Tree Physiology 28, 537–549 © 2008 Heron Publishing—Victoria, Canada Changes in composition, structure and aboveground biomass over seventy-six years (1930–2006) in the Black Rock Forest, Hudson Highlands, southeastern New York State W. S. F. SCHUSTER,1,2 K. L. GRIFFIN,3 H. ROTH,4 M. H. TURNBULL,5 D. WHITEHEAD6 and D. T. TISSUE7 1 Black Rock Forest Consortium, 129 Continental Road, Cornwall, NY 12518, USA 2 Corresponding author ([email protected]) 3 Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, 6 Biology, Palisades, NY 10964, USA 4 Department of Environmental Science, Barnard College, 3009 Broadway, 404 Altschul Hall, New York, NY 10027, USA 5 School of Biological Sciences, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch, New Zealand 6 Landcare Research, P.O. Box 40, Lincoln 7640, New Zealand 7 Department of Biology, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409-3131, USA Received March 1, 2007; accepted June 9, 2007; published online February 1, 2008 Summary We sought to quantify changes in tree species composition, forest structure and aboveground forest biomass (AGB) over 76 years (1930–2006) in the deciduous Black Rock Forest in southeastern New York, USA. We used data from periodic forest inventories, published floras and a set of eight long-term plots, along with species-specific allometric equations to estimate AGB and carbon content. Between the early 1930s and 2000, three species were extirpated from the forest (American elm (Ulmus americana L.), paper birch (Betula papyrifera Marsh.) and black spruce (Picea mariana (nigra) (Mill.) BSP)) and seven species invaded the forest (non-natives tree-of-heaven (Ailanthus altissima (Mill.) Swingle) and white poplar (Populus alba L.) and native, generally southerly distributed, southern catalpa (Catalpa bignonioides Walt.), cockspur hawthorn (Crataegus crus-galli L.), red mulberry (Morus rubra L.), eastern cottonwood (Populus deltoides Bartr.) and slippery elm (Ulmus rubra Muhl.)). The forest canopy was dominated by red oak and chestnut oak, but the understory tree community changed substantially from mixed oak–maple to red maple–black birch. Density decreased from an average of 1500 to 735 trees ha –1, whereas basal area doubled from less than 15 m2 ha –1 to almost 30 m2 ha –1 by 2000. Forest-wide mean AGB from inventory data increased from about 71 Mg ha –1 in 1930 to about 145 Mg ha –1 in 1985, and mean AGB on the long-term plots increased from 75 Mg ha –1 in 1936 to 218 Mg ha –1 in 1998. Over 76 years, red oak (Quercus rubra L.) canopy trees stored carbon at about twice the rate of similar-sized canopy trees of other species. However, there has been a significant loss of live tree biomass as a result of canopy tree mortality since 1999. Important constraints on long-term biomass increment have included insect outbreaks and droughts. Keywords: basal area, canopy, carbon, density, environmental change, forest inventory, long-term, mortality, oak, Quercus, red maple. Introduction Understanding the dynamics of the global carbon (C) cycle and its underlying drivers is critical to an explanation of the behavior of our planet’s climate system (IPCC 2001). Forests store and cycle most of the earth’s terrestrial biomass and thus play a dominant role in the global C cycle (Dixon et al. 1994, Landsberg and Gower 1997). Measuring forest carbon and its temporal fluxes has become a matter of global interest (Brown 2002). Temperate deciduous forests in the northern hemisphere comprise some of the world’s most substantial C sinks (Pacala et al. 2001, Myneni et al. 2001), which partially offset anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 concentration and the associated climate consequences. In particular, forest ecosystems in the USA appear to function as globally important sinks (Birdsey and Heath 1995, Goodale et al. 2002), but many of the spatial and temporal details, and details about the controlling factors, remain elusive (Liu et al. 2006). Long-term and large-scale studies are critical for quantifying landscape-scale contributions to C sequestration and responses of forests to environmental change (Körner 2003). Critical carbon releases, important in determining long-term sequestration and fluxes, occur rarely and often rapidly, and are thus usually missed by short-term studies. Improving our understanding of long-term C budgets in large, topographically heterogeneous regions, including the influences of rare events, remains a major goal (Chapin et al. 2006). Factors important to long-term C flux such as disturbance history, suc- 538 SCHUSTER, GRIFFIN, ROTH, TURNBULL, WHITEHEAD AND TISSUE cessional age and community composition, interact in complex fashion with other biotic and abiotic factors to regulate long-term forest C storage (Ryan et al. 1997, Caspersen et al. 2000). Long-term studies of forests as they age are important to quantify changes in sequestration rates and determine if mature C-sink forests today will remain sinks in the face of environmental change (Hyvönen et al. 2007). Although ecosystem theory states that net C uptake will decrease to zero as ecosystems approach maturity (Odum 1969, 1971), some studies have documented a continuing C-sink potential in older forests (e.g., Schulze et al. 2000, Carey et al. 2001, Zhou et al. 2006). Therefore, assessing the contributions of, and interactions among, land use history, forest age and ecophysiological responses to changing environmental parameters is a requirement for predicting future CO2 uptake and C dynamics (Albani et al. 2006). In October 2006 the Canopy Processes group of IUFRO (International Union of Forest Research Organizations) held a workshop entitled “Regional Forest Responses to Environmental Change” at the Bartlett Experimental Forest, Harvard Forest, and Black Rock Forest, all located in the northeastern USA. Recent studies have indicated that the eastern USA functions as a long-term regional net carbon sink (Albani et al. 2006 and references therein). Stated goals of the workshop were “to assess the state of knowledge of regional forest responses to global change” and “to introduce researchers and students to the breadth of research and the regional characteristics of forests in the northeastern USA.” Long-term records from inventories and study plots in the Black Rock Forest, a 1530-ha oak-dominated forest research station in southeastern New York State, enable analyses of how forests of this particular region have changed over the past several decades. Forests of the surrounding Highlands Physiographic Province have generally been aggrading (i.e., accumulating biomass) following recovery from repeated clearcutting and widespread conversion to agricultural use during the 19th and early 20th centuries (Tryon 1930). We used forest inventory records beginning in 1930 and repeated measurements between 1936 and 2006 on undisturbed plots, in conjunction with species-specific allometric equations, to document how live, aboveground forest biomass (about 50% C; Birdsey 1992) and key parameters of forest composition and structure have changed in this forest over the intervening period. The results suggest proximate causes for some of the changes and provide a foundation for further studies to determine which patterns represent regional responses to environmental change. Methods Site description The Black Rock Forest (BRF) is a 1550-ha oak-dominated forest preserve in southeastern New York State (41°24′ N, 74°01′ W; Figure 1). It is located within the Highlands Physiographic Province, an approximately 8000 km2 uplands characterized by deciduous forest and underlain by metamorphic rocks of the Reading Prong formation (Fenneman 1938, Braun 1967, Schuberth 1968). Through land acquisition and donations the forest increased in size from 1258 ha in 1928, to 1416 ha at the time of the second forest-wide inventory in 1985, to 1550 ha in 2006 (Figure 1). The topography is rocky Figure 1. Map of the Black Rock Forest (BRF) showing inventory plots (1985: stars; 1985 and 2000: circled stars) and long-term plots (numbered and unnumbered squares) with inset map showing location within the Highlands Physiographic Province (shaded). TREE PHYSIOLOGY VOLUME 28, 2008 BIOMASS CHANGES IN THE BLACK ROCK FOREST with steep slopes and elevations ranging from 110 to 450 m above sea level. Mean annual precipitation is 1.2 m and air temperature is strongly seasonal, with monthly averages ranging from –2.7 °C in January to 23.4 °C in July (Ross 1958, Turnbull et al. 2001). The soils are mostly medium textured loams, with bedrock or glacial till parent material at depths ranging from 0.25 to 1 m (Olsson 1981). Soil reaction is acidic, availability of nutrients is low, and site index ranges from poor to good (Lorimer 1981; examples in Table 1). European settlement in the area began around 1700 and the land was repeatedly logged, with a small proportion of the forest completely converted to agriculture and livestock pasture and then abandoned by 1900 (Raup 1938). Frequent clearcuts and fires resulted in a preponderance of hardwood sprout regeneration (Tryon 1939). The BRF became established as a research forest in 1928 (Tryon 1930) and was a unit of the Harvard University Forest system from 1949 to 1989. Since 1989, the BRF has been operated as a field station and nature preserve by the Black Rock Forest Consortium, a group of academic institutions from the surrounding region (Mahar 2000, Buzzetto-More 2006). Tree species composition Changes in forest-wide tree species composition were explored by comparing historical records from four sources. The first was a 1938 list of the vascular plants of the BRF based on botanical inventories and vegetation transects made in 1936 and 1937 (Raup 1938). The second was a 1949 list of common tree species in the forest from an operations report of the forest research station (Tryon and Finn 1949). The third was a list of tree species encountered during a 1985 forest inventory based on 218 sample plots around the forest (Figure 1, Friday and Friday 1985). The fourth was a 2003 complete flora of the vascular plants of the BRF based on the results of field surveys completed during 1990–1993 and 1996–2000. Voucher specimens from this survey were filed at the Brooklyn Botanic Garden (BKL), the New York State Museum Herbarium (NYS) and the BRF. In this paper, we define a tree as a woody perennial plant generally with a single stem and capable of reaching a height of more than 5 m. Neither the second nor third data 539 sources purported to include all tree species in the forest, but they were consulted to provide information on the timing and details of composition changes. Long-term plot structural measurements and biomass estimation Sixteen long-term plots ranging in size from 0.04 to 0.1 ha were established in the forest between 1931 and 1936 to monitor forest growth (Tryon 1939; Figure 1). Eight plots have remained undisturbed, and on these plots all trees greater than 2.54 cm dbh were assigned to a crown class (dominant, codominant (canopy trees); intermediate, suppressed (understory trees)) and were measured for diameter at the same marked location on the trunk about every five years through 1993. Since 1994, measurements of dbh and crown class have been performed each year. In total, measurements were made on 1224 trees of 22 species. Most measurements were made in July or later months, when the majority of diameter growth had already occurred (Karnig and Stout 1969), and therefore represent status at the end of that year’s growing season. In four of the years, measurements were made between April and early May, and are here taken to represent status at the end of the previous year’s growing season. The eight remaining long-term plots are located at intermediate forest elevations (Plots 1–8 in Figure 1). Table 1 lists stand age for these plots determined from forest records and confirmed by examination of increment cores (Lorimer 1981, D’Arrigo et al. 2001), mean height of the canopy trees, slope and soil characteristics, and site index (calculated from the heights of dominant and codominant oaks in 1998; Schnur 1937). Based on these data, half of the plots are on sites of good quality, with the other half on sites ranging from fair to poor quality, typical for many forests in the Highlands (Lorimer 1981). The plots were originally established in pairs, one within an area that was experimentally thinned and the other in a nearby area left undisturbed as a control. Thinning operations removed diseased and dying trees, as well as those species considered to be less economically desirable (e.g., gray birch (Betula papyrifera), bigtooth aspen (Populus grandidentata). However, among the remaining thinned plots Table 1. Site conditions and stand data for eight long-term plots examined in this study. Plot Stand age in 2000 Slope (%) Aspect Soil pH1 Height in 19982 (Mean ± SE) Site index3 (1998 est.) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 115 115 115 115 95 95 90 90 11 9 11 8 2 2 11 9 NW NW NW NW W NE NE NE 3.65 3.70 3.85 4.00 4.55 4.25 3.90 3.85 24.2 ± 0.7 a 24.7 ± 0.8 a 18.2 ± 1.0 b 15.8 ± 0.9 b 23.8 ± 1.4 ac 24.6 ± 0.8 ac 20.6 ± 0.4 d 22.2 ± 0.8 cd 61 (average) 61 (average) 43 (poor) 39 (poor) 61 (average) 62 (average) 53 (fair) 57 (fair-average) 1 Mean of top and subsoil composites from eight subsamples per plot. Mean heights followed by same letter do not differ significantly at α = 0.05, LSD test. 3 For mixed oaks (Schnur 1937). 2 TREE PHYSIOLOGY ONLINE at http://heronpublishing.com 540 SCHUSTER, GRIFFIN, ROTH, TURNBULL, WHITEHEAD AND TISSUE (i.e., Plots 2, 4, 6, and 8) only Plots 2 and 6 were significantly reduced in density and biomass compared with their paired control plots (BRF data). Density, basal area, and aboveground biomass (see below) were calculated for each plot for each measurement date. All plots were measured in 1936 and every year since 1994, but in the interim different pairs of plots were often not measured in the same year, and thus we used linear interpolation to estimate parameters between measurement periods. Values from all eight plots were averaged, because among-plot differences were not of focal interest, and 95% confidence intervals were calculated. We used previously derived allometric regression equations (Brenneman et al. 1978) to estimate live aboveground tree biomass (AGB) from dbh measurements for the most common species in this study: red oak (Quercus rubra), chestnut oak (Quercus prinus), white oak (Quercus alba), red maple (Acer rubrum), sugar maple (Acer saccharum), yellow birch (Betula alleghaniensis), black birch (Betula lenta), pignut and shagbark hickories (Carya spp.), white ash (Fraxinus americana), basswood (Tilia americana), black cherry (Prunus serotina) and eastern hemlock (Tsuga canadensis). Complete harvest, drying, and weighing of 11 red oaks and 11 chestnut oaks (BRF data) indicated that these equations were the most accurate for the Black Rock Forest’s dominant species among the many equations available (e.g., Ter-Mikaelian and Korzukhin 1997). For the remaining less common tree species we used the general New-York-State-derived equations of Monteith (1979) for either hardwoods or softwoods. Live biomasses in tree stumps, roots and understory vegetation are omitted from these formulae. We estimated AGB for each plot by summing the individual tree AGB estimates and dividing by plot area. These biomass data were not transformed because they were normally distributed and only mildly heteroscedastic (Sokal and Rohlf 1981). To compare the biomass increment rates of canopy trees of different species, we selected data for all canopy trees of the six most common species with dbh in 1936 between 10 and 20 cm that survived until 2006, representing in total 103 trees. Aboveground biomass values from allometric equations were averaged by species and year over these trees. squares that were subsequently disturbed). We estimated aboveground biomass for each tree with allometric equations and then estimated plot aboveground biomass per hectare (AGB) by summing for all trees on each plot and dividing by the area. We then regressed estimated 1930 AGB for each plot on mean wood volume in cords (1 cord is about 2.26 m3 ) per hectare for the stand in which each plot was located. The resulting regression relationship, Ba = 2.169V, where Ba is aboveground biomass in Mg ha –1 and V is wood volume in cords per hectare, had an r 2 of 0.68 (P < 0.002). Forest-wide 1930 AGB was estimated as the stand-area-weighted mean of these values. The 1985 inventory subdivided the forest into 71 stands based on species composition, canopy height and canopy cover (Friday and Friday 1985). Three sample points (occasionally more) were located at regular intervals along the long axis of each stand, resulting in a total of 218 sample plots (star symbols in Figure 1). All trees greater than 5 cm dbh in these sample plots were tallied with a 10-factor basal area prism and measured for dbh and crown class, totaling 2078 trees of 37 species. The AGB was estimated for each tree and plot as above, plot values were averaged for each stand, and forest-wide 1985 AGB was estimated as the area-weighted mean for each of the 71 stands. The 1930 and 1985 forest-wide AGB estimates are not directly comparable because of different inventory methods and areas added to the forest between inventories. A total of 56 experimental thinnings and timber harvests were carried out in the interim, impacting about one-third of the forest, and 10 hectares of conifers were planted in the 1940s on formerly cleared areas omitted from the first inventory (Tryon and Finn 1949, Harrington and Karnig 1975). In 2000 (or in a few cases 1999 or 2001), a total of 45 of these 218 inventory plots were resampled (circled stars in Figure 1), by the same methods as described above. These plots were selected to quantify changes (1) within the Cascade Brook watershed in the southeastern part of the forest and (2) within and around mature stands of eastern hemlock in the northern portion of the forest. Simple plot means were calculated for 1985 and 2000 to quantify AGB and its change over the interval across this subset of plots. Results Forest inventories and biomass estimates Forest-wide inventories were completed in 1930 and 1985. In the 1930 inventory, the forest was subdivided into 150 stands based on differences in species composition and tree density. Standard cruise methods for the time, examining all trees of cordwood size (i.e., those greater than 10 cm dbh; Tryon 1930), were used to determine stand area, stand age (based on historical records and tree ring counts), density by species and mean wood volume for each stand. We developed a regression equation to estimate aboveground biomass for the 150 stands inventoried in 1930 from inventory volume estimates in combination with recorded diameter measurements of trees on 12 original unthinned plots (Plots 1, 3, 5, 7, in Figure 1 and eight others indicated by Tree species composition Between the 1930s and 1990s, three tree species were extirpated from the BRF and eleven tree species were added for a net increase of eight species (Table 2). American elm (Ulmus americana L.) was common on lower slopes and near streams but was completely eradicated after 1949 by the introduced fungal Dutch elm disease (Ophiostoma ulmi (Buism.) Nannf.), which was spread through northeastern North America primarily by the native elm bark beetle (Hylurgopinus rufipes Eich.; Gibbs 1981). Black spruce (Picea mariana) was present in higher-elevation wetlands in the 1930s but failed to survive or reproduce and was not reported in forest records after 1949. Paper birch (Betula papyrifera Marsh) was rare in the BRF in TREE PHYSIOLOGY VOLUME 28, 2008 BIOMASS CHANGES IN THE BLACK ROCK FOREST 541 Table 2. Tree species in the Black Rock Forest 1938–2003. Scientific name Common name Acer pensylvanicum L. Acer rubrum L. Acer saccharinum L. Acer saccharum Marsh. Acer spicatum Lam. Ailanthus altissima (Mill.) Swingle Alnus incana (L.) Moench Alnus serrulata (rugosa) (Dryand) Willd. Amelanchier canadensis (L.) Medik. Betula alleghaniensis Britt. (B. lutea Michx.f.) Betula lenta L. Betula papyrifera Marsh. Betula populifolia Marsh. Carpinus caroliniana Walt. Carya cordiformis (Wang.) Koch Carya glabra (Mill.) Sweet. Carya ovata (Mill.) Koch Castanea dentata (Marsh.) Borkh. Catalpa bignonioides Walt. Cornus florida L. Crataegus crus-galli L. Crataegus macrosperma Ashe Fagus grandifolia Ehrh. Fraxinus americana L. Fraxinus nigra Marsh. Fraxinus pennsylvanica Marsh. Ilex verticillata (L.) A. Gray Juglans cinerea L. Juglans nigra L. Juniperus virginiana L. Larix decidua Mill. Larix laricina (DuRoi) Koch Liriodendron tulipifera L. Malus pumila Mill. Morus rubra L. Nyssa sylvatica Marsh. Ostrya virginiana (Mill.) Koch Picea abies (L.) Karst. Picea glauca (Moench) Voss Picea mariana (nigra) (Mill.) B.S.P. Pinus banksiana Lamb. Pinus resinosa Soland. Pinus rigida Mill. Pinus strobus L. Platanus occidentalis L. Populus alba L. Populus deltoides Bartr. Populus grandidentata Michx. Populus tremuloides Michx. Prunus pennsylvanica L. f. Prunus serotina Ehrh. Prunus virginiana L. Pyrus communis L. Quercus alba L. Quercus bicolor Willd. Quercus coccinea Muenchh. Quercus ilicifolia Wang. 1 Striped maple Red maple Silver maple Sugar maple Mountain maple Tree of heaven Speckled alder Smooth alder Shadbush Yellow birch Black birch Paper birch Gray birch Ironwood Bitternut hickory Pignut hickory Shagbark hickory American chestnut Southern catalpa Dogwood Cockspur hawthorn Hawthorn Beech White ash Black ash Green ash Winterberry Butternut Black walnut Eastern redcedar European larch Tamarack Tulip poplar Common apple Red mulberry Black gum Hop-hornbeam Norway spruce White spruce Black spruce Jack pine Red pine Pitch pine White pine Sycamore White poplar Eastern cottonwood Bigtooth aspen Quaking aspen Pin cherry Black cherry Choke-cherry Cultivated pear White oak Swamp white oak Scarlet oak Scrub oak Year of report1 1938 1949 1985 2003 × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × Notes Found on land, added after 1985 First reported in 1980s One tree remaining in 2003 × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × Raup 1938, Tryon and Finn 1949, Friday and Friday 1985, Barringer and Clemants 2003. TREE PHYSIOLOGY ONLINE at http://heronpublishing.com First reported in 1990s First reported in 1990s Only cultivated trees First reported in 1990s Only cultivated trees Not reported after 1949 Only cultivated trees First reported in 1990s First reported in 1985 Continued overleaf 542 SCHUSTER, GRIFFIN, ROTH, TURNBULL, WHITEHEAD AND TISSUE Table 2 (Cont'd). Tree species in the Black Rock Forest 1938–2003. Scientific name Quercus montana (prinus) Willd. Quercus rubra L. (Q. borealis Michx. f.) Quercus velutina Lam. Rhamnus cathartica L. Robinia pseudo-acacia L. Sassafras albidum (officinale) (Nutt.) Nees Tilia americana L. Tsuga canadensis (L.) Carr. Ulmus americana L. Ulmus rubra Muhl. Common name Chestnut oak Red oak Black oak European buckthorn Black locust Sassafras Basswood Eastern hemlock American elm Slippery elm Total 1 Year of report1 1938 1949 1985 2003 × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × 40 64 56 40 Notes Not reported after 1949 First reported in 1980s Raup 1938, Tryon and Finn 1949, Friday and Friday 1985, Barringer and Clemants 2003. the 1930s (Raup 1938). It was not reported for many years and was not listed in the 2003 published flora, although a single individual in poor health was subsequently located (K. Barringer, pers. comm.). Of the eleven species added to the forest tree species list subsequent to the 1938 published flora, three (black walnut (Juglans nigra), Norway spruce (Picea abies), and jack pine (Pinus banksiana)) were planted. One species, silver maple (Acer saccharinum), was on land added to the forest after 1985 and has not been found elsewhere in the forest naturally. The remaining seven species are all thought to have invaded the forest naturally. None of these seven is common in the forest and their exact dates of arrival are unknown. Two of these, tree-of-heaven (Ailanthus altissima), and white poplar (Populus alba), are species not native to North America and are known for their spreading, invasive nature (Alien Plant Invaders of Natural Areas, Plant Conservation Alliance, National Park Service, http://www.nps. gov/plants/alien/). The other five new species, southern catalpa (Catalpa bignonioides), cockspur hawthorn (Crataegus crus-galli), red mulberry (Morus rubra), eastern cottonwood (Populus deltoides), and slippery elm (Ulmus rubra), have range distributions with centers substantially to the south of the BRF (Little 1971, 1977). On the eight long-term plots, red oak and chestnut oak trees together comprised 64% of the canopy trees in 1936 and 70% of the canopy trees in 2006 (Figure 2). Chestnut oak was the most common species in the canopy in 1936 but was replaced by red oak as the most common canopy tree by 2006. Red maple decreased from 10% of canopy trees in 1936 to 4% in 2006. Only four of 43 red maple canopy trees survived the period and only two of 102 understory red maples in 1936 had become canopy trees by 2006. Sugar maple increased from 5% of canopy trees in 1936 to 9% in 2006. Black birch and yellow birch both increased slightly from 4 to 7% of canopy trees. Basswood and shade-intolerant species such as gray birch were eliminated from the canopy by 2006. Changes were greater in the understory than in the canopy of the long-term plots (Figure 2). Oak trees decreased from 37% of the understory trees in 1936 to 13% in 2006. Red maple increased from 27% of understory trees in 1936 to 41% in 2006, whereas sugar maple decreased from 13 to 9%. Black birch increased from fifth most common understory tree in 1936 to second most common in 2006 and yellow birch also increased. Basswood and shade-intolerant species such as gray birch were eliminated from the understory by 2006, as also occurred in the canopy. Black gum (Nyssa sylvatica) tripled from 2% of the understory in 1936 to 6% by 2006, whereas a group of other shade-tolerant understory trees including shadbush (Amelanchier canadensis) and striped maple (Acer pennsylvanicum) increased to total 9% of the understory by 2006. Density and basal area On the eight long-term plots, mean tree density decreased from about 1500 trees per hectare in 1936 to 735 tree per hectare in 2006 (Figure 3). Density steadily declined to about 950 trees per hectare by the mid 1960s and remained near that value until the early 1980s when it began declining again. In the 1930s, there was substantial among-plot variation in density because the youngest plots had a great many trees, whereas the two other plots had been thinned. This variance decreased steadily until 1978 and then increased as some plots experienced new recruitment whereas others continued to thin. Since 1988, variance in density has continued to decrease along with absolute density. Mean basal area on the long-term plots doubled from less than 15 m2 ha –1 in 1936 to 29 m2 ha –1 in 1998 (Figure 3). Basal area increment was low between 1946 and 1954, between 1961 and 1971, and between 1979 and 1986, and was negative from the end of the 1981 growing season through the end of 1984. After peaking in 1998, mean basal area decreased by about 10% to a low of 26 m2 ha –1 in 2005, rebounding slightly in 2006. Mean maximum annual basal area increment was 0.52 m2 ha –1 year –1, whereas the mean basal area increment over the entire 70-year period was 0.17 m2 ha –1 year –1. Aboveground biomass Forest-wide AGB based on Black Rock Forest inventory data TREE PHYSIOLOGY VOLUME 28, 2008 BIOMASS CHANGES IN THE BLACK ROCK FOREST 543 Figure 2. (A) Canopy and (B) understory tree species composition on eight long-term plots in the Black Rock Forest in 1936 (open bars) and 2006 (filled bars). averaged 71.4 ± 3.4 Mg ha –1 in 1930, ranging from little more than zero in young stands to as much as 161 Mg ha –1 (Figure 4). Stand age at the time ranged from 20 to 80 years and wood volume ranged from 0 to 168 m3 ha –1 (Tryon 1930). In Figure 3. Mean (A) tree density and (B) basal area in eight long-term plots in the Black Rock Forest from 1936 to 2006, with 95% confidence intervals. 1985, the second forest-wide inventory documented mean AGB of 144.9 ± 5.1 Mg ha –1. Although not directly comparable because of different methods and sample areas, these data indicate a long-term AGB accumulation rate of roughly 1.3 Mg ha –1 year –1 over the intervening 55 years. Aboveground biomass on the long-term plots increased from 75 Mg ha –1 in 1936 to 183 Mg ha –1 in 1985, for a mean Figure 4. Forest-wide aboveground live tree biomass (AGB) as estimated by 1930 and 1985 inventories (䉲), mean AGB from a subset of 45 inventory plots in 1985 and 2000 (䊏) and mean AGB on a series of eight long-term plots in the Black Rock Forest from 1936 to 2006 (䊉), with 95% confidence intervals. TREE PHYSIOLOGY ONLINE at http://heronpublishing.com 544 SCHUSTER, GRIFFIN, ROTH, TURNBULL, WHITEHEAD AND TISSUE Figure 5. Mean estimated aboveground biomass per tree for all trees of major canopy tree species between 10 and 20 cm diameter at breast height in 1936 that persisted on eight long-term plots in the Black Rock Forest through 2006. AGB accumulation rate of 2.2 Mg ha –1 year –1. The long-term plots had higher mean AGB in 1985 compared with the forest-wide mean from the 1985 inventory (183.4 versus 144.9 Mg ha –1 ), although the 95% confidence intervals overlapped (Figure 4). The 45 plots from the 1985 inventory that were measured in 2000 had higher AGB than the forest-wide mean because these plots included more than a dozen mature stands of eastern hemlock and other stands growing on deeper soils derived from thick deposits of glacial till (Denny 1938). Between 1985 and 2000, mean AGB on these 45 plots increased from 167 to 195 Mg ha –1 (1.8 Mg ha –1 year –1 ), whereas AGB on the eight long-term plots increased from 183 to 215 Mg ha –1 (2.1 Mg ha –1 year –1 ). Four periods of generally lower biomass increment on the long-term plots (1946–1954, 1961–1971, 1979–1986 and 1999–2005) correspond with periods of decreased basal area increment, because both were calculated from dbh measurements (Figure 4). The most recent decline in AGB, which occurred from the end of the 1998 growing season through the end of the 2005 growing season, represented a loss of 9.1% in total live aboveground tree biomass. Among canopy trees with diameters between 10 and 20 cm in the 1930s that survived to 2006, red oaks increased in aboveground biomass at more than twice the mean rate for trees of all other species (Figure 5). Red oak’s proportion of total aboveground biomass, averaged across all plots, increased from 27 to 45% over this period. Chestnut oak growth rates were less than those for red oak, but were still greater than for other species. Yellow birch and black birch and red maple and sugar maple canopy trees alive for the entire period all averaged about 400 kg dry aboveground biomass in 2006. Discussion Changes in tree species composition and structure A notable feature of the changes in the tree species list for the BRF between the 1930s and the late 1990s is the impact of introduced species: one of the three species extirpated from the forest, American elm, was eliminated by an introduced fungus, and two of the seven tree species that moved into the forest are introduced plants widely considered to be invasive (tree-of-heaven and white poplar). Barringer and Clemants (2003) reported that 20% of the modern flora of the BRF are introduced species, a proportion that has increased over time. From an examination of floristic records, Robinson et al. (1994) documented that the proportion of introduced species in the flora of Staten Island, New York increased from 19% to more than 33% between 1879 and 1991. A second notable feature of the change in tree species list is that the pattern consistent with predictions about the way tree species ranges will change as a result of climate warming (Iverson et al. 1999, 2007). Two of the three tree species extirpated from the forest (black spruce and paper birch) are northern species with southern range margins near the BRF, and the five native tree species that have moved into the forest (southern catalpa, cockspur hawthorn, red mulberry, eastern cottonwood, and slippery elm) all have ranges predominantly to the south of the BRF (Little 1971, 1977). Nearby meteorological stations recorded a mean air temperature increase of 1.0 °C over the 20th century, mainly through fall and winter warming and increased summer minimum daily temperatures (Warrach et al. 2006). Thus aside from plantings of Norway spruce and black walnut, the spread of introduced species and climate warming appear responsible for all of the changes in forest species richness over six decades. The eight remaining long-term plots are generally typical of the forest in composition and aboveground biomass (Figure 4) and provide more detail on compositional and structural changes since 1936. The aggrading character of the BRF is clearly indicated by the doubling of basal area on the long-term plots from less than 15 m2 ha –1 in the 1930s to nearly 30 m2 ha –1 by 2000. Mean basal area of another upland oak forest in south-central New York doubled to 32 m2 ha –1 in a shorter period from 1935 to 1985 (Fain et al. 1994). Mortality was substantial in the BRF during much of this period as a result of natural thinning and was exacerbated after periods of drought (Tryon and Finn 1949, Karnig and Lyford 1968). During the most recent period of mortality (1999–2005), basal area of the long-term plots was reduced by an average of 10%. Mortality has been greatest on the initially densest plots and all plots are now converging on a density of about 700 stems (> 2.5 cm dbh) per hectare. The forest canopy of these plots underwent relatively minor compositional change between 1936 and 2006, with red oak and chestnut oak remaining dominant, followed by maples and birches. Canopy red oak and chestnut oak in the BRF have high photosynthetic capacities, water-use efficiencies and photosynthetic nitrogen-use efficiencies on both dry and wet sites that likely contribute to their long-term persistence (Turnbull et al. 2001, 2002). In contrast, the forest understory changed dramatically between 1936 and 2006, with all oak species decreasing, red maple increasing, and black birch becoming the second most common tree in the understory. TREE PHYSIOLOGY VOLUME 28, 2008 BIOMASS CHANGES IN THE BLACK ROCK FOREST Larger compositional changes in the understory compared with the canopy have been documented between 1965 and 2004 in a nearby old-growth stand of eastern hemlock (Weckel et al. 2006). These changes portend possible major future turnover in the composition of regional forest canopies. The lack of successful oak reproduction in the understory is a widespread phenomenon (e.g., Abrams 1992, Lorimer 1994, Drury and Runkle 2006) due in part to the relatively poor physiological performance of Quercus species in shade. Oaks have a host of adaptations to drought (waxy xeromorphic leaves, low water potential for stomatal closure, high photosynthetic rates in dry conditions) and disturbances such as fire (thick bark, deep roots, resprouting ability) that adapt them to periodic disturbance (Abrams 1992, Johnson 1993, Turnbull et al. 2001, 2002). In the absence of fires because of the practice of fire suppression, oak seedlings and saplings are often out-competed by thin-barked, fire-sensitive tree species (Chapman et al. 2006, Drury and Runkle 2006). Although acorns and oak seedlings are common around BRF, but even where disturbances have occurred, oak seedlings have rarely grown into young trees because of deer browsing(BRF data, also see Horsley et al. 2003). Young red maple trees have become established more abundantly than any other species in BRF. Nagel et al. (2002) showed that red maples in the BRF have lower energy and resource requirements for leaf construction and maintenance than co-occurring oaks, which may promote establishment and persistence in low light. Lorimer (1984) proposed that maples may become canopy trees in eastern deciduous forests formerly dominated by oaks. However, on the BRF long-term plots red maple has largely failed to occupy or persist well in the canopy. The ecophysiological properties of real maple place it at a disadvantage on dry sites compared with red oak and chestnut oak (Turnbull et al. 2001, 2002). Tree-ring studies of red maples in the Harvard Forest have revealed reduced growth increments since 1992 (Pederson 2005). In the BRF, the more shade-tolerant, gap-facultative (sensu Orwig and Abrams 1994) sugar maple has made the understory–canopy transition more often than red maple. Black birch and yellow birch have both increased in the understory as well as in the canopy. The reason for the loss of moderately shade-tolerant basswood from these plots is unclear. The species exhibited steady decline and was nearly eliminated from the long-term plots by 1970. Basswood was also lost from a nearby old-growth eastern hemlock forest between 1965 and 2004 (Weckel et al. 2006) but has maintained its importance in some other long-term plots (Fain et al. 1994, Woods 2000). Changes in forest biomass In general, the aboveground biomass patterns on the BRF long-term plots are consistent with forest-wide estimates from periodic forest inventories. These results document that aboveground biomass increased by a factor of nearly three over the past 76 years. Despite fluctuations in productivity, the BRF apparently functioned as a C sink for most of the 20th century, although the net change also includes unmeasured changes in 545 belowground carbon pools. This conclusion may extend to many forested mountainous areas in the eastern United States (Liu et al. 2006). Most forest stands in the BRF have current live aboveground biomass between 150 and 250 Mg ha –1, typical for mature eastern North American deciduous forests. Jenkins et al. (2001) analyzed the USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) database for the mid-Atlantic region, and reported a mean AGB of 199 Mg ha –1 for mature (above 20 m2 ha –1 basal area), closed-canopy oak–hickory forests that had not experienced recent losses as a result of logging, fire, disease or insects. The AGB varies substantially across the BRF because of differences in age, growth rates, disturbance and management practices, and some stands have AGB values greater than 300 Mg ha –1, which is within the range reported for old-growth eastern hardwood forests (220 to 330 Mg ha –1; Jenkins et al. 2001). For comparison, the hardwood forest at the Harvard Forest eddy-covariance tower site had a total AGB of 200 Mg ha –1 in 2000 (Barford et al. 2001) and older hemlock–white pine stands in the Harvard Forest had a mean total AGB of 320 Mg ha –1 (J. Hadley, pers. comm.). The experimental forest at Hubbard Brook, New Hampshire, located 340 km northeast of the BRF, had a mean AGB of 162 Mg ha –1 in low-elevation northern hardwood stands in the early 1970s and 197.8 Mg ha –1 in one control watershed in 1992 (Likens et al. 1994). Given that deciduous tree biomass is composed of about 50% C (0.498 g C g –1 wood; Birdsey 1992), estimated aboveground C in live trees in the BRF averaged 35.7 Mg C ha –1 in 1930, 72.5 Mg C ha –1 in 1985 and about 95 Mg C ha –1 in 2000, with some stands containing more than 150 Mg C ha –1. Belowground C stores, however, generally dominate ecosystem C (Dixon et al. 1994). Because stump and coarse root biomass averages about 20% of total tree biomass for deciduous trees in the region (Jenkins et al. 2001), estimated mean total live tree carbon in the BRF increased from 45 Mg C ha –1 in 1930 to 91 Mg C ha –1 in 1985 to 119 Mg C ha –1 in 2000. Adding an average of 5% for C in coarse woody debris from surveys on the long-term plots (data not shown) and an estimate of soil organic C of 50 Mg C ha –1 for this region (USGCRP 2000) yields a rough average of 175 Mg C ha –1 for total ecosystem C in 2000, though the actual relationship between above- and belowground C in this ecosystem is not known. For comparison, Birdsey and Heath (1995) estimated that total ecosystem C across all northeastern USA timberlands averaged 217.5 Mg C ha –1. Based on the known age of the stands where the BRF long-term plots are located, annual AGB increments after clearcutting up to the time of plot establishment in the 1930s averaged 2.1 Mg ha –1 year –1. The period of highest long-term plot AGB increment was from after plot establishment in the 1930s to the early to mid 1960s, with a mean rate of 2.9 Mg ha –1 year –1 (range 2.1–4.2 Mg ha –1 year –1 ). Increases in biomass were primarily a result of the growth of surviving trees, because recruitment was minimal during this period. Eddy-covariance studies in the Harvard Forest recorded a mean net ecosystem uptake of 2.0 Mg C ha –1 year –1 from the TREE PHYSIOLOGY ONLINE at http://heronpublishing.com 546 SCHUSTER, GRIFFIN, ROTH, TURNBULL, WHITEHEAD AND TISSUE atmosphere since the early 1990s, with aboveground woody growth accounting for just over half of the C uptake (Barford et al. 2001). This indicates roughly similar annual aboveground carbon sequestration in the BRF and the Harvard Forest during the 1990s. However, since the end of the 1998 growing season, mean annual AGB increment in the BRF has been –2.1 Mg ha –1 year –1. The temporal pattern of biomass change on the long-term plots is characterized by a generally steady increase interrupted by four periods of slower or even negative biomass increment (1946–1954, 1961–1971, 1979–1986 and 1999– 2005). Although inconclusive, the timing of this pattern suggests some of the most important factors controlling long-term biomass and C dynamics. The first and third periods of lower biomass increment on the long-term plots were almost certainly caused by insect outbreaks. In the late 1940s–early 1950s, the golden oak scale (Asterolecanium variolosum (Ratzeburg)) attacked oak trees, particularly chestnut oak (BRF records). It may have been responsible for the mortality of chestnut oak trees between 1946 and 1948 and generally slower oak growth from 1945 to 1954. The apparent length of this period of reduced growth in the long-term plots, like those in the 1960s and 1980s, is in part an artifact due to infrequent measurement. The BRF chestnut oak tree ring chronologies pinpoint a period of low growth between 1947 and 1949 (D’Arrigo et al. 2001). In the early 1980s, outbreaks of the introduced gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L.) caterpillar caused significant growth reductions and direct mortality of chestnut oak and other tree species, resulting in a slight decline in AGB on the long-term plots. Nearly every tree in the forest was defoliated in 1981 and the impact was so large that 1981 has become a marker year for BRF tree-ring studies (D’Arrigo et al. 2001). In the Harvard Forest, extensive gypsy moth defoliation in 1981 resulted in smaller tree ring widths of red oak and red maple trees than during any previous drought (Pederson 2005). Although absent in long-term plots, reductions in eastern hemlock growth and up to 50% hemlock mortality have occurred in BRF stands since the introduced hemlock wooly adelgid (Adelges tsugae Annand) was first noted in the forest in 1992 (Kimple and Schuster 2002). Before the first records used in this study, the decimation of American chestnut (Castanea dentata (Marsh.) Borkh.) by the chestnut blight (Cryphonectria parasitica (Murrill) Barr) between 1915 and 1918 caused a substantial loss of tree biomass in the BRF, but was followed by increased growth of the remaining trees (Stout 1956). The second and fourth periods of reduced biomass increment coincided with severe droughts. Environmental factors such as precipitation and temperature substantially control annual C flux in some ecosystems (e.g., Goulden et al. 1996, Braswell et al. 1997, White et al. 1999). Our results indicate that the regional drought lasting from 1962 to 1966 resulted in slow aboveground tree growth on the long-term plots, a pattern manifest in annual ring widths of eastern hemlock and chestnut oak (D’Arrigo et al. 2001). The concomitant high mortality, especially of scarlet oak and chestnut oak (Karnig and Lyford 1968), had a large impact on stand biomass, and three of the eight long-term plots lost AGB during this period. The most recent period of AGB reduction on the long-term plots, from 1999 to 2005, can be characterized in detail because of the initiation of annual measurements in 1994. Growth was poor overall in the years 1997, 1999 and 2004, and 1999–2001 and 2003–2005 were periods of high mortality for both canopy and understory trees of chestnut oak, red oak, and red maple. Increased mortality simultaneously occurred on other dry and upper-slope sites in the BRF and surrounding Highlands. Although a detailed analysis is beyond the scope of this paper, the dry years of 1995, 1999 and 2001–2002 (BRF data) may well be underlying factors. Previous land use, i.e., extensive forest clearing, is a major reason for the overall pattern of carbon sequestration and biomass uptake in the BRF. As the forest stands have aged, there is some evidence of decreasing annual forest carbon storage (i.e., lower mean biomass increment after the 1960s) but some stands more than 100 years old have exhibited undiminished AGB increments. Extrapolations indicate that ABG increments during the initial 25–45 years after clearcutting of the stands around the long-term plots were similar to long-term mean rates of about 2.2 Mg ha –1 year –1. The most rapid accumulation of AGB on most plots occurred between the early 1930s and the early 1960s, when stand ages increased from 25–45 years to 55–75 years. The period of lowest overall net biomass gain then ensued from the early 1960s to the mid-1980s, but this may have been due more to the external biotic and abiotic factors than to increasing stand maturity. Human impact on forest biomass via tree removal may be a factor in the relatively low forest-wide AGB increment of 1.3 Mg ha –1 year –1 between the forest inventories of 1930 and 1985. Thinning initially lowers AGB but has been shown to increase increment growth in the remaining trees for a decade or more (Karnig and Stout 1969). However, several timber harvests between 1930 and 1985 extracted substantial tree biomass (BRF data). Species composition has significantly influenced long-term AGB trends and C storage in the BRF. Red oak canopy trees on the long-term plots in the 1930s gained biomass throughout the period to 2006 at more than twice the rate of red maple, sugar maple, black birch and yellow birch trees of similar initial size. American chestnut was a dominant in the forest but was eliminated by 1918 (Stout 1956), with red oak being the major beneficiary. In some other areas, tree-ring analyses have shown increased red oak growth following chestnut demise (Pederson 2005). Increasing red oak growth rates around much of New England have been documented after 1950, especially in older populations (Pederson 2005). We do not believe the large biomass increases for red oak and chestnut oak trees are artifacts of the allometric equations because the match with BRF data on size–biomass relationships was the primary reason for our selection of these equations, and the Brenneman et al. (1978) equations were developed in locations with similar site conditions and species composition. The equations also project less red oak aboveground TREE PHYSIOLOGY VOLUME 28, 2008 BIOMASS CHANGES IN THE BLACK ROCK FOREST biomass at given diameters compared with most of the other species. These patterns of greater biomass gain by red oak and chestnut oak compared with other species are consistent with studies of the photosynthetic and respiratory responses of these dominant BRF tree species to environmental variation (Turnbull et al. 2001, 2002). Lorimer (1981), Abrams (1998) and others have previously documented widespread expansion of red maple, which now dominates the understory and midcanopy of many eastern deciduous forests. However, although common in the BRF, red maple has contributed little to long-term biomass and C accumulation. If the current oak-dominated canopy in the BRF and the surrounding Highlands Region is eventually replaced by the understory dominants red maple and black birch, the change will likely be accompanied by a new release of C. Our results show that mortality has been a controlling factor in long-term aboveground biomass patterns in the BRF, episodically having a greater influence than interannual variation in wood biomass increment. Understory trees are always at high risk of mortality, but on the long-term plots some canopy red oak and chestnut oak trees with reasonable growth rates have also died since 1999, significantly reducing AGB. Jenkins and Pallardy (1995) reported that oak mortality was greater for trees that grew quickly for many years prior to a drought compared with those that grew more slowly. The observed reductions in live biomass have substantially augmented the BRF detrital carbon pool. Carbon in coarse woody debris on the long-term plots was inventoried after the 2002 growing season and ranged from 5 to 33 Mg ha –1, averaging about 5% of the total aboveground carbon on the plots. Other environmental factors with potential for substantial effects on forest carbon and stand dynamics include increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration, acid precipitation, anthropogenic nitrogen deposition and increasing temperatures (Medlyn et al. 2000, McKenzie et al. 2001, Aber et al. 2001, Driscoll et al. 2001, Hyvönen et al. 2007). For example, the BRF currently receives high annual input of N from the atmosphere, with a mean wet deposition rate of 6–7 kg N ha –1 year –1 (National Acid Deposition Program 2002). Acid deposition may contribute to sugar maple dieback and reductions in forest productivity through depletion of base cations in soils (Likens et al. 1996, Long et al. 1997, Driscoll et al. 2001). But the effects of this and the other factors listed above can be difficult to determine. Further study of these factors may reveal their importance, singly and in combination, in forest C dynamics. Implications and additional research The results of this study are consistent with other evidence indicating that North American temperate forests have functioned as significant C sinks for many decades. Black Rock Forest and other forests in the Highlands Province are still capable of sequestering carbon, especially in areas with canopies dominated by red oak and chestnut oak. But recent changes in stand structure, disturbance regimes, and influxes of new tree species combined with recent canopy mortality indicate the potential for substantial forest change in the future. Increased 547 red maple and black birch in the understory, and tree-ofheaven (an introduced species with extremely rapid growth and abundant seed production (Knapp and Canham 2000)) in gaps, could result in a future forest that would likely store less carbon and provide a reduced set of ecosystem services compared with the current oak forest. Our understanding of multiple environmental stress interactions at the forest level remains limited despite its global importance. Long-term monitoring studies of oak forests such as BRF are rare (Chapman et al. 2006) but such databases are critical to develop baselines for validating models and predicting future scenarios (Aber et al. 2001). Long-term studies can provide a basis for understanding the influences of multiple controlling factors, but they need to be large in scope and duration. Studies to quantify belowground changes in roots and soil organic matter are needed to more accurately track ecosystem-level biomass and carbon dynamics. Acknowledgments We acknowledge Hal Tryon and Hugh Raup for the original groundwork that enabled this study. We thank Ben Stout and Jack Karnig for continuing the forest measurements between 1949 and 1992 and Kathleen and James Friday for conducting the 1985 inventory. John Brady, Aaron Kimple, Matthew Munson, John Canella, Michael White, Kristina Kipping, Sarah Helm, Kathy DeWitt, Joy Felio and Emma Hoyt all accomplished important fieldwork and most assisted with data management. We thank Frances Schuster for map making, NIGEC, Barnard College and the Pew Fellowship program for supporting student fellows, and J.T. Mates-Muchin and J.D. Lewis for sharing data. We thank Ernest G. Stillman and William T. Golden for their long-term support of science in the Black Rock Forest. This work was funded in part by the Andrew W. Mellon Foundation (KLG), the Hughes Science Pipeline Project (HR) and the Foundation for Research, Science and Technology, New Zealand (DW). References Aber, J., R.P. Neilson, S. McNulty, J.M. Lenihan, D. Bachelet and R.J. Drapek. 2001. Forest processes and global environmental change: predicting the effects of individual and multiple stressors. BioScience 51:735–751. Abrams, M.D. 1992. Fire and the development of oak forests. BioScience 42:346–353. Abrams, M.D. 1998. The red maple paradox: what explains the widespread expansion of red maple in eastern forests? BioScience 48: 355–364. Albani, M., D. Medvigy, G.C. Hurtt and P.R. Moorcroft. 2006. The contributions of land-use change, CO2 fertilization and climate variability to the Eastern U.S. carbon sink. Global Change Biol. 12:2370–2390. Barford, C.C., S.C. Wofsy, M.L. Goulden et al. 2001. Factors controlling long- and short-term sequestration of atmospheric CO2 in a mid-latitude forest. Science 294:1688–1691. Barringer, K. and S. Clemants. 2003. Vascular flora of Black Rock Forest, Orange County, New York. J. Torrey Bot. Soc. 130: 292–308. Birdsey, R.A. 1992. Carbon storage and accumulation in United States forest ecosystems. USDA Forest Service, Washington, DC, Gen. Tech. Report WO-59, 51 p. TREE PHYSIOLOGY ONLINE at http://heronpublishing.com 548 SCHUSTER, GRIFFIN, ROTH, TURNBULL, WHITEHEAD AND TISSUE Birdsey, R.A. and L.S. Heath. 1995. Carbon changes in U.S. forests. In Productivity of America’s Forests and Climate Change. Ed. L.A. Joyce. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experimental Station, Fort Collins, CO, Gen. Tech. Report RM-GTR-271, pp 56–70. Braswell, B.H., D.S. Schimel, E. Linder and B. Moore, III. 1997. The response of global terrestrial ecosystems to interannual temperature variability. Science 278:870–872. Braun, E.L. 1967. Deciduous forests of eastern North America. Hafner Publishing, New York, 596 p. Brenneman, B.B., D.J. Frederick, W.E. Gardner, L.H. Schoenhofen and P.L. Marsh. 1978. Biomass of species and stands of West Virginia hardwoods. In Proc. Central Hardwoods Forest Conference II, Purdue University. Ed. P.E. Pope. Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, pp 159–178. Brown, S. 2002. Measuring carbon in forests: current status and future challenges. Environ. Pollut. 116:363–372. Buzzetto-More, N. 2006. The story of Black Rock: how an early sustainable forest spawned the American environmental movement and gave birth to a unique Consortium that links science, conservation, and education. Hudson River Valley Rev. 22:109–121. Carey, E.V., A. Sala, R. Keane and R.M. Callaway. 2001. Are old forests underestimated as global carbon sinks? Global Change Biol. 7:339–344. Caspersen, J.P., S.W. Pacala, J.C. Jenkins, G.C. Hurtt, P.R. Moorcroft and R.A. Birdsey. 2000. Contributions of land-use history to carbon accumulation in US forests. Science 290:1148–1151. Chapin, F.S., III, G.M. Woodwell, J.T. Randerson et al. 2006. Reconciling carbon-cycle concepts, terminology, and methods. Ecosystems 9:1041–1050. Chapman, R.A., E. Heitzman and M.G. Shelton. 2006. Long-term changes in forest structure and species composition of an upland oak forest in Arkansas. For. Ecol. Manage. 236:85–92. D’Arrigo, R.D., W.S.F. Schuster, D.M. Lawrence, E.R. Cook, M. Wiljanen and R.D. Thetford. 2001. Climate-growth relationships of eastern hemlock and chestnut oak from Black Rock Forest in the Highlands of southeastern New York. Tree-Ring Res. 57: 183–190. Denny, C.S. 1938. Glacial geology of the Black Rock Forest. Black Rock Forest Bull. No. 8. Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 70 p. Dixon, R.K., S.A. Brown, R.A. Houghton, A.M. Solomon, M.C. Trexler and J. Wisniewski. 1994. Carbon pools and flux of global forest ecosystems. Science 263:185–190. Driscoll, C.T., G.B. Lawrence, A.J. Bulger et al. 2001. Acidic deposition in the northeastern United States: sources and inputs, ecosystem effects, and management strategies. BioScience 51:180–198. Drury, S.A. and J.R. Runkle. 2006. Forest vegetation change in southeast Ohio: do older forests serve as useful models for predicting the successional trajectory of future forests? For. Ecol. Manage. 223:200–210. Fain, J.J., T.A. Volk and T.J. Fahey. 1994. Fifty years of change in an upland forest in south-central New York: general patterns. Bull. Torrey Bot. Club 121:130–139. Fenneman, M.N. 1938. Physiography of the Eastern United States. McGraw-Hill, New York, 714 p. Friday, K.S. and J.B. Friday. 1985. Black Rock Forest inventory 1985. Harvard Black Rock Forest report. Black Rock Forest Consortium, 129 Continental Road, Cornwall, New York, 851 p. Gibbs, J.N. 1981. Dutch elm disease. In Compendium of Elm Diseases. Eds. R.J. Stipes and R.J. Campana. Am. Phytopathol. Soc. St. Paul, MN, 7 p. Goodale, C.L., M.A. Apps, R.A. Birdsey et al. 2002. Forest carbon sinks in the northern hemisphere. Ecol. Applic. 12:891–899. Goulden, M.L., J.W. Munger, S.M. Fan, B.C. Daube and S.C. Wofsy. 1996. Exchange of carbon dioxide by a deciduous forest: response to interannual climate variability. Science 271:1576–1578. Harrington, C.A. and J.J. Karnig. 1975. Growth increase after moderate thinning in a 70-year-old mixed oak stand. Black Rock Forest Paper No. 31. Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 8 p. Horsley, S.B., S.L. Stout and D.S. de Calesta. 2003. White-tailed deer impact on the vegetation dynamics of a northern hardwood forest. Ecol. Applic. 13:98–118. Hyvönen, R., G.I. Ågren, S. Linder et al. 2007. The likely impact of elevated [CO2], nitrogen deposition, increased temperature and management on carbon sequestration in temperate and boreal forest ecosystems: a literature review. Tansley Review, New Phytol. 173:463–480. IPCC. 2001. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 892 p. Iverson, L.R., A.M. Prasad, B.J. Hale and E.K. Sutherland. 1999. An atlas of current and potential future distributions of common trees of the eastern United States. USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Gen. Tech. Report NE-265, 245 p. Iverson, L.R., A.M. Prasad and S.N. Matthews. 2007. Modeling potential climate change impact on the trees of the northeastern United States. Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change. doi:10.1007/s11027-007-9129-y. Jenkins, M.A. and S.G. Pallardy. 1995. The influence of drought on red oak group species growth and mortality in the Missouri Ozarks. Can. J. For. Res. 25:1119–1127. Jenkins, J.C., R.A. Birdsey and Y. Pan. 2001. Biomass and NPP estimation for the mid-Atlantic region (USA) using plot-level forest inventory data. Ecol. Applic. 11:1174–1193. Johnson, P.S. 1993. Perspectives on the ecology and silviculture of oak-dominated forests in the central and eastern states. USDA Forest Service, Gen. Tech. Report NC-153, 28 p. Karnig, J.J. and W.H. Lyford. 1968. Oak mortality and drought in the Hudson Highlands. Black Rock Forest Paper No. 29. Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 13 p. Karnig, J.J. and B.B. Stout. 1969. Diameter growth of northern red oak following understory control. Black Rock Forest Paper No. 30. Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 16 p. Kimple, A. and W.S.F. Schuster. 2002. Spatial patterns of HWA damage and impacts on tree physiology and water use in the Black Rock Forest, southern New York. In Proc. Hemlock Wooly Adelgid in the Eastern United States Symposium, East Brunswick, New Jersey, USDA Forest Service, pp 344–350. Knapp, L.B. and C.D. Canham. 2000. Invasion of an old-growth forest in New York by Ailanthus altissima: sapling growth and recruitment in canopy gaps. J. Torrey Bot. Soc. 127:307–315. Körner, C. 2003. Slow in, rapid out—carbon flux studies and Kyoto targets. Science 300:1242–1243. Landsberg, J.J. and S.T. Gower. 1997. Application of physiological ecology to forest management. Academic Press, London, 354 p. Likens, G.E., C.T. Driscoll, D.C. Buso, T.G. Siccama, C.E. Johnson, G.M. Lovett, D.F. Ryan, T. Fahey and W.A. Reiners. 1994. The biogeochemistry of potassium at Hubbard Brook. Biogeochemistry 25:61–125. Likens, G.E., C.T. Driscoll and D.C. Buso. 1996. Long-term effects of acid rain: response and recovery of a forest ecosystem. Science 272:244–246. Little, E.L., Jr. 1971. Atlas of United States trees. Vol. 1. Conifers and important hardwoods. USDA, Misc. Publication 1146, 9 p. Little, E.L., Jr. 1977. Atlas of United States trees. Vol. 4. Minor eastern hardwoods. USDA, Misc. Publication 1342, 17 p. TREE PHYSIOLOGY VOLUME 28, 2008 BIOMASS CHANGES IN THE BLACK ROCK FOREST Liu, J., S. Liu and T.R. Loveland. 2006. Temporal evolution of carbon budgets of the Appalachian forests in the U.S. from 1972 to 2000. For. Ecol. Manage. 222:191–201. Long, R.P., S.B. Horsley and P.R. Lilja. 1997. Impact of forest liming on growth and crown vigor of sugar maple and associated hardwoods. Can. J. For. Res. 27:1560–1573. Lorimer, C.G. 1981. Survival and growth of understory trees in oak forest of the Hudson Highlands, New York. Can. J. For. Res. 11:689–695. Lorimer, C.G. 1984. Development of the red maple understory in northeastern forests. For. Sci. 30:3–22. Lorimer, C.G. 1994. Tall understorey vegetation as a factor in the poor development of oak seedlings beneath mature stands. J. Ecol. 82: 227–237. Mahar, N. 2000. Black Rock Forest. Hudson Valley Regional Review 16:21–40. McKenzie, D., A.E. Hessl and D.L. Peterson. 2001. Recent growth of conifer species of western North America: assessing spatial patterns of radial growth trends. Can. J. For. Res. 31:526–538. Medlyn, B.E., R.E. McMurtrie, R.C. Dewar and M.P. Jeffreys. 2000. Soil processes dominate the long-term response of forest net primary productivity to increased temperature and atmospheric CO2. Can. J. For. Res. 30:873–888. Monteith, D.B. 1979. Whole-tree weight tables for New York. AFRI Research Report 40, State University of New York, Syracuse, NY, 40 p. Myneni, R.B., J. Dong, C.J. Tucker, R.K. Kaufmann, P.E. Kauppi, L. Zhou, V. Alexeyev and M.K. Hughes. 2001. A large carbon sink in the woody biomass of Northern forests. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 98:14,784–14,789. Nagel, J.M., K.L. Griffin, W.S.F. Schuster, D.T. Tissue, M.H. Turnbull, K.J. Brown and D. Whitehead. 2002. Energy investment in leaves of red maple and co-occuring oaks at sites within a forested watershed. Tree Physiol. 22:859–867. National Acid Deposition Program. 2002. Available from http://nadp.sws.uiuc.edu/. Odum, E.P. 1969. The strategy of ecosystem development. Science 164:262–270. Odum, E.P. 1971. Fundamentals of ecology, 3rd Edn. Saunders, Philadelphia, PA, 574 p. Olsson, K.S. 1981. Soil survey of Orange County, New York. USDA Soil Conservation Service, US Government Printing Office, Washington, DC, 192 p. Orwig, D.A. and M.D. Abrams. 1994. Contrasting radial growth and canopy recruitment patterns in Liriodendron tulipifera and Nyssa sylvatica. Gap-obligate versus gap-facultative tree species. Can. J. For. Res. 24:2172–2149. Pacala, S.W., R.A. Houghton, R.A. Birdsey et al. 2001. Consistent land- and atmosphere-based U.S. carbon sink estimates. Science 292:2316–2320. Pederson, N.A. 2005. Climatic sensitivity and growth of southern temperate trees in the eastern US: implications for the carbon cycle. Ph.D. Thesis. Columbia University, 186 p. Raup, H.M. 1938. Botanical studies in the Black Rock Forest. Black Rock Forest Bull. No. 7, Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 168 p. Robinson, G.R., M.E. Yurlina and S.N. Handel. 1994. A century of change in the Staten Island flora: ecological correlates of species losses and invasions. Bull. Torrey Bot. Club 121:119–129. Ross, P. 1958. Microclimatic and vegetational studies in a cold-wet deciduous forest. Black Rock Forest Paper No. 24, Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 89 p. 549 Ryan, M.G., D. Binkley and J.H. Fownes. 1997. Age-related decline in forest productivity: pattern and process. Adv. Ecol. Res. 27:213–262. Schnur, G.L. 1937. Yield, stand, and volume tables for even-aged upland oak forests. USDA. Tech. Bull. No. 560, Washington, DC, 88 p. Schuberth, C.J. 1968. The geology of New York City and environs. Natural History Press, Garden City, New York, 304 p. Schulze, E-D., C. Wirth and M. Heimann. 2000. Managing forests after Kyoto. Science 289:2058–2059. Sokal, R.R. and F.J. Rohlf. 1981. Biometry, 2nd Edn. W.H. Freeman and Co., New York, 859 p. Stout, B.B. 1956. Studies of the root systems of deciduous trees. Black Rock Forest Bull. No. 15, Harvard University Printing, Cambridge, MA, 45 p. Ter-Mikaelian and Korzukhin. 1997. Biomass equations for sixty-five North American tree species. For. Ecol. Manage. 97:1–24. Tryon, H.H. 1930. The Black Rock Forest. Black Rock Forest Bull. No. 1, Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 45 p. Tryon, H.H. 1939. Ten-year progress report 1928–1938. Black Rock Forest Bull. No. 10, Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, pp 1–76. Tryon, H.H. and R.F. Finn. 1949. Twenty-year progress report 1927–1948. Black Rock Forest Bull. No. 14, Cornwall Press, Cornwall, NY, 89 p. Turnbull, M.H., D. Whitehead, D.T. Tissue, W.S.F. Schuster, K.J. Brown and K.L. Griffin. 2001. The response of leaf respiration to temperature and leaf characteristics in three deciduous tree species differs at sites with contrasting water availability. Tree Physiol. 21:571–578. Turnbull, M.H., D. Whitehead, D.T. Tissue, W.S.F. Schuster, K.J. Brown, V.C. Engel and K.L. Griffin. 2002. Photosynthetic characteristics in canopies of Quercus rubra, Quercus prinus and Acer rubrum differ in response to soil water availability. Oecologia 130:515–524. Turner, D.P., G.J. Koerper, M.E. Harmon and J.J. Lee. 1995. A carbon budget for forests of the conterminous United States. Ecol. Appl. 5:421–436. USGCRP. 2000. Our changing planet: the FY 2000 U.S. Global Change Research Program. Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Committee on Environment and Natural Resources of the National Science and Technology Council, Washington, D.C., 100 p. Warrach, K., M. Stieglitz, J. Shaman, V.C. Engel and K.L. Griffin. 2006. Twentieth century climate in the New York Hudson Highlands and the potential impacts on eco-hydrological processes. Clim. Change 75:455–493. Weckel, M., J.M. Tirpak, C. Nagy and R. Christie. 2006. Structural and compositional change in an old-growth hemlock Tsuga canadensis forest, 1965–2004. For. Ecol. Manage. 231:114–118. White, M.A., S.W. Running and P.E. Thornton. 1999. The impact of growing-season length variability on carbon assimilation and evapotranspiration over 88 years in the eastern deciduous forest. Int. J. Biometeorol. 42:139–145. Woods, K. 2000. Dynamics in late-successional hemlock-hardwood forests over three decades. Ecology 81:110–126. Zhou, G., S. Liu, Z. Li, D. Zhang, X. Tang, C. Zhou, J. Yan and J. Mo. 2006. Old-growth forests can accumulate carbon in soils. Science 314:1417. TREE PHYSIOLOGY ONLINE at http://heronpublishing.com
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz