Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 www.elsevier.com/locate/ybcon Targeting biological control across diverse landscapes: the release, establishment, and early success of two insects on mesquite (Prosopis spp.) insects in Australian rangelands Rieks D. van Klinken,a,* Gio Fichera,b and Hugo Cordoc a CSIRO Entomology, Tropical Ecosystems Research Centre, PMB 44 Winnellie, Northern Territory 0822, Australia b CSIRO Entomology, 120 Meiers Rd, Indooroopilly, Brisbane 4068, Australia c United States Department of Agriculture, South American Biological Control Laboratory, Buenos Aires, Argentina Received 2 November 2001; accepted 18 June 2002 Abstract Biological control agents are frequently expected to perform over a wide geographic and climatic range, or to target high priority regions with specific climates. Biological control of mesquite (Leguminosae: Prosopis spp.) in Australia is one such example. Mesquite is widely distributed across Australia, but is currently a more serious weed in some areas than others. We document the mass-rearing, release, and establishment of two new biological control agents native to the same region in north-west Argentina. We also determine whether climate-matching, a frequently used method for helping identify well-adapted agents, would have predicted establishment and relative performance of each agent. Release and evaluation sites were selected to represent the diverse climates in which mesquite is a serious weed. One insect, the leaf-tier Evippe sp. #1 (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae), established widely. Densities of this species were highest in the warmest region, which was 4.7 °C hotter than the point of origin, and low where climate is most similar to the point of origin. Significant impact from Evippe sp. is likely in the warmest region (Pilbara, WA), but was not assessed quantitatively. In contrast, the other insect, the psyllid Prosopidopsylla flava, is only tenuously established at the two coolest sites, one of which was climatically most similar to the point of origin. Both climate and ant predation probably play a role in the failure of psyllids to reach damaging densities, and to become established at other sites. Climate of the areas where the insects were collected in their native range was therefore a poor predictor of performance of at least one of these two insects. Techniques other than climate-matching are therefore required to improve our prediction of relative performance at the regional level. Ó 2002 Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved. Keywords: Prosopis; Leguminosae; Biological control; Prosopidopsylla flava; Psyllidae; Evippe sp. #1; Gelechiidae; Agent prioritization; Ant predation; Climate-matching; Climate-modeling; Argentina; Australia 1. Introduction Weed species often grow across diverse geographic conditions, in both their native and introduced ranges. Likewise, biological control agents typically perform better in some parts of the weedÕs range than others, depending in part on their climatic requirements. For example, Cullen (1996) found that climatic factors explained why more than half of the 25 agent:weed combinations under consideration resulted in control in one * Corresponding author. Fax: +61-(0)-8-8944-8444. E-mail address: [email protected] (R.D. van Klinken). region and not in another. Different approaches for considering the climatic requirements of individual insects or pathogens are available, including day–degree modeling (e.g., McClay and Hughes, 1995) and climatemodeling that incorporates climate-related growth, reproduction, and mortality factors (e.g., Julien et al., 1995). Data for each insect or pathogen is obtained from laboratory studies and/or knowing the limits of the insectsÕ distribution within the native range (and parts of its introduced range). These techniques have been used to identify areas within the native range that might have ‘‘strains’’ of an existing agent that are better adapted climatically (McClay and Hughes, 1995), to help design release programs, and as a valuable tool in explaining 1049-9644/02/$ - see front matter Ó 2002 Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved. PII: S 1 0 4 9 - 9 6 4 4 ( 0 2 ) 0 0 1 0 7 - X R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 the regional success or failure of existing agents (Julien et al., 1995; McClay, 1996; McClay and Hughes, 1995; McFadyen, 1987; Scott, 1992; Scott and Yeoh, 1999). However, climate-modeling has not, as yet, been used for prioritizing agents, probably because sufficient data is rarely available, or is perceived to be difficult and costly to obtain (McClay, 1996). An alternative approach to identifying climatically adapted agents is ecoclimatic matching of the native and introduced range of the target weed (Wapshere, 1993; Wapshere et al., 1989). This method assumes that the most climatically adapted agents will come from parts of the native-range that are most climatically similar to the target range. Various methods are used to locate matching climates within the native range, including klimadiagrams (Dennill and Gordon, 1990; Wapshere, 1974, 1983, 1993) and more quantitative climatematching using the computer program CLIMEX (Adair and Scott, 1997; Kleinjan and Scott, 1996). The potential limitation of this approach is that it does not account for climatic requirements of individual insects. However, it remains the primary means by which climatic requirements are accounted for when prioritizing potential agents (e.g., Gillett et al., 1991: Sida species; Harley et al., 1995: Mimosa pigra L.; Marohasy, 1995: Acacia nilotica (L.) Willd. ex Del.; DeLoach et al., 1996: Tamarix species), and is widely recommended