INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANIZATION E IMO SUB-COMMITTEE ON STABILITY AND LOAD LINES AND ON FISHING VESSELS SAFETY 47th session Agenda item 13 SLF 47/INF.7 11 June 2004 ENGLISH ONLY REVIEW OF THE 2000 HSC CODE AND AMENDMENTS TO THE DSC CODE AND THE 1994 CODE Research into raking damage of high-speed craft Submitted by the United Kingdom SUMMARY Executive summary: An extensive research programme has been conducted into the probable extent of raking damage for HSC built of aluminium alloy, mild steel, higher tensile steel or FRP sandwich. This document provides a summary of this work, in support of proposals to amend the Code. Action to be taken: Paragraph 6 Related documents: DE 40/8/4, DE 40/INF.2 and SLF 47/13 Introduction 1 As a result of a number of significant grounding incidents occurring to high-speed craft, during the development of the 2000 HSC Code consideration was given to the potential for extensive bottom raking damage. 2 The proposal in documents DE 40/8/4 and DE 40/INF.2 that the length of raking damage should be related to the displacement, speed, hull material and hull scantlings was accepted in principle, but the specific proposal made at that time was considered not to be sufficiently substantiated, and simpler proposals were adopted at that time. 3 An extensive research programme has now been conducted by Cerup-Simonsen Maritime AS in association with the Danish Technical University into the probable extent of raking damage for HSC built of aluminium alloy, mild steel, higher tensile steel or FRP sandwich, as summarised in the annex. 4 Based on this research, proposals to amend the 2000 HSC Code have been made in document SLF 47/13. For reasons of economy, this document is printed in a limited number. Delegates are kindly asked to bring their copies to meetings and not to request additional copies. I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC SLF 47/INF.7 -2- 5 For a more detailed description of the work conducted, administrations are invited to contact MCA Policy Manager for High Speed Craft via [email protected] for an electronic copy of the 35 page Summary Report. Action requested of the Sub-Committee 6 The Sub-Committee is invited to note the information provided in conjunction with document SLF 47/13. *** I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX SUMMARY OF RESEARCH INTO RAKING DAMAGE OF HIGH-SPEED CRAFT Objective The objective of the project is to develop and propose a deterministic rule for the required extent of raking damage in the damage stability requirements of the IMO Code of Safety for High-Speed Craft. In particular, it is the objective to determine a rule that rationally takes into account the main parameters governing the extent of damage such as vessel speed, displacement, structural dimensions, and building material. Overview The approach taken to this problem has been: .1 The statistics of grounding damage have been examined. The statistics of grounding accidents with HSC include a few high-profile accidents and several minor accidents but the database is too scarce for a reliable statistical analysis. Instead, a recently assembled database for the grounding of conventional ships has been considered. It is assumed that the non-dimensional probability distributions for impact speed, location, width and height of damage also apply to HSC. The task is then to determine how the probability distribution for the length of damage varies with vessel speed, displacement, structural dimensions, and building material. .2 A simplified and accurate prediction method for length of grounding damage has been developed and validated by comparison to a large-scale grounding experiment and a real-life accident with a VLCC. The method was developed by fitting an analytical formula to a large series of Finite Element Method (FEM) simulations of grounding impact with 12 different ships, and varying indentations and rock geometries. To produce reliable FEM simulations a comprehensive experimental program was carried out to determine material parameters, in particular how to model the fracture of mild steel, aluminium, and high tensile steel. The FEM simulation procedure was validated by comparison to a large scale grounding experiment. .3 A Monte Carlo simulation procedure has been established for development of damage statistics for grounding accidents. The procedure takes into consideration the kinetic energy of the ship and the crushing behavior of the bottom by using the developed deterministic damage prediction method. The procedure was first calibrated to accurately produce the damage statistics for conventional ships. Then, by using the same procedure, damage statistics for HSC have been developed. Finally, a simple analytical formula has been fitted to the damage statistics to express the rule damage length as a function of the ship kinetic energy, the raking resistance of the bottom, the width and height of damage in the rule and the probability of survival. I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX Page 2 .4 A final proposal for a raking damage length has been proposed and tested on existing vessels. An acceptable probability level is proposed together with a nondimensional height and width of damage. Then a simple formula results for the length of raking damage as a function of vessel speed, displacement, structural dimensions, and building material. When applied to existing HSC it is found that most fast catamaran vessels should be designed for full length damage while some of the monohull vessels can be designed for smaller damage lengths. Vessels with a service speed close to the minimum speed required in the HSC Code can be designed with relatively short damage lengths. Application of damage statistics for conventional ships to HSC To determine realistic impact scenarios, the basic assumption of the present work is that certain observations for conventional ships also apply to HSC. It is assumed that the probability distributions for the following quantities are the same for conventional ships and HSC: • The vessel speed at the moment of impact divided by the service speed (V/Vs). • The location along the hull at which impact commences divided by the ship length, (Xf/L). • The width of the damage (Bd) divided by ∇1/3 (∇ is volume of displacement). • The penetration of the damage (Hd) divided by ∇1/3. The normalization of the width and height of the damage corresponds to the method currently used in the HSC Code. The main reason for using this normalization and not for example the width or draught of the ship is that the formula has to apply multi-hull vessels so a simple length measure (like the beam) may not be representative for the vessel size in those cases. The table below gives the key figures from the statistical analysis of 930 grounding incident records. No of records Average ship length Statistical mean 25%-percentage 50%-percentage 75%-percentage Maximum observed V/Vs Bd / ∇ 1 / 3 H d / ∇1 / 3 122 97m 0.64 0.40 0.70 0.89 1.0 104 157m 0.17 0.018 0.078 0.20 0.93 77 168m 0.032 0.0065 0.016 0.041 0.14 Xf/L (from aft) 167 136m 0.84 0.77 0.91 0.98 1.0 Ld /L 168 136m 0.27 0.047 0.15 0.45 1.0 Data was also collated on the principal particulars, materials and scantlings of 7 conventional ships representative of those on the damage database (4 general cargo vessels between 50 m and 150 m length, and 3 tankers of between 125 m and 304 m length), and of 8 monohull HSC between 23 m and 146 m length and built in FRP, aluminium alloy and high tensile steel, and of 7 catamaran high-speed craft between 24 m and 83 m length and built in FRP and aluminium alloy. These data were to aid the selection of testing materials and for use in the finite element and grounding force prediction methods. I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX Page 3 Development of raking damage prediction method Grounding events are obviously highly stochastic events. The analysis has to be carried out with due consideration to these uncertainties, which for example implies that prediction of damage length means prediction of the probability distribution for the damage length. The following briefly describes how a deterministic prediction method has been established. Subsequent sections describe how this method has been used in a probabilistic framework to determine distributions for the damage length. If the damage does not ‘run out’ of the aft end of the vessel, the damage length is equal to the stopping length of the vessel. A balance of energy gives the maximum damage length as: Ld ,max = 0.5MV 2 FH (Equation 1) where M is the displacement (including added mass in surge), V is the impact speed and FH is the average horizontal force. Given a specific vessel and an impact speed, the main difficulty in predicting the damage length is to determine the horizontal raking force as a function of the rock penetration size, and the speed, the structural dimensions and the building material of the craft. The following formula for the horizontal grounding force (FH) is the result of a comprehensive experimental, numerical and analytical study. FH = 127 km σo (teq)1.17 (Bd)0.83 (Equation 2) where km is a coefficient that accounts for the material ductility (= 1.0 for mild steel, 0.70 for higher tensile steel and 0.58 for aluminium alloy), and σ0 is a measure of the yield strength of the material, taken as the average between the initial yield stress and the ultimate tensile stress, teq is the equivalent thickness of plating plus an allowance for stiffening and Bd is the breadth of damage. The formula was derived in the following way: .1 Tensile tests were carried out for the three identified representative materials: mild steel, HTS and aluminium (A5083). The finite element program LS-DYNA was used to simulate the tensile tests. Values for the critical plastic strain for crack initiation were derived for different element sizes for each material and plate thickness. .2 Special fracture mechanics tests were carried out, where cracks were propagated approximately 400 mm under fully plastic conditions through shipbuilding plates of 5 mm and 10 mm thickness of mild steel, HTS and aluminium. Combined in-plane bending and extension and pure extension were tested. .3 The finite element program LS-DYNA was used to simulate the fracture mechanics experiments with the objective to determine so-called fracture strain as a function of the element size. By calibrating the fracture strain it was found that the fracture experiments could be accurately simulated. I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX Page 4 .4 The finite element program LS-DYNA was set up to simulate grounding scenarios where a ship bottom is forced to move horizontally over a conical rock. A sensitivity study of the most uncertain parameters was conducted. .5 The developed finite element procedure – including the calibrated fracture modelling procedure - was validated by comparison to a large-scale test performed by the Naval Surface Warfare Center (NSWC) in the United States. Excellent agreement was found between experiment and FEM predictions. .6 The developed finite element procedure was used to predict the horizontal grounding force for twelve different vessels (four structures each with three different materials) for lateral penetrations varying between 2% and 20% of the design draught. Each bottom was deformed in a scenario like that of the NSWC test, i.e. grounding on a conical rock with forward motion and a small trim angle. This way the penetration and the damage width increase slowly in each simulation. .7 By use of the predicted horizontal forces for the twelve different vessels with varying penetration and damage width, Equation 2 for FH was derived. This simplified prediction method was calibrated by adjusting four free parameters to minimise various measures of the error. By doing so, the average absolute error between FEM results and the formula became 13%. .8 Finally, the simplified formula was validated by comparison of the prediction of the damage in two quite different accident scenarios: the large-scale test by NSWC and grounding of a VLCC offshore from Singapore. Both validation examples showed excellent agreement between predictions and real-life observations. Recent further validation on a warship grounding showed an error of 12%. .9 To determine the raking resistance of FRP sandwich structures compared to metal structures a comprehensive series of laboratory raking tests were carried out. Rock widths of 75 mm and 150 mm were considered and bottom plates of 5 mm and 10 mm thick aluminium, mild steel and HTS were tested. The conclusion was that the raking resistance of aluminium structures and FRP sandwich structures are comparable for similar sized craft. In conclusion, the derived formula for FH is robust and at least as accurate as could be expected in view of the complexity of the grounding phenomenon and the simplicity of the formula. I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX Page 5 Grounding Damage Index The Grounding Damage Index is a simple measure for comparing the kinetic energy and bottom strength of different vessels. The GDI is given by: GDI = 0.5MVs2 L FH (Equation 3) where L [m] is vessel length, M [kg] is vessel mass, VS [m/s] is vessel service speed and FH [N] is the horizontal raking force calculated for Bd = 0.1 ∇1 / 3 . Comparison with Equation 1 shows that the GDI is a relative damage length, Ld/L, calculated at arbitrary values of the vessel speed and rock width. The absolute value of the GDI is not particularly relevant, as it is associated with one particular speed (the full speed) and one particular damage width (the 56%-fractile). GDI is characteristic for each vessel with regard to the grounding damage, not only in the deterministic analysis but also determines the probability distribution of the relative damage length. The GDI varies between 0.34 and 1.1 for the conventional ships. The average GDI for conventional ships is approximately 0.63. The minimum GDI for HSC is 1.2 (56m monohull HTS) and the maximum is 5.5 (82 m aluminium catamaran). The HSC catamarans generally show larger values of GDI than the monohull vessels. This is partly due to the fact that they are shorter than a monohull of the same displacement (and kinetic energy). The HSC monohull vessels show a clear trend of increasing relative damage size with increasing vessel size. This trend is less pronounced for catamarans. HSC damage statistics by Monte Carlo Simulation The purpose of the Monte Carlo simulations is to determine the probability that the horizontal extent of damage (length and width) is less than the corresponding requirements in