Nepal Portfolio Performance Review (NPPR) 2015 Ministry of Agricultural Development (MoAD) Mr. Yogendra Kumar Karki Joint Secretary, Planning Division 11 Sep, 2015 Organization of Presentation Features and Status of Nepalese Agriculture Agriculture Priorities General Progress and Good Practices Challenges and Gaps Future Direction Expected Sectoral Outputs Expected Thematic Action Plan Features of Nepalese Agriculture • A small hilly country situated between two larger economies of the World- China and India • Three distinct physiographic regions (Mountain, Mid-hills and Terai) with high climatic variability Features of Nepalese Agriculture… Small, extremely diverse and landlocked, Nepal confronts special development challenges in the face of climate change Its topography determines that only less than 20% of its land is cultivable yet about 33.1 % of its GDP and more than 50 % of its export depend on agriculture main source of food, income and employment for the great Majority (65.7% of the population) Monsoon dependent, under developed Subsistence and mixed farming system with domination of small holder farmers (About 60% farmers) Features of Nepalese Agriculture… Low level of public and private investment Suffered massively from natural calamities; Floods, Land Slides, Cold Weather, Drought and Earthquakes Fast growth in some high value commodities vegetables, spices, dairy, poultry, fish etc Features of Nepalese Agriculture (Mountain) Features of Nepalese Agriculture(Hill) Features of Nepalese Agriculture(Terai) Status of Nepalese Agriculture Area in 000' Ha 2620 3091 Agriculture Land Cultivated Agriculture Land Uncultivated 383 Forest 1030 Water Other 5828 Source: ABPSD, MoAD Contribution of Agriculture to GDP at Constant Prices Contributio of Agriculture in GDP at Constant Price (Percent) 37 36 35 34 33 36.64 35.87 35.86 35.57 34.83 35.02 35.01 34.38 34 33.1 32 31 2005/062006/072007/082008/092009/102010/112011/122012/132013/142014/15 Source: Economic Survey Agriculture accounted for 36.64% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2005/06 and, despite falling to 33.1% by 2014/15, remains by far the largest sector of the economy. Agriculture Growth Rate Agriculture Growth Rate in Last Ten years (Percent) 7 6 5.8 5 4.5 4.6 4 2 Agriculture 3 3 2.9 2 1.8 1.9 1.1 1 1 0 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Source: Economic Survey Agriculture Growth rate averaged 2.9 % during the last decade. Both of these figures are above the population growth rate of 1.35 % per annum, but with huge year-onyear variation, the range being 5.8% in 2007/08 to 1% in 2006/07. This variation reflects high weather dependence and an underdeveloped sector. Composition of AGDP Composition of AGDP, Fruits & spices, 7.04% Forestry, 8.10% Cereals, 49.41% Livestock, 25.68% Source: ABPSD, MoAD, 2014 Vegetable, 9.71% Domination of Cereal Crops followed by Livestock and Vegetables Development Partners and their Supported Projects (in number) through MoAD 5 5 4.5 4 3 3.5 3 2 2.5 2 1 1.5 1 1 SDC EU 1 0.5 0 World Bank ADB IFAD GAFSP Development Partners Earthquakes and Losses in Agriculture The earthquakes damaged agriculture infrastructures, livestock, fisheries, crop lands and food and seed stocks Damages have been extended to deaths, injuries and stress to farmers as well as agriculture technicians along with the damages to offices of agriculture extension, development and research centres the total damages and losses in agriculture sector amount to about NPR 28.3 billion Agriculture Priorities Increasing production and productivity of key agricultural crops Promoting agriculture commercialization and modernization for increased efficiency and farm income Addressing both food and nutrition security Local economic development through agribusiness cluster development Alleviating poverty through smallholder agriculture development General Progress Agriculture Development Strategy • guide agriculture development in Nepal for the next two decades Multi-sector • provide direction for achieving nutritional plan and nutritional outcomes, as envisaged food security action by the Government of Nepal plan Zero Hunger Challenge Intiative2025 • Set basis for ensuring that every man, woman and child enjoy their rights to adequate food General Progress Addition of 58 ha of land under cardamom plantation. Rehabilitation of 400 ha of citrus orchard Establishment of four seed storage and processing facilities across the country Addition of land under maize and oil seeds by 25,500 and 2000 ha respectively Distribution of 3.1 million improved seed kits Establishment/renovation of 200 collection centers Rehabilitation of 68 irrigation schemes Production and distribution of 9.6 million doses of vaccine NPR 1,551,20,182 made available under agriculture insurance 107,000 