Africanmountainouscountriesand theirmountains UnitedRepublicofTanzania 6/14/2016 AfroMont,UniversityofPretoria SueTaylor Africanmountainouscountriesand theirmountains UnitedRepublicofTanzania Contents 1.0Socio-economicandpoliticalcontext.................................................................................2 2.0StructureoftheEconomy...................................................................................................2 3.0Demographics.....................................................................................................................4 3.1Urbanisationtrendsandpossibledrivers:......................................................................4 4.0Geographicalandbiomeinformation................................................................................5 4.1Centralplateau-EastAfricanplateau..............................................................................6 4.2MountKilimanjaro..........................................................................................................7 4.3MtMeru.........................................................................................................................9 4.4TheEasternArcMountains............................................................................................9 4.3EasternArcbiodiversityhotspotsandotherimportantareas......................................10 4.4RiftValleylakes.............................................................................................................11 4.4.1WesternorAlbertineRiftValleylakes..................................................................11 4.4.2SouthernRiftValleylakes......................................................................................12 4.4.3OtherlakesoftheGreatRiftValley.......................................................................12 5.0Naturalresourcedepletion,disasters,landdegradationandwaterissues......................12 5.1Climatechangeprojections,vulnerablesectorsandimpacts......................................14 5.2Vulnerablesectors........................................................................................................15 6.0Sustainabledevelopmentchallenges...............................................................................16 7.0Summary..........................................................................................................................17 8.0References........................................................................................................................17 Appendix1.SummaryofselectedindicatorsforTanzania.....................................................19 1.0Socio-economicandpoliticalcontext The United Republic of Tanzania is the largest country in East Africa. It was formed from mainland TanzaniaandtheislandofZanzibarin1964.Itsharesborderswitheightcountries,specificallyKenya and Uganda in the North, Rwanda, Burundi and Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) in the West, Zambia and Malawi in the South West and Mozambique in the South. Mainland Tanzania borders the main water bodies of Africa. To the east is the Indian Ocean, to the north Lake Victoria, to the west Lake Tanganyika and to the south-west Lake Nyasa. Mainland Tanzania also hasthehighestpointinAfrica,MountKilimanjaro which is 5,950 metres high. Dodoma is the administrative capital while Dar es Salaam is the commercialcapital. (Mapsourcedonlineathttp://www.maps.com/ref_map.aspx?pid=12394). 2.0StructureoftheEconomy Tanzania is classified as a Least Developed Country by the United Nations, and has a Low Human Development ranking on the UNDP’s Human Development Index, rated 148th on the 169 countries thatwereevaluatedin2010(UNDP,2010).TheIncomeGini-coefficientin2010is34.6andsome35.7 %ofTanzania’spopulationlivebelowtheNationalPovertyline(UNDP,2010).Intermsofpovertyand inequalityindicators,TanzaniaisconsiderablybetteroffthanmanyothersouthernAfricancountries. Lifeexpectancyatbirthis56.9years(UNDP,2010).HIVprevalenceforpeoplebetweentheagesof 15-49yearsis6.2%(alsorelativelylowinrespectofothersouthernAfricancountries).Withrespect to the Fragile State Index (FSI) ratings, the country is placed 72nd on the list of countries. The FSI (2010)notesthatthisisduetoimprovementsinagriculturalproduction,whichemploystwothirdsof Tanzania’spopulation. Tanzania’s economy has continued to perform strongly despite challenges posed by the ongoing acute power (electricity) crisis. Preliminary estimates for 2011 suggest that the economy grew by 6.4%,drivenmainlybyperformanceintheservicessector(estimatedgrowth7.6%);industryand construction (estimated growth 8.1 %); and agriculture, hunting and forestry (estimated growth 4.3 %). Within these broad sectors, the performance was mainly driven by growth in construction, transport and communication, financial intermediation and manufacturing. The annual growth for the construction subsector in 2011 is estimated at 9.2 %, largely driven by increases in the constructionofresidentialandnon-residentialbuildings,roadsandbridges;andlandimprovement activities.Thetransportsubsectorisestimatedtohavegrownbyabout6.7%in2011,largelyaresult of the increase in the number of travellers and volume of cargo/freight handled by all modes of transport. The Communication sector retained its status as the fastest growing subsector in 2011, postinganestimatedgrowthof18.8%,butslowerthantherateof22.1%recordedayearearlier. Theperformanceofthecommunicationssubsectoralsocontinuestobedrivenbytheincreaseduse ofmobilephoneservicesacrossthecountry.Financialintermediationgrewby9.1%in2011,mainly aresultoftheincreaseinthelevelsofdepositsandlendingbycommercialbanks.Themanufacturing subsector,adverselyaffectedbypoweroutages,isestimatedtohavegrownby7.7%in2011,slightly lowerthanthegrowthrateof8.8%in2010(Tanzania,2012). TheeconomyofTanzaniaisbasedonagriculture,whichaccountsfor60%ofitsGDPandmorethan 80%ofemploymentandexportearnings.Tanzaniahasabout88.6millionhectaresoflandsuitable foragriculturalproduction,including60millionhectaresofrangelandssuitableforlivestockgrazing. Based on altitude, precipitation pattern, dependable growing seasons and average water holding capacity of the soils and physiographic features, there are seven agro-ecological zones, with three (Plateaux, Southern Highlands and Northern Highlands) being mountainous zones (Tanzania NAPA, 2007:6).Tanzania’sagricultureisdominatedbysmallholdersorganizedinsome8000villages,with anaverageholdingoflessthantwohectaresperfamily(Masilingi,n.d.). Adeclineinyieldperhectarehasbeencommontobothfoodcropsandcashcrops.Thishasledto theinabilityofthecountryasawholetoachieveitslongtermobjectivesoffoodsecurity,sustainable food self-sufficiency and increased foreign exchange earnings. Livestock contributes about 10 % of GDP though it has the potential of contributing more. This is made up of beef (4 %); milk (3 %); poultry and small livestock (3 %). The 1984 livestock census revealed that there were 13 Million cattle, 10 Million sheep and goats. The major part of this herd is from the traditional sector while commercialsectoraccountedforabout7%ofthemilk,1%redmeat,5%poultrymeatand80%of eggproduction(Masilingi,n.d.). Itisinterestingtonotethough,thataquarterofthepopulationliveondegradedland(UNDP,2010), suggesting that this could have an impact on agricultural production in the future. Tanzania’s agricultureisalreadyunproductiveandsuffersfromlowcropyieldsandtheeffectsofclimatechange (OneWorld, Richards et al 2010). The FSI also notes that agriculture was severely affected by a droughtin2003butbegantorecoverin2004andimprovedstillfurtherin2005.Tanzaniaisoneof the fastest growing countries in sub-Saharan Africa with an average annual growth rate of 7.7 % (AfricanEconomicOutlook,2010).Howevertheimpactoftheglobalrecessionhassettheeconomy backanditsGDPfor2009was5.5%and5.7%respectively(AfricanEconomicOutlook,2010). Miningandindustrialsectorsarerelativelysmall,contributing15%ofthenation'sGDP.)(Tanzania profile,n.d.). Woodandcharcoalsupplymorethan90%ofitsenergy.Hydropowerprovidesmorethan70%of electricalpower.Petroleum,hydropowerandcoalarethemajorsourceofcommercialenergyinthe country.Thebiomassenergyresource,whichcomprisesoffuel-woodandcharcoalfrombothnatural forestandplantations,accountsfor93%oftotalenergyconsumption.Tanzaniahasinstalledhydro electricitygenerationcapacityof561MW(TanzaniaNAPA.,2007:10). 3.0Demographics Thecountryhasapopulationsizeof45.5millionpeopleandwiththecurrentfertilityandmortality rates,Tanzania’spopulationisprojectedtoreach100millionin2035,and200millionbytheendof thiscentury(2100). ThemajorityofTanzania’spopulationisconcentratedalongthecoast,inthenorthernandsouthern highlandswherethelandisparticularlyfertile,andalongtheedgeofLakeVictoria(USDS,2010).The populationofTanzaniadepictsatypicalyoungagestructure,withabout46%ofitstotalpopulation below age 15; 50 % between the ages of 15 and 64 years; and only 4.3 % of the total population being65yearsandolder.Theimplicationofthisagestructurebecomesevenmoreimportantwhen the proportion of the young population (i.e. population aged 15 - 24 years) is added to the proportionofthepopulationbelowage15years.Theproportionofyoungpeopleincreasestoabout 66%ofthetotalpopulation(ProfileTanzania,1997). Thepopulationinvolvedinagriculturehastraditionallysettledinareassuitableforcropproduction and mixed farming. Indigenous knowledge of trees and grasses as indicator of land suitability was used. Today, rainfall and soil fertility are still decisive factors governing population distribution and density. Tanzania has also adopted a National Population Policy (NPP) in 1992. The policy recognizes that thereisnosimplecauseandeffectrelationshipbetweenpopulationgrowthandeconomicgrowth, and that population growth may not be the primary obstacle to development. Nevertheless, it is appreciated that a high population growth rate aggravates the difficult economic situation and renders remedial measures more difficult. At the macro level, a rapid and high population growth rate results in increased outlays on private and public consumption, drawing resources away from savings for productive investment. The NPP spells out as its principal objective, which is the reinforcementofnationaldevelopmentthroughexploitingavailableresourcestoimprovethequality of life of the people, with special emphasis on regulating population growth rate, enhancing the qualityoflife,andimprovingthehealthandwelfareofwomenandchildren(TanzaniaProfile,1997). 3.1Urbanisationtrendsandpossibledrivers: Population distribution in Tanzania is extremely uneven. Density varies from 1 person/km2 in arid regionsto51/km2inthemainland'swell-wateredhighlandsto134/km2onZanzibar.Morethan80% ofthepopulationisrural.DaresSalaamisthecapitalandlargestcity;Dodoma,locatedinthecentre of Tanzania, has been designated the new capital, although action to move the capital has stalled. TheTanzanianpopulationconsistsofmorethan120ethnicgroups.AccordingtoTanzania’sNational Bureau of Statistics the country’s population is still vastly concentrated within rural areas, and is growingatarateofapproximately2.9%(NationalBureauofStatistics,2009).Approximately76.9% of the population still live in rural areas, with a mere 23.1 % living within urban centres, however, ruraltourbanmigrationinTanzaniaisoccurringatarate7-11%perannum(UN-HABITAT,nodate). SeetablebelowonurbanisationtrendsinTanzania. UrbanisationtrendsTanzania Total population (2012)** UNDP HDI Report, 47.6million 2014 Tanzaniaannualpopulationgrowthrates(2010 National:3.1% -2015)** Urban:3.5% Rural2.4% Projectedpopulationby2050*** 138million %ofpopulationurban(2007) 25% Percentage of population with access to urban:77.9% improved# rural:44% total:53.2% Percentage of population with access to urban:24.9%ofpopulation improvedsanitation# rural:7.5%ofpopulation total:12.2%ofpopulation Population/haarableland 0.30* StateoftheWorldPopulation2007.UnitedNationsPopulationFund(UNPF) *http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.ARBL.HA.PC/countries **http://www.uneca.org/oria/pages/tanzania ***http://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/tanzania-population/ #http://www.indexmundi.com/tanzania/demographics_profile.html 4.0Geographicalandbiomeinformation Tanzaniahasavariedgeography,includingdeepandlargefreshwaterandsaltlakes,manynational parks, and Africa's highest point, Mount Kilimanjaro (5 895 masl). Northeast Tanzania is mountainousandincludesMountMeru,anactivevolcano,MountKilimanjaro,adormantvolcano, andtheUsambaraandParemountainranges).WestofthosemountainsistheGregoryRift,whichis the eastern arm of the Great Rift Valley. On the floor of the rift are a number of large salt lakes, including Natron in the north, Manyara in the south, and Eyasi in the southwest. The rift also encompasses the Crater Highlands, which includes the Ngorongoro Conservation Area and the NgorongoroCrater.JusttothesouthofLakeNatronisOlDoinyoLengai(3188masl).Tothewestof theCraterHighlandsliesSerengetiNationalParkandtothesoutheastoftheparkisOlduvaiGorge, wheremanyoftheoldesthominidfossilshavebeenfound. 4.1Centralplateau-EastAfricanplateau ThecentreofTanzaniaisalargeplateau,whichispartoftheEastAfricanPlateau.Thesouthernhalf ofthisplateauisgrasslandwithintheEasternMiombowoodlandsecoregion,themajorityofwhichis coveredbythehugeSelousNationalPark.Furthernorththeplateauisarablelandandincludesthe nationalcapital,Dodoma(Wikipedia,Tanzania,2015). TheeasterncoastcontainsTanzania'slargestcityandformercapital,DaresSalaam.Justnorthofthis city lies the Zanzibar Archipelago, a semi-autonomous territory of Tanzania which is famous for its spices. The coast is home to areas of East African mangroves, mangrove swamps that are an importanthabitatforwildlifeonlandandinthewater(Wikipedia,Tanzania,2015). Tanzania’scurrentclimateistropicalwithregionalvariationreflectiveofitsvariedtopography.The north and east of the country experience two wet seasons, with short rains last from October to December and long rains from March to May. The south, west, and central areas of the country experienceonecontiguouswetseasonfromOctoberuntilAprilorMay.Asinmanyothercountriesin the region, these rainfall patterns are largely determined by the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ALMTanzania,2009). About10%ofthecountryreceivesadequaterain(over1000mmperannum)andcarries60%ofthe population;8%isfairlywellwateredandcarries18%ofthepopulation;20%ispoorlywateredand carries 18% of the population; and 62 % is poorly watered and carries 1% of the population. Thus about four fifths of Tanzania's population today is concentrated on only one fifth of its land (TanzaniaProfile,1997). Therapidpopulationgrowthisanenvironmentalconcernbecauseofthefollowingreasons(Tanzania Profile,1997): • Threateningwhatisalreadyaprecariousbalancebetweennaturalresourcesandpeople • Shorteningoffallowcyclesinagriculture,exhaustingsoilnutrientsinagriculturalactivities • Increasingthedemandforfoodandservicesandconsequentlyland. Out of 25 globally known biodiversity hotspots, Tanzania harbours six: the Eastern Arc old BlockMountain Forests; the coastal forests; the Great Lakes for Cichlid fishes; the marine coral reef ecosystems; the ecosystems of the alkaline Rift-Valley Lakes; and the grassland savannas for large mammals(e.g.thefamousSerengetiNationalPark).About43.7%ofthetotallandareainTanzania issomehowprotectedorconservedandprotectedareas(includingGameControlledAreas)coverat least28%ofthetotallandareaofmainlandTanzania andforestreservesaround15.7%.However,mostof the wildlife is found outside existing protected areas thus making its survival to be in a race against development. Tanzania also possesses important populations of species that are globally endangered and threatened, including the black rhinoceros, wild dog, chimpanzee, African elephant, cheetah and wattled crane (Country Profile, n.d.). The western EasternArcMountains http://www.naturalcapitalproject.org/where/tanza nia.html portionofthecountrybetweenLakesVictoria,Tanganyika,andMalawiconsistsofflatlandthathas beendesignatedbytheWorldWildlifeFund aspartoftheCentralZambezianMiombowoodlandsecoregion.1 4.2MountKilimanjaro PhotocreditClaudiaHemp,MtKiliProject(2016) Mt.Kilimanjaro,Tanzania,islocated300kmsouthoftheequatorandstretchesfromthe savannasat800mabovesealevel(asl)tothesnow-coveredsummitat5895masl.Mt KilimanjaroistheAfricanhighestmountainandculminatesat5895mhigh.Thisvolcanic edificeiscomposedofthreemaincentresalongaN110°E-strikingaxis(Shira,Kiboand MawenzifromWtoE),andemplacedinakeyareawhereamajorN80°E-orientedvolcanic lineamentintersectsafirst-orderNW–SEbasementfault-likediscontinuity(Nonnotteetal, 2008). Theoldestphasesofvolcanicactivitybegunat~2.5MaintheShiraventanddatasuggests thatthelatestimportantphasesoccurredaround1.9Ma,justbeforethecollapseofthe Northernpartoftheedifice.MagmaticactivitythenshiftedeastwardsintheMawenziand Kibotwincentreswhereinitialvolcanismisdatedat~1Ma.Whereastheeruptiveactivity ceasedintheMawenzi,itstillcontinuedonKibosincesub-actualtime.Basedonthedating ofCalderarimgrouplavas,itisshownthattheedificationofthepresentconewas accomplishedinaperiodrangingfrom274to170ka.Theinteractionbetweeneruptive phenomenaandtheicecoverisassumedtohaveplayedanimportantroleintriggering collapseprocessesandassociatedlaharsdeposits.Thelastvolcanicity,around200–150ka,is markedbytheformationofthepresentsummitcraterinKiboandthedevelopmentoflinear parasiticvolcanicbelts,constitutedbynumerousStrombolian-typeisolatedconesonthe NWandSEslopesofKilimanjaro.Thesebeltsarelikelytooccurabovedeep-seatedfractures thathaveguidedthemagmaascent,andthechangesintheirdirectionswithtimemightbe relatedtotherotationofrecentlocalstressfield(Nonnotteetal,2008). DuetothewideprecipitationgradientthesouthernandeasternslopesofMt.Kilimanjaro haveawidespectrumofhabitatsindistinctvegetationzones.Theseincludeadistinctforest beltwhichrangesfromabout1800mto3200masl.Theforestsinthemiddlemontanezone (2100–2800masl)aredominatedbyO.usambarensiswhichisafavouredtimbertree (Ruttenetal,2014).ThemontaneforestsofMountKilimanjaroinTanzaniahavebeen subjectedtoalonghistoryofselectivelogging.However,since1984loggingofindigenous treesisprohibited(Ruttenetal,2014).However,onthedriereasternslopeoverexploitation hasresultedinforestsfreeofmatureOcoteaspecies.Thismeansthatonethirdoftheactual montaneOcotea-forestisalreadydepletedofOcotea(Ruttenetal,2014). MtKilimanjaroiswellknownforitsuniquelanduse,theChaggafarmingsystemonthe slopesofthemountain.Studiesnowshowtheexpansionofcultivationtomoremarginal landdowntheslope,thedisappearanceandextremefragmentationofbushlandand appearanceandexpansionofsettlements.Inthe1960sthereweresmallopenfieldsand patchesofgrazinglandsamongsthomegardens.Inthe1980stheareawasmoreuniformly coveredbyhomegardens.Sincethenithasbecomepatchyagainasnewhomesteadshave beenbuiltonsubdividedfarmsandmorefoodisproducedonthehigherslopes.Population pressureandtheensuingexpansionofagriculturetomoremarginalland,intensificationof thehomegardensystem,togetherwithclimatechangesaffectingthewatersupplies,have causedchangesinfarmers’livelihoods.Thefuturewelfareoftheareawilldependon increasingthemarketableknowledgeandskillsofthepopulationthatwillenableitto becomeintegratedintheeconomyoftheregionandTanzania(Soini,2005). 4.3MtMeru MountMeruisadormantstratovolcanolocated70kilometres(43mi)westofMount KilimanjarointhenationofTanzania.Ataheightof4,562.13metresitisthefifthhighest mountaininAfrica.Muchofitsbulkwaslostabout8000yearsagoduetoaneastward volcanicblast,similartothe1980eruptionofMountSt.HelensintheUSA.MountMeru mostrecentlyhadaminoreruptionin1910.Theseveralsmallconesandcratersseeninthe vicinityprobablyreflectnumerousepisodesofvolcanicactivity(Wikipedia,2016).MtMeru isprotectedbytheMtMeruNationalPark. 4.4TheEasternArcMountains TheEasternArcisachainofancientmountainscoveredbyrainforestsandgrasslandsin Tanzania,withasmallelement,theTaitaHillsinKenya.Itisthoughtthattheforesthas survivedontheEasternArcMountainsforover30millionyearsandwereonceconnectedto theforestsoftheCongoBasinandWestAfrica.Neighboringmountainsaremuchyounger, forexampleMtKilimanjaroisestimatedtobeabout1-2millionyearsold(EasternArc mountains,2015).TheEasternArcMountainsstretchforsome900kmfromthe MakambakoGap,southwestoftheUdzungwaMountainsinsouthernTanzaniatotheTaita Hillsinsouth-coastalKenya.Theycompriseachainof12mainmountainblocks:fromsouth tonorth,Mahenge,Udzungwa,Rubeho,Uluguru,Ukaguru,NorthandSouthNguru,Nguu, EastUsambara,WestUsambara,NorthPare,SouthPareandtheTaitaHillsinKenya.The highestpoint(KimhanduPeakintheUlugurus)ismorethan2600minaltitude,butmostof therangespeakbetween2200-2500m.GeologicallytheEasternArcMountainsareformed mainlyfromPre-Cambrianbasementrocksupliftedabout100millionyearsago(Burgesset al,2003). 4.3EasternArcbiodiversityhotspotsandotherimportantareas TheEasternArcMountainsandCoastalForestsofTanzaniaandKenyahotspotisoneofthe smallestofthe25globalbiodiversityhotspots.Itqualifiesbyvirtueofitshighendemicity andaseveredegreeofthreat.Althoughthehotspotrankslowcomparedtootherhotspots intotalnumbersofendemicspecies,itranksfirstamongthe25hotspotsinthenumberof endemicplantandvertebratespeciesperunitarea.Italsoshowsahighdegreeof congruenceforplantsandvertebrates.Itisalsoconsideredasthehotspotmostlikelyto sufferthemostplantandvertebrateextinctionforagivenlossofhabitatandasoneof11 ‘hyperhot’prioritiesforconservationinvestment(Burgessetal,2003).Atleast200 vertebratesareofconservationconcernandaround500plantspeciesarestrictlyendemic tothesemountains.Thesearemainlyfoundintheforesthabitats(EasternArcMountains, 2015). ThebulkofthehotspotisinitswesternexpansioninTanzania,whichtakesintheEastern ArcMountainsandthewatercatchmentsystemoftheRufijiRiver.ThereisanarrowhooklikeextensionofthehotspotneartheKenya/Tanzaniaborder.ThisfollowstheEasternArc MountainstotheirnorthernmostlimitsintheTaitaHillsinKenya.Thehotspotalsoprojects northwardsforabout100kminanextensionthatincludestheforestsoftheLowerTana River(Burgessetal,2003). ThehotspotincludestheIndianOceanislandsofMafia,PembaandZanzibar.TheEastern ArcMountainsandCoastalForestsofTanzaniaandKenyahotspot(hereafterreferredtoas theEasternArcMountainsandCoastalForestshotspot)isoneofthesmallestofthe25 globalbiodiversityhotspots.Itqualifiesbyvirtueofitshighendemicityandaseveredegree ofthreat.Althoughthehotspotrankslowcomparedtootherhotspotsintotalnumbersof endemicspecies,itranksfirstamongthe25hotspotsinthenumberofendemicplantand vertebratespeciesperunitarea(Myersetal.2000).Italsoshowsahighdegreeof congruenceforplantsandvertebrates.Itisalsoconsideredasthehotspotmostlikelyto sufferthemostplantandvertebrateextinctionforagivenlossofhabitatandasoneof11 ‘hyperhot’prioritiesforconservationinvestment(Burgessetal,2003). Theoriginalforestcover(2000yearsago)ontheEasternArcMountainsisestimatedatto havebeenaround23000km2,ofwhicharound15,000km2remainedby1900anda maximumof5340km2remainedbythemid-1990s.AtthattimetheUdzungwascontained thelargestareaofnaturalforest(1960km2),followedbytheNguru,Uluguru,Rubeho,East Usambaras,SouthPare,WestUsambaras,Mahenge,Ukaguru,NorthPareandTaitaHills(6 km2).TheseandthefollowingestimatesofforeststatusandlossesintheEasternArcLosses weregreatest,relativetooriginalcover,intheTaitas(98%),Ukaguru(90%),Mahenge(89 %)andWestUsambaras(84%).Theforestshadbecomehighlyfragmented,withmeanand medianforestpatchsizesestimatedat10km2and58km2,respectively(Burgessetal, 2003). 4.4RiftValleylakes EasternRiftValleylakesarelocatedwithinKenyaandTanzania,whilethenorthernRiftValley lakesarelocatedinEthiopia.SouthoftheEthiopianhighlands,theriftvalleysplitsintotwo majortroughs.TheEasternRiftishometotheKenyanRiftValleylakes,whilemostofthe CentralAfricanRiftValleylakeslieintheWesternRift.TheKenyansectionoftheRiftValley ishometoeightlakes,ofwhichthreearefreshwaterandtherestalkaline.Ofthelatter,the shallowsodalakesoftheEasternRiftValleyhavecrystallisedsaltturningtheshoreswhite, andarefamousforthelargeflocksofflamingothatfeedoncrustaceans.2TheTanzanian sectionofthisgrouphasalkalinelakes: • LakeNatron,ashallowsodalakewhichhasdesignatedbytheWorldWildlifeFund(WWF)asthe EastAfricanhalophyticsecoregion. • LakeManyara, • LakeEyasi,ashallowsodalake • LakeMakati,ashallowsodalake 4.4.1WesternorAlbertineRiftValleylakes ThelakesoftheWesternorAlbertineRift,withLakeVictoria,includethelargest,deepest andoldestoftheRiftValleyLakes.TheyarealsoreferredtoastheCentralAfricanlakes. LakesAlbert,Victoria,andEdwardarepartoftheNileRiverbasin.LakeVictoria(elevation 1134m),withanareaof68,800km²,isthelargestlakeinAfrica.Itisnotactuallyintherift valley,butoccupiesadepressionbetweentheeasternandwesternrifts,formedbythe upliftoftheriftstoeitherside.LakesVictoria,Tanganyika,andMalawiaresometimes collectivelyknownastheAfricanGreatLakes. The Western Rift Valley lakes are fresh water and home to an extraordinary number of species. Approximately 1 500 cichlid fish (Cichlidae) species live in the lakes. In addition to the cichlids, populations of Clariidae, Claroteidae, Mochokidae, Poeciliidae, Mastacembelidae, Centropomidae, Cyprinidae, Clupeidae and other fish families are found in these lakes. They are also important habitatsforanumberofamphibianspecies,includingAmietophrynuskisoloensis,Bufokeringyagae, Cardioglossacyaneospila,andNectophrynebatesii.3 2 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rift_Valley_lakes 3 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rift_Valley_lakes TheWesternlakesinclude:4 • • • • LakeAlbert(5300km²,elevation615m)whichisthenorthernmostlakeinthewesternrift. LakeEdward(2325km²,elevation912m)whichdrainsnorthintoLakeAlbert LakeKivu(2220km²,elevation1460m)whichemptiesintoLakeTanganyikaviatheRuziziRiver. LakeTanganyika(32,000km²,elevation773m)whichisthelargestanddeepestoftheRiftValley lakes(morethan1400m),andistheseconddeepestfreshwaterlakeontheplanet(afterLake Baikal). Below roughly 200 m depth, its water is anoxic, and devoid of life besides anoxic bacteria.Itisverysensitivetoclimate.ItispartoftheCongoRiverbasin,feedingintotheRiver CongoviatheLukugaRiver. 4.4.2SouthernRiftValleylakes TheSouthernRiftValleylakesareliketheWesternRiftValleylakesinthat,withoneexception,they arefreshwaterlakes. • • • • Lake Rukwa (about 5670 km² but quite variable) in Tanzania is the alkaline exception, lying south-eastofTanganyika,andhasnooutlet. LakeMalawi(30,000km²,elevation500m),thesecondlargestandseconddeepestoftheRift Valleylakesatover700m,isdrainedbytheShireRiver,atributaryoftheZambeziRiver.Also knownasLakeNyasa. LakeMalombe(450km²)isontheShireRiver Lake Chilwa (1750 km², elevation 622 m) has no outlet but extensive wetlands. It is the southernmostoftheRiftValleylakes. 4.4.3OtherlakesoftheGreatRiftValley • • Lake Mweru (5120 km², elevation 922 m) lies in the Lake Mweru-Luapula graben which is a branchofftheAlbertinerift. Lake Mweru Wantipa (1500 km², elevation 930 m) is a marshy lake between lakes Tanganyika and Mweru, and is endorheic but may overflow into Lake Mweru at times of very high flood.Lake Victoria on the Kenya-Uganda-Tanzania border. This is the largest lake in Africa by surfaceareaandisthesourceoftheNileRiver.Southwestofthis,separatingTanzaniafromthe DemocraticRepublicoftheCongo,isLakeTanganyika.Thislakeisestimatedtobethesecond deepestlakeintheworldafterLakeBaikalinSiberia. 5.0Naturalresourcedepletion,disasters,landdegradationand waterissues With 80% of Tansania’s population dependent on subsistence agriculture, competition (between livestock,wildlifeandcropcultivation)forlandresourceshasbecomerathercommon.Oneofmost commonly practiced types of farming system is shifting cultivation (which contributes to 4 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rift_Valley_lakes environmental degradation). Poor small-scale farmers are completely dependent upon the harvest ofuncultivatednaturalresourcesforenergyandbuildingmaterials(CountryProfile,n.d.). Natural resource depletion and land degradation - Soil degradation was listed by the SADC FeasibilityReviewasamajorenvironmentalconcernthatwillimpactnegativelyonfoodsecurityin Tanzania (SADC Feasibility Review: Tanzania, date unknown). Soil degradation as a result of overgrazinghasleftmanyareastotallydegraded,oftenirreversibly.Thisdegradationleavesthearea unable to further support livestock and crops and thus the amount of land available for food productionisreduced,whichmayleadtofurtherfoodshortages(AgricultureandLivestockPolicy, 1997). Deforestation has the potential to influence rural subsistence agriculture even further with increased climate change. As deforestation increases, rainfall run-off patterns will be affected and some rivers will no longer receive as much water, but will become silted up through local soil erosion. If the water supply in rivers decreases, the availability of water to irrigate crops will proportionatelydecreaseandthussowilltheyieldincertainareas(Agrawalaetal,2003). Withthecountrybeingcomprisedmostlyofruralfarmworkerstheimpactclimatechangemayhave onthelivelihoodsofmajorityofthepopulationneedstobetakenintoconsideration.Notonlycould people lose their source of food but also their source of income if agriculture production drops severely. Addressing land degradation and refugees - Land and forest resources are the main natural endowments of Tanzania. However, is estimated that the country's forest area has declined from 44,300,000hectaresor50%oftotallandareain1938to33,096,000hectaresor43%oftotalland area in 1987. Currently forests are estimated to cover 33.5 million ha. Causes of deforestation are mainly heavy pressure from agricultural expansion, livestock grazing, wildfire, over-exploitation of woodresourcesforvariouspurposes,andotherhumanactivities.Therearenoreliablefigureson deforestationinTanzaniaalthoughaccordingtoFAOestimates,itrangesfrom130000to500000ha per annum. The major effect of deforestation is the deterioration of the ecological system with resulting negative impacts on soil fertility, water flows and biological diversity (Tanzania Profile, 1997). TheRwandanrefugeecrisisinmid-1994ledtotheinfluxofmorethan600000peopleintotheNgara District of northwest Tanzania. Considerable environmental damage was caused by refugees harvestingfirewoodandbuildingpoles,poachinginthelocalnaturereserves,andtheuseofcheap refugee labour in charcoal and timber operations. Refugees also put some 15000 hectares of land under cultivation in Ngara alone. This can be a typical situation of environmental degradation that surroundsrefugeecampsandovertime,internationalbestpracticemethodshavebeendeveloped to address these issues. The UNHCR and its local and international partners established a range of projectstoimprovethesituation(GlobalEconomicOutlook,2000).TheUNHCRworkedcloselywith district authorities and government natural resource personnel to establish environmental task forces that were able to promote technical debate, help in conflict resolution and avoided duplicationofactivities(GlobalEconomicOutlook,2000). Tanzania is characterized by a very unstable land tenure system. However, in 1995, the new Land Policy was adopted. The policy addresses the challenges facing the land-based environment like wetlands, valleys, migration corridors and buffer zones. Pastoral tenure is also articulated in the Policy. The Ministry responsible for lands is working on translating this policy into legislation (TanzaniaProfile,1997). Water-Tanzaniahasabundantwaterreserves(approximately50%ofLakeVictoriaand45%ofLake Tanganyika among others fall within the borders of Tanzania) however, access to water for most Tanzanian citizens is restricted due to a lack of water reticulation infrastructure (One World SustainableInvestments,2007aandSADCFeasibilityReview:Tanzania,dateunknown).Pooraccess towaterposesaproblemnotonlyforsanitationbutforfoodsecurityaswell.Withalackofsurface water,theabilitytoirrigatecropsislimitedunlessequipmentandinfrastructureisputinplace.With lessrainfall,asprojectedforclimatechangeinsomeareasofTanzania,irrigationisessentialandwill becomeakeyadaptationintervention. Disasters – Disasters mainly have an impact on the agriculture sector and rural farmers. Droughts andfloodshavealreadyimpacteduponthissector,andchangingtemperaturesandrainfallpatterns aresettodothesame.Mostoftheruralfarmersdependonsubsistencefarmingtomeettheirown foodneeds.Asthetemperatureandrainfallofeachareachangessowillthesuitabilityofthatarea declineorchangeforcropproduction.Thisisevidentforthecaseofmaizeproductioninthecountry (Tanzania NAPA, 2007). The Tanzanian government created a Disaster Management Department to dealwithcrisisarisingasaresultofclimatechange. 5.1Climatechangeprojections,vulnerablesectorsandimpacts Convention on climate change (UNFCCC) - Tanzania signed the United Nations Convention on Climate Change on the 12 June 1992 and ratified it on the 17 April 1996. The Convention entered into force on the 16th June 1996. Tanzania also ratified the Kyoto Protocol in 2002. Tanzania has submittedaFirstNationalCommunicationin2003andaNationalAdaptationProgrammeofAction (NAPA) in 2007. It had also compiled its own National Action Plan on Climate Change in 1997. Conventiononclimatechange(UNFCCC)(Chishakwe,2010). Climatechangeprojections–FortheSRESA2emissionsscenario,PRECISprojectsthatTanzaniawill becomewetterandhotterasaresultofclimatechange,andingeneral,surfacerunoffwillincrease inmostareas(PRECIS,2006).Themeanannualtemperaturesareestimatedtorisebyapproximately 2°C – 4°C (Tanzania NAPA, 2007). Rainfall patterns throughout the whole country will change as a resultofclimatechange.Areaswithaunimodalrainfallpattern(onerainyseasonayear)willseea decreaseinrainfallofapproximately5–15%,whileareaswithabimodalrainfallpattern(tworainy seasonsayear)willexperienceanincreaseinrainfallofbetween5and45%(TanzaniaNAPA,2007). TheadverseimpactsofClimateChangearealreadyhavingtheirtollinthelivelihoodsofpeopleand in the sectors of the economy in the country. Frequent and severe droughts in many parts of the country are being felt with their associated consequences on food production and water scarcity amongothers.Therecentseveredroughtswhichhitmostpartsofthecountryleadingtoseverefood shortages, food insecurity, water scarcity, hunger and acute shortage of power signify the vulnerabilityofthecountrytoimpactsofclimatechange.TheextremedropofwaterlevelsofLake Victoria, Lake Tanganyika and Lake Jipe in recent years and the dramatic recession of 7km of Lake Rukwainabout50years,areassociated,atleastinpart,withclimatechange,andarethreatening economicandsocialactivities. EightypercentoftheglacieronMountKilimanjarohasbeenlostsince1912anditisprojectedthat theentireglacierwillbegoneby2025.Theintrusionofseawaterintowaterwellsalongthecoastof Bagamoyo town and the inundation of Maziwe Island in Pangani District, off the Indian Ocean shores,areyetanotherevidenceofthethreatsofclimatechange(ALMTanzania,2009). 