WHITE PAPER China’s Meridian Medical Networks Uses Trusted Analytics Platform (TAP) to Build Big Data-Driven Hypertension Risk Model China faces sharply rising healthcare costs due to a number of factors, including: • An aging population • Skyrocketing growth of chronic disease • A severe shortage of qualified medical practitioners • A strained primary care system • Overcrowded hospitals for its 1.3 billion people Executive Summary As per capita medical costs grow at 14 to 18 percent1, outpacing expansion of gross domestic product (GDP), China must reshape its healthcare infrastructure and delivery approaches. The Chinese government is addressing these needs through a five-year plan (2016 to 2020), which promotes a proactive care model. The plan calls for improvements to a range of services including routine health screening, preventive care, chronic-disease management, rehabilitation and infectious disease control. Health checkup centers (HCCs), which began as a healthcare segment a decade ago in China, represent one key trend to help fill the gaps. The main business for an HCC (which can be a department of an existing hospital or an independent entity) is to provide routine health examinations that are paid for by employers as part of employee benefits. China already has 10,000 HCCs, and the number grows at an annual rate of 27 percent. Up until now, HCCs have focused on expanding their user base and cutting costs to grow revenues. But that’s changing, as leading HCCs begin increasing the quality and personalization of services for health checkups and follow-up health management. Meridian Medical Network Corp. (Meridian) is an innovative healthcare software and solution developer that serves the HCC market by building a smart health system, including backend big data technologies and frontend mobile applications and monitoring systems. Meridian’s core technology consists of an integrated architecture that links big data analytics and clinical pathways within a healthcare Internet of Things (IoT) system. Meridian’s big data analysis strategy for healthcare incorporates data from both the hospital and consumer. Hospital-generated data include health checkup data, clinical medical records and survey information, and serve as the general “baseline” for providing healthcare services for consumers with certain health conditions. Consumer-generated data include vital signs data streamed continuously from healthcare IoT devices, plus dynamic questionnaire answers from consumers gathered through applications provided by Meridian, which together serve as the personal “calibration” for determining healthcare services for a specific consumer. Meridian’s big data analysis takes into consideration both general “baseline” and personal “calibration” data to provide a hierarchy of health China’s Meridian Medical Networks Uses Trusted Analytics Platform (TAP) to Build Big Data-Driven Hypertension Risk Model Solution Highlights • TAP helped Meridian scale beyond the capacity of existing analytics tools, with the ability to perform analysis on 20 million individual checkup records, with nearly 700 indices and annotations • TAP streamlined cleanup and preparation of data from two years of checkup results from nearly 310,000 patients • The project successfully integrated clinical data with self-reported status information (calorie intake, exercise, etc.) plus selfmeasured real-time healthcare data from healthcare monitors (blood pressure and blood sugar meters, digital weight scales, fitness trackers, etc.) • Meridian tested three different risk models using TAP’s Analytics Tool Kit (ATK) to determine which model performed best in predicting hypertension • Meridian’s scalable model built on TAP provides an important infrastructure for future patient engagement efforts by HCC clients information that enables the best assessment and intervention plan for consumers. With a focus on improving patient health, Meridian recently collaborated with Intel Corporation to build a big data-driven model to identify patients at highest risk of hypertension, an asymptomatic condition that affects 330 million people in China. Meridian and Intel chose the open source Trusted Analytics Platform (TAP) to build their analytic models and service applications because of its ability to handle large data sets and streamline the analytics workflow. Business Drivers Hypertension increases the odds of heart attack, stroke and kidney failure. Unless mechanisms for early detection are put into place at scale, hypertension will continue to grow as a public health and economic concern. Meridian turned to TAP to help handle the volume and complexity of its data for predicting which patients are at highest risk of having or developing this condition that would otherwise progress undetected. Figure 1. The Anatomy of TAP 2 “By employing TAP’s big data analytics platform, Meridian is able to integrate massive data sets from a wide variety of sources, and then call a rich set of standard machine-learning algorithms to analyze the data and develop models that capture insights into predictors of hypertension,” said Dr. John Yu, founder and CEO at Meridian Medical Network Corp. “TAP’s platform greatly simplifies workflows and reduces development time when creating applications powered by big data analytics, helping us to bring more targeted assessments and interventions to the public faster, and with less cost.” Meridian collects healthcare data for 20 million customers from various partners, including physical examination results with nearly 700 indexes and annotations. Its business model is B2B2C (Business-to-Businessto-Consumer), through which Meridian partners with healthcare service providers to provide their customers with new services. To engage more consumers more directly with their own healthcare, and deliver an appropriate personal intervention plan to the right person at the right China’s Meridian Medical Networks Uses Trusted Analytics Platform (TAP) to Build Big Data-Driven Hypertension Risk Model Trusted Analytics Platform™ TAP is open source software optimized for performance and security that accelerates the creation of cloud-native applications driven by big data analytics. TAP makes it easier for application developers and data scientists — at enterprises, cloud service providers, and system integrators — to collaborate by providing a shared, flexible environment for advanced analytics in public and private clouds. Data scientists get extensible tools, scalable machine learning algorithms and powerful engines to train and deploy predictive models. Application developers get consistent APIs, services and runtimes to help integrate these models into applications quickly. System operators get an integrated stack that they can easily provision in a cloud infrastructure. TAP helps lower development costs and reduces time to deploy analytics applications for organizations that want to create custom solutions using big data analytics. Tested by data scientists in various industries, TAP uniquely provides a complete pipeline for graph analysis as well as scalable algorithms and in-memory engines for machine learning. TAP delivers open source software as an integrated platform with hardware-enhanced performance and security in every layer. 3 time, Meridian wants to harness the full power of big data analytics to build up Meridian’s innovative, proprietary Health Assessment Incident Graph (HAIG). The HAIG will include all popular anomaly indices or risk factors that are interconnected in a directed, weighted graph to specify the correlation between the risk factors. When applying the HAIG to a specific customer and incorporating the customer-generated healthcare data, it will produce a dynamically evolving “blueprint” representing the customer’s overall health conditions over time, from which a personalized health assessment and related intervention plan can be made. As the data volume continues to rise, with more and more HCCs joining the partnership, Meridian will be able to analyze the data to improve health assessment models through big data analytics. The company also intends to quickly develop and deploy various health management applications based on these models. The Process The model-generating process includes two major parts: Data Preparation and Model Development. Data Preparation To produce meaningful insights that provide a more personal and valuable pre- and post-checkup service, Meridian needed to aggregate and process the data before analysis. Although it’s possible to process data manually, it is extremely timeconsuming and difficult to pull all data together in a common format, especially when the data volume is large. Different HCCs may use proprietary IT systems and different medical equipment and methods. So test results collected on the same checkup item may use a different measurement unit with a different reference range. For example, the unit for TG (triglyceride) could be mmol/L or mg/dL. Figure 2. Meridian Healthcare IoT System Architecture Meridian pooled longitudinal data of nearly 310,000 patients, which included China’s Meridian Medical Networks Uses Trusted Analytics Platform (TAP) to Build Big Data-Driven Hypertension Risk Model two years of checkup results. The raw data came from different checkup centers, ingested into TAP in the CSV format. Cleaning and qualifying this amount of data to achieve consistency is typically a great deal of work. However, TAP includes a number of built-in tools for data cleaning and transformation, such as: • String normalization or splitting a specific string into several variables. • Removing or inputting specific values to missing records. • Identifying abnormal data or errors, removing them or inputting specific values to replace them. • Transforming a continuous variable to a classified variable. These data preparation tools are integrated into TAP, enabling the data preparation and cleaning process – which usually involves the collaboration of a data scientist, a clinician, and a technical engineer – to be completed much more quickly, easily and efficiently (with typical time savings from weeks to days). Three models have been trained for the hypertension risk prediction project: Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). For each model, subjects were divided into two cohorts: the derivation cohort (a randomly chosen 80 percent subset of the study population) and the validation cohort (the remaining 20 percent of the study population). Meridian will be able to run multiple models to determine which is most accurate, based on confirmation with clinical follow-up tests. Those patients who registered for the post-checkup hypertension management service will be given monitoring devices such as a blood pressure meter, a fitness band, a digital scale, etc. The dynamic data collected