The Aberdeen City and Shire Export Survey 2010 Looking for support? Any enquiries? Please contact Suzanne Harwood International Trade Executive Enterprise, Planning & Infrastructure Aberdeen City Council Tel +44 (0)1224 523510 Mobile +44 (0) 7795 047700 Email [email protected] The Energy Sector Cover image courtesy of Wood Group THE ENERGY SECTOR The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 CONTENTS FOREWORD 5 COMMENT FROM TOM FAICHNIE, PARTNER AT CAMPBELL DALLAS 6-7 KEY FINDINGS 8 BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES FOR THE SURVEY 9 CURRENT EXPORTERS ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● Profile of Exporting Companies Value of Exports Key Trends Future Plans and Expectations Export Destinations Key International Markets How Business is Conducted in International Markets Barriers to Exporting Support Needs of Exporters NON-EXPORTERS ● ● ● ● Profile of Non-exporting Respondents Reasons for Non-exporting Future Plans Support Needs of Non-Exporters 9 9-11 12 13 13 15-16 17-18 19 19 19 21 21 22 22 22 WHAT DO THE SURVEY FINDINGS TELL US? 24 APPENDIX: HOW THE DATA WAS GATHERED 25 THE STRATMOS PROJECT 25 Aberdeen Harbour 2 3 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR FOREWORD Thanks are due to the very many firms within the Aberdeen City and Shire energy sector that once again contributed to this biennial survey of export performance in our region. The continued importance of the sector to a prosperous Aberdeen City and Shire is very clear from the findings of this survey and, in particular, it is clear that international trade becomes ever more important to the sector. The report shows an increase in firms’ export business and confidence that exports will be a significant driver of growth for the future. Gordon McIntosh Director of Enterprise, Planning & Infrastructure, Aberdeen City Council All of us, private sector, public sector and industry bodies, have a role to play in working together to ensure that this potential can be realised and we hope that this report (along with its companion document that covers sectors other than energy) will help to inform the debate as to how this can best be done. Aberdeen City Council and Aberdeenshire Council would like to take this opportunity to thank Aberdeen and Grampian Chamber of Commerce for contributing to the process of this survey and encouraging their members to participate. In addition, we would like to express our thanks to StratMoS the Interreg North Sea Region project “Motorways of the Sea” for their support and to ibp Strategy and Research who were commissioned by Aberdeen City Council and Aberdeenshire Council to produce this Export Survey 2010. Belinda Miller Head of Economic Development, Aberdeenshire Council Aberdeen Exhibition & Conference Centre (AECC) 4 5 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR COMMENT FROM TOM FAICHNIE, PARTNER AT CAMPBELL DALLAS The energy industry is vital to the prosperity of the Granite City and surrounding Aberdeenshire. An estimated 135,600 jobs exist in the region through direct and indirect employment from the oil and gas industry, whilst gross domestic product per capita for the city is £29,764 compared to £17,400 for the UK as a whole. With Oil & Gas UK estimating 15-24 billion boe (barrels of oil equivalent) remains recoverable in the North Sea, the leading technology, skills and capabilities for which Aberdeen City and Shire companies have developed a world class reputation, will continue to be in demand in the North Sea and beyond. Internationalisation is vital to secure the future of the energy sector in Aberdeen City and Shire. According to the results of global executive headhunter Maxwell Drummond’s 2011 Annual Energy Survey, demand for oil and gas from emerging economies is expected to dominate the industry over the next five years. This survey also unfortunately reflected a deterioration in the perception of the North Sea as a good place to do business following the Chancellor’s recent unexpected tax increase on North Sea production. Whilst the effects are still to be fully seen, this could highlight a risk to businesses that are over-reliant on a single market. The skills developed for the North Sea industry presents lucrative exporting opportunities. This is supported by around 75% of energy industry survey respondents taking advantage of these with an additional 4% of non-exporting companies making a serious effort to develop their international business. Of the others, it’s likely that they are still indirectly involved: selling to UK businesses often means that products will be used outside the North Sea. In many cases, these sellers can be just as reliant on international markets as ‘real’ exporters. It truly is a global industry. This survey shows many pro-exporting Aberdeen City and Shire respondents were enthusiastic about increasing their activity. Companies also demonstrate a change of focus from the more traditional export routes of the US, Norway and West Africa towards exploiting the huge potential in markets such as Brazil and Australia. This is supported by the Maxwell Drummond research which confirmed the majority of respondents believed that, within ten years, global exploration and production will be focused in Latin America and Australasia. The entrepreneurial and adventurous spirit of the energy industry in the area is equally shown