SATURDAY 6TH DECEMBER SANDOWN SHORTLIST 12.20 Club Wembley ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Hurdle Top Rated & Flags 2m110y Timeform Rating of previous winners: 128 - 154 129 158 (Avg 142) 146p 1. ASO Venetia Williams 145p 7. KING’S ODYSSEY Aidan Coleman Paul Moloney Evan Williams 126p 2. FINGERS CROSSED Paul Webber Paddy Brennan Betting Forecast: 11/4 Aso, 3 King’s Odyssey, 9/2 Clean Sheet, 11 Fingers Crossed, 12 Caracci Apache, 16 He’s A Bully, 20 bar 12.50 Club Wembley Mares’ Handicap Hurdle 141 7. ROYAL MOLL 139 3. BLUE BUTTONS A. P. McCoy Warren Greatrex 140 11. SPIRIT OSCAR Derek Fox (3) Lucinda Russell Harry Fry Noel Fehily Betting Forecast: 7/2 Royal Moll, 9/2 Blue Buttons, 17/2 Koolala, 10 Flute Bowl, Azza, 12 Spirit Oscar, 14 bar 1.20 Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle 144p 5. CUP FINAL Nicky Henderson 143 9. UNOWHATIMEANHARRY Helen Nelmes Conor Ring (5) 142 2. ANDY KELLY Emma Lavelle Richie O’Dea (10) A. P. McCoy Betting Forecast: 15/8 Cup Final, 7 Home Run, 10 Andy Kelly, 12 Drum Valley, Aalim, 14 Unowhatimeanharry, 14 bar Racing Post Henry VIII Novices’ Chase Top Rated & Flags 165p 3. IRISH SAINT Paul Nicholls Sam Twiston-Davies 163p 4. VIBRATO VALTAT Paul Nicholls Noel Fehily 161p 1. COURT MINSTREL Paul Moloney Evan Williams Betting Forecast: 15/8 Irish Saint, 3 Vibrato Valtat, 7/2 Court Minstrel 2.25 Madinat Jumeirah Dubai December Handicap Hurdle Top Rated & Flags 149 8. SNAKE EYES Nicky Henderson 148 3. DORMELLO MO Paul Nicholls 147 1. RUACANA John Ferguson A. P. McCoy Sam Twiston-Davies Jack Sherwood (7) Betting Forecast: 7/2 Dormello Mo, 5 Leviathan, Sweet Deal, 6 Snake Eyes, 13/2 Amore Alato, 12 Ruacana, 14 bar 3.00 888Sport Tingle Creek Chase Top Rated & Flags 2m Timeform Rating of previous winners: 182 182 185 197 180 (Avg 185) 177+ 1. BALDER SUCCES Alan King Richard Johnson 176 3. GOD’S OWN Tom George 173 6. SOMERSBY Mick Channon Paddy Brennan A. P. McCoy Betting Forecast: 11/4 Balder Succes, 4 God’s Own, 7 Oscar Whisky, 8 Vukovar, 9 Somersby, Dodging Bullets, 18 bar 3.35 888Sport London National 148 2. THERE’S NO PANIC Paul Nicholls 146 4. WHATS HAPPENING Tom George 145 3. EMPEROR’S CHOICE Venetia Williams Analyst’s Verdict: With Sprinter Sacre and Sire De Grugy both sidelined this is an excellent opportunity for Balder Succes, who was one of last season’s top novices. He’s been beaten by God’s Own the last twice, but he did too much too soon at Punchestown on the first occasion and was giving away 7 lb to his rival at Exeter on reappearance. The highly regarded Vukovar is also of interest for his red-hot yard. 3m5f110y Top Rated & Flags Sam Twiston-Davies Paddy Brennan Aidan Coleman Betting Forecast: 7/2 There’s No Panic, 9/2 Kasbadali, Samstown, 5 Whats Happening, 11/2 Emperor’s Choice, 11 Tales of Milan, 16 bar Bet now >> Bet now >> Bet now >> Analyst’s Verdict: Kasbadali has only had two starts in as many years, though his seems to go well fresh and he remains with plenty of potential over fences, especially now tackling this marathon distance. Samstown made a winning return over hurdles and is respected upped in trip back over fences despite being 20 lb higher after his Ayr win in April. What’s Happening is another who promises to improve for the trip, Analyst’s Verdict: Cup Final was highly tried during his novice campaign and took a step forward on last month’s Cheltenham return. He can finally get off the mark, with Home Run (who finished second in this event 12 months ago from a 4 lb higher mark) and Westaway heading the list of dangers. 2m Timeform Rating of previous winners: 167 - 174 173 167 (Avg 170) Bet now >> Analyst’s Verdict: Royal Moll was heavily backed ahead of last month’s reappearance/ handicap bow on debut for Warren Greatrex and might have won but for a mistake at the last. She will be popular in her bid to gain compensation, but Blue Buttons is offered instead with this slight drop back in trip expected to suit if anything. Koolala is the pick of the remainder. 2¾m Top Rated & Flags 1.50 Analyst’s Verdict: Aso won by a street at Warwick and is clearly a useful prospect but preference is for King’s Odyssey, who finished a long way clear of the rest when second on debut in this sphere at Southwell. Evan Williams’s charge receives 6 lb from the penalised Aso, which tilts the scales in his favour. Fingers Crossed is also promising, while point winner Clean Sheet needs a market check. 2½m Top Rated & Flags Bet now >> Bet now >> Analyst’s Verdict: Very little to choose between the 4 runners given what they’ve achieved over fences so far. It would come as no surprise if Vibrato Valtat reversed Cheltenham form with Dunraven Storm, but the former’s stablemate Irish Saint seems a bit more straightforward so receives the vote having made a winning start in this sphere over C&D 4 weeks ago. 2m110y Bet now >> Analyst’s Verdict: Dormello Mo was very impressive when winning at Exeter in a firsttime tongue tie at Exeter last month, and he showed that testing ground holds no fears. Ruacana, Leviathan and Amore Alato are others to consider in a competitive heat. Key Top Rated: Indicates the highest-rated runners in the race, adjusted for the weight carried. Only the top three in each race are shown (horses with Rating Symbols are prioritised). Rating Symbols: p (likely to improve), P (capable of much better), ? (rating can’t be assessed with confidence), + (may be better than rated), $ (unreliable), x (poor jumper) Timeform Rating of Previous Winners: These figures, which appear for non-handicap races, are the weight-adjusted Timeform rating the winner has achieved in the same race in the five previous years, i.e. a guide to the previous standard of the race. Analyst’s Verdict: Using all the information available to them, a Timeform Analyst assesses the merit of each horse’s form, considers how likely it is to reproduce or improve upon that rating under the prevailing conditions and then balances those conclusions against the odds available in the market, thus arriving at a Verdict. Flags Horse In Focus: Noted in positive terms on its previous outing by a Timeform race analyst, marking it out as a horse to look out for. Warning Horse: Pinpointed as potentially representing poor value, primarily on account of doubts as to the strength or reliability of its recent form. Horses For Courses: Determines the suitability of this track for the horse by comparing its lifetime record against the Timeform digital course data. Trainer/Jockey Uplift: Highlights a noteworthy stable switch, or a significant change of rider, all based on Timeform’s unique Trainer/Jockey Rankings. Trainer Form: An assessment of the trainer’s recent form, based on Timeform ratings related measurement. You can find out more about Timeform Ratings and Flags at timeform.com
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