August 2014 No. 2014/2 A World of Cities T he post-2015 development agenda will need to address old and new challenges for the wellbeing of millions of urban dwellers around the world. Cities and urban areas are at the heart of economic, social, and environmental processes that impinge on sustainability. Achieving sustainable development will therefore require well-planned urbanization, taking into account the growth of cities of all sizes. Patterns of city size and growth vary greatly over space and time, as shown by new United Nations estimates and projections of cities and urban areas.1 1. Though increasing in number, megacities are home to a small share of the urban population In 1990, there were ten megacities with 10 million inhabitants or more, which were home to 153 million people. Today, the number of megacities worldwide has more than doubled. In 2014, 28 megacities were home to 453 million people or about 12 percent of the world’s urban dwellers. Among those 28 megacities, sixteen are located in Asia, four in Latin America, three each in Africa and Europe, and two in Northern America (see map). Tokyo remains the world’s largest urban agglomeration with 38 million inhabitants, followed by Delhi with 25 million, Shanghai with 23 million, and Mexico City, Mumbai and São Paulo, each with around 21 million inhabitants (figure 1). Osaka (Kinki Major Metropolitan Area) has just over 20 million, followed by Beijing with slightly less than 20 million. The New YorkNewark area and Cairo complete the list of the ten most populous urban areas with around 18.5 million inhabitants each. By 2030, thirteen new megacities will emerge in the less developed regions. Although Tokyo’s population is projected to decline, it is expected to remain the world’s largest city in 2030 with 37 million inhabitants, followed closely by Delhi, whose population is projected to rise swiftly to 36 million by 2030. New megacities will emerge in the less developed regions, including capital cities such as Bangkok, Bogota, Lima, and Luanda, plus seven more megacities in Asia and two in Africa. 2. Small cities are home to a large share of the urban population, with many growing rapidly Overall, nearly half of the world’s 3.9 billion urban dwellers reside in relatively small settlements with fewer than 500,000 inhabitants. In 2014, around 505 million people in the more developed regions were living in urban settlements with fewer than 500,000 inhabitants, while in the less developed regions 1.4 billion did so. In the least developed countries, over half of the urban Figure 1. Population of the largest cities in 2014, from 1970 to 2030 40 Tokyo Population (millions) 35 30 Delhi 25 Shanghai 20 Mexico City 15 2014 Mumbai 10 São Paulo 5 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Data source: United Nations (2014). World Urbanization Prospects: The 2014 Revision. August 2014 POPFACTS, No. 2014/2 1 popu ulation (56 per p cent) live ed in these relatively r smaall urban n areas. Small towns and cities c with few wer than 300,0 000 inhabitan nts or a large, alb beit declining g, proportion of have accounted fo urban populaation since 1990 (figure 2). Meanwhille, the u citiess of 1 million or o more have e been increassing their share of thee world’s urbaan population n. Figure 2. Distrribution of the e world’s urban n population by size class off urban settlem ment and num mber of cities, 1990, 2014 and 2030 100 10 cities 21 cities 90 80 239 cities Percentage 70 294 cities 412 cities 60 50 40 28 cities 41 cities 43 cities 63 cities 417 cities 525 cities 679 cities 558 cities 731 cities 832 cities 30 10 million or more 5 to 10 million 1 to 5 million 500,000 to 1 million 300,000 to 500,000 20 10 Less than 300,000 0 1990 2014 2030 Datta source: United Nations (2014). World Urbanization U Prospeccts: The 2014 Revvision. Many y small cities are growin ng rapidly. Among A the 67 79 urban n settlementss with 300,00 00 to 500,000 0 inhabitants in 2014 4, 271 have grown at an avverage annuaal rate of 3 per cent or more durin ng the period 1990-2014. 3. Mo ore cities arre growing slowly or de eclining Most of the citiess with low grrowth rates during 1990 0e, Northern A America and Eastern Asia a. 2014 aare in Europe The nu umber of citiees with annuaal growth ratees of less than n 1 per ccent has doub bled from 129 9 cities during g 1970-1990 to o 264 citties during 19990-2014. On nly three citiess in Africa had d such lo ow growth rates. ugh the num Althou mber of citie es estimated to have lost popullation is relattively small, it has increa ased in recent decad des. During 19970-1990, 60 ccities experienced negative e growt h, most of which were in the Unitted Kingdom m, 0Germaany and the U United Statess of America. During 1990 2014, the number o of cities with declining populations rose e Russian Federration, Ukraine e to 98, many of whicch are in the R other Europeaan countries. Cities in deccline included d and o severaal capitals, such as Brratislava, Bud dapest, Riga a, Saraje vo, Tallinn, TTbilisi and Yeerevan. Durin ng 2014-2030 0, umber of cities with declining populations is expected d the nu to fall to 45, and these are found mostly iin low-fertility y countrries with stagnating or decclining populaations. ______ _____________ 1 The ffigures cited in this publication n come from Wo World Urbanization online from Prospeccts: The 20014 Revision, available m www.un npopulation.org. The population n living in urban areas of less than 300,0000 inhabitants w was calculated aas the difference between the estimatted total urban p population and the combined estimates for urban areas w with 300,000 inhabitants or more. Citie es by size class of urban settllement, 2014** U Nations (2014 4). World Urbanizatio on Prospects: The 20114 Revision. Data source: United * Urban agglo omerations of 300,00 00 inhabitants or mo ore in 2014. Disclaimer: Th he designations emp ployed and the prese entation of material on o the map do not i mply the expression n of any opinion whaatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of th he United Nations co oncerning the legal status s of any countryy, territory, city or arrea or of its authorities, g the delimitation of its frontiers or boun ndaries. or concerning August 2014 POPFACTTS, No. 2014/2 2 2
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