QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/qj.70 Föhn in the Rhine Valley during MAP: A review of its multiscale dynamics in complex valley geometry Philippe Drobinski,a* Reinhold Steinacker,b Hans Richner,c Kathrin Baumann-Stanzer,d Guillaume Beffrey,e Bruno Benech,f Heinz Berger,g Barbara Chimani,b Alain Dabas,e Manfred Dorninger,b Bruno Dürr,h Cyrille Flamant,a Max Frioud,i Markus Furger,j Inga Gröhn,b Stefan Gubser,c Thomas Gutermann,h Christian Häberli,b,h Esther Häller-Scharnhost,c,h Geneviève Jaubert,e Marie Lothon,f Valentin Mitev,i Ulrike Pechinger,d Martin Piringer,d Matthias Ratheiser,b Dominique Ruffieux,g Gabriela Seiz,k Manfred Spatzierer,b Simon Tschannett,b Siegfried Vogt,l Richard Wernerm and Günther Zängln a Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, Service d’Aéronomie, Paris, France Department of Meteorology and Geophysics, University of Vienna, Austria c Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland d Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Vienna, Austria e Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Météo-France, Toulouse, France f Laboratoire d’Aérologie, Toulouse, France g MeteoSwiss, Payerne, Switzerland h MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland i Observatoire de Neuchâtel, Switzerland j Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen, Switzerland k Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry, ETH Zurich, Switzerland Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Germany m Umweltinstitut des Landes Vorarlberg, Austria n Meteorologisches Institut der Universität München, Germany b l ABSTRACT: This paper summarizes the findings of seven years of research on föhn conducted within the project ‘Föhn in the Rhine Valley during MAP’ (FORM) of the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP). It starts with a brief historical review of föhn research in the Alps, reaching back to the middle of the 19th century. Afterwards, it provides an overview of the experimental and numerical challenges identified before the MAP field experiment and summarizes the key findings made during MAP in observation, simulation and theory. We specifically address the role of the upstream and cross-Alpine flow structure on föhn at a local scale and the processes driving föhn propagation in the Rhine Valley. The crucial importance of interactions between the föhn and cold-air pools frequently filling the lower Rhine Valley is highlighted. In addition, the dynamics of a low-level flow splitting occurring at a valley bifurcation between the Rhine Valley and the Seez Valley are examined. The advances in numerical modelling and forecasting of föhn events in the Rhine Valley are also underlined. Finally, we discuss the main differences between föhn dynamics in the Rhine Valley area and in the Wipp/Inn Valley region and point out some open research questions needing further investigation. Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society KEY WORDS orographic flow; valley flow; cold-air pools Received 14 February 2006; Revised 2 November 2006; Accepted 3 November 2006 1. Some highlights and controversies from Alpine föhn studies since 1850 Föhn is a generic term for strong downslope winds experiencing warming at the lee of a mountain ridge. Föhn is associated with a decrease in cloudiness in the lee, is strong and gusty, and is often channelled along gaps and valleys cut into the main ridge (Brinkmann, 1971; Seibert, 1990). Föhn may cause damage due to severe storms (Brinkmann, 1974), snow melting (Hoinka, 1985), * Correspondence to: Philippe Drobinski, Service d’Aéronomie, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Tour 15, Couloir 15-14, 4 Place Jussieu, 75252 Paris Cédex 05, France. E-mail: [email protected] Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society or high pollution levels (Nkemdirim and Leggat, 1978; Hoinka and Rösler, 1987), so that it is of great practical importance to better understand and predict the structure of the föhn flow. In the Alps, föhn occurs most frequently in the presence of strong synoptic-scale flow perpendicular to the Alpine crest, i.e. either northerly (north föhn) or southerly (south föhn) flow (Hoinka, 1980). While both flow directions are similarly frequent, the vast majority of the scientific literature on the Alpine föhn deals with the south föhn (e.g. Frey, 1953; Seibert, 1985). This is probably because south föhn usually has a much stronger impact on the local temperature than north föhn (or even west and east föhns which are more infrequent, however), which is in turn related to the different origin 898 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. of the air masses (moist subtropical air mass for south föhn, polar air mass for north föhn). Usually, föhn flow is restricted to the respective lee side of the Alpine crest, but exceptions can be found in a few regions. For example, the Inn Valley (located north of the Alpine crest, see Figure 1) can also experience north föhn in situations of strong northerly or northwesterly flow (Hann, 1891; Zängl, 2006). In the scientific literature on Alpine föhn, an important distinction is made between deep föhn and shallow föhn. A föhn is termed deep when the cross-Alpine synoptic flow extends significantly above the height of the Alpine crest (e.g. Seibert, 1985, 1990). The dynamics of deep föhn is strongly influenced by vertically propagating gravity waves. Due to their three-dimensional (3D) dispersion characteristics, gravity waves excited over mountain ranges encompassing a valley can also affect the flow dynamics in the valley proper, leading to pronounced wind maxima under suitable topographic conditions (Zängl, 2003). On the other hand, shallow föhn flow is restricted to a relatively small number of deep valley transects in the Alpine crest. So far, shallow föhn has been reported from southerly directions only, occurring under approximately westerly synopticscale flow conditions. Shallow föhn frequently precedes deep föhn when the synoptic-scale flow direction gradually backs from west to south-west or south (Seibert, 1990). However, there are also shallow föhn cases that do not develop into a deep föhn. The mesoscale dynamics of shallow föhn have been investigated by Sprenger and Schär (2001) and Zängl (2002a). They found that the synoptic-scale pressure gradient related to geostrophically balanced westerly flow, frictional flow deflection towards the lower pressure, and cross-Alpine temperature contrasts with cold air lying in the south play an important role in generating shallow föhn. On the local scale, shallow föhn flow is mainly governed by hydraulic dynamics (Flamant et al., 2002; Gohm and Mayr, 2004). Föhn research has a long history in the Alps, reaching back to the middle of the 19th century. Already in 1866, Hann recognized that adiabatic warming in the lee of the Alpine crest is the main reason for the föhn being warm and dry, rejecting earlier hypotheses that assumed the föhn to originate from the Sahara desert (Hann, 1866, reprinted in Kuhn, 1989). Hann also found that latent heat release related to orographic precipitation is one important factor contributing to the temperature difference between the windward side and the lee side of the Alps. However, in contrast to subsequent textbook versions of the so-called thermodynamic föhn theory, he did not claim that latent heat release is the only relevant factor (Seibert, 1985). In fact, cold-air blocking over the Po basin may give rise to much larger cross-Alpine temperature differences than could be explained by latent heat release (Seibert, 1985, 1990). While the thermodynamic explanation for the warmth of the föhn was readily accepted in the scientific community, there was a lot of debate on dynamical aspects of the föhn, particularly the question how the föhn is able to penetrate into Alpine valleys and to remove the denser cold air lying there. One of the earliest theories was proposed by Wild (1868), who hypothesized that the föhn ‘sucks’ the cold air out of the valleys in a way similar to a vacuum cleaner. This was questioned by Billwiller (1878) who ascribed a more passive role to the föhn flow, merely replacing the cold air that had been driven away by some synopticscale pressure gradient. These theories survived several decades and gave rise to a remarkably heavy dispute (e.g. von Ficker, 1913; Streiff-Becker, 1931). Entirely different hypotheses were brought up in the mid-twentieth century, for example by Roßmann (1950) who ascribed the downslope acceleration of the föhn to evaporation of cloud water and spilled-over precipitation. (Seibert, 1985, gave a critical review of föhn theories; article reprints appeared in Kuhn, 1989.) With the advance of the theories of orographic gravity waves (Lyra, 1943; Queney, 1948) and shooting hydraulic flows (Schweitzer, 1953; Long, 1953), a deeper understanding and more complete picture than provided by the early föhn theories became available. Nevertheless, the variety of different hypotheses reflects the important fact that local flow patterns related to föhn differ strongly between various Alpine valleys. Wild (1868) and StreiffBecker (1931) observed that the southerly föhn starts close to the Alpine crest and then gradually penetrates toward the north, whereas light opposing (northerly) flow 3 Latitude (°N) 47.5 Rhine valley target area 2.5 2 Wipp valley target area 47 1.5 1 46.5 8.5 9 9.5 10 10.5 11 Longitude (°E) 11.5 12 12.5 0.5 Height above sea level (km) 3.5 0 Figure 1. Topography of the Alps. The two boxes indicate the Rhine Valley target area and the Wipp/Inn Valley target area for föhn studies during MAP. Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 899 FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP (1935) chose all cases with southerly wind directions between 1 and 3 km above ground to detect typical profile structures during föhn conditions. Particularly in spring, positive temperature deviations of 3 ° C with respect to the climatological average were found at 1 to 2 km altitude. Near the ground, inversions were frequently observed in the kite soundings. Studying the spatial flow variability along the Rhine Valley, Gutermann (1970) found that föhn air near Chur is generally cooler than near Vaduz, which he explained with the influence of katabatic outflow from tributaries. Further statistical investigations, including a comparison of föhn frequencies in the Rhine Valley and the Reuss Valley (located in central Switzerland, Figure 2), were conducted by Waibel (1984). A more complete review of föhn research in the Rhine Valley is provided by Richner et al. (2006). Section 2 lists the reasons for selecting the Rhine valley as a target area for föhn studies during MAP and the main scientific objectives. It also gives a summary of the föhn events in the Rhine Valley during MAP. Section 3 presents the main challenges identified before the field experiment to be addressed in terms of observation and modelling. Section 4 synthesizes the main findings in terms of observation, numerical simulation and theory of föhn. Finally Section 5 concludes this overview of results and point out some open research questions needing further investigation. is present in the cold-air pool. On the other hand, Billwiller (1878) and von Ficker (1905, 1913) observed outflow of cold air into the Alpine foreland before the onset of the föhn. Recently, Zängl (1999, 2003) demonstrated that these different flow patterns are related to different orientations of the valleys. Valleys aligned with the impinging flow tend to exhibit the former flow pattern with converging flow at the leading edge of the föhn zone because the gravity-wave pattern favours a local pressure minimum there. Cold-air outflow at low levels appears to be more typical for valleys perpendicular to the impinging flow that are less favourable for a direct penetration of the föhn. Although föhn research in the Rhine Valley has a fairly long tradition, research activities prior to MAP (Mesoscale Alpine Programme) largely concentrated on the vicinity of Innsbruck, presumably because of the university institute located there (a comprehensive overview is provided by Seibert, 1985; also Hoinka, 1990; Zängl, 2003). Probably the first climatological evaluation of föhn in the Rhine Valley was done by Hann (1882). Based on a 17-year record from Bludenz, he found a broad frequency maximum from autumn through spring (about 10 days per season) and a pronounced minimum in summer. Peppler (1930) investigated kite soundings and pilot balloon ascents that were conducted operationally at Friedrichshafen (located at the northern shore of Lake Constance) for more than 20 years. Peppler (a) Lake Constance Zurich Bregenz Altenrhein Diepoldsau Hoher Kasten Sargans Seez valley n ne Tam i Reu W Kunkelspass ey esc zia BuchsGrabs LRV Heiligkreuz ne n hg um ne Vaduz Sargans SV ml lL Weite Chur Do Masein Tam Julier ina Va Bad Ragaz Rä tik on ran ge Pra etti gau (b) all ine v Rh y alle ss v Gütsch na n sta eis Feldkirch lga u Wa tan rich eis s of Zu W Lake Rhine valley Rankweil Malans URV Figure 2. (a) Topography of the FORM target area with (b) an expansion of the region of interest (9.3–9.6 ° E; 46.9–47.2 ° N) which is also the most instrumented area (see Section 3.1). The contour interval is 500 m from 500 m to 3000 m altitude. Italics indicate names of valleys, and captions in boxes are the names of towns. SV, LRV and URV denote the Seez Valley, the lower Rhine Valley and the upper Rhine Valley, respectively. The dashed lines in (b) indicate the scintillometer light beams. The scintillometer transmitters are located at Triesenberg (on the eastern side of the LRV), and the receivers at Flusa and Ergellen (on the western side of LRV). This figure is available in colour online at www.interscience.wiley.com/qj Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 900 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. 2. Selection of the Rhine Valley as an avenue for föhn flows in a valley with complex geometry Table I. Föhn episodes during the Special Observing Period of the MAP field experiment (7 Sept 1999 to 15 Nov 1999). 2.1. IOP Beginning 1 2 – – 5 7 8 9 10 12 13 15 15 Sep 1999 19 Sep 1999 22 Sep 1999 30 Sep 1999 2 Oct 1999 18 Oct 1999 19 Oct 1999 22 Oct 1999 24 Oct 1999 30 Oct 1999 1 Nov 1999 5 Nov 1999 Scientific motivation Since the aforementioned findings strongly suggest that föhn research should consider various regions of the Alps, it was decided to select the Alpine Rhine Valley as a target area for föhn research during MAP (see also Volkert and Gutermann, 2007). The research area extends from the Alpine crest to the northern Alpine foreland and features several low passes in the main Alpine crest (see Figure 2), which provides an excellent opportunity to study the development of shallow föhn. Moreover, the main valley and its tributaries cover a wide range of valley orientations, allowing investigation of the effects of valley orientation on the dynamics of föhn. The selection of the Rhine Valley was also motivated by the facts that it is well equipped with operational meteorological measuring networks and that there is a high practical significance for any improvement in forecasting the onset or cessation of föhn for storm warnings on Lake Constance. Compared to the other target area (the Wipp Valley/Innsbruck region; project P4; Mayr et al., 2007), the Rhine Valley has a significantly more complex topographical structure. In particular, the valley axis of the Wipp Valley is almost straight while the Rhine Valley has several marked kinks. Moreover, the Rhine Valley exits into the Alpine foreland whereas the Wipp Valley ends in another inner-Alpine valley (the Inn). Thus, the two föhn research areas complement each other in an ideal way. In the studies conducted prior to MAP, the instrumental set-up did not allow for a coherent 3D documentation of the föhn from the synoptic scale to the valley scale, providing sufficient resolution in space and time to analyze the processes governing the spatio-temporal evolution of föhn. This gap was attempted to be closed during MAP with instrumentation of unprecedented density, including surface and radiosonde stations, a variety of remote-sensing instruments and several research aircraft. An overview of MAP, its strategy, the projects, and preliminary results are given by Bougeault et al. (2001). Among the MAP objectives, the program FORM (Föhn in the Rhine Valley during MAP), was designed to study (Richner et al., 2006): (1) the dynamics of that part of the blocked, potentially cooler air mass that typically reaches up to the mean crest height on the windward side of the main ridge and which flows through deep Alpine passes into the lee-side valleys (shallow föhn); (2) the interaction between low-level and mid-tropospheric föhn flows on the scale of large Alpine valleys including the improvement of understanding and forecasting of föhn-related phenomena like turbulence; (3) the mechanism of temporal and spatial evolution and cessation of föhn flows in complex valley systems on a local scale; Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society End 0750 0050 0750 0420 0810 1340 2320 0640 0210 0900 1200 0610 15 Sep 1999 20 Sep 1999 23 Sep 1999 30 Sep 1999 3 Oct 1999 18 Oct 1999 21 Oct 1999 23 Oct 1999 24 Oct 1999 31 Oct 1999 2 Nov 1999 6 Nov 1999 1700 0700 1130 0840 0320 1650 1410 0330 1920 0310 1610 0940 The dates and times (UTC) indicate the onset and end of föhn events in the Rhine Valley detected by the multi-parameter algorithm of Gutermann (1970). Twelve föhn episodes were observed during 10 IOPs; two föhn episodes occurred outside IOPs. (4) the interaction of the föhn flow with the boundary layer and the removal process of the cold-air pool; (5) the interaction between the föhn and air blowing in the side valleys; (6) the dynamics of flow splitting at the bifurcation between the Rhine and Seez valleys; and (7) the requirements to improve the forecast skills of föhn in the Alpine region. 2.2. Summary of the föhn events in the Rhine Valley during MAP The special observing period (SOP) of MAP took place in autumn from 7 September to 15 November 1999, corresponding to the maximum of the climatological föhn frequency in the northern Alps. During the MAP SOP, twelve föhn episodes were observed. Ten fell into an intensive observing period (IOP) and two were outside. The start and end of each episode are given in Table I. The detection of föhn and the determination of the start and end time of the episodes were conducted according to the multi-parameter algorithm of Gutermann (1970), which was applied to numerous surface measurements acquired in the Rhine Valley and its main tributaries. The algorithm is based on a thresholding of mean and gust valley winds, temperature increase >3 K and low humidity during the whole period. The föhn episodes were determined for each station individually. A föhn event is defined by the earliest onset and by the latest end at any of the considered stations on the valley floor. Altogether, föhn covered 244 hours 20 min, i.e. about 15% of the whole SOP (1464 hours) or 29% of the IOPs (836 hours). In most events, the föhn flow first reaches the valley floor in the area of the Fläscherberg (halfway between Sargans and Malans; Figure 2). The föhn also ends later in this area. Frequently, the föhn flow aloft does not extend downwards to these well-exposed points in the valley because the valley is filled by a stagnant cold-air Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP pool. Thus, föhn is observed more frequently on passes or mountaintops (‘pass föhn’) than in valleys (‘valley föhn’). These MAP föhn events have been studied by Baumann et al. (2001, all IOPs, with IOPs 8, 9 and 10 in detail), Beffrey et al. (2004a, IOP 8), Drobinski et al. (2001, IOP 5; 2003a, IOP 12; 2003b, all IOPs; 2006, IOPs 2, 5, 8, 10, 12 and 15), Flamant et al. (2006, IOP 15), Frioud et al. (2004, IOPs 4 and 5), Gubser and Richner (2001, IOP 9), Jaubert and Stein (2003, IOP 2), Jaubert et al. (2005, IOP 15), Lothon et al. (2003, IOPs 2, 5, 8, 13, 15), Vogt and Jaubert (2004, IOP 15) and Zängl et al. (2004a, IOP 10). In spite of their specific features linked to föhn intensity, these studies allowed the building of a comprehensive scheme of the temporal evolution of the föhn in a large valley, which is useful to validate numerical simulations. 3. Challenges for new measurements and modelling tools at the beginning of MAP 3.1. Observation network As already mentioned, the instrumental set-up used in earlier experiments did not allow for detailed 3D documentation of the föhn flow over the wide range of relevant spatial and temporal scales. During MAP, the main principle of the design of the observing system was to optimally combine the more or less continuously observing remote-sensing systems with only sporadically active, but usually more accurate, in situ observations. An extensive description of the instrument set-up can be found in Richner et al. (2006). To address the scientific issues summarized above, the very-fine-scale 3D structure of the föhn and its time evolution have been documented by means of remote sensors operated continuously or during IOPs only. A transportable wind lidar (TWL) located in Vilters near Bad Ragaz (Figure 2) provided radial wind velocity measurements along the line-of-sight. It proved to be a key instrument for investigating flow-splitting dynamics at the bifurcation between the Rhine and Seez Valleys (Drobinski et al., 2001, 2003a, 2006) and validating highresolution simulations (Beffrey et al., 2004a; Drobinski et al., 2006). Five Doppler sodars and two wind profiling radars (one equipped with a radio acoustic sounding system, RASS) contributed to validate high-resolution simulations of the life cycle of föhn (Vogt and Jaubert, 2004). Despite its location outside the Rhine Valley target area, the UHF profiler set up at Julier Pass was a key instrument to study the dynamics at one of the main passes that feed the Rhine Valley network (Ruffieux et al., 2000). The cross-Alpine flow structure of gravity waves related to föhn has been investigated using constantvolume balloons launched from Ispra (Italy) located near Lago Maggiore. The balloons served to document the dynamics of the isopycnic airflow (pressure, wind speed and direction, temperature and humidity content; Bénech et al., 2002) and particularly the characteristics Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society 901 of vertically propagating and trapped gravity waves (location, amplitude, period, intensity) (e.g. Drobinski et al., 2003a). Two scintillometers located in the lower Rhine Valley (the transmitters at Triesenberg, the receivers at Flusa and Ergellen; Figure 2(b)) allowed for measuring the vertical and horizontal wind components and for documenting the gravity-wave penetration into the lower Rhine Valley during strong föhn windstorms (Furger et al., 2001; Drobinski et al., 2003a). Closely connected to the wave monitoring by the sodars was the operation of microbarographs, which made possible the determination of the relevant characteristics (direction of propagation, phase speed, and wavelength) of gravity waves on top of the cold pool by detecting the related pressure signal on the ground (Flamant et al., 2006). Several aircraft flying over the Rhine Valley target area (French Merlin IV and ARAT Fokker-27, UK C-130, Swiss Metair Dimona, USA NCAR Electra and NOAA P-3) measured averaged mean and turbulent variables (wind speed and direction, vertical wind, temperature, pressure, humidity, turbulent kinetic energy, momentum and heat fluxes), providing information on gravity-wave activity in relation to cold-pool erosion (Gubser and Richner, 2001; Jaubert et al., 2005; Flamant et al., 2006). Finally, the cold-pool removal was also monitored by three continuously running cameras mounted at ∼1800 m amsl (above mean sea level) on Hoher Kasten. Indeed, the turbidity in the cold pool is always significantly greater than in the föhn air, making the boundary between the two air masses and its variation visible over time. To investigate the interaction of the föhn flow between a main valley and a tributary, six surface stations were set up along the Brandner Valley (in the Austrian province of Vorarlberg) and traverses were made with an instrumented car measuring pressure, temperature, humidity, and wind. Finally, for MAP the already dense network of conventional meteorological surface stations in the Rhine Valley target area was completed with 14 additional surface stations and 9 radiosonde stations. This extremely dense station network was necessary to resolve small-scale features and to achieve the same resolution for observational data as for numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. This was vital for the validation of the models. This network also contributed to the derivation of better initial conditions for research and NWP models (Zängl et al., 2004a; Jaubert et al., 2005) and the mesoscale analyzes extensively used for föhn investigations in the Rhine Valley (Drobinski et al., 2003a; Chimani et al., 2006; Flamant et al., 2006). As föhn-related aspects, air quality issues were investigated by the means of a tethered balloon operated at Fussach and a cable car located at Bregenz, near Lake Constance, to obtain high-resolution vertical profiles of meteorological variables and ozone (Baumann et al., 2001). In addition, a vertically pointing backscattering lidar located near Sargans monitored aerosol layers continuously with almost no interruption during the entire field phase (Frioud et al., 2003, 2004). Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 902 3.2. P. DROBINSKI ET AL. Numerical modelling The main objectives of the numerical modelling efforts made in the context of MAP were (1) to document the capability of state-of-the-art mesoγ -scale numerical models to simulate air flow and precipitation fields in complex Alpine orography, and (2) to improve the process understanding of the underlying interactions between atmosphere and orography. For the FORM project, the specific research challenges were to simulate the detailed characteristics and evolution of föhn flows in complex valley systems and to better understand the underlying flow dynamics. The practical importance of predicting meso-γ -scale aspects of föhn inside Alpine valleys is very high since föhn represents a weather risk to all outdoor activities including air operations, and also influences air quality. Moreover, the uniquely dense dataset collected during MAP was expected to offer one of the first opportunities to clearly demonstrate the possible benefits of future real-time, meso-γ -scale NWP. Necessary ingredients for a high forecasting skill of high-resolution numerical models are expected to be: (1) an accurate simulation of larger-scale aspects, such as the upstream and downstream wind and stability, (2) a good initial analysis of the low-level atmospheric state inside the valleys under consideration, and (3) a high-resolution model with a proper representation of orography and sophisticated parametrizations for physical processes like radiation and turbulence. 4. Key findings of the post-SOP period in observation, simulation and theory 4.1. Upstream and cross-Alpine flow structure during föhn events The upstream conditions largely determine the temporal, horizontal and vertical extension of the föhn within and over the Rhine Valley. The key parameters are: (1) θ and p, the potential temperature and meansea level pressure (mslp) differences across the Alps, = N H /U , the non-dimensional height, where (2) H N is the Brunt–Väisälä frequency, H the dimensional mountain height and U a characteristic upstream wind speed, and (3) the upstream flow direction. Generally, ∼ O(1) implies that air parcels mainly flow over the H mountain and substantial nonlinear effects occur (such as hydraulic jumps or large-amplitude gravity waves), 1 much of the airstream is diverted whereas for H around the flanks of the mountains and the perturbation energy mainly appears in the horizontal with generation of vortices rather than vertical motions (Smolarkiewicz and Rotunno, 1989). The wind direction determines if the föhn flow across the Alps is deep or shallow. Finally, experience shows that the occurrence of föhn is strongly correlated with the cross-Alpine pressure Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society difference (Seibert, 1985, 1990). For the Rhine Valley, it has been found that the föhn tends to reach the valley bottom when the pressure difference between Lugano and Vaduz exceeds about 5 hPa (Richner et al., 2006), corresponding to a cross-Alpine pressure gradient of about 4 hPa (100 km)−1 . Table II summarizes the upstream key parameters for all the föhn IOPs which can be compared to their climatology detailed in Richner et al. (2006). decreases with time and During typical föhn events, H the föhn flow deepens with time as the ambient flow intensifies and gets more southerly. In the early stage, the flow regime is often a ‘flow around’ the Alps during > 3, switching to a ‘flow over’ regime as föhn with H ⇒ 1 and keeps its minimum value for several hours H depending on the events. This fraction of time can be half of the duration of the event. The jet associated with flow splitting at the scale of the Alps and flowing along the western flank of the range may affect the altitude of the föhn jet in the Rhine Valley. It is capable of triggering cold-air intrusions from the north into the Rhine Valley (Jaubert et al., 2005), lifting the föhn flow passing over the Alpine range off the ground in the lower Rhine Valley. These intrusions are favoured when the strong flowaround jet is positioned close to the Rhine Valley outlet and is oriented orthogonally to it. Local topography, i.e. the small mountain range east of the Lake Constance basin, makes it easier for the air to enter the Rhine Valley, due to channelling (Figure 2). The meridional extension of the föhn within the valley strongly depends on the upstream conditions (Lothon, 2002): (1) in the southern part of the Rhine Valley (e.g. around Chur), light downslope wind appears as soon as the upstream conditions are favourable for föhn, and its intensity does not depend strongly on these conditions; (2) in the central region of the Rhine Valley (e.g. around to Vaduz), the downslope wind requires smaller H reach the valley bottom, and its intensity is strongly correlated with the intensity of the upstream flow; (3) finally, in the northern part of the valley (e.g. Lake Constance), the downslope wind occurrence depends on the upstream conditions but also on the local and downstream conditions. The cold pool which is often present (see next subsections) in this region interacts with the föhn and only strong upstream flow and low can trigger a downslope wind that reaches the H ground in this area. Downstream turbulence was measured using the Merlin IV aircraft during MAP (Lothon et al., 2003). The measurements showed that in addition to organized propagating or trapped gravity waves, at a 10-km scale turbulent plume exists in the wake of the mountain with large turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and dissipation rate (Figure 3). This plume extends from 3000 m altitude above the southern part (maximum measured TKE) down Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society 5.7 4.3 6.3 4.0/7.8 0.4/1.6 Lugano – rain rate (mm hr−1 )/accumulated rain (mm) 0/0 1.2/36.3 0/0 0.07/0.3 0.5/10.1 229/1.4 292/1.7 084/1.4 176/6.3 201/4.8 190/5.7 172/14.7 219/14.7 237/17.6 233/21.2 10.7 8.3 6.8 2.2/11.0 IOP 9 1.5/25.3 165/4.8 237/5.1 213/2.6 161/7.9 199/5.3 197/8.1 175/17.1 204/20.6 233/21.1 237/23.7 9.7 7.3 3.0 2.0/5.5 IOP 10 0.05/0.8 196/2.0 274/2.6 218/1.7 173/3.1 206/3.9 235/4.5 173/9.8 219/12.1 236/12.8 248/16.4 8.0 9.1 3.5 November→ IOP 12 0/0 199/1.6 208/1.1 133/1.1 105/1.8 218/3.6 244/4.8 168/11.1 198/9.8 239/9.9 241/9.4 4.7 0.7 8.8 4.5/12.5 IOP 13 0.1/1.9 213/1.9 245/2.3 047/1.4 249/3.3 199/4.1 221/4.4 173/12.1 209/12.2 232/10.3 242/11.4 5.8 2.1 5.0 2.9/8.0 IOP 15 = non-dimensional height (calculated from Milano p = pressure difference between Lugano and Vaduz reduced to mean sea level. θ = potential temperature difference between Vaduz and Lugano. H radiosoundings within a 2000–4500 m layer). 0.5/10.3 1.3/50.9 065/1.3 250/1.8 047/0.9 175/3.1 190/5.7 193/7.6 181/13.3 035/2.5 041/3.6 341/1.9 299/1.8 033/4.0 141/4.0 171/11.2 119/0.7 280/0.9 142/0.6 344/1.1 195/3.3 215/4.3 166/14.9 Ground stations – wind direction (° )/wind speed (m s−1 ) St. Gallen 024/1.1 148/4.3 165/1.3 Altenrhein 269/1.3 175/4.6 262/1.3 Lustenau 043/1.3 204/1.9 165/1.1 Vaduz 159/3.3 164/7.3 117/2.7 Chur 212/4.2 209/5.1 200/3.9 Säntis 184/3.4 185/7.2 213/2.4 Gütsch 169/10.7 169/22.0 177/9.5 220/1.9 112/1.5 033/1.1 185/4.0 210/4.4 213/4.5 173/14.8 195/16.0 10.5 8.6 3.9 2.0/10.4 IOP 8 Julier Pass wind profiler – wind direction (° )/wind speed (m s−1 ) at about 3600 m amsl 152/6.5 180/17.0 237/9.7 211/16.3 211/14.1 275/3.5 4.0 0.5 IOP 6 207/16.3 217/18.5 249/17.0 252/21.0 7.1 4.6 5.7 4.1/6.3 IOP 5 258/2.1 223/4.9 Milano/Linate wind profiler – wind direction (° )/wind speed (m s−1 ). 4000 m amsl 161/7.3 205/16.6 242/15.1 240/19.3 6000 m amsl 185/6.8 215/20.9 241/20.1 240/24.0 8.2 6.8 3.5 1.2/5.6 6.5 −0.2 4.8 4.7 IOP 4 p (hPa) θ (K) (mean) H (min/max) H IOP 3 October→ IOP 2 September→ IOP 1 Table II. Temporal mean values of the relevant upstream, cross-Alpine and downstream flow parameters for the föhn Intensive Observation Periods. FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP 903 Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 904 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. Figure 3. (a) Mean turbulent kinetic energy (m2 s−2 ) and (b) mean dissipation rate (10−3 m2 s−3 ) of the TKE, computed from the Merlin IV aircraft data averaged over five föhn flights. The grey bars indicate the 1 km averaged topography along the flight tracks. to the lowest layers above the northern part of the Rhine Valley (minimum measured intensity). The scale of the turbulence can be characterized by the dissipative lengthscale Lε = e3/2 /ε, where e is the TKE, and ε the TKE dissipation rate. This length characterizes the size of the largest eddies that lie in the inertial subrange, and is of high importance in TKE equation closure of mesoscale models. We found Lε = 1500 ± 500 m, with no significant variation with altitude and height. This is typical for Lε measured in homogeneous convective boundary layers, although TKE dissipation rate can vary by several orders of magnitude depending on the complexity of the terrain. This lends further support to this length-scale as a robust key parameter to be used in the mesoscale models. 4.2. Dynamics of föhn in the Rhine Valley 4.2.1. Föhn propagation in the complex valley network As mentioned previously, the life-cycle of a föhn usually begins with a shallow-föhn phase followed by a deepföhn phase. One objective of FORM was to analyze the föhn propagation in the complex valley network in the area of the Rhine Valley. In fact, previous studies on the channelling effect of the föhn flow by major Alpine valleys considered only north–south oriented portions of Alpine valleys. In the FORM target area, the Rhine Valley Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society has a very complex shape: south of 46.8 ° N, the Rhine Valley is oriented west–east, while north of 46.8 ° N, it has a more south–north orientation up to Lake Constance (Figure 2). Several major valleys merge with the Rhine Valley, namely the Val Lumnezia, the Domleschg, the Prättigau, the Seez Valley and the Walgau. At the bifurcation between the Rhine and Seez Valleys, the Tamina gorge and the Weisstannen Valley also play an important role. In other words, the Rhine Valley can not be considered as a single transect in the Alpine ridge since all these tributaries play a potential role in the circulation of the föhn flow in the FORM target area. As a consequence, a second objective in this section is to examine the role of the Alpine valley network in directing the föhn flow towards the FORM target area from its early stage of development (shallow föhn) until its breakdown. During shallow föhn, the air which reaches the Rhine valley area is potentially cooler and comes from the southern side of the Alps through Alpine gaps (passes). Due to the stably stratified air mass and/or the height of the cold pool lying south of the Alps, the height of the passes is also crucial. As an example for the shallow-föhn phase, the wind field on 29 October 1999 at 1800 UTC (Figure 4) simulated with the mesoscale model MésoNH provides evidence for weak southerly wind through the Reuss Valley and Domleschg which remains confined below the crest line (Drobinski et al., 2003a). Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 905 FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP 47.43 Latitude (N) 47.43 3000. 3000. 2500. 2500. 2000. 2000. 1500. 1500. 1000. 1000. 500.0 500.0 (a) 46.42 8.34 (b) 10.05 47.43 46.42 8.34 10.05 Latitude (N) 47.43 (c) 46.42 8.34 3000. 3000. 2500. 2500. 2000. 2000. 1500. 1500. 1000. 1000. 500.0 500.0 10.05 47.43 (d) 46.42 8.34 10.05 Latitude (N) 47.43 3000. 3000. 2500. 2500. 2000. 2000. 1500. 1500. 1000. 1000. 500.0 500.0 (f) (e) 46.42 8.34 10.05 Longitude (E) 46.42 8.34 10.05 Longitude (E) Figure 4. Horizontal wind field at 2 km resolution at 1000 m amsl as obtained from Méso-NH numerical simulations (a) at 1800 UTC on 29 October 1999 (shallow föhn phase of IOP 12), and (b) at 1200 UTC on 30 October 1999 (deep föhn phase of IOP 12). (c, d) and (e, f) are as (a, b), but for 1500 m amsl and 2000 m amsl, respectively. Figure 4 shows that, near the surface, the flow at Chur is fed by föhn (combined with katabatic flow; Drobinski et al., 2003a,b) blowing in the upper Rhine Valley. At higher levels (Figure 4(c), (e)), the air from the Domleschg partly goes straight to the north over the Kunkelspass (which is about 1300 m amsl), partly towards Chur in the upper Rhine Valley. The reason why Val Lumnezia does not channel the shallow föhn is that probably the air does not reach high enough to cross all passes feeding into the upper Rhine Valley. Indeed, Val Lumnezia seems to be closed off to the south by a pass much higher than the Domleschg valley. At 1500 m amsl, katabatic drainage flow blows from the zonally oriented Prättigau. At the bifurcation between the Rhine and Seez Valleys, the flow comes from the Tamina gorge and the upper Rhine Valley (the flow first Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society splits between these two valleys near Kunkelspass), and splits between the Seez and Rhine Valleys. One can note a strong intensification of the flow in the lower Rhine Valley near Feldkirch where the flow originating from the flow-splitting at the bifurcation of the Rhine and Seez Valleys merges with flow blowing from the east–west oriented Walgau. During the deep-föhn phase, when föhn reaches the Rhine Valley, the upstream upper-level flow veers to the south/south–west and the stability decreases. The use of Lagrangian tracers in numerical models (Gheusi and Stein, 2002) shows that the air reaching the ground at the northern edge of the Alps originates from a level of 2000 to 3500 m in the south (e.g. Lothon, 2002; Jaubert and Stein, 2003). The air mass accelerates as it flows over the ridge and the Rhine Valley, and experiences Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 906 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. mountain waves and associated strong downward motion penetrating down to the Rhine Valley (Furger et al., 2001 for IOP 8; Drobinski et al., 2003a for IOP 12). The downslope wind on the northern side generates turbulence in the Rhine Valley, as indicated by various numerical simulations (Jaubert and Stein, 2003 for IOP 2; Drobinski et al., 2003a for IOP 12; Zängl et al., 2004a for IOP 10; Beffrey et al., 2004a; Jaubert et al., 2005 for IOP 15) as well as observations (Lothon et al., 2003 for IOPs 2, 5, 8, 13, and 15). As an example for the deep-föhn phase, the wind field on 30 October 1999 at 1200 UTC, simulated with Méso-NH, is shown in Figure 4. As the upstream upper-level flow is quasi-aligned with the transverse valleys, the channelling efficiency of these valleys in directing the föhn flow towards the FORM target area increases. Val Lumnezia plays a significantly more important role than during the shallow föhn whereas the Prättigau does not channel the föhn flow. To further illustrate the importance of orographic gravity waves for the low-level wind field in the Rhine Valley, Figure 5 displays the near-surface wind field and a vertical cross-section of wind and potential temperature along the lower Rhine Valley on 24 October 1999 at 1100 UTC (IOP 10; Zängl et al., 2004a). As evident from Figure 5(a), a pronounced surface wind maximum is found in the valley segment between Sargans and BuchsGrabs (Figure 2). The presence of this wind maximum is supported by observational data, and the surface observations gathered during the full MAP SOP reveal that a wind maximum is frequently encountered in this region. Figure 5(b) indicates that vertically propagating orographic gravity waves are responsible for this wind maximum. Due to their 3D dispersion characteristics, gravity waves excited over the adjacent mountain ridges radiate toward the valley axis while propagating upwards, thus influencing the wind field over the valley axis in a similar way as in the lee of the ridges. (a) 4.2.2. Flow splitting at the bifurcation between the Rhine and Seez Valleys One of the objectives of FORM was to identify (1) the factors determining whether flow splitting occurs or not between the Rhine and Seez valleys, and (2) the valley into which the föhn is directed. The flow structure at the junction between the Rhine and Seez Valleys has been characterized statistically at the synoptic scale and at the scale of the valley by Drobinski et al. (2003b). The results reveal that the flow regimes in the Rhine and Seez Valleys are, as expected, dominated by the orography. In the Seez Valley, the wind direction is parallel to the valley axis in the vast majority of cases. In the lower Rhine Valley, the wind direction also frequently follows the main valley axis but is also influenced by the small pass to the west as well as by the orographically undisturbed synoptic-flow direction. This implies that the lower Rhine Valley from Bad Ragaz to Lake Constance is less efficient in channelling the flow than the Seez Valley. Drobinski et al. (2003b) found five main flow patterns: south-east/south, north-west/west, northwest/north, north-west/south, south-east/north, where the first (second) wind direction refers to the Seez Valley (lower Rhine Valley) (Figure 6). The flow splitting between the Rhine and Seez Valleys (south-east/south flow regime) prevails and occurs either during föhn events or is due to katabatic flow. In fact, 75% of the south-east/south cases outside föhn events were observed between 1800 and 0600 UTC. The very high probability of flow splitting occurrence indicates that flow separation from the western wall of the lower Rhine Valley near Malans (where the Rhine Valley makes a sharp turn from south/north orientation to south–east/north–west orientation when looking along the river flow) does not prevent the flow from being directed towards the Seez Valley, (b) 7.0 318 316 316 316 70 6.0 314 314 60 312 5.0 40 30 312 0 3 10 31 310 308 4.0 306 8 30 304 3.0 302 302 2.0 20 3 10 1.0 0 0.0 296 0 10 20 30 40 50 Distance (km) 60 70 0 S 10 30 6 304 Height (km) 50 314 00 298 300 296 298 20 30 40 Distance (km) 50 N Figure 5. MM5 model results for 1100 UTC on 24 October 1999 (Zängl et al., 2004a): (a) Surface wind field (full barb = 5 m s−1 ; topography is shaded at intervals of 600 m), and (b) vertical cross-section of potential temperature (contour interval 1 K) with wind component parallel to the cross-section (arrows and shading, shading increment 5 m s−1 , white below 10 m s−1 ) along the bold line indicated in (a). The vertical arrow indicates the location of the kink in the cross-section. Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 907 FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP (a) SE/S 44% 47.4 (b) NW/N 13% (c) NW/W 12% Latitude (°N) 47.3 47.2 47.1 47 46.9 10 m/s 46.8 9.3 NW/S 8% (d) 10 m/s 5 m/s 9.4 9.5 9.6 Longitude (°E) (e) SE/N 6% 47.4 Latitude (°N) 47.3 47.2 47.1 47 46.9 5 m/s 46.8 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 Longitude (°E) 5 m/s 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 Longitude (°E) Figure 6. Five main flow regimes at the bifurcation between the Rhine and Seez valleys: (a) south–east/south (SE/S), (b) north-west/north (NW/N), (c) north-west/west (NW/W), (d) north-west/south (NW/S) and (e) south–east/north (SE/N), where the first (second) wind direction refers to the flow direction in the Seez Valley (lower Rhine Valley). The winds at 500 m agl are measured simultaneously at Heiligkreuz, Buchs-Grabs and Malans, or at Heiligkreuz and Buchs-Grabs only, for each wind regime. Each measurement is represented by a line starting from the rawinsonde location, following the direction of the wind and having a length proportional to the wind speed. The scale is indicated by a line at the bottom left corner of each panel. Above the graph, a title indicates the wind regime under consideration by giving the directions of wind at Heiligkreuz and Buchs-Grabs. The following percentage is the probability of occurrence of the regime during the MAP SOP. even though only a very thin jet can penetrate into the Seez Valley on some occasions. To investigate the small-scale dynamics of flow splitting between the Rhine and Seez Valleys, Drobinski et al. (2001) simplified the problem by using the theory of 2D, incompressible and irrotational potential flows flowing along sidewalls. They demonstrated the key role played by the valley geometry (angles between valleys, valley widths) and, in particular, the complementary contribution of the deflection and blocking/splitting mechanisms when flow splitting occurs. However, these results did not account for surface friction, turbulent mixing, and for the channelling effect because the solutions for each sidewall were obtained independently of each other. In a second step, Drobinski et al. (2006) conducted numerical simulations including the effects of channelling and turbulent mixing. However, surface friction was still neglected, and a highly idealized valley geometry was used together with a single-layer approximation of the equations of motion, similar to the well-known shallow-water model. Comparison with observations and fully 3D numerical simulations with MM5 indicated that Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society = N H /U (with the non-dimensional valley depth H H being the dimensional valley depth) is the key parameter for the validity of the idealized model and for the occurrence of flow splitting in reality. For föhn 1, the flow splitting at the bifurcation cases with H between the Rhine and Seez Valleys was found to be very similar to the predictions of the idealized model. An example of the detailed flow structure is shown in Figure 7(a), which displays the Doppler lidar radial velocity field at 1000 m amsl on 29 October 1999 at about 2000 UTC and the corresponding wind field simulated with the MM5 model. There is evidence of flow splitting in both the simulated wind field and the Doppler lidar measurements, which show air blowing away from the Doppler lidar in the Seez and lower Rhine Valleys (positive radial velocity) and blowing towards the lidar from the upper Rhine Valley (negative radial velocity). A cross-valley velocity shear is visible in the Seez Valley with a near-wall jet (about 8 m s−1 ) at the northern wall of the Seez Valley, while the wind speed is weaker at the southern wall of Seez Valley. Figure 7(a) also shows that, near the split point, there is a very sharp radial velocity Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 908 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. Figure 7. (a) Horizontal cross-section of Doppler lidar radial velocity (grey scale) and of MM5 wind field (arrows) at about 1000 m amsl on 29 October 1999 at about 2000 UTC. For the Doppler lidar data, positive (negative) radial velocities (indicated by the labels) denote air blowing away from (towards) the Doppler lidar (absence of shading means no reliable data). The altitude contour interval is 500 m from 500 m to 3000 m, and the marker × indicates the location of the Doppler lidar. The bold solid line indicates the section along which the along-valley wind from the Doppler lidar, the MM5 model and the idealized model are plotted in (b) and (c). (b) shows wind speed vr normalized by the inflow wind speed U , simulated and measured along the section shown in (a). The solid line depicts the idealized simulations and the dotted line the MM5 simulations on 24 October 1999 at 1200 UTC (IOP 8). The open and filled circles are the Doppler lidar measurements of the radial velocity at 1000 UTC on 2 October 1999 (IOP 5) and at 1200 UTC on 24 October 1999 (IOP 8), respectively. (c) is as (b), but for 29 and 30 October 1999 (IOP 12). The solid line depicts the idealized simulations, and the dashed and dash-dotted lines the MM5 simulations at 2000 UTC on 29 October 1999 and at 1200 UTC 30 October 1999 (MAP IOP 12), respectively. The squares and filled squares are the Doppler lidar measurements of the along-valley wind at 2000 UTC on 29 and at 1200 UTC on 30 October 1999, respectively. gradient. The wind decelerates from about 5 m s−1 down to zero within less than two kilometres. Figure 7(b,c) displays the radial wind speed vr along the thick line indicated in Figure 7(a), which is a good approximation to the wind speed along the streamline intersecting the split point. Wind speeds are normalized by the inflow wind speed, U , in the upper Rhine Valley in order to simplify the comparison of the different data sources and cases. The solid lines depict the idealized model result. The horizontal wind gradient decreases from about 1 at the entrance of the two tributaries (47.02 ° N) down to 0 at the bifurcation point (47.06 ° N) with two regimes: (1) between 47.02 ° N and 47.045 ° N, vr decreases smoothly from 1 to 0.8; (2) between 47.045 ° N and 47.06 ° N (bifurcation point), vr drops sharply from 0.8 down to zero. Drobinski et al. (2006) showed that the main mechanism occurring during regime (1) is flow deflection by the external valley sidewalls whereas the main mechanism as the flow approaches the bifurcation point is blocking and splitting (regime (2)). On 2 October 1999 (IOP 5), 29 and 30 October 1999 (IOP 12), the agreement between the Doppler lidar measurements, the MM5 simulations and the idealized simulations is very good (Figure 7(b,c). These cases were 1 (Drobinski et al., 2006 and characterized by H Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society Table III). In accordance with the idealized model, the Doppler lidar and the MM5 model (horizontal resolution 200 m and 330 m, respectively) show a clear distinction between the smooth and sharp gradient regions. However, the Doppler lidar measurements and MM5 simulations do not show evidence of a sharp gradient near the bifurcation point on 24 October 1999 at 1200 UTC (IOP 8) (Figure 7(b)). This can be traced back to the fact was only about 0.8 on that day, corresponding that H to a ‘flow over’ regime without a stagnation point at the valley bifurcation. Evidently, the idealized 2D model ceases to be valid in such a situation. Another fundamental difference between the channelled and unchannelled flow regimes becomes evident from the along-valley mass fluxes. Table III shows the measured mass flux in the Seez, SRsv , and lower Rhine, SRlrv , Valleys, normalized with the mass flux measured in the upper Rhine Valley (called split ratio in the table) for several IOPs (Drobinski et al., 2006). It can be seen that the flow budget is approximately balanced 1 (IOPs 5, 8 and 12), con(SRlrv + SRsv ≈ 1) for H firming that the flow is channelled and quasi-2D under these circumstances. One must note that simulations of these IOPs indicate that the föhn extends only a few kilometres north of the valley bifurcation and afterwards gets lifted over the low-level cold pool, so the vertical contraction of the föhn layer eliminates the need of a deceleration in response to the widening of the Rhine Valley bottom. Otherwise, for the other IOPs, there is Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 909 FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP 2 (19 Sep 1999) 5 (2 Oct 1999) 8 (20 Oct 1999) 10 (24 Oct 1999) 12 (29 Oct 1999) 12 (30 Oct 1999) 15 (5 Nov 1999) Split ratio Brunt– Normalized SRlrv SRsv Väisälä frequency N (10−2 s−1 ) valley depth H 1.26 0.70 0.83 1.08 0.67 0.52 1.20 0.13 0.35 0.24 0.84 0.39 0.37 0.11 0.9 2.0 1.2 1.2 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.7 2.1 1.8 0.8 4.2 5.7 1.0 The split ratio is computed from the radiosounding (launched from Heiligkreuz in the Seez Valley, Buchs-Grabs in the lower Rhine Valley and Malans in the upper Rhine Valley) velocity measurements for IOP 2 and 15 (when the Doppler lidar was not in operation), or from the Doppler lidar velocity measurements for IOP 5, 8, 10 and 12. The in-valley velocities are integrated vertically over the föhn jet depth. When the Doppler lidar data are used, the in-valley velocity is also integrated horizontally over the valley width. The values of N and H are computed from the radiosounding launched from Malans (upstream sounding) or from Heiligkreuz when one was not launched from Malans (IOP 2 and 5). a substantial excess flow rate in the lower Rhine Valley, which can be traced back to descending air masses. In an independent calculation, Jaubert and Stein (2003) and Beffrey et al. (2004b) found that the downward mass flux can contribute more than 30% to the total flow budget during deep föhn events. The subsidence potentially affects both the Seez Valley and the lower Rhine Valley but usually tends to be more pronounced in the lower Rhine Valley. As pointed out by Zängl et al. (2004a), the subsidence can also have a profound impact on the temperature field in the adjacent valley segments. The simulated low-level flow field for IOP 10 (24 October 1999 at 1200 UTC) is displayed in Figure 8 together with the corresponding 4.3. Föhn/cold-pool interaction A cold surface layer or cold pool often fills the floor of Alpine valleys and prevents the upper-level föhn flow from reaching the ground during most of the duration of föhn episodes. The cold pool is either present from the preceding (colder) weather situation or rebuilds at night 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 300 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Distance (km) 35 40 0 298 0 29 8 298 40 296 40 300 (b) 300 (a) 298 IOP surface potential temperature field. As already mentioned, the flow splitting at the ridge separating the Seez Valley from the lower Rhine Valley did not involve a stagnation point on that day (Figure 8(a)). Thus, the low-level airflow originating from the upper Rhine Valley enters not only the two valleys, but part of it even ascends the dividing mountain ridge. The strongest subsidence of warm air occurs in the lower Rhine Valley around Vaduz, where south-south-easterly flow reaches the valley from the adjacent Rätikon massif. The surface observations collected at Vaduz indicate that this flow feature is quite typical for deep föhn, showing a typical surface wind direction between 150° and 170° . In the case considered here, the model also predicts warm-air subsidence in the Seez Valley, particularly in its western part where the air enters the valley directly from the mountain range to the south. The latter feature cannot be verified due to the lack of a surface station. An important consequence of the warm-air subsidence downstream of the flow-splitting point is that the surface potential temperature in the lower Rhine Valley (and presumably also in the Seez Valley) can be substantially higher than in the upper Rhine Valley (Figure 8(b)). In fact, Vaduz was as much as 8 K warmer than Chur in the morning of 24 October 1999 (Zängl et al., 2004a), and θ differences in excess of 4 K are observed quite frequently. It remains to be pointed out that turbulent vertical mixing of stably stratified air is also capable of inducing an along-valley increase of potential temperature. However, separating this effect from the impact of direct warm-air advection is difficult because numerical models appear to have substantial deficiencies in representing turbulent mixing in narrow Alpine valleys (e.g. Zängl, 2003). 300 Table III. Split ratios in the lower Rhine (SRlrv ) and Seez (SRsv ) valleys.. 30 0 298 0 5 10 294 15 20 25 30 Distance (km) 35 40 Figure 8. MM5 model results for 1200 UTC on 24 October 1999 (Zängl et al., 2004a): (a) surface streamlines, (b) surface potential temperature (contour interval 1 K). In both panels, topography is shaded with an increment of 600 m. Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 910 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. when the absence of clouds permits the ground to radiate freely to space. Only when the föhn is sufficiently intense does the föhn flow touch the floor of Alpine valleys. Three mechanisms are likely to govern the penetration of the föhn flow to the valley floor: (1) the diurnal heating of the cold pool by solar radiation may diminish the stability and allow vertical mixing, (2) turbulent entrainment induced by Kelvin–Helmholtz instability at the top of the cold pool may erode and eventually destroy the pool (Nater et al., 1979), and (3) the occasional intensification of a mountain wave at higher levels may force the föhn flow down to the ground level and flush the cold pool downstream, for instance in the case of a breaking wave aloft. Indeed, gravity-wave breaking accelerates the flow beneath the wave-breaking zone and thus can increase the cold-pool erosion due to turbulent mixing or due to an enhanced pressure drag force if the cold pool has a steep lateral edge. Downstream advection of the cold pool is also possible in the absence of pronounced gravity-wave activity when the mesoscale pressure field at the top of the cold pool imposes a favourable forcing (e.g. Zängl, 2005). Of course, these cold-pool removal processes may also occur simultaneously. The interaction between the cold pool and the föhn in the Rhine Valley was best documented during IOPs 8 and 9 (21–22 October 1999; Gubser and Richner, 2001) and IOP 15 (5 and 6 November 1999; Vogt and Jaubert, 2004; Jaubert et al., 2005; Flamant et al., 2006). The warming rate due to heat flux in the cold pool under föhn conditions could be estimated only during IOP 9, as there were no dedicated aircraft flights on other föhn days. Gubser and Richner (2001) found that the heat fluxes at the surface and at the top of the cold pool were comparable in magnitude (about 15 W m−2 ). Based on these heat fluxes but without accounting for long-wave radiative cooling (which causes the air column to lose at least part of the energy gained by the heat flux), they estimated warming rate of about 25 K (day)−1 , which appears to be considerably too high. Gubser and Richner (2001) concluded that, with such a warming rate, any cold pool would disappear within less than one day, and föhn periods with more or less stationary and persistent cold pools could not occur. An important contribution to this discrepancy might arise from cold-air advection from the Alpine foreland. Surface observations and numerical simulations (Zängl et al., 2004a; Beffrey et al., 2004a; Jaubert et al., 2005) frequently indicate a light northerly flow within the cold pool, particularly when the preceding weather evolution formed a significant cold-air pool in the Alpine foreland. The pressure gradient driving this inflow is most likely due to the fact that gravity-wave dynamics tends to form a local pressure minimum at the boundary between the föhn and the cold pool (Zängl et al. 2004a). Moreover, a gradually decreasing cold-pool depth between the Lake Constance region and the southern edge of the cold pool might play a role. Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society Numerical simulations of IOP 15 conducted by Jaubert et al. (2005) and an observational study by Flamant et al. (2006) indicate that the presence or absence of a cold pool in the lower Rhine Valley is of crucial importance for the flow evolution. Jaubert et al. (2005) simulated this event using the mesoscale model Méso-NH with great realism. They used a mesoscale analysis over the whole simulation domain, which turned out to improve the results significantly. Specifically, the mesoscale analysis allowed introduction of a realistic initial cold pool that was missing in the large-scale analysis at noon. As an illustration, Figure 9 shows the vertical structure of the cold pool documented through reflectivity measurements made along the Rhine Valley between 1445 and 1505 UTC with the nadir-pointing differential absorption lidar LEANDRE-2, and the potential temperature fields for two simulations using the Méso-NH model – with (A12) and without (REF12) mesoscale analysis as initial state – along the ARAT flight track. In the reflectivity measurements, the cold pool corresponds to the region of high reflectivity (350 arbitrary units or higher). Above the cold pool and below 2 km amsl, the reflectivity is generally very low, indicating the presence of the dry föhn layer. The southern tip of the cold pool is located just north of Weite, in agreement with the surface measurements. The depth of the cold pool increases slowly towards the north, and reaches 250 m north of Rankweil, where the reflectivity also increases, indicating moister conditions. This depth was also observed over Lake Constance (not shown, see Flamant et al., 2006). The structure of the cold pool, as defined by the low potential temperature regions, bears resemblance to that observed by lidar in simulation A12, but the cold pool is missing in simulation REF12 (Jaubert et al., 2005). The effect of the mesoscale analysis as initial state of the A12 simulation was not limited to the first hours of the simulation, but was still effective 12 hours after the beginning of the run; a realistic cold-pool height prevents the föhn from touching the ground too early, and allows for simulating an accurate timing of the föhn onset. A heat budget analysis of the interactions between the cold pool and the föhn jet above during the late afternoon and evening of 5 November 1999 indicated that the leading terms are the advection by the mean flow and the turbulent tendency, whereas radiation tendency is weak (also Flamant et al., 2006). The turbulent mixing occurs mainly close to the terrain, in the regions where the föhn air descends in the lee of the mountain range and then interacts with the cold pool. Jaubert et al.’s (2005) results are consistent with the analysis of IOP 4–5 by Frioud et al. (2004) and of IOP 10 by Zängl et al. (2004a), who also found that turbulent vertical mixing is important for the erosion of the cold-air pool that initially fills the lower Rhine Valley. 