Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77 – 107 www.elsevier.com/locate/jvolgeores A discussion of the mechanisms of explosive basaltic eruptions Elisabeth A. Parfitt Department of Environmental Science, Lancaster University, Lancaster, LA1 4YQ, UK Received 3 February 2003; accepted 16 January 2004 Abstract Two contrasting models of the dynamics of explosive basaltic eruptions are in current usage. These are referred to as the rise speed dependent (RSD) model and the collapsing foam (CF) model. The basic assumptions of each model are examined, and it is found that neither model is flawed in any fundamental way. The models are then compared as to how well they reproduce observed Strombolian, Hawaiian and transitional eruptive behaviour. It is shown that the models do not differ greatly in their treatment of Strombolian eruptions. The models of Hawaiian eruptions are, however, very different from each other. A detailed examination of the 1983 – 1986 Pu’u ‘O’o eruption finds that the CF model is inconsistent with observed activity in a number of important aspects. By contrast, the RSD model is consistent with the observed activity. The issues raised in the application of the CF model to this eruption draw into doubt its validity as a model of Hawaiian activity. Transitional eruptions have only been examined using the RSD model and it is shown that the RSD model is able to successfully reproduce this kind of activity too. The ultimate conclusion of this study is that fundamental problems exist in the application of the CF model to real eruptions. D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: basaltic; explosive; eruption; strombolian; hawaiian; foam; separated flow 1. Introduction Basaltic volcanism is the dominant mode of volcanic activity on Earth, the Moon, Mars and Venus (e.g., Cattermole, 1989; Head et al., 1992; Wilson and Head, 1994). On Earth, >80% of the annual volcanic output is basaltic with >70% of this occurring beneath the Earth’s oceans (Crisp, 1984). Basaltic eruptions are frequently described as effusive because they commonly generate lava flows. While the term ‘‘effusive’’ is appropriate for basaltic eruptions in which the lava oozes passively from the vent, it is a misleading term when applied to the majority of subaerial eruptions on Earth, to eruptions on the Moon and E-mail address: [email protected] (E.A. Parfitt). 0377-0273/$ - see front matter D 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2004.01.002 almost certainly to eruptions on Mars (Wilson and Head, 1983, 1994). The presence of dissolved gas within basaltic magma results in explosive volcanic activity unless the exsolution of the gas from the magma is suppressed (as in sufficiently deep sea-floor volcanism—Head and Wilson, 2003) or the gas is lost from the magma prior to eruption. Although explosive basaltic eruptions are generally much less violent than their more silicic counterparts they are, nonetheless, explosive and need to be considered as part of a continuum of explosive activity that embraces not only the familiar explosive basaltic eruption styles— Hawaiian and Strombolian—but includes sub-Plinian, Plinian, ultra-Plinian and ignimbrite-forming events. Our understanding of the mechanisms of explosive basaltic eruptions has advanced considerably during the past f30 years due to the collection and analysis 78 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 of new field data (e.g., Heiken, 1972, 1978; Walker, 1973; McGetchin et al., 1974; Self et al., 1974; Self, 1976; Williams, 1983; Walker et al., 1984; Houghton and Schmincke, 1989; Carracedo et al., 1992; Thordarson and Self, 1993; Parfitt, 1998), volcano monitoring (e.g., Richter et al., 1970; Chouet et al., 1974; Blackburn et al., 1976; Swanson et al., 1979; Wolfe et al., 1987, 1988; Neuberg et al., 1994; Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1994, 1996; Ripepe, 1996;Vergniolle et al., 1996; Hort and Seyfried, 1998; Chouet et al., 1999), laboratory studies (e.g., Jaupart and Vergniolle, 1988; Mangan et al., 1993; Mangan and Cashman, 1996; Zimanowski et al., 1997; Seyfried and Freundt, 2000) and through mathematical modelling (Sparks, 1978; Wilson, 1980; Wilson and Head, 1981; Stothers et al., 1986; Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1986; Head and Wilson, 1987; Jaupart and Vergniolle, 1988; Woods, 1993; Parfitt and Wilson, 1995, 1999). It is now widely accepted that Strombolian eruptions result from the formation and bursting of a gas pocket close to the surface (e.g., Blackburn et al., 1976; Wilson, 1980; Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1994, 1996), though some details of the mechanism are still disputed and are discussed below. In the case of the dynamics of Hawaiian eruptions, however, a curious situation exists in which two very different models have been developed that are both in common usage. I refer to these models as the rise speed dependent (RSD) model (Wilson, 1980; Wilson and Head, 1981; Head and Wilson, 1987; Fagents and Wilson, 1993; Parfitt and Wilson, 1994, 1999; Parfitt et al., 1995) and the collapsing foam (CF) model (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1986, 1990; Jaupart and Vergniolle, 1988, 1989; Vergniolle, 1996). The aims of this paper are to review both models of explosive basaltic eruptions, and to present an indepth examination of the models of Hawaiian activity in which the assumptions and predictions of each model are compared with a wide range of geophysical and observational data from recent eruptions. al., 1986; Bertagnini et al., 1990). Though rare examples of sub-Plinian and Plinian basaltic activity do occur (Self, 1976; Williams, 1983; Walker et al., 1984), explosive basaltic eruptions resulting from the exsolution of magmatic gases alone (rather than hydromagmatic activity) generally exhibit Hawaiian or Strombolian styles, or behaviour which exhibits characteristics of both end-member styles. 2.1. Hawaiian activity The term ‘‘Hawaiian’’ is used to denote eruptions that are continuous in character and that generate lava fountains (Fig. 1), typically tens to hundreds of metres in height (though they can occasionally exceed 1 km in height: Wolff and Sumner, 2000). As the term suggests, this type of activity is characteristic of the volcanoes of the Hawaiian chain but it is commonly seen on other basaltic volcanoes, e.g., Eldfell (Self et al., 1974), Hekla (Thorarinsson and Sigvaldason, 1972), Etna (Bertagnini et al., 1990) and Miyakejima (Aramaki et al., 1986). Hawaiian eruptions have typical durations of hours to days, during which time a lava fountain of fairly constant height may play above the vent (e.g., Wolfe et al., 1988). The lava fountain ejects clots of magma ranging in size from millimetres to about a metre in diameter into the air at speeds of typically f100 m s!1 (Wilson and Head, 1981). The majority of the erupted material lands 2. Styles of explosive basaltic eruption Volcanologists have had many opportunities to observe and monitor explosive basaltic eruptions (e.g., Richter et al., 1970; Blackburn et al., 1976; Swanson et al., 1979; Fedotov et al., 1983; Aramaki et Fig. 1. Photograph of a lava fountain at the Pu’u ‘O’o vent. The fountain is f400 m in height. (Photograph taken by Lionel Wilson, August 1984). E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 while still incandescent, and accumulation and coalescence of these hot clots generates rootless lava flows (Head and Wilson, 1989). These flows are typically still fluid enough to flow many kilometres to tens of kilometres from the vent. For example, a 21day-long Hawaiian eruption at Mauna Loa in 1984 79 produced a number of lava flows, the longest of which reached a length of 27 km (Lockwood et al., 1987). Much material falling from the outer edges of the fountain cools sufficiently during flight that, though it deforms on landing and is hot enough to weld to the material around it, is not hot enough to form rootless Fig. 2. Hot clots of magma accumulate around vents forming spatter ramparts/cones. (a) A section of a spatter rampart formed during the April 1982 eruption of Kilauea. Individual clots have flattened and flowed upon landing. Each clast is f0.2 m is diameter and is welded to those above and below them. (Photograph taken by the author). (b) The spatter cone and down-wind tephra blanket formed during the 1959 Kilauea Iki eruption. Close-up the cone is formed of welded clasts like those in (a). The figure is standing in a collapse pit within the down-wind tephra blanket. Here, at a distance of f0.5 km from the vent, the deposit is composed of centimetre-scale clasts and is unwelded. (Photograph taken by the author, May 1996). 80 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 lava flows and instead accumulates as a spatter cone around the erupting vent (Fig. 2; Head and Wilson, 1989). Some even cooler material can accumulate to form a loose cinder cone, and a small proportion of the erupted material is carried upwards in a convective plume above the fountain and is deposited downwind forming a tephra blanket (Fig. 2b, Parfitt, 1998). 2.2. Strombolian activity Strombolian activity takes its name from the frequent, small-scale, transient explosions exhibited by Stromboli, a volcano which forms one of the Aeolian Islands north of Sicily. Whereas the term ‘‘Hawaiian’’ is well-defined and used in a fairly restricted way, the term ‘‘Strombolian’’ has been used to denote a wide range of activity, and, thus, caution must be used in understanding individual usage of the term. The term ‘‘Strombolian’’ is most commonly used (and is used here) to denote the relatively mild explosions that occur from the accumulation of gas beneath the cooled upper surface of a magma column (e.g., Blackburn et al., 1976; Wilson, 1980). In such events, gas accumulation causes a raising and up-doming of the surface of the magma column. This ‘‘blister’’ eventually tears apart allowing the release of the gas and the ejection of the magma that formed the skin of the blister. Blackburn et al. (1976) found typical initial velocities of clasts at Heimaey to be f150 m s!1 whereas at Stromboli initial velocities are generally 50– 100 m s!1 (Chouet et al., 1974; Blackburn et al., 1976; Weill et al., 1992; Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1996). Each explosion usually lasts f1 s and one explosion may follow another after anything from a few seconds to several hours. At Stromboli the typical time between explosions is between 10 min and 1 h (Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1996). The erupted material is generally cooler prior to eruption than that produced in Hawaiian eruptions and also experiences more cooling during flight than Hawaiian clasts. The clasts produced are too cool on landing to weld or coalescence and so accumulate as a tephra/cinder cone around the vent (McGetchin et al., 1974; Heiken, 1978). At Stromboli clasts typically reach heights of <100 m above the vent (Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1996) and the plume generated by the explosion generally rises to heights of <200 m (Fig. 3, J. Davenport, unpublished data). Fig. 3. Photograph of the plume generated during an explosion at Stromboli. The plume is f200 m in height. (Photograph taken by the author, September 1996). Though many Strombolian explosions are mild, discrete events, the term Strombolian is also used to describe events which can generate sustained eruption plumes that reach heights of up to 10 km above the vent (e.g., Cas and Wright, 1988). These are events in which the individual explosions are so closely spaced in time that they generate a sustained eruption plume of considerable height rather than the small plumes associated with truly discrete explosions (e.g., Fig. 3). The 1973 Heimaey eruption in Iceland provides a good example of this type of behaviour. The eruption produced explosions every 0.5– 3 s with incandescent clasts reaching heights of f250 m above the vent and generated a plume that extended to heights of 6– 10 km above the vent (Self et al., 1974; Blackburn et al., 1976). The eruption simultaneously generated lava flows. This behaviour is distinctly different from the discrete explosive events seen at Stromboli and appears, in fact, to represent a type of behaviour E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 which exhibits characteristics of both Hawaiian and Strombolian eruptions: Although the explosions are discrete, they are so closely spaced in time that in terms of the eruption column the activity is continuous as in a Hawaiian eruption. The continuous production of lava flows is also more characteristic of Hawaiian events than the mild Strombolian events described previously. Thus, this type of eruption can be viewed as transitional between the Hawaiian and Strombolian end-member eruption styles. Classification schemes for explosive basaltic activity define Strombolian events as being more ‘‘explosive’’ than Hawaiian events (Fig. 4; Walker, 1973; Cas and Wright, 1988). Two points are important to note about such classification schemes: (1) they are based on the dispersal in eruptions like the Heimaey eruption, not on truly discrete Strombolian explosions like those occurring with such regularity at Stromboli; and (2) they can lead to misclassification of Hawaiian eruption deposits. The 1959 Kilauea Iki deposits, for example, would be classified as Strombolian (Fig. 4) in such a scheme when they were actually deposited during a classic Hawaiian eruption (Richter et al., 1970; Parfitt, 1998). Thus, it is important to exercise caution in the use of the terms Hawaiian and Strombolian and to recognise that they represent end-member cases while many basaltic eruptions simultaneously exhibit facets of both types of activity and are better described as ‘‘transitional’’ eruptions (Parfitt and Wilson, 1995). 81 3. Models of eruption mechanisms 3.1. The rise speed dependent model The earliest attempt to apply fundamental ideas of conservation of energy and mass in volcanic eruptions was made by McGetchin and Ulrich (1973), but they applied their model only to eruptions producing maars and diatremes. The first model to specifically address the dynamics of explosive basaltic eruptions was developed by Wilson (1980) and Wilson and Head (1981). These two papers set out the basic premises of the RSD model that have been developed further in subsequent papers (Head and Wilson, 1987; Fagents and Wilson, 1993; Parfitt and Wilson, 1994, 1995, 1999; Parfitt et al., 1995). The essential idea set out in these papers is that Strombolian and Hawaiian activity represent end-members of a continuum of explosive basaltic activity and that the form of activity that occurs depends most fundamentally on the rise speed of the magma beneath the eruptive vent (e.g., Table 1). Volatiles exsolve from magma as it rises, and the depth at which exsolution occurs depends on the volatile species and the amount of dissolved volatiles present (Wilson and Head, 1981). Gas bubbles that form within the magma are always buoyant and rise upwards through the magma at a rate that depends on the size of the bubble and the magma rheology. In the RSD model, it is assumed that if the rise speed of the magma is relatively great then the bubbles do not rise Fig. 4. Diagram showing Walker’s (1973) classification scheme for explosive volcanic eruptions which is based on the degree of fragmentation (F) of the magma and the dispersal area (D) of the tephra. The asterisk shows that the deposits of the 1959 Kilauea Iki eruption would be classified as Strombolian using this scheme even though the deposits were formed during a typical Hawaiian eruption. Redrawn from Cas and Wright (1988). 82 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 Table 1 Rise speeds beneath vents during recent Hawaiian (H), Strombolian (S) and transitional (T) eruptions Eruption Style Volume flux (m3 s!1) Vent area (m2) Rise speed at depth (m s!1) Reference Mauna Ulu, 1969 Stromboli, 1971 Kupaianaha, 1986 Etna, typical Strombolian activity Heimaey, 1973 Kilauea Iki, 1959 Mauna Ulu, 1969 Miyakejima, 1983 Pu’u ‘O’o, 1983 – 1986 S S S S T* H H H H 0–3 8"10!3 3 <9.1 30 160 300 185 100 400 2.3 315 – 314 180 400 2000 315 0 – 0.008 3.5"10!3 0.01 0.0006 – 0.045 0.1 0.9 0.75 0.09 0.3 Swanson et al. (1979) Chouet et al. (1974) Parfitt and Wilson (1994) Harris and Neri (2002) Self et al. (1974), Blackburn et al. (1976) Richter et al. (1970), Eaton et al. (1987) Swanson et al. (1979) Aramaki et al. (1986) Parfitt and Wilson (1994) Rise speeds have been calculated from observed volume fluxes and vent areas. * The eruption was described as Strombolian both on the grounds of the fall deposit it generated and the intermittent nature of the explosions. The short intervals (0.5 – 2 s) between explosions and the generation of fountains and an significant eruption column suggest, however, that the eruption represents a transitional event as described by Parfitt and Wilson (1995) and in the text. far through the overlying magma before the magma itself is erupted. In effect, the gas bubbles are ‘‘locked’’ to the magma in which they formed. Thus, the model assumes homogeneous two-phase flow, in which two different fluid phases are present (the magma and gas) but in which the fluids behave as if they are a single fluid phase. In this situation, the growth of bubbles through diffusion and decompression (Sparks, 1978; Proussevitch and Sahagian, 1996) and the continued formation of bubbles during ascent will eventually lead to a situation in which the bubble volume fraction becomes large enough (f60 – 95%) to cause fragmentation of the magma (e.g., Sparks, 1978; Wilson and Head, 1981; Houghton and Wilson, 1989; Thomas et al., 1994). The rising gas – magma mixture accelerates as it rises due to the decompression and expansion of the gas (Wilson and Head, 1981). After fragmentation, the acceleration becomes much more pronounced due to the reduction in wall friction caused by the fragmentation process and results in the eruption of a continuous jet of gas and magma clots at typical speeds of f100 m s!1 (Wilson and Head, 1981). This continuous jet of material produces the lava fountains characteristic of Hawaiian eruptions (Fig. 1). As Parfitt and Wilson (1999) pointed out, this proposed mechanism is essentially the same as that envisaged as causing Plinian eruptions (Wilson et al., 1980). The material erupted in Hawaiian fountains is, however, very coarse compared with that of Plinian eruptions (Parfitt, 1998), and it is this difference in the grain size of the erupting material that, more than anything, causes the style and products of Hawaiian eruptions to differ so greatly from those of Plinian eruptions (see Parfitt and Wilson, 1999). The RSD model further proposes that a different eruption mechanism operates if the rise speed of magma is relatively low. In this case, gas bubbles within the magma will rise upwards through the overlying magma and can segregate from the magma in which the bubbles formed (Sparks, 1978; Wilson and Head, 1981). The magma will contain a population of bubbles with a range of sizes—bubbles that formed early will have grown by diffusion and decompression, while newly formed bubbles will be much smaller. As the rise speed of a bubble depends partly on its size, a runaway situation can be achieved in which an initially larger bubble, rising faster than the smaller bubbles, overtakes the smaller bubbles and in doing so coalesces with them. In an extreme case, such coalescence can lead to a single large bubble that is as wide as the conduit rising through the overlying magma (essentially a slug of gas). In the RSD model, Strombolian eruptions are assumed to be the result of this bubble segregation and coalescence process. Wilson (1980) simulated these eruptions by considering what would happen in an open system in which magma was rising slowly or was static. Cooling at the top of the magma column causes the development of a ‘‘skin’’ with a finite strength. The skin strength will depend on how much cooling occurs before the arrival of the large bubbles. If the interval between bubble E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 83 the character of ‘‘transitional’’ eruptions—eruptions that show aspects of both Hawaiian and Strombolian eruptions. For typical basaltic eruptions the transition between Hawaiian and Strombolian activity occurs at rise speeds of f0.01– 0.1 m s!1 (Parfitt and Wilson, 1995). It is expected that Hawaiian eruptions will occur at rise speeds much greater than this and Strombolian activity will occur at much lower speeds (Fig. 5). 3.2. The collapsing foam model Fig. 5. The controls of magma rise speed and gas content on basaltic eruption style as predicted by the RSD model. Redrawn from Parfitt and Wilson (1995). arrival is short enough, each bubble will updome the thin skin and burst through the top of the magma column with minimal delay. If the interval between the arrival of giant bubbles is longer, the skin will cool and thicken and then more than one bubble may have to arrive and become trapped before sufficient pressure is built up in an accumulating gas pocket to break through the skin. In either case, the short time interval between explosions suggests that the strength of this skin is never very great. Repeated cycles of cooling and gas accumulation followed by bubble bursting lead to the series of transient explosions characteristic of Strombolian eruptions. Wilson and Head (1981) presented computer modelling to define the rise speed conditions in which Strombolian and Hawaiian activity would be dominant. Parfitt and Wilson (1995) carried out more detailed simulation of these conditions and discussed A series of papers published in the 1980s and 1990s (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1986; Jaupart and Vergniolle, 1988; Jaupart and Vergniolle, 1989; Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1990; Vergniolle, 1996; Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1996) put forward an alternative model of the mechanisms of basaltic eruptions. The original paper (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1986) challenged the assumption of ‘‘homogeneity’’ (i.e., homogeneous two-phase flow) made in the RSD model and proposed that both Hawaiian and Strombolian eruptions are the result of separated, two-phase flow, i.e., eruptions in which the flow of the magma and gas phases are significantly different. They described the different flow regimes that can prevail during separated, two-phase flow and proposed that Strombolian eruptions result from slug flow and Hawaiian eruptions from annular flow (Fig. 6). The model was developed further by Jaupart and Vergniolle (1988) and Jaupart and Vergniolle (1989), wherein the conditions in which slug flow and annular flow can develop were described. In the CF model, magma is assumed to be stored within some sort of storage area (a magma chamber or Fig. 6. Schematic diagram depicting two examples of separated, two-phase flow: (a) slug flow and (b) annular flow. 84 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 a dike system) at a depth at which gas can exsolve from the magma. The gas bubbles, once formed, rise and accumulate at the roof of the storage area and become close-packed into a foam layer. When the foam layer reaches a critical thickness, it becomes unstable and collapses, the bubbles coalescing to form a gas pocket. The gas pocket then rises up an open vent system and is erupted. In this model, Strombolian eruptions represent repeated partial foam collapse events, whereas Hawaiian eruptions occur from complete, almost instantaneous foam collapse. In a series of laboratory experiments, Jaupart and Vergniolle (1988) showed that if the viscosity of the liquid phase is relatively low then the collapse of the foam is total and the pocket of gas rises up the open conduit system as a single body. The observed flow is annular in this case and liquid in the annulus around the gas core is dragged upwards with the gas and erupted (Fig. 6). Jaupart and Vergniolle (1988) liken this behaviour to that of a Hawaiian eruption. If the viscosity of the liquid is higher, the foam collapses only partially and forms a series of smaller gas pockets. These travel up the conduit system periodically in slug flows and burst at the surface. This behaviour is likened to Strombolian eruptions. 4. Strombolian eruptions The RSD and CF models do not differ very much in their view of Strombolian activity. They both treat these eruptions as occurring when gas segregates from the magma and accumulates as a gas pocket that then bursts at the top of an open magma column producing the mild explosions characteristic of Strombolian activity. This behaviour is consistent with direct observations of eruptions (e.g., Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1994) and studies of the acoustic wave that accompanies each explosion (Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1994, 1996; Vergniolle et al., 1996). The main difference between the models concerns where gas accumulation occurs within the magmatic system. In the RSD model, the gas segregation is considered to be progressive, with bubble coalescence occurring because the magma rise speed is low. By contrast, in the CF model bubbles are assumed to accumulate at some depth forming a foam layer that then partially collapses (or coalesces) and travels up the open conduit to become trapped by the cool ‘skin’ on the top of the magma column prior to bursting. In this model, there is no explicit link between magma rise speed and eruption style. Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) challenged the assumption made in the RSD model that coalescence of bubbles can occur progressively during magma ascent. The RSD model assumptions are based on the observation that larger bubbles rise faster than smaller ones (Fig. 7) and therefore have the opportunity to overtake and coalesce with smaller bubbles. Wilson and Head (1981) and Parfitt and Wilson (1995) assume that bubbles ‘‘which initially lie within their own radius of the vertical line of ascent of the large bubble will make geometric contact with it’’ and will be absorbed by the larger bubble. Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) drew on work by Taitel et al. (1980) that suggests that coalescence only occurs when bubbles are rising fast enough to deform during ascent. This work suggested that only bubbles larger than f40 mm will be able to coalesce with smaller bubbles. As bubbles only reach sizes of 10 –50 mm by decompression and diffusion Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) argue that bubble coalescence cannot occur during ascent, i.e., that the RSD model is invalid. More recent work by Manga and Stone (1994), however, suggests that bubbles >5 mm radius will deform during ascent and that such bubbles enhance coalescence, i.e., that coalescence can occur with bubbles of smaller size but that if larger bubbles are present, models such as that of Wilson and Head (1981) will underestimate the amount of coalescence that occurs. So coalescence can occur for smaller bubbles, but once bubbles have grown to sizes >5 mm enhanced coalescence will facilitate runaway coalescence. Evidence from the study of bubble size distributions in lava and tephra supports the idea that bubble coalescence occurs during magma ascent (e.g., Mangan et al., 1993). While the assumptions in Wilson and Head (1981) and Parfitt and Wilson (1995) about whether two bubbles will coalesce are obviously a simplification of the real situation, the current evidence does suggest that it is possible for coalescence to occur in rising magmas as long as the bubbles have the opportunity to move upwards relative to the magma, i.e., as long as the magma rise speed is low. A link between explosive basaltic eruption style and rise speed is evident from field observations of recent eruptions (e.g., Table 1). E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 85 Fig. 7. The relationship between bubble radius and bubble rise speed through magma. The rise speed, u, was calculated from u=(2(qm – qg)gr2)/ 9g where qm and qg are the magma and gas densities, g is the acceleration due to gravity and g is the magma viscosity. Line 1 represents the case in which the magma is assumed to have a density of 2600 kg m!3 and a viscosity of 10 Pa s. Line 2 represents the case in which the magma is assumed to have a density of 2000 kg m!3 and a viscosity of 30 Pa s. Furthermore, Parfitt and Wilson (1995) suggested that for typical magma volatile contents the transition from Strombolian to Hawaiian activity occurs between rise speeds of 0.01 and 0.1 m s!1 (Fig. 5). Comparison with the examples given in Table 1 show that (a) Strombolian eruptions are indeed associated with lower rise speeds and (b) that the transition in eruption style occurs within the rise speed range predicted by Parfitt and Wilson (1995). This would seem to support their contention that coalescence is progressive and dependent on the magma rise speed. In contrast to the RSD model, the CF model of Strombolian eruptions requires that gas segregation and foam formation occurs during storage at depth and thus can only operate under the particular circumstance where a storage zone exists beneath the vent at a depth at which exsolution of one or more gas phases is occurring. At Stromboli itself, there is evidence that magma storage can occur at depths no greater than a few hundred metres (Giberti et al., 1992). Each explosion at Stromboli is associated with a distinct seismic signal that consists of an initial compression followed by a dilation and further compression (Neuberg et al., 1994; Chouet et al., 1999). Chouet et al. (1999) have shown that the seismic source varies in depth through the course of the explosion, starting at a depth of 125 m, deepening to a depth of f350 m and then shallowing again to a depth of around f200 m. They suggest that this seismic event is caused by the uprush of a gas pocket of the sort pictured in the CF model, though it has yet to be demonstrated that the details of the seismic signal are consistent with the upward passage of a gas slug. There is therefore no definitive answer at present as to which gas segregation process operates at Stromboli. In a broader context, there is no reason why one model should explain all Strombolian activity. It must be borne in mind, however, that the CF model can only apply in a particular combination of circumstances—where there is a suitable storage zone at a depth where one of more gas phase can exsolve—whereas the RSD model is applicable to any open system. 86 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 Both models assume that shallow bubble bursting causes the observed explosions so that the same model of the bursting process is applicable in either case. Wilson (1980) modelled the ejection of clasts in Strombolian eruptions by assuming that the eruptions result from the bursting of near-surface bubbles. The model links the initial pressure in the bursting bubble, the weight percentage of gas erupted and the maximum velocity achieved by the ejected matter (Fig. 8). Pressures within the bursting bubbles are unlikely to exceed 0.3 MPa (Blackburn, 1977; Sparks, 1978). Observations at Heimaey and Stromboli suggest that the weight percentage of gas in typical explosions is 10 – 30 wt.% (Blackburn et al., 1976), although Chouet et al. (1974) note that some events at Stromboli can have gas contents as high as 94 wt.%. Direct observations suggest that clasts are ejected in some Strombolian eruptions at speeds of up to 230 m s!1 (Blackburn et al., 1976). At Stromboli itself, speeds are more typically <100 m s!1 (Chouet et al., 1974; Blackburn et al., 1976). Comparison of these values with the model results in Fig. 8 shows that there is broad consistency between the model predictions and field observations. Fig. 8. Diagram showing the relationship between bubble pressure and the maximum ejecta velocity in a Strombolian eruption. The different curves represent different weight percentages of gas in the erupted material. The cross-hatched area represents the likely range of conditions during Strombolian eruptions. Redrawn from Wilson (1980). 5. Hawaiian eruptions The RSD and CF models present very different views of the dynamics of Hawaiian activity. Two fundamental differences exist between the models. These are concerned with the nature of the fluid flow at depth and with the dominant volatile species driving the eruptions. Each difference is considered here in turn. 5.1. Flow regimes in Hawaiian eruptions The RSD model assumes that homogeneous twophase flow prevails. By contrast, the CF model assumes that separated two-phase flow occurs. There are a range of flow regimes in which separated twophase flow can occur, and the CF model assumes that annular flow (Fig. 6) prevails during Hawaiian eruptions (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1986). I now discuss the implications of, and evidence for, each type of flow. The assumption of homogeneous two-phase flow is never strictly valid because gas bubbles are always buoyant relative to the magma and thus are always rising faster than the magma. However, as stated above, if the rise speed of the magma is rapid the bubbles do not rise far through the overlying magma before the magma is erupted and in effect the gas bubbles are ‘‘locked’’ to the magma, i.e., the assumption of homogeneous flow is valid. Thus, it is the rise speed of the bubbles relative to the magma rise speed which determines whether flow is homogeneous or not. The rise speed of a bubble depends on its size, larger bubbles rising faster than smaller ones (Fig. 7). The validity of the assumption of homogeneity depends, therefore, on the size of the bubbles involved and on the magma rise speed at depth. Table 1 shows that rise speeds in Hawaiian eruptions are typically >0.1 m s!1. Fig. 7 shows that only at radii of z0.01 m (10 mm) does the bubble rise speed through the magma become of the same order of magnitude as the magma rise speed. For bubbles with radii <5 mm, the bubble rise speed is always likely to be more than an order of magnitude less than the typical magma rise speed in a Hawaiian eruption. Thus, the assumption of homogeneity is likely to be valid as long as the bubble radii are less than f5 mm. So, the crucial issue is the size of the bubbles within the rising magma. Bubbles form in magma when the magma becomes supersaturated in the volatile concerned. The depth E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 beneath the surface at which bubbles start to form depends on the amount of dissolved volatiles and the species of volatile involved (Wilson and Head, 1981). Bubbles have typical radii of f10 Am when first formed and then grow by diffusion and decompression as the magma rises (e.g., Sparks, 1978). Sparks (1978) presented numerical modelling of the growth of bubbles by diffusion and decompression and found that maximum bubble sizes for H2O bubbles exsolving from a basaltic magma depend on the amount of dissolved water in the magma. For a gas content of 0.5 wt.% (a reasonable value for basaltic magmas), the maximum radius is f5 mm. A more recent study by Proussevitch and Sahagian (1996) gives maximum bubble radii of 6 –8 mm for H2O bubbles in basaltic magma using initial water contents of 1.52% and 3.03 wt.%, respectively. The sizes would be smaller for more reasonable initial water contents. Thus, theoretical studies suggest that water bubbles forming in rising basaltic magmas would typically have maximum radii of f5 mm for water contents typical of most basaltic eruptions. The size of the largest bubble is not, however, representative of the bubble population as a whole. Most bubbles will reach an intermediate size. For instance, Sparks (1978) showed that for bubbles formed in basalt containing 1 wt.% water the maximum radii would be f40 mm but the typical size would be 1– 10 mm rather than 40 mm. Furthermore, in the modelling studies just described, it is assumed that bubbles continue growing all the way to the surface. In practice, though, magma fragmentation will occur beneath the surface and so the maximum bubble size will not be achieved. These theoretical studies suggest then that for typical water contents the typical size of bubbles in basaltic magmas will be b5 mm. Determining the bubble sizes in real magmas is extremely problematic because the fragmentation process destroys much of the evidence of pre-fragmentation bubble sizes. A number of studies have looked, though, at sizes of bubbles in basaltic scoria and lava (e.g., Cashman and Mangan, 1995; Mangan and Cashman, 1996). Bubbles contained in such samples represent bubbles formed in magma clots after fragmentation but also bubbles which survived the fragmentation process and continued to grow after fragmentation. Cashman and Mangan (1995) report mean bubble radii for quenched lava from Kilauea volcano of 0.1 – 0.15 mm and Mangan and Cashman 87 (1996) report radii for bubbles in basaltic scoria from the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption of Kilauea of V2.5 mm. While we cannot know for sure how such sizes relate to bubble sizes prior to fragmentation, certainly such studies do not provide any compelling reason to think that bubbles sizes in basaltic magmas exceed the f5 mm size predicted by the theoretical studies. Bearing all these points in mind it seems reasonable to assume that the radii of the majority of H2O bubbles in magma with a water content V0.5 wt.% is likely to be b5 mm. This means that in the case of H2O bubbles in basaltic magma, the situation considered in all the RSD modelling, the assumption of homogeneity is almost certainly valid. The RSD modelling has only considered the situation of water exsolution. It is important to note, though, that the situation would be different in the case of CO2 exsolution. CO2 is less soluble in magma than water and so exsolves and forms bubbles at greater depths beneath the surface. This means that CO2 bubbles experience more growth by decompression during ascent than do H2O bubbles. Fig. 9 shows that for CO2 contents in the range of 0.1 –0.5 wt.% (reasonable values for a basaltic magma), bubbles are Fig. 9. Diagram showing the relationship between final bubble size and magma rise speed for magma containing 0.1, 0.3 and 0.5 wt.% CO2. At rise speeds less than f1 m s!1, the bubbles are able to rise through the overlying magma and in doing so to coalesce. The resulting bubbles are considerably larger than those developed in faster rising magma where bubble coalescence is negligible. 88 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 likely to experience coalescence at rise speeds of V1 m s!1 (and so achieve final diameters anywhere in the range 3 mm to 10 m). So, as coalescence is evidence for separated flow, and as rise speeds typical of basaltic eruptions are generally <1 m s!1 (Table 1), we would expect separated two-phase flow to occur during ascent. In the case of CO2 exsolution, then, it would be invalid to assume that homogeneous twophase flow occurs. As I have stated, however, CO2 has not been considered as the ‘driving’ gas in any of the RSD modelling. The issue of which volatile acts as the ‘driving’ gas for Hawaiian eruptions is discussed in detail below. Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) argued that homogeneous two-phase flow does not occur during Hawaiian eruptions. They based this assertion on a number of lines of evidence. The first is that the characteristic radius of bubbles in Hawaiian eruptions is 50 mm. Such a bubble would have a rise speed through the magma of f1 m s!1 (Fig. 7) and thus a speed that is comparable to the magma rise speed at depth (Table 1). In such a situation, the bubbles would tend to separate from the magma and the assumption of homogeneous two-phase flow would break down. As explained above, such bubble sizes are only likely to be achieved in eruptions in which CO2 is the driving gas. Thus, as just stated, the crucial issue is: Which gas species ‘drives’ these eruptions? This is discussed in more detail below but the initial conclusion that can be drawn is that homogeneous flow is possible in Hawaiian eruptions driven by H2O but not those driven by CO2. This bubble size argument is not the only one presented by Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) to support their contention that separated rather than homogeneous two-phase flow occurs during Hawaiian eruptions. Another argument concerns the volumes of gas and magma present upon eruption. They note that magma typically makes up less than f1% of the erupted volume in a Hawaiian lava fountain and argue that such a situation cannot be achieved in an eruption in which homogeneous two-phase flow prevails. This argument is fundamentally flawed, as can be demonstrated by the following simple calculations. Consider a basaltic magma exsolving 0.5 wt.% water during ascent. In an eruption with a magma volume flux of 100 m3 s!1 (the situation treated by Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1986) the mass of magma erupted per second is 2.6"105 kg (assuming a magma density of 2600 kg m!3) and so the mass of water released from this magma during ascent is 1300 kg. At atmospheric pressure this mass of gas occupies 8667 m3 (the density of steam at atmospheric pressure and magmatic temperature is f0.15 kg m!3). So, at the surface, the volume of the magma compared with the volume of gas is f 1%, even though there has been no concentration and segregation of the gas from the magma prior to eruption. It is the mass of magma relative to the mass of gas erupted that is crucial evidence of segregation or homogeneity, not the volume. This point can be further tested using a real example. Between 1983 and 1986, a series of 47 lava fountaining episodes occurred at Pu’u ‘O’o, a vent on the flanks of Kilauea Volcano (Heliker and Wright, 1991). During a number of episodes, measurements were made of the mass of CO2 and SO2 released and of the relative volumes of each gas species released in each eruption (e.g., Greenland et al., 1985; Greenland, 1988). By combining these measurements, it is possible to estimate the mass of each gas species released during each episode. As measurements were also made of the volumes of lava erupted in each episode (e.g., Wolfe et al., 1988), it is possible to assess whether the amounts of gas released are in excess of that originally dissolved in the magma: If the CF model is valid, the gas mass fraction in the erupted material will be considerably greater than that in the magma at depth. Consider, then, one example from this eruption. Episode 16 of the eruption (in March 1984) produced H2O at a rate of 40 000 tonnes/day and CO2 at 3200 tonnes/day (Greenland et al., 1985). The eruption lasted for 31 h, so a total of 51 700 tonnes (5.17"107 kg) of H2O and 4130 tonnes (4.13"106 kg) of CO2 were released during this episode. The volume of lava produced was 12"106 m3 (Wolfe et al., 1987), which, assuming a lava bulk density of f2000 kg m!3, yields an erupted mass of magma of 2.4"1010 kg. This yields gas mass fractions in the erupted material of 0.22 wt.% of H2O and 0.017 wt.% of CO2. Residual gas contents in Kilauean lavas are typically 0.10 wt.% H2O and 0.015 wt.% CO2 for Kilauea (Gerlach and Graeber, 1985), which yields estimates of the gas content within the magma prior to eruption of 0.33 wt.% H2O and 0.032 wt.% CO2. Similar calculations for other Pu’u ‘O’o episodes E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 produce similar results. Independent estimates of volatile contents based on fluid inclusions studies give H2O contents for the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption of 0.39 –0.51 wt.% for tephra from the high fountain events and 0.10 – 0.28 wt.% for spatter from less vigorous activity (Wallace and Anderson, 1998). So the gas released during the eruptions is consistent with the gas contents contained within the magma prior to eruption, and, thus, there is no evidence to support the idea that gas concentration and separation occurred prior to eruption. The values instead support the contention of the RSD model that Hawaiian eruptions result from homogeneous two-phase flow. It is also worth noting that in this eruption, the volume percentage of the magma in the lava fountain is f0.35% (calculated in the same way as in the example given above). This supports my contention that, even in a homogeneous eruption, the volume percent of magma in the fountain can be <1%, and, thus, that the statement by Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) that this is evidence of separated flow is erroneous. More fundamentally, Vergniolle and Mangan (2000) describe a distinctive pattern of behaviour observed during the 1959 Kilauea Iki eruption in which magma was simultaneously erupted in a lava fountain and drains back around the edges of the vent. They assert that this observation is evidence for annular flow and that simultaneous drainback and eruption is not possible during homogeneous flow. Wilson et al. (1995) have previously published a model in which simultaneous drainback and eruption occurs during homogeneous flow. This issue has been examined again by Lionel Wilson (unpublished calculations, 2003) and his findings are contained in Appendix A. His treatment shows that it is perfectly possible to explain the observation of simultaneous drainback and eruption at Kilauea Iki in terms of homogeneous flow. In conclusion, arguments presented as evidence that separated two-phase flow must occur during Hawaiian eruptions do not stand up to detailed scrutiny. Existing observational evidence, instead, supports the contention that Hawaiian eruptions occur as the result of homogeneous two-phase flow. 5.2. Dominant volatile species The other fundamental difference between the two models concerns the species of volatile that typically 89 ‘drives’ Hawaiian eruptions. The RSD model assumes that the ‘driving’ gas is H2O, whereas the CF model assumes that it is CO2. This issue is crucial because, in the situations considered in the published models, the RSD model is incompatible with the driving gas being CO2 and the CF model is incompatible with the driving gas being H2O. It is possible, therefore: (a) to distinguish between the two models for specific eruptions provided observational evidence exists about the species and mass fractions of gas released in the eruption (see below); and (b) that each mechanism could be valid in different volcanic situations depending on the gas species, mass fraction present in the magma, and the storage history of the magma as it ascends. Let us examine why the two models assume different ‘driving’ gas species and then look at which situation is most common in actual eruptions. 5.2.1. H2O as the ‘driving’ gas The RSD model assumes in all cases that the gas driving Hawaiian eruptions is H2O. This is for two main reasons: (1) Water is usually the most abundant volatile present within basaltic magmas (e.g., Wallace and Anderson, 2000). (2) Water only exsolves from basalts at shallow depths (typically a few hundred metres) beneath the surface (Sparks, 1978; Wilson and Head, 1981 ). This means that the water will usually have had little opportunity to exsolve and escape from the magma as it ascends towards the surface, and thus its exsolution from the magma near the surface must play some role in the eruption dynamics. 5.2.2. CO2 as the ‘driving’ gas The CF model assumes that the driving gas is CO2. This is because in this model gas bubbles must accumulate as a foam layer in a storage area at depth in order for separated two-phase flow to occur. For this to be possible, it is necessary that: (1) Storage occurs at a depth where exsolution of the ‘driving’ gas can occur. (2) The roof of the storage zone has sufficient area to allow the accumulation of a sufficient volume of foam to be consistent with observed erupted volumes. 90 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 The shallow exsolution depths of H2O make it extremely unlikely that these criteria will be met, whereas CO2 exsolves at depths of several kilometres beneath the surface and thus within zones where large-scale storage often occurs. Although it is possible for CO2 to be exsolved and stored in the way the CF model suggests, Parfitt and Wilson (1994) have pointed out that a problem with this model is that it neglects the effects of water exsolution, occurring as the foam ascends, will have on eruption. Their argument is that, even if the eruption were driven from depth by foam collapse, the magma that is carried up and erupted will still contain dissolved water (water being abundant in basalts). This water will exsolve from the magma as it reaches shallow levels and thus this water must play some role in driving the eruption. Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) have argued that, though the water exsolves from the magma as it rises, ‘‘the small vesicles formed through exsolution in the conduit cannot coalesce and can therefore reach high volume fractions without leading to a change in flow regime’’. In other words, water bubbles do form in the magma as it rises towards the surface but this exsolution is ‘‘passive’’ because it generates magma clots with high vesicularity, but this material does not fragment or in any way drive the eruption. This explanation appears to be flawed in two ways: (1) In the example given above, it was shown that the volume of the water exsolved from the rising magma compared with the volume of the magma from which it exsolved is such that at the vent the magma represents V1% of the total volume at the vent. If the exsolving water is held, as Vergniolle and Jaupart (1986) suggest, as small bubbles within the magma this means that the vesicularity of the erupting magma would have to exceed 99% in all of the erupted magma. The most vesicular material generated in Hawaiian eruptions, reticulite, has vesicularities ranging up to 98% (Thomas et al., 1994) but reticulite makes up only a small proportion of the material produced in Hawaiian eruptions. (2) If the water is trapped in small bubbles within the clasts, then it would not be released in the eruption plume. Yet, in the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption, which Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) and Vergniolle (1996) use as a test case for the CF model, 85% by volume of the measured volatile release was water whereas CO2 accounted for only 3% of the volatiles released (Greenland, 1984; 1988). It is difficult to accept, therefore, that CO2 is the ‘driving’ gas rather than H2O. 5.3. Initial conclusions The RSD and CF models of Hawaiian eruptions make fundamentally different assumptions about the flow regime prevailing at depth and about the volatiles driving the eruptions. Both models could potentially apply in different situations depending on the volatiles species, bubble sizes, storage history and magma rise speeds concerned. Neither model appears to have any fundamental flaw. However, the usefulness of a model depends not on its theoretical validity but on how well it reproduces the activity which occurs in nature, and in this respect, observational data examined thus far favour the RSD model over the CF model. Both models have been used to look at the same test case—the 1983 – 1986 Pu’u ‘O’o eruption—and both models purport to explain the observational data collected during that eruption. As the two models make fundamentally different assumptions and predictions about Hawaiian activity, it is impossible that both models are consistent with the same set of observational data. For this reason, I will now examine, in detail, how the models have been tested using evidence from this eruption. 6. The 1983 –1986 Pu’u ‘O’o eruption of Kilauea Volcano This eruption started in January 1983 with the emplacement of a feeder dike laterally from the summit magma chamber into Kilauea’s East Rift Zone (ERZ) (Klein et al., 1987; Wolfe et al., 1987). The dike fed a fissure eruption on the middle ERZ at distances of 14 –22 km from the summit. Dike emplacement and eruption were accompanied by major deflation of the summit magma chamber (Fig. 10). After about a month, during which the summit magma chamber reinflated (Fig. 10), a new eruptive episode began in the same area of the ERZ fed through the same feeder dike (Wolfe et al., 1987). A pattern of activity developed in which E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 91 Fig. 10. The summit tiltmeter record for Kilauea volcano for 1983. The numbers indicate each eruptive episode of the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption during 1983. Redrawn from Wolfe et al. (1987). eruptions typically f1 day in duration occurred associated with deflation of the summit and punctuated by repose periods of f3 weeks during which the summit reinflated. By the 4th eruptive outbreak, activity had become concentrated at one eruptive vent subsequently named Pu’u ‘O’o (Wolfe et al., 1988). The eruption continued this cyclic pattern until July 1986 when the location and behaviour of activity switched to a vent 3 km further down rift (Heliker and Wright, 1991). Eruption at this new vent, Kupaianaha, was characterised by continuous minor explosive activity and slow outpouring of lava. The eruption was monitored in great detail by the staff of the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) and their observations have been published in a number of papers (e.g., Dvorak and Okamura, 1985; Wolfe et al., 1987; Greenland, 1988; Okamura et al., 1988; Wolfe et al., 1988; Heliker and Wright, 1991; Heliker et al., 2003). Thus, this is an eruption for which there is an exceptionally large and complete set of field and geophysical observations with which to test the eruption models. Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) and Vergniolle (1996), and Parfitt and Wilson (1994), have presented very different, and mutually incompatible, models of this eruption based on the RSD and CF models described above. I now compare the two models by looking at some of the key character- istics of the eruption that both models seek to explain. 6.1. The cyclic character of the eruption A key feature of the eruption was its repetitive, cyclic character. Each eruption was preceded by a repose period during which slow inflation of the summit occurred accompanied by minor explosive activity at the vent and each eruption was accompanied by rapid deflation of the summit in association with high lava fountaining and generation of lava flows (Fig. 10). Dvorak and Okamura (1985) observed that the deflation rate increased as the eruption sequence continued while the duration of each eruptive episode gradually decreased (Fig. 11). They suggested that this behaviour reflected an evolution of the magma system feeding the eruption. Parfitt and Wilson (1994) noted that the deflation during each episode showed a characteristic pattern in which the rate was initially low, increased to a peak value, and then declined approximately exponentially (Fig. 12). Parfitt and Wilson (1994) adopted the interpretation that inflation and deflation of Kilauea’s summit magma chamber occurs primarily as the result of the inflow and outflow of magma (e.g., Dzurisin et al., 1984; Dvorak and Dzurisin, 1993). The idea is that magma is supplied to the magma chamber from deeper levels at a 92 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 Fig. 11. (a) The maximum deflation rate and (b) the duration of each episode during the 1983 – 86 Pu’u ‘O’o eruption. Data courtesy of the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory. fairly constant rate (estimated at f3 m3 s!1; Dzurisin et al., 1984; Dvorak and Dzurisin, 1993). This leads to slow chamber inflation during times when no high fountaining was occurring. When an eruption occurs, magma is withdrawn and erupted at a rate that exceeds the inflow rate from the mantle and thus rapid deflation occurs. Starting with this premise, Parfitt and Wilson (1994) examined the deflation patterns that would result from flow of magma through feeder dikes of various geometries. By assuming that the dike was of non-uniform geometry they were able to reproduce the observed deflation patterns (Fig. 12), to explain why the eruptive behaviour was cyclic and to examine the factors which determined when each episode started and stopped. In their model, the cyclic nature of the eruption is determined by the details of the subsurface storage and movement of magma not by the eruption style (as is the case in the CF model—see below). E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 Fig. 12. Patterns of summit deflation during the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption. During each episode the summit deflated at a rate which was initially slow, increased rapidly to a maximum value and then declined approximately exponentially until the eruptive episode ended. The patterns of deflation during two eruptive episodes are shown—episodes 11 and 31. The bold line shows the actual deflation rate derived from the summit tiltmeter records kept by the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory. The dashed lines represent the modelled deflation rate calculated for each episode using a model developed by Parfitt and Wilson (1994). The diagram is modified from Parfitt and Wilson (1994). Instead, the Hawaiian character of the eruption is controlled by the cyclicity because the cycles are related to variations in flow rate through the dike system and thus to the rise speed of the magma beneath the vent. The flow rate through the dike system is directly correlated with the deflation rate; thus the flow rate rapidly increases as cooled magma is pushed through the dike system, reaches a peak and then declines exponentially (Fig. 12). Such a pattern is 93 common in basaltic eruptions where the initial high pressure in the chamber allows high flow rates near the start of an eruption, flow rate gradually declining as the chamber pressure declines (Wadge, 1981). In the case of the Pu’u ‘O’o high fountaining episodes, the flow rate through the dike system, and hence the rise speed beneath the vent, is sufficiently high to allow homogeneous two-phase flow. During the repose periods between high fountain episodes, the flow rate through the dike system becomes negligible and so the rise speed beneath the vent is close to zero. In this situation, gas segregates from the magma within the vent and rises to the surface giving rise to the minor explosive activity which characterised the repose periods (Wolfe et al., 1987, 1988). Vergniolle (1996) interpreted the cyclic pattern of the eruption and the associated inflation/deflation patterns in a very different way. In her model at least part of the inflation and deflation is viewed as resulting from changes in gas volume in the summit magma chamber. Inflation is related to exsolution of CO2 from the stored magma and its accumulation as a foam layer at the roof of the magma chamber. Collapse of this foam layer triggers eruption of magma and deflation of the magma chamber. There are a number of problems with this model: (1) As mentioned above, observation shows that CO2 constitutes an average of only f3% of the total volume of gas released in the eruptive episodes (Greenland, 1984; 1988). The majority of the gas released is magmatic water (85%), which must play a significant role in the eruption but cannot be collected as a foam prior to these eruptive episodes (see above). (2) The Vergniolle (1996) model requires that CO2 exsolving within the magma chamber should become trapped at the chamber roof forming the foam layer that ultimately causes each fountaining episode. Gerlach and Graeber (1985), Gerlach (1986) and Gerlach and Taylor (1990) have studied gas release from the Kilauea system and show that magmas erupted on the rift zones, including the Pu’u ‘O’o magma, are depleted of CO2 prior to eruption (consistent with Point 1). They propose that CO2 is lost from the magma chamber during storage and show that the measured daily release rates of CO2 (1.6 to 3.6"106 kg day!1—Greenland et al., 1985) from the summit region are consistent with calculated release rates that 94 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 are based on the influx of magma into the chamber over a period of decades (f3.7"106 kg day!1— Gerlach and Graeber, 1985). Gerlach and Graeber (1985), Gerlach (1986) and Gerlach and Taylor (1990) conclude that most of the magmatic CO2 is lost from the magma chamber through non-eruptive degassing. So, although CO2 does exsolve in the magma chamber, the observational evidence suggests that it is lost from the chamber by degassing rather than being trapped at the roof of the chamber to produce a foam layer as the CF model requires. (3) The model of Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) and Vergniolle (1996) explains the change in eruptive behaviour in July 1986 from cyclic fountaining to continuous lava outpouring as being the result of a decline in gas volume through time. Values for the declining gas release in each episode are shown in Fig. 7 in Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990). These data were derived by Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) from measurements of the maximum fountain height recorded for each episode and the total eruption duration made by HVO staff. The gas volume was calculated by obtaining the exit velocity for each episode from the fountain height and then multiplying this by the vent crosssectional area and the eruption duration. There are several reasons why this is inaccurate way of estimating the gas volume released: (a) The maximum fountain height is not representative of the episode as a whole and represents a time when the exit velocity is a maximum. This is clear from time-lapse data collected by HVO, some of which was published in Wolfe et al. (1987, 1988). (b) The estimates of large gas volumes during the early episodes of the sequence, which add greatly to the impression that gas volume declines through time, result from using the long durations of these episodes to calculate the volumes. Observational evidence shows, however, that the vents were not active throughout the duration of the episode and thus the use of the total durations to calculate the volumes is inappropriate. (c) Finally, the calculation takes no account of the expansion of the gas as it rises. That the values of gas volume calculated by Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) are unreliable can be verified by comparison with observational data. Their gas volumes range from 3.1"109 m3 during the initial stages of the eruption to 0.6"109 m3 for the last high fountaining episode. Such values are almost an order of magnitude greater than volumes calculated from measurements of gas mass release during the eruptive episodes (Table 2). Thus, the data presented in Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) as evidence for a decline in gas release through the eruption sequence must be treated with scepticism. Furthermore, observational evidence does not support the idea that less gas was being released during the continuous phase of activity at the Kupaianaha vent compared with the high fountaining phases at Pu’u ‘O’o which preceded it. Measurements of SO2 emission rates during the Kupaianaha eruption show that the rates are 5– 27 times less than the emission rates during the high fountaining episodes (Andres et al., 1989). However, eruption rates at Kupaianaha are also lower, averaging 0.35"106 m3 day!1 compared with f7.7"106 m3 day!1 during the high fountaining episodes (Heliker et al., 2003), i.e., 22 times less than during high fountaining. Thus, the decreases in emission rates and eruption rates are comparable. Averaged over time the continuous slow release of gas and magma from Kupaianaha actually released as much gas as the higher rate but short-lived high fountaining episodes. Thus, there is no evidence Table 2 Gas volumes released during episodes 15 and 16 of the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption Gas Gas mass species released per day (tonnes/day) Total gas Gas density Gas volume mass released (kg m!3) erupted (m3) during the episode (kg) (a) Gas release during 58,000 H2 O SO2 27,000 CO2 4700 HCl 330 HF 200 Total episode 15. The episode duration was 19 h 4.59"107 0.15 3.06"108 7 2.14"10 0.53 4.03"107 3.72"106 0.36 1.03"107 5 2.61"10 0.3 8.71"105 1.58"105 0.16 9.90"105 3.59"108 (b) Gas release during H2 O 40,000 SO2 18,000 CO2 3200 HCl 220 HF 140 Total episode 16. The episode duration was 31 h 5.17"107 0.15 3.44"108 7 2.33"10 0.53 4.39"107 4.13"106 0.36 1.15"107 5 2.84"10 0.3 9.47"105 1.81"105 0.16 1.13"106 4.02"108 Gas masses released are taken from Greenland et al. (1985). E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 that any less SO2 was being released from the magma after the change in eruption style. Though no evidence is available for release of other volatiles before and after the change in eruptive character, it seems unlikely that the overall release rate should decline while the SO2 release rate remains unchanged. 6.2. Fountain heights and exit velocities Measurements were made by HVO staff of the maximum and average fountain heights for each eruptive episode (Wolfe et al., 1987, 1988). Wilson and Head (1981), Head and Wilson (1987) and Parfitt et al. (1995) have related fountain heights to the eruption rate and gas content of the erupting magma using the RSD model by calculating the exit velocity of the erupting mixture and assuming that the larger clasts (which form the main part of the fountain) behave ballistically. When this model is applied to the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption, it suggests that the observed fountain heights would be produced if the water content of the erupting magma is 0.32 wt.%. This is consistent with independent estimates that range from 0.21% to 0.38 wt.% (Gerlach and Graeber, 1985; Greenland et al., 1985; Greenland, 1988). The CF model (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1990; Vergniolle, 1996) does not make a prediction of the exit velocities or fountain heights of the eruption. 6.3. Volumes and durations Observational evidence collected by HVO staff (Heliker and Mattox, 2003) provides constraints on the volumes of lava produced during each episode (2 to 38"106 m3), on the average eruption rates (12 to 489 m3 s!1) and on the duration of each episode (5 to 290 h). Parfitt and Wilson (1994) used the RSD model to simulate the Pu’u ‘O’o episodes and the model can adequately explain the observed values of each of these parameters. It has never been demonstrated that the CF model can explain these observed eruption volumes or durations. 6.4. Change in eruption character A further fundamental difference between the two models is highlighted by the change in eruption character that occurred in July 1986, when the site 95 and style of eruption changed abruptly. A fissure system opened up that extended downrift from Pu’u ‘O’o and activity from this system eventually localised at a new vent later named Kupaianaha (Heliker and Wright, 1991). The change in locality corresponded to the end of the cyclic lava fountaining activity seen at Pu’u ‘O’o. Instead, the activity became continuous and occurred at a much slower eruption rate (f5 m3 s!1). A low lava shield with a lava lake at the top gradually developed. Lava within the lake circulated and degassed (Fig. 13a) and was continually drained from the lake through a complex tube system (Mattox et al., 1993). Though some degassing occurred at Kupaianaha, the bulk of the gas release occurred through the Pu’u ‘O’o vent as was evident from observation of a plume constantly rising from the cone (Fig. 13b) and confirmed by direct measurements (Andres et al., 1989). This change in character is similar to ones which occurred during the 1969 –1974 Mauna Ulu eruption (Swanson et al., 1979; Tilling et al., 1987). Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) and Vergniolle (1996) propose that changes from high fountaining to continuous eruption in each of these eruptions represent a change in eruption style from Hawaiian to effusive. Parfitt and Wilson (1994) have argued that the change in eruption character represents a change from Hawaiian to Strombolian. Thus, there is a basic disagreement about how to interpret the observed activity as well as a disagreement on the causes of the change. Part of the problem arises because of the unusual nature of gas release during the Kupaianaha eruption. The magmatic plumbing system established between Pu’u ‘O’o and Kupaianaha in July 1986 allowed shallow degassing of the magma through the Pu’u ‘O’o vent prior to magma eruption at Kupaianaha. This means that although there was minor explosive activity at Kupaianaha (Fig. 13a), the overflow of the lake can be interpreted as effusive activity. Parfitt and Wilson (1994) argue, however, that the eruption is Strombolian because the observation of significant gas release and spattering within the Pu’u ‘O’o cone (Andres et al., 1989; Mangan et al., 1995) shows that gas is segregating in significant quantities and giving rise to explosive activity at the top of the magma column. Effusive activity corresponds to events where no significant gas segregation is occurring. This is more evident when considering the Mauna Ulu eruption. 96 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 Fig. 13. (a) Photograph of the Kupaianaha lava lake. The lava lake is covered with a cooled crust which was constantly moving and overturning. A large bubble in the process of bursting can be seen near the far wall of the lake. Gas release from the lake was constant and sufficient to prevent an observer watching the activity for periods of more than a few minutes at a time. (b) The Pu’u ‘O’o cone viewed from Kupaianaha. The photograph was taken at the same time as that in (a). It is evident from the plume rising from Pu’u ‘O’o that significant quantities of gas were being released there while eruption occurred from Kupaianaha. (Both photographs taken by the author, February 20, 1988). Here, after the change from high fountaining to continuous activity, eruption was associated dome fountaining, gas-pistoning, spattering and low fountaining, all of which indicate that gas release and minor explosive activity was associated with the production of lava (Swanson et al., 1979). Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990) and Vergniolle (1996) argue that the change in character observed in the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption occurred because of a progressive decline in the gas accumulation rate in the magma chamber as the magma became depleted of gas. As we have seen above, the evidence that the gas release rate is smaller after the change in eruption character is unconvincing. Furthermore, this argument is based on the idea that the magma chamber is not being resupplied with magma. Many studies suggest that the magma chamber is fairly continuously resupplied with magma (e.g., Dzurisin et al., 1984; Dvorak and Dzurisin, 1993). Furthermore, if the magma chamber were isolated in this way through the course E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 of the Pu’u ‘O’o – Kupaianaha eruption this would be reflected in the temperature and chemistry of the erupting lava. Instead, the most recent study of the Pu’u ‘O’o – Kupaianaha eruption (Thornber, 2003) reinforces the idea that resupply of magma from the mantle has occurred throughout the eruption and shows that what long-term changes have occurred in the eruption temperature and magma composition represent the increasing involvement of mantle magma—the exact opposite trend to that which would be seen if the magma chamber were isolated. Thus, all the available evidence contradicts the idea of an isolated magma chamber and a decline in the supply of gas to the eruption. Parfitt and Wilson (1994) argued that the change in character from intermittent fountaining to continuous eruption represents a long-term evolution of the dike geometry and thermal state, consistent with the observations and interpretation of Dvorak and Okamura (1985). The change from high fountaining to minor explosive activity, gas release and lava outpouring is seen as being a result of the decrease in magma eruption rate and rise speed that accompanied the change from intermittent to continuous eruption. That the eruption rate was lower during the continuous phase is indisputable. Observations made during the high fountaining phases at Pu’u ‘O’o and during lava outpouring at Kupaianaha show that the typical volume flux during high fountaining was f7.7"106 m3 day !1 compared with f0.35"106 m 3 day!1 at Kupaianaha (Heliker et al., 2003). Parfitt and Wilson (1994) used these fluxes to estimate the magma rise speed as being f0.3 m s!1 during the high fountaining episodes and f0.01 m s!1 during the Kupaianaha eruption. Parfitt and Wilson (1995) have shown that, for magma gas contents and viscosities observed during the Pu’u ‘O’o – Kupaianaha eruption, the RSD model predicts that at a rise speed of 0.3 m s!1, the activity should be Hawaiian, and at a rise speed of 0.01 m s!1, the activity should be Strombolian, consistent with the observed change in eruption character. 6.5. Discussion I have discussed this one eruption in detail for several reasons. Both the RSD and CF models have been tested using the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption. It is an 97 excellent test case because the range of data collected during the eruption is exceptional and the quality of the data is extremely good. The eruption provides, therefore, a unique opportunity to examine a Hawaiian eruption sequence in great detail. Over the past f10– 15 years, the CF model has come to be the more widely accepted model of the dynamics of Hawaiian eruptions (e.g., Sparks et al., 1994; Vergniolle and Mangan, 2000). Parfitt and Wilson (1994) pointed out general problems with the model and I have detailed in this paper the ways in which the CF model is inconsistent with the observations made during the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption, the eruption which the authors of the CF model elected to use as their test case (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1990; Vergniolle, 1996). Furthermore, I have shown that the RSD model, when applied to the same eruption, produces results that are consistent with a wide range of observations. My point is not that the CF model is inherently flawed but, instead, that any model has value only if it actually reproduces the key features of the system under examination. In the case of the CF model as applied to Hawaiian eruptions, the model is inconsistent in many ways with the observational evidence. 7. Transitional eruptions Some basaltic eruptions exhibit behaviour that appears to display features of both Hawaiian and Strombolian activity and are referred to as ‘‘transitional’’ eruptions (Parfitt and Wilson, 1995). The 1973 eruption of Heimaey in Iceland is an example of this type of event (see above). Another example is the 6th to 29th July 1975 stage of the Great Tolbachik Fissure eruption. This eruption is described as Strombolian – Plinian by Maleyev and Vande-Kirkov (1983). They say that the eruption ‘‘ejected a continuous stream of pyroclastic material to a height of 8 – 11 km’’. Tokarev (1983) describes the eruption as a ‘‘non-stop vertical jet of incandescent gases, ash, cinder and volcanic bombs’’ that reached ‘‘a height of 1 –1.5 km, while above it, to a height of 6 –8 km, rose a billowing cloud of ash blown sideways by the wind’’. Although there were pulsations in the eruption jet, eruption was continuous (Tokarev, 1983). Clasts up to 2– 3 m in diameter were produced and accumulation 98 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 of this material around the vent generated a cinder cone but did not produce any lava flows (Maleyev and Vande-Kirkov, 1983; Tokarev, 1983). Thus, this eruption, like the Heimaey eruption, exhibits characteristics of both Hawaiian and Strombolian activity. In addition to exhibiting characteristics of both Hawaiian and Strombolian styles, basaltic eruptions frequently exhibit rapid transitions between these endmember types of activity. For example, Bertagnini et al. (1990) described such behaviour during the 1989 eruption of Etna. They describe how each ‘‘eruptive episode began with a weak strombolian activity, with lava clasts thrown just beyond the crater rim.’’ As the magma level rose in the vent, the explosions became ‘‘more frequent and more violent’’ until they were ‘‘nearly continuous’’. This activity then evolved into activity which was ‘‘typically hawaiian, with lava fountains up to 100 –200 m in height’’ and which generated lava flows. Parfitt and Wilson (1995) used the RSD model to investigate the nature of transitional eruptions and the conditions which give rise to them. The results of this modelling (Fig. 5) show that transitional activity is expected to arise primarily when the magma rise speed is intermediate between that of Hawaiian and Strombolian eruptions (Table 1) and furthermore that gradual changes in rise speed will give rise to a progressive change in eruption character from Strombolian to Hawaiian or vice versa. The time frame over which the eruption character changes is then a function of the rate at which the magma rise speed changes. The modelling suggests that, for example, as magma rise speed increases the eruption character would change from widely spaced Strombolian explosions to more frequent explosions with the strength of the explosions being fairly constant. Then as the rise speed increases further the explosions will become more closely spaced in time still and will rapidly increase in violence throwing clasts much higher in the air. Continued increase in rise speed then gives rise to continuous high lava fountaining activity. This pattern of behaviour is remarkably similar to that described above for the 1989 Etna eruption. The model developed by Parfitt and Wilson (1995) does not explicitly look at the behaviour of the finer material ejected in the eruption. A characteristic of many transitional eruptions is the high sustained eruption plume they develop. Presumably, this arises because the short time gap between Strombolian explosions means that from the point of view of the heat output the activity is continuous and can thus generate a sustained plume. The height of the plume is much greater than that associated with Hawaiian eruptions and this difference is expected to be related to the difference in grainsize of the erupted material compared with a pure Hawaiian eruption (Parfitt and Wilson, 1999). The CF model has not been used to look at transitional eruptions or to explain how changes in gas accumulation rates or magma viscosity can account for the types of rapid transition in eruption style which are a common feature of basaltic activity. As we have seen, the sudden change in eruption character which occurred during the Pu’u ‘O’o – Kupaianaha eruption is explained in the CF model by a gradual change in gas accumulation which occurs over a period of years. Changes in character from Strombolian to Hawaiian and back again, like those described at Etna, can occur on time scales of only hours. 8. Conclusions During the past 20 years, two very different models have been proposed to explain the dynamics of explosive basaltic eruptions—the rise speed dependent model (Wilson, 1980; Wilson and Head, 1981; Head and Wilson, 1987; Fagents and Wilson, 1993; Parfitt and Wilson, 1994, 1999; Parfitt et al., 1995) and the collapsing foam model (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1986, 1990; Jaupart and Vergniolle, 1988, 1989; Vergniolle, 1996). Both models are in current usage, often without acknowledgement that an alternative model exists. In this paper, I have examined the basic assumptions made in each model and shown that neither model is flawed in any fundamental way, i.e., that each model could apply in a given set of conditions. The purpose of a model is, however, to represent some behaviour that we observe in nature. Thus, the value of any model depends on how well it can reproduce this real behaviour. Volcanologists examining explosive basaltic activity are at a considerable advantage compared with those interested in more violent, silicic, events in that basaltic explosions occur frequently E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 99 and are relatively safe to monitor. Thus, large bodies of literature and data are available to test the two models. I have examined the way in which each model has been used to explain Strombolian, Hawaii and transitional eruption styles, and in doing so have arrived at the following conclusions. exist beneath the vent in order to operate whereas the processes invoked by the RSD model can occur in any open system as long as the rise speed of the magma is slow or negligible. 8.1. Strombolian eruptions In the case of Hawaiian activity the RSD and CF models present very different and mutually exclusive views of the eruption dynamics. The models make fundamentally different assumptions about the flow regime which prevails during eruption: The RSD model assumes homogeneous two-phase flow and the CF model assumes segregated two-phase flow. They also assume different ‘driving’ gases—in typical conditions, the RSD model will only work if H2O is the dominant gas and the CF model only works if CO2 is the driving gas. My examination of the two models suggests that neither model is fundamentally flawed and thus that either might operate in different starting conditions. Both models have been tested on the same eruption (the 1983– 1988 Pu’u ‘O’o eruption of Kilauea volcano). I have examined in detail how well each model fits with the behaviour observed during this eruption and have shown that the CF model (Vergniolle and Jaupart, 1990; Vergniolle, 1996) fails to explain many key aspects of the eruption. For instance, observations show that the dominant gas released in the eruption is H2O (85%) and only 3% of the released gas is CO2 which the CF model assumes is the driving gas. Furthermore, observational evidence does not support the contention that gas segregation and concentration has occurred at depth prior to eruption but is instead consistent with the homogeneous flow assumed in the RSD model. The RSD model can also explain many other aspects of the eruptive behaviour such as the characteristic deflation pattern observed during each eruption, the long-term changes in the duration and eruption rates observed during the eruption sequence, and the change in eruption character which occurred in 1986. The problems highlighted by the application of the CF model to the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption are sufficiently far-reaching that they draw the validity of the model in its application to other Hawaiian eruptions into serious question. I would therefore urge considerable caution in the use of this model Both models agree that Strombolian eruptions result from the accumulation and bursting of a gas pocket at shallow depths within an open magmatic system. This is consistent with direct observations (e.g., Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1994) and with acoustic wave studies (Vergniolle and Brandeis, 1994, 1996; Vergniolle et al., 1996). The models diverge, however, in the assumptions they make about where the gas segregates from the magma. In the RSD model segregation is thought to be progressive and occurs because of the low rise speed of the magma beneath the eruptive vent. Such a model is consistent with observational evidence (Table 1) which shows that Strombolian eruptions are associated with low magma rise speeds. The CF model assumes that gas segregation occurs at depth in a magma chamber or storage zone and that accumulation of this gas as a foam layer and its partial collapse give rise to a slug of gas which rises up through the vent system and bursts through the top of the magma column. Thus, the CF model requires a special set of conditions to exist whereas the RSD model is applicable to any open system. Recent studies of seismicity at Stromboli (Neuberg et al., 1994; Chouet et al., 1999) show that earthquakes are generated in direct association with each Strombolian explosion. The source of such earthquakes is located several hundred metres beneath the surface. It has been suggested that these earthquakes are caused by the collapse and movement of the gas slug at depth. Further modelling work is needed to show that the seismic waves generated in Strombolian explosions are generated in this way but such work provides a potential way to determine whether gas accumulation and foam formation occurs at Stromboli. It should be stressed, though, that there is no reason why both models should not be applicable in different systems and it must be understood that the CF model requires a particular set of conditions to 8.2. Hawaiian eruptions 100 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 in treating the dynamics of Hawaiian eruptions. It must also be borne in mind, though, that the models have only been tested in detail on this one eruption. While the evidence from the Pu’u ‘O’o eruption supports the RSD model as the most valid treatment, more testing on other Hawaiian eruptions is needed to resolve the issue of which model is most applicable to Hawaiian eruptions and, indeed, to explosive basaltic eruptions in general. It should be noted, though, that like with Strombolian eruptions the CF model requires a particular set of conditions to prevail beneath the vent in order to be applicable (a large enough storage zone at a depth where gas is exsolving) whereas the RSD model has no such limitations. 8.3. Transitional eruptions I have noted that some explosive basaltic eruptions show features of both Hawaiian and Strombolian eruption styles and these have been denoted ‘‘transitional’’ eruptions by Parfitt and Wilson (1995). In addition, basaltic eruptions frequently show rapid transitions in character from Strombolian to Hawaiian and vice versa. The RSD model was used by Parfitt and Wilson (1995) to investigate the conditions in which transitional eruption styles arise. They suggested that transitional eruptions arise when the magma rise speed is too high to yield purely Strombolian activity and too low to yield purely Hawaiian behaviour. For a typical basaltic eruption this transition occurs in the magma rise speed range 0.01 –0.1 m s!1 (Fig. 5). This is consistent with a range of observational data (e.g., Table 1). The model further suggests that as magma rise speed progressively increases or decreases, an eruption can rapidly change in character from Strombolian to Hawaiian or vice versa. In the case of increasing rise speed, for example, it would be expected that Strombolian explosions will become progressively more frequent but with little change in violence until a rapid change occurs during which explosions become very closely spaced in time and much more violent. This behaviour then gives way to continuous lava fountaining. This kind of transition in character is very similar to that observed in many real basaltic eruptions. In the RSD model, the primary control on eruption character is the magma rise speed and thus transitions in character can occur rapidly in response to changes in rise speed. By contrast, in the CF model, eruption character is determined by magma viscosity and gas accumulation rates (Jaupart and Vergniolle, 1988; Vergniolle, 1996), and it is hard to see how the rapid transitions observed in basaltic eruptions can be explained by such a model. Acknowledgements I thank Christina Heliker for comments on the origin of data used in Vergniolle and Jaupart (1990). I also thank the staff of the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, especially Tom Wright, for providing access to data used here (and elsewhere) and for discussion of many of the issues raised in this paper. Thanks to Andy Harris for comments relating to activity at Etna. This paper has benefited from detailed reviews by Sylvie Vergniolle, Greg Valentine and Roberto Scandone. Finally, thanks to Lionel Wilson for many, many discussions of these issues over the years. Appendix A . Treatment of simultaneous magma eruption and drainback in conduit flow A.1 . Introduction It is assumed that all of the magma behaves as a Newtonian fluid with the same viscosity and that for both upward and downward magma streams there is no variation with depth of the magma density and the pressure gradient driving the motion. There is no guarantee that the pressure gradients in real volcanic conduits are independent of depth. However, as shown by Wilson et al. (1980), Wilson and Head (1981) and Giberti and Wilson (1990), for mafic magmas, there exists a wide range of possible eruption conditions in which this condition is approximately satisfied, even when rising magma exsolves sufficient volatiles to undergo fragmentation. The main restriction on the application of the following calculations, therefore, is the assumption of constant magma densities. There are two cases to be considered. In the first, both the rising and the descending magma are unvesiculated and their motions are E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 laminar. In the second, the rising magma is assumed to have vesiculated to the point of fragmentation into pyroclasts and released gas, and the upward motion is turbulent. A.2 . Laminar upward motion To find the average velocity uav-up of the upwardmoving fluid, we weight the local value of u by the relative volume of fluid with that velocity, (2prdr), so that: !Z r0 "#!Z r0 " uav!up ¼ 2purdr 2prdr ðA4Þ 0 This analysis can be applied directly to the motion of volatile-poor magma in a conduit where there is either net drainback from a lava pond around the vent or net growth of such a pond. It can also be inferred to apply to conditions in which vesiculating magma is erupting into a lava fountain while degassed magma is draining back into the conduit system provided that the values derived are taken to refer to conditions at depths greater than a few hundred metres, where variations in bulk magma density are still small, there is negligible upward acceleration of the rising magma, and similar viscosities can be assumed for both the rising and the sinking magma. The basic relationship controlling flow of a Newtonian fluid in a circular conduit is: l du=dr ¼ !ð1=2ÞrðdP=dxÞ; ðA1Þ where l is the fluid viscosity, (dP/dx) is the pressure gradient driving the motion in the x direction, r is the radial co-ordinate and u is the local velocity of the fluid. We assume that between r =0 and r =r0, where r0 is some intermediate radius, the motion is upward and between r =r0 and r =rw, where rw is the radius of the confining wall, the motion is downward. Thus, u =0 at both r =r0 and at r =rw. First, consider the fluid moving upward. Integrating Eq. (A1) between r =0 and a general value of r gives the velocity profile u(r): u ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞup =ð4lÞ' ðr02 ! r2 Þ: ðA2Þ In this equation and those that follow, (dP/dx)up represents the absolute value of the pressure gradient; the driving pressure must of course decrease in the direction of motion for the velocity to be positive. The maximum velocity uc occurs at r =0 and is: uc ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞup =ð4lÞ'r02 : ðA3Þ 101 0 which yields: uav!up ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞup =ð8lÞ'r02 : ðA5Þ The upward mass flux Mup is then: Mup ¼ p r02 uav!up qup ; ðA6Þ where qup is the bulk density of the upward-flowing fluid. Next consider the fluid moving downward. Skelland (1967, Chap. 3) derives equations for flow in an annulus of a Bingham plastic fluid, and by setting the yield strength of such a fluid equal to zero the velocity profile u(r) is found to be: u ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞdown =ð4lÞ'frw2 ! r2 þ ½ðrw2 ! r02 Þ =lnðrw =r0 Þ'lnðr=rw Þg: ðA7Þ Note that u is zero at r =rw because then (rw2!r2)=0 and ln(r/rw)=ln(1)=0; also u is zero at r =r0 because then ln(r/rw)=ln(r0/rw)=!ln(rw/r0). The maximum velocity ua must occur at the radius ra for which du/ dr =0. Differentiating Eq. (A7): du=dr ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞdown =ð4lÞ'f!2r þ ½ðrw2 ! r02 Þ =ln ðrw =r0 Þ'ð1=rÞg ðA8Þ and setting the term in curly brackets in Eq. (A8) to zero gives: ra2 ¼ ðrw2 ! r02 Þ=½2 lnðrw =r0 Þ' ¼ ðrw2 ! r02 Þ=ln ðrw =r0 Þ2 : ðA9Þ The value of the maximum velocity, ua, is given by: ua ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞdown =ð4lÞ'frw2 ! ra2 þ ½ðrw2 ! r02 Þ =lnðrw =r0 Þ'lnðra =rw Þg: ðA10Þ 102 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 and the average velocity of the fluid, uav-down, is obtained using the equivalent of Eq. (A4) as: uav!down ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞdown =ð8lÞ'frw2 þ r02 ! ½ðrw2 ! r02 Þ =lnðrw =r0 Þ'g: ðA11Þ Table A1 Values of the ratios of upward to downward pressure gradient, magma mass flux, maximum fluid velocity and mean fluid velocity as a function of the fraction of the conduit radius occupied by the upward flow for the case where the upward motion is laminar and [qup/qdown]=0.8 r0/rw (dP/dx)up / (dP/dx)down Mup / Mdown uc /ua uav-up / uav-down 0.154 0.232 0.386 0.534 0.642 0.683 0.838 0.910 10.00 5.00 2.00 1.00 0.61 0.50 0.20 0.10 0.092 0.152 0.327 0.621 1.000 1.214 3.007 6.004 0.611 0.870 1.543 2.589 3.892 4.621 10.646 20.656 0.473 0.666 1.169 1.950 2.925 3.471 7.988 15.494 The downward mass flux Mdown is then: Mdown ¼ pðrw2 ! r02 Þuav!down qdown ; ðA12Þ where qdown is the bulk density of the downwardflowing fluid. The final issue is to establish how the boundary between the two flows at r =r0 is related to the other variables. This involves looking at the continuity of the overall velocity profile. We have already ensured that the velocity itself is continuous by arranging that u=0 at r =r0 in both Eq. (A2) for the upward velocity and Eq. (A7) for the downward velocity. We now require that the slopes of the two functions also be continuous. For the upward velocity profile, Eq. (A2) leads to: du=dr ¼ ½ðdP=dxÞup =ð4lÞ'ð!2rÞ ðA13Þ and we have already obtained the derivative of the downward velocity profile as Eq. (A8). Equating the two at r =r0 and simplifying: ðdP=dxÞup =ðdP=dxÞdown ¼ f½ðrw2 =r02 Þ ! 1' =lnðrw =r0 Þ2 g ! 1; ðA14Þ so for any choice of the ratio (rw/r0), Eq. (A14) gives the ratio of [(dP/dx)up/(dP/dx)down] that ensures continuity of the velocity profile. Then taking the ratio of Eqs. (A6) and (A12): Mup =Mdown ¼ ½qup =qdown '½ðdP=dxÞup =ðdP=dxÞdown ' " ½r04 =fðrw2 ! r02 Þfrw2 þ r02 þ ½ðrw2 ! r02 Þ =lnðrw =r0 Þ'gg': ðA15Þ Thus, given a choice of the density ratio [qup/ qdown], the ratio of the mass fluxes can be obtained. Table A1 shows a selection of examples, tabulated as a function of (r0/rw) for [qup/qdown]=0.8. The reason for this choice of [qup/qdown] is as follows. The pressure gradients driving the upward and downward movement of the magmatic fluids are by definition the amounts by which the total pressure gradients differs from the static weights of the magma in each case. Assume that the pressure in the magma reservoir at depth is the hydrostatic weight of the overlying crust (in practice, the reservoir is likely to be overpressured relative to the lithostatic load by a few MPa, but this does not significantly affect the following illustration) and that the upward magma flow occurs because the magma in the centre of the conduit is positively buoyant. Similarly, the magma in the outer, descending annulus is assumed to be negatively buoyant. If the crustal density is qcrust, we then have: ðdP=dxÞup ¼ gðqcrust ! qup Þ ðA16Þ ðdP=dxÞdown ¼ gðqdown ! qcrust Þ ðA17Þ Plausible values might be qcrust=2250 kg m!3, qup= 2000 kg m!3 and qdown=2500 kg m!3, in which case [qup/qdown]=0.8, as illustrated in Table A1. The table shows that for the case of pure convection, where M up /M down =1, r 0 /r w =0.642, which implies that f41% of the area of the conduit is occupied by rising magma and f59% by descending magma. Clearly, it is necessary that qup is always less than qdown, and depending on the amount of gas exsolving from the rising magma in the deep part of the conduit, and on the crustal density, likely ranges of values are f0.55 to 0.85 for [qup/qdown] and f0.3 to at least 3 for [(dP/dx)up/(dP/dx)down]. 103 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 A.3 . Turbulent upward motion This treatment applies to the shallow part of a conduit where enough volatile exsolution has occurred that magma fragmentation had taken place. Both the viscosity and the density of the magma are very different in the upward and downward magma streams. The velocity profile in the outer annulus is the same as in the previous section but in the central region out to radius r0 the velocity profile is of the form (Knudson and Katz, 1958): 2 32 u ¼ uc ½1 ! aðr=r0 Þ ! bðr=r0 Þ ' ðA18Þ where a=0.204 and b=0.796. The average velocity uav-up is found from Eq. (A4): !Z uav!up =uav!down ¼ f½!2 lnðrw =r0 Þ þ ðrw =r0 Þ2 ! 1' " ½1 ! a=2 ! b=17'g=f½a þ 16b' " f½ðrw =r0 Þ2 þ 1' lnðrw =r0 Þ ! ðrw =r0 Þ2 þ 1gg: Then taking the ratio of Eqs. (A6 –12) and substituting Eq. (A23) for (uav-up/uav-down): Mup =Mdown ¼ ðqup =qdown Þ½ð1 ! a=2 ! b=17Þ =ða þ 16bÞ'½!2 lnðrw =r0 Þ þ ðrw =r0 Þ2 r0 ! ðrw =r0 Þ2 þ 1g½ðrw =r0 Þ2 ! 1'g: ðA24Þ 0 and so: uav!up ¼ uc ½1 ! a=2 ! b=17' ¼ 0:8512 uc : ðA23Þ ! 1'=ff½ðrw =r0 Þ2 þ 1'lnðrw =r0 Þ "#!Z r0 " 2purdr 2prdr 0 0 $ ¼ ½ð2uc Þ=r02 ' r2 =2 ! ar4 =ð4r02 Þ #% Z r0 &" 34r032 ! br34 uav!up ¼ Equating this to Eq. (A21) with r=r0, taking account of the fact that the upward and downward velocities have opposite signs: ðA19Þ Thus, for any choice of the ratio (rw/r0), the ratio of the upward and downward average velocities can be found from Eq. (A23) and of the upward and downward mass fluxes can be obtained from Eq. (A24). Some values of (uav-up/uav-down) are given in Table A2. However, in order to specify values of The first derivative of the velocity profile is: du=dr ¼ uc ½!2ar=r02 ! 32br31 =r032 ' ðA20Þ and using Eq. (A19) to write this in terms of uav-up, becomes: du=dr ¼ uav!up ½!2ar=r02 ! 32br =½1 ! a=2 ! b=17': 31 =r032 ' ðA21Þ This must now be equated to the first derivative of the annulus flow, Eq. (8), at r=r0. It is convenient to use Eq. (A11) to eliminate [(dP/dx)down/(4l)] from Eq. (A8) giving: du=dr ¼ ½2uav!down =frw2 þ r02 ! ½ðrw2 ! r02 Þ =lnðrw =r0 Þ'g' " f!2r þ ½ðrw2 ! r02 Þ =lnðrw =r0 Þ'ð1=rÞg: ðA22Þ Table A2 Values of the ratios of upward to downward magma mass flux and mean magma velocity as a function of the fraction of the conduit radius occupied by the upward flow for the case where the upward motion is turbulent and [qup/qdown]=0.024 r0 /rw Mup /Mdown uav-up /uav-down 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 0.95 0.96 0.97 0.99 0.999 0.9999 0.000011 0.000077 0.000269 0.000738 0.001823 0.004417 0.011349 0.035050 0.185045 0.840210 1.345392 2.450476 23.13130 2362.51119 236761.95087 0.046 0.076 0.113 0.161 0.228 0.327 0.492 0.821 1.808 3.782 4.769 9.702 19.569 197.171 1973.312 104 E.A. Parfitt / Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 134 (2004) 77–107 (Mup/Mdown), it is necessary to decide on a plausible value of (qup/qdown). The fragmented magma in the rising part of the conduit will have a bulk density qup given by: ð1=qup Þ ¼ ðn=qg Þ þ ½ð1 ! nÞ=qmelt ' ðA25Þ where n is the mass fraction of exsolved volatile, qg is the gas density and qmelt is the density of unvesiculated rising magma. Consider a typical basaltic melt having exsolved 0.25 wt.% H2O, i.e., a mass fraction n=0.0025; at a typical magmatic temperature of 1450 K, the density of this gas emerging from the vent, where the pressure is close to atmospheric, is f0.15 kg m!3. Thus, qup is f60 kg m!3. Using qdown=2500 kg m!3, as before, (qup/qdown)=0.024, and this value is used to generate the values of (Mup/ Mdown) in Table A2. It is much less easy in this case to specify the ratios of the maximum velocities and the pressure gradients. The normal treatment for turbulent flow is to relate the pressure gradient to the mean velocity by: r0 ðdP=dxÞup ¼ f qup u2av!up ðA26Þ where f is a dimensionless friction factor of order 10!3 for the case of motion of a fluid in a pipe with smooth walls (probably the best assumption in this case). However, Eq. (A26) assumes that there is no acceleration of the magma, whereas if the rising magma is fragmenting to form a lava fountain much of the ambient pressure decrease is used to accelerate the magma and very little is used to overcome wall friction. Thus, the value needed for (dP/dx)up in Eq. (A26) would be very much less than the value used in the slow-speed, laminar flow case and, furthermore, would change with depth below the surface. No attempt is made to take the analysis further here, but Table A2 shows that a given ratio of Mup/Mdown occurs much closer to the conduit wall in the case of turbulent upward flow than in the laminar case. 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