Evaluating Extension Integrated Pest Management Programs with Factor Analysis Indices G. Keith Douce, David K. Linder, Michael E. Wetzstein, and Wesley N. Musser I ntegratedpest management (IPM) is the intelligent use of pest control actions that will ensure favorable economic, ecological, and sociological consequences (Metcalf and Luckmann 1975). IPM is not an entity by itself; rather, it is part of an overall crop production system. With this in mind, we set out to design an evaluation system (process) that put IPM in this crop production perspective. Although Extension IPM programs have expanded into 50 states and 2 protectorates on over 45 commodities (Blair and Edwards 1980), relatively few comprehensive program evaluations have been completed (see Gholson 1981). As pointed out by previous authors (Blair and Edwards 1980, Gholson 1981, Boutwell and Smith 1981), traditional evaluations of Extension programs have tended, due to the extreme complexities involved and the lack of significant data sets, to focus on either economic or biological (principally entomological) aspects of IPM. These inherent evaluation difficulties are further compounded by differences in environmental factors that impinge upon individual fields, and by management practices and capabilities of individual growers which are beyond the scope of the IPM programs themselves. Previous studies have attempted to quantify the benefits of IPM usage by comparing yields and production costs incurred by users and non-users of IPM on commercial farms (Carlson 1981, Hall 1977, Masud et al. 1981, Reichelderfer FALL 1983 and Bender 1979). However, this approach introduces several opportunities for uncontrolled bias, for example, differences in soil type, rainfall, or other natural phenomena, as well as differences in pest populations and management abilities of producers. Also, the nonparticipant often received IPM information as a result of the frequent contact with the evaluator that was necessary to collect the detailed data needed for the evaluations. Additionally, the simple fact that growers have been exposed to IPM technology and employ IPM field scouts does not mean that they have assimilated the IPM technology into their crop production system in an efficient manner. As pointed out by Boutwell and Smith (1981), after a certain point, participants or cooperators are no longer characterized by the use or non-use of IPM, but instead by how much of the available IPM practices and information are used. Consequently, most of the federally mandated evaluations of ongoing IPM programs rely upon the benefits of IPM usage as inferred from indirect evidence. Indirect evidence frequently used includes the number of growers and acreages enrolled (in the program) and the growth that has been observed in these programs through time. Also, in programs that have evolved and grown in an area, the nonparticipant or control group has become small or nonexistent. Such is the case in a number of crops in the Southeast, such as cotton, as observed by Boutwell and Smith (1981). With ongoing, intensive IPM educational programs, a point is reached in a given geographical area where all growers of a particular commodity have been exposed to and have been influenced by IPM techniques and methods. An Alternative As IPM programs increasingly influence growers, alternative methods for evaluation are required. Instead of evaluating a dichotomous group of growers, it becomes necessary to evaluate a spectrum of growers participating in IPM programs. At this point, program evaluators need to establish criteria for categorizing growers on the basis of degree of participation. Then, of course, it is necessary to collect this information from producers and their fields. After collection of this information, a problem arises as how to systematically reduce these characteristics down to a manageable size for evaluation, a problem that most researchers have not addressed. Boutwell and Smith (1981), a notable exception, established five major characteristics to measure insect management practices. They reduced these characteristics to an index by subjectively weighting each of the characteristics for their relative importance in measuring the degree of utilization of IPM practices, and then totaling the weighted characteristics for individual growers. A disadvantage of this approach is that the degree of influence a characteristic exhibits on an index is not known. Likewise, a question arises as to which of the various characteristics actually exerts the most influence by the evaluator intro43 duces bias. The influence that each characteristic exerts on an index is of major importance in the evaluation process. Knowledge of this influence would provide an indication of which IPM techniques resulted in significant increases in yield (or profit). In this study. IPM utilization by a grower was measured by systematically obtaining a value for each of several IPM characteristics. These IPM characteristics were then reduced to a manageable size by factor analysis, to obtain relative weights for each of the IPM characteristics, providing a measure of the influence that each characteristic exerted on an index. The resultant indices were then used as contributing variables in evaluation of Table 1. IPM characteristics used to evaluate insecticide use vs. insect population levels for evaluation of !PM utilization by Georgia cotton producers. 