Oikos 124: 206–215, 2015 doi: 10.1111/oik.01018 © 2014 The Authors. Oikos © 2014 Nordic Society Oikos Subject Editor: Paulo Guimaraes Jr. Editor-in-Chief: Dries Bonte. Accepted 8 June 2014 Ecological filtering or random extinction? Beta-diversity patterns and the importance of niche-based and neutral processes following habitat loss Thomas Püttker, Adriana de Arruda Bueno, Paulo I. Prado and Renata Pardini T. Püttker ([email protected]) and R. Pardini, Depto de Zoologia, Inst. de Biociências, Univ. de São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 101, trav. 14, CEP 05508-090, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. – A. de Arruda Bueno, Fundação Florestal – Planos de Manejo, Rua do Horto 931, CEP 02377-000, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. – P. I. Prado, LAGE, Depto de Ecologia, Inst. de Biociências, Univ. de São Paulo, Rua do Matão, 101, trav. 14, CEP 05508-090, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. Although both niche-based and neutral processes are involved in community assembly, most models on the effects of habitat loss are stochastic, assuming neutral communities mainly affected by ecological drift and random extinction. Given that habitat loss is considered the most important driver of the current biodiversity crisis, unraveling the processes underlying the effects of habitat loss is critical from both a theoretical and an applied perspective. Here we unveil the importance of niche-based and neutral processes to species extinction and community assembly across a gradient of habitat loss, challenging the predictions of neutral models. We draw on a large dataset containing the distribution of 3653 individuals of 42 species, representing 35% of the small mammal species of the Atlantic Forest hotspot, obtained in 68 sites across three continuously-forested landscapes and three adjacent 10 000-ha fragmented landscapes differing in the amount of remaining forest (50%, 30% and 10%). By applying a null-model approach, we investigated β-diversity patterns by detecting deviations of observed community similarity from the similarity between randomly assembled communities. Species extinction following habitat loss was decidedly non-random, in contrast to the notion that fragmented communities are mainly driven by ecological drift. Instead, habitat loss led to a strong biotic homogenization. Moreover, species composition changed abruptly at the same level of landscape-scale habitat loss that has already been associated with a drastic decline in species richness. Habitat loss, as other anthropogenic disturbances, can thus be seen as a strong ecological filter that increases (rather than decreases) the importance of deterministic processes in community assembly. As such, critical advances for the development of conservation science lie on the incorporation of the relevant niche traits associated with extinction proneness into models of habitat loss. The results also underscore the fundamental importance of pro-active measures to prevent human-modified landscapes surpassing critical ecological thresholds. Understanding the processes underlying community assembly has been a long-lasting challenge in community ecology (Vellend 2010). While niche-based, deterministic processes, such as environmental filtering and species interactions, have traditionally been seen as of foremost importance, consensus among ecologists now exists on the non-negligible role of neutral and stochastic processes, such as random extinctions and ecological drift, on community assembly (Adler et al. 2007, Vellend 2010, Chase and Myers 2011). However, the strength of the influence of these two classes of processes is likely to vary in space and time depending on abiotic conditions as well as on taxonomic group (Vergnon et al. 2009, Vellend 2010). Among others (e.g. predation, Chase et al. 2009; size of the species pool, Fukami 2004; interaction between species, Orrock and Watling 2010), one of the drivers of the importance of stochastic (neutral) and deterministic (niche-based) processes to community assembly is disturbance (Chase 2003, 2007, Trexler et al. 2005). Natural disturbance regimes 206 have been shown to increase the importance of deterministic processes by acting as environmental filters that lead to nonrandom, reduced-membership communities (Wright et al. 1998, Chase 2003, 2007). Likewise, anthropogenic disturbances have been shown to increase similarity in community composition among sites leading to biotic homogenization (Baeten et al. 2012, Karp et al. 2012, Tabarelli et al. 2012). However, empirical investigations of the effects of anthropogenic disturbance on the importance of deterministic and stochastic processes to community assembly are rare, particularly at relevant spatial scales (but see Karp et al. 2012). At the landscape scale, disturbance is typically represented by habitat loss and fragmentation, which alters not only the quantity and quality of available habitat but also the rate of dispersal among habitat patches (Fischer and Lindenmayer 2007). Notably, most frameworks used to model the effects of habitat loss are stochastic theories that assume ecological equivalence among species, and neutral communities that are mainly affected by ecological drift and random extinction. The theory of island biogeography (MacArthur and Wilson 1967), for instance, is a neutral model assuming random species extinction with equal probability across species. Likewise, species–area relationships (SAR) and species–abundance-distributions (SAD) deduced from models of community dynamics have been criticized not to take into consideration species identity (Mac Nally 2007, Alonso et al. 2008, Banks-Leite et al. 2012), and to assume that species extinction follows the sequence of before-fragmentation