AP US GOVERNMENT & POLITICS UNIT 3 POLITICAL PARTIES/INTEREST GROUPS/ THE MASS MEDIA/AND ELECTIONS POWERPOINT #7: Campaigns and Elections Elections 2 main types • Primaries ‐ An election to determine which candidate will be the sole person to represent a particular political party in a contest for elected office. • General Elections ‐ Candidates representing all of the different parties (but no more than one candidate from each party) compete against one another. • Different states have different types of primaries: – Closed primary: only registered members / voters of the political party in question can vote in their party’s primary. (i.e. “It’s our team, we pick our captain!”) – Open primary: registered voters belonging to any political party may pick any one of the political parties having a primary contest to vote in. Power of Incumbency • Incumbents – politicians already in office; tend to have an advantage over their challengers in an election. Why? – Name recognition with the public – Ties have likely been established with interest groups, their political party, and other prominent figures thus making campaign fundraising easier How have elections changed over time? • More democratic – New and diverse participants – Party bosses have less influence Changes at the presidential level: – Political Party conventions have less influence in nomination process – 12th Amendment changed the process of selecting the president and VP The Process of Running for President Deciding to Run • • • • Is my family up for it? Can I raise enough money? Can I get the support I need? Do I have any “baggage” that will hurt me? • Potential candidates often launch exploratory committees to see if it’s worth running. • Due to the multiple factors involved in winning the presidency, potential candidates are making their decision to run sooner than in years’ past. • Some candidates will discuss running for office “next time” almost immediately after an election. Winning the nomination • To represent one’s political party in the presidential election one must become the “nominee” of their party. – In previous elections political parties and “party bosses” selected nominees with little regard for what the people and less important members of the party had to say. • Today candidates must compete in primaries and caucuses in order to become their party’s nominee. – Primaries: elections in which a state’s voters go to the polls (voting booth) to express their preference for a party’s nominee for president. – Caucus: a less frequently used process where the public must show up at a set time and attend an open meeting to express their preference for their party’s nomination. • Primaries and caucuses reflect the will of the individual voter and also the preference of each state. • Iowa Caucus: the nation’s first caucus. • New Hampshire Primary: the nation’s first primary. • Candidates put lots of effort on winning these early contests because it helps attract money and support for their campaign. • Many states have moved up the dates of their primaries in order to garner more attention from the candidates and also more influence in selecting the parties’ nominees. (Frontloading) • Super Tuesday: Traditionally in the early spring of an election year numerous states hold their primaries on the same day. As a result of this “super” day the public finds out which candidate is the front runner and which ones ought to drop out. • The primaries and caucuses provide candidates with delegates who in turn go to the national party convention to formally select the party’s nominee. • Therefore, candidates try to win as many primaries as they can in order to acquire more delegates in their favor than their opponents. • Super delegates: national leaders (ex: they could be members of Congress or members of the national committee for that political party) who automatically get a delegate slot at the national convention, they may choose who ever they want to be the nominee. (A reminder of the old political boss days? Elitism theory?) • In order to win primaries (and thus friendly delegates) candidates must have a campaign strategy: a master game plan to guide their electoral campaign. • Politicians often tailor their speeches, advertisements, and overall behavior to the people they are speaking to as a means of winning their vote. • This often involves having . . . – A campaign manager – A person in charge of fundraising – Media consultants & a press secretary – Campaign staff & regional offices – Research & policy advisors – Pollsters – Website – Slogans, a “brand” • During the primary season candidates are competing against politicians from their own political party. • Although in advertisements and in debates they may highlight their differences, at the end of the day most politicians are good “partisans” and will rally around who ends up with the most delegates. • The candidate with the most delegates is considered the presumptive nominee, which becomes official at his/her national party’s convention. • Shortly before the convention the nominee selects his or her running mate. • What is involved in the decision making for choosing a VP running mate? – Can they handle the job if I die? – Balancing the ticket (experience, geography, etc.) – Electoral strategy • The National Convention: Every four years the delegates and party officials of the major political parties officially nominate their candidate, set party rules, and rewrite their party’s platform. • Given the predictability of today’s conventions the major TV networks broadcast very little of actual convention. What else? – The nominee and VP running mate make speeches – Supporters give speeches advocating their party’s nominee and often criticize the other party’s choice for president – The party tries to appeal to undecided voters • After the convention the presidential race enters a new phase – the general election. • The parties will rally their troops, interest groups help supportive candidates (PACs), and both will make use of direct mail and the media. • Candidates will use interviews, formulate sound bites, and use a variety of advertising to attract more voters. • Around six weeks before election day the candidates begin to have a series of debates. • Election Day: Americans vote for president every four years on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in the month of November. The elections held between the presidential elections – 2014 – 2018, etc. are called midterms). The Electoral College • The Electoral College is the group of people (electors) chosen from each state and the District of Columbia that formally selects the President and Vice President. • Voters do not vote directly for the President. Instead, they vote for electors in the Electoral College. • All states, except two (Maine and Nebraska), select electors based on the winner of the popular vote in that state. • Electors then meet in the state capitals on the Monday after the second Wednesday in December and cast their votes for President and Vice President. • On January 6, the electoral votes cast are counted by the President of the Senate (Current Vice President), and the President and Vice President are formally elected. • If no candidate wins a majority of electoral votes (270), the election is thrown into the House of Representatives. ELECTORAL COLLEGE FLAWS 1. Possible to win the popular vote in the presidential election, but lose the electoral college vote. 2. Nothing in the Constitution, nor in any federal law, requires the electors to vote for the candidate favored by the popular vote in their state. 3. If no candidate gains a majority in the electoral college, the election is thrown into the House…closest to this happening in modern times was the 2000 Presidential election which featured the Florida recount. ELECTORAL COLLEGE VIRTUES 1. It is a known process. Each of the proposed, but untried, reforms may very well have defects that could not be known until they appeared in practice. 2. In most election years, the electoral college defines the winner of the presidential election quickly and certainly. 2012 Presidential Electoral Map Blue States • Tend to be predictably Democratic in presidential elections • Ex: California, Illinois, New York, Massachusetts, Washington, Oregon Red States • Tend to be predictably Republican in presidential elections • Ex: Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Alabama, Mississippi, Texas Purple States (Swing States) • Tend to be the most competitive states in presidential elections • Ex: Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Hampshire
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