Black and White Americans and Latino Immigrants: A Preliminary Look at Attitudes in Three Southern Cities Paula D. McClain Duke University Monique L. Lyle RWJ/University of Michigan Efrén O. Peréz Vanderbilt University Jessica Johnson Carew Eugene Walton, Jr. Candis S. Watts Duke University Gerald F. Lackey Danielle Clealand University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Shayla C. Nunnally University of Connecticut A paper prepared for presentation at the 2009 American Political Science Association, September 2-6, 2009, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The survey reported in this paper was funded by a grant from the Russell Sage Foundation (What’s New about the New South: Race, Latino Immigration, and Intergroup Relations, Grant # 88-06-11). McClain et al., Black and White Americans 1 Introduction Immigration into the United States soared between the 1990 and 2000 censuses and continued during the 2000 to 2007 period, resulting in significant demographic shifts in some regions of the country. Latino immigration accounts for much of this increase with the South receiving the largest demographic shift. A number of Southern states, such as North Carolina, Alabama, and Georgia, reported substantial increases in the size of their Latino populations from 1990 to 2000 (U. S. Census 1990, 2000). Many experienced even greater growth in Latino residents between 2000 and 2007. North Carolina experienced a 68.8 percent increase, seeing its Latino population grow from 377,084 in 2000 to 636,442 in 2007. Arkansas’ Latino population increased 77.8 percent, from 85,303 in 2000 to 145,918 in 2007 (Pew Hispanic Center 2007). Moreover, the top five states with the largest growth in Latino population between 2000 and 2006 were in the South—Arkansas, Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee and North Carolina (U.S. Census Bureau 2006) -and the region holds the second largest concentration of Latinos (14.5 percent) after the West (26.6 percent) (U. S. Bureau of the Census 2006). Singer (2008) refers to these Southern states as being part of the twenty-first-century immigration gateways. No other region of the country has been as defined by race as has the South. These new immigrants are moving into a region where race and race relations between blacks and whites have defined virtually every social and political outcome, e.g., life chances, educational opportunities, legal rights, and violent experiences, among others. Given the recent nature of Latino immigration into the South, it is not surprising that little scholarly attention has been paid to the topic. Some economists have begun to examine labor force effects of and the types of jobs Latino immigrants take in the South (Murphy, Blanchard, and Hill 2001; Mohl 2003; Ciscel, Smith and Mendoza 2003; Torres 2000; Kandel and Parrado 2004; Griffith 1993), and several social scientists have done or are doing ethnographic studies in selected Southern communities (Helen Marrow 2008, 2009; Jaime Winders 2008a, 2008b; Ted Henken 2005; Hernández-León and Zuñiga 2005, 2002, 2003, 2001, and 2000; Smith and Winders 2007. The changes in the racial dynamic of the South raise many questions, one of which we seek to address in this project: how are native-born black and white Americans reacting to the presence of a third McClain et al., Black and White Americans 2 population, one with little or no history in the region? Research in the area of the effects of Latino immigration on intergroup relations in the South is very recent and not extensive (McClain et al. 2006, 2007; Marrow 2008, 2009; Winders 2008a, 2008b). This paper will provide a glimpse at the context in which racial intergroup relations will be developed in three Southern locations—Durham, NC; Memphis, TN; and Little Rock, AR. These locations represent different Southern environments: Memphis is a majority black city, Durham holds nearly equal numbers of blacks and whites and Little Rock is a majority white city. White Attitudes toward Immigration 1 Research in political science on white attitudes toward immigration has run along four parallel lines of inquiry--number and type of immigrants, economic perceptions, cultural concerns, and prejudice. Research in the first area, number and type of immigrants, examines the extent to which opposition to foreigners is influenced by the demographic balance between immigrants and native-born populations. Tolbert and Hero (1996), in an examination of county support for Proposition 187, California’s 1994 antiimmigrant ballot measure, find that net of party affiliation and economic conditions, the proportion of Latinos within a given county had a significant and positive effect on county support for the ballot initiative. This relationship, however, is qualified by the racial/ethnic balance of counties. Counties where Anglos and Latinos comprise the bulk of the population strongly supported Proposition 187, whereas counties with a more heterogeneous racial/ethnic composition manifested weaker support for the anti-immigrant measure. Additionally, Hood and Morris (1998) find that individual support for increased levels of immigration decreases as one’s proximity to large populations of undocumented immigrants increases. On the other hand, other studies failed to find a relationship between anti-immigrant opinion and proximity to large populations of foreigners (Hood and Morris 2000, 1997; Stein et al. 2000). In contrast to work on the number and type of immigrants, other scholars have paid special attention to the role that economic factors play in generating white opposition to immigration. While research has shown that one’s personal economic situation is a poor predictor of one’s position on 1 This section borrows heavily from Pérez (2008). McClain et al., Black and White Americans 3 immigration policy, one’s view about national economic health, as well concern with immigrants’ negative effect on job opportunities and taxes, strongly predict individual opposition to higher levels of immigration (Citrin et al. 1997; Espenshade and Hempstead 1996; Kessler 2001; Harwood 1983; Alvarez and Butterfield 2000). The third approach to examining white attitudes toward immigration is one that investigates the role of a perceived threat to the national culture, orcultural threat (Fetzer 2000). Indeed, a series of studies document that an individual’s perception that immigrants endanger national cultural identity is a key predictor of opposition to immigration (Sniderman et al. 2000; Citrin et al. 1997; Citrin, Reingold, and Green 1990; Hood and Morris 1997; Hood, Morris, and Shirkey 1997). According to these analyses, immigrants are considered a threat because they imperil the integrity of national identity through their introduction of foreign customs, languages, values, and traditions to the adopted country. Finally, some researchers have focused on the role of prejudice in activating opposition to immigration. This line of inquiry finds that bigotry toward immigrants is a powerful predictor of white opposition to immigration (Citrin et al. 1997; Burns and Gimpel 2000). Pérez (2008) refines these results by suggesting that prejudice toward immigrants comes in explicit and implicit manifestations. The former concerns the type of prejudice individuals are willing and able to report, while the latter involves a manifestation of prejudice that is automatic and often beyond an individual’s introspection. Pérez (2008) finds that while explicit prejudice influences subjects’ views of Latino and non-Latino immigrants, implicit prejudice is honed in on a specific target, namely, Latino immigrants. Moreover, while individuals can suppress the influence of explicit prejudice on their judgments of immigration, these same individuals find it difficult to control the influence of implicit biases. Black Attitudes toward Immigration Relative to the research on white attitudes toward immigration, substantially less attention has been paid to the attitudes of blacks toward immigration. Historically, blacks have expressed their opinions during each wave of immigration to the United States. While immigration into the United States McClain et al., Black and White Americans 4 began in the nineteenth century, European immigration at the turn of the twentieth century was particularly troublesome for black advancement as blacks were routinely excluded from employment opportunities in favor of white immigrants (Berthoff, 1951; Parker, 1948; Roediger, 1999; Hellwig, 1981; Higham, 1973; Rubin, 1978). Furthermore, the ease with which European immigrants adopted anti-black racism and engaged in anti-black violence created a physical, economic and political threat among blacks (Ignatiev, 1997; Jacobson, 2001; Roediger, 1999). This sense of threat did not manifest into antiimmigrant sentiments, but did create a sense of ambivalence among blacks toward immigration (Diamond, 1998; Hellwig, 1981; Rubin, 1978). This ambivalence was not limited to European immigrants, but extended to Asian and West Indian immigrants during the twentieth century. The principle concern for blacks was whether these groups would be viewed more positively by the broader white society and possibly surpasses the native born black population. To a certain extent, these fears were confirmed as whites often perceived West Indian immigrants as different, perhaps better than, African Americans. Likewise, while still perceiving Asians as “foreign”, whites perceived them to be superior to native-born blacks. Neighborhoods were also affected by this wave of immigration given the urban nature of settlement patterns of new immigrants and many black areas became racially heterogeneous. The limited literature on black attitudes toward immigration in general presents a mixed picture. Epenshade and Hempstead (1996) suggest that blacks, along with Hispanics and Asians, are more likely to express pro-immigration views than are non-Hispanic whites, yet these findings ran counter to earlier findings by the same authors (Espenshade and Calhoun 1993). Cummings and Lambert (1997), in a comparison of Anglo and black attitudes toward Hispanic and Asian American communities, they found that blacks harbored no more negative sentiment toward Asian and Hispanic communities than their white counterparts. Moreover, the authors discovered that the issues that move black opinion are not the same as those that affect white opinion, suggesting that the factors that shape black opinion on immigration may differ from those that shape white opinion. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 5 Diamond (1998) found much the same result--blacks hold somewhat milder attitudes than whites with respect to immigration, albeit with some caveats. While a majority of whites supported a moratorium on immigration, a majority of blacks opposed it. Yet, a majority of blacks favored a reduction in the level of immigration and when the questions addressed economic costs associated with immigration, blacks were more likely to be in favor of restricting immigration than were whites. Finally, if public officials and the media begin to use race as a frame for immigrants and immigration, then blacks tend to modify their opinions and become less supportive of efforts to restrict immigration. Johnson, Farrell and Guinn (1997) analyzing data from the 1994 Los Angeles County Social Survey, found that about one-half of non-Latino and black respondents believed they would have less or a lot less political and economic influence than they currently have if immigration continued at the present rate. On the other hand, Citrin et al. (1997) found that concern about financial stress from immigration was not more significant in influencing attitudes about immigration among blacks than among whites. Thornton and Mizuno (1999) found that concerns about economic health might influence black opinion on immigration and immigrant groups. Using data from 1984, the authors find that blacks generally hold more positive attitudes toward immigrants than do whites, and that black men were more likely than black women to feel closer to all groups involved. Feelings of economic insecurity did not appear to make blacks feel more negatively toward West Indian and Hispanic immigrants. Though the authors hypothesized that more economic insecurity would dampen black attitudes toward immigrants, they did not find consistent evidence to support this claim. Carter (2007) examines the relationship between blacks’ perceptions of their place in American society and the relationship to attitudes toward immigration. She finds some support for the idea that black attitudes are mediated by their perceptions of white discrimination. In particular, those blacks who feel that the promise of political inclusion, secured during the Civil Rights Movement, has yet to be realized are ambivalent about immigration. As a result, immigration for blacks becomes a vehicle for airing their grievances for this unfulfilled promise of American citizenship. Although blacks were fearful McClain et al., Black and White Americans 6 that continuing immigration could be harmful to their community, they were not in favor of a complete restriction on immigration. In a study examining the attitudes toward Latino immigrants by native-born blacks in a southern city, McClain et al. (2007) found that blacks perceived more of an economic threat, especially in the belief that they are losing jobs to Latinos, from Latino immigration than did whites. While not as concerned as blacks, a good portion of whites were also concerned about continued Latino immigration. What remains constant across these differing works is that blacks have an uneasy relationship with immigration. On the one hand, blacks are generally lukewarm in their support for immigration because of the losses, real or perceived, incurred by their community (Scott, 1999). On the other, blacks are opposed to supporting what they saw as racist efforts to harm other communities of color (Carter, 2007; Diamond, 1998). At present, black concerns about racial progress remain a vital lens through which they view the issue of immigration (Carter, 2007). Racial Threat and Competition Theories It is possible that, as Latino immigration increases the numbers of Latinos in an area, blacks will begin to feel threatened by the increasing presence of Latinos and begin to act accordingly. Most of the literature on political and economic threat focuses on the threat whites perceive from blacks, but the framework may be useful for examining relations among similarly situated racial minority groups. Blumer’s (1955, 1958) Group Position Model argues that feelings of competition and hostility emerge on the part of whites (ingroup) as whites begin to feel that blacks (outgroup) are encroaching upon their status and position. Central to this model are the subjective feelings where whites feel they stand vis-à-vis blacks, with negative feelings and beliefs toward blacks being central to whites’ reactions. Oliver and Mendelberg (2000) suggest that white racial animosity increases as the percentage of blacks in a given environment increases. They also suggest that white animosity toward blacks is heightened by conditions of economic stress or status anxiety. Giles and Evans (1986) found that the greater the competition between blacks and whites, the stronger the sense of ingroup solidarity and McClain et al., Black and White Americans 7 hostility toward the outgroup. Giles and Buckner (1993), in exploring what factors contributed to whites voting for David Duke for governor in 1990, found that white voter mobilization for Duke was positively associated with the level of black concentration among registered voters. Bobo and Hutchings (1996), using data gathered in Los Angeles, examined the group position model in a multiracial setting. They found that the more that members of a racial group feel alienated or oppressed, the more likely they are to regard other racial groups as competitive threats to their own group’s social position. They also found that blacks and Latinos were most likely to perceive their relations with other minority groups in zero-sum terms. Moreover, the greater the social distance that Asians and Latinos perceive between themselves and blacks, the more likely they are to see blacks as competitors. Oliver and Wong (2003) also examined attitudes of racial groups in multiracial settings, finding that, with the exception of Asians, people who live in neighborhoods where their group dominates tend to harbor greater negative stereotypes toward other racial minority groups. In other words, racial stereotypes increase as the percentage of one’s own group in the neighborhood increases—the greater the perceived percentage of ingroup members within the neighborhood, the greater the sense of zero-sum competition with minority outgroups and the greater the perception of threats from immigration. Blacks and Latinos, who are the most racially isolated, harbor the most negative views toward other groups, but this pattern was not as pronounced among blacks and Latinos residing in neighborhoods that are racially diverse. Adding to the possibility that Southern blacks will perceive Latino immigrants as threats are the findings from three studies that examined the interactions of Latino immigrants and Southern blacks (Mohl 2003; Griffith 2005; McClain et al. 2007). Some of the earliest work on the possible effects of Latino immigrant labor on native-born labor was conducted by sociologist David Griffith beginning in the 1980s. In more recent work on the agriculture industry, Griffith found that the workforce shifted from being predominantly white and African American in the early 1980s to being predominantly Mexican by 1988 (Griffith 2005). The same pattern was apparent in the poultry and meatpacking plants—Mexicans began to fill jobs that were previously held by African Americans. In interviews with plant mangers, McClain et al., Black and White Americans 8 Griffith found they readily admitted to a preference for Mexican over African American workers. He found the same patterns and sentiment in the seafood processing plants. Griffith concluded that during the 1980s, black workers were pushed out of work by immigrant Mexican labor. Examining newspaper and interview accounts in several Georgia communities, Mohl (2003) suggests that Latino immigrants in the South now fill jobs formerly held by blacks, as employers appear to prefer Latino immigrants to Black American workers. Additionally, in many urban centers of the South, Latino immigrants are moving into predominantly black neighborhoods. Job competition and unwelcome neighbors have contributed to black resentment toward Latino immigrants, and the perception, from Mohl’s analysis that blacks are losing out to Latino immigrants. Moreover, while exact numbers of undocumented immigrants in the South are difficult to determine, Mohl suggests that a sizeable portion of the new immigrants competing with blacks for jobs are undocumented (Mohl 2003)).2 McClain et al. (2007), using survey data from Durham, NC, found that in general, blacks and whites in Durham perceive a potential economic threat from continued Latino immigration, but blacks feel more threatened than do whites. Among blacks, those that held negative stereotypes of Latinos were significantly more likely than were blacks with fewer stereotypes to feel that continued immigration will lead to decreased economic opportunity for blacks. Blacks and whites both appear to be concerned about the rapid growth in the Latino population, but the factors contributing to the concern appeared to be different for blacks and whites. The perception of economic threat was not the only significant factor in blacks’ concerns over Latino immigration. Holding negative stereotypes of Latinos was also a prominent contributor. Blacks with negative stereotypes of Latinos were more likely than were blacks with fewer stereotypes to be concerned about the rapid growth in the Latino population. While Griffith (2005) and Mohl (2003) document job replacement, and McClain et al. (2007) identify the perception of Latino immigrants as taking jobs from southern blacks, the economics literature 2 Work on Dalton, Georgia, by Rubén Hernández-León and Victor Zúñiga (2000, 2001, 2003, and 2005) does not focus on intergroup relations between the new Latino immigrants and the extant Black American population, primarily because the Black population has declined in size over the years. Their work focuses primarily on the integration of Latino immigrants into the largely White town. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 9 is mixed on the effects of immigration on black earnings and the question of whether Latino immigrants are taking black jobs nationally. Borjas (1987, 1990), using 1980 data, found that in some instances immigrants tended to be substitutes for some labor market groups, but they were also complements to others. Native-born white men appeared to be adversely affected by immigration, whereas native-born black men gained slightly from increases in immigrant labor supply. On the other hand, Borjas did find that Mexican immigrants had a significantly negative, albeit small, effect in decreasing the earnings of both native-born white and black men. In examining the effects of undocumented Mexican immigrants on the wages of other groups, Bean et al. (1988) found, also using 1980 data, no significant effect. They did find small negative effects of legal immigration on the wages of white and native-born minorities. Examining another labor dimension, Stoll et al. (2002) found that a large concentration of immigrants adversely affects the wages of lower-skilled black men. Pastor and Marcelli (2003), in one of the most recent studies using 2000 Census data, found that as the proportion of undocumented Mexican immigrants increased, the wages of low-skilled black men declined about 30 percent. Moreover, while the wages of low-skilled black men declined, the wages of undocumented Mexican immigrants increased. Ong and Valenzuela (1996) found that Latino immigration to Los Angeles increased joblessness among low-skilled black Americans with low levels of education, yet at the same time boosted the earnings of those with a job. In another study using 1990s data, Borjas (1998) found that the low-skilled black native population loses out in competition with low-skilled immigrants. Moreover, he found that regardless of the skill set of immigrants, native black per capita income decreases with increased immigration. Waldinger (1997), in a study of hotels and restaurants in Los Angeles, found a strong employer preference for immigrants over African Americans (Ong and Valenzuela, 1996). The situation was magnified when the immigrants were undocumented, as employers believed that these individuals would work harder and were easy to exploit because they were concerned about being deported. In another study, using interview data from employers in Los Angeles collected in the 1990s, Waldinger (1997) identified a number of factors that worked against native-born blacks and in favor of Latino immigrants in hiring. First, employers appear to operate within a hierarchy of ethnic preferences, with native whites at McClain et al., Black and White Americans 10 the top, followed by immigrant whites, immigrant Hispanics, and native blacks at the bottom. Employers see Latino immigrants as more hardworking and willing to work long hours for less pay than are Black Americans. In addition, once Latino immigrants are hired, employers rely on their network with other immigrants to hire more. Using this network hiring approach increases the probability that a work force will become predominantly immigrant within a short period of time. Waldinger noted that employers saw blacks as being concerned with mobility and job advancement, while Latino immigrants were only concerned with the opportunity for employment. Based on the literature on black and white attitudes toward immigration, the three studies on competition between blacks and Latinos for jobs, and, despite the lack of consensus in the economics literature on whether immigrants, in general, and Latino immigrants, in particular, are taking jobs from blacks, the fact remains that blacks may perceive the loss of jobs and deleterious economic effects from Latino immigrants. Based on racial threat and competition theory, along with the limited evidence that Latinos are taking jobs from southern blacks, we pose the following hypotheses: H1: Southern Black Americans will perceive Latino immigrants as threats to their own economic well-being, such that H2: Southern Black Americans will be more concerned about immigration than their white counterparts. These are the same hypotheses we addressed in our earlier study (McClain et al, 2007), and with new data from three Southern locations, we will analyze whether the relationships we found in our earlier work hold across locations. This work will be a vital contribution to the scholarship on Latino immigration into the South and possible regional patterns. Research Settings We use three Southern cities--Durham, NC; Memphis, TN; and Little Rock, AR.--to examine questions of the attitudes about immigration and intergroup relations among blacks, whites and Latinos. These locations represent different Southern environments from a majority black city (Memphis), to one McClain et al., Black and White Americans 11 where blacks and whites are represented in nearly equal proportions in the population (Durham) to one where blacks are a minority of the population (Little Rock). Durham, North Carolina. The City of Durham, like many Southern locations, is undergoing demographic change. In 1990, Latinos were slightly more than one percent of the population, but by 2000, their percentage reached 8.6 percent. For decades, whites were the majority in Durham (51.6% in 1990), but the increasing Latino population, along with a smaller increase in the Asian population, have reduced the white proportion where in 2000 blacks and whites constituted almost equal percentages of the population, 45.5 percent for whites and 43.8 percent for blacks.3 By 2006, both the white and black populations declined as a proportion of the city’s population, yet were still virtually equal in proportion, with whites declining to 39.9 percent and blacks declining to 41.3 percent. Latinos as a proportion of the population rose from 8.6 percent in 2000 to 12.5 percent in 2006. [Insert Table 1 About here] Compared to other Southern cities, Durham is a relatively new city (post-bellum) having been incorporated in 1869. As white areas in Durham developed, a parallel black community, Hayti, was developing just outside of “Durham proper” (Anderson 1990; Boyd 1925). Land in the Hayti district was recorded as being sold to blacks around 1877. Boyd (1925:284) estimates that the value of black property in Durham exceeded $4 million in 1923. Anderson (1990) suggests that the strong black leadership in Durham and its connections to some of the major white leaders in Durham were important for maintaining peaceful relations between blacks and whites (See also Greene 1996, Brown 1997, and Houck 1941). Despite a history of racial segregation extending back to the 1870s, Durham is a city that has historically had a very prosperous upper and upper-middle class black community. One of the great ironies of segregation was that it allowed many black businesses to flourish and prosper, as in the case of Durham. The largest black-owned insurance company in the United States, North Carolina Mutual, was 3 Both of these groups gained in absolute numbers of people, but lost as a proportion of the population from 1990 to 2000, and in the 2000 to 2006 time interval. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 12 founded in Durham and is still headquartered there. In addition, Durham supports a number of black banks, libraries, hospitals, educational institutions, and numerous other businesses. Much of this black middle class is present and active in everyday Durham community today. For example, the median black family income in Durham in 2000 was $33,447. Almost three-fourths, 72.3 percent, of the Durham black population age twenty-five and over have finished high school. Despite these gains, black poverty is significant in Durham. Almost a quarter, 22.1 percent of the Durham black population lived below the poverty level in 2000 (U. S. Bureau of Census 2000). The black elite in Durham have been quite successful in achieving a significant measure of political power, , primarily through their political organization. Due to blacks’ political success and access to the ballot, Durham County was not one of forty North Carolina counties covered by Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965. While black elites were the face of civil rights in Durham, the movement would not have thrived without significant contributions from the black poor and working class (Davidson, 2007). Though the exigencies of racism made the coalition between poor and wealthy blacks necessary, there were significant tensions between these communities (Davidson, 2007). Despite this alliance, wealthier blacks were much more economically secure, primarily due to the strong business sector, than were poor blacks, many of whom risk being fired for their activism by white employers (Davidson, 2007). Moreover, in many poor black communities black elites owned and operated the services and housing, and poor blacks found that racial solidarity did not preclude wealthier blacks from exploiting them. Durham’s Latino population originates primarily from Mexico and Central America, economically depressed countries relative to the United States. In 1998, The News and Observer (Raleigh, NC) identified that many of the Mexican immigrants coming into North Carolina were primarily from rural towns in the State of Puebla (November 29, 1998; November 30, 1998) but by 2004, the majority of Mexican immigrants came from nine states in the lower west-central and southern Mexico—Guerrero, Veracruz, Guanajuato, Michoacan, Hildalgo, Oaxaca, Estado de Mexico, Puebla, and Distrito Federal. About two fifths of these immigrants came directly to North Carolina, while another McClain et al., Black and White Americans 13 two-fifths initially entered the country at another point and made their way to North Carolina (Kasarda and Johnson 2006). The majority of these immigrants are unskilled and poorly educated. Only 52.4 percent of Latinos age twenty-five and over in Durham have finished high school. The low level of education and skills among Latino immigrants leads them primarily to low-paying, unskilled jobs in Durham. As such, Latino immigrants are most likely to come into competition for jobs and social services with low-skilled blacks.4 Memphis, TN. Memphis, TN is a much larger city than both Durham and Little Rock, with a 2006 population of 643,122 people. Memphis is a majority-black city, 63.5 percent, with non-Hispanic whites making up 30.5 percent and Latinos, constituting 4.7 percent of the city’s population. In 1990, there were only 4,455 Latinos in Memphis, but by 2006 that number had risen to 30,356 and the numbers continue to increase. Most of these Latino residents are of Mexican heritage. More specifically, interviews with local immigrants reveal that many of them are from the west-central Mexican states of Jalisco, Michoacan, Guanajuato, and San Luis Potosi (Burrell et al. 2001).5 Memphis, Tennessee has always been a city of commerce. Given its juxtaposition to the mighty Mississippi river, this Southern city has served as a hub for trade, manufacturing, and distribution since the early 1800s. As a mainstay of Southern industry, the city has also consistently attracted immigrants since its early days. Irish, German, and Jewish newcomers made Memphis their home from the 1820s through the beginning of the 1900s. Indeed, by 1860, Memphis’ foreign-born population comprised nearly 31percent of the city’s population (Biles 1988). This immigrant heritage distinguishes Memphis from other Southern cities, particularly the other two cities (Durham and Little Rock) in our study. Unlike its counterparts throughout the region, immigrants have left their mark on the city’s social, economic, and 4 In a series of articles throughout 2002 chronicling the lives of area residents living in poverty, The Herald Sun (Durham) provided a picture of life for Latinos in Durham. Fully 26 percent of the more than 16,000 Latinos in Durham live below the federal poverty level, and, in order to make a good living, it is necessary for them to work more than one job (Assis and Pecquet 2002: A12). 