by the rapid increase in prominence of countries such as Iraq, Equatorial Guinea and Vietnam as future target markets which are high on the radar when compared to the 2008 survey. The skills developed in the North Sea have provided our companies with market leading credentials and a knowledge base which will increasingly be in global demand. The industry excels in finding solutions to complex problems, developing existing technology, an ability to quickly design and innovate along with adhering to high quality technical, health and safety and environmental standards. As the era of “easy oil” is over, and significant new discoveries are likely to be in deeper water and “unconventional sources” where technology must continually advance to develop the reserves in a cost effective manner. The Aberdeen City and Shire expertise places local businesses in a strong position to capitalise on this trend. That said, the step into new markets is not without many challenges. Finding the right partner to facilitate internationalisation is a critical step. It’s all about who you know - and the locals have the power. You need to stand out. Showcase your skills and industry experience, understand the differing business culture you find yourselves in and establish personal relationships. Be there, make an effort. It’s essential to build a friendship. Visits may be time consuming, but costs will undoubtedly be outweighed by business benefits. Adhere to corporate etiquette, too. The global opportunities are growing and Aberdeen City and Shire companies are exceptionally well placed to take advantage of these. But the survey shows that these opportunities are likely to be further afield, where cultures are different and there are less developed supply chains. We cannot rely on reputation alone – we must demonstrate our technologies, skills and credentials to these countries to ensure we stay ahead of our global competition. We must also learn how to do business in these countries – it is often different but once understood is not necessarily difficult. Long term planning and identification of new opportunities is vital to ensure Aberdeen City and Shire companies remain at the cutting edge of the global industry. Tom Faichnie Partner at Campbell Dallas Campbell Dallas is an award winning independent chartered accountancy firm and is the Aberdeen member of UHY, an international association of independent accounting and consulting firms. 6 7 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR KEY FINDINGS 55% of Energy sector exporters have increased their export sales over the past two years. 31% have increased the value of their international activity by up to 20%. 24% have increased the value of their international activity by over 20%. The top target markets for these exporters are: Brazil, Australia, Norway, Angola and Egypt. 80% plan to increase their export sales over the next two years, including 28% planning to increase their export sales by over 20%. The most in-demand forms of assistance to these exporters are: finance to attend specific overseas trade exhibitions (52%); participation in overseas trade missions (48%); and finance for marketing and promotion (46%). 30% have international business of more than £5m per annum (compared to 20% in 2008). 64% of Energy sector exporters are headquartered in Aberdeen City and Shire. 14% have international business with an annual value of £20m+ (compared to 8% in 2008). 54% have been exporting for over 10 years. The top markets in which Energy sector exporters are currently active are: Norway, USA. Australia, UAE and Angola. 8 Current Energy sector exporters list their most important markets (in terms of turnover) as: Norway, USA, Angola, Australia and Brazil. BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES FOR THE SURVEY CURRENT EXPORTERS Background Profile of Exporting Companies The Aberdeen City and Shire Export Survey is carried out every two years and is one of the most comprehensive surveys of its kind in Scotland. This year’s survey has been more far reaching that ever, with a total of 795 companies providing their feedback, either through online questionnaires, hard copy questionnaires or telephone interviews. A detailed profile of the 178 exporting companies that provided feedback is set out in Figure 1. Figure 1: MOST IMPORTANT SUB-SECTOR OF ENERGY SECTOR EXPORTERS 1% 1% 4% Oil & Gas has historically been considered as a key driver of the Aberdeen City and Shire economy and international trade in particular. This is reflected in the survey returns, with 236 businesses describing energy as their main business sector. This report sets out the feedback provided by these energy sector firms; it is based on responses from 236 firms in the sector (178 of these were current exporters (75%) and 58 non-exporters (25%)). 94% Energy - sub sector not specified Energy - Oil and gas Energy - Power Energy - Renewables Objectives This year’s survey developed further the questionnaire used in previous years and covered the following issues: ● Propensity to export and the exporting experience of firms ● Value of exports ● Key trends ● Future plans and expectations ● Export destinations ● Methods of servicing international markets ● Barriers to exporting ● Support requirements. Feedback was sought both from exporters and from nonexporters, where relevant. The overall purpose of the survey is to provide information to help shape the services offered by the various public agencies, thus ensuring the international trade needs of the Aberdeen City and Shire business community are met in the future. It is very clear that oil and gas remains the most important part of the Aberdeen City and Shire Energy sector. This is not to say that oil and gas is the ONLY Energy sub-sector in which these firms operate. 