Making India a world class automotive manufacturing hub 6 February 2016 Contents F o rew o rd 0 3 I ndian auto m o tiv e industry : current scenario and o utlo o k 0 4 W h at w o uld it tak e fo r I ndia to b eco m e a w o rld- class auto m anufacturing h ub ? 1 . Enabling regulatory environment 2 . Developing talent and skills 3 . Fast-tracking infrastructure development 4 . Incubating R& D and innovation 5 . Enhancing supply chain competiveness 1 1 1 2 1 7 2 1 2 4 2 8 A p p endix 3 2 A b o ut E Y and C I I 3 3 Foreword The Indian automotive industry is witnessing testing times. The market continues to ex perience volatility and we are waiting to see clear signals of revival in growth. W ith the government and the judiciary taking steps to make transport cleaner and safer, there is some degree of uncertainty for automakers, especially regarding the fuel mix and the necessary investments for technology upgrades. W e believe that these are just short-term challenges as the long-term growth story for the automotive industry in India remains intact. The Government’ s Automotive Mission P lan (AMP ) 2 0 1 6 – 2 6 envisions the industry to grow around four times by FY2 6 with approx imately 1 0 % CAGR for vehicle sales volumes. The Government’ s push to manufacturing through the “ Make in India” initiative has garnered considerable attention from the industry and brought the spotlight back on the manufacturing sector. According to the EY’ s India Attractiveness Survey 2 0 1 5 , the country was ranked as the most attractive investment destination and 6 2 % of respondents suggested “ manufacturing” as the nature of business activity they are planning in India. As the country looks to establish its credentials as a manufacturing destination, there are some gaps that we need to address. These include an enabling regulatory environment, developing the req uisite talent and skills, fast-tracking of infrastructure development, incubating R& D and innovation culture, and enhancing supply chain competiveness. The Indian automotive sector, given its potential contribution to GDP and employment, presents a significant opportunity to be one of the biggest growth drivers for the economy. W hat we do need to emerge as a “ world-class automotive manufacturing hub” is a concerted effort from the Government and the automotive industry to create an enabling ecosystem. The country’ s key strengths such as a large domestic consumption base, a cost competitive value chain (that includes low design, testing and validation costs, frugal engineering capabilities and low labor costs) and strategic geographical location would go a long way to develop the country as a world class automotive manufacturing base. R ak esh B atra, A uto m o tiv e and Transp o rtatio n L eader, E Y I ndia M M S ing h, E x ecutiv e A dv iso r, Maruti S uz uk i I ndia L td R ajeev W asan, S r V ice P resident Manufacturing, H o nda C ars I ndia L im ited Indian Automotive Industry: current scenario and outlook I ndia h as em erged as an im p o rtant auto m o tiv e m ark et and o ffers h uge gro w th p o tential due to lo w v eh icle p enetratio n and im p ro v ing eco no m ic fundam entals The auto sector is one of the most important contributors to GDP and employment in India, with huge potential for growth. The sector accounts for 7 % of India’ s GDP , 4 5 % of manufacturing GDP and employs about 1 9 million people both directly and indirectly. Further, the sector contributes around 4 . 3 % to India’ s total ex ports and 1 3 % to the country’ s ex cise revenues. O ver the years, the Indian auto industry has emerged as one of the world’ s largest, with annual sales of 1 9 . 8 million vehicles in FY1 5 . It is also one of the fastest growing auto markets, with production of 2 3 . 4 million vehicles in FY1 5 and a leading position in several sub-segments. W o rld’ s largest Tractor manufacturer W orld’ s 2 nd largest W orld’ s 5 th largest Heavy truck manufacturer W orld’ s 6 th largest P assenger vehicle (P V ) manufacturer W orld’ s 7 th largest C urrent rank ing ( F Y 1 5 ) Two-wheeler (2 W ) manufacturer Commercial vehicle (CV ) Manufacturer P assenger v eh icle density ex p ected to b eco m e 1 . 5 tim es b y 2 0 2 0 India has the largest population of young people in the world, with around 6 6 % of population under the age of 3 5 . The country’ s low vehicle penetration (3 2 vehicles per 1 0 0 0 people in 2 0 1 5 ) makes it one of the world’ s most attractive auto markets. O wing to its uniq ue demographic dividend, the Indian auto industry has immense growth potential. India’ s passenger vehicle parc of around 2 9 million during 2 0 1 5 is ex pected to grow to more than 4 8 million vehicles by 2 0 2 0 . W o rld p assenger v eh icle density ( P erso nal v eh icles p er ‘ 0 0 0 driv ing p o p ulatio n) 7 6 5 8 0 1 6 1 1 5 4 5 3 5 0 1 6 9 1 9 2 1 5 9 3 9 3 3 2 6 1 8 4 2 0 1 5 Brazil 3 6 9 1 8 4 3 2 W orld 6 2 4 5 4 7 Russia 4 8 India 1 0 2 China 2 0 2 0 Japan North America W estern Europe Eastern Europe Sources: Automotive Mission Plan 2016–26 (AMP 2016–26), LMC Automotive, EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 5 Mo st glo b al O E Ms h av e an estab lish ed p resence in th e m ark et alo ng w ith I ndian p lay ers; J ap anese p lay ers acco unt fo r aro und h alf o f th e p assenger v eh icle sales O E Ms and sup p liers co ntinue to inv est in I ndia suppliers towards building/ ex panding capacity and research and development. The P V industry has witnessed a revival in new investments after three years of weak investment climate with the anticipation of a recovery in demand. The Indian auto industry has witnessed on-going interest with several global players entering the industry post liberalization through technical tie-ups and minority investments. The industry has seen investments from both global and local O EMs and I nv estm ents in th e auto m o tiv e industry during th e 2 0 0 6 – 1 5 ( I N R b illio n) ~ I N R 6 , 0 0 0 b illio n 1 ,0 8 0 A uto m o tiv e O E Ms V alue of planned investments by automakers over the nex t few years 4 8 4 9 5 C o m p o nent sup p liers Number of automotive FDI projects in 2 0 1 4 H igh ly co m p etitiv e m ark et landscap e of the market share. However, with the increasing intensity of competition and new model launches, market shares are ex pected to realign over the nex t few years. Despite the presence of several Indian and global players, each segment has a dominant player commanding more than 4 0 % Mark et sh are ( F Y 1 5 ) P assenger v eh icles 4 5 % Maruti Suzuki Hyundai Mahindra 4 0 % ero 1 6 % 2 7 % Honda 9 % Honda C o m m ercial v eh icles* Tw o w h eelers 1 3 % TV S 7 % Tata Motors 4 7 % 2 5 % Mahindra 1 5 % Ashok Leyland 1 1 % Bajaj V ECV Tata Motors 6 % Yamaha Toyota 5 % Suzuki 2 % oyal nfield 2 % Ford GM 3 % 2 % Mahindra 1 % * Daimler India Commercial V ehicles data not available Sources: Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), AMP 2016–26, EY analysis 6 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b 6 % 4 % Force Isuzu P iaggio 3 % 2 % 1 % Th e industry w itnessed a slo w rev iv al during 2 0 1 5 o w ing to lo w fuel p rices, declining interest rates and an up tick in th e eco no m y To tal sales ( do m estic + ex p o rts) b y segm ent, F Y 0 9 – 1 5 , m illio n units P assenger vehicles CAGR 9 .1 % P V sales witnessed a slow down over the last couple of years due to economic uncertainty and high interest rates. 3 .1 3 .0 3 .2 3 .1 During FY1 6 , the market has begun to show moderate growth due to improving sentiment, low fuel prices and interest rates. 3 .2 2 .4 1 .9 FY0 9 1 .7 FY1 0 FY1 1 FY1 2 FY1 3 FY1 4 FY1 5 1 HFY1 6 * Compact cars (including compact sedans and premium hatchbacks) and compact SU V s continue to outperform overall P V sales on the back of increased consumer preference and successful new launches. Two-wheelers CAGR 1 4 .0 % 1 3 .3 8 .4 FY0 9 Two-wheeler (2 W ) sales growth slowed during FY1 2 – 1 4 and recovered in FY1 5 driven by strong rural demand and the rising popularity of scooters. 1 5 .4 1 5 .8 1 6 .9 1 8 .5 Scooters continued to witness strong growth due to a strong surge in urban demand. 1 0 .5 FY1 0 9 .5 FY1 1 FY1 2 FY1 3 FY1 4 FY1 5 1 HFY1 6 A decline in motorcycle sales due to shrinking rural demand has again weakened growth in the current fiscal year Commercial vehicles CAGR 8 .5 % CV sales declined during FY1 2 -1 5 due to the economic slowdown and stalled infrastructure projects. 0 .8 0 .4 FY0 9 0 .9 During FY1 6 , demand is reviving, driven by economic recovery, urbanization and infrastructure development. 0 .9 0 .7 0 .6 0 .7 0 .4 FY1 0 FY1 1 FY1 2 FY1 3 FY1 4 FY1 5 1 HFY1 6 Medium and Heavy CV s are witnessing strong growth on the back of pent-up demand and an anticipated increase in infrastructure spending. * 1 HFY1 6 refers to April — September 2 0 1 5 Sources: SIAM, EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 7 Th e auto co m p o nent industry is ex p ected to w itness do ub le- digit gro w th o v er th e nex t decade o w ing to h uge dem and fro m b o th do m estic and ex p o rt m ark ets A uto co m p o nent industry grew at 1 1 % during F Y 1 5 The Indian auto component industry comprises around 7 0 0 organized players and a few thousand unorganized players, with its size estimated at U S$ 3 8 . 3 billion in FY1 5 . After a challenging FY1 4 , the industry has rebounded during FY1 5 , growing at 1 1 % due to a recovery in domestic demand and ex ports. Turno v er trends in I N R b illio n ( U S $ b illio n) , F Y 1 0 – 1 5 E 2 ,0 4 6 (4 2 . 2 ) 1 ,8 8 3 (4 1 . 3 ) 2 ,1 6 1 (3 9 . 7 ) 2 ,1 1 8 (3 5 . 1 ) E ntry o f glo b al O E Ms strength ening cap ab ilities o f I ndian sup p liers uto component manufacturers in India have benefited from the entry of global O EMs through ex posure to global standards and technology by forming tie-ups with foreign suppliers. As a result, many global O EMs have also managed to achieve a fairly high level of localization in India. S h are o f m ark et segm ents ( F Y 1 5 E ) 2 ,3 4 0 (3 8 . 3 ) O EM 6 6 % 1 ,3 8 6 (3 0 . 8 ) 3 0 1 (6 . 7 ) 1 9 9 (4 . 2 ) FY1 0 5 2 9 (9 . 7 ) 4 2 3 (8 . 8 ) Ex ports 6 9 0 (1 1 . 3 ) 6 1 4 (1 0 . 2 ) After market FY1 2 FY1 1 Total turnover FY1 4 FY1 3 2 2 % 1 2 % FY1 5 E Ex ports Turno v er do m inated b y engine p arts and sup p ly to P V segm ent In FY1 5 , engine parts dominated the overall turnover of the Indian auto component industry with a share of 3 1 % , followed by other categories; while 4 5 % of the supply was made to the P V segment. A uto co m p o nents: sh are o f to tal turno v er ( F Y 1 5 ) 3 1 % Engine parts 1 9 % Drive transmission Suspension & Braking 1 2 % Body & chassis 1 2 % 4 5 % P V 2 2 % Two wheeler 8 % Tractors 8 % Heavy CV Eq uipment 1 0 % Electrical parts O thers 9 % 7 % 8 Sources: Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA), SIAM, AMP 2016–26, EY analysis | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b LCV and SCV * 5 % Medium CV 5 % O thers 4 % Three wheelers 4 % * SCV s (max imum mass): U pto 2 tonnes; LCV s (max imum mass): 2 to 7 . 5 tonnes Th e I ndian G o v ernm ent’ s A uto m o tiv e Missio n P lan 2 0 1 6 – 2 6 env isages fo ur- fo ld gro w th b y F Y 2 6 The Indian auto sector has the potential to generate up to U S$ 3 0 0 billion in annual revenue by 2 0 2 6 , create around 6 5 million additional jobs and contribute more than 1 2 % to India’ s GDP , according to the Automotive Mission P lan 2 0 1 6 – 2 6 prepared jointly by the SIAM and the Government. Mark et siz e o f I ndian auto m o tiv e industry , I N R b illio n ( U S $ b illio n) 1 3 % C A G R 2 0 ,1 0 0 (3 0 0 ) 1 ,8 7 3 (4 7 ) 1 ,7 9 5 (3 9 ) FY0 8 FY0 9 2 ,3 4 7 (5 0 ) FY1 0 2 ,8 3 3 (6 2 ) 3 ,3 6 7 (7 0 ) 4 ,7 0 1 (7 7 ) FY1 1 FY1 2 FY1 5 E A MP 2 0 1 6 – 2 6 fo recasts v eh icle sales to gro w at a C A G R o f aro und 1 0 % o v er th e nex t decade According to the AMP 2 0 1 6 – 2 6 , vehicle sales are ex pected to touch 6 6 million units by FY2 6 . To achieve the projections, the auto industry will req uire additional investment of Do m estic v eh icle sales o utlo o k FY2 6 F INR4 . 5 trillion-5 . 5 trillion. The growth of the automotive market will translate into huge potential for the auto component sector. It is ex pected to grow at a CAGR of 1 3 % from U S$ 3 8 billion in FY1 5 to more than U S$ 1 5 0 billion by 2 0 2 6 . A uto co m p o nent turno v er sp lit, I N R b illio n ( U S $ b illio n) 1 0 ,6 0 5 (1 5 8 . 3 ) 5 3 .4 1 7 % 4 3 % 1 9 .5 8 3 5 (1 8 . 9 ) 9 .4 3 .2 2 W + 3 W CV (incl SCV and LCV ) FY1 5 FY1 5 2 6 (F) CAGR 2 .0 0 .7 P V 2 ,3 4 0 (3 8 . 3 ) 1 .5 0 .6 Tractors FY2 6 F 1 5 % 6 9 % 4 2 % 1 7 % 2 9 % 1 6 % FY0 6 5 3 % FY1 5 Domestic O EM sales FY2 6 F Ex ports Aftermarket US$/INR at 67.0 for forecasts; average historical rates used for historical data 1 0 % 1 0 % 1 0 % 9 % Sources: ACMA, SIAM, AMP 2016–26, EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 9 Th e industry is w itnessing a sh ift fro m “ access to m o b ility ” th e traditio nal “ o w nersh ip ” m indset to w ard In line with other global markets, India is also witnessing the proliferation of technology-driven mobility service providers (such as cab aggregators and ride-sharing companies). This is driven by factors such as high cost of vehicle ownership, rising congestion, growing connectivity and mobile penetration. Conseq uently, the Indian consumer is being drawn toward the idea of “ access” from “ ownership,” as these technology-intensive business models provide short-term access to vehicles. B usiness m o dels o p erating in th e sh o rt- term h ire sp ace Despite being a very young market, the advanced mobility space is gaining ground in the country, with a multitude of business model variants. Some of these have been listed below. Technology-driven companies moving away from the traditional asset-heavy business model and providing access to vehicles (with drivers) by aggregating cab operators (individual/ small fleet through digital apps V alue p ro p o sitio n o ffered b y tech no lo gy - intensiv e, sh o rtterm h ire co m p anies Ride-sharing connects people traveling long distances (in the same direction) and seeking a cost-effective, eco-friendly mode of transit Easier access to vehicles Some automakers are testing car sharing models in niche pockets such as corporates, students and small businesses Real-time booking process Digital payment options U sage-based pricing model (per minute/ kilometres) The current models in India have a different market positioning compared with developed markets — in particular, they are more of an alternative to the tax i and other shared transport options rather than peer-to-peer sharing. These businesses have been able to scale-up faster as they rely on higher vehicle utilization and are able to spread fixed costs of car ownership among many consumers. I m p act o n auto m o tiv e industry Ex pected to affect two segments — entry-level car and 2 W 2 2 nd and 3 rd car buyers in urban cities — allows them to defer/ cancel investments in a new car 3 Traditional rental and tax i business models under pressure, thus calling for reinventing value proposition 4 1 Sources: 1 0 report ew category of fleet buyers for the industry rban mobility redefined analysis | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b The concept of access to mobility is catching up q uickly, and the traditional, manufacturing driven profit model will be challenged. Automakers would, therefore, need to take notice of these new-age mobility providers, and prepare relevant offerings for customers. Enabling regulatory environment Enhancing supply chain competitiveness Incubating R&D and innovation Developing talent and skills Fast-tracking infrastructure development What would it take for India to become a world class automotive manufacturing hub? 1 E nab ling regulato ry env iro nm ent E nab ling regulato ry env iro nm ent E nh ancing sup p ly ch ain co m p etitiv eness A stab le and sup p o rtiv e regulato ry env iro nm ent is critical to driv e gro w th in th e I ndian auto m o tiv e industry I ncub ating R&D and inno v atio n Regulations and government initiatives will play a critical role in driving the Indian automotive industry’ s growth. W e have seen a lot of activity in this space especially in the recent past. The Government has launched many new programs such as “ Make in India” and “ Skill India,” along with undertaking measures to improve the ease of doing business and the likely rollout of the GST. In addition, we are seeing an unprecedented thrust on addressing concerns around pollution, congestion and safer transport. Dev elo p ing talent and sk ills F ast- track ing infrastructure dev elo p m ent W hile the Government’ s initiatives to improve the business environment and make transport cleaner and safer are welcome moves, there is a need to provide clear guidelines and a road map for regulations. The automotive industry is capital intensive and req uires long-term planning on regulatory issues. Thus, a stable policy regime is critical to drive growth. K ey go v ernm ent p ro gram s/ regulatio ns ex p ected to affect th e industry G o v ernm ent p ro gram s/ initiativ es to b o o st m anufacturing and ease o f do ing b usiness Mak e in I ndia K ey auto m o tiv e regulatio ns to w atch o ut fo r 0 1 Advancement of BS V I norms S m art cities Likely rollout of the “ End of life” policy FAME-India scheme Digital I ndia S k ill I ndia 0 2 Sources: SIAM, and EY analysis 1 2 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b S afer transp o rt U pcoming Road Transport and Safety bill International safety standards from 2 0 1 7 S tartU p I ndia L ik ely ro llo ut o f th e G S T C leaner transp o rt 0 3 A dv anced m o b ility Regulations for new mobility initiatives Th e im p lem entatio n o f “ Mak e in I ndia” and initiativ es to im p ro v e th e ease o f do ing b usiness w ill driv e th e I ndian auto industry ’ s gro w th The “ Make in India” initiative has an aggressive ambition to transform India into a manufacturing and technology hub. It has garnered considerable attention from the industry and turned the spotlight on the manufacturing sector. I m p licatio ns o f “ Mak e in I ndia” fo r th e auto secto r utomotive has been identified as a top priority under this program. The implications for the industry are as follows: m o tiv e F DI and R t to auto &D B o o s s • • • • Create new employment opportunities Focus on building technical skills I nf ras tru ct ur e Facilitate investment and technology inflow Build best-in-class manufacturing infrastructure P romote R& D investment and protect intellectual property • • Boost domestic CV sales, and drive rural demand for vehicles Drive vehicle ex ports nt m e lo p ve de L a b o rl aw rm fo re • MA K E I N I ND I A I nitiativ es to im p ro v e th e ease o f do ing b usiness in I ndia The Government has taken a series of actions to support “ Make in India,” including those outlined below. 1 2 N ew trade p o licy N ew lab o r law s Ex port and import tax es on small volumes of goods have been abolished, and incentives have been introduced for ex port-oriented units and ex port processing zones. These include a “ single-window” labor compliance process for companies, simpler P rovident Fund (compulsory employee insurance and pension) procedures and a new inspection scheme. O th er initiativ es: The Government has also launched several other initiatives such as “ Smart Cities,” “ Skill India,” “ Digital India,” etc. , that will support India’ s development as a world-class manufacturing hub. 3 4 i pli ion o re o pli n e l or To make doing businesses easier, companies can obtain environmental approvals and licenses online. prove en o reso r e n e en pro r The Government is taking steps to ensure that resources are used more efficiently such as opening coal blocks to companies through auctions while encouraging solar and wind power generation projects. Sources: EY analysis India’ s rank in the W orld Bank’ s Ease of Doing Business index has improved from 1 4 2 in 2 0 1 5 to 1 3 0 in 2 0 1 6 Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 1 3 Th e “ S tartU p I ndia” p ro gram and th e lik ely ro llo ut o f G S T w o uld also h elp im p ro v e do ing and estab lish ing new b usinesses in th e co untry “ S tartU p I ndia” to b o o st entrep reneursh ip and create j o b s The objective of the Government’ s “ StartU p India” program is to reinforce commitment toward creating an ecosystem conducive to the growth of startups. There are immense opportunities in the Indian automobile industry for technological innovation and new solutions. The growing digitization in the country is driving innovation in advanced mobility (with initiatives such as technology-based cab aggregation and, ride sharing), vehicle and component retail, connected car, etc. I m p licatio ns o f G S T fo r th e auto secto r 3 y ears Duration of income tax rebate for startups under the “ StartU p India” program I N R1 0 0 b illio n Fund size committed by the Government to support upcoming startup enterprises over the nex t four years The tax reform is likely to change the transportation scenario, and industry players must start thinking about realigning their supply chain specifically the distribution networ his single reform will impact vehicle pricing, sourcing strategies, distribution costs and dealer profitability 1 R ed u c tion in l og istic s c ost reater flexibility to redesign supply chains and thus lower costs due to elimination of embedded tax costs on inter state movement of goods and a shift in the point of taxation to the consumer ignificant reduction in tax costs for the mid size and luxury segments li ely L ow er tax b u rd en on vehic l es 2 Sources: EY analysis 1 4 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b 3 Greater transp arenc y uto industry li ely to benefit from the ease of tax compliances and administration and reduced litigation under a simplified regime emoval of the cascading effect of taxes especially for automotive distributors R ed u c tion in c ost of d oing b u siness 4 A uto m o tiv e regulatio ns are lik ely to fo cus o n m ak ing transp o rt cleaner and safer The automotive regulatory space is witnessing increased activity and some bold decisions by the Government and judiciary to battle the high pollution levels in Delhi and other metros. In the medium term, we ex pect heightened regulatory activity in order to make transport cleaner and safer. C leaner transp o rt S afer transp o rt A dv ancem ent o f B S V I no rm s: The government recently decided to skip the BS V norms altogether, and adopt the BS V I norms from April 2 0 2 0 . Automakers and the oil companies will need to ma e significant investments to meet these deadlines. W e ex pect a continued thrust toward cleaner fuels in the policy formation and some possible announcements in the 2 0 1 6 U nion budget. C o m p liance w ith internatio nal safety standards: The Government has announced O ct 2 0 1 7 as the deadline for automakers to ensure international standards in terms of vehicle safety. Mandatory crash tests will be implemented from O ctober 2 0 1 7 for new models (O ct 2 0 1 9 for ex isting models). To conduct the tests, India is likely to have seven world-class automotive design and testing centers (being set up by NATRiP * * ) by the end of 2 0 1 6 . F A ME - I ndia* sch em e: The scheme, launched in April 2 0 1 5 , provides incentives for the purchase of green vehicles. W hile the scheme has pushed electric vehicle (EV ) sales, efforts need to be undertaken in areas such as setting up of charging infrastructure, launching compelling EV models, and reducing battery costs. “ E nd o f life” p o licy : The Government is likely to introduce a policy promoting scrappage of old vehicles. This is a welcome move and is likely to reduce pollution and drive new vehicle sales. A dv anced m o b ility Regulatio ns fo r new m o b ility initiativ es: The Indian market has recently witnessed a slew of advanced mobility offerings and new mobility initiatives such as technology-based cab aggregation and ride sharing. A regulatory environment conducive to promote innovation for these new mobility initiatives is needed. The road transport ministry has issued some guidelines, which could be the starting point for states to establish regulations. N ew ro ad transp o rt and safety b ill: The bill seeks to drive faster clearances, stricter road and vehicle safety norms and define the recall policy. It focuses on transparency and computerization, heavy penalties for traffic violations and incorporates global best practices for issues related to vehicle regulation and road safety. I m p licatio ns: he recent government policies reflect the beginning of a gradual shift in the Government’ s focus on cleaner transport. The industry should brace itself for more policy interventions in this aspect. The market is likely to shift in favor of petrol cars, and the industry needs to prepare accordingly, while also bringing in flexibility in production capacity. In addition, automakers need to work towards improving fuel efficiency of their products and ma e investments towards developing cleaner vehicles (hybrid and electric vehicles). There is an urgent need for the industry to make investments and offer safety features (across all vehicle segments) to ensure that vehicles meet global standards — something that has been lacking so far. In the medium to long term, automotive companies will need to assess the competition from mobility aggregators and come up with mobility-service-oriented strategies and offerings vs. product offerings to remain competitive and relevant * FAME-India: Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Hybrid and Electric vehicles in India * * NATRiP : National Automotive Testing and R& D Infrastructure P roject Sources: SIAM and EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 1 5 ei p o overn en ini i ives is s r in gro w th in m anufacturing inv estm ents F DI gro w th turns p o sitiv e fro m 2 0 1 4 F DI cap ital ( U S $ b ) 3 1 .1 2 0 1 2 si ni n I ndia em erges as th e # 1 F DI destinatio n in 1 H 1 5 W e have seen a sharp turnaround in FDI in 2 0 1 4 . After declining for two successive years, investment in India has bounced back with growth to b significantly ahead of the growth in FDI seen globally. This was driven by an improvement in India’ s macroeconomic indicators — in part, helped by declining oil prices — and ongoing government efforts to revitalize growth and improve the business environment. 1 8 .7 o s o res l s i 2 5 4 % + 3 urther with DI capital inflows of b during the first half of calendar year 2 0 1 5 , India has emerged as the number one FDI destination in the world. + 1 3 5 % H igh ligh ts 1 H 1 5 Jump in FDI capital 2 0 1 3 2 0 1 4 + 2 2 1 % FDI capital increase in manufacturing U S $ 9 1 m Highest-ever FDI capital per project S p lit o f F DI cap ital b y segm ent ( % ) 3 % 3 % 1 4 % 3 % 1 5 % 2 3 % 4 6 % 4 6 % 3 7 % 3 8 % 3 7 % 2 0 1 2 3 7 % 2 0 1 3 Services Manufacturing 2 0 1 4 Retail Strategic S h are o f th e auto secto r in o v erall F DI in 2 0 1 4 1 6 3 % 1 2 % A fter a steep fall in 2 0 1 3 , F DI in m anufacturing grew at its fastest in sev en y ears. The upsurge coincided with the launch of the “ Make in India” program to promote manufacturing in the country. The program has also enhanced transparency by auctioning coal and power licenses, and has relax ed constraints on FDI in key sectors. Meanwhile, several states are moving ahead with labor law reforms. y-o-y jump in auto sector FDI during 2 0 1 4 to reach U S$ 3 . 1 billion W h at is th e nature o f th e b usiness activ ity y o u are p lanning in india? (open-ended q uestion — multiple responses) 6 2 % Manufacturing Sources: EY’s India Attractiveness Survey 2015 and EY analysis 1 6 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b 4 2 % S erv ices 2 1 % S ales and m ark eting Source: EY’s India Attractiveness Survey 2015 (total respondents: 265 with overseas expansion plans, who are considering entering or increasing existing operations in India over the next year). 2 Dev elo p ing talent and sk ills E nab ling regulato ry env iro nm ent E nh ancing sup p ly ch ain co m p etitiv eness A n ab undant lab o r p o o l and lo w lab o r co sts are h elp ing I ndia b eco m e an attractiv e m anufacturing destinatio n I ncub ating R&D and inno v atio n SIAM’ s Automotive Mission P lan 2 0 2 6 aims to propel the auto industry to become the engine of the “ Make in India” initiative. The automotive sector is ex pected to create 1 5 million direct jobs by 2 0 2 2 . Dev elo p ing talent and sk ills F ast- track ing infrastructure dev elo p m ent A uto co m p o nents segm ent co ntrib utes 5 0 % to th e secto r’ s direct em p lo y m ent D irec t emp l oy ment ( in mil l ion) 2 0 1 3 S u b - S ec tor 2 0 1 7 F 2 0 2 2 F O EM 1 .9 2 .0 2 .2 Auto component manufacturers 4 .8 6 .0 7 .3 Service centers 2 .8 3 .1 3 .4 Dealerships 1 .5 1 .7 2 .0 1 0 .9 8 1 2 .8 1 1 4 .8 8 Overal l sec tor B reak - up o f w o rk fo rce in th e auto m o tiv e secto r • • The majority of O EM and auto component segments’ employees are engaged in manufacturing. • The workforce in tier-I auto components is similar to auto s in terms of educational ualifications and s ill levels • W hile attrition is a concern at lower-tier auto component manufacturers and contractors, the attrition in auto O EMs and large auto component manufacturers is very less. • According to the EY-SIAM HR study, attracting talent from the available pool is not a significant challenge for s and tier-1 suppliers. However, ready employability of the workforce req uires additional efforts from them. Tier-2 / 3 manufacturers, service centers and dealers have much larger workforce req uirements and they also face a multitude of challenges, such as attracting talent, developing skills and managing industrial relations L ab o ur co sts in I ndia draw fo reign inv esto rs to th e co untry India’ s most lucrative feature for foreign investors is the abundance of labor. In addition, labor costs in the country remain far below those of advanced and other developing economies. India is the most competitive in terms of both average monthly wages and minimum monthly wages, compared with its Asian peers. This gives it an advantage in low-value-added, laborintensive manufacturing. G lo b al w age co m p ariso n ( co st o f lab o r, U S $ p er h o ur) 4 6 .4 3 8 .3 3 5 .4 3 5 .4 2 1 .9 1 7 .7 1 2 .0 Germany Canada U S Japan Singapore South K orea Brazil 9 .2 Taiwan 2 .8 China 0 .9 India Sources: EY-SIAM report: Make in India — Leveraging human capital, National Skill Development Corporation — Auto Sector Report and EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 1 7 S k ill dev elo p m ent o f th e large talent p o o l is seen as th e m o st critical lev er in deliv ering m anufacturing ex cellence The Indian automotive industry is likely to witness an increased demand for skilled labor in the coming years, as the economic environment improves and investments are made as part of the “ Make in India” initiative. W ith reduction in product life cycles and the evolution of automotive technology, we ex pect an increase in product development, manufacturing and supply chain complex ity for both O EMs and suppliers. The industry, is therefore, faced with certain key considerations for skill development. K ey co nsideratio ns fo r sk ill dev elo p m ent 2 Are there any new skills that have emerged as critical for the industry? re government and industry initiatives sufficient to bridge the skill gap? C ritical sk ill gap s in th e industry India s abundant talent reserves appear sufficient to meet the overall manpower req uirements of the automotive industry. O E Ms and auto co m p o nent m anufacturers S taff/ m anagem ent N o n- m anagem ent S erv ice centers • U nderstanding of local geographical dynamics and customer req uirements • Concepts related to q uality and manufacturing ex cellence such as 5 S, TQ M etc. • Customer need diagnostic skills • Fitters, machinists, welders, painters, etc. • Advanced electrical, CNC operations, automation skills • Soft skills, work discipline 3 However, the industry is faced with certain key challenges with respect to skill development. According to the EY SIAM HR study, the industry faces a gap in the following areas: • Civil engineering and project management to build plants • P roduction operations such as Total P roductive Maintenance 1 W hat percentage of the available resource pool is industry-ready? Does it have the req uisite skill-set to help organizations deliver? Dealers • P roduct knowledge • Customer handling and communication skills • Regular maintenance • Selling and communication skills • Automotive service • Automotive and accident repair/ body repair/ paint repair, etc. A ddressing th e gap B uilding talent p ip eline Institutions are unable to meet the industry’ s req uirement of skilled manpower due to a gap in the technical curriculum and the lack of the faculty’ s ex posure to technology changes. Industry participants need to work together to address this gap. Dev elo p ing co m p etency w age grid he lac of commonly accepted standards to define competency levels and correlating to an ideal wage has increased complexity of hiring planning and developing employees according to req uired capabilities. E stab lish ing a centraliz ed certify ing agency Sources: EY-SIAM report: Make in India — Leveraging human capital 1 8 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b he sector needs an industry recognized centralized certifying body laying out clear standards and certifying s ill levels on defined competency levels W h ile th e G o v ernm ent h as intro duced suitab le p o licy m easures, th e industry to o is also p lay ing an activ e ro le in b ridging th e sk ill gap The Government and industry have undertaken various initiatives to help develop the skillset of the current and potential employee base. O ne of the key government initiatives is the development of the ational ills ualification ramewor which lays down the competency framework and standards with respect to competency levels for many trades in the industry. The Government also launched the “ Skill India” mission, which aims to converge and monitor skill development schemes across the country and provide subsidized loans to students for vocational training. Details o f th e “ S k ill I ndia” p ro gram ‘ S k ill I ndia’ p ro gram • • O b j ectiv es F eatures Create opportunities to develop talent of Indian youth Aims at providing training and skill development to 5 0 0 m youth by 2 0 2 0 . • • • • Difference fro m Training for traditional occupations (eg. carpenters); emphasis on new areas (eg. transportation) Hallmark — ‘ Rural India Skill’ , to standardise and certify training process Tailor-made, need-based programs would be initiated (eg. management skills) Course methodology will be innovative — games, group discussions, etc. I ndustry p articip ants co llab o rate w ith academ ia, and inv est in training to address sk ill gap s lthough the supply of engineering students is sufficiently high to meet the combined req uirement of auto O EMs and auto component manufacturers, they are not adeq uately trained to be industry fit arallel to government initiatives to address E arlier • Emphasis on traditional jobs Responsibility divided among various ministries • N o w • • Eq ual emphasis on all jobs Responsibilities clubbed under ministry of skill development and entrepreneurship the skill gaps, industry participants are also taking measures to help build a stronger talent pipeline. According to the EY-SIAM HR study, O EMs are increasingly viewing investments in skill development as core to the business and integrating them as part of their people agenda. Collaborate with universities to run employability-skill enhancement programs Collaborate with universities to set-up training centers/ labs and offer joint certification Invest in ex ternship programs and provide funding for various university curriculums p rev io us p o licies I ndustry p articip ants tak e m easures to address sk ill gap s India has the advantage of a vast and young talent pool. In order to build a strong workforce, the skill demand and supply gap needs to be bridged by investing in critical initiatives. Set up their own dedicated training academies with programs focusing on technical and soft skills P artner with government agencies to provide vocational training to students Training investments to leverage virtual classrooms to supplement classroom and on-the-job training Sources: EY-SIAM report: Make in India — Leveraging human capital Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 1 9 B esides augm enting sk ills, fo stering h ealth y industrial relatio ns are k ey to dev elo p I ndia’ s m anufacturing ex cellence armonious industrial relations is a significant driver to develop India’ s manufacturing ex cellence. This necessitates a change in industrial relations within the automotive sector in line with the evolving scenario. EY’ s India Attractiveness Survey 2 0 1 5 indicates that labor costs labor s ills and flexibility of labor laws are critical parameters for driving investment in India. Due to the intertwined nature of business, importance of industrial relations 2 3 L ack o f fo cus in th e eco sy stem O utdated lab o r law s • The changing times call for a mutual appreciation for ease of doing business and maintaining the cost competitiveness of the organization while treating the larger workforce with fairness, trust and eq uity. However, the industry is faced with the following challenges with respect to managing the industrial workforce. al l eng e y c h s e K 1 • in the auto sector does not stop with the O EMs, but is critically dependent on the partners in the ecosystem. Labour laws have remained unchanged over the years: Cumbersome and lengthy laws for setting up and scaling down operations, slow and bureaucratic approaches for dispute resolution O rganizations are resorting to contract labor and this is skewing the workforce composition towards temporary employees • L ab o r relatio ns Tier 2 / 3 suppliers and dealers especially lack enhanced focus on their IR philosophies and build maturity in their IR practices • • Absence of regular personal connect with the workforce and unions Difficulty in managing increasing wage and career aspirations of workforce I mp l ic ations f or b u il d ing p ositive ind u strial rel ations A uto m o tiv e industry • Regular and improved communication between management and employees • teps towards simplification and consolidation of labor laws • Investment in skill building of workforce and providing career opportunities • Reforms related to upscaling/ downscaling of workforce numbers • More inclusiveness in interactions with employees • New inspection scheme • Active Engagement with unions • • Focus on maturity of IR practices internally as well as for partners in the ecosystem E enablement for all returns and availability of information Sources: EY-SIAM report: Make in India — Leveraging human capital 2 0 G o v ernm ent | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b 3 F ast- track ing infrastructure dev elo p m ent A stro ng fo cus o n dev elo p ing transp o rt infrastructure is essential to dev elo p I ndia as a m anufacturing h ub I ncub ating R&D and inno v atio n India has the world’ s second-largest road network (4 . 7 million km), with highways constituting only 1 . 7 % of this network. The railway network is spread across 6 4 ,6 0 0 km and is also among the world’ s largest. India is the 1 6 th largest maritime country in the world, with a coastline of about 7 ,5 1 7 km. Transp o rtatio n m ix in I ndia h eav ily sk ew ed to w ard ro ads, w h ile w ater transp o rt rem ains underutiliz ed ( 2 0 1 4 ) 1 % 1 % 1 % 8 % 4 8 % 2 3 % 4 6 % 6 0 % 3 7 % 3 0 % 1 0 % India China W ater Air Rail U S 1 8 k m Europe Road Decades of underinvestment in infrastructure development have resulted in major infrastructure bottlenecks, slowing down the pace of India’ s economic growth. Globalizing trade is ex erting pressure on India’ s ex isting infrastructure. Thus, investment in developing railroad, port network and hinterland connectivity is imperative for the growth of the manufacturing sector in India. G o v ernm ent initiativ es fo r infrastructure dev elo p m ent The Government is making concerted efforts to develop the transportation infrastructure. Some of the key initiatives include: 1 I nv estm ent p lans o f U S $ 1 5 0 b illio n in h igh w ay s and sh ip p ing b y 2 0 1 9 • 5 9 9 highway projects covering around 1 2 ,9 0 3 km of national highways have been sanctioned • Development of 6 6 ,1 1 7 km of roads under different programs such as National Highways Development P roject (NHDP ), Special Accelerated Road Development P rogramme in North East (SARDP -NE) and Left W ing Ex tremism (LW E) • Target of laying out new roads in India increased to 1 5 0 ,0 0 0 km/ year from 2 0 1 6 as against the ex isting 9 6 ,0 0 0 km/ year 2 I nv estm ent p lans o f U S $ 1 4 0 b illio n to m o derniz ing railw ay 3 I nv estm ent p lans o f U S $ 2 7 . 1 b illio n fo r p o rts and sh ip p ing under 1 2 th F iv e Y ear P lan F ast- track ing infrastructure dev elo p m ent India’ s rank on infrastructure competitiveness by the W orld Economic Forum in 2 0 1 5 4 3 % 4 6 % Dev elo p ing talent and sk ills 8 1 / 1 4 0 1 % 1 4 % 3 1 % E nab ling regulato ry env iro nm ent E nh ancing sup p ly ch ain co m p etitiv eness Average length of highway added every day during 2 0 1 5 , compared with 8 km during 2 0 1 4 ; Government target to add 3 0 km per day by 2 0 1 6 • P rojects worth U S$ 1 . 5 9 billion have been sanctioned • • 1 0 0 % FDI approved in railway infrastructure ine corridors identified for developing high-speed rail network • U S$ 1 0 . 5 billion investment in 1 2 major ports in the next five years under “ Sagarmala” initiative • Convert 1 0 1 rivers across India into waterways to promote water transport Sources: Analyst reports, Planning commission Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 2 1 5 4 / 1 6 0 India’ s rank on the Logistics P erformance Index 2 0 1 4 Th e G o v ernm ent and industry are co llab o rating to im p ro v e th e transp o rtatio n and lo gistics eco - sy stem I n additio n to th e p o o r infrastructure, m ultip le gap s in th e sup p ly ch ain le o lo is i s ine ien o po n in os s or n rin co m p anies in I ndia. n efficient logistics networ forms the bac bone of a strong economy lin ing all the elements of the supply chain – transportation, warehousing, integrated communication networks and logistics service providers (LSP s). Compared with the developed nations, the Indian logistics network is below par on all major aspects – infrastructure, customs and q uality of services. This has resulted in India having very high logistics costs for the manufacturing sector, including automotive. I ndia’ s lo gistics co sts are do ub le th at o f th e dev elo p ed natio ns 8 .8 % Germany Singapore 8 .5 % Japan 8 .5 % U SA 8 .5 % India 1 3 % Maj o r ch allenges fo r th e lo gistics secto r in I ndia L im ited interm o dal and last- m ile co nnectiv ity Inefficient supply chain lin ages induce systemic wastages of already scarce resources resulting in sub optimal operations delays and unreliability of services S k ill sh o rtage* Increasing demand for integrated s is widening the re uired s ill gap ma ing the unavailability of a productive wor force a critical issue Regulato ry b o ttleneck s omplex customs regulations non uniformity of toll charges and multiple taxes lead to a high level of compliance disparity resulting in operational inefficiencies S h o rtage o f w areh o using here is limited warehousing capacity in India as the ma ority of operators in the warehousing sector are small to mid sized companies with limited investment appetite * According to a study by the National Skills Development Corporation, the logistics sector will face incremental skill req uirements of 1 7 . 7 million people by 2 0 2 2 . G o v ernm ent and industry p articip ants tak e m easures to address ch allenges Tax breaks and incentives to infrastructure investors P P P and privatization measures to develop infrastructure Sources: EY analysis, Armstrong & Associates 2 2 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b A uto m o tiv e industry Increasing government investment on infrastructure development G o v ernm ent P otential GST roll out Collaborating with the government for infrastructure development Long-term partnership with specialized third party logistics providers to invest in technology, assets, employee training, etc. Focus on continuous skill development through dedicated programs for logistics professionals, training drivers, etc. Th e lik ely ro llo ut o f G S T w ill result in a p leth o ra o f o p p o rtunities to re- engineer sup p ly ch ains and o p tim iz e m anufacturing co sts in I ndia Logistics companies in India have evolved from freight forwarding companies to integrated LSP s providing a complete package of services. Complementing this, the Government is also focusing on improving the regulatory environment. The anticipated GST rollout is a major initiative in this direction, which will help optimize logistics costs and bring in efficiencies I m p licatio ns o f lik ely G S T ro llo ut fo r th e lo gistics secto r 1 2 3 I ncreased o p eratio nal e ien n re e distrib utio n co sts L arge centraliz ed w areh o uses E v o lutio n o f h ub and sp o k e m o dels Reduced compliance req uirements at toll checkpoints will minimize transportation hassles and optimize delivery times. This is likely to reduce distribution costs by roughly 1 0 % – 1 5 % . Minimized tax ation will lead to logistics companies consolidating their warehousing network by creating large, centralized warehouses, instead of the ex isting multiple small warehouses across states. The supply chain network will be redesigned with the objective of ensuring prox imity to manufacturing locations and consumption centers, leading to the emergence of hub and spoke models. 4 E m ergence o f o rganiz ed p lay ers The logistics industry is highly fragmented, with organized LSP s constituting less than 5 % of the total market. P ost rationalization of tax es, the share of organized LSP s is ex pected to increase. I m p licatio ns o f infrastructure dev elo p m ent fo r th e auto m o tiv e secto r • • trong correlation in stimulating demand for mobility and connectivity urther opening of the rural mar et for automotive companies Dem and stim ulatio n • fficient execution of infrastructure pro ects and minimizing regulatory bottlenec s will reduce supply chain and logistics costs for auto companies 0 1 Reduced sup p ly ch ain co sts 0 3 0 2 L o catio n o f ch o ice • ncourage s to establish their manufacturing base in India • India can potentially emerge as a ey exporting country in the auto sector Sources: EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 2 3 4 I ncub ating R&D and inno v atio n E nh ancing sup p ly ch ain co m p etitiv eness Th e co untry ’ s R&D eco sy stem o ffers an o p p o rtunity to driv e inno v atio n fo r b o th do m estic and glo b al co m p anies he research and innovation ecosystem in India presents a significant opportunity for companies across the globe to ex plore the rich talent availability in the country. India hosts a number of R& D centers, which either serve the local market, or help the parent companies develop nex t-generation innovative products and introduce them faster to the global markets. In 2 0 1 4 , India had the world’ s eighth-largest annual R& D investment (2 . 7 % of global R& D ex penditure) estimated at U S$ 4 4 billion. The country’ s total R& D spending is around 1 % of GDP , and the Government’ s spending is two to three times more than that of the industry’ s E Y ’ s I ndia A ttractiv eness S urv ey 2 0 1 5 S tro ngly p o sitio ned fo r 2 0 2 0 India is on course to becoming one of the world’ s three leading fast-growth economies and a preferred destination for manufacturing, as well as a regional hub for operations including R& D/ innovation. Macroeconomic stability 7 6 % 7 0 % Stable political and social environment 7 4 % 5 9 % A s p er E Y ' s I ndia A ttractiv eness S urv ey , b usiness leaders fo und I ndia si ni nl ore attractiv e in 2 0 1 5 s o p re to 2 0 1 4 Research and development I ncub ating R&D and inno v atio n 2 0 1 5 I ndia R&D and inno v atio n cap ab ility — current standing The W orld Economic Forum’ s Global Competitiveness Report 2 0 1 5 – 1 6 puts India at the 4 2 nd place among countries worldwide in terms of innovation capacity. India is strong among the BRICs in terms of the availability of scientists and engineers, but lags on other parameters such as university-industry R& D collaboration and patents granted per head. 2 0 1 4 Improvements in 2 0 1 5 Th e w ay fo rw ard Accelerating R& D and innovation has a vital role in enhancing India’ s manufacturing capability and sharpening its competitiveness. The Government is keen on developing dedicated R& D centers in the manufacturing, agriculture and life sciences sectors. The robust Indian IT industry will further facilitate the development of the R& D eco-system. Sources: The World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Report 2015–16, EY’s 2015 India attractiveness survey and EY analysis 2 4 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b Dev elo p ing talent and sk ills F ast- track ing infrastructure dev elo p m ent 7 2 % 6 9 % E nab ling regulato ry env iro nm ent Th e G o v ernm ent is fo cused o n enh ancing I ndia’ s R&D and inno v atio n cap ab ilities to attract glo b al and I ndian p riv ate secto r inv estm ents The Government of India has taken several steps to promote the R& D sector in the country and has declared 2 0 1 0 to 2 0 2 0 as the National Institution for Transforming India (NITI) To increase involvement of entrepreneurs, researchers to foster scientific innovations “ Decade of Innovation. ” The following institutions have been set up to drive R& D and innovation in India: National Innovation Council A think-tank council to discuss, analyze and help implement strategies and road map for innovation Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) P olicy Focus on increasing R& D spend, sharing risk with the private sector providing new financing mechanisms A ddressing th e gap Regulato ry incentiv es • Tax incentives for in-house R& D on chemicals, drugs, automotive, pharmaceuticals, electronics, computers, telecom, aircrafts and helicopters; investments are eligible for a tax deduction of 1 . 5 X the amount spent • Ex emption from imports custom duty to both public and privately funded R& D institutions • StartU p India initiative: The Department of Industrial P olicy and P romotion is spearheading the Government’ s efforts to provide impetus to the start-up sector in urban and rural India. It will work with banks to make funding easier for startups and small ventures. P artnersh ip s w ith o th er co untries, academ ia E ntrep reneurial and inno v atio n initiativ es • The Science and Engineering Research Board is implementing the P rime Minister’ s Doctoral Fellowship Scheme with a view to develop human capacity for industrially relevant R& D. • India has partnered with the U K for bilateral research and innovation via the Newton-Bhabha Fund contribution of m each over the next five years Integrating R& D and innovation initiatives of multiple stakeholders including Government, R& D labs, universities, sectors, corporates Th e G o v ernm ent and industry need to driv e a m indset ch ange and create an R&D p ush at th e grassro o ts lev el, enab ling co - dev elo p m ent o f p atents and I P Streamlining the patents and IP R application and registration process Incubating entrepreneurial mind-set through funding and policy support Favorable industrial relations scenario to facilitate improved productivity and business continuity Sources: National Portal of India, EY’s India Attractiveness Survey 2015 Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 2 5 R&D and inno v atio n in m anufacturing need to fo cus o n rap id tech no lo gy ado p tio n, w h ich is also critical to th e success o f “ Mak e in I ndia” Competitiveness of India’ s manufacturing sector Time to move beyond cost-effectiveness; differentiate through R&D and innovation The Government has outlined ambitious targets for the manufacturing sector in India including a 2 5 % share in GDP and creating 1 0 0 million new jobs by 2 0 2 2 . Developing an R& D and innovation eco-system is seen as a critical lever in delivering manufacturing ex cellence under the “ Make in India” initiative. Technology needs attention V aried R&D and inno v atio n p ersp ectiv es fro m m anufacturing and no n- m anufacturing secto rs W hat do you think are the main measures to improve India’ s technology and innovation capacity? Manufacturing sector respondents Respondents related to the manufacturing sector suggest more partnerships between foreign and local companies to improve technology and innovation capacity. O n the other hand, non-manufacturing respondents demand more incentives for investment in new technologies. K ey q uestio ns to b e answ ered: 1 W ill the industry have the right skills available to effectively attract and utilize R& D investment across value chain levels? The manufacturing R& D growth story in India has often centered on cost efficiencies due to labor arbitrage he stress has been on driving process efficiencies for cost reduction to compete globally The need of the hour, however, is to drive R& D and technology innovation. This will allow Indian companies to move up the manufacturing value chain and become leading global providers for product design and IP , while navigating through production