently then elites on development (for reviews, see Bénabou (1996)the and Aghion et productivity, al. (1999)). wealthy, In particular, this may have weaker incentives to impose distortions that affect their as they may move result highlights that if the relatively poor (here, peasants) are sufficiently then elites on (for reviews, Bénabou (1996)the and Aghion et al. (1999)). wealthy, In particular, this maydevelopment have weakerthat incentives to see impose distortions that affect their as they may move result highlights if the relatively poor (here, the peasants) areproductivity, sufficiently wealthy, then elites from emphasizing impoverishing them in order to exploit their labour, to promote their prosperity may have weakerthat incentives to imposepoor distortions thatpeasants) affect their as they then may move result highlights if the relatively (here, areproductivity, sufficiently wealthy, elites from have emphasizing impoverishing them distortions in order to the exploit their labour, to promote prosperity may weaker incentives toThis impose that affect their productivity, as their they may move in order to tax the proceeds. particular political economy channel linking lower inequality to from have emphasizing impoverishing them distortions in order to that exploit their labour, to promote prosperity may impose affect their productivity, as their they may move in order toweaker tax theincentives proceeds.toThis particular political economy channel linking lower inequality to from emphasizing impoverishing them in order to exploit their labour, to promote their prosperity better institutions for development caninplausibly arise in their other labour, contexts too. in order to tax theimpoverishing proceeds. This particular political economy channeltolinking lower inequality to from emphasizing them order to exploit promote their prosperity better development can plausibly ariseeconomy in other contexts too. lower inequality to in orderinstitutions to tax the for proceeds. This particular political channel linking better development can plausibly ariseeconomy in other contexts too. lower inequality to in orderinstitutions to tax the for proceeds. This particular political channel linking better institutions for development can plausibly arise in other contexts too. better institutions for development can plausibly arise in other contexts too. 20 20 20 20 20 22 5 Extension: endogenous urban wages and the industrial elite 5 Extension: endogenous urban wages and the industrial elite 5 Extension: endogenous urban wages and the industrial elite 5 Extension: endogenous urban wages and the industrial elite Thus far the role of theendogenous urban-industrial urban elite has been ignored, adopting the simplified assumption 5 Extension: wages and the industrial elite Thus far the role of theendogenous urban-industrial urban elite has been ignored, adopting the simplified assumption 5 Extension: wages and the industrial elite Thus farpolitical the role power of the lies urban-industrial has beenelite. ignored, adopting theurban simplified that all in the hands elite of the rural Moreover, since wagesassumption have been Thus farpolitical the role power of the lies urban-industrial has beenelite. ignored, adopting theurban simplified that all in the hands elite of the rural Moreover, since wagesassumption have been Thus farpolitical the role power of the urban-industrial elite has been ignored, adopting theurban simplified that all lies in the hands of the rural elite. Moreover, since wagesassumption have assumed exogenous for convenience, there are no effects of any of the model parameters onbeen the Thus far the role of the urban-industrial elite has been ignored, adopting the simplified assumption that all political power lies in the hands of the rural elite. Moreover, since urban wages have assumed exogenous for convenience, there are no effects of any of the model parameters onbeen the that all political power lies in the hands of the rural elite. Moreover, since urban wages have been assumed exogenous for lies convenience, there are rural no effects of any of the model parameters onbeen the urban economy. that all political power in the hands of the elite. Moreover, since urban wages have assumed exogenous for convenience, there are no effects of any of the model parameters on the urban economy. assumed exogenous for convenience, there are no effects of any of the model parameters on the urban economy. In this section, I briefly discuss the way the urban and the rural elites’ interests can converge or assumed exogenous for convenience, there are urban no effects of any ofelites’ the model parameters on the urban economy. In this section, I briefly discuss the way the and the rural interests can converge or urban economy. In this I brieflyrights discuss way and by theexamining rural elites’ can converge or diverge on section, weak property on the land. Tothe do urban so, I start theinterests plausibly more realistic urban economy. In this I brieflyrights discuss way and by theexamining rural elites’ can converge or diverge on section, weak property on the land. Tothe do urban so, I start theinterests plausibly more realistic In this I briefly discuss way and by theexamining rural elites’ interests can converge or diverge on section, weak rights on the land. Tothe do urban so, I start the plausibly more realistic formulation thatproperty urban wages fall with rural-urban migration, which increases labour supply in In this section, I briefly discuss the way the urban and the rural elites’ interests can converge or diverge on weak property rightsfall on land. To do so, I start by examining the plausibly moresupply realistic formulation that urban wages with rural-urban migration, which increases labour in diverge on weak property rights on land. To do so, I start by examining the plausibly more realistic formulation that urban wages with migration, which increases supply in the cities. To make things as fall simple as rural-urban possible, suppose that the urban wage labour is now given by diverge on weak property rights on land. To do so, I start by examining the plausibly more realistic formulation that urban wages with migration, increases in the cities. To make things as fall simple as rural-urban possible, suppose that which the urban wage labour is now supply given by formulation that urban fall rural-urban migration, increases in the cities. To make things as = simple possible, suppose that the wage labour isinnow given by wUwith −as κm, for some constant κ. which Theurban main change thesupply analysis following function, wwages U (m) formulation that urban wages fall with rural-urban migration, which increases labour supply in the cities. Tofunction, make things as = simple as possible, suppose that the urban wage isinnow given by (m) w − κm, for some constant κ. The main change the analysis the following w U U the cities. To make things as simple as possible, suppose that the urban wage is now given by (m) = w − κm, for some constant κ. The main change in the analysis the following function, w comes when expressing the value of urban areas, now given by: U as simple U the cities. make things possible, suppose the wage isinnow by =w −as κm, for some constant Theurban main change thegiven analysis the following function, w U (m) comes whenTo expressing the value ofUurban now given that by:κ. =w − κm,areas, for some constant κ. The main change in the analysis the following function, w U (m) U urban comes when expressing the value of areas, now given by: =w − κm,areas, for some κ. The main change in the analysis the following function, w U (m) comes when expressing the value ofUurban nowconstant given t by: comes when expressing the value of urban areas, now given by: = w − κm + µ V r. U U t comes when expressing the value of urban t r.by: w − now κm +given µL VU =areas, t r. VU = wU U − κm + µ L t r. unaltered, as well as those determin= wU − κm +remain µL VU consumption The expressions for peasant and elite t r. = w − κm + µ V L U consumption U The expressions for peasant and elite remain as well as those determin= wU − κmthe +remain µvalue VU consumption L r. unaltered, and elite unaltered, well as determining The rentsexpressions and wagesfor in peasant the rural areas. Similarly, of the ruralasareas is those written just as L The expressions for peasant and elite consumption remain unaltered, as well as determining The rentsexpressions and wagesfor in peasant the rural areas. Similarly, theremain value unaltered, of the ruralasareas is those written just as and elite consumption well as those determining The rents and wages in peasant the rural areas. Similarly, theremain value of the rural areas is there written just as before. The key change naturally concerns the equation for migration. Like before is positive expressions for and elite consumption unaltered, as well as those determining rents and wages in naturally the rural concerns areas. Similarly, the value of the rural written just as before. The key change the equation for migration. Likeareas beforeis there is positive ing rents and wages in the rural areas. Similarly, the value of the rural areas is written just as before. The key concerns the equation for migration. Likeareas beforeis there is positive VRnaturally , which corresponds to:the value migration until Vchange U = in ing rents and wages the ruralnow areas. Similarly, of the rural written just as before. The key change naturally concerns the equation for migration. Like before there is positive = V , which now corresponds to: migration until V U R before. The key Vchange concerns the equation for migration. Like before there is positive , which now corresponds to: migration until U = VRnaturally before. The key Vchange concerns the equation , which now corresponds to: t for migration. Like before there is positive migration until U = VRnaturally corresponds to: t r + κm. migration until VU = VR , which wnow wE = (1 − µ) U −corresponds to: t m r + κm. migration until VU = VR , which wnow U − wE = (1 − µ) L − wU − wE = (1 − µ) L −t m r + κm. t m r + κm.wE is also a function of m), and wUthe −w µ) L − E = (1 − Hence, m is (implicitly) given by equation above (remember t m r + κm.w is also a function of m), and wUthe −w µ) L − E = (1 − Hence, m is (implicitly) given by equation above (remember E wUthe − zero w µ)less L− m r +wκm. E =if (1 Hence, is (implicitly) by equation (remember is µ)(t/L)r also a function of 0.m), and is than at m = Using just likembefore migrationgiven is equal to wU−above E − E +w(1 L − m Hence, m is (implicitly) given by the equation above (remember w is µ)(t/L)r also a function of 0.m), and E − is less(remember than wE +w(1 at m = Using just likembefore migrationgiven is equal to zero if wUabove is also a function of m), and Hence, is (implicitly) by the equation E − µ)(t/L)r at m = 0. Using is less than w + (1 just like before migration is equal to zero if w the functional form assumptions, equilibrium migration is thus, U E is µ)(t/L)r also a function of 0.m), and Hence, is (implicitly) given by equilibrium the equation E − is less(remember than wE +w(1 at m = Using just likembefore migration is equal to zero if wmigration Uabove the functional form assumptions, is thus, wE + (1 − µ)(t/L)r at m = 0. Using just like beforeform migration is equalequilibrium to zero if wmigration U is less than the functional assumptions, is thus, if wmigration wE + (1 − 1µ)(t/L)r at m = 0. Using just like beforeform migration is equal to 1−αzero U is less than the functional assumptions, equilibrium is thus, T̃ 1−α the functional form assumptions, equilibrium migration istthus, ) µ] 1 − α [(1 − τ 1−α 1 S T̃ the functional equilibrium − µ) 1 − αistthus, (17) m =form 0 if wassumptions, 1−α 1 + (1migration 1 ≡ w̄ (τS , µ) , U < AE [(1 − τ ) µ] 1−α 1−α 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − L α α t [(1 − τT̃SS ) µ] 1−α 1 ≡ w̄ (τ , µ) , T̃ (17) m = 0 if wU < AE S 1 ≡ w̄ (τS , µ) , (1 − µ) 1 − (17) m = 0 if w < AE T̃ L 1−α α α t [(1 − τT̃S ) µ] 1−α 11 + 1−α 1−α 1 ≡ w̄ (τ , µ) , ) µ] t [(1 − τ T̃ 1 − α + (1 − µ) m = 0 if wU < A (17) L α S U E S T̃ 1−α otherwise, m m= satisfies ≡ w̄ (τS , µ) , 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − 0 if wU < AE T̃ (17) L α α t [(1 − τT̃S ) µ] ≡ w̄ (τS , µ) , 1 + (1 − µ) α (17) 0 if wU < AE L otherwise, m m= satisfies T̃ L α otherwise, m satisfies T̃ 1−α 1 otherwise, m satisfies T̃ 1−α 1 − α t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α otherwise, m satisfies 1 (18) wU = AE otherwise, m satisfies 1−α 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − α t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 + κm. T̃ α α t [(1 − τT̃S ) µ] 1−α 1 + κm. T̃ m 1−α 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − (18) wU = AE L − 1 T̃ m 1−α 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − + κm. (18) wU = AE L − α α t [(1 − τT̃S ) µ] 1−α 1−α 1 + κm. T̃ m 1−α 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − (18) wU = AE L − α α t [(1 − τT̃S ) µ] 1−α T̃ m − τT̃S ) µ] + κm. (18) 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − wU = AE L − α α t [(1 Equation (17), determining the conditions under which there would be positive migration, is + κm. (18) 1 + (1 − µ) α wU = AE L − m T̃ L − m α Equation (17), determining the conditions under which thereT̃would be positive migration, is Equation (17),(equation determining theEquation conditions under which there would be positive is exactly as before (10)). (18), on the other hand, which describesmigration, equilibrium Equation (17),(equation determining theEquation conditions under which there would be positive migration, is exactly as before (10)). (18), on the other hand, which describes equilibrium Equation (17),(equation determining thethe conditions under which there would be positive migration, is exactly as before (10)). Equation (18), on the other hand, which describes equilibrium positive migration, is identical to original equation (equation (11)) except for the term κm. Equation (17),(equation determining thethe conditions under which there would be positive migration, is exactly as before (10)). Equation (18), on the other hand, which describes equilibrium positive migration, is identical to original equation (equation (11)) except for the term κm. exactly as before (equation (10)). Equation (18), on the other hand, which describes equilibrium positive migration, is identical to the original equation (equation (11)) except for the term κm. This has two implications. First, the same regimes of unavoidable migration, avoidable migration, exactly before (equation (10)). Equation (18), on other hand, which describes positive migration, is identical tothe the original equation (equation (11)) except for theequilibrium term κm. This hasas two implications. First, regimes of the unavoidable migration, avoidable migration, positive migration, is hold identical to thesame original equation (equation (11)) except for the term κm. This has two implications. First, the same regimes of unavoidable migration, avoidable migration, and no migration will in a manner similar to the one in the baseline model, and described by positive migration, is hold identical thesame original equation (11)) except for term κm. This hasmigration two implications. First, the regimes of unavoidable migration, avoidable migration, and no will in a to manner similar to the one(equation in the baseline model, andthe described by This has two implications. First, the same regimes of unavoidable migration, avoidable migration, and no migration will hold affect in a manner similar to the one in the in baseline and by the way in which policies the migration threat condition (17). model, Second, thedescribed equilibrium This has two implications. First, the same regimes of unavoidable migration, avoidable migration, and way no migration hold affect in a manner similar to the one in the in baseline model, and described by the in which will policies the migration threat condition (17). model, Second,and thedescribed equilibrium and no migration will hold in a manner similar to the one in the baseline by the way in which will policies affect the migration threat condition in (17). model, Second,and thedescribed equilibrium and no migration hold in a manner similar to the one in the baseline by the way in which policies affect the migration threat condition in (17). Second, the equilibrium the way in which policies affect the migration threat condition in (17). Second, the equilibrium 21 the way in which policies affect the migration threat condition in (17). Second, the equilibrium 21 21 21 21 2123 level of migration in the interesting case of positive migration, while different quantitatively to level of migration in the interesting case of positive migration, while different quantitatively to whereofκ migration = 0 (exogenous wages), hasofthe same qualitative That is, the fact level in theurban interesting case positive migration, characteristics. while different quantitatively to where κ migration = 0 (exogenous urban wages), hasofthe same qualitative characteristics. That is, the fact level of in the interesting case positive migration, while different quantitatively to that nowinreduces urban wages implies that qualitative a lower level of migration will where = 0 (exogenous wages), has same characteristics. Thatbeis,necessary the fact level migration ofκ migration theurban interesting case ofthe positive migration, while different quantitatively to that migration now reduces urban wages implies that a lower level of migration will be necessary where κ =the 0 (exogenous urban wages), has theHowever, same qualitative characteristics. That is, the (18) fact to equate value of urban and rural wages. aside from this implication, equation that migration now reduces urban wageshas implies that qualitative a lower level of migration will beis,necessary where κ =the 0 (exogenous urban theHowever, same characteristics. That the (18) fact to equate value of urban andwages), rural wages. aside from this implication, equation that migration now reduces urban wages implies that afor lower levelhence of migration will be necessary as the original model. otherwise has the same comparative static implications m and L R to equate the value of urban urban and rural wages. However, aside from implication, equation (18) that migration now reduces wages implies that afor lower level this of migration will be necessary original model. otherwise has value the same comparative static implications m and LR as the to equate the of urban and rural wages. However, aside fromhence this implication, equation (18) In short, while this more realistic formulation would generate a smaller level of equilibrium model. otherwise has value the same comparative static implications for m and hence LR as the original to equate the of urban and rural wages. However, aside from this implication, equation (18) In short, while this comparative more realistic formulation would generate a smaller level of equilibrium the original model. otherwise has the same static implications for m and hence Lof R as migration, it would otherwise have no implications for the main conclusions the analysis regarding In short, while this comparative more realistic formulation would generate a smaller level of equilibrium the original model. otherwise has the same implications m and hence Lof R as migration, it would otherwise have nostatic implications forwould thefor main conclusions the analysis regarding In short, while this more realistic formulation generate a smaller level of equilibrium the rural elite’s incentives. Inrealistic particular, the rural elite’s main tradeoff same, as migration, it would otherwise no implications forwould the main conclusions of remains the analysis regarding In short, while this morehave formulation generate a smaller level ofthe equilibrium the rural elite’s incentives. In particular, the rural elite’s main tradeoff remains the same, as migration, it would otherwise have no implications for the main conclusions of the analysis regarding migration (while lower) will still respond in athe similar fashion toconclusions their choice of institutions. the rural elite’s incentives. In particular, rural elite’s main tradeoff remains the regarding same, as migration, it would otherwise have no implications for the main of the analysis migration (while incentives. lower) will still respond in athe similar fashion to their choice remains of institutions. the On rural elite’s In particular, rural elite’s main tradeoff the same, as theelite’s other incentives. hand, will it is still reasonable that the urban-industrial welfare is demigration (while lower) respondtoinsuppose athe similar fashion to their choice remains ofelite’s institutions. the On rural In particular, rural elite’s main tradeoff the same, as the(while other lower) hand, will it is still reasonable toinsuppose that the urban-industrial elite’s welfare is demigration respond a similar fashion to their policies choice ofand institutions. creasing in urban wages. If this is the case, the urban elite will oppose institutions that On the other hand, it is reasonable to suppose that the urban-industrial elite’s welfare is demigrationin(while lower) stillisrespond inthe a similar fashion to their policies choice ofand institutions. creasing wages.will the case, urbanthat elite willurban-industrial oppose institutions On equilibrium the urban other hand, itIfisthis reasonable to increase suppose the elite’s welfare isthat dereduce migration because they urban wages. A conflict of interest between the creasing in urban wages. If this is the case, the urban elite will oppose policies and institutions On the other hand, it is reasonable to suppose that the urban-industrial elite’s welfare isthat dereduce equilibrium migration because they increase urban wages. A conflict of interest between the creasing inthe urban wages. Ifcould this is the around case, theproperty urban elite willinstitutions oppose policies and institutions that rural and urban elite arise rights in the subsistence sector. reduce equilibrium migration because they increase urban wages. A conflict of and interest betweenthat the creasing inthe urban wages. this is the around case, theproperty urban elite willinstitutions oppose policies institutions rural urban elite Ifcould arise rights in of theinterest subsistence sector. reduceand equilibrium migration because they increase urban wages. A conflict between the While the rural elite may push for bad property rights to tie peasants to the land, the urban elite rural the urbanmigration elite could arise around property rights institutions in of theinterest subsistence sector. reduceand equilibrium because they increase urban wages. A conflict between the While the rural elite may push for bad property rights to tie peasants to the land, the urban elite rural oppose and thethem urban elite could arise around property rights institutions in the subsistence sector. may for exactly the same reason. While the the rural elite elite may could push for bad property rightsrights to tie institutions peasants to in thethe land, the urban elite rural oppose and urban arise around property subsistence sector. may them for may exactly same reason. While the rural elite pushthe for bad property to rights tothat tie peasants to thepossibility land, the urban elite Before proceeding, however, it is important note an alternative is that, as may oppose them for may exactly the same reason. While the rural elite push for bad property rights to tie peasants to the land, the urban elite Before proceeding, however, itsame is important to note that an alternative possibility is that, as may oppose them for exactly the reason. bad property rights reduce productivity of the peasants, it also helps in providing industry with Before proceeding, however, itsame is important to note that an alternative possibility is that, as may oppose them for exactly the reason. badBefore property rights reduce productivity of the peasants, it also helps in providing industry with proceeding, however, it is important to note that an alternative possibility is that, as cheap labour. For this to beproductivity the it case, urban wages would have toalternative be closely linked toindustry rural wages, bad property rights reduce of the peasants, it also helps in providing with Before proceeding, however, is important to note that an possibility is that, as cheapproperty labour. rights For this to beproductivity the case, urban wages would have be closely linked toindustry rural wages, bad reduce of the peasants, it lower alsotohelps in providing with such that the effect of the fall in rural wages generated by peasant productivity dominates cheap labour. For this to be the case, urban wages would have to be closely linked to rural wages, bad property reduce productivity of thegenerated peasants,byit lower also helps in providing industry with such that the rights effect of thebefall ruralurban wages peasant productivity dominates cheap labour. For this to theincase, wages of would have tolabour be closely linked to rural wages, the effect of a fall in migration. The exact details the urban market and its integration such that the effect of the fall in rural wages generated by lower peasant productivity dominates cheap labour. For to be the case, urbandetails wages of would have tolabour be closely linked wages, the effect of fall this inofmigration. exact theby urban market and to itsrural integration such thatrural thea effect the fallwill inThe rural wageswhich generated lower peasant productivity dominates with the labour market determine effect dominates. the effect of a fall in migration. The exact details of the urban labour market and its integration such the thatrural the effect ofmarket the fallwill in rural wageswhich generated by lower peasant productivity dominates with labour determine effect the In effect of a fall in migration. The exact details of theofdominates. urban labour market andincluding its integration the next section, I discuss the empirical relevance the theoretical analysis, these with the rural labour market willThe determine which of effect the In effect of a fall in migration. exact details theofdominates. urban labour market andincluding its integration the next section, I discuss the empirical relevance the theoretical analysis, these with the rural labour market will determine which effect dominates. effects onrural the for the the case of Rhodesia. I of show urban-industrial elites opposed Inthe the nextindustrial section,market Ielite, discuss empirical relevance the that theoretical analysis, including these with labour will determine which effect dominates. effects on the industrial for the the empirical case of Rhodesia. show that urban-industrial elites opposed In the nextrights section, Ielite, discuss relevanceIsector of thebecause theoretical analysis, including these bad property institutions in the rural subsistence they discouraged permanent effects on the industrial elite, for the the empirical case of Rhodesia. I of show that urban-industrial elites opposed In the next section, I discuss relevance the theoretical analysis, including these bad property rights institutions thecase ruralofsubsistence they discouraged permanent effects on themigration. industrial elite, forinthe Rhodesia. Isector show because that urban-industrial elites opposed rural-urban Interestingly, however, in other historical cases with a closer integration of bad property rights institutions thecase ruralofsubsistence sector they discouraged permanent effects on themigration. industrial elite, forinthe Rhodesia. show because that urban-industrial opposed rural-urban Interestingly, however, in other Isector historical cases withdiscouraged a closer elites integration of bad property rights institutions in the rural subsistence because they permanent the industrial and rural labour markets, there seemed be a because convergence elites rural-urban migration. Interestingly, however, in othertosector historical casesthey withof asome closerindustrial integration of bad property rights institutions in the rural subsistence discouraged permanent the industrial and rural Interestingly, labour markets, there seemed tohistorical be a convergence ofasome industrial elites rural-urban migration. however, in other cases with closer integration of with the rural eliterural around rural institutions. Take, for example, the case ofasome South Africa. While the industrial and labour markets, there seemed tohistorical be a convergence of industrial elites rural-urban migration. Interestingly, however, in other cases with closer integration of withindustrial the ruraland eliterural around rural institutions. Take, for the case of of some Southindustrial Africa. While the labour markets, there seemed to example, be a convergence elites otherwise very similar to the Rhodesian society and economy, a key difference in South Africa was with the rural elite around rural institutions. Take, for example, the case of South Africa. While the industrial ruraltolabour markets, society there seemed to be a convergence of some industrial elites otherwise veryand similar therural Rhodesian and economy, a key in South Africa was with the rural elite around institutions. Take, for example, thedifference casemines of South Africa. While that agricultural elites faced competition for labour from the mines. But adopted a system otherwise very similar to the Rhodesian society and economy, a key difference in South Africa was with the rural elite around rural institutions. Take, for example, the case of South Africa. While that agricultural elites to faced competition for labour from the mines. But mines adopted a system otherwise very similar the Rhodesian society and economy, a key difference in South Africa was of short-term Hence, mining could not just with this in scheme, in fact that agricultural elites workers. faced for labour from the survive mines. But mines adopted a system otherwise verymigrant similar to the competition Rhodesian society and economy, a key difference South but Africa was of short-term migrant workers. Hence, mining could not just survive with this scheme, but in fact that agricultural elites from faced the competition for labour from the mines. ButHowever, mines adopted a system might have benefitted decrease in peasant’s outside options. it implied huge of short-term migrant Hence, mining could from not just with this scheme, but in fact that agricultural elites workers. faced the competition for labour the survive mines. ButHowever, mines adopted a system might have benefitted from decrease in peasant’s outside options. it implied of short-term migrant which workers. Hence, mining couldand not just survive with this force scheme, but inhuge fact obstacles for industry, required a more stable better educated labour (see Feinstein, might have benefitted from theHence, decrease in peasant’s outside options. However, it implied of short-term migrant workers. mining could not just survive with this scheme, but inhuge fact obstacles for industry, which required a more stable and better educated labour force (see Feinstein, might have benefitted from the decrease in peasant’s outside options. However, it implied huge 2005, p. 130). obstacles forbenefitted industry, which a more and outside better educated forceit(see Feinstein, might have from required the decrease in stable peasant’s options. labour However, implied huge 2005, p. 130). obstacles for industry, which required a more stable and better educated labour force (see Feinstein, 2005, p. 130). obstacles for industry, which required a more stable and better educated labour force (see Feinstein, 2005, p. 130). 2005, p. 130). 22 22 22 22 22 24 6 6 The Rhodesian Case The Rhodesian Case As notedforineach the of Introduction, history and the developing world provide many examples of dual support these assumptions. rural economies peasants have more limited property rightsthe andelite lessand political influence than As In noted in the where Introduction, history and the developing world provide many examples of dual Southern Africa in general (and Rhodesia in particular) subsistence sectors landowners. Arguably, there is no better illustration of and this situation the African rural economies where peasants have more limited property political influence than are easily identifiable, ashowever, they were segregated along racial rights lines. Andless there is than little doubt that colonies large,minority private estates ofiswhite farmers have coexisted with overcrowded African landowners. Arguably, however, there no better illustration of thisagainst situation theminority. the whitewhere capitalist held political power and shaped policies thethan native reserves.(1977a) Resembling customs African societies, land inthe thedominant blackovercrowded reserves typically colonies where large, private ofofwhite farmers have coexisted with African Palmer puts itancient bluntly:estates in Rhodesian agricultural history, themeis“is surely owned by Resembling theofcommunity, not the individual. While individuals haveblack secure (and often inherireserves. ancient customs of African landmay in the reserves is typically the triumph European over African farmers” (p.societies, 221). This triumph includes a history of war table) rights use land, the structure often implies they permanent property owned by thetocommunity, notcommunal the individual. While individuals may may have lack secure (and often inheriand dispossession that followed European colonization, and that highlights the political power of the rights minority. over specific plot, or that these rights areSouth lost after a Company period of absence. Also importantly, table) rightsa to use land, communal structure often implies they may lack permanent property white Soon afterthe Cecil Rhodes’ British Africa (BSAC) obtained, in 1889, transfer rights (iftoany) suchorasthat sales or rentals limited to athe community. Needless say, white a specific plot, rights are lost after period absence. Also importantly, arights Royalover Charter administer the these territory asare a protectorate, the twoofmain groups of to natives (the agricultural interests held historically a far political power than black transfer rights (if any)also suchthe as Shona) sales or experienced rentals are greater limited to the dispossession community. Needless to say, white Ndebele or Matabele, and a large-scale of the theirexcluded land through majority. agricultural interests also and heldfound historically a farunder greater than the excluded violent and illegal means, themselves thepolitical politicalpower domination of the settlersblack (see A full test ofp.the model’s assumptions and predictions goes beyond the scope of confined this paper. majority. Palmer (1977b, 27)). The dual rural economy was codified when the Natives were in However, this examines the case“cemeteries, ofand Rhodesia (formerly Southern or A full some test section of model’s assumptions predictions goes beyond theRhodesia, scope p. of 33) thiscurrentpaper. Reserves, of the which were considered not Homes’” (Palmer, 1977b, even by day Colonial Zimbabwe) as a And particularly representative of (formerly other settler colonies in Africaorwhere However, thisOffice! section examines case of Rhodesia Southern Rhodesia, currentthe around the 1907, when thecase BSAC Directors convinced themselves that the exploitation the subsistence economy the agricultural interests a prominent day Zimbabwe) as black alonging particularly casewhite of other settler colonies inplayed Africa where the gold they hadofbeen for didrepresentative not exist inbyRhodesia, they established the “White Agricultural role. TheThis discussion isthe meant to illustrate thebyrelevance ofagricultural the analysis in apractice, by exploitation ofmarked the black subsistence economy the white interests played prominent Policy.” beginning of a differential support for theoretical European farmers via government drawing this particularly historical example. Itavailable is divided in twoinparts. First, role. Thefrom discussion is meant toillustrative illustrate the relevance of the analysis practice, by bureaucracy, banks, and support in research, none of which weretheoretical for Africans. Moreover, I demonstrate the of historical relevance of the main theoretical Iparts. discuss the drawing frompower this particularly illustrative historical example. Itinis1922, divided inNext, two First, the political white agricultural interests persisted when,assumptions. the era of Company rule thethe theoretical predictions and mechanisms interpret Rhodesian agricultural Iusefulness demonstrate relevance of the main theoretical assumptions. Next, I discuss the came to anofend, andhistorical political power formally passed to to white settlers after a referendum inhistory. which usefulness themostly theoretical predictions and mechanisms to interpret Rhodesian history. the (small of and European) electorate rejected joining the Union of Southagricultural Africa. 6.1Moving The to key inkey practice theassumptions second and third assumptions, it is also clear that the institutions of limited 6.1 The keyinassumptions inboth practice property rights African reserves hindered rural-urban migration and limited productivity. The three most important assumptions in the theoretical analysis are the following. First, the theory Arrighi (1970, p. 223) notes that the tribal social system in Rhodesia made black peasants unwillis based the important premise that political power (the abilityanalysis to shape and policies) is The threeon most assumptions in the theoretical arekey theinstitutions following. First, the theory ing to permanently migrate to industrial urban centers. If they ever migrated, they did so only largely of private landowners. The ability second toand third key assumptions is basedinonthe thehands premise that political power (the shape key institutions andconcern policies)the is temporarily, so that “participation in the labour force thus left the worker’s obligations and duties double-impact of poor rights on theThe subsistence sector: its productivity, largely in the hands of property private landowners. second and thirdlowering key assumptions concern and the to his rural kinsmen and his general involvement in the tribal social system unchanged so as to 8 , there is ample increasing the cost of rural-urban migration. Rhodesia, sector: as in other countries double-impact of poor property rights on theInsubsistence lowering its productivity, and retain his cultivation rights and to be able to claim support and succour when necessary” (Arrighi, 8 support forthe each of these assumptions. increasing cost of rural-urban migration. In Rhodesia, as in other countries , there is ample 8 Anp.almost parallel story to the one told below for Rhodesia could be told of other African societies. For instance, 1970, 223). In Southern Africa in general (and Rhodesia in particular) the elite and subsistence sectors as discussed before in South Africa the native reserves discouraged migration helping the rural elite’s urge for labour 8 An almost parallel story to the one told below for Rhodesia could be told of other African societies. For instance, to the limitations productivity arose from institutions of limited property rights, but Turning hurting some industrial interests. Also, the verythat low productivity of African in South Africa isthat well are easily identifiable, theyto were segregated along racial lines. Andreserves there little doubt as discussed before in SouthasAfrica the native reserves discouraged migration helping the ruraliselite’s urge for labour established, and communal tenure “was a potential barrier in the reserves to those few who might have wished to nothing more telling than the with Purchase Areas (NPAs). Of allAfrica the native but hurting some industrial interests. Also, the very lowNative productivity of African reserves in South is well the whiteis capitalist minority heldexperience political power and shaped policies against the native minority. be more innovative and entrepreneurial” (Feinstein, 2005, p. 73). In a very different context, another prominent established, and communal tenure “was a potential barrierrights in the regime, reserves to those few who might have wished to areas, hadit the mostis complete property asseem at least unlike in Reserves examplethese of a areas dual puts rural economy Mexico. Here, too, these assumptions well here founded. Throughout the Palmer (1977a) bluntly: in Rhodesian agricultural the dominant surely be more innovative and entrepreneurial” (Feinstein, 2005, p. 73). Inhistory, a very different context, theme another“is prominent XXth allocated Century, land distributed to peasant communities in the form of ejidos was characterized bywere institutions land was owned individually instead of by the tribe. But even here, “there many example of a dual rural economy Mexico. farmers” Here, too,(p. these assumptions seem well founded.a history Throughout the the triumph of European overisAfrican 221). This triumph includes of war of communal property, with inheritable (but otherwise non-transferable) use rights over plots that would be lost XXth Century, land distributed to peasant in theofform of ejidos was characterized by institutions limitations its transferability, such ascommunities maximum size and sales Europeans. after dispossession absence.toRegarding landownerEuropean political power, a large political economy tradition ofpolitical land reform inAmong Mexico and that followed colonization, andholdings that highlights theto of the of communal property, with inheritable (but otherwise non-transferable) use rights over plots that power would be lost emphasizes thethis influence of that landowner agricultural interests in shaping thepossibly land reform process and discriminating other things meant the extension of credit (which could only come from European after absence. Regarding landowner a large political tradition of land reform in white minority. Soon after Cecil political Rhodes’power, British South Africaeconomy Company (BSAC) obtained, inMexico 1889, against the ejido sector. Regarding the impact of poor property rights, Lamartine Yates (1981) nicely summarizes emphasizestothe influence of landowner agriculturaland interests in shaping the landlack reform process andwas discriminating sources) African farmers was hampered constant oftofinancing bound to two implications in the model: “theoretically, [thea ejidatario] is free leave whenever he wishes, athe Royal Charter toemphasized administer territory as atherefore protectorate, the two main of natives (the against the ejido sector. Regarding the the impact of poor property rights, Lamartine Yates groups (1981) nicely summarizes but inback practice he development” is a prisoner tied(Arrighi, to his land, because, if he left, the ejido would give him no compensation for hold 1973, p. 347). the two implications emphasized the model: “theoretically, [the ejidatario] is free to leave whenever wishes, Ndebele ortheir Matabele, and theinShona) experienced a large-scale dispossession of their landhe through but in practice he is a prisoner tied to his land, because, if he left, the ejido would give him no compensation for violent and illegal and found themselves under the political domination of the settlers (see improvements he may means, have achieved through years of hard 23work.” (p. 180). Palmer (1977b, p. 27)). The dual rural economy was codified when the Natives were confined in 23 Reserves, some of which were considered “cemeteries, not Homes’” (Palmer, 1977b, p. 33) even by 24 the Colonial Office! And around 1907, when the 25 BSAC Directors convinced themselves that the gold they had been longing for did not exist in Rhodesia, they established the “White Agricultural support for each of these assumptions. support for each Africa of theseinassumptions. In Southern general (and Rhodesia in particular) the elite and subsistence sectors support for each of these assumptions. In Southern Africa in general Rhodesia in particular) elitethere and is subsistence sectors are easily identifiable, as they were(and segregated along racial lines.theAnd little doubt that In Southern Africa in general (and Rhodesia in particular) the elite and subsistence sectors are easily identifiable, as they were segregated along racial lines. And there is little doubt that the white capitalist minority held political power and shaped policies against the native minority. are easily identifiable, theyheld were segregated along racialhistory, lines. And there the is little doubt that the white capitalist power and shaped policies against native minority. Palmer (1977a) putsminority it as bluntly: inpolitical Rhodesian agricultural the dominant theme “is surely the capitalist power and221). shaped policies the theme minority. Palmer (1977a) putsminority it bluntly: inpolitical Rhodesian agricultural history, theagainst dominant “is surely the white triumph of European overheld African farmers” (p. This triumph includes anative history of war Palmer (1977a) puts bluntly: in Rhodesian agricultural history, the dominant theme “is of surely the of European over African farmers” (p. 221). This triumph includes a history and triumph dispossession thatitfollowed European colonization, and that highlights the political power of war the the triumph of European over (p. 221). This triumph(BSAC) includes a history war and dispossession thatafter followed European colonization, and that highlights the political power the white minority. Soon CecilAfrican Rhodes’farmers” British South Africa Company obtained, inofof 1889, and dispossession followed European colonization, and that highlights thegroups political the white minority. after Cecilthe Rhodes’ British Africa Company (BSAC) obtained, in of 1889, a Royal CharterSoon tothat administer territory as a South protectorate, the two main of power natives (the white minority. Soon after Cecil Rhodes’ British Africa Company (BSAC) obtained, in 1889, aNdebele Royal Charter to administer the territory as a South protectorate, the two main groups ofland natives (the or Matabele, and the Shona) experienced a large-scale dispossession of their through aviolent Royaland Charter administer the territory as a under protectorate, the two main groups ofland natives (the Ndebele or Matabele, and and the Shona) experienced a large-scale dispossession of their through illegaltomeans, found themselves the political domination of the settlers (see Ndebele or Matabele, andThe the dual Shona) experienced a large-scale dispossession of their through violent illegal and foundrural themselves the political domination ofwere theland settlers (see Palmer and (1977b, p. means, 27)). economyunder was codified when the Natives confined in violent and illegal means, and found themselves under the political domination of the settlers (see Palmer (1977b, p. 27)). The dual rural economy was codified when the Natives were confined in Reserves, some of which were considered “cemeteries, not Homes’” (Palmer, 1977b, p. 33) even by Palmer (1977b, p. which 27)). The dual1907, rural when economy codified when the Natives were confined in Reserves, some of considered “cemeteries, not Homes’” (Palmer, 1977b, p. 33) eventhe by the Colonial Office! Andwere around the was BSAC Directors convinced themselves that Reserves, of which “cemeteries, not they Homes’” (Palmer, p. Agricultural 33)that eventhe by the Andwere around when BSAC Directors convinced themselves goldColonial they some hadOffice! been longing forconsidered did1907, not exist in the Rhodesia, established the1977b, “White the Colonial And around when BSAC Directors convinced themselves that the gold theyThis hadOffice! been longing for did1907, not in the Rhodesia, they the “White Policy.” marked the beginning of aexist differential support forestablished European farmers via Agricultural government gold theyThis hadbanks, been longing for didinnot innone Rhodesia, they Policy.” marked thesupport beginning of aexist differential forestablished European farmers via Agricultural government bureaucracy, and research, ofsupport which were availablethe for “White Africans. Moreover, Policy.” Thispower marked thesupport beginning of a interests differential for European farmers government bureaucracy, banks, in research, nonepersisted ofsupport whichwhen, were available for era Africans. Moreover, the political ofand white agricultural in 1922, the ofvia Company rule bureaucracy, banks, support in research, none of to which were available for Africans. Moreover, the political power ofand white agricultural interests persisted when, in 1922, era of Company rule came to an end, and political power formally passed white settlers afterthe a referendum in which the power of political white agricultural interests persisted when, in 1922, the eraAfrica. of Company rule came to anand end, and power formally passed to white settlers after a referendum in which the political (small mostly European) electorate rejected joining the Union of South came to anand end, and political power formally passed joining to settlers after ainstitutions referendum which the (small mostly European) electorate rejected Union ofthe South Africa. ofinlimited Moving to the second and third key assumptions, it iswhite alsothe clear that the (smallrights and mostly European) rejected joining Union South Africa. Moving to the and thirdelectorate key assumptions, it is alsothe clear thatofthe institutions of limited property in second African reserves both hindered rural-urban migration and limited productivity. Moving to the second and third key assumptions, it is in also clear that the institutions of limited property rights African reserves both hindered rural-urban migration andblack limited productivity. Arrighi (1970, p.in223) notes that the tribal social system Rhodesia made peasants unwillproperty rights in African reserves both hindered rural-urban migration and limited productivity. Arrighi (1970, p. 223) notes that the tribalurban socialcenters. system in black they peasants unwilling to permanently migrate to industrial If Rhodesia they evermade migrated, did so only Arrighi (1970, 223) notes that the socialforce system Rhodesia made black peasants unwilling to permanently migrate to industrial urban centers. Ifleft they migrated, they did only temporarily, sop.that “participation in tribal the labour thusin theever worker’s obligations andso duties ing to rural permanently industrial urban force centers. Ifleft they ever migrated, they did soduties only temporarily, so that migrate “participation in the labour thustribal the worker’s obligations and to his kinsmen and histogeneral involvement in the social system unchanged so as to temporarily, so that “participation in able the labour force thustribal left worker’s obligations and to his his rural kinsmen and his general involvement in the social system unchanged soduties as to retain cultivation rights and to be to claim support andthe succour when necessary” (Arrighi, to his p. rural kinsmen rights and his general involvement the tribal social system unchanged (Arrighi, so as to retain his cultivation and to be able to claim in support and succour when necessary” 1970, 223). retain his223). cultivation rights and be able to that claimarose support succour when necessary” (Arrighi, 1970, p. Turning to the limitations to to productivity fromand institutions of limited property rights, 1970, p. is223). Turning to the limitations to productivity thatNative arose from institutions of limitedOf property nothing more telling than the experience with Purchase Areas (NPAs). all the rights, native Turning to the limitations to productivity that arose from institutions of limited property rights, nothing is more telling than the experience with Native Purchase Areas (NPAs). Of all the native areas, these areas had the most complete property rights regime, as at least here unlike in Reserves nothing is more telling than thecomplete experience withofNative (NPAs). Of allin the native areas, these areas had the most property rights regime, asAreas ateven least here “there unlike Reserves land allocated was owned individually instead by thePurchase tribe. But here, were many areas, these areas had the most complete property rights regime, as at least here unlike in Reserves land allocated was owned individually of by tribe. But “there wereAmong many limitations to its transferability, such asinstead maximum sizethe of holdings andeven saleshere, to Europeans. land was owned of by the tribe. But here, “there many limitations its transferability, such asinstead maximum size of holdings andeven sales tocome Europeans. Among otherallocated thingstothis meant thatindividually the extension of credit (which could possibly only fromwere European limitations its meant transferability, such as maximum size ofaholdings and tocome Europeans. Among other things this thatwas the hampered extension of credit (which could possibly only from sources) to to African farmers and therefore constant lacksales of financing was European bound to other things thisdevelopment” meant thatwas the extension of credit (whicha could possibly only come from sources) totheir African farmers hampered and constant lack of financing was European bound to hold back (Arrighi, 1973, p.therefore 347). sources) African farmers was(Arrighi, hampered andp.therefore hold backtotheir development” 1973, 347). a constant lack of financing was bound to improvements he may have achieved(Arrighi, through years of p. hard work.” (p. 180). hold back their development” 1973, 347). improvements he may have achieved through years of hard work.” (p. 180). improvements he maynot havean achieved through a years hard (p.the 180). 24 work.”in Finally, while assumption, keyofparameter theoretical analysis shaping the di24 rection of comparative static results is the size of the subsistence sector. There is little doubt that the expropriation of African land and movement24 of Africans into the reserves, described by Palmer (1977b) as a “squeezing-out process” (p. 80), implies that the empirically relevant case corresponds 26 to that in which the size of the subsistence sector (t in the model) is small. Finally, while not an assumption, a key parameter in the theoretical analysis shaping the diFinally, while not an assumption, a key parameter in the theoretical analysis shaping the direction of comparative static results is athe of the subsistence sector. There is little doubt Finally, while not an assumption, keysize parameter in the theoretical analysis shaping thethat direction of comparative static results is athe size of the subsistence sector. There is little doubt that Finally, while not an assumption, key parameter in the theoretical analysis shaping the dithe expropriation of African andismovement Africans into the reserves, by Palmer rection of comparative staticland results the size ofofthe subsistence sector. Theredescribed is little doubt that the expropriation of African andismovement Africans into the reserves, described by Palmer rection of staticland results the size ofofthe subsistence sector. There is case littlecorresponds doubt that (1977b) ascomparative a “squeezing-out 80), implies that theinto empirically relevant the expropriation of African process” land and(p. movement of Africans the reserves, described by Palmer (1977b) as a “squeezing-out process” (p. 80), implies that the empirically relevant case corresponds thethat expropriation of landsubsistence and movement of(tAfricans into theis reserves, described by Palmer Finally, notAfrican an of assumption, a key parameter inthe the theoretical analysis shaping the dito in the size the in the model) small. (1977b) as which awhile “squeezing-out process” (p. 80),sector implies that empirically relevant case corresponds to that in which the size of the subsistence sector (t in the model) is small. (1977b) as a “squeezing-out process” (p. 80), implies that the empirically relevant case corresponds rection static results is the size of the There is little doubt that to that of in comparative which the size of the subsistence sector (t insubsistence the model)sector. is small. to that in which the size of the subsistence sector (t in the model) is small. the expropriation of African land and movement of history Africans into the reserves, described by Palmer 6.2 Interpreting Rhodesian agricultural 6.2 Interpreting Rhodesian agricultural history (1977b) as a “squeezing-out process”agricultural (p. 80), implies that the empirically relevant case corresponds 6.2 Interpreting Rhodesian The most important predictions of agricultural the theoreticalhistory section are the conditions under which weak 6.2 Interpreting Rhodesian to that in which the size of the subsistence sector (thistory in the model) small. The most important predictions of the theoretical section are theisconditions under which weak property emerge. These conditions cruciallysection dependare onthe theconditions development of the modern The mostrights important predictions of the theoretical under which weak property rights emerge. These conditions cruciallysection dependare onthe theconditions development of the modern The most important predictions of the theoretical under which weak industrial or urban sector. I now examine whether or not Rhodesian history fits the theoretical property rights emerge. These conditions crucially depend on the development of the modern 6.2 Interpreting Rhodesian agricultural history industrial or urban sector. I now examine whether or not Rhodesian history fits the theoretical property rights low emerge. high These conditions crucially depend on the development of the modern implications of modernization. industrial or at urban and sector. I levels now examine whether or not Rhodesian history fits the theoretical implications at low and highI levels of modernization. industrial urban sector. now whether section orwith not high Rhodesian historysince fits the theoretical The important predictions ofexamine theoretical are the conditions under weak I most begin or with the and analysis equilibrium institutions urban wages, thewhich theoretical implications at low highoflevels ofthe modernization. I begin with the and analysis oflevels equilibrium institutions with high urban wages, since the theoretical implications at low high of modernization. property emerge. conditions cruciallyofdepend oneconomy, the development the modern predictions standthe in analysis sharp These contrast to manyinstitutions theories the dual where theof disappearance I beginrights with of equilibrium with high urban wages, since the theoretical predictions standthe in analysis sharp contrast to manyinstitutions theories of with the dual economy, where the the disappearance I begin with of equilibrium high urban wages, since theoretical industrial orstand urban sector. Ia now orthe notdual Rhodesian history fits the theoretical9 of the subsistence moreexamine less whether natural of consequence of a process modernization. predictions insector sharp is contrast toormany theories economy, whereof the disappearance 9 of the subsistence sector is a moretoormany less theories natural of consequence of a process ofthe modernization. predictions stand in sharp contrast the dual economy, where disappearance implications at low sector and Thethe theory presented inhigh this paper, predictsconsequence that with modernization, parametrized by a9 of subsistence is alevels moreofinstead, ormodernization. less natural of a process of modernization. The theory presented in this predictsconsequence that with modernization, parametrized by a9 of the subsistence is apaper, more instead, orsector, lessinstitutions natural ofinawhich process of modernization. I theory begin with analysis equilibrium with highmodernization, urban wages, since the theoretical wage increase inthe thesector urban-industrial a rural dual economy institutions of limited The presented in thisofpaper, instead, predicts that with parametrized by a wage increase in the urban-industrial sector, predicts a rural dual economy in which institutions of limited The theory presented in this paper, instead, that with modernization, parametrized by a predictions stand in sharp contrast to sector, many theories of thefact dual economy, where the disappearance property rights in the rural subsistence in more likely. The mechanism wage increase inpersist the urban-industrial a areas rural is dual economy in which institutions ofrequires limited property rights persist in the rural subsistence areas is in fact more likely. The mechanism requires wage increase in thesector urban-industrial a rural dual economy institutions limited9 of theelite subsistence is significant arural moresubsistence orsector, less natural consequence ofin awhich process of modernization. that landowners political power. social group supports badofproperty property rights persist hold in the areas is inThis fact more likely. The mechanism requires that elite landowners hold significant political power. This social group supports bad property property persistfarmers in this the rural subsistence areas isthat in fact more likely.migration The mechanism requires The presented in paper, instead, predicts modernization, parametrized by rights forrights subsistence to both increase the costs ofwith rural-urban and thea that theory elite landowners hold significant political power. This social group supports badreduce property rights for subsistence farmers to both increase the costs of rural-urban migration and reduce the that elite landowners hold significant political power. This social group supports bad property wage thesubsistence urban-industrial dual economy which institutions of limited productivity ofinthe Both aofrural these effects create in a cheap supply of rural labour rightsincrease for subsistence farmers tosector. bothsector, increase the costs of rural-urban migration and reduce the productivity of the subsistence Both of the these effects create a cheap supply and of rural labour rights forrights subsistence farmers tosector. both increase costs of rural-urban migration reduce the property persist in the rural subsistence areas is in fact more likely. The mechanism requires for landowners, increasing their profits. productivity of the subsistence sector. Both of these effects create a cheap supply of rural labour for landowners, increasing their sector. profits. Both of these effects create a cheap supply of rural labour productivity of subsistence that elitecase landowners holdprovides significant political power. Thisprediction, social group supports property The of the Rhodesia a clear validation of this as well as thebad mechanisms for landowners, increasing their profits. The case of Rhodesia provides a clear validation of this prediction, as well as the mechanisms for landowners, increasing their profits. rights subsistence to both increase the costs ofthe rural-urban migration andmechanisms reduce the involved. It also falls farmers in line with the expected effects industrialas elite in Section Theforcase of Rhodesia provides a clear validation of on this prediction, welldiscussed as the involved. It also falls in line with the expected effects on the industrialaselite discussed in Section The case of Rhodesia provides a clear validation of this prediction, well as the mechanisms productivity of the subsistence sector. Both of these cheap supply rural labour 5. In particular, around the 1950s, theexpected industrial-urban was astarting todiscussed playofan important involved. It also falls in line with the effectseffects onsector thecreate industrial elite in Section 5. In particular, around the 1950s, theexpected industrial-urban sector was starting todiscussed play an important involved. It also falls in line with the effects on the industrial elite in Section for landowners, increasing their profits. role. The industrial elite,the hurt by the of traditional forms of tenure in theancountryside 5. In particular, around 1950s, thepersistence industrial-urban sector was starting to play important role. The industrial elite, hurt by the persistence of traditional forms of tenure in theancountryside 5. In particular, around the 1950s, the industrial-urban sector was starting to play important The case of Rhodesia provides a clear validation of this prediction, as well as the mechanisms which discouraged and created an stagnant agricultural for a role. The industrialpermanent elite, hurt migration by the persistence of traditional forms of tenuresector, in thepushed countryside whichThe discouraged permanent migration and created an stagnant agricultural sector, pushed for a role. industrial elite, hurt by the persistence of traditional forms of tenure in the countryside involved. It also falls inelite, line with the expected effects the elite discussed in Section reform. The landowner however, resisted the change, andindustrial given their political largely which discouraged permanent migration and created anonstagnant agricultural sector,power pushed for a reform.discouraged The landowner elite, however, resisted the change, and given their political power largely which permanent migration and created an stagnant agricultural sector, pushed for a 5. In particular, around the 1950s, the industrial-urban sector was starting to play an important had its way. reform. The landowner elite, however, resisted the change, and given their political power largely had its way. reform. The elite, however, resisted and forms given their political power largely role. The industrial elite, hurt by the the persistence ofchange, traditional tenure in countryside 1951, alandowner key piece of legislation, Nativethe Land Husbandry Actof (NLHA) wasthe adopted. The hadIn its way. In 1951, a key piece of legislation, the Native Land Husbandry Act (NLHA) was adopted. The had its way. which discouraged permanent migration created stagnant sector, pushed stated aims awere replace the traditional system ofan native land agricultural tenure under chiefadopted. control for with In 1951, key to piece of legislation, theand Native Land Husbandry Act (NLHA) was Thea stated aims awere to replace the traditional system of native land tenure under was chiefadopted. control with In 1951, key piece of legislation, the Native Land Husbandry Act (NLHA) The reform. The landowner elite,the however, resisted the change, and their political power largely astated system of individual tenure under government control and to given promote “good” husbandry. The aims were to replace traditional system of native land tenure under chief control with a system of individual tenurethe under government control and land to promote “good”chief husbandry. The stated aims were to replace traditional system of native tenure under control with had its way. a system of individual tenure under government control and to promote “good” husbandry. The a system of individual tenure under government control and to promote “good” husbandry. The 9In 1951, a key piece of legislation, the Native Land Husbandry Act (NLHA) was adopted. The For instance, in Lewis (1954), capital accumulation or productivity gains in the modern sector pull “unlimited 9 motivation was the traditional scheme wasorof hurting capital, especially industries Foraims instance, inthat Lewis (1954), capital accumulation productivity gains tenure inand the modern sector pull “unlimited supplies of labour” out of the subsistence sector. Models thenative dualindustrial economy growth with structural change stated were to replace the traditional system of land under chief control with 9 For instance, in Lewis (1954), capital accumulation or productivity gains in the modern sector pull “unlimited supplies ofsome labour” out of the subsistence sector. Models of the economy and growth with structural change overcome of thestabilization limitations of the Lewis’ model, but the idea accumulation of capital and knowledge in 9 requiring labour (Arrighi, 1970, p. share 223). Asdual thethat official discourse noted: For of instance, inout Lewis (1954), capital accumulation orcontrol productivity gains inand the growth modern sector pull “unlimited a system of individual tenure under government and to promote “good” husbandry. The supplies labour” of the subsistence sector. Models of the dual economy with structural change overcome some of the limitations of the Lewis’ model, but share the idea that accumulation of capital and knowledge in the modern economy gradually reduces the size of the subsistence sector. Examples range from models of unbalanced supplies ofsome labour” out of the subsistence sector. Models of the sector. dual economy and growth with structural change overcome ofon thedemand limitations of the Lewis’ model, but share idea that accumulation of capital andofknowledge in the modern economy gradually the size of the subsistence range from models growth focusing sidereduces forces (e.g., Kongsamut et al. the (2001)) toExamples models where income growth isunbalanced associated overcome some of the limitations of the Lewis’ model, but share the idea that accumulation of capital and knowledge in the modern economy gradually reduces the size of the subsistence sector. Examples range from models of unbalanced “Grave from and stagnant communities scraping a bare existence growth focusingproblems on demandflow sidereduction forcescrowded (e.g., Kongsamut et al. and (2001)) to models where income growth is associated with information accumulation, of idiosyncratic risk, reduction of credit constraints (e.g. Banerjee and 9 the modern economy gradually reduces the size of the subsistence sector. Examples range fromsector models of unbalanced growth focusing on demand side forces (e.g., Kongsamut et al. (2001)) to models where income growth is associated with information accumulation, reduction of idiosyncratic risk, and reduction of credit constraints (e.g. Banerjee and For instance, in Lewis (1954), capital accumulation or productivity gains in the modern pull “unlimited Newman (1998), Acemoglu andcountryside, Zilibotti (1999)). from theon exhausted and spilling as and an reduction inefficient labourgrowth forceBanerjee growth focusing demand sidesubsistence forces (e.g., Kongsamut (2001)) models where income isinto associated with information accumulation, reduction ofsector. idiosyncratic risk, of migrant credit constraints and Newman (1998), Acemoglu and Zilibotti (1999)). supplies of labour” out of the Modelset ofal.the dual to economy and growth with (e.g. structural change with information accumulation, reduction of idiosyncratic risk, and reduction of credit constraints (e.g. Banerjee Newman (1998), Acemoglu and Zilibotti (1999)). industrial centers many miles from their and families” (cited inofFloyd p. and overcome some of the limitations of the Lewis’ model, buthomes share the idea that accumulation capital (1959, and knowledge in Newman (1998), Acemoglu andreduces Zilibottithe (1999)). 25 the modern economy gradually size of the subsistence sector. Examples range from models of unbalanced 114)). growth focusing on demand side forces (e.g., Kongsamut 25 et al. (2001)) to models where income growth is associated 25 with information accumulation, reduction of idiosyncratic risk, and reduction of credit constraints (e.g. Banerjee “The time has come when all indigenous natives can no longer continue to maintain a and 25 Newman (1998), Acemoglu and Zilibotti (1999)). dual existence as part-time employment in the European areas and part-time farming in the Native reserves for, apart from its impossibility, it does not conduce to efficiency 25 27 in either area” (cited in Alexander (2006, pg.46)). motivation was that the traditional scheme was hurting industrial capital, especially industries motivation was that the traditional scheme was hurting industrial capital, especially industries requiring labour stabilization (Arrighi,scheme 1970, p. As the official discourse noted: motivation was that the traditional was223). hurting industrial capital, especially industries requiring stabilization (Arrighi,scheme 1970, p. As the official discourse noted: motivationlabour was that the traditional was223). hurting industrial capital, especially industries requiring labour stabilization (Arrighi, 1970, p. 223). As the official discourse noted: requiring labour stabilization (Arrighi, 1970, 223). As the officialscraping discoursea bare noted: “Grave problems flow from crowded and p. stagnant communities existence “Grave problems flow from crowded and stagnant communities scraping a bare existence from theproblems exhausted countryside, andand spilling as an inefficient migrant into “Grave flow from crowded stagnant communities scrapinglabour a bare force existence from theproblems exhausted countryside, andand spilling as an inefficient migrant labour force into “Grave flow from crowded stagnant communities scraping a bare existence industrial centers many miles from homes andinefficient families” migrant (cited inlabour Floyd force (1959, p. from the exhausted countryside, andtheir spilling as an into industrial centers many miles from their homes andinefficient families” migrant (cited inlabour Floyd force (1959, p. from the exhausted countryside, and spilling as an into 114)). industrial centers many miles from their homes and families” (cited in Floyd (1959, p. 114)). industrial centers many miles from their homes and families” (cited in Floyd (1959, p. 114)). “The time has come when all indigenous natives can no longer continue to maintain a 114)). “The time has come when all indigenous natives can no longer continue to maintain a dual existence part-time employment the European areas continue and part-time farminga “The time has as come when all indigenous in natives can no longer to maintain dual existence as part-time employment in the European areas continue and part-time farming “The time has come when all indigenous natives can no longer to maintain a in theexistence Native reserves for, apart from its impossibility, it does not conduce to efficiency dual as part-time employment in the European areas and part-time farming in the Native reserves for, apart from its impossibility, it does not conduce to efficiency dual existence as part-time employment inpg.46)). the European areas and part-time farming either area”reserves (cited in Alexander (2006, in the Native for, apart from its impossibility, it does not conduce to efficiency in the either area” (cited in Alexander (2006, pg.46)). Native reserves for, apart from its impossibility, it does not conduce to efficiency in either area” (cited in Alexander (2006, pg.46)). either (cited in with Alexander (2006, pg.46)). It in was thus area” expected that the introduction of individual rights, those excluded from land It was thus expected that with the introduction of individual rights, those excluded from land would provide stable labour for industry, and security of tenurerights, in thethose Reserves wouldfrom improve It was thus aexpected that with the introduction of individual excluded land would provide aexpected stable labour for industry, and security of tenurerights, in thethose Reserves wouldfrom improve It was thus that with the introduction of individual excluded land productivity. This, however, exactly opposes what the rural elite in the model economy of Section would provide a stable labour for industry, and security of tenure in the Reserves would improve productivity. This, however, exactly opposesand what the rural elite ininthe economy ofimprove Section would a stable labour for industry, security of tenure themodel Reserves would 2 looksprovide for. According to theexactly results of Proposition the rural elite these aims for the productivity. This, however, opposes what the3,rural elite in theopposes model economy of Section 2 looks for. According to theexactly resultsopposes of Proposition 3,rural the rural elite opposes these aims for the productivity. This, however, what the elite in the model economy of Section reason industrial sector supports them. 2same looks for. the According to the results of Proposition 3, the rural elite opposes these aims for the reason industrial sector supports them. 2same looks for. the According to introduce the results of Proposition elite opposes for out the Ultimately, to private property 3, onthe therural traditional Africanthese sectoraims turned same reason thepolicies industrial sector supports them. Ultimately, policies to introduce privatethem. property on the traditional African sector turned out same reason industrial sector to be partial the and timid.toWhile thesupports NLHA supposedly revolutionary, and “directly repudiated Ultimately, policies introduce privatewas property on the traditional African sector turned out to be partial and timid.toWhile the NLHA was supposedly revolutionary, and “directly repudiated Ultimately, policies introduce private property on the traditional African sector turned out ‘customary’ rights land was in favour of individual land right ‘secular to be partialand and communal timid. While the to NLHA supposedly revolutionary, and holders “directlyand repudiated ‘customary’ and communal rights to land in favour of individual land right holders and ‘secular to be power’, partial and timid. While the NLHA was supposedly revolutionary, and “directly repudiated state [it] was to be tempered a host of restrictions” (Alexander, 2006). Theand restrictions ‘customary’ and communal rights to by land in favour of individual land right holders ‘secular state power’, [it] was to be tempered by a host of restrictions” (Alexander, 2006). The restrictions ‘customary’ and communal rights to land in favour of individual land right holders and ‘secular included: only[it]those who andbyowned at the time(Alexander, of the Act’s2006). implementation were state power’, was to befarmed tempered a hoststock of restrictions” The restrictions included: only those who farmed and owned stock at the time of the Act’s implementation were state power’, [it] was to be tempered by a host of restrictions” (Alexander, 2006). The restrictions eligible foronly rights; land rights could notowned be used as at collateral forofloans; and the size of the arable included: those who farmed and stock the time the Act’s implementation were eligible foronly rights; land rights could notowned be used as at collateral forofloans; and the size of the arable included: those who and stock the time the Act’s implementation were allocations number of farmed stock rights eligible for and rights; land rights could notwas be limited. used as collateral for loans; and the size of the arable allocations and number of stock rights eligible for the rights; landwhich rights could notwas be limited. used as collateral forofloans; and the size of the was arable Hence, could have been in theory a triumph manufacturing interests, at allocations andNLHA number of stock rights was limited. Hence, the NLHA which couldrights have was beenlimited. in theory a triumph of manufacturing interests, was at allocations and number of stock bestHence, a compromise between farmers and industry (1980, interests, p. 230), Arrighi the NLHA which settler could have been in secondary theory a triumph of(Duggan manufacturing was at bestHence, a compromise between settler farmers and secondary industry (Duggan (1980, interests, p. 230), Arrighi the NLHA which could have been in theory a triumph of manufacturing was at (1973) and Phimister (1993)). Underlying was the political power(1980, of white The best a compromise between settler farmers this and result secondary industry (Duggan p. farmers. 230), Arrighi (1973) and Phimister (1993)). Underlying this was the political power(1980, of white The best a compromise between settler farmers and result secondary industry (Duggan p. farmers. 230), Arrighi impossibility of truly revolutionary changes policy by aofsenior of The the (1973) and Phimister (1993)). Underlying thisinresult waswas therecognized political power whiteofficial farmers. impossibility of truly (1993)). revolutionary changes inresult policy was recognized by aofsenior official of The the (1973) and Phimister Underlying this was the political power white farmers. Native AffairsofDepartment. He remarked at inthepolicy time,was referring to an by increase in the minimum impossibility truly revolutionary changes recognized a senior official of the Native AffairsofDepartment. He remarked at inthepolicy time,was referring to an by increase in the minimum impossibility truly revolutionary changes recognized awas senior official of wage that would stabilize labour in the urban areas: “ifreferring a minimum wage introduced in the the Native Affairs Department. He remarked at the time, to an increase in the minimum wage that would stabilize labour in the urban areas: “if a minimum wage was introduced in the Native Affairs Department. He remarked at the time, referring to an increase in the minimum towns you are bound to have repercussions amongst community and introduced today the farming wage that would stabilize labour in the urban areas:the“iffarming a minimum wage was in the towns you are bound to have repercussions amongst the“iffarming community and introduced today the farming wage that would stabilize labour in the urban areas: a minimum wage was in the community rules the country, so that flattens out the minimum wage straight away” (Arrighi, 1973, towns you are bound to have repercussions amongst the farming community and today the farming community rules the country, so that flattens out the minimum wage straight away” (Arrighi, 1973, towns are bound to have repercussions amongst the farming community and today the farming p. 362,you emphasis added). community rules the country, so that flattens out the minimum wage straight away” (Arrighi, 1973, p. 362, emphasis added). community the country, that flattens outthe theLand minimum wage straight away” (Arrighi, 1973, Alsoemphasis in rules the 1950s, liberalssofailed to repeal Apportionment Act which had created p. 362, added). Alsoemphasis in the 1950s, liberals failed to repeal the Land Apportionment Act which had created p. 362, added). Native Areas and forbidden fromLand buying land in European areas.had Butcreated white AlsoPurchase in the 1950s, liberals failed toAfricans repeal the Apportionment Act which Native Purchase Areas liberals and forbidden Africans fromLand buying land in European areas.had Butcreated white Also in the 1950s, failed to repeal the Apportionment Act which farmers reaffirmedAreas their and political powerAfricans when the United Federal lost the areas. 1962 elections to Native Purchase forbidden from buying land Party in European But white farmers reaffirmedAreas their and political powerAfricans when the United Federal Party lost the areas. 1962 elections to Native Purchase forbidden from buying land in European But white the Rhodesian Front Party (Mosley (1983, and Duggan (1980,lost p. the 232)) andelections the Land farmers reaffirmed their political power whenp.the29) United Federal Party 1962 to the Rhodesian Front Party (Mosley (1983, and Duggan (1980,lost p. the 232)) andelections the Land farmers reaffirmed their political power whenp.the29) United Federal Party 1962 to the Rhodesian Front Party (Mosley (1983, p. 29) and Duggan (1980, p. 232)) and the Land the Rhodesian Front Party (Mosley (1983, p. 29) and Duggan (1980, p. 232)) and the Land Apportionment Act was confirmed by the 1969 26 Land Tenure Act. Duggan (1980) interprets these 26 measures in the following way: 26 26 “The Rhodesian state had thus come full circle. Its first coherent agricultural policy, in the decade before World War I, was to eliminate the commercial production of Africans and encourage that of settlers. Industrialization after 1940 produced and ambivalent 28 government policy; protection of settler farmers was costly to the growing manufacturing sector (...) During the 1960s, with the Rhodesian Front in power, ambivalence towards Apportionment Act was confirmed by the 1969 Land Tenure Act. Duggan (1980) interprets these Apportionment Act was confirmed by the 1969 Land Tenure Act. Duggan (1980) interprets these measures in the Act following way: Apportionment was confirmed by the 1969 Land Tenure Act. Duggan (1980) interprets these measures in the Act following way: Apportionment was confirmed by the 1969 Land Tenure Act. Duggan (1980) interprets these measures in the following way: measures the following way: “TheinRhodesian state had thus come full circle. Its first coherent agricultural policy, in “The Rhodesian state had thus come full circle. Its first coherent agricultural policy, in the decade beforestate World War I, come was tofull eliminate thefirst commercial Africans “The Rhodesian had thus circle. Its coherentproduction agriculturalofpolicy, in the decade beforestate World War I, come was tofull eliminate thefirst commercial production ofpolicy, Africans “The Rhodesian had thus circle. Its coherent agricultural in and decade encourage that of settlers. Industrialization after 1940 produced and ambivalent the before World War I, was to eliminate the commercial production of Africans and encourage that of settlers. Industrialization after 1940 produced and ambivalent the decade before World War I, was to eliminate the commercial production of Africans government policy; farmers was costly to the growing manufacturing and encourage thatprotection of settlers.of settler Industrialization after 1940 produced and ambivalent government policy; protection of settler farmers was costly to the growing manufacturing and encourage that of 1960s, settlers. Industrialization after 1940 produced and ambivalent sector (...) During the Rhodesian ambivalence towards government policy; the protection with of settler farmers wasFront costlyintopower, the growing manufacturing sector (...) During the 1960s, with the Rhodesian Front in power, ambivalence towards government policy; protection of settler farmers was costly to the growing manufacturing African(...) commercial agriculture disappeared” (p. 237). sector During the 1960s, with the Rhodesian Front in power, ambivalence towards African commercial agriculture disappeared” (p. 237). sector (...) During the 1960s, with the Rhodesian Front in power, ambivalence towards African commercial agriculture disappeared” (p. 237). African commercial agriculture disappeared” (p. 237). The persistence of a rural dual economy in Rhodesia after the rise of the industrial sector can The persistence of a rural dual economy in Rhodesia after the rise of the industrial sector can therefore be interpreted terms the theoretical analysis. onsector a context The persistence of a in rural dualofeconomy in Rhodesia afterHowever, the rise when of thefocusing industrial can therefore be interpreted in terms ofeconomy the theoretical analysis. However, when focusing onsector a context The persistence of a rural dual in Rhodesia after the rise of the industrial can with low urban wages, the theoretical predictions seem to present a puzzle. In particular, without therefore be interpreted in terms of the theoretical analysis. However, when focusing on a context with low urban wages, the predictions seem to present a puzzle. particular, without therefore be interpreted in theoretical terms of the theoretical analysis. However, when In focusing on aproperty context a relevant industrial sector, the model predicts thatseem landowner elitesa should for good with low urban wages, the theoretical predictions to present puzzle.push In particular, without a relevant industrial sector, the model predicts thatseem landowner elitesa should for good property with low urban wages, the theoretical predictions to present puzzle.push In particular, without institutions. is nopredicts threat of migration of elites subsistence rural arights relevant industrial When sector, there the model that landowner should workers push forfrom good the property institutions. When there is nopredicts threat of migration of elites subsistence workers from the rural arights relevant industrial sector, the model that landowner should push for good property to the institutions. urban areas, When promoting reformsofinsubsistence the peasantworkers sector and the rights thereefficiency-enhancing is no threat of migration fromtaxing the rural to the institutions. urban areas, When promoting efficiency-enhancing reformsofinsubsistence the peasantworkers sector and taxing the rights there is no threat of migration from the rural returns is in theory a better strategy. But then, why didn’tinRhodesian white farmers introduce to the urban areas, promoting efficiency-enhancing reforms the peasant sector and taxing the returns is in theory a better strategy. But then, why didn’tinRhodesian white farmers introduce to the urban areas, promoting efficiency-enhancing reforms the peasant sector and taxing the more complete property rightsstrategy. institutions the native areas early on? I white conclude this section by returns is in theory a better Butinthen, why didn’t Rhodesian farmers introduce more complete property rights institutions in the native areas early on? I conclude this section by returns is in theory a better strategy. But then, why didn’t Rhodesian white farmers introduce suggesting a resolution this puzzle. more complete propertyofrights institutions in the native areas early on? I conclude this section by suggesting a resolution ofrights this puzzle. more complete property institutions areasthat early on? I conclude this to section by The key to the resolution of this puzzleinisthe to native recognize landowners’ capacity tax the suggesting a resolution of this puzzle. The key to the resolution of this puzzle is to recognize that landowners’ capacity to tax the suggesting asector, resolution of thisearly puzzle. subsistence on, puzzle was quite limited. African weaknesscapacity is well-established, The key to theespecially resolution of this is to recognize thatstate landowners’ to tax the subsistence sector, especially early on, puzzle was quite limited. African state weaknesscapacity is well-established, The key to the resolution of this is to recognize that landowners’ to tax and the and lies at the center of many academic debates (see e.g. Herbst. (2000)). While Rhodesia, subsistence sector, especially early on, was quite limited. African state weakness is well-established, and lies at the center of many academic debates (see e.g. Herbst. (2000)). While Rhodesia, and subsistence sector, early on, wascharacteristics quite limited. African state weakness is well-established, Southern inespecially general, had special in the continent given the relatively and lies atAfrica the center of many academic debates (see e.g. Herbst. (2000)). While Rhodesia, high and Southern Africa in general, hadacademic special characteristics in the continent given the relatively high and lies at the center of many debates (see e.g. Herbst. (2000)). While Rhodesia, and proportion of white settlers,had state capacity was undoubtedly limited. Alexander (2006) puts it Southern Africa in general, special characteristics in the continent given the relatively high proportion of white settlers,had state capacity was undoubtedly limited. Alexander (2006) puts it Southern Africa in general, special characteristics in the continent given the relatively high clearly, referring to the processstate by which power over Africans and their land was constituted: “This proportion of white settlers, capacity was undoubtedly limited. Alexander (2006) puts it clearly, referring to the processstate by which power over Africans and their land was constituted: “This proportion of white settlers, capacity was undoubtedly limited. Alexander (2006) puts it was in part a story of process dispossession andpower repression, but it was story of constituted: contradiction“This and clearly, referring to the by which over Africans and also theiraland was was in part a story of process dispossession andpower repression, but it was story of constituted: contradiction“This and clearly, referring to the by goals which Africans and also theiraland was compromise which state’s were farover from easily realised” 17). she was in part ainstory ofthe dispossession and repression, but it was also a(p. story of State-making, contradiction and compromise instory whichofthe state’s goals were far frombut easily realised” (p. 17).of State-making, she was in part a dispossession and repression, it was also a story contradiction and argues, was constantly challenged by Africans, who “spread from hilltop fortifications; they fled compromise in which the state’s goals were far from easilyout realised” (p. 17). State-making, she argues, was constantly challenged by Africans, who “spread from hilltop fortifications; they fled compromise in which the state’s goals were far from easilyout realised” (p. 17). State-making, she from landlords; they sought to evade tax ” (p. 20, emphasis added). argues, was constantly challenged by Africans, who “spread out from hilltop fortifications; they fled from landlords; they sought to evade tax ” (p. 20, emphasis added). argues, was constantly challenged Africans, who “spread out from hilltop fortifications; fled shown inthey the sought Corollary to by Proposition 3, in these circumstances of limited abilitythey to raise fromAslandlords; to evade tax ” (p. 20, emphasis added). shown inthey the sought Corollary to Proposition 3, in these circumstances limited ability to raise fromAslandlords; to evade tax ” (p.increasing 20, emphasis added).sectorofproductivity taxes ruralinelite’s attention from subsistence as atomeans Asthe shown the Corollary toshifts Proposition 3, in these circumstances of limited ability raise taxes the ruralinelite’s attentiontoshifts from increasing subsistence sectorofproductivity as atomeans As shown the Corollary Proposition 3, in these circumstances limited ability raise to increase redistribution, to lowering such productivity in order to produce cheap and abundant taxes the rural elite’s attention shifts from increasing subsistence sector productivity as a means to increase redistribution, to lowering such productivity in order tosector produce cheap andasabundant taxes the rural elite’s shifts from increasingcorresponds subsistence productivity a means labour. Indeed, in thisattention casetothe political equilibrium FPM-type equilibrium as in to increase redistribution, lowering such productivity in order to to aproduce cheap and abundant labour. Indeed, in this casetothe political equilibrium corresponds to aproduce FPM-type equilibrium as in to increase redistribution, lowering such productivity in order to cheap and abundant Proposition 1. As expected in apolitical FPM solution with corresponds low urban wages, the rural equilibrium elites competing labour. Indeed, in this case the equilibrium to a FPM-type as in Proposition 1. As expected in apolitical FPM solution with corresponds low urban wages, the rural equilibrium elites competing labour. Indeed, in this case the equilibrium to a FPM-type as in for labour had to resent and impose the wages, maximum distortions on Proposition 1. reason As expected in anative FPMprosperity solution with low urban the possible rural elites competing for labour had to resent and impose the wages, maximum distortions on Proposition 1. reason As expected in anative FPMprosperity solution with low urban the possible rural elites competing natives. for labour had reason to resent native prosperity and impose the maximum possible distortions on natives. for labour had reason to resent native prosperity anddid impose maximumthe possible distortions on The historical record shows that white colonists in factthe impoverish traditional economy natives. The historical record shows that white colonists did in fact impoverish the traditional economy natives. as much as possible to force peasants into the labourdid market. were aware The historical record shows that white colonists in factContemporary impoverish theobservers traditional economy as much as possible to force peasants into the labourdid market. were aware The historical record shows that white colonists in factContemporary impoverish theobservers traditional economy as much as possible to force peasants into the labour market. Contemporary observers were aware as much as possible to force peasants into the labour 27 market. Contemporary observers were aware 27 supply, to the extreme that a native Commisabout the impacts of native prosperity on the labour 27 sioner candidly admitted in 1906 that “[Locusts 27 are] not an unmitigated evil, for a really abundant harvest of kaffir corn and mwalies would probably have the effect of reducing the number of Native labourers 50 per cent” (see Palmer (1977b, p. 78-79) for other similar testimonies). Impoverishing subsistence agriculture meant increasing taxes, and allocating the worst tracts of lands for black 29 Reserves.10 It also meant no incentives to introduce innovations in property rights institutions. Finally, an interesting piece of evidence highlighting the importance of the theoretical mecha- about the impacts of native prosperity on the labour supply, to the extreme that a native Commisabout the impacts of native prosperity on the labour supply, to the extreme that a native Commissioner candidly admitted in 1906 that “[Locusts are] not an unmitigated evil,that for a native really abundant about the impacts of native prosperity on the labour supply, to the extreme Commissioner candidly admitted in 1906 that “[Locusts are] not an unmitigated evil, for a really abundant harvest of kaffir corn and mwalies would probably have the effect of reducing the number of Native sioner candidly admitted in 1906 that “[Locusts are] not an unmitigated evil, for a really abundant harvest of kaffir corn and mwalies would probably have the effect of reducing the number of Native labourers percorn cent”and (see Palmerwould (1977b, p. 78-79) forthe other similar testimonies). Impoverishing harvest of 50 kaffir mwalies probably have effect of reducing the number of Native labourers 50 per cent” (see Palmer (1977b, p. 78-79) for other similar testimonies). Impoverishing subsistence agriculture meant increasing taxes, and allocating the worst tracts of lands for black labourers 50 per cent” (see Palmer (1977b, p. 78-79) for other similar testimonies). Impoverishing subsistence agriculture meant increasing taxes, and allocating the worst tracts of lands for black about the impacts of native prosperity on the labour supply, to the extreme that a native CommisIt also meant no incentives introduce in property rights institutions. Reserves.10 subsistence agriculture meant increasingtotaxes, and innovations allocating the worst tracts of lands for black 10 It also meantin no1906 incentives to introduce innovations in property rights institutions. Reserves. sioner candidly admitted that “[Locusts are] not an unmitigated evil, for a really abundant 10 Finally, an interesting piece of evidence highlighting the importance of the theoretical mechaIt also meant no incentives to introduce innovations in property rights institutions. Reserves. Finally, an interesting piece ofwould evidence highlighting theeffect importance of the theoretical mechaharvest of kaffir corn and mwalies probably have the of reducing the number of Native nisms is thean fact that, in the very yearshighlighting of white settlement, there is clear record ofmechanative Finally, interesting piece of early evidence the importance of athe theoretical nisms is the fact that, in the very early years of white settlement, there is a clear record of native labourers 50 per cent” (see Palmer (1977b, p. 78-79) for other similar testimonies). Impoverishing prosperity: nisms is the fact that, in the very early years of white settlement, there is a clear record of native prosperity: agriculture meant increasing taxes, and allocating the worst tracts of lands for black subsistence prosperity: “A 10 substantial amount of productive investment was noneinthe less carried by the It also meant no incentives to introduce innovations property rightsout institutions. Reserves. “A substantial amount of productive investment was none the less carried out by the African during first twoinvestment decades of the century. Africans “A substantial amount of the productive was none the lessofcarried out bought by the Finally, anpeasantry interesting piece of evidence highlighting thepresent importance the theoretical mechaAfrican peasantry during the first two decades of the present century. Africans bought wagons and carts for the transport to the towns and mining centres, some invested peasantry theearly first years two decades of settlement, the present there century. bought nisms African is the fact that, induring the very of white is a Africans clear record of native wagons and carts for the transport to the towns and mining centres, some invested in corn and crushers boreholes, far mining the most prominent of wagons cartsand for in thewater transport to the(...) townsbyand centres, some forms invested prosperity: in corn crushers and in water boreholes, (...) by far the most prominent forms of productive investment were cattle and ploughs. In the 1905-21 the number in corn crushers and in water boreholes, (...) by far period the most prominent forms of productive investment were cattle andinvestment ploughs. In the period 1905-21 the out number of “A substantial amount of productive was none the less carried by the African-owned cattle increased fromand 114,560 to 854,000 (...)1905-21 the number of ploughs productive investment were cattle ploughs. In thehead period the number of African-owned cattle increased fromtwo 114,560 to 854,000 head (...) the number of ploughs African during thefrom first of16,900 the present century. Africans bought in use bypeasantry Africans increasing 440114,560 indecades 1905toto854,000 in 1921” 1970, 214). African-owned cattle increased from head (...)(Arrighi, the number of p. ploughs in use by Africans increasing from 440 in 1905 to 16,900 in 1921” (Arrighi, 1970, p. 214). wagons and carts for the transport to the towns and mining centres, some invested in use by Africans increasing from 440 in 1905 to 16,900 in 1921” (Arrighi, 1970, p. 214). Palmer p. 72) concurs, notingboreholes, an early Shona living within to in (1977b, corn crushers and in water (...) prosperity. by far the Peasants, most prominent formsaccess of Palmer (1977b, p. 72) concurs, noting an early Shona prosperity. Peasants, living within access to the main markets and railroad andan facing growing demand from mines, took Palmer (1977b, p.investment 72) the concurs, noting early Shona prosperity. Peasants, living within access to productive were cattle and ploughs. In the period 1905-21 theadvantage number ofof new the main markets and the railroad and facing growing demand from mines, took advantage of new market opportunities and newand crops. the main markets and the grew railroad facing growing demand from took advantage African-owned cattle increased from 114,560 to 854,000 head (...)mines, the number of ploughsof new market opportunities and grew new crops. The reason why this fits the new theory is that, during the early years,(Arrighi, direct involvement of whites market and grew crops. in opportunities use by Africans increasing from 440 in 1905 to 16,900 in 1921” 1970, p. 214). The reason why this fits the theory is that, during the early years, direct involvement of whites in agricultural was Hence, for factors production such as The reason production why this fits thelimited. theory is that, competition during the early years, of direct involvement of labour whites in agricultural production was limited. Hence, competition for factors of production such as labour Palmer (1977b, p. 72) concurs, noting an early Shona prosperity. Peasants, living within access to (the FPM incentive) was not fierce asHence, it would become soon afterwards. Indeed, the land in agricultural production wasaslimited. competition for factors of production suchinitial as labour (the FPM incentive) was not as fierce as it would become soon afterwards. Indeed, the initial land the main markets andfor the railroad and facing growing demand mines, took advantage of new grabbing mostly landowners, and from speculators who were actively (the FPMwas incentive) was companies, not as fierceabsentee as it would become soon afterwards. Indeed, thenot initial land grabbing was mostly for companies, absentee landowners, and speculators who were not actively market opportunities andPalmer grew new crops.p. 33) and Mosley (1983, p. 20)). Hence, these early involved in farming (see (1977b, grabbing was mostly for companies, absentee landowners, and speculators who were not actively involved in farming (seefits Palmer (1977b, p. 33) and the Mosley 20)). Hence, these early The reason why this the theory is that, during early(1983, years, p. direct involvement of whites 11 years may thought of as mirroring the equilibrium Proposition a RE these solution. involved inbefarming (see Palmer (1977b, p. 33) and of Mosley (1983, 2p.describing 20)). Hence, early 11 years may be thought of aswas mirroring the equilibrium of Proposition 2ofdescribing a RE in agricultural production limited. Hence, competition for factors production suchsolution. ashad labour 11 Without directofinvolvement in the agricultural production, politically powerfulagroups few years maystrong, be thought as mirroring equilibrium of Proposition 2 describing RE solution. Without strong, direct involvement in as agricultural production, politically powerful groups hadland few (the FPM incentive) was not as fierce it would become soon afterwards. Indeed, the initial reasons resentdirect this early prosperity. Withouttostrong, involvement in agricultural production, politically powerful groups had few reasons to resent this early prosperity.absentee landowners, and speculators who were not actively grabbing was mostly for companies, reasons to resent this early prosperity. involved in farming (see Palmer (1977b, p. 33) and Mosley (1983, p. 20)). Hence, these early 7 Final remarks yearsFinal may be remarks thought of as mirroring the equilibrium of Proposition 2 describing a RE solution.11 7 7 Final remarks Without strong, direct involvement in agricultural production, politically powerful groups had few This paper suggests a political economy explanation for the persistence of poor property rights This paper suggests political economy explanation for the persistence of poor property rights reasons to resent thisaearly over land. ruralprosperity. sector in developing countries a dual structure politically This paper Often, suggeststhe a political economy explanation for thehas persistence of poor with property rights over land. Often, the rural sector in developing countries has a dual structure with politically 10 over the rural sector in referring developing countries has a“defended dual structure with Inland. 