Copyright © 2015
Social Weather Stations
The 2015
SWS Survey Review
The 2015 Survey Review is based on the regular
quarterly national SWS Surveys in March, June,
September, and December 2014.
SWS gratefully acknowledges its sponsors and
subscribers, and its media partner BusinessWorld,
who believe in the importance of openly-disclosed
social surveys in a democratic society.
Mahar Mangahas
21 January 2014
Asian Institute of Management
Makati City
The 2015 SWS Survey Review
The Social Weather
Surveys of 2014
Date
Coverage
Mar 27-30
Jun 27-30
Sep 26-29
Nov 27-Dec 1
National
National
National
National
By long tradition, the Pope
of Rome is highly trusted
by Filipinos – and more so
after visiting the Philippines
Sample size Population
1,200
1,200
1,200
1,800
Adults
Adults
Adults
Adults
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TRUST IN POPE FRANCIS, SEP 2013 AND DEC 2014
Sep 2013
% of adults
70
50
6
6
12
Dec 2014
12
6
7
13
46
+59
+59
4
NET TRUST RATING* OF POPE JOHN PAUL II, POPE
BENEDICT AND POPE FRANCIS, DEC 1994 TO DEC 2014
Very little
Somewhat little
Undecided
Pope
John Paul II
Pope
Benedict
Pope
Francis
+90
+65
Somewhat much
+72
+58
+62
+58
+59
+59
+50
72
71
40
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+70
26
31
30
12
2
+30
Very much
10
+10
Net *
Dec 1994
Apr 1995 Dec 2003
M ar 2005 M ay 2005 Sep 2013
Dec 2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and
Refused responses.
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and
Refused responses.
Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay POPE FRANCIS ay NAPAKALAKI,
MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA
KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay POPE FRANCIS?
Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay (name) ay NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO
MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG
NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay (name)?
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Social Weather Stations
NATIONAL GOVERNANCE
+70 AND UP
+50 TO +69
+30 TO +49
+10 TO +29
-9 TO +9
-10 TO -29
-30 TO -49
-50 TO -69
-70 AND BELOW
The quality of national
governance in 2014 was
quite decent.
ESTRADA
ARROYO
8
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NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF VICE-PRESIDENTS,
OCT 1986 – DEC 2014
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS,
PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO DEC 2014
RAMOS
EX for EXCELLENT
VG for VERY GOOD
G for GOOD
M for MODERATE
N for NEUTRAL
P for POOR
B for BAD
VB for VERY BAD
EXECRABLE
7
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C. AQUINO
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
C. AQUINO
B. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Binay
+70
+70
+50
+39
+30
Net Satisfaction
+50
+44
G
+10
Estrada
+30
G
Guingona
-10
Net Satisfaction
+10
Laurel
-30
De Castro
Arroyo
-10
-50
1986
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
1986
* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded.
The 2015 SWS Survey Review
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
2004
2010
2014
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C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
+80
Enrile
Net Satisfaction
Fernan
Maceda
+60
Drilon
Villar
Mitra
+40
Villar
Ople
Gonzales
Gonzales
De Venecia
Drilon
+50
+30
2001
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SPEAKERS OF
THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, FEB 1990 TO DEC 2014
Net Satisfaction
Gonzales
+70
Salonga
Angara
1998
9
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SENATE PRESIDENTS,
APR 1990 TO DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
1992
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys.
De Venecia
Drilon
+28
Pimentel
+11
M
+10
Belmonte
+20
-10
Nograles
Fuentebella
0
M
-20
1990 1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
1990 1992
2014
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1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
11
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Social Weather Stations
NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF CHIEF JUSTICES
OF THE SUPREME COURT, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net Satisfaction
+70
Teehankee
+50
Narvasa
Fernan
Davide
Panganiban
+30
The people’s satisfaction with
the performance of key
institutions is Moderate
Carpio**
Sereno
Puno
+10
+11
M
-10
-30
Corona
-50
1986
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
** As Acting Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of the Philippines.
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NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SENATE
AND HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
14
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NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SUPREME COURT
AND THE CABINET AS A WHOLE, NOV 1990 TO DEC 2014
B. AQUINO
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
+70
+70
Net Satisfaction
Net Satisfaction
M
+50
M
+50
Supreme
Court
Senate
+30
+30
+26
+26
+20
House
of Rep.