abundance ranks. These theories predict that the reduction and isolation of populations in remaining habitat patches would increase the probability of random extinctions and the importance of ecological drift (i.e. independent, random changes in species relative abundance), leading to an increased dissimilarity (β-diversity) between communities in different patches. This dissimilarity is expected to increase with time since isolation, the velocity depending on the size of the remaining populations (the smaller the populations the faster the increase in dissimilarity, Hubbell 2001). It is well known though that species occurrence and/or abundance after habitat loss are not necessarily positively related to abundance before habitat loss (Mac Nally 2007, Banks-Leite et al. 2012), indicating that habitat loss can filter species according to their traits, and thus extinctions may have a non-random, deterministic component. Given that habitat loss is considered the most important driver of the current increased rates of extinction (Pereira et al. 2010), unraveling the processes underlying species extinction and community assembly following habitat loss has profound implications from theoretical and practical standpoints (e.g. conservation and restoration practices, Legendre et al. 2005). While the detailed study of processes underlying community assembly requires datasets with temporal replication (Adler et al. 2007), which are difficult to obtain at large or relevant spatial scales, the examination of β-diversity patterns across space offers a useful alternative to gain insight on the importance of stochastic (neutral) and deterministic (niche-based) processes. A common practice is the partitioning of the variance in community composition to distinguish between underlying spatial autocorrelation (due to dispersal limitation) and environmental control (Legendre et al. 2005, Smith and Lundholm 2010). More recently, however, Chase and colleagues (Chase et al. 2011, Chase and Myers 2011) called attention to the utility of null-models for disentangling the contribution of these two classes of processes by comparing the observed similarity in community composition to that expected assuming random assembly. The approach, originally described by Raup and Crick (1979; hereafter called βRC) also corrects for differences in species richness between localities, which is known to influence β-diversity measures (Jost 2007, Kraft et al. 2011). Therefore, the βRC-approach is especially indicated when changes in β-diversity are concomitant with differences in α- and/or γ-diversity, as in the case of habitat loss. Further, due to the independence of βRC from species richness, it measures β-diversity associated exclusively with species turnover, while controlling for differences in nestedness (Baeten et al. 2012). Therefore, βRC is also considered a powerful metric for detecting biotic homogenization (Vellend et al. 2007, Lôbo et al. 2011, Baeten et al. 2012). Here we focus on disentangling the contribution of deterministic (niche-based) and stochastic (neutral) processes to community assembly following habitat loss. We draw on a dataset from a species-rich, tropical community, including up to 35% of all small mammal species of the Atlantic Forest hotspot. Data collection was designed to address habitat loss at the landscape scale by sampling 68 forest sites across three continuously-forested landscapes and three adjacent 10 000-ha fragmented landscapes varying in the amount of remaining forest (50%, 30% and 10% forest cover). After exploring the effects of habitat loss on species richness (α- and γ-diversity) with this dataset (Pardini et al. 2010), we here used a null-model approach to investigate patterns of within- and between-landscape β-diversity, aiming at addressing the predictions of neutral models about the effects of habitat loss. We focus on three novel inter-related questions: 1) does the importance of stochastic processes increase with habitat loss as predicted by neutral models, leading to an increase in β-diversity within landscapes? Or alternatively 2) does habitat loss lead to a decrease in β-diversity within landscapes and thus to a biotic homogenization? Finally 3) do changes in species composition (βdiversity between landscapes) increase abruptly at high levels of habitat loss, accompanying the drastic decline in species richness observed below 30% of habitat (Pardini et al. 2010, Hanski 2011)? Material and methods Study area and sites The study comprise three regions (municipalities of Tapiraí/ Piedade, Cotia/ Ibiúna and Ribeirão Grande/ Capão Bonito) in the Atlantic Plateau of São Paulo, Brazil, which encompasses one of the largest tracts of Atlantic Forest (Ribeiro et al. 2009), and represents one of the most diverse areas of the biome (Costa et al. 2000). Within each of the three regions, we sampled one 10 000-ha fragmented landscape and one adjacent continuously-forested landscape, adding up to six landscapes (Fig. 1). In total, we sampled 68 sites: 50 in forest fragments across the three fragmented landscapes, and 18 in continuously-forested landscapes (six per region; Fig. 1). Sampled sites were all in similar stages of regeneration, and presented similar variation in forest structure, fragment area and distance from the edge across the three fragmented landscapes (for detailed description of study sites and study site selection see Pardini et al. 2010). All three continuously-forested landscapes are part of one of the largest continuous remnants of Atlantic forest, while past anthropogenic deforestation led to variation in the proportion of remaining forest across the three fragmented landscapes (11% in Ribeirão Grande/Capão Bonito, 31% in Cotia/Ibiúna, and 49% in Tapiraí/Piedade; hereafter called 10, 30 