5 This is based on interviews by the Burrell et al. with local immigrants. But anecdotal evidence comports with this more systematic evidence. For instance, several buses offer direct trips from Memphis to various cities in the aforementioned Mexican states. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 14 political structure. Waller (1984), for instance, explains how the Irish immigrants of the 1820s eventually filled the ranks of police officers in Memphis by mid-century. Memphis also stands apart from other Southern municipalities in that Memphis’ black residents did not predate the Civil War; rather, African Americans began settling in the city in large numbers following this conflict’s wake. As Union soldiers freed black slaves in Memphis’ surrounding environs, African Americans flocked to the city and settled in neighborhoods traditionally inhabited by Irish, Italians, and German immigrants (Lewis 1998). Tensions ensued, as the perception of competition over jobs and housing gripped the mostly Irish denizens of these neighborhoods (Waller 1984; Lewis 1988; Biles 1988). Thus, in an ironic twist of roles, Memphis’ early foreign-born residents looked down on native-born blacks as both outsiders and competitors. In some ways, Memphis is similar to Durham, in that, although Jim Crow dictated the parameters of black and white public interactions and blacks were often disenfranchised at the state and national level, blacks enjoyed the right to vote in municipal elections—a pattern which is incongruent with most other Southern cities at the time. This modicum of political muscle had its limitations, however. Black votes in Memphis city politics counted only to the extent that they were cast in favor of the Republican political machine spearheaded by Edward Crump, which dominated local politics from the early 1900s through the early 1950s (Dowdy 2006). Political power did not come easily to black Memphians. The Crump machine refused to run black candidates. This extended exclusion from elective office made it extremely difficult for blacks to gain a foothold politically (Wright 2000). The Memphis civil rights movement and events such as the assassination of Martin Luther King, Jr. in 1968, substantially increased tension between blacks and whites. The first black candidate for mayor ran in 1967, but blacks were not successful in electing a black mayor until 1991 in a racially divisive and polarizing campaign (Wright 2000:123-172). While political power was late in coming, blacks in Memphis developed the full range of black class structures similar to that of Durham. Blacks owned businesses, newspapers, banks and savings and McClain et al., Black and White Americans 15 loans, an amusement park, and numerous other businesses (Wright 2000: 35). Thus, it resembles Durham in class structure, but differs in its level of cooperative race relations. Little Rock, AR. For most Americans of a certain age cohort, Little Rock is seared in their memory as the site of the integration of Central High School in 1957. It is a city with a tortured civil rights history, a history that still appears to affect the attitudes of its residents. Little Rock is a city where nonLatino whites are still the dominant portion of the population, 50.1 percent, although their proportion is not as great as it was in past years. Blacks represent about two-fifths of the population, 41.9 percent, while Latinos are 4.7 percent. In 2005, 67 percent of Arkansas’ immigrant population came from Mexico as well as other Latin and Central American countries (Capps et al. 2007). The majority of Latino immigrants come from Mexico with the largest portion coming from the state of Guanajuato, and smaller numbers coming from Estado de Mexico, Zacatecas, Michoacan, San Luis Potosi and Distrito Federal (Mora López 2009). In addition, many Latinos in the state are also coming from initial immigration destinations in the United States, including California, New Mexico and Arizona (The Economist 1998). Latino immigrants began to inhabit Arkansas beginning in the 1980s, although there have been transient communities of Latinos in the state due to seasonal agricultural work since the 1890s (Leidermann 2007; Capps et al. 2007). As the poultry industry in the northwestern and southeastern regions of Arkansas grew, demand for unskilled, cheap labor increased. These jobs are largely filled by Latino immigrants. Arkansas did not initially institute universal segregation, which partially contributed to the upward economic and social mobility of some blacks (specifically in cities like Little Rock). As the status of whites declined, however, in the face of this black mobility (particularly beginning at the end of the 19th century), whites increasingly called for solidification of white power status and racial segregation (Graves 1989:436). Little Rock has a history of both relative integration (from the 1870s to 1890s/1900s) and fierce segregation (particularly from the turn of the 20th century on). Public schools were widely segregated almost immediately after the end of the Civil War, though there had been some peaceful integration before 1957, as seen with the state university, some medical and law schools, as well as some McClain et al., Black and White Americans 16 small colleges. Public transportation became segregated under Jim Crow laws, though the bus system was integrated before 1957. Some of the race relations problems in Little Rock came out of the relative independence of the city’s black community. This independence allowed for some black economic mobility, which was not acceptable to many whites (especially lower class whites) (Graves 1989). Black independence also created increased tensions between blacks and white. These tensions came to a head with the forced integration of Central High School in September 1957. The struggle between Governor Orval Faubus and President Eisenhower over the use of federal troops created more tensions as the state National Guard was used to keep the nine black students out on one day and ordered to support and protect their integration the next. Although Federal troops were eventually called in to enforce the integration of the school and their failure to protect black students from attacks by some white students served to encourage more anti-integration behavior (Kirk 2002). Data The analyses in this paper are based on two surveys--The 2003 Durham Survey of Intergroup Relations (DSIR) (n=500) and the 2007 Three City Survey of Intergroup Relations (TCSIR). The cities surveyed in the 2007 data are a resurvey of Durham, NC with the addition of Little Rock, AR and Memphis, TN. Both surveys were conducted specifically for our project by the Center for Survey Research of the University of Virginia using a Computer-Aided Telephone Interviewing (CATI) system, employing random digit dialing (RDD) and dialing of directory-assisted Hispanic surname sample.6 The 2003 survey was conducted from May 4 through June 22, 2003 and interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish (32 percent of the interviews were conducted in Spanish, which translates into 95.8 percent of the Latino sample opting to be interviewed in Spanish).7 A race/ethnicity quota was 6 We recognize the problems associated with drawing a sample from a listing of Hispanic surnames, for example, missing Hispanics with non-Hispanic last names, and those married to non-Hispanics. We also acknowledge that some Latino immigrants might not have phones in their homes. Given the receny of the Hispanic population in Durham and the high proportion of immigrants, however, we choose the sampling frame that would give us the highest probabilities of getting to a Latino respondent. 7 We had the questionnaire translated by a Spanish-language organization in Chapel Hill, NC. In order to check the translation and to ensure that it tracked the English-language version, the survey organization drew a small McClain et al., Black and White Americans 17 implemented to achieve a minimum of 150 whites, 150 blacks, and 150 Latinos; the remaining 50 respondents were not under this quota restriction and represent a number of racial/ethnic backgrounds. Interviews were completed with 500 residents of the City of Durham for an overall response rate of 21.6 percent.8 The sample of 500 consists of 160 whites (32 percent), 151 blacks (30 percent), 167 Latinos (34 percent), 6 Asians (1.2 percent), 12 who designated their race as Other (2.4%), and 1 respondent (0.2 percent) who did not indicate a racial category.9 The 2007 surveys in Durham, Memphis and Little Rock were conducted from April 6, 2007 to October 27, 2007 and interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish (more than 90 percent of the Latino sample in all three cities opted to be interviewed in Spanish). Again, a race/ethnicity quota was implemented to achieve a minimum of 300 whites, 300 blacks, and 300 Latinos in each city, with the ability to pick up other respondents not under this quota in the random digit dialing process. Interviews were completed with 977 residents of Durham, 825 residents of Little Rock and 978 residents of Memphis.10 sample of Latinos in Durham for the sole purpose of checking the translation. As a result, changes were made to the translation. The revised Spanish-language version was then pretested on another small sample of Latinos in Durham. 8 A total of 4208 phone numbers were attempted in the course of the survey and a total of 14,014 call attempts were made. The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) rate was calculated using the full call history of each number that was recorded automatically by the CATI software. The response rate was calculated according to AAPOR suggested formula RR3, with e1= .50 and e2 = .78. We estimated e1 and e2 based on an analysis of residency rates and the occurrence of out-of-area households in our sample. Partial interviews are not counted in the numerator of the RR3 formula. 9 Due to the use of the Hispanic surname sample and racial/ethnic quotas, sampling error is more difficult to calculate. The sample may be viewed as part of two separate populations. Within the RDD sample, the source of 276 completions, the probability of selection is known and the margin of error is + 5.9 percent. Within the surname oversample, providing 244 completed interviews, all households listed under a resident with a Hispanic surname were attempted; however, Hispanics were included in RDD calling and non-Hispanics were included in the oversample. Non-Hispanics with Hispanic surnames had a greater chance of selection than non-Hispanics in the RDD sample who do not have Hispanic surnames. If we assume this to be a more or less random occurrence, then the margin of error for each of the three-racial/ethnic groups is roughly 8 percent. 