+10
+9
+10
Cabinet
M
-10
-10
1988
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
N
1990 1992
2014
* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. (Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys).
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys.
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE
OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, FEB 1989 – DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
+70
+50
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+34
+30
G
+10
-10
Report Card on governance:
The overall grade, and the
grades in the great majority
of subjects rated in 2014 are
Good
-30
-50
1986
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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Social Weather Stations
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
SPECIFIC ISSUES, MAR 2014 – DEC 2014 (Page 1 of 2)
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
SPECIFIC ISSUES, MAR 2014 – DEC 2014 (Page 2 of 2)
Mar Jun Sep Dec
+45 +29 +35 +34 Good
Overall performance rating
Providing basic elem. and HS education
+63
Helping victims of disasters
Protecting the environment
Transparency in govt. activities
Developing science and technology
Defending the country's territorial rights
Providing enough supply of electricity
Promoting the welfare of OFWs
Ensuring an efficient transportation system
Foreign relations
Helping the poor
Preparing for climate change
+60
Very
Good
+52 +42
+46
+43
+42
+44 +43 +42 +40
+45 +41 +38
+44 +42 +39 +38
+36
+44 +41 +43 +33
+55 +39 +44 +33
+41 +31
Good
(11)
Mar Jun Sep Dec
Reconciliation with Communist rebels
Providing jobs
Reconciliation with Muslim rebels
Fighting terrorism
Tax collection
+34
+30
+38
+27
+28
+21
+27
+23
+17
+17 Mode+15 rate
+15 (5)
Eradicating graft and corruption
Fighting crimes
Ensuring oil firms don’t take
advantage of oil prices
Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry
+14 +12 +14
+22 +13 +14
+6 Neu+5 tral (4)
-3
+7
-19
-9
-7
-5
4
-18
-7
-12 Poor (1)
-41
-44
-36
-41 Bad (1)
Fighting inflation
Resolving the Maguindanao massacre
case with justice
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
+17
+20
+22
+21
+13
-8
-9
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NET SATISFACTION* WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
HELPING VICTIMS OF DISASTERS, DEC 1992 – DEC 2014
RAMOS
The best subject in the Report
Card is “helping victims of
disasters”
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+70
+50
+42
G
+30
+10
-10
-30
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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HOPE THAT AREAS DAMAGED BY TYPHOON YOLANDA CAN FULLY
RECOVER, BY AREA, DEC 2013 AND SEP 2014
Very
hopeful
Hope for recovery from
Yolanda remains high;
confidence in governmental
ability to cope with another
super-typhoon is strong.
Somewhat
hopeful
68
Dec 2013
PH
Sep 2014
60
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Dec 2013
Visayas
Mindanao
61
28
57
6 2
35
67
Dec 2013
Luzon
33
64
Dec 2013
NCR
Somewhat Not hopeful
not hopeful
at all
27
32
54
5 3
28
31
26
23
39
7 0.3
69
Sep 2014
74
19
Dec 2013
72
25
Sep 2014
62
31
4 3
22
42
*Net figures (% Hopeful minus % Not hopeful) correctly rounded.
Q: Kayo po ba ay (TALAGANG UMAASA, MEDYO UMAASA, MEDYO HINDI UMAASA, TALAGANG HINDI UMAASA)
na lubusang makakabangon ang mga lugar na nasalanta ng Bagyong Yolanda sa trahedya na kanilang sinapit?
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Social Weather Stations
CONFIDENCE IN GOVERNMENT’S ABILITY TO RESPOND
IN CASE OF A TYPHOON AS STRONG AS YOLANDA,
TOTAL PH, DEC 2014
NUMBER OF YEARS BEFORE AREAS DAMAGED BY TYPHOON
YOLANDA CAN FULLY RECOVER, BY AREA, DEC 2013 AND SEP 2014
1-2 yrs
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
Sep 2014
36
Sep 2014
20
20
Sep 2014
20
42
23
35
22
26
Somewhat
little
confidence
Very little
confidence
44
Barangay Government
20
41
National Government
17
Provincial Government
16
26
24
44
27
11
14
12
10
15
25
33
19
14
30
30
City/Municipal Government
16
28
40
8
15
17
37
Dec 2013
Mindanao
20
21
29
Somewhat
much
confidence
16
28
46
Very much
confidence
12
26
44
18
Dec 2013
Visayas
20
38
Dec 2013
Luzon
5-6 yrs 7+ yrs
30
20
Dec 2013
NCR
3-4 yrs
36
Dec 2013
PH
9
10
42
30
29
50
70
13
90
% of adults
19
Q78-81. Gaano kalaki o kaliit ang kumpiyansa ninyo sa kakayahan ng (institusyon) na tumugon sa
pangangailangan ng mga mamamayan kung sakaling magkaroon muli ng isang bagyong kasinglakas ng Yolanda? Kayo ba ay may NAPAKALAKING KUMPIYANSA, MEDYO MALAKING
KUMPIYANSA, MEDYO MALIIT NA KUMPIYANSA O NAPAKALIIT NA KUMPIYANSA?
Q: Sa inyong palagay, mga gaano katagal pa bago lubusang makabangon ang mga lugar na nasalanta ng
Bagyong Yolanda? (1-2 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo, 3-4 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo, 5-6 taon pagkalipas ng bagyo,
7 taon o higit pa pagkalipas ng bagyo)
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, SEP 1992 – DEC 2014
RAMOS
Satisfaction with national
administration performance in
foreign relations and in
defending the country’s
territorial rights is Good.
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
+50 Net*
Satisfaction
+33
+30
G
+10
-10
-30
1992
1998
2001
.
2004
2010
.
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON DEFENDING THE COUNTRY’S TERRITORIAL RIGHTS,
MAR 1999 – DEC 2014
ESTRADA
+50
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+40
G
+30
+10
-10
The public supports
government moves regarding
China in the Scarborough
Shoal, despite many worried
about armed conflict
-30
1999
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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Social Weather Stations
OPINION ON GOVERNMENT’S ACTIONS REGARDING THE
TENSION IN THE SCARBOROUGH SHOAL, JUN 2014
WORRY ABOUT ARMED CONFLICT WITH CHINA IN
DISPUTED ISLANDS IN SCARBOROUGH SHOAL, JUN 2014
Not enough knowledge
Not worried at all
Strongly disapprove
Strongly approve
Not too worried
5
Somewhat
disapprove
22
9
% of adults
% of adults
12
21
4
52
Worried a great deal
35
Somewhat worried
40
Somewhat approve
Q119. Sa pangkalahatan, sumasang-ayon po ba kayo o hindi sumasang-ayon sa ikinikilos ng ating gobyerno ukol sa
tensyon sa pagitan ng China at Pilipinas sa Scarborough Shoal? (SHOWCARD) (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO
SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON)
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Q120. Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng armadong labanan sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at China dahil sa mga pinagaawayang mga islang ito sa Scarborough Shoal? Kayo po ba ay… (SHOWCARD) (TALAGANG NABABAHALA, MEDYO
NABABAHALA, MEDYO HINDI NABABAHALA, TALAGANG HINDI NABABAHALA)?
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
PROMOTING WELFARE OF OFW’S, MAR 2000 – DEC 2014
ESTRADA
+50
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+39
G
+30
+10
The people’s grade for helping
the poor is still Good, though
not as high as at the start of
the honeymoon
-10
-30
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON HELPING THE POOR, DEC 1993 – DEC 2014
RAMOS
+70
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+50
+33
+30
G
+10
-10
-30
1993
1998
.
2001
.
2004
2010
..
2014
After falling, with several
bumps, in 1990-2003, Selfrated Poverty fluctuated, and
now is still about the same as
in 2004, after having lost
ground to super-typhoon
Yolanda in late 2013.
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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Social Weather Stations
SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”,
PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2014
MARCOS
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
B. AQUINO
70
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
B. AQUINO
52%
50
NSCB “Unrefined” Poverty*
% of families
Self-Rated Food Poverty
50
41%
30
30
Official (NSCB) Food
Poverty Incidence*, 2009
NSCB “Refined” Poverty, 2013 19%
11%
10
10
1983
1986
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2015
1988
Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor)
*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.
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1992
RAMOS
ESTRADA
2001
37
2004
2010
2015
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SELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY AND FAMILIES WHO EXPERIENCED HUNGER
SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES “MAHIRAP”,
BY AREA, JUL 1985 TO DEC 2014
MARCOS C. AQUINO
1998
Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your family on this card? (Not poor, On the line,
Poor).
Hunger Question: In the last three months, did it happen even once that your family experienced hunger and not have anything to eat? (Yes, No).
*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official food poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.
Chart: SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”
ARROYO
SELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY: FAMILIES WHOSE
FOOD IS “MAHIRAP”, BY AREA, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
B. AQUINO
90
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
90
70
Visayas 65%
Mindanao 60%
50
Bal. Luzon 45%
NCR 43%
30
% of families
% of families
ARROYO
Self-Rated Poverty
70
% of families
ARROYO
SELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY: FAMILIES WHOSE FOOD IS
“MAHIRAP”, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2014
70
Mindanao 52%
Visayas 51%
50
Bal. Luzon 37%
30
NCR 24%
10
10
1986
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2015
1988
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1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your family
on this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor).
Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor)
39
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Chart: SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”, By Location
NET SATISFACTION* WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON PROVIDING JOBS, NOV 1998 – DEC 2014
ESTRADA
The people’s grades for admin
performance in providing jobs,
reconciling with Muslim and
Communist rebel groups, and
fighting terrorism are
Moderate.
+50
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+30
+17
+10
M
-10
-30
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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Social Weather Stations
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL
ADMINISTRATION ON RECONCILIATION WITH
MUSLIM REBELS, SEP 1998 – DEC 2014
ESTRADA
ARROYO
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON
RECONCILIATION WITH COMMUNIST REBELS,
SEP 1998 – DEC 2014
ESTRADA
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+50
+50
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+30
+30
+17
+15
+10
+10
M
M
-10
-10
-30
-30
1998
2001
2004
2010
1998
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FIGHTING TERRORISM, NOV 2002 – DEC 2014
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+50
+30
+15
M
+10
The people’s grade for fighting
corruption (Neutral +6) has
stayed positive since 2010
-10
-30
2002
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL
ADMINISTRATION ON ERADICATING GRAFT AND
CORRUPTION, MAR 1987 – DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
+70
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+50
+30
+10
+6
-10
N
-30
1987
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
THE PORK BARREL SCAM:
Two-thirds believe the
allegations against the three
detained Senators; opinions
about the handling of the
Napoles case range from
favorable to neutral
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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Social Weather Stations
BELIEVABILITY OF ALLEGATIONS AGAINST PERSONS IN
THE PORK BARREL SCAM, JUN 2014
Definitely
True
Somewhat
True
Und.
Opinions about the Janet Lim Napoles case:
Definitely/ Don’t
Somewhat know
not true
Net*
+57
+61
+56
+9
+8
0
+5
-4
-6
-16
-13
* Net figures (% Definitely/ somewhat true minus % Somewhat/ definitely not true) correctly rounded.
No Answer and Refused responses are not shown.
Narito po ang ilang mga personalidad na di-umano’y nakinabang sa “pork barrel scam” ni Janet Lim Napoles.