the rule. First, the damage distributions are derived by use of Monte Carlo simulation. As mentioned, it is assumed that the non-dimensional distributions for speed, location of damage front, height and width of damage are the same for all ships but that the distribution for the length of damage will be dependent on kinetic energy and raking resistance of the bottom. Finally, analytical expressions for the probability of the damage being smaller than the rule requirements are fitted to the simulation results. It was found that that the calculated distribution for the longitudinal extent of damage is fully characterised by the GDI. In other words, the ship speed, width, displacement, length etc. are not necessary to determine the non-dimensional distribution for the longitudinal extent of damage. The simulation procedure was calibrated to achieve agreement with the damage statistics for conventional ships. It is then available to test any proposed rule requirement. I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX Page 6 The probability (P) for the damage being smaller than the rule damage was determined for each of 500 combinations of GDI and rule damages, using 20,000 grounding events in the Monte Carlo simulation procedure. For each GDI and each accident scenario it was counted which of the combinations of rule length and width would embrace the damage. The probability (P) for the damage being smaller than the rule damage is finally given by: H P = 1.67 1dR/ 3 ∇ 0.30 BdR 1/ 3 ∇ 0.40 LdR L 0.69 1 GDI 0.48 (Equation 4) The formula should be used within the limits: 0 < H dR < 0.14∇1 / 3 and 0 < BdR < 1.0∇1 / 3 The coefficient and the exponents in this formula were determined by minimizing the maximum deviation between the formula and the result of the Monte Carlo simulations. Proposal for damage length requirement Applying Equation 4 to the current rule (HdR = 0.04∇1/3, BdR = 0.1∇1/3 and LdR = 0.55L for Category A craft) gives: P = 0.15 for GDI = 1.2, P = 0.10 for GDI = 3 and P = 0.07 for GDI = 6. By increasing the rule requirements for height and width of damage to the maximum values observed, i.e. HdR = 0.14∇1/3 and BdR =1.0 ∇1/3 these probabilities increase to 0.55, 0.36 and 0.26 respectively. These figures still do not offer a very satisfactory probability of survival. Rearranging Equation 4, the rule damage length can be expressed in terms of the probability P, the width and depth of damage in the rule and the GDI: LdR 0.48 GDI 0.70 P 1.45 = L (H dR / ∇1 / 3 )0.43 (BdR / ∇1 / 3 )0.58 (Equation 5) Equation 5 can be used to determine the raking damage length in the rules by setting the survivability probability, P, and the width and height of damage. It is noted that the required relative damage length is not proportional to the GDI. If it is assumed that the height and width of damage in the rule is set to the maximum observed values, i.e. HdR = 0.14∇1/3 and BdR =1.0 ∇1/3 then Equation 5 simplifies to: MVS2 LdR = 1.12GDI 0.7 ⋅ P 1.45 = 0.69 L L ⋅ FH I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC 0.7 ⋅ P 1.45 (Equation 6) SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX Page 7 The figure below shows the relation between the required damage length and the GDI at different levels of survivability, P = R. Note that the GDI for HSC was found to be between 1.2 and 5.5 and that the HARDER project found the survivability to be above 0.5 for conventional passenger ships. 1 P=0.8 P=0.7 P=0.6 P=0.5 P=0.4 0,9 0,8 Ld(Rule)/L 0,7 P=0.3 0,6 0,5 0,4 P=0.2 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 GDI The proposed changes to chapter 2 given in SLF 47/13 are based on a 60% probability that damage will not exceed the requirement. Application of proposed requirement to existing HSC The effect of this proposed rule on twelve existing HSC designs is shown in the table below, both for actual speed, and if the speed just complied with the minimum required for application of the Code. Craft Type Hull Material Length (m) Mono Mono Mono Mono Mono Mono AL AL AL HTS HTS HTS 23 56 95 56 94 146 Actual Speed (m/s) 12.86 15.95 15.43 15.95 18.52 19.03 Cat Cat Cat Cat Cat Cat AL AL AL AL AL 24 33 40 53 78 83 16.48 17.21 17.80 18.87 20.93 21.28 AL I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC GDI LdR/L 1.51 1.83 2.56 1.20 2.50 2.93 0.71 0.82 1.03 0.61 1.01 1.13 3.46 2.66 3.44 3.12 3.22 5.53 1.27 1.06 1.27 1.18 1.21 1.77 Min HSC GDI_min speed (min HSC (m/s) speed) 7.60 0.53 9.57 0.66 12.67 1.73 9.57 0.43 12.11 1.07 14.69 1.75 7.93 7.83 8.95 9.29 11.52 12.16 0.80 0.55 0.87 0.76 0.97 1.81 LdR/L_min (min HSC speed) 0.34 0.40 0.78 0.30 0.56 0.79 0.46 0.35 0.48 0.44 0.52 0.81 SLF 47/INF.7 ANNEX Page 8 Administrations are invited to contact MCA Policy Manager for High Speed Craft via [email protected] for an electronic copy of the 35 page Summary Report. __________ I:\SLF\47\INF-7.DOC
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