Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Main sponsor Sponsors Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Table of contents Executive Summary................................................................................................................. 6 1. Overview 2014 ................................................................................................................... 14 2. Penetration of renewable energies in Spain ............................................................... 20 3. Macroeconomic assessment .......................................................................................... 32 4. Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies .................................................... 46 4.1. Biofuels.............................................................................................................. 48 4.2. Biomass............................................................................................................. 54 4.3. Wind power....................................................................................................... 62 4.4. Geothermal power.......................................................................................... 68 4.5. Marine power................................................................................................... 76 4.6. Small-scale wind power.................................................................................. 80 4.7. Small-scale hydropower................................................................................. 84 4.8. Photovoltaic solar power............................................................................... 90 4.9. Thermal solar power....................................................................................... 96 4.10. CSP (Concentrated Solar Power)..............................................................100 5. Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence........106 6. Economic balance from renewable electricity production ....................................120 7. The Electricity System in Spain.....................................................................................130 8. Energy policy targets and renewable energies.........................................................140 2014 Executive summary 6 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Executive summary T he Renewable Energies sector is strategic for Spain and the vast majority of the developed countries; their contribution to the economy is clearly positive. It has been a long time since the main developed countries have announced ambitious plans regarding these energies, with the aim of gradually abandoning traditional power generation technologies mainly based on fossil fuels, which pollute and are finite. The unlimited renewable resources, environmentally friendly and increasingly competitive with traditional energy sources, provide great benefits not only to society but particularly to the economy. This report compiles the main macroeconomic indicators from the several renewable technologies. In 2014, the Renewable Energy Sector as a whole contributed 7,387 m EUR to Gross Domestic Product (GDP); represented a net tax contribution of 970 m EUR; contributed positively to the Spanish balance of trade with exports for an aggregate value of 2,316 m EUR; invested 216 m EUR in R&D&I; generated 5,871 m EUR in savings for the electricity market; avoided imports amounting to 8,469 m EUR. 7 Executive summary 10,535 10,325 10,135 9,588 9,497 8,136 7,387 GDP, taxation, trade balance and innovation 5,561 6,123 contribution to GDP, the lowest in six years, fell by 14.5% to reach 6.123 bn EUR. Additionally, 4,932 the Sector’s induced contribution to GDP also sed its total contribution to GDP to 7387 m EUR fell down to 1.265 bn EUR which has resulted in 3,531 In 2014 the Renewable Energies Sector decrea- time registering a decrease in the annual se- 2013. By Technologies, the largest contribution 2,323 2,086 to GDP was solar photovoltaic (35.33%), fo- ries (22% compared to 2013). In two years the 2007 2008 2009 Chart 2010 2011 2012 1,265 3,291 3,146 a significant reduction, by 45.5% compared to 3,307 (representing 0.7% % of GDP), for the second 3,204 3,476 7,173 7,389 GDP, as a result of government reform. Direct 6,794 6,844 6,280 sector has lost 3.15 bn EUR of contribution to 2013 2014 Renewable Energies direct, induced and aggregate contribution to GDP 3.1 Source: APPA Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP 10,535 10,325 10,135 to GDP Induced contribution Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 9,588 9,497 8,136 6,123 7,173 6,794 6,844 2007 2011 2012 2013 Current m EUR Direct contribution to GDP 8 Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 1,265 2,323 3,291 2010 3,146 3,307 2009 3,531 3,204 2008 2,086 3,476 4,932 6,280 5,561 7,389 7,387 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain llowed by wind (20.66%), thermal solar power amounted to 323 m EUR. It is the second hi- (17.72%), biomass (13.93%), biofuels (5.65%) ghest total of the series analysed and makes and small-scale hydropower (3.64%). the positive contribution of the renewable 2014 energy technologies in improving the Spanish In 2014, the Renewable Energy Sector was trade balance clear. On the other hand, the once again a net fiscal contributor to the Spa- decline in imports has been more pronounced nish economy. The difference between taxes since the paralysis of the sector in 2012, due paid and subsidies received was 970 m EUR, to the significant decrease in imported goods which is lower than the previous year mainly and services. due to the decrease in income tax. The industry spent in 2014 a total of 216 miIn relation to the sector’s trade balance, it re- llion euros to research, development and gistered once again a surplus, amounting to innovation, representing 3.52% of its direct 2,316 m EUR. Renewable Energy companies’ contribution to GDP. It is noteworthy that the exports totaled 2.639 m EUR whereas imports average investment of the Spanish economy 9 Executive summary 10,286 8,922 8,492 8,469 in R&D in 2013 was 1.24% of European GDP 216 m EUR in research, development and inno- and 2.2%. Thus, renewable companies nearly vation (R&D&I), representing 3.52% of its direct tripled in percentage terms the Spanish avera- contribution to GDP. It is noteworthy that in ge and approached twice the average for the 2013 the average investment of the Spanish European Union. economy in R&D&I was 1.24% of GDP whereas 7,111 073 5,674 the European average investment represented 743 2008 One year more the Renewable Energy Sector 2.2%. Thus, it can be concluded that the sec- maintains its commitment to innovation. In tor’s average investments was way above both 2014, renewable energy companies invested the Spanish and the European average. 671 552 2009 619 Chart 2010 385 2011 5.1 2012 325 249 2013 2014 Savings produced by the use of renewable energies Source: APPA Total economic impact of fossil fuel imports avoided. Total economic impact of greenhouse gases avoided. 10,286 8,922 8,492 8,469 7,111 6,073 5,674 4,678 765 2007 4,678 743 2008 552 2009 671 2010 619 2011 Current m EUR Total economic impact of fossil fuel imports avoided. Total economic impact of greenhouse gases avoided. 10 385 2012 249 2013 325 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Benefits and employment generated by renewable energies 2014 Renewable Energy Sector avoided in 2014 imports of 20,577,904 tonnes of oil equivalent (toe) in fossil fuels, resulting in economic savings amounting to 8,469 m EUR. Likewise, the Renewable energies generate a number of Sector contributed to avoid 54,433,800 tonnes different benefits for the Spanish economy, of CO2 emissions being released into the at- for the energy sector and for the electrici- mosphere, amounting to circa 325 m EUR. ty system. The economic contribution of the biomass, biogas, geothermal and solar techno- In 2014, the penetration of renewable energies logies has been measured in terms of savings in the electricity system caused a reduction in energy imports and savings in the purchase in the cost of acquiring energy in OMIE’s Dai- of CO2 emission rights. Considering its contri- ly Market totaling 7,105m EUR resulting from bution in electricity and thermal power, the a 29.2 m EUR reduction in MWh prices. Such 4,919 Reduction in the cost of acquiring energy in OMIE’s Daily Market due to penetration of renewable energies Chart 6.3 Source: APPA 7,105 5,871 4,919 4,836 4,848 4,056 3,698 3,352 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Current m EUR 11 Executive summary saving was 1,867 million EUR higher than the FITs —5,238 m EUR— decreased in 2014 22% Feed-in Tariff (FIT) received by renewable ener- when compared to 2013. gies. In addition to these savings in the pool, 12 in 2014 renewable energies generated savings Considering the price savings in the mar- in imports and reductions in CO2 emissions ket, the savings on imports of fossil fuels amounting to 3,105 m EUR; accordingly, the and the savings on CO2 emissions, the ag- aggregated savings amounted to 10,210 m gregated savings provided by the renewable EUR, i.e. 4,972 m EUR more than FIT received energies to the Spanish energy mix amoun- during the same period. The total amount of ted to 70,898 m EUR. 36,163 115,833 2014 113,248 newable Energy Sector led to the loss of 70,750 indirect employments, where the decrease 19,832 employments in 2014, representing exceeded 58%, registering a total of 27,271 a 24.3% reduction compared to 2013. In ag- employments. The technology that created 58,803 The most significant reduction took place in 65,548 The increasingly reduced activity in the Re- the greatest number of employments in 2014 50,913 54,444 56,303 57,863 57,967 gregate, the sector registered a lump sum was biofuel (895), whereas biomass was the ce 2005). Direct employments amounted to sub-sector that lost the greatest number of 43,479, 14.6% less than the previous year. employments (-13 135). 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 27,271 42,502 43,479 of 70,750 employments (the lowest level sin- 2013 2014 Direct and induced employment in the Renewable Energy Sector 3.7 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment 136,163 Induced employment Total employment 121,850 121,483 115,833 113,248 98,494 93,415 2007 43,479 27,271 50,913 42,502 58,803 54,444 65,548 56,303 57,967 57,863 62,497 58,986 57,239 78,924 70,750 55,655 62,497 58,986 93,415 42,840 8 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 121,850 121,483 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Employments Direct employment Induced employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 13 Overview 2014 1 14 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Overview 2014 2 014 data reflect the “success” of the energy policy implemented by the current government since it came to power. This policy, which began with the moratorium against renewable energies implemented in January 2012 was materialized during the last year, when only 43 MW of new renewable power were installed. The figure reflects the total paralysis suffered by the Spanish renewable sector caused by the continuous regulatory changes. Operations cannot take place without a predictable and certain framework, where there is a broad consensus desirable for the Sector. Changing the energy policy is an urgent priority if Spain wants to meet its European commitments on the environmental field. 15 Overview 2014 As in previous years, in 2014 the Renewable of the State bonds will be, both necessary to Energy Sector focused on what (negative) sur- calculate the profitability of their facilities. prises the new legislation would bring, rather than on the normal course of its business. The result has been an unfair and discrimina- During that year, the Ministry of Industry com- tory reform. Whilst there are certain electrical pleted the legislation for the energy reform, costs inherent to the system that have bare- which for the sector was only an additional ly been cut, the disappeared Special Regime step in the Governmental crusade against technologies, and in particular the renewable clean energy: Royal Decree 413/2014, adopted energy industries have been those suffering on 6th June and Order IET / 1045/2014, issued the biggest cuts from the reform. The Minister ten days later. stated in the Parliament that the cut would be equitable between companies, Government These two regulations, like the other actions and consumers but the reality is that the re- of the Government when it comes to energy newables have been the major companies matters, are a clear example of the legislative affected by the reform. The Minister of Indus- improvisation that the industry has suffered try announced a cut of 1.1 bn EUR to affect and undergone in recent years. The Gover- such industries. However, in 2014 the cuts to nment has placed the focus of its misnamed these technologies were around 2.3 bn EUR. electricity reform on liquidating the controver- Moreover, the same reform has left 7,500 MW sial tariff deficit. In doing so, the Government of renewable energy without any regulated has mistakenly identified the renewable ener- compensation. Those MW only count with the gies as the main culprit for the tariff deficit and market price, which on its turn has to compete has not hesitated blaming renewable energies with non clean technologies that barely pay for for being expensive and even responsible for their negative externalities. the increase in electricity prices, a position proved wrong in this report. The reform has come together with the cuts, adding more taxes for renewables. Some ab- 16 The electricity reform has radically changed the surdly justified as environmental taxes, ignoring conditions in which investments were made the fact that most of the renewable technolo- and put the sector under the most absolute gies help reducing emissions of greenhouse legal uncertainty, with retrospective measures as well as our high dependence on imported (i.e. revision every six years) that have left pro- energy. Last but not least, no consideration is motors of renewable energy facilities without made to the fact that renewable energies are the capability to predict what the economic si- the main Spanish available asset to achieve the tuation in the future will be and what the cost European environmental objectives. Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 17 Overview 2014 18 On the other hand, the so called energy re- of the Ministry have been limited exclusively form leaves many problems unresolved, two to the electricity sector, but the main problem of them worth to mention. Firstly, the actions of our country regarding energy, remains Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain unresolved: Spain’s extremely high energy de- to instruct the Ministry of Industry to facilita- pendence on external sources. Secondly, the te the reports of the consulting companies in reform keeps many costs that have nothing which the Ministry had relied on when fixing to do with power generation in the electricity the remuneration of various renewable tech- bill, such as the costs associated with capa- nologies in order to develop the appeal with city received by combined gas cycle; the non sufficient judicial guarantees. An enormous interruption, only understandable within an amount of documentation was provided but industrial policy; and those associated with po- not the reports issued by the consultants. licies structuring the territory. Before the insistence of APPA, the Ministry 2014 of Industry clarified that the calculations had When legislating a reform without any con- been based on a report issued by IDAE and not sensus, without hearing or having considered on the consultants’ ones. This was contradicted minimally the allegations from the affected by the Minister himself when, after the Coun- Parties, the only defense such Parties may cil of Ministers on September the 20th, 2013, have to protect their interests is found at the he clarified that “the compensation would be courts. In fact, every legislative step the Gover- fixed once the consultants’ reports had been nment has made has been followed by a flurry finished”. The reality is that one report was ne- of lawsuits at both Spanish and international ver finalized and the other was delivered after courts. The aforesaid Royal Decree and the the publication of the Order. On its turn, the Order were challenged by numerous associa- IDEA’s report to which the Minister of Industry tions, companies, institutions and individuals. had made reference, was made public in Sep- As a result, the renewable sector devotes much tember 2015 and is was dated as of June the of its efforts to lawsuits when those should be 15th 2015, that is, twelve months after publi- devoted to fostering their development. As a cation of the IET / 1045/2014 on compensation result, apart from the current and obvious im- parameters. plications, the definitive results of the reform will be clarified at the court, probably long af- The aforementioned is another example of the ter the Government members have finished lack of transparency that has characterized the their governance responsibilities. entire reform. With such reform the Government has repeatedly violated the Law 24/2013 Order IET / 1045/2014 on compensation pa- on the Electricity Sector approved by it which rameters, which has been appealed at the specifically states: “the remuneration of activi- Supreme Court by numerous industry associa- ties shall be established in regulations subject tions, deserves special mention. In particular, to the principles of objectivity, transparency APPA repeatedly requested the Supreme Court and non-discrimination ... “. 19 Penetration of renewable energies in Spain 2 20 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Penetration of renewable energies in Spain I n 2014 renewable energies reached their highest historical participation in the consumption of primary energy, representing 14.4% of Spain’s total consumption of primary energy. They remained in the third place behind petroleum, which with 42.9% remains as the most used primary energy source in Spain, and natural gas, which in the second position reached 20% of Spain’s total consumption of primary energy. Nuclear energy, with 12.6%, and coal, with 10.1%, ranked fourth and fifth, respectively. According to the aforementioned rates, the order of sources of primary energy consumption in Spain remains the same as in 2013, except in the case of the renewable energies which have successfully moved up from fourth to third place, beating nuclear power. 21 Penetration of renewable energies in Spain 10.1% 12.6% 42.9% Since 2007, when representing 7% of the con- aching in 2014 a lower level when compared sumed primary energy, renewable energies to the start of the series analysed. Nuclear have not stopped growing to reach, in 2014, power has alternated between increases and the aforementioned 14.4% of primary energy decreases in share throughout the years, consumption. Different behaviors are obser- reaching in 2014 its greatest participation. ved from other technologies. Petroleum has Finally, in the case of coal, its contribution to ranked the first position for years and has primary energy depends almost exclusively seen its contribution reduced 14.4%by only 5.2 on the policies implemented by the Gover- percentage points. Natural gas has slightly nment, without following a defined path. reduced its contribution year after year, re- (Charts 2.1 and 2.2). 20,0% Chart Primary energy 2014 2.1 Source: MINETUR 10.1% Petrolleum Natural gas Renewable energies Nuclear energy 12.6% 42.9% Coal 14.4% 20,0% Percent Petrolleum Natural gas 22 Renewable energies Nuclear energy Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Chart 2014 Primary energy 2007-2014 2.2 Source: MINETUR 48.1% 42.9% 21.5% 20.0% 14.4% 13.7% 12.6% 10.1% 9.8% 7.0% 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Petrolleum 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Natural gas 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Renewable energies Nuclear energy 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Coal Percent In 2014, renewable energies represented tribution slightly from 6.2% to 6.3% during 15.6% of the total final energy consumption 2014. (Chart 2.3). As for gross final energy — in Spain. This share has decreased slightly which is the benchmark for meeting the 20% compared to 2013, when it reached 15.9% target by 2020—, in 2014 the achieved rate of the total final energy consumption due was 17.1%, with half a percentage point over to the decline in participation of renewable the previous year. The gross final consump- electricity generation, falling from the 9.7% tion of energy increased again after the drop obtained in 2013 to 9.3%. The renewable experienced in 2013 and reached its highest thermal technologies increased their con- value in the analysed series. (Chart 2.4). 23 Penetration of renewable energies in Spain Chart Renewable energies percentage on final energy Chart Final energy 2014 2.3 2.4 Source: MINETUR Source: MINETUR Oil products Electricity (incl. Renewable sources) 17.1% Natural gas 16.8% Renewable energies 16.3% Coal 15.1% 6.4% 1.9% 14.0% 17.6% Oil products 13.9% Electricity (incl. Renewable sources) Natural gas 13.0% Renewable energies Coal 12.5% 23.4% 24 50.8% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Percent Percent One of the main challenges for Spain’ energy has increased again in 2014 up to 70% while sector is its extremely high dependence on the rest of Europe averaged slightly over 50% fossil fuels. This dependence was as high as in 2013. Renewable energy sources offer a 81.3% in 2008 and has decreased every year tremendous potential in resolving the serious since then thanks, among other circumstances, problem of energy dependence given their to the generation of energy from renewable local and clean nature, a very positive effect sources. Nonetheless, the energy dependence whilst avoiding fossil fuels imports. (Chart 2.5). 07 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 2014 Energy dependence 2.5 Source: Eurostat and MINETUR Spain 79.6% EU28 81.3% 79.1% 76.7% 76.3% 73.4% 73.0% 70.5% 54.7% 52.9% 2007 2008 53.7% 52.8% 2009 2010 54.0% 53.3% 53.2% 53.2% 2011 2012 2013 2014 Percent Electricity Sector solar photovoltaic 3.1%; solar thermal 2%; and renewable thermal covered 1.9% of the deSpain EU28 mand. (Chart 2.6). Noteworthy is the fact that Including the production from large hydro- on February 4th, 2014, between 8pm and 9pm, power plants, renewable energy sources the peninsular annual demand for electricity accounted for 42.8% of the domestic electricity reached its peak, 60.2 % of which was covered balance in 2014. Wind power covered 20.3% of by renewable energies with wind power at the the demand, large hydropower covered 15.5%; forefront, covering 34.5% of the demand. 25 Penetration of renewable energies in Spain Chart Demand coverage, 2014 2.6 Source: REE Nuclear 3.1% 2.0% 1.9% Wind power 22.0% 8.5% Coal Hydropower Non-renewable thermal Combined cycle Photovoltaic solar 10.2% Thermal solar Renewable thermal 15.5% 20.3% 16.5% Percent Renewable electricity production of the old average power plant registered had been grea- Special Scheme was of 74,907 GWh in 2014, ter than 2,500 MW within the analysed series, 4.8% lower than in 2013. By technology, wind and nearly 2,000 MW were registered over the power represented 68.1% of the total, followed last three years, one could say that the sector by photovoltaic solar with 11%, small-scale hy- is paralysed. Wind power, with 23,002 MW in dropower with 9.4%, thermal solar with 6.6% installed capacity, represented 70% and was Nuclear Eólica2.7). and biomass with 4.9%. (Chart the renewable technology with the largest ins- Hidráulica 26 Térmica no renovable talled capacity, followed by photovoltaic solar fotovoltaica Térmica renovable In terms Solar of installed capacity, the total capacity power with 4,672 MW (14.2%), thermal solar from renewable energies in 2014 was 32,850 power with 2,300 MW (7%), small-scale hydro- MW, representing an increase of only 43 MW power with 2,101 MW (6.4%) and biomass with compared to 2013. (Chart 2.8). Given that the 770 MW (2.3%). Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Chart 2014 Production from renewable sources under Special Regime 2.7 Source: CNMC 78,685 74,907 68,773 60,142 60,019 2010 2011 52,947 41,709 34,323 2007 2008 2009 2012 2013 2014 GWh Broken down by Autonomous Regions, the la y León, followed by Andalusia, Castilla-La largest installed capacity remained in Castil- Mancha and Galicia. These four regions Chart Renewable installed capacity under the Special Regime 2.8 Source: CNMC 25,173 31,994 32,807 32,850 2012 2013 2014 29,112 26,812 22,347 17,689 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 MW 27 Aragón 2,238 Penetration of renewable energies in Spain Galicia 3,979 Castilla La Mancha 5,257 Andalusia 5, Castilla y León Installed capacity in renewable technologies under the Special Regime, by Autonomus Regions by the end of 2014 Chart 2.9 Source: CNMC Balearic Islands 84 PV solar Cantabria 122 Madrid 153 Thermal solar Wind power Hydropower Biomass Basque Country 304 Canary Islands 324 La Rioja Asturias Murcia Navarra Extremadura Valencia Cataluña Aragón 565 600 760 1,395 1,467 1,642 1,922 2,238 Galicia 3,979 Castilla La Mancha 5,257 Andalusia 5,590 Castilla y León 6,447 MW accounted for 64.8% of the total capacity in- PVBasque solar stalled in Spain. With the sole exception of Thermal solar changed Canarias that climbs a position ahead of the Wind power 2.10). Hydropower Biomass 28 Country the ranking remained uncompared to 2013. (Charts 2.9 and Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Installed capacity (MW) and electricity production (GWh) from renewable technologies under the Special Regime, by Autonomous Regions by the end of 2014 Chart 2.10 Source: CNMC Solar PV Installed capacity (MW) Solar Thermal Electricity production (GWh) Andalusia 869 1,565 Aragón 167 Asturias Balearic islands Installed capacity (MW) Electricity production (GWh) Biomass Installed capacity (MW) Electricity production (GWh) Installed capacity (MW) Electricity production (GWh) 47 244 600 1,517 2 2 84 131 3 3 9 324 699 72 204 13 86 122 369 8,292 126 541 58 227 5,257 11,478 5,652 12,422 256 799 45 249 6,447 14,310 1,284 2,889 286 1,179 66 207 1,922 4,751 0 0 299 1,797 4,331 257 993 16 1 1 476 1,049 77 223 78 123 4 6 166 298 154 389 0 2 2 35 76 Castilla La Mancha 923 1,685 3,800 Castilla y León 495 840 Catalonia 265 410 0 0 Valencia 349 543 50 94 Extremadura 561 1,070 849 1,899 Galicia 16 19 3,362 La Rioja 86 129 448 Madrid 67 100 Murcia 440 795 Navarra 161 Basque Country Ceuta & Melilla Total Electricity production (GWh) 5,689 1,373 66 Installed capacity (MW) 2,238 252 23 Electricity production (GWh) 67 267 734 Installed capacity (MW) 11,779 143 349 Total Other 5,590 6,450 Cantabria 2,124 Installed capacity (MW) Hydropower 3,324 Canary Islands 997 Electricity production (GWh) Wind power 1,193 5 0 31 38 18 41 1,642 3,237 20 37 37 194 1,467 3,201 8,398 522 1,860 79 427 3,979 10,705 948 27 88 4 7 565 1,171 44 93 43 167 153 360 2,522 263 511 14 65 11 47 760 1,459 296 1,016 2,279 171 509 47 306 1,395 3,391 26 29 194 433 54 145 30 53 0 0 304 660 4,672 8,203 23,002 50,995 2,101 7,043 770 3,706 5 0 32,850 74,907 31 2,300 41 4,959 29 Penetration of renewable energies in Spain Thermal Sector three previous years in which the contribution of the thermal sector had grown by 3.71% on In 2014, thermal renewable technologies rea- average. By technology, biomass accounts for ched an aggregate amount of 4,365.7 ktoe in 92.68% of the total, followed by thermal solar terms of final energy consumption. This figure with 5.91%, biogas with 0.96% and geothermal represents a slight decrease of 0.42% compa- with 0.45%. (Chart 2.11). red to 2013 and breaks the trend traced by the 93 9.3 125 72 11.0 2007 155 28 13.7 2008 Chart 183 28 16.0 2009 205 53 16.8 2010 220 55 17.6 2011 238 55 17.9 2012 258 47 19.7 2013 42 2014 Final consumption of energy proceeding from thermal renewable sources 2.11 Source: IDAE and MINETUR Geothermal Thermal solar Biogas Biomass 3,720 9.3 2007 125 11.0 28 3,679 155 13.7 2008 28 183 16.0 2009 53 205 16.8 2010 Geothermal Thermal solar Biogas Biomass 55 2011 ktep 30 4,046 3,876 3,817 3,735 3,626 93 72 4,081 220 17.6 55 2012 238 17.9 47 2013 258 19.7 42 2014 9.5% Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 6.7% 5.1% 4.2% Biofuels Sector 4.3% market share achieved a 3.9 % market share. 4.1% 3.9%Biodiesel 4.1% 3.6% 3.6% from methyl esters of fatty acids The overall target of biofuel sale or consump- (FAME) contributed to it in 2.5 percentage tion in diesel and petrol set for 2014 (4.1%) was points while the remaining hydrobiodiesel almost met as the volume of physically intro- contributed to it in 1.4 points. duced biofuels in the Spanish market achieved a 3.9% market share thanks to the use of bio2010 2011 2012 2013 The specific annual target for biofuels in petrol 2014 (3.9%) was reached in physical terms, since fuels certificates over from the previous year. bioethanol consumed during the year achieSimilarly, the specific annual target for bio- ved an actual 4.1% market share, which was fuels in diesel (4.1%) was slightly exceeded reduced to 3.9% once the certificates to be (4.2%), also through the use of certificates transferred to the following year had been de- over from the previous year, once its actual ducted. (Chart 2.12). Chart Biofuels actual market share, in energy terms 2.12 Source: CNMC Biodiesel & Hydrobiodiesel Bioethanol 9.5% 6.7% 5.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 4.1% 4.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 2.5% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Share, % 31 Macroeconomic assessment 3 32 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Macroeconomic assessment I n 2014, the Renewable Energy Sector reduced its contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second consecutive year as a result of the reform of the electricity sector implemented by the Government through a number of regulatory changes that have been particularly detrimental for renewable energies. In fact, the contribution of the sector to GDP is 30% lower than 2012. The impact of this reform has also adversely affected employment in the renewable energy sector. To be precise, the measures implemented by the Government have led to the destruction of more than 22,000 employments in the sector leaving the number of employments in the lowest level of the series analyzed. Conversely, once again the sector showed a positive trade balance by exporting eight times more than what it imported, emerging as a net fiscal contributor with more than one billion EUR, and maintaining its commitment with the future of renewable energies, evidenced by its contribution to R&D&I. 33 10,325 10,135 9,588 Macroeconomic assessment 9,497 8,136 7,173 6,123 6,280 5,561 second time this contribution decreases (22.1% 6,794 6,844 Impact on GDP 7,389 7,387 when compared to 2013) in the annual series. The reform undertaken by the Government 7,387 m EUR. The contribution of the sector to has led to the loss of 3,148 million euros of the 3,531 GDP of the Renewable Energy Sector was of reas in 2012 it represented 1% of the GDP with weight of the renewable energy sector by 30% 2,323 2,086 in just two years. (Charts 3.1 and 3.2). a contribution of 10,535 m euros. In fact, it is the 2007 2008 2009 Chart 2010 2011 2012 1,265 3,291 3,146 sector´s contribution to GDP and reduced the 3,307 GDP was 0.7% of the total Spanish GDP, whe3,204 3,476 4,932 In 2014, the total aggregated contribution to 2013 2014 Renewable Energies direct, induced and aggregated contribution to GDP 3.1 Source: APPA Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 10,535 10,325 10,135 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 9,588 9,497 8,136 6,123 7,173 6,794 6,844 2007 2011 2012 2013 Current m EUR Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 34 Direct contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 1,265 2010 2,323 3,291 2009 3,146 3,307 3,531 3,204 2008 2,086 3,476 4,932 6,280 5,561 7,389 7,387 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Chart 2014 Relevance of Renewable Energy Sector in GDP terms 3.2 Source: APPA 0.89% 0.94% 0.96% 1.00% 0.91% 0.73% 0.70% 0.51% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Relevance. % Direct contribution of the Renewable Energy Sec- GDP is particularly noteworthy, as it is the third tor to Spain’s GDP was of 6,123 m EUR in 2014, time that such circumstance occurs in the annual a 14.5% decrease compared to 2013. This re- series and being the lowest direct contribution duction in the sector’s direct contribution to the within the last six years. (Charts 3.3 and 3.4). Chart Direct contribution to GDP from Renewable Energy Sector 3.3 Source: APPA 7,389 6,844 6,280 6,794 7,173 6,123 4,932 3,476 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Current m EUR 35 Macroeconomic assessment Chart Growth rate of the Renewable Energy Sector’s direct contribution to GDP 3.4 Source: APPA 36.3% 27.7% 7.1% 6.2% -3.8% -4.3% -14.5% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % in real terms Chart Induced contribution to GDP from the Renewable Eenergy Sector 3.5 Source: APPA 3,531 3,204 3,307 3,291 3,146 2,323 2,086 1,265 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Current m EUR 36 2012 2013 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain The sector’s induced contribution to GDP was tion in the sector’s induced contribution to GDP of 1,265 m EUR in 2014, a tremendous fall of is explained, mainly, by the stalling of building 45.5% compared to 2013. This is the lowest new generating plants. (Chart 3.5). 2014 contribution within the entire series analysed herein and represents nearly a third of the In 2014, contribution to the GDP from the diffe- sector’s induced contribution in 2011 when it rent technologies was as follows: photovoltaic reached its highest value. The significant reduc- solar power (35.33%), wind power (20.66%), 37 Macroeconomic assessment Employment generated CSP (17.72%), biomass electricity (13.93%), biofuels (5.65%) and small-scale hydropower (3.64%). Other renewable technologies con- In 2014 the entire Renewable Energy Sector tributed an aggregated 3.07% to Spain’s GDP. employed 70,750 people, 22,665 less than in (Chart 3.6). 2013 (-24.3%), which together with the 19,833 Chart 3.6 Total contribution to GDP from the Renewable Energy Sector, by technologies Source: APPA Current m EUR 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 147 151 350 494 426 359 299 418 1,055 1,103 1,044 1,089 1,150 1,310 1,395 1,029 68 79 78 76 72 69 72 79 3,294 3,803 3,214 2,984 2,623 2,898 1,928 1,526 High enthalpy geothermal 8 11 12 14 14 14 14 14 Low enthalpy geothermal 5 7 12 20 22 21 25 28 Marine 6 6 8 10 12 12 12 12 40 44 46 53 56 55 22 21 Small-scale hydropower 462 527 503 554 528 462 588 269 Photovoltaic solar 391 1,586 3,064 3,129 3,012 3,344 3,005 2,610 Thermal solar 42 95 75 63 50 49 65 73 CSP 45 723 1,182 1,650 2,360 1,942 2,072 1,309 5,561 8,136 9,588 10,135 10,325 10,535 9,497 7,387 Biofuels Biomass electricity Biomass thermal Wind Small-scale wind Total contribution to GDP 38 115,833 113,248 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 93,415 yment increase in 2014 were biofuels (895), herein. The sector has lost nearly half of the thermal biomass (171), thermal solar (97), low 50,913 enthalpy geothermal (83) and small-scale wind with an aggregate amount of 136,163 emplo- power (12). In contrast, the technologies des- yees. (Chart 3.7). troying the greatest number of employments 2009 27,271 43,479 jobs it had in 2008, when it reached its record 42,502 54,444 56,303 57,863 58,803 figure at its lowest level in the series analysed 65,548 The technologies that registered a net emplo- 57,967 employments lost in 2012, left the employment 2010 2011 Chart 2012 2013 2014 Direct and induced employment in the Renewable Energy Sector 3.7 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 136,163 121,850 121,483 115,833 113,248 98,494 93,415 2007 43,479 27,271 50,913 42,502 58,803 54,444 65,548 56,303 57,967 57,863 62,497 58,986 57,239 78,924 70,750 55,655 62,497 58,986 70,750 42,840 08 121,850 121,483 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Employments Direct employment Induced employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 39 Macroeconomic assessment were biomass power (-13,135), thermal solar In 2014 the sector employed directly 43,479 (-8,820), wind (1,097), photovoltaic solar (-823), people, registering a 14.6% reduction compared small-scale hydro power (-41), high enthalpy to 2013, and losing 7,434 direct employments. geothermal (-6) and marine (-1). (Chart 3.8). 2014 follows the trend traced by the previous Chart 3.8 Breakdown of employment in the Renewable Energy Sector, by technologies Source: APPA Employments 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Biofuels 7,060 7,283 6,347 5,172 3,797 2,909 3,364 4,259 38,541 40,144 40,866 37,289 38,649 41,109 40,557 27,422 2,438 2,927 2,886 2,887 2,754 2,613 2,736 2,907 37,189 41,438 35,719 30,747 27,119 23,308 17,850 16,753 High enthalpy geothermal 106 139 213 217 212 208 208 202 Low enthalpy geothermal 207 248 349 408 569 547 623 706 85 94 115 129 153 166 302 301 745 788 806 825 847 829 285 297 Small-scale hydropower 1,491 1,597 1,610 1,588 1,528 1,497 1,502 1,461 Photovoltaic solar 9,325 27,963 12,504 11,509 11,683 11,490 10,767 9,944 Thermal solar 772 1,818 1,468 1,218 984 990 997 1,094 CSP 535 11,724 18,600 23,844 33,555 27,582 14,224 5,404 98,494 136,163 121,483 115,833 121,850 113,248 93,415 70,750 Biomass electricity Biomass thermal Wind Marine Small-scale wind Total employment 40 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 six years: since 2008, 45% of direct employments in the renewable sector have been lost. Noteworthy is the fact that direct employment accounts for 61.45% of the renewables sector taken in its entirety. (Chart 3.9). Indirect employment in the Renewable Energy Sector Chart 3.10 Source: APPA In 2014 the Sector only generated 27,271 in- 65,548 direct employments, the lowest figure in the 58,986 57,239 42,840 Direct employment in the Renewable Energy Sector Chart 3.9 58,803 57,863 42,502 Source: APPA 27,271 78,924 62,497 57,967 55,655 56,303 54,444 2007 50,913 43,479 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of employments historical series. This employment segment was reduced by 35.8% compared to 2013, losing 15,231 indirect employments. Since 2011, when indirect employment reached its highest figure, 65,548 employments, the number of employees has been reduced by 58.4% in just 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Number of employments 2013 2014 four years. Indirect employment accounts for 38.55% of the renewables sector taken in its entirety. (Chart 3.10). 41 Macroeconomic assessment 3,853 3,433 3,393 3,340 3,331 3,165 3,073 3,067 2,639 2,316 Trade balance 1,300 reduction of imports of goods and services ini- 1,100 770 7242012. The Renewable Energy Sector tiated in 710 680 Once again, in 2014 the Renewable Energy Sec- reached the second highest total of the series tor registered a positive trade balance. While analysed. (Chart 3.11). The Renewable Energy exports of goods and services increased to -321 -323 Sector export balance contributed positively 2.639 m EUR, imports amounted to a mere to level the Spanish trade balance, the latter 323 m EUR, resulting in an aggregate amount amounting to 24,472 m EUR in 2014. The Spa- of net exports of 2,316 m EUR. The significant nish energy deficit (38,071 m EUR) decreased -2,334 -2,343 -2,395 reduction-2,553 in imports is the consequence of the -2,630 -2,652 2007 2008 2009 Chart 2010 thanks to the 13,599 m EUR surplus achieved 2011 2012 2013 2014 Impact of renewable energies in exports, import and net exports 3.11 Source: APPA Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Net exports 3,853 3,433 3,393 3,340 3,331 3,165 3,073 3,067 2,639 2,316 1,100 1,300 770 -2,334 2007 -2,553 2008 680 724 -2,652 -2,630 2010 2011 2012 Constant m EUR (2014 base) 42 Exports of goods and services -321 -323 2013 2014 -2,343 -2,395 2009 710 Imports of goods and services Net exports 49 89 38 9 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain by the Spanish renewable energy companies. should pay more attention to the numbers (Chart 3.12). In 2014, Spain had to pay abroad illustrated herein and encourage the use of re- 29,065 m EUR in petroleum and oil products, newable energies instead of preventing their 13,599 8.239 m EUR in gas14,746 and 767 m EUR in coal and development. 25,042 2014 -6,400 electricity. -11,861 -45,504 -40,997 -38,071 Renewable -39,938 energy sources constitute, given -34,500 their tremendous potential and their local and Fiscal balance clean nature, the sole alternative for sustaina-30,758 -24,472 -46,338 energy self-sufficiency. It-15,955 is clear that in a Once again, as every year in the annual series country like Spain, with enormous renewable since 2005, the Renewable Energy Sector was a resources and extremely high energy depen- net fiscal contributor to the Spanish economy. dence on foreign energy, the Government The amount of taxes paid by Renewable Ener- -46, 361 ble 2010 2011 2012 2013 Chart 2014 Spain’s trade balance 3.12 Source: Spain’s tax authorities Non energy 25,042 Energy 13,599 14,746 -18,349 -11,861 -45,504 -44,056 -57,431 -6,400 -26,689 -34,500 -40,997 -38,071 -39,938 -45,038 -46, 361 -46,338 -30,758 -15,955 -24,472 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -42,668 -33,815 -91,246 2007 -86,724 2008 Current m EUR Non energy Energy 43 Macroeconomic assessment 84 10 82 81 75 8 7 8 -12 6 -10 -11 2011 63 2012 -7 2013 2014 Chart Fiscal impact of the Renewable Energy Sector in Spain 3.13 Source: APPA Subsidies Other taxes 694 690 Charges (local, property and other taxes) Income tax 607 597 Tax on electricity generation 497 491 391 330 301 287 53 3 -14 5 -16 2007 5 -19 2008 84 75 61 7 6 -10 -11 2011 63 7 8 -12 2010 81 75 8 -20 2009 82 2012 -7 2013 2014 Current m EUR gy Sector companies has always been much greater than the amount of subsidies recei- Contribution to R&D&I Subsidies Other taxes Charges (local, property and other taxes) ved. In 2014 the difference between taxes paid In 2014 investments Income tax in research, development and subsidies received was 970 million euros. Tax on(R&D&I) electricity generation and innovation from companies in the This contribution taxation has decreased due Renewable Energy Sector amounted to 216 m to the reduction in tax on company profits and EUR, representing in real terms 3.52% of the the tax on electricity generation, both imple- Sector’s total contribution to GDP. mented in 2013. The tax on company profits 44 has been reduced by over 56% since 2010. In order to assess the innovation effort of (Chart 3.13). Spanish renewable energy companies, the Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 average percentage of its contribution to GDP (3.52%) has been compared with the average percentage of the Spanish economy Chart R&D&I effort relative to GDP 3.14 in 2013 (1,24%). The renewable companies nearly tripled in percentage terms this type Source: APPA, Eurostat and INE of investment. The figures show the Sector’s strong commitment with innovation activities, 3.52% seeking to help the economy towards the leading role worldwide. The sector´s effort can 2.02% be also compared with the average percentage of the European Union in 2013 (2.02%), 1.24% the latter being slightly higher than the Spanish economy’s average percentage. It can be observed that the Spanish renewable energy sector´s average is almost two times the average percentage of investment of the European Union. (Chart 3.14). Renewable Energies (2014) Average EU27 Average Spanish (2013) economy (2013) Effort, % 45 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4 46 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies I n 2014 the different renewable technologies contributed with an aggregate of 7,387 m EUR to the Spanish GDP, representing 0,7% of it; employed 70,750 people; improved our trade balance in 2,316 m EUR; registered a positive fiscal balance amounting to 970 m EUR and invested 216 m EUR in R&D&I. And last but not least, remained committed to innovation, investing nearly the triple of the Spanish average in R&D&I. This chapter shows the contribution of the The following technologies were included: different renewable technologies to Spanish economy over the year 2014 in detail, as well • Biofuels. as their evolution since 2005, focusing on their • Biomass for electricity and thermal respective contribution to GDP, the number of people employed and some additional information on their capacity and production. The section includes all the renewable techno- production. • Wind power. • High and low enthalpy geothermal power. • Marine power. • Small-scale wind power. • Small-scale hydropower. logies that are currently implemented in Spain, • Photovoltaic solar power. both electricity production and thermal pro- • Thermal solar power. duction technologies. • CSP. 47 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.1 48 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from biodiesel and bioethanol sectors 4.1.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 494.0 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 426.4 417.7 359.4 350.1 2008 309.7 2011 2012 2013 108.0 77.2 115.9 22.5 243.6 289.0 2010 137.5 2009 60.9 90.2 159.2 2007 141.1 151.1 146.5 209.1 334.8 298.7 87.5 tion to GDP 2010 59.0 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Current m EUR Biofuel Direct contribution to GDP year, resulting in a change in the downwards Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP trend observed in the previous three years as shown in Direct contribution to GDP Charts 4.1.1 and 4.1.2. Induced contribution to GDP In 2014, total contribution to GDP from the Direct + Induced contribution to GDP biodiesel (hereinafter “FAME”, fatty acid Broken down by type of biofuel, in 2014 the methyl esters) and the bioethanol sectors aggregate contribution to GDP from the bio- amounted to 417.7 m EUR of which 309.7 m diesel subsector amounted to 308.2 m EUR, corresponded to their contribution, whereas representing a 85.6% increase in real terms 108.0 m to induced contribution. Their aggre- compared to 2013. The aggregate contribu- gate contribution to GDP has increased in real tion to GDP from the bioethanol subsector terms by 40.1% compared to the previous amounted to 109.5 m EUR, a 17.1% reduction 49 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies quantities in the production of biodiesel and, Change in contribution to GDP from biodiesel and bioethanol sectors on the other hand, the application throughout 308.2 the year of the antidumping rights to the biodiesel coming from Argentina and Indonesia. 260.1 Source: APPA 132.4% 225.2 This improvement in production occurred des207.7 pite the drop in exports and the slight decrease 166.3 165.1 in 2014. This contraction was mainly due to the 132.4 134.2 increasing introduction of the hydrobiodiesel 109.5 142.5 in the consumption of biodiesel FAME in Spain 166.3 4.1.2 328.9 Chart 40.1% 38.6% 2009 2010 Chart 2011 4.1.3 2012 + 2013 Direct induced2014 contribution to GDP, by biofuel type Source: APPA -0.9% Biodiesel Bioethanol -16.4% -17.7% -18.1% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 260.1 % in real terms 308.2 2009 328.9 2008 tion to GDP is due to the significant growth in 109.5 166.3 132.4 166.3 134.2 The increase of the biodiesel sector contribu- 142.5 decrease as shown in Chart 4.1.3. 165.1 207.7 in 2013 and represents its third consecutive 225.2 in real terms compared to the level reached production and sales in the domestic market experienced by Spanish plants. This has been possible thanks to the combination of two im- 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 portant regulatory measures: firstly, the launch in May 2014 of the system for the allocation of Current m EUR Biodiesel 50 Bioethanol 2014 4.3% 5.1% 4.1% 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 4.1% 2014 2.5% 3.8% 4.2% Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain and the maintenance of the biofuel objectives 2009 set by the Government during the previous year, which were among the lowest in the European Union. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Actual market share of biofuels, in energy terms Chart 4.1.4 Source: CNMC The decline in 2014 in the contribution of the Biodiesel & Hydrobiodiesel bioethanol subsector to GDP can be attributed Bioethanol Biodiesel & Hydrobiodiesel Bioethanol mainly to the decrease in market prices of this 9.5% biofuel, since the production and sales experienced by the Spanish industry remained the 6.7% same as during the previous year. In 2014 the aggregate consumption of biofuels 4.1% 2012 3.9% 2011 3.6% 2010 3.6% 4.1% and Competition Comission (“CNMC”). This in- 4.3% visional data furnished by the Spanish Markets 2.5% to 1,169,978 tonnes (“T”) according to the pro- 3.8% re for the previous year, rising from 1,071,678 4.2% 5.1% in Spain increased 9.2% compared to the figu- crease was contributed to the hydrobiodiesel (89,627 MT) and bioethanol (27,048 MT), whereas the demand for biodiesel was reduced down to 18,375 MT. 2009 2013 2014 Market share, % Although in 2014 biofuels physically placed in Spain´s market achieved in energy terms Biodiesel & Hydrobiodiesel Biodiesel an overall 3.9% share of the petrol and die- & Hydrobiodiesel presenting a 3.9 %Bioethanol of the actual market share. sel markets, the overall compulsory target set The biodiesel FAME contributed to it with 2.5 for that year (4.1%) was -tightly- met thanks to percentage points, whilst the hydrobiodiesel the use of biofuel certificates carried over from contributed with the remaining 1.4 points. Bioethanol 2013 into 2014. Instead, the minimum specific target for bioLikewise, the minimum specific target for bio- fuels in petrol (3.9%) was effectively reached in fuels in petrol (4.1%) was slightly exceeded physical terms since the bioethanol consumed (4.2%) also thanks to the use of certificates that during the year achieved a real market share of had been carried over from 2013 into 2014, re- 4.1% which, for accounting purposes was redu- 51 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies ced down to 3.9% once the certificates carried 23%, the highest since the beginning of the bio- over into the following year were subtracted. fuels target in 2009, this figure is still insufficient (Chart 4.1.4). to ensure the sector´s economic sustainability. Indeed, the improvement in some of the sector Biodiesel situation ratios cannot hide the deterioration of its industrial tissue in Spain: during 2014 three (3) of the thirty-eight (38) Spanish plants producing bio- In 2014 consumption of FAME biodiesel in Spain diesel shut down definitively in addition to the represented 597,886 tonnes, a 3.0% reduction 15 that closed during the previous year, while compared to the previous year and a 59.5% de- 80% of the remaining facilities were idle or ope- crease compared to 2012. The biodiesel share rating at minimum capacity. in the Spanish market was 51.1%, which in its turn was slightly lower than the share achieved the previous year (57.5%). Bioethanol situation Despite the slight decrease in demand, Spanish 52 plants producing biodiesel managed to increa- In 2014 consumption of bioethanol in Spain se their domestic market share up to 72%, the amounted to 292,955 tonnes, representing an highest since 2009, thanks to the effects of va- increase of 10.2% compared to the previous rious regulatory measures applied during 2014. year. For the same year, bioethanol share of As an example, curbing the biodiesel dumped Spanish market was 25%, slightly above the imports was allowed. rate recorded the previous year (24.8%). The production of biodiesel in Spanish plants The increase in consumption has been favou- during 2014 amounted to a total of 894,313 MT, red by the possibility of blending bioethanol representing an increase of 54.1% compared to and petrol directly throughout the year, once the previous year and the highest production the European Commission authorised Spain registered since 2010. Half of this production by the end of 2013 to increase the steam was for the domestic market, whereas the other pressure in such mixtures during the summer half was exported. period. Whilst the increase in production experienced This slight increase in demand was only expe- by this sector helped raising the utilization ratio rienced by the Spanish industry sales in the of the installed capacity (3.9 million tonnes) to domestic market, which remained practically Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 136,163 and bioethanol sector in Spain was 4,259, an stable in absolute terms, reaching a market 121,483 share of 70%, which was lower than in 2013 (76%) but higher than the one recorded in the 2014 115,833 121,850 increase in 895 jobs (+ 26.6%) compared to the 113,248 previous year. Although these figures confirm previous three years. Exports also remained at 98,494 the growing trend started last year, the fact is the same level as the previous year. 93,415 that the sector´s employment remains well below 40% achieved in 2008 (7,283). The production from the four existing plants 78,924 70,750 zation ratio of the installed capacity (389,703 increased production, as compared to the pre- tonnes) represented 92%. vious year, both in biodiesel and bioethanol 50,913 42,502 54,444 56,303 57,863 57,967 58,986 57,239 55,655 42,840 43,479 biofuels industry in 2014 is the result of the 58,803 to 2013, up to 359,262 t. On its turn, the utili- 65,548 The recovery of employment in the Spanish 62,497 in Spain increased slightly (+ 2.8%) compared subsectors. This is despite the adverse impact on employment resulting from the biodiesel direct employments generated by the biodiesel plants closed down in Spain. (Chart 4.1.5). 2007 2008 Chart 2009 27,271 In 2014 the aggregate number of direct and in- 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the biodiesel and bioethanol sectors 4.1.5 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment 7,283 7,060 Total employment 6,347 5,172 4,259 3,797 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2,659 2013 1,600 2,100 1,263 1,066 1,843 1,460 2,337 3,153 2,018 3,767 2,580 3,685 3,598 3,573 3,487 3,364 2,909 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 53 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.2 54 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from the Biomass electricity sector 4.2.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 1,395 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 1,310 1,150 1,089 1,044 1,029 2010 2011 2012 507 374 2009 473 386 2008 655 734 383 2007 416 703 404 661 699 837 888 1,103 1,055 668 tion to GDP 2010 387 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2013 2014 Current m EUR Biomass Direct contribution to GDP countries, and as a renewable power generation Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP technology it is the furthest one from meeting the to REP Direct contribution GDP targets for the period 2011-2020. To Induced contribution to GDP In 2014, the generation of clean energy from bio- fulfill such targets there is a need to adopt a mass in Spain has continued without reaching country strategy that fosters the development the expectations of the sector, especially in elec- of biomass, a technology capable of generating tricity, which has been paralysed since the energy significant economic, environmental and social reform took place, although in the thermal field value providing important benefits, such as the the sector has maintained its growth. Biomass in recovery of waste, fire prevention, the avoidance Spain is far from occupying a prominent place in of emissions and an intensive generation of em- the energy mix, as happens in other developed ployment especially in rural areas. Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 55 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies Biomass for electricity production In 2014 contribution to GDP from biomass for electricity production (solid biomass and Growth rate of the Biomass electricity sector Chart 4.2.2 Source: APPA biogas) amounted to 1,029 m EUR, a 26% decrease compared to 2013. It should be noted that out of this figure, 655 m EUR correspond 11.2% to the direct contribution and 374 m EUR to the sector’s induced contribution. Over 36% of the contribution of this sector to the Spanish GDP 5.0% 2.5% 2.3% 0.5% is a significant supplementary economic activity to the principal one (energy production) relating mainly to the supply of biomass (fuels) -5.1% to the facilities where it is recovered. (Charts 4.2.1 and 4.2.2). In 2014, biomass plants for electricity generation have seen their viability threatened due to the strong impact that the policy reforms -26.1% implemented by the Government have had on the biomass sector for electricity production. The regulation of the electricity production 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % in real terms from renewable energy sources, cogeneration and waste, embodied in Royal Decree 413/2014, regulates a number of issues by sector, ham- limitations have been eliminated from other pering the development of biomass power in similar sectors, such as cogeneration, even Spain. The costs for fuel have not been mo- though biomass could be equally used. dified in the said decree, costs which do not 56 even remotely reach the figures illustrated in The possibility of hybridizing with biogas and the official reports published by IDAE-MINE- waste the production of biogas coming from TUR. On the other hand, limitations on the the degassing of landfills with biodigestion maximum number of hours for biomass pro- -which came from the organic fraction of urban duction have not been removed, whilst such solid waste- has been removed, even though 83 2,483 557 770 2, it was a very common practice at the waste of 27,422 employments, a 32% reduction com- treatment premises. However, when calcula- pared to 2013. In the aggregate figure, 14,815 ting the compensation parameters, although correspond to direct employments and 12,607 “in theory” only the costs involved exclusively to indirect employments, most of them in rural in the production of electricity were taken into areas (associated to agriculture, forestry and account, also other revenues that correspond cattle industries). (Chart 4.2.4). to other activities have been considered. For 2014 587 670 709 733 765 2,169 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20 instance, the fee for waste treatment. In relation to purines, the “survival plan” suggested by the purines sector has not been Evolution of installed capacity and energy sales in the Biomass electricity sector Chart 4.2.3 adopted. The aforesaid plan was mainly based on applying a transitional regime in order for Source: CNMC the sector to prepare for the upcoming new Installed capacity (MW) scenario in the short term since it was unaffor- Energy sales (GWh) dable for these facilities do to this immediately. The non-adoption of the “survival plan” has led 4,197 4,285 to the gradual shutting down of these facilities. 3,751 All this explains the decrease of the energy 3,142 765 587 The decrease of installed capacity in 2013, regis- 557 ding to the CNMC. 709 670 aggregate compensation of over 20% accor- 770 2,483 2,169 733 the restrictions in the amount of production 839 3,025 sold by this sector by 13.5% in 2014, due to hours, which has resulted in a decrease in the 3,706 tered in the data published by CNMC (Comisión Nacional de Mercados y la Competencia), is due to the new classification of biomass from the former group b.8.3 (RD 661/2007) into the new group c.2 (RD 413/2014). (Chart 4.2.3). In 2014 biomass for electricity production (solid 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 biomass and biogas) generated an aggregate 57 Installed capacity (MW) 50,913 58,8 54,444 6 56,30 57,9 57,86 43,479 27,271 42,502 62, 58,9 57,23 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the Biomass electricity sector 4.2.4 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 41,109 40,866 Direct employment 40,144 Induced employment 38,541 40,557 38,649 37,289 Total employment 2011 2013 14,815 2012 12,607 21,911 22,224 20,891 17,758 20,122 2010 18,646 2009 17,167 21,620 19,246 21,238 2008 18,884 2007 18,906 20,457 27,422 18,084 2008 2014 Number of employments The decrease in production hours experienced Direct employment in this sector is mainly due to the approval of Biomass for thermal Induced employment Total employment production Royal Decree 413/2014, which has forced the Direct employment Induced employment change in the management and operation of Charts 4.2.5 and 4.2.6 shows the contribution Total employment 58 the facilities producing electric energy from bio- to GDP from biomass for the thermal produc- mass which, on its turn also has contributed to tion sector in 2014 as 79.42 m EUR, a 10.2% the loss of employments affecting, consequent- increase compared to 2013, mainly as the ly, the employment figures of the industry. result of the increase in installed capacity re- Chart 2012 28. 2011 25.74 2009 24.50 2008 25.61 26.9 28. 28. 21.50 2007 2013 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2010 2014 Contribution to GDP from the Biomass for thermal production sector 4.2.5 Source: APPA Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP 78.80 79.42 Induced contribution to GDP 78.00 75.69 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 72.18 71.81 26.99 25.61 24.50 2010 2011 2012 2013 28.32 46.44 28.40 2009 25.74 28.10 44.20 46.20 48.70 49.60 50.70 2008 21.50 46.30 2007 51.10 68.70 67.80 2014 Current m EUR gistered in 2013. The aggregate figure includes cases including biomass densification. Out of 51.10 m EUR in direct contribution and 28.32 the aggregate 4,088 ktep produced in 2014 m EUR in induced impact. This means that over from biomass for thermal generation, 4,046 Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution GDP Kteptocorresponded to biomass and 42 Ktep to 35% of the biomass for thermal production Induced contribution to GDP biogas. (Chart 4.2.7). sector´s contribution to GDP correspondedDirect to + Induced contribution to GDP supplementary activities to the sector’s main activity, such as the collection, processing and In 2014 biomass for thermal generation was transportation of biomass to facilities, in many the basis for the development of the biomass 59 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4,081 4,046 3,876 3,817 In 2014 3,735 the biomass for thermal production 3,720 Chart 4.2.6 3,679 sector generated a total of 2,907 employments 3,626 Growth rate in the Biomass for thermal production sector in aggregate, mainly located in rural areas 72 where biomass resources are generated and Source: APPA 53 55 55 47 where facilities are typically located. The aggre42 28 includes 1,881 direct employments gate28figure 11.7% 10.2% and 1,026 indirect employments. The number 2007 2008 2009 3.6% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Biomass for thermal production, evolution of generated Energy Chart 4.2.7 Source: MINETUR -0.7% Biomass energy production (ktoe) Biogas energy production (ktoe) -4.7% -6 .6% -8.1% 2008 2009 2010 2011 4,081 2012 2013 2014 4,046 3,876 % in real terms 3,817 3,735 3,720 3,679 3,626 72 55 53 sector in Spain, mainly due to the increasing introduction in home systems to generate heat 28 28 2008 2009 55 47 42 and hot water. A growing interest in the possibilities offered by this renewable source has been 2007 2010 2011 2012 shown in Spain, generating significant environmental and economic benefits. A very attractive energy option that offers stable and competitive prices compared to traditional fuels. ktep Biomass energy production (ktoe) Biogas energy production (ktoe) 60 2013 2014 50,913 43,479 27,271 42,502 58,8 54,444 56,30 65 57,96 57,86 2014 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the Biomass for thermal production sector 4.2.8 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 2,927 2,886 2,907 2,887 2,754 2,736 2,613 1,881 1,770 999 981 939 966 1,026 1,674 1,773 1,888 1,016 1,870 1,027 1,706 1,900 2,438 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 733 62, 58,9 57,23 08 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2007 Number of employments Direct employment of employments generated by this sector re- Induced employment Total employment Biomass facilities for thermal production gene- presents a 6.2% increase compared to 2013. rate stable employments in rural areas where Direct employment Induced employment This increase is closely related to the substanthe biomass resources are located. Many of Total employment tial amount of labour required forinstallation the employments are associated with the ex- and maintenance of facilities using biomass traction, processing and supply of biomass for thermal production. (Chart 4.2.8). needs of those facilities. 61 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.3 62 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from the Wind power sector 4.3.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 3,803 3,294 3,214 2,984 2,898 2,623 1,926 2012 1,314 212 2011 334 2010 973 2009 1,594 1,627 1,526 996 1,171 1,492 2008 1,261 2007 1,813 1,953 2,311 1,928 1,933 tion to GDP 2010 1,361 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2013 2014 Current m EUR Wind power Direct contribution to GDP tribution (86%), and the remaining 212 m EUR Induced contribution to GDP (14%) Direct + Induced contribution to GDP to its induced contribution. (Chart 4.3.1). Direct contribution to GDP In 2014 the contribution of the wind power secIn 2014 the wind sector reduced its contribuInduced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP tor to GDP amounted to 1,526 m EUR, of which tion to GDP over 20% compared to 2013. (Chart 1,314 m EUR corresponded to its direct con- 4.3.2). The indirect contribution is the one with 63 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies The aforementioned reduction confirms the negative impact of the disastrous energy policy Growth rate in the Wind power sector Chart 4.3.2 recently implemented by the Spanish Government, which on the one hand, has reduced Source: APPA the industrial activity and, on the other hand, has decreased the revenues for the sector in 10.9% 7.8% 2014 caused by the retrospective measures implemented by the Ministry mid-2013. These measures have represented a reduction in wind power remuneration over 2 bn EUR compared to 2012. The perverse methodology established in the -8.8% Royal Decree 413/2014 and Ministerial Order 1045/2014 has entailed the lack of regulated re- -14.8% -15.2% muneration for around 6,200 MW of the wind -20.7% technology, thus wind power is only remunerated by the market price. Moreover, wind facilities counting with only 10 years of useful life, have to compete on equal terms with plants -34.4% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 that have been amortising for decades. 2014 % in real terms The reduction of the contribution to GDP is the result of the aforesaid retroactive measures and the lack of a forward-looking approach for the wind sector. Another aspect to be consi- a greater decline. The reduction of the wind dered is the lower energy production (-6%) in contribution to GDP compared to 2008 is about 2014 compared to the volume recorded the 60%. In the past seven years, the drag effect of previous year – in 2013 wind appeared to be the wind sector on the rest of the Spanish eco- an exceptional resource. nomy has been reduced over 85%. These values 64 demonstrate the slowdown that the wind ener- If 2013 went down in history as the year in gy has suffered in the recent years and the which wind was the main source of electrici- negative impact it has had on the retribution of ty generation in Spain, ahead of nuclear, 2014 the power generated by this technology. will be the year in which the lowest volume of Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain MW has been commissioned since the birth of this technology in the mid-90s. In 2014 only 25 MW of wind technology were commissioned, representing 1% of the installed capacity, for example, in 2009. The figure also contrasts 2007 2008 Chart 2014 Evolution installed 2010 2011 of2012 2013capacity 2014 2009 and energy sales in the Wind power sector 4.3.3 Source: CNMC with the power commissioned in other Euro- Installed capacity (MW) pean Union countries such as Germany and Energy sales (GWh) 54,630 UK, with 5,279 in 2014 and 1,736 MW installed, 50,995 respectively. However, wind power remains 48,334 the most developed renewable energy in Spain with an aggregate installed capacity of 23,002 43,150 41,792 MW and generating almost 51,000 GWh under 38,275 the Special Regime in Spain. (Chart 4.3.3). 32,100 Since 2009 there has been a constant reduc- 18,856 city reform. Still, wind energy remains as the industrial benchmark in Spain. Currently, the continue to exist thanks to the Spanish wind power sector’s export capacity, the highest 2013 2014 14,536 producing installations. Production centres 16,323 Spanish wind power sector has some 200 19,701 and the implementation of the latest electri- 21,065 a stable and predictableregulatory framework 23,002 industrial activity has resulted from the lack of 23,002 27,578 22,632 tion of the sector’s growth rate. The reduced among renewableenergies. However, keeping the wind power industry in Spain will be all but impossible without the recovery of the domestic wind-power market. According to the Energy Plan for 2015-2020 (draft) launched in mid-2014, which includes the binding targets set in the Directive 2009/28/ EC, it is necessary to operate between 4,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Installed capacity (MW) Energy sales (GWh) 65 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies and 6,500 MW of wind technology to meet the targets established in the aforesaid Directive by 2020. Unfortunately, to date, the renewable moratorium established by the RD-Law 1/2012 is still applicable and thus, no steps have been followed towards the implementation of the Energy Plan. It is an indispensable requirement for the future of the wind industry to put in place the necessary measures to ensure a stable and predictable regulatory and retributive framework. Such strategy should be implemented as soon as possible so new investments are attracted and the reduction experienced by the sector in the past few years as a result of the policies implemented by the Government is effectively overcome. To this purpose, the Government should make a firm commitment to invigorate the wind power sector by, for instance, promoting the repowering of facilities or extending the useful life of those facilities where repowering is not possible due to environmental issues. These measures, together with the technological maturity of the wind would enable the sector keep being the leaders which would not only benefit the domestic sector but also the Spanish economy. In 2014 the wind sector employed 16,753 jobs, 9,466 of which were direct employments and 7,287 indirect employments. Compared to 2013, the sector registered a reduction of 66 93,415 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 50,913 58,803 54,444 65,548 56,303 57,967 57,863 less employment than in 2008, when the num- for 24,200 employments lost on aggregate. In ber of people employed in the sector was the 2014 the wind power sector generated 60% year in 41,438. (Chart 4.3.4). 2009 2010 2011 2012 Chart 43,479 1,097 employments, the sixth consecutive year 27,271 42,502 62,497 57,239 08 58,986 70,750 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the Wind power sector 4.3.4 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 41,438 37,189 35,719 30,747 27,119 16,408 20,781 2007 2008 2009 2012 9,466 16,753 2013 7,287 10,086 7,764 13,019 2011 10,289 15,813 2010 11,306 17,898 12,849 15,627 20,092 17,850 18,468 20,781 16,408 37,189 22,970 23,308 2014 Number of employments 2007 Direct employment Induced employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 67 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.4 68 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from the High enthalpy geothermal sector 4.4.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 14.49 Induced contribution to GDP 14.30 13.91 13.64 14.02 12.25 13.56 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 14.20 13.83 12.01 10.92 13.53 13.26 Direct contribution to GDP 8.11 10.70 tion to GDP 2010 7.95 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 0.16 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.27 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Current m EUR Geothermal power Direct contribution to GDP continued experiencing a slow penetration Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP throughout 2014. Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP The production Direct + Induced contribution to GDP of electricity from geothermal Despite its great potential for both domes- energy can be uninterrupted and is 100% ma- tic and industrial usage regarding electricity nageable so it can become a good regulator of generation, in Spain geothermal energy has the electrical system. 69 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies Geothermal energy is at an early stage of development but its enormous potential lies in High enthalpy geothermal power the fact that it can contribute to the Spanish energy goals. Apart from the traditional geo- In 2014 the high enthalpy geothermal power thermal energy, there is the opportunity to sector contributed with 15.53 m EUR to the expand this technology on the basis of new Spanish GDP, representing a decrease of induced geothermal systems and new ther- 2.6% over the previous year. Substantially al- modynamic cycles. most the entirety of this amount is related to direct contribution resulting from actions in connection with R&D&I for the assessment of high enthalpy geothermal resources in Spain. Chart 4.4.2 Growth rate in the High enthalpy geothermal sector (Charts 4.4.1 and 4.4.2). The development of geothermal energy for Source: APPA the production of electricity has been affected in 2014 by the situation of the Spanish electricity sector reform. The regulatory framework for this technology is absolutely unfavourable: 29.4% Order IET/1045/2014, which establishes the compensation parameters applicable to those facilities that produce electrical energy from renewable energy sources, cogeneration and waste, does not even assign remuneration to the high enthalpy geothermal sector. This is the 12.5% 10.9% reason why not a single installation has been promoted in Spain despite the existence of important entrepreneurial initiatives to do so. 1.5% 29.4% The employments associated to this techno- 2008 2009 2010 2011 -2.6% -3.7% -4.1% 2012 2013 2014 logy are particularly located in the phases of engineering, procurement and construction. In 2014 the number of employments generated by the high enthalpy geothermal sector remained stable compared to 2013, due to the % in real terms stagnation currently affecting the sector as a 2008 70 50,913 43,479 27,271 42,502 58,8 54,444 6 56,30 57,86 57,9 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the High enthalpy geothermal sector 4.4.3 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment 217 213 Total employment 212 208 208 202 145 149 149 151 152 155 139 99 106 59 2012 2013 57 59 2010 61 62 2009 40 61 76 62, 58,9 2014 30 08 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2007 2008 2011 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Total employment result of the lack of electric power being insta- employed 202 people, of which 145 were di- lled in Spain. rect employments (from engineers, drillers and Direct employment Induced employment equipment manufacturers to project mana- Total employment Chart 4.4.3 shows that high enthalpy geother- gers) and 57 indirect employments (suppliers mal energy for the production of electricity of raw materials and induced employees). 71 7,387 6,123 7,173 GDP, 25.38 m EUR of which relate to its direct contribution and 2.76 m EUR to its induced con- 3,146 3,531 tribution. (Chart 4.4.4). These figures represent 2,323 3,291 3,307 Low enthalpy geothermal power In 2013 the low enthalpy geothermal power contributed with 28.14 m EUR to the Spanish 2009 2010 2011 2012 Chart compared to 2013. (Chart 4.4.5). The electri- 2014 Contribution to GDP from the low enthalpy geothermal sector 4.4.4 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP tribution to GDP 2013 a 14.8% increase in direct contribution to GDP 1,265 6,794 6,844 6,280 7,389 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 28.14 Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 24.56 25.38 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 21.94 22.15 20.94 17.99 18.88 19.78 19.59 11.23 12.46 7.01 4.43 6.19 5.23 0.80 0.83 1.23 1.60 2.16 2.05 2.41 2.76 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Current m EUR Direct contribution to GDP 72 Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 city generated from low enthalpy geothermal power in 2014 amounted to an aggregate of 19.7 ktep, following the upwards trend of the series analyzed in Chart 4.4.6. Chart 4.4.6 Evolution of energy generated from the Low Enthalpy Geothermal Sector Source: MINETUR Energy production (ktoe) Chart 4.4.5 Growth rate in the Low enthalpy geothermal sector Source: APPA 19.7 17.6 17.9 16.8 16.0 78.3% 54.4% 11.0 13.7 9.3 28.8% 15.7% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 14.8% 8.5% ktep -6.8% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 In 2014, geothermal energy for thermal generation has improved the situation compared Energy production (ktoe) to the previous year. This was due to an in- % in real terms crease in the installed capacity, thanks mainly 73 28.8% Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies to a greater participation in the rehabilitation of the residential buildings sector, where low enthalpy geothermal power can also offer unbeatable performances. In Spain there is an installed thermal capacity which can exceed 100 MWt and geothermal potential for thermal uses that can exceed 50,000 MWt, according to the PER 2011-2020. Reducing the cost of thermal generation and increasing the efficiency of heat pumps are the main challenges that the sector must overcome in order to encourage its development and reach the potential set up in PER. Equally important is the promotion and development of district cooling networks, which can supply large residential and service areas where geothermal can play aprimary energy role for the generation of heat and cooling. It is also necessary that the sector enhances the design and development of systems that foster the competitiveness of this energy compared to conventional systems. Furthermore, their implementation in areas with thermal demands beyond ACS is of essence, especially in a scenario where the subsidies received by low-enthalpy geothermal energy are gradually reduced. In 2013, the low enthalpy geothermal power sector employed a total of 706 people, 536 of which were direct employments, and 170 indirect employments. Employment in the sector registered an increase close to 13% compared to 2013. (Chart 4.4.7). 74 2014 50,913 58,803 54,444 56,303 65,548 57,967 57,863 residential buildings” which also contributes to installed capacity that has led to a concentration the generation of associated employments. 42,502 43,479 This is due, on the one hand, to an increase in 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 27,271 of employments, particularly “rehabilitation of 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the low enthalpy geothermal sector 4.4.7 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment 706 Total employment Direct employment 623 Induced employment Total employment 569 473 536 547 309 349 415 430 408 2009 132 139 2008 99 85 64 2007 150 184 207 170 264 248 154 62,497 58,986 70,750 53 08 93,415 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 75 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.5 76 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from the marine power sector 4.5.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 12.30 12.03 11.77 Direct contribution to GDP 12.21 Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 9.48 7.67 6.38 9.54 9.30 9.50 9.71 7.54 2.73 2010 2.75 2009 2.53 1.58 2008 2.47 1.34 2007 2.04 5.04 5.95 5.61 4.43 tion to GDP 2010 1.18 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2011 2012 2013 2014 Current m EUR Marine power Direct contribution to GDP This is explained, on the one hand, by the chan- Induced contribution to GDPimplemented Direct + Induced contribution to GDP ges in the European tenders for R&D&I (7th edition of the Horizon Program- Direct contribution to GDP In 2014 the contribution to GDP from marime 2020), Induced contribution to GDP which, with the corresponding time Direct + Induced contribution to GDP delay, has created certain discontinuity in the ne power —also called ocean power (waves and currents)— amounted to 12.21 m EUR, launch of new projects. It has also changed the 0.6% less than in 2013, of which 9.48 m EUR typology of the tenders, which has required corresponded to the sectors’ direct contribu- some time to adapt for the participating com- tion. Data available for 2014 are very similar panies and institutions. to those for 2013. However the slowdown in growth that the sector has been experiencing On the other hand, there has been a general in previous years can be noted. (Charts 4.5.1 reduction of Spanish Plans and Programmes and 4.5.2). dedicated to the investment in R&D&I and 77 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies The technological development of marine energy is in phase of functionality and reliabili- Growth rate in the Marine power sector Chart 4.5.2 ty, in order to reach a commercial development in the medium term. Currently several projects Source: APPA are close to reaching technological maturity, which will demonstrate their industrial viability and facilitate the access of such technology 26.5% to market. In this sense, the commitment of the European Commission and some member countries is strong, as shown by European 18.5% 17.5% funds for such kind of projects (Horizon 2020, Ocean Energy Forum, etc.). 9.3% In Spain the industry has focused basically on wave energy technologies in line with the excellent resources offered by our coasts, prin- 0.8% -0.2% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 cipally in the Gulf of Biscay and in the Canary -0.5% 2013 2014 Islands, which we know perfectly thanks to the study conducted by the IHC Custom IDAE for the PER 2011-2020. % in real terms The increasing number of Spanish projects in the field of wave energy should also be noted. thus a decrease in the funding for marine There are two main focuses: the utilization of energy projects. the national resources and, above all, the export of technology to the international market, However, the sector of marine energy is actively which is close to reaching the commercial pha- working towards technological improvements, se like in the UK, Ireland, Canada or France. access to funding and political and institutional 78 support, at a national and international level. Several projects associated to the marine Some agencies´ reports indicate that the ma- energies (wind and wave) are being run cu- rine energy sector will grow considerably in rrently in Spain. Moreover, the country counts the medium and long term, thus increasing its with the first commercial plant of wave power contribution to GDP. in Europe: project Mutriku, owned by the Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain activity generates most of the employment ge- Spanish technology and industry are ready to nerated by the sector. become a world reference. Test centers as BI- 36,163 MEP, IHC and PLOCAN, are located in Spain, Ocean power is still in the research phase and 121,850 121,483 completing this offer that attracts world-class 115,833 has a long way to run ahead of it. Nonetheless, 113,248 technologists. the sector offers great business opportunities thanks to the important efforts from the entreresources, particularly for R&D&I, in order to 199 were direct and 102 indirect employments, 70,750 be well placed for the time the technology fi- bringing the employment in the sector to re- nally takes off and attains a global leadership main unchanged compared to 2013. In fact, position. Which on its turn will be translated 58,803 generated 301 employments in 2014, of which 65,548 preneurial world that has continued providing 57,967 Chart 4.5.3 shows that the marine power sector be noted that the economic context influences ment of projects, components, manufacturing the marine energy directly, where the R&D&I or operating facilities. 2009 2011 2012 Chart 27,271 42,502 56,303 2010 43,479 highly qualified employment for the develop- 50,913 the growth experienced in recent years. It shall 54,444 in an important contribution in the creation of 57,863 the employment data illustrates a slowdown in 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the Marine power sector 4.5.3 Source: APPA 302 Direct employment Induced employment 301 Total employment Direct employment 166 153 2011 2012 102 2010 51 102 2009 51 85 44 76 2008 39 62 32 2007 115 94 102 129 115 85 199 Total employment 200 Induced employment 56 62,497 58,986 93,415 29 08 Basque Energy Board (EVE). In addition, the 2014 2013 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 79 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.6 80 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from the Small-scale wind power sector 4.6.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 56.29 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 54.66 52.84 45.83 44.47 40.30 38.96 33.79 5.02 15.66 2012 16.81 2011 20.68 5.42 2010 14.36 2009 14.79 2008 13.88 12.04 32.79 22.23 11.68 2007 41.51 39.88 29.41 tion to GDP 2010 10.48 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2013 2014 Current m EUR Small-scale wind power Direct contribution to GDP Although Spain pioneered the development Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP of the small-scale wind technology in the earlyto GDP seventies, Direct contribution this sector has recently seen Induced contribution to GDP its contribution to GDP dramatically reduced Direct + Induced contribution to GDP due to the excessive regulatory and bureau- In 2014 the contribution to GDP from the small- cratic barriers. scale wind power sector went down to 20.68 m EUR, of which 15.66 m EUR corresponded to the The Spanish small-scale wind power sector has sector’s direct contribution to GDP and 5.02 m a great potential and offers a first-level techno- EUR to its induced contribution to GDP, a substan- logy for both low power range (from 600 W to 6 tial 6.8% reduction compared to its contribution in KW) and high power range (100 kW), in horizon- 2013, as shown in Charts 4.6.1 and 4.6.2. tal and vertical axis. 81 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies for the small-scale wind technology in particular. 7.1% Specifically, the non-approval of the legislation Growth rate in the Small-scale wind power sector Chart 4.6.2 relating to self-consumption, hinders the future development of the sector in Spain. Source: APPA 13.3% 7.1% 3.4% In response to this lack of a sufficient legal fra- 3.2% mework, the renewable sector agents have -5.2% -6.8% joined efforts to make a modality of self-consumption and provide solutions viable before % in real terms the failed Royal Decree proposal, the successive drafts of which seem to be designed to rather make unfeasible the implementation of this -59.9% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 technology and hinder the domestic and industrial consumers access to it. Throughout 2014, the small-scale wind power sector has conti- The main obstacle to the development of the nued to demand the social and environmental small-scale wind industry at domestic level is benefits that would accrue from this technolo- still the lack of a specific regulatory framework gy. In particular, they claim for its great potential that fosters the implantation of this technology. to generate employment when accompanied Without it, it will be impossible to produce a suffi- by a high quality industrial, technological and cient volume to industrialise this technology at business tissue. domestic level and reduction in manufacturing costs, both indispensable for the technological Meanwhile, Spanish manufacturers are forced maturation, profitability and competitiveness of to move their activities to other countries whe- the sector. re their respective Government focuses on the renewable sector, as stated in the European The Government seems to ignore the industrial directives. In 2014 the brand SmallWind was opportunity that unblocking the situation offers. created in order to promote the small-scale On the contrary, the Government’s lack of inter- wind technology in international congresses est in this sector causes rather a legal uncertainty and fairs, such as the Small Wind World Confe- which is very negative for the domestic small- rence, held in Husum, Germany. scale wind technology industry and international 82 actors who have shown their interest in the Spa- The small-scale wind is already mature enough nish market. Thus, 2014 has been a difficult year to provide significant benefits to Spain if the cu- for the renewable energy sector in general and rrent or future governments value its enormous 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain potential. Should the right conditions for its te jobs distributed throughout the country in a ongoing consolidation be created and the deve- short time. Chart 4.6.3 shows that the small- lopment of strategies for the medium and long scale wind power 121,850297 121,483sector only employed term be boosted, successful projects, pilot expe- 115,833 people in 2014, 200 of which were direct and 97 riences and demonstration plants will be carried indirect employments. This figure improves the out. We are still on time to leverage the strengths number of employments compared to 2013 but of small-scale wind technology in Spain. is still far from the data obtained by the industry 136,163 98,494 113,248 years ago when it exceeded the eight hundred years ago that exceeded eight hundred jobs a ciated technologic and industrial fabric and for year. If the great potential of small wind industry the immediate creation of employment, an im- is promoted, or at least its development is not portant consideration to make in the Spanish 2007 impeded, this technology may be able to crea- 2008 2009 situation. 2010 current economic Chart 42,840 57,967 56,303 2011 2012 50,913 possibilities for the consolidation of the asso- 54,444 still far from the data obtained by the industry 57,863 throughout the entire country and excellent 58,986 proves the number of 200 jobs in 2013 but is 57,239 its great potential for generating employments 55,655 direct jobs and 97 indirect jobs. This figure im- 58,803 65,548 promoted, or at least not be hindered, given 62,497 ted a total of 297 jobs. Of these, 200 were for employments per year. The sector should be 78,924 The small wind energy sector in 2014 genera- 201 Direct and indirect employment in the small-scale wind power sector 4.6.3 Direct employment Source: APPA 745 847 825 806 788 829 Induced employment Direct employment Induced employment 526 539 542 530 501 555 Total employment 2012 200 2011 97 2010 192 270 2009 297 93 264 2008 303 258 2007 308 244 285 2013 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 83 Direct employment Tota Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.7 84 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from the small-scale hydropower sector 4.7.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 587.7 554.4 527.7 527.2 503.0 461.5 269.0 2011 2012 60.5 2010 145.1 2009 123.3 147.9 2008 140.8 144.8 2007 151.8 208.5 338.9 358.2 386.9 406.4 442.6 462.2 375.4 328.6 tion to GDP 2010 132.9 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2013 2014 Current m EUR Small-scale hydropower Direct contribution to GDP ted to 269 m EUR. Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP amounted to 208.5 m EUR while the sector in- duced contribution Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution GDP This tocontribution Direct + Induced contribution to GDP amounted to 60.5 m EUR. represents a decrease of In 2014 the aggregate contribution to GDP from 54.2% compared to 2013, which was 587.7 m the small-scale hydropower sector amoun- EUR. (Charts 4.7.1 and 4.7.2). 85 2,034 2,035 2,030 2,017 1,979 1,895 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies In 2014 small-scale hydropower produced Chart 4.7.2 Growth rate in the small-scale hydropower sector 7,043 GWh, almost equal to 2013 when the production reached 7,065 GWh, an output corresponding to two exceptionally rainy years. Source: APPA 25.4% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 4.7.3 8.3% 2013 2014 Evolution of installed capacity and energy sales in the small-scale hydropwer sector Chart 9.8% 2012 4,096 Source: CNMC 1,895 Installed capacity (MW) Energy sales (GWh) -4.3% -7.8% -14.5% 7,065 7,043 6,754 5,444 5,280 4,633 4,607 2,101 2,101 4,096 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 2011 2012 1,895 % in real terms 2,034 2011 2,035 2010 2,017 2009 1,979 2008 2,030 -54.2% The reduced contribution to GDP from the 9.8% small-scale hydropower sector responds to the fact that no new plants were installed, the production of electricity was left stagnant and the aggregate remuneration obtained by this technology was reduced by 46% compared to 2013. 2007 2008 2009 2010 86 Installed capacity (MW) Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 87 50,913 58,80 54,444 65 56,303 57,96 57,86 43,479 27,271 42,502 62, 58,9 57,23 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the small-scale hydropower sector 4.7.4 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment 1,528 1,056 1,094 1,110 1,502 1,461 496 500 493 472 458 465 453 1,101 1,028 2007 1,497 1,008 1,588 1,036 1,610 1,597 1,491 1,039 Total employment 463 2008 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Chart 4.7.3 shows that installed capacity re- Induced employment Total employment The causes for this stagnation of installed capacity lie in the lack of legal certainty, in mained almost unchanged from prior years, Direct at employment Induced employment the risks associated to this kind of projects, 2,101 MW, still short of the 2.199 MW target Total employment 88 set in REP 2005-2010. The average growth of in the increased business complexity, in the small-scale hydropower has barely exceeded administrative barriers (i.e. too onerous en- the 2% in the last ten years, with an almost vironmental requirements) that turn the symbolic annual increase of 39 MW. process of obtaining permits and licenses Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain into an extremely difficult and expensive one None of the aforementioned measures has in terms of time and resources for obtaining been established yet but, on the contrary, on permits and licenses for the installation of top of the 7% tax on the turnover of small-scale new plants. hydropower plants, which is also applicable to 2014 other renewable technologies, another specific For the sake of developing small-scale hydro- 2.2% tax of that turnover,which is not applied to power industry, efforts shall have to be put other renewable plants, has been added. into overcoming the above mentioned issues and streamlining the process for granting The electricity reform has especially punished permits and licenses, in addition to reversing the small-scale hydropower technology, despi- the regulatory changes that have been imple- te its low contribution to the deficit tariff and mented. environmental impact. To the extent that the industry has seen how inevitably many of their The new river basin management plans plants have gradually shut down as soon as a incorporate new difficulties in the implemen- breakdown of a certain scale occurred. The ne- tation of power plants. In addition, there is a cessary repairs could not be funded with the misconception that hydropower hinders the low remuneration provided by the measures achievement of the objectives of the Water implemented by the Government only. As a re- Framework Directive. sult, the repairs didn´t take place. Once again, in 2014 the small-scale hy- The small-scale hydropower sector has main- dropower sector still has not seen the tained the trend from previous years regarding implementation of the measures that could the destruction of direct employment (41 jobs allow the increase in installed capacity. These less than in 2013). In 2014 the sector registe- measures are essentially three: to streamline red 1,008 direct employments; while indirect the current procedures for water planning, employment registered 453 indirect jobs. encouraging the rehabilitation, modernization (Chart 4.7.4). and / or replacement of plant and equipment in small-scale hydropower plants up to 10 MW These figures are consistent with the stagnation of installed capacity, and establishing a new of installed capacity and with the likely automa- unified administrative procedure for granting tion of some facilities. If the current conditions as water permits, or modification of existing pro- described herein do not change urgently, many cedures, to regulate those facilities with power of the plants will be forced to shut down causing exceeding 50 MW. the corresponding loss of employments. 89 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.8 90 Chart 2012 28. 2011 25.74 2009 24.50 2008 25.61 26.9 28. 28. 21.50 2007 2013 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2010 2014 Contribution to GDP from the Photovoltaic Solar power sector 4.8.1 Source: APPA Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 3,344 Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution 3,129 to GDP 3,064 Direct + Induced contribution to3,012 GDP 2,978 2,800 2,610 2,450 2,671 2,775 2,717 3,005 1,217 1,586 300 391 91 369 347 354 341 365 205 160 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Current m EUR Photovoltaic solar power Direct contribution to GDP sector to GDP registered a significant reduction Induced contribution to Direct + Induced contribution GDP toGDP 2,450 m EUR (94%), while toits induced con- tribution was similarly reduced to 160 m EUR Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution GDP (6%). to (Chart 4.8.1). Direct + Induced contribution to GDP In 2014 the aggregate contribution to GDP from In 2014, the sector registered a positive growth to 2,610 m EUR. The direct contribution of this rate (as sown in Chart 4.8.2), increasing a 13% 300 391amounted the photovoltaic solar power sector 91 2007 91 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies is noted that those measures, together with the Chart 4.8.2 Growth rate in the Photovoltaic Solar power sector complete lack of visibility towards the future, have led both companies owning facilities and thousands of families to critical situations, as in Source: APPA many cases the amount of expected revenues as per the new regulation does not even cover debt service obligations. 289.7% Similarly, this scant future projection has caused the disappearance of industrial fabric associated to this technology, the closure of many manufacturing plants and production centres and the relocation abroad of a number of companies. 93.7% The Renewable moratorium and the delay in the publication of the royal decree that regulates the self-consumption of electricity has caused 8.4% 0.3% the disappearance of industrial fabric associa-6.7% 2008 2009 2010 2011 -11.4% -13.0% 2012 2013 2014 ted to this technology. Thanks to the foreign market some of the industry has kept producing. The 2014 data confirms that the energy % in real terms reform has mantained, and in most cases, increased the cutbacks to the remuneration expected by many photovoltaic solar plants. The application of the RD 413/2014 and 1045/2014 compared to previous year. If we look at 2012, OM, includes retrospective measures implying, the sector has decreased its contribution to in some cases, a reduction close to 50% in the GDP by 22 percentage points since then. The- remuneration expected by many photovoltaic se figures show the reduced revenues from the solar plants. On average the cutback exceeds sale of energy resulting from the implementa- 30% . Thousands of companies and small pro- tion of a poor regulation. (Chart 4.8.2). ducers are now in this situation, responding to the call of the institutions and reflected in the 92 Moreover, the contribution of the sector to GDP BOE, to invest their savings in this technology. has been the lowest in the last six years. Also, it Now the vast majority of them are found in ruin. 2014 690 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain In terms of installed capacity, 2014 was the 2007 worst year ever for the photovoltaic solar power industry, only 5 MW were commissioned. Deri- sory when compared to neighboring countries such as United Kingdom, Germany and France 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Evolution of installed capacity and energy sales in the Photovoltaic Solar power sector Chart 4.8.3 Source: CNMC where 2,300, 1,900 and 1,000 MW, respectively Installed capacity (MW) were commissioned. It is expected that in the Energy sales (GWh) next five years this technology will grow 177% 8,176 worldwide, reaching 500 GW. 8,307 8,203 7,417 The Spanish Government policies do not follow 6,405 the trend traced by most OECD countries, whe- 6,074 re solar photovoltaic technology seems to be the technology with the best prospects. This trend has largely been enabled by cost reduction achieved by this technology over the last six years, by more than 80%. 2,503 4,672 2013 2014 The renewable moratorium and the absence of a regulatory framework for the development of 3,398 3,839 473 3,398 power generation, 8,203 GWh. (Chart 4.8.3). 4,248 Spain in both installed capacity 4,672 MW, and 4,667 newable technology in installed capacity in 4,539 Photovoltaic solar power was the second re- 2008 2009 self-consumption make the photovoltaic solar sector have no projection in the future. While the Renewable Energies Plan 2011-2020 had planned to install about 400 MW per year, since 2011 Spain is recording much lower figures and One of the possible ways to develop the 690 in some cases, as in this 2014, virtually nil. photovoltaic technology in Spain is the implementation of self-consumption facilities the 2007 2010 2011 2012 Installed capacity (MW) Energy sales (GWh) 93 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies regulation of which has been delayed since this technology. It depends on the right regula- 2011. To date, the Royal Ddecree regulating tion being approved on reasonable terms that the self-production of electric energy hasn’t consider the benefits of distributed generation been published. Its drafts, (the last was issued and of energy self-consumption. Its different mid-2013), does not include the possibility of applications, both large and small consump- net metering. The proposal does, include the tion facilities offer a wide range of benefits that notion of ‘support fee’ that seriously penalises make of this technology one of the future sou- self-consumption and makes it more profitable rces of energy, as is currently occurring in most to acquire electricity from the supplier company developed countries. than self-producing photovoltaic electricity. The result of this delay and the renewable morato- In terms of employment, in 2014 the photovol- rium have led the photovoltaic solar sector in taic solar power sector employed 9,944 people, Spain to a situation of standstill. 8,587 of which were in direct employments and 1,357 in indirect employments. Future development of the sector greatly de- 94 pends on the development of distributed These figures imply that the number of emplo- generation, consumption and the integration of yments lost in 2013 by the photovoltaic solar Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 50,913 58,803 54,444 56,303 65,548 57,967 57,863 2008 the photovoltaic solar sector has lost over show the critical situation the photovoltaic solar 18,000 employments, both direct and indirect. sector is currently going through in Spain. Since (Chart 4.8.4). 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 27,271 42,502 43,479 sector amounted to 823. These figures also 2013 2014 Direct and indirect employment in the Photovoltaic Solar power sector 4.8.4 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment 25,063 Total employment 27,963 12,504 11,683 11,509 11,490 10,767 9,944 8,587 9,302 9,914 10,013 9,952 10,889 9,325 2,900 1,615 1,556 1,670 1,576 1,466 1,357 6,414 62,497 58,986 70,750 2,911 08 93,415 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Total employment Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 95 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.9 96 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Contribution to GDP from the Thermal Solar power sector 4.9.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 95.03 74.70 72.56 11.55 11.35 2009 2010 2011 2012 46.56 2013 26.07 42.56 14.67 37.40 38.06 48.75 17.35 22.09 2008 48.33 57.35 49.61 22.42 72.94 2007 64.99 63.00 41.60 31.88 tion to GDP 2010 9.72 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Current m EUR Thermal solar power Direct contribution to GDP being 2014 the second consecutive year of positive growth. (Charts 4.9.1 and 4.9.2). Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP Direct contribution to GDP the In 2014, Induced contribution to GDP Spanish thermal solar power sec- In 2013 the direct contribution to GDP from torcontribution registered Direct + Induced to GDPrevenues of over 204 m EUR. the Thermal Solar power sector increased According to market data, 66% of these rev- to 46.5 m EUR while its induced contribution enues correspond to compliance with the amounted to 26.07 m EUR, for an aggregate Technical Code for Building (“TCB”); 33% to in- 72.56 m EUR contribution to GDP. This rep- stallations subsidized by Autonomous Regions resents a 12.3% increase compared to 2013, and 1% to industrial applications. 97 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies installed in Spain. This confirms the growing Growth rate in the Thermal Solar power sector Chart 4.9.2 trend started in 2013 with an increase in MWth installed compared to 2012. (Chart 4.9.4). Source: APPA Despite the change in trend which for four 119.1% years had brought the market down to 50% of its capacity, and although the sector has grown for the second time since 2009, we can not talk of recovery given the negative reality of the Spanish thermal solar sector. Thanks 32.7% to their industrial, technological and competi12.3% managed to position themselves in the inter- -3.9% -21.4% 2008 2009 -17.3% 2010 national market and thus survive the Spanish -23.9% 2011 tive strength, thermal solar companies have crisis, a crisis which is the result of the absence 2012 2013 2014 % in real terms Annual change in installed capacity in the Thermal Solar sector Chart 4.9.3 The solar thermal sector had an installed capacity of 2,416 MWth at the end of 2014, year 119.1% Source: ASIT in which the energy generated stood at 258 326 ktoe. Spain has a production capacity of approximately 1,300,000 m2. 193 In 2014 it produced 281 244 219,150 m2, slightly less than 17% of its potential; of these, 140,600 m2 were installed in the 193 193 domestic market and 78,550 m was dedicated 2 160 163 2012 2013 179 to export markets. (Chart 4.9.3). The figures show a significant improvement in the sector. In particular, according to the results from the economic survey “Survey on the Thermal Solar Sector activity” carried out by ASIT, in 2014 179 MWth (232,500 m2) were 2008 98 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 MW installed per year 2014 2013 1,722 2, 2,2 2012 2,035 1,915 125 93 2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 of political will, both at state and regional level. 136,163 On the positive side, the implementation of Chart 4.9.4 the programme for the promotion of the Ther121,483 Evolution of installed capacity and energy generated from Thermal Solar Sector 93 115,833 113,248 Source: ASIT and MINETUR of Andalusia should be noted. 98,494 Installed capacity (MWth) thermal solar power sector has increased 183 78,924 slightly, with an aggregate of 1,094 employ- ing falls since 2008, when the sector registered 2007 1,818 employments. (Chart 4.9.5). 2008 2009 2010 2011 2010 2011 2012 2,416 2007 2012 27,271 2009 2,035 2008 50,913 1,722 58,803 54,444 1,478 42,840 slightly over the last three years, after register- 1,197 56,303 872 65,548 57,863 57,967 62,497 58,986 In fact, employment in the sector has grown 1,915 125 93 employments and 243 indirect employments. 2007 70,750 155 ments since 2013. Of these, 851 were direct 57,239 220 205 258 238 872 In 2014 the employment associated to the 55,655 93,415 Energy production (ktoe) 2,238 mal Solar Power Sector in the country region 121,850 2014 43,479 2007 42,502 872 1,197 1,478 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2013 2014 2013 2014 93 Chart Direct and indirect employment in the Thermal Solar power sector 4.9.5 Installed capacity (MWth) Source: APPA 1,818 Energy production (ktoe) Induced employment Total employment Direct employment 1,468 Direct employment 1,418 1,218 Induced employment Total employment 1,094 1,137 997 776 783 207 222 243 2009 221 2007 272 331 2008 175 400 597 764 200 851 946 772 990 984 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 99 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 4.10 100 2,323 3,1 3, 3, 2011 2012 2013 Chart 2014 Contribution to GDP from the CSP sector 4.10.1 Induced contribution Source: APPA to GDP Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 2,360 Direct contribution to GDP Induced contribution to GDP 2,072 Direct + Induced contribution to GDP 1,942 1,650 11 2007 45 61 2008 1,024 1,858 901 637 1,076 1,041 1,443 917 969 285 35 1,013 1,182 723 1,309 212 tion to GDP 2010 662 2009 2014 1,265 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Current m EUR CSP (Concentrated Solar Power) Direct contribution to GDP to its induced contribution. The sector recorded a decrease in their aggregate contribution ofGDP 763 Induced contribution to million compared to the GDP of Direct + euros Induced contribution to GDP the previous year. The negative growth rate Direct contribution to GDP (36.7%) represents the biggest annual drop Induced contribution to GDP Direct + Induced to GDP series (see charts 4.10.1 and in contribution the analysed In 2014 CSP sector contributed 1,309 m EUR to Spain’s GDP; 1,024 m EUR corresponded to 4.10.2). It is the result of the completion of tho- the sector’s direct contribution and 285 m EUR se power plants that were under construction 101 8 130 15 999 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies 532 After the reduction registered in 2012, the sole reduction in the annual series, the contribu232 Growth rate in the CSP sector tion from the CSP sector returned to positive 11 4.10.2 Source: APPA 2007 growth rates, at 5.2%. This is basically due to 61 Chart the 2008 increase in installed and to a larger 2009 2010 2011 2012capacity 2013 2014 1,013 production of electricity. 1,443.8% Chart 4.10.3 Evolution of installed capacity and energy sales in the CSP sector Source: CNMC Installed capacity (MW) Energy sales (GWh) 4,959 4,397 3,432 64.0% 37.1% 38.6% 5.2% -36.7% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 8 15 2013 2014 1,950 692 2008 2,300 -19.7% 2,300 1,779 130 999 % in real terms 1.443.8% during 2013 and no new plants being started 532 during 2014. The stagnation experienced by 232 the installed capacity of this technology has re- 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1,013 bution to GDP over the last five years. 61 70%, resulting in the lowest aggregate contri- 11 duced its induced contribution by more than 102 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 The sector closed 2014 with an installed capacity of 2,300 MW, exactly the same capacity as by year-end 2013 (see Chart 4.10.3). Installed capacity in CSP is mostly located in six Autonomous Regions: Andalusia, 997 MW; Extremadura, 849 MW; Castilla-La Mancha, 349 MW; Valencia, 50 MW; Murcia, 31 MW, and Catalonia, 23 MW. (Chart 4.10.3). The above mentioned installed capacity is distributed among the 50 plants operating by the end of 2014, 20 of which have storage systems while the remaining 30 do not. In any case, plants without storage system have their manageability ensured through hybrid systems with natural gas or biomass. Thermoelectric generation sector reached 4,959 GWh in 2014, covering 2% of the total electricity demand of the year. Thermoelectric generation increased 12.8% compared to 2013. In 2014 the CSP sector produced 4,959 GWh to cover 2% of the total electricity demand in 2014 (see chart 4.10.3). Compared to 2013, the CSP sector increased its production by 12.8% in 2014 thanks to running the parks fully operational throughout the year, as well as improving 8.5%. During the same month, daily contribu- the management of the facilities. tions above 5% were achieved. All this with a production curve perfectly adjusted to demand, The month with the highest production recor- capable to meet afternoon peaks in demand, ded was August, when 833 GWh were produced. thanks to the management ability demonstra- Its maximum contribution to the demand occu- ted by the plants, as most of them count with rred on the 3rd of August at 6 pm, exceeding storage systems. 103 Renewable energies: breakdown by technologies Thanks to the efforts deployed over the last Agency gave the leading role to CSP in those geo- years, Spanish companies still hold a worldwi- graphic areas with sufficient solar resources. de leading position in CSP markets. Thus, out the 6,500 MW installed or under construction In 2014 the CSP sector generated an aggregate worldwide, 75% are Spain branded, either in the 5,404 employments, of which 3,132 were direct development, construction, engineering and/or and 2,272 indirect employments. The sector component supply. registered an aggregate loss of 8,820 employments compared to 2013. This represents a loss 104 The technological evolution of CSP itself, storage of 62% of the employments in just one year, al- capacity and its manageability are some of the most 80% of which were indirect employments. reasons why in 2014 the International Energy (Chart 4.10.4). 93,415 2014 58,803 65,548 57,967 power plants, which is manpower-intensive, aggregate employment in the sector has de- does not start again. 42,502 56,303 43,479 chnology began to operate in Spain, in which 50,913 future if the construction of new solar thermal 54,444 This is the third consecutive year, since the te57,863 2009 2010 2011 Chart 2012 27,271 creased. This trend will likely continue in the 2013 2014 Direct and Indirect employment in the Termoelectric Solar power sector 4.10.4 Source: APPA Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 33,555 Direct employment Induced employment 31,121 Total employment 27,582 22,034 24,839 23,844 17,622 18,600 14,224 11,306 11,724 10,963 62,497 70,750 58,986 57,239 08 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 5,404 535 398 137 2007 761 2008 978 2009 1,810 2,434 2010 2,743 2011 2012 2,918 2013 3,132 2,272 2014 Number of employments Direct employment Induced employment Total employment 105 Direct employment Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence 5 106 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence R enewable energies, unlike fossil fuels, do not produce CO2 emissions. In fact, renewable energy production replaces fossil production sources and avoids pollution caused by CO2 emissions. This entails a double economic saving: on the one hand, it makes it unnecessary to pay the cost of any externalities that should be paid in case contaminating fossil sources were used; and on the other hand, it becomes unnecessary to import those fossils that Spain does not own. As it is shown in section 2 of the study herein, our economy had to pay a total of 38,071 m EUR in 2014 to import energy products such as oil, gas and coal, due to our high foreign energy dependence which exceeded 73% in 2014. 107 Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence 743 2008 671 552 2009 619 2010 Chart 385 2011 2012 5.1 325 249 2013 2014 Savings produced by the use of renewable energies Source: APPA Total economic impact of fossil fuel imports avoided. Total economic impact of greenhouse gases avoided. 10,286 8,922 8,492 8,469 7,111 6,073 5,674 4,678 765 2007 743 2008 671 552 2009 2010 619 2011 385 2012 325 249 2013 2014 Current m EUR Total economic impact of fossil fuel imports avoided. Impact greenhouse gases avoided. Electric, biofuel and thermal electric renewa- on electricity production Total economic impact of ble production allowed the Renewable Energy Sector to avoid imports of 20,577,904 tonnes 108 oil equivalent (toe) in fossil fuels, thereby ge- By replacing the electricity produced from nerating economic savings of 8,469 m EUR. natural gas, coal and fuel-gas with electricity Similarly, the Sector avoided the emission of produced from renewable sources, energy 54,433,800 CO2 tonnes into the air, equivalent dependence is reduced and important eco- to 325 m EUR, a quantity that would have been nomic savings are achieved in the imports of paid by our country as externalities if renewa- those fuels. In 2014, electricity produced from ble production would not exist. (Chart 5.1). renewable sources was of 74,907 GWh. (Chart Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 5.2). If this renewable production had not duce this electricity with combined cycle gas, existed, it would have been necessary to pro- coal and fuel-gas plants, depending on the 2014 70,000 60,420 Chart 60,000 54,792 Electricity from fossil fuels replaced by electricity from renewable sources 5.2 50,159 50,000 43,795 41,934 Source: APPA 40,000 34,767 GWh 30,000 24,967 2007 2008 2009 2010 16,113 20,000 Technology replaced 12,932 Natural 15,285 gas combined 10,000 cycle 2,416 15,039 15,285 2,824 Coal 0 925 16,113 2007 2008 Fuel/Gas Total 17,286 14,980 24,967 34,767 43,795 2009 15,039 50,159 60,420 17,804 2012 2014 19,421 728 17,286 2011 2013 17,716 17,804 734 14,980 2010 2012 41,934 728 1,237 12,932 2011 54,792 693 17,716 2013 19,421 2014 2,416 2,824 925 1,237 728 734 728 693 33,814 40,722 50,731 60,012 59,948 68,697 78,864 74,907 Coal Fuel/Gas Combined cycle 70,000 60,420 60,000 54,792 50,159 50,000 43,795 40,000 34,767 30,000 24,967 16,113 20,000 12,932 10,000 41,934 17,286 17,804 17,716 15,039 14,980 925 1,237 728 734 728 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 19,421 15,285 2,416 2,824 693 0 2007 2008 2014 GWh - Technology replaced Coal Fuel/Gas Combined cycle 109 Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence 2009 2010 2011 2012 Chart 2013 2014 Evolution of fossil fuels imports replaced by renewable energy generation 5.3 15,515,467 TOEs replaced 13,480,857 11,739536 8,771,056 7,476,174 10,746,650 12,603,778 Economic savings (EURm) 15,201,513 Source: APPA 3,142 2,870 2,725 2,138 2,302 2,429 2,101 1,311 2007 2008 2009 2010 current energy mix. The Renewable Energy Sector saved the electricity system imports of 15,201, 513 toe of fossil fuels, with associated savings of 2,870 m EUR. (Chart 5.3). 2011 2012 2013 2014 savings to the amount of 235 m EUR. (Chart 5.4). While in 2013 the price of the CO2 tonne was TOEs replaced reduced Economic savingsfrom (EURm) 7.37 to 4.45 euros, in 2014 this value increased to 5.96 euros for each tonne, and so, the produced economic savings increa- 110 Renewable energies avoided the emission of sed even with the reduction of the avoided CO2 39,406,565 tonnes of CO2, resulting in economic emissions. It shall be noted that in 2007 the pri- 429 374 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 271 235 184 Emissions of CO2 equivalent avoided and economic savings 2012 2013 2014 achieved by the production of renewable electricity Chart 2009 5.4 2010 2011 Emissions of CO2 avoided (tonnes of CO2 equivalent) 501 499 36,745,548 33,452,671 32,287,190 28,569,602 23,649,572 Economic savings (EURm) 467 39,406,565 41,252,734 Source: APPA 22,565,184 2008 429 374 271 235 184 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Emissions CO avoided (tonnes of CO equivalent)of 3,514 m EUR as externalities ce per emitted tonne reached 22,21 EUR,ofand ted the payment 2 Economic savings (EURm) consequently, the cost to pay for polluting the 2 by the Spanish economy. atmosphere was practically a quarter of what it used to be eight years ago. In the last ten years, Though they do not have an own market, and renewable energies have avoided the emission so they do not produce direct economic sa- of 296,203,202 CO2 tonnes into the atmosphere. vings, renewable energies also prevent other This 300 million of avoided CO2 tonnes preven- polluting (and harmful) gases from being 111 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence Chart Evolution of NOx and SO2 emissions avoided by producing electricity from renewable sources 5.5 50,912 Source: APPA NOx emissions avoided 46,692 45,335 2007 34,169 27,616 18,662 23,399 27,192 31,324 34,325 35,519 39,396 39,496 42,572 46,460 SO2 emissions avoided 16,386 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 NOx emissions avoided (NOx tonnes) and SO2 emissions avoided (SO2 tonnes) released into the air such as NOx and SO. Re- SO2 in 2014. Over the last decade the emission newable production avoided the emission of of 661,716 tonnes of these gases has been 34,169 tonnes of NOx and 50,912 tonnes of avoided. (Chart 5.5). NOx emissions avoided SO2 emissions avoided 112 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Impact on thermal production 4,237 heating and liquefied gases from oil, which 4,279 3,763 4,013 2,912 not use renewable technologies. In 2014 the thermal use of renewable energies avoided mass, biogas, geothermal or solar also has the import of 4,366,094 tonnes of toe, resul- a replacing effect which prevents the import ting in economic savings of 4,013 m EUR, see of fossil fuels, such as natural gas, C diesel or the Charts 5.6 and 5.7. 2010 2011 Chart 2012 2013 2014 Evolution of fossil fuel imports replaced by thermal renewable production 5.6 Source: APPA 3,367 4,237 4,279 2012 2013 3,763 4,366,094 4,384,301 4,169,572 4,093,849 3,931,059 Economic savings (EURm) 3,931,990 TOEs replaced 3,789,804 2009 would be necessary to consume if we could The use of renewable energies, such as bio- 3,894,159 2,357 2014 4,013 3,348 2,912 2,357 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2014 113 Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence Chart Energy from fossil fuels replaced by thermal production from renewable sources 5.7 Source: APPA TOEs replaced 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 3,695,513 3,813,746 3,787,686 3,931,885 3,993,061 4,188,287 4,155,222 71,242 91,372 114,031 130,778 142,914 161,223 174,064 23,048 26,872 29,343 31,186 33,597 34,792 36,808 3,789,804 3,931,990 3,931,059 4,093,849 4,169,572 4,384,301 4,366,094 2,357 2,912 3,763 4,237 4,279 4,013 2010 2011 4,500,000 Technology replaced 4,000,000 Diesel 3,823,898 3,500,000 Natural gas 53,329 3,000,000 LPG 16,932 2,500,000 Total 3,894,159 2,000,000 Economic savings 3,367 1,500,000 3,348 1,000,000 4,500,000 500,000 4,000,000 0 2007 3,500,000 2008 2009 2012 2013 3,000,000 2,500,000 Diesel Natural gas LPG 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 TOEs replaced Diesel Natural gas LPG 114 2012 2013 2014 2014 157 160 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 93 79 59 Emissions of CO2 equivalent avoided and economic savings achieved 2010 2011 renewable 2012 2014 from using energies in 2013 thermal production Chart 2008 5.8 2009 Source: APPA 13,259,535 13,325,764 12,680,511 12,458,035 Economic savings (EURm) 11,971,386 11,991,981 11,571,967 Emissions of CO2 avoided (tonnes of CO2 equivalent) 11,908,258 2007 264 244 173 157 160 93 79 59 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Emissions of CO2 avoided (tonnes of CO2 equivalent) 2012 2013 2014 Economic savings (EURm) The thermal renewable production prevented over the past years, in 2014 the price tonne the emission of 13,259,535 CO2 tonnes with increased to 5.96 euros whereas in 2013 the economic savings of 79 m EUR. (Chart 5.8). price was 4.45 euros. This increase is reflected Despite the clear tendency to a reduction of in the savings produced by the thermal use of the prices regarding CO2 emission externalities renewable energies. 115 Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence 2007 2008 2009 Chart 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Evolution of NOx and SO2 emissions avoided by using reneable thermal energies 5.9 Source: APPA 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 13,961 13,904 14,013 14,009 13,961 13,323 13,904 13,358 14,013 13,152 14,009 13,073 13,358 12,668 12,550 13,323 13,152 12,752 12,550 12,075 12,668 12,355 12,752 12,781 12,540 12,381 12,355 2014 NOx emissions avoided (tonnes of NOx) and SO2 emissions avoided (tones of SO2) 116 13,961 13,904 14,013 14,009 Chart 5.9). 13,358 12,668 12,550 12,752 12,540 12,355 12,075 12,781 tonnes of SO2 during 2014. Over the last ten ses increased to 296,578 tonnes. (See the 13,323 emission of 13,961 tonnes of NOx and 13,904 years the prevented emissions of these ga- SO2 emissions avoided 13,152 NOx emissions avoided 13,073 Thermal renewable production avoided the 12,381 12,781 12,381 12,075 2007 13,073 12,540 SO2 emissions avoided NOx emissions avoided Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Impact resulting from the use of biofuels 2014 tonnes of biodiesel, bioethanol and hydro-biodiesel- contributed to reducing greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions from transport, con- In 2014 biofuels consumed in Spain -1,169,978 Chart sequently preventing 1.7 million of CO2 2,848,469 Emissions of CO2 equivalent avoided by using biofuels in transport 5.10 Emissions of CO2 equivalent avoided (tonnes) 2010 2011 1,263,383 1,592,651 Bioethanol 30 21 Total 1,609,555 2013 2014 1,852,692 2,383,640 884,176 1,291,291 567,111 522,613 464,829 390,958 476,410 2,159,761 2,375,305 2,848,469 1,275,134 1,767,700 201430 21 6 11 11 6 Economic savings 2011 2012 21 2013 31 Total (tonnes of CO2 equivalent) 2,848,469 1,275,134 31 21 2,375,305 2,159,761 Economic savings (EURm) 1,609,555 2010 30 21 6 2009 2010 2011 1,767,700 31 346,172 2012 1,767,700 Biodiesel and hydro-biodiesel 2009 1,275,134 2,375,305 2,159,761 Source: CNMC for 2009, 2010 and 2011; APPA estimates for 2012 and 2013; CNMC for 2014 2012 2013 11 2014 Total (tonnes of CO2 equivalent) Economic savings (EURm) 117 Impact of renewable energies on environment and energy dependence equivalent from being released into the air, by the political, social and economic instability. with associated savings of 11 m EUR in exter- The avoided import of fossil fuels for transport nalities. (Chart 5.10). exceeded one million of toe, with associated savings of 1,586 m EUR. (Chart 5.11). A greater 118 In addition to reducing GHG emissions as market penetration from biofuels would ena- compared to fossil fuels, use of biofuels also ble to reduce the adverse effects on oil prices enables the substitution of oil imports and resulting from the above mentioned instabi- consumption, there by contributing to the lity even more. Additionally, a larger biofuel diversification of energy supplies and to the domestic production would improve Spain’s reduction of energy dependence from oil pro- trade balance and would reduce its energy de- ducing countries characterized in many cases pendence on imports even more. 2,244, 2014 1,464,555 1,744,990 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Chart Estimates of fossil fuels for transport replaced by biofuels 5.11 2,628 Fossil fuels replaced (toe) 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 1,586 1,501 Diesel 923,303 1,226,853 1,519,301 2,043,939 748,027 824,289 Petrol 151,793 237,702 225,689 200,735 168,834 186,008 1,075,096 1,464,555 1,744,990 2,244,674 916,861 1,010,297 3,620 1,501 1,586 Total 2011 2012 Economic savings 2013 1,179 2014 1,897 2,628 TOEs replaced 1,464,555 1,744,990 2,244,674 Economic savings (EURm) 2,628 1,010,297 3,620 1,075,096 2010 2011 916,861 1,897 1,010,297 Source: CNE and CNMC 916,861 3,620 1,897 1,501 1,586 2013 2014 1,179 2009 2010 2011 2012 TOEs replaced Economic savings (EURm) 119 Economic balance from renewable electricity production 6 120 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Economic balance from renewable electricity production I n 2014, renewable energies reduced the price of the electricity market in 7,105 m EUR. That figure represented savings of EUR 26.30/MWh. Thus, the use of renewable energy as a source of electricity production, supposed an important reduction of the cost of electricity in the electric market. In 2014 Feed-in Tariffs (FIT) received by renewable energies amounted to 5,238 m EUR, representing a reduction of 22.3% in relation to 2013. The difference between FITs and the benefits produced by renewable electricity technologies amounted to 4,972 m EUR, twice the value of the previous year. 121 1,448 206 234 991 Economic balance from renewable electricity production 195 147 1,004 102 147 2,053 1,960 45 2,118 1,711 1,621 1,253 1,156 2008 Feed-in Tariffs2007received by renewable energies for producing electricity 2009 353 282 243 225 130 2010 330 2012 2011 246 2013 in 2013 which started with RDL 8/2014. The cutbacks were confirmed after the publication of RDL 413/2014 and OM 1045/2014, which established the standard parameters. It is the This significant reduction of renewable energies second time a reduction of FITs happens after retribution is a consequence of the important the one which took place in 2011 as a result cutbacks included in the misnamed energetic of Royal-Decree Law 14/2010. Chart 6.1 shows reform promoted by the Spanish Government the breakdown by technologies. Chart FITs received, by technology 6.1 Source: CNMC 6,681 Biomass Wind power 6,013 1,108 Small-scale hydropower PV and TE Solar (up to 2009) PV solar (from 2010) 5,341 TE Solar (from 2010) 5,238 932 4,913 184 4,714 427 1,252 2,892 2,488 2,656 2,634 2,287 2,442 2,423 297 1,448 195 147 147 1,960 2,053 2,118 45 1,711 1,621 1,253 1,156 1,004 2007 2008 2009 353 282 243 225 130 102 2010 2011 Current m EUR 122 233 206 234 991 187 330 2012 246 2013 2014 2014 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Economic impact on the 00” electricity wholesale market 2014 DD could be achieved if renewable production did 00 not exist. Renewable energies replace conventional generation units with higher marginal Renewable production under the Special Re- costs which would set a higher resulting mar- gime acted as price-taker in the electricity ket marginal price. wholesale market, also known as “pool”. This eduction 20,000 production, with a production marginal cost Given the marginal nature of the wholesale lower than units produced from fossil fuels, market (pool) (all production is paid at the pri- causes a downward market effect by establis- ce of the latest generation unit admitted to the hing a marginal price lower than the price that market, i.e. at the highest price), the existen- 30,000 Chart 6.2 40,000 50,000 Methodology employed to compare hourly matches on the Daily Market with and without renewable energies Source: APPA Supply curve (sales) Supply curve (w/O renewable energies) 200 DD Match request (MWh) 00” 180 00 160 €/MWh mparar la casación horaria en el Mercado Diario con y sin energías renovables 140 120 100 80 60 Price reduction 40 20 0 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 MWh Supply curve (sales) Supply curve (w/O renewable energies) Match request (MWh) 123 Economic balance from renewable electricity production ce of production from renewable sources that The result of this exercise shows a reduction in offer electricity at lower prices results in the the electricity acquisition price resulting from establishment of lower marginal prices. There- the downward renewable energies effect, and fore, it is clear that renewable energies under thus, a lower marginal price to be obtained the Special Regime do reduce the market price. from the wholesale market. Chart 6.2 shows the assessment of the impact With this, in 2014, renewable energies re- the above mentioned effects have on the ag- duced in 7,105 m EUR the price of the daily gregate cost of energy in OMIE Daily Market. For this purpose, a comparison has been made for the period 2005-2013 between the hourly match of production made by OMIE1 on the daily market, including renewable production, and another one where this kind of production is excluded, and replaced by higher-price units. This comparison has been made by replacing renewable energies considered in every hourly match with the closest offers submitted by production units to OMIE and with the mechanism established in 2006 to prevent the cost of CO2 emission rights to be transferred to all the electricity traded in the market (CO2 reduction). Since the exercise has been conducted on the daily market, the effect of capacity payments and technical restrictions is excluded. 1 4,919 Reduction in the cost of acquiring energy in OMIE’s Daily Market due to penetration of renewable energies Chart 6.3 Source: APPA 7,105 5,871 4,919 4,836 4,848 4,056 3,698 2007 3,352 2008 2009 2010 2011 Current m EUR 124 2012 2013 2014 2014 12,668 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Chart Reduction of electricity cost in MW, on the wholesale market 6.4 Source: APPA 29.20 26.30 21.92 20.93 19.94 18.20 18.12 15.67 50.95 48.21 49.91 58.89 55.11 46.8 42.41 47.47 33.62 26.67 2008 17.12 2012 2013 2014 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 46.8 47.47 12,668 6,863 Jul 5,585 Jun 7,401 May 8,422 Apr 8,040 Mar 8,707 6.5 2011 9,076 Chart Feb 2010 9,134 Jan 2009 8,799 18.20 26.44 €/MWh 9,884 11,226 11,163 2007 Renewable production in 2014 and average pool market price 2007 Source: REE and OMIE Renewable production (average per hour, MW) 50.95 48.21 8,040 8,422 Average market Price (€/MWh) Jun Jul 49.91 58.89 55.11 42.41 33.62 26.67 26.44 Sep 6,863 Oct 8,707 Aug 5,585 May 7,401 Apr 9,076 Mar 9,134 Feb 8,799 11,226 Jan 9,884 11,163 17.12 Nov Dec €/MWh Renewable production (average per hour, MW) Average market Price (€/MWh) 125 Economic balance from renewable electricity production market. This figure represents savings of EUR This difference between the real daily market 29.20 for each MW acquired on the pool. price and the one that would have resulted (Charts 6.3 and 6.4). from the match without renewable production is well justified by the high price of the fo- As is shown in chart 6.5, the higher the contri- llowing bid units, mainly the combined cycles bution to renewable energies is, the lower the of natural gas. match price in the market is. Chart 6.6 shows the cost of the offers of comIt is clear that without the existence of re- bined cycle plants during 2013 and the first newable production, the average market price semester of 2014 (when this study was being in 2014 would have been of 71.33 €/MW, far edited, CNMC had still not published the re- from the 42.13 €/MW resulting from the match ports corresponding to the second semester in price. of 2014). Bilateral <10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 >80 DM Average (EUR/MWh) Price range for electricity offered on the daily market and electricity bilateralised from combined cycle plants. July 2013 - june 2014 Chart 6.6 Source: (SGIME) CNMC Bilateral <10 10-20 20-30 30-40 50-60 60-70 70-80 >80 DM Average (EUR/MWh) 40-50 100 700 90 600 80 500 70 60 400 50 300 40 30 200 100 00 0 jul aug sep GWh 00 00 oct nov dec jan feb 2013 mar 2014 20 90 10 80 70 60 50 GWh and EUR/MWh 00 apr 100 40 30 00 20 00 10 jul aug 126 sep oct 2013 nov dec jan feb mar 2014 apr may jun 0 EUR/MWh GWh 0 may jun 0 EUR/MWh 00 3,142 2,725 2,302 2,138 2,870 2,429 2,101 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 1,311 501 499 2007 467 374 2008 2009 429 2010 271 2011 235 184 2012 2014 2013 2014 -1,448 -2,423 Comparative evolution of price reduction in OMIE’s Daily Market, -4,714 -4,913 the economic impact of CO2 emissions avoided and reduced energy dependence, -5,341 -5,238 -6,013Energy Sector and FITs received by the Renwable Chart 6.7 -6,681 Source: APPA Incentives received Economic impact from fossil fuels imports avoided Price reduction in OMIE's Daily Market Economic impact from greenhouse gases emissions avoided 7,105 5,871 4,919 4,848 4,836 4,056 3,698 3,352 2,725 1,311 501 2007 2,302 2,138 499 2009 2,101 467 374 2008 3,142 429 2010 2,870 2,429 2011 271 2012 235 184 2013 2014 -1,448 -2,423 -4,714 -4,913 -5,341 -5,238 -6,013 -6,681 Current m EUR Incentives received Price reduction in OMIE's Daily Market Economic impact from fossil fuels imports avoided Chart 6.6 shows that most of the plants offer exceed EUR 80/MWh. However, if renewable production did not exist, offers should match Economic impact from greenhouse gases emissions avoided Difference between Feed-in Tariffs received and savings produced by renewable energies between 60 and 80 €/MWh, something that would make the price much higher than the Over the above sections, this Study has shown price finally registered during 2014. the savings produced by renewable energies 127 gases emissio Economic balance from renewable electricity production 2005-2014 Comparison between accumulated values (2005-2014) of received bonuses, pool savings, import savings and CO2-emission savings Chart 6.8 Source: APPA Incentives received 45,514 Price reduction in OMIE's Daily Market Economic impact from fossil fuels imports avoided 21,870 Economic impact from greenhouse gases emissions avoided Primas recibi 3,514 Abaratamien Impacto econ de combustib Impacto econ invernadero a -38,699 Current m EUR under the Special Regime as a result of reduced energies have produced 70,898 m EUR in sa- CO2 emissions and of avoided fossil fuels im- vings for the Spanish energy mix taken as a ports, being the total emissions of greenhouse whole (see chart 6.8). gases reduced. These savings are complemenPrimas recibidas acumuladas ted by the ones produced in the OMIE’s market Abaratamiento en el Mercado Diario de OMIE acumulado 4 are assessed in this chapter. Impacto económico de evitar importaciones de combustible fósil acumulado Impacto económico de evitar gases de efecto In 2014 the savings invernadero acumuladoobtained by renewable electric technologies exceeded their FITs by Tariff deficit and savings produced by renewable electricity sources 4,972 m EUR, as it can be observed in chart 128 6.7. This values practically doubles the 2,516 m Renewable energy use not only produces signifi- EUR saved by the renewable energies in 2013. cant savings directly from the electricity system Considering the aggregate savings achieved in by reducing the price in the electricity market pool price, in CO2 emissions and in fossil fuel pool but also by avoiding CO2 emissions and imports, during the last ten years renewable imports of millions of tonnes of oil equivalent 6 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain (toe), with its corresponding economic savings received aggregate FITs amounted to 38,699 m which positively impact the trade balance in EUR, raising to 6,814 m EUR net cumulative sa- the purchase of externalities. vings from renewable energies until 2014. This Section compares the savings produced The aggregate tariff deficit generated amoun- by renewable energy with FITs received and ted to 39,974 m EUR, whereas the aggregate 39,974 39,974 36,786 the evolution of tariff deficit. The comparison is 31,177 21,773 price reduction that renewable energies ge- presented between the aggregate tariff deficit nerated in the electric system was 6,814 and the net pool price reduction from renewa- m EUR. This means that the electric market ble energies, previously called “bonuses”. would have probably reached higher levels 27,327 2014 without the presence of renewables, as theOver the last ten years, savings achieved by the se technologies do not generate tariff deficit. pool price reduction generated by renewable On the contrary: they reduce electricity costs. (Chart 6.9). energies amounted to 45,514 m EUR, while the 2009 7,714 9,275 9,768 2010 2011 Chart 4,947 5,757 2012 6,814 2013 2014 Cumulative tariff deficit vs. net cumulative savings from reduced prices in the electricity market 6.9 Source: APPA Cumulative tariff deficit Cumulative price reduction in OMIE's Daily Market less cumulative incentives received 39,974 39,974 36,786 31,177 27,327 21,773 17,157 10,870 7,150 2007 9,646 2008 9,768 2009 7,714 9,275 2010 2011 5,757 2012 4,947 2013 6,814 2014 Current m EUR Cumulative tariff deficit Cumulative price reduction in OMIE's Daily Market less cumulative incentives received 129 The Electricity System in Spain 7 130 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 The Electricity System in Spain T he Spanish electricity system registered an installed capacity of 107,954MW by the end of 2014. The production capacity increased by 39% during the last ten years, while electricity demand was reduced by 1% during the same period, resulting in an excess in capacity in Spain’s electricity system. During 2014, the total costs of the electricity system amounted to 30,217 m EUR, of which 12,398 m EUR (41%) corresponded to the so-called liberalized energy costs and 17,819 m EUR (59%) to the regulated costs. FITs of renewable energies decreased 22% in relation to 2014. However, some items were barely modified, such as adjustment services or distribution, which were reduced by 3% and 1% respectively. Others increased, such as transport, (4%). 131 The Electricity System in Spain Chart 7.1 Installed capacity in Spain by the end of 2014 Source: REE 1,018 2,106 12 2,300 Combined cycle Wind power 9 Wind 27,199 Hydropower OR Coal Comb 3,309 4,672 7,196 Coal Nucle Nuclear Non-renewable thermal Non-r 7,866 PV solar PV so Fuel/gas Fuel/g CSP CSP Small-scale hydropower Small 11,482 Renew Renewable thermal hydro-wind 2 23,002 17,792 MW Evolution of installed capacity and electricity demand technologies from the old Special Regime, with 33,110 MW, reached a 31%. (Chart 7.1). Even though not a single MW of it was installed 132 Hydro By the end of 2014, the Spanish electricity system in 2001, natural gas combined cycles experien- had 107,954 MW in installed capacity. Natural ced an increase in installed capacity during gas combined cycle is the technology with more the last years, becoming the technology with capacity with a 25.19% of the total (27,199 MW) the most installed capacity in our country. The followed by wind power with a 21.31% sha- development of the generation in ordinary re- re (23,002 MW) and large hydropower with a gime, such as natural gas combined cycles is 16.48% share (17,792 MW). Renewable energies the result of the lack of regulation for the sec- as a whole represented 47% of the installed tor. A big part of the installed capacity of gas capacity with 50,902 MW, whereas renewable plants remains unused nowadays. hydro Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 27,199 2014 23,002 To the contrary, the development of renewa17,792 ble energy facilities was the result of an energy tion of 4.8% in renewable electricity is a direct policy designed to meet, among others, the consequence of the disastrous regulation faced European environmental targets, based on di- by the sector and the discriminatory measures 11,482 (see rectives marked in the sector’s regulation taken against these technologies (see chart 7.3). chart 7.2). 10,108 The Spanish electricity system has an excess 7,866 2005 2006 2014 compared to 2013. A big part of this reduc- The standstill suffered by renewable energies of generation capacity today. If the last ten is proved by the lower electricity generation in 3,309 years the aggregate installed capacity increa- 2007 2008 2009 Chart 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Installed capacity in coal, gas combined cycles, fuel-gas and hydropower plants under ordinary regime, nuclear and other renewable energies 7.2 Source: CNMC and REE 30,000 Gas combined cycles Wind power 27,199 OR Hydropower 25,000 Coal 23,002 Other renewables Nuclear 20,000 Fuel - gas 17,792 15,000 11,482 10,108 10,000 7,866 5,000 3,309 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Capacity (MW) Gas combined cycles Wind power OR Hydropower Coal 133 The Electricity System in Spain 78,685 74,907 68,773 60,019 2011 sed by 38.2%, going from 78,086 MW in 2005 the increase of new production facilities and to 107,954 MW in 2014, the demand of electri- the decrease of the demand during the last city decreased, achieving in 2014 a lower value years resulted in an electricity system with an (258,117 GWh) than the value registered in excess of generation capacity, and thus, a non 2005 (206,704 GWh). This difference between efficient system. (See chart 7.4). 2012 2013 Chart 2014 Electricity production, renewables under Special regime and other technologies (2007-2014) 7.3 Source: CNMC and REE Production, renewables under Special Regime Production, other technologies 300,000 250,508 250,324 250,000 225,632 225,742 218,616 213,615 194,063 190,868 78,685 74,907 200,000 150,000 100,000 52,947 60,142 60,019 68,773 41,709 50,000 34,323 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 GWh Production, renewables under Special Regime 134 Production, other technologies 3.5% Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 0.1% 2011 2014 2.4% 2012 2013 -1.0% 2014 Chart Aggregate growth in installed capacity vs. electricity demand 7.4 Source: REE Electricity demand (b.c.) Aggregate installed capacity 37.8% 40% 38.6% 38.3% 35.6% 34.1% 35% 30% 26.8% 22.9% 25% 20% 15.8% 15% 10% 6.2% 7.2% 5.8% 3.5% 2.9% 5% 2.4% 0.1% -1.0% 0% -5% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Aggregate growth (%) Electricity System Costs Electricity demand (b.c.) Aggregate capacity costs the system’s income and theinstalled recognized of electricity). This reform has exclusively foIn mid-2013, the Spanish Government sponso- cused the reduction of the regulated costs of red the miscalled electricity reform, justifying the system, and fundamentally, on FIT costs, it by the urgent necessity of putting an end to being renewable energies the most damaged the so-called tariff deficit (difference between by this reform. 135 The Electricity System in Spain Since the end of 2013, with the implementation of Law 24/2013 of the 17,819 59% 12,398 Electricity 41% The electricity system costs consist of two tran- Sector, ches. One of them is the “liberalized tranche” the bonuses recognized by the old special which fundamentally includes the costs of regime have disappeared (renewable produc- the electricity market, also known as “pool”. tion was part of this regime), and have been Other concepts set by the Government are replaced by an Specific Remuneration Regime also included in the liberalized tranche, such which complements the incomes obtained by as payments for capacity or payments to do- these technologies in the electricity market in mestic coal. Therefore, it is a mistake to call it order to recover their investment and opera- liberalized costs, when part of these are set by tion costs. the Government. Secondly, we have the “regulated tranche” which includes, amongst others, the costs of Chart Electricity systemRegulated costs incosts Spain, 2014 costs 7.5Liberalised electricity networks, FITs paid to renewable energies, tariff deficit related costs, etc. These costs are set by the Government in the diffe- Source: CNMC, REE and OMIE rent regulations of the electricity sector. Liberalised costs Regulated costs Both regulated and liberalized costs are directly transferred to electricity consumers’ bills, and are subsequently increased by the electricity tax (4.86%) and the applicable VAT (21%). 12,398 41% This section shows the electricity system costs in 2014 and the evolution of its main components over the past few years based on data published by the Spanish National Commission for Markets and Competitiveness (CNMC), Red Eléctrica de España (REE) and the results 17,819 59% from the OMIE electricity market. In 2014 the aggregate costs of the electricity system amounted to 30,217 m EUR, 41% of which (12,398 m EUR) corresponded to the so-called liberalized energy costs, and 59%, Current m EUR - Percent Liberalised costs 136 Liberalised costs Regulated costs Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 (17,819 m EUR) to the cost of regulated business (see Chart 7.5). Liberalized energy costs include: the cost of OMIE daily electricity market price, amounting to 10,422 m EUR (84%); the system adjustment services1, amounting to 1,297 m Chart Energy system costs, 2014 7.6 Source: REE and OMIE Costs of daily market Capacity payments Adjustment services Coal EUR (10%); capacity payments2, amounting to 444 m EUR (4%); and the cost resulting from the supply guarantee restrictions process3 (domestic coal aids), amounting to 234 m EUR (2%) (See chart 7.6). 444 4% 234 2% 1,297 10% 10,422 84% As it has been explained in the previous section, in 2014 renewable energies produced direct savings amounting to 7,105 m EUR. Without the renewable output this amount would have been transferred to daily market costs. Accordingly, without the existence of renewable energies, daily market costs during 2014 would have been of 17,527 m EU, 68% more compared to what was registered during the year. Current m EUR - Percent On the other hand, costs of regulated business REE definition: Services required ensuring the electricity supply under the necessary conditions of quality, reliability and security. The adjustment services can be of an obligatory or optional character. Resolution of restrictions due to guarantee of supply, resolution of technical restrictions of the system, ancillary services and deviation management are all considered adjustment services. 1 include, inter alia, FITs paid to renewable energies for the production of electricity, electricity REE definition: Regulated payment to finance the medium and longterm power capacity service, offered by the generation facilities to the electricity system. ted to tariff deficit, FITs paid to cogeneration Royal Decree 134/2010 ensures market access to a certain amount of energy produced from domestic coal in thermal plants. in non-mainland generation. (See chart 7.7) 2 3 Costs of daily transport and distribution costs, costs associa- Adjustment s and non-renewable waste and stranded costs 137 The Electricity System in Spain Chart Cost of regulated business, 2014 7.7 Source: CNMC Incestives to Renewable (daily market savings) 903 5% Distribution 550 3% 161 1% I ( 1,313 7% Deficit payments 5,238 30% Transport Incetives to Cogeneration and non-renewable waste Non-mainland D T 1,674 9% I a Interruptability N Other (CNE, OS, nuclear moratorium...) I O n 2,937 17% 5,043 28% Current m EUR - Percent Regarding the aggregate costs of the electricity market, which in 2014 had supposed savings system, the cost of energy in the daily mar- of 7,105 m EUR. With this, and for the first ket price is the highest in percentage (35%), time since the historical series are analyzed, followed by transport and distribution costs the effect of renewables energies in the reduc- (22%), and the cost of the FITs equivalent to re- tion of the pool has been 1,867 m EUR higher newable production (17%). (See chart 7.8). than the regulated remuneration cost of these clean energies. If specific remuneration of renewable energies 138 D has supposed a 5,238 m EUR cost for the sys- The analysis of the electricity system in the tem, these energies reduce the cost in the daily last two years, 2013 and 2014, shows that Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain Chart 2014 Aggregated costs of the lectricity system in Spain, 2014 7.8 Source: CNMC, REE and OMIE 1% 6,713 3% Daily market costs 1% 2% 1% Daily mar 4% Transport and distribution Transpor Net incen 4% Net incentives Renewable 35% Deficit pa Deficit payments Incentives to Cogeneration and non-renewable waste 10% Incentive and non- -22% 6,713 System Adjustment costs 5,238 Non-mainland -1% System A 5,098 5,043 Non-main Interrupt Interruptability +4% Capacity 1,604 1,674 Coal decr -3% Capacity payments Coal decree cost 1,332 1,297 17% Other Other Remuneration Adjustment costs services Distribution Transport 22% Percent 6,713 while the remuneration costs of renewable energies were reduced by 22% (6,713 compared to 5,238 m EUR), other regulated costs stayed invariable or even increased (Chart 7.9). In particular, • System adjustment service costs decreased Chart 7.9 Comparison of certain system costs, 2013-2014 Source: CNMC, REE and OMIE 2013 6,713 -1% 5,238 5,098 5,043 minimally (-3%). +4% -3% • Energy distribution costs stayed practically invariables (-1%). • Electricity transport costs increased by 4%. 2014 -22% 1,604 1,674 1,332 1,297 Remuneration Adjustment costs services Distribution Transport Current m EUR 139 Energy policy targets and renewable energies 8 20% reduction in greenhouse gases compared to 1990 ENERGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE PACKAGE Ratified by the European Parliament on 17 December 2008 2020 targets 20% savings in European energy consumption 20% of energy consumption from renewable sources Directive 2009/28/EC 140 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 Energy policy targets and renewable energies T he European Commission has warned the Spanish Government on several occasions that Spain will not meet its European 20% target for renewable energies set for 2020. Different studies and reports made by different organisms and institutions, such as the International Energy Agency or the European Environment Agency, agree with the Commission in reporting that with the current policy Spain will not achieve its mandatory environmental targets. Even though the Government publicly insists in stating its support to renewable energies and affirms that our country will achieve its commitments, data show that this not the case. Even though it is true that over 2014 Spain achieved a 17.1% of the 20% target, this can be explained by the current scenario of low energy demand. Should there be a recovery in demand, with the situation in the Renewable Energy Sector Spain’s energy targets would be seriously compromised. According to the Planning proposal made by the Government, it would be necessary to install about 8,500 renewable MW before 2020 to achieve the targets. This would imply installing 1,400 MW every year from 2015 until 2020, thus it is important to remember that in 2014, 45 renewable MW were installed in Spain, a figure that will probably not be reached in 2015. In 2014 no renewable technology achieved the installed capacity targets enumerated in the PER 2011-2015. 141 Energy policy targets and renewable energies European Directive on renewable energies sources that Member States shall meet over the coming years, established in Directive 2009/28/EC of the European Parliament and 142 The European energetic policy sets the con- the Council, 23 April 2009, on the promotion sumption of energy targets from renewable of the use of energy from renewable sources. Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain One of the overall targets set in the Directive is to encourage the use of renewable sources 2014 Renewable Energies Plan 2011-2020 for energy production. The Directive states that at least 20% of gross final consumption In compliance with Directive 2009/28/EC in of energy in the European Union shall come 2010 Spain submitted to EU the National Ac- from renewable sources of energy by 2020 tion Plan for Renewable Energies (NREAP). The and at least 10% of energy consumption in the plan initially set a target of a 22.7% share of fi- transport sector shall come from renewable nal gross energy consumption from renewable sources. sources, compared with the 20% target set in the Directive. The Directive uses as a starting point the part of energy coming from renewable energies in As a consequence of the Social and Economic the gross final consumption of energy of every Pact, signed by the Spanish Government, em- Member State in 2005 and establishes the tar- ployers, and trade unions in January 2011, the gets for 2020. The targets set for Spain (20%) 22.7% target for consumption of final energy coincide with EU overall targets. from renewable sources was finally cut down to 20.8%, as they took as a reference the target In order to facilitate Member States meeting agreed by the Subcommission of Industry of their targets, the Directive provides a series the Congress, held in November of 2010. of flexibility measures: statistical transfers, whereby Members States may make arrange- The Council of Ministers held in November, ments for the statistical transfer of a specified 11th, 2011, passed the Renewable Energies amount of energy from renewable sources Plan 2011-2020 (PER 2011-2020), prepared by from one Member State to another Member IDEA. This plan defines a package of measures State; joint projects, whereby two or more to be developed by the Government in order Member States may cooperate on specific to meet the targets set in Directive 2009/28/EC, joint projects relating to the production of based on technical, economical and energetic electricity from renewable energy sources. scenarios. These joint projects may be located outside the European Union provided that the ener- The initial targets by sectors, defined in the gy produced is consumed within the EU; Ministry of Industry, Tourism and Trade, in and joint support schemes, whereby a joint the NREAP sent to the European Commission feed-in-tariff or a joint market for certificates in 2010, were reduced in the new Renewable of electricity from renewable sources may be Energies Plan 2011-2020. In December of 2011, established. the Spanish Government sent to the Commis- 143 Energy policy targets and renewable energies sion an amendment of the NREAP to adapt it to the term 2014-2020. This change is due to the the REP 2011-2020. passing of Law 24/2013 by the end of 2013 and will become the reference document for the compliance of the European commitments. Afterwards, in November of 2014, the Ministry of Industry presented the draft document of the Energetic Planning 2015-2020, which con- Even though the REP 2011-2020 and its targets tinued in open process by November, 29th, are still in force, this new planning document 2012 through Order IET/2598/2012. This first substantially modifies some of them. The tar- draft proposal plans the development of the gets for 2020 of renewable installed capacity network of electric energy transport during for electric production are reduced by 15.9%, Chart 8.1 2020 targets as established in the Renewable Energies Plan 2011-2020 and the Energy Plan draft version from the Ministry of Industry for the electricity sector Source: IDAE and MINETUR REP 2011-2020 Energetic Planning MW MW On-shore wind power 35.000 29.479 Hydropower (included pump) 22.672 21.694 PV Solar 7.250 6.030 CSP 4.800 2.511 Biomass 1.950 1.293 Off-shore wind power 750 0 Hydrokinetic, wave and tidal energy 100 0 Geothermal 50 0 72.572 61.007 Technologies Total 144 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain as they change from the 72,572 MW included in force, wind power would have to install in in the REP to 56,805 MW in the Planning draft. the next six years 6,477 MW, at a rate of 1,080 The marine wind power, oceanic energies and MW each year, something quite unlikely if we geothermal stay without installation targets, consider the data of 2014. The same would despite equaling 900 MW of target as a whole happen with photovoltaic solar, which having for 2020 in the REP. All technologies reduce their installed 7 MW, would need to install 226 MW targets: solar thermoelectric by 44.7%; biomass, every year to achieve the proposed target. The wastes and biogas by 33.7%; hydroelectric by solar thermoelectric, which did not increase 22.8%; photovoltaic solar by 16.8%; and land its installed capacity during 2014, would have wind power by 15.8%. (Chart 8.1). to install 211 new MW, 35 MW each year. Bio- 2014 mass, with 38 new MW installed, would need to To achieve our targets in 2020 stated in the install 46 MW each year and a total of 275 new draft of Energetic Planning, without forgetting MW until 2020. Also, the small hydro should that those established in the REP are currently install 199 new MW. Chart 8.2 Difference between roadmap as of 2013 and REP 2011-2020 targets Source: IDAE and REE REP targets for 2014 Situation as of 2014 Difference Technologies GWh MW GWh MW % GWh % MW PV Solar 8,605 5,143 8,199 4,672 -4.7% -9.2% CSP 7,400 2,721 4,959 2,300 -33.0% -15.5% On-shore wind power 52,673 26,416 51,026 23,002 -3.1% -12.9% Off-shore wind power 36 22 0 0 -100.0% -100.0% Biomass, SUW, biogas 6,615 1,082 4,729 1,018 -28.5% -5.9% Geothermal 0 0 0 0 - - Hydrokinetic, wave and tidal energy 0 0 0 0 - - 145 Energy policy targets and renewable energies Electricity sector Thermal sector REP 2011-2020 includes indicative targets REP 2011-2020 defines a final target of 5,357 referred to the share of renewable energy ktoe for thermal renewable energies in technologies towards complying with Spain’s Spain, 87% of which (4,653 ktoe) correspond 20% overall target by 2020. In terms of insta- to biomass, both solid and biogas. CSP and lled capacity, by the end of 2014, none of the geothermal energies with 644 and 50 ktep technologies had met the indicative targets respectively, should complete the thermal re- included in REP 2011-2020. This information newable targets. makes the standstill of the Sector evident, as a consequence of current regulatory instability. Production of thermal energy from biomasses All the figures are clearly inferior to those ob- shall be achieved by using solid biomass and tained the previous year, due to the halt in the biogas. The 2020 targets are as follows: 4,553 installation of new capacity and the increase of ktoe for solid biomass and 100 ktoe for biogas. the annual targets stablished in the REP, and The pace foreseen in REP would allow the ins- will follow the same path in the next years if tallation by 2020 of 753 ktoe, a conservative Spain doesn’t act imminently in favour of re- target given the Spain’s tremendous biomass newable energies. (Chart 8.2). potential. Chart 8.3 Difference between targets as established in the Renewable Energies Plan 2011-2020 for the Thermal Sector and 2014 achievements Source: IDAE and MINETUR Technologies REP targets for 2020 REP targets for 2014 Situation as of 2014 Difference Geothermal 50,0 25,0 19,7 -21.2% CSP 644 266 258 -3.0% 4,553 3,827 4,046 5.7% 100 57 42 -26.3% Biomass Biogas 146 Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain CSP target for 2020 is 644 ktoe, equivalent to a catchment area of 10,000 m2. Despite the Chart 8.4 2014 Targets for the transport industry (ktoe) defined in REP 2011-2020 slowdown caused by the real estate crisis, in the medium term this technology is expected Source: IDAE to achieve a growing trend. Energy production will grow by an annual 4% during the first years and by 16% by the end of the period. According to REP 2011-2020, geothermal energy’s potential for thermal uses exceeds 50,000 PER 2011-2020 Technologies 2015 2020 301 400 Biodiesel 1,970 2,313 Electricity 229 503 2,500 3,216 Bioethanol BioETBE MWth. The Plan foresees thermal energy from geothermal sources to be produced by heat pumps, with a partial target of 40.5 ktoe, and by heat usage with a target of 9.5 ktoe. (Chart 8.3). Total (ktep) Transport sector REP 2011-2020 stablished a target for relative penetration of renewable energies in transport by 2020 of 11.3% and foresaw its compliance to Chart 8.5 Difference between roadmap as of 2014 and REP 2011-2020 biofuel targets be achieved mainly by the use of biofuels. Chart 8.4 shows the absolute biofuel targets defined Source: IDAE and CNMC in REP for years 2015 and 2020. (Chart 8.4). Biofuels REP 2014 targets (ktoe) Situation as of 2014 (ktoe) Difference (%) Bioethanol BioETBE 290 186 -35.9% 1,930 535 -72.3% 0 289 - 2,220 1,010 -54.5% The aggregate target for absolute biofuels consumption defined in the Plan for 2014 has not been met, consumption being 54.5% short of target despite the contribution from a biofuel —hydro-biodiesel— that was not included in Biodiesel the REP. Chart 8.5 shows that in 2014 consumption of bioethanol/bioETBE and biodiesel were Hydro-biodiesel 35.9% and 72.3% respectively below the estimates included in REP for this year. (Chart 8.5). Total 147 Energy policy targets and renewable energies Target compliance for 2020 targets by Member States, presented to the European Commission, concluded that Spain Chart 8.6 shows the target for 2020 the con- will not meet its mandatory 20% target refe- sumption of gross final energy from renewable rred to the share of renewable energies in final sources set by Directive 2009/28/EC for each demand. Member State and for the European Union as a whole. For Spain the target is 20%. This report basically considers two scenarios, depending on whether Member States will 148 In 2014 the share of energy from renewable cooperate to achieve their respective targets sources in gross final consumption of energy for renewable energy by 2020. Both scenarios in Spain was 17.1%, above the 15.9% indicative are based on each country current situation target included in REP 2011-2020. The situa- and policies. Thus, the scenario without coope- tion could be considered as temporary, due ration refers to the share of renewable energy to the current scenario of low energy demand. that each Member State will achieve by itself, Should there be a recovery in demand, given i.e. without help from any other Member State. the situation in the Renewable Energy Sec- The cooperation scenario takes into account tor Spain’s energy targets would be seriously the flexibility measures established in the compromised. Similarly, an Ecofys report co- Directive to facilitate Member States the achie- missioned by the European Commission and vement of their respective targets such as the edited in 2012 concluded that Spain would not purchase or statistical transfer of renewable achieve its mandatory targets of 20% for 2020. production among Member States. According to the latest European data availa- It shall be noted that through statistical trans- ble, from 2013, from the part that renewable fers, any Member State having exceeded in sources represent in the gross final consump- 2020 its minimum target for renewable energy tion of energy, the percentage of compliance could sell its surplus to any other Member Sta- each State had achieved in the aforesaid year te that had not achieved its target. Spain could can be observed. In this regard, Spain was in sell renewable energy to other Members Sta- the sixteenth position, with 77% of the target tes that do not enjoy conditions as favourable achieved. The 15.4% that the European Com- as existing in our country. Unfortunately, this mission attributes to our country is slightly measure provided for in the Directive seems below the 16.6% informed by the Spanish to be absent from Spain’s national renewable Government as a degree of compliance for energy strategy; consequently Spain will face the same year. On the other hand, the KEE- significant trouble to meet its mandatory mini- PONTRACK! report on fulfillment of the 2020 mum target committed before Europe. Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain 2014 National overall targets for the share of energy from renewable sources in gross final consumption of energy in 2020 and compliance by 2013 Chart 8.6 Source: European Commission Member State Situation as of 2013 Target 2020 Compliance by 2013 (%) Bulgaria 19.0% 16% 119% Sweden 52.1% 49% 106% Estonia 25.6% 25% 102% Lithuania 23.0% 23% 100% Romania 23.9% 24% 100% Italy 16.7% 17% 98% Finland 36.8% 38% 97% Austria 32.6% 34% 96% Czech Republic 12.4% 13% 95% Latvia 37.1% 40% 93% Denmark 27.2% 30% 91% Croatia 18.0% 20% 90% Slovenia 21.5% 25% 86% Greece 15.0% 18% 83% Portugal 25.7% 31% 83% Spain 15.4% 20% 77% Hungary 9.8% 13% 75% Poland 11.3% 15% 75% EU28 15.0% 20% 75% Slovakia 9.8% 14% 70% Germany 12.4% 18% 69% Cyprus 8.1% 13% 62% France 14.2% 23% 62% Belgium 7.9% 13% 61% Ireland 7.8% 16% 49% Malta 3.8% 10% 38% United Kingdom 5.1% 15% 34% Luxembourg 3.6% 11% 33% Netherlands 4.5% 14% 32% 149 Energy policy targets and renewable energies Chart Forecast for RES share on gross final consumption in 2020 8.7 Source: 2020 RES scenarios for Europe (KEEPONTRACK!) Member State 150 Target 2020 Deviation according to scenario Forecast (Current scenario without cooperation) Forecast (Current scenario with cooperation) Without cooperation With cooperation Germany 18% 17.3% 17.5% -3.9% -2.8% Austria 34% 36.9% 34.0% 8.5% 0.0% Belgium 13% 12.0% 12.3% -7.8% -5.4% Bulgaria 16% 21.4% 16.0% 33.8% 0.0% Cyprus 13% 13.5% 13.0% 3.8% 0.0% Croatia 20% 23.0% 20.0% 15.0% 0.0% Denmark 30% 30.4% 30.0% 1.3% 0.0% Slovakia 14% 13.9% 14.0% -0.7% 0.0% Slovenia 25% 22.7% 23.5% -9.2% -6.0% Spain 20% 14.7% 16.5% -26.5% -17.5% Estonia 25% 31.0% 25.0% 24.0% 0.0% Finland 38% 39.0% 38.0% 2.6% 0.0% France 23% 18.6% 20.1% -19.1% -12.6% Greece 18% 13.7% 15.1% -23.9% -16.1% Hungary 13% 12.2% 12.5% -6.2% -3.8% Ireland 16% 16.5% 16.0% 3.1% 0.0% Italy 17% 20.8% 17.0% 22.4% 0.0% Latvia 40% 34.6% 36.5% -13.5% -8.8% Lithuania 23% 26.6% 23.0% 15.7% 0.0% Luxembourg 11% 7.3% 8.5% -33.6% -22.7% Malta 10% 2.9% 5.3% -71.0% -47.0% Netherlands 14% 7.1% 9.4% -49.3% -32.9% Poland 15% 13.7% 14.1% -8.7% -6.0% Portugal 31% 27.7% 28.8% -10.6% -7.1% United Kingdom 15% 8.9% 11.0% -40.7% -26.7% Czech Republic 13% 12.2% 12.5% -6.2% -3.8% Romania 24% 25.8% 24.0% 7.5% 0.0% Sweden 49% 54.3% 49.0% 10.8% 0.0% EU28 20% 18.4% 18.4% -8.9% -8.9% Study of the Macroeconomic Impact of Renewable Energies in Spain This share, compared with the minimum man- be noted that, with its current policies, Spain datory target for each Member State, shows would cover in the best of cases a 16.5% share of the level of target compliance, represented as a renewable energies in its final energy consump- percentage deviation from the relevant target. tion and would be forced to purchase renewable Forecasts predict that Spain will fail to achieve production from other Member States. If the its mandatory 20% target for 2020, falling short transfers between countries were not possible, of target by 17.5%-26.5% (see chart 8.7). It shall the achieved percentage would be 14.7%. 2014 151 Energy policy targets and renewable energies Edited by: Spanish Association of Renewable Energies - APPA www.appa.es Designed by: Vituco Chart S.L. Images by: Vituco, Fotolia, UE, IDAE and APPA members. Printed by: Timber Press English digital edition: Holtrop - Transation&Business Law 152
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