1958 Is 'Silent' Myocardial Ischemia Really as Severe as Symptomatic Ischemia? The Analytical Effect of Patient Selection Biases Jacob Klein, MD; Susan Y. Chao, MS; Daniel S. Berman, MD, FACC; Alan Rozanski, MD, FACC Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Bacgond The clinical significance of exercise-induced chest pain remains controversial, as reflected by sharply discordant clinical results within the medical literature. Thus, we developed a prospective study to compare the functional significance of silent versus symptomatic ischemia and to evaluate whether patient selection biases influence this analysis. Metds and Rss We evaluated 117 patients (mean age, 63±9 years) with ischemic ST-segment depression during treadmill testing. Each patient underwent T1-201 myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) after exercise followed by 24-ambulatory ECG monitoring. Patients were divided into silent versus symptomatic cohorts and were compared for the degree of hemodynamic, exercise and ambulatory ECG, and thallium abnormalities during stress testing. Analyses were repeated as the patient population became increasingly restricted. Compared with the silent patients, patients with chest pain during exercise had a shorter exercise duration (P<.009), lower peak heart rate (P=.009) and double product (P=.005), lower heart rate threshold for ST depression (P<.05), more episodes of ambulatory ST-segment depression (P<.05), a higher fre- quency of ischemia abnormalities during T1-201 SPECT (P=.02), and higher summed 11 reversibility scores (P=.002). As the population became increasingly restricted, the relative magnitude of differences in silent versus symptomatic cohorts diminished, whereas the absolute magnitude of ischemic abnormalities progressively increased in both cohorts. For example, within the restricted group having ischemia on both exercise and ambulatory ECG, 50% of the silent cohort had severe ischemia on TI SPECT (five or more reversible defects) and more than one third demonstrated the ominous finding of transient left ventricular dilation after exercise. Conclusions The induction of chest pain is associated with substantially more functional abnormalities when it is analyzed in a relatively "broad-spectrum" coronary artery disease population; by contrast, chest pain tends to lose its apparent value as a clinical test parameter when its analysis is restricted to coronary artery disease populations with a greater a priori likelihood of manifesting inducible ischemia. These findings may help resolve some of the previous discordant literature reports. (Circulation. 1994;89:.1958-1966.) Key Words * ischemia * tomography * exercise . chest pain T he clinical significance of exercise-induced chest pain remains controversial. A variety of previous studies,1-6 including a large follow-up study by Cole and Ellestad,1 have demonstrated that the induction of chest pain conveys an adverse prognosis in coronary artery disease (CAD) patients. However, a variety of other studies have indicated that silent and symptomatic ischemia are associated with a similar angiographic magnitude of coronary disease,7-10 similar functional abnormalities during stress testing,9-12 and/or similar prognostic findings.13-18 These discordant results cannot be attributed to the evaluation of small patient populations. Rather, among studies of 250 patients or more, the number reporting a similar magnitude of abnormalities among silent and symptomatic patients15'16.18 versus the number reporting more abnormality among symptomatic patientsl13'5'6 were nearly equal. Thus, the cause(s) for this discordance among studies remains unresolved. We previously noted that different forms of selection bias may affect the perceived significance of test parameters.19-26 For example, "pretest" and "posttest" referral biases are biases that powerfully influence the measurement of test parameters.'9-21 Along these lines, it is notable that the significance of exercise-induced chest pain has been studied in widely different populations, ranging from asymptomatic patients without documented CAD at one extreme1 to the study of patients having only documented CAD and a severe magnitude of exercise-induced ischemia at the other extreme.14 Hence, we developed the following prospective study to assess the functional significance of silent versus symptomatic ischemia during exercise testing and to evaluate the effect of common selection biases on this assessment. Received December 22,1993; revision accepted January 6,1994. From the Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, and Department of Nuclear Medicine, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center and the UCLA School of Medicine, Los Angeles, Calif, and the Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, St Luke's/ Roosevelt Hospital Center and the Department of Medicine, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY. Correspondence to Alan Rozanski, MD, St Luke's/Roosevelt Hospital Center, Division of Cardiology, 114th St on Amsterdam Ave, New York, NY 10025. Methods Patient Population The patients for this study were recruited from those routinely referred to our laboratories for stress-redistribution thallium single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) over a 14-month period. We prospectively recruited a random sample of patients from among those who satisfied the following two entry criteria: (1) they had documented coronary disease based on angiography or the occurrence of Klein et al Silent vs Symptomatic Ischemia prior myocardial infarction or a high (>80%) pretest probability of coronary disease, based on Bayesian analysis of clinical symptoms, risk factors, and results of exercise electrocardiography27 and (2) they manifested an ischemic ECG response during exercise testing. Patients with an uninterpretable ECG for ST analysis were excluded, including those with significant resting ST-segment abnormalities, conduction abnormalities, left ventricular hypertrophy, and those on digoxin. Each recruited patient was required to undergo additional 24-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring. Recruited patients who did not reliably record chest pain symptoms in their diary during ambulatory monitoring (five patients) also were excluded from this study. There were 117 patients who satisfied all criteria. These included 103 men and 14 women with a mean age of 63±9 years (range, 39 to 83). Exercise Testing Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Maximal exercise treadmill testing was performed using the standard Bruce protocol. The ECG was monitored continuously in three leads during exercise using leads aVF, V1, and V5. A 12-lead ECG was recorded at rest, during each minute of exercise, at peak exercise, and during each minute after exercise for at least 5 minutes or until all exercise-induced ECG changes disappeared. The exercise ECG response was considered ischemic when planar or downsloping ST-segment depression was .1 mm in magnitude from the baseline or upsloping depression was .1.5 mm at measurements obtained 0.08 seconds after the J point. Blood pressure was recorded using a cuff sphygmomanometer at rest, at the third minute of each exercise stage, at peak exercise, and at 2-minute intervals after exercise. Exercise was terminated by the physician if severe angina, high-grade ventricular arrhythmia, or exertional hypotension occurred during stress testing. Patients were instructed to withhold P-blocking medication for 48 hours, calcium channel blocking agents for 24 hours, and long-acting nitrates on the day of testing (139 patients [92%] complied with this request). Ambulatory ECG All patients underwent ambulatory ECG monitoring, usually immediately after the conclusion of the stress-redistribution thallium study in the laboratory (median, 1 day; range, 0 to 61 days, with 93% tested within the same week). Ambulatory monitoring was performed for either 24 hours (87 patients) or 48 hours (30 patients). An AM recorder was used (Cardiodata MK4) with automatic calibration of the ECG signal with a 1-mV square wave signal at the start of the recording. This recorder has a frequency of 0.05 to 100 Hz/s. After careful skin preparation, two exploring bipolar leads were attached to the V5 and modified inferior electrode positions. Patients were instructed to carry out their usual daily activities and to fill out a comprehensive structured diary,28 including the occurrence and time of each episode of chest pain. The calibrated 24-hour ambulatory monitor tapes were visually analyzed by an experienced technician at 60 times real time using an operator-interactive Cardiodata MK4 computer. Episodes of transient ST-segment depression on ambulatory ECG were considered ischemic when horizontal or downsloping ST-segment depression of >1 mm or >1.5 mm upsloping ST-segment depression persisted for at least 60 seconds.29 Measurements were made at 0.08 seconds after the J point and compared with the isoelectric baseline at the PR interval. Separation of one episode from the next required that the ECG return to baseline for at least 3 minutes after an earlier episode. For data analysis, baseline strips and representative strips for each ischemic episode were saved and printed at real time. Blinded interpretation of all recordings was performed by two independent physicians, with resolution of disagreements by consensus interpretation of the two observers. The time and heart rate at onset, duration, and magnitude of 1959 ST-segment depression and the presence or absence of chest pain were noted for each episode of transient myocardial ischemia during ambulatory monitoring. In patients who were monitored for 48 hours, only the first 24 hours were considered for analysis. Thallium-201 SPECT Three to four millicuries of thallium-201 was injected intravenously at near-maximal exercise. Imaging was initiated approximately 6 minutes after the injection of thallium, beginning with a 5-minute planar image in the anterior view followed by tomographic imaging.30 Thirty-two projections (40 seconds) were obtained over 1800. Redistribution imaging was repeated at 4 hours and at 24 hours if a stress defect was persistent at 4 hours. A large-field-of-view scintillation camera containing 75 photomultiplier tubes and a 0.25-in. (0.64 cm) sodium iodine crystal, equipped with a low-energy, all-purpose hole collimator was used. The raw