as a coarse scale approach (Cameron et al., 1993; Sutherst et al., 1999). In this paper we document results of this approach for two new agents released against mesquite in Australia. Mesquite (Prosopis spp.) is an example of a weed that is particularly widespread in both its native and introduced ranges. It is a long-lived woody legume that can form impenetrable thickets. At least four species and several hybrids are represented in Australia, but available evidence suggests that herbivores do not discriminate between taxa (Cordo and DeLoach, 1987; van Klinken, 2000; van Klinken and Heard, 2000). In its native range, mesquite is present in semiarid to arid regions from southern North America through to South America (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001). In Australia it grows under climatically diverse conditions, with mean annual daily temperatures ranging from 10 to 15 °C in the south to over 25 °C in the north. Mean annual rainfall ranges from 150 to 1200 mm, and might fall evenly throughout the year, or predominantly in either winter or summer (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001). A biological control program targeting mesquite in Australia was renewed in 1994 (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001). Potential agents were prioritized primarily on the basis of likely host-specificity and the type and extent of damage observed in the native range (Cordo and DeLoach, 1987; T. Heard, CSIRO Entomology, Brisbane, Qld, unpublished). Climate was not 9 considered beyond a general requirement for insects to be adapted to semiarid or arid conditions. Two of the four insect species tested, a leaf-tying moth and a psyllid, were sufficiently host-specific and were subsequently released from 1998 (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001). Both originate from the same region in northwest Argentina. In this paper we document the mass-rearing, release, establishment, and early performance of the two new biological control agents of mesquite. Both agents were released and evaluated within regions representing the diverse climatic conditions in which mesquite is a serious weed. Relative performance across Australia was then compared a posteriori with predictions from climatematching to determine whether predictions from climate-matching are sufficiently accurate to guide agent prioritization in Australian rangelands. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Overview of the agents Two agents were released, the leaf-tier Evippe sp. #1 (referred to as ‘‘Evippe’’) (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae) and the sap-sucker Prosopidopsylla flava Burkhardt (Hemiptera: Psyllidae). Both agents are native to northern and central Argentina. P. flava is widely distributed and has been recorded from ten provinces (Catamarca, Chaco, C ordoba, Formosa, La Rioja, Mendoza, Santiago del Estero, San Juan, San Luis, and Salta) (Burckhardt, 1987; D. Burckhardt, Naturhistorisches Museum, Basel, Switzerland, personal communication 1997/8; H. Cordo, unpublished). Gelechiid leaf-tiers are also widespread in both Argentina and Paraguay (Cordo and DeLoach, 1987), but few have been reliably identified. The presence of Evippe sp. #1 has been confirmed in La Rioja and Santiago del Estero Provinces. The mesquite taxa in Australia do not occur naturally in Argentina (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001), and are therefore new associations for both agents. In laboratory studies, both agents perform equally well on all Australian mesquite taxa on which they have been tested (van Klinken, 2000; van Klinken and Heard, 2000). 2.1.1. Evippe Eggs are oviposited directly onto the plant where they are mostly placed into cracks and fissures in the bark. Evippe has four larval instars (van Klinken and Heard, 2000). The first instar mines leaves and subsequent instars construct leaf-ties from opposing and adjacent pinnules in which they feed. Larvae pupate in the third and final leaf-tie. Under controlled conditions (27 °C day, 23 °C night; 60 10% RH; L:D 16:8 photoperiod plus limited oblique natural lighting) egg to adult 10 R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 development takes between 34 and 48 days. Adults are quite short-lived, rarely surviving for more than three weeks. Oviposition begins within a day of emergence and continues through the femaleÕs life, although 77% of eggs are oviposited in the first week. Fecundity is at least 75 eggs. Evippe diapause as fourth instar larvae (van Klinken, unpublished). Diapause is thought to be initiated primarily by changes in daylength, as it is entered independently of temperature and moisture conditions, and can be prevented through the use of grow lamps (see below). In the field, larvae enter diapause in late March or early April and exit it in July. The timing of diapause appears to be independent of latitude. 2.1.2. Prosopidopsylla flava Prosopidopsylla flava remains dependent on its host throughout its lifetime (van Klinken, 2000). Each egg has a peduncle which is inserted into the plant tissue on which it depends for survival. Both adults and nymphs feed on sap in mature and immature foliage. Nymphs are relatively sedentary and adults depend on the host plant for both egg production and survival (in the laboratory adults rarely survive more than four days in the absence of a host plant). Under controlled conditions (27 °C day, 23 °C night; 60 10% RH; L:D 16:8 photoperiod plus limited oblique natural lighting) development from egg to adult takes between 36 and 70 days (median 46 days), and adults live for an average of 20 days, although individuals can live for over 56 days. Lifetime fecundity averages about 232 eggs per female (individuals oviposit up to 523 eggs). Oviposition commences three to five days after adult emergence and continues relatively constantly through the femaleÕs life. There is no evidence of diapause, at least under conditions encountered during winter in subtropical Brisbane when mean monthly temperatures are 9.5–20.6 °C. However, egg and nymphal development times are slowed considerably. 2.2. Release sites Mesquite is currently a serious weed in six different parts of Australia, referred to here as regions. One or more mesquite infestations for direct releases were selected within each region (Fig. 1). The targeted infestations at these sites differed in species composition, size, and density of mesquite (Table 1). Each region (as represented by the infestation at which most releases were made) had different climatic conditions, which also differed from the native range of both agents (Fig. 2). Temperatures at the point of origin were warmer than northwest New South Wales for much of the year and cooler than other regions for most or all of the year (Fig. 2A). The Pilbara was hottest for most of the year (January–July), although the Barkly Tableland was considerably hotter from October to December. Fig. 1. Release sites for Evippe (up-right triangle) and/or Prosopidopsylla flava (upside-down triangle). The main release site/s within each region are named, others are just indicated by a symbol. R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 11 Table 1 Description of infestations in which direct releases of Evippe sp. #1 and/or P. flava were made Infestation Latitude Taxonomy Size and density North-west New South Wales (nw NSW) White Leeds Station 32°01:9800 S One Tree Station 30°04:1190 S 141°22:9160 E 141°55:8330 E P. velutina Wooton P. velutina P. glandulosa Torr. var. torreyana 50 ha dense; >1000 ha sparse >1000 ha isolated plants South-west Queensland (sw QLD) Comongin 26°29:6720 S 144°19:4080 E P. velutina P. glandulosa Torr. var. torreyana 4000 ha dense; 8800 ha sparse North Queensland (n QLD) Hughenden Hampden downs Moorooka Station 20°49:5240 S 21°30:5690 S 21°28:9640 S 144°12:2480 E 141°41:0200 E 141°13:1480 E 21,000 ha dense to sparse 2000 ha dense; 18,000 ha sparse 10,000 ha dense to sparse 21°16:5230 S 141°17:2450 E P. pallida (Willd.) Kunth P. pallida ‘‘Hybrid’’ (possibly P. glandulosa var. torreyana) As for Moorooka Barkly Tablelands, Northern Territory Alroy Downs 19°17:2500 S Austral Downs 20°29:5220 S Lake Nash Station 20°57:7630 S 136°04:9520 E 137°46:0670 E 137°54:7060 E P. pallida P. pallida P. pallida 10,000 ha sparse Isolated plants Isolated plants Pilbara, Western Australia Mardie Station 21°11:2940 S 115°56:9480 E ‘‘Hybrids’’ 30,000 ha dense; 120,000 ha sparse Gascoyne, Western Australia Carnarvon 24°53:8300 S 113°42:3200 E ‘‘Hybrids’’ Isolated plants McKinlay Township Longitude Regions were mostly summer-rainfall, although the Pilbara can get significant winter rainfall, the Gascoyne is primarily winter rainfall, and northwest New South Wales can receive rainfall throughout the year. All regions were semiarid to arid (average of 230–521 mm annual rainfall) (Fig. 2B). Rainfall typically varies greatly from year to year within these regions, so longterm averages do not necessarily represent year-to-year rainfall. For example, annual rainfall has varied from 9 to 856 mm in the Pilbara region (Mardie Station) in the past 100 years. Nonetheless, average rainfall in the native range encompassed most Australian average rainfall patterns, except the winter rainfall in the Gascoyne and Pilbara regions (Fig. 2B). 2.3. Mass-rearing and release methods Both insects were mass-reared in the laboratory on whole potted plants. The release strategy was to make multiple releases of relatively large numbers of insects at a few sites within each region. 2.3.1. Evippe The mass-rearing culture was established from 286 adults which emerged from leaf-ties taken from five Prosopis vinalillo Stuckert trees at a single site in northern Argentina (Santiago del Estero Province, 18 km NE A~ natuya, 28.08°S, 62.44°W, 108 m a.s.l.) in December 1997. Genetic diversity was maximized in the initial generation by setting up cages with 10 pairs of Isolated plants adults each (0–3 pairs from each tree). Breeding adults were pooled randomly in subsequent populations. Evippe was mass-reared by placing 40–200 adults in gauze cages together with three to six potted plants (150 mm diameter pots or equivalent) (P. velutina, P. pallida, P. glandulosa, P. juliflora (Sw.) DC., and/or hybrid Prosopis). More plants were added as required. From June 1998, cultures were kept under grow lamps (ca. 16 h per day) during the winter moths (mostly at 23 °C or higher) to prevent initiation of diapause. Evippe were mostly shipped as late-instar larvae because adults are relatively fragile and most eggs are oviposited within the first week. Excess adults were also shipped when available, in 250 or 500 ml clear plastic containers lined with blotting paper, holding 50 and 100 adults, respectively. Culture plants were cut down when most immatures were at or near the pupal stage and the foliage freighted to their release destinations in polystyrene boxes. Estimates of release sizes were based on 100 immatures per plant in a 150 mm-diam. pot, and 150 immatures per plant in a 200 mm-diam. pot, or a percentage thereof if less than 100% of foliage was attacked. These are conservative estimates based on several months of culturing data. Boxes with leaf-ties were placed directly into the field, generally within 48 h of harvesting. They were tied to mesquite trees and holes cut in them to allow adults to emerge. Adults were released without constraint. Fieldcollected leaf-ties were redistributed from some sites: within Mardie (November 1999), from Mardie to P. 12 R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 Fig. 2. Average monthly temperatures (A) and rainfall (B) at the point of origin of both agents and the six regions in Australia where releases were made. Data were obtained from the closest meteorological station to the main infestations at which most releases were made. Native range temperatures (Aimogasta to Santiago del Estero) and rainfall (Aimogasta to Anatuya) give the full range of conditions across collection sites. pallida infestations on Minderoo Station (near Onslow, November 1999), from the Hughenden release site to other sites within the Hughenden region (July–August 1999), and from Alroy Downs to Alexandria, Rockhampton Downs (August 1999), and Lake Nash (October 1999). No follow-up surveys were made at Minderoo Station (Pilbara Region), Alexandria, or Rockhampton Downs (Barkly Tablelands). 2.3.2. Prosopidopsylla flava The culture originated from more than 330 adults collected from P. chilensis (Molina) Stuntz in northern Argentina in April 1997 (La Rioja Province, Rt. 9, 56 km N La Rioja city, 28.45°S, 66.38°W, 640 m a.s.l.) and November 1997 (about 73 km to the north, La Rioja Prov., 2 km SW Aimogasta, 27.47°S, 64.15°W, 853 m a.s.l.). Large cultures were maintained in quarantine for host-specificity testing for 18 months (van Klinken, 2000). A total of 14,220 adults were subsequently removed from quarantine over a two-month period to establish cultures for mass-rearing. Mass-rearing was done as for Evippe, with 300–400 adults placed into each cage. All mass-rearing during the cooler months was done under grow lamps (mostly at 23 °C or higher). P. flava proved difficult to transport because both immatures and adults die quickly in the absence of their host plant and are sensitive to hot, dry conditions. The most efficient shipping method with the highest survival was found to be as adults held on freshly cut foliage in insulated containers lined with R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 absorbent paper. The paper was sufficiently moistened to prevent the cut foliage from desiccating, yet retain the capacity to absorb any condensation to which the adults may stick. Adults were harvested directly into plastic containers using a hand-held vacuum aspirator. Adults for release were rarely more than one-week-old as cages were harvested 1–2 times per week. Most releases were made within 36 h of harvesting. The psyllids were released in different ways: free-release onto trees (1998/99, mostly); free-release onto antproofed trees (1999/00, mostly); and initial release into gauze sleeves for 2–30 days (if a return visit was possible). Trees were ant-proofed by isolating them from other vegetation and the ground. Touching vegetation was pruned away and the trunk wrapped in foam rubber that was coated in a thick, sticky gel (STIKEM SPECIAL, Seabright Laboratories, Emeryville, California), which prevents access by crawling insects. Where possible, trees that did not have a resident ant population were selected. 2.4. Survey methodology Most release sites were visited one or two times a year to survey insects. Where possible, visits were conducted in early summer and just prior to winter. Local, trained weed officers sometimes made supplementary surveys. 2.4.1. Evippe Leaf-ties are easily locatable because the senescent pinnules stand out among the undamaged, green foliage, even at low densities. All trees within 20 m of the release point (an arbitrarily determined standard) were walked around, and the density of leaf-ties recorded on each. When leaf-ties were uncommon, the total number of leaf-ties was recorded. At higher densities, counting individual leaf-ties was not possible, so the percent of total foliage present that was leaf-tied was estimated. Estimates of percent leaf-attack by different observers were calibrated once or twice a year in each region (by R. van Klinken), and independent estimates were always within 0–20% of each other. At some sites, transects or spot checks were done away from the release point to determine spread of Evippe. Leaf-ties reached very high densities at some sites, so post-release evaluations were subsequently categorized into six density categories: from no leaf-ties to an average of 90% or more of foliage leaf-tied. Density was designated as less than 1% of foliage if leaf-ties could be individually counted. 2.4.2. Prosopidopsylla flava The following surveying techniques were tried: visual searching of foliage in situ for eggs, nymphs, and adults; beating of foliage onto a beating tray; beating of cut foliage onto a white sheet (ca. 1 1:5 m); and visual search of plants for distorted foliage caused by nymphal 13 feeding on immature growth. All techniques detected psyllids at relatively low densities. However, beating of foliage was impractical under wet or windy conditions, and visual searching of foliage for psyllid individuals and use of beating trays were very labor intensive. The most efficient technique therefore was to search for leafdistortions and to open them up for evidence of psyllid activity (presence of nymphs and/or nymph frass). This technique rarely detected nymphs feeding on mature foliage or stems, though they rarely do this when immature foliage is available. It also rarely detected adults. Psyllid density was categorized into four categories: from no psyllids or distorted pinnae per plant to ‘‘some plants with more than 100 psyllids or distorted pinnae.’’ Dispersal from the release tree was categorized as recorded on the release tree only, within 20 m of the release tree and more than 20 m from the release tree. 2.5. Psyllid sleeve trials Early post-release surveys found few or no psyllids, despite large releases at some sites. Psyllids were therefore placed in polyorganza or gauze sleeves at some sites, which were revisited to determine whether oviposition and development could occur when contained in a sleeve and in the absence of predators. Sleeves were further protected against predators (particularly ants) by isolating branches and applying STIKEM SPECIAL proximally. 2.6. Climate-matching The climate between the origin of both agents and those in rangeland Australia were compared quantitatively using the climate-matching function in CLIMEX (Sutherst and Maywalk, 1999). This function allows a quantitative comparison between climate at a single location in the native range, with other locations. Meteorological data (mean monthly minimum and maximum temperatures and relative humidity, total rainfall, and rainfall pattern) are compared between sites to generate a weighted index (Sutherst et al., 1999). We chose Santiago del Estero (27.47°S, 64.15°W, 199 m a.s.l.) to represent the point of origin of both insects as it was the closest meteorological station to collection sites that recorded relative humidities. 3. Results 3.1. Evippe release and post-release data Almost 62,000 individuals (conservatively estimated) were released between March 1998 and February 2000, mostly as either late-instar larvae or pupae (Table 2). Average release sizes were 1109 (410–2975; n ¼ 44) im- 14 Table 2 Summary of Evippe sp. #1 releases and post-release evaluations at each infestationa Infestation and release point Releases % Immatures (of total) No. individuals (no. releases) 1998–99 1999–2000 New South Wales One Tree White Leeds 1090 (1) 2180 (1) 2149 (2) 3486 (6) – 7368 (9) Queensland (south-west) Comongin (Lake) Comongin (Bruchid) 1053 (1) 2107 (1) 3011 (3) 7962 (6) – – Queensland (north) Hughenden Hampden Downs (Kennedy Dam) Hampden Downs (Wild Duck Ck) McKinlay Township area Moorooka – – – – – 4812 2065 1146 – 625 – – 558 (1) 670 (1) – Barkly Tablelands Alroy Downs Austral Downs Lake Nash 2000 (1) 1000 (1) 1000 (1) 2677 (2) 1520 (2) 1728 (2) – – – Pilbara Mardie (Du Boulay) Mardie (Jillan Jillan) Mardie (Woolshed) – – – 5555 (3) 1795 (2) 2625 (3) – – – Gascoyne Carnarvon – 1600 (1) – 65.0 Total 10,430 42,756 8596 79.0 a (4) (3) (2) (1) 1998–1999 1999–2000 2000–2001 Early Late Early Late Early Late 83.8 59.6 – 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 87.5 93.0 – 0 1 1 1 1 3 2 – – 3 3 73.9 61.7 43.1 67.2 100 – – – 1 1 1 1 – – – – – 3/2c 2 1 2 1 1 – – – – 4/2c – – – – 77.5 71.0 66.8 – – – 2 1 1 1 0 1 3 – All adult plants killed – – – 0 0 1 3 3 4 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 – 3 – – – – 100 100 100 3 Observations made at least one year after the last release are in bold font. Leaf-tie densities: 0, no leafties found; 1, <1% of foliage leaf-tied on most plants; 2, 1–10% of foliage leaf-tied on most plants; 3, 10–50% of foliage leaf-tied on most plants; 4, 50–90% of foliage leaf-tied on most plants; and 5, 90% or more of foliage leaf-tied on most plants. c <3 m trees; >3 m trees. b R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 Mar–Jun 98 Leaf-tie abundanceb R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 matures, and/or 382 (47–1104; n ¼ 34) adults. Immatures always arrived in good condition, but adults are relatively fragile and short-lived, and only 68% survived shipment overall. Releases in New South Wales and the Northern Territory in March–June 1998 were predominantly of diapausing larvae, but remaining releases were not. Releases were made at 16 sites in 12 infestations. Multiple releases were made at most sites, with up to 16 releases at any one site (White Leeds, NSW). Where return visits were made, leaf-ties were present at all release sites at least one year after the last release (Table 2). Even single, relatively small releases (Moorooka, McKinlay Township, and Carnarvon) were sufficient to establish breeding populations, although Carnarvon was only revisited after 4 months and McKinlay after 1.5 months. Leaf-ties reached very high densities within the first season at sites in the Pilbara, where most trees had more than 50%, and frequently up to 100%, of foliage leaf-tied by the end of 1999. High levels of attack continued throughout the survey period. Populations increased more slowly at other sites and never reached mean densities of 10% at sites in New South Wales. With the exception of the Pilbara, leaf-tie densities were typically very low early in the season and highest late in the season (Table 2). Leaf-tie densities in infes- 15 tations in north Queensland and the Northern Territory (all P. pallida) were inversely correlated with tree height. This was quantified on the Barkly Tablelands (Alroy Downs, May 2001) where leaf-tie densities on plants up to 3 m tall (39 5 (SE)%; n ¼ 42) were higher than on plants taller than 3 m (11 2 (SE)%; n ¼ 21) (t test: P < 0:01). Plant size and leaf-tie density were not correlated at other sites. Evippe spread (as indicated by the presence of leafties) was recorded at some sites, but was underestimated because surveying away from release points was generally not systematic. Also, surveys were generally too close to release points to record the actual, high rate of dispersal properly. Within one year of initial releases, moths had spread at a rate of at least 1.3–3.6 km/year (Pilbara, three sites), 2.7 km/year (Alroy Downs, Barkly Tablelands), 3 km/year (Hughenden, north Queensland), and 1.1 km/year (southwest Queensland). Within two years, leaf-ties in the Pilbara were found 11 km from the closest release site (6.9 km/year). Within three years, leaf-ties were found on an isolated mesquite plant near Richmond, ca. 115 km from the closest release site in Hughenden (north Queensland), an average dispersal rate of 43 km/year (L. Fleck, personal communication, Queensland Department of Natural Resources and Mines, Hughenden, Qld). Table 3 Summary of P. flava psyllid releases and post-release evaluations at each infestationa Infestation Abundance and spreadb Releases No. of sites No. of live individuals (no. releases) 1998–99 1999–2000 % Survival 1998–1999 1999–2000 2000–2001 Early Late New South Wales One Tree White Leeds 1 2 5223 (4) 2293 (3) 2956 (1) 24,136 (7) 88.6 93.4 0 0 – 2 1A, 3 2A, 2B 1B – 0 1B Queensland (south-west) Comongin 3 4447 (4) 22,695 (17) 92.4 0 1A, 2A, 2B 1A 2C Queensland (north) Hughenden 6 11,818 (6) 26,877 (22) 97.2 1A, 2B 1A 0 Hampden Downs Moorooka 2 1 3936 (3) 980 (1) 2280 (1) – 90.1 93.3 0 – 1A – 2 1A, 1 1B – – – – 2 1 1 6362 (3) 1950 (2) 1171 (1) 16,740 (4) – – 92.9 72.2 97.6 0 – 0 0 0– – – – 0 – – Pilbara Mardie 15 2259 (5) 46,755 (26) 85.1 0 2B 1B, 2A, 2B 0 Total 34 40,439 142,955 90.9 Barkly Tablelands Alroy Downs Austral Downs Lake Nash a Observations made at least one year after the last release are in bold font. b Density: 0, no psyllids; 1, <10 psyllids and/or distorted pinnae per plant; 2, some plants with 10 to >100 psyllids and/or distorted pinnae; 3, some plants with >100 psyllids and/or distorted pinnae. Spread: A, release tree only; B, within 20 m of release tree; and C, more than 20 m from release tree. 16 R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 3.2. Psyllid release and post-release data Almost 183,000 live adults (excluding the 9.1% that died in transit) were released between October 1998 and June 2000 into 10 infestations (Table 3). However, in 1999–2000 most releases were restricted to one infestation in each of five of the six main climatic regions in which mesquite infestations occur. No releases were ever made in the Gascoyne region. Multiple releases were made at each site, although this was hampered in the Pilbara because foliage on trees used in earlier releases were frequently almost completely consumed by Evippe. Psyllids or psyllid feeding damage, were found at most infestations during post-release surveys (Table 3). Densities were always low, with generally less than 10 psyllids or distorted pinnae per tree, and psyllids were never found far from the original release trees. By late 2000–2001, P. flava was only recorded from two infestations, in New South Wales and southwest Queensland, despite intensive searches at release sites in other regions (Table 3). At Comongin (southwest Queensland), psyllids were still present at one of the three release points one year after the last release. At this site, 15,107 adults were released in 10 releases between January 1999 and May 2000. By April 2001, adults were sparsely distributed up to 50 m from the original release tree, with a few individual plants having more than 100 distorted pinnae. At the two failed sites, 4725 adults (in four releases) and 7310 adults (in seven releases) were released respectively. Psyllids were recovered at both these sites up to 9 months following the most recent releases, but not after 12 months. At White Leeds (northwest New South Wales), psyllids were still present 14 months after the last release. Psyllids were rare (maximum of 36 distorted pinnae on a single tree) and only found within 20 m of the original release tree. At One Tree Station, also in New South Wales, psyllids were found within 9 months of the last release, but not after 14 months. 3.3. Pysllid sleeve trial Adults were released onto sleeved branches on eight occasions at four infestations (Table 4). Most sleeves were subsequently checked for eggs. In each case, eggs were abundant (Table 4), and egg hatch rates (ca. 90%) were comparable with those recorded in the laboratory (van Klinken, 2000). Nymphs were abundant in sleeves set up in the Pilbara (including in mid-winter), but were uncommon or absent in sleeves in New South Wales, although sleeves may not have been entirely ant-proof there (Table 4). 3.4. Climate-matching Climate-matching using CLIMEX showed a broadly similar pattern (Table 5) as qualitative comparisons (Fig. 2). Climates were compared quantitatively between the native origin (represented by Santiago del Estero) and Australia for the different climate parameters, both individually and in combination (Table 5). Relative Table 4 Observations of P. flava syllids released in sleeves Infestation Month (no. sleeves) Pilbara: Mardie Station June (6) October (2) November (4) Average no. adults/sleeve Egg abundance Days to nymph survey Nymph abundance 150 Abundant in all sleeves Abundant in all sleeves Abundant in all sleeves 30 – Abundant in all sleeves Abundant in all sleeves NA 75 100 43 North Queensland: Hughenden February (1) 300 Abundant – NA Southwest Queensland: Comongin January (4) 450 Abundant in all sleeves Abundant in all sleeves Abundant in all sleeves – NA – NA – NA 26 Uncommon in five sleeves, absent in the remainder February (4) 300 March (3) 600 New South Wales: White Leeds October (12) 193 NA R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 17 Table 5 Climate matching between the native origin (Santiago del Estero) and Australiaa Regionb North-west New South Wales South-west Queensland North Queensland Barkly Tablelands Pilbara Region Gascoyne Region Individual parametersc Combined parameters Tmin Tmax RFtot RFpat RH Temperature + RF Temperature RF 62 69 64 74 24 55 53 56 85 67 51 53 53 80 62 55 47 47 74 96 84 70 70 86 86 84 74 74 11 18 11 30 30 72 73 61 51 51 75 52 38 35 35 71 86 78 61 61 a 0 (no match) to 100 (identical match). Values above 70 are in bold. Data was used from the meteorological station that was closest to each main release infestation: Broken Hill, Quilpie, Hughenden, Brunette Downs, Port Headland, Carnarvon, respectively. c Tmin : Minimum temperature; Tmax : maximum temperature; RFtot : total annual rainfall; RFpat : rainfall pattern; RH : relative humidity (see Sutherst et al., 1999 for a full explanation of indices). b humidity was poorly matched at all sites (Table 5), being much lower in Australia. When temperature and rainfall were combined, relatively close matches (>0.7) only occurred with south-west Queensland and north Queensland, and only south-west Queensland had closely matched temperature conditions. The worst matches were in the Pilbara and Gascoyne regions in Western Australia, especially for temperatures. 4. Discussion Evippe is now widely established in all regions within Australia where releases have been made, although leaftie abundance differs greatly between regions. The only places where releases were not made are in arid South Australia, the Kimberley (northern Western Australia), and Victoria, all of which have infestations with few plants (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001). In contrast, P. flava is only tenuously established at two release sites in two regions. 4.1. Evippe Evippe established easily at most sites, including in very sparse infestations, such as at One Tree Station in New South Wales (Tables 1 and 2). Even single, relatively small (<1000 individuals) releases were sufficient for establishment. Moths were good dispersers, and their populations expanded at least 1 km a year, but probably much faster as dispersal of up to 43 km per year was recorded in north Queensland. The moths found even isolated trees. At Alroy Downs (Barkly Tablelands), isolated trees, scattered several kilometres out from the core infestation, were all infested. In north Queensland, leaf-ties were found 115 km away from the original release site within three years, despite there being relatively little intervening mesquite. Excellent dispersal ability means that Evippe can became established even when mesquite populations are exceedingly sparse, and can reinvade rapidly after broad scale control using fire, mechanical, or chemical measures is effected. The proportion of foliage that is leaf-tied can vary greatly through the season, depending on the timing, degree, and synchrony of leaf production and leaf-drop, as well as moth abundance and activity. Comparisons of relative leaf-tie abundance data between sites (Table 2) are therefore limited by the infrequency of visits to most infestations. Nonetheless, population increases clearly varied considerably between regions, being fastest in the Pilbara where populations reached saturation point within two years, and slowest in northwestern New South Wales where moth populations were still very low (<10% foliage is leaf-tied) after three years. It is yet to be determined what level, timing, and duration of defoliation is required to cause significant changes in development rates, survival, and reproduction of mesquite. However, significant impact is expected in the Pilbara, where leaf attack is very high (mostly above 50% and frequently above 90%) and prolonged. Relatively high leaf loss (at least 10–50%) does occur in other regions (with the exception of northwest New South Wales), but it appears to take much of summer to reach these levels, by which time impact might be negligible. Higher early summer populations will probably be required to cause significant impact at these sites, and it is yet to be seen whether this will occur. The effect of winter leaf drop in cooler infestations (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001) may also limit the increase in moth numbers early in the season (through increased winter mortality), but this has not been studied. Circumstantial evidence from Mardie Station (Pilbara Region) suggests that Evippe densities are independent of mesquite taxa and supports laboratory studies that show no differences in performance on the different mesquite taxa in Australia (van Klinken and Heard, 2000). The hybrid infestation on Mardie Station has several morphotypes that grow side by side. Parent 18 R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 species probably include P. pallida, P. velutina, and P. glandulosa var. torreyana (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001), and are the same species that are present at the other release infestations (Table 1). Evippe activity was uniformly high on all plants on Mardie Station, and there was no evidence of preference for particular morphotypes. Density of Evippe was broadly correlated with mean temperatures. Both leaf-tie densities and mean temperatures were highest in the Pilbara (>50% of foliage leaftied), the converse was true in northwest New South Wales (<10%), and both leaf-tie densities and temperatures were intermediate in other regions (Fig. 2). Leaf-tie densities would be expected to be lower in southwest Queensland than in northern Australia, but this was not apparent with the available data. Temperatures were on average 4.7 °C hotter in the Pilbara than in the insectÕs point of origin. Densities of Evippe showed no obvious relationship with rainfall pattern. For example, Pilbara and northwest New South Wales were two of the drier sites (Fig. 2), but had very high and low leaf-tie densities respectively (Table 2). Similarly with climate-matching using CLIMEX, Evippe performance bore little or no relationship with climate-matching scores, doing best where the match was worst (Table 5). Climatic conditions in the point of origin are therefore a poor predictor of Evippe performance in Australia. might be best there, and that hot conditions might be important in limiting psyllid populations. These regions have similar temperatures and rainfall to the native range (Fig. 2). Climate-matching predicted the relatively good performance in south-west Queensland (if relative humidity is excluded), but not in northwest New Wales. The poor match in relative humidity throughout Australia, might also play a factor, although microclimate may have a moderating influence. Strong circumstantial evidence suggests that ants are also likely to be an important factor in preventing establishment and limiting populations. Ants were generally abundant at all release sites, and nymphs are free-living and exude no excretions that might limit predation (van Klinken, 2000). Nymphs can live between the appressed pinnules of distorted growing tips that result from nymphal feeding (which would also serve to provide a more humid microclimate). The dorsoventrally flattened bodies fringed with hairs may assist in this cryptic behavior, but this appears not to be sufficient to prevent predation by ants. Any competitive interactions with Evippe is probably limited to the Pilbara, where most or all foliage was frequently consumed, including on release trees. 4.2. Prosopidopsylla flava The two new biological control agents of mesquite perform differently across Australia despite coming from the same region in Argentina. Evippe reached highest densities in the Pilbara where conditions contrasted most strongly with those at the point of origin. In contrast, the psyllid only established at sites where the climate was most similar to the native range, although other factors affecting establishment success, such as predation by ants and competition from Evippe (in the Pilbara), cannot be ruled out. Climatic similarity with the native range was therefore a poor predictor of establishment and relative performance, at least for Evippe. Ecoclimatic matching can therefore be misleading because it does not account for specific climatic parameters that are most important in determining abundance of the insect in question. It was certainly not sufficient at the resolution required to predict comparative performance under different climatic conditions within Australia. Additional biological control agents are almost certainly required, especially in eastern Australia where mesquite infestations are large and the existing agents will probably exert insufficient control on their own. There is certainly a large pool of potential biological control agents available, with over 945 phytophagous insect species having been recorded on mesquite in the Americas (van Klinken and Campbell, 2001). New agents will either need to have wide climatic tolerances Prosopidopsylla flava failed to establish at most sites despite large release sizes and despite being released on multiple occasions at some sites. For example, 11,690 live adults were released over four occasions at one release point in the Pilbara yet these failed to establish. Poor establishment rate was not due to problems in shipment methods because adults were healthy and fecund on arrival (Table 4). At the two sites where P. flava has established, population densities are very low and dispersal appears to be slow (although dispersal rates are difficult to determine when population densities are low). P. flava is therefore tenuously established and is currently having no impact on mesquite populations. Possible explanations for failure to establish and/or reach damaging densities include climatic factors, predation, host quality (Hodkinson, 1974), competition with Evippe, and inbreeding in laboratory cultures. Psyllids were in culture for 18–38 months (11–23 generations at 50 days/generation) prior to release so inbreeding cannot be ruled out, although psyllid numbers remained large throughout. Sleeve trials in each region confirmed that nymphal development occurred under field conditions, at least in the Pilbara and northwest New South Wales. Nonetheless, the fact that P. flava only established in southwest Queensland and northwest New South Wales suggests that climatic conditions 5. Conclusions R.D. van Klinken et al. / Biological Control 26 (2003) 8–20 to perform well throughout the mesquite distribution in Australia (Fig. 2), or agents will be required to target specified climatic regions (e.g., north and southwest Queensland). Climate-matching is clearly inadequate for predicting which potential agents will perform best under particular climatic conditions in Australia, and climate-modeling, which takes into account the requirements of individual insects or pathogens, is therefore required. Some analytical tools are already available, including day–degree models and CLIMEX, but the data required to make sufficiently accurate predictions often is not. One valuable data source is a detailed understanding of the native-range distribution of each potential agent, which can in turn be used to infer physiological parameters through iteration (Julien et al., 1995; Sutherst et al., 1999). Even better resolution can potentially be obtained from quantitative field data on abundances and phenology (Scott, 1992). However, not all climatic combinations may be represented within the native range. For example, nowhere in the Neotropics is as uniformly hot as the Pilbara. Describing physiological requirements in laboratory trials may therefore also be required, including the effects of temperature and moisture on development and mortality. The challenge therefore remains to determine whether improved climate-modeling will lead to a significant improvement in our ability to select effective agents, and whether it can be done cost-effectively. 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