18% of exporting firms in the oil and gas sector say they are also involved in the power sub-sector and 3% in the renewables sub-sector. Likewise, companies involved in the Energy sector also participate in other sectors. For example, 34% state that they are also involved in the Engineering sector more generally. From the other side, 30% of the exporting firms that indicated Engineering as their MAIN sector said they were also involved in the Energy sector. 9 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 Figure 2 shows that the majority of exporting firms within the energy sector in Aberdeen City and Shire were limited companies: THE ENERGY SECTOR When did your business begin doing business in international markets? (by location of Head Office base) 60% 60% 50% Figure 2: BUSINESS STATUS Figure 5: DURATION OF INTERNATIONAL TRADING Figure 3: LOCATION OF HEAD OFFICE BASE 49% Overall Aberdeen City Aberdeenshire 49% 50% 4% 1% 8% 57% 54% Somewhere else 40% 42% 40% 30% 23% 32% 27% 29% 30% 21% 20% 10% 7% 0 Aberdeen City Limited company Branch operation of larger business PLC Partnership Although some of the exporting firms are headquartered outside the area, the majority have their Head Office base in either Aberdeen City or Aberdeenshire (and particularly Aberdeen City) as shown in Figure 3. 14% 13% 10% 87% 24% 24% 20% Aberdeenshire Outwith Region As shown in Figure 4, it is usually the case that international activity is managed from an Aberdeen City and Shire base. Figure 4: INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY BASE Is your company’s international activity managed from a base in Aberdeen City and Shire? 100% 82% 80% 60% 40% 0 5% 15% 12% 2% Within the past two years Between two and five years ago Between five and ten years ago Over half (54%) of exporting companies began exporting more than ten years ago and a further 24% began exporting between five and ten years ago; only 7% of exporters in the sector began doing business in international markets within the past two years. The figures show that firms headquartered outwith Aberdeen City and Shire and those headquartered in Aberdeen City are more likely to be mature exporters. There is a significantly higher proportion of “new” exporters amongst firms headquartered in Aberdeenshire (13% of these having first begun doing business in international markets over the past two years). More than 10 years ago Figure 6 profiles the size of exporting businesses as compared to non-exporters: Exporting firms in the energy sector are somewhat more likely to be larger than their non-exporting counterparts. The majority of exporting firms in the energy sector either consider themselves to already be major international players in their sector (43%) or to be making a serious effort to develop international sales (44%); 14% of exporting firms could be described as “passive exporters”. Figure 6: SIZE OF EXPORTERS AND NON-EXPORTERS 18% 20% 50% Exporter 43% 0 Yes No Figure 5 shows how long the energy sector exporters in the survey have been doing business in international markets. Non-exporter 40% 30% 33% 30% 26% 20% 27% 15% 10% 7% 10% 7% 2% 0 10 employees 10 10 to 25 employees 26 to 100 employees 101 to 250 employees More than 250 employees 11 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR Table 1: CURRENT ATTITUDE TO INTERNATIONAL TRADING Which of these statements best describes your business’s current attitude to international trade? Attitude to international trade Business takes international business when it comes to us without putting too much effort into it Business is making a serious effort to develop our business in international markets Business is already a major international player in our sector Value of Exports Overall 14% Aberdeen City 13% 44% Aberdeenshire 27% 49% 43% 54% 38% 20% Figure 8: DEPENDENCY OF FIRMS ON INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS Figure 7 profiles the declared value of international business from Aberdeen City and Shire amongst energy sector firms that responded to the survey. These figures show some differences in the profile of the value of international activity between the 2008 and 2010 surveys; a higher proportion of exporting firms now claim the value of their international business from Aberdeen City and Shire to be greater than £5,000,000 (30% compared to 20% in 2008) and a higher proportion indicate that they have international business with an annual value of greater than £20m (14% compared to 8% in 2008). Figure 8 profiles the dependency of exporting firms on international business activity by looking at the proportion of their turnover accounted for by international business. These figures suggest that exports play a very significant role in the business mix of exporting companies within the energy sector. Approximately a third of respondents claim that over half of their business’s annual turnover comes from international trade. What percentage of your business’s annual turnover comes from international trade? (Aberdeen City and Shire base only) 7% 33% 14% 22% 24% Putting these figures in context, the SCDI’s Survey of International Activity in the Oil and Gas Sector 2008 / 09 suggests a value of £6.56bn for total oil and gas international sales from Scotland. As the figure of £2.9bn quoted above includes only respondents to this survey and is not extrapolated to the population of energy sector firms as a whole, then it is clear that Aberdeen City and Shire firms represent a large proportion of these international sales. % OF TURNOVER FROM INTERNATIONAL TRADE 0 to 5% 6 to 15% 31 to 50% 51 to 100% 16 to 30% Figure 7: VALUE OF INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS What is the approximate value of your current international business per annum? (Aberdeen City and Shire base only) 40% 2008 30% 25% 24% 19% 12% 10% 0 12 12% 10% 6% Up to £250,000 Between £250,000 and £500,000 Between £500,000 and £1m 15% 13% 9% Between £1m and £2m Key trends The 2010 survey asked respondents how the value of their international activity had changed over the previous two years. The results of this for the energy sector are very positive. 2010 20% Significant care needs to be taken in assessing the overall value of international business from the Aberdeen City and Shire area, partly because not all exporters respond to the survey. Comparisons to previous data also need to be read with caution due to the different composition of the sample of responses (the figure quoted in the 2008 survey for export sales from Aberdeen City and Shire for energy and non-energy sectors together was £1.34bn). Having said this, analysis of the data from the 2010 survey shows that the value of export sales from Aberdeen City and Shire, claimed by energy sector companies that responded to the survey, was approximately £2.9bn. Much of this comes from 21 firms that gave data to indicate their level of international business when the figure quoted was above £20,000,000. The total value of international business claimed by these firms alone from Aberdeen City and Shire is £2.3bn and it may well be that some of these very large figures from some firms were not included within previous surveys. Rather than necessarily indicating a major increase in exports it seems likely that export turnover amongst Aberdeen City and Shire businesses is simply higher than previously thought. 8% Between £2m and £5m Over the past 2 years, how has the value of your business’s international activity changed? 40% 35% 31% 30% 24% 20% 10% 4% 6% Reduced by more than 20% Reduced by up to 20% 0 Stayed the same Increased by up to 20% Increased by more than 20% 55% of exporting firms in the sector said that their export sales had increased over the past two years and this includes 24% of firms where exports have increased by more than 20%. These figures compare to only 10% of exporting companies in the energy sector that say export sales have reduced in the past two years. Firms headquartered in Aberdeen City were slightly more likely than those from Aberdeenshire to have seen an increase in the value of their international activity over the previous two years (57% compared to 49%). Future plans and expectations As shown in Figure 10, many current exporters in the energy sector have aspirations to grow their export business over the next two years, sometimes significantly. 80% say they plan to increase export sales over the next two years and this includes 28% who plan to increase export sales by more than 20%. These figures compare to only 3% of current exporters in the energy sector that anticipate a reduction in export sales. 14% 10% Between £5m and £10m Figure 9: CHANGE IN VALUE OF INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY 6% 6% Between £10m and £20m 8% More than £20m 13 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR Export destinations Figure 10: PROJECTED CHANGE IN VALUE OF INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY Over the next 2 years, how do you think that the value of your business’s international activity will change? Table 2 profiles the countries in which firms from the energy sector have been active, comparing results to the 2008 survey and identifying the diverse set of markets in which Aberdeen City and Shire firms operate.¹ 60% 52% 50% Table 2: COUNTRIES IN WHICH COMPANIES ARE CURRENTLY ACTIVE Please place a tick in the box next to each country in the space below if your business is currently active in these markets. 40% 30% 28% Reduced by more than 20% Reduced by up to 20% 0 Stayed the same Increased by up to 20% Increased by more than 20% 64% USA 2 ➜ 46% Australia 3 ➜ 2% ➜ 41% UAE 4 ➜ 37% Angola 5 ➜ 1% 1 36% Netherlands 5 36% Nigeria 7 ➜ 10% Norway 31% Singapore 8 ➜ 17% 2010 % ➜ 20% 2010 Rank Movement 29% Brazil 9 ➜ ➜ Country 28% Azerbaijan 10 28% Norway and the USA have retained their positions as number 1 and 2 in the rank of export destinations amongst Aberdeen City and Shire energy sector Figure 11: COUNTRIES WHICH ARE MOST IMPORTANT % of firms ranking as most important country Which countries are currently your business’s most important markets in terms of turnover? 