A Critical Discourse of the 2011 General Election Manifestos Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast “I like your manifesto, put it to the testo.”—Sultans of Ping “Because consciousness is the first step towards emancipation.”—Norman Fairclough ABSTRACT: This article presents a case for Critical Discourse Analytical techniques, and their expediency in analysing political discourse. More specifically, it demonstrates the efficacy of such techniques in analysing political manifestos. Political manifestos are wordy and imbued with power: thus making linguistic approaches to their study appropriate. This research, however, Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast is motivated, in part, by a notable lack of linguistic methodologies being employed in their study in an Irish context, and indeed Irish political discourse as a whole. The article primarily aims to demonstrate the synergy that can be created when amalgamating typical political approaches to manifesto research, and corpus driven, critical discourse analysis. Drawing from the 2011 general election manifestos of three political parties, it will firstly examine the discursive (re)construction of valence issues. Due to limitations, attention is focused on the core issue of the economy. Testing Budge’s Saliency Theory, which it employs as a theoretical underpinning, the research shall exhibit how parties differ in relating this valence issue to the electorate by creating both positive and negative semantic prosodies. The research shall then discuss how passivisation is discoursed in parties’ manifestos to delete responsibility and create political distance. The final section exhibits, by means of corpus analysis, the correlation between modality and power relations within political discourse. Heuristic in its goal, the essay serves as a polemic for the integration of corpusdriven critical discourse analysis into Irish political manifesto research. INTRODUCTION The subsequent research discusses the role of critical discourse analysis in manifesto research. Manifestos by their nature are imbued with modality and power. They are collections of words that relate policy on a top-down basis. Irish manifesto research has tended to be macro-analytical in nature—focusing on means of production (Dauebler 2012) or on their political significance—with a focus on texts at a sentential or quasi-sentential level being the deepest level of analysis (Dauebler et al. 2012) . Vogel and Gijsel (Vogel and Gijsel 2003) report on their success in the use of author identification techniques (at a morphemic level) in determining corpus homogeneity between right-wing parties in Europe. This, however, is an inherently linguistic endeavour, merely reflective of politics, not critical of it. 1 2 Following research of its kind undertaken in Britain, this article concentrates on the lexical level, undertaking an empirical corpus analysis of Irish political manifestos, with the aim of critiquing traditional approaches to manifesto research through critical discursive analytical techniques. Before commencing, it is first necessary for us to truly grasp what manifestos are, and the role they play in political discourse. As texts, manifestos act ambivalently. They are ephemeral, insofar as they are written with the intent of being utilised over the short span of an election campaign. Yet, they also hold relevance long after their respective elections have passed. They enable us to track political progress and change on certain issues and hold political entities to account. Whilst it is true that very few voters actually read an entire manifesto (Dauebler 2012: 53) (most encounter condensed policies in election material) they are still a political necessity for all parties—to not produce a manifesto would surely entail political disaster. Election material, such as leaflets and posters, tend to be short and snappy with the aim of quick consumption and lasting effect. Acting as the backbone of party-policy, manifestos, conversely, are linguistically ‘heavy’. That is to say they are detailed and wordy: making them far more suited to linguistic analysis. Much work has been done by academics in analysing manifestos. Most notable is without doubt The Manifesto Project/Manifesto Research on Political Representation (MARPOR). In its own words ‘MARPOR addresses the collection and the comparative content analysis of parties’ manifestos” (https://manifestoproject.wzb.eu/information/documents/information). It does so by amassing all the manifestos of parties throughout the world as a corpus. The project operates ‘under the assumption that parties compete against each other by emphasising different policy issues rather than taking opposing positions on the same issues.’ (Gemenis, 2013:1). This is an underpinning premise of what MARPOR’s founder, Professor Ian Budge coined as Saliency Theory. Saliency Theory argues that parties only differ in the 2 Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast emphasis they afford certain issues in their manifesto, and that they ultimately agree on the underlying, central issues at play. As Gemenis (2013: 4) writes “party competition is characterised by the prevalence of valence issues, that is, issues in which there is a broad agreement about the desired outcome”. Furthermore, Dolezeal et al. (2014: 60) note that parties emphasise issues that they have particular ownership of. In light of the above, we approach the task of analysing the 2011 Irish General Election manifestos with the aim of identifying how the predominant issues play out linguistically. It would be remiss to undertake any analysis of discourse without first offering exposition and contextualisation. Therefore, it is necessary to familiarise ourselves with the reality behind the discourse. EXPOSITION Hindsight, and election analysis carried out afterward, allows us to truly appreciate the extent to which the economy was at the heart of the 2011 election. The selected manifestos were created for an election that took place a mere three months after the nation received a bank bailout, after its banking system collapsed. As Marsh and Mikhaylov (2012: 1) noted, the 2011 General Election was an archetypal case of “‘economic voting’ in which a government is punished for incompetent performance.” Media and political discourse had, in the run up to the election, been saturated with economic discussion and debate. It comes therefore as no surprise to find concurrence amongst political scientists that “Irish general election was dominated by the economy” (Farrell et al. 2011: 1). Therefore, this article shall, firstly, seek to examine the manner in which each of the main parties’ manifestos relate the valence issue of the economy. It will do so by means of a corpus assisted critical discourse analysis, the methodology of which is explained below. 3 4 METHODOLOGY Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA) is preoccupied with the relation between language and power in society. It seeks to illuminate how language acts as the main conduit for social action, and how it is imbued with power. Writing on Critical Language Studies (the precursor to CDA), Norman Fairclough (1989: 2) wrote that the underlying aim of the work was to tackle widespread underestimation of how language influences power. ‘Ideology’ in Fairclough’s opinion ‘is pervasively present in language’ (2001: 2). He sought to increase the consciousness of how language leads to control in our day-to-day lives, and how societal institutions use discourse. Though written in the discipline’s infancy, CDA still is underpinned by the heuristic goal of illuminating the true nature of discourse. Van Dijk goes further stating that CDA should be used to ‘understand, expose and ultimately to resist social inequality.’(1998: 1) Wodak (2009: 10) offers a reasoning behind the choice to focus on language, stating that: “Power is central for understanding the dynamics and specifics of control (of action) in modern societies, but power remains mostly invisible. Linguistic manifestations are under investigation in CDA.” CDA, nowadays, acts as an umbrella term for a heterogeneous array of approaches to discourse analysis. This article will undertake a Corpus-Assisted Critical Discourse Analysis (CACDA), wherein it employs corpus linguistic techniques to further our investigation. The reasons for undertaking corpus-based research are manifold. Firstly, one of the most prevalent criticisms levelled against CDA is that it falls short of objectivity. Typical CDA is susceptible to what Wodak (2009: 11) refers to as ‘cherry-picking’ where the objects of study 4 Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast are selectively chosen to bolster certain arguments. This overly-qualitative methodology casts doubt upon the veracity of conclusions and reflectiveness of society in its findings. To combat this, it is necessary for us to introduce a more quantitative element to our research. This is where corpus-based techniques prove invaluable. Corpus approaches to discourse analysis allow analysts to dissect and view texts in a way not readily available to them without concordance software. Word frequencies, collocates and substantive data become available at the click of a button. Mautner (2009: 123) cites three reasons as to why corpus techniques can improve CDA: 1) Firstly, she notes how corpus linguistics enables discourse analysts to analyse much larger texts. 2) As mentioned above, corpus linguistics allows analysts to rule out ‘researcher bias’ and ‘broaden their empirical base.’ 3) Corpus linguistics affords CDA a means of bridging the gap between qualitative and quantitative research. (Although, it is also noteworthy, as Biber, Rippen and Conrad (1998: 4) note, that without both qualitative and quantitative methods, corpus linguistics would be inapt). DATA: The data analysed is comprise of the 2011 general election manifestos of three parties: namely, Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael and Labour. Each text is treated as its own corpus to ensure internal homogeneity. Each text was reduced to its plain text and saved in .txt file format. It was analysed for frequencies using AntConc concordance software. Frequency lists denote the most common Ngrams within a corpus. 5 6 ANALYSIS: Semantic Prosody of The Economy: Our first analytical endeavour will be to show how the economy manifests itself textually in each of the respective manifesto. We will do this by means of a simple corpus based analysis, wherein we produce frequency lists, and analyse the effect of collocated lexical items. Notions are reduced to words in manifestos, accordingly, in order to address how the parties treat the issue of the economy, we must narrow our focus to the word ‘economy’ and its variants (i.e words with the root ‘econom’) as well as other words that denote economic concepts. Throughout our study, we must keep in mind Firth’s guiding dictum: ‘You shall know a word by the company it keeps’ (Firth 1957:11). ‘Economy’ in and of itself connotes neither positively nor negatively. Its neutrality allows it to be heavily influenced by the words in its proximity. In what follows we seek to examine how the words that surround ‘economy’ in each respective manifesto, influence how it is perceived by the reader. This notion is what linguists refer to as Semantic Prosody (SP) (Louw 1993). It seeks to account for the manner in which the semantic colouring of words spread beyond their own boundaries. Zhang (2010: 191) notes that all words, when studied in relation to SP, act in a ‘mutually selectional relation.’ In terms of Critical Discourse Analysis, the choice of words that are utilised to semantically colour ‘economy’ are going to be influenced by the ideologies and goals of the text’s authors. Therefore, our analysis seeks to demonstrate how each party loads the word ‘economy’ with a semantic weighting that benefits their own political goals, and is reflective of their current political situation. Firstly, let us turn our attention toward the incumbent government party of the time, Fianna Fáil. ‘Economy’ appears in the most popular lexical items of the text, with a frequency of N=37. This seems to be in line with the other parties’ frequencies. ‘Economy’ is 6 Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast found either abutting or in the vicinity of mainly positive words, and many attributive adjectives, as is demonstrated by the figure below: The above examples reveal how adjectives such as ‘Green’, ‘Smart’, ‘open’, ‘flexible’ and ‘modern’ all ensure that the word ‘economy’ connotes positively to its reader. Little or no attention is paid to what is wrong with the economy in Fianna Fáil’s text. Instead attention is focused on aspects of it that are constructive or on the ways it could be better. ‘New’ (N=50) in the manifesto—when not talking about electoral reform—seems to exclusively dedicate its fifty appearances to positively connoting economic issues and job creation. The first section of Fianna Fail’s Manifesto is labelled ‘Reviving the Economy and Restoring Public Finances’. This title is in keeping with the position that Fianna Fail’s lexical items portray: one of restoration, revitalisation and amelioration. Fianna Fáil’s manifesto broaches the issue of the economy in an unambiguously positive fashion, affording it relative dominance of the text. As established in our exposition, Fianna Fáil were voted out of government as a result of their poor handling of the economy prior to the 2011 election. Prior to this, media discourse had ensured that, as Marsh and Mikhaylov (2012: 2) say, “the electorate as a whole was very conscious that there was an economic crisis and was convinced that the blame for this should be laid firmly at the government’s door”. 7 8 Fianna Fáil’s choice to represent the economy only in positive terms is indicative of them wanting to minimise the effects economic voting could have on them on election day. In contrast to Fianna Fail’s unilateral approach to the economy, ‘Economy’ and its various forms appear in two distinct semantic environments in the Fine Gael manifesto. On the one hand, it is portrayed negatively, predominantly in relation to ‘economic’, which is semantically influenced by the word that directly follows it. In the above examples ‘collapse’, ‘problems’, ‘difficulty’, ‘crisis’ and ‘exploitation’ all colour the preceding ‘economic’ with negativity. Yet simultaneously, ‘economic’ also sees the economy connoted positively within the Fine Gael manifesto: Here, as above, the connotations of the words directly following ‘economic’ influence the perception of the economy. However, in these sentences optimism and positivity are connoted. This positive connoting is particularly emphatic when one examines the use of the word ‘economy’. ‘Knowledge’, ‘thriving’, ‘roaring’ and ‘New’ all serve to denote the word in an affirmative light. 