30 Foundations of Contract Law § 1.3 Distributional Concerns Passi ng on the Costs of Leg al Ru les RICHARD CRASWELL Many legal rules in many legal fields define the relations between sellers of goods or services and their customers . For example, contract law defines the respects in which a seller warrants the quality of its products , as well as the Richard Craswell , Passing on the Costs of Legal Rules: Efficiency and Distribution in BuyerSeller Relationships , 43 Stanford Law R eview 361 , 361 , 365-77 , 385 , 391-97 (1991) . Copyright © 1991 by the Board of Trustees of the Lel and Stanford Junior University. Reprinted by permission . Normative Underpinnings 31 damages due if it breaks the .cont.met. Products lia?ility law determines a lier's responsibility for physical m1ury caused by its products. Landlordnant law defines the landlords' liability for unsafe or inadequate housing; it ~so limits the landlords' powers vis-a-vis tenants who damage the premises or :re delinquent in paying the rent. Debtor-creditor law limits the analogous powers exercised by creditors outside the rental housing market. The debate surrounding these rules often pits those who are concerned about a rule's efficiency against those who are concerned about its distributional effects. The law-and-economics literature , for example , usually aims only at economic efficiency: maximizing the joint welfare of buyers and sellers without distinguishing between benefits to sellers and benefits to buyers .... To some, however, the identity of those who gain or lose is at least as important as the size of the total gains or losses . Especially where consumer transactions are concerned , people often attach more weight to the welfare of consumers than to the welfare of sellers. For expositional purposes, I will define the "pro-consumer" position (in somewhat extreme fashion) as the belief that a rule should be adopted if, and only if, it benefits consumers more than it costs them . This pro-consumer position could of course be criticized directly, by asking why consumers ought to be favored over sellers . For example, some sellers are publicly-held corporations whose shareholders include insurance companies and pension funds , and there is no obvious reason why the beneficiaries of these funds deserve less concern than consumers. Some of the sellers' costs may also be borne by their employees if the increased costs lead to reduced sales and , hence , to reduced employment in the industry. My concern here, however, is a very different criticism which is based on the argument that the pro-consumer analysis will usually lead to the same result as an efficiency analysis once the effect of a rule on the seller's price is taken into account. According to this argument, a rule that benefits consumers by $10 while increasing sellers' costs by $50 will not benefit consumers for very long, because sellers will eventually pas on their higher costs to consumers in the form of higher prices . Thus, consumers will end up as net winners (according to this argument) only if their direct benefits exceed the direct costs of the rule to sellers , for only in such a case will they still be better off even after they have paid the higher prices ... . :e The Standard Analysis of Cost Pass-Ons The princip al objection to this passing-on argument is that it assumes that all of the sellers' costs or benefits will be passed on in the form of higher or lower prices. If all $50 of the sellers' costs are passed on as higher prices , then buyers will indeed by worse off unless they receive direct benefits of $50 or more from the rul e , so the distributional and efficiency goals will indeed coincide. But if only $40 of sellers ' costs can be passed on, buyers might end up better off even if they on ly received $45 worth of direct benefits. A pro-consumer 32 Foundation• of Contract uw advocate would approve of such a rule, in spite of the fact that it fails a Kaldor-Hicks efficiency test because the $50 cost to sellers exceeds the $45 gain to consumers. Thus, the asserted identity between the pro-consumer and overall efficiency positions seems to depend critically on the assumption that sellers can pass on all of their costs and benefits. However, the conventional economic wisdom is that sellers usually will not be able to pass on the entire amount of an exogenous cost increase .... Figure 1.1 illustrates the conventional economic analysis of the effect of an increase in the seller's costs of the sort that might be brought about by an increase in raw material prices or the imposition of a tax on sellers. Before the cost increase, the market price should have stabilized at the level at which the amount suppliers were willing to sell (shown by the line marked Sl) just equalled the amount buyers demanded (shown by the line marked D). These will be equal only at the point where the two lines cross, which corresponds to a market-clearing price of Pl. H sellers' costs then increase by some amount c, sellers will no longer be willing to sell as much at any given price. This should cause the supply curve to shift upward by the amount of the cost increase, to become the new line marked S2. This, in turn, will cause the market price to rise until it reaches the new price P2, where supply and demand again become equal. Because demand is somewhat elastic, however, the