Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area: Trends and Characteristics a research report for The C. E. & S. Foundation by Alexei Izyumov Assistant Professor of Economics, and Fifth Third Bank Research Fellow in Entrepeneurship and Paul Coomes Professor of Economics, and National City Research Fellow Babu Nahata Professor of Economics with assistance from Barry Kornstein Senior Research Analyst Raj Narang Research Associate Michael Price Kentucky State Demographer Sofia Alterman Research Associate University of Louisville June 2001 CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................ 1 I. IMMIGRATION TO THE LOUISVILLE METRO AREA IN THE CONTEXT OF RECENT NATIONAL TRENDS .................................................... 5 1.1 Immigration to the United States: recent developments ....................................................... 5 1.2 Immigration to Kentucky ........................................................................................................... 6 1.3 Immigrant population and recent flows to Louisville ............................................................ 9 II. THE NATIONAL ORIGIN OF LOUISVILLES IMMIGRANT COMMUNITY ............................................................................................................ 15 2.1 The situation at the beginning of the 1990s ......................................................................... 15 2.2 The new immigration, and the impact of refugees .............................................................. 17 III. LEGAL CATEGORIES OF IMMIGRANTS TO LOUISVILLE ....................... 23 3.1.Legal categories of immigrants ............................................................................................... 23 3.2.Legal categories of new immigrants to Louisville .............................................................. 24 3.3 Legal categories of new immigrants by national origin ....................................................... 28 IV. DECLARED OCCUPATIONS OF IMMIGRANTS TO LOUISVILLE ............ 31 4.1 The occupational structure of Louisvilles immgrantion .................................................... 31 4.2 The occupational structure and national origin of immigrants ......................................... 35 4.3 Distribution of occupations by legal category of admission ............................................. 36 4.4 The age structure of immigrants to Louisville...................................................................... 38 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................ 39 APPENDICES A. TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ............................................................. 41 B. NET INTERNATIONAL AND DOMESTIC MIGRATION TO STATES, 1990-99 .................................................................................. 43 C. ESTIMATES OF THE CURRENT SIZE OF LOUISVILLES FOREIGN-BORN COMMUNITY .................................................... 44 D. EXPLANATION OF COVER MAP: SETTLEMENT PATTERNS BY ZIP CODE OF IMMIGRANTS TO THE LOUISVILLE MSA DURING THE 1990s .................................................................. 45 E. THE FOREIGN-BORN POPULATION IN THE UNITED STATES, BUREAU OF THE CENSUS REPORT, 2001 .................................... 47 Executive Summary T he C.E. & S. Foundation has engaged economists at the University of Louisville to learn what causes immigrants to choose certain locations over others in the United States, to study immigration in the Louisville metro area and to help find ways to attract more immigrant talent to the city. Our first report presented a review of relevant economic and social aspects of immigration, including its costs and benefits, as reflected in the existing literature. This report summarizes the second phase of our research an analysis of the detailed statistics on immigration flows into Greater Louisville over the past decade. In the third phase, using the research findings of the first and second stages of our study we will provide recommendations to help local leaders improve the quantity and quality of immigrant flow to the Louisville area. In this report we use the most detailed and current data available on legal immigrationthe records of the US Immigration and Naturalisation Service (INS). In contrast to Census Bureau statistics, which is based on samples of the foreign-born population, INS records take account of every individual immigrant coming to the US. These records also indicate a state and a zip code where a new immigrant is registered in the US, allowing precise estimates of initial settlement patterns of immigrants. The INS records contain information on some of the most important characteristics of new immigrants, including their country of birth, age, occupation and legal status upon entry to the US. In contrast to the Bureau of Census statistics INS data clearly distinguishes core immigrants from other foreign-born, such as students, longterm visitors, tourists and the like. To evaluate the recent immigration experience of Louisville we have acquired from the US government the extensive database of INS statistics covering the period of 1990-98 and containing close to 7 million individual immigrant records. The database was reorganized to provide key information for immigrants settling into each of almost 300 US Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) including Greater Louisville. Specifically we focused on such characteristics of immigration as overall growth, changes in national origin, legal categories of admission, and professional occupations. Wherever possible we compared characteristics of Louisvilles immigrants to those of 14 peer cities, Kentucky, and the US. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area The report is organized into four sections and several appendices. The first section deals with the dynamics of immigration in the 1990s in Louisville, as compared to the situation in the United States, in the state of Kentucky and in the group of comparable cities. The second section addresses the national origin of Louisvilles immigrants, including these who resided here at the beginning of the 1990s and those who came more recently. In the third section, we examine the 1990s immigrant flow to Louisville from the standpoint of legal categories of immigrant admission. That is, we investigate the main paths leading immigrants to Louisville, such as a job offer, or a marriage to a US resident. The fourth section deals with occupations of new immigrants and their potential for the local labor market. Appendix A is a glossary of terminology used in the immigration literature. Appendices B, C, and D provide some additional information and statistics on immigration. The most important findings from our study of recent immigration in Louisville include: Ö During the decade of the 1990s the inflow of immi- grants to Louisville was rapid, which helped to reduce the gap with the rest of the nation. Until 1990 Louisville was a typical inland low-immigrant city with a foreign-born population of just 12,000 or 1.3 percent of the total. In 1990-98, net international migration to the metro area added 7,073 foreign-born residents. Assuming that registered net inflow of immigrants reflects their longer-term settlement patterns, between 1990 and 1998 the foreign-born population of Greater Louisville increased by about 60 percent. This was a much faster growth than for the US foreign-born population as a whole (35 percent) and faster than in 12 of the 14 comparable metro areas. Ö In terms of the share of immigrants in the total population the gap between Louisville and the rest of the US remains substantial. Even if our higher estimate is correct, the current number of foreignborn in Louisville is less than 50,000 and their share in metros population is still below 5 percent, onehalf the national average. In the 1990s Louisville was rapidly catching up with the rest of the US, but starting from a very low base. 1 Ö The rapid growth of immigration to the Louisville metro contributed to a noticeable increase in foreign-born persons in the state of Kentucky. Between 1990 and 2000 the foreign-born population of Kentucky has almost tripled, increasing to 97 thousand people, or 2.5 percent of the total population. Kentucky ranked third among all states by the rate of growth of its immigrant population in the 1990s. By this indicator Kentucky (+185 percent) was behind only Alabama and North Carolina, but well ahead of traditional immigrant states of Texas (+60 percent), California (+33 percent) or New York (+25 percent). These numbers are particularly impressive if one recalls that in the previous decade, that is between 1980 and 1990, the foreign-born population of Kentucky did not increase at all. Ö During the 1990s, the national composition of Louisvilles immigration was dominated by one group, Vietnamese, which alone was responsible for 24 percent of the total inflow. Vietnam was followed by two other Asian nationsIndia (5.4 percent) and China (5.2 percent). Together these three countries were responsible for more than one-third of the total inflow of new immigrants. The other countries in the top twelve group were: Cuba, Canada, Bosnia, Ukraine, Philippines, United Kingdom, Korea, Mexico and Russia. By contrast, for the US as a whole the largest immigrant group was Mexicans. In 1990s they comprised 31.3 percent of all new immigrants to the US with another 22.7 percent of immigrants coming from other Latin American and Caribbean countries. On the other hand, in contrast to the national trend, a relatively low proportion of immigrants to Louisville (one third vs. two thirds) came via familyreunification channels. The share of Louisvilles immigrants coming via employment sponsorship is not much different from the national average (about 15 percent), but is markedly lower compared to Louisvilles main competitor cities, such as Cincinnati and Indianapolis. Ö The occupational structure of Louisvilles immigra- tion is less favorable than in most of its key competitor cities. In the course of the 1990s Louisville attracted 958 immigrants with professions requiring formal education. This was half of that in Cincinnati and Indianapolis and 1.5 times less than in Nashville. In terms of percentage of such specialists in the total inflow of immigrants (13.5 percent), Louisville found itself in the middle of the peer group, but still behind Cincinnati (20.7 percent), Indianapolis (19.7 percent), Birmingham (19.6 percent) and Dayton (18.5 percent). Ö Occupations of Louisvilles immigrants closely cor- relate to their national origin and legal status. Some countries consistently supplied the city with highly trained professionals, others mostly provided service workers, artisans and blue collar workers. The majority of the more skilled immigrants came to Louisville from India, China, Canada, United Kingdom, and Russia. Most of the less skilled immigrants came from Vietnam, Cuba, Bosnia, Ukraine and Mexico. Ö Based on our estimates, the 1990s immigration into Ö Louisvilles non-immigrant population of students Louisville has increased the national diversity of the immigrant community in the metro area, as measured by the share of immigrants not belonging to the top four countries of origin. This indicator rose from 66 to 70 percent between 1990 and 1998. Characteristically, for the US as a whole the trend in the nineties was in the opposite direction, as the share of immigrants who came to the US from countries other than the top four decreased from 66 to 60 percent. Ö The structure of Louisvilles immigration by legal categories of admission is very different from the national situation and is dominated by refugees. Of all new legal immigrants who came to Louisville in 1990-98 almost one-third (31.4 percent) came via refugee channels. This is more than twice as large as the share nationally (14.6 percent). By this indicator Louisville is also the leader among its 15 peer cities. 