and 50% forest cover landscapes; Fig. 1). The decrease in forest cover across fragmented landscapes resulted in expected differences in landscape variables closely tied to habitat loss, such as the decrease in the size of the largest patch, in the number and mean size of patches, and in the proximity among patches, and the increase in mean distance to nearest patch (Supplementary material Appendix 1 207 Figure 1. Distribution of forest remnants in three continuously-forested and three adjacent fragmented landscapes. All landscapes are located at the Atlantic Plateau of São Paulo, Brazil, with continuously-forested landscapes being part of one of the largest continuous remnants of Atlantic forest. (a) Landscapes in Ribeirão Grande/Capão Bonito (fragmented landscape with 10% forest cover). (b) Landscapes in Cotia/Ibiúna (fragmented landscape with 30% forest cover). (c) Landscapes in Tapiraí/Piedade (fragmented landscape with 50% forest cover). Numbers above landscapes are mean monthly temperatures (left) and mean annual precipitation (right) between municipalities of each region. Forest is shown in gray, and the 68 sampling sites as dots. Table A1). In contrast landscape metrics associated to fragmentation per se (sensu Fahrig 2003) did not vary between the three fragmented landscapes (clumpiness index; Supplementary material Appendix 1 Table A1). Despite the differences in forest cover, human use resulted in similar land-use patterns in the three fragmented landscapes, with converted areas dominated by pastures and annual crops across all of them (Pardini et al. 2010). Moreover, although the trajectory of deforestation and regeneration in most tropical landscapes is highly dynamic, and total forest cover varied over time in the three studied fragmented landscapes, in all of them total forest cover was already similar to the observed today in 1962, the date of the oldest available forest cover map (Lira et al. 2012). While forest cover was equal (11%) or lower (43%) to the current value in the 10 and 50% forest cover landscape, only in the 30% forest cover landscape it was slightly higher (44%). This indicates that populations of small mammals in our fragmented landscapes have experienced similar level of forest loss as observed today for several decades (at least 50 years, in most cases). Given the considerably short lifespan (∼1 year) of small mammals, this should represent sufficient time for dissimilarity between communities caused by ecological drift to be detected, if this process is indeed important to community assembly. Indeed, Lira et al. (2012) found no evidence for extinction debt in small mammals in any of the three landscapes, with current species richness being best explained by current landscape structure (instead of past landscape structure) in all of them, suggesting that small mammal population dynamics has already responded to forest cover changes. 208 Although the three regions are located relatively close together in the Atlantic Plateau (parallel to the coastline within a distance of 150 km; Fig. 1), there is some variation in climate. Mean annual rainfall varies from 1257.6 mm in Ribeirão Grande/Capão Bonito to 1581.2 mm in Tapiraí/ Piedade, and mean monthly temperature between 19.2°C in in Tapiraí/ Piedade and 21.1°C in Ribeirão Grande/Capão Bonito (Fig. 1). However, altitude is similar, varying between 800 and 1000 m in all regions, and forest type is the same (‘Lower Montane Atlantic Rain Forest’, Oliveira-Filho and Fontes 2000). Despite these abiotic differences, the three regions belong to the same biogeographic southeast component of the Atlantic Forest biome regarding the small mammal fauna (Costa 2003). Indeed, although the geographical range of most Atlantic forest small mammal species is not yet precisely determined, all captured species are expected to occur along the entire Atlantic Plateau of São Paulo based on the records available in the literature (Rossi 2011), thereby including the three study regions. Data collection and small mammal communities At each of the study sites, small mammals were captured following a standardized capture protocol consisting of a 100-m long transect with 11 60-l pitfall traps every 10 m connected by a 50-cm high drift fence. Four 8-day trapping sessions, two per summer in two consecutive summers, were carried out per site, totaling in 23 936 trap-nights across the six landscapes. Traps were checked each morning and captured animals were marked with numbered ear tags at first capture and released. A detailed description of the capture protocol can be found in Pardini et al. (2010). Sampling coverage (percentage of observed richness relative to the richness estimated by ACE) varied between 0.42 and 1 among the 68 sites, and mean sampling coverage did not differ significantly between landscapes (ANOVA F ⫽ 0.72, p ⫽ 0.61; Supplementary material Appendix 1 Fig. A1; results were similar considering sampling coverage based on richness estimated by Chao1). Species identification was based on a reference collection of specimens obtained at the same sites in a pilot study, which were determined by experienced taxonomists. However, species distinction in the field by external morphological traits was not possible for three pairs of congeners (Juliomys pictipes and J. ossitenuis, Monodelphis scalops and M. americana, and Phyllomys nigrispinus and P. sulinus), which were therefore considered in conjunction in the analyses. Total sampling effort resulted in 42 species of rodents and marsupials (39 morphotypes identifiable in the field), representing 35% of the known small mammal species of the entire Atlantic Forest biome (Paglia et al. 2012). Previous analysis of α- and γ-diversity patterns have shown a non-linear, drastic decrease in species richness across landscapes