data were initially smoothed with a 9-point weighted averaged algorithm, and filtered back-projection was then performed using a low-resolution, fifth-order Butterworth filter with a cutoff frequency of 0.20 cycles per pixel to reconstruct transverse axial tomograms, each of 6.2-mm thickness, encompassing the entire heart. Vertical and horizontal long-axes tomograms parallel to the long and short axes of the left ventricle were extracted from the filtered transaxial tomograms. Blinded experienced physicians interpreted all short-axis and long-axis tomograms displayed on transparency film. The intensity of each image was normalized to the maximal pixel value in that image. Thallium-201 myocardial tomograms were divided into 20 segments: 6 evenly spaced regions in the apical, midventricular, and basal cuts of the short-axis views and the two apical segments of the midvertical long-axis cut.20 Each segment was scored for intensity of thallium activity using a four-point system: 0, no; 1, mild; 2, moderate; and 3, severe decrease in regional thallium-201 uptake.30 Any poststress segmental score of .2 was considered abnormal. Stress defects with a score of ' 1 at 4 or 24 hours of redistribution imaging were deemed "reversible." A study was considered positive for ischemia if .2 of the 20 myocardial segments showed a reversible thallium defect. For each study, we assessed the number of reversible segments and the thallium "reversibility score," defined as the sum of thallium score in the 20 myocardial segments at stress minus the sum of the segmental scores at 4 hours (or at 24 hours if late imaging was performed). Transient ischemic dilation of the left ventricle after stress was evaluated by comparing left ventricular size on the poststress and 4-hour anterior view planar thallium images.31 Assessment of Anginal Presentation Patients with chest pain syndromes were characterized according to their frequency, precipitants, mode of relief, and course before the performance of testing. Patients were considered to have an increase in symptoms if they reported a recent increase in chest pain frequency or severity. Coronary Angiography Selective cine coronary arteriography was performed in multiple oblique projections using the Judkins technique. The results were interpreted by experienced angiographers. Significant stenosis was considered present when there was 250% diameter narrowing of a major coronary vessel. Statistical Methods Based on the clinical response to exercise, all patients were divided into those with ST depression and no chest pain during exercise (silent exercise group) and those with ST depression and accompanying chest pain during exercise (symptomatic exercise group). Similarly, for the group of these patients who also had ST-segment depression during ambulatory ECG 1960 Circulation Vol 89, No 5 May 1994 TABLE 1. Subdivisions of the Patient Population Total Population (n=1 17) l I Stratification by chest pain occurrence during ambulatory ischemic episodes (n=only the 34 patients with ischemia on ambulatory ECG monitoring) Stratification by chest pain response to exercise (n=all 117 patients) No chest pain (silent exercise group) (n=88) Chest pain during ischemia (symptomatic ambulatory group) (n=12) No chest pain during ischemia (silent ambulatory group) (n=22) Chest pain (symptomatic exercise group) (n=29) Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 monitoring, two additional subgroups were formed: those with no chest pain during episodes of ST-segnent depression (silent ambulatory subgroup) and those with at least one or more ischemic episodes accompanied by chest pain during episodes of ST-segment depression (symptomatic ambulatory subgroup). Data were expressed as frequency (proportion) for categorical variables and as mean±SD for normally distributed continuous variables; otherwise, they are reported as median and range. Univariate analysis of categorical variables was performed using X2 analysis or Fisher's exact test. When only two groups were compared, continuous variables were analyzed using the Student's t test or Wilcoxon rank-sum test. When more than two groups were compared, continuous variables were analyzed using ANOVA or the Kruskal-Wallis test. All significance testing was done at the .05 level. Results Table 1 illustrates the subdivision of our patient population, based on the presence or absence of chest pain during exercise testing and ambulatory ECG monitoring. During exercise testing, 88 (75%) of the 117 patients had silent ST-segment depression (silent exercise group), whereas only 29 patients (25%) developed chest pain (symptomatic exercise group). During 24hour ambulatory monitoring, 34 (29%) of the 117 patients had a total of 76 episodes of ST-segment depression, with a range of 1 to 7 episodes per patient and a median duration of 7.9 minutes per episodes (range, 1 to 51 minutes). Of these 34 patients, 22 patients (65%) had only silent ischemic episodes, and these 22 form the silent ambulatory subgroup. Of the other 12 patients (35%) who experienced chest pain with ambulatory ST-segment depression, forming the symptomatic ambulatory subgroup, 6 had only symptomatic episodes and 6 had both silent and symptomatic episodes. Overall, 59 (78%) of the ischemic ECG episodes occurred silently, including 20 of the 37 episodes (54%) occurring in the symptomatic group. Clinical descriptors for the silent and symptomatic patients during exercise testing and ambulatory monitoring are listed in Table 2. The majority of symptomatic patients had atypical or typical angina by clinical history. Conversely, nearly half of the patients in the silent groups were asymptomatic, and nearly one quarter had nonanginal chest pain. Diabetes mellitus was not more common in the silent groups. Comparison of Clinical, Exercise ECG, and Ambulatory ECG Responses in the Two Exercise ECG Subgroups The results in silent and symptomatic exercise subgroups are listed in Table 3. Compared with the silent subgroup of 88 patients, the symptomatic exercise subgroup of 29 patients had a significantly shorter duration of exercise (P=.001), lower peak heart rate (P=.009) TABLE 2. Clinical Descriptors of Silent Versus Symptomatic Patients Within the Ambulatory and Exercise Groups (+) Exercise Groups (+) Ambulatory Groups Silent Symptomatic Silent Symptomatic (n=88) (n=29) (n=22) (n=12) 61+10 66+9 64±9 Age (mean+SD) 22 23 80 men (100) No. (79) (91) Sex, (%) Symptom class, No. (%) 10 (45) 42 (48) 0 (O)* Asymptomatic patients 5 (23) 6 (21) 18 (20) NACP patients 3 (14) 6 (21) 15 (17) Atypical angina patients 4 (18) 17 (59) 13 (15) Typical angina patients 0 (0) 4 (15) 6 (8) On medications, No. (%) 3 (15) 7 (27)* 5 (6) History of diabetes mellitus, No. (%) 6 (27) 10 (34) 39 (44) History of prior Ml No. (%) (+) indicates positive; NACP, nonanginal chest pain; and Ml, myocardial infarction. *P<.01, silent vs symptomatic subgroup. 63±9 8 (67) 0 (0)* 1 (8) 3 (25) 8 (67) 2 (18) 3 (27) 4 (33) Klein et al Silent vs Symptomatic Ischemia 1961 TABLE 3. Comparison of Exercise ECG and Clinical Variables In the Positive Exercise ECG Subgroups Positive Exercise ECG Group Silent Subgroup (n=88) Symptomatic Subgroup Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 P (n=29) Clinical variables .001 5.4±1.7 7.7±2.6 Exercise duration, min .009 135±20 146±18 Peak heart rate, bpm .0004 85±10 93±10 % MHPR achieved NS 173±29 179±24 Peak SBP, mm Hg .005 23 309±5132 26 319±4819 Peak double product Exercise ECG variables NS 2.7±1.0 2.5±0.8 ST magnitude, mm .04 123±18 131 ±18 HR at ST depression onset, bpm 1 (0-10) 2 (1-6) .05 ST duration into recovery, min* Ambulatory ECG variables NS 38% 30% % With test positive 3 (1-7) .04 1 (1-4) Number of ST episodest .007 22 (3-66) 11 (2-59) Duration of episodes (min)* .009 2.3+1.0 1.9±0.5 ST depression magnitude, mm NS 100±20 106±16 HR threshold at ischemia, bpm % MPHR indicates % maximal predicted heart rate; SBP, systolic blood pressure; double product, heart rate times SBP product; HR, heart rate; and bpm, beats per minute. *Values are expressed as median (ranges are in parentheses). tNumber of ST episodes equal number of transient ischemic episodes per 24-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring period. and double product (P=.005), and a lower heart rate threshold (P=.037) for exercise-included ST-segment depression as well as a greater frequency (P<.05) and duration (P<.07) of ST-segment depression episodes during ambulatory ECG monitoring. Thus, the symptomatic subgroup had significantly greater clinical, exercise ECG, and ambulatory ECG abnormalities compared with the silent exercise subgroup. Comparison of Silent and Symptomatic Ambulatory ECG Subgroups The 34 patients with ambulatory ST-segment depression were also divided into a symptomatic subgroup of 12 patients and a silent subgroup of 22 patients (Table 4). The symptomatic subgroup manifested a significantly greater frequency of inducible chest pain during treadmill testing (P<.05) as well as a shorter exercise duration (P<.05), and they tended toward having a lower peak exercise double product (P=.08) as well as more prolonged ST-segment depression after cessation of exercise (P=.09). Ischemia During Thallium-201 Stress-Redistribution Scintigraphy As illustrated in Fig 1, the frequency of a positive thallium scan was substantially greater in the symptomatic patients during exercise testing and during ambulatory ECG monitoring. The global magnitude of inducible ischemia, as measured by the summed thallium reversibility score, was also greater in both symptomatic subgroups. The score was 7.2+6.7 versus 12.2+8.6 in the silent versus symptomatic exercise subgroups (P=.002) and 9.2±9.1 versus 13.1±7.1 in the silent versus symptomatic ambulatory subgroups (P=.2). Other markers of ischemic magnitude are shown in Fig 2. Although there was a greater frequency of transient ischemic left ventricular dilations after exercise in the symptomatic versus silent exercise subgroup, this difference did not reach statistical significance. The frequency of transient ischemic dilation was quite similar in the symptomatic versus silent ambulatory ECG cohorts, but the frequency of transient dilation was quite high, occurring in over one third of patients in both cohorts. Severe ischemia, defined as five or more reversible thallium defects, was significantly more common in the symptomatic ischemic patients both during exercise testing and during ambulatory ECG monitoring. The results of exercise thallium scintigraphy were concordant with the clinical and ECG data: Symptomatic patients manifested a substantially greater frequency and magnitude of myocardial hypoperfusion during exercise testing. Comparison of Exercise Results in Selected Patient Subgroups To evaluate the potential influence of patient selection bias on these comparisons, we reassessed the comparative magnitude of ischemic abnormalities in the symptomatic versus silent subgroups as the patient population became progressively restricted. Thus, Table 5 lists differences in exercise variables for symptomatic versus silent patient subgroups following the application 1962 Circulation Vol 89, No 5 May 1994 TABLE 4. Comparison of Exercise ECG and Clinical Variables in the Positive Ambulatory ECG Group Positive Ambulatory ECG Group Silent Subgroup (n=22) Clinical variables Exercise duration, min Exercise chest pain Peak heart rate, bpm % MHPR achieved Peak SBP, mm Hg Peak double product Exercise ECG variables ST depression magnitude, mm HR at ST depression onset, bpm ST duration into recovery, min* 7.0+2.4 3 (14%) 139±21 90±12% 175+26 24 496±5792 Symptomatic Subgroup (n=12) .04 .03 NS 5.2+2.5 6 (50%) 130+23 83+13% 159+35 20 611 +6094 NS NS .08 NS NS Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 3.1 (1-6) 2.8±1.0 121 +23 4.2 (2-10) Silent Group Symptomatic Group (n=22) (n=12) 3.3+0.9 120+19 P .09 Ambulatory groups 1 (1-7) 2.5 (1-6) NS Number of ST episodes* NS 16 (3-54) 10 (2-61) Duration of episodes, min* 2.1±1.0 NS 2.3+0.9 ST depression magnitude, mm NS 102±24 104±14 HR threshold at ischemia, bpm % MPHR indicates % maximal predicted heart rate; SBP, systolic blood pressure; double product, heart rate times SBP product; HR, heart rate; and bpm, beats per minute. *Values are expressed as median (ranges are in parentheses). of increasingly selected inclusion criteria. First, we restricted our analyses to patients with known coronary disease, excluding the "diagnostic" patients who had high Bayesian CAD likelihood but unconfirmed coronary disease. The same results were noted in this group as in our population at-large: The symptomatic exercise subgroup had significantly worse clinical, exercise ECG, E p=0.06 p=0.02 P<0.05 92% % 100 63% _ 80CL 3: 60 40200 (n=22) (n=1 2) (n=88) (n=29) AMBULATORY ECG() EXERCISE ECG (+) M SILENT EM SYMPTOMATIC FIG 1. Bar graph: Comparison of the frequency of a positive exercise thallium study (vertical axis) in the patients with a positive exercise ECG response (left) and positive ambulatory ECG response (right). Each group was subdivided into two subgroups based on the presence or absence of chest pain with exercise. Patients who had silent ST-segment depression are represented with black bars and those with symptomatic STsegment depression during exercise are represented by striped bars. In both groups, the symptomatic cohort had a higher frequency of positive thallium studies. (n=88) (n=29) (n=22) (n=12) EXERCISE ECG (+) AMBULATORY ECG (+) - SIIENT Z SYMPTOMATIC FIG 2. Top graph: Frequency of transient ischemic dilation (TID) of the left ventricle after stress (on the vertical axis) in the exercise and ambulatory EGG subgroups. Note the high frequency of TID in the patients with a positive ambulatory ECGG study regardless of the presence or absence of chest pain during ischemic episodes. Bottom graph: Percent of patients manifesting severe ischemia (five or more reversible thallium defects) on the vertical axis. Patients with chest pain and exercise-induced ST-segment depression had nearly twice the frequency of severe ischemia on thallium scintigraphy compared with patients with silent ST-segment depression. Klein et al Silent vs Symptomatic Ischemia 1963 Comparison of Test Variates in Silent Versus Symptomatic Subgroups in Selected Samples of the Study Population Ti Variables Hemodynamics ST-Segment Depression TABLE 5. Exercise Known CAD patients Silent (n=64) Symptomatic (n=25) P Recent cath (within 6 mo) Silent (n=25) Symptomatic (n=1 0) Peak HR Peak SBP Duration mm 144±19 135±20 .06 178±10 171±23 NS 7.5±2.5 3.5±1.9 .0005 2.5±10 2.5±0.7 147±18 133±17 .04 174±23 161±22 7.0±2.6 5.2±2.0 .06 2.7±0.8 3.1±0.7 NS HR at Onset, bpm Duration Median (Range) 130±18 123±17 .07 1 (0,10) 2 (1,6) 129±17 122±16 NS 1 (1-6) 2 (1,5) NS % With %+ TID 72% 92% .04 19% 25% 76% 90% NS 28% 40% NS Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 NS NS P NS NS +Ambulatory ECG, recent cath 7.2±2.4 3.3±1.0 121 ±18 3 (1-6) 79% 42% 140±19 170±22 Silent (n=14) 4 128±24 165±26 5.0±2.4 2.5±0.7 120±23 90% 50% (2-10) Symptomatic (n=10) P .004 NS .05 NS NS NS NS NS Increase in anginal symptoms 4.8±1.5 2.0±0.8 130±20 5 (1-6) 162±10 100% 60% 136±15 Silent (n=5) 121±15 3 (1-5) 88% 50% 131±17 161±25 3.2±2.3 3.2±0.8 Symptoms (n=8) P NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS HR indicates heart rate; SBP, systolic blood pressure; +, positive (evidence of ischemia, as defined in the text); TID, transient ischemic dilation of the left ventricle after exercise. and exercise thallium abnormalities. Second, we restricted our analyses to only patients who were recently catheterized (within 6 months of thallium testing). Differences in exercise ECG abnormalities persisted, although they were not significant in this sample size, and differences in thallium abnormalities (number of reversible defects and summed thallium reversibility score) remained significantly greater in the symptomatic exercise subgroup. Third, we restricted our analysis to the even more selected population of patients with angiographically documented CAD who had a positive ambulatory ECG response. In this subgroup, the differences between the silent and symptomatic patient subgroups narrowed. For example, both groups now had a similar heart rate threshold for the onset of ST-segment depression with exercise, and the difference in summed thallium reversibility score between the two groups was now mild. Fourth, we evaluated the subgroup of patients manifesting a recent increase in anginal symptoms. Thallium abnormalities of ischemic magnitude remained mildly greater in the symptomatic subgroups, not reaching statistical significance in this very small sample size. Fig 3 compares the summed thallium reversibility score in each of these selected populations. As the patient population became increasingly selected, there was a progressive increase in the magnitude of the summed thallium reversibility score among both the silent and symptomatic subgroups. Discussion In our study, the induction of chest pain during exercise-induced ischemia signified ischemia of a greater severity compared with the induction of silent ischemia. Our results were based on the analyses of hemodynamic responses and multiple markers of myocardial ischemia. Each measurement was concordant in confirming the functional significance of chest pain during the evocation of ischemia. Among hemodynamic parameters, patients with symptomatic ischemia manifested a significantly shorter duration of exercise, a lower peak heart rate, and lower double product. Concomitantly, they manifested a lower threshold for the induction of exercise-induced ST-segment depression _ silent* patients symptomatic patients 20 W Q0 15 U/) C1 0 (88) (29) (64) (25) (25) (10) >80% CAD LIKELIHOOD CONFIRMED CAD CATHETERIZED PATIENTS (14) (10) POSITIVE HOLTER (5) (8) INCREASE IN SYMPTOMS FIG 3. Bar graph: Summed thallium reversibility score (vertical axis) is shown for silent and symptomatic patients in five groups as increasing selection criteria were applied to define the population of interest. There was a substantial difference in the summed thallium reversibility score between symptomatic and silent cohorts for patients having a high likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD) (P=.002), confirmed CAD (P=.004), or recent catheterization (P=.06) (first three groups on the left). By contrast, in the patients defined on the basis of having a positive Holter or increasing anginal symptoms, no significant differences were noted. Note that the absolute values for the summed thallium reversibility scores increased progressively as the population became increasingly selected. 1964 Circulation Vol 89, No 5 May 1994 TABLE 6. Summary of Comparisons of Silent Vaes Symptomtc lachemla Principle % With Investigator Patients, Selection Criteria No. Silent lschemia (at al) Primary end points greater in symptomatic patents 46% +Cath, mild symptoms 131 1) Bonow 66% Any +Ex ECG 1402 2) Cole 40% +Ex ECG (>2 mm) 298 3) Dagenais Primary End Points ischemialanatomy* cardiac events cardiac eventst ischemia anatomy/cardiac events# ischemia* Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 74 Ex RNV and cath 58% 4) Iskandrian 842 29% +Cath, symptoms 5) Mark 540 47% +Ex ECG and cath or Mi 6) Stern in Primary end points similar silent vs symptomatic patients +Ex thallium, +cath in 6 mo 49% cardiac eventst 55 1) Assey EF fall >10%, or >5% fall and WMA 60% cardiac events 140 2) Breitenbacher 65% +Ex ECG cardiac eventst 484 3) Callaghan +Ex ECG, +cath (within 1 mo) 76% cardiac eventst# 473 4) Falcone 57% +Ex thallium 103 ischemia/anatomy 5) Gasperatti 112 75% +Ex thallium, +cath in (1 mo) 6) Hecht ischemialanatomyt 52% +Ex ECG, +cath (within 3 mo) 95 ischemia 7) Hikita 72 50% Selected cath patients ischemia 8) Hirzel +EX ECG s/p acute Ml 90 cardiac events N/R 9) Koppes +Ex ECG, +cath 122 39% anatomy 10) Undsey +Ex 63% ECG acute Ml 60 anatomy s/p 11) Ouyang 48% +Cath (from the CASS registry) cardiac events 880 12) Weiner Ex indicates exercise; WMA, wall motion abnormalities with exercise. *In subgroups who were more sick within the study population, the primary end points were similar for silent and symptomatic cohorts. tThe frequency of revascularization was 45% in the symptomatic cohort vs only 21% in the silent cohort in this study. tSelected hemodynamic or exercise ECG variables were significantly more abnormal in patients with symptomatic ischemic. and more prolonged ST-segment depression after exercise. The symptomatic group manifested more ischemic abnormalities during ambulatory ECG, including a greater number of transient episodes of ST-segment depressions during daily life activities. On a clinical basis, patients in the symptomatic group also were more likely to have a history of typical angina. Within our study, there was also a higher frequency of diabetes mellitus in the symptomatic group, but caution must be exercised in analyzing this finding, since selection bias could have influenced the distribution of conventional risk factors in our patient population. Our study was designed to use stress-redistribution thallium-201 myocardial perfusion scintigraphy as an independent marker of myocardial ischemia and as a means of comparing functional disease severity among clinically relevant subgroups of our patient population. The results of thallium scintigraphy were concordant with those noted above: The induction of chest pain with exercise was associated with a greater frequency of exercise-induced thallium abnormalities, a greater summed thallium reversibility score, and nearly twice the frequency of severe ischemia (five or more reversible thallium defects). Hence, as indicated by multiple ischemic measurements and hemodynamic variables, the induction of chest pain was associated with greater ischemic and functional abnormalities during exercise testing, and the differences between the symptomatic and silent subgroups were substantial. Our results were based on the combined analysis of uncatheterized patients with a high (>80%) likelihood of coronary disease patients as well as patients with angiographically documented disease. By contrast, many other studies limited their assessment to patients with angiographically documented coronary disease only. Accordingly, we also restricted our own analyses to patients with angiographically documented coronary disease only; this yielded the same observations noted for our population at large. Comparison With Other Studies There have been markedly discordant results among 18 published studies that compared the significance of silent versus symptomatic ischemia during exercise testingl-18 (Table 6). These differences were present regardless of primary end point (frequency of cardiac events, magnitude of myocardial ischemia, and/or extent of anatomic coronary disease). Among the seven largest studies (more than 250 patients per study), four concluded that symptomatic ischemia was associated with a higher frequency of abnormality among primary end points,13-5'6 whereas silent and symptomatic ischemia were comparable in the other three studies.15,16'18 There was a wide variation in the criteria used for patient selection among these studies. At one extreme, in their large follow-up of 1402 patients, Cole and Ellestad1 used the more lenient inclusion of any patient with a positive exercise ECG response, even if the test was Klein et al Silent vs Symptomatic Ischemia Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 done for screening purposes and concomitant angiography was not a required inclusion criterion. At the other extreme, Breitenbucher et al'4 used the more strict inclusion criterion of a >10% fall in exercise ejection fraction or a >5% fall in association with exerciseinduced wall motion abnormalities.14 Similarly, patients varied in terms of clinical descriptors ranging from the inclusion of patients who had only mild anginal symptoms or no symptoms, used by Bonow et al,2 to the study of patients exercising after acute myocardial infarction, as performed by Ouyang et al.8 Other potential descriptors of functional disease severity do not appear in Table 6. For example, Gasperetti et al9 were probably evaluating a functionally sick population, since 25% of the patients in their study manifested exercise hypotension, and the mean duration of ST-segment postexercise depression was >5 minutes. Generally, however, even based on the variables listed in Table 6, there was a tendency for the strictest selection criteria to be concentrated among the studies in which silent and symptomatic ischemia were found to be associated with comparable degrees of clinical abnormality. To mimic selection criteria found in the literature, we also subdivided our patient population into a series of clinical subgroups and compared hemodynamic and ischemic variables in each subgroup. Our results revealed two trends. First, as the patient population becomes more selected, the magnitude of thallium abnormalities tended to narrow between silent and symptomatic cohorts. Second, the more selected the patient population, the greater the magnitude of thallium defect reversibility in both silent and symptomatic patients (Fig 3). This also was true for other test abnormalities. For example, there was a progressive decline in peak heart rate and peak systolic blood pressure and a progressive increase in ST-segment depression duration after exercise as well as a progressive increase in the frequency of transient left ventricular dilation after exercise, as silent ischemic patients were culled from progressively more selected subgroups. Thus, our results confirm the trend that is suggested from our literature review: As patients become increasingly selected toward a higher a priori likelihood of developing ischemia, there is a tendency for chest pain to lose its significance as an additional differentiating factor in patient assessment. A further subanalysis of previously reported studies provides further support for this conclusion. In three of the studies cited in Table 6, the comparisons of silent versus