2 and professional visa holders can only be estimated approximately. In the 2000/2001 academic year the University of Louisville had 720 international students and 150 foreign-born researchers. Combined with other metro area universities the population of foreign students and researchers in Greater Louisville area is probably close to 1,500. Professional longterm visa holders, such as engineers, computer specialists, health-care professionals push the total population of non-immigrant foreign-born residents of Louisville to between 2,500 and 3,000. Ö The total number of foreign-born presently residing in the Louisville metro area, including legal immigrants of all types, students, temporary workers and undocumented immigrants, by our estimate, is presently between 30 and 45 thousand. For the total metro area population of Louisville Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area of just over 1 million (1,026 thousand as of 2000) these estimates translate to 3.0-4.5 percent of the population. More precise estimates will be possible to make when the results of the US 2000 Census of Population become available. If current growth in immigration to the metro continues at the same rate, one should expect Louisvilles foreign-born population to double, reaching 80-100 thousand persons by the year 2010. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 3 4 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area I. Immigration to the Louisville Metro Area in the Context of Recent National Trends A ccording to the preliminary results of the 2000 Census of Population the number of foreignborn Americans is estimated at 28.4 million people, or 10.4 percent of the total population of the United States. That compares to 4.7 percent of the population in 1970 and means that one out of ten US residents is now an immigrant. If we include the children of the foreign-born, then one out of five Americans is either an immigrant or part of the first generation immigrant family. In this chapter we describe the trends by nation of origin and destination of immigrants. On an annual basis, immigrant inflow into the US has grown from 300,000 a year in the 1960s to nearly 1.2 million at the end of 1990s, of which an estimated 200,000 to 300,000, or 15 to 20 percent, are undocumented or illegal immigrants. Census surveys do not verify the legal status of members of the foreign-born population. While most of the foreign-born are US citizens or holders of permanent residency permits (green cards) the 28.4 million foreign born residents also includes an estimated 5 million illegal immigrants and approximately 600,000 foreigners residing in the US temporarily, such as students and holders of working visas. (Center for Immigration Studies, 2001.) While helping to maintain a healthy demographic situation and providing a strong supply of labor and talent for a growing economy, the massive inflow of the new immigrants has also createed major problems for the US. Since 1965, when the foundation of US immigration policy switched from country-based quotas to a familyunification principle, an increasing proportion of immigrants have been coming from the relatively poor countries of Latin America and Asia. Many of these immigrants have little education or professional training and weak English language skills. The immigrants of the first great migration wave a century ago had these disadvantages as well. However, modern immigrants to the US can now rely on the public welfare and education systems. Many quickly become a burden to the federal, state and local welfare programs (see Attracting Immigrants to an Urban Area, 2000). Most of the growth in US immigration has occured during the last 30 years. Between 1970 and 2000 the immigrant population of the US tripled. From a level of about 9.5 million foreign born residents, the immigrant population increased by 4.5 million during the 1970s, by 5.7 million during the 1980s, and by 8.6 million during the 1990s. The massive inflow of immigrants in these past three decades has prompted some observers to speak of the Second Great Migration, comparable in its scale and impact to the immigrant wave of the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. (Borjas, 1999.) According to the 2001 report of the Center for Immigration Studies, the welfare usage rate among immigrants is 30 to 50 percent higher than for native-born citizens. The poverty rate among immigrants is 50 percent higher, and one-third of immigrants do not have health insurance. About 30 percent of immigrants have no high school diploma, as opposed to 10 percent for natives. Children of immigrant parents, some of them illegal, accounted for almost all of the net increase in public school enrollment in the US from 1980 to 2000. (Center for Immigration Studies, 2001) 1. Immigration to the United States: Recent Developments Immigration is now the dominant factor in US population growth. Between 1990 and 2000 new immigrants and their children comprised 50.4 percent of the total increase in the US population. If children born in this decade to pre-1990 immigrants are also included, the immigrant-generated share of US population growth is almost 70 percent. (Center for Immigration Studies, 2001.) 7DEOH ,PSDFWRI,PPLJUDWLRQ863RSXODWLRQ*URZWK J &RPSRQHQWRI 6KDUHRI86 86 3RSXODWLRQ 3RSXODWLRQ *URZWK *URZWKV 7RWDO863RSXODWLRQ*URZWK 1XPEHURIV,PPLJUDQWV V,PPLJUDQWV3OXV%LUWKVWRV,PPLJUDQWV V,PPLJUDQWV3OXV%LUWKVWR$OO,PPLJUDQWV 6RXUFH&HQWHUIRU,PPLJUDWLRQ6WXGLHV Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 5 Largely due to the family-based nature of immigrant admission policy, immigrant inflow into the US is becoming increasingly concentrated in terms of the countries of national origin. The composition of the foreign-born has changed dramatically in the last few decades. In 1970 immigrants of European origin comprised 60 percent of the total. By 1990 their share shrunk to 15 percent. In contrast, the number of immigrants from Mexico, South America and Asia have increased dramatically. From 1990 to 1999 Mexican immigrants comprised 31.3 percent of all new immigrants to the US. Immigrants from South America and the Caribbean made up another 22.7 percent and 23.4 percent of immigrants were from Asia. Immigrants from these regions made up 77 percent of all immigrants who came during the 1990s. Immigrants from these regions made up 73.6 percent of all the foreign born living in the US by the year 2000, with Mexican-born immigrants alone numbering 7.9 million, or 27.2 percent of the total. (Center for Immigration Studies, 2001.) Modern immigration continues to be an urban phenomenon. By 2000, 53 percent of all the foreign-born resided in just six metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) the so called gateway cities Los Angeles, New York, Miami, San Francisco, Chicago and Washington-Baltimore, which contain just 23.1 percent of the US population. Two-thirds of all 1990s immigrants settled in the ten largest metro areas, which contain only 30 percent of 7DEOH 2ULJLQRIWKH)RUHLJQ%RUQ3RSXODWLRQLQWKH86 5DQN &RXQWU\ 0H[LFR &KLQD7DLZDQ+RQJ.RQJ 3KLOLSSLQHV ,QGLD &XED 9LHWQDP (O6DOYDGRU .RUHD 'RPLQLFDQ5HSXEOLF &DQDGD 8. 3RODQG &RORPELD 5XVVLD -DPDLFD +DLWL 2WKHU)RUHLJQ%RUQ 6KDUHRI86 3RSXODWLRQ )RUHLJQ%RUQ V 3RSXODWLRQ 6RXUFH&HQWHUIRU,PPLJUDWLRQ6WXGLHV 6 the US Population. (Frey and DeVol, 2000.) There is no doubt that immigrants are bringing diversity and talent to these cities. However, the massive inflow in the 1990s contributed to a significant outflow of native-born white and black Americans to other destinations. For example, in the 1990-98 period, New York gained 1.3 million immigrants but lost 1.7 million in net domestic migration, and Los Angeles gained 1.1 million immigrants, but lost 1.5 million in net domestic migration. In fact, of the ten cities that were the most popular destinations for immigrants in 1990s, eight lost more people to domestic migration than they gained in terms of immigration. (see Table 1.3.) In contrast, immigration to most in-land cities, particularly those in the Mid-West and North, is much less intensive. These inland cities have attracted some of the native-born Americans who are leaving high-immigrant urban areas. In particular, inland cities with good climates and living conditions have attracted large numbers of native-born migrants of retirement and pre-retirement age. Observing these conflicting trends, some demographers have started to speak about an emerging division of the US into vibrant fast-growing melting pot regions centered in the South and Southwest and the stagnant baby-boom retiree dominated heartland. (Frey and DeVol, 2000.) While it is still too early to conclude whether this characterization is valid, one thing is certain: massive immigration brings both major costs and major benefits. Even more importantly, for any individual state or city there is a trade-off of costs and benefits resulting from having either too much or too little immigration. 1.2 Immigration to Kentucky In the course of the last decade the foreign-born population of Kentucky has almost tripled. Between the 1990 and 2000 the number of immigrants rose from 34,000 to 97,000 people. Kentucky ranked third among all states in terms of the rate of growth of its immigrant population (185 percent), behind only Alabama and North Carolina but well ahead of traditional immigrant states such as Texas (60 percent), California (33 percent) or New York (25 percent). (See Table 1.4.) These numbers are particularly impressive considering that between 1980 and 1990 the foreign-born population of Kentucky did not increase at all. In recent years the foreign-born population has been growing, on net, by about two thousand people a year. This compares to net annual domestic migration to Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 7DEOH ,PPLJUDWLRQDQG'RPHVWLF0LJUDWLRQWRWKH/DUJHVW860HWUR$UHDV 5DQN 0HWURSROLWDQ$UHD ,PPLJUDWLRQ 1HW'RPHVWLF0LJUDWLRQ +LJK,PPLJUDWLRQ0HWURV 1HZ<RUN /RV$QJHOHV 6DQ)UDQFLVFR 0LDPL &KLFDJR :DVKLQJWRQ'& +RXVWRQ 'DOODV 6DQ'LHJR %RVWRQ +LJK'RPHVWLF0LJUDWLRQ0HWURV $WODQWD /DV9HJDV 3KRHQL[ 'DOODV 3RUWODQG25 'HQYHU 2UODQGR 6HDWWOH $XVWLQ 7DPSD 5DOHLJK &KDUORWWH :HVW3DOP%HDFK 1DVKYLOOH71 6RXUFH)UH\DQG'H9ROS the state of about seven thousand people. In 1990, the foreign-born comprised about 1 percent of the total population of the state. According to the 2000 Census Bureau estimate, this share has increased to 2.5 percent (see Table 1.4). However, the recent explosive growth of immigration in Kentucky needs to be viewed in perspective, as it started from a very low level. Even after the 1990s inflow Kentucky remains a low-immigrant state. In terms of the share of foreign-born residents in the total population, Kentucky ranks only 37th among the 50 states and the District of Columbia (see Table 1.4). Kentuckys inland position, relatively low level of personal income and slow growth make it less inviting for potential immigrants compared to gateway states on the East and West coast and along the Mexican border in the South. Even though the share of the foreign-born in the total population of the state increased during the 1990s from 1 percent to 2.5 percent, it is still just one quarter the national value of 10.4 percent. Put differently, as of 2000 just one out of 40 Kentuckians was a foreign-born person compared to one out of ten for the US as a whole. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Compared to the total population of the state the new immigration to Kentucky continues to be fairly insignificant. As a percentage of the state population, all of the new immigrant inflow for 1990-99 amounts to just 0.4 percent, compared to 0.8 percent in Oklahoma, 1.6 percent in Colorado, 3.5 percent in Texas and 6.7 percent in California, for example. By this indicator, Kentucky finds itself ranking near the bottom of the states (at 45th) - see Appendix B. Settlement patterns of immigrants to Kentucky largely follow the national trend with most new immigrants going to urban areas. Thus, according to the Census Bureau, in the 1990s over half of the new immigrants settled in just two counties Jefferson (Louisville) and Fayette (Lexington). Until the 1990s, the ethnic composition of Kentucky immigration was relatively stable and was dominated by European immigrants, with immigrants from Germany and the United Kingdom being responsible for over 20 percent of the total foreign-born population (see Table 1.5). In the 1990s the composition of new immigrant flows to Kentucky was quite different, dominated now by immigrants and refugees from Asia and Eastern Europe (see Figure 1.1.) The share of Kentuckys immigrant population that had become naturalized US citizens by 1997 was estimated to be about one third, close to the national average (FAIR, 2001). In addition to permanent immigrants, the population of foreign-born residents in Kentucky includes visitors such as foreign students and people on other temporary visas. According to the 1999/00 annual report of the Institute for International Education (IIE), 4,201 foreign students attended post-secondary schools in Kentucky. The campuses with the greatest concentrations of foreign students were: University of Kentucky in Lexington (1,500), University of Louisville (636), and Murray State University (423) (FAIR, 2001). In the 2000-2001 academic year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mmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 7DEOH 2ULJLQRI)RUHLJQ%RUQLQ.HQWXFN\DQG &HQVXV &HQVXV *HUPDQ\ *HUPDQ\ 8. 