G20 Summit, September 2016 The South China Sea: can the G20 play a part in conflict resolution? Annemie Zimmerman Department of Politics, University of Sheffield International G20 neighbours anxiously look to resolve economic tensions surrounding territorial disputes in development continues to be key to the South China Sea. This has not only China’s core aims, and a means by which to threatened to disrupt China’s attempts at continue building bridges with its regional the perfect summit, but also resulted in and global partners, the G20 summit continued feelings of anxiety surrounding remains key to the country’s interactions China’s rise. With tensions high before, with the world. With this in mind, the during and after the summit, the relative opportunity to host the summit in the lack of silence on the issue only serves as a People’s Republic of China (PRC) has been reminder that China is still critically viewed eagerly pursued by its government, and globally through its territorial disputes, became an occasion at which to present to more than through the positive impact it the world a China that has the capability to can have upon the world. Hangzhou Media Summit. Centre As – host such a prominent event. In hosting for the first time, the Chinese leadership was Territorial disputes have been present in keen to show the country at its best, the Southeast Asian region for centuries, emphasising economy and green finance, and have held a central role in creating and steadfastly ignoring and quietening tension and strained relations between any political issues less favourable to the neighbours, which range from Japan, and Chinese regime. In downplaying political India, to even North Korea. The South disputes however, China has risked China Sea, which is almost wholly claimed bringing these issues to the fore, as by the PRC, however, is possibly most G20 Summit, September 2016 contested, due to the number of claimants in both countries. Similarly, US-Sino involved, and the rising escalation of relations are constantly under strain, in tensions in the area in recent years. It is spite of progress in other areas; this could generally accepted that China has become not have been more evident than in days increasingly territorial preceding the summit, where both Obama matters since 2012, which has led to a and Abe warned the PRC to show series of clashes in the South China Sea ‘restraint’ in its handling of the South China (and also, with Japan, over the Senkaku- Sea issue, only to be rebuffed and issued Diaoyu islets). Although this has been seen with thinly veiled threats in response. assertive over by some as a natural accompaniment to China’s ‘rise’ in the global order, others US involvement in the South China Sea view this ‘assertion’ as a direct challenge highlights well how central this issue has by dominance, become to international discourse. The call cementing a lack of trust in a region which for 'restraint' not only risks further is only now beginning to move on from the damaging of relations with China, but also trauma and upheaval of the last century. reveals yet again how important Southeast China for regional Asia has become to US foreign policy. As That this assertion is often seen as a the possible challenge for dominance remains therefore, it is not an exaggeration to state one of the region’s greatest challenges. that much of the region feels threatened Although diplomatic crises are frequently through China’s claim to the near entirety linked to lingering WW2 sentiments and of the South China Sea, and that this trauma, the resurgence of territorial continues to hinder meaningful diplomatic disputes is still a huge factor in the creation progress. China’s continued of misunderstandings between states. bilateral talks with its neighbours have not Sino-Japanese Hugo always been productive, although its Dobson’s article on increased rivalry leadership’s regular calls for peaceful between Japan and China), have continued negotiation and continued co-operation to stall in recent years, as nationalism rises offer hope for future progress. relations (see US continues its pivot-to-Asia, call for G20 Summit, September 2016 The South China Sea reaching peak through which to address wider issues. attention in time for the G20 summit is a Recent summits have therefore called on matter that China has attempted to handle participating nations to increase dialogue with care. That the G20 is a process and improve relations on all issues, designed primarily to focus on the global explaining partly the increased confidence economy has been China’s most important of nations in calling on China to address the fall-back. Previous summits have usually South China Sea dispute openly at the played out with minimal focus on political summit. issues, and is one key reason for the G20’s popularity, especially with economically This willingness to engage beyond the developing countries such as China. Its role economy as an environment within which countries presently, as tensions surrounding the can focus on economic expansion, with South little focus on issues such as human rights, significantly in recent months as a result of and territory, have created a forum that a ruling by the Permanent Court of generally looks beyond political disputes. Arbitration on 12 July. This ruling dismissed Yet, in recent years, there has been China’s historical claims to the Sea as increased interest in moving beyond purely meritless, and called on the PRC to scale economic issues. This is most commonly back its activities in disputed areas. The seen through the emergence of green Filipino claim was taken to The Hague in finance, as climate change is increasingly the understanding that bilateral talks had seen as a subject that affects not only the yielded few results, and that Chinese economy, but