4.3. Advances in numerical modelling of föhn in the Rhine Valley during MAP One major objective of MAP was to improve the performance of high-resolution NWP, hydrological and coupled Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 911 FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP (a) 3 Lidar reflectivity 430 Altitude (km) 410 2 390 370 350 1 330 0 Altitude (km) (b) 0.4 3 Pot.Temp. (K) REF12 2 4.3.1. Initial state 1 Altitude (km) (c) meshes at the same time in a one-way or two-way interactive mode. The highest model resolution was about a kilometre. These real-case simulations were forced and initialized with NWP analyzes and realistically reproduced several MAP föhn events over their whole duration (IOP 12, Drobinski et al., 2003a; IOP 2, Jaubert and Stein, 2003; IOP 8, Lothon, 2002). However, some limits appeared with respect to model initialization (since large-scale NWP analyzes do not allow for reproducing the low-level thermodynamic structure in the valleys), grid resolution (since a grid size of a few kilometres is not fine enough to reproduce the complex orography of the Rhine Valley and its tributaries), and numerical diffusion over steep orography. All these problems could be solved using the FORM dataset, allowing more accurate and reliable numerical modelling and forecasting of the 3D structure of föhn and its time evolution in the Rhine Valley. 0.4 3 Pot.Temp. (K) A12 2 1 0.4 0 20 Weite X (km) 40 60 Rankweil Altenrhein Figure 9. (a) Atmospheric reflectivity at 732 nm obtained from the airborne lidar LEANDRE-2 between 1445 and 1505 UTC on 5 November 1999 (IOP 15) along the lower Rhine Valley. Reflectivity units are arbitrary. The continuous white line represents the orography. (b) Vertical cross-section along the lower Rhine Valley at 1500 UTC on 5 November 1999 of potential temperature (with contour interval 1 K, light shading over 300 K, medium shading below 296 K, and darker shading below 292 K) and vertical velocity (dashed contours with interval 0.25 m s−1 ) from the reference Méso-NH simulation (REF12) without mesoscale analysis. (c) As (b) for a simulation with mesoscale analysis as initial state (A12). models in mountainous terrain. The numerical modelling work on föhn began in 1999 with the state-of-the-art mesoscale models. The models are non-hydrostatic and nested model domains are used, with different horizontal Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society The numerical studies by Jaubert and Stein (2003) and Beffrey et al. (2004a), using the mesoscale model MésoNH, provides evidence that a satisfactory simulation of larger-scale aspects as well as meso-γ aspects of föhn cases (IOPs 2 and 8, respectively) can be achieved with operational meteorological large-scale analyzes and a mesoscale model with nested domains. However, in these two studies, the depth of the cold pool was unrealistic, probably due to a deficiency of the initial analyzes. Using the MM5 model, Zängl et al. (2004a) used sounding measurements to modify the lower levels of the large-scale analysis in the Alpine region in order to get a more realistic surface temperature, particularly in the Rhine Valley. Jaubert et al. (2005) went one step further and explored the benefits of an operational mesoscale analysis scheme, capable of introducing mesoscale features such as cold pools at the scale of Alpine valleys. Their simulation of IOP 15 (5–6 November 1999) initialized with the mesoscale analysis scheme improved significantly the cold-pool dynamics and the föhn life-cycle (especially onset) as shown by comparing the model outputs with lidar (Figure 9) and wind profiler (Vogt and Jaubert, 2004) measurements. 4.3.2. Numerical diffusion Numerical simulations performed with the mesoscale model MM5 for 24 October 1999 (IOP 10, Zängl et al., 2004a) demonstrate that a proper treatment of numerical diffusion is of crucial importance. As in several other mesoscale models, the numerical diffusion was originally implemented as a fourth-order horizontal smoothing operator evaluated along the terrain-following sigma coordinate surfaces without accounting for any metric terms. Over steep topography, this tends to induce large systematic errors for variables having a strong vertical stratification (temperature and the water vapour mixing ratio). The original implementation was changed by Zängl (2002b) into a truly horizontal computation of Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 912 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. the numerical diffusion of temperature and the mixing ratios of water vapour and cloud water. As illustrated in Figure 10 for the station at Fussach, located at the southern shore of Lake Constance, the modified diffusion scheme (denoted as z-diffusion) enables the model to reproduce the observed flow evolution essentially correctly. Discrepancies between model results and observations are largely restricted to small errors in the time of föhn breakthrough or in the time of the cold front passage (1–2 hours each). However, using the original MM5 diffusion scheme (denoted as sigma-diffusion) greatly degrades the results. The föhn breakthrough at Lake Constance is then simulated at least 5 hours too early, and the agreement between simulated and observed surface temperatures worsens even in those parts of the valley where the occurrence of föhn is predicted correctly (not shown). This can be explained by the fact that computing the numerical diffusion of temperature along the model surfaces effectively destroys local cold-air pools within valleys because the cold air is mixed with the warmer air over the adjacent side slopes and ridges. The severity of the related numerical errors is further emphasized by another sensitivity experiment in which the horizontal resolution was degraded from 1 to 3 km while retaining the improved diffusion scheme. As evident from Figure 10, the reduced model resolution has much less detrimental effects on the model results than using the original diffusion scheme at 1 km resolution. 4.3.3. Model validation The deployment of innovative remote sensors to document at high temporal and spatial resolutions the 3D flow structure was the instrumental core for new methods of validation of high-resolution modelling. Föhn flow was observed with Doppler lidars, sodars and wind profilers, and the structure of the planetary boundary layer in complex terrain with a backscatter lidar. During MAP, mesoscale simulations were performed with horizontal mesh sizes down to 200–600 m, implying that spatially continuous measurements are crucial for a proper validation. The Rankweil RASS wind profiler operated at (a) 300 Föhn conditions impair human comfort and health in Alpine regions, causing headache and circulatory (b) 16 Fussach, wind speed 14 296 Wind speed (m s-1) Potential temperature (K) 4.4. FORM-related side project: Evaluation of föhn impact on regional air quality during MAP Fussach, temperature 298 294 292 290 288 Observation 1 km, z-diffusion 1 km, sigma-diffusion 3 km, z-diffusion 286 284 282 30 min time resolution and 60 m vertical resolution (Vogt and Jaubert, 2004) and the TWL operated at about 1 min time resolution and 250 m radial resolution (Beffrey et al., 2004a; Drobinski et al., 2006; Figure 7) allowed for an unprecedented validation exercise. As an illustration, the radial velocity field obtained from the TWL measurements on 20 October 1999 between 0837 and 0943 UTC (IOP 8) is compared to the radial velocity field simulated with Méso-NH (Figure 11) (Beffrey et al., 2004a). The simulated field is consistent with the observations. A strong jet of incoming air (radial velocities up to 15 m s−1 ) can be found in the upper Rhine Valley. At the junction of the Seez and Rhine Valleys it splits into two branches, one along the Seez Valley and the other towards Lake Constance. In the Seez Valley, a strong, transverse gradient can be observed in the radialvelocity field with strong winds along the northern wall and almost no wind in the south. At higher levels, radial velocities are somewhat underestimated by the model (by about 5 m s−1 ) due to an insufficient channelling by the smoothed topography of the model (the resolution for the prescribed topography is 1 km). Another explanation is that the direction of the simulated wind is slightly different from the actual wind direction. Although there are small but significant discrepancies, it can be noted that the salient features of the dynamic field revealed by the TWL are well reproduced by the model. A novel approach for validating high-resolution models against conventional station data was introduced by Zängl et al. (2004a). A model-independent 2D analysis (VERA, Vienna Enhanced Resolution Analysis; Chimani et al., 2006) was used as an alternative to interpolating model fields to the locations of the stations. When the analysis approximately equals the model resolution, this method helps to gain a better overview of the spatial distribution of the differences than just comparing point data. 6 8 10 12 14 16 Time (h) 18 12 10 8 6 4 2 20 0 6 8 10 12 14 16 Time (h) 18 20 Figure 10. Temporal evolution of (a) surface temperature and (b) surface wind speed at Fußach (near Bregenz on Lake Constance, see Figure 2) on 24 October 1999. The simulations were conducted with MM5 with either four or three interactively nested domains, corresponding to 1 km and 3 km resolution in the finest domain (Zängl et al., 2004a). z-diffusion denotes the truly horizontal diffusion scheme developed by Zängl (2002b). Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP 913 Figure 11. Horizontal cross-section at (a), (b) 1000 m amsl and (c), (d) 1600 m amsl of the radial velocities (colour shading, m s−1 ). (a) and (c) are from the transportable wind lidar (TWL) between 0837 and 0943 UTC on 20 October 1999 (IOP 8); (b) and (d) are simulated by Méso-NH at 0900 UTC on 20 October 1999. Arrows represent the simulated wind field; the arrow at the bottom left-hand corner represents 20 m s−1 . The topography is shown by the contours (600 to 2200 m amsl) with intervals of 200 m. This figure is available in colour online at www.interscience.wiley.com/qj disturbances (e.g. Florida-James et al., 2004). Besides these effects, air pollution can be strongly enhanced under south föhn conditions in several regions on the northern side of the Alps (Nkemdirim and Leggat, 1978; Hoinka and Rösler, 1987). Indeed, in the cold-air pool, the ozone concentration is reduced below the free-tropospheric background level due to chemical reactions with other pollutants, mainly nitrogen oxides. Thus, föhn breakthrough goes along with an increase in the ozone concentration whereas other pollutants are reduced. So ozone concentrations in the valley tend to increase at the onset of föhn. High wind speeds and turbulence reduce the effects of titration by nitric oxide and dry deposition on the concentrations of ozone. This results in higher ozone concentrations in the valley at night and in the morning hours. These ozone concentrations are usually not as high as the highest ozone concentrations reached during photochemical smog episodes. This means that föhn events do not necessarily cause ozone peaks, but prolong the duration of ozone stress in föhn areas. On the other hand, a penetration of the föhn to the ground may bring a sudden relief to some valley segments when polluted air in the valley is replaced by usually less polluted air from above, whilst other segments of the valley remain within a shallow inversion without significant air-mass exchange. Air quality is thus of high interest in the densely populated Alpine Rhine Valley. The set-up of ozone, nitrogen and Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society aerosol concentration measurements by in situ and remote sensors allowed investigation of the air-mass composition with high temporal and vertical resolution. In the Rhine Valley, air quality strongly depends on the interaction between föhn and the cold pool close to Lake Constance. Indeed, the cold-air pool often persists (also during most south föhn conditions) leading to enhanced air pollution within the stagnant boundary layer which proved to be an aerosol-rich layer from the backscatter lidar measurements (Frioud et al., 2004), whereas föhn brings relief as clean air from above is mixed into the boundary layer. The question arises whether the high ozone levels found north of the Alps, e.g. in the Rhine Valley, during south föhn are originally produced in polluted areas south of the Alps or are transported downwards from the stratosphere. Baumann et al. (2001) showed that, during the MAP SOP, föhn-induced ozone peaks in October and November were found to be much lower than in September. They found remarkable spatial differences in the ozone records over a relatively small area of the Rhine Valley, confirming the usually ‘patchy’ distribution of ozone concentrations during föhn events which reflect the separation of föhn-shielded from föhn-exposed areas. The stratification within the lowest few hundred metres, especially the presence of a coldair pool, determines whether the air mass with higher ozone concentrations advected by the föhn flow reaches Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj 914 P. DROBINSKI ET AL. the ground or remains a few hundred metres above ground without or before removing the near-ground cold-air pool. The trajectory calculations for the föhn period confirm the general experience from previous investigations (Seibert, 1990) that the air advected by south föhn often originates from around 2000 m above the Po basin. Nevertheless, the results of 22 October 1999 (IOP 9) demonstrate that air masses from the lower free troposphere can be imported into the föhn flow due to changing meteorological conditions in the course of a longer föhn period. In this case, the föhn air originating from 4000 m agl (above ground level) caused the most distinct increase of ozone of this föhn phase at the monitoring stations in the Rhine Valley. No vertical transport of ozone from the stratosphere and upper troposphere was involved in the increase of the ozone concentrations in the föhn valleys during the föhn phase. 5. Concluding remarks Looking back from some distance, the design of the composite observing network may be assessed as quite positive, even though lessons can always be learned. The composite observing system and the combination of remote-sensing and in situ systems produced a wealth of data which allows unprecedented insight into the structure of the föhn flow and a valley network with complex geometry. The combination of established and novel remote-sensing instruments (e.g. Doppler and water vapour lidars) with conventional in situ measurements (dense surface network and radiosondes) allowed capture of previously unseen details of the fine structure of föhn (Richner et al., 2006). This allows the validation of ultra-high-resolution numerical research and weather prediction models. The work conducted in the framework of FORM now also allows the comparison of the flow characteristics of the föhn in the Rhine Valley with those observed in the Wipp Valley region, the second föhn target area during MAP (project P4; Mayr et al., 2007) (Figure 1). In accordance with our findings for the Rhine Valley, the importance of 3D gravity wave effects for the lowlevel wind field in the valley has also been pointed out for the Wipp Valley (Flamant et al., 2002; Zängl, 2003; Zängl et al., 2004b). However, the Wipp Valley appears to encounter shallow föhn flows more frequently, in which the essential flow dynamics can be alternatively explained with the conceptually simpler shallow-water model (Gohm and Mayr, 2004). Marked differences also occur for the low-level flow behaviour before föhn breakthrough. The lower Rhine Valley frequently experiences light upvalley flow within the cold pool, indicating a cold-air advection from the Alpine foreland opposing the föhn breakthrough. In the Wipp Valley, katabatic downvalley flow usually prevails in the pre-föhn phase, except perhaps for a very short period immediately before föhn breakthrough (Zängl, 2003). Moreover, the Copyright 2007 Royal Meteorological Society adjacent Inn Valley usually encounters downvalley flow, which has frequently been interpreted as cold-air outflow into the Alpine foreland. Zängl (2003) showed that the westerly downvalley flow is locally enhanced around Innsbruck due to an east–west asymmetry in the gravity wave activity. It is also important to note that the lower Rhine Valley tends to be more strongly affected by cold-air pools lying north of the Alps than the Wipp Valley because the former valley exits directly into the Alpine foreland. Finally, it has been found that the downvalley increase of the surface potential temperature can be significantly stronger for the Rhine Valley than for the Wipp Valley. In the Wipp Valley, the low-level airflow essentially follows the valley axis, so that an increase in surface potential temperature can occur only due to turbulent vertical mixing of stably stratified air (Seibert, 1985; Zängl, 2003). Since the Wipp Valley widens considerably in the downvalley direction, the stable stratification might be reinforced by subsidence of potentially even warmer air from aloft into the valley region, so that the mixing-induced potential temperature increase can be quite appreciable (∼5 K). In the Rhine Valley, values up to 8 K have been observed because, in addition to mixing-induced warming, direct warm-air advection from the adjacent mountain ranges into the valley is possible, particularly in the region of Vaduz. Finally, despite the significant progress made in föhn understanding, modelling and forecasting thanks to the MAP programme, several key issues are still at best partly understood. Among those are: (1) The föhn/cold-pool interaction: the interaction of ambient air flow with cold pools still poses a major challenge to understanding and predicting local weather in mountainous regions. It is of crucial importance not only for föhn flows but also for wintertime warm-front passages, leading to pronounced horizontal temperature differences and possibly large fluctuations in the height of the snow line. As already discussed above, the most important processes involved in the interaction between ambient flows and cold pools are turbulent erosion, radiative heating/cooling, interaction with orographic gravity waves and cold-air drainage related to an externally imposed pressure gradient. Some of these processes are only partly understood so far and are difficult to represent in a numerical model. Apart from high resolution and accurate model numerics, representing these processes requires highly sophisticated parametrizations for turbulence, radiation and clouds. Regarding the model numerics, the implementation of numerical diffusion is particularly crucial because simple methods tend to destroy cold pools in narrow valleys. A major weakness of present turbulence models is that the effects of the valley topography (increased turbulence due to sidewall friction) are not properly accounted for, even when the turbulence model is 3D. Finally, interactions between fog and Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj FÖHN IN THE RHINE VALLEY DURING MAP radiation are potentially important, and most microphysical parametrizations used in mesoscale models tend to remove fog by converting the cloud water too rapidly into drizzle (Crewell et al., 2003). (2) The role of scale interactions in the local response of föhn to a large-scale forcing: the sensitivity of the local response of the föhn to any uncertainty in the large-scale analysis still needs to be investigated in more detail. For example, the simulation of some MAP föhn events (particularly IOP 8, Beffrey et al., 2004a) presumably failed due to an erroneous timing in the large-scale forcing (inflow strength and direction, cold front location). Improving the understanding of scale interactions includes analyzing the interaction of the synoptic-scale flow with the Alpine massif as a whole, and its possible side effects on the local characteristics of föhn flow. At a smaller scale, the sensitivity of the amplitude, phase and temporal evolution of orographic gravity waves to the ambient flow are still poorly understood, particularly in the presence of wave breaking. (Lothon (2002) and Lothon et al. (2003) showed evidence of enhanced turbulence around and above crest level; this could be taken as evidence for wave breaking, since it was presumably not boundary-layer turbulence, but there is no formal proof.) However, the local evolution of föhn flow might depend very sensitively on the wave structure. In addition, the interaction between föhn and cold pools again comes into play, as the cold pools might either be localized in some valley segments or be fed from a larger-scale cold-air reservoir in the northern Alpine foreland. (3) The model initialization issue: future data assimilation will need to be conducted on a high-resolution grid to allow for a proper use of the available data (particularly surface data). The range of validity of point measurements (or line measurements i.e. radiosondes) can be highly anisotropic in mountainous terrain, which will need to be accounted for in future mesoscale data assimilation systems. Acknowledgements We are deeply indebted to many colleagues who contributed to this overview paper by providing text, figures and other input. We also thank the many agencies of the participating countries which, by their financial support, contributed to the success of the field experiment and the progress of föhn understanding in the complex Alpine valleys. References Baumann K, Maurer H, Rau G, Piringer M, Pechinger U, Prévôt A, Furger M, Neininger B, Pellegrini U. 2001. 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Soc. 133: 897–916 (2007) DOI: 10.1002/qj
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