STUDENT CASE STUDY Hoka One One: The New Trendsetter Spandana Battula, Alejandra Mazariegos, Thomas Pols Evan Spark-Depass, Diego Suquillo April 2015 Case study EIB B236 Evan Spark-Depass, Spandana Battula, Alejandra Mazariegos, Diego Suquillo, Thomas Pols Hoka One One: The New Trendsetter Background In 2008, Nicolas (Nico) Mermoud was largely known as an accomplished ultra-marathoner, having placed third in 2007 in the Ultra-Trail du Mont Blanc (UTMB) and eighth in 20061 a 166km race through the mountains. As was the case with many ultra-runners, Nico faced extreme fatigue and muscle tension during ultra races. He recognized the need for a shoe that would enable him to go downhill faster2 and reduce the shock on his knees from running long distances in the rugged terrain of the Alps, Pyrenees and Dolomites3. One day, Nico approached Jean-Luc Diard, the former CEO of Salomon and inventor of the parabolic ski, with an idea of heavily-cushioned “maximalist” shoe4. Unbeknownst to Nico, Jean-Luc had already been experimenting with bringing oversize design concepts to running shoes5. He was interested in how oversize running shoes might enable runners to handle downhill more efficiently, much like parabolic skis do for skiers. The inspiration for the original shoes came from the oversized technology that had been successfully used in mountain bike tires, powder skis and tennis rackets6. As Jean-Luc put it: “Mountain bikes addresses tough terrain with big tires and shocks, and oversize skis allowed you to float. We wanted to make a shoe that worked the same way.”7 Combining this ‘bike concept’ and drawing from years of experience in design and professional sports, Jean-Luc and Nico set out to design their revolutionary shoe. The entrepreneurs approached the shoe industry with an entirely fresh perspective. One running industry executive noted, “They didn’t even look at what had come before. Diard’s team took a maverick point of view and asked totally different questions, starting with the idea of treating the shoe as equipment, not a piece of apparel.”8 In 2009 the two collaborators and their team entered the shoe industry with their maximalist shoe brand called Hoka One One (originally pronounced Onay Onay, which means “time to fly” in Maori). Describing what the brand stands for in a 2014 interview, Jean-Luc 1 Bryan Powell, Nicolas Mermoud Pre-2010 UTMB Interview, iRunFar, accessed April 2, 2015, http://www.irunfar.com/2010/08/nicolas-mermoud-pre-2010-utmb-interview.html. 2 Thomas J. Ryan, Hoka One One Looks for Oversized Growth, SGB Weekly, Issue 1337, September 16, 2013, accessed April 2, 2015, http://d4ex6pvli7xof.cloudfront.net/sgbweekly/2013/SGB_13Q3/SGBW_1337Rlo.pdf. 3 Brain Metzler, Sole Man: The Story behind Hoka Shoes, Running Competitor, April 3, 2013, accessed April 2, 2015, http://running.competitor.com/2013/04/shoes-and-gear/sole-man-hoka-is-in-for-the-long-haul_68788. 4 Hoka OneOne website, May 22, 2014, accessed April 2, 2015, http://hokaoneone.com.au/tag/jean-luc-diard/ 5 Supra note 2 and 5. 6 Supra note 3. 7 Gordy Megroz, The Clown Shoe That’s Changing Minimalist Running, Outside Magazine, December 3, 2013, accessed April 2, 2015, http://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-gear/footwear/Sole-Power-Nicolas-Mermoud-Minimalist-Running.html 8 “The Rebirth of Running | Running Shoes | OutsideOnline.com,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-gear/footwear/running-shoes/hokaoneone.html. described Hoka as “a very new brand that is especially about innovation. An innovation both about performance in terms of easy rolling and about maximum protection so that people can enjoy the sport of running in any conditions.”9 The design concept Nico and Jean-Luc collaborated with a chemist at a Chinese shoe manufacturer to create a light and soft but thick foam for the running shoes.10 Using proprietary chemicals and applying different baking methods, the chemist developed a sole with 29 mm of cushioning without any added weight.11 The additional 18mm of thickness of the outer sole, as compared to traditional shoes, allowed runners to attain better forward propulsion.12 This “rocker” technology acts as a fulcrum, and allows a runner to roll through their stride.13 Describing the product, Jean-Luc noted that “the wheel is the most efficient design, and Hoka attempts to best recreate that wheel-type efficiency.”14 Jean-Luc’s design skills proved instrumental during the development process. The team experimented with different geometrical shapes and designs, and updated these geometries based on runners’ feedback.15 Originally, the