5.2Vulnerablesectors Agriculture-theagriculturalsectorwasidentifiedasahighlyvulnerablesectorintermsofclimate change projections. Agriculture is the country’s largest economic earner, with the majority of its populationinvolvedinthesectorinsomewayoranother(TanzaniaNAPA,2007).Thisisinlinewith otherAfricancountries. Sea water intrusion - The NAPA identifies the intrusion of seawater into artesian wells along the coast and the inundation of the Maziwe Island in Pangani District, as threats to the fresh water supplywithintheseurbancentres(TanzaniaNAPA,2007).Thiscouldbeapotentiallymuchgreater problemasurbansettlementsalongthecoastgrowinsize. Forestry - Tanzania’s forested regions are predicted to undergo distribution changes as a result of climatechange.Withthechangingtemperaturessomeforestedareaswilldieoffwhileothersmay expand (Agrawalaet al, 2003). This change poses a threat to those local communities who rely on forestedareasfornaturalresourcessuchasfirewoodandnon-timberresources.Alackofsustainable energyalternativesinthecountryhasledtogreatdeforestationaspeopleseekwoodasasourceof cooking and heating fuel (NAPA, 2007). The NAPA proposes to deal with this problem through implementinganationalafforestationprogramme(TanzaniaNAPA,2007). Water-Tanzaniahaslargewaterreserves(e.g.accesstoLakeVictoria),butduetoclimatechange, water levels are either set to rise or drop in most rivers. This will cause drought in parts of the country with flooding in others (Tanzania NAPA, 2007). The majority of Tanzanian citizens rely on well-waterfortheirsurvival,anddropsinthewatertableasaresultofclimatechangeanddrought will therefore threaten the livelihoods of the people. The NAPA has identified this as a key vulnerabiltyandhasidentifiedseveralprojectsthatwillassistthecountrystoreandmaintainwater resources, such as shifting of shallow water wells that have been affected by inundation in urban areasaswellasimprovingwateravailabilitytodroughtstrickenareas(TanzaniaNAPA,2007). Glaciers-GlacierretreatandchangeofvegetationontheslopesofMtKilimanjarohavemadethe latteroneoftheclimatechangehotspotsinTanzania(TanzaniaNAPA,2007:45). Trans-boundarywaterissues-Tanzania’smajorwatersourcesarealllakessharedwithneighbouring countries.Whileclimatechangeescalatesandwaterbecomesscarcer,trans-boundarywaterconflict is a possibility and needs to be planned for. This is not mentioned as an issue of concern in the TanzanianNAPA.Whiletrans-boundaryconflictsmayariseduetowatershortage,disputesbetween local farmers have already arisen as a result of droughts in Tanzania. This situation may further escalate if droughts become more frequent in the country (OneWorld Climate Change and Food SecurityReport,2010). CoastalandMarineResources-TheTanzanianNAPAidentifiescoastalinundationasariskresulting fromclimatechange.Coastalurbanareasarealsoatriskaswithrisingsealevelsmanyfreshwater wellshavebeeninundated(TanzaniaNAPA,2007).Marineecosystemsarealsoatriskasrisingsea levels will destroy mangroves and rising temperatures are destroying coral reefs both of which are vital for local fisherman(NAPA,2007).TheNAPAdocument proposes the construction of sea walls andartificiallyplacingsandonthebeachestocombattheproblemofcoastalinundation,howevera solution to the threat posed to fisheries was not mentioned (OneWorld Climate Change and Food SecurityReport,2010). 6.0Sustainabledevelopmentchallenges The key challenge for Tanzania is ensuring that economic development does not compromise the environment and the sustainability of resources (i.e. the general challenge of sustainable development). Production and consumption patterns are increasingly becoming unsustainable and much of the forests and other terrestrial and marine habitats have been decimated due to populationpressureandunplanneddevelopment(UNTanzania,2011). Like many other sub-Saharan African countries, Tanzania faces dual pressures from population growth and dynamics, and climate change, that will increasingly mutually undermine poverty alleviation, social development and economic growth efforts. The pressure of a rapidly growing population, combined with erratic rainfall patterns, increases the risk of disasters, food insecurity and further environmental degradation. Addressing population dynamics and climate change together needs to become a top development priority for Tanzania. Joint investment in family planningandclimatechangestrategieswillhelptopreservetheenvironmentandnaturalresources, and reduce poverty and inequalities by lowering the child dependency burden and creating more livelihood and investment opportunities for women, families and communities (AFIDEP and PAI (2012). Tanzaniahasasuiteofenvironmentalpoliciesandlegislation(TanzaniaProfile,1997).Tanzaniahas also adopted a National Population Policy (NPP) in 1992, and which notes the following (Tanzania Profile,1997): • Theimpactofpopulationgrowthonnaturalresourcesandtheenvironment • Due to rapid population growth and the increased number of livestock there has been increasedpressureonnaturalresources,leadingtotheirover-utilizationanddegradation • Demand on the environment is by expansion of land for agricultural purposes, to meet housingrequirementsandrecreationalamenities • Capacity building, advocacy and population education through information, education and communicationisurgentlyneeded OtherNPPgoalsinclude(TanzaniaProfile,1997): • The promotion of a sustainable relationship between population, resources and environment;and • Thepromotionofamoreharmoniousrelationshipbetweenurbanandruraldevelopmentin ordertoachieveaspatialdistributionofthepopulationconducivetotheoptimalutilization ofresources. Tanzania’sNationalBiodiversityStrategyandActionPlan(NBSAP)(2010)wasformulatedtoexamine the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity in three broad thematic areas (aquatic biodiversity,agro-biodiversity,terrestrialbiodiversity(CountryProfile,n.d.). Summaryofsocialchallenges • Populationgrowthandthedemandforagriculturallandforlivelihoods • Urbanisation • Unemployment is a concern with nearly 2.4 million unemployed people, most of them young, representing 10.7 % of the population. The situation of the youth population, particularlythoseinurbanareas,iscriticalintermsofunemploymentandalackofprospects Summaryofeconomicchallenges • Tanzania’s economy has been resilient to shocks and is expected to remain buoyant with strongGDPgrowthforecasts–wellabovetheregionalaverages. • Services,industryandconstructioncontinuetobethedrivingforces. • Poweroutagesimpactseverelyontheeconomy Summaryofenvironmentalchallenges • InTanzania,someoftherootcausesforenvironmentaldegradationareunsustainablefarming andmining,overgrazing,uncontrolledforestclearingandwildfires. • Otherdriversincludeinadequatealternativeenergysources,alackoffinancialinstitutionsthat provide credit to farmers to acquire or develop land, rapid population growth resulting in pressureonlandresources,excessiveuseofagro-chemicalsleadingtosoilandwater • • • pollution,cultivationonsteepslopesandriverbanksandunsustainableirrigationthatleadsto waterloss,salinationandsoilerosion(UNTanzania,2011). In Zanzibar, environmental challenges include severe beach and coastal erosion, diminishing renewable natural resources, declining fresh water resources, poor waste management and increasedpollution(UNTanzania,2011). Other challenges include soil degradation, deforestation, desertification, destruction of coral reefs threatens marine habitats, recent droughts affected marginal agriculture and wildlife threatenedbyillegalhuntingandtrade,especiallyforivory(UNTanzania,2011). 7.0Summary SeeAppendixI. 8.0References ALMTanzania(2009).).CountryprofileforTanzania.AdaptationLearningMechanism(ALM). Sourcedonlineathttp://www.adaptationlearning.net/tanzania/profile CountryProfile(n.d.).CountryProfile–Tanzania.UnitedNationsConventiononBiologicalDiversity (CBD).Sourcedonlineathttp://www.cbd.int/countries/profile/default.shtml?country=tz#facts FSI(2014).FragileStatesIndex.Sourcedonlineathttp://ffp.statesindex.org/ HDI(2014).HumanDevelopmentReport.UnitedNationsDevelopmentProgramme(UNDP). Sourcedonlineathttp://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/hdr14-report-en-1.pdf MasilingiW.(n.d.).Social-economicproblemsexperiencedincomplianceandEnforcementin Tanzania.FourthInternationalConferenceonEnvironmentalEnforcement.Sourcedonlineat http://www.inece.org/3rdvol2/masiligi.pdf NonnotteP.,GuillouH.,LeGall,B.,BenoitM.,CottonJ.,andScailletS(2008).wK–Arage determinationsofKilimanjarovolcanointheNorthTanzaniandivergingrift,EastAfrica. JournalofVolcanologyandGeothermalResearch,Volume173,Issues1–2,1June2008,Pages99112. ProfileTanzania(n.d.).Tanzania:aprofile.PennsylvaniaUniversity,USA.Sourcedonlineat http://www.africa.upenn.edu/NEH/thome.htm RuttenG.,EnsslinA.,HempA.,andFischerM.(2014).Foreststructureandcompositionofpreviously selectivelyloggedandnon-loggedmontaneforestsatMt.Kilimanjaro.ForestEcologyand Management337(2015)61–66 SoiniE(2005).LandusechangepatternsandlivelihooddynamicsontheslopesofMt.Kilimanjaro, Tanzania.AgriculturalSystems,Volume85,Issue3,September2005,Pages306-323 TanzaniaNAPA(2007).NationalAdaptationProgrammeofAction(NAPA)forTanzania.Divisionfor Environment,UnitedRepublicofTanzania.Sourcedonlineat http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/napa/tza01.pdf TanzaniaProfile(1997).CountryProfile,UnitedRepublicofTanzania.Sourcedonlineat http://www.un.org/esa/earthsummit/tanza-cp.htm#chap5 Tanzania(2012).AfricanEconomicOutlook.ReportonTanzania.Sourcedonlineat http://www.africaneconomicoutlook.org/fileadmin/uploads/aeo/PDF/Tanzania%20Full%20PDF%20C ountry%20Note.pdf UNStateofAfricanCitiesreport(2010).StateofAfricanCities2010:Governance,Inequalitiesand UrbanLandMarkets.Sourcedonlinevia http://mirror.unhabitat.org/pmss/listItemDetails.aspx?publicationID=3034 SummaryofselectedindicatorsforTanzania UNStateofAfricanCitiesreport(2014).UNWebsitepromotingtheStateofCitiesReport,2014(‘Reimagingsustainableurbantransitions’).Publisher:UN-HABITAT.Statementsourcedfrom http://unhabitat.org/the-state-of-african-cities-2014/ UNTanzania(2011).UnitedNationsinTanzania:Environment.Onlinearticlesourcedat http://tz.one.un.org/index.php/what-we-do/environment Appendix1.SummaryofselectedindicatorsforTanzania SelectedindicatorsforTanzania Score Development Status of country (UN, Least Developed Country)*** LeastDevelopedCountry StatusontheFSI2010,2014 Warning: at risk of becoming unsustainable in termsofdevelopment HumanDevelopmentstatus2010 Ranking 159 out of 187 countries. Low Human Development Population size (2014, 2050 and (www.worldpopulationreport.com) 2100) 50 milllion (2014); 138 million (2050); 273 million(2100) Expected Annual Average Population Growth Rate 2.9percent (2010-2015) Agestructure# 0-14years:44.6% 15-24years:19.5% 25-54years:29.5% 55-64years:3.5 65yearsandover:2.9% (64%ofpopulationunderageof25). Percent of the population living on degraded land (http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/population-livingdegraded-land) 25% %percentageofarableland(orlandundercultivation)* 45.9% Population living with severe poverty (UNDP HDI Report,2014) 32.1% Population living with multidimensional poverty (UNDP HDIReport,2014) 66.35% Diseaserisks# Degreeofrisk:veryhigh Structureoftheeconomy2010(relianceonagriculture) Agricultureaccountsfor30percentofGDP Threatenedspecies(2012) 710 Forestedareas(asa%oftotallandarea)(2010) 38% Carbonemissions(tonnespercapita)(2009) 0.20 Typesofclimate-relateddisastersoverthelastdecade Droughts,floods,reductioninmaizeyields Climatechangepredictions Hotterandwetterwithlesssurfacerunoff Landareaunderformalprotection(%)** 38% *http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.AGRI.ZS **http://www.prb.org/pdf06/06WorldDataSheet.pdf ***http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Least_developed_country#Africa_.2834_countries.29 #http://www.indexmundi.com/tanzania/demographics_profile.html
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