increase in price from Pl to P2 is less than the increase in seller's costs from Sl to S2 (c). Thus, less than lOOpercent of the cost increase has been passed on .... Given this analysis, it seems easy to imagine a rule that produces total benefits equal to, say, only 80 percent of its total costs, but that nonetheless leaves buyers better off because buyers receive all of the rule's benefits while less than 80 percent of the costs are passed on. The problem, however, is that the graphs given [above] are incomplete. They show the seller's costs rising without any simultaneous increase in consumers' willingness to pay for the product. This is a perfectly reasonable assumption to make when analyzing an increase in raw material prices or the imposition of a tax on the seller, for such changes would increase the seller's costs without making the product any more attractive to consumers. An implied warranty, however, would normally make the product more attractive to consumers, thereby causing consumer demand (as well as sellers' costs) to increase. Tu determine the effects of rules such as implied warranties, we need a more complex analysis. . . . A Simple Model with Homogeneous Consumers In this section of the article, I make ... [some] important assumptions to prevent the model from becoming too complex. First, I assume that each consumer would pay exactly the same amount for the addition of a warranty. In other words, consumers may differ in their tastes regarding the product itself, but they have identical preferences concerning the presence or absence 33 Normative Underpinning• S2 SI Q2 QI quantity Figure 1.1. Effects of a cost increase of a warranty. While this assumption is something of an oversimplification, it aids the initial exposition considerably. . . . Second, and more controversially, I further assume that the increase in the maximum consumers are willing to pay is an appropriate measure of the benefits consumers receive from the warranty. That is, I adopt the consumer sovereignty position that consumer welfare is to be judged solely by reference to consumers' own tastes and preferences. I also assume that those tastes and preferences can be meaningfully translated into a dollar amount and that the appropriate amount is whatever each consumer is willing to pay to satisfy those preferences. Tu make this assumption more plausible, I also assume consumers have perfect information about the presence or absence of the warranty and about its value to them. . . . As noted earlier, a legal rule such as an implied warranty should raise both the demand and the supply curves, although not necessarily by the same amount. The demand curve will shift upward by an amount equal to the consumers' increased willingness to pay for the product/warranty combination, reflecting the benefits consumers derive from the warranty. The supply cmve will rise by the expected costs of the warranty to sellers. Under the above assumptions about consumers' valuation of the warranty, the warranty's efficiency can be assessed simply by comparing the upward shift of the demand and supply curves. If the value of the warranty to consumers exceeds 118 cost to sellers, the demand curve will rise by more than the supply curve; if not, then demand will rise by less than supply. Under these assumptions, consumers cannot gain if the warranty is inefficient. That is, if the value of the warranty to consumers is less than its cost to sellers, consumers will end up worse off as a result of the warranty, even if sellers cannot pass on all of their costs. Figure 1.2 illustrates this by depicting a eblft in the demand curve that is less than the shift in the supply curve. The Increase from Pl to P2 is clearly less than the total cost increase c, showing that only a portion of the cost increase is passed on to consumers. The price increase is small because significant numbers of consumers are no longer 34 Foundations of Contract Ln S2 SI 02 DI Q2 QI quantity Figure 1.2. An inefficient warranty willing to purchase the product/warranty package at the higher price, so the total quantity produced has declined from 01 to 02. The marginal consumers, who before the addition of the warranty were just willing to purchase the product alone, are now unwilling to pay a higher price for the product plus the warranty. These consumers must have valued the warranty at an amount less than the resulting price increase, so they have been made worse off by the introduction of the warranty. Less obviously, consumers who continue to buy the product are also made worse off by the introduction of the warranty. I assumed earlier that all consumers placed the same value on the warranty; thus, if the marginal consumers value the warranty less than the price increase, so too must all the other consumers. The other consumers are still willing to purchase the product/warranty package because the value they place on the product alone is sufficiently greater than its price that the purchase is still worthwhile, even after the addition of a relatively unattractive warranty and price increase. But since they value the addition of the warranty by less than they value the price increase, even these consumers must end up with less satisfaction than if they were buying the product at the old price without the warranty. This can be verified by visual inspection of Figure 1.2: The amount by which consumers' valuation of the package has increased (shown by the increase from Dl to 02) is less than the amount by which the price has increased (shown by the increase from Pl to P2). . By contrast, Figure 1.3 illustrates a case in which consumers value the warranty by an amount that exceeds the cost c of providing the warranty. In this case, the total quantity sold has increased (from 01 to 02), as consumers who were unwilling to pay for the product alone are now willing to pay for the product plus the warranty. Sellers have had to increase their production of the product to meet this new demand, thereby raising their production costs (as indicated by the move upwards and to the right along the S2 line) over and above the extra costs added by the warranty itself. The result is that the price increase from Pl to P2 actually exceeds the cost of the warranty c; more than 35 Normative Underpinnings pnce S2 SI 02 DI QI Q2 quantity Figure 1.3. An efficient warranty 100 percent of the cost increase has been passed on. However, because the increase in consumers' valuation of the product (shown by the increase from Dl to 02) is greater than the price increase from Pl to P2, consumers still benefit from the introduction of this warranty. Indeed, the price increase exceeds the cost of the warranty in this case precisely because consumers find the product with the warranty so much more attractive, thereby requiring an increase in total production. . . . Tu summarize, this section has shown that when consumers have identical preferences regarding a warranty or other legal rule, consumers will benefit from the rule if, and only if, the rule is efficient under a Kaldor-Hicks test. Moreover, the significance of sellers' ability to pass along their costs in such a market is exactly the opposite of what most people suppose. Under the model used in this section, if less than 100 percent of the costs are passed on, the rule has made the product/warranty package less attractive to consumers, which implies that the rule is not very good for consumers. Conversely, if more than 100 percent of the costs are passed on, the rule has made the product/warranty package more attractive to consumers, thereby increasing overall demand. Paradoxical as it may seem, the rules whose costs are most heavily passed on are also the rules that will benefit consumers the most. Heterogeneous Consumers ... In this section . . . I assume that sellers are dealing with consumers who differ in their willingness to pay for a warranty. I also assume that sellers must charge all customers the same price for the product/warranty package-that is, I assume that it is impossible for the seller to engage in price discrimination. Under these assumptions, it is possible for some consumers to be made better off by the warranty while other consumers are made worse off. Moreover, it is also possible for consumers as a class to benefit from an inefficient warranty, or to lose from an efficient one-although the question of what it 36 Foundations of Contract Lew means for consumers "as a class" to benefit becomes more problematic when consumers differ in their willingness to pay. . .. In markets where different consumers attach different values to a warranty, the size of the accompanying price increase will be determined largely by the valuations held by those consumers who are on the margin between buying and not buying the product/ warranty package. These consumers, the marginal consumers, will stop buying the package if its price rises; consequently, the willingness to pay of marginal consumers will determine how high the price of the combined package will rise. If these consumers (on average) value the addition of a warranty by more than the warranty increases the sellers' costs, then overall demand for the combined package will increase, and the price will go up by more than 100 percent of the warranty cost. However, marginal consumers will still end up better off for the reasons discussed in [the preceding section]. While the price will increase by more than the sellers' costs, it will increase by less than the value the marginal consumers place on the warranty, so marginal consumers will still come out ahead. Alternatively, if the marginal consumers value the warranty by less than the increase in sellers' costs, they will end up worse off as a result of the introduction of the warranty. The price increase will be less than the cost of the warranty to sellers because the reduction in demand will prevent sellers from passing along all of the costs of the warranty. However, the marginal consumers will still end up worse off since the reduction in demand means that some marginal consumers have dropped out of the market. In short, the marginal consumers will gain or lose depending on whether the value they place on the warranty is greater or less than the seller's costs-just as in the simple model presented in [the preceding section]. Determining whether the non-marginal (or "infra-marginal") consumers gain or lose from the introduction of a warranty is more difficult. The easiest case to analyze is one in which the marginal consumers value the warranty by an amount equal to the cost of the warranty to sellers. In that case, the price of the product/warranty package will rise by exactly the marginal consumers' valuation of the warranty. Consequently, any consumers of the product who value the warranty more highly than the marginal consumers will derive benefits which exceed the price increase and will be net winners from the introduction of the warranty. On the other hand, consumers who value the warranty less than the marginal consumers will derive benefits which are less than the price increase and will be net losers. Some numerical examples may help illustrate this point. Suppose that the product without the warranty sold for $20, the warranty costs the seller $8 to administer, and the combined product/warranty package now sells for $28. Of the consumers who continue to buy the product after introduction of the warranty, those who value the warranty by more than $8 will have gained from its introduction. This clearly includes any consumer who valued the product at $18 and who also valued the warranty at $10 or more, for these consumers would not have been willing to buy the product at its old price of $20 without a Normative Underpinnings 37 warranty. It also includes other consumers who were previously willing to buy the product without the warranty and are now even happier to buy it with the warranty. For example, some consumers might have been willing to pay $24 for the product alone but are willing to pay $34 for the product/warranty package. These consumers derived a net surplus of $4 from the product without the warranty but a net surplus of $6 after the addition of the warranty. Thus, these consumers end up $2 better off as a result of the warranty. In effect, they are getting a warranty they value at $10 in exchange for a price increase of only $8. At the same time, consumers of the product who value the warranty by less than $8 will be made worse off by the warranty's introduction. Some of these consumers will no longer buy the product-for example, those who valued the product alone at $22 but who are only willing to pay an extra $4 (or a total of $26) for the addition of the warranty. These consumers will not buy the product/warranty package at a combined price of $28 and, therefore, will lose the $2 surplus they received from buying the product alone. Other consumers may continue to buy the product, but they will nonetheless suffer a reduction in their net surplus. For example, consider a consumer who was willing to pay $27 for the product alone but will pay only $7 extra (or a total of $34) for the product/warranty combination. This consumer derived a net surplus of $7 ($27 minus $20) without the warranty but now receives a surplus of only $6 ($34 minus $28) after the introduction of the warranty. In general, consumers of the product who value the warranty by less than $8 will end up worse off as a result of the warranty, while those who value the warranty by more than $8 will end up better off. . . . When consumers have identical preferences concerning the warranty, a warranty that benefits any one consumer must benefit all other consumers as well. When consumers differ in their willingness to pay for a warranty, however, this section has shown that the warranty can benefit some consumers while hurting others. In such a case, an unambiguous pro-consumer position is harder to define . . . . Admittedly, in some cases, those who gain and those who lose from a warranty may be distributed randomly with respect to any social policy regarding redistribution. For example, consumers who are risk-neutral or riskprcferring place a relatively low value on protection against risks and are, therefore, likely to be among those who lose from the introduction of a warranty. If risk-aversion is distributed randomly throughout the population, a warranty that benefits the risk-averse while hurting risk-preferring or riskneutral consumers would neither advance nor retard any current social policies concerning the proper direction of redistribution. In other cases, however, the identity of the winners and losers may be correlated with wealth in a way that makes the resulting redistribution regressive. For example, critics of modern products liability law, ranging from Richard Abel on the left to George Priest on the right, have pointed out that wealthy people generally have more to lose from product-related accidents that result in lost earnings or in conseouential damaee to orooertv. As R rP.s11h 38 Found&Uons of Contract Lai rich people will usually benefit much more than poor people from any form o seller liability that protects them from such losses. Indeed, even if the prop erty at risk is the same for both rich and poor consumers, the rich may bt willing to pay more for protection against that risk simply because they have more money with which to pay. In economic terms, the marginal value o. money to the rich may be lower, even if the property at risk is the same. Thi! difference does not guarantee that the rich will be willing to pay more fOJ protection since rich consumers may also be less risk-averse than poor consum· ers. The higher risk-aversion of the poor could make them willing to pay more for a warranty, not less. However, if the difference runs the other way-as is almost certain to be true of extremely poor consumers, who could barely afford to pay any more money-the inter-consumer distributional effects might favor the rich at the expense of the poor. . . .
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