14 exporters and the UAE has retained its place in 4th. Australia has moved up two places from 5th to 3rd and Angola has moved up a place from 6th to 5th equal. Notable “new entries” are Brazil and Azerbaijan. Netherlands has dropped from 3rd to 5th equal and Singapore from 7th to 8th. 20% Placing these results in context, the SCDI Survey of International Activity in the Oil and Gas Sector 2008 / 09 identified that the biggest markets for direct exports from Scotland were Angola, Norway, the United States, Nigeria and the UAE, all of which are in the current top 7 markets for Aberdeen City and Shire Energy Sector exporters. As well as indicating what markets businesses are currently involved in, the survey also asked respondents to identify which markets were most important to their business in terms of turnover. Figure 11 sets out the top countries identified as the “most important” market (a total of 39 countries were actually identified by at least one energy sector exporter as their most important market). ¹ The figures quoted give a broad indication of the trends in terms of markets in which firms are currently active. It should be noted, however, that the question was asked in a slightly different way in 2008 (where it was a “write-in” question) compared to 2010 (where respondents were asked to choose from a prompted list). The rankings from 2008 are derived from the responses from all companies that said they were involved in the oil and gas sector whereas in 2010 the figures, like others in this report, are based on those firms that specified energy (including oil and gas) as their main sector. 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Brazil France Germany Ghana Libya Qatar UAE 2% 0 Norway USA Angola Australia 15 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR The markets most commonly described as most important for Aberdeen City and Shire exporters within the energy sector are Norway (20% of exporting firms say that this is their most important market) and the USA (12%). An overview of opportunities in some of the key markets identified in the previous section is set out below, based on information provided by UK Trade and Investment. FOCUS ON NORWAY FOCUS ON THE USA The survey findings also allow us to analyse the markets that current exporters plan to target and also to compare these results to the rankings for the 2008 survey.² This year’s Aberdeen City and Shire Export Survey sees Norway again topping the list as the most important market for current exporters. Brazil is now the market that energy sector exporters are most likely to plan to target (previously it was 6th equal). Other markets that feature prominently and which energy exporters are increasingly likely to plan to target include: Australia (previously 3rd), Kazakhstan (previously 6th) and Norway, Angola, Egypt, Nigeria and Azerbaijan (none of which were in the top 10 when this question was put in 2008). What is perhaps surprising with this year’s survey is that Norway is ranked 3rd for future markets, behind Brazil and Australia (having not previously been in the Top 10 in terms of new markets for current energy sector exporters). The most significant amount of oil and gas activity takes place in the Gulf Coast region. Texas and Louisiana are the largest producers of oil and natural gas in the United States, largely offshore. Texas and Louisiana house the major infrastructures necessary for the production, refining and transportation of oil and natural gas. Texas and Alaska each account for large shares of U.S. crude oil production, but even they are surpassed by the Federal offshore areas in the Gulf of Mexico and California, which produce approximately 30 percent of the U.S. total. Table 2: COUNTRIES WHICH EXPORTERS PLAN TO TARGET Please tick in the box next to any countries that your business plans to target over the next two years or so. ➜ ➜ ➜ ➜ ➜ ➜ ➜ 34% 21% 20% 19% Azerbaijan 10 USA 10 ➜ 2010 % ➜ 2010 Rank Movement ➜ ➜ Country 18% Brazil 1 Australia 2 Norway 3 Angola 4 Egypt 4 Kazakhstan 4 UAE 4 Malaysia 8 Nigeria 9 27% 26% 21% 21% 21% 18% ² Again, the figures quoted give a broad indication of the trends in terms of markets that firms plan to target. It should be noted, however, that the question was again asked in a slightly different way in 2008 (where it was a “write-in” question) compared to 2010 (where respondents were asked to choose from a prompted list). The rankings from 2008 are derived from the responses from all companies that said they were involved in the oil and gas sector whereas in 2010 the figures, like others in this report, are based on those firms that specified energy (including oil and gas) as their main sector. 16 Key International Markets The Norwegian economy coped well with the recent global financial crisis and during this period we noted a significant increase in enquiries from companies in the UK which continues,. Interest is not only from exporters directly related the oil and gas and energy sectors, but is across the board, including consumer goods, investment opportunities, R&D, energy, infrastructure and business and financial services. There are a number of interesting new projects with significant business opportunities for existing exporters, but also for companies new to export. They include: ● New acreage being opened up for exploration on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. ● Increased activity in the Barents Sea on the Norwegian and Russian continental shelves with exploration moving northwards into Arctic waters. ● Enhanced oil recovery. ● Future decommissioning projects. ● Upgrade to the national grid. ● Studies are underway for two possible electricity interconnectors which could link the national grids in Norway and UK . Key sub-sectors that present opportunities for Aberdeen City and Shire exporters include: ● Asset / Project Management ● Computer Software and Hardware ● Corrosion / Abrasion Controls ● Engineering Services ● Instrumentation and Controls ● Process Equipment and Services ● Training / Education ● Support services for Oil and Gas operations Subsea Operations Wellbore Services Information supplied by UKTI, USA Companies in Aberdeen City and Shire are wellpositioned to take advantage of these and other opportunities to grow their business in Norway. Information supplied by UKTI, Norway 17 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR FOCUS ON BRAZIL Specialists estimate that the pre-salt offshore area in Brazil may contain more than 56 billion barrels of oil. The new big discoveries in this region could make Brazil the 6th largest oil and gas producer in the world. The Aberdeen City and Shire report findings underpin the interest and opportunities in the Brazilian market. The rapid growth of investment by Petrobras and the exciting results of pre-salt development have firmly put Brazil on the radar screens of many Aberdeen City and Shire companies. The UK Trade and Investment offices in Brazil have experienced a dramatic increase in the number of companies from Aberdeen visiting Brazil over the last five years to identify business and partnerships opportunities with Brazilians. Companies from diverse disciplines such as manufacturing, seismic, chemicals, drilling, freight as well as training and education and the legal sector are amongst those who are now benefiting from expanding operations to the market. The UK companies present in the North Sea have an outstanding reputation in Brazil for innovation and manufacturing excellence in the market and are well placed to benefit from the growing potential in the Brazilian energy industry. Information supplied by UKTI, Brazil How business is conducted in International markets Figure 13: BARRIERS TO DOING BUSINESS IN INTERNATIONAL MARKETS Figure 12 profiles the channels used by exporting firms to service international markets. Direct sales remain the most common method of servicing export business, with 75% of exporting firms within the energy sector doing business in this way. 25% of exporting firms use incountry representatives or distributors, 17% sell through an in-country subsidiary office, 15% use an in-country branch office and 13% sell direct to a UK-based buyer. How does your business do business in these countries? 43% 40% 35% 33% 30% 30% 29% 28% 25% 15% 10% 79% 5% 70% 0% Existing competition 60% 50% 40% 30% 25% 20% 17% 15% 10% 13% Security/ political risk Difficlties getting paid Exchange Price rate competitiveness of goods and services “Difficulties getting paid” is the third most common barrier reported by exporters in the energy sector and a significant proportion of these exporters identified other financial issues as being barriers with examples including exchange rate (cited by 28% of exporters in the energy sector as a barrier), cost of market entry (cited by 25%) and lack of working capital (17%). 0 Direct sales to that country from a UK base In country representative or distributor In country subsidiary office In-country branch office Direct sales to UK based buyer Barriers to exporting Figure 13 summarises the most common barriers that exporters within the energy sector perceive in relation to developing their international business (the base for this question is taken to be only those exporting companies that cited any barriers). The most common barriers to existing businesses developing their international business include existing competition (cited by 43% of exporting companies in the energy sector) and security and/or political risk (cited by 33%). 18 45% 20% Figure 12: HOW BUSINESS IS CONDUCTED IN INTERNATIONAL MARKETS 80% Please place a tick next to those issues that you consider to be barriers for your business. Support needs of exporters Approximately 50% of current exporters in the 2010 survey indicated an interest in at least one element of international assistance from the prompted list that was provided to them. The most common areas of support sought by these existing exporters in the energy sector include finance to attend specific overseas trade exhibitions (mentioned by 52% of those exporters that indicated an interest in any form of support), participation in overseas trade missions (mentioned by 48%) and finance for marketing and promotion (46%). 19 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR Figure 14: FUTURE FORMS OF INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE Please indicate which forms of international assistance would be of interest to your business. NON-EXPORTERS Profile of non-exporting respondents 60% 52% 48% 50% 46% 41% 40% 37% 30% The profile of the non-exporters within the energy sector is broadly similar to that of exporters with a high preponderance of oil and gas businesses, although a significantly higher proportion of these non-exporters did not specify a particular sub-sector of energy as their most important business sector. Figure 15: MOST IMPORTANT SECTOR OF NON-EXPORTERS 20% 3% 3% 14% The majority of non-exporters were also headquartered locally (particularly in Aberdeen City), although a reasonably high proportion of them were businesses headquartered outwith the Aberdeen City and Shire area. Figure 17: LOCATION OF HEAD OFFICE BASE (NON-EXPORTERS) 40% 40% 36% 35% 30% 24% 25% 20% 10% 15% 0 Finance to attend specific overseas trade exhibitions Participating in overseas trade missions Finance for marketing and promotion Participating in overseas trade exhibitions as part of a group 10% Published market information 5% 0% 79% Aberdeen City Energy - sub sector not specified Energy - Oil and gas Energy - Power Energy - Renewables Non-exporters within the sector were very likely to be Limited Companies as shown in Figure 16: Figure 16: BUSINESS STATUS OF NON-EXPORTERS 5% Aberdeenshire Outwith Region Only a small minority of non-exporters have an intention to develop their business internationally over the next few years, as shown in Table 4. Only 4% of nonexporters in the energy sector suggest that they are making a serious effort to develop in international markets and a further 13% adopt the stance of a passive exporter. The remaining 83% of those that expressed a view said that they had no plans to develop their business internationally over the next three years. 4% Table 4: CURRENT ATTITUDE TO INTERNATIONAL TRADING Which of these statements best describes your business’s current attitude to international trade? 11% Business’s current attitude to trade % Business does not plan to trade internationally within the next three years 83% 81% Business takes international business when it comes to us without putting too much effort into it 13% 20 Limited company Branch operation of larger business PLC Partnership Business is making a serious effort to develop our business in international markets 4% 21 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR Reasons for Non-Exporting barriers mentioned by non-exporting firms in the sector included existing competition (cited by 18%), ability to service clients in the overseas market, lack of management resources / time, language issues and legal issues (all mentioned by 15%). As shown in Figure 18 the most common reasons why non-exporters do not trade internationally at present were that they had simply never considered trading internationally or already have enough business in the home market (cited by 30% in each case). Figure 19: BARRIERS TO DOING BUSINESS IN INTERNATIONAL MARKETS Please place a tick next to those issues that you consider to be barriers for your business. 20% 18% 18% 15% 16% 15% 15% 15% 14% Figure 18: REASONS FOR NOT TRADING INTERNATIONALLY AT PRESENT If you do not trade internationally at present, what would you say are the reasons for this? 9% 9% 9% Cost market entry Difficulties in getting paid Exchange rate 8% 34% 35% 30% 6% 4% 30% 3% 2% 25% 0 20% 15% 8% 10% 6% 6% 6% 0% Already have enough businesss in the home market Have never considered trading internationally Would be too expensive to build business in these markets Costs of trading internationally are too high Some differences between Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire businesses were evident in this regard. For example, 50% of non-exporters headquartered in Aberdeen City suggested that already having enough business in the home market was a reason for not trading internationally compared to only 15% of nonexporters from Aberdeenshire. On the other hand, nonexporters from Aberdeenshire were more likely to say that they had never considered trading internationally (38% compared to 22% of non-exporters headquartered in Aberdeen City). When asked about specific barriers, a wide spread of responses from current non-exporters in the energy sector were evident, as shown in Figure 19 (the base for this question is all non-exporting respondents to the survey). Clearly, many non-exporters have never considered exporting and therefore many could not comment on the specific barriers that they faced. The most common Don’t think our products and services could be exported Not sure how to go about trading in international markets Existing competition Ability to service clients in the overseas market Lack of management resources/ time Language issues Legal issues Corrupt practices in overseas countries Price competitiven ess og goods and services Future plans 5% 22 12% 10% 40% 30% 12% 12% Other Only 6 of the 58 non-exporting firms in the survey identified any geographical markets that they would target in the future. The most common markets cited were the USA (6 respondents), Canada (4 respondents), France (4 respondents), Norway (3 respondents) and Australia (3 respondents). Support needs of non-exporters Very few non-exporters indicated the sorts of international assistance that would be of value to them (only 10 of the 58 non-exporting firms did so) suggesting that most non-exporting firms had given little thought to the challenges and opportunities of exporting as a business development option. The most common areas of support looked for by this relatively small number of firms included: assistance to establish a market presence, export documentation assistance, finance to attend specific overseas trade exhibitions and help to prepare for doing international business. If you require any support or have any enquiries regarding the above please contact Suzanne Harwood Aberdeen City Council International Trade Executive on +44 (0)1224 523510 or e-mail [email protected] 23 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 THE ENERGY SECTOR WHAT DO THE SURVEY FINDINGS TELL US? APPENDIX: HOW THE DATA WAS GATHERED The StratMoS Project The Aberdeen City and Shire Export Survey illustrates clearly the international orientation that already exists within the Aberdeen City and Shire energy sector and suggests that the extent of international business may be even greater than was previously thought. The Aberdeen City and Shire Export Survey 2010 was developed further from the 2008 version in order to provide a fuller understanding of the issues under investigation. In some instances, comparisons to previous reports (particularly the most recent report in 2008) have still been possible. Data on potential respondents was gathered from a variety of sources and e-mail and postal invitations were issued as follows: International sales have grown in importance over the past few years and represent an increasing proportion of many firms’ business. Norway and the USA remain the most common markets for exporters but markets such as Australia and Angola are growing in importance and, in particular, Brazil is now the most common new market for businesses in the sector to target. ● 681 postal invitations, followed by a reminder, leading to 62 responses. ● 1,966 e-mail invitations (to complete an online survey form) as well as email distribution through Aberdeen and Grampian Chamber of Commerce, followed by a number of reminders, leading to 205 online responses. ● 552 follow-up telephone interviews. Existing exporters within the energy sector are clearly very optimistic about the opportunity to grow their international business over the next few years. Clearly, there is potential for additional economic benefits to be achieved over the next few years from international business in the energy sector and those involved in supporting international trade need to consider how to best focus the available resources in the future. The survey findings suggest that, for existing exporters, the key challenges are about making the necessary business links within their existing and target markets and support should be targeted accordingly taking account of the changes in current markets and future target markets described herein. There remains a significant proportion of firms in the sector that do not export. In relation to this group, the challenge is twofold. A small number of current non-exporters already see the potential of international business and the focus of support for these businesses should be on assisting their preparedness for international business. However, the survey suggests that many non-exporters have hitherto given little attention to exporting as an element of their business mix, even when their goods and services are exportable. There is a different challenge therefore in encouraging such businesses to at least consider the potential for them to develop their business through international trade. 24 A small number of responses were invalid because they did not provide the necessary data on sector and / or whether the firm was an exporter, which was required for the analysis. A certain number of duplicate responses were also received where, for example, more than one person in a given firm had completed the survey. A total of 795 valid responses remained at this stage (2008 – 533) of whom 411 were exporting currently (2008 – 375) and 384 were non-exporters (2008 – 158). Separate reports have then been produced covering (1) those firms that considered energy as their most important sector and (2) all other businesses. StratMoS (STRATegic demonstration project for Motorways Of the Sea) is an operational project of twenty nine partners under Interreg IVB North Sea Region Programme. This programme focuses on encouraging and supporting transnational cooperation in the seven North Sea Region Programme countries, which include the UK and Norway. The Programme is financed through the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF), its Norwegian equivalent and contributions from all of the countries involved. The StratMoS project’s core aims are to promote and facilitate cargo by maritime based intermodal transport, and improve accessibility within the North Sea Region by supporting the implementation of Motorway of the Sea (MoS) and related transport networks in an integrated logistical chain. The project has continued previous work on the Northern Maritime Corridor idea, which seeks to promote regular shipping services from Continental Europe and the UK sailing up the Norwegian coast to the Barents Sea and North West Russia. The local StratMoS Partners, Aberdeenshire Council and Aberdeen City Council, are promoting the North East of Scotland as the UK’s Northern Gateway to this region and ship calls on this route are increasing. The project is pleased to support this Export Survey as it highlights the importance of the key trade links for Aberdeen City and Shire that need to traverse the Northern Maritime Corridor route in order to get to market. www.stratmos.com has further information on the many and varied activities of the project. Please contact any of the Aberdeenshire or Aberdeen City contacts named there for further information. 25 The Aberdeen City and Shire EXPORT SURVEY 2010 26 THE ENERGY SECTOR 27
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