Comparisons of box model calculations and measurements of formaldehyde from the 1997 North Atlantic Regional Experiment 1,2 Frost, 3 Fried, 4 Lee, 3,5 Wert, 3 Henry, 6 Drummond, 7,8 Evans, 1 Fehsenfeld, 1 Goldan, 1,2 Holloway, 1,2 Hübler, 1 Jakoubek, G. J. A. Y.-N. B. B. J. R. M. J. F. C. P. D. J. S. G. R. 1,2 1,2,9 1 1 1 10 1 11 1,2,5 1,2 1 1,2,12 B. T. Jobson, K. Knapp, W. C. Kuster, D. D. Parrish, J. Roberts, J. Rudolph, T. B. Ryerson, A. Stohl, C. Stroud, D. T. Sueper, M. Trainer, and J. Williams 1Aeronomy Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, Colorado. 2Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder. 3Atmospheric Chemistry Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado. 4Environmental Chemistry Division, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York. 5Dept. of Chemistry, University of Colorado, Boulder. 6Dept.of Physics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada. 7Centre for Atmospheric Science, Dept. of Chemistry, Cambridge University, United Kingdom. 8Now at Dept. of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 9Now at Dept.of Chemistry, Western State College, Gunnison, Colorado. 10Centre for Atmospheric Chemistry , Dept. of Chemistry, York Univ., York, Ontario, Canada. 11Lehrstuhl für Bioklimatologie und Immissionsforschung, Technische Universität München, Freising-Weihenstephan, Germany. 12Now at Abteilung Chemie der Atmosphare, Max Planck Institut für Chemie, Mainz, Germany. Abstract Possible Reasons for Measurement-Model Discrepancies Formaldehyde (CH2O) measurements from two independent instruments are compared with photochemical box model calculations. The measurements were made on the NOAA P-3 aircraft as part of the 1997 North Atlantic Regional Experiment (NARE 97). The data set considered here consists of air masses sampled between 0 and 8 km over the North Atlantic Ocean which do not show recent influence from emissions or transport. These air masses therefore should be in photochemical steady state with respect to CH2O when constrained by the other P-3 measurements, with methane oxidation being the predominant source of CH2O. The two instruments, which agree with each other on average though with relatively low correlation, both show systematically higher CH2O levels than the model. The median measured - modeled CH2O difference is 0.13 or 0.18 ppbv (depending on the instrument), or about a factor of two. Such large differences cannot be accounted for by varying model input parameters within their respective uncertainty ranges. After examining the possible reasons for the model - measurement discrepancy, we conclude that there are probably one or more additional unknown sources of CH2O in the North Atlantic troposphere. 0.6 CH2O CH2O+OH Total -5 0 5 4 -3 -1 Rate, 10 cm s 10 CH3O2+PA O2 hn OH,H2O OH OH NO CH3OH OH O2 CH3O O2 BNL CH2O, ppbv 4 5 -3 10 15 -1 H2O Diurnally averaged loss (left) and production (right) rates for CH2O (top) and CH3O2 (bottom) calculated by the box model. Median values are shown for the full data set of 86 points discussed in this work. PA = peroxy acetyl radical. 0.6 • HO2 + CH3O2 Æ CH2O + H2O + O2? - up to 40% yield at low T and P - unlikely for T and P of this data set 1 j(O3ÆO( D)+O2) j(CH2OÆCHO+H) j(CH2OÆH2+CO) -0.4 0.0 0.4 0 s, %/% BNL vs NCAR 50 100 100 101 102 103 2 2 u, % (s*u) , % Sensitivity in [CH2O] to (left), 1s uncertainty in (middle), and contribution to the square of the [CH2O] uncertainty from (right) the model input parameters, where “s” = sensitivity and “u” = uncertainty. All data are medians for the full data set of 86 points and represent the input parameters to which the modeled [CH2O] is most sensitive. The contribution of each parameter to the square of the total [CH2O] uncertainty is the square of the product of the parameter’s sensitivity and uncertainty. “j scaling factor” is a constant factor applied to all j values to simulate the effects of clouds. 0.4 0.2 Measured and modeled [CH2O] comparison scatter plots, showing the 86 data points (circles), the weighted least squares bivariate fit (solid line), and the 1:1 line (dotted line). HO2 4) Model sources: • Need 0.4 ppbv/day extra CH2O source • Fairly constant from 0 - 8 km k(OH+CH3OOH) k(CH3O2+NO) k(CH2O+OH) 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 NCAR CH2O, ppbv CH2OH O2 HO2 0 k(OH+CO) k(HO2+CH3O2) BNL vs Model 35 OH North Atlantic Ocean 30 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 Longitude, degrees -30 Late summer / early fall frontal passages • Transport of boundary layer air to upper troposphere • Subsidence of stratospheric air • Transport of polluted continental air to free troposphere O2 O2,M H HO2 M Brookhaven National Lab (BNL): DNPH solution collection Post-flight separation by HPLC Quantitation by UV-VIS absorption • 5 min integration • 1s precision for 5 min sample: ±40-80 pptv • 1s accuracy: 9-18% • Completely independent CH2O determinations • First extensive CH2O aircraft intercomparison 8 CH3O2 HO2 7 6 2 hn 1 H2 0 HO2 CO OH NCAR 20 15 Schematic representation of the methane oxidation cycle with carbon-containing species shown in boxes. The shaded boxes indicate those species with tropospheric lifetimes longer than 1 second when [NO] < 1 ppbv. Only photochemical reactions are shown; surface emission and physical removal processes are not included. 10 1.25*CH3OOH 5 0.6*k(OH+CO) 8 7 4 3 Assumption • CH2O equilibrated with longer lived species (lifetime = 6 - 9 hr under NARE 97 conditions) 2 Air mass selection • Average data over 5 - 50 min legs with constant conditions • Eliminate air with recent emissions • Total of 86 legs with coincident measurements 0 Input • O3, NO, NOy, CO, NMHCs, organic nitrates, H2O, T, P from NOAA WP-3 • CH4, H2, methanol, acetone from other observations • j values from radiative transfer model (clear sky over full diurnal cycles) Output • OH, HO2, RO2 , NO2, and CH2O (diurnal steady state) Estimated accuracy • 50 - 60% (1s) from rates and concentrations BNL-Model 5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 CH2O, ppbv 0.6 0.7 0.8 CH2O mixing ratios as a function of altitude. Gray open symbols are the individual data points. Black solid symbols joined by lines are the medians for the 0 - 2, 2 4, and 4 - 8 km altitude bins. 4 6 8 Conclusions 0.6*j(CH2OÆH2+CO) BNL-NCAR 5 0.1 2 1 10 H2O Mixing Ratio, g/kg 1.5*k(OH+CH3OOH) 0.5*all j values 0.0 0.0 6 8 Effect of adding a 0.4 ppbv day-1 source of CH2O on the levels of OH, HO2, and CH3O2 as a function of altitude and H2O mixing ratio, compared with the base model run. 0.6*j(CH2OÆCHO+H) 0 0 4 1.35*j(O3ÆO(1D)+O2) 10 1 10 0 10 20 30 -10 0 Percent Change with Added CH2O Source 0.7*k(OH+CH2O) 10 5 Base Model 0.5*k(HO2+CH3O2) 0 15 6 Altitude, km Steady State Box Model NCAR BNL Model NCAR-Model 0 2 BNL CO2 National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR): 100 m path length cell 20 s integration, 1 sample/min 1s precision for 5 min average: ±50-80 pptv 1s accuracy: 7% OH 3 CH2O Measurements Tunable IR diode laser absorption • Unmeasured long lived NMHCs or oxygenates? - need additional source equivalent to 0.7 - 2 ppmv CH4 or 5 - 10 ppbv CH3OH 4 H2O CHO hn • CH3OH reaction on aerosols? - no aerosol measurements on WP-3 - constant with altitude? 5 CH2O 40 • • • • Total Rate, 10 cm s CH3O2 NO2 0.8 NMHC sources Total CH3O2 H 2O CH3OOH 45 M O( D)+CH4 Number of points Latitude, degrees O2,M 1 3) Model sinks: • Model and measured OH agree in other remote areas • Model CH2O not very sensitive to j values 1 k(O( D)+M) 1 k(O( D)+H2O) k(OH+CH4) 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Model CH2O, ppbv OH+CH3OOH -15 -10 -5 [NO] j scaling factor 0.4 CH4+OH CH3O2+CH3O2 H2O [CH3OOH] 0.2 CH3O2+HO2 NOAA WP-3 Aircraft Flight Tracks 50 0.6 CH3O2 CH3 HO2 0.8 2) Steady state assumption invalid: • CH2O < 1 day • Clean air only, no recent emissions • No recent vertical transport in most air masses Altitude, km -10 OH St. John's, Newfoundland [CO] [CH4] 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Model CH2O, ppbv BNL CH2O, ppbv CH2O+hnÆH+CHO 1997 North Atlantic Regional Experiment (NARE 97) 55 [H2O] NCAR vs Model 0.2 CH3O2+NO CH3OOH+hn OH+CH3OOH CH3O2+CH3O2 OH+CH3OH NMHC sources Total CH2O+hnÆH2+CO CH4 OH [O3] 0.4 CH3O2+NO 60 NCAR CH2O, ppbv 0.8 1) Instrument problems: • Independent instruments, same trend • Similar discrepancies seen at Cape Grim and in SONEX 0.1 0.2 0.3 median CH2O, ppbv -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 CH2O Difference, ppbv Distribution of absolute differences between measured and modeled [CH2O] for the full data set of 86 points. The solid black vertical lines are the median differences and the horizontal bars indicate 2 standard deviations. Median CH2O mixing ratios for the full data set of 86 points are shown for the two measurements, the base model, and a number of model sensitivity tests. In each test, the indicated parameter was adjusted by the given amount and the model was rerun for all points. These adjustments represent the estimated 1s uncertainty range for the parameter and were made in the direction which would increase the modeled [CH2O]. • Steady state point model calculations of CH2O compared with 2 independent aircraft measurements in 86 air masses from NARE 97. • Model-measurement discrepancies within uncertainties. • Measured CH2O systematically larger than model; median measured/modeled ratio = 2. • Model uncertainties could be reduced by 1) more laboratory studies: HO2 + CH3O2 rate and products CH2O photolysis quantum yields k(OH + CO) k(OH + CH3OOH) 2) additional aircraft measurements: OH HO2 other VOCs besides C2-C6 hydrocarbons (oxygenates) • More CH2O measurements with better precision needed in non-polluted environments. • Additional sources of CH2O besides CH4 oxidation appear to be present in non-polluted troposphere.
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