1914, Often, a Chief Native Commissioner, to Reserves proposed their extent on politically the ground 10 In 1914, a Chief Native Commissioner, referring to Reserves proposed “defended their extent on the ground p. 72). Likewise, the Land Settlement Department Director, F.W. Inskipp said: “As the area in question, which is that much of the land selected ‘interspersed with granite and was otherwise unfit cultivation’” (Floyd, 1959, p. 72). Likewise, the Land Settlement Department Director, F.W. Inskipp said: “As the area in question, is In this context, rural elites maintain low productivity in the traditional sector to which obtain practically a conglomeration of was kopjes with veryagricultural small cultivable valleys in between, isfor infested with baboons and p. 72). Likewise, the Settlement Department Director, F.W. said: “Asisthe in question, which practically a conglomeration of kopjes with small cultivable valleys inpersistence between, infested with baboons and is This paper suggests a animals, political economy explanation for of area poor property rights only transversable by Land pack I see novery objection [to making itInskipp athe native reserve]” (Palmer, 1977b, p. 104). cheap peasant labour. However, this objective runs into trouble when peasants enjoy alternative 11 transversable practically aasconglomeration of kopjes with very smallonly cultivable in between, is (Palmer, infestedwork with baboons and is only byinpack animals, I see objection [to making itincentives a native reserve]” 1977b, p. 104). Recall noted footnote 6 that theno rural elite has REvalleys if only peasants the land. over land. Often, the rural sector in developing countries has a dual structure with politically 11 transversable only by pack animals, I see no objection [to making it a native reserve]” (Palmer, 1977b, p. 104). Recall as noted in footnotein 6 that the rural elite only has RE incentives if only work of thenew land.outside employment opportunities the urban (or other) sector. In general, thepeasants emergence 11 10 Recall as noted in footnote 6 that the rural elite only has RE incentives if only peasants work the land. In 1914, a Chief Native Commissioner, referring to Reserves proposed “defended their extent on the ground options for peasants limits the elite’s ability to manipulate prices. Distorting the traditional 28 and wasfactor that much of the land selected was ‘interspersed with granite otherwise unfit for cultivation’” (Floyd, 1959, 28 economy fails totheincrease elites’ profits, but Director, increases outmigration. Thistheis area trueinfor a number p. 72). Likewise, Land Settlement Department Inskipp said: “As question, whichof is 28 F.W. practically a conglomeration of kopjes with very small cultivable valleys in between, is infested with baboons and is potential distortions on the subsistence sector, which I have succinctly captured in the theoretical only transversable by pack animals, I see no objection [to making it a native reserve]” (Palmer, 1977b, p. 104). 11 model with on subsistence propertyif rights in thework subsistence Recall as taxation noted in footnote 6 that the income. rural elite But only limited has RE incentives only peasants the land. sector that of theremarks land selected was ‘interspersed with granite and was otherwise unfit for cultivation’” (Floyd, 1959, 7 10 much Final powerful producers or elites alongside traditional peasants with little voiceforin theextent political process. 1914, a Chief Commissioner, referring to Reserves proposed “defended their on(Floyd, the ground that In much of the land Native selected was ‘interspersed with granite and was otherwise unfit cultivation’” 1959, constitute a distinct distortion. Like other distortions they reduce peasants’ income in subsistence plots, but achieve something more: they force 28 peasants to remain in the agricultural sector to protect their property. 30 Thus, rural elites have little incentive to promote a transition to institutions of private property powerful producers or elites alongside traditional peasants with little voice in the political process. powerful producers or elites alongside traditional peasants with little voice in the political process. In this context, ruralorelites low agricultural productivity in the traditional sector toprocess. obtain powerful producers elitesmaintain alongside traditional peasants with little voice in the political In this context, rural elites maintain low agricultural productivity in the traditional sector to obtain cheap However, thislow objective runs productivity into trouble in when peasants enjoy In this peasant context,labour. rural elites maintain agricultural the traditional sectoralternative to obtain cheap peasant labour. However, this objective runs into trouble when peasants enjoy alternative employment opportunities in the urban (or other) sector. In general, the emergence of new outside cheap peasant labour. However, this objective runs into trouble when peasants enjoy alternative employment opportunities in the urban (or other) sector. In general, the emergence of new outside options for peasants limits in thethe elite’s ability to manipulate prices. traditional employment opportunities urban (or other) sector. Infactor general, the Distorting emergence the of new outside options for peasants limits the elite’s ability to manipulate factor prices. Distorting the traditional economy fails to increase elites’ profits, but increases outmigration. This is true for a number of options for peasants limits the elite’s ability to manipulate factor prices. Distorting the traditional economy fails to increase elites’ profits, but increases outmigration. This is true for a number of potential fails distortions on the subsistence which Ioutmigration. have succinctlyThis captured thea theoretical economy to increase elites’ profits, sector, but increases is trueinfor number of potential distortions on the subsistence sector, which I have succinctly captured in the theoretical model with taxation on on the subsistence income. But limited property rights in the subsistence sector potential distortions subsistence sector, which I have succinctly captured in the theoretical model with taxation on subsistence income. But limited property rights in the subsistence sector constitute distinct distortion. Like income. other distortions theyproperty reduce peasants’ income in subsistence model witha taxation on subsistence But limited rights in the subsistence sector constitute a distinct distortion. Like other distortions they reduce peasants’ income in subsistence plots, but aachieve they distortions force peasants remain in the agricultural sector to constitute distinctsomething distortion.more: Like other theytoreduce peasants’ income in subsistence plots, but achieve something more: they force peasants to remain in the agricultural sector to protectbut their property. plots, achieve something more: they force peasants to remain in the agricultural sector to protect their property. Thus, rural elites have little incentive to promote a transition to institutions of private property protect their property. Thus, rural elites have little incentive to promote a transition to institutions of private property in the subsistence economy. This suggests specific amechanism the endogenous persistence of Thus, rural elites have little incentive toapromote transition for to institutions of private property in the subsistence economy. This suggests a specific mechanism for the endogenous persistence of badthe rural institutions as development unfolds. Whilemechanism other theories of dualism predict an erosion in subsistence economy. This suggests a specific for the endogenous persistence of bad rural institutions as development unfolds. While other theories of dualism predict an erosion of the traditional economy with development, in this theory it is precisely the rise of an alternative bad rural institutions as development unfolds. While other theories of dualism predict an erosion of the traditional economy with development, in this theory it is precisely the rise of an alternative modern or urban economy sector which rural elite’s attention from taxation to avoid migration. of the traditional withshifts development, in this theoryaway it is precisely the rise of an alternative modern or urban sector which shifts rural elite’s attention away from taxation to avoid migration. As a result, directsector interests of shifts rural elites in the attention productivity of from the subsistence disappear, modern or urban which rural elite’s away taxation to sector avoid migration. As a result, direct interests of rural elites in the productivity of the subsistence sector disappear, together withdirect incentives to promote innovations property rights As a result, interests of ruralefficiency-enhancing elites in the productivity of theinsubsistence sectorinstitutions. disappear, together with incentives to promote efficiency-enhancing innovations in property rights institutions. A noteworthy aspecttoofpromote the analysis is that poor property rights are preferred precisely together with incentives efficiency-enhancing innovations in property rights for institutions. A noteworthy aspect of the analysis is that poor property rights are preferred for precisely the A same reason they hurtofoverall economic development: they simultaneously reduceforthe supply noteworthy aspect the analysis is that poor property rights are preferred precisely the same reason they hurt overall economic development: they simultaneously reduce the supply of to industry to land) and the surplusthey of food in society (reduce thelabour same reason they (tie hurtpeasants overall economic development: simultaneously reduce subsistence the supply of labour to industry (tie peasants to land) and the surplus of food in society (reduce subsistence sector productivity). In this sense, this theory provides a link between political institutions that give of labour to industry (tie peasants to land) and the surplus of food in society (reduce subsistence sector productivity). In this sense, this theory provides a link between political institutions that give disproportionate power landowners and barriers to the structural transformations required sector productivity). In to thislarge sense, this theory provides a link between political institutions that give disproportionate power to large landowners and barriers to the structural transformations required for development. Other theories share this spirit, but emphasize the interests of the landed elite disproportionate power to large landowners and barriers to the structural transformations required for development. Other theories share this spirit, but emphasize the interests of the landed elite to direct barriers industrialization under-invest in necessary public ofgoods in order to for raise development. Othertotheories share this or spirit, but emphasize the interests the landed elite to raise direct barriers to industrialization or under-invest in necessary public goods in order to protect rentsbarriers (see, fortoexample, Adamopoulos (2008) andinGalor et al. (2009)). to raise its direct industrialization or under-invest necessary public goods in order to protect its rents (see, for example, Adamopoulos (2008) and Galor et al. (2009)). protect its rents (see, for example, Adamopoulos (2008) and Galor et al. (2009)). 29 29 29 31 References Acemoglu, D., 2006. Modeling inefficient institutions, in: Blundell, R., Newey, W.K., Persson, T. (Eds.), Advances in Economic Theory and Econometrics: Proceedings of 2005 World Congress of the Econometric Society. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 341–380. Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., Robinson, J.A., 2005. Institutions as a fundamental cause of long-run growth, in: Aghion, P., Durlauf, S. (Eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth. 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World Bank Development Report. 33 35 A A A A.1 A A.1 Appendix: Proofs Appendix: Proofs Appendix: Proofs Characterization of w̄ (τS , µ) Appendix: Proofs Characterization of w̄ (τ , µ) S A.1 Characterization of w̄ of (τSthe , µ) rural areas at m = 0, w̄ (τS , µ), is decreasing in τS is That the relative attractiveness A.1 Characterization of w̄ (τ , µ) simple That the relative attractiveness of areas at m = 0, To w̄ (τcharacterize in τS of is Sthe S , µ), is decreasing straightforward from inspection of (10) orrural differentiation. the behaviour That the relative attractiveness of(10) theorrural areas at m = 0, To w̄ (τcharacterize in τS of is S , µ), is decreasing straightforward from inspection ofas simple differentiation. the behaviour w̄ (τ , µ) as µ changes, rewrite it follows: That the relative attractiveness of the rural areas at m = 0, w̄ (τ , µ), is decreasing in τ is S S S straightforward from inspection or simple differentiation. To characterize the behaviour of w̄ (τS , µ) as µ changes, rewrite itofas(10) follows: straightforward from inspection of (10) or simple differentiation. To characterize the behaviour of w̄ (τS , µ) as µ ∂changes, w̄ (τS , µ)rewrite it as follows: w̄ (τS , µ) as µ ∂changes, follows: = Bit∗ as k (µ) ∗ l (µ) , w̄ (τS , µ)rewrite ∂µS , µ) = B ∗ k (µ) ∗ l (µ) , ∂ w̄ (τ ∂µ = ∂ w̄ (τ where : B ∗ k (µ) ∗ l (µ) , S , µ) ∂µ ∗ = k 1−α (µ) ∗ l (µ) , where : B 1 ∂µ 1 1−α where : B ≡ 1 > 0, t [(1 − τS )] 1−α 1 1−α where : 1−α L B ≡ > 0, 1 1 1−α t [(1 − τS )] 1−α L α τ )] B ≡ t [(1 1−α − > 0, 1 S 1 µ− α τ )] 1−α > 0, B ≡ ≡ L t [(1 S α , 1−α k (µ) µ α1 L k (µ) ≡ t [(1 − τS ) µ 1−α µ]1−α + T − tα , α1 k (µ) ≡ t [(1 − τS ) µ 1−α µ]1−α + T − tα , 1 1 , k (µ) ≡ t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 1− α 1 −+ µT −t α t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 1−α + T − t ) µ] t [(1 − τ S l (µ) ≡ 1 − 1 − α µ + 1 − µ − (1 − µ) . t [(1 − τS )1µ] 1−α 1 α αµ + 1 − α µ − (1 − µ) t [(1 t−[(1 1−α l (µ) ≡ 1 − 1 − . τS− ) µ] )1µ]+ τS1−α 1T − t α αµ + 1 − α µ − (1 − µ) t [(1 t−[(1 1−α l (µ) ≡ 1 − 1 − 1−α τS− ) µ] T − t. ) τ 1µ] + S l (µ) ≡ 1 − α µ + α − (1 − µ) t [(1 − τS )µ] 1−α + T− t . 1 : (1) k (µ) > 0 for all µ ∈ µ, 1 , (2) l µ 1/α > 0, Now note the following properties12 α α 1−α tµ[(1 −µ, τS1)µ] + T−≈ t 11 + Now note the following properties12 : (1) k (µ) > 0 for all ∈ , (2) l µ ≈ + 1/α > 0, 2α−1 (3) ≶ 0 if properties α ≶ 1/2,12 and l (µ)> < 0. all If αµ > that 1/α > 0, Nowl (1) note=the : (1)(4)k (µ) 0 for ∈ 1/2, µ, 1these , (2) properties l µ ≈ 1 +imply αfollowing 2α−1 (3) l (1) = ≶ 0 if α ≶ 1/2, and (4) l (µ) < 0. If α > 1/2, these properties imply that ∗ 12 :and α = 1. If instead α < 1/2, from properties 1 and , µ) /∂µ > 0 for all µ ∈ µ, 1 thus µ ∂ w̄ (τ (1) k (µ) > 0 for all µ ∈ µ, 1 , (2) l µ ≈ 1 + 1/α > 0, Now note the following properties 2α−1 S (3) l (1) = α> 0≶for 0 if l (µ) α > 1/2, properties imply1 that <these from properties and allαµ ≶ ∈ 1/2, µ, 1and and(4) thus µ∗∗ =<1.0. IfIfinstead ∂ w̄ (τ 2α−1 (µ) S , µ)=/∂µ ∂ w̄1/2, τS ,µ (α ) 1/2, (3) ≶ 0 if α ≶ 1/2, and (4) l < 0. If α > these properties imply1 that , µ) /∂µ > 0 for all µ ∈ µ, 1 and thus µ = 1. If instead α < 1/2, from properties and α , 1) /∂µ < 0. Properties 1 and 2 imply in turn that > 0. These observations, 3∂ w̄∂ (τ w̄l (1) (τ S S ∂ w̄ τ ,µ ( ) S ∂µ /∂µ 0 for µ ∈ µ, 11 and and 2thus µ∗ = instead α <)1/2, properties 1 ∗and from , 1) /∂µ> < 0. all Properties imply in 1. turnIf that > 0. These observations, 3∂ w̄∂ (τ w̄ S(τ, Sµ) ∂ w̄(∂µ τ∗S ,µ ∂ w̄(τS ,µ ) ∈)µ, that properties 1 and 4, imply there in exists unique such 1) /∂µ < 0. Properties 1 andthat 2 imply turna that > 10. These observations, 3together ∂ w̄ (τS ,with ∗ = ∂ w̄(τ∂µ ∂ w̄µ τ∗S ,µ ∂µ ( S ,µ ) ∈∗ isµ, that together properties 1 andmaximizes 4, imply there exists unique such ∗ )<=0. ∗) > µ ∗ = Properties 1 andthat turnak that > 10. These 3B ∂∗w̄k (τ )1) ∗ l/∂µ (µ 0 which w̄2 (τimply , µ). in Since 0, lobservations, (µ∂ ∗∗w̄(τ ) ∂µ = (µS∗∗,with S ,µ0,) or ∂µ ∗µ Sthere ∈∗ isµ,defined 1 such by that = together with properties 1 andmaximizes 4, imply that exists ak (µ unique ∗ ) = 0 which ∗) > µ ∂µ ) ∗ l (µ w̄ (τ , µ). Since (µ 0, µ defined by l (µ ) = 0, B ∗ k (µ w̄(τS ,µ∗ ) or ∗ ∈∗ µ, 1 such that ∂ ∗ Sthere exists a unique = 0) by: (also using τ ∗ ∗ ∗ = together with properties 1 and 4, imply that µ S 0 which maximizes w̄ (τS , µ). Since k (µ ) > 0, µ is defined by l (µ ) ∂µ = 0, or B ∗ k using (µ ) ∗τl (µ= )0)=by: (also ∗ ) ∗ lS(µ∗ ) = 0 which maximizes w̄ (τ , µ). Since k (µ∗ ) > 0, µ∗ is defined by l (µ∗ ) = 0, or B ∗ k (µ S (also using τS = 0) by: 1 1 − α ∗ 1 − µ∗∗ t [µ∗∗ ] 1−α 1 (also using τS = 0) by: ∗ 1 = 1 − α µ∗ − 1 − µ + (1 − µ∗ ) . t [µ1 ∗ ] 1−α 1 α α µ − 1 −αµ∗ + (1 − µ ) t [µ∗t] 1−α 1−α 1= 1− . + T − t ] [µ 1 1 α α µ∗ − 1 −αµ∗ + (1 − µ∗ ) t [µ∗t] 1−α ∗ ]+ 1= 1− . 1−α T − t [µ 1 1 = α µ∗ − α + (1 − µ∗ ) t [µ∗ ] 1−α + T − t. 1 α problem t [µ∗ ] 1−α + T − t A.2 Characterization ofα the FPM A.2 Characterization of the FPM problem A.2 Characterization of no themigration FPM problem Equilibrium policies in the regime A.2 Characterization of no themigration FPM problem Equilibrium policies in the regime L Equilibrium policies in the no migrationincreasing regime which is monotonically The elite maximize L T̃ Equilibrium policies in the no migrationincreasing regime which is monotonically The elite maximize The elite maximize T̃T̃L which is monotonically increasing The elite maximize T̃L which is monotonically increasing in in in in τS τS τS τS and and and and monotonically monotonically monotonically monotonically decreasing decreasing decreasing decreasing in in in in µ. µ. µ. µ. To see property 4, write l (µ) = (α − 2) /α + a (µ) ∗ b (µ) with a (µ) ≡ 1 property 1 To see1−α 4, write l (µ) = (α − 2) /α + a (µ) ∗ b (µ) with a (µ) ≡ 12− τS ) µ] 1 / t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α t [(1 + T − t and b (µ) ≡ 1 − (1 − µ) (1 − a (µ)) / (µ (1 − α)). Note the 1 To see1−α property 4, 1−α write l (µ) = (α − 2) /α + a (µ) ∗ b (µ) with a (µ) ≡ t [(1 and = b (µ) (α ≡ −1 2) − /α (1 −+µ) (1 − a (µ)) /(µ) (µ (1 with − α)). a Note the 12− τS ) µ] 1 / t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1 + T − t To see property 4, write l (µ) a (µ) ∗ b (µ) ≡ following: (α − 2) /α is negative and independent of µ; a (µ) is increasing in µ and positive for all µ; b (µ) 1−α 1−α t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1 / t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1 + T − t and b (µ) ≡ 1 − (1 − µ) (1 − a (µ)) / (µ (1 − α)). Note the following: (α − 2) /α is negative and independent of µ; a (µ) is increasing in µ and positive for all µ; b (µ) 1−α 1−α approaches minus infinity at µ = 0, equals 1 at µ = 1, and is also increasing in µ. Thus a sufficient condition t [(1 − τS ) µ] / t [(1 − τS ) µ] +T −t and b (µ) ≡ 1 − (1 − µ) (1 − a (µ)) / (µ (1 − α)). Note the following: − negative 2) /α is negative a (µ) is increasing µµ.and for allcondition µ; b (µ) approaches minus infinity at all µ =µand 0,∈equals µ =of is also increasing inBut Thus a sufficient for l (µ) to(α be for µ, 1 1isatthat it1, µ; isand negative at µ = 1. in thispositive always holds because independent following: (α − 2) /α is negative and independent of µ; a (µ) is increasing in µµ.and positive for allcondition µ; b (µ) approaches minus infinity at µ = 0, equals 1 at µ = 1, and is also increasing in Thus a sufficient for l (µ) to be negative for all µ ∈ µ, 1 is that it is negative at µ = 1. But this always holds because (2 − α) /α > 1 > a (1) . approaches minus infinity at µ = 0, equals 1 at µ = 1, and is also increasing in µ. Thus a sufficient condition for l (µ) to be negative for all µ ∈ µ, 1 is that it is negative at µ = 1. But this always holds because (2 − α) /α > 1 > a (1) . for−l α) (µ)/αto>be (2 1 >negative a (1) . for all µ ∈ µ, 1 is that it is negative at µ = 1. But this always holds because (2 − α) /α > 1 > a (1) . 34 12 12 34 34 34 36 Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime In the main text it was observed that the optimal property tax rate for the elite is τ = 0. Taking this In the main text it was observed that the optimal property tax rate for the eliteI is τ = 0. Taking this Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime /T̃ with µ as given, one can take a monotone transformation and note that maximizing LIRis In the main wasaobserved that the rate for the elite = 0. respect Taking to this notetax optimal property respect to µ as given, onetext canittake monotone transformation and that maximizing LIR /T̃τ with 1 1−α tµproperty 1 / T̃ with respect to µ as given, onetext canmaximizing monotone and note that maximizing L In the main ittake wasaobserved the optimal tax rate for the elite is τ = 0. Taking this R . The first order condition can be written as, is equivalent to z (µ)that =transformation log (1 − µ) 1−α tµ T̃1 I . The first order condition can be written as, is equivalent to maximizing z (µ) = log (1 − µ) 1−α note that maximizing L /T̃ with respect to µ as given, one to canmaximizing take a monotone R is T̃(µ) (0) = ∞, . The first order condition can be zwritten as, is z (µ) =transformation log=0. (1 − µ) tµzand 1 z equivalent (µ) = −1/ (1 − µ) + γE / [(1 − α) µ] Since monotonically decreasing in µ, T̃ (0) = ∞, 1−α tµ zis equivalent (µ) = −1/ (1 − µ) + γ / [(1 − α) µ] = 0. Since z (µ) is monotonically decreasing in µ, z E F P M = can I / F Pµ) M . The order condition be as, to maximizing z (µ) = log= 0. (1µ− µ, 1is (0) L suchfirst that z µ = (1 −∞, unique T̃ and Hence, z (µ)zz =(1) −1/ − µ)there + γE /exists [(1 −a α) µ] Since z T̃(µ) monotonically decreasing in µ, zwritten =R F P M = 0. I ∞, FPM ∈ (1) = −∞, there exists a unique µ ∈ µ, 1 such that z / T̃ and µ 0. Hence, L R F P M F P M I F P M . Straightforward differentiation then yields the following achieves a unique maximum at µ = (1 −∞, there exists aα)unique µSince ∈ µ, 1is monotonically such that z µdecreasing /T̃ and = 0. Hence, L=R∞, zachieves (µ)z =(1) −1/ − µ) + γ / [(1 − µ] = 0. z (µ) in µ, z (0) F P M E a unique maximum at µF P M . Straightforward differentiation Fthen yields the following FPM PM F P M/∂t PM I /T̃ F P∂µ M F∈ /∂T .>µStraightforward 0, /∂α 0, ∂µ 0. Moreover, comparative static results: ∂µat differentiation then yields the note following −∞, there exists 1 > such that z /∂t and z (1)a =unique µ< = 0. Hence, Lfrom achieves maximum µunique F P Mµ, FPM R /∂T > 0, ∂µ /∂α > 0, ∂µ < 0. Moreover, note from comparative static results: ∂µFF aPP M MF/∂T F P(2 M /∂α F P Msince P Mthat inspectiona of the first order∂µ condition z∂µ (1/ − α))>differentiation <0, 0, and z 0. (µ) is decreasing in µ, > 0, ∂µ /∂t < Moreover, note from comparative static results: . Straightforward then yields the following achieves unique maximum at µ inspection the first order condition that z (1/ (2 − α)) < 0, and since z (µ) is decreasing in µ, F P M < 1/of F P M F P M F P M (2 − α). Also from the first order condition, as T → ∞ or t → 0, γ approaches 1 and µ Eis decreasing inspection the first order condition (1/ (2 /∂α − α))> since (µ) µ, F P M < 1/of > 0,z∂µ ∂µ /∂t <z0, 0. note in from comparative results: ∂µ (2static −1α). Also from the /∂T firstthat order condition, as<0, T 0, →and ∞ or t→ γMoreover, µ E approaches 1 and FPM → F P M . thus µ 1/of→ (2the − from the firstthat order condition, ∞ or t →z0,(µ) γEisapproaches µ 1α). 2−α inspection first order condition z (1/ (2 − α))as<T 0,→and since decreasing1inand µ, . Also thus µF<P M 2−α 1 F P MµF<P M . thus 1/ → (2 − α). Also from the first order condition, as T → ∞ or t → 0, γ approaches 1 and µ E 2−α PM → 1 . A.3 µFCharacterization of the RE problem thus 2−α A.3 Characterization of the RE problem A.3 Characterization of no themigration RE problem Equilibrium policies in the regime Equilibrium policies in the no migration regime A.3 Characterization of the RE problem Equilibrium policies in the no migration regime In the main text it was observed that in the no migration regime the optimal property rights level In the main text it was observed in the noregime migration regime the optimal property rights level Equilibrium in the nothat for the themain elite text inpolicies the RE observed problem is migration µ in = the 1. no Taking this asregime given, taking logsproperty on the maximand, In it was that migration optimal rights level for the elite in the RE problem is µ = 1. Taking this as given,the taking logs on the maximand, ) = and ignoring constant terms, one can find the optimal level of taxation by maximizing z̃ (τSlevel for the in the REterms, problem iscan µ in = 1. the Taking this level asregime given, taking logsmaximizing on the maximand, In main it 1was observed the no migration the optimal property rights the elite text α onethat and ignoring constant find optimal of taxation by z̃ (τS ) = 1−α α S ) 1REterms, and constant find optimal of taxation z̃ (τ ) = for the elite (1−τ in the problem iscan µ = 1. the Taking thisislevel as taking by logsmaximizing on the maximand, log τignoring The first order condition z̃ (τgiven, α . one S S ) = 1/τS −αγE / ((1 − α) (1 − τSS)) = (1−τS1) 1−α 1 1−α log τ . The first order condition is z̃ (τ ) = 1/τ −αγ / ((1 − α) (1 − τ )) = t(1−τ ) +(T −t) S S S E 1 1−α terms, one can find the optimal level of taxation by maximizing z̃ (τ S (1−τ ) = andτignoring constant S) (τ ) = 1/τ −αγ / ((1 − α) (1 − τSS)) ) 1−α +(T −t) α . The first order condition (τ S (0) =is∞, log z̃ = S z̃t(1−τ S S E S 1monotonically 1 ) is decreasing in µ, z and z (1) = −∞, there exists a unique 0. Since (τS (0) = ∞, and z (1) = −∞, there exists a unique 1−α t(1−τ )is +(T −t) (1−τ ) 1−α S S monotonically ) decreasing in µ, z 0. Since z̃ S Laf f er such log τS 1] , denoted . The first condition is∞, z̃ (τ 1/τ α)that (1 a−satisfies τS )) = S) = S −αγ 1 τ τ ∈Since [0, z̃ (τorder ) =in0.µ, Hence, there exists unique τES/there ∈((1 (0,−1) (τS S) )is1−α monotonically decreasing z (0) = and z aa(1) = −∞, exists unique 0. Laf−t) f er such that τ ∈ [0, 1]z̃,t(1−τ denoted τ+(T that z̃ (τ ) = 0. Hence, there exists unique τ ∈ (0, 1) that satisfies S 13 .∞, Inspection of= this or astraightthe first τ ∈Since [0, 1]z̃order , denoted τ Laf f erand suchmaximizes that z̃ (τ )tax =in0.revenues there exists unique τScondition ∈ (0, 1) that satisfies (τS ) condition is monotonically decreasing µ,Hence, z (0) 13 = and z a(1) −∞, there exists unique 0. . Inspection of this condition or straightthe first order condition and maximizes tax revenues Laf f er 13 Laf f er /∂T < 0, forward differentiation then yields the following comparative static results: ∂τ . Inspection of this condition or straightthe first order condition and maximizes tax revenues Laf f er τforward ∈ [0, 1] differentiation , denoted τ such that z̃ (τ ) = 0. Hence, there exists a unique τ ∈ (0, 1) that satisfies S ∂τ /∂T < 0, then yields the following comparative static results: Laf f er Laf f er Laf f er 13α 0, ∂τ Laf then /∂tyields > 0. Moreover, τS >comparative 1− asstatic T →∞ or tcondition → 0, τS → 1straight− α. ∂τ Laf < 0, forward differentiation the following results: f er /∂α . but Inspection this or/∂T the first order< and tax revenues /∂α < condition 0, ∂τ Laf ff er /∂tmaximizes > 0. Moreover, τS > 1 − α but as T →of∞ or t →∂τ 0, τS → 1 − α. ∂τ Laf f er er Laf f er /∂α < 0, ∂τ then /∂tyields > 0. Moreover, τS >comparative 1 − α but asstatic T →∞ or t →∂τ 0, τS →/∂T 1 − α. ∂τ < 0, forward differentiation the following results: Laf f er Laf f er Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime /∂α <policies 0, ∂τ in /∂t 0. Moreover, migration τS > 1 − α but as T → ∞ or t → 0, τS → 1 − α. ∂τ Equilibrium the>unavoidable regime Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime Taking logs and ignoring constant terms, the maximization problem in this case is equivalent to Taking logs and ignoring terms, the migration maximization problem in this case is equivalent to Equilibrium policies inconstant the unavoidable regime maximizing Taking logs and ignoring constant terms, the maximization problem in this case is equivalent to maximizing problem in this case is equivalent maximizing Taking logs and ignoring constant terms, the 1 to maximization 1−α 1 ) µ] 1 1 − α t [(1 − τ α S maximizing z̄ (τS , µ) = log τS + 1 log µ + α log (1 − τS ) 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − α t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 z̄ (τS , µ) = log τS + 1 − α α t [(1 − τT̃S ) µ] 1−α 1 α log µ + 1 − α α log (1 − τS ) 1 + (1 − µ) 1 − 1 T̃ z̄ (τS , µ) = log τS + 1 − α log µ + 1 − α log (1 − τS ) 1 + (1 − µ) α 1α 1− αα 1− 1− α α t [(1 − τT̃S ) µ] 1−α z̄ (τS the , µ) = log τS + with respect 1 +, µ) (1 − log µ + µ, it log (1 −that τS ) z̄ (τ Taking derivative clear is µ) increasing in µ for each τS . To 1 − αrespect to α − αit is Taking the derivative with to1 µ, is clear that z̄ (τSS , µ) is increasing in µ T̃for each τS . To see this,the taking the derivative and simplifying: Taking derivative with respect to µ, it is clear that z̄ (τ , µ) is increasing in µ for each τS . To S see this, taking the derivative and simplifying: see this,the taking the derivative and simplifying: Taking derivative with respect to µ, it is clear that z̄ (τS , µ) isincreasing in µ for each τS. To 1 1−α 1 1 αt [(1 − τ ) µ] 1 − µ T − t 1 derivative S see this, taking the and simplifying: αt [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α z̄2 (τS , µ) = 1 1 + 1 − (1 − α) + 1 − µ T − t 1 1−α − (1 − α) + 1 − z̄2 (τS , µ) = 1 − µ µ T T̃− t 1 + αT̃ + (1 −αt )tµ] [(1 − τα) 1 α µ 1−α 1 S µ) (1 − [(1 − τ ) µ] S µ 1− τ ) µ] 1−α − (1 − α) + T̃ z̄2 (τS , µ) = 1 − α µ + αT̃ + (1 − µ) (1 − α) t [(11−α 1 S 1 αT̃ + (1 −αt [(1 − τα) 1− 1α µ 1− µ µ T T̃− t S )tµ] 1−α µ) (1 − [(1 − τ ) µ] S + − (1 − α) + z̄2 (τS , µ) = 1 µ 1 − α µ αT̃ + (1 − µ) (1 − α) t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α T̃ 13 13 Alternatrively, straightforward differentiation Alternatrively, straightforward differentiation this13solution is indeed a global maximum. Alternatrively, straightforward differentiation this solution is indeed a global maximum. this13solution is indeed a global maximum. Alternatrively, straightforward differentiation this solution is indeed a global maximum. shows shows shows shows 35 35 35 35 that that that that 37 the the the the maximand maximand maximand maximand is is is is everywhere everywhere everywhere everywhere concave concave concave concave in τS , in τS , in τS , in τS , so so so so T −t > 1, and − (1 − α) + 1−µ is decreasing in µ and it can be no smaller than 1−µ T −t µ T̃ decreasing in µ and it can be no smaller than > 1, and − (1 − α) + 1−µ µ TT̃−t is is decreasing in µ andto it show can bethat no smaller than > 1, and − (1 − α) + to verify that the expression is positive, it is sufficient µ TT̃−t 1−µ to verify expression it is sufficient is decreasing in µ andto it show can bethat no smaller than > 1, and that − (1the − α) + µ T̃is positive, to verify that the expression is positive, it is sufficient to show that 1 to verify that the expression it is sufficient 1−α 1 αt [(1 − τ )isµ]positive, 1 to show that 1 αt [(1 − τSS ) µ] 1−α 1 . < 1 1−α [(1 − τα) 1 α. < 1− 1 S )tµ] 1−α 1 αT̃ + (1 −αt µ) (1 − [(1 − τ ) µ] S < 1− 1 α. 1 S )tµ] αT̃ + (1 −αt µ)[(1 (1 − − τα) [(11−α − τS ) µ] 1−α < 1 − α. αT̃ + (1 − µ) (1 − α) t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 1 − α that After some algebra, it canαbe shown that this equivalent to verifying T̃ + (1 − µ) (1 − α)ist [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α After some algebra, it can be shown that this is equivalent to verifying that After some algebra, it can be shown that this is equivalent to verifying that α (Tto−verifying t) After some algebra, it can be shown that this is equivalent that α (T − t) 1 . −1 + (µ + α) (1 − α) < t) 1−α −1 + (µ + α) (1 − α) < t [(1α−(Tτ − 1 . ) µ] −1 + (µ + α) (1 − α) < t [(1α−(TτS− t) 1−α 1 . ) µ] S −1 + (µ + α) (1 − α) < t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 . 1−α But since since µ < 1 substituting (1 + α) for (µ + α)t [(1 in − theτSleft side of the inequality, ) µ] hand But since since µ < 1 substituting (1 + α) for (µ + α) in the left hand side of the inequality, But since since µ < 1 substituting (1 + α) for (µ + α) in the left hand side of the inequality, (T the − t)inequality, But since since µ < 1 substituting (1 + α) for (µ + α) in the left hand sideα of α (T − t) 1 . −1 + (α + µ) (1 − α) < −1 + (1 + α) (1 − α) = −α22 < 0 < t) 1−α −1 + (α + µ) (1 − α) < −1 + (1 + α) (1 − α) = −α2 < 0 < t [(1α−(Tτ − 1 . ) µ] −1 + (α + µ) (1 − α) < −1 + (1 + α) (1 − α) = −α2 < 0 < t [(1α−(TτS− t) 1−α 1 . ) µ] S −1 + (α + µ) (1 − α) < −1 + (1 + α) (1 − α) = −α < 0 < t [(1 − τS ) µ] 1−α 1 . asτSgiven, Therefore z̄2 (τS , µ) > 0 and the preferred level of µ is 1. Taking tthis ) µ] 1−αone can find [(1 − Therefore z̄2 (τS , µ) > 0 and the preferred level of µ is 1. Taking this as given, one can find α) (1 − τpreferred solve τS as = 1given, − α. This indeed z̄1 (τS , 1) =z̄1/τ µ)α/>[(10 −and the level of for µ isthe 1. optimal TakingτS, this one is can find Therefore S )] = 0 and 2 (τS ,− α/>[(10 −and α) (1 − τpreferred solve for the optimal τS, τS as = 1given, − α. This is indeed z̄1 (τS , 1) =z̄1/τ S )] = 0 and (τSS ,− µ) the level of µ is 1. Taking this one can find Therefore 2since (τ , 1) < 0. z̄ (τS , 1) = 1/τ − α/ [(1 − α) (1 − τ )] = 0 and solve for the optimal τ τ = 1 − α. This is indeed z̄a1maximum 11 S S S S, S (τ , 1) < 0. a maximum since z̄ 11 S (τS , 1) = 1/τ [(1 − α) (1 − τS )] = 0 and solve for the optimal τS, τS = 1 − α. This is indeed z̄a1maximum S −z̄α/ (τ since 11 S , 1) < 0. a maximum since z̄11 (τS , 1) < 0. Now note that µ11 Now note that µ1 Now note − (1 − α). that Thus, µ 1 − (1 − α). that Thus, Now note µ − (1 − α). Thus, − (1 − α). Thus, A.4 Characterization of the Combined Problem A.4 Characterization of the Combined Problem A.4 Characterization of the Combined Problem Equilibrium policies in the regime A.4 Characterization of no themigration Combined Problem Equilibrium policies in the no migration regime 1 α Equilibrium policies in the no migration regime F P M + π RE where, π F P M = k T̃ −α , π RE = ktµ 1−α 1 τ (1 − τ ) 1−α α , = max Rewrite (12) aspolicies max cE Equilibrium in the πno migration regime S S E F P M RE F P M −α RE 1 τ (1 − τ ) 1−α α , α max c Rewrite (12)Las = max π F P M + π RE where, π F P M = kfT̃er−α , π RE = ktµ 1−α S S 1−α Laf E 1−α α . max and k = (12) AE Lαas Thatc the larger πthan τ= , follows taking derivative Rewrite = optimal max π F PτM + π REbewhere, , π RE =byktµ (1 − τS ) α , 1 τSthe S must LafkfT̃er−α E F P M α and k = A . That the optimal τ must be larger than τ , follows by taking the derivative 1−α τ (1 − τ ) 1−α , E /∂τ RE /∂τ = optimal max π τS ∂π +FπP Mbe where, πthan ,noting π =by ktµ Rewrite Lαas max Lafk fT̃er , follows Sthe derivative Sof the respect to cτthe from the analysis of andcE = (12) AE . That larger τ= taking S , ∂c S + ∂π S , and E S must Ek with E /∂τS = F P M /∂τ RE /∂τ Lαα Laf f er with respect to τ , ∂c = ∂π /∂τ + ∂π , and noting from the of the of c S S S S Laf f eranalysis and k = A . That the optimal τ must be larger than τ , follows by taking the derivative E E F P M RE E S = τ (and positive previous cases that while the first term is positive, the second is zero for τ α the of the of cE with respect to τS , ∂cE /∂τS = ∂π F P M /∂τS + ∂π RE /∂τS , and notingS fromLaf f eranalysis = τ (and positive previous cases that while the first term is positive, the second is zero for τ SE with respect to τS , ∂c = ∂πisones). /∂τSThus, +the ∂π second /∂τSsuch , and noting from the of the of Laf f eranalysis that ∂c /∂τ = 0 must satisfy forc lower values and negative forS term larger τSCOM = τ (and positive previous cases that while the /∂τ first positive, is zero for τ S S E /∂τLaf= fM er0 (and such that ∂c must satisfy for lower cases values andwhile negative for term largerisones). Thus, τSCOM S COM Laf f er RE F P = τ positive previous that the first positive, the second is zero for τ COM E ≥ τvalues ≥ 1 negative − α. Also, limones). while lim∂c ∂πSF P=M0/∂τ finite, τSCOM such that /∂τ must for lower forsince larger τ = −∞ τ →1 ∂πThus, τS→1 S is satisfy Laf f er and RE /∂τ E /∂τ ≥ τvalues ≥ 1 negative − α. Also, since limones). /∂τSSτSCOM = −∞ while lim∂c ∂πSF P=M0/∂τ finite, τSCOM τ →1 ∂πThus, τ →1 S is satisfy such that must for lower and for larger Laf f er RE S < ≥ 1. τ Laf f er ≥ 1 − α. Also, since limτ →1 ∂π RE /∂τS = −∞ while limτ →1 ∂π F P M /∂τS is finite, τSCOM COM < ττSCOM 1. α−∞ while lim1 ≥ 1. τ ≥ 1 − α.EAlso, since limτ →1 ∂π /∂τS =1−α /∂τS is finite, τ →1 ∂π τSSCOM α g̃t (1 − τ ) 1−α = k (·) h (τS ) , where k (·) = µ 1−α On<the other hand, ∂c S 1 is a function of param∂µE α g̃t (1 − τ ) 1−α 1 τS On<the 1. other hand, ∂c E = k (·) h (τ ) , where k (·) = µ is a function of param∂c ∂µ =while 1−α eters always positive, −α (1 − γ= (1(1−−αγ /1[(1is−aτfunction be Onthat theisother hand, k (·) hh(τ(τSSS)), = where k (·) τSS ) 1−α of may paramατSg̃t S )µ+ S ) (1 − α)] E ∂µ ∂c eters that isother always positive,=while h(τ(τSS)), = −α (1 − γ= τSg̃t(1(1−−αγ / [(1is−aτfunction may be 1−α S )µ+ S)) 1−α S ) (1 − α)] τ of paramOn the hand, k (·) h where k (·) S ) >τS0(1for >) /1 [(1 − α. with positive orisnegative. However, one hcan that ∂µ eters that always positive, while (τSverify ) = −α (1 −hγ(τ − ταγ − τThis, − α)] may be S S S )S + S ) (1 together (τ ) > 0 for τ > 1 − α. This, together with positive or negative. However, one can verify that h S S ) / [(1 − τS ) (1 − α)] may be eters that isnegative. always positive, while (τSverify )h=(τ−α (10−hfor + ττS0S(1for γ(τ S )S > any >−1ταγ − α. 1This completes the proof the fact that h (1 − α) > 0 implies that ) > > − α. This, together with positive or However, one hcan S )that S S any > 0 hfor τ for > 1τ− α. 1This completes the proof the factEor that h (1 − α)However, > 0 implies thatverify h (τS )that positive negative. can )> > − This, together with SCOM /∂µ > 0− forα)τS>≥0 1implies − one α, and ≥(τ1Sany − α,τ0SSthat = α. 1. completes Finally, note that thatfact ∂cEthat > 0 for > 1µ− α. This the proof the h (1 thatsince h (τSτ)SCOM COM COM /∂µ > 0 for τ ≥ 1 − α, and since τ ≥ 1 − α, that µ = 1. Finally, note that that ∂c S ) > 0 for any τ > 1 − α. This completes the proof the fact that h (1 − α) > 0 implies that h (τ E COM COM S S S inα, h (τ rendering h (τS= ) <1.0. Finally, Thus, a note sufficient for τS the > 0second for τS term ≥ 1− and since τSCOM 0,≥thus 1 − α, that µCOM that thatsmall ∂cE /∂µ S ) approaches the second term in h (τ ) approaches 0, thus rendering h (τ ) < 0. Thus, a sufficient for small τ S >COM S since τ S= 1. Finally, note that 0second fortoτSbe ≥equal 1− α, and ≥ 1 − α, that µ hthat thatsmall ∂c /∂µ S condition µ to zero is that τ̄ is sufficiently small h (τ ) < 0 at µ = 0, or the term in h (τ ) approaches 0, thus rendering (τ ) < 0. Thus, a sufficient for τfor S S S S condition for µCOM to be equal to(τzero is that τ̄ is0,sufficiently smallhthat h<(τ0. < 0 ata µsufficient = 0, or S )Thus, the second term in h ) approaches thus rendering (τ ) for small τ COM S S S = 0 at µ = 0, that τ̄ < α (1 − α) / (1 + α (1 − α)). since γ condition for µCOM to be equal to zero is that τ̄ is sufficiently small that h (τS ) < 0 at µ = 0, or 0 at = 0, τ̄ < αto(1zero − α) / (1 + α α)). since γSS =for condition µµ to that be equal τ̄ (1 is − sufficiently small that h (τS ) < 0 at µ = 0, or µ = 0, that τ̄ < α (1 − α)is/ that (1 + α (1 − α)). since γS = 0 at = 0 at µ = 0, that τ̄ < α (1 − α) / (1 + α (1 − α)). since γ S Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime Equilibrium policies in the unavoidable migration regime 1 1 F Punavoidable M (t) π̃ F P M (µ,migration RE (t) RE (µ, τ ) where K = 1 AE 1−α Equilibrium policies in the regime Rewrite max cE = max K ω τ ) + ω π̃ α 1−α 1 , 1 A F P M (t) π̃ F P M (µ, τS ) + ω RE (t) π̃ RE (µ, τS ) where K = α E wU Rewrite max cE = max K ω , 1−α α S S 1 A E F P M F P M RE αRE α 1 E w α U Rewrite cE = max K ω FRE (t) π̃ F P M (µ, τS ) + 1−α ω RE (t) π̃αRE (µ, K = α11−αA , α S ) where F P M (t)max F PτM 1−α 1−α 1−α α , w P M E ω = (1 − α) (T − t) , ω (t) = t 1 + (1 − µ) γ , π̃ = 1 + (1 − µ) γ U F PτM Rewrite max c −= max Kt) ,ωω RE (t) (t)=π̃ t 1 +(µ, τ− )µ) + 1−α ωα γS(t) π̃α , π̃(µ, ) =where K−=µ)α1−α α wγαS 1−α 1−α α ,, S S ω FF PP M (t) = (1 α) (T − (1 1 + (1 1 α S 1−α 1−α M (t) = RE P M = 1 + (1 −Fµ) α γF α γUS 1−α ωRE = t 1 observe + (1 − µ) , π̃ FFthe on π̃ P M1−α Mα (t), 1 (1 αt) ., ωNow(t) SP π̃ µ 1−α τS−(1α) −(T τS )−1−α that (µ, τSS )1−α ,α is, α ωF α 1−α F P M=(t) RE we=can P M weight P 1−α M (t), Fµ) P M1−α 1−α 1−α 1 (1 αt) ., ωNow(t) ωRE = − α) (T − t 1 + (1 − µ) γ , π̃ = 1 + (1 − γτSS ) , is, π̃ = µ τ (1 − τ ) we can observe that ω the weight on π̃ (µ, SPM S S α α RE F F P M π̃ RE = µ 1−α (t), the weight on π̃ (µ, τS ) , is 1 τS (1 − τS ) 1−α α . Now we can observe that ω π̃ = µ 1−α τS (1 − τS ) 1−α . Now we can observe that ω F P M (t), the weight on π̃ F P M (µ, τS ) , is 36 36 36 36 38 monotonically decreasing in t, and zero at t = T. Also, ω RE (t), the weight on π̃ RE (µ, τS ) , is monotonically decreasing in t, and zero at t = T. Also, ω RE (t), the weight on π̃ RE (µ, τS ) , is RE RE monotonically increasing in t, and zero at t = 0. Thus for any t sufficiently close to 0, the decreasing in t, and zero at t = T. Also, ω RE (t), the weight on π̃ RE (µ,optimal τS ) , is monotonically increasing at t = 0. Thus for any t sufficiently close to 0, the decreasing inint,t,and andzero zero at t = T. Also, ω (t), the weight on π̃ (µ,optimal τS ) , is P M , which from theRE RE preceding cases has a maximum is equivalent toincreasing that of maximizing π̃ FFat monotonically inint,t,and t = 0. Thus for any t sufficiently close to 0, the optimal decreasing andzero zero at t = T. Also, ω (t), the weight on π̃ (µ, τS ) , at is P M RE RE from preceding cases has is equivalent that of maximizing π̃ Fat monotonically increasing inint,t,and zero t ,=twhich 0. for the any t (t), sufficiently close toaπ̃0,maximum the decreasing and zero at = Thus T. Also, ω optimum thecoincides weight on (µ,optimal τSπ̃) RE , at is F P M , τ to PM = 0, and for any t sufficiently close to T , the with that of µ = µ , which from the preceding cases has a maximum at is equivalent to that of maximizing π̃ monotonically increasing in t, and zeroFat 0. Thus for any t sufficiently close to 0, the optimal RE ,, P Mt ,=close , τ = 0, and for any t sufficiently to T , the optimum coincides with that of π̃ µ= µFF PP M which from the preceding cases has a maximum at is equivalent to that of maximizing π̃ monotonically increasing in t, and zero at t = 0. Thus for any t sufficiently close to 0, the optimal M , τmaximum M ,This which µ any = 1,t τsufficiently = 1π̃ FF−PPα. establishes result coincides incases the Proposition. = that 0, andofat for close tofrom T , the optimum with that of π̃ RE µ= µFhas which thethe preceding has a maximum at, is equivalent to maximizing P Ma M ,This which a, τmaximum µ any = 1,t τsufficiently = 1π̃ − α. establishes result coincides incases the Proposition. = that 0, andofat for close tofrom T , the optimum with that of π̃ RE µ= µFhas which thethe preceding has a maximum at, is equivalent to maximizing P M RE which a maximum at µ = 1, τ = 1 − α. This establishes the result in the Proposition. , τ = 0, and for any t sufficiently close to T , the optimum coincides with that of π̃ , µ = µFhas P Ma which = 1,t τsufficiently = 1 − α. This result coincides in the Proposition. , τmaximum = 0, and at forµ any closeestablishes to T , the the optimum with that of π̃ RE , µ = µ has which has a maximum at µ = 1, τ = 1 − α. This establishes the result in the Proposition. B Migration Regime whichAppendix: has a maximum The at µ =Avoidable 1, τ = 1 − α. This establishes the result in the Proposition. B B B B.1 B B.1 B Appendix: The Appendix: The Appendix: FPM PoliciesThe Appendix: FPM PoliciesThe Appendix: The Avoidable Avoidable Avoidable Avoidable Avoidable Migration Migration Migration Migration Migration Regime Regime Regime Regime Regime B.1 FPM Policies As be expected, B.1could FPM Policieswhen the urban wages increases and the society transitions from the “no As could be expected, when the urban wages increases and the society transitions from the “no B.1 FPM Policies migration” the “unavoidable regime, increases in the urban wage force the the elite“no to As could betoexpected, when themigration” urban wages increases and the society transitions from B.1 FPM Policies migration” to the “unavoidable migration” regime, increases in the urban wage force the elite to As could be expected, when the urban wages increases and the society transitions from the “no give policybeconcessions (in thethe form of lower taxation or and better rights the subsistence migration” toexpected, the “unavoidable migration” regime, increases in property the urban wageinforce the elite“no to As could when urban wages increases the society transitions from the givecould policybeconcessions (in thethe form of lower taxation or and better rights the subsistence migration” toexpected, the “unavoidable migration” regime, increases in property the urban wageinforce the elite“no to As when urban wages increases the society transitions from the areas) to tryconcessions avoid migration. Theofelite gradually reduces τ inand µ from τ̄ and µ, their give policy (in the form lower taxation or better property inforce the subsistence migration” totothe “unavoidable migration” regime, increases theincreases urbanrights wage the elite to areas) to try to avoid migration. The elite gradually reduces τ and increases µ from τ̄ and µ, their give policy concessions (in the form of lowerregime, taxation or better property rights the the subsistence migration” tono themigration “unavoidable migration” in w the, urban wageinforce elite to levels in regime. agradually range ofincreases values for these concessions imply that areas) to the tryconcessions to avoid migration. TheOver reduces τ and increases µ from τ̄ and µ, their give policy (in the form ofelite lower taxation or better property rights in the subsistence U levels in no avoid migration regime. agradually range of reduces values for w , theserights concessions imply that areas) to the tryconcessions to migration. TheOver elite τ and µ from τ̄ and µ, their give policy (in the form of lower taxation or better property in the subsistence U increases there fact migration evenThe though migration threat iswpresent. the elite , these However, concessions imply that levels isin nono migration regime. Over range of reduces values for areas) tointhe try to avoid migration. eliteathe gradually τ and µ from τ̄once and µ, their U increases there isin inthe fact migration evenThe though migration threat iswpresent. once the elite levels nono migration regime. Over athe range of reduces values for , these However, concessions imply that areas) to try to avoid migration. elite gradually τ and µ from τ̄ and µ, their U increases reaches taxation and property rightsathe as givenof by the unavoidable migration regime, will there isinzero inthe fact migration even though migration threat However, once theit that elite levels nonomigration regime. Over range values for iswpresent. concessions imply U , these reaches taxation and property rightsathe as givenof by the unavoidable regime, will there isinzero inthe fact nomigration migration even though migration threat However, once theit that elite levels nono regime. Over range values for iswpresent. thesemigration concessions imply U , further choose to give more policy concessions. From this point forward, increases in the urban reaches zero taxation and property rights as given by the unavoidable migration regime, it will there is in fact no migration even though the migration threat is present. However, once the elite chooseistozero give no more policy concessions. From thisby point forward, further increases in the urban reaches taxation and property rightsthe as migration given the unavoidable migration regime, it will there in fact no migration even though threat is present. However, once the elite wage generate positive migration. The nextFrom summarizes the solution more choose tozero givetaxation no moreand policy concessions. thisby point forward, further increases inprecisely. the it urban reaches property rights asproposition given the unavoidable migration regime, will wage generate positive migration. The next proposition summarizes the solution more precisely. choose tozero givetaxation no moreand policy concessions. thisby point further increases in the it urban reaches property rights From as given the forward, unavoidable migration regime, will wage generate positive The nextFrom proposition summarizes the solution moreinprecisely. choose to give no more migration. policy concessions. this point forward, further increases the urban wage generate positive migration. The next proposition summarizes the solution more precisely. choose to give no more policy concessions. From this point forward, further increases in the urban Proposition (Summary of FPM policies in regime) Suppose the elite wage generate 4 migration. The next summarizes the solution more precisely. proposition the avoidable migration Proposition 4positive (Summary of FPM policies in the avoidable regime) the elite ∗ ).migration ∗∗ be theSuppose wage generate positive migration. The next proposition summarizes the solution more precisely. ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ Also, let µ level of property maximizes the first term in (12) and w Proposition 4 (Summary of FPM policies in the avoidable regime) the elite U ∗ ).migration ∗∗ be theSuppose ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ Also, let µ level of property maximizes the 4first term in (12) and wpolicies Proposition (Summary of FPM in the avoidable migration regime) Suppose the elite U ∗ ).asAlso, ∗∗ τ̄ ,FPM , avoidable rights in the migration with policies described in Proposition 1. w̄ µ let µ be the level of property w̄ (0, µ maximizes theunavoidable term in (12) andregime wpolicies Proposition 4first (Summary of FPM in the migration regime) Suppose theThen, elite U ∈ ∗ ∗∗ rights in the migration described inbeProposition ∈ with w̄ in τ̄ ,FPM µ , avoidable w̄policies (0, µ∗ ).as Also, let µregime) theSuppose level of1. property maximizes theunavoidable first term in (12) andregime wpolicies Proposition (Summary of FPM the migration theThen, elite ∗Ufrom ∗∗ with w̄in (τ,the µ) as4first defined (10) and µ Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features the rights migration regime with FPM policies as described in Proposition 1. Then, ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ ) . Also, let µ be the level of property maximizes theunavoidable terminin (12) and w ∗Ufrom Remark 1, the ∗unique ∗∗ (12) with w̄in (τ,the µ) asfirst defined inin (10) and µ political equilibrium features the rights unavoidable migration regime with FPM policies as described in Proposition 1. Then, ) . Also, let µ be the level of property ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ maximizes the term and w F P M F P M U ∗ property rights µF Punique : described following level taxation τSF P and with w̄in (τ,the µ) unavoidable asofdefined inmigration (10) µ∗ from Remark 1,policies the political in equilibrium features the rights regime with FPM Proposition 1. Then, M and Mas and property rights µ : following level of taxation τ with w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10) and µ from Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features the rights in the unavoidable migration regime with FPM policies described in Proposition 1. Then, M and F P Mas ∗ from τSSFF PP and property rights µ : following taxation with w̄ (τ,level µ) asofdefined in (10) µ Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features the M F P M ∗ and property µµ,F Pµ following level ofdefined taxation τSF Pτand ∗∗ )in FPM Frights P M 1, ∗∗ :,and F P M falls, with w̄if(τ, µ)<asw̄ (10) µ ∈from Remark the unique political equilibrium features the M M [0, τ̄ ], µ ∈ increases, τ (0, µ , then as w 1. w U U and property following level of(0, taxation τSF PτM Frights P M ∈ µ ∗∗ ) , then ∗∗ :,and as w increases, τSF P M falls, SF P M FP M ∈ [0, τ̄ ], µ µ, µ < w̄ µ 1. if wU U and property rights µ : following level of taxation τ F P M F P M ∗∗ F P M ∗∗ 1. if w̄increases, (0, µ∗∗ ) , then τSSF P M ∈ [0, τ̄ ], µF P M ∈ µ, µ∗∗ ,and as wU increases, τSSF P M falls, or Sboth. or wµUFF PP<M 1. if w̄increases, (0, µ∗∗ ) , then τSF P M ∈ [0, τ̄ ], µF P M ∈ µ, µ∗∗ ,and as wU increases, τSF P M falls, or both. or wµUF P<M M (0, µ∗∗ ) , then τSF P M ∈ [0, τ̄ ], µFFPPMM ∈ ∗∗ µ, µ∗∗ ,and as wU increases, τSF P M falls, 1. if or both. or wµUF P<M w̄increases, ∗∗ falls, <Mw̄ w̄increases, (0,µµ∗∗ )),, then then τ̄ ], µµF P M =∈µ∗∗ µ,. µ ,and as wU increases, τS 1. if or both. or wµUUF P≥ (0, ττSFFSPP M =∈0[0, and 2. M or both. or wµUF P≥Mw̄increases, (0, µ∗∗ ) , then τSF P M = 0 and µF P M = µ∗∗ . 2. if increases, or both. or µ 2. if wU ≥ w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) , then τSF P M =0 and µF P M = µ∗∗ . 2. if wU ≥ w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) , then τSF P M =0 Iand µF P M = µ∗∗ . w̄ (0, µ∗∗ )is, then τSF Pmin =L 0 IRand µ∗∗ . to wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) . Since 2. if wThe /T̃ ,µL/ T̃M = subject Proof. to max U ≥ problem M F P w̄ (0, µ )is, then τS min=L 0 and µ . to wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ∗ ) . Since 2. if wThe /T̃ ,µL/T̃ = subject Proof. to max U ≥ problem w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄I (0, µ∗ ) . Since I , The /T̃to, L/ T̃ subject wU to ∈ maximize Proof. problem is to max min LIR I R it is preferable, if unconstrained, maximize L/T̃ to /T̃µ. )However, L ≥ L w̄ τ̄ , µ ,L . Since IR , The Proof. problem is to max min LIR /T̃to, L/ T̃ subject tothan wU to ∈ maximize w̄IR(0, it is preferable, if unconstrained, maximize L/ T̃ than /T̃µ. ∗ )However, L ≥ L w̄ τ̄ , µthe . Since IR , The ,L w̄IR(0, Proof. problem is is to max min LIRthe /T̃to,minimum L/ T̃ subject tothan wUexpressions, ∈ maximize ∗ since the elite’s problem to maximize of the two unconstrained it is preferable, if unconstrained, maximize L/ T̃ to L / T̃ . However, L ≥ L IR , The /T̃to,minimum L/ T̃ subject tothan wUexpressions, ∈ maximize w̄ τ̄ , µ the ,L w̄IR(0, µ. )However, . Since Proof. problem is is to max min LRthe since elite’s problem to maximize of the two unconstrained it is preferable, if unconstrained, maximize L/ T̃ to / T̃ L ≥ Lthe L IR , it IR unconstrained maximum of will in fact, over the relevant range of wages of the avoidable migration regime, be since elite’s problem is to maximize the minimum of the two expressions, the is preferable, if unconstrained, to maximize L/ T̃ than to maximize L / T̃ . However, L ≥ Lthe L IR , it maximum ofisT̃T̃Lpreferable, will in fact, the relevant of wages the expressions, avoidable migration be since problem is to maximize thetorange minimum ofL/the two the if over unconstrained, maximize T̃ofthan to maximize LIR /T̃ . regime, However, L ≥ Lthe R I elite’s R unconstrained maximum of will in fact, over the relevant range of wages of the avoidable migration regime, be since the elite’s problem is to maximize the minimum of the two expressions, the unconstrained / T̃ . This means that the elite will have to content itself with the “best” combination of above L L IR /elite’s T̃This will range toofcontent maximum of in fact, over theelite relevant wages the with avoidable migration regime, be since the problem isthat to maximize the have minimum of theof two expressions, thecombination unconstrained T̃ . means the itself the “best” of above L L will I T̃ R maximum of will in fact, over the relevant range of wages of the avoidable migration regime, be L I / T̃ . This means that the elite will have to content itself with the “best” combination of above L Lmaximizes )over such that L/T̃ have ≤ toL /T̃ (equivalently, wU“best” ≤ w̄ (τcombination Hence, policiesLIR (that T̃ S , µ)). maximum of will in fact, the relevant range of wages of the avoidable migration regime, be Lthat I R / T̃ . This means the elite will content itself with the of above T̃ ) such that L/ T̃ ≤ L / T̃ (equivalently, w ≤ w̄ (τ , µ)). Hence, policies (that maximizes I T̃ R U S L /T̃of . This means the elite will have toLIR content itself with the “best” combination of above LIR T̃that ) such that L/ T̃ ≤ / T̃ (equivalently, w ≤ w̄ (τ , µ)). Hence, policies (that maximizes , one can think of the elite as solving the problem: for a range values of w U S L I U R /T̃of . This the elite will toL content itself the of above LR such that L/ofT̃ have ≤ elite /T̃ solving (equivalently, wU“best” ≤ w̄ (τcombination policies (that maximizes ,) one can think the as thewith problem: for a range valuesmeans of wUT̃T̃Lthat S , µ)). Hence, I R suchcan that L/ofT̃ the ≤ elite LIRas /T̃ solving (equivalently, wU ≤ w̄ (τS , µ)). Hence, policies (that think the problem: for a range of maximizes values of wUT̃L,) one such that ≤ elite LRas /≤ T̃ solving wU ≤ w̄ (τS , µ)). Hence, policies (that can think ofT̃ the the for a range of maximizes values of w T̃ ,) one L/ T̃ L/ subject w w̄ (equivalently, (τS , µ) . problem: (19) max U as think of the to elite solving the problem: for a range of values of wU U , onemax τcan (19) s ,µ L/T̃ subject to wU ≤ w̄ (τS , µ) . think of the elite as solving the problem: for a range of values of wU , onemax τcan ,µ L/T̃ subject to wU ≤ w̄ (τS , µ) . (19) s τs ,µ L/T̃ subject to wU ≤ w̄ (τS , µ) . (19) max ∗∗ I τ ,µ max L/ T̃ subject to w ≤ w̄ (τ , µ) . (19) s U that (τSS , µ) = (0, µ ) and L /T̃ is smaller is large enough However, this reasoning fails when w U τs ,µwL/T̃ max subject to wU ≤ w̄ (τ . = (0, µI∗∗ ) and LIR /T̃ is smaller (19) SS,,µ) is large enough that (τ µ) However, this reasoning fails when U ∗∗ I R τs ,µw is large enough that L ∗∗ ∗∗ )(τ R , µ) = (0, µ ) and L / T̃ is smaller However, this reasoning fails when I∗∗ U S than L/ T̃ (that is, w > w̄ (0, µ )). Since (τ , µ) = (0, µ maximizes , there can be no other I R L is large (τmaximizes µT̃IR∗∗, )there and L T̃ smaller However, reasoning fails wUSince S , µ) = (0, L beis than L/T̃ this (that is, wU w̄ (0,when µ∗∗ (τSS ,enough µ) = (0,that µ∗∗ can other IR / U >fails ∗∗ )). ∗∗ ) is large enough that (τmaximizes µT̃IR∗∗, )there and L /T̃ isIno smaller However, this reasoning when wUSince S , µ) = (0, L than L/ T̃ (that is, w > w̄ (0, µ )). (τ , µ) = (0, µ ) can be no other I R U S ∗∗ ∗∗ R ) L/ However, this fails when w is large enough that (τ , µ) = (0, µ and L / T̃ is smaller / T̃ combination ofreasoning policies that yields a higher utility for the elite and satisfies T̃ ≤ L I T̃ U S than L/ T̃ (that is, w > w̄ (0, µ )). Since (τ , µ) = (0, µ ) maximizes , there can be no other R IR /T̃ .. LR U that yields S ∗∗ )). ∗∗ combination of policies a higher utility for the elite and satisfies L/ T̃ ≤ L I , T̃ . than L/ T̃ (that is, w > w̄ (0, µ Since (τ , µ) = (0, µ ) maximizes there can be no other I R L S /T̃other combination of policies that yields a higher utility for(0, the and satisfies L/T̃ can ≤ be LIRno T̃R , than L/T̃ (that is, wU w̄ (0, µ∗∗ )). Since (τ µ∗∗elite ) maximizes there U > S , µ) = combination of policies that yields a higher utility for the elite and satisfies T̃ L/T̃ ≤ LIR /T̃ . / T̃ combination of policies that yields a higher utility for the elite and satisfies L/ T̃ ≤ L 37 for the elite and satisfies L/T̃ ≤ LIR /T̃ .. combination of policies that yields a higher utility R 37 37 37 37 37 39 Therefore, only for wU ≤ w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) the solution is given by the solution to (19), and for Therefore,∗∗ only for wU ≤ w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) the solution is given by the solution to (19), and for ∗∗ wU > w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ) it is (τS , µ) = (0, µ∗∗ ). wU > w̄ (0, µ ) it is (τS , µ) = (0, µ ). As for the characteristics of the solution to (19), note the following. First, recall that w̄ (τS , µ) As for the characteristics of the solution to (19), note the following. First, recall that w̄ (τ , µ) is increasing in µ for µ < µ∗∗ , is maximized at µ∗∗ , and is decreasing thereafter. Note also thatS µ∗∗ 1 at µ , and is decreasing thereafter. Note also that µ∗∗ is increasing Iin µ for µ < µ I , is maximized 1−α LR LR w̄(τ ,µ) 1 L L S maximizes LT̃IR , but since LT̃IR = w̄(τSw,µ) 1−α L and L is monotonically decreasing in µ, it must be u T̃ and T̃ is monotonically decreasing in µ, it must be maximizes T̃ , ∗∗ but since = wu 1, T̃this implies T̃ T̃ Remark that w̄ (τ , µ) in the constraint of (19) is the case that µ∗∗ < µ∗∗ . From the case that µ < µ . From Remark 1, this implies that w̄ (τSS , µ) in the constraint of (19) is increasing in µ. We also know that w̄ (τS , µ) is decreasing in τS . Second, the objective function, increasing in µ. We also know that w̄ (τS , µ) is decreasing in τS . Second, the objective function, L L , is decreasing in µ and increasing in τS . These two observations imply that the constraint will T̃ , is decreasing in µ and increasing in τS . These two observations imply that the constraint will T̃ always bind and, regardless of the exact combination of policies (τ , µ) that solve (19), an increase always bind and, regardless of the exact combination of policies (τS , µ) that solve (19), an increase in wU will necessarily imply a decrease in τS , and increase in µ, orS both to satisfy such constraint. in wU will necessarily imply a decrease in τS , and increase in µ, or both to satisfy such constraint. B.2 B.2 RE Policies RE Policies Since µ = 1 is optimal in either extreme regime, it is optimal in the avoidable migration regime, Since µ = 1 is optimal in either extreme regime, it is optimal in the avoidable migration regime, where LR in the maximand is either L or LIIR . Fixing µ = 1, this is then a simple maximization where LR in the maximand is either L or LR . Fixing µ = 1, this is then a simple maximization problem in one variable. In particular, when feasible the elite will set τS such that LIIR = L. problem in one variable. In particular, when feasible the elite will set τS such that LR = L. Intuitively, this equilibrium level of taxation decreases as the rural area becomes more attractive Intuitively, this equilibrium level of taxation decreases as the rural area becomes more attractive and the elite tries to avoid migration. When migration becomes unavoidable, as noted above, the and the elite tries to avoid migration. When migration becomes unavoidable, as noted above, the desired level of taxation reaches 1 − α. Of course, if the exogenous limit on taxation τ̄ is binding, desiredRE level of taxation reaches 1 − α. Of course, if the exogenous limit on taxation τ̄ is binding, then τSRE = τ̄ . then τS = τ̄ . Proposition 5 (Summary of RE policies in the avoidable migration regime) Suppose the elite Proposition 5 (Summary of RE policies in the avoidable migration regime) Suppose the elite solves problem (16) and wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ). Then, with w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10) and µ∗∗ w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10) and µ solves problem (16) and wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ ) . Then, with = min{τ̄ , τ̃ }, where from Remark 1, the unique political equilibrium features µRE = 1 and τSRE RE from Remark 1,f er the unique political equilibrium features µ = 1 and τSRE = min{τ̄ , τ̃ }, where . τ̃ ∈ 1 − α, τ Laf and is decreasing in w τ̃ ∈ 1 − α, τ Laf f er and is decreasing in wU U. Proof. Fixing µ = 1, this is a standard maximization of Leontieff-type preferences on one variable, 1−α preferences1 on one variable, Proof. Fixing µ = 1, this is a standard maximization of Leontieff-type 1−α . 1 τS . The elite will set τS such that LIIR = L, or wU = AE (1/L) t (1 − τS ) 1−α + T − t τS . The elite will set τS such that LR = L, or wU = AE . (1/L) t (1 − τS ) 1−α + T − t 1−α 1 1−α 1−α 1 which is decreasing in wU . Solving for τS , this is τS = 1 − (1/t) L (wU /AE ) 1−α − (T − t) − (T − t) which is decreasing in wU . Solving for τS , this is τS = 1 − (1/t) L (wU /AE ) B.3 B.3 COM Policies COM Policies A general characterization of equilibrium policies for the combined problem is more complicated. A general characterization of equilibrium policies for the combined problem is more complicated. However, from the preceding analysis some of its key features are easily established. However, from the preceding analysis some of its key features are easily established. Proposition 6 (Summary of COM policies in the avoidable migration regime) Suppose the elite Proposition 6 (Summary of COM policies in the avoidable migration regime) Suppose the eliteF P M ,µ solves problem (12) and wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ∗∗ ). Then, with w̄ (τ, µ) as defined in (10), τSFF PP M solves problem (12) and wU ∈ w̄ τ̄ , µ , w̄ (0, µ ) . Then, with w̄ (τ,∗ µ) as defined in (10), τS M , µF P M RE RE and µ∗ from Remark 1, the unique and τSRE , µRE given by Propositions 4 and 5, respectively, pounique given by Propositions 4 and 5, respectively, and µ from Remark 1, theCOM and τS , µ : (i)political equilibrium features the following level of taxation τSCOM and property rights µ if COM COM litical equilibrium featuresF the τS and propertyRErights µ : (i) if P M ,following COM =level F P of M ;taxation COM COM RE t ∈ (0, t], then τSCOM = τ µ µ if t ∈ [ t̄, T ], then τ = τ , µ = µ = 1. t ∈ (0, t], then τSCOM = τSSF P M , µCOM = µF P M ; if t ∈ [t̄, T ], then τSSCOM = τSSRE , µCOM = µRE = 1. Proof. Follows from the proof for COM policies in the unavoidable regime case. Proof. Follows from the proof for COM policies in the unavoidable regime case. 38 38 40 41 42
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