Sa inyong palagay, ang mga akusasyon po bang ito ay TALAGANG TOTOO, MALAMANG NA TOTOO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG
TOTOO O HINDI, MALAMANG NA HINDI TOTOO, TALAGANG HINDI TOTOO, O WALA PO KAYONG SAPAT NA
KAALAMAN UPANG MAKAPAGBIGAY NG OPINYON TUNGKOL DITO?
The 2015 SWS Survey Review
1. 64% say the case is moving too slowly
2. 66% say the govt. is treating the case fairly,
neither pro- nor anti-Napoles
3. 74% want Napoles put in a regular prison
4. 40% are satisfied, 44% are dissatisfied with
govt. actions to resolve the case
5. 65% are hopeful that all those involved in the
case will be punished
6. 52% believe, but 26% do not believe, that the
P-Noy admin will file charges against allies
involved
49
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FIGHTING CRIMES, NOV 1990 – DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
The grade on fighting crime
has stayed positive (now at
Neutral +5) since 2010, but
is flagging
+50
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+30
+10
+5
N
+-10
+-30
1990 1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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CRIME VICTIMIZATION OF ANY FAMILY MEMBER WITHIN THE
PAST 6 MONTHS: PHILIPPINES, 1989 TO 2014
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
20%
PUBLIC SAFETY: Victimization
by crime is declining slightly,
but feelings of neighborhoodinsecurity are rising
15%
10%
Pickpocket/
Robbery,
5.5%
5%
Break-in, 2.6%
Physical
violence, 1.2%
Carnap, 0.9%
0%
*'89*'90*'91*'92*'93*'94*'95*'96*'97*'98*'99*'00*'01*'02*'03*'04*'05*'06*'07*'08*'09*'10*'11*'12*'13*'14*'15*
Question. Nais po naming malaman ang karanasan ninyo at ng iba pang miyembro ng inyong pamilyang nakatira dito, tungkol sa
krimen. Kayo po ba o kahit na sinong miyembro ng inyong pamilya ay naging biktima ng… (SHUFFLE CARDS)?
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Social Weather Stations
INSECURITY IN NEIGHBORHOODS, 1985 TO 2014
MARCOS C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
There has been weakening of
grades on fighting oil prices
(Neutral -8) and fighting
inflation (Poor -12)
70
% FEARFUL
Fear of burglary
60
60%
50
52%
51%
40
Many drug addicts
Streets unsafe at night
30
20
'85*'86*'87*'88*'89*'90*'91*'92*'93*'94*'95*'96*'97*'98*'99*'00*'01*'02*'03*'04*'05*'06*'07*'08*'09*'10*'11*'12*'13*'14*'15*
Percentage of those who agree with the statement "In this neighborhood, ...
* “people are usually afraid that robbers might break into their houses.”;
** “people are usually afraid to walk in the streets at night because it is not safe.”;
*** “there are already very many people addicted to banned drugs.”
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON ENSURING THAT OIL FIRMS DON'T TAKE ADVANTAGE OF
OIL PRICES, JUN 2011 – DEC 2014
NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION
ON FIGHTING INFLATION, NOV 1991 – DEC 2014
C. AQUINO
B. AQUINO
+50
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+50
Net*
Satisfaction
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+30
+30
+10
+10
-12
P
-10
-8
-10
-30
N
-30
-50
*
2011
*
2012
*
2013
*
2014
*
1992
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1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
57
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL
ADMINISTRATION ON ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY
WILL BE HUNGRY, DEC 2004 – DEC 2014
ARROYO
The grade on fighting hunger
is weak (Neutral -9).
But Self-reported Hunger
might be getting over the
hump
+50
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+30
+10
-9
-10
N
-30
2004 * 2005 * 2006 * 2007 * 2008 * 2009 * 2010 * 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 *
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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Social Weather Stations
DEGREE OF HUNGER IN HOUSEHOLDS,
PHILIPPINES: JUL 1998 TO DEC 2014
ARROYO
ESTRADA
IS HUNGER GETTING OVER THE HUMP?
AQUINO
% of households
Total Hunger
Annual average %
of households
20
20
17.2%
16.7
15
10.8 11.4
11.0
10
8.3
7.0
5
4.1%
6.2 7.3
2001
2004
2010
12.6 14.4
19.919.9 19.5
18.3
Total
Hunger
14.6 15.1
Moderate
15.816.115.6 15.9
14.8 Hunger
11.0
7.6
7.0 8.7
5.5
4.6 4.2
4.1
2.6
1998
11.8
10.1
5.8
5
Severe
19.119.1
14.3
15
13.2%
Moderate
10
17.9 18.5
2.5
2014
3.0 3.0
Severe
4.3
4.0 3.4 4.0 4.0
3.6 3.5
3.3 3.7
Hunger
1.5
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown.
Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala
kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?
The 2015 SWS Survey Review
Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown.
Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala
kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?
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NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NAT. ADMINISTRATION ON
RESOLVING THE MAGUINDANAO MASSACRE WITH JUSTICE,
DEC 2009 – DEC 2014
ARROYO
+50
The grade on resolving the
Maguindanao massacre
remains Bad
B. AQUINO
Net*
Satisfaction
+30
+10
-10
-30
-41
-50
B
*
2009
*
2010
*
2011
*
2012
*
2013
*
2014
*
* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.
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STEADY HOPE FOR A PEACE AGREEMENT BETWEEN GOP
AND MILF, PHILIPPINES, JUN 2011 – MAR 2014
Hope of a peace agreement
between the GPH and the MILF
is strong, though many expect it
after 2016.
Most approve the Framework
Agreement on the Bangsamoro,
despite knowing little about it.
Jun 2011
Sep 2011
Dec 2011
38
Aug 2012
26
Mar 2013
Mar 2014
33
15
24
14
17
23
23
38
14
22
39
38
42
11
10
14
42
32
14
37
37
28
9
15
39
41
Dec 2012
8
45
29
May 2012
Jun 2013
Sep 2013
45
26
26
21
Mar 2012
Not
Somewhat Hopeful
not hopeful at all
Somewhat
hopeful
Very hopeful
36
43
10
13
11
11
16
12
12
Q. Kayo po ba ay… (TALAGANG UMAASA, MEDYO UMAASA, MEDYO HINDI UMAASA, TALAGANG HINDI
UMAASA) na magkakaroon pa ng kasunduang pang-kapayapaan sa pagitan ng pamahalaan at ng mga rebeldeng
Moro Islamic Liberation Front o MILF?
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Social Weather Stations
NATIONWIDE APPROVAL OF THE FRAMEWORK
AGREEMENT ON THE BANGSAMORO (FAB), 2012 AND 2014
EXPECTED YEAR OF REACHING A PEACE AGREEMENT
BETWEEN GOP AND MILF, BY AREA, MAR 2014
Approve
In 20142016
In 20162022
27
Philippines
In the near
future
27
25
Not
ever
Dec 12
22
24
30
Disapprove
Net*
+22
23
Philippines
Mar 14
20
Dec 12
34
Mindanao
Undecided
45
49
53
18
+26
23
+24
29
Mindanao
20
56
Mar 14
Q.
Sa inyong palagay, kailan kaya magkakaroon ng kasunduang pangkapayapaan ang Moro Islamic Liberation
Front o MILF at ang gobyerno? (SHOWCARD) SA 2014-2016 HABANG PANGULO PA SI PANG. NOYNOY AQUINO,
SA PANAHON NG SUSUNOD NA ADMINISTRASYON, 2016-2022, SA NALALAPIT NA HINAHARAP, HINDI
KAILANMAN
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18
+30
26
*Net figures (% Approve minus % Disapprove) correctly rounded.
Q: Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa pinirmahang paunang kasunduan o Framework Agreement on the
Bangsamoro sa pagitan ng gobyerno at ng Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF)? (SHOWCARD)
67
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THE LIMITED KNOWLEDGE OF THE FRAMEWORK
AGREEMENT ON THE BANGSAMORO (FAB), 2012 AND 2014
Extensive
Dec 12
5
Mar 14
6
Dec 12
4
Partial but
sufficient
Only a little
20
Almost none
42
The Ebola virus: Public
feelings are similar to those in
previous scares of viral
infection
32
Philippines
21
27
45
52
19
24
Mindanao
Mar 14
9
29
44
18
Q: Noong nakaraang Oktubre 15, 2012 pinirmahan ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas at ng Moro Islamic Liberation Front o MILF ang
paunang kasundang pangkapayapaan o ang Framework Agreement on the Bangsamoro na kung saan naglalayon ng isang mas
pinalawak na lugar ng awtonomiya na tatawaging Bangsamoro. Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman tungkol sa
paunang kasundang ito o ang Framework Agreement on the Bangsamoro? Kayo po ba ay may… (SHOWCARD) na kaalaman?
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Extensive knowledge
“Malawak ang kaalaman”
Base: Total Aware of Ebola Virus, 73%
Not worried at all
“Talagang hindi nababahala”
6%
27%
70
“HOW WORRIED ARE YOU THAT YOU OR SOMEONE IN
YOUR IMMEDIATE FAMILY MIGHT CATCH THE EBOLA
VIRUS?” SEP 2014
EXTENT OF KNOWLEDGE OF THE EBOLA VIRUS,
PHILIPPINES, SEP 2014
No knowledge
“Walang kaalaman”
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23%
Adequate knowledge
“Sapat ang kaalaman”
Not worried too much
“Medyo hindi nababahala”
5%
13%
49%
Worried a great deal
“Lubos na nababahala”
44%
Somewhat worried
“Medyo nababahala “
A little knowledge
“Bahagya ang
kaalaman”
Q: Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman tungkol sa Ebola Virus? (SHOWCARD) [Malawak ang kaalaman , Sapat ang kaalam an, Bahagya
ang kaalaman, Walang kaalaman ]
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33%
Q:Gaano po kayo nababahala na kayo o sino man sa inyong pamilya ay makakuha ng Ebola virus? Kayo po ba ay (SHOWCARD)? [Lubos na
nababahala, Medyo nababahala , Medyo hindi nababahala , Talagang hindi nababahala ]
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Social Weather Stations
WORRY OF CATCHING VIRAL INFECTIONS, 2003 - 2014
Worried
a great deal
Ebola virus (2014)a
49
A(H1N1) swine flu
(2009)b
33
13
26
48
SARS (2003)b
b
Not worried Not at all
too much worried
56
Bird flu (2006)b
a
Somewhat
worried
10
35
54
8
11
24
10
PUBLIC MORALE
CONTINUES TO BE
VERY HIGH
5
6
4
Among the 73% with at least Little knowledge of the Ebola virus
Among all adults
73
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EXPECTED CHANGE IN THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY,
SEP 1998 TO DEC 2014
EXPECTED CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE IN NEXT 12 MONTHS,
APR 1984 TO DEC 2014
MARCOS
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
74
B. AQUINO III
ESTRADA
ARROYO
AQUINO
% of adults
70
% of adults
50
50
OPTIMISTS
41%
31% it will
improve
30
30
15% it will
deteriorate
10
10
PESSIMISTS
1984 1986
1992
1998
2001
2004
6%
2010
1998
2014
Question. Sa inyong opinyon, ano ang magiging uri ng inyong pamumuhay sa darating na 12 buwan?
Masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]?
Optimists : “Bubuti” Pessimists: “Sasama”
2001
2004
2010
2014
Question. Sa darating na 12 buwan, ano sa palagay ninyo ang mangyayari sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas?
Masasabi ba ninyo na ito ay... [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]?