the entire future trajectory activity in the area violated the UNCLOS of the world. However, other matters such (United Nations Conventions on the Laws as territory are increasingly brought into of the Seas) agreements in relation to the G20 frame; many leaders see that the ‘exclusive economic zones and territorial G20, as the largest gathering of dominant seas’. As both parties have signed UNCLOS, world economies, should also be a zone the tribunal looked merely to whether or not is particularly China China had Sea have moved important increased beyond its G20 Summit, September 2016 jurisdiction. In restricting the access of years. Therefore, China’s response to the Filipino around ruling was, as expected, to refuse to accept Scarborough Shoal, building small islands, its legitimacy, and state that the ruling is and destroying natural features of the not accepted under international law. fishermen to areas seas, China was ruled to have acted illegally, and would have to ease up on It is for these reasons that the G20 made aggressive tactics in the sea. such a prominent stage for discourse on the South China Sea, regardless of whether Xinhua News followed the ruling with the or not China intended to engage. China’s claim that the panel’s decision was traditional reliance on economic channels 'naturally null and void', and lacking of dialogue have made it vulnerable to legitimacy. This can be linked largely to accusations that it is unable to act China’s belief that the Philippines acted responsibly at a global level, and can without Chinese consent in seeking out a therefore not be relied upon to discuss third party to resolve the dispute. For political China, bilateral talks are still relied upon aggressive or deflective actions. The G20 most when it comes to international Leaders’ Communiqué, released at the end disagreements. an of the summit, came closest to broaching illegitimate court and outcome by China’s the subject, and refers to how ‘challenges leadership, the global community and originating from international media have keenly followed developments’, and recent developments, some of which complicate the global outcome’, without appear to show continued island creation ever mentioning the South China Sea. Side- in opposition to the court’s decision. Such line meetings at the summit involved a ruling is hugely detrimental to China’s various leaders giving advice to China on claims of sovereignty over those areas, and how best to handle the situation, but made undermines nationalistic feeling that the little headway in genuinely engaging on Chinese Communist Party has diligently the topic. It can be seen as commendable, instilled in the Chinese public over the in some form, that the PRC has not allowed Dismissed as issues without engaging in geopolitical ‘conflicts also G20 Summit, September 2016 a relatively small issue to cloud an others to look beyond issues such as otherwise progressive summit, and it must territory, as China continues to make it be made clear that to constantly focus on such a large part of their foreign policy. the South China Sea is to bring public Although China downplays attention paid attention back towards an issue that is far to the South China Sea, its unwillingness to too complex to solve over the course of the discuss territory except through physical G20 meetings. In fact, by stating in the action and thinly veiled threats, continue communiqué that the G20 countries hope to serve as a source of anxiety to other to move beyond disagreement, and rely countries in the vicinity. Every positive instead on progress, it can be argued that interaction with China comes back to the China has chosen wisely to move beyond South China Sea, making genuine progress regional disputes to wider global interests. – diplomatic or not – very difficult to achieve. Nevertheless, there is clearly an issue when a country relies upon deflection and This has resulted in a world as caught up threats to work through an issue with with the South China Sea as China, and it is which it is uncomfortable. In drawing on clear that global arenas such as the G20 are ‘inclusivity’ and global development as aptly suited to address some of these important aspects of this year’s G20, China associated problems. If the G20 is to retain must learn to shake off its reputation as an its status as an effective alternative to the actor which only seeks self-promotion, for G7, it must learn to consistently work on the greater cause of global collaboration. improving relations between countries China can be seen as caught in a self- beyond the economic fields of discourse. created trap. In acting defensively on For China, the summit was an opportunity difficult matters such as territory, others to work with other nations to cast itself as expect China to continue promotion of its a ‘responsible actor’ at the global level. By own interests ahead of collaborative navigating the summit with minimal efforts, and to remain fixed upon certain aggression, the PRC is showing increased diplomatic styles. This makes it difficult for signs of socialisation, although it still has G20 Summit, September 2016 some way to go. China must now work with improved relations and collaboration its fellow G20 members, and other South between all members and non-members. China Sea claimant states, to peacefully create a positive dialogue to find a resolution to the dispute. China’s calls on the G20 to work together towards joint Annemie Zimmermann is a Researcher in progress are key in shaping the course of the School of East Asian Studies and future geopolitics, and it must be hoped Department of Politics, University of that future summits will continue to move, Sheffield. with care, towards more meaningful resolution of difficulties that prevent
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