8. &DQDGD .RUHD .RUHD &DQDGD ,QGLD -DSDQ 9LHWQDP ,QGLD 3KLOLS 3KLOLS 6RYLHW8QLRQ 9LHWQDP -DSDQ &KLQD ,UDQ 0H[LFR $OO2WKHUV $OO2WKHUV 7RWDO 7RWDO 6RXUFH)$,5 the University of Louisville had 720 international students and over 100 foreign-born faculty and researchers. See Appendix C. Kentuckys population of undocumented immigrants, or illegal resident aliens, has been estimated by the INS at 6,000 (as of end of 1996). This represented a 30 percent increase over its estimate of the illegal alien population in October, 1992, but most likely their true number is higher. On average, for the US as a whole the estimated ratio of illegal to legal immigrants is about 1:6. Applying this ratio to Kentucky, the number of undocumented immigrants in the state is likely to be at least 15,000. Some estimates indicate that up to 90 percent of agricultural workers in Kentucky are illegal immigrants (Lexington Herald-Leader, June 16, 1998). 1.3 Immigration Population and Recent Flows to Louisville Despite, attracting a relatively large part (about one-third) of the total immigrant inflow to Kentucky, until recently Louisville was a typical inland low-immigrant city. Between 1980 and 1990 the citys immigrant population grew slowly. Thus, in 1980 the foreign-born population of the Louisville metropolitan statistical area (MSA) numbered 9,950, or just 1.1 percent of the total population. By 1990 the foreign-born population of the Louisville MSA had increased by about 2,000 people to 12,016 and comprised 1.3 percent of the total population. This was a much lower share than for the US as a whole (8.6 percent), and lower than in almost all of the metropolitan areas to which Louisville compares itself. Of these peer cities, only Birmingham, AL, had a lower percentage of foreign-born in its population (see Figure 1.2). In the 1990s, however, the inflow of immigrants to Louisville increased much faster than in the 1980s. According to INS data, in the last decade net international migration to the metro area added 7,073 new foreign-born residents, with Jefferson County alone absorbing 6,200. In comparison, the Lexington MSA received only 3,300 new immigrants and the state of Kentucky as a whole about 16,000 in this period. Assuming that the registered net inflow of immigrants reflects their longer-term settlement patterns, we estimate that between 1990 and 1998 the foreign-born population of greater Louisville increased by about 60 per- Figure 1.1 National Origin of Foreign-Born Residents of Kentucky, 1990, and National Origin of New Immigrants, 1991-1998 )RUHLJQ%RUQ5HVLGHQWVRI.HQWXFN\ /HJDO,PPLJUDQWVWR.HQWXFN\ 7RS&RXQWULHVRI%LUWK 7RS&RXQWULHVRI%LUWK 2WKHU 2WKHU &XED 0H[LFR &KLQD 9LHWQDP 3KLOLS ,QGLD .RUHD 9LHWQDP 8QLWHG.LQJGRP *HUPDQ\ *HUPDQ\ <XJRVODYLD &KLQD 3KLOLSSLQHV -DSDQ &DQDGD .RUHD 8. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area &DQDGD ,QGLD 0H[LFR 6RYLHW8QLRQ 9 )LJXUH )RUHLJQ%RUQ5HVLGHQWVRI6HOHFWHG0HWURSROLWDQ$UHDV DVD3HUFHQWDJHRI7RWDO3RSXODWLRQ 8QLWHG6WDWHV -DFNVRQYLOOH 5DOHLJK 5LFKPRQG 2PDKD .DQVDV&LW\ &KDUORWWH 6W/RXLV 1DVKYLOOH 'D\WRQ &LQFLQQDWL ,QGLDQDSROLV 0HPSKLV *UHHQVERUR /RXLVYLOOH %LUPLQJKDP cent. This is impressive growth much faster than for the US foreign-born population as a whole (35 percent). Only two of 14 peer metros Nashville and Greensboro experienced slightly faster growth in their immigrant communities (67 percent). In comparison, the immigrant populations of the Cincinnati, St. Louis, and Indianapolis metro areas grew by 42 percent, 47 percent, and 50 percent, respectively, from 1990 to 1998 (see Figures 1.3 and 1.4). Another way of looking at immigrant population growth in Louisville during the 1990s is to compare it to the overall growth of the metro population. By this indicator Louisville also compares favorably to its peers. During 1990-98 new immigrant inflow comprised 14.2 percent of the total population growth of the Louisville MSA. This is a higher percentage than that experienced by 12 of the 14 peer metros, and lower only than that of St. Louis and Dayton (see Figure 1.5). However, by this measure Louisville is still far below the national average of 32.3 percent. In other words, nationally immigrant arrivals represented about one-third of the increase in 10 population during the 1990s, but in Louisville they were responsible for only about one-sixth of the population growth. The contrast between Louisvilles leadership in the rate of growth in its immigrant population and the relatively small role of immigration in the overall growth of the metros population is explained, of course, by the small size of its foreign-born community back in 1990. Put differently, in the 1990s Louisville was rapidly catching up with the rest of the US in terms of the relative size of its immigrant community, but it was doing so from a very low initial base. It is difficult to provide a precise estimate for the stock of foreign-born people residing in greater Louisville at the present time. While the immigrant flow statistics of the INS provide the most precise account of new immigrants coming to the US via legal channels, the data have their limitations. At the metro area level, the INS does not offer publicly available data on non-immigrant categories of foreign-born residents, such as students and professional visa holders. For obvious reasons, it also gives no account of undocumented immigrants. INS data, imImmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area )LJXUH ,PPLJUDQW$UULYDOVWR6HOHFWHG0HWURSROLWDQ$UHDV 6W/RXLV .DQVDV&LW\ 5DOHLJK &KDUORWWH -DFNVRQYLOOH 1DVKYLOOH &LQFLQQDWL ,QGLDQDSROLV 5LFKPRQG *UHHQVERUR 0HPSKLV /RXLVYLOOH 2PDKD 'D\WRQ %LUPLQJKDP )LJXUH ,PPLJUDQW$UULYDOVDVD3HUFHQWDJHRI)RUHLJQ%RUQ5HVLGHQWV 6HOHFWHG0HWURSROLWDQ$UHDV 8QLWHG6WDWHV *UHHQVERUR 1DVKYLOOH /RXLVYLOOH &KDUORWWH 0HPSKLV 5DOHLJK ,QGLDQDSROLV .DQVDV&LW\ 6W/RXLV 5LFKPRQG %LUPLQJKDP &LQFLQQDWL -DFNVRQYLOOH 2PDKD 'D\WRQ Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 11 portantly, does not follow demographic changes and secondary migration of foreign-born people to and from a metro in question. The latter statistic is tracked by the Bureau of the Census, but reliable data on a metro area level appear only once every ten years following the decennial Census of Population. Due to these reasons, the number of foreign-born people presently residing in the Louisville MSA can only be tentatively estimated. By our calculations, including students, foreign-born temporary workers, and undocumented immigrants, as of the spring of 2001 the foreign-born population of the Louisville metro area should be between 25 and 45 thousand, or between 2.5 and 4.5 percent of the total metro population. See Appendix C for a discussion. More precise estimates will be possible when the results of the 2000 Census of Population become available in approximately a year. To conclude, over the decade of the 1990s, thanks to a rapid inflow of immigrants Louisville has significantly reduced the gap between it and the rest of the nation in terms of the percentage of foreign-born residents in its population. Yet this gap still remains substantial because the catching-up process began from a very low initial base. Even if our higher estimate is correct, the share of foreign-born in the metros population is less than 5 percent, which is half the national average. 12 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area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mmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 13 14 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area II. The National Origin of Louisvilles Immigrant Community I n discussing the national composition of the immigrant population of Louisville there are three main questions of interest. First, what was the situation in Louisville at the start of the immigration decade of the 1990s? Second, how much if, at all, did the national mix of Louisvilles immigrant community change in the course of the 1990s? And third, what are the national origins of immigrants now residing in Louisville? Which countries are over- and under-represented compared to Louisvilles peer metro areas and the US national averages? This chapter addresses each of these questions. 2.1 The situation at the beginning of the 1990s in Louisville matches, for example, that of the US as a whole. Thus, a coefficient of -1 would mean that the ranking of immigrant groups in Louisville, from the largest to the smallest, is the opposite to that of the US, with the largest ethnic group in Louisville being the smallest in the nation, and vise versa. A rank correlation coefficient of +1, on the contrary, would mean that the ranking of immigrant groups in Louisville is the same as for the US as a whole. The computation of rank correlation coefficients confirms the visual impression of the figures on the next page. The correlation coefficients between the national mix of immigrants residing in Louisville and the US as a whole is 0.10 which indicates significant disparity. On the other hand, the coefficient between Louisville and its 14 peer cities is much higher, 0.76. In other words, the composition of Louisvilles immigrant population at the start of the 1990s was fairly typical for the Midwestern and Southeastern metros in the comparison group, but quite different from the national situation. This should Table 2.1 and Figure 2.1 describes the composition of the Louisville MSAs foreign-born population as of the 1990 Census of Population. The three largest countries of origin of foreign-born residents at that time were Germany, United Kingdom and Vietnam. Together, they were responsible 7DEOH for over one-quarter of the total &RPSRVLWLRQRI)RUHLJQ%RUQ5HVLGHQWVRIWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ number of foreign-born residents. WKH8QLWHG6WDWHVDQG)RXUWHHQ3HHU0HWURV This pattern of national composition was significantly different from that /RXLVYLOOH06$ 8QLWHG6WDWHV 3HHU0HWURV of the US as a whole. In the US, in 3HUFHQWDJH 1990 the top three nations of origin 1XPEHURI RI)RUHLJQ 3HUFHQWDJHRI 3HUFHQWDJHRI 5HVLGHQWV )RUHLJQ%RUQ )RUHLJQ%RUQ %RUQ were Mexico, Philippines and Canada &RXQWU\RI%LUWK (see Table 2.1 and Figure 2.2). *HUPDQ\ The composition of Louisvilles foreign-born population was also different from that of fourteen comparable metropolitan areas. However, in this case there was more similarity (see Figure 2.3). In order to provide a more precise measure of comparison of the ethnic composition of Louisvilles immigrant population to that of the peer cities and the country as a whole, we have computed the Spearman rank correlation coefficients between the countries of origin of their foreign-born residents. Taking values between -1 and +1, this coefficient is an indicator of how close a ranking of immigrant groups 8QLWHG.LQJGRP 9LHWQDP &DQDGD .RUHD ,QGLD 3KLOLSSLQHV &KLQD 6RYLHW8QLRQ -DSDQ ,UDQ ,WDO\ 0H[LFR &XED 7DLZDQ (O6DOYDGRU 1RW5HSRUWHG 5HVWRI:RUOG 7RWDO)RUHLJQ%RUQ 6RXUFH86%XUHDXRIWKH&HQVXV Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area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mmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area not be a surprise considering that nationally the composition of the immigrant population is largely defined by the immigrant magnet cities of the East and West coasts and Mexican migration in the southern United States. 2.2 The New Immigration and The Impact of Refugees As was stated in chapter I, Louisvilles foreign-born population grew rather quickly in the 1990s. From 1990 to 1998 7,073 legal immigrants settled initially in Louisville from abroad. Leaving aside domestic in- and out-migration of foreign-born individuals, this constitutes an increase of about 60 percent over the pre-existing immigrant population of 12,016. From which countries did these immigrants come to Louisville? How did their arrival change the overall composition of the metros immigrant population? Are there any discernable trends in the new immigrant inflow to the metro? The dynamics of the ethnic composition of the immigration inflow to Louisville during 1990-98 is represented by the stack chart showing the actual numbers of immigrants from each country, arriving to the metro area in each year (see Figure 2.4). The figure illuminates several aspects of immigration to Louisville during the 1990s. While most of the featured immigrant groups show relatively little year-to-year variation in the number of incoming immigrants, others show very significant fluctuations. One can see that Vietnamese immigration to the city peaked during 1991-93 at the level of 200-300 a year, but has subsided since then to a level of 100-150 persons per year. Immigration from Bosnia, practically non-existent before 1994, became substantial in 1996-97 but has decreased more recently. Similarly, immigration from Cuba only started in 1996 but quickly escalated in 1997 and 1998, from 100 to over 200 persons per year. Clearly, this clustering of immigrants from Vietnam, Cuba, and Bosnia is due to the massive inflows of refugees from these countries (see Chapter III for a discussion of refugees and other legal categories of immigration to the Louisville metro area). )LJXUH &RXQWULHVRI%LUWKIRU, PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLO O H0 6$ 7RS&RXQWULHVRI%LUWK 6RXUFH,PPLJUDWLRQDQG1DWXUDOL]DWLRQ6HUYLFH 5XVVLD 0H[LFR .RUHD 3KLOLSSLQHV &DQDGD 8QLWHG.LQJGRP 8NUDLQH &KLQD %RVQLD &XED ,QGLD 9LHWQDP 9LHWQDP ,QGLD &KLQD &XED &DQDGD %RVQLD 8NUDLQH 3KLOLSSLQHV 8QLWHG.LQJGRP .RUHD 0H[LFR 5XVVLD Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 17 Figures 2.5 and 2.6 provide additional information on the national origins of the immigrants who arrived in Louisville during the 1990s. Both figures indicate that 1990s immigration to Louisville was clearly dominated by one group Vietnamese, who were responsible for 24 percent of the total inflow (1,685 people out of 7,073). Vietnam is followed by two other Asian nations India (385 people, or 5.4 percent) and China (366 people, or 5.2 percent). Together, these three countries of origin are responsible for more than one-third of the total inflow of new immigrants to the Louisville metro area. Comparing the composition of new immigrants to the metro to the composition of the Louisville foreign-born community as of 1990, one can see significant differences (see Figure 2.1). Neither Germany, nor the UK, who were the #1 and #2 countries of origin of the 1990 immigrant population are among the top eight countries for the newer immigrants. While in 1990 UK-born residents comprised 8.2 percent of the metros immigrant population, during 199098 they made up only 2.8 percent of the new immigrant flow. German-born immigrants were 12.8 percent of the 1990 foreign-born population, but less than 2 percent of the new immigrants of the 1990s. Besides the rapid growth of immigration from Asia, another trend is an increase in the role of immigrants from Latin American countries (especially Cuba and Mexico) and Eastern Europe. In 1990, none of the Spanish-speaking immigrants ranked among the top 12 countries of origin. But among more recent immigrants, Cuba and Mexico provided 7.2 percent of the total inflow between them. (This figure would be much higher if new undocumented immigrants were included.) In 1990, East European immigrants were rep)LJXUH ,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ 7RS&RXQWULHVRI%LUWK 5HVWRI:RUOG 5XVVLD 0H[LFR .RUHD 8QLWHG.LQJGRP 3KLOLSSLQHV 8NUDLQH %RVQLD+HU]HJRYLQD &DQDGD 9LHWQDP &XED &KLQD3HRSOHV5HS ,QGLD 7RWDO,PPLJUDQWV 6RXUFH,PPLJUDWLRQDQG1DWXUDOL]DWLRQ6HUYLFH )LJXUH ,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ 7RS&RXQWULHVRI%LUWK ,PPLJUDQWVIURPWKHUHVWRIWKHZRUOG P D WQ LH 9 18 S H 5 V OH S R H 3 D LQ K & LD G Q , D E X & D G D Q D & D LQ Y R J H U] H + LD Q V R % H LQ UD N 8 V H LQ S LS O L K 3 P R G J LQ . G H LW Q 8 D UH R . R LF [ H 0 LD V V X 5 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area resented by only the Soviet Union, with 3 percent of the total, among the top twelve countries of origin. Among immigrants arriving during 199098, Russians (2.3 percent) and Ukrainians (3.2 percent) were joined by Bosnians (4.1 percent), and together the three countries provided 9.6 percent of the total inflow of new settlers. 7DEOH )RUHLJQ%RUQ5HVLGHQWVDQG1HZ,PPLJUDQWV /RXLVYLOOH06$ 5DWLRRI )RUHLJQ %RUQ ,PPLJUDQW ,QIORZWR $UULYDOV 5HVLGHQWV 3RSXODWLRQ &RXQWU\RI%LUWK The rank correlation coefficient between the national origins of the stock of Louisvilles foreignborn residents in 1990 and the 1990-98 immigrant inflow to Louisville was just 0.35. This indicates that the face of Louisvilles immigrant population is changing rather quickly, with newer immigrants having relatively weak links with the ones already living here at the start of the decade. *HUPDQ\ 8QLWHG.LQJGRP 9LHWQDP &DQDGD .RUHD ,QGLD 3KLOLSSLQHV &KLQD -DSDQ ,UDQ ,WDO\ 0H[LFR &XED %RVQLD+HU]HJRYLQD )RUPHU8665 1RW5HSRUWHG 5HVWRI:RUOG This conclusion is further confirmed by countryby-country analysis of old and new immigration. The data shown in Table 2.2 indicate that among the immigrant communities residing in Louisville in 1990, two Cuba and Vietnam experienced by far the largest percentage increaase. The number of new immigrants coming from Cuba in the 1990s was 264 percent of the size of 7RWDO)RUHLJQ%RUQ,PPLJUDQWV the 1990 Cuban community, while for Vietnamese this ratio was 208.5 percent. The 1990s immigration created an entirely new community of Bosnian immigrants, which had been practically non-existent in 1990. New inflow of immigrants from the former USSR (Ukraine and Russia), Mexico, and China were of similar sizes as the numbers of their respective communities in 1990. QD QD 6RXUFHV86%XUHDXRIWKH&HQVXVDQG86,PPLJUDWLRQDQG1DWXUDOL]DWLRQ6HUYLFH )LJXUH $YHUDJH$QQXDO1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ In contrast, immigration from other countries was growing at a slower rate than the overall average of 58.9 percent. Immigration from Western Europe was the least significant during the 1990s. New immigrants from Italy amounted to just 5.9 percent of the existing Italian-born community. And new immigrants from Germany and the UK amounted to just 8.4 and 20.3 percent of their existing communities, respectively. Immigration was also relatively low from Japan and Korea about 25 percent of the size 7RS&RXQWULHVRI%LUWK ,PPLJUDQWVIURPWKHUHVWRIWKHZRUOG P D WQ LH 9 S H 5 V OH S R H 3 D Q L K & LD G Q , Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area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of their respective 1990 communities. Canada and the Philippines added somewhat more new immigrants (4045 percent), while immigration from India and Iran ran at close to the average for all immigrants (56-59 percent). The relative intensity of new immigrant flows from various countries can also be measured in terms of average annual inflow of immigrants coming from each country. Figure 2.7 shows this data for the 1990-98 period for the top dozen countries of birth of the immigrants. The leading birth countries of Louisvilles recent immigrants can be classified into three groups. The absolute leader in terms of size of the annual inflow is, of course, Vietnam. Of the total annual inflow of immigrants of nearly 800 persons, Vietnam alone was providing almost 200. The next group of countries, which provided on average about 30-40 immigrants a year, includes India, China, Cuba, Canada and Bosnia. The third group, including the Philippines, UK, Korea, Mexico and Russia provided about 20-25 people per year. Another way of examining the national origin of the new immigrant flow into the Louisville metro area is to compare it to the national origins of all new immigrants to the United States and to Louisvilles 14 peer metros. Table 2.3 contains this information. The table indicates that the national mix of new immigrants to Louisville was somewhat similar to that of its peer metros in the Midwestern and Southeastern states, but quite different 20 from the overall national picture. The rank correlation of national origins was 0.77 between Louisville and the 14 peer metros, but just 0.31 between Louisville and the US. Much of the difference between Louisville and the US is explained by the large percentage of immigrants from Vietnam, Cuba and Eastern Europe coming to Louisville as opposed to the large share of immigrants from Mexico and the Caribbean region (Jamaica, El Salvador, and the Dominican Republic) arriving in other cities in the US. Interestingly, the composition of new immigrants to Louisville is also different from new immigrants coming to the state of Kentucky. In 1990 the national composition of Louisvilles immigrant population was similar to that Kentucky in general, reflected by a relatively high rank correlation coefficient value of 0.84. However, over the course of the 1990s, the composition of immigrant flows to Louisville deviated from that of the statewide pattern. The rank correlation coefficient between the national composition of immigrant flows to Louisville and to Kentucky for 1990-98 is 0.65. In other words, the national composition of Louisvilles immigration has been less similar to that of immigration to the state than to a group of its peer metros outside of Kentucky (rank correlation coefficient of 0.77). No doubt the high level of refugee immigration to Louisville, compared to that of the rest of Kentucky, is responsible for most of this difference. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area )LJXUH 1DWLRQDO2ULJLQRI)RUHLJQ%RUQ5HVLGHQWVRI/RXLVYLOOH06$HVWLPDWH 8QLWHG.LQJGRP &DQDGD *HUPDQ\ ,QGLD .RUHD &KLQD 9LHWQDP 3KLOLSSLQHV )RUPHU8665 &XED ,UDQ -DSDQ 0H[LFR 5HVWRI:RUOG 1RW5HSRUWHG ,WDO\ %RVQLD+HU]HJRYLQD A very rough estimate of the composition of the Louisville metros foreign-born residents as of 1998 is given in Figure 2.8. In creating the chart we have ignored the possible domestic migration of pre-1990 immigrants into and out of the Louisville area, deaths of immigrants, and also the possible domestic migration of newer immigrants to and from the metro area. However imprecise, this estimate indicates the direction of change in the national composition of Louisvilles foreign-born population and allows us to make some useful comparisons to changes at the national and state level. Thus if one compares the data displayed in Figure 2.8 to the estimates of the national origin of all US foreign-born persons around 1999, it follows that at the end of the nineties the composition in Louisville differed Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area greatly from that of the US as a whole. The correlation coefficient of the rankings of the top twelve nations of origin between Louisville and the US is -0.1, a major disparity. Based on our estimates, the 1990s immigration into Louisville has increased the national diversity of the immigrant community in the metro area, as measured by the share of immigrants not belonging to the top four countries of origin. This indicator rose from 66 to 70 percent between 1990 and 1998. Characteristically, for the US as a whole the trend in the nineties was in the opposite direction, as the share of immigrants who came to the US from countries other than the top four decreased from 66 to 60 percent. 21 7DEOH 'LIIHUHQFHVLQ:HOIDUH8VHDPRQJ1DWLRQDO2ULJLQ*URXSV &RXQWU\RI%LUWK 3HUFHQWRI 3HUFHQWRI+RXVHKROGV +RXVHKROGV 5HFHLYLQJ6RPH7\SH 5HFHLYLQJ6RPH RI$VVLVWDQFHDIWHU7HQ 7\SHRI$VVLVWDQFH <HDUVLQWKH86 (XURSH *HUPDQ\ *UHHFH ,UHODQG ,WDO\ 3RODQG 3RUWXJDO 8665 86 $VLD &DPERGLD &KLQD ,QGLD -DSDQ .RUHD /DRV 3KLOLSSLQHV 9LHWQDP $PHULFDV &DQDGD &XED 'RPLQLFDQ5HSXEOLF (O6DOYDGRU +DLWL -DPDLFD 0H[LFR $IULFD (J\SW 1LJHULD 6RXUFH%RUMDVS7KHGDWDUHIHUWRKRXVHKROGVZKHUHWKHKHDGLVDW OHDVW\UVROG Table 2.4 presents data on welfare use among different origin groups of immigrants. Welfare use is measured by the percentage of families of each national origin using some type of economic assistance at the time of the survey (1998). Based on these statistics and estimates of the national composition of the immigrant community in the Louisville metro area, we calculated an average welfare use indicator for foreign-born persons. The welfare indicator is about the same for Louisville (21.1 percent) as for the US as a whole (22.4 percent). However, the welfare use of Louisvilles immigrants is still much higher than for native-born Americans, estimated to be but 15.4 percent (Borjas, 1999). 22 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area III. Legal Categories of Immigrants to Louisville A ll foreign nationals who come to the US fall into one of the following four broad groups - legal, long-term visitors, short-term visitors, and illegal immigrants. Detailed definitions and a discussion of the categories is provided in Appendix A, but generally: Legal immigrants, include such categories as: (i) family sponsored immigrants; (ii) employment-based immigrants; and (iii) refugees and asylees. Long-term visitors, include: (i) non-immigrant professional visa holders, such as H1-B professionals; and (ii) students. Short-term visitors, include: (i) tourists; and (ii) business visitors. Illegal immigrants are everyone else. In this chapter, we examine the 1990s immigrant flow to greater Louisville from the standpoint of the legal categories of immigrant admission. 3.1 Legal Categories of Immigrants Leaving aside tourists and other short-term visitors, the core of the immigrant population is comprised of legal immigrants. For each category of legal immigrants the US Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) establishes an annual cap which includes the principal immigrant and his/her immediate family members. At present, for family sponsored immigrants the cap is set at 480,000 people; for employment-based immigrants the cap is 140,0001; for refugees and asylees it is 77,000; and for diversity immigrants it is 55,000. The limit, however, is not strict for the family-sponsored category as immediate relatives of US citizens are guaranteed the right of the permanent residency in the US. The overwhelming majority of legal immigrants come to the US as relatives of US citizens and permanent residents. Of all persons granted permanent residency during 1990-98, family-sponsored immigrants comprised 64.9 percent, employment-based 12.6 percent, refugees and asylees 14.6 percent, and others, including diversity immigrants, 7.9 percent (INS, 2000) Since most legal permanent immigrants come to the US via family channels, a few countries, whose citizens settled here in large numbers in previous years, dominate immigration flows. In the last fifteen years the top five countries of origin were Mexico, the Philippines, China, the Dominican Republic, and India (see Attracting Immigrants to an Urban Area, 2000). The immigration diversity program, launched by the US in 1995, is aimed to correct this imbalance. The program provides for 55,000 green cards to be distributed annually, via lottery, to the nationals of continents and countries that have been historically under-represented in US immigration. In 1999, for example, 42 percent of the selected individuals were from countries in Europe and 38 percent from Africa (OECD, 1999). Long-term visitors, such as professional visa holders and students, are not considered immigrants. Their visas allow them to live in the US on a temporary basis. For professionals it is usually no more than six years, while for students it is the duration of their studies, with no automatic right of employment in the US. The numbers of these longer-term visitors has fluctuated in recent years between 65-115,000 a year for professionals and 300400,000 for students.2 For professional visa holders the INS establishes a strict annual limit. This limit was 65,000 during 1992-98 and 115,000 in 1999 and 2000. For 20012003, under pressure from high-tech companies, the annual limit was increased to 195,000 people. By some estimates, the total population of professional visa holders and foreign students at the end of 2000 stood at about 600,000 people (FAIR, 2001). Thus, from the standpoint of an individual born in a foreign country, and not counting the green-card lottery, there are basically three legal ways to settle in the US. The vibrant US economy of the 1980s and 1990s has made the US government more willing to encourage employment-based immigration. The 1990 Immigration Law increased the annual employment-based quota from 50,000 (set by the 1965 Immigration Act) to 140,000. 2 Immigration statistics overstate the actual numbers of newly arriving students as some already enrolled students travel to and from the US during each year. 1 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 23 The first legal way is to qualify as a refugee or asylee3. This way is open only to citizens of countries experiencing major political disturbances (e.g. wars, ethnic cleansing, etc.) or living under oppressive regimes (e.g. Cuba, Iran, or North Korea). Poverty and economic hardship by themselves are not considered sufficient reasons to grant a person refugee or asylee status. Thus, citizens of the most populous countries, such as China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, or Nigeria generally cannot claim refugee status in the US. The second legal way is to be sponsored for permanent residency by a family member who is already in the US. This family member has to be a US citizen or permanent resident and should have an adequate income in order to help support the new immigrant. For immediate family members (spouses, children, parents) of US citizens there is no waiting period between the application and processing of a family re-unification request. For more distant relatives of US citizens, and for relatives of noncitizen permanent residents, the wait can be as long as 10 years, during which time an applicant has no right to stay in the US. The third legal way is to be sponsored by an employer in the US. Many of the applicants for this employmentbased green card do so from inside of the US, while already working for their sponsoring company on a longterm employment visa (H1-B) or as a student. A quite typical path to permanent US residency starts when a foreign student graduates from a US college, finds an employer who sponsors him/her for a temporary working visa (H1-B) and then upgrades this visa to the green card with the help of the same employer. In addition to the above legal ways, it is also possible to immigrate to the US illegally. The two options here are crossing the US border without inspection or entering US legally on, for example, a tourist or student visa and then overstaying it. In recent years about 60 percent of illegal immigrants, mostly coming from Mexico, have chosen the first option, while the others used the visa overstay path. The US government has periodically provided amnesties for illegal immigrants, allowing them to legitimize their status under certain conditions. The most massive such amnesty was a result of the SimpsonMazzoli Immigration Bill of 1986, which led to the issuance of about 2.7 million new green cards. Most recently, Law 245-I provided for an amnesty of one half million illegal immigrants in 2000-2001. 3 3.2 Legal Categories of New Immigrants to Louisville Figure 3.1 shows the breakdown of 1990s immigration for the Louisville metro area, its 14 peer metros, and the US as a whole by the principal legal categories. It can be seen that compared to the US average, Louisville was getting twice the share of its new immigrants via refugee channels (31.4 percent vs. 14.6 percent nationally) and half the share via family channels (37.4 percent vs. 64.9 percent nationally). The share of employment-based immigrants to Louisville was close to the national average (14.8 percent vs. 12.6 percent). Compared to its peer metros, Louisville also had significantly higher share of refugees and lower share of family-based immigrants. Louisvilles share of employmentbased immigrants is lower than in these cities (14.8 percent vs. 18.0 percent). Still another interesting feature of Louisvilles immigration is the very high share of other immigrants. In Louisville this category accounted for 16.4 percent of all immigrants versus 7.9 percent for the US and 9.2 percent for comparable metros. In Louisvilles case, this category of immigrants primarily consisted of Amerasians, a special category of immigrants describing mostly Vietnamese-born children and other relatives of US military personnel. The origin of most Amerasians dates back to the period of the Vietnam War. Refugees and Vietnamese-born Amerasians between them comprised 47.8 percent, or almost one-half of the total inflow of immigrants to the Louisville area during 1990-98. This dominance of refugee-type immigrants is one of the unique features of recent immigration to Louisville. Large swings in the number of refugees and Amerasians explain much of the year-to-year fluctuations in immigrant flows to Louisville over the 1990s. Most Vietnamese immigrants were settled in Louisville in 1990-92. Since then their flow has subsided from 30-40 percent of the total to less than 5 percent in 1998. The number and share of other refugees, on the contrary, started at a low level in 1990-1991 (3-7 percent of the total) but escalated to 35-45 percent of the total in 1995-97 and to almost 60 percent of the total in 1998 (see figures 3.2 and 3.3). Refugees are persons granted US government protection, and permission to enter the US from abroad. Asylees are persons granted similar rights, if they apply after they have already entered the US. 24 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Figure 3.1 Distribution of Classes of Admission for Immigrants to the Louisville MSA, the 14 Comparable Metros, and the United States, 1990-98 (PSOR\PHQW 5HIXJHHRU$V\OHH ,PPHGLDWH5HODWLYHV 2WKHU,PPLJUDQWV 'LVWULEXWLRQRI&ODVVHVRI$GPLVVLRQIRU,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ (PSOR\PHQW 5HIXJHHRU$V\OHH 2WKHU,PPLJUDQWV ,PPHGLDWH5HODWLYHV 'LVWULEXWLRQRI&ODVVHVRI$GPLVVLRQIRU,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH8QLWHG6WDWHV 5HIXJHHRU$V\OHH (PSOR\PHQW 2WKHU,PPLJUDQWV ,PPHGLDWH5HODWLYHV 'LVWULEXWLRQRI&ODVVHVRI$GPLVVLRQ IRU,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH&RPSDULVRQ0HWURV Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 25 On the other hand, the annual inflow of family-sponsored immigrants was more stable. It fluctuated between 250 and 350 persons, corresponding to a 30-45 percent share of the total. The number of employment-based immigrants generally trended upward from 25 to about 100 persons a year. However, its share in the overall flow of immigrants peaked above 20 percent in 1993 and has fluctuated between 10 and 20 percent since then. Comparing the structure of 1990s immigration to Louisville with that of 14 peer metros confirms the uniqueness of Louisvilles situation. (See Figures 3.4-3.6.) When Amerasian immigrants and refugees are counted together, Louisville has the highest share of all the metro areas in this category. In terms of refugees counted separately, only one city Nashville has a share higher than that of Louisville (34.0 percent vs. 31.4 percent). Of Louisvilles neighbors, Indianapolis (16.4 percent) and Cincinnati (14.2 percent) have ratios of refugees to total immigrants close to the national average (14.6 percent). On the other hand, in the family category of immigrants, Louisville, with 37.4 percent, ranks last among the 15 metros. Nashville (40.5 percent) and St. Louis (46.3 percent) are close, while Indianapolis (57.2 percent) and Cincinnati (56.4 percent) are significantly higher (see Figure 3.5). )LJXUH &ODVVHVRI$GPLVVLRQIRU,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ (PSOR\PHQW )DPLO\ 2WKHU 5HIXJHHRU$V\OHH )LJXUH 'LVWULEXWLRQRI&ODVVHVRI$GPLVVLRQIRU,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ (PSOR\PHQW )DPLO\ 2WKHU 5HIXJHHRU$V\OHH Finally, in the employment-based category, Louisville, with a 14.8 percent share, finds itself near the bottom, above only Omaha, Kansas City and Jacksonville, and just below Nashville (15.0 percent) and St. Louis (15.4 percent). Louisvilles neighbors Indianapolis (21.4 percent) and Cincinnati (23.4 percent) are at the top of this ranking at #4 and #3, respectively (see Figure 3.6). 26 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area )LJXUH 3HUFHQWDJHRI,PPLJUDQWVZLWK5HIXJHHDQG$V\OHH&ODVVHVRI$GPLVVLRQ 8QLWHG6WDWHV 1DVKYLOOH /RXLVYLOOH 6W/RXLV -DFNVRQYLOOH 0HPSKLV &KDUORWWH .DQVDV&LW\ *UHHQVERUR 5LFKPRQG ,QGLDQDSROLV &LQFLQQDWL 2PDKD 'D\WRQ %LUPLQJKDP 5DOHLJK )LJXUH 3HUFHQWDJHRI,PPLJUDQWV$GPLWWHGDV,PPHGLDWH5HODWLYHV RI86&LWL]HQVRU3HUPDQHQW5HVLGHQW$OLHQV 8QLWHG6WDWHV 2PDKD 'D\WRQ %LUPLQJKDP .DQVDV&LW\ ,QGLDQDSROLV &LQFLQQDWL -DFNVRQYLOOH &KDUORWWH 5LFKPRQG 5DOHLJK 0HPSKLV *UHHQVERUR 6W/RXLV 1DVKYLOOH /RXLVYLOOH )LJXUH 3HUFHQWDJHRI,PPLJUDQWVZLWKDQ(PSOR\PHQW5HODWHG&ODVVRI$GPLVVLRQ 8QLWHG6WDWHV 5DOHLJK %LUPLQJKDP &LQFLQQDWL ,QGLDQDSROLV *UHHQVERUR 5LFKPRQG 'D\WRQ &KDUORWWH 0HPSKLV 6W/RXLV 1DVKYLOOH /RXLVYLOOH 2PDKD .DQVDV&LW\ -DFNVRQYLOOH Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 27 3.3 Legal Categories of New Immigrants by National Origin Figures 3.7 and 3.8 present information on the legal structure of immigration for the 12 largest individual national groups of new immigrants to the Louisville metro area. As can be seen in the figures, representatives of some nations came to Louisville primarily or exclusively through refugee channels, while others came primarily via family connections or through employment offers. Thus, for example, 93.2 percent of all Vietnamese came as refugees or Amerasians, only 6.8 percent via family channels, and none came through employment offers. Of all Indian immigrants, 61.8 percent came via family channels, 38.2 percent via employment, and none as refugees. Similarly, 40.2 percent of Chinese immigrants came through family-based channels, 59.0 percent came through employment-based channels, and less than 1 percent came as refugees. In contrast, nearly all Cuban immigrants (99.1 percent) came as refugees, with less than 1 percent as family members. Overall, three groups can be distinguished among the countries of birth of the immigrants: (i) refugee-dominated; (ii) family immigration dominated; and (iii)employment-oriented. The refugee-dominated group includes five countries: Vietnam; Cuba; Bosnia (99.3 percent refugees); Ukraine (87.8 percent refugees), and Russia (67.3 percent). For reference, the share of refugees in the total immigrant inflow to the US in the 1990s was 14.6 percent. Refugees accounted for 20.2 percent of immigrants in Louisvilles 14 peer metros. The family immigration group includes three countries: the Philippines, from which 85.6 percent of immigrants came via family ties; Korea (88.9 percent) and Mexico (88.8 percent). For reference, the share of family-based immigrants in the total immigrant inflow to the US in the 1990s was 64.9 percent. This group accounted for 52.6 percent of immigrants in Louisvilles 14 peer metros. The employment immigration group includes four countries: India (38.2 percent of all 1990s immigrants); China (59.0 percent); Canada (59.8 percent); and the United Kingdom (39.0 percent). For reference, the share of employment-based immigration in the total immigrant inflow to the US in the 1990s was 12.6 percent. Employment based immigration accounted for 18.0 percent of immigrants in Louisvilles 14 peer metros. Figure 3.7 Classes of Admission for Immigrants to the Louisville MSA by Country of Birth Top Six Countries of Birth 9LHWQDP ,QGLD &KLQD )DPLO\ 5HIXJHHRU $V\OHH (PSOR\PHQW (PSOR\PHQW 5HIXJHHRU $V\OHH 2WKHU )DPLO\ )DPLO\ 2WKHU 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV &XED &DQDGD %RVQLD )DPLO\ 5HIXJHHRU $V\OHH )DPLO\ 5HIXJHHRU $V\OHH 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 28 )DPLO\ (PSOR\PHQW 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 2WKHU 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Figure 3.8 Classes of Admission for Immigrants to the Louisville MSA by Country of Birth Countries of Birth Ranked 7-12 8NUDLQH 3KLOLSSLQHV 8QLWHG.LQJGRP )DPLO\ (PSOR\PHQW )DPLO\ )DPLO\ 2WKHU 2WKHU 2WKHU 5HIXJHHRU $V\OHH (PSOR\PHQW 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV .RUHD (PSOR\PHQW 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 0H[LFR 5XVVLD )DPLO\ (PSOR\PHQW 2WKHU )DPLO\ 5HIXJHHRU 5HIXJHHRU $V\OHH $V\OHH )DPLO\ (PSOR\PHQW (PSOR\PHQW 2WKHU 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV The unusual legal composition of Louisvilles immigration has some implications for the metros economy and fiscal situation. This primarily refers to the large share of refugees in the immigrant flow. Based on a recent study of immigration, on average, refugees generated just half the income per person and forty percent of the tax payment per person compared to non-refugee immigrants (Passel, and Clark, 1998). See Table 3.1. 7DEOH $YHUDJH7D[HVDQG,QFRPHIRU,QGLYLGXDOVDQG+RXVHKROGV E\1DWLYLW\,PPLJUDQW6WDWXV,QVLGHDQG2XWVLGH1HZ<RUN&LW\ 3HU3HUVRQ 6WDWXV ,QFRPH 3HU+RXVHKROG 7D[HV ,QFRPH 7D[HV 0GY;QTM%KV[ 1DWLYHERUQ /HJDOLPPLJUDQWV 5HIXJHHV 1RQLPPLJUDQWV 1WVU KFG0GY;QTM%KV[ 1DWLYH%RUQ /HJDOLPPLJUDQWV 5HIXJHHV 1RQLPPLJUDQWV 6RXUFH3DVVHODQG&ODUNS Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 29 To conclude, in terms of legal categories of admission, the composition of recent immigration to Louisville is significantly different from national averages and that of most of its peer metros. First of all, 1990s immigration to Louisville was heavily skewed towards refugee and refugee-type immigrants. About 50 percent, or nearly 3,400 out of the 7,000 new legal immigrants who came to Louisville during 1990-98 came via refugee channels. By this indicator, Louisville is the absolute leader among the peer metros. On a per capita basis, using Louisvilles population in 1998 as the base, in this period Louisville absorbed about .35 percent of its population in refugees. The peer metros absorbed about .24 percent of their population in refugees and the US as a whole absorbed about .55 percent of its population in refugees. Thus, Louisville can deserve a reputation as a refugee haven, but only insofar as it compares to the rest of middle America. Secondly, the component of Louisvilles immigration coming via professional channels is not much different from the national average, but is markedly lower than its main competitor metros, such as Cincinnati and Indianapolis. Thirdly, in contrast to the national trend, a relatively low proportion of immigrants to Louisville came via familyreunification channels. The main reasons for this are the very small initial base of the immigrant population in 1990 and the relatively small number of immigrants of Mexican origin. 30 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area IV. Declared Occupations of Immigrants to Louisville I mmigrants legally admitted to the US fill out a form which includes a question about their occupation. Based on answers to this question one can evaluate the occupational structure of the immigrant flow to a particular city. Some caution has to be exercised. Although the occupations used in this questionnaire follow the standard US classification scheme, the actual occupations declared by immigrants relate to their job experience in their home countries and may not correspond directly to a similar occupation in the US. 4 In addition, many of the trained professionals coming from abroad cannot take similar jobs in the US, even if they have all the necessary training and experience. Thus, for example, an immigrant medical doctor, fully accredited in his home country, cannot resume his career in the US without spending several years re-training and becoming re-certified. Finally, many new immigrants do not report any occupation, even though some of them may have professional training. the least skilled type of work. Groups six and seven are self-explanatory, with group seven generally covering members of immigrants families who are too young or too old to work, or who are full-time students. However, when applied to large groups of immigrants, data on their occupational structure undoubtedly reflects their overall qualifications. It is also the most current source of information about their labor force potential. Figures 4.1-4.3 present the occupational breakdown of 1990s immigration to Louisville, the US, and the 14 peer metro areas. For the purposes of our study we organized the 29 declared occupations of new immigrants into the following seven groups: 1. Science and technology professions 2. Healthcare professions 3. Other miscellaneous professions requiring formal education 4. Artisans 5. Sales and service 6. Occupation/labor force status not reported 7. Not in the labor force The first two groups cover professionals with the most advanced training. The third group generally describes immigrants with a college level education or better, e.g., a shop floor manager, a technician, an educator, etc. The fourth group includes blue-collar workers and other manual workers and craftsmen, including, for example, a tailor or a car mechanic. Group five generally describes Numerous studies confirm the fact that the higher skilled immigrants bring significantly greater economic, educational, and fiscal benefits to receiving US communities See Attracting Immigrants to an Urban Area (2000) for an extensive literature review. Based on that, we assume that groups of immigrants with larger shares of the first three occupational categories among their members correspond to a higher quality of immigration in the economic sense of this word.5 4.1 The Occupational Structure of Louisvilles Immigration Compared to the national averages, Louisville received a somewhat larger proportion of high-tech and healthcare professionals (4.2 and 3.1 percent vs. 3.0 and 2.2 percent, respectively). Its share of other professions requiring formal education (6.2 percent) is close to the national average (5.7 percent). The same is true for Artisans and Sales and Service personnel their shares in Louisville compared to the US were 18.1 vs. 15.4 percent and 8.5 vs. 7.9 percent, respectively. Exactly one-half of Louisvilles immigrants reported themselves as being out of labor force, compared to the national average of 58.5 percent. The differences between Louisville and the peer metros are less pronounced. In these metros, the share of high-tech workers is somewhat higher (4.8 percent), the share of health-care professionals is the same (3.1 percent), the share of Artisans is lower (14.6 vs. 18.1 percent), and the share of persons not in the labor force is close (54.4 percent). Of course, for the minority of immigrants coming to the US via employment-based invitations this correspondence is guaranteed by definition. 5 Here and throughout the text immigrant quality is discussed only in economic sense of immigrants potential and should not be interpreted as an effort to evaluate individuals solely on the basis of their skills and education. 4 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area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mmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Over the course of the decade, the shares of some occupations were relatively stable, while others fluctuated widely, reflecting the major inflows of refugees in some years. As is clear from Figures 4.4 and 4.5, the inflow of immigrants in the high-tech job category increased from single digits in early 1990s to 30 to 60 persons per year in the second half of the decade. Arrivals of health-care professionals grew similarly from single digits in the early 1990s to 20-30 persons per year in the second half of the decade. The number of other professionals fluctuated throughout most of the period, in the range of 40-60 people per year with no particular trend. The number of blue-collar workers and artisans in the 1990s gradually trended upward from 100 to 150 persons a year. The number of people who did not report an occupation fluctuated at 30-50 people a year during 1990-97, but jumped tenfold to over 400 in 1998. This sudden increase, as will be detailed below, was related to a major inflow of Cuban refugees in that year. )LJXUH 2FFXSDWLRQVRI,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ +HDOWK&DUHSURIHVVLRQV 6FLHQFH7HFKQRORJ\SURIHVVLRQV $UWLVDQV 6DOHVDQG6HUYLFH 1RWLQWKHODERUIRUFH 2FFXSDWLRQODERUIRUFHVWDWXVQRWUHSRUWHG 0LVFHOODQHRXVSURIHVVLRQVUHTXLULQJIRUPDOHGXFDWLRQ )LJXUH 'LVWULEXWLRQRI2FFXSDWLRQVRI,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$ To see how Louisvilles situation looks compared to its main competitor metros, we also computed the numbers and percentages of the different occupational groups for the immigrants to the 14 peer metros. Based on this data, in the 1990s Louisville attracted significantly fewer immigrant professionals than most of its key competitors. Overall, Louisville received 958 immigrants with professions of all types requiring formal education, greater than only two cities in the group (see Figures 4.64.8). This was just one-third the number of such immigrants to St. Louis, one-half the numbers for Cincinnati and Indianapolis, and about two-thirds the number for Nashville. In terms of the percentage of such specialists +HDOWK&DUHSURIHVVLRQV 6FLHQFH7HFKQRORJ\SURIHVVLRQV $UWLVDQV 6DOHVDQG6HUYLFH 1RWLQWKHODERUIRUFH 2FFXSDWLRQODERUIRUFHVWDWXVQRWUHSRUWHG 0LVFHOODQHRXVSURIHVVLRQVUHTXLULQJIRUPDOHGXFDWLRQ Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area in the total inflow of immigrants, Louisville, with 13.5 percent, is in the middle of the group, but well behind such competitor metros as Raleigh (23.9 percent), Cincinnati (20.7 percent), Indianapolis (19.7 percent), Birmingham (19.6 percent) and Dayton (18.5 percent). Measured by the share of high-tech professionals alone, the absolute leader was Raleigh (9.0 percent), while in terms of health-care professionals the leader was Birmingham (5.0 percent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mmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area refugees, often needed a period of language and professional training before entering the work force. In addition, different nations of origin have different family structures. Some immigrants traditionally come in small family units, while others bring with them large numbers of children and elderly family members. Interestingly, the situation is almost exactly the opposite with regard to blue-collar workers and craftsmen. Here, Louisville, with 18.1 percent, is the third ranked metro, just after Greensboro (20.7 percent) and Charlotte (18.9 percent). In contrast, metros boasting the highest levels of professional immigration are at the bottom of the list. Thus, in Indianapolis blue-collar type immigrants comprised 11.4 percnt of the total, in Dayton 10.0 percent, in Raleigh 9.6 percent, in Cincinnati 8.9 percent, and in Birmingham just 7.5 percent. It follows that, at least throughout the 1990s, Louisville, unlike these metros, was less attractive to professional immigrants than to manual workers and artisans. Figures 4.9 and 4.10 present the occupational structures of Louisvilles immigrant communities by country of birth for the top 12 source countries. It can be seen that the individual national groups are very different from each other in terms of the professional structure of their immigrants. For example, India and China show a significant proportion of high-tech specialists, while blue-collar workers and craftsmen dominate immigration from Vietnam and Cuba. Overall, three groups of countries can be distinguished: (i) those with a large component of trained professionals; (ii) those dominated by the bluecollar occupations; and (iii) countries with a very high share of non-working family members. 4.2 The Occupational Structure and National Origin of Immigrants The occupational structure of Louisvilles recent immigrant community is very closely related to its national composition and legal category. For example, while some nations of origin consistently supplied the metro with highly trained professionals, others mostly provided manual workers. Immigrants from some countries came primarily via employment-based channels and immediately joined the local labor force, while others, such as The first group includes countries where the share of all professionals exceeds 20 percent, which is about twice the average for US immigration as a whole. For Louisville, there were five such countries: India with 15.6 percent being high-tech professionals, another 7.8 percent being health-care professionals, and 11.2 percent being Figure 4.9 Distribution of Occupations for Immigrants to the Louisville MSA by Country of Birth Top Six Countries of Birth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mmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area )RUFH )RUFH 6DOHV +HDOWKFDUH 7HFKQRORJ\ 0LVFHOODQHRXV 3URIHVVLRQV 3URIHVVLRQV 1RWLQ/DERU $UWLVDQV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 1RWLQ/DERU 1RW5HSRUWHG 1RWLQ/DERU 7HFKQRORJ\ 3URIHVVLRQDOV 3URIHVVLRQV $UWLVDQV 1RW5HSRUWHG 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 35 other professionals; China (12.8 percent high-tech, 4.1 percent health-care, and 7.1 percent miscellaneous professionals); Canada (2.6 percent, 6.9 percent, and 17.3 percent, respectively); the United Kingdom ( 11.0 percent, 4.0 percent, and 18.0 percent, respectively); and Russia (16.0 percent, 4.5 percent, and 2.6 percent, respectively). The second group includes another five countries: Vietnam (34 percent artisans); Cuba (25.5 percent artisans); Bosnia (31.4 percent artisans); Ukraine (27.1 percent artisans); and Mexico (19.0 percent artisans). For all of these countries the share of artisans was higher than the US immigration average of 15.4 percent. The third group includes the remaining two countries: the Philippines and Korea. Both of them demonstrated a very high share of immigrants not in labor force. For the Philippines this share was 66.9 percent, and for Korea 85.0 percent. This is compared to a national average of 58.5 percent. It is possible that for the Philippines the high share is explained by the results of the traditional mail-bride business between this country and the US. We have no explanation, however, for the still higher share of Korean immigrants not in the labor force. 4.3 Distribution of Occupations by Legal Category of Admission Breaking down the occupational structure of 1990s immigrants by their legal categories of admission, we observed several patterns. As expected, the highest-skilled immigrants are concentrated in the employment-based admissions category. This is particularly true for employment-based immigrants from India, China, Canada, Philippines and the United Kingdom (see Figure 4.11). For each of these countries the share of professionals of all types was 30 percent or more of the total number of immigrants admitted in this category. Thus, of all employment-based immigrants from India, 32.7 percent were high-tech professionals, 11.6 percent were health-care professionals, and 15.0 percent had other professional occupations. Indian employment-based immigrants brought with them relatively small number of dependents. Only 36.1 percent of Indian immigrants in this category were not in the labor force, which means a ratio of one dependent for every two professionals. Similarly, the inflow of Chinese employment-based immigrants consisted of 20.4 percent high-tech professionals, 4.6 percent health-care specialists, and 8.3 percent Figure 4.10 Distribution of Occupations for Immigrants to the Louisville MSA by Country of Birth Countries of Birth ranked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mmigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Figure 4.11 Distribution of Occupations for Immigrants to the Louisville MSA Admitted Under EmploymentRelated Categories, Top Five Countries of Birth &KLQD &DQDGD ,QGLD 0LVFHOODQHRXV 6DOHVDQG 6HUYLFH 6FLHQFH 6DOHVDQG 7HFKQRORJ\ 6HUYLFH SURIHVVLRQV 2FFXSDWLRQODER 2FFXSDWLRQODER UIRUFHVWDWXVQRW $UWLVDQV UHSRUWHG 6FLHQFH UHTXLULQJ 7HFKQRORJ\ IRUPDO SURIHVVLRQV HGXFDWLRQ 6FLHQFH 7HFKQRORJ\ +HDOWKFDUH SURIHVVLRQV SURIHVVLRQV 0LVFHOODQHRXV SURIHVVLRQV 6HUYLFH 1RWLQWKHODERU IRUFH IRUFH UIRUFHVWDWXVQRW UHSRUWHG 1RWLQWKHODERU IRUFH 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 8QLWHG.LQJGRP 6FLHQFH 6HUYLFH 7HFKQRORJ\ SURIHVVLRQV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV 3KLOLSSLQHV +HDOWKFDUH 6DOHVDQG UHSRUWHG IRUPDO HGXFDWLRQ 2FFXSDWLRQODER 1RWLQWKHODERU UHTXLULQJ 6DOHVDQG SURIHVVLRQV HGXFDWLRQ $UWLVDQV +HDOWKFDUH UHTXLULQJIRUPDO UIRUFHVWDWXVQRW +HDOWKFDUH SURIHVVLRQV UHSRUWHG 0LVFHOODQHRXV 2FFXSDWLRQODER SURIHVVLRQV 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV $UWLVDQV UIRUFHVWDWXVQRW SURIHVVLRQV SURIHVVLRQV $UWLVDQV $UWLVDQV 0LVFHOODQHRXV +HDOWKFDUH SURIHVVLRQV SURIHVVLRQV 6FLHQFH UHTXLULQJ 7HFKQRORJ\ SURIHVVLRQV IRUPDO HGXFDWLRQ 6DOHVDQG 0LVFHOODQHRXV SURIHVVLRQV 6HUYLFH UHTXLULQJ 1RWLQWKHODERU IRUFH IRUPDO HGXFDWLRQ 2FFXSDWLRQODER UIRUFHVWDWXVQRW UHSRUWHG 1RWLQWKHODERU IRUFH 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV miscellaneous other professionals. For Canada, high-tech immigrants were just 2.2 percent of the total employment-based immigrants, but health-care specialists were 8.2 percent, and other professionals made up 23.0 percent of employment-based immigrants. For the Philippines, high-tech professionals comprised 13.0 percent, health-care professionals 30.4 percent, and other professionals 8.7 percent of employment-based immigrants. For the United Kingdom the shares were 11.5 percent, 1.3 percent, and 34.6 percent, respectively. Thus, Indians and Chinese employment-based immigrants primarily came to Louisville to take up jobs in engineering, computers, and science, Canadians and UK immigrants came primarily to take jobs in management, and Filipinos to take jobs in health care (mostly as nurses). Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 1XPEHURI,PPLJUDQWV In contrast to the employment-based immigrants, refugee and refugee-type immigrants, the majority of whom came from Vietnam, Cuba, Bosnia and Ukraine, have mostly provided Louisvilles labor market with manual workers (see Figure 4.12). Russia is an exception to this, even though most Russian immigrants come as refugees, the percentage of professionals among them is almost as high as among employment-based immigrants coming from other countries. 37 Figure 4.12 Distribution of Occupations for Immigrants to the Louisville MSA Admitted Under Refugee Categories, Top Five Countries of Birth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he Age Structure of Immigrants to the Louisville MSA The age structure of Louisvilles immigrants does not differ significantly from that of US immigration as a whole or from the peer metros (see Table 4.1). About two-thirds (64.6 percent) of Louisvilles immigrants were in the economically most productive age group (20 to 59 years old), slightly above the percentage for the US as a whole (61.4 percent). 7DEOH $JH6WUXFWXUHRI,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$WKH8QLWHG6WDWHV DQG3HHU0HWUR$UHDV /HVVWKDQ\HDUV \HDUV \HDUV 0RUHWKDQ\HDUV /RXLVYLOOH 8QLWHG6WDWHV 3HHU0HWURV 6RXUFH,PPLJUDWLRQDQG1DWXUDOL]DWLRQ6HUYLFH 38 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area References Attracting Immigrants to an Urban Area, Izyumov, Alexei and Nahata, Babu (2000) , University of Louisville, March, Louisville. Passel, Jeffery S. and Clark, Rebecca L. (1998). Immigrants in New York: Their Legal Status, Incomes, and Taxes. Washington, D.C.: The Urban Institute Press. Borjas, George J. (1999). Heavens Door, Princeton, New Jersey, Princeton University Press. Smith James P. and Edmonston Barry, eds. (1997). The New Americans: Economic, Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of Immigration, National Research Council, National Academy Press, Washington D.C. Borjas, George, Editor (2000). Issues in the Economics of Immigration. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago. Center for Immigration Studies (2001). Immigrants in the United States2000. A Snapshot of American Foreign-born Population, by Steven Camarota, Wash., DC. Available at: http://www.cis.org/articles/2001/ back101.html Encyclopedia of Louisville (2001). Ed. by John Kleber. The University Press of Kentucky, Lexington, KY U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1990 Census of Population and Housing. U.S. General Accounting Office (1998). Immigration Statistics (GAO/GGD-98-164). Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office. U.S. Immigration and Naturalization Service, Immigrants Admitted into the United States as Legal Permanent Residents, 1990 through 1998, CD-ROM products. FAIR (2001), The Federation for American Immigration Reform. Available at: http://www.fairus.org/html/ states.htm Frey, William H. and DeVol, Ross C. Americas Demography in the Twentieth Century: Aging Baby Boomers and New Immigrants as Major Players. Santa Monica, CA: Milken Institute (2000). Lazear E. (1999) Culture and language Journal of Political Economy, vol. 107, no 6, pp.95-125. Lazear E. (2000) Diversity and Immigration in: Borjas, J. (Ed.) Issues in the Economics of Immigration, 117-142. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press. Ley D. and Smith H. (2000) Relations between Deprivation and Immigrant Groups in Large Canadian Cities Urban Studies, Vol. 37, No. 1, pp. 37-62. Organization for Economic Cooperation and DevelopmentOECD (1999). Trends in International Migration. Paris: OECD. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 39 40 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Appendix A: Terminology and Definitions The primary geographical reference of this report is Greater Louisville. Statistically Greater Louisville is defined as Louisville Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). Names Louisville, Greater Louisville, Louisville metro area are used in the report interchangeably. In all cases unless otherwise noted these names relate to Louisville Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). Louisville MSA includes seven counties in Kentucky and Indiana: Jefferson, KY; Clark, IN; Floyd, IN; Bullitt, KY; Oldham, KY; Harrison, IN; Scott, IN. The estimated combined population of these counties as of 2000 is slightly over 1 million. The subject of this report are immigrants or foreignborn residents of the United States, in particular those residing in Greater Louisville. Immigrant origin has to be clearly distinguished from racial/ethnic origin and from national ancestry. Immigrants in the most general sense are all foreignborn individuals residing in the US on a long-term basis. In a more narrow legally defined sense, immigrants include only foreign-born individuals having permanent resident status in the US, that is holders of US passports or permanent residency permits, so called green cards.1 Legal immigrants also include refugees and asylees, who are foreign-born persons admitted to the US for humanitarian reasons. After a year in the US they are generally granted permanent resident status. In contrast to other categories of immigrants, refugees are guaranteed economic support by the government in re-settlement, training and job-search efforts. Racial/ethnic origin is a US Census Bureau definition, based on classification of all Americans into one of the five broad groups: White-Non Hispanic, African-Americans, White Hispanics, Asian-Americans, Native Americans (American Indians and Alaska Natives). The last four of these groups are often termed ethnic minorities. Classifying someone as a member of one of the above categories is based on self-reporting during the Census of Population surveys. Naturally, ethnic group categories overlap with immigrant-origin groups. For example, a Mexican immigrant will qualify both as Hispanic and as an immigrant.2 An immigrant from an African country will qualify as African-American, while an immigrant from China will qualify as Asian-American. In the same way an immigrant from Canada or from Bosnia will be classified as a White non-Hispanic. However, children of immigrants born in the US are not considered immigrants. Thus a child of Mexican-immigrants will not be counted as an immigrant. Racial/ethnic origin classification is exhaustive: it covers all 100 percent of the US population. In contrast, foreign-born Americans, however numerous, are a just a fraction of this total, representing as of 2000 about 10.5% of the US population. To compare based on the 2000 Census, two of the US ethnic minorities African-Americans and Hispanics individually account for over 12% of the US population. That is, each of these ethnic minorities is larger than the combined population of all foreign-born residing in the US in 2000. National ancestry is a Census Bureau classification that relates a persons origin to a particular country via ancestry roots. In contrast to immigrant origin, which is clearly defined by the birth in a particular foreign country, national ancestry is a much less precise concept. It generally points to one of the several blood lines running in the family, regardless of birth-place of a person in question. For example, about one third of Louisvilles residents, that is over 300,000 people, claim to be of German stock (Encyclopedia of Louisville, 2001). However only a small fraction of these people, no more than 5 thousand, were actually born in Germany, rather than in the US. 1. A green card gives its holder the right to enter and exit the US at any time, get employment and stay there indefinitely. Permanent residents pay all US taxes but can not vote or be elected to government offices. After five years of permanent residency green card holders can apply for and receive US citizenship (become naturalized). Alternatively they can keep their original citizenship for as long as they like. In Louisville, for example, an estimated one-third of immigrants are US citizens and two-thirds are permanent residents with non-US citizenship. 2. The latest estimates put the number of Hispanics in the US at 35.5 million, of whom about 10 million are foreign-born (Wall Street Journal, March 14, 2001, page A 14. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 41 While our study is focused on legal immigrants, including refugees, it also deals with some of the non-immigrants groups of foreign-born, which includes long-term visitors, short-term visitors and illegal immigrants. Long-term visitors are foreign-born individuals residing in the US for the purposes of work, study or for other reasons and holding various types of temporary visas, e.g. students, temporary foreign workers, and diplomats. Long-term visitors of these types do not possess green-cards and are not immigrants in a legal sense. Short-term visitors are foreign-born individuals visiting the US for pleasure or business, without the right to be employed, e.g. tourists, business visitors, and family visitors. Short-term visitors can not have green cards. Illegal immigrants are foreign-born persons residing in the US on a long-term basis without appropriate documentation. Illegals come to the US either by crossing US borders without inspection (approximately 60% of all illegal immigrants) or by overstaying their temporary visas. Other terms used to describe illegal immigrants are illegal aliens and undocumented immigrants. 42 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Appendix B. Net International and Domestic Migration to States, 1990-99 1 California 2 New York 3 District of Columbia 4 New Jersey 5 Hawaii 6 Florida 7 Texas 8 Illinois 9 Nevada 10 Washington 11 Maryland 12 Massachusetts 13 Connecticut 14 Arizona 15 New Mexico 16 Virginia 17 Oregon 18 Rhode island 19 Colorado 20 Idaho 21 Utah 22 Alaska 23 Georgia 24 Delaware 25 Minnesota 26 Kansas 27 Michigan 28 Pennsylvania 29 Nebraska 30 Oklahoma 31 North Dakota 32 Vermont 33 North Carolina 34 Iowa 35 Missouri 36 South Dakota 37 New Hampshire 38 Louisiana 39 Tennessee 40 Indiana 41 South Carolina 42 Wisconsin 43 Ohio 44 Wyoming 45 K entucky 46 Arkansas 47 Alabama 48 Montana 49 Maine 50 Mississippi 51 West Virginia International 2,222,239 1,078,011 29,137 368,874 52,844 629,692 699,780 376,277 54,755 144,514 128,958 143,499 71,367 103,667 37,515 142,510 64,914 15,895 64,306 17,724 29,769 8,650 103,884 9,118 54,165 27,656 98,354 111,849 14,892 28,051 5,245 4,849 57,149 20,750 37,661 4,843 6,900 25,101 29,928 28,649 18,210 24,526 51,955 1,966 15,631 10,017 13,898 2,725 3,826 6,719 3,351 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area D omestic -2,152,382 -1,836,029 -141,469 -365,226 -100,255 1,053,298 570,383 -544,901 420,216 361,709 -58,541 -232,157 -220,328 575,303 42,239 87,912 261,418 -62,501 402,582 133,976 73,986 -24,423 653,213 33,765 86,206 -14,427 -193,640 -247,881 -3,067 45,881 -34,922 5,116 541,196 -14,321 99,893 -2,193 29,730 -128,574 350,823 81,271 136,917 89,068 -162,268 -2,436 96,278 109,710 109,522 48,471 -8,819 46,649 4,029 1999 Population 33,145,121 18,196,601 519,000 8,143,412 1,185,497 15,111,244 20,044,141 12,128,370 1,809,253 5,756,361 5,171,634 6,175,169 3,282,031 4,778,332 1,739,844 6,872,912 3,316,154 990,819 4,056,133 1,251,700 2,129,836 619,500 7,788,240 753,538 4,775,508 2,654,052 9,863,775 11,994,016 1,666,028 3,358,044 633,666 593,740 7,650,789 2,869,413 5,468,338 733,133 1,201,134 4,372,035 5,483,535 5,942,901 3,885,736 5,250,446 11,256,654 479,602 3,960,825 2,551,373 4,369,862 882,779 1,253,040 2,768,619 1,806,928 Per Capita Migration 6.7% 5.9% 5.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.2% 3.5% 3.1% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% Source: Frey and De Vol, 0.2% 2000 43 Appendix C. Estimates of the Current Size of Louisvilles Foreign-Born Community Existing statistics make it difficult to provide a precise estimate for the stock of foreign-born residing in Greater Louisville at the present time. While immigrant flow statistics of the INS provides the most precise account of new foreign-born persons coming to the US via legal channels, it has its limitations. At the metro area level INS does not offer publicly available data on non-immigrant categories of foreign-born, such as students and professional visa holders. For obvious reasons, it also gives no account of undocumented immigrants. INS data, importantly, does not follow demographic changes and secondary migration of foreign-born to and from a city in question. The latter statistics are tracked by the Bureau of Census, but reliable data on a metro area level appear only once in ten years following decennial Census of Population. Due to these reasons, the number of foreign born presently residing in Louisville MSA can only be estimated tentatively. By our calculations, including students, foreign-born temporary workers and undocumented immigrants, by spring of 2001 this number should be between 25 and 45 thousand, or between 2.5% and 4.5 % of the total Louisvilles population. More precise estimates will be possible to make when the detailed results of the US 2000 Census of Population become available in approximately a year. Thus, estimates of Louisville immigrant population can only be provided based on the previous Census of 1990 and statistics of the US Immigration and Naturalization Service, which reports data on newly settled immigrants. In 1990 the Louisvilles metro area population of foreign-born was only 12 thousand persons, roughly about one third of the total for Kentucky. Compared to other metro areas, the percentage of foreign-born in Louisville was quite lowjust over 1.3 %. In the course of the last decade more than seven thousand or about 40% of all new legal immigrants coming to Kentucky settled in Louisville. (The exact number of new settlers in Louisville in 1990-1998, as reported by the INS, was 7,073). Even though some of them moved to other cities and states, Louisville gained more foreignborn than it lost due to domestic migration and inflow of non-immigrant foreign-born, such as professionals on temporary visas and students. Based on state-wide 44 estimates for Kentucky for 2000 (total of 97 thousand foreign-born) at present Louisvilles immigrant population should be no less than 35 thousand. It is more likely to be above 40 thousand. For the total metro-area population of Louisville of just over 1 million (1,026 thousand as of 2000) it translates to 3.5 - 5% of population. Compared to the national average of 10.4% it is still a relatively low number. However it is clear that Louisville is catching up with its peer cities. If current trends continue one should expect Louisvilles immigrant population to reach 100-130 thousand by the year 2010. The rapid growth of immigrant community in Louisville is indirectly supported by the statistics of changes in the race/ethnic composition of the metros population. Between 1990 and 2000 the total population of the metro grew by 8.1%. In the same period, the number of Asian Americans in the metro increased by 102.8% (nationally by 72.2%) and the number of Hispanic or Latino Americans increased by 182.9% (nationally by 57.9%). Thus, Louisvilles Asian and Hispanic communities have been growing in the 1990s much faster than in the US as a whole. 7RS&RXQWULHVRI2ULJLQ$PRQJ,QWHUQDWLRQDO 6WXGHQWVDWWKH8QLYHUVLW\RI/RXLVYLOOH &RXQWU\RIRULJLQ 1XPEHURIVWXGHQWV ,QGLD &KLQD -DSDQ .RUHD (J\SW 5XVVLD &DQDGD &RORPELD 7DLZDQ )UDQFH 8QLWHG.LQJGRP %UD]LO 5HVWRIWKