1 WIIT CHARITABLE TRUST ESSAY WRITING CONTEST SUBMISSION Liberalizing Trade with Least Developed Countries: U.S. Generalized System of Preferences Renewal and Suggested Reforms Elena V. Szajewski March 15, 2015 Szajewski 2 The U.S. Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) has outlived its usefulness in its current configuration and needs to be reformed. Though the program is currently expired, it is a preferential tariff system which provides for a formal exception of most favored nation treatment, allowing least developed countries (LDCs) to receive preferential reduced or zero tariff rates when exporting to developed country markets1. The purpose of the program is to relatively decrease the price of goods imported from developing countries, and thus encourage their sale in developed country markets. Resolution 21 (iii) taken at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development in New Delhi in 1968 states that “… the objectives of the generalized, non-reciprocal, nondiscriminatory system of preferences in favor of the developing countries, including special measures in favor of the least advanced among the developing countries should be to (a) increase their export earnings, (b) promote their industrialization, and (c) accelerate their rates of economic growth.”2 This resolution was established on the theory that preferential tariff rates in developed country markets could promote export-driven industry growth in developing countries, and help developing countries diversify their economies to promote stable growth.3 The U.S. GSP program was first authorized in 1974. Most recently, the U.S. GSP provided duty-free entry for over 5,000 products from 122 beneficiary developing countries (BDCs).4 The program had been very successful; according to International Trade and Finance Specialist Vivian C. Jones “No other U.S. preference program is 1 “Generalized System of Preferences,” Accessed March 13, 2015, http://unctad.org/en/Pages/DITC/GSP/Generalized-System-of-Preferences.aspx. 2 Ibid. 3 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Secretary-General, The Generalized System of Preferences: Review of the First Decade, 1983, p. 9. 4 Vivian C. Jones, “Generalized System of Preferences: Background and Renewal Debate” (report prepared for members and committees of Congress, December 16, 2014). Szajewski 3 more broadly based or encompasses as many countries as GSP.” Supporters of the legislation believe that it is an effective, low-cost means of providing economic assistance to developing countries. Critics like the Zambian author Dambisa Moyo argue that encouraging private trade stimulates economic activity and paves a much smoother path to sustainable development than regular aid.5 Further, the GSP serves developed nations’ interests by providing leverage to promote foreign policy agendas and leads to lower costs of imports. On July 31, 2013, the U.S. GSP expired without renewal. While many advocate for a speedy renewal of the legislation,6 it has not yet been passed. The Heritage Foundation’s Ryan Olson argues that the lapse needs to be taken advantage of to reform and then ensure continual renewal of the program. He argues that “new GSP legislation should be passed which focuses on increasing GSP imports while reducing regulatory pressures that hinder GSP utilization.”7 The largest tell that GSP legislation needs reform is the heavy decline of its use. After it was first passed imports greatly increased, and then beginning in the mid-1990s, GSP imports stabilized,8 and from 2006-2013, they declined by almost 40%, returning to 1993 levels.9 Alternatively, all other import categories, including other imports from BDCs, declined slightly due to the 2008 recession, but have since recovered. Olson warns that “If overall GSP imports continue to decline at the same pace as they have declined since 2006, imports under the GSP 5 Dambisa Moyo, Dead Aid: Why Aid is Not Working and How There is Another Way for Africa (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2009). 6 Coalition for GSP, “Renew GSP Today,” Accessed March 13, 2015, http://renewgpstoday.com. 7 Ryan Olson, “The Generalized System of Preferences: Time to Renew and Reform the U.S. Trade Program,” The Heritage Foundation, Last Modified September 10, 2014, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2014/09/thegeneralized-system-of-preferences-time-to-renew-and-reform-the-us-trade-program. 8 United States International Trade Commission, “Interactive Tariff and Trade Dataweb,” Accessed March 15, 2015, http://dataweb.usitc.gov. 9 Olson, “Generalized System of Preferences.” Szajewski 4 program will approach zero by about 2025.”10 Possible reasons for the diminished GSP participation can fall into four main categories: (a) GSP import transfer to other programs; (b) domestic protectionism; (c) erosion of preferential margins and; (d) regulations not reflecting needs of BDCs, and specifically, least developed beneficiary developing countries (LDBDCs). Since the GSP was first authorized, several newer more liberal preference schemes have begun crowding out GSP participation.11 Many GSP products are now imported at lower rates under regional U.S. preference schemes like the African Growth and Opportunity Act, Andrean Trade Preference Act, and the Caribbean Basin Initiative. Creation of these supplementary preference schemes acknowledges some of the deficits of GSP legislation. A reformed GSP which incorporates their more liberal regulations would entice importers to transition back to GSP participation, and significantly broaden the reach of the GSP scheme. While the GSP was created to favor trade from developing countries and promote burgeoning industries by helping them gain a foothold in developed economies, three types of protectionist policies have been placed specifically within the U.S. GSP to keep competitive foreign products out of the U.S. market. To begin with, products like textiles, apparel, watches, footwear, electronics, steel and glass products and certain agricultural products are deemed “import sensitive” and excluded from GSP duty-free treatment due to the existence of domestic production competitors.12 Second, “competitive need limits” (CNL) import ceilings apply to products from single countries which either reach a specific threshold or proportion of total U.S. imports. When the CNL is reached, the product is declared “internationally competitive” and Ibid. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Preferential Trading Arrangements in Agriculture and Food Markets: The Case of the European Union and the United States: United States Preference Schemes, Agriculture and Food 1 (2005); 81. 12 United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, GSP – Handbook on the Scheme of the United States of America, 2, 2010. 10 11 Szajewski 5 loses GSP benefits. Finally, certain products may simply be excluded from GSP benefits by a domestic manufacturer petition.13 All three of these regulations directly oppose the objectives of the GSP program by either blocking duty-free developing country imports, or ensuring that successful products lose eligibility for duty-free import. Large reforms need to be made in this area to realign GSP intention with actual legislation. Low-cost competitive developing country products must be allowed into U.S. markets with GSP benefits, and CNL thresholds must be significantly raised or eliminated to allow successful products to gain a foothold in U.S. markets. Another issue leading to decreased GSP usage is the erosion of preferential margins once enjoyed by GSP exporting countries. As global trends lean toward free-trade through programs like the North American Free Trade Agreement, the advantage of GSP participation diminishes. Little can be done to combat this since the only way to re-inflate preferential margins would be the introduction of negative import duties for GSP participating nations. Finally, the problem of GSP eligible products poorly reflecting the production capabilities of LDBDCs must be reformed. More than anything else, LDCs are prepared to produce agriculture and food products, as well as some labor-intensive products, like apparel and footwear.14 Apparel and textiles in particular make up a significant portion of exports from LDCs, yet do not fully qualify for GSP benefits.15 Exceptions to the textile rule are folklore products, national flags, banners et cetera.16 Unfortunately, the production of these particular products will not drive the development of diverse economies. 13 Jones, “Generalized System of Preferences,” p. 9. Bernard Hoekman, Francis Ng, and Marcelo Olarreaga, “Eliminating Excessive Tariffs on Exports of Least Developed Countries,” World Bank Economic Review 16:1 (2002); 4, doi: http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/abs/10.1093/wber/16.1.1. 15 Olson, “Generalized System of Preferences.” 16 Ibid. 14 Szajewski 6 Conversely, top GSP imports are crude oil, motor vehicle parts, certain alloys, rubber tires, stone, insulated wire and other goods.17 Cheap import of these products aids mostly the importing developed country and emerging economies of India, Brazil, Indonesia, Turkey, Philippines, South Africa and others.18 Renewed GSP legislation should include reforms to expand product eligibility to more closely match the production capacity of its intended beneficiaries, lowest income countries. While GSP legislation has consistently enjoyed broad support, certain reforms must be made to revitalize the program in its current context. Regulations need to be liberalized to incorporate regional trade program concessions and entice importers to transition back to GSP participation. Product eligibility must be expanded to decrease the quantity of import sensitive and CNLrestricted products. Eligible products for GSP import should be the same ones that LDBDCs are most ready to produce. The option to renew GSP legislation is supported by BDC governments and exporters, U.S. importers and consumers, and some U.S. manufacturers who use GSP inputs in downstream products.19 The Coalition for GSP reminds us that as a result of the expired GSP program, “American companies now face an estimated $2 million per day in new taxes.”20 Even with the old program’s flaws, it is sorely missed. Reforming and subsequently reinstating an improved and expanded U.S. GSP is an imperative step in ensuring U.S. foreign policy, supporting developing country welfare and production industries, and providing for a competitive market benefitting U.S. consumers. 17 Rick Helfenbein, “Failure to Renew GSP is America’s Hidden Fiasco,” The Hill, Last Modified January 29, 2015, http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/finance/231071-the-failure-to-renew-gsp-is-americas-hidden-fiasco. 18 Ibid. 19 Jones, “Generalized System of Preferences,” p. 19. 20 Coalition for GSP, “Renew GSP Today.” Szajewski 7 Bibliography Coalition for GSP. “Renew GSP Today.” Accessed March 13, 2015. http://renewgsptoday.com/. Helfenbein, Rick. “Failure to Renew GSP is America’s Hidden Fiasco.” The Hill. Last Modified January 29, 2015. http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/finance/231071-failure-to-renewgsp-is-americas-hidden-fiasco. Hoekman, Bernard, Francis Ng, and Marcelo Olarreaga. “Eliminating Excessive Tariffs on Exports of Least Developed Countries.” World Bank Economic Review 16:1 (2002); 4. doi: http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/abs/10.1093/wber/16.1.1. Jones, Vivian C. “Generalized System of Preferences: Background and Renewal Debate.” Report prepared for members and committees of Congress, December 16, 2014. Moyo, Dambisa. Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There is Another Way for Africa. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2009. Olson, Ryan. “The Generalized System of Preferences: Time to Renew and Reform the U.S. Trade Program.” The Heritage Foundation. Last Modified September 10, 2014. http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2014/09/the-generalized-system-of-preferencestime-to-renew-and-reform-the-us-trade-program. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Preferential Trading Arrangements in Agricultural and Food Markets: The Case of the European Union and the United States: United States Preference Schemes. Agriculture and Food 1 (2005); 81. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Secretary-General. The Generalized System of Preferences: Review of the First Decade. 1983, p. 9. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. GSP - Handbook on the Scheme of the United States of America. 2, 2010. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. “Generalized System of Preferences.” Accessed March 13, 2015. http://unctad.org/en/Pages/DITC/GSP/Generalized-System-of Preferences.aspx. United States International Trade Commission. “Interactive Tariff and Trade Dataweb.” Accessed March 13, 2015. http://dataweb.usitc.gov/.
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