Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 The Alliance System The Alliance System (System) consists of a 3,849 kilometre (km) (2,392 mile) integrated Canadian and U.S. natural gas transmission pipeline, delivering rich natural gas from the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) and the Williston Basin in North Dakota to the natural gas market in Chicago. The System has been in commercial service since December 2000 and currently delivers an average of 1.7 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) of rich gas to the Aux Sable natural gas liquids (NGLs) extraction facility, owned by Aux Sable Liquid Products LP (Aux Sable), an affiliate of Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership (Alliance Canada). Rich gas is natural gas with relatively high NGLs content; mainly ethane, propane, butane and condensates. The System connects with the Aux Sable NGLs extraction facility in Channahon, Illinois, which extracts NGLs from the natural gas transported before delivery to downstream pipelines. The pipeline connects in the Chicago area, through its downstream header, with five interstate natural gas pipelines and two local natural gas distribution systems, which provide shippers with access to natural gas markets in the Midwestern and Northeastern U.S., and Eastern Canada. All shippers have signed extraction agreements that give Aux Sable the exclusive right to extract the NGLs from the rich gas transported. The System also has three connections, two in North Dakota and one in Iowa, to provide for deliveries of small amounts of natural gas to ethanol production plants. Facilities include 14 mainline compressor stations that operate between approximately 31,000 horsepower (hp) and 46,000 hp each, spaced at approximately 193 km intervals; mainline block valves, spaced, on average, at 32 km intervals; operating and maintenance facilities; and an associated SCADA system. Construction of the System began in May 1999 and commercial operations commenced on December 1, 2000. Shippers executed transportation contracts with each of Alliance Canada and Alliance Pipeline L.P. (Alliance U.S.) that had a primary term ending November 30, 2015. Those contracts provided for tolls based on a cost-of-service tolling mechanism and the transportation of 100% of Alliance Canada’s available firm capacity. Page | 1 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 On May 22, 2014, Alliance Canada filed an application with the National Energy Board (NEB) for regulatory approval of the New Services Offering (Services Offering) tolls and tariff provisions, to be effective December 1, 2015. On July 9, 2015, the NEB approved Alliance Canada's Services Offering tolls and tariff, subject to certain Board directions and conditions. The conditions included restrictions on Alliance Canada's discretion to set bid floors for seasonal and interruptible transportation (IT) service to no more than 125% of the corresponding firm service toll, and on our ability to discount seasonal service below the corresponding firm service toll. In 2016, Alliance Canada sought a review and variance of the NEB’s decision regarding Prior Period Adjustment fees, however that issue has been commercially resolved and once the resolution is implemented Alliance Canada will abandon its review and variance application. Similarly, Alliance U.S. applied to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) on May 29, 2015 for regulatory approval of amendments to its FERC Gas Tariff, to be effective December 1, 2015. On June 30, 2015, the FERC approved Alliance U.S.’s amendments to its FERC Gas Tariff. Although long-term firm shippers on Alliance U.S. have negotiated rates, Alliance U.S. recourse rates were the subject of a proceeding during 2016. On December 15, 2016 the FERC conditionally approved Alliance U.S.’s recourse rate settlement with minor modifications and severed and remanded for hearing certain gas processing issues. That hearing has been temporarily suspended to permit further settlement discussions. On December 1, 2015, Alliance Canada commenced the implementation of its Services Offering providing shippers with competitive long-term fixed firm tolls and biddable tolls for seasonal firm, short-term firm and IT services. The Services Offering includes both full-path and segmented receipt and delivery services. A new Canadian trading pool and a revised hydrocarbon dewpoint specification will also facilitate the transportation of rich gas. The new services were developed in a manner that is cognizant of "cost based" parameters, but deviates from the costof-service tolling model and reflects a more dynamic and flexible market-focused approach under which Alliance Canada will assume a higher degree of business risk and provide flexibility to effectively respond to evolving market conditions. Alliance Canada has re-contracted all of its available year-round firm receipt capacity through 2018, and approximately 90% of available year-round firm receipt capacity in 2019 and 2020, with average contract durations of 5.3 years. Following this successful marketing of Alliance Canada's initial firm contracts effective December 1, 2015, demand for Alliance Canada's seasonal firm services has been in excess of available seasonal firm capacity. Alliance has also effectively marketed short-term firm and IT services. ALLIANCE CANADA The Alliance Canada portion of the System consists of approximately 1,561 kms (970 miles) of natural gas mainline pipeline and 732 kms (455 miles) of related lateral pipelines connected to natural gas receipt locations, primarily at gas processing facilities in northwestern Alberta and northeastern British Columbia, and related infrastructure. Alliance Canada owns the Canadian portion of the System. Alliance Canada is jointly owned by Enbridge Income Partners Holdings Inc. and Veresen Energy Infrastructure Inc. (Partners) and is subject to federal regulation by the NEB. ALLIANCE U.S. The Alliance U.S. portion of the System consists of approximately 1,556 kms (967 miles) of infrastructure including the 129 km (80 mile) Tioga Lateral in North Dakota. Alliance U.S., an affiliate of Alliance Canada, owns the U.S. portion of the System. Alliance U.S. is jointly owned by Enbridge Income Partners US Holdings Inc. and Fort Chicago Pipeline II U.S. L.P. (a Veresen affiliate) and is subject to federal regulation by the FERC. Page | 2 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Financial and Operating Highlights ($millions, except where noted) Operating Highlights Average daily long-term firm (mmcf/d) (1) Average daily seasonal/short-term(2) firm (mmcf/d) (1) Average daily interruptible(2) (mmcf/d) (1) Total average daily contracted volume (mmcf/d) (1) Financial Highlights Total revenues Operating expenses (excluding depreciation) Depreciation expense Net interest expense and other income Extraordinary gain Net income Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) (3) Partner distributions paid Cash provided by operating activities Capital additions Financial Position Working capital Total long-term assets Senior debt Debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) Years ended December 31 2015 2014 2016 1,327.2 137.7 69.3 1,534.2 1,335.3 4.8 5.5 1,345.6 1,325.0 1,325.0 519.8 198.5 70.7 52.3 198.2 329.7 175.0 252.1 5.5 514.9 205.5 117.2 66.5 3.2 128.8 310.9 137.3 253.7 7.6 533.7 225.2 117.0 73.3 118.2 309.4 143.2 238.3 9.6 43.3 1,108.0 866.6 15.8 1,173.8 948.5 (14.2) 1,278.4 1,037.0 2.3 2.1 2.0 (1) mmcf/d - Million cubic feet per day (2) Seasonal firm, short-term firm and interruptible transportation service commenced on December 1, 2015. In December 2015 average daily seasonal and short-term firm was 57.6 mmcf/d and average daily interruptible was 64.8 mmcf/d. (3) Refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures”. All financial information in this Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) has been prepared in accordance with United States Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (U.S. GAAP). This MD&A reviews the significant events and transactions that impacted our performance during the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2016. The following MD&A is as of February 2, 2017 and should be read in conjunction with our audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2016 and our 2015 Annual Information Form. All amounts in this MD&A are in millions of Canadian dollars except per unit amounts. Throughout this MD&A, the terms, we, us, our, and Alliance Canada mean Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership. The term Alliance U.S. refers to Alliance Pipeline L.P., the owner of the U.S portion of the pipeline. Collectively, Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership and Alliance Pipeline L.P. are referred to as the System. The cost‐of‐service model refers to the originally contracted services, that Alliance Canada provided to customers, that concluded on November 30, 2015. The Services Offering refers to the multi‐service, at risk transportation service model that was approved by National Energy Board (NEB) on July 9, 2015 for service to commence December 1, 2015. Page | 3 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Health and Safety Stewardship At Alliance Canada, safety and environmental stewardship are our top core values. We consider both in our daily decisions and actions with the goal of being incident free. That means protecting the environment around us and keeping our neighbors, employees and contractors safe. We comply with or exceed all applicable health, safety and environmental laws and regulations in all material respects. Natural gas pipelines in Canada are required to meet construction, operating and maintenance standards established by the NEB, other federal regulators and the Canadian Standards Association. Alliance Canada is subject to the NEB’s Onshore Pipeline Regulations for designing, constructing, operating and abandoning pipelines. Operationally, we comply in all material respects with the NEB Act, the Onshore Pipeline Regulations and all applicable safety regulations, standards and codes. We conduct patrols of rights of way and required inspections and audits of pipeline condition through investigative excavations and assessments of the levels of protection related to our cathodic protection system, relief valves and mainline valves. Our maintenance program includes monthly, quarterly, semi-annual and annual inspections of all compressor station and meter station facilities. Maintenance expenditures vary from year to year. We are now in our second decade of operations and as the System matures and technology changes, we anticipate increased maintenance requirements for some facilities and optimization for other facilities that have undergone improvements or upgrades. As part of our maintenance inspection program, routine internal safety and security audits are performed at compressor station facilities with corrective actions as required. We have developed a structured Health and Safety Management System based on Occupational Health and Safety Management Guidelines. This system is part of Alliance’s Integrated Management System that has been developed for integration of key operational programs to manage hazards and risks associated with operation of the System. We allow inspections and audits when agencies that regulate our industry request them, and follow defined practices to meet regulatory requirements during the construction, operation and maintenance of our facilities. In addition to complying with general operating and maintenance requirements, we have rigorous integrity management programs that regularly assess the condition of the System. Our robust pipeline integrity lifecycle efforts have resulted in three cycles of inline inspections completed in 16 years of operations. Page | 4 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Environmental Stewardship Even with the design features of the System making it more efficient than older, conventional natural gas pipelines, Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions are created during the combustion of natural gas in turbines that drive compressors to move natural gas through the System. Although GHG emissions have been reduced by using high efficiency gas turbines, the emissions intensity from the Alliance Canada pipeline still exceeds the net emissions intensity limit calculated under Alberta's Specified Gas Emitters Regulation (SGER). Under the SGER, facilities that emit more than 100,000 tonnes of CO2 annually, which includes the Alliance Canada pipeline, are required to reduce their emissions intensity commencing in 2009 by 12% of their baseline emissions. Given that the Alliance Canada portion of the System is a relatively recently constructed facility, further emission reductions at the source are difficult and Alliance Canada's remaining compliance options to meet its required emission reduction target are to purchase credits from the Alberta Climate Change Fund for $20.00 per credit in 2016 (1 credit = 1 tonne of CO2 emission reductions) or to purchase offsets from qualified projects. The Alberta Government announced changes to the SGER program in June 2015. The reduction target remained at 12% in 2015, but increased to 15% in 2016 and will increase to 20% in 2017. The cost of credits remained at $15 per tonne for 2015, increased to $20 per tonne in 2016 and will be $30 per tonne in 2017. Beginning January 1, 2017, the new carbon levy will apply to all fossil fuels at a rate of $20 per tonne of CO2 emissions and increasing to $30 per tonne starting January 1, 2018. For the 2017 year, Bill 20 allows carbon levy exemption for facilities subject to SGER. All of Alliance Canada’s facilities in Alberta are eligible for the SGER exemption. British Columbia implemented the Carbon Tax Act in 2008, which taxes the consumption of all fuel sources in the province. Alliance Canada's British Columbia operations are subject to this tax. The cost associated with the credits purchased from the Alberta Climate Change Fund and/or qualified projects, and the British Columbia carbon tax are included in the transportation tolls and recovered from shippers. In October 2016, the Federal Government passed a motion in the House of Commons to introduce a carbon pricing mechanism in accordance with the Paris Climate Agreement. The motion included a requirement for minimum carbon pricing in all jurisdictions in Canada by 2018. The minimum price on carbon emissions was set at $10 per tonne in 2018, rising by $10 a year for the next four years, reaching $50 per tonne in 2022. Provinces are free to implement their own carbon plan, however, the provincial plans must meet the federal minimum price or the federal government will impose a levy that makes up the difference. In November 2015, the Government of Alberta announced Alberta's “Climate Leadership Plan”, a framework which includes an economy-wide tax on carbon emissions starting in 2017. Subsequently, in June 2016, the Government of Alberta passed Bill 20, the Climate Leadership Implementation Act. The new legislation implements key elements of the Climate Leadership Plan, including enacting the Climate Leadership Act, which establishes Alberta's carbon levy. Page | 5 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Overview of Services Offering Alliance Canada introduced a market based Services Offering effective December 1, 2015, replacing the original firm service contracts that had a primary term ending on November 30, 2015. Our Services Offering combines service flexibility and firm toll predictability, together with enhanced natural gas transportation services that create economic value for customers. We offer firm and IT services to shippers. Natural Gas Transmission Services Effective December 1, 2015, Alliance Canada’s Services Offering includes the following key elements: Firm Receipt Service includes two zones with fixed volumetric tolls, allowing shippers to move gas from their contract receipt point(s) to the Alliance Trading Pool (ATP). Shippers have the option to lock in their receipt tolls for three to ten year terms. Firm receipt shippers will also have access to a Priority Interruptible Transportation Service (PITS) that can provide additional transportation access as production volumes grow. PITS is available to Firm Receipt Service shippers with terms of three years or more and allows them to flow up to 25% more volume at their contracted receipt points. The two receipt zones are: o Zone 1 includes all receipt points downstream of the Blueberry Hill Compressor Station near Gordondale, Alberta. o Zone 2 includes the Blueberry Hill Compressor Station and all receipts points upstream of that station. Firm Delivery Service allows shippers to deliver gas from the ATP to the Canada – U.S. border. Fixed tolls are offered on one to ten year terms. Firm Full Path Service is a volumetrically tolled service from Canadian receipt points in both Zone 1 and Zone 2 to the Canada – U.S. border, with fixed toll terms between three and ten years. This service requires a corresponding firm transportation service contract with Alliance U.S. ATP – a new Canadian trading pool allowing receipt and delivery shippers to trade gas. The ATP is a notional point connecting the receipt zones to the delivery zone. The introduction of the ATP facilitates the segmentation of services on the pipeline into receipt and delivery services, providing a platform for receipt and delivery shippers to transfer title and allowing shippers to access Term Park and Loan services. The Services Offering also includes biddable tolls for seasonal, short-term firm and IT services, rich gas services, and the ability to stage contract commitments. Page | 6 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 To further establish Alliance Canada as the rich gas transporter of choice, we received NEB approval to change the Hydrocarbon Dewpoint (HCDP) gas quality tariff specification from -10 degrees Celsius to -5 degrees Celsius, effective December 1, 2015. Similarly, effective December 1, 2015, Alliance U.S. received approval from the FERC in 2015 to change the HCDP gas quality tariff specification from 14 degrees Fahrenheit to 23 degrees Fahrenheit. By delivering NGLs within the natural gas stream, Alliance Canada producers may gain a competitive advantage by delivering value added products to alternative markets for NGLs while only paying a transportation charge based on volume. This competitive advantage provided by the System has resulted in increasing levels of NGLs transported by Alliance Canada, a 58% increase since 2011. The HCDP specification change will enhance shipper access to rich gas transportation and facilitate an increase in the NGLs content of the gas Alliance Canada transports. In addition to this HCDP change, we offer services that can further enable shippers to optimize the heat content of the natural gas delivered to us. Curtailment mechanisms are included in the tariffs to ensure that pipeline operations and safety are not compromised. Competitiveness Alliance Canada's Services Offering is uniquely designed to enable rich gas producers to maximize the value of their product. Alliance Canada has the ability to transport a significant volume of NGLs (such as ethane, propane, butane and condensates) within the natural gas stream. This provides significant competitive advantages which can include: • Saving producers processing and infrastructure costs, and providing an opportunity to reduce the time to market for their rich gas production; • Providing access to the Aux Sable NGLs extraction facility allowing for considerable economies of scale; and • Potentially providing a higher net back for rich natural gas. Page | 7 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Operational Performance Pipeline Activities The total throughput of all firm (including short-term and seasonal) transportation contracted to the Canadian border for 2016 averaged 1.5 bcf/d. In addition, Alliance Canada sells IT service, which averaged 0.1 bcf/day in 2016. The Saskatchewan Ministry of Highways and Infrastructure is constructing a major highway bypass project (Regina Bypass Project) near Regina, Saskatchewan. To accommodate the development of this project, Alliance Canada installed a new section of pipe at each of two locations where the new highway crossed our mainline. Alliance Canada has made arrangements to be reimbursed for project costs and foregone revenue from this planned outage. The System was shut down for a period of approximately seven days in October 2016 to facilitate the re-routing and replacement of our existing pipe and installation of a new block valve near Regina, Saskatchewan. During the shutdown, Alliance Canada also carried out a variety of maintenance and other activities along the pipeline to make the most efficient use of the outage. This is expected to minimize the need for future outages required to maintain and enhance system integrity. These activities included installing a NGLs scrubber at our Blueberry compressor station. Consistent with industry practice, other connected facilities undertook maintenance activities during this outage and as a result the outage required an extra day due to a delay in maintenance activities at the Aux Sable NGLs extraction facility in Illinois, U.S. Page | 8 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 2016 Operating Income Highlights For the twelve months ended December 31, 2016 operating income increased by $58.4 million to $250.5 million, compared to $192.1 million for the same period in 2015. TRANSPORTATION VOLUMES For the first full year of operation under the Services Offering, transportation volumes were strong throughout the year. The 2016 average daily firm contracted capacity, including short-term and seasonal, was 1,464.9 mmcf/d compared to the previous year’s firm contracted amount of 1,340.1 mmcf/d. For the first 11 months of 2015, the contracted firm volumes were based on a costof-service model that limited firm transportation capacity to 1,325.0 mmcf/d, with transportation above this level categorized as Authorized Overrun Service (AOS). AOS was available capacity offered to shippers at no extra cost beyond fuel gas. Total average daily contracted volumes for the year ended 2016, for both firm and IT, amounted to 1,534.2 mmcf/d an increase of 188.6 mmcf/d as compared to the prior year’s amount of 1,345.6 mmcf/d (excluding AOS). This was due to the strong demand for the Services Offering, which resulted in a high utilization of pipeline capacity. Under the new service model, there was strong initial demand for more firm capacity, in particular firm seasonal service. Increased shipper demand during 2016 resulted in Alliance Canada offering additional short-term firm services as well as still allowing shippers to take advantage of IT availability throughout the year. Page | 9 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Excluding the transportation fuel revenue, transportation revenue decreased by $39.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2016. This reduction is a result of lower firm transportation toll receipts based on a lower cost structure compared to the same period in 2015. This was partially offset by an increase in contracted transportation volumes. Canadian Contracted Transportation Volumes to the U.S. Border 2015 2014 Years Ended December 31 2016 Average daily long-term firm (mmcf/d) 1,327.2 1,335.3 1,325.0 Average daily seasonal/ short-term firm (mmcf/d) 4.8 137.7 Average daily interruptible (mmcf/d) 5.5 69.3 Total average daily contracted volume (mmcf/d) 1,534.2 1,345.6 1,325.0 Seasonal and short-term firm, and IT revenues were $73.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2016. Seasonal, short-term firm and IT services were introduced on December 1, 2015. Ancillary services revenue of $9.7 million includes rich gas service fees, park and loan services and other related revenue. TRANSPORTATION REVENUE For the year ended December 31, 2016, transportation revenue decreased $2.8 million to $460.8 million compared to $463.6 million in the same period in 2015. Years Ended December 31 Revenue Long-term firm transportation revenue Seasonal/short-term firm transportation services IT services Ancillary services Transportation revenue Service revenue from related parties Other revenue Other related party revenue Total revenue 2016 2015 2014 377.8 459.5 479.9 46.8 26.5 9.7 2.2 1.9 - 460.8 463.6 479.9 47.2 8.6 3.1 49.8 1.5 - 51.5 2.2 - 519.7 514.9 533.7 - Starting in 2016, transportation revenue includes recognition of revenue for the fuel gas that is consumed in the transportation of natural gas. For the year ended December 31, 2016, transportation fuel revenue was $37.0 million, with an equal amount recorded as cost of fuel gas consumed in operating expenses. Page | 10 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 EXPENSES For the year ended December 31, 2016, total expenses decreased $67.7 million to $321.6 million compared to $389.3 million for the same period in 2015. Years Ended December 31 Operating expenses Operations and maintenance General and administration Property taxes 2016 2015 2014 General and Administration Expense For the year ended December 31, 2016, general and administrative expenses decreased $17.8 million compared to 2015. The decrease is a result of lower contractor, consulting and salary expense due to cost reduction efforts in 2016. Property Tax Expense For the year ended December 31, 2016, property tax expense decreased $1.0 million compared to 2015 due to a reduced assessment value in Alberta. 93.1 78.9 23.5 84.4 96.7 24.5 98.1 103.0 24.1 Administrative service agreement fee 3.0 - - Operating expenses 198.5 205.5 225.2 70.7 117.2 117.0 52.3 66.5 73.3 321.6 389.3 415.5 Depreciation and amortization Net interest expense and other income Total expenses Administrative Service Agreement Fee For the year ended December 31, 2016, the administrative service agreement fee was $3.0 million. This fee is a result of the Executive, Managerial, and Administrative service agreement (EMA) with Alliance U.S., effective January 1, 2016. Depreciation Expense For the year ended December 31, 2016, depreciation and amortization expense decreased $46.5 million compared to 2015. For the year ended December 31, 2016, operating expenses decreased $7.0 million compared to 2015. The overall decrease was primarily a result of the reductions in operations and maintenance, and general and administrative expenses, partially offset by the cost of fuel consumed in the transportation of natural gas in operations and maintenance expenses. The reduction is a result of depreciation rates being lowered from 4.0% to a composite rate of 2.4% effective January 1, 2016. The change in rates is the result of a depreciation study that reviewed the service life estimates of the pipeline in service assets. Operations and Maintenance Expense For the year ended December 31, 2016, operations and maintenance increased $8.7 million as compared to the same period in 2015. Net Interest Expense and Other Income For the year ended December 31, 2016, interest expense decreased $6.9 million compared to 2015. The reduction is due to declining long‐term debt balances as a result of scheduled principal payments on the senior notes. Starting in 2016, the operations and maintenance expense includes the cost of fuel consumed in the transportation of natural gas. For the year ended December 31, 2016, the cost of fuel consumed in the transportation of natural gas totaled $37.0 million, with an equal amount recorded as transportation fuel revenue. For the year ended December 31, 2016, interest income and other increased $7.3 million compared to 2015. The increase includes reimbursements of $8.0 million for foregone revenues as a result of the Regina Bypass Project. Excluding the costs of fuel consumed, total operations and maintenance expenses decreased by $28.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2016 compared to 2015. This is primarily a result of reductions in salary expenses, consulting and contractor fees, repair and maintenance expenses, and general operating expenses. Page | 11 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Results of Operations for the Three Months ended December 31, 2016 2016 115.6 132.7 58.8 17.9 7.0 48.9 80.3 58.0 30.1 3.1 Transportation revenue Total revenues Operating expenses (excluding depreciation) Depreciation expense Net interest expense and other income Net income EBITDA(1) Partner distributions paid Cash provided by operating activities Capital additions 2015 114.9 128.4 50.7 29.8 15.3 32.6 78.2 33.8 48.8 0.5 Change ($) 0.7 4.3 8.1 (11.9) (8.3) 16.3 2.1 24.2 (18.7) 2.6 Change (%) 0.6 3.3 16.0 (39.8) (54.2) 49.9 2.6 71.6 (38.3) 520.0 (1) Refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures”. TRANSPORTATION REVENUE Transportation revenue increased $0.7 million to $115.6 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to $114.9 million for the three months ended December 31, 2015. OPERATING EXPENSES Total operating expenses increased $8.1 million to $58.8 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to $50.7 million for the three months ended December 31, 2015. Starting in 2016, transportation revenue includes transportation fuel revenue related to the fuel gas that is consumed in the transportation of natural gas. For the three months ended December 31, 2016, this transportation fuel revenue was $13.0 million. In the fourth quarter of 2016, operating expenses include $13.0 million for the cost of fuel consumed in the transportation of natural gas. Excluding the transportation fuel revenue, total transportation revenue decreased by $12.3 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016 compared to the same period in 2015. Excluding the costs of fuel consumed, operating expenses decreased by $4.9 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016 compared to the same period in 2015. This is primarily as a result of reductions in salary expenses and general operating expenses due to the lower cost structure of the Services Offering. The reduction in transportation revenue is due to commencement of the Services Offering that became effective December 1, 2015. While the Services Offering had strong shipper interest and was fully subscribed, the revenue generated was lower compared to the cost-ofservice tolls that expired on November 30, 2015 and were based on different tolling principles. DEPRECIATION EXPENSE Depreciation expense decreased $11.9 million to $17.9 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to $29.8 million for the same three months ended December 31, 2015. The reduction is a result of depreciation rates being lowered from 4.0% to a composite rate of 2.4% effective January 1, 2016. TOTAL REVENUES Total revenues increased $4.3 million to $132.7 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to $128.4 million for the three months ended December 31, 2015. Total revenues increased due to $4.2 million of operational linepack activities. Page | 12 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Cash available for distribution increased from the prior year due to Alliance Canada’s transition from a cost-ofservice toll setting model to a new suite of transportation services and contract arrangements that were well received by Alliance Canada’s shippers. The new services have contributed to higher cash balances as a result of the strong utilization of available transportation capacity along with a reduction in cash requirements associated with Alliance Canada’s debt covenant obligations. Reductions in operating expenses throughout 2016 compared to 2015 also contributed to the increase in cash available for distribution. NET INTEREST EXPENSE AND OTHER INCOME Interest expense decreased $1.5 million to $14.5 million for three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to $16.0 million for the three months ended December 31, 2015. The interest expense is lower due to declining long-term debt balances as a result of scheduled principal payments on the senior notes. Interest income and other increased $6.8 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016 compared to 2015. The increase includes reimbursements of $8.0 million for foregone revenues as a result of the Regina Bypass Project. CASH PROVIDED BY OPERATING ACTIVITIES Cash provided by operating activities was $30.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, a decrease of $18.7 million compared to $48.8 million for the three months ended December 31, 2015. NET INCOME Net income is $48.9 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, an increase of $16.3 million when compared to the same three months ended December 31, 2015. The increase in net income can largely be attributed to lower depreciation due to a change in rates. The decrease in cash provided by operating activities for the three months ended December 31, 2016 can be attributed to lower transportation tolls and higher accounts receivable for expense reimbursements. This was partially offset by lower expenses and higher accounts payable at year end due to increased maintenance activity compared to the three months ended December 31, 2015. EBITDA EBITDA increased by $2.1 million to $80.3 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to $78.2 million for the same three months ended December 31, 2015 The increase in EBITDA is due to higher total revenues and reimbursement for foregone revenues for the Regina Bypass Project, included in interest and other income, partially offset by an increase in operating expenses. CAPITAL ADDITIONS Capital additions increased to $3.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to the $0.5 million for the three months ended December 31, 2015. While capital activities increased in 2016 compared to 2015, the Regina Bypass Project costs incurred were reimbursed. PARTNER DISTRIBUTIONS PAID Distributions paid to Partners are $58.0 million for the three months ended December 31, 2016, compared to $33.8 million for the same quarter in 2015. Page | 13 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Results of Operations for Twelve Months ended December 31, 2016 2016 460.8 519.8 198.5 70.7 52.3 198.2 329.7 175.0 252.1 5.5 Transportation revenue Total revenues Operating expenses (excluding depreciation) Depreciation expense Net interest expense and other income Extraordinary gain Net income EBITDA(1) Partner distributions paid Cash provided by operating activities Capital additions 2015 463.6 514.9 205.5 117.2 66.5 3.2 128.8 310.9 137.3 253.7 7.6 Change ($) (2.8) 4.9 (7.0) (46.5) (14.2) (3.2) 69.4 18.8 37.7 (1.6) (2.1) Change (%) (0.6) 0.9 (3.4) (39.7) (21.4) (100.0) 53.9 6.0 27.5 (0.6) (27.6) (1) Refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures”. TRANSPORTATION REVENUE Transportation revenue decreased $2.8 million to $460.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, compared to $463.6 million in 2015. OPERATING EXPENSES Operating expenses decreased $7.0 million to $198.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, compared to $205.5 million in 2015. Starting in 2016, transportation revenue includes transportation fuel revenue related to the fuel gas that is consumed in the transportation of natural gas. For the year ended December 31, 2016 this transportation fuel revenue was $37.0 million, with an equal amount recorded as cost of fuel gas consumed. In 2016, operating expenses include $37.0 million for the cost of fuel consumed in the transportation of natural gas. Excluding the costs of fuel consumed, operating expenses decreased by $44.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2016 compared to 2015. This is primarily as a result of decreased salary expenses, a reduction in consulting and contractor fees, lower repairs and maintenance expense and a reduction in general operating expenses compared to the same period in 2015. Operating expense decreased due to lower cost structure of the Services Offering when compared to the 2015 cost-of-service model. Excluding the transportation fuel revenue, total transportation revenue decreased by $39.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2016. The reduction in transportation revenue is due to commencement of the Services Offering that became effective December 1, 2015. While the Services Offering had strong shipper interest and was fully subscribed, the revenue generated was lower compared to the cost-ofservice tolls that expired on November 30, 2015 and were based on different tolling principles. DEPRECIATION EXPENSE Depreciation expense decreased $46.5 million to $70.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, compared to $117.2 million in 2015. The reduction is a result of depreciation rates being lowered from 4.0% to a composite rate of 2.4% effective January 1, 2016. The change in rates is the result of a depreciation study that reviewed the service life estimates of the pipeline in service assets. TOTAL REVENUES Total revenues increased $4.9 million to $519.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, compared to $514.9 million in 2015. Total revenues increased due to $10.7 million of operational linepack activities partially offset by decreases in transportation revenue of $2.8 million and service revenue of $2.6 million. Page | 14 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Management’s Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 NET INTEREST EXPENSE AND OTHER INCOME For the year ended December 31, 2016, interest expense decreased $6.9 million compared to 2015. The reduction is due to declining long‐term debt balances as a result of scheduled principal payments on the senior notes. CASH PROVIDED BY OPERATING ACTIVITIES Cash provided by operating activities is $252.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, compared to $253.7 million in 2015. The decrease in cash provided by operating activities can be attributed to lower transportation tolls and higher accounts receivable which resulted in lower cash receipts. This was partially offset by lower operating expenses. For the year ended December 31, 2016, interest income and other increased $7.3 million compared to 2015. The increase includes reimbursements of $8.0 million for foregone revenues as a result of the Regina Bypass Project. CAPITAL ADDITIONS Capital additions are $5.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, which is a net decrease of $2.1 million compared to capital additions of $7.6 million in 2015. While capital activities increased in 2016 compared to 2015, the Regina Bypass Project costs incurred were reimbursed. NET INCOME Net income increased $69.4 million to $198.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, compared to $128.8 million in 2015. The overall increase is due to lower depreciation expense as a result of the rate decrease, lower operating expenses and lower interest expense as a result of reduced debt outstanding. This was offset by a decrease in toll receipts for the year ended December 31, 2016 compared to the 2015 cost-of-service tolls that expired on November 30, 2015. EBITDA EBITDA increased $18.8 million to $329.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2016 compared to $310.9 million in 2015. The increase in EBITDA is primarily due to lower operating expenses, higher total revenues and other income. PARTNER DISTRIBUTIONS PAID Distributions paid to Partners increased by $37.7 million to $175.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2016, compared to $137.3 million in 2015. Cash available for distribution increased from the prior year due to Alliance Canada’s transition from a cost-ofservice toll setting model to a new suite of transportation services and contract arrangements that were well received by Alliance Canada’s shippers. The Services Offering has contributed to higher cash balances as a result of the strong utilization of available transportation capacity along with a reduction in cash requirements associated with Alliance Canada’s debt covenant obligations. Reductions in operating expenses throughout 2016 compared to 2015 also contributed to the increase in cash available for distributions. Page | 15 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Selected Quarterly Financial Information (1) Total revenues Net income Net income per unit (2) EBITDA (3) Partner distributions paid Distributions paid per unit (2) (1) (2) (3) Q4 2016 132.7 48.9 76.9 80.3 58.0 91.2 Q3 2016 128.4 48.3 75.9 81.2 49.0 77.0 Q2 2016 124.8 46.7 73.4 80.3 34.0 53.4 Q1 2016 133.9 54.3 85.4 87.9 34.0 53.4 Q4 2015 126.9 32.6 51.2 78.2 33.8 53.1 Q3 2015 122.8 29.8 46.8 75.6 33.9 53.3 Q2 2015 129.2 34.9 54.9 79.3 33.9 53.3 Q1 2015 134.0 31.5 49.5 77.8 35.7 56.1 Prior to December 1, 2015, Alliance Canada operated under a cost‐of‐service business model that produced results that did not vary significantly quarter over quarter. Per unit comparisons reflect amounts available to limited partners (99%). The number of units outstanding for each of the above reporting periods was 629,765.2. Refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures”. Significant items that impacted the quarterly financial results include the following: Q4 2015 In the fourth quarter of 2015, Alliance Canada commenced operations under the Services Offering which resulted in a decrease in transportation tolls collected in December 2015. The toll reduction is primarily due to the lower fixed cost structure included in the Services Offering tolls. Fourth quarter net income also reflects lower operating expenses as a result of a reduction in contractor, consulting costs, and salary expenses due to reduced staffing requirements. Q4 2016 Partner distributions increased compared to the third quarter of 2016 due to an increase in cash available for distribution. Total revenues increased due to operational linepack activities. Q3 2016 The third quarter net income increased due to higher revenues compared to the second quarter of 2016. Partner distributions increased compared to the second quarter of 2016 due to the increase in cash available for distribution. Q3 2015 The third quarter 2015 transportation revenue reflects the impact of Demand Charge Credits resulting from the transportation service outage that occurred in August 2015. Q2 2016 The second quarter increase in net income reflects a decrease from prior year in repair and maintenance costs, contractor and consulting costs and reduced salary expenses. The second quarter of 2016 transportation revenue also included a decrease in firm and IT revenue as compared to the first quarter of 2016. Q2 2015 The second quarter 2015 net income reflects the discontinuation of rate regulated accounting for a portion of operations. We recognized an extraordinary gain of $3.2 million mainly due to the de-recognition of regulatory assets and liabilities. Q1 2016 The first quarter of 2016 reflects the first full quarter of operations under the Services Offering, in which Alliance Canada began offering a market based suite of services. The increase in net income and EBITDA is a result of the lower fixed-cost structure and higher revenues in the first quarter of 2016. Q1 2015 The first quarter 2015 revenue reflects higher negotiated depreciation rates in the transportation service contracts for 2015 as compared to the negotiated depreciation rates in effect in 2014. Page | 16 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Pipeline Ltd. (the General Partner) under the terms of the Limited Partnership Agreement. Alliance Canada reimburses the General Partner for service costs incurred under the terms of the Limited Partnership Agreement on a monthly basis. The General Partner does not record any profit or margin for the services charged to Alliance Canada. Related Party Transactions Alliance Canada provides transportation services to a number of shippers that are related entities of the Partners of Alliance Canada. The terms of these contracts are the same as those agreed to with independent third parties. For the year ended December 31, 2016, transportation revenue from related party services amounted to $118.1 million (December 31, 2015 – $52.5 million). All amounts exchanged under the Limited Partnership Agreement are presented as general and administrative and operating and maintenance costs. The EMA allows Alliance Canada to provide services to and receive services from Alliance U.S. in exchange for reimbursement of incurred costs, plus an applicable mark-up, and are invoiced on a monthly basis. All amounts exchanged under this agreement are presented as service revenue from related parties or general and administrative expenses. From time to time, Alliance Canada sells operational linepack to Alliance U.S. to supplement operational linepack or as fuel gas to support the efficient operation of the pipeline. The terms of these purchase transactions are the same as those that would be associated with purchases made from independent third parties. Alliance Canada also provides management, administrative, operational and workforce related services to entities related by virtue of a common ownership group. Amounts exchanged under these services are presented as service revenue from related parties. Amounts Due From Related Parties (excluding transportation revenue) Years ended December 31 2016 2015 16.5 10.3 NRGreen Power Limited Partnership 0.8 0.7 Aux Sable entities - 0.1 Alliance Pipeline entities Occasionally, Alliance Canada leases equipment to a related entity. As of December 31, 2016, no leases exist. All amounts earned as a result of these transactions are presented as other income. The total income earned for the year ended December 31, 2016 is $nil (December 31, 2015 – $0.5 million). Alliance Canada does not directly employ any of the individuals responsible for managing or operating the business, nor does Alliance Canada have any directors. Alliance Canada obtains management, administrative, operational and workforce related services from Alliance Page | 17 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Undrawn bank credit facilities are $122.0 million at December 31, 2016. The total of cash, trust deposits and the bank credit facility is, in management’s view, adequate to meet on-going liquidity and capital resource requirements. Liquidity and Capital Resources LIQUIDITY Liquidity risk is managed by ensuring access to sufficient funds required to meet obligations. Alliance Canada forecasts cash requirements to ensure funds are available to settle liabilities as they become due. The primary sources of funds are transportation toll receipts, undrawn credit facilities and funding from the Partners. Working capital deficiencies may occur from time to time as a result of seasonal activity fluctuations, but any such deficiencies have no material effect on our liquidity because of regular monthly cash flow due to a high level of firm contracts and available committed credit facilities. We have no planned capital expenditures for 2017. DISTRIBUTIONS TO PARTNERS Distribution decisions are approved by the Board of Directors of the General Partner, on the basis of cash flow, financial requirements and other conditions existing at the time. Distributions may be made quarterly, subject to Alliance Canada satisfying certain financing conditions, which include a DSCR. We hold in our debt service reserve account an amount equal to at least six months scheduled interest and principal payments, which is funded by letters of credit as part of the bank credit facility. The bank credit facility which was amended in the fourth quarter of 2016 to mature June 29, 2019. Subject to lender approval, a distribution of $40.0 million will be paid to our Partners on February 2, 2017. We intend to continue making Partner distributions on a quarterly basis. The debt service reserve is in addition to funds transferred monthly to the debt service account held for the semi-annual interest and principal payments on the senior notes outstanding and the monthly debt service amounts due on the credit facility. Funds available under the revolving credit facility may also be accessed from time to time should cash receipts prove insufficient to fund the month’s operating and investing activities. We may need to refinance our indebtedness or may require additional financing depending on future developments, enhancement opportunities or acquisition plans. As of December 31, 2016, we have $82.3 million in cash and trust deposit accounts. Cash totaling $72.6 million is held in trust accounts to meet certain covenants contained in financing agreements. It also includes restricted deposits provided by the shippers as well as restricted deposits related to the Alliance Pipeline Abandonment Trust (the Trust). Page | 18 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 CAPITAL MANAGEMENT PIPELINE ABANDONMENT COSTS Alliance Canada’s objective in managing capital is to optimize our capital structure so we can ensure a healthy financial position to support our operations and growth opportunities. The NEB’s Land Matters Consultation Initiative is an initiative that requires NEB regulated pipelines to set aside funds to cover future pipeline abandonment costs. The NEB provided several key guiding principles under this initiative, including the position that abandonment costs are legitimate costs of providing transportation services and are recoverable, upon NEB approval, from shippers. Capital is managed by funding our rate base using a maximum ratio of 70% debt to 30% equity. Senior debt consists of senior notes, including the current portion, and credit facility drawings. Rate base does not have a standardized meaning under U.S. GAAP. See NonGAAP Financial Measures section. Alliance Canada collects abandonment funds through a pipeline abandonment transportation surcharge as defined in the Tariff. These funds are set aside in the Trust until such time that the funds are required to settle abandonment-related expenditures. The Trust is consolidated and presented on the financial statements as investments held in trust. As per the Trust agreement, Alliance Canada is the primary beneficiary of the Trust. The pipeline abandonment costs fall within the scope of ASC 980 which results in the revenue being adjusted to reflect differences between the period in which the abandonment funding is collected through toll receipts and the period the abandonment costs are incurred. These differences are presented as a long-term regulatory liability on the financial statements. We monitor our capital structure by periodically calculating the ratio of senior debt to rate base to ensure compliance with debt covenant requirements contained in financing agreements, which set a maximum borrowing amount for senior debt that will not exceed 70% of rate base by more than U.S.$10.0 million. We are in compliance with all the terms and conditions of the covenants associated with our senior debt for the years ended December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2016 and expect to remain in compliance throughout 2017. Page | 19 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Emerging technologies could enable gas plays that are currently not commercially viable or inaccessible to be competitive in the marketplace that the System serves. Risks and Uncertainties COMPETITION The System faces competition for natural gas pipeline transportation services to the Chicago area from both existing and proposed pipeline projects. Existing pipelines, other than Alliance Canada, provide natural gas transportation services from the WCSB and the Bakken to natural gas markets in the Midwestern United States. In addition, there could be proposals to upgrade existing pipelines or to build new pipelines serving such areas and markets. Any new or upgraded pipelines could: allow shippers to have greater access to natural gas markets in addition to the markets served by the System and the pipelines to which it is connected; offer natural gas transportation services that are more desirable to shippers than those provided by the System because of location, facilities or other factors; and charge tolls or provide transportation services to locations that result in greater net profit for shippers. Alliance Canada’s pipeline system and services are uniquely designed to enable rich gas producers to maximize the value of their product. Alliance Canada has the unique ability to transport NGLs (like ethane, propane, butane and condensate) within the natural gas stream. This provides significant competitive advantages such as: the ability to transport NGLs potentially saving producers processing infrastructure and costs and time to market; the ability to access U.S. NGLs markets; the opportunity to access the Aux Sable NGLs extraction facility at the terminus of pipeline which can provide considerable economies of scale; and the capability to provide a higher netback for rich natural gas. DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION SERVICES Beginning on December 1, 2015, Alliance Canada shifted from a cost-of-service to a market based model as the Services Offering became effective. There is also competition from other sources of natural gas such as the Marcellus and Utica shale plays within the Appalachian Basin. Situated in an area ranging from parts of Quebec and upstate New York to Virginia in the south and as far west as Ohio. The Marcellus and Utica shale plays are in relatively close proximity to the Chicago Hub to which the System currently provides the majority of its transportation service. Under the Services Offering, Alliance Canada assumes transportation revenue and cost risk for the majority of its operations. There can be no assurance that all operating costs incurred will be recoverable through the transportation tolls. Excess natural gas pipeline capacity out of the WCSB or a sustained period of low natural gas and NGLs prices could result in a reduction or deferral of investment in upstream gas development could negatively impact the demand for our transportation services going forward. The on-going development of the shale gas resource within the Appalachian Basin coupled with new infrastructure provides an alternative source of gas to the U.S. Midwest, and Northeast U.S. and Eastern Canada. Growing demand in the region will absorb some of the incremental volumes but there will be displacement of flows, particularly from the Gulf Coast, Rockies and Midcontinent regions. Similarly, the growth in Appalachian supplies has reduced the reliance of the Northeastern region of the United States on natural gas imports from Canada. Despite the recent general slowdown in the oil and gas sector, Alliance Canada has successfully re-contracted its long-term firm receipt transportation capacity through 2018, and approximately 90% of long-term firm receipt capacity in 2019 and 2020. Page | 20 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Through 2016, demand was in excess of available firm receipt capacity, and Alliance Canada began to market other available services to capture this demand for transportation services. Regulation of Alliance Canada’s business includes, but is not limited to, the ability to determine tolls, terms and conditions of service, pipeline construction and maintenance, and expansion of current operating facilities. The nature and degree of regulation and legislation affecting energy companies in Canada has changed significantly in past years and there is no assurance that further changes will not occur. DEPENDENCE ON RELATED PARTIES There is a significant degree of dependency on Aux Sable, a related party, to satisfy its requirements to provide heat content management services to Alliance U.S. Should Aux Sable fail to provide heat content management services for any reason, the System and our shippers may experience operational issues. In certain circumstances, the failure to provide heat content management services could result in an interruption or curtailment of transportation service on the System. It is not possible to predict the extent or duration of these operational issues or their precise financial or operational effect on us. Alliance Canada is subject to the risk of regulators or other government bodies revising or rejecting proposed or existing arrangements. This can include permits and regulatory approvals for new projects, offering of new services, and the tariff structure of Alliance Canada. Any revisions or rejections to existing or proposed arrangements could have a significant and potentially adverse effect on Alliance Canada’s earnings and financial condition. As well, compliance with legislative changes may have an impact on the costs of existing operations or future projects. There is no assurance that Aux Sable will remain continuously operational or will continue business operations indefinitely. Aux Sable’s business involves extracting and fractionating NGLs. We believe that regulatory risk is mitigated through the expertise of Alliance Canada’s legal and regulatory teams, and their review of existing and proposed tariffs and tolls for compliance with regulatory guidelines and requirements. Alliance Canada has established and maintains many strong relationships with our shippers which helps reduce regulatory risk. The System operates as an integrated pipeline. Therefore, any matters which limit or restrict the ability of the Alliance U.S. pipeline to operate could affect the ability of the Alliance Canada pipeline to operate. Alliance Canada may have no control over matters which may adversely affect Alliance U.S. and/or Alliance U.S. pipeline. OPERATING RISKS Operation of the System involves many risks, several of which may be beyond our control, including but not limited to: breakdown or failure of equipment, information systems or processes; performance of equipment at levels below those originally intended; catastrophic events such as natural disasters, fires, explosions, pipeline failure, wars, acts of terrorism and other similar events; lack of spare parts; operator error; and disputes with interconnecting facilities and carriers. REGULATORY RISK Alliance Canada is a federally-regulated, inter-provincial natural gas pipeline under the jurisdiction of the NEB. Our natural gas transportation assets and operations are also subject to federal, provincial and local regulations, as applicable. Page | 21 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 The occurrence or continuance of any of these events could increase the cost of operating the System and/or reduce its transportation capacity, thereby potentially impacting cash flows and operating income. Reductions in producers’ capital and operating budgets and the impact of reduced revenues on corporate liquidity positions has resulted in an increase in potential credit risk to Alliance Canada. We maintain safety policies, disaster recovery procedures and insurance coverage in accordance with prudent pipeline operating standards in case of an incident. Inspection and monitoring methods are also employed to manage pipeline, turbine and facility integrity as well as to minimize system disruptions. Alliance Canada actively monitors the financial condition of its shippers and may require shippers to provide letters of credit or other suitable security, unless the shipper has satisfactory credit worthiness. We expect that, should a shipper be unable to fulfill its contractual obligations in the future, re-contracting of the repudiated contract is possible, although there may be a risk that the revenue may be lower than the original transportation contract. CREDIT RISK Alliance Canada is exposed to credit risk as the business is concentrated in the natural gas transportation industry and its revenue is dependent upon the ability of shippers to pay monthly demand charges. A majority of the shippers operate in the oil and gas exploration and development, energy marketing or transportation industries and may be exposed to long-term downturns in energy commodity prices, including the price for natural gas, or other credit events impacting these industries. Currently there are no material accounts receivable that meet the definition of past due and/or impaired. Alliance Canada will continue to monitor both current and potential shippers based upon our credit approval process. The credit risk arising from cash deposits is minimal as cash is held with major financial institutions. As at December 31, 2016, Alliance Canada holds two types of investments: MAV II notes and investments held in the Trust. Aside from these we do not hold any other short or long-term investments. Should shippers be unable to fulfill their contractual obligations and if suitable replacement shippers were not available, we may not be able to fund our operating and financing costs or make distributions to our Partners. We limit, to an extent, our exposure to this credit risk by requiring shippers to provide letters of credit or other suitable security if shippers do not maintain specified credit ratings or a suitable financial position. The MAV II notes were paid out on January 23, 2017. LIQUIDITY RISK Alliance Canada manages liquidity risk by ensuring access to sufficient funds to meet its obligations. We forecast cash requirements to ensure funds are available to fund liabilities as they become due. The primary sources of liquidity are funds received from transportation tolls, undrawn committed credit facilities and funding from Partners. The risk of non-performance of our shippers is mitigated by our credit approval process and on-going monitoring procedures. At December 31, 2016, approximately 52.2% of firm capacity (as represented by percentage of those associated revenues) is contracted to shippers who do not have an investment grade rating or acceptable credit status and are required to post security. These shippers have provided required security, but in no case does such security cover more than three months obligations under the transportation contracts. We are highly dependent on our shippers for revenues from their contracted transportation capacity on the System. The failure of the shippers to fulfill their contractual obligations under the transportation agreements or the failure to replace such shippers on equivalent terms and conditions could have a material adverse effect on our cash flows and financial condition, and could impair our ability to service debt obligations and continue paying distributions to our Partners. Over the past two years, energy prices have experienced significant volatility resulting in continued uncertainty for companies throughout the oil and gas industry. Page | 22 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 We also hold in our debt service reserve account an amount at least equal to six months of scheduled interest and principal payments, which is funded by letters of credit as part of the bank credit facility. The debt service reserve is in addition to the funds that are transferred monthly to the debt service account to be held for the semi-annual interest and principal payments on the senior notes outstanding and the monthly debt service amounts due on the credit facilities. Funds available under revolving credit facilities may also be accessed from time to time should cash receipts prove insufficient to fund the month’s operating and investing activities. CYBER RISK Alliance Canada is exposed to cyber risk as day to day business operations are connected and conducted over the internet. These risks include, but are not limited to: damage to corporate assets; degradation of internally delivered services; theft of personal or corporate information; and compromise of data integrity. These risks can be realized from malware infections in emails or websites as well as social engineering activities like phishing and employee impersonation. We may need to refinance our indebtedness under our credit facility and senior unsecured notes outstanding at maturity date and may require additional financing depending on future developments, enhancement opportunities or acquisition plans. Alliance Canada uses safeguards to ensure our information systems remain secure and reliable. We maintain communication with the Canadian Cyber Incident Response Centre which allows us to stay current with any new cyber threats. This information sharing is bidirectional (where appropriate), resulting in cyber threats and incidents being reported to authorities around the world. The ability to refinance existing indebtedness and arrange additional financing in the future will depend, in part, upon prevailing market conditions at the time, as well as our business performance. There can be no assurance that debt or equity financing will be available or sufficient to meet or satisfy our initiatives, objectives or requirements. Having an investment grade credit rating supports our ability to re-finance existing debt as it matures and the ability to access cost competitive capital for future growth. A ratings downgrade below investment grade may have a materially adverse effect on the ability to obtain financing on favourable terms and conditions. Numerous cyber security technologies have been implemented throughout Alliance Canada as part of an in-depth defense strategy. These technologies allow us to correlate and respond to threats if needed. We are regularly evaluating our cyber security technologies and either replacing them or augmenting them as needed. Future cash distributions may be adversely affected if we are unable to refinance our indebtedness or arrange additional financing on terms and conditions at least as favourable as the existing terms and conditions of such indebtedness. If we are unable to refinance our indebtedness then, at maturity, we will need to use available cash to repay the indebtedness. If access to additional capital, through either debt or equity financing, is unavailable then future opportunities may be foregone. Page | 23 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 CLIMATE ACTIVISM Recently there has been an increase in climate change or environmental activism with energy companies as their targets. While their efforts have been focused primarily on oil pipelines, these groups generally condemn all forms of hydrocarbon extraction and transportation. The activities of these groups can pose serious risks including, but not limited to: intimidation of, or potential injury to employees, landowners and others; damage to corporate assets or interruption of pipeline operations; and adverse publicity. Alliance Canada maintains communications with local, provincial, and federal law enforcement, other agencies and the NEB. This allows us a proces for sharing information, receiving reports of relevant incidents, as well as providing reports of incidents to the authorities as well as industry peers. INTEREST RATE RISK We are exposed to interest rate fluctuations on variable rate debt. Amounts outstanding under the revolving credit facilities are floating-rate based. From time to time we may implement risk management policies which allow us to minimize the exposure to interest rate volatility. The exposure to rate volatility has been lessened through the issuance of fixed rate senior notes. As at December 31, 2016, we have fixed interest rates on 99.8% of total longterm debt. Page | 24 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 The service life estimates resulting from the study are based on informed engineering judgement which incorporated analyses of historical plant retirement data. Critical Accounting Estimates The preparation of financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions. Management’s estimates and assumptions affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, as well as the amounts of revenues and expenses recorded during the reporting period. Estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience, current conditions and various other factors and are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Due to changes in facts and circumstances and the inherent uncertainty involved in making estimates, actual results may differ significantly from current estimates. Critical accounting estimates are discussed below. Additionally, a review of Alliance Canada’s practice and outlook as they relate to plant operation and retirement has been utilized in the study. The rates and depreciation amounts are based on the straight line remaining life method of depreciation. The updated composite depreciation rate for pipeline in service assets is estimated at 2.4%, as compared to 4.0% as at December 31, 2015. This change was implemented effective January 1, 2016. Management will continue to review the useful lives of PP&E periodically when the circumstances indicate a possible change in assumptions. Changes in these assumptions could result in adjustments to the useful life of PP&E which could result in material changes to the financial statements. Due to uncertainty associated with the long-lived nature of the pipeline and related assets, future results may be affected if management’s current assessment differs from future assessments or actual performance. DEPRECIATION AND AMORTIZATION Property, Plant and Equipment (PP&E) represents 84.0% of the total assets recognized on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Depreciation is generally provided on a straight-line basis over the estimated useful life of the assets and commences when the asset is placed inservice. ASSET RETIREMENT OBLIGATION In estimating the useful lives of PP&E, management takes into account the most reliable evidence available at the time the estimate is made. Considerations which form the basis of the assumptions for these estimated useful lives include third party assessments, demand for pipeline transportation service, supply of natural gas in proximity to the pipeline, pipeline operating experience and industry experience. The fair value of the asset retirement obligation (ARO) associated with the retirement of long-lived assets is recognized in the period when it can be reasonably determined. The fair value of the statutory, contractual or legal obligation associated with the retirement and reclamation of tangible long-lived assets is recognized with a corresponding increase to the carrying amount of the related assets. This corresponding increase to capitalized costs is amortized to income on a basis consistent with depreciation and amortization of the underlying assets. Subsequent changes in the estimated fair value of the asset retirement obligations are capitalized and amortized over the remaining useful life of the underlying asset. On November 30, 2015, Alliance Canada’s original longterm transportation service agreements expired and Alliance Canada commenced operations under the Services Offering framework. Alliance Canada completed an assessment of the estimates used to determine depreciation of the pipeline in service assets recognized on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. The assessment was performed by an external expert. Page | 25 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 A provision for ARO has not been recognized in our financial statements as it is not possible to make a reasonable estimate of fair value of the liability due to the indeterminate timing and scope of the retirement of pipeline in service assets. FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS Financial assets and financial liabilities held-for-trading are measured at fair value with changes in those fair values recognized in net income if hedge accounting is not elected. Useful lives of pipeline systems are primarily derived from available supply sources and ultimate consumption of those resources by customers. There is insufficient information available to reasonably determine the timing and/or method of settlement to correctly determine the fair value of the ARO. Financial assets available-for-sale are measured at fair value with changes in those fair values recognized in other comprehensive income. Financial assets held-to-maturity, loans and receivables and other financial liabilities are measured at amortized cost using the effective interest method of amortization. The above variables are considered indeterminate because there is no data or information that can be derived from past experience or industry practice. Such indeterminable variables preclude us from making a reasonable estimate of the ARO. These costs will be recorded when sufficient information exists to reasonably estimate potential settlement dates and abandonment methods. The NEB’s Land Matters Consultation Initiative addresses the need for a collection method for funding pipeline abandonment costs. The NEB provided several key guiding in principles under this initiative, including the position that abandonment costs are a legitimate cost of providing pipeline service and are recoverable, upon NEB approval, from shippers. Page | 26 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Prior to November 30, 2015, the Alliance Canada transportation contracts were designed to provide toll revenues sufficient to recover all transportation costs including on allowed return on equity. Effective July 1, 2015, the equity component of financing is no longer capitalized as a part of PP&E and are expensed in the period they are incurred. New Accounting Policies ACCOUNTING FOR RATE REGULATION Alliance Canada’s pipeline operations are regulated by the NEB under the National Energy Board Act. The NEB has jurisdiction to regulate the tolls that a pipeline may charge for the services it provides. Interest on borrowed funds for the construction of an asset is capitalized as part of the asset constructed and is amortized over its useful life. Prior to the NEB’s approval of the Services Offering, Alliance Canada was operating under a cost-of-service tolling environment. Recognition of certain revenues and expenses was different from results expected under U.S. GAAP applicable to non-regulated operations. Regulatory assets represented the right to recover specific previously incurred costs in future periods through tolls. Regulatory liabilities represented an obligation to refund previously collected amounts in future periods through tolls. INVENTORY Inventory primarily consists of material and supplies required for repair and maintenance of the meter and compressor station facilities, and natural gas inventory held as operational linepack required to support efficient pipeline operations. Both material and supplies inventory and natural gas inventory are a carried at the lower of weighted average cost or net realizable value. Materials and supplies are periodically reviewed for physical deterioration and obsolescence. Under the Services Offering, Alliance Canada is at risk for transportation revenues and costs for the majority of its operations. Due to this change in the tariff provisions and the at risk toll setting approach, a portion of Alliance Canada’s operations no longer meets the criteria outlined in ASC 980. As a result, application of ASC 980 was discontinued effective June 30, 2015, except for a portion of operations that are still in scope of accounting for regulated operations. Under the new at risk toll setting approach, for the majority of Alliance Canada’s operations the differences between tolls collected and current period expenses are no longer recognized as a transportation revenue adjustment. This provides financial results that fluctuate in response to changes in the current period expenses and tolls received. As a result of the discontinuation of accounting for regulated operations, we recognized an extraordinary gain of $3.2 million in the second quarter of 2015, mainly due to the de-recognition of regulatory assets and liabilities. Page | 27 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Rate base generally consists of the value of property, as used by the utility, in providing service, in accordance with rules set by a regulatory agency. Rate base is derived from balance sheet assets by making regulatory adjustments for the net investment balance in pipeline in service assets, general and administrative assets, deferred financing fees and working capital amounts, including inventory. NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES Certain non-GAAP financial measures referred to in this MD&A, namely rate base and EBITDA are not measures recognized by U.S. GAAP. These non-GAAP measures do not have standardized meanings prescribed by U.S. GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Readers are cautioned that non-GAAP measures should not be construed as alternatives to other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP. EBITDA is reconciled from the components of net income as noted below. EBITDA is expressed as net income before total net interest expense, income taxes, depreciation and amortization; and also includes additional adjustments for any extraordinary loss (gain). These additional adjustments are made to exclude various non-cash items, or items of an unusual nature that are not reflective of ongoing operations. These adjustments are also made to better reflect the historical measurement of EBITDA, as used by readers, as an approximate measure of an entity’s operating cash flow based on data from its income statement. The following non-GAAP financial measures are provided to assist readers of the MD&A and financial statements with their understanding of Alliance Canada, including their knowledge of its ability to generate cash and fund operations. Management considers these non-GAAP financial measures to be important indicators in understanding its performance. NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS NET INCOME TO EBITDA Three Months ended December 31 2016 2015 48.9 32.6 14.4 15.8 (0.9) (0.1) 17.9 29.9 80.3 78.2 Net income Interest expense Interest income Depreciation expense Extraordinary gain EBITDA Years ended December 31 2016 198.2 62.3 (1.5) 70.7 329.7 2015 128.8 69.2 (1.1) 117.2 (3.2) 310.9 2014 118.2 75.1 (0.9) 117.0 309.4 Page | 28 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 INTERNAL CONTROL REPORTING Disclosure Controls and Procedures Disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable assurance that all relevant information is gathered and reported to senior management, including the President and CEO (CEO) and Senior Vice President and CFO (CFO), on a timely basis so that appropriate decisions can be made regarding public disclosure. CONTROL FINANCIAL Alliance Canada’s management, with the participation of its CEO and CFO, is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting. Under the supervision of the CFO, Alliance Canada’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with U.S. GAAP. As of the end of the period covered by this report, Alliance Canada’s senior management evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of its disclosure controls and procedures, under the supervision of, and with the participation of the CEO and CFO. The inherent limitations in all control systems are such that they can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud or error, if any, within Alliance Canada have been detected. Based on senior management’s evaluation, the CEO and CFO have concluded, subject to the inherent limitations noted above, that Alliance Canada’s disclosure controls and procedures, as defined in National Instrument 52-109, Certification of Disclosure in Issuers Annual and Interim Filings, are effective at a reasonable assurance level to ensure that material information relating to Alliance Canada is made known to management on a timely basis and is included in this report. CHANGES IN INTERNAL FINANCIAL REPORTING OVER Internal control over financial reporting, no matter how well designed, has inherent limitations. Therefore, internal control over financial reporting can provide only reasonable assurance with respect to financial statement preparation and may not prevent or detect all misstatements. The design and effectiveness of internal controls over financial reporting was assessed as at December 31, 2016 and based on this evaluation, the CEO and CFO have concluded that, subject to the inherent limitations noted above, internal control over financial reporting is effective in providing reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with U.S. GAAP. OVER Effective December 1, 2015, management successfully implemented a gas management system – CommPass and made changes to certain related processes required to implement Alliance Canada’s new suite of service offerings. As a result of the gas management system implementation, certain processes supporting our internal controls over financial reporting have changed in 2016. Other than the implementation of this gas management system, there have been no changes in our internal control over financial reporting during the year that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect our internal control over financial reporting. Page | 29 Alliance Pipeline Limited Partnership Managements’ Discussion and Analysis For the year ended December 31, 2016 Forward-Looking Information Some information in this MD&A is forward‐looking. All information about activities, events or developments that we think may occur in the future is forward‐looking information. Forward‐looking information typically consists of statements containing words such as may, estimate, anticipate, believe, expect, plan, intend, target, project, proposed, forecast or similar words. Forward‐looking information in this MD&A includes statements about: our anticipated business projects including the timing, scope, and ability to achieve our expected results; our future financial and operating performance; the Alliance System’s ability to accommodate new receipt volumes with variant gas compositions; whether available credit facilities can sufficiently fund our operations and planned capital expenditures; and our ability to remain compliant with the terms and conditions of our credit facilities. The risks and uncertainties that may impact the operations and development of our business include the following: our ability to successfully implement our corporate strategy; changes in natural gas production and the NGLs content of natural gas from exploration and production areas we serve, such as the Montney and Duvernay shale plays of Northeast British Columbia and Northwest Alberta and the Bakken shale play in North Dakota; operational issues at the Aux Sable NGLs extraction facility near Chicago, Illinois, where the rich gas we transport is processed and NGLs are extracted; interruption of operations due to natural disasters, sabotage (including cyber-attacks) or other causes; changes in sales prices for natural gas and NGLs in the delivery markets we serve; continued receipt of regulatory approvals allowing us to provide service under our tariffs and tolls; the availability and price of capital; customer credit risk and continued existence of contracted customers; changes in regulatory, environmental, and other laws and regulations; competitive factors in the pipeline, natural gas and NGLs industries; the impact of North American and international energy market conditions on our customers; the availability of energy commodities; fluctuations in foreign exchange and interest rates; and the operating performance of our pipeline assets. This list is not exhaustive. We cannot predict the impact of any particular risk, uncertainty or influencing factor on a forward-looking statement because we would need to assess it at that time in light of information available then. Each risk, uncertainty and influencing factor is independent of the others and each one, or a combination, may lead to different results. Although we believe that the expectations conveyed by the forward‐looking information are reasonable based on information available to us on the date we prepared this MD&A, we can give no assurances about future results. Readers should not place undue reliance on the forward‐looking information, as actual results achieved may vary materially from the information in this MD&A. In addition, we made the forward‐looking statements in this MD&A on February 2, 2017 and we have no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward‐looking information. This cautionary statement expressly qualifies all forward‐looking information in this MD&A. Page | 30
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