ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 27, NO. 6, 2010, 1233–1245 Observational Diagnosis of Cloud Phase in the Winter Antarctic Atmosphere for Parameterizations in Climate Models Yong-Sang CHOI∗1,2 , Chang-Hoi HO3 , Sang-Woo KIM3 , and Richard S. LINDZEN2 1 Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Korea 2 Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA 3 School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea (Received 19 October 2009; revised 8 March 2010) ABSTRACT The cloud phase composition of cold clouds in the Antarctic atmosphere is explored using data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) instruments for the period 2000–2006. We used the averaged fraction of liquid-phase clouds out of the total cloud amount at the cloud tops since the value is comparable in the two measurements. MODIS data for the winter months (June, July, and August) reveal liquid cloud fraction out of the total cloud amount significantly decreases with decreasing cloud-top temperature below 0◦ C. In addition, the CALIOP vertical profiles show that below the ice clouds, low-lying liquid clouds are distributed over ∼20% of the area. With increasing latitude, the liquid cloud fraction decreases as a function of the local temperature. The MODIS-observed relation between the cloud-top liquid fraction and cloud-top temperature is then applied to evaluate the cloud phase parameterization in climate models, in which condensed cloud water is repartitioned between liquid water and ice on the basis of the grid point temperature. It is found that models assuming overly high cut-offs (À −40◦ C) for the separation of ice clouds from mixed-phase clouds may significantly underestimate the liquid cloud fraction in the winter Antarctic atmosphere. Correction of the bias in the liquid cloud fraction would serve to reduce the large uncertainty in cloud radiative effects. Key words: cloud phase, mixed-phase clouds, polar cloud, cloud radiative effect, cloud parameterization Citation: Choi, Y.-S., C.-H. Ho, S.-W. Kim, and R. S. Lindzen, 2010: Observational diagnosis of cloud phase in the winter antarctic atmosphere for parameterizations in climate models. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 27(6), 1233–1245, doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-9175-3. 1. Introduction Polar clouds play an important role in global climate since they have large areal extent and persistence, strong interactions with radiation, and an inextricable link with snow and ice albedo feedbacks (Curry et al., 1996; Holland and Bitz, 2003; Vavrus, 2004). Any study of polar clouds must cope with the complexities of polar conditions: the highly reflecting snow and ice, the virtual absence of solar radiation for a large portion of the year, temperature and humidity inversions, and the simultaneous presence of liquid and ice clouds, etc. These issues have motivated numerous scientific field/aircraft experiments that aim to mea∗ sure the macro/microphysical properties of the clouds, mostly in the Arctic (Curry et al., 1996; Uttal, 2002; Verlinde, 2007). Observations show that ice clouds are ubiquitous over the polar region in the stable wintertime boundary layer (Curry et al., 1996). Optically thin and lowlying clouds also predominate (Curry et al., 1996), frequently with mixed-phase droplets (Shupe et al., 2006). Better quantification of these features over a wider area and longer period can be accomplished by further analyses using current satellite measurements. However, polar clouds pose a unique challenge to satellite-based remote sensing, particularly when using passive radiometer measurements; in the Inter- Corresponding author: Yong-Sang CHOI, [email protected] © China National Committee for International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (IAMAS), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) and Science Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2010 1234 OBSERVED VS. MODELED CLOUD PHASE IN THE WINTER ANTARCTIC ATMOSPHERE national Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), polar cloud properties have the largest errors (Rossow et al., 1993). Among the many cloud macro/microphysical properties, the cloud thermodynamic phase (i.e., liquid, ice, or mixed) is of vital importance in the polar climate because it determines the cloud radiative effects. In particular, modeling assumptions controlling the cloud phase are critical for the prediction of climate sensitivity, but the evaluation of these assumptions is only now beginning (IPCC, 2007). Theoretical and empirical studies suggest that the liquid cloud fraction decreases with sub-zero decreasing cloud temperatures, and becomes negligible below −40◦ C due to homogeneous ice nucleation of pure condensates (e.g., Rogers and Yau, 1989; Houze, 1993; Pruppacher and Klett, 1997). Based on our current understanding of the thermodynamics of clouds, to date most general circulation models (GCMs) estimate the cloud phase fraction very simply as a function of the grid point temperature between 0◦ C and −40◦ C; these parameterizations have no regard for complicated cloud microphysics which may depend on subgrid-scale phase transitions, ambient humidity, particle size, aerosol type and content, and so on. For this reason, some studies have attempted to evaluate the simplifications in GCMs using airborne observations (Gultepe and Isaac, 1997) as well as passive satellite measurements, e.g., by use of the Polarization and Directionality of the Earth Reflectances (POLDER-1) mission data (DoutriauxBoucher and Quaas, 2004; Weidle and Wernli, 2008), combined data from POLDER-1 and the Along Track Scanning Radiometer (ATSR-2) (Giraud et al., 2001), and the Earth Observing System’s Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) (Li et al., 2005, 2007). Such observations of the distribution of cloud phase in the current climate would provide a substantial constraint on model cloud feedbacks (Tsushima, 2006). The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument onboard the Terra satellite provides cloud phase data that spans seven years, which can be applied to longer-term validation of modeled cloud phase information (Weidle and Wernli, 2008). The MODIS cloud phase is retrieved by an infrared (IR) technique available during both day and night (Strabala, 1994; Menzel et al., 2006). This technique is based on the distinct IR-wavelength dependencies of the refractive indices of liquid water and ice. There is a great opportunity to validate the cloud phase retrieved by the MODIS instrument onboard the Aqua satellite by intercomparison with the VOL. 27 almost coincident measurements by the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) satellite; both satellites are part of the so-called “A-train” constellation and follow the same track with a short interval between them. CALIPSO carries onboard an active remote-sensing device called the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP), which provides unique information on the vertical cloud phase profile by using the depolarization/backscatter properties of cloud particles (Liu et al., 2005). This study aims to provide the observed liquid water fraction of cloudsa by analyzing combined MODIS and CALIOP measurements. Choi et al. (2010) applied this technique globally, but this study focuses on the Antarctic atmosphere (40◦ –90◦ S) for the winter months (June, July, and August; JJA) using more detailed analyses. We calculated the fraction of liquid clouds at the cloud tops, as well as for whole cloud columns, as recognized by the CALIOP measurements. On the basis of our calculations, the bulk relation between the cloud phase fraction and temperature in current model parameterizations was evaluated using MODIS cloud-top temperature retrievals for the same field-of-view as for the cloud-top phase retrievals. This paper is organized as follows: Section 2 describes the details of the satellite data and analysis methods used to calculate the liquid water fraction. We also present the cloud phase parameterizations in current GCMs. Section 3 presents space-viewed horizontal and vertical distributions of the liquid water fraction in the winter Antarctic atmosphere. Section 4 presents the difference between the model and the satellite-retrieved liquid water fraction, and suggests an optimal function for the liquid water fraction with respect to the temperature for the model parameterization. In section 5, we discuss the observed liquid water fraction, as well as the possible influence of the biased model estimates of cloud phase on the polar climate simulation to conclude this paper. 2. 2.1 Data and methods MODIS cloud phase We used the MODIS gridded level-3 atmospheric data (MOD08, Collection 4) from the Terra satellite compiled for the southern hemispheric (SH) winter months (JJA) over seven years (2000–2006) to examine the liquid water fraction. MOD08 contains the 1◦ ×1◦ gridded values calculated from the MODIS level-2 cloud product (MOD06). We also used MOD06 a Below −20◦ C, the stated liquid water fraction of clouds may partly contain signal from horizontally oriented ice particles (Hu et al., 2009) and (quasi-) spherical ice particles (that are used to indicate any small, frozen, droxtal- or spheroid-shaped ice particles) (Choi et al., 2010). However, in this paper, we shall use the term ‘liquid’ as flagged by the current satellite algorithms. NO. 6 1235 CHOI ET AL. (Collection 5) data from the Aqua satellite for August 2006 for pixel-scale analyses. Details of the improvements in the Collection 5 data over those of previous collections can be found elsewhere (Baum et al., 2005; King et al., 2006; Yang et al., 2007); however, the bispectral IR test remains the same. These MODIS data contain various cloud property retrievals, such as the cloud phase and cloud-top temperature at a 5×5-km nadir resolution (Platnick et al., 2003). The recent MODIS cloud phase product is derived in two ways: via a shortwave IR test and a bispectral IR test. The shortwave IR test uses the visible, shortwave IR, and thermal bands (King et al., 2006), whereas the bispectral IR test uses the thermal bands only. The shortwave IR test is known to better realize the cloud phase by using more bands, but more significant bias may occur in the dry and high-angle scattering atmosphere at high latitudes. Also, the cloud phase cannot be retrieved by the shortwave IR test at nighttime. Because solar radiation is virtually absent over most of the polar region during the months under study, we used the MODIS cloud phase derived from the bispectral IR test. The cloud phase product includes four categories: liquid, ice, mixed, and uncertain phases. The bispectral IR test involves only the 8.5- and 11-µm bands for the current MODIS algorithm (Menzel et al., 2006). The current MODIS algorithm (for both collection 4 and 5), therefore, firstly identifies water by static thresholds: (1) BT11 >285 K and (BT8.5 − BT11 )6−0.5 K, or (2) BT11 >238 K and (BT8.5 − BT11 )<−1.0 K, where BT8.5 and BT11 stand for the brightness temperatures in the 8.5- and 11-µm bands, respectively. The ice phase is identified last if the pixels cannot pass all the decision tests in the MODIS algorithm; it uses BT11 6238 K or (BT8.5 − BT11 )>0.5 K (Menzel et al., 2006). Note that the relation BT11 > cloud temperature is always true due to the surface emission, so that liquid cloud temperature can have a value lower than 238 K. The underlying physical principle behind the MODIS bispectral IR test is based on the dependence of absorption and emission by clouds on the refractive index. If ice and liquid clouds have the same temperature (or the same altitude) and similar microphysical sizes and shape distributions, the 8.5-µm cloud radiance may not depend greatly on the thermodynamic phase, whereas the radiance at 11 µm shows obvious dependence. This makes the BT difference between the 8.5- and 11-µm bands an effective method for cloud phase determination. However, the behavior of the IR radiances at these bands for both ice and liquid clouds requires a more complete accounting. In particular, they are dependent on (1) atmospheric absorption by gases such as water vapor; (2) the scattering proper- ties of ice and liquid clouds, which are in turn based on the particle size distributions (for ice clouds, particle habit distributions); (3) surface emissivity; and (4) cloud height (Menzel et al., 2006). These factors may cause uncertainty in the cloud phase identified by the simple MODIS threshold test that is valid for singlelayer opaque clouds, and it has been noticed that the uncertainty often arises in the other cloud types such as broken, thin, and black clouds, especially in the temperature range between 250 K and 265 K (Baum et al., 2000; Choi et al., 2005; Menzel et al., 2006; Chiriaco et al., 2007; Nasiri and Kahn, 2008). Since thin and low-lying clouds occur predominantly in the polar regions (Curry et al., 1996), uncertainty in the MODIS cloud phase may be unavoidable. In this study, we also used the MODIS cloud-top temperature to relate with the cloud phase composition in cold clouds. MODIS cloud-top temperature is independently retrieved by a CO2 slicing method using CO2 absorption bands within 13.2–14.4 µm (Menzel et al., 2006). It is noteworthy that there could be inconsistencies between MODIS cloud-top temperature and cloud phase in the presence of low-lying liquid clouds below high cirrus clouds; the CO2 slicing method distinguishes the presence of cirrus clouds, while the bispectral IR test cannot do so. MODIS cloud phase can be liquid in the case of cirrus clouds (Choi et al., 2005). 2.2 CALIOP cloud phase The payload aboard CALIPSO is comprised of CALIOP, a three-channel imaging infrared radiometer, and a wide-field camera (Winker et al., 2007); http://www-calipso.larc.nasa.gov). This study focuses on the down-looking CALIOP instrument, which emits polarized light at both 1064 and 532 nm with a pulse energy of 110 mJ and pulse repetition rate of 20.25 Hz; polarization discrimination is only performed for the 532 nm channel (Winker et al., 2007). The CALIPSO lidar cloud-aerosol discrimination algorithm utilizes the layer mean attenuated backscatter at 532 nm, the layer-integrated 1064–532-nm volume color ratio, and the mid-layer altitude to distinguish between clouds and aerosols on the basis of probability distribution functions (Liu et al., 2004). The ability of CALIOP to determine the cloud base height of opaque clouds is, however, limited by the strong lidar return-signal attenuation. The CALIOP cloud phase is determined by the layer-integrated particle depolarization ratio at 532 nm (δ532 , the ratio between the perpendicular and parallel backscatter intensities) and the cloud-top and bottom temperatures. The backscatter signal of a linearly polarized laser beam from spherical particles (i.e., liquid clouds) is totally linearly polarized (δ532 ≈ 1236 OBSERVED VS. MODELED CLOUD PHASE IN THE WINTER ANTARCTIC ATMOSPHERE 0). If particles are nonspherical (ice crystals, snow flakes, or dust particles), or the measured backscatter signal has a multiple scattering contribution (e.g., optically thick liquid clouds), the backscattered lidar signal will contain a cross-polarized component (0 < δ532 < 1). Ice crystals typically have δ532 in the range of 0.3–0.5. The impact of multiple scattering on cloud phase discrimination is evaluated by a Monte Carlo simulation scheme (Hu et al., 2001). In cases where cloud phase discrimination using δ532 is ambiguous, the CALIOP algorithm identifies cloud phase by additionally using the cloud temperature: cloudbottom temperature < −45◦ C for ice clouds (Pruppacher, 1995), cloud-top temperature > 0◦ C for liquid clouds, and −45◦ C< cloud-top/bottom temperatures <0◦ C indicates that either ice, liquid, or a mixture of the two exists. Complete descriptions of the CALIOP algorithm can be found in Liu et al. (2005). In this study, the cloud phase retrieval from the CALIPSO lidar level-2 vertical feature mask (version 2.01) for August 2006 is compared with the MOD06 data on a pixel scale to examine the vertical features of the cloud layers. These data currently have two categories: liquid and ice phase, and the presence of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) is also additionally indicated where appropriate. Note that mixed phase information is not available in the current CALIOP data stream. From the surface to an altitude of 8.2 km, the horizontal and vertical resolutions of the data are 333 m and 30 m, respectively. For higher altitudes, from 8.2 to 20.2 km, the resolutions are coarser (1000 m horizontally and 60 m vertically). An evaluation of CALIOP cloud phase retrievals was recently made using ground lidar measurements (Chiriaco et al., 2007), confirming its superior capability to discriminate cloud phase compared to passive remote sensing. However, very recently, it was found that the present CALIOP algorithm may not guarantee to distinguish liquid droplets from horizontally oriented ice particles (Hu et al., 2009) and quasi-spherical ice particles (Choi et al., 2010). We note that this problem is embedded in the data used in this study. 2.3 Calculation of satellite liquid water fraction The liquid water fraction of cloud tops fliq,top for a given 1◦ -grid box is calculated using the aforementioned satellite cloud phase retrievals according to: nliq fliq,top = , (1) nliq + nmix + nice where nliq , nmix , and nice refer to the numbers of cloudy pixels in a two-dimensional satellite field identified as indicating liquid, mixed, and ice phases, respectively. The undetermined cloud phase flag is not VOL. 27 taken into account; consideration of this phase results in a reduced liquid water fraction. In the calculation with MOD08 level-3 data, all the detected pixels are taken within grid boxes that contain over 100 cloudy pixels (nliq +nmix +nice ), i.e., cloudy indications at 16% of the maximum 625 pixels are required for statistical confidence. However, in the calculation with MOD06 level-2 data and CALIOP data, the pixels are confined to the coincident footprints for the two measurements. For the CALIOP vertical cloud phase profile, the pixels in Eq. (1) are counted at the cloud tops prior to those at all the other layers. We also count a given pixel as being in the liquid phase if any underlying cloud is identified as a liquid cloud below the ice clouds in the CALIOP vertical profile. Hereafter, we refer to the concept of the liquid water fraction for the total cloud column (fliq,col ). Since considerably more liquid-phase pixels are counted in this way, the liquid water fraction for the total cloud column is higher than or equal to the value at cloud top (fliq,col > fliq,top ). 2.4 Cloud phase parameterizations in GCMs In most current GCMs, the total condensate at the ith level is initially allotted to liquid and ice phases by assuming that the liquid water fraction increases with the grid-point ambient temperature at the ith level in the range between the minimum (Tmin ) and maximum temperature bounds (Tmax ): µ fliq,i = Ti − Tmin Tmax − Tmin ¶n , for Tmin 6 Ti 6 Tmax , (2) where fliq,i indicates the liquid water fraction of the condensate at the ith level. This equation indicates that the condensed water is purely liquid above Tmax and purely ice below Tmin . The model cloud phase parameterizations considered in this study include the Seoul National University GCM (SNU), Smith (1990) (S90), the Laboratorie de Météorologie Dynamique GCM (LMD), the ECMWF 40-year reanalyses (ERA40), the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model version 3.0 (CAM3), and Del Genio et al. (1996) (D96). These models have constant parameters (Tmin , Tmax , n) in Eq. (2): (−15◦ C, 0◦ C, 1) for SNU (Lee et al., 2001), (−15◦ C, 0◦ C, 2) for S90, (−15◦ C, 0◦ C, 6) for LMD (Doutriaux-Boucher and Quaas, 2004), (−23◦ C, 0◦ C, 2) for ERA40 (Weidle and Wernli, 2008), and (−40◦ C, −10◦ C, 1) for CAM3 (Collins et al., 2004). However, D96 introduces a slightly different parameterization for the Goddard Institute for Space NO. 6 Studies (GISS) GCM: · µ ¶n ¸ Tmax − Ti fliq,i = exp − , 15 for Tmin 6 Ti 6 Tmax , (3) where the parameters (Tmin , Tmax , n) are set to (−40◦ C, −4◦ C, 2) over the ocean and (−40◦ C, −10◦ C, 2) over land. The temperature bounds in D96 are somewhat similar to the current settings in CAM3. However, Eq. (3) for D96 implies an equal probability for liquid and ice formation at −16.5◦ C (ocean) and −22.5◦ C (land), while Eq. (2) for CAM3 implies an equal probability at −25◦ C. Note that this study simply uses the parameter for the ocean in D96. 3. 1237 CHOI ET AL. The mean cloud phase composition in MODIS and CALIOP observations E1 20 180 180 Previous studies suggest that a natural cloud can be composed of unfrozen liquid (i.e., supercooled) droplets in the temperature range of 0◦ C to about −40◦ C (Rogers and Yau, 1989; Houze, 1993; Pruppacher and Klett, 1997). Below about −40◦ C, water droplets freeze spontaneously without the aid of foreign nuclei. Recent field/aircraft observations in the Arctic have revealed that very few liquid droplets can exist at temperatures below −35◦ C, with a 90% probability that cloud particles will be composed of ice crystals (Curry et al., 1996; Shupe et al., 2006; Verlinde, 2007). Significant ice crystal nucleation routinely occurs at temperatures as high as −15◦ C to −20◦ C, according to observations by Curry et al. (1990) in the Arctic during April 1983 and 1986. Undoubtedly, clouds with top temperatures above −20◦ C can certainly contain liquid water droplets that coexist with the ice crystals at the cloud top. To determine the climatological amount of liquid cloud water, we calculate the winter-mean horizontal distribution of the MODIS liquid and ice cloud fractions in percentiles at cloud tops over the extratropics and the Antarctic (40◦ –90◦ S) for the seven years (Fig. 1). Here, the sum of the ice and liquid water fractions is 100%. The cloud-top liquid water fraction fliq,top exhibits an almost zonally symmetric decrease with increasing latitude, whereas the opposite is observed for the ice fraction (Figs. 1a and 1b). Zonal means of fraction and temperature (Fig. 1c) indicate that fliq,top is roughly 50%±20% within the latitudes 65◦ –40◦ S where the mean cloud-top temperature is between −40◦ C and –20◦ C. This is a much higher percentile than expected; presumably, the large fliq,top may be derived from individual convective clouds that are highly smoothed in this climatological view. As 20 W1 E1 20 S80 S80 W6 0 0 E6 S60 20 W1 W6 0 0 E6 S60 0 0 S40 S40 Fig. 1. (a) Liquid water and (b) ice fractions at cloud tops for each 1◦ -grid box from the MODIS data over the extratropics and the Antarctic (40◦ –90◦ S), averaged for the winter (June–July–August) months of 2000–2006. Green curves show the wintermean cloud-top temperature observed by MODIS. Zonal means of fraction (black) and temperature (red) in (a) and (b) are given in (c). OBSERVED VS. MODELED CLOUD PHASE IN THE WINTER ANTARCTIC ATMOSPHERE E1 20 E1 20 20 W1 S80 20 W1 S80 W6 0 0 E6 W6 0 0 E6 S60 S60 20 W1 S80 W6 0 0 E6 Liquid fraction (%) 0 S40 180 0 S40 E1 20 VOL. 27 180 180 1238 S60 0 S40 Fig. 2. Liquid water fraction for each 1◦ -grid box calculated for coincident footprints of (a) MODIS and (b) CALIOP for the cloud tops, and (c) for the total cloud columns for August 2006. Zonal means of the values in (a)–(c) are given in (c). we discuss later, a more accurate relationship between cloud-top temperature and fliq,top should be obtained from a calculation of fliq,top with respect to temperature bins (section 4). We evaluated the uncertainty in the MODIS fliq,top by comparing with CALIOP fliq,top values for coincident footprints for a winter month (Figs. 2a and 2b). The retrieval algorithms for the MODIS and CALIOP cloud phase are based on completely different physics (sections 2.1 and 2.2), so there is a reasonable basis for confidence if the MODIS and CALIOP fliq,top values agree with each other. The horizontal distributions of fliq,top in both satellite measurements are clearly similar. The fliq,top values decrease with an increase in latitude, with values similar to the seven-year wintertime average in Fig. 1. Then, we further calculated the CALIOP liquid fraction for the total cloud column (fliq,col ) in Fig. 2c, in which the liquid clouds underlying the ice clouds are considered (see detailed method in Section 2.3). The result shows that the CALIOP fliq,col is much larger than the CALIOP fliq,top over the whole analysis domain (Fig. 2d). The CALIOP fliq,col also decreases with increasing latitude; it covers as much as 20% of the total cloudy area at 80◦ S. The MODIS and CALIOP results at the cloud tops are generally in good agreement (within a range of 10%, see Fig. 3a). This suggests there is ∼10% potential relative uncertainty in the current fliq,top values on average. However, at some grid points (∼6% of the total), considerable differences exist (some larger than 70%, see Fig. 3a). This may be due to the presence of several factors: broken, thin, black, and multilayer clouds (Baum et al., 2000; Choi et al., 2005; Menzel et al., 2006), semi-spherical (droxtal) ice particles (Choi et al., 2009), horizontally oriented ice particles (Hu et al., 2009), and/or different cloud tops being detected and represented by the two measurements. The difference between the MODIS and CALIOP results is much larger for the total cloud column (Fig. 3b). In a zonal mean sense, the difference in the liquid water fraction 1239 CHOI ET AL. 180° 180° NO. 6 ° E1 2 20 W1 0° E1 20 S80° 0° E6 ° 20 W1 ° S80° W6 0° S60° 0° S60° 0° 0° S40° 'LIIHUHQFH S40° W6 0° E6 /DWLWXGH Fig. 3. Difference between MODIS and CALIOP liquid water fractions (a) at cloud tops, and (b) for the total cloud column. Zonal means of the values in (a) and (b) are given in (c). between the cloud tops and the total column is approximately 20% (Fig. 3c). This implies that clouds with considerable loadings of liquid water (but overlooked by passive satellite devices due to contamination by the upper-level ice clouds) could be ubiquitous in the winter Antarctic atmosphere. To clarify the primary conditions that may have caused the differences between the MODIS and CALIOP fliq,top values, we present some individual cases that represent inconsistent cloud-top phase retrievals. Figure 4 shows the MODIS cloud phase (top and middle) and CALIOP vertical cloud phase (bottom) for different cases. The MODIS cloud phase corresponding to the CALIOP track (sky-blue line) is superimposed on the CALIOP vertical image for better comparison. Four exceptional conditions must be addressed. The first exists when low-lying liquid clouds exist below ice clouds comprising tropospheric cirrus and PSCs (top heights: 15–25 km; see Fig. 4a, Case I). Clearly, MODIS identifies these pixels as corresponding to liquid or mixed phases if the high clouds are optically moderately or very thin. This is because the radiation emitted from the high cloud tops is highly contaminated by that emitted from the underlying low clouds. A second key situation occurs when low-lying liquid clouds cannot be identified by the MODIS al- gorithm (Fig. 4b, Case II). The major causes may include gaseous absorption above low-lying clouds, surface emission, and temperature inversions at the lowest level. A third case exists when some ice particles that are often identified as liquid phase in CALIOP [e.g., quasi-spherical ice clouds (Choi et al., 2010) or horizontally oriented ice clouds (Hu et al., 2009)] exist at altitudes of ∼15 km; MODIS identifies these as all-ice clouds (Fig. 4c, Case III). The fourth condition occurs when CALIOP identifies a considerable amount of tropospheric (or stratospheric) ice clouds, which cannot be detected by the MODIS cloud screening algorithm (Fig. 4d, Case IV). The major reason for this should be the drawbacks of the MODIS cloud screening algorithm under conditions including snow/ice surfaces and PSCs (Ackerman et al., 1998) because Case IV frequently occurs over the Antarctic continent (70◦ – 80◦ S), particularly for PSCs. The opposite case— where MODIS clouds are undetected by CALIOP— is present for a negligible fraction of cases. For all these exceptional situations, it should be noted that the CALIOP cloud phase retrieval has a large uncertainty for low-lying clouds under opaque clouds and the lower parts of optically thick clouds because the CALIOP lidar signal experiences considerable attenuation under such conditions. Finally, it is noted that Cases I and II are common in the analyzed region. 1240 OBSERVED VS. MODELED CLOUD PHASE IN THE WINTER ANTARCTIC ATMOSPHERE (a) W100° W80° (b) E160° 0550 UTC 12 August 2006 S50° S50° MODIS 180° MODIS W160° 1150 UTC 2 August 2006 S60° S60° S60° S60° S70° Liquid Mixed Ice Uncertain W120° W100° W60° Height (Km) 20 15 CALIOP 10 5 0 Lat S55.03 S59.36 Lon W73.78 W76.28 W140° W80° (c) MODIS S70° W40°MODIS Liquid Mixed Ice Uncertain S70° E140° E160° 180° W160° W140° 20 15 CALIOP 10 5 0 S69.42 S71.88 Lat S61.00 S65.26 W89.25 Lon W166.99 W170.45 W175.11 180° W120° Height (Km) S70° S63.65 S67.81 W79.42 W83.50 W120° (d) 2315 UTC 13 August 2006 MODIS S73.38 E178.28 W160° S77.08 E167.95 1050 UTC 12 August 2006 S60° S60° S60° S60° S70° S70° S70° VOL. 27 Liquid Mixed Ice Uncertain W160° W140° W120° W100° W80° MODIS E120° 20 15 CALIOP 10 5 0 S61.73 S57.42 Lat S66.61 S70.74 W128.63 W131.44 Lon W156.35 W161.55 W120° W100° Height (Km) Height (Km) 20 15 CALIOP 10 5 0 Lat S74.03 S70.07 Lon W113.00 W120.14 Liquid Mixed Ice Uncertain S70° S65.93 W125.04 S74.66 W169.18 S78.15 E178.80 S80.84 E158.59 Fig. 4. Cloud phase results obtained by the MODIS infrared technique (top and middle) and by the CALIOP vertical feature mask algorithm (bottom) for (a) 0550 UTC 12, (b) 1150 UTC 2, (c) 2315 UTC 3, and (d) 1050 UTC 12 August 2006. Black shaded area indicates clear skies. The sky-blue line indicates the CALIOP track corresponding to the bottom image. Case IV is predominant particularly at 70◦ –80◦ S due to PSCs. 4. Evaluation of GCM cloud phase parameterizations In the previous section, the grid-based calculations based on both the passive and active satellite measurements (MODIS and CALIOP, respectively) show the average fraction of liquid clouds in the winter Antarctic atmosphere. The fraction is, however, varying as a function mainly of cloud temperature. Here, we show explicit relationships between fliq,top and the cloud-top temperature for given domains (Fig. 5). To this end, the grid-mean cloud-top temperature from MODIS is binned in 1◦ C intervals between −70◦ C and 10◦ C. For a given temperature bin, the mean (thick curve) and standard error of the corresponding fliq,top is calculated; the error bars shown are 20 times the standard error for better representation of statistical confidence. Our focus is on the winter Antarctic atmosphere, but other regions also demonstrate the regional discrepancy in the relationship. The region is divided into high (> 60◦ ), middle (30◦ –60◦ ), and low latitudes NO. 6 100 MODIS (60-90N, JJA) MODIS (30-60N, JJA) MODIS (30S-30N, JJA) MODIS (30-60S, JJA) MODIS (60-90S, JJA) ERA40 CAM3 D96 SNU S90 LMD Liquid water fraction (%) 80 60 40 20 0 -70 1241 CHOI ET AL. -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 Grid-mean cloud temperature (°C) 0 10 Fig. 5. Liquid water fraction at cloud tops versus gridmean cloud-top temperature observed by MODIS for different latitudes for JJA. The error bar corresponds to 20 times the standard error of the mean. The functions (black and gray) assumed for the cloud phase parameterizations in the GCMs include CAM3, the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model version 3.0, Del Genio et al. (1996; D96), the ECMWF 40-year reanalyses (ERA40), Smith (1990; S90), the Laboratorie de Météorologie Dynamique GCM (LMD), and the Seoul National University GCM (SNU). Thicker lines indicate the observations and reanalysis estimate. (<30◦ ) for the period of June through August. For all the regions, fliq,top has a nearly linear relationship with the cloud-top temperature in the range of mixed ice and liquid clouds. The value of fliq,top at temperatures colder than −40◦ C, as well as the value of (100% −fliq,top ) at temperatures warmer than 0◦ C, indicate that the level of uncertainty is ∼10%, which is comparable to the level evaluated from the comparison of the two satellite measurements. The relationship varies depending on region and season. The discrepancy in the shape of the function and the unexpected threshold temperature may result from regionally different ice nuclei types and content, cloud convection intensity, subgrid-scale phase variability (Gultepe and Isaac, 1997), or relevant retrieval problems. The observations were compared with the GCM parameterizations [Eqs. (2) and (3)], which are displayed together in Fig. 5. Similarities are found between CAM3 and MODIS for the Antarctic winter, and between D96 and MODIS for the Arctic summer. However, most of the models present a lack of liquid clouds at temperatures higher than the observational cut-off of −47◦ C. This discrepancy causes significant underestimation of the liquid water fraction by the GCMs. Figure 6 compares fliq,top from the models and fliq,top from MODIS for JJA 2000–2006 over the extra- tropics and the Antarctic (40◦ –90◦ S). The model fields are calculated from Eqs. (2) and (3) using the MODIS grid-mean cloud-top temperature. Clearly, S90 and ERA40 underestimate fliq,top by a large amount (over 40%) particularly in the band 50◦ –60◦ S (Figs. 5a and 5b). D96 shows a relatively small underestimation (∼10% to 20%) in the same region (Fig. 6c). CAM3 is in better agreement with the MODIS observations, with slight overestimation by 10% to 20% over some areas at latitudes of around 60◦ –70◦ S. The zonal means of the differences in the fractions reconfirm and summarize the aforementioned comparison results (Fig. 6e). Additionally, we compare the model fliq,top results with the MODIS observations for the Arctic summer (Fig. 7). As in Fig. 6, considerable underestimation (over 10%) is found in S90 and ERA40 (Figs. 7a and 7b). D96 is generally in better agreement with the MODIS observations (within 10%, see Fig. 7c), though some specific regions over land show discrepancies larger than 10%. In contrast, large overestimations (over 10%) are found in CAM3, particularly over land (e.g., over Greenland and Alaska, see Fig. 7d). The discrepancy increases with latitude (Fig. 7e) because the temperature of the summer Arctic atmosphere is mostly within the range corresponding to mixed ice and liquid clouds (i.e., –40◦ C to 0◦ C). Therefore, the largest bias in fliq,top is found in the Arctic regions. It should be noted that the model biases with respect to the observations in the summer Arctic atmosphere have quite different spatial patterns from those in the SH (compare Figs. 6 and 7). This is certainly due to the region- and season-dependent relationship between fliq,top and cloud-top temperature, as shown in Fig. 5. These results indicate that current models that assume constant thresholds for the repartition of cloud water would produce significantly biased liquid cloud fractions for the polar atmosphere. For most of the GCMs, the assumption of overly high thresholds for complete ice formation may underestimate or simply ignore a large proportion of the liquid clouds in the polar atmosphere. The plausible impact of the abundant liquid clouds on the polar climate is discussed in the next section. 5. Conclusions and discussion This study investigated the distributions of liquid water fraction in the winter Antarctic clouds using satellite observations for the purpose of testing current cloud phase parameterizations in GCMs. We analyzed the most up-to-date satellite measurements, MODIS and CALIOP. These represent passive and active de- OBSERVED VS. MODELED CLOUD PHASE IN THE WINTER ANTARCTIC ATMOSPHERE E1 ° 20 20 ° W1 E1 2 W1 20 ° S80° 0° E6 W6 0 0° S60° 0° 180° 180° 0° S40° 20 W1 0° ° E1 ° 0° S80° W6 ° 2 W1 20 S80° 0 E6 ° S60° S40° E1 2 0° S80° W6 0° E6 VOL. 27 180° 180° 1242 0° S60° W6 0° 0° E6 S60° 0° S40° Difference (%) 0° S40° Fig. 6. Comparison of the mean liquid water fraction at cloud top for JJA of 2000–2006 over the extratropics and the Antarctic (40◦ −90◦ S) from the MODIS data versus from the GCM parameterizations in (a) S90, (b) ERA40, (c) D96, and (d) CAM3. Zonal means of the values in (a)–(d) are given in (e). vices, respectively, making them complementary to each other. We calculated the fraction of liquid clouds at the cloud tops as well as for whole cloud columns. Our results show that the winter Antarctic atmosphere has abundant liquid clouds in the range of temperatures between −40◦ C to 0◦ C with space- and timedependent relationships between liquid cloud fraction and temperature. We have considered the liquid cloud fraction below −40◦ C as uncertain in current phase retrievals. The cloud particles that are identified as liquid at temperatures below −40◦ C in these satellite retrievals may not necessarily be liquid, but rather frozen spheres which have not developed crystalline faces (Mason, 1952; Madonna et al., 1961), semi-spherical (droxtal) ice particles (Choi et al., 2009), and/or horizontally oriented ice plates (Hu et al., 2009). Recent measurements also reveal that, at extremely cold temperatures down to −80◦ C, clouds could be composed of nitric acid compounds that can be found either in ice or liquid phase (Omar and Gardner, 2001; Noel et al., 2008). However, the true phase of such particles could not be confirmed in these satellite retrievals, and accurate determination requires direct sampling of cloud 1243 CHOI ET AL. E1 20 180° 180° NO. 6 ° 20 W1 ° E1 20 S80° S80° W6 0 0° E6 ° W6 0 0° E6 S60° ° S60° 0° S40° S40° 180° 180° 0° E1 0° 2 W1 ° ° 20 20 W1 ° E1 S80° S80° W6 0 ° 60 E 0° 2 W1 20 ° ° S60° W6 0 ° 60 E ° S60° 0° S40° Difference (%) 0° S40° Fig. 7. Same as in Fig. 6, except for the Arctic in JJA. particles. The observations are used to evaluate the cloud phase parameterizations in current GCMs that repartition condensed cloud water between liquid water and ice as a function of the local temperature. The relationship between the MODIS cloud-top phase and cloud-top temperature in a grid-mean sense is highly dependent on season and region. Therefore, current models that assume overly high (low) cut-offs for the complete glaciation of cold clouds would simulate a significantly lower (higher) liquid cloud fraction in the winter Antarctic atmosphere, particularly between the latitudes of 50◦ –60◦ S. The clouds, identified as liquid phase by satellite sensors, have radiative properties different from those of typical ice particles for both shortwave and longwave frequencies (Liou, 2002); liq- uid cloud particles generally have a higher extinction optical thickness than do ice particles. For this reason, the increase in liquid cloud fraction in GCM simulations may lead to increased optical thickness (i.e., albedo) of mixed-phase clouds. We note that the increase in liquid cloud fraction in GCMs might extend to affecting various climate processes that are associated with polar surface/air temperatures, SH westerlies, and sea-ice feedbacks. A series of climate model runs using a coupled mixed-layer ocean model showed that the underestimation of liquid clouds may cause significantly biased climate simulations, especially for surface temperatures at high latitudes (Ho et al., 1998); the temperature change at high latitudes was mostly associated with sea-ice feedback. 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