Trends in presentation of bone and soft tissue sarcomas over 25 years – little evidence of earlier diagnosis Royal Orthopaedic Hospital, Birmingham Rob Grimer, Lee Jeys, Gemma Smith, Graham Johnson Are we getting better? • Sarcomas are frequently not recognised by: – Patients – GPs – Hospital doctors • As a result there are often long delays before they are diagnosed What do we know already • Sarcomas are diagnosed late • Only 16.5% are diagnosed through the 2 week wait clinic • Of GP referrals only 13% are malignant • Delays in diagnosis occur at every stage in the patient pathway • Numerous Cancer Plans and early diagnosis initiatives have been introduced • Have they worked?? How can we tell if we are getting better? • Duration of symptoms • Size at time of diagnosis • Appropriate referral By stopping people presenting like this? Had been seeing GP for 1 year with „ulcer‟ In fact high grade STS Method • Analysis of prospectively kept database – Size at presentation – Duration of symptoms („how long have you had any symptoms related to this...?) – Proportion of „whoops‟ procedures • Analysed over a 25 year period The patients: • 4934 patients • 2568 bone sarcomas – 1240 osteosarcomas – 539 chondrosarcomas – 459 Ewing‟s sarcomas – 276 spindle cell sarcomas – 54 others • 2366 STS Bone Sarcomas • Mean size = 10.7 cm – Osteosarcoma 10.7cm – Chondrosarcoma 11.3cm – Ewing‟s sarcoma 9.9cm – Spindle cell sarcoma 10.4cm 29 yr old felt he was sitting on a knobbly seat while on way on honeymoon to Maldives – worried? He was sitting on a 15cm chondrosarcoma! Size distribution - Osteosarcoma 160 140 120 Mean size 10.5cm ♂ 10.9cm, ♀ 10.1cm Count 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 5 10 15 20 Size in cm 25 30 35 40 2009.000 2008.000 2007.000 2006.000 2005.000 2004.000 2003.000 2002.000 2001.000 2000.000 1999.000 1998.000 1997.000 1996.000 1995.000 1994.000 1993.000 1992.000 1991.000 1990.000 1989.000 1988.000 1987.000 1986.000 SizeA Are we getting better – OS size? 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Size at diagnosis - unchanged over 25 years 10.5cm STS • Mean size = 9.9 cm (range 0.3 to 47cm) • • • • • • Liposarcoma 13.3cm MPNST 10.5cm MFH 10.3cm Leiomyosarcoma 7.7cm Synovial sarcoma 6.9cm Epithelioid sarcoma 3cm Mean size of Sarcomas over 25 yrs 30 Mean size (cms) 25 20 Soft Tissue Sarcoma 95% CI 15 Bone sarcoma 95% CI 10 5 0 5 19 8 7 19 8 9 19 8 1 19 9 3 19 9 5 19 9 7 19 9 9 19 9 1 20 0 3 20 0 5 20 0 7 20 0 9 20 0 Bone sarcomas - no change, with time STS – slightly improved – from 10.3cm in 1990s to 9.6cm since 2000 Duration of symptoms • Bone sarcomas – median16 weeks • STS – median 26 weeks 200 175 Weeks 150 125 Bone sarcoma 100 STS 75 Bone STS 50 25 0 DuratSymp Median duration of symptoms 70 Median duration (weeks) 60 50 Soft Tissue Sarcoma 40 IQR Bone sarcoma IQR 30 20 10 0 5 19 8 7 19 8 9 19 8 1 19 9 3 19 9 5 19 9 7 19 9 9 19 9 1 20 0 3 20 0 5 20 0 7 20 0 9 20 0 • Claimed duration of symptoms is INCREASING for bone sarcomas • Increased from 16 to 20 weeks since 2000 • STS symptom duration unchanged (26 weeks) Duration of symptoms by diagnosis Bone sarcomas STS Osteosarcoma 12 weeks Liposarcoma 28 weeks Chondrosarcoma 52 weeks Leiomyosarcoma 26 weeks Ewings 20 weeks MFH 20 weeks Spindle cell sarcoma 20 weeks Synovial sarcoma 52 weeks Chordoma 104 weeks MPNST 26 weeks Other factors – sex • Symptom duration – no difference between males and females for bone or STS • Size – Women present earlier – STS – ♂ 10.1cm vs ♀ 9.5cm (p=0.04) – Bone - ♂ 10.5cm vs ♀ 9.8cm (p=0.008) Does age affect it? Age group < 10 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+ Size (cms) Soft Tissue Sarcomas 4.2 7.4 8.2 8.9 10.0 10.5 10.3 10.3 11.1 10.5 10.1 10.1 9.6 11.6 10.6 11.9 11.6 8 16 26 26 26 26 26 20 26 7 12 20 26 36 36 32 28 26 Bone Sarcomas (cms) 9.8 Symptom duration (weeks - median) Soft Tissue Sarcomas Bone Sarcomas Older patients have bigger tumours and somewhat longer duration of Sx Does site matter? • STS – Superficial tumours = 6cm – Deep tumours = 11.2cm Whoops ! • 25% of patients had had a previous inadvertent excision, mean size 5.8cm • Slight decrease in incidence with time, but size unchanged 55 50 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 5 19 8 7 19 8 9 19 8 1 19 9 3 19 9 5 19 9 previous inadvertent excision 7 19 9 9 19 9 Size 1 20 0 95% CI 3 20 0 5 20 0 7 20 0 9 20 0 Mean size (cm) % prev.inadvertent excision 45 More whoops • 55% of all superficial STS had a previous „whoops‟, (338 of 615) • Mean size was 5cm compared to 7.0cm for those treated primarily • 15% of all deep STS had a previous „whoops‟ (262 of 1751) • Mean size was 7cm compared to 12cm for those treated primarily Why are they missed?? Painful shoulder 4 months – 35 yr old 6 weeks later Low level of awareness ? Bigger is NOT better ! All these countries have better outcomes (STS) Why? • Scandinavia • Italy • Australia •UK 7cm 6cm 7cm 10cm Aren‟t we aren‟t bothered about lumps and bumps? Are our doctors not worried? We need a new strategy........ (all ideas welcome!) Does earlier diagnosis = better outcomes? • Patients are happier with less delay • Easier to treat • Less risk of metastases at diagnosis 30 25 20 15 Bone STS 10 5 0 <5cm 6 to 10cm 11 to 15cm 16-20 cm >20cm and better survival.... All sarcomas survival by size <5cm 1 Cum. Survival (under 5 Event Times (under 5) <10cm Cum. Survival (five to Cum. Survival .8 Event Times (five to ten) .6 Cum. Survival (ekeven <15cm Event Times (ekeven to .4 Cum.cm Survival (sixteen <20 Event Times (sixteen to .2 Cum. Survival (over 20 >20cm Event Times (over 20) 0 0 20 40 60 Time in months 80 100 Conclusion • Bone and soft tissue sarcomas are diagnosed late • We‟re not getting better • None of the UK guidance (2000 and 2005) on early diagnosis or the 2006 Improving Outcomes Guidance or the introduction of 2 week waits – has made any obvious difference. Prof Sir Mike Richards.. “We know the main reason our survival rates lag behind other countries is because too many people are diagnosed late. This is why our Strategy focuses on earlier diagnosis which we will achieve through raising the public‟s awareness of the signs and symptoms of cancer and also providing better access to diagnostic tests.” (Improving outcomes – a strategy for cancer, 2011) .... but will it happen for sarcomas????
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