Institutions, socio-economic models and development: An overview of the literature and a methodology François COMBARNOUS and Eric ROUGIER University of Bordeaux – GREThA UMR CNRS 5113 The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: theoretical settings Why is there so much variety in the institutions and regulations ? • Facts: Diversity of the national systems of institutions and regulations • One function / Several forms • China, « western style » ? The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: theoretical settings How can we assess this diversity? • NIE or NCD: Diversity as an institutional gap / A narrow view on the diversity of institutional forms / coarse data and overuse of instruments • CPE, VoC: diversity of socio-economic models • but OECD capitalisms / Asian model (Amable, 2003) • Then, socio-economic models can be defined as original systems of institutions and regulations that display a long lasting efficiency and support in regard of the objective (and the means) that are valued by the majority of the population The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: theoretical settings What is the « comparative advantage » of our approach? • Against the low dimensionality of the benchmark approach to reform, our approach adopts a broad perspective of the institutions as systems • We focus on similarities and differences between institutions and regulation mechanisms across nations regarding: • Competition and labour regulations, finance and corporate governance, training and education, social protection systems, agriculture and environmental regulations, … • … and the observable complementarities between these fields • How do they relate one with another? Do they give rise to specific, new or already known, configurations of capitalism? The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: theoretical settings Why focusing on emerging economies among all LDCs? • Countries that have experimented original mixes of institutions and regulations are mostly emerging ones • Institutional divergence does not impede the convergence in performance • Institutional divergence ⇒ risk diversification for the World economy • Piecemeal and experimentation vs global reform: accounting for complementarities • Useful clues for OECD economies? The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: methodological options Questions and area of study: • Who (and also what) are the emerging countries ? • Which are the institutional configurations that support countries emergence ? • The area of study has to consider all the economies in the world, except for the smallest ones for data availability reasons The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: methodological options Separately considering the different dimensions of emergence… • Agriculture Exhaustive data collection • Education system Agriculture database Education database • Environmental issues • Competition / Regulation and International integration • Development financing, financial market and banking system • Labour market • Social welfare Labour market database The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: methodological options … to produce original and relevant classifications of countries, regarding each dimension PCA / K-means Agriculture database Education database MCA / HCA PCA / K-means MCA / HCA Environmental database PCA / K-means MCA / HCA AG1, AG2, …, AGNag ED1, ED2, …, EDNed EV1, EV2, …, EVNev New “qualitative” cross-section database The effects of institutions and socio-economic models on development: methodological options A tool to answer some of our questions New qualitative cross-section database MCA / HCA ►Who are the emerging countries ? ►How do they emerge ? ►Do emerging countries constitute an homogeneous group ? ►Is there an « emergence path » ? ►Are they several « ways » to emerge ? ►One country, one emergence ? An example of collected data : the labour market database For each considered country from Afghanistan to Zimbabwe and for each available year back to 1980 LABOUR FORCE COMPOSITION JOB SECURITY AND EARNINGS • Labour force participation by gender / age • Share of working poor • Employment to population ratio • Minimum wage • Child labour • Work contract protection • Wage workers in working population • Factory inspectorate • Share of public employment FUNDAMENTAL CONVENTIONS AND COLLECTIVE BARGAINING • Ratification of int. labour standards INFORMAL ACTIVITY • Union rights • Share of vulnerable employment • Collective bargaining • Employment in the informal sector • Labour troubles QUALITATIVE DATABASE Countries 2007 "Type of agriculture" Afghanistan Albania Algeria Angola Argentina ………. ………. Vietnam Virgin Islands (U.S.) Yemen, Rep. Zambia Zimbabwe Countries 2006 AG Afghanistan ………. Zimbabwe ………. ………. ………. Countries 1980 AG Afghanistan ………. Zimbabwe "Type of education system" "Type of "Type of "Type of "Type of "Type of environmental competition / development financial international considerations" regulation" financing" market » integration" "Type of labour market" "Type of social welfare" ED EV CR DF FM II LM SW ED EV CR DF FM II LM SW Who are the emerging countries ? F2 Industrialized countries Emerging countries F1 Less developed countries How do they emerge ? SW1 ED2CR1 FM2 FM3 LM4 II4 CG3 Less developed countries AG2 DF1 EV1 SW3 II2 LM3 CG2 Emerging countries CR3 ED1 CG1 F2 II1 AG3 DF2 II3 EV2 FM1 CR2 ED3 Industrialized countries SW ED4 LM2 AG1 F1 LM1 2 F2 « Emergence path » ? Industrialized countries g in g r e Em tries n cou F1 Less developed countries F2 « One specific way » ? ing Emerg es ri count Industrialized countries F1 Less developed countries F2 « Several ways of emergence » ? in g g r e Em tries n Cou up 1 Gro Less developed countries Industrialized countries F1 g ing r e m E tries n u o C p3 Grou ging r e m E tries n u o C p2 Grou « One country / One emergence process » ? F2 Emerging country 2 Emerging country 1 Emerging country 3 Emerging country 9 Emerging country 10 Emerging country 1 Emerging country 12 Industrialized countries Emerging country 5 Emerging country 13 F1 Emerging country 7 Less developed countries Emerging country 4 Emerging country 14 Emerging country 1 Emerging country 6 Emerging country 11 Possible complementarities between institutions and regulations in the case of LDCs Labor Competition on product markets Coordination and Liberalization Social Welfare Demand (China) Skills upgrading Education Bank and finance Trade and FDI Agriculture Environment Comparative Labour and advantage investment Gains from openness / Protection Export vs Subsistence Pollutions and innovations Skills upgrading Deregulation Surplus towards industry Employment creation via innovation Social dumping Redistribution reduction Informal protections Reduction of inequalities Skills and comparative advantage upgrading Productivity, sustainability Sustainable consumption Exchange reserves Microcredit Clean development and access to international financing Struggle for land Rents from Commodities Informal activities Labor Decent labour Demand support Social welfare Education Bank and finance Trade and FDI Agriculture Remittances Volatility Fiscal policy Pension funds Microcredit Pollution deforestation
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