1981" (see text for details) the economic impact of IPM utilization 4. Proportion of applications not identical across all fields relative to the total number of applications made on producers. Methods As a rigorous test of our evaluation method. data were collected from 30 cotton producers in eight geographically dispersed Georgia counties during 1981. Cotton IPM (before 1972, insect scouting only) programs had been operational through the local county Extension office in seven of these counties for more than 4 years before the initiation of this study (range. 4 to 10 years). Although no cotton had been grown in the eighth county for several years, the growers who produced cotton during 1981 were extremely interested in IPM and worked closely with the local Extension agent. Thus, we feel that nearly all of the cotton producers in these counties have been influenced by Extension IPM educational programs. All of the producers from which data were collected were participants (i.e., were having their fields scouted) in Extension-sponsored IPM programs. Detailed records were collected by frequent contact with each grower throughout the growing season by a pest management assistant working in the local Extension office and by field personnel employed by the Farm Economics Information Center.1 Field level information collected from each grower consisted of the following: Insect reports (generated twice per week by the field scout), pesticide use records, land preparation. planting information, as well as the other production inputs needed to generate enterprise budgets. 1Farm Economics Information Departmellt of Agn'wltllral Economics, of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602. 44 Center, University Characteristic I. Proportion of "proper" to total insecticide applications No. of sprays made after thresholds - No. of improper sprays (improper materials and made after 48 h) Total sprays 2. Proportion of economic thresholds treated to total no. of economic thresholds reached No. of times thresholds were reached - No. of times thresholds were reached and no proper spray was made No. of times thresholds were reached 3. Proportion of properly timed insecticide sprays to total insecticide sprays made with respect to thresholds only No. of properly timed sprays (but not necessariIy proper rates or materials) made after thresholds - No. of sprays made before thresholds Total no. of sprays Total no. of applications made - No. of times identical applications were made with respect to date. material. and rate Total no. of applications made aControl recommendations used were those published by the Georgia Cooperative Extension Service (Lambert and Herzog 1981) for controlling major cotton insect pests. Great care was taken in collecting these data to include the date as well as the technical aspects of the activity (e.g .. actual chemical used, rate, application method, etc.). Actual grower costs were used whenever possible; when these were not available, average costs were substituted. (See Douce [1982] and Linder et al. [1983] for details of the locations. procedures, and methods used in this study.) Factor Analysis Indices The concept of factor analysis essentially amounts to transforming a set of k variables with n observations of each into a new set of variables which are based on an initial correlation matrix of the k variables (Muliak 1972). The variables are normalized so that their mean is 0 and their variance is 1, causing the total amount of variance in the data to equal the total number of variables. The first factor computed in a factor analysis represents the linear combination of the variables in the data which accounts for more variance among the variables than any other combination. The second factor is considered the linear combination of variables that accounts for the most residual variance not accounted for by the first factor. As a result, the second factor is orthogonal (uncorrelated) to the fir~t. Any other extracted factors may be similarly defined until all of the variance within the data has been removed. For a given set of data, 100% of the variance will be explained by the extracted factors. and the number of extracted factors will be equal to the number of variables within the data set. Therefore, unless the first factor represents a perfectly linear combination of variables which explains 100% of the variance, the number of extracted factors will always equal the number of variables (Kim 1975). By using the FACTOR program of the Statistical Analysis Systems Institute (1979), the only factors retained for further analysis were those factors having an eigenvalue of one or greater. The eigenvalue is the total amount of variance within the data set which is explained by a given factor (Kim 1975). Therefore, the factors which are retained are known to explain at least the amount of variance within a single variable. The advantage of using factor analysis is that the composition of a given index may be readily determined by the load ins of each factor among the variables used. Rather than using subjective weights to build an IPM index, as done by Boutwell and Smith (1981). the interrelationships between the components of IPM are considered. Each factor is composed of regression weights derived in the scoring coefficient matrix which in turn is calcuBULLETIN OF THE ESA lated exactly from the factor pattern matrix. The ability to separate each index into components and to note the variables or characteristics which were most influential is particularly useful in index evaluation. Factor analysis was therefore used to construct participation indices based on a derived set of IPM characteristics listed in Table 1 Individual grower values for each of the IPM characteristics were obtained through detailed analysis of individual field level insect (= scouting) reports and pesticide use records. Only those insect reports and insecticide reports that occurred after insect scouting began (ca. 15 June) a nd before the cotton field reached the open boll stage were included in these analyses. To retain an objective analysis, strict adherence to the treatment (economic) thresholds published in the Georgia Cotton Insect Control circular (Lambert and Herzog 1981) was maintained, although we realize that this results in a somewhat artificial analysis, due to the number of mitigating factors that go into a recommendation; but the alternative was to introduce unknown subjective bias. An insecticide application was considered "proper" if it was administered within 48 h after an economic threshold had been reached and the selection of materi- als was consistent with the insect pest(s) reported and with Extension Service control recommendations. The first and third characteristics measure the proportion of proper chemical applications made to the total number of applications made. Total number of applications is the sum of applications before and after an economic threshold. The third characteristic was designed to capture the chemical applications made before an economic threshold was reached. By spraying after a threshold was attained, the producer not only maximized the benefit of the beneficial insects in his field for pest control, but also improved the effectiveness of his insecticide program. Presumably, a producer participating in IPM would tend to vary not only the timing of applications but also the material and the rate of applications based on insect populations in the field. Thus, the fourth characteristic is designed to capture this tendency by measuring the amount producers vary their treatments across fields. FALL 1983 Table 2. Weights associated with the two indices attributable by each of the four IPM characteristics Characteristic I 2 3 4 Index 1 0.510 -0.124 0.512 -0.089 Index 2 -0.076 0.688 0.033 0.618 Results By using factor analysis, the four IPM characteristics were reduced to two uncorrelated indices which accounted for 75% of the total variance associated with the four characteristics. The values of the derived indices ranged from 0 to 3.7986 for index I, and from 0 to 4.209 for index 2. Table 2 presents the influences (or weights) associated with the two indices that were attributable to each of the four characteristics. The major contributing variables to index 1 were IPM characteristics 1 and 3, whereas IPM characteristics 2 and 4 contributed most heavily to index 2. The IPM participation indices were then included as variables in multiple regression analysis performed to account for the influence of the major production variables on yield. The variables included in the regression analysis were fertilizer, lime, pesticides, machinery, irrigation, la- bor, county location, and the IPM utilization indices (see Linder et al. 1983). Results of the multiple regressional analysis revealed that only index I of the IPM utilization variables had a significant influence on yield. Those growers who tended to apply pesticides based on the actual insect pressure rather than on predetermined (or convenience) schedules had a significantly higher yield. Our results indicate that rPM characteristics 2 and 4 tend not to significantly increase yield. Without the ability to differentiate the influence characteristics have on the indices, an evaluator may have concluded that all the rPM characteristics result in a significant increase in yield. Our results indicate that utilization of rPM practices did not significantly influence the pesticide cost to growers. Although growers were applying approximately the same amount of pesticides regardless of their rPM usage, growers who tended to have higher rPM utilization levels appeared to time their applications better, which resulted in an increase in yield. This finding is consistent with rPM philosophy and the relatively sophisticated cotton production systems that exist in Georgia. As pointed out by Linder (1982), Georgia cotton producers are, in general, approaching efficient usage of insecticides. Discussion Of course, additional years of information will be required to conclusively document the benefits to producers for using IPM technology. Certainly, this would reduce the observed variations in production practices and production results. As pointed out by Boutwell and Smith (1981) and by Gholson (1981), shortterm or I-year evaluations exhibit extreme limitations on the evaluation process, due to factors beyond the scope of the rPM program that have an overriding influence on measurements such as yield and insect control. This was certainly the case with the current study, because cotton production was hampered in several of the counties involved in this study by localized droughts. Nonetheless, we feel that we were successful in developing and implementing a flexible evaluation methodology for evaluating ongoing IPM programs. In conclusion, a technique that distinguishes between participants and nonparticipants in IPM is necessary for fu- ture evaluation, especially in those areas where rPM programs have become established. Collecting grower IPM characteristics as done by Boutwell and Smith (1981) and in the current study is one method for distinguishing degree of participation. However, a problem exists in systematically reducing these characteristics to a manageable size for evaluation. rt is suggested that factor analysis may be employed to alleviate this problem. An application of this analysis to an rPM program implemented in Georgia by the Cooperative Extension Service illustrates how the analysis creates a participation index. Advantages of using factor analysis for index construction include the following: (I) the task of assigning weighting factors for each variable by the evaluator is avoided; (2) the relative contribution made by each variable used in index construction becomes known; and (3) the subjective influence of the evaluator is reduced and is limited only to the selection of the rPM characteristics. Based upon this analysis, growers with a higher degree of rPM utilization were 45 shown to have significantly higher yields than growers who had lesser IPM utilization levels. The methodology developed in 1981 and presented here is currently being used to evaluate other Extension-sponsored IPM programs in Georgia. As our methods and techniques are refined, and as additional years of data are collected, we should be better able to quantify the impact of IPM programs on growers 111 Georgia. Acknowledgment We acknowledge W. R. Lambert and David B. Adams for their part in the selection of IPM characteristics used in this project. W. R. Lambert is Cotton Entomologist/IPM Coordinator, and David B. Adams is Pest Management Specialist, Extension Entomology Department, University of Georgia. We also acknowledge the assistance of the following University of Georgia personnel for their part in the collection, coding, and processing of the data used by this project: Barbara Hall and Chad Sivasailam, Extension Entomology Department; John Meier, Bill Fox, and John Mackert, Farm Economics Information Center, Agricultural Economics Department, and the County Extension directors and IPM assistants who worked directly with each of the farmers. Georgia Cooperative Extell.<ion Service 111tegrated Pe.<t MaT/agemellt Programs for CottOIl. Univ. Ga. Agric. Exp. Sin. Res. Bull. No. 293. Masud.S. MooR. D.l...1gcwell. C. R.Taylor.J. G. Benedict.and L A Lippke. 1981. &onomic impact of iT/tegrated References Cited Blair.B. D. and C. R. Edwards.1980. Developmellt alld .<tatllS of exten.<ioll illtegrated pe.<t management program.< ill the Ullited State.<. Bull. Entom. Soc. Am. 26: 363-368. Boutwell.J. L. and R. H. Smith. 1981. A Ilew COllcePt ill evaluatillg illtegrated pe.<t mallagemeT/t gram.<. Ibid. 27: 117-118. pro- Carlson.G. A 1981. IPil,-! experience iT/North CaroliT/a Crop.<. pp. 2-3. IT/ Tar Heel Economist (September). Agric. Ext. Serv., N.C. State University. Raleigh. Douce.G. K 1982.1981 Georgia IT/tegrated Pest MaT/agement Program Facts .. Misc. Publ. Ga. Coop. Ext. Servo Tifton. 66 pp. Gholson.L E. 1981. £Valuatillg IPM. III Tar Heel Economist (September). Agric. Ext. Serv., N.C. State University. linder. D. K.. M. E. We!2stein.W. N. Muss<:r.and G. K. Douce. 1983. AT/ economic evaluation of the pe.<t maT/agement .<trategie.<for cottOT/ productioT/ in the Coastal Bend region in Texas. South. ]. Agric. Econ. \3: 47-52. Metcalf.R. L. andW. H. wekmann.1975. IT/troductiOT/ to illsect pe.<t maT/agement. John Wiley and Sons, New York. 587 pp. Muliak.S. A 1972. The foulldation of factor analysis. McGraw-Hill Book Co., New York. Reichelderfer. K. H.. andF. E. Bender.1979. ApplicatioT/ of a simulative approach to evaluating method.< for the cOT/trol of agncultural altemative pests. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 61: 258-267. Statistic.alAnalysisSystems Institute.Statistical Analysis Systems (SAS) User's Guide. 1979 ed. SAS Institute, Inc., Raleigh, N.C. 494 pp. Raleigh. Hill. D. C. 1977. The profitability of iT/tegrated pe.<t management: case studies for cottOT/ aT/d citms iT/ the San Joaquin Valley. Bull Entom. Soc. Am. 23: 267-274. Kim.J. 1975. Factor analysi.<, pp. 458-489. In Statistical package for the social sciences. McGraw-Hill Book Co., New York. 675 pp. L1mbert.W. R..andG. A Herzog.1981. Cottoll iI/sect control. Circ. SOl. Ga. Coop. Ext. Serv., University of Georgia, Athens. Under. D. K 1982. An economic evaluatioT/ of the Georgia Cooperati've ExteTIsioT/ Service IT/tegrated Pe.<t Mallagement Program.< for CottOT/. M.S. thesis, University of Georgia, Athens. 97 pp. Note: 'This research was partially funded by USDA Agreement 58-319V-l-0242X and by USDA Smith Lever 3(d) funds for IPM. Received for publication 2 June 1983; accepted 14 June 1983. Address: (Dol/ce) Dept. of Entomology, University of Georgia, 71fton, GA 31793. (Linder, Wetzstein, and l\1uJSer) Dept. of Agricultural Economics, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602. .' , 'Ji BUT DO ANALYZE, STUDY, PONDER, AND RESEARCH THEM! THE ZOOLOGICAL RECORD THE ESSENTIAL INDEX FOR COMPREHENSIVE ZOOLOGICAL LITERATURE SINCE 1864. COVERAGE OF THE WORLD'S For further information, contact BioSciences Information Service, User Services Department. 2100 Arch Street, Philadelphia, PA 19103.-1399 Telex 831739. 46 BULLETIN OFTHE ESA
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