complex ity and supply chain challenges. Non-manufacturing sector respondents 3 4 % Facilitate R& D partnerships between foreign and local companies 2 9 % 3 1 % Increase incentives to invest in R& D and innovative technologies 3 7 % 2 9 % Increase government support 1 5 % 2 5 % Focus on collaborations between universities and industry 3 7 % 1 9 % Focus on P P P s in technology 2 1 % 2 W hat is the preparedness with respect to R& D and innovation capability at O EMs, suppliers and sales & service network partners? K ey enab lers to p ut I ndia o n th e glo b al m ap as a p referred destinatio n fo r m anufacturing R&D: • Increasing use of automation technologies such as robotics for the assembly line, infusion of hi-tech materials and nanotechnology, developing lighter but stronger and safer parts • Fast adoption of new technologies in electronics, sensors, CAD, CAM, 3 D printing etc. • P romoting corporate investments in manufacturing R& D with tax holidays and funding support Sources: National Portal of India, EY’s India Attractiveness Survey 2015 2 6 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b Th e I ndian auto m anufacturing secto r is set to p lay a p iv o tal ro le in glo b al auto m o tiv e R&D, inno v atio n and new p ro duct dev elo p m ent A uto m o tiv e industry transfo rm atio n h inges o n th e success o f R&D and inno v atio n initiativ es Mark et indicato rs 8 % P roduct design and development in the automotive industry globally is gearing for rapid transformation with changing customer needs and stringent regulations for safety and emissions ew initiatives around connectivity fuel efficiency electric vehicles, autonomous, on-demand mobility are driven by cross-sector R& D and innovation. India is steadily gaining importance for both domestic and foreign multinational companies as a strategic hub for R& D and innovation initiatives. The R& D ecosystem in the country is focused on the three key areas of R& D — fundamental research, designing and engineering of new vehicle models, and development. Share of the automotive sector in India’ s R& D ex penditure 3 0 Number of private sector automotive R& D centers in India o tiv e R&D driv m o er t s A u G lo b al p lay ers inv esting in R&D to tap I ndia’ s engineering b ase and co st adv antage ene s • Influx of global D talent • igher indigenization and localization • undamental research and ground up platforms K ey im p erativ es fo r auto m o tiv e stak eh o lders to p o sitio n I ndia as a glo b al R&D h ub Do m estic p lay ers inv esting in R&D to co m p ete at a glo b al lev el ene s • trategic build up of local D eco system • D approach moving closer to global standards • lobal D partnerships Attracting domain ex perts from mature markets to imbibe a strong process culture, improve q uality, increase R& D capabilities and facilitate creation of domestic IP G o v ernm ent sup p o rt to driv e R&D inv estm ents K ey initiativ es: • i for testing certification homologation • ax benefits on D expenditure • ech ac uisition fund • India partnership Focus on achieving global standards in emissions and safety while also manufacturing global q uality products in an environment friendly way Developing a network of industryacademia-government bodies to build core R& D skills and training modules Developing/ attracting high-end R& D talent, especially in electronics, safety, materials, body engineering, interiors and powertrain development ontinuing the fiscal incentives on R& D ex penditure and ex tending the scheme to outsourced R& D Sources: AMP 2016–26, India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF), EY-SIAM report: Make in India — Leveraging human capital Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 2 7 5 E nh ancing sup p ly ch ain co m p etiv eness Th e auto sup p ly ch ain co ntinues to strength en w ith th e ev o lutio n o f th e I ndian auto m o tiv e industry I ncub ating R&D and inno v atio n The automotive supply chain, comprising more than 7 0 0 suppliers (organized sector), serves as the backbone of the industry and supports the operations of around 3 5 global and Indian O EMs. S tro ng lo ng- term gro w th w h ile dem and v o latility co ntinues F ast- track ing infrastructure dev elo p m ent Indian suppliers are ex panding their customer base and attaining scale through global ac uisitions as domestic demand remained wea during AMP 2 0 1 6 – 2 6 forecasts the Indian automotive industry to grow at a CAGR of around 1 0 % 8 0 % y-o-y growth in number of outbound deals among automotive suppliers in FY1 5 S u p p l y c hain trend s Suppliers to own development, manufacturing and assembly of critical components and become module providers as O EMs plan to consolidate vendors I ncreasing v eh icle p ro liferatio n resulting in a co m p lex sup p ly ch ain Car models are ex pected to increase with the introduction of new models/ vehicle segments > 1 8 0 m o dels in 2 0 2 0 fro m ~ 1 5 0 in 2 0 1 5 H igh gro w th in co m p o nent ex p o rts and stro ng rep lacem ent dem and S up p liers to b ear h igh er R&D o w nersh ip and ex p ense Sharper growth in ex ports on the back of cost benefits and improved uality of components he aftermarket would witness the release of pent-up demand, due to delayed replacements over the last two years Stricter regulations and higher R& D ownership necessitate product and process innovation and a faster response to O EMs’ product launches Ex ports contributed 2 9 % to revenues in FY1 5 ; estimated to reach 3 5 % -4 0 % in 2 0 2 0 ; > 1 0 % growth in replacement demand over FY1 5 – 1 6 Sources: ACMA, LMC Automotive, SIAM, AMP 2016–26 and EY analysis 2 8 Dev elo p ing talent and sk ills I ndian sup p liers acq uiring scale and cap ab ilities w ith glo b al acq uisitio ns In the short to medium term, the industry is facing headwinds with high demand volatility, but is estimated to witness double-digit growth in the long term, necessitating continuous capacity expansion O E Ms p lan to co nso lidate direct v endo rs E nab ling regulato ry env iro nm ent E nh ancing sup p ly ch ain co m p etitiv eness | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b < 1 % R& D/ sales spend of most Indian suppliers, compared with the global average of ~ 3 % W ith increasing o p eratio nal co m p lex ity , th e industry needs to address sev eral ch allenges K ey ch allenges faced b y th e auto m o tiv e sup p ly ch ain In addition to regular raids, suppliers/ O EMs should join industry bodies to launch awareness drives and spread information on spurious parts L arge sh are o f sp urio us p arts • Industry to face shortage of strategic and functional supply chain professionals as supply chain becomes complex and global • Constraints in attracting and retaining automotive supply chain professionals, as they are lured by high-paying FMCG companies Companies should focus on innovative/ analytics-driven cost management and strive to make optimum use of ex isting resources, while the Government works toward building the necessary infrastructure H igh lo gistics co sts and e ien infrastructure • U pcoming regulatory policies around emissions, safety and would significantly impact supply chain operations and the development of new products/ processes • Spurious parts have ~ 3 0 % share in the overall replacement market, due to which the industry faces annual turnover loss of around INR9 0 billion • ~ 2 0 % of total road accidents in India are attributed to the use of spurious auto parts S h o rtage o f sup p ly ch ain p ro fessio nals O EMs, suppliers, academic institutes and industry bodies should collaborate and facilitate supply chain specific skill-development programs • Logistics cost in India is around 1 3 % of GDP compared with 8 % -9 % for developed countries; higher logistics costs are led by the predominant use of road transport, and impact the competiveness of the auto supply chain Infrastructure bottlenec s including deficient roads and ports transport, and inadeq uate power distribution, increase operational costs and impact overall supply chain operations E v o lv ing regulato ry p o licies Suppliers and O EMs should ex plore close collaboration across products/ process development Sources: ACMA, Armstrong & Associates and EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 2 9 G reater industry - w ide co llab o ratio n is needed to reinv ent th e v alue p ro p o sitio n o f th e auto m o tiv e sup p ly ch ain n evolve th e secto r n e ien s ppl in o l provi e o pe i ive v n e n pl O EM-supplier collaboration in demand forecasting, product development and greater transparency across the supply chain would reduce time to market, increase responsiveness, optimize inventory levels and reduce the overall operational cost pivo l role in e s s in ble ro o Improved supply chain visibility and efficient IT-driven processes would be vital in managing the complex supply chain 1 I ncrease co llab o ratio n acro ss th e auto m o tiv e v alue ch ain 2 I m p ro v e sup p ly ch ain v isib ility th ro ugh use o f tech no lo gy E nh ancing co m p etiv eness to b uild a w o rld- class sup p ly ch ain Develop responsive/flexible p ro ductio n sy stem s Demand volatility necessitates flexible production systems. Further, suppliers need to actively manage contracts to cater to the cost pressures of any unutilized capacity which is a significant part of overall supply chain cost Source: EY analysis 3 0 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b 4 3 Dev elo p a glo b ally integrated netw o rk and co m p etent sup p ly ch ain fo r an ex p o rt- led gro w th Suppliers need to develop a globally integrated supply chain to manage customized delivery schedules, varying regulatory compliances and combination of completely built units (CBU s) and completely knocked down units (CK Ds). K ey co nsideratio ns fo r th e G o v ernm ent and th e industry K ey themes Government E nab ling regulato ry env iro nm ent • P rovide a stable and consistent policy regime • Continued thrust on initiatives such as Make in India, Skill India, etc . • Greater clarity on regulations around new mobility service providers Dev elo p ing talent and sk ills • P artner with the industry to facilitate vocational training for students and laying out clear standards on competency levels nderta e steps towards simplification and consolidation of labor laws rovide flexibility of operations through reforms related to upscaling/ downscaling of workforce numbers F ast- track ing infrastructure dev elo p m ent • Continue to encourage private participation to develop specialized infrastructure across ports, railway terminals, etc. • Fast track GST implementation to improve logistics efficiency I ncub ating R&D and inno v atio n Enhancing supply chain competitiveness ontinued fiscal incentives on D ex penditure and ex tending the scheme to outsourced R& D I nd u stry oo to build flexible production capacity • Continued focus on investments aimed at reducing vehicle emissions and introducing safety technologies • Ex plore opportunities for a play in the rapidly evolving mobility eco-system • W ork with academic institutions to develop technical skills in line with the industry req uirements • O EMs to work with suppliers and dealers in the eco-system on training and skilling agenda • Focus on maturity of IR practices internally as well as for partners in the ecosystem • Adopt global best practices for improving transportation and logistics efficiency • O utsource logistics function and collaborate with the specialized logistics service providers • Develop a network of industry-academiagovernment to build core R& D skills and training modules • Bridging the gap between Indian and global automotive standards for safety and emissions • Attracting domain ex perts from mature markets/ other industries to imbibe a strong process culture, improve q uality, increase R& D capabilities and facilitate creation of domestic IP P artner with the industry and academia to facilitate supply chain specific s ill development programs Improve supply chain visibility through use of technology Introduce checks and measures along with launching awareness drives to reduce the usage of spurious parts Invest in developing an integrated network and competent supply chain to drive efficiency in operations Sources: EY analysis Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 3 1 Appendix : Th e N o rth ern regio n is o ne o f th e m o st attractiv e regio ns in I ndia o ffering a m ultitude o f o p p o rtunities fo r auto m ak ers and sup p liers A large m ark et and an attractiv e inv estm ent destinatio n North India is a large market with the youngest population in the country with several states including Delhi, P unjab and Haryana H uge m ark et siz e having a per capita GDP above India’ s average. The region is an attractive investment destination that accounts for around 2 8 % of total DI inflows to the country A ttractiv e inv estm ent destinatio n A large v eh icle sales and p ro ductio n h ub 2 6 % 2 6 % ~ 3 0 % 3 2 % 5 9 % ~ 5 0 % Share of Northern region in national GDP Share of Northern region in total population of India Share of Northern region in total installed power capacity Share of Northern India in total passenger vehicle demand Share in proposed W estern and Eastern Dedicated Freight Corridors H o m e to o ne o f th e largest auto cluster in I ndia The Northern region is home to the second largest automotive cluster in India in terms of revenues (accounting for more than of the total mar et he region also benefits from its close Share of Haryana in total passenger car and 2 W production prox imity to policy makers in the government and industry bodies such as I and he region also houses corporate offices or sales headq uarters of various major entities in the passenger vehicle and two-wheeler segments. Manufacturing R&D and Testing facilities OEM Ludhiana Delhi-GurgaonFaridabad Rohtak Manesar Government Manesar International Center for Automotive Technology (iCAT), Manesar Haridwar Lucknow Major OEMs' HQ in North Sources: EY analysis 3 2 | Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b Ashok Leyland HMSI Suzuki Motorcycles Bajaj Auto ICML Swaraj Mazda Eicher JCB Tata Motors Escorts Mahindra Yamaha Hero Moto Corp Maruti Suzuki Honda New Holland The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) works to create and sustain an environment conducive to the development of India, partnering industry, Government, and civil society, through advisory and consultative processes. II is a non government not for profit industry led and industry managed organization playing a proactive role in India’ s development process. Founded in 1 8 9 5 , India’ s premier business association has around 8 0 0 0 members, from the private as well as public sectors, including SMEs and MNCs, and an indirect membership of over 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 enterprises from around 2 4 0 national and regional sectoral industry bodies. CII charts change by working closely with Government on policy issues, interfacing with thought leaders and enhancing efficiency competitiveness and business opportunities for industry through a range of specialized services and strategic global linkages. It also provides a platform for consensusbuilding and networking on key issues. Ex tending its agenda beyond business, CII assists industry to identify and ex ecute corporate citizenship programmes. P artnerships with civil society organizations carry forward corporate initiatives for integrated and inclusive development across diverse domains including affirmative action, healthcare, education, livelihood, diversity management, skill development, empowerment of women, and water, to name a few. In its 1 2 0 th year of service to the nation, the CII theme of B uild I ndia — I nv est in Dev elo p m ent: A S h ared Resp o nsib ility , reiterates Industry’ s role and responsibility as a partner in national development. The focus is on four key enablers: Facilitating Growth and Competitiveness, P romoting Infrastructure Investments, Developing Human Capital, and Encouraging Social Development. ith offices including entres of xcellence in India and overseas offices in ustralia Bahrain, China, Egypt, France, Singapore, U K , and U SA, as well as institutional partnerships with 3 1 2 counterpart organizations in 1 0 6 countries, CII serves as a reference point for Indian industry and the international business community. C o nfederatio n o f I ndian I ndustry The Mantosh Sondhi Centre 2 3 , Institutional Area, Lodi Road, New Delhi — 1 1 0 0 0 3 (India) T: 9 1 1 1 4 5 7 7 1 0 0 0 / 2 4 6 2 9 9 9 4 -7 | F: 9 1 1 1 2 4 6 2 6 1 4 9 E: info@ cii. in | W : www. cii. in F ol l ow u s on: facebook. com/ followcii twitter. com/ followcii www. mycii. in Reach us via our Membership Helpline: 0 0 -9 1 -1 2 4 -4 5 9 2 9 6 6 / 0 0 -9 1 -9 9 1 0 4 4 6 2 4 4 CII Helpline Toll free No: 1 8 0 0 -1 0 3 -1 2 4 4 Mak ing I nd ia a w orl d c l ass au tomotive manu f ac tu ring hu b | 3 3 Notes 34 | Making India a world class automotive manufacturing hub Notes Making India a world class automotive manufacturing hub | 35 EY contacts R ak esh B atra India Automotive and Transportation Leader + 9 1 1 2 4 6 7 1 4 5 3 2 rakesh. batra@ in. ey. com R and al l J Mil l er Global Automotive & Transportation Leader + 1 3 1 3 6 2 8 8 6 4 2 randall. miller@ ey. com A nil V al san Global Automotive & Transportation Lead Analyst + 4 4 2 0 7 9 5 1 6 8 7 9 avalsan@ uk. ey. com R eg an Grant Global Automotive & Transportation Marketing Leader + 1 3 1 3 6 2 8 8 9 7 4 regan. grant@ ey. com Gau rav B atra Associate Director, EY K nowledge + 9 1 1 2 4 4 7 0 1 2 4 5 gaurav. batra3 @ in. ey. com A nu j C hand na Analyst, EY K nowledge + 9 1 1 2 4 4 7 0 1 2 8 2 anuj. chandna@ in. ey. com E Y | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory A b o ut E Y EY is a global leader in assurance, tax , transaction and advisory services. 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