10 Interviewing in Little Rock proved particularly problematic as it was difficult to get blacks and Latinos to participate in the survey. We realized, after the fact, that our survey was in the field in Little Rock during the 50th anniversary of the integration of Central High School. It is possible that the publicity surrounding the anniversary made individuals reluctant to talk about race and intergroup relations. CSR was successful in getting the full quota of blacks, but was not successful in filling the quota on Latinos. Thus, the size of the Latino sample is Little Rock is less than in the other two cities. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 18 In Durham, the sample of 977 consists of 317 whites (32.4 percent), 318 blacks (32.5 percent), 316 Latinos (32.3 percent), 23 Asians (2.4 percent), 21 who designated their race as Other (2.1 percent). In Little Rock, the sample of 825 consists of 348 whites (42.2 percent), 315 blacks (38.2 percent), 127 Latinos (16.6 percent), 13 Asians (1.6 percent), 13 who designated their race as Other (1.6 percent), and 2 respondents (0.2 percent) who did not indicate a racial category. In Memphis, the sample of 978 consists of 327 whites (33.4 percent), 338 blacks (34.6), 312 Latinos (31.9 percent), 4 Asians (.4 percent), and 13 who designated their race as Other (1.3 percent).11 Results To examine the extent to which African Americans in three southern cities perceive the substantial growth in the Latino population as a threat to their economic well-being, we replicated the models from “Black Americans and Latino Immigrants in a Southern City” (McClain et al. 2007) using data obtained from the Durham/Little Rock/Memphis Interethnic Conflict Survey (TCSIR). This also allowed us to see if the results from McClain et al. (2007) still hold for a larger southern context. First, combining data from all three cities, we predicted an ordered logit model with respondents’ perceptions of the effect continued immigration will have on the economic opportunities of their racial group as the dependent variable. Our predictors were income, contact with Latinos12, the extent to which respondents held stereotypic views of Latinos13, linked fate (i.e., the belief than what happens to other members of 11 A total of 28,209 phone numbers were attempted in the course of the survey in the three cities and a total of 150,444 call attempts were made. The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) rate was calculated using the full call history of each number that was recorded automatically by the CATI software. The response rate was calculated according to AAPOR suggested formula RR4, with e1= .189 and e2 = .945. We estimated e1 and e2 based on an analysis of residency rates and the occurrence of out-of-area households in our sample. Partial interviews are not counted in the numerator of the RR4 formula. 12 Contact with Latinos is measured using an index of two variables: one measuring social contact with Latinos, and the other measuring respondents’ perceptions of the number of Latinos in their neighborhood. The social contact question was worded: “In your social life, including your friends and people you know from Church and other social activities, do you have a lot of contact with Latinos, some contact with Latinos, little contact with Latinos, or no contact with Latinos at all?” The neighborhood question was worded: “What about where you live? In your neighborhood how many of the residents are Latino: all of the residents, most of the residents, some of the residents, a few of the residents, or none of the residents?” We collapsed the categories “all of the residents” and “most of the residents” into one category to create a four-point scale, which was necessary to index it with the fourpoint social contact question. 13 Stereotypic views of Latinos are measured using an index composed of three stereotype questions. The questions McClain et al., Black and White Americans 19 your group will have something to do with your own life)14, years of schooling, age, gender15, and a dummy variable for race16. Interestingly, the results were very similar to those from McCain et al. (2007), which used the Durham Survey of Intergroup Relations (DSIR). (See Table 2.) [Insert Table 2 about Here] As with McCain et al. (2007), contact with Latinos, having stereotypic views of Latinos, years of schooling, and race all had statistically significant relationships to respondents’ perceptions of the effect increased immigration will have on their racial groups’ economic opportunities, and the relationships were also all in the same direction that they were in McClain et al. (2008). In the TCSIR data, however, and unlike what was found in McCain et al. (2007), linked fate also had a statistically significant relationship to perceptions about the economic effects of increased immigration. Respondents who had more contact with Latinos and those with more education were more likely to feel that continued immigration would result in their racial group having more economic opportunities. Those who held more stereotypic views of Latinos and respondents with linked fate were more likely to feel that increased immigration would lead to fewer economic opportunities for members of their racial group. African Americans were also more likely (over 50% more likely) to feel that increased immigration would lead to fewer economic opportunities for members of their racial group. We found similar trends when we examined each city separately. The difference between Black and White respondents’ perceptions of the effect continued immigration would have on the economic opportunities of their racial group was most pronounced among those in Little Rock. Blacks in Little Rock were around 90% more likely than whites to feel that continued immigration would lead to fewer economic opportunities for members of their racial group. Blacks in Durham were around 60% more are: Q1) For Latinos, do you think work hard describes: almost all Latinos, most Latinos, some Latinos, few Latinos, almost no Latinos; Q2) For Latinos, do think Ait is easy to get along with them@ describes: almost all Latinos, most Latinos, some Latinos, few Latinos, almost no Latinos; Q3) For Latinos, do think Ayou can trust them@ describes: almost all Latinos, most Latinos, some Latinos, few Latinos, almost no Latinos. 14 The question measuring linked fate was worded: Do you think what happens generally to (respondent’s racial group) in this country will have something to do with what happens in your life? 15 Gender was coded such that female was set equal to 1 and male was set equal to 0. 16 Black was set equal to 1 and all other racial groups were set equal to 0. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 20 likely and blacks in Memphis were roughly 25% more likely than whites to feel that continued immigration will lead to fewer economic opportunities for members of their racial group. [Insert Table 3 about Here] Given the fact that African Americans were more likely to feel that increased immigration would contribute to a decrease in blacks’ economic opportunities, we decided run a separate ordered logit model on African Americans alone to examine the factors that predict these attitudes. Our dependent variable was perceptions of the effect continued immigration would have on blacks’ economic opportunities, and our predictor variables were income, contact with Latinos, stereotypic views of Latinos, linked fate, years of schooling, age, and gender. The results are presented in Table 4. Among our predictors, income, the extent to which Black respondents held stereotypic views of Latinos, and linked fate were statistically significant, though linked fate appeared to have the strongest relationship to the dependent variable. African American respondents with higher incomes and those with more stereotypic views of Latinos were slightly more likely to feel that continued immigration would lead to fewer economic opportunities for African Americans. African Americans with linked fate were around 70% more likely than those without linked fate to feel that continued immigration would contribute to blacks having fewer economic opportunities. [Insert Table 4 about Here] A more nuanced picture emerged when we examined blacks’ perceptions of whether increased immigration would contribute to a decrease in blacks’ economic opportunities for each city separately. (See Table 5.) For blacks in Durham, our model did not predict incredibly well. Black Durham residents with more stereotypic views of Latinos and younger blacks in Durham both appear only slightly more likely to feel that continued immigration will lead to blacks having fewer economic opportunities. The model predicted a little better for Little Rock and Memphis, though linked fate was the only statistically significant predictor for Little Rock, and only linked fate and stereotypic views of Latinos were significant for Memphis. Blacks in Little Rock with linked fate are more than twice as likely as those without linked fate to feel that continued immigration would lead to blacks having fewer economic McClain et al., Black and White Americans 21 opportunities. Blacks in Memphis with more stereotypic views were only slightly more likely than those with few stereotypic views to feel that continued immigration would lead to blacks having fewer economic opportunities, and blacks in Memphis with linked fate were twice as likely as those without linked fate to feel that continued immigration would lead to blacks having fewer economic opportunities. [Insert Table 5 about Here] To examine perceived economic threat from Latinos among African Americans further, we examined the extent to which African American respondents felt blacks were losing jobs to Latinos. Close to 42% of the African American respondents in the TCSIR agreed with the statement that Hispanics are taking jobs from blacks, whereas around 49% disagreed, and around 9% neither agreed nor disagreed. To understand the factors that predict whether African American respondents feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks, we ran a logit model using the same predictors as the previous model. The results are presented in Table 6. Income, stereotypic views of Latinos, and linked fate all had statistically significant relationships to feeling that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. Those with higher incomes appear less likely to feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks, while those with more stereotypic views of Latinos appear more likely to feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. As with the previous model, linked fate seems to have the strongest relationship to our dependent variable; black respondents