team considered designing a downhill-only slip-on shoe that could be put over one’s normal running shoes in particularly difficult sections of races, but this idea eventually evolved into a full running shoe.16 The shoe that emerged from this process has a stack of 35mm in the heel and 29mm in the forefoot, giving a heel-toe drop of 6mm. 17 Typical running shoes have a stack height of 23mm in the heel and 11mm in the forefoot, giving a heel-toe drop of 12mm.18 So, what does this mean to the regular costumer? It all comes down to how your foot hits the ground when running. Many studies indicate that running in shoes with a larger heel-toe drop encourages a heel strike.19 This is relevant because heel strikes not only diminish running efficiency and speed, but also are also associated with increased injuries due to higher impact and rotational forces on the foot, ankle and knees.20 A lower heel-toe drop, as with Hoka shoes, encourages a midfoot strike and helps the runner 9 Interview with Jean-Luc Diard: What Hoka means? Mountain Blog, July 29, 2014, accessed April 2, 2015, http://www.mountainblog.eu/interview-with-jean-luc-diard-what-hoka-means/. 10 “Behind the Clown Shoe That’s Changing Minimalist Running | Footwear | OutsideOnline.com,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-gear/footwear/Sole-Power-Nicolas-Mermoud-Minimalist-Running.html. 11 Ibid. 12 Ibid. 13 “HOKA ONE ONE Running Technology | Official Site,” accessed April 1, 2015, http://www.hokaoneone.com/technology.html. 14 Greg Dutter, Footwear Plus, August 1, 2014. Available at http://www.readperiodicals.com/201408/3620291111.html. 15 “JimVanDineInterviewRunnersConnect.mp3,” accessed March 17, 2015, https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/rcpodcats/JimVanDineInterviewRunnersConnect.mp3. 16 “Sole Man: The Story Behind Hoka Shoes - Competitor.com,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://running.competitor.com/2013/04/shoes-and-gear/sole-man-hoka-is-in-for-the-long-haul_68788. 17 Hixson, Jim. "Comfort Question: Should We Be Running on Pillows Like the Hoka One One?" Natural Running Center. Last modified January 12, 2013. http://naturalrunningcenter.com/2013/01/12/comfort-question-running-pillows-hoka-one/. 18 JustRunLah. "What is a Heel-toe Drop and Shoe Stack Height? | Just Run Lah!" JustRunLah!. Last modified January 19, 2014. http://www.justrunlah.com/blog/2014/01/19/what-is-the-heel-toe-drop-and-how-to-measure-shoe-stack-height 19 Ibid. 20 Ibid. maintain its natural position and avoid injuries.21 Achieving this reduced drop was the first goal of the design team, however this was only part of the answer. To deal with the remaining shock when running, the designers considered important to have some extra cushioning in midfoot of the running shoe able to dissipate up to 80% of the shock associated with the heel-striking by allowing for as much as 20mm of compression in the heel.22 The early days of the company Nico and Jean-Luc debuted Hoka One One shoes in 2009 at a 105 mile race around Chamonix, Europe’s highest peak.23 As Jean-Luc explains, Hoka shoes were an instant hit with the ultra-running community “We let five runners take our prototypes for an hour-long run beforehand, and they came back and asked if they could do the race with them. That’s when I knew we were onto something.”24 Though Hoka One One was born in France, the company quickly moved its operations into the US market in 2010.25 During its first year of operations in 2010, the shoes became available for sale in in 80 specialty running stores worldwide.26 In the United States, an extremely influential running specialty store, Boulder Running Company, became a champion for Hoka One One shoes.27 The shoe became popular locally in Colorado, however this did not spread far beyond Boulder.28 As an ultra-marathoner himself, Nico began to promote the shoe through his preexisting networks in the ultra-running community in the US, especially in Colorado, Utah, and California.29 The company’s marketing strategy largely consisted of these informal relationships, and Nico giving shoes away to runners at ultra-distance races.30 In 2010, Nico called Brian Meltzer, one of the United States’ premier ultra-marathoners, to test out the Hoka One One Mafate. Brian was hooked after a short run and became one of Hoka’s very first sponsored athletes.31 Despite his small sponsorship deal, Brian became a vocal advocate for Hoka shoes due to his fervent belief in the product.32 21 Ibid. 20 6pm.com. "Hoka One One Stinson Tarmac." Accessed April 1, 2015. http://www.6pm.com/hoka-one-one-stinson-tarmac. 23 Ibid. 8 24 Ibid. 25 Ibid. 15 26 Ibid. 10 27 Ibid. 15 28 Ibid. 29 “About HOKA ONE ONE | Official Site,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://www.hokaoneone.com/meet-hoka.html. 30 Ibid. 15 31 “Sole Man: The Story Behind Hoka Shoes Competitor.com,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://running.competitor.com/2013/04/shoes-and-gear/sole-man-hoka-is-in-for-the-long-haul_68788. 32 Ibid. 15 22 Business model While Nico was promoting the brand in the US, Jean-Luc continued to work with a development team in Annecy, France, coming up with new concepts and further refining the product.33 In an effort to increase their product diversity, Hoka began to release other models in addition to the original Mafate. These included the Bondi B, the company’s first offering designed for road running, and the Stinson B Evo, which became Hoka’s ‘middle’ shoe between the oversized Mafate and the slimmer Bondi B.34 35 As a small company, Hoka faced a number of considerable challenges during its early years. Perhaps most significant among these difficulties was a severe lack of resources.36 Retailers were often unable to stock enough shoes to make investing in the brand worthwhile, which meant that few consumers were exposed to Hoka.37 In addition, Hoka did not have a catalog, further limiting the company’s contact with the mainstream running community.38 Hoka also suffered from its unique design, which was wholly unfamiliar to mainstream runners. When Nico and Jean-Luc began to design Hoka shoes, “they did not examine current running shoes and look to improve them, instead they approached the project as if there were no running shoes and they were inventing them. This release from conventionality spurred true innovation resulting in a shoe that provides superior cushioning and inherent stability.”39 While the result reflects Hoka’s innovative and unique design, it also presented a major obstacle, as many runners were wary of trying a product that looked like “clown shoes.”40 Ultra-running legend Jenn Shelton explained why she won’t use Hokas: “They might be the best shoes in the world, but I would not be caught dead in them. And you wanna know why? They are not sexy."41 This tension between the clunky aesthetic of the product and the benefits of having a superior design became major obstacles in the expansion of the business. However, in an effort to head the way of the new “maximalist running movement” (as opposed to the barefoot, minimalist movement), Hoka started recruiting elite athletes as brand ambassadors to promote their running shoes. One such ambassador was 30-year-old Leo Manzano, an Olympic medalist in the 1,500m, and fifth fastest American all-time in the event. In an interview, Manzano noted “they’re not your normal shoe, but I actually think they are 33 Ibid. “Hoka One One Bondi B Review,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://www.irunfar.com/2012/07/hoka-one-one-bondi-breview.html. 35 “Trail Runner Magazine,” accessed March 31, 2015, http://www.trailrunnermag.com/component/backissue?id=80. 36 Ibid. 15 37 Ibid. 38 Ibid. 39 “RunBlogRun INTERVIEWS: Jim Van Dine, Brand President of HOKA ONE ONE, by Larry Eder - RunBlogRun,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://www.runblogrun.com/2013/10/runblogrun-interviews-jim-van-dine-brand-president-of-hoka-one-one-by-larryeder.html. 40 Behind the Clown Shoe That’s Changing Minimalist Running | Footwear | OutsideOnline.com. accessed March 17, 2015 41 Should You Try the New Maximalist Hoka One One Bondi BS? | Gear Guy | OutsideOnline.com, accessed March 17, 2015, http://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-gear/gear-shed/gear-guy/Should-I-Try-the-Hokas.html. 34 better than normal” referring to the Hoka running shoes.42 Others such as Darcy Piceu, winner of the 2012 Hardrock Ultra Marathon and Hoka’s brand ambassador commented: “if you are walking and running from 50 to 100 miles, or sometimes even more, you are going to need a pair of shoes that can handle the distance”.43 While professional endorsements were very valuable in gaining traction within the ultra-running community, Hoka faced another major challenge immediately upon entering the US market. The year before Hoka came to the US, barefoot and minimalist running had become an incredibly popular trend among mainstream runners. 