8 Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast A binary treatment of the economy also occurs in Labour’s manifesto wherein semantic environment is used to construct two distinct agendas. It appears in positive semantic environments, as in the following figure illustrates with regard to the word ‘economy’: At the same time, and similarly to Fine Gael, the Labour manifesto features ‘economic’ being negatively coloured by the word directly following it: This simultaneous, dualistic semantic handling of the economy in both Labour and Fine Gael’s manifesto is easily accounted for when one further examines the sentences in which both the negative and positive appear. Negative semantic prosody is created by collocates when referring to the past actions or the present economic turmoil. Positive semantic prosody is invoked in sentences that deal with the prospects of the future, and the potentiality for change that follows on from a change in government. Sentence position, too, offers an interesting insight into the creation of semantic prosodies, and how these can be indicative of ulterior motives. ‘Economy’ in the Fine Gael manifesto appears largely at the end of a sentence or a clause, and is typically separated from the following word by punctuation markings, thus enhancing its perceptive efficacy. Conversely, ‘economy’ in Fianna Fáil’s manifesto predominantly appears sentence-medially allowing it to be more influenced by other words, 9 and rendering it less pronounced. 10 A final, marked difference between parties’ depictions of the economy is how it is denoted in terms of ownership. Fianna Fáil typically chose to use the non-possessive determiner ‘the’ to precede ‘economy’. Expectedly, Fine Gael and Labour’s manifestos also feature the definite article determiner, but see very high frequencies of ‘Irish’ being used to precede ‘economy’. This difference in referential strategies is indicative of Fianna Fáil’s aim to create distance between themselves and the economy, and Fine Gael’s electoral goal to return the valence issue of the economy back to the Irish people: something that would prove highly popular amongst voters. What the above analysis exemplifies is the extent to which the tenets of Saliency Theory are either debunked or hold true under a lexical analysis. Parties treat the economy as a valence issue—and each of them afford it similar exposure in their manifestos, as demonstrated by the above frequency analysis. However, disparity is found in the semantic environments in which they relate it, this contradicting the claim that parties agree on valence issues. Passivisation: Passivisation is the act of turning a sentence from an active one (which consists of an subject 10 Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast performing something to an object), to a passive one (wherein the subject does not perform the verb). A convenient example of passivisation is turning the following active sentence: (1) ‘I (Where ‘I’ ate is Into the subject, the (2) the and ‘the pie’ following ‘The pie pie.’ is the passive was object). sentence: eaten by me’. (Where the object is now in the subject’s position, but is still subject to being eaten by me). This can (3) be shortened ‘The pie further to: was eaten.’ The laws of grammar and logic determine that we are able to passivise (1) à (3). We are, however, unable to passivise (3) à (1) as we have no subject present to form an active sentence. Hence, the action accredited for in (3) is void of agency. In terms of our present research, the choice to passivise a sentence can be ideologically charged. That is to say, it may be symptomatic of some underlying political reason for doing so. Social actors, as Van Leeuwen (1995: 2) notes, can be depicted textually as either active forces with agency, or as passive ones. Many notable linguists, most prominently Fowler (1991), have noted that passivisation can influence how a text conveys power relations. It achieves this by deleting agency and reifying processes (Billig 2008: 3). In what follows we identify how passive voice is utilised within our data-set manifestos, with the aim of illustrating how passivisation—like semantic prosody—can influence the efficacy of political discourse in communicating ideologies and political motives. Owing to limitations of space, we shall narrow our focus to an archetypal usage of passivisation to delete agency, found in Fianna (4) The Fáil’s revised CCMA was published manifesto: on the 6th of December… Here we see how no entity is given responsibility for publishing the Code of Conduct 11 12 Mortgage Arrears. An adjunct phrase—such as ‘by me’ as in sentence (2)—would be necessary to attribute the action to an agent. An active form of this sentence would take the following (5) X form: published the CCMA on the 6th of December… Here X, the agent, is in the subject position and takes full credit for the action. Activation of sentences is employed by political parties when they wish to promote actions that they have taken, and they feel will resonate with the voters. Passivisation, on to contrary, is used to create political distance from actions. Modality: In this essay’s first section we looked at how lexical items interplayed with each other to produce meaning. This is in line with the dominant trend in CDA, whereby lexical words (i.e open class words) are triumphed as more coherent objects of study than functional words (i.e closed class words), such as determiners, prepositions, modals etc. Pearse, however, has shown that this is not always the case. (Pearse 2014: 23) In his corpus study of a UK Elections Manifestos, he concludes that overlooking the functional class of words is grave error. He contends that the focus on lexically rich items, as