with linked fate are about 30% more likely to feel that blacks are losing jobs to Latinos. [Table 6 about Here] When we ran the logit model predicting whether blacks felt they were losing jobs to Latinos on each city separately, we found subtle differences among the three cities. (See Table 7.) In Durham, only stereotypic views of Latinos and educational attainment were statistically significant predictors of whether Black respondents felt Latinos were taking jobs from blacks. Blacks in Durham with more stereotypic views of Latinos were only slightly more likely than those with few stereotypic views to feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks, and blacks in Durham with sixteen years or more of education were slightly less likely than blacks with 12 or fewer years of education to feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 22 [Insert Table 7 about Here] In Little Rock, income and linked fate were statistically significant predictors of whether Black respondents felt Latinos were taking jobs from blacks. Blacks in Little Rock with higher incomes (i.e., those make over $65,000 a year) were slightly less likely than those with lower incomes (i.e., making $35,000 or less) to feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. However, blacks in Little Rock with linked fate were more than twice as likely as those without linked fate to feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. In Memphis, only contact with Latinos had a statistically significant relationship to blacks’ perceptions of whether Latinos were taking jobs from blacks. Blacks in Memphis with a lot of contact with Latinos were roughly 7% less likely than those with the least contact with Latinos to feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. Given that black respondents seemed to perceive a greater economic threat from Latinos, next we examined whether blacks were more concerned than whites about immigration. Based on univariate analysis of a question that asked how concerned respondents were about the rapid growth in the Latino population, around 55% of the black respondents reported being concerned “somewhat” or concerned “a great deal”. To understand the factors that predict concern over the rapid growth in the Latino population, we ran an order logit model with income, contact with Latinos, stereotypic views of Latinos, linked fate, years of schooling, age, gender, and race as predictors. We also included interactions between race and income, race and linked fate, and race and stereotypic views of Latinos to see if blacks’ concerns over rapid growth in the Latino population were uniquely affected by income, linked fate, or Latino stereotypes. The results are presented in Table 8. According to our results, stereotypic views of Latinos, years of schooling, age, and gender all had statistically significant relationships to concern over rapid growth in the Latino population. Those with more stereotypic views of Latinos seemed to be more concerned over rapid growth in the Latino population, as did older respondents. Women and respondents with higher levels of education seemed to be less concerned. Interestingly, while our dummy variable for race was not statistically significant, which implies that there is no discernible difference between blacks McClain et al., Black and White Americans 23 and whites in their level of concern about rapid growth in the Latino population, two of our interaction terms were statistically significant. Our interaction between race and income was marginally significant, which could be an indication that blacks with higher incomes are a bit more concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. We might say that the significance of the interaction term seems to suggest that income, if it has any effect at all (and it is not clear that it does have a real effect given it marginal statistical significance), has an effect for blacks concern about the growth in the Latino population that is opposite the effect for whites. Based on the sign of the coefficient for income and the sign and significance of the coefficient for the race-income interaction, it appears that as whites’ incomes increase, their concern about the growth in the Latino population decreases. For blacks, on the other hand, as their income increases, so, too, does concern over the growth in the Latino population. Also, the interaction between race and linked fate is statistically significant, which could be an indication that blacks with linked fate are more concerned about Latino population growth. The significance of the interaction term, despite the insignificance of either race or linked fate by themselves, might suggest that linked fate is an important predictor of concern about the growth in the Latino population, but for blacks only. We actually test (and confirm) this later, in Table 9, when we include linked fate in our model predicting blacks’ concern about rapid growth in the Latino population and find that linked fate is statistically significant. [Insert Table 8 about Here] When we ran the model on each city separately, we identified a few subtle differences among the cities, one of which was that, contrary to our expectations, blacks in Memphis were about 45% less likely than whites to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. (See Table 9.) To explore these results further, we separated the black and white respondents and ran ordered logit models predicting concern over rapid growth in the Latino population separately for each group and then separately for blacks and whites for each city. [Insert Table 9 about Here] McClain et al., Black and White Americans 24 In the pooled model (i.e., the model that includes all cities), for African American respondents, income, stereotypic views of Latinos, linked fate, a belief that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks, years of schooling, and age all have statistically significant relationships to concern over rapid growth in the Latino population. (See Table 10.) Black respondents with more stereotypic views of Latinos, those with linked fate, and those who feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks were all more likely to be concerned about the rapid growth in the Latino population. Older African American respondents and those with higher incomes also appeared to be a bit more concerned over Latino population growth. Those with more education, however, appeared to be slightly less concerned. The strongest relationships between the statistically significant predictors and concern over growth in the Latino population among those observed for Black respondents in the pooled model were with linked fate and the belief that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. Blacks with linked fate were about 75% more likely to feel concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Those who feel that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks were about 10% more likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. [Insert Table 10 about Here] Running the model predicting blacks’ concern about rapid growth in the Latino population for each city separately revealed differences across the cities that were not apparent in the pooled model. (See Table 11.) Interestingly, income was not a statistically significant predictor of blacks’ concern about Latino population growth for any of the individual cities, though it was statistically significant in the pooled model. Also, the belief that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks was the only statistically significant predictor from the pooled model that was significant in the models for each individual city. In Durham, stereotypic views of Latinos and educational attainment were the only other statistically significant predictors of Black respondents’ concern about rapid growth in the Latino population. Blacks in Durham with more stereotypic views were slightly more likely than those with few stereotypic views to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population, and those with sixteen years or more of education were slightly less likely than those with 12 or fewer years of education (about 4% less likely) to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Blacks in Durham who reported feeling that McClain et al., Black and White Americans 25 Latinos are taking jobs from blacks were about 8% more likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. [Insert Table 11 about Here] Among black respondents in Little Rock, those who felt that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks were about 12% more likely than those who do not feel Latinos are taking jobs from blacks to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Older blacks in Little Rock were only slightly more likely than younger blacks to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. However, blacks in Little Rock with linked fate were almost twice as likely as those without linked fate to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Thus, among blacks in Little Rock, linked fate appeared to be the strongest predictor of concern about Latino population growth. Linked fate also appeared to be the strongest predictor of concern about Latino population growth for blacks in Memphis. Blacks in Memphis with linked fate were nearly 70% more likely than those without linked fate to be concerned about the rapid growth in the Latino population. Also, as with Durham and Little Rock, blacks in Memphis who reported feeling that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks were slightly more likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. But, unlike Durham and Little Rock, contact with Latinos was a statistically significant predictor of concern about Latino population growth. Blacks in Memphis with more contact with Latinos appeared less likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Lastly, blacks in Memphis with more stereotypic views of Latinos were slightly more likely than those with the fewest stereotypic views to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. In the pooled model for White respondents, contact with Latinos, stereotypic views of Latinos, a belief that Latinos are taking jobs from whites, years of schooling, age, and gender all had statistically significant relationships to concern over rapid growth in the Latino population. (See Table 12.) Whites with more stereotypic views of Latinos, those who feel that Latinos are taking jobs from whites, and older whites all seemed to be more concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. White respondents who have more contact with Latinos also seemed to be a bit more concerned about Latino population McClain et al., Black and White Americans 26 growth. White female respondents and those with more education appeared to be less concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. The strongest predictors seemed to be a belief that Latinos are taking jobs from whites and gender. White respondents who feel that Latinos are taking jobs from whites were about 15% more likely to be concerned about Latino population growth, and women were about 33% less likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. [Insert Table 12 about Here] When the model predicting White respondents’ concern about Latino population growth was run for each city separately, again, we identified differences among the cities. (See Table 13.) Interestingly, gender, which was the strongest predictor in the pooled model, was only statistically significant for Little Rock. The belief that Latinos were taking jobs from whites, on the other hand, was significant for all three cities, as was age. In Durham, whites who reported feeling that Latinos are taking jobs from whites were about 5% more likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population, and older whites in Durham appeared to be slightly more likely than younger whites to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Among whites in Durham, stereotypic views of Latinos and educational attainment also had statistically significant relationships to concern about Latino population growth. Those with more stereotypic views of Latinos were about 7% more likely than whites in Durham with the least stereotypic views of Latinos to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Also, whites in Durham with 16 years or more of schooling were slightly less likely than those with 12 years of schooling or less to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. [Insert Table 13 about Here] For whites in Little Rock, in addition to gender, stereotypic views of Latinos, believing that Latinos are taking jobs from whites, educational attainment, and age all had statistically significant relationships to concern about Latino population growth. Whites in Little Rock with more stereotypic views of Latinos were about 10% more likely than those with the least stereotypic views of Latinos to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population, and those who reported feeling that Latinos are taking jobs from whites were about 12% more likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino McClain et al., Black and White Americans 27 population. Whites in Little Rock with 16 years or more of schooling were slightly less likely than those with 12 years of schooling or less to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population, while older whites in Little Rock appeared a bit more likely than younger whites to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Gender was the strongest predictor of concern about Latino population growth among whites in Little Rock, with men being about 86% more likely than women to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. For whites in Memphis, age and the belief that Latinos are taking jobs from whites were the only statistically significant predictors of concern about rapid growth in the Latino population. Whites in Memphis who reported feeling that Latinos are taking jobs from whites were about 24% more likely to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population, and older whites in Memphis appeared a bit more likely than younger whites to be concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population. Discussion We began with two hypotheses suggesting that Southern Black Americans would perceive an economic threat from Latino immigrants and that they would be more concerned about immigration than their White Southern counterparts. Our results suggest a confirmation of both hypotheses with some nuanced differences among our three cities. In general, blacks perceived a loss of economic opportunity from Latino immigration. Individual city results suggest that city context plays a role in how concerned blacks are about immigration. Blacks in Little Rock, where blacks are a minority of the population, are the most concerned about a loss economic opportunity from Latino immigration. Blacks in Durham, where they are equal in population proportion with whites, are concerned, but not to the extent as blacks in Little Rock. Blacks in Memphis, where blacks are a majority of the population, are the least concerned among the three cities. Blacks who are well entrenched making up the majority of their cities’ population, feel less of a threat from Latino newcomers. In a city such as Little Rock, where blacks are less established and hold less economic and political power, they proved to be more concerned with Latino immigration, as their social position is more easily threatened than that of blacks in Memphis or McClain et al., Black and White Americans 28 Durham. Despite these contextual differences, in all three cities, blacks are more concerned than whites about a loss of economic opportunity. We found a perception among blacks that Latinos are taking their jobs, but the factors that contribute to that perception differed across the three cities with no similar predictors across the cities. Blacks in Durham holding negative stereotypes of Latinos were likely to perceive Latinos as taking jobs from blacks, while blacks in Little Rock with higher incomes were less likely than lower income blacks to perceive that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. In Memphis, blacks with more contact with Latinos were not as likely as those with no contact to believe that Latinos are taking jobs from blacks. What these disparate results suggest is that no generalized factors appear to contribute to blacks’ perceptions of job loss to Latinos across all three cities. This might also suggest that city context might play a role in the perception of attitudes on the question of what amounts to economic competition between blacks and Latinos. Clearly, we need further testing to tease out the effects of city context on blacks attitudes toward Latino immigrants, but these results are quite suggestive. Conclusion Each of the examined cities has a very different racial history as well as varied contemporary racial contexts. Consequently, we should expect to find variations in attitudes among black and white Americans among the three cities. Nevertheless, we have found strong themes and commonalities as well. In general, the notion of linked fate among African Americans is a key element to black attitudes about Latino immigration’s effects on economic wellbeing and overall concern about population growth. We also found that negative stereotypes play a significant role in shaping both black and white attitudes about Latinos. Perhaps, what is more impressive and interesting is that which we did not find: contact with Latinos did not have an effect on either feelings concerning the population growth of Latinos or their effects on the economic wellbeing of black and white Americans. Our findings based on the linked fate variable are not surprising. If we consider that income is less important than race in shaping black racial and political attitudes (Dawson 1994), it would follow that income would not be as strong a predictor as linked fate in predicting black attitudes toward Latino immigration. The continuing significance of race McClain et al., Black and White Americans 29 and racial solidarity among Southern blacks despite a changing racial demographic is certainly an important finding. Perhaps these findings suggest that the South represents what we might call a “new race politics,” (Junn and Haynie, 2008) whereby we have to reconsider the ways in which standing theories apply to an America with ever-changing demographics due to immigration. Here, we find, for example, that the theories of group consciousness and linked fate (Dawson 1994; Rogers and Chong 2005) are corroborated, while contact theory (Allport 1954) has yet to be realized in a racialized social system (Bonilla-Silva 1997). As such, it seems that we may raise more questions than we can answer Social scientists have traditionally attempted to make broad and sweeping claims, but here we see that context matters—be it over time or, as shown here, due to location—and needs to be considered more carefully and more seriously. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 30 References Alvaez, R. Michael, and Tara L. Butterfield. 2000. The Resurgence of Nativism in California? 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Durham, Memphis and Little Rock Population CharacteristTCSIR, 2006 Durham City population Raw Total 201,204 Percentage of Durham 100% non-Hispanic Whites 80,189 39.9% African Americans 83,170 41.3% Hispanics/Latinos 25,209 12.5% 17,615 733 112 276 5,000 862 611 8.8% 0.4% 0.06% 0.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.3% Asians 8,916 4.4% Male 97,785 48.6% Female 103,419 51.4% Memphis City population 643,122 100% non-Hispanic Whites 196,016 30.5% African Americans 408,480 63.5% Hispanics/Latinos 30,356 4.7% 22,542 792 929 120 4,556 271 1,136 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.02% 0.7% 0.04% 0.2% 9,499 1.5% Male 307,737 47.9 Female 335,385 52.1% Mexican Puerto Rican Cuban Dominican Central American South American Other Mexican Puerto Rican Cuban Dominican Central American South American Other Asians Little Rock City Population 187,535 100% Non-Hispanic Whites 93,947 50.1 % Non-Hispanic African-Americans 78,516 41.9% Hispanics/Latinos 8,748 4.7% Non-Hispanic Asians 4,442 2.4% Male 90,618 48.3% 1 36 McClain et al., Black and White Americans Female 96,917 37 51.7% Notes: Data obtained from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey. Data may not total 100% due to rounding. Hispanics/Latinos can be of any race. 1 No figures for individual ethnic groups within the Latino population were provided by the U. S. Census in the 2006 population update McClain et al., Black and White Americans 38 Table 2: Ordered Logit Results for Effects Continued Immigration Will Have On the Economic Opportunities of R’s Racial Group (Black and White respondents) DSIR Data(2003) (Published in Du Bois Review) Coefficients Standard Errors TCSIR Data (All cities combined, 2007) Coefficients Standard Errors Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Years of Schooling Age Gender Black 0.0428 0.1119* -0.0957* 0.0450 0.0676 0.0547 0.0065 0.0346 -0.1485*** 0.0236 0.0400 0.0295 -0.3338 0.0746*** -0.0103 -0.0861 -0.5525** 0.2201 0.0288 0.0078 0.2106 0.2389 -0.4445*** 0.0490*** -0.0061* 0.0615 -0.4581*** 0.1252 0.0186 0.0037 0.1095 0.1189 N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 327 31.59*** 0.0333 *** p<.01 (two-tailed test) ** p<.05 (two-tailed test) Variables 1218 88.65*** 0.0280 * p<.10 (two-tailed test) Notes: The dependent variable is coded from 1 to 5, where 1 indicates feeling that R’s racial group will have “a lot less” economic opportunity and 5 indicates feeling that R’s racial group will “probably have a lot more” economic opportunity if immigration continues at its present rate. McClain et al., Black and White Americans 39 Table 3: Ordered Logit Results for Effects Continued Immigration Will Have On the Economic Opportunities of R’s Racial Group by City (Black and White respondents), 2007 Coefficients (Standard Errors in Parentheses) Variables Durham Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Years of Schooling Age Gender Black N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 Little Rock Memphis -0.0120 (0.0411) 0.0992 (0.0683) -0.1300*** (0.0483) 0.0121 (0.0407) 0.1193 (0.0745) -0.1351** (0.0549) 0.0290 (0.0426) -0.0715 (0.0711) -0.1887*** (0.0525) -0.2922 (0.2109) 0.0871*** (0.0311) 0.0029 (0.0064) -0.1360 (0.1897) -0.5843*** (0.1959) -0.7105*** (0.2285) 0.0214 (0.0320) -0.0052 (0.0062) 0.3749* (0.1921) -0.6552*** (0.2152) -0.3706* (0.2181) 0.0296 (0.0347) -0.0143** (0.0065) -0.0430 (0.1924) -0.2040 (0.2188) 409 40.51*** 0.0375 424 34.90*** 0.0328 385 31.53*** 0.0312 McClain et al., Black and White Americans 40 Table 4. Ordered Logit Results for Effect Continued Immigration Will Have on Blacks’ Economic Opportunities (Black respondents only) DSIR Data(2003) (Published in Du Bois Review) Coefficients Standard Errors TCSIR Data (All cities combined, 2007) Coefficients Standard Errors Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Years of Schooling Age Gender -0.0089 0.0262 -0.2692*** 0.0885 0.1122 0.1009 -0.0627* 0.0612 -0.1398*** 0.0350 0.0540 0.0404 -0.5124 0.0048 -0.0142 -0.2187 0.4561 0.0954 0.0147 0.4160 -0.5814*** 0.0256 -0.0000 0.0935 0.1631 0.0275 0.0052 0.1591 N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 94 11.41 0.0430 *** p<.01 (two-tailed test) ** p<.05 (two-tailed test) Variables 603 31.84*** 0.0192 * p<.10 (two-tailed test) Notes: The dependent variable is coded from 1 to 5, where 1 indicates feeling that R’s racial group will have “a lot less” economic opportunity and 5 indicates feeling that R’s racial group will “probably have a lot more” economic opportunity if immigration continues at its present rate. McClain et al., Black and White Americans Table 5 Ordered Logit Results for Effect Continued Immigration Will Have on Blacks’ Economic Opportunities by City (Black respondents only), 2007 Coefficients (Standard Errors in Parentheses) Variables Durham Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Years of Schooling Age Gender N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 Little Rock Memphis -0.0465 (0.0585) 0.0522 (0.0910) -0.1090* (0.0653) -0.0633 (0.0596) 0.1650 (0.1041) -0.1003 (0.0772) -0.0639 (0.0689) 0.0375 (0.0940) -0.2199*** (0.0728) -0.3053 (0.2811) 0.0578 (0.0446) 0.0164* (0.0092) -0.0495 (0.2745) -0.8084*** (0.2803) -0.0076 (0.0457) -0.0066 (0.0084) 0.3440 (0.2960) -0.6855** (0.3066) 0.0271 (0.0573) -0.0085 (0.0097) -0.0145 (0.2842) 205 9.50 0.0169 202 17.35** 0.0318 196 17.71** 0.0323 41 McClain et al., Black and White Americans 42 Table 6: Logit Results for Whether Latinos are taking Jobs from Blacks (Black respondents only) DSIR Data(2003) (Published in Du Bois Review) Coefficients Standard Errors TCSIR Data (All cities combined, 2007) Coefficients Standard Errors Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Years of Schooling Age Gender -0.2361* -0.2006 0.2186* 0.1238 0.1500 0.1246 -0.1045** -0.0762 0.1835*** 0.0423 0.0628 0.0474 0.7055 -0.1300 0.0384* 0.2779 0.5894 0.1342 0.0198 0.5420 0.4088** -0.0409 0.0043 -0.1064 0.1966 0.0337 0.0060 0.1888 N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 85 19.11*** 0.1630 *** p<.01 (two-tailed test) ** p<.05 (two-tailed test) Variables 559 41.06*** 0.0537 * p<.10 (two-tailed test) Note: The dependent variable is coded such that 0 indicates disagreement with the statement “Hispanics are taking jobs from blacks”, and 1 indicates agreement with the statement. McClain et al., Black and White Americans Table 7. Logit Results for Whether Latinos are taking Jobs from Blacks by City (Black respondents only), 2007 Coefficients (Standard Errors in Parentheses) Variables Durham Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Years of Schooling Age Gender N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 Little Rock Memphis -0.0601 (0.0730) -0.0758 (0.1072) 0.2797*** (0.0845) -0.1683** (0.0760) 0.0601 (0.1195) 0.0883 (0.0855) -0.0999 (0.0812) -0.2234* (0.1157) 0.1361 (0.0830) 0.3533 (0.3472) -0.1036* (0.0599) 0.0089 (0.0105) -0.1039 (0.3231) 0.9075*** (0.3454) 0.0035 (0.0565) 0.0111 (0.0103) 0.2087 (0.3560) 0.0640 (0.3602) -0.0503 (0.0669) -0.0062 (0.0116) -0.4260 (0.3306) 194 26.09*** 0.0981 182 16.57** 0.0664 183 14.11** 0.0566 43 McClain et al., Black and White Americans 44 Table 8: Ordered Logit Results for How Concerned R is About Rapid Growth in Latino Population (Black and White respondents) DSIR Data (2003) (Published in Du Bois Review) Coefficients Standard Errors TCSIR Data (All cities combined, 2007) Coefficients Standard Errors Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Black Years of Schooling Age Gender Black*Income Black*Linked Fate Black*Latino Stereotypes -0.0842 0.0200 -0.0251 0.0514 0.0674 0.0692 -0.0151 -0.0264 0.1969*** 0.0304 0.0395 0.0417 0.6315** -1.5758 -0.0667** 0.0136* 0.3019 0.0765 -0.6228 0.2776** 0.2737 1.0742 0.0277 0.0076 0.2086 0.0920 0.4983 0.1135 0.2145 -0.8765 -0.0849*** 0.0186*** -0.1817* 0.0833* 0.5448** -0.0042 0.1843 0.5428 0.0187 0.0035 0.1076 0.0432 0.2465 0.0575 N 338 1236 Chi-Squared 145.62*** Pseudo R2 39.43*** 0.0436 *** p<.01 (two-tailed test) ** p<.05 (two-tailed test) Variables .0429 * p<.10 (two-tailed test) Note: The dependent variable is coded from 0 to 4, where 0 indicates “not at all” concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population, and 4 indicates being concerned “a great deal”. McClain et al., Black and White Americans Table 9: Ordered Logit Results for How Concerned R is About Rapid Growth in Latino Population by City (Black and White respondents), 2007 Coefficients (Standard Errors in Parentheses) Variables Durham Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Black Years of Schooling Age Gender Black*Income Black*Linked Fate Black*Latino Stereotypes N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 Little Rock Memphis 0.0686 (0.0566) -0.1170* (0.0697) 0.2582*** (0.0722) -0.0035 (0.0531) 0.0246 (0.0724) 0.2142*** (0.0778) -0.0952* (0.0519) -0.1050 (0.0704) 0.1114 (0.0714) 0.0201 (0.3172) -0.8494 (0.9897) -0.1501*** (0.0330) 0.0202*** (0.0061) 0.1170 (0.1924) -0.0075 (0.0777) 0.5093 (0.4291) 0.0685 (0.1007) 0.3736 (0.3511) 0.1777 (0.9871) -0.0819** (0.0327) 0.0232*** (0.0062) -0.4394** (0.1892) 0.0464 (0.0753) 0.5711 (0.4458) -0.1145 (0.1059 0.3299 (0.3102) -1.7009* (0.9125) -0.0460 (0.0336) 0.0118* (0.0063) -0.1841 (0.1888) 0.1526* (0.0781) 0.5612 (0.4336) 0.0541 (0.0988) 412 95.70*** 0.0861 429 48.39*** 0.0414 395 37.42*** 0.0343 45 McClain et al., Black and White Americans 46 Table 10. Ordered Logit Results for How Concerned R is About Rapid Growth in Latino Population (Blacks only) Variables DSIR Data (2003) (Published in Du Bois Review) Coefficients Standard Errors TCSIR Data (All cities combined, 2007) Coefficients Standard Errors Income17 Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Latinos Taking Jobs from Blacks Years of Schooling Age Gender -0.0531 0.2873*** 0.1200 0.1053 0.0759** -0.0734 0.1395*** 0.0360 0.0554 0.0420 -0.0535 1.0807** -0.0072 0.0067 0.0543 0.4762 0.4234 0.0947 0.0160 0.4132 0.6519*** 0.4329*** -0.0479* 0.0147*** 0.0971 0.1684 0.0636 0.0290 0.0051 0.1618 N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 92 21.96*** 0.0912 *** p<.01 (two-tailed test) ** p<.05 (two-tailed test) 606 111.72*** 0.0674 * p<.10 (two-tailed test) Note: The dependent variable is coded from 0 to 4, where 0 indicates “not at all” concerned about rapid growth in the Latino population, and 4 indicates being concerned “a great deal”. 17 Income was not included in this model in McClain et al. (2007). We include it in the updated model using the TCSIR data because we found a statistically significant relationship between our interaction between race and income and concern over rapid growth in the Latino population (see Table 5). McClain et al., Black and White Americans Table 15. Ordered Logit Results for How Concerned R is About Rapid Growth in Latino Population by City (Blacks only), 2007 Coefficients (Standard Errors in Parentheses) Variables Durham Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Latinos Taking Jobs from Blacks Years of Schooling Age Gender N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 Little Rock Memphis 0.0790 (0.0631) -0.0441 (0.0954) 0.2599*** (0.0763) 0.333 (0.0629) -0.0761 (0.1073) 0.0634 (0.0744) 0.0745 (0.0677) -0.2231** (0.0978) 0.1240* (0.0746) 0.4321 (0.2973) 0.4250*** (0.1145) -0.1153** (0.0522) 0.0136 (0.0089) 0.3793 (0.2771) 0.7482*** (0.2858) 0.4771*** (0.1122) 0.0018 (0.0470) 0.0227** (0.0089) -0.1911 (0.3040) 0.8422*** (0.3161) 0.3620*** (0.1096) -0.0488 (0.0577) 0.0047 (0.0096) 0.0817 (0.2901) 206 54.31*** 0.0990 204 39.50*** 0.0710 196 37.04*** 0.0689 47 McClain et al., Black and White Americans 48 Table 12: Ordered Logit Results for How Concerned R is About Rapid Growth in Latino Population (Whites only) DSIR Data (2003) (Published in Du Bois Review) Coefficients Standard Errors TCSIR Data (All cities combined, 2007) Coefficients Standard Errors Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Latinos Taking Jobs from Whites Years of Schooling Age Gender -0.1660** -0.0685 0.2839** 0.0790 0.1494 0.1218 0.0162 0.1022* 0.1647*** 0.0326 0.0593 0.0438 0.6274 1.2923*** -0.1119* 0.0148 0.8738** 0.4513 0.5031 0.0671 0.0124 0.4117 0.1825 0.5589*** -0.0731*** 0.0239*** -0.4721*** 0.1945 0.0794 0.0269 0.0051 0.1549 N Chi-Squared 96 39.29*** 0.1526 Variables Pseudo R2 607 149.73*** 0.0896 McClain et al., Black and White Americans Table 13 Ordered Logit Results for How Concerned R is About Rapid Growth in Latino Population by City (Whites only), 2007. Coefficients (Standard Errors in Parentheses) Variables Durham Income Contact with Latinos Latino Stereotypes (Higher values indicate more negative feelings toward Latinos.) Linked Fate Latinos Taking Jobs from Whites Years of Schooling Age Gender N Chi-Squared Pseudo R2 Little Rock Memphis 0.0755 (0.0597) -0.1139 (0.1069) 0.2079*** (0.0774) 0.0486 (0.0571) 0.0931 (0.1044) 0.1915** (0.0824) -0.0579 (0.0568) 0.1318 (0.1105) 0.0893 (0.0760) -0.1112 (0.3320) 0.3942*** (0.1477) -0.1514*** (0.0485) 0.0253*** (0.0089) -0.2637 (0.2866) 0.3536 (0.3714) 0.5297*** (0.1324) -0.1108** (0.0505) 0.0209** (0.0092) -0.7654*** (0.2611) 0.4710 (0.3358) 0.7842*** (0.1473) -0.0049 (0.0452) 0.0259*** (0.0093) -0.4000 (0.2775) 198 64.84*** 0.1205 219 57.58*** 0.0967 190 53.79*** 0.1022 49
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