44 Popularized by the book Born to Run by Christopher McDougall, runners everywhere were trading in their traditional trainers for slim, minimalist shoes, or even foregoing running shoes altogether.45 In retrospect, this was an incredibly difficult time for an oversized running shoe company to gain traction with a concept that provides extreme cushioning. To make things more complicated, the product initially appealed much more to elite athletes and ultra-marathoners rather than regular consumers. Although the concept seemed to have potential given the logical need for increased support among some types of runners, questions remained regarding how the company should compete for the business of serious and recreational athletes in the running shoe market space. Industry landscape Today's runners are those looking to achieve a new goal: to stay fit, to relieve stress, to feel empowered or to run for a cause. Many casual runners are entering events to have fun, as a social activity, and for the experience. In 2011, 14 Rock ‘n' Roll Marathon series events saw more than 255,000 individuals cross the finish line. Of those, 37% were debuting in the marathon or half-marathon, and 62% were female, reflecting the broad appeal of running nationwide46. Running and jogging continues to show strong and consistent growth annually as total running participation was up almost 13% overall from 2011 data and has increased by 57% in the last 10 years, according to the Sporting Goods Manufacturer's Association (SGMA).47 It also projects running / jogging has some of the greatest growth potential among all sports from 2010 to 2015, with a 31% growth rate (See appendix 1).48 42 Crouse, Lindsay. "Log In - The New York Times." The New York Times - Breaking News, World News & Multimedia. Last modified February 16, 2015. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/17/sports/forget-barefoot-many-seek-cushioning-in-runningshoes.htm 43 Hoka One One. "100 Miles High - Darcy Piceu Africa and the 2013 Hardrock Ultra Marathon." YouTube. July 8, 2014. https://www.youtube.com/watch 44 “Forget Barefoot; New Trendsetter in Running Shoes Is Cushioning - NYTimes.com,” accessed March 17, 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/17/sports/forget-barefoot-many-seek-cushioning-in-running-shoes.html 45 Ibid. 46 Running USA. "2012 State of the Sport Part II: Running Industry Report | Running USA." Welcome | Running USA. Last modified July 15, 2012. http://www.runningusa.org/2012-state-of-sport-part-2. 47 Ibid. 48 Ibid. The National Sporting Goods Association's "Sporting Goods Market Edition 2013" reports that running/jogging shoe sales totaled $3.04 billion (record high) in 2012, up 23% in total dollars from the previous year ($2.46 billion in 2011).49 Sales are projected to grow an additional 16% to approximately $3.51 billion in 2013 (See appendix 2).50 It is important to note that most of the sales of jogging and running shoes in the U.S. are made in general sporting goods, specialty athletic footwear, and discount stores. Additionally, online sales are increasing and play an important role as a sales channel.51 While there are numerous running sports companies, the running shoes market segment is clearly dominated by Asics, Brooks, Nike and Saucony who all have a market share above 10%. (See appendix 3).52 Continued growth? By late 2011, Hoka was struggling to reach a broader market base. The shoes, which sold for $160 a pair, were out of the price range of many runners,53 and the minimalism movement was still going strong. In addition, Hoka’s small distribution network was further constricting the company’s growth.54 The expectation was that sales in 2012 would be $3 million, a fraction of the market.55 Still, Hoka brand manager and former athlete Jim Van Dine confidently predicted that sales of $100 million were possible with the current line of products.56 Van Dine was not bluffing when he made his claim as he had done it before as part of the team that turned Reebok from a startup into a billion dollar corporation in a matter of years. However, he explained that Hoka did not have the resources to build out the brand, nor did they have the experience of managing a shoe brand in the United States.57 Some in the organization believed significant investments would be needed and outside investment would need to be attracted.58 In early 2012, Deckers, the company that owns the Ugg brand, approached Hoka One One to try and convince Jean-Luc and Nico to sell the company.59 Deckers was convinced that Hoka would not be able to 49 Running USA. "2013 State of the Sport – Part II: Running Industry Report | Running USA." Welcome | Running USA. Last modified June 26, 2013. http://www.runningusa.org/state-of-sport-2013-part-II 50 Ibid. 51 Statista. "Running & Jogging - Statistics & Facts. Statista." Www.statista.com. Last modified 2012. http://www.statista.com/topics/1743/running-and-jogging/. 52 Ryan, Tom. "Brooks Looks To Become Next Billion Dollar Running Brand." Performance Sport Retailer, April 2010. http://performancesportsretailer.com. 53 “Comfort Question: Should We Be Running on Pillows Like the Hoka One One? | Natural Running Center,” accessed April 2, 2015, http://naturalrunningcenter.com/2013/01/12/comfort-question-running-pillows-hoka-one/. 54 Ibid. 15 55 Van Romburgh, Marlize. "Deckers Makes Run for Athletes with Hoka." Pacific Coast Business Times. April 5, 2013. Accessed March 5, 2015. http://www.pacbiztimes.com/2013/04/05/deckers-makes-run-for-athletes-with-hoka/. 56 Ibid. 57 Ibid. 15 58 Ibid. 55 59 Ibid. 15 survive without an injection of capital, and was highly interested in Hoka’s radical shoe design.60 Deckers was also interested in the popularity of the shoe amongst professional athletes.61 Soon after their first meeting Deckers decided to invest in Hoka, but could not convince Jean-Luc and Nico to sell the company.62 In the months that followed, the management of both Hoka and Deckers started having meetings on the new investment with different questions on their mind. Back in their Goletta headquarters Nico and Jean-Luc were also strategizing what their next step should be. Was Deckers the right partner as Jim Van Dine suggested? Partnering with Deckers meant that Hoka would have access to their considerable financial resources and shoe-industry savvy. However, did Hoka really want to become the next Ugg? Nico and Jean-Luc’s success with Hoka was a product of their fearlessness in throwing convention out of the window and starting from scratch. A partnership with a large corporation seemed somehow antithetical to Hoka’s roots. The big question was whether Hoka could make it on their own. If not, what would Nico and Jean Luc be giving up by selling the company to Deckers? Would they lose the unique and creative design control that had been essential component to Hoka One One’s success? Questions for class discussion: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 60 Is Hoka really different from other running shoes? If so, how is it innovative? What need do Hoka One One shoes fulfill? What difficulties has Hoka faced in growing the company? What mistakes, if any, were made in the design and launch of Hoka? What are the advantages/disadvantages of Hoka selling the company to Deckers? Should they sell? Ibid. 15 Ibid. 62 Ibid. 61 Appendix 1: Running/Jogging Participation Running/Jogging Participation (in millions) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total participation 24.7 29.2 28.8 30.4 30.9 32.2 35.5 38.7 40 42 Male participation 13.2 16.4 15 15.9 16.1 17.7 18.7 19.7 18.4 20.2 Female participation 11.5 12.9 13.8 14.5 14.8 14.5 16.9 19 21.6 21.8 Source: National Sporting Goods Association. Sports Participation in the United States 2014. Edition Appendix 2: Jogging and Running Footwear Sales in U.S. Jogging & Running Footwear Sales in U.S. 1998 2010 2011 2012 Running Shoe Units (Million) 29.41 37.16 38.02 $44.62 Running Shoe Dollars (Billion) 1.47 2.32 2.46 $3.04 Sales Channels - % of Units 1998 2010 2011 2012 General Sporting Goods 15.90% 22.50% 23.30% 22.40% Discount Stores 14.80% 21.40% 18.50% 19.80% Online/Internet - 12.20% 12.50% 17.50% Specialty Athletic Footwear 22.10% 16.20% 19.60% 18.00% Department Stores 16.10% 8.80% 7.20% 7.40% Family Footwear 10.40% 6.30% 6.40% 4.10% - 7.70% 5.70% 4.90% 4.90% 4.70% 5.20% 4.40% - - - - 2.60% 1.40% 0.40% 1.10% - - - 0.40% Factory Outlet Specialty Sport Shops Other Outlets Mail Order Pro Shop SOURCE: National Sporting Goods Association. Sporting Goods Market 2013 Edition. 2012 2013 Appendix 3: Jogging & Running Footwear Sales in U.S. by Brand Brand of Running Shoes Last Purchased Brand 2009 2011 ASICS 29.90% 25.80% Brooks 14.40% 16.30% Nike 14.70% 13.70% Saucony 11.30% 12.80% Mizuno 8.90% 8.80% New Balance 9.70% 8.40% Adidas 5.50% 4.10% Newton <1% 2.20% Vibram Five Fingers <1% 2.10% Source: Running USA. National Runner Survey 2011. Appendix 4: Total shoe and running shoe sales historical data ($m) Shoe Sales Historical Data ($m) Year Total Shoe Change Running Shoe Change 2009 28,283 - 2,360 - 2010 30,079 6.35 2,320 -1.69 2011 30,892 2.70 2,460 6.03 2012 31,114 0.72 3,040 23.58 2013 30,840 -0.88 3,510 15.46 Source: 2014 State of the Sport - Part II Running Industry. Report and Footwear Wholesaling in the US Industry Report Appendix 5: Hoka One One Source: Hoka One One Appendix 6: Hoka Clifton, broadening the product line Source: Hoka One One
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