endorsed by Mautner, is insufficient. Functional words serve to structure the texts we encounter at a phraseological level. As such, they structure the ideologies that are embedded in the texts. Whilst they lack a richness of meaning themselves, they dictate the manner in which other lexical items become textually manifest. Below, we will apply a series of corpus analytical measures, similar to those undertaken by Pearse, in an aim to better understand the use of modal ‘will’, one of the most frequently employed functional words in our corpora. The choice to study modals is not unmotivated. Rather, modal ‘will’ was chosen as it is inherently linked to the raison d’etre of a manifesto: 12 Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast Manifestos are a statement or a declaration of what a group or an entity intends to do, therefore a study of modality is appropriate. Levels of modality in manifestos can signal where a party stands in relation to the balance of power. Low use of the modal ‘will’ is suggestive of a party not expecting power, or indeed one that lacks intentions. In contrast, heightened use of ‘will’ is typically found in manifestos of parties expecting power, and with a wealth of intentions (quite typical of opposition parties, vying for more support). When found collocated with the verb ‘continue’, ‘will’ can demonstrate how a party in government wishes to carry on their in their position of power. The following table was compiled from the data produced by running our manifestos through AntConc corpus analysis toolkit for concordancing and text analysis. Frequency lists were produced, and concordance hits analysed. The figure next to the party’s name represents the total frequency of modal ‘will’ in each manifesto, with each column denoting the frequency of its four most common usages in each Fianna Fáil (199) Fine Gael (1160) Labour (816) ‘We will’ (34) ‘We will’ (493) ‘Labour will’ 306 ‘Ireland will’ (11) ‘Fine Gael will’ (196) ‘We will’ 60 ‘Fianna Fáil will’ (8) ‘Government will’ (36) ‘Labour in text. Government will’ 23 ‘This will’ (7) ‘This will’ (39) ‘This will’ 23 We see from this table that the government’s usage of ‘will’ pales in comparison to those of the opposition parties. Fianna Fáil use the sentence initial ‘we will’ a mere 34 times, in comparison to Fine Gael’s 493. Employing ‘We will’ in a sentence/clause initial position is an effective rhetorical device (anaphora). (Pearse 2014: 28) Also, the usage of sentence initial 13 14 ‘we will’ can be ambiguous as to whether it refers to the party using it, or the readership as a whole—thus increasing the inclusivity of the text. Labour chose a different approach, choosing to use their party name instead of ‘we’. This referential strategy is also exhibited in the less frequent ‘Labour in Government will’. Conclusion: In concluding, we shall outline what is deducible from the above analyses, before finishing with a few words on CDA’s role in analysing political discourse. The first section tested the veracity of claims laid out by ST. It revealed that each party held the economy to be a valence issue, and that congruence was found in exposure afforded to it. Where each party differs, however, is in the angle it approaches it from and the semantic environment it builds around it. These differences are revealing of ulterior political motives and the reality behind the discourse. We have also learned of how neutral words that denote key political concepts, such as ‘economy’ and ‘economic’, are susceptible to both positive and negative semantic prosodies. Through the second section’s exemplification, we have shown how social actors discursively create distance between themselves and actions, by using passivisation. The importance of detecting this feature when examining manifestos is made evident from the author’s ability to delete agency from contentious actions of the past. The final section has established the inherent link between political power and linguistic modality. Through analysing the corpus, the article demonstrated the high correlation between the usage of modal ‘will’ and expectancy of political success. Above all else, the essay has aimed to raise consciousness of the effect language has in political discourse—both subliminally and explicitly. It has exemplified how the integration of CDA, both corpus-driven and qualitative, can be beneficial to Irish manifesto research. Yet 14 Stephen Goulding, Queen’s University Belfast the boundaries for such integration should not be set at manifestos as many other political texts are appropriate for linguistic analysis. Election material, political speeches and Dáil transcripts all present analysts with discursive texts that are lexically infused with power and are of intrinsic importance to Irish politics. A myriad of data exists, waiting to be analysed. All that is required to access it is a shift in focus to lexicality, and a willingness to embrace something that is too often taken for granted: the power of words. Bibliography Biber, D., Conrad, S., & Reppen, R. (1998). Corpus Linguistics. Cambridge: CUP. Billig, M. (2008). 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