from the monitoring devices will be analyzed and a list of variables (for example, the actual daily amount of exercise vs. the planned daily amount Model Development After the data was qualified, Meridian used TAP to begin analysis modeling. Meridian’s data scientists and clinicians planned to develop and test various data models, each designed to predict a person’s risk of becoming hypertensive within three years. Traditional data analysis tools, such as SAS or IBM SPSS, presented several barriers to such modeling, including: • Inability to process checkup data from more than 100,000 patients, due to memory and computational limitations. • Inability to quickly deploy predictive models into direct-toconsumer applications. • Expensive upgrades to overcome the above limitations. Figure 3. Model Development With TAP 4 of exercise, etc.) will be derived to reflect the effectiveness of the health intervention plan to fine-tune the models. TAP can develop further predictive modeling algorithms to foresee how different personal behaviors influence health risk change. As a result, an intelligent dynamic assignment of health interventions can be created for a more targeted health management experience. Applying the Hypertension Risk Model to the Mobile Health Application Meridian data scientists and clinicians are still improving the trained models by incorporating more data and testing different prediction algorithms. At the same time, the development team will apply the generated hypertension risk model to update the mobile health management application called “Smart Health Assistant.” China’s Meridian Medical Networks Uses Trusted Analytics Platform (TAP) to Build Big Data-Driven Hypertension Risk Model The original Smart Health Assistant application was designed to allow consumers to keep track of daily health status data such as food and liquids intake, exercise, blood sugar level, blood pressure, and more, and to provide some suggestions for better health management. To improve the user engagement level, Meridian intends to add new user experience designs based on hypertension risk models, with graphic assessment presentations that quantitatively demonstrate the risk level of generating hypertension. The Smart Health Assistant application will also identify contributing risk factors, and show the dynamic evolution of the hypertension risk level over time as the intervention of risk factors progresses. Once the hypertension risk model has been fully trained and evaluated, it can easily be deployed into the Meridian’s production network via TAP’s scoring engine, which is automatically installed as part of the TAP ATK repositories. As the Smart Health Assistant application takes action managing consumers’ health, consumer-generated data is continuously captured and fed back into the TAP platform to further calibrate the hypertension risk model for each individual consumer, to eventually develop a dynamically 1 evolving “personal model” for every consumer—a new facilitator for personalized medicine. In the future, Meridian is planning to explore other disease risk prediction models — such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer— based on the TAP platform so that its health management services can expand to a wider scope of consumers with an overall optimization of access, cost and quality. Summary To address rising medical costs and other issues in China, healthcare systems are shifting from treatmentand prescription-centric models to a proactive patient-centric model that is based on adoption and promotion of healthy behaviors and health management. Big data analytics technologies make this new paradigm possible by helping enterprises better understand patient needs and provide tools to empower people to more actively participate in their own health. By employing smart health solutions, such as those in development by Meridian, Chinese HCCs can extend services both before and after regular health checkups. Big data analytics 5 can help HCCs provide more targeted healthcare; inform payers, such as employers, about the value of their healthcare programs; and encourage patients to engage in preventive behaviors to benefit their personal health outcomes. Using TAP, data scientists and clinicians are able to quickly analyze historical medical data to provide insights into personal managed care delivery, building a risk prediction model that HCCs can use to identify those individuals at risk of developing specific health conditions, and target those who are most likely to benefit from personalized interventions. TAP provides data preparation tools, an analytics modeling environment, algorithm library, and an analytics pipeline, all integrated into a data science platform that greatly simplifies workflows and reduces development time when creating applications powered by big data analytics. To learn more about the Trusted Analytics Platform, visit: www.trustedanalytics.org. Data from The Innovation Center for Social Risk Governance in Health, Fudan University, http://srghealth.fudan.edu.cn Intel technologies’ features and benefits depend on system configuration and may require enabled hardware, software or service activation. Performance varies depending on system configution No computer system can be absolutely secure. Check with your ystem manufacturer or retailer or learn more at www.intel.com. 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