symptomatic ischemia also were assessed after dividing patients according to the functional severity of CAD.26,15 In each study, different conclusions could be derived on the basis of this patient stratification. For example, Stern et al6 found a greater degree of test abnormalities among symptomatic versus silent ischemia when the analysis was restricted to patients manifesting ischemia that was between 1 and 2 mm in magnitude, but they noted comparable degrees of abnormality for symptomatic versus silent ischemia among patients with .2 mm ST-segment depression. Similar findings were reported by Callaghan et al.15 Bonow et a12 found more test abnormalities in symptomatic patients in their population at large but similar degrees of abnormality among silent and symptomatic patients when their analysis was restricted to only high-risk 1965 patients manifesting both ST-segment depression and an abnormal ejection fraction during exercise. These results further emphasize the importance of patient selection biases in assessing the significance of chest pain. Comparison of Silent and Symptomatic Ischemia During Ambulatory ECG Symptomatic ischemia also was associated with more test abnormalities compared with silent ischemia during ambulatory ECG monitoring in our study. However, the magnitude of differences was less than those noted for silent versus symptomatic ischemia during exercise testing. These ambulatory test results parallel the majority of 10 prior ambulatory ECG studies that compared silent versus symptomatic ischemia during ambulatory ECG monitoring,32-4' including two studies that showed symptomatic episodes to be associated with greater test abnormality3334 and five others that showed a strong tendency toward support of this finding.35-37,3940 More striking in our data was the scintigraphic findings linking the presence of ambulatory ST-segment depression per se-whether silent or symptomatic-to a severe magnitude of inducible ischemia. Thus, even among patients demonstrating silent ischemia only during ambulatory ECG monitoring, over one third of these patients manifested transient ischemia dilation of the left ventricle after exercise and one half also demonstrated reversible thallium defects in five or more myocardial segments. These results help explain reports regarding the adverse prognosis associated with ST-segment depression during ambulatory ECG monitoring.42-44 Study Limitations Evaluation of the prognostic significance of chest pain would have been of further interest in our study. Along these lines, as emphasized elsewhere,2' increasing caution must be exercised in interpreting the results of follow-up when "interventional referral bias," the preferential selection of sicker patients for revascularization, becomes prevalent. For example, Falcone et al'6 concluded that there was a similar frequency of cardiac events in patients with silent and symptomatic ischemia in their study, but nearly twice as many symptomatic patients (45% versus 24%) were referred for revascularization. This may have resulted in a preferential lowering of cardiac event rates in the symptomatic group of patients. Second, Cole et al reported a doubling of cardiac event rates when chest pain was induced at low versus high exercise workloads, but our study and most other prior studies have provided no measurable quantification of chest pain to confirm this possibility. We did, however, identify a small cohort with increasing anginal symptoms who appeared to form a functionally sick cohort in our study (Fig 3). Similar findings have been reported by Harris et al.45 Further analysis of these and other chest pain features deserve further clinical investigation. Acknowledgments This study was funded in part by the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation and the KROC Foundation. Dr Klein was a Save-A-Heart Foundation Fellow in Preventive Cardiology. 1966 Circulation Vol 89, No S May 1994 References 1. Cole JP, Ellestad MH. Significance of chest pain during treadmill exercise: correlation with coronary events. Am J Cardiol. 1978;41: 227-232. 2. 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Outcome in medically treated coronary artery disease. Circulation. 1980;62: 718-726. Is 'silent' myocardial ischemia really as severe as symptomatic ischemia? The analytical effect of patient selection biases. J Klein, S Y Chao, D S Berman and A Rozanski Downloaded from http://circ.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 16, 2017 Circulation. 1994;89:1958-1966 doi: 10.1161/01.CIR.89.5.1958 Circulation is published by the American Heart Association, 7272 Greenville Avenue, Dallas, TX 75231 Copyright © 1994 American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved. Print ISSN: 0009-7322. Online ISSN: 1524-4539 The online version of this article, along with updated information and services, is located on the World Wide Web at: http://circ.ahajournals.org/content/89/5/1958 Permissions: Requests for permissions to reproduce figures, tables, or portions of articles originally published in Circulation can be obtained via RightsLink, a service of the Copyright Clearance Center, not the Editorial Office. 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