with decreasing proportion of remaining forest (Pardini et al. 2010). Estimation of b-diversity Occurrence-data We calculated β-diversity using a null-model approach and a modified Raup–Crick metric following Raup and Crick (1979) and Chase et al. (2011). The Raup–Crick metric (βRC) between two sites is calculated by repeated random sampling (using species frequencies as weights) of the observed number of species at each site from the regional species pool, followed by the comparison of the pairwise similarity (i.e. number of shared species) between these random samples to the observed similarity between sites. The βRC metric is the proportion of random samples that results in equal or higher number of shared species compared to the observed. Thus, βRC measures the deviation from the null expectation that community assembly is stochastic (i.e. mainly influenced by random extinction and ecological drift; Raup and Crick 1979, Chase et al. 2011), allowing to evaluate the role of deterministic (niche-based) and stochastic (neutral) processes in community assembly. A scaling proposed by Chase et al. (2011) leads to a metric ranging from –1 to 1, indicating whether two communities are more similar than (approaching –1), less similar than (approaching 1) or as similar as (close to 0) expected by chance. Hence, a mean value of βRC among a given group of sites that is different from 0 (either positive or negative) indicates a deterministic process in community assembly, while a mean value close to zero indicate a community assembly that is mainly stochastic in relation to the regional species pool. For a detailed description of the protocol see Chase et al. (2011). We considered each landscape as one sampling unit. To evaluate if the importance of stochastic processes increases with habitat loss as predicted by neutral models, leading to an increase in β-diversity within landscapes (question 1), we compared the mean βRC between sites ‘within’ landscapes across the gradient of habitat loss. To investigate if changes in species composition (between-landscape β-diversity) increase abruptly at high levels of habitat loss (question 3), we compared the mean βRC between sites of ‘different’ landscapes. More specifically, we compared the mean βRC between sites in each landscape and sites in the continuouslyforested landscapes. Following Chase et al. (2011), the regional species pool was defined as all species that are potentially able to colonize the study sites. As a recent compilation of the ecological and taxonomic literature on the small mammal fauna of the Atlantic Plateau of São Paulo (Rossi 2011) indicated that the geographical distribution of all captured species includes the entire study system (i.e. encompassing all three study regions), we defined the species pool as the set of all captured species. However, to test the sensitivity of our results to changes in the definition of the regional species pool, we repeated the analyses separately for each of the three regions, thereby relying on a restricted and more conservative species pool, which included only the species captured at each of the three study regions (Supplementary material Appendix 2). The original method uses the total number of occupied sites as a proxy of the frequency of species in the theoretical species pool, from which the random samples are drawn (i.e. use species frequencies as sampling weights; Chase et al. 2011). In our study, however, the number of surveyed sites was unequal among landscapes. Consequently, a species recorded in many sites in a landscape where fewer sites were surveyed could be considered as frequent in the species pool as a species recorded at the same number of sites but in a landscape where more sites were surveyed. We therefore corrected the frequencies of species in the species pool following Vellend et al. (2007), first standardizing the observed number of occupied sites within landscapes, dividing it by the total number of sampled sites, and then using the mean proportion of occupied sites among landscapes as the frequency of each species in the species pool. Abundance data Biotic homogenization (question 2) might be underestimated when exclusively relying on presence/absence data (Cassey et al. 2008). We thus evaluated biotic homogenization (i.e. a decrease in mean within-landscape β-diversity across landscapes with decreasing forest cover) by calculating βRC between sites ‘within’ landscapes including abundance information (hereafter βRC-abund). We followed the procedure described in Chase et al. (2011), with the difference that we used a pool of individuals (instead of species) to define the regional pool and drew randomly individuals instead of species from the pool. In analogy to the procedure described earlier, the weights for sampling from the theoretical pool were defined as the number of individuals captured per species corrected for differences in the number of sampled sites among landscapes: we divided the number of captured individuals by the total number of sampled sites in each landscape, and then calculated the mean among landscapes to define the sampling weights. Analyses taking into account species abundance were also run considering both the less and the more restricted species pool described above (Supplementary material Appendix 2). In both analyses (i.e. βRC and βRC-abund) we ran 10 000 random samples without reposition from the theoretical 209 pool for each pair of sites. For graphical representations of βRC and βRC-abund, we used two- and three-dimensional nonparametric multidimensional scaling (NMDS). Additionally, after calculating for each site the βRC and βRC-abund to the n-th most similar site (n-th nearest neighbor), we computed the mean of each of these two metrics among sites for each rank. The resulting plot of mean β-diversity as a function of the neighbor rank is an effective way to depict the structure of similarities among objects (Inger and Colwell 1977). All analyses were conducted in R environment, ver. 2.15.0. We calculated βRC using the R-script provided by Chase et al. (2011). For calculation of βRC-abund we used a modified R-script, which can be obtained from the first author. Results The total number of species per landscape decreased with decreasing forest cover. Of the 39 species or morphotypes, we recorded 19 species in the continuously-forested landscape adjacent to the 50% forest cover landscape, 21 in the continuously-forested landscape adjacent to the 30% forest cover landscape, and 26 in the continuously-forested landscape adjacent to the 10% forest cover landscape. In the three fragmented landscapes 24, 20 and 13 species were recorded within the 50, 30 and 10% forest cover landscape, respectively. All the results described below are based on the first analysis considering the entire set of 39 species captured in at least one of the three study regions as the regional species pool. Results from the second analysis using the conservative species pool restricted to the species captured in each of the three regions separately were qualitatively the same (Supplementary material Appendix 2). Does the importance of stochastic processes increase with habitat loss as predicted by neutral models, leading to an increase in b-diversity ‘within’ landscapes? Despite differences in species richness, mean βRC between sites ‘within’ all six landscapes were similar (–0.82 to –0.95; Fig. 2a, Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A3a). Mean βRC between sites was not correlated with mean distance between sites across the six landscapes (Supplementary material Appendix 4 Fig. A5a). In contrast, despite the variation in the mean distances between sites within landscapes, mean βRC values were close to –1 within all landscapes, indicating that community composition was more similar between sites within all landscapes than expected by chance. Hence, there was no sign of increased ‘within’-landscape β-diversity (all mean βRC values similar), nor of community composition being more influenced by stochastic processes (all mean βRC values close to –1), in fragmented than in continuously-forested landscapes or in fragmented landscapes with lower forest cover. Alternatively, does habitat loss lead to a decrease in b-diversity within landscapes and thus to a biotic homogenization? Mean βRC ‘within’ all six landscapes were similar, not indicating any decrease or increase in ‘within’-landscape βdiversity with decreasing forest cover (size of polygons similar in Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A3a). However, inclusion of abundance information resulted in a different pattern (Fig. 2b, Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A3b). As expected, all ‘within’-landscape mean βRC-abund were larger than ‘within’-landscape mean βRC, since inclusion of the number of individuals increases the chance Figure 2. Non-metric multi-dimensional scaling (NMDS) ordinations of sites within six landscapes with different amount of forest based on βRC (a) and βRC-abund (b) between sites. Polygons enclose sites within the same landscape. Numbers close to or within polygons are mean βRC (a) or mean βRC-abund (b) among all pairs of sites within each landscape. Full symbols: continuously-forested landscapes; open symbols: fragmented landscapes. Triangles: landscapes in Tapiraí/Piedade (fragmented landscape with 50% forest cover); circles: landscapes in Cotia/ Ibiúna (fragmented landscape with 30% forest cover); squares: landscapes in Ribeirão Grande/Capão Bonito (fragmented landscape with 10% forest cover). Note that sizes of polygons are not directly proportional to mean βRC (a) or mean βRC-abund (b) due to the projection of the NMDS in two dimensions (see Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A3 for 3D-version of Fig. 2). 210 of dissimilarity between sites. Although a species might occur at different sites, and therefore account for similarity between these sites when relying on occurrence-data only, it is unlikely that this species occurs at equal abundances at all sites, thereby accounting for dissimilarity between sites when relying on abundance information. This was particularly the case in the most forested landscapes (50% forest cover landscape and all continuously-forested landscapes), where mean βRC-abund was positive (0.69–0.75; Fig. 2b, Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A3b), indicating that community structure was more dissimilar between sites than expected by chance within these forested landscapes. At the 30% forest cover landscape, however, mean βRC-abund was much lower. An even stronger decrease in mean βRC-abund, and the only negative value, was found within the most deforested landscape, indicating – in contrast to all other landscapes – a community structure more similar between sites than expected by chance (smaller polygon Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A3b). Likewise, means of ranked βRC were generally low at all landscapes, indicating high within-landscape similarity in community composition (Fig. 3a). In contrast, means of ranked βRC-abund spanned over a wider range of values, and clearly ordered landscapes from the most to the least forested (Fig. 3b), with the more forested landscapes showing lower, and the most deforested landscape the highest similarity in community structure. In the 10% forest cover landscape, few sites accounted for an increase in βRC-abund, while most sites presented very similar βRC-abund-values (plateau at lower ranks within the 10% forest cover landscape; Fig. 3b). These results are not related to differences in distance between sites within landscapes, since mean βRC-abund between sites was not correlated with mean distance between sites across the six landscapes (Supplementary material Appendix 4 Fig. A5b). Instead, they indicate a decrease in ‘within’- landscape β-diversity across the gradient of habitat loss when abundance data is taken into account, with a strong biotic homogenization within the most deforested landscape. This homogenization was caused by the proliferation of few species in most sites of the most deforested landscape: three species showed a consistent increase in abundance compared to all other landscapes (Oligoryzomys nigripes, Gracilinanus microtarsus and Monodelphis kunsi; Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A4b). The terrestrial rodent O. nigripes in particular dominated all sites, representing 71% of captured individuals at this landscape. Do changes in species composition (b-diversity ‘between’ landscapes) increase abruptly at high levels of habitat loss, accompanying the drastic decline in species richness observed below 30% of habitat? Mean βRC between sites of the two more forested fragmented landscapes (i.e. the 50% and the 30% forest cover landscapes) and sites of all three continuously-forested landscapes were negative and comparable to the mean βRC between sites of the three different continuously-forested landscapes (Fig. 4). In contrast, mean βRC between sites in the 10% forest cover landscape and sites in all three continuously-forested landscapes were close to zero or even positive (Fig. 4). This indicates that changes in species composition relative to the continuously-forested landscapes are not proportional to the amount of forest lost, being larger in the 10% forest cover landscape (Fig. 4). Again, this result is not related to differences in the distance between landscapes (Fig. 4). Instead, change in species composition increased abruptly at the most deforested landscape (Fig. 4), accompanying the drastic decline in species richness at this landscape (Pardini et al. 2010). Accordingly, seven species (including four very common species – Marmosops Figure 3. Rank-dissimilarity curves between sites within six landscapes with different amount of forest. (a) Rank-dissimilarity curves using species presence and (b) species abundance. Each curve shows, for each landscape, the mean among the pair-wise dissimilarity (βRC or βRC-abund) between each site and its n-th most similar neighbor as a function of the rank of dissimilarity. Full symbols: continuouslyforested landscapes; open symbols: fragmented landscapes. Triangles: landscapes in Tapiraí/Piedade (fragmented landscape with 50% forest cover); circles: landscapes in Cotia/Ibiúna (fragmented landscape with 30% forest cover); squares: landscapes in Ribeirão Grande/Capão Bonito (fragmented landscape with 10% forest cover). 211 Figure 4. Mean βRC and mean distance ⫾ SD (open circles) of sites in each landscape relative to sites in the three continuously-forested landscapes as a function of forest cover at the landscape scale. incanus, Delomys sublineatus, Monodelphis spp. and Brucepattersonius soricinus) occurred at all landscapes except the most deforested landscape, while no species was exclusively absent from other landscapes (Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A4a). At the same time, the most deforested landscape harbored the largest number of exclusive species (three species not captured at other landscapes – Monodelphis kunsi, Mus musculus and Oxymycterus delator; Supplementary material Appendix 3 Fig. A4b). Discussion Our results indicate the prevalence of niche-based, deterministic processes relative to neutral, stochastic processes for community assembly at all landscapes. Although ecological drift may occur in these communities, we found no sign of increased within-landscape β-diversity or increased influence of stochastic processes on community assembly across the gradient of habitat loss, as it would be expected if communities were neutral and species extinction completely random. Instead, habitat loss can be seen as an ecological filter, leading to a strong decrease in within-landscape β-diversity, and thus to a homogenization of communities, at the most deforested landscape. Further, changes in species composition between landscapes were not proportional to forest loss, with relatively low turnover of species across forested landscapes (i.e. continuously-forested, 50 and 30% forest cover landscapes), but an abrupt change in species composition at the most deforested landscape. It is important to highlight though that as any observational study our work provides weak inference on the causal role of forest cover on the observed patterns. Especially the relatively large number of sites sampled per landscape – an essential aspect of our study design for allowing the evaluation of both within and between-landscape β-diversity – set limits to our ability to increase the number of sampled regions and landscapes. However, our sampling design presents three important strengths: 1) each of the three fragmented landscapes are paired (i.e. located adjacent) to a 212 continuously-forested landscape, increasing the probability that the small mammal species were originally present at the fragmented landscapes before habitat loss; 2) the three study regions are close together (within a 150-km strip parallel to the coastline along the Atlantic Plateau) and sampled sites were chosen in order to maintain similar environmental heterogeneity within different landscapes and regions; and 3) the best available compilation of the natural history of the small mammals of the study system indicates that all captured species do indeed originally occupy the entire study area. Hence, considering the evidence value that observational surveys at large spatial scale can provide, our results support the prevalence of deterministic processes in community assembly following habitat loss, as well as the biotic homogenization and abrupt change in species composition in highly deforested landscapes. In the following paragraphs we discuss the implications of each of these three inter-related findings. Non-random extinctions due to habitat loss Small mammal communities at all landscapes were not a random sample from the overall species pool. Although only about half of the number of species occurred in the most deforested landscape compared to continuously-forested landscapes, once controlling for species richness, similarity in species composition between sites within landscapes did not decrease across the gradient of habitat loss, as it would be expected under random community drift. Indeed, a considerable number of species that became extinct at the most deforested landscape were highly abundant in more forested landscapes, suggesting that the chance of extinction is neither equal among species nor negatively correlated with species abundance before habitat loss, as predicted by neutral models. Although in the present work we did not test for niche-based correlates of extinction proneness, a previous analysis of α- and γ-diversity of this dataset suggested that niche breadth in terms of habitat requirements is associated with species response to habitat loss: species richness decreased across the gradient of habitat loss only among forest specialists but not among habitat generalists (Pardini et al. 2010). Extinction due to habitat loss is thus likely influenced by deterministic, niche-related processes, in this case apparently associated with species niche breadth, which has been suggested as one of the most important ecological correlates of extinction proneness in general (Stork et al. 2009). Previous empirical investigations of the effects of habitat loss on β-diversity that did not control for species richness commonly encountered a decrease in similarity (increase in β-diversity) within communities in smaller patches or landscapes with lower habitat cover (Harrison 1997, Didham et al. 1998, Pardini et al. 2005, Kattan et al. 2006), thereby suggesting an increased importance of stochastic processes to community assembly with habitat loss. The importance of controlling species richness during the analysis of β-diversity has received attention only recently (Jost 2007), and currently most studies on β-diversity that control for species richness do not focus on habitat loss (Smith et al. 2009, Kraft et al. 2011, Márquez and Kolosa 2013). To our knowledge the only two studies that focused on the effects of habitat loss using this approach also did not find an increase in β-diversity in tree communities (Lôbo et al. 2011) and plants (trees, shrubs, lianas, palms and herbs; Arroyo-Rodriguez et al. 2013). These results show the fragility of the assumptions of random extinction included in several important models of species-area relationships. Albeit their importance to general theoretical frameworks (e.g. Island Biogeography, MacArthur and Wilson 1967), these models do not fully describe the processes underlying species extinction following habitat loss. Biotic homogenization at highly deforested landscapes Not only did we not observe an increase in β-diversity within landscapes across a gradient of habitat loss when considering only species occurrence, but also and more importantly we observed a strong decrease in within-landscape β-diversity when abundance information was included. Considering species abundance, the similarity between sites within landscapes increased across fragmented landscapes, especially at the most deforested landscape, where communities were more similar than expected by chance. Increased similarity in community structure is the opposite of what is expected assuming neutral communities, ecological drift and random extinction and is thus not predicted by the commonly used theoretical frameworks on the effects of habitat loss. In contrast, our results suggest an increased importance of deterministic, niche-based processes with habitat loss, leading to biotic homogenization (Lôbo et al. 2011, Banks-Leite et al. 2012, Tabarelli et al. 2012), which has also been shown to be a consequence of other anthropogenic disturbances, such as land use intensification (Karp et al. 2012), forest regeneration (Vellend et al. 2007), or human-assisted invasions (Olden et al. 2011). Biotic homogenization is thought to be the result of ecological filters leading to the dominance of a similar subset of species able to resist harsh conditions (Chase 2007), either due to high competitive ability or competitive release (Azevedo et al. 2012), and is expected to influence various ecosystem functions and services (Olden et al. 2011). In our study, although community composition is equally similar within all landscapes, few species became universally abundant in the more deforested landscape. This is the case of Oligoryzomys nigripes, a widespread generalist species, which is one of the main reservoirs of the hantavirus associated with the fatal hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in the Atlantic Forest (Suzuki et al. 2004). Thus, the decrease in forest cover in our study region acts as an environmental filter, leading to a biotic homogenization that may affect disease risk in humans. Besides pointing at a biotic homogenization within the most deforested landscape, the inclusion of abundance data also indicates that sites within more forested landscapes, although very similar in community composition, varied more than expected by chance in species abundance. In other words, species dominating each community differed between sites within more forested landscapes. A similar result was also observed for plants (Arroyo-Rodriguez et al. 2013). These results suggest non-random intra-specific aggregations within these forested landscapes, which as such should not be caused by stochastic, neutral processes like priority effects alone (Chase 2003, Márquez and Kolosa 2013). Instead, it might be caused by different non-mutually exclusive nichebased factors, such as small scale heterogeneity in habitat quality (Allouche et al. 2012), inter-specific competition (Götzenberger et al. 2012), or differential dispersal limitation among species (Gilbert and Lechowicz 2004). An abrupt change in species composition When considering only species occurrence, withinlandscape community dissimilarity did not change, but between-landscape community dissimilarity increased abruptly across the gradient of habitat loss. Species composition in the most deforested landscape was disproportionately dissimilar relative to species composition in the continuously-forested landscapes. A drastic decrease in species persistence and species richness below 30% of remaining habitat is expected due to the exponential increase in the distance between patches at around ∼20% habitat cover (Fahrig 2003), and has been observed in empirical studies (Radford et al. 2005, Hanski 2011, Estavillo et al. 2013), including in our study landscapes (Pardini et al. 2010). However, as far as we are aware, no previous study evaluated if this drastic increase in species extinction is accompanied by a disproportional change in species composition. Although we were not able to test this directly given the limited number of sampled landscapes, our results are in agreement with an abrupt change in species composition and a drastic decline in species richness occurring simultaneously at the 10% forest cover landscape. Because we controlled for differences in richness, our results suggest that communities at the most deforested landscape are not rarefied samples of species-rich communities in forested landscapes; rather these communities experience a high turnover of species, being disproportionately dissimilar to species-rich communities in more forested landscapes. Beside the loss of seven relatively common species that occurred at all other landscapes, the most deforested landscape, despite presenting the lowest γ-diversity, harbored the 213 highest number of exclusive species (not captured at other landscapes). These species are invading exotic species (Mus musculus) or species typical from open, savanna-like biomes (M. kunsi and O. delator). Likely, adequate habitat condition (i.e. high proportion of open anthropogenic habitats) as well as the expansion of competition-free space inside forest patches (Azevedo et al. 2012), caused by the extinction of the most common species in more forested landscapes, enable exotic and open-area specialist species to occupy forests at highly deforested landscapes. Together with the exposed above, our results suggest that biological communities in forest patches at highly deforested landscapes are not only different in terms of species composition from those at forested landscapes, but also much more homogeneous in terms of species abundance, being highly dominated by few species. Conclusions and implications Methodologically, our work calls attention to the usefulness of null-model approaches to identify patterns of change in community composition and structure independent from differences in richness (Kraft et al. 2011), thus allowing inference on the underlying processes (Chase et al. 2011). It also highlights the importance of including abundance information in measures of β-diversity in order to detect otherwise unseen consequences of disturbances on community assembly (Cassey et al. 2008). From a theoretical perspective, our results indicate that species extinction due to habitat loss is mainly non-random, and influenced by deterministic, niche-based processes. As such, extinction should be associated with ecological correlates that define extinction proneness (Smith et al. 2009) instead of abundance ranks in continuous habitat (Mac Nally 2007). Habitat loss, as other anthropogenic disturbances (Vellend et al. 2007, Karp et al. 2012), can thus be seen as a strong ecological filter that increases (rather than decreases) the importance of deterministic processes in community assembly (Chase 2007, Smith et al. 2009). Most models on the effects of habitat loss are stochastic, neutral theories that assume communities are mainly affected by ecological drift and random extinction. Given our results on the prevalence of deterministic, niche-based processes for community assembly following habitat loss, the incorporation of the relevant niche traits associated with extinction proneness into these models represents critical advances for the application of ecological knowledge and the development of conservation science. Equally important from the applied point of view is our finding that habitat loss simultaneously led to a strong within-landscape biotic homogenization, an abrupt change in community composition and a drastic decline in species richness. This result corroborates the importance of pro-active measures to prevent human-modified landscapes to go beyond these ecological thresholds (Pardini et al. 2010, Hanski 2011), and on the limitations of ecological restoration in highly deforested landscapes (Tscharntke et al. 2005, Pardini et al. 2010). Acknowledgements – We are grateful to Cristina Banks-Leite, Elizabeth Nichols and Leandro Reverberi Tambosi for critical comments on previous versions of the manuscript, as well as to the Subject Editor Paulo Guimarães for the comments that greatly 214 improved the paper. 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