2
Dundee City Council Area - Demographic Factsheet
Population
Last updated:
27/04/2017
Next update due:
Jun-17
The 2016 population for Dundee City is 148,270; an increase of 0.0 per cent from 148,210 in 2015. The population of Dundee City accounts for 2.7 per cent of the total population of Scotland.
In Dundee City, 24.0 per cent of the population are aged 16 to 29 years. This is larger than Scotland where 18.2 per cent are aged 16 to 29 years. Persons aged 60 and over make up 22.7 per cent of Dundee City.
This is smaller than Scotland where 24.4 per cent are aged 60 and over.
Since 1989, Dundee City's total population has fallen overall. Scotland's population has risen over this period.
Estimated population of Dundee City and Scotland, by age group, 2016
Female pop. Dundee
City
Total pop. of
Dundee City
% of total pop. of
Dundee City
Female pop.
Scotland
Total pop. of
Scotland
% of total pop.
of Scotland
0-15
12,251
11,598
23,849
16.1%
0-15
468,396
447,521
915,917
16.9%
16-29
17,389
18,217
35,606
24.0%
16-29
492,255
489,057
981,312
18.2%
30-44
12,968
13,646
26,614
17.9%
30-44
498,502
518,802
1,017,304
18.8%
45-59
13,839
14,756
28,595
19.3%
45-59
567,588
602,175
1,169,763
21.6%
60-74
10,088
11,110
21,198
14.3%
60-74
421,742
456,353
878,095
16.2%
75+
4,897
7,511
12,408
8.4%
75+
179,020
263,289
442,309
8.2%
All ages
71,432
76,838
148,270
100.0%
2,627,503
2,777,197
5,404,700
100.0%
Estimated population of Dundee City by age and sex, 30 June 2016
All ages
Estimated population of Dundee City and Scotland, 1989-2016
180
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
6,000
160
Persons (1,000s)
Council area
5,000
140
120
4,000
100
3,000
80
60
2,000
40
1,000
20
Dundee City
Female
1
© Crown Copyright 2017
Scotland
2015
2013
2009
2007
2005
2003
Age group
Male
0
2001
75+
1999
60-74
1997
45-59
1995
30-44
1993
16-29
1991
0
0-15
1989
Population
Male pop.
Scotland
Age group
Persons (1,000s)
Scotland
Male pop. Dundee
City
2011
Age group
Births (calendar year)
Between 2014 and 2015 Dundee City experienced a 9.3 per cent decrease in the number of births, dropping from 1,715 in 2014, to 1,555 in 2015. The number of births in Scotland fell by 2.9 per cent.
The most popular name given to boys born in Dundee City in 2016 was Jack and the most popular name given to girls was Amelia.
Fertility in Dundee City decreased from 52.6 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44 in 2014, to 47.8 in 2015. For Scotland as a whole, the general feritlity rate decreased from 54.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to
44 in 2014, to 53.2 in 2015.
Births in Dundee City and Scotland, 2014 and 2015
Births 2014
Dundee City
Scotland
Births 2015
% change in total no. of births
2014-2015
Male
Female
Male
851
864
787
Female
768
-9.3%
29,056
27,669
28,354
26,744
-2.9%
Live births by sex, Dundee City, 2005-2015
General Fertility Rate* (GFR) in Dundee City and Scotland, 2010-2015
1,000
60
800
40
No. of births
General Fertility Rate
900
50
30
20
700
600
500
400
300
200
10
100
0
0
2010
2011
2012
Dundee City
2013
2014
2015
2005
Scotland
2006
2007
2008
2009
Male
* Live births per 1,000 women aged 15 - 44
2
© Crown Copyright 2017
2010
2011
Female
2012
2013
2014
2015
Deaths (calendar year)
The number of deaths in Dundee City increased from 1,604 in 2014 to 1,761 in 2015. Over the period 2013 to 2015 the overall death rate was higher for males than for females.
Compared to Scotland over the period 2013 to 2015, Dundee City had a higher death rate. The main cause of death in Dundee City was cancer, followed by circulatory disease.
Deaths and age specific death rates by age group, the combined years 2013-2015
Age group
Deaths in Dundee
City
Deaths in Scotland
Age specific death rate per 1,000 people, Dundee City
Female
Age specific death rate per 1,000 people, Scotland
Male
Female
0
34
568
6.8
6.4
8.2
3.4
3.0
3.2
1-14
18
33
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
15-29
2
22
0.8
0.2
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.5
30-44
9
10
2.6
1.1
2.1
1.9
1.0
1.4
45-64
7
4
8.6
5.0
7.0
6.5
4.3
5.4
65+
17
58
49.8
47.3
49.2
166,518
59.3
13.4
51.6
4,916
55.8
11.2
10.4
10.5
10.4
All ages
Male
Cause of death in males, Dundee City, 2015*
All Persons
11.0
Cause of death in females, Dundee City, 2015*
Cancer
Cancer
17.3%
30.3%
6.2%
7.3%
22.0%
Circulatory Diseases
Respiratory Diseases
3.9%
Digestive Diseases
5.3%
10.8%
28.1%
All Persons
External Causes
29.0%
Circulatory Diseases
Respiratory Diseases
Digestive Diseases
13.7%
26.1%
External Causes
Other
Other
* Due to rounding these figures may differ slightly from those published in Vital Events Reference Tables. See 'Data sources' for link to this data.
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© Crown Copyright 2017
Migration
Migration, in, out, and net, Dundee City, annual average 2013-15*
5,000
On average in 2013-15 there was a net inflow of 168 people into Dundee City per year, meaning that
more people entered Dundee City (6,979 per year) than left (6,811 per year). The 16 to 29 year olds age
group accounted for the largest group of in-migrants into Dundee City. The largest group of out-migrants
was also the 16 to 29 year olds.
4,000
3,000
Persons
2,000
Average migration in and out of Dundee City,
2013-15*
Age Group
In
1,000
0
-1,000
Out
Net
-2,000
0-15
687
773
-86
-3,000
16-29
4,115
3,497
618
-4,000
30-44
1,275
1,576
-301
45-64
683
678
5
219
6,979
287
6,811
-68
168
65+
All ages
0-15
16-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Age group
IN-Migration
OUT-Migration
NET-Migration
*Migration figures are based on a 3-year average and include migration within Scotland, between Scotland and the rest of the UK, and between Scotland and overseas. They do not include asylum seekers and armed forces movements.
Life Expectancy
Female life expectancy at birth (80.1 years) is greater than male life expectancy (75.1 years), but both were lower than the Scottish average. Male life expectancy at birth in Dundee City is improving more rapidly
than female life expectancy.
In Dundee City female life expectancy at age 65 (19.3 years) is greater than male life expectancy at age 65 (17 years).
Life Expectancy for Dundee City and Scotland, 2003-2005 and 2013-2015
Life expectancy at birth in Dundee City and Scotland, 2013-2015
Dundee City
Life expectancy at birth
85
Life expectancy at 65
Male
Female
Male
Female
2013-2015
75.1
80.1
17.0
19.3
2003-2005
% Change
between 20032005 and 20132015
72.9
78.3
-
-
75
3.1%
2.3%
-
-
70
Years
80
65
Scotland
Life expectancy at birth
Life expectancy at 65
60
Male
Female
Male
Female
2013-2015
77.1
81.1
17.3
19.7
2003-2005
% Change
between 20032005 and 20132015
74.2
79.0
-
-
3.9%
2.7%
-
-
55
50
Dundee City
Scotland
Male
4
© Crown Copyright 2017
Female
Marriages & Civil Partnerships
There were 525 marriages in Dundee City in 2015; a decrease of 3.1 per cent from 2014.
In Dundee City 43.1 per cent of people marrying in 2015 were aged 25-34. In Scotland as a whole 47.5 per cent of people marrying were in this age group.
Since 2005 the number of marriages in Dundee City has fallen by 15.6 per cent.
Scotland has seen an increase during the same period of time.
No. of people
marrying in Dundee
City
No. of people
marrying in
Scotland
% of people
marrying in Dundee
City
% of people
marrying in
Scotland
16-24
76
3,961
7.2%
6.7%
25-34
453
28,196
43.1%
47.5%
35-44
238
13,154
22.7%
22.2%
283
14,071
27.0%
23.7%
1,050
59,382
100.0%
100.0%
45+
All ages
Council Area
Age group
Number of marriages in Dundee City and Scotland, 2005-2015
700
35,000
600
30,000
500
25,000
400
20,000
300
15,000
200
10,000
100
5,000
0
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Dundee City
Civil Partnerships in Dundee City and Scotland by sex, 2014 and 2015
2014
Male
Dundee City
Scotland
2015
Female
Male
Female
3
5
-
-
193
243
33
31
5
© Crown Copyright 2017
Scotland
Scotland
Number of people marrying in Dundee City and Scotland by 10-year age group, 2015
Population Projections
By 2039 the population of Dundee City is projected to be 156,189, an increase of 7.3 per cent compared to the population in 2014. The population of Scotland is projected to increase by 7.5 per cent between 2014
and 2039.
Over the 25 year period, the age group that is projected to increase the most in size in Dundee City is the 75+ age group. This is the same as for Scotland as a whole.
The population aged under 16 in Dundee City is projected to increase by 8.2 per cent over the 25 year period.
Projected population, by age group, in Dundee City, 2014-2039
Base
Projected years
Base year
Age group
2014
2019
2024
2029
2034
2039
0-15
23,716
24,709
25,649
25,786
25,874
25,649
16-29
36,186
34,038
31,200
31,373
32,493
32,983
30-49
35,820
36,504
39,374
41,090
40,596
39,934
50-64
26,616
27,649
26,604
24,226
23,728
25,208
65-74
13,257
13,855
14,249
15,890
16,202
14,774
75+
9,986
10,984
12,950
14,363
15,848
17,641
145,581
147,739
150,026
152,728
154,741
156,189
All ages
Percentage change in population in Dundee City and Scotland, 2014-2039 (2014based projections)
Components of projected population change for Dundee City and Scotland, 2014-2039
(2014-based projections)
18%
16%
80%
Percentage change
Percentage change
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
-20%
0-15
16-29
30-49
50-64
65-74
0%
75+
Dundee City
Scotland
Age group
Dundee City
Natural Change*
Scotland
* Natural change equals births minus deaths
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© Crown Copyright 2017
Net Migration
Total Change
Households & Dwellings
The 2015 estimate of the number of households in Dundee City is 69,534. This is a -0.1 per cent decrease in the 2014 figure of 69,610, compared to a 0.6 per cent increase in Scotland as a whole. The proportion of
these households receiving a single adult Council Tax discount is 43.5 per cent. For Scotland, this figure is 37.4 per cent.
With regards to the dwellings in Dundee City, 95 per cent are occupied, 4 per cent are vacant and 0 per cent are second homes. The proportions of dwellings in Scotland which are vacant and second homes are 3.1
per cent and 1.1 per cent, respectively.
The 2015 estimate of the number of dwellings in Dundee City is 73,689. This is an increase of 0.2 per cent from 2014 and compares to a 0.7 per cent increase across Scotland as a whole.
Household estimates for Dundee City and Scotland, 2007-2015
2015
% change
2014-2015
% change
2010-2015
Year
2007
Dundee City
Scotland
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
68,011
68,594
69,067
69,105
69,150
69,263
69,500
69,610
69,534
-0.1%
0.6%
2,318,966
2,337,967
2,351,780
2,364,850
2,376,424
2,387,211
2,401,788
2,418,335
2,433,956
0.6%
2.9%
2012
2013
2014
2015
% change
2014-2015
% change
2010-2015
Number of dwellings in Dundee City and Scotland, June 2007-2015
Year
2007
Scotland
2009
2010
72,736
73,068
73,696
74,015
73,529
73,818
73,560
73,575
73,689
0.2%
-0.4%
2,440,596
2,460,883
2,476,157
2,488,496
2,500,849
2,515,042
2,526,870
2,540,561
2,557,582
0.7%
2.8%
Number of households in Dundee City and Scotland, 2007-2015
Number of dwellings in Dundee City and Scotland, 2007-2015
80
3,000
2,500
60
2,000
50
40
1,500
30
1,000
20
500
10
0
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Number of dwellings (1,000s)
Council area
70
Number of households (1,000s)
Scotland
80
Number of households (1,000s)
Council area
2011
3,000
70
2,500
60
2,000
50
40
1,500
30
1,000
20
500
10
0
0
2007
2015
2008
2009
2010
Dundee City
2014
2015
Scotland
Proportions of dwellings by Council Tax band in Dundee City, 2015
0%
5%
Flat
A-C
Terraced
22%
Semi-detached
52%
18%
2013
Dundee City
Scotland
Types of dwelling in Dundee City, 2014
19%
2012
Year
Year
11%
2011
Detached
74%
Unknown
7
© Crown Copyright 2017
F-H
D-E
Number of dwellings (1,000s)
Scotland
Dundee City
2008
Household Projections
The total number of households in Dundee City is projected to change from 69,610 in 2014 to 79,010 in 2039, which is an increase of 14 per cent. In Scotland as a whole, the projected number of households is set
to increase by 14 per cent over the same 25 year period.
In Scotland, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 31 per cent over the 25 year period. In Dundee City, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 26 per cent, and the
number of larger households in Dundee City is projected to fall, with the number of households of 2 or more adults with children decreasing by 6 per cent over the 25 year period. The average household size is
projected to decrease from 2.05 in 2014 to 1.91 in 2039.
In Dundee City, households headed by 60-74 year olds are projected to increase in number by 1 per cent, and those headed by the 75+ age group are projected to increase in number by 40 per cent between the
years 2014 and 2039.
Projected number of households in Dundee City and Scotland,
2014-2039
3,000
2,500
70
60
2,000
50
1,500
40
30
1,000
20
500
10
0
0
2014
2019
2024
2029
2034
40%
30%
Percentage change
80
Number of households (1,000s)
Scotland
Number of households (1,000s)
Council area
90
Projected percentage change in household, by household type, in Dundee City and
Scotland, 2014-2039
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
1 adult
2039
1 adult with 1 or
more children
3 or more adults
Dundee City
Scotland
Year
Dundee City
Household type
Scotland
Base-year
Projected number of households
2 or more adults
with 1 or more
children
% change in Dundee City
2014-2039
% change in
Scotland
2014-2039
31%
2014
2019
2024
2029
2034
2039
28,720
30,091
31,552
32,990
34,618
36,213
26%
1 adult with 1 or more children
5,665
5,898
6,104
6,297
6,465
6,568
16%
22%
3 or more adults
5,704
5,353
5,032
4,884
4,844
4,849
-15%
-18%
-12%
1 adult
2 or more adults with 1 or more children
10,134
9,955
9,907
9,860
9,742
9,536
-6%
Total households - Dundee City
69,610
71,157
72,863
74,732
76,941
79,010
14%
2,418,336
2,503,212
2,580,490
2,650,280
2,711,938
2,763,773
Total households - Scotland
Household by age of head of household
Base-year
Projected number of households
14%
% change in Dundee City
2014-2039
% change in
Scotland
2014-2039
2014
2019
2024
2029
2034
2039
16-29 years
12,673
12,649
11,561
11,535
12,315
12,779
1%
0%
30-44 years
16,204
17,622
20,186
20,895
20,450
19,721
22%
6%
45-59 years
18,185
17,708
16,465
16,433
17,795
20,203
11%
1%
60-74 years
13,535
14,381
15,033
15,682
15,065
13,715
1%
11%
79%
75+ years
Total households - Dundee City
Total households - Scotland
9,014
8,797
9,618
10,185
11,316
12,592
40%
69,610
71,157
72,863
74,732
76,941
79,010
14%
2,418,336
2,503,212
2,580,490
2,650,280
2,711,938
2,763,773
8
© Crown Copyright 2017
14%
Data Sources - 27/04/2017
Population
Data
Current population estimates
Time series population estimates
Births
Data
Fertility rates
Popular names
Births
Deaths
Data
Deaths
Death rates
Cause of death
Migration
Data
Total migration
Life Expectancy
Data
Life exp. at birth
Life exp. at age 65
Update the 'Total population' and 'latest MYE' worksheets
Source
Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 1
Population Estimates Time Series Data (first table in the list)
Next update due
Apr-18
Apr-18
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-p
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-p
Update the 'Fertility', 'Popular names', and 'Births' worksheets
Source
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 3.8
Vital Events Popular Forenames: Table 3
Births Time Series Data: Table 'Births by Council Area, by sex, 1997 to…..'
Next update due
Aug-17
Mar-17
Aug-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/births/popular-names
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/births/births-time-series-data
Update the 'VE deaths latest', 'combined deaths', 'comb.MYE', 'cause of
death' and 'VE ref table - 6.3 (cause)' worksheets
Source
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2
Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 2
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 6.3
Next update due
Aug-17
Aug-17
Aug-17
Aug-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-p
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
Update the 'Migration2', 'Migration 3', and 'total migration' worksheets
Source
Total Net Migration by Council Area by Single Year of Age and Sex
Next update due
Jul-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/migration/migration-statistics/total-migratio
update the 'LE' worksheet
Source
Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Tables 6 and 7
Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Table 10
Next update due
Nov-17
Nov-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/life-expectancy/life-expectancy-in-scottishhttp://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/life-expectancy/life-expectancy-in-scottish-
Source
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3
Request from Vital Events branch
Next update due
Aug-17
Aug-17
Aug-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
email: [email protected]
Update the 'Population Projections', 'Pop Proj Table2' and 'components of
change' worksheet
Source
Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table 2
Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table A
Next update due
Oct-18
Oct-18
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/sub-natio
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/sub-natio
Update 'Household Estimates', 'No. of Dwellings', 'Occupied and Vacant
Dwellings' and 'Characteristics of Dwellings' worksheets
Source
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 4a
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 6
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 1
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 2
Next update due
Jun-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
Update the 'Total Household Projections', 'household Projections by
type', 'Household Proj by age of head' and 'Projected Average household
Source
Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 9, 11, 12, 13
Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
Household Projections for Scotland: Table 7
Household Projections for Scotland: Table 7
Next update due
Jan-19
Jan-19
Jan-19
Jan-19
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
Marriages & Civil Partnerships
Data
Civil Partnerships
Total Marriages
Marriages by 10yr age groups
Pop Projections
Data
Population projections
Components of change
Household & Dwellings
Data
Occupied and Vacant Dwellings
Characteristics of Dwellings
Household Estimates
Number of Dwellings
Household Projections
Data
Projected number of households
Head of household data
Projected household size
% change in household size
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