First Quarter 2014 Social Weather Report
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March 27-30, 2014 National Survey
CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE OVER PAST 12 MONTHS,
APR 1983 TO DEC 2014
MARCOS
C. AQUINO
RAMOS
ESTRADA
ARROYO
B. AQUINO
% of adults
70
LOSERS
50
30%
29%
30
Polling on up to 3 “BEST
LEADERS TO SUCCEED PNOY” – the SWS 2016
election-race watch starts
GAINERS
10
1983
1986
1992
1998
2001
2004
2010
2014
Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na
ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA
NGAYON KAYSA NOON]
Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon”
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Social Weather Stations
BEST LEADERS TO SUCCEED PRES. NOYNOY AQUINO
IN 2016, PH, DEC 2014 (Open-ended; up to 3 names allowed)
Jejomar Binay
Grace Poe
Mar Roxas
Miriam Defensor-Santiago
Chiz Escudero
Joseph Estrada
Rodrigo Duterte
Antonio Trillanes IV
Bongbong Marcos
Alan Peter Cayetano
Manny Villar
Bong Revilla Jr.
Panfilo 'Ping' Lacson
37%
21
19
10
9
9
5
5
3
3
2
2
2
Loren Legarda
Franklin Drilon
Francis 'Kiko' Pangilinan
Manny Pacquiao
Others (below 0.5%)
None
Don't know/Refused
1%
1
1
1
5
8
15
But bear in mind the
experience of 2007-09 -many changes can happen
Note: Responses below 0.5% are not shown.
Q15. Ayon sa Konstitusyon, ang termino ni Pang. Noynoy Aquino ay hanggang sa taong 2016 lamang at
magkakaroon ng halalan para sa pagka-pangulo sa Mayo 2016. Sinu-sino sa palagay ninyo ang mga
magagaling na lider na dapat pumalit kay Pang. Aquino bilang Presidente? Maaari po kayong magbanggit
ng hanggang tatlong sagot.
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FLASHBACK, 2007-2009: (OPEN-ENDED) NAME UP TO
THREE BEST SUCCESSORS OF PRES. ARROYO IN 2010
3. Villar
2. De Castro
Estrada
Lacson
Escudero
Roxas
Teodoro
Fernando
Gordon
Binay
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SUMMARY-1
4. Aquino III
1. Legarda
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• Pope Francis is highly trusted, like earlier
Popes.
• The quality of national governance has been
quite decent.
• Grades of the admin are Good in most subjects,
especially “helping victims of disasters.”
• The government has strong public support on
its policies relating to China.
• Poverty, having lost some ground to Yolanda, is
still roughly the same as in 2004; hunger may
be getting over the hump.
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SUMMARY-2
SUMMARY-3
• The admin’s grade for fighting corruption has
been consistently positive since 2010; this rarely
happened in previous admins.
• The pork barrel scam: two-thirds believe the
allegations against the detained Senators.
• Believers that the admin. will file pork barrel
charges against its allies are 2X the unbelievers.
• The admin’s worst grade is in resolving the
Maguindanao massacre case: Bad.
• Crime victimization is declining slightly; but
feelings of neighborhood insecurity are rising.
• Most people approve the Framework Agreement
on the Bangsamoro; optimism for peace is
strong.
• Ebola is like earlier health scares – 1/2 are very
worried; but 3/4 know hardly anything about it.
• Public morale is very high, like it has been ever
since 2010.
• The SWS 2016 election-watch is newly started;
the lesson from the 2010 election-watch is that
many changes can still happen.
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Social Weather Stations
The SWS
Annual Survey
Reviews
2015 Edition
containing the full presentations of
the SWS Survey Reviews from
2001 to 2015 is available in CDROM at the SWS Survey Data
Archives and Library.
Inquire with Leo Laroza
<[email protected]>
at 924-4456 or 924-4458.
www.sws.org.ph
#52 Malingap Street,
Sikatuna Village, Quezon City
Tels: 926-4308, 924-4456, 924-4458, 924-4465
E-mail: [email protected]
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