liters of liquid nitrogen produced Good Practices Smart Subsidy: Youth focused program: Demand based programs: Fertilizers, Seeds, reducing youth migration and increasing women contribution in household income Small irrigation, Cooperative Farming, Family Farming, Market Structures Food Quality Control: Value Chain Support Grants: machineries, insurance Problem based Research and Development: Farmers field demonstration, Participatory research Good Manufacture Practices, Joint Monitoring, Green Strikers, PACT, HVAP, RISMFP, HIMALI KUBK, AFSP Challenges and Gaps Develop the key institutions and instruments for policy implementation Increase factor productivity Expand the commercialization of agriculture based on high-value crops Improve the enabling environment for private sector development Strengthen the partnership approach Improve cross-sectoral interaction Future Directions Governance Increased Productivity Profitable Commercialization Enhanced Competitiveness Recovery and Reconstruction Governance: clear targets for improved credibility of policy commitment, engage leading stakeholders (both from government and civil society) in the formulation and implementation, and will monitor appropriately and continuously Increased Productivity: (i) effective agricultural research and extension; (ii) efficient use of agricultural inputs; (iii) efficient and sustainable practices and use of natural resources (land, water, soils, and forests); and (iv) increased resilience to climate change and disasters. Profitable Commercialization: transforming the agricultural sector from a substantial proportion of subsistence farming into commercial purposes and is connected to the local, national, and international markets. Increased Competitiveness: Capturing energy, innovation and inventiveness of the private sector and cooperative sector to create some form of additionality Recovery and Reconstruction: based on the "Build Back Better" principle 12000 10000 9266 10523 Expected Sectoral Results: Increased Agricultural Production Baseline (in ‘000 Mt.) 69.4 79.8 300.9 317 1724 1748 1186 1197 3629 3720 22.5 25.9 0 194 207 2000 353.5 427 4000 1975.62 2081 6000 2145.29 2456 8000 4788.61 5213 Target (in ‘000 Mt.) Expected Sectoral Results: Improved food and nutrition security status Number of food deficit districts 33 33 32 30 31 30 29 28 2014/15 2015/16 Sectoral Thematic Action Plan Public Finance Management Thematic Areas Thematic Agreed Action Challenge Timely Release Timely budget of budget authorization by ministry and departments Timely flow of Accounting Information through field level. Timely submission of audit reports. Use of computer based accounting system implemented Performance Indicators Target Date More than 90 % of budget 1 Sep, 2015 authorized to implementing units within six weeks of budget announcement More than 25 % 15 July, implementation unit 2016 introduced computer based accounting system Moe than 50 % of program budget spent by the end of second trimester 25 March 2016 Sectoral Thematic Action Plan… Thematic Challenge Agreed Action Placement/retenti on of staff in key positions Compliance to the Civil Service Act and Regulations provision More than 95% of PDs and all chiefs and district level offices retained for a minimum of two years 30 June, 2016 Human Resource Development Plan prepared and implemented More than 90% of agricultural extension workers are fulfilled. 30 June, 2016 Human resource development Thematic Areas Performance Indicators Human resource development plan developed and implementation initiated Weak capacity of technical manpower More than 25% of the frontline extension workers trained Target Date 30 June, 2015 15 July 2016 Sectoral Thematic Action Plan… Monitoring & evaluation/ Managing for Development Results Thematic Areas Thematic Challenge Agreed Action Performance Indicators Target Date Results based M & E framework developed and implemented Agriculture Management Information System (AMIS) piloted 15 July 2016 Three Year M & E Plan prepared and implemented All M & E Reports of ministry uploaded to Web portal 15 July, 2016 Weak M & E System Sectoral Thematic Action Plan… Mutual Accountability Procurement Thematic Areas Thematic Challenge Agreed Action Performance Indicators Target Date Lack of compliance with PPA and PPR Preparation of Hundred of percent Annual Procurement contracts awarded in the Plan for FY 2015/16, first trimester and monitor the implementation against the plan 15 Novem ber, 2015 Weak coordination, program duplication and harmonization TA and FDI reflected 80% of TA for FY 16/17 in MoF source book. reflected in the source book. 80% of projects submits audit reports to OAG for on-budget-off-treasury expenses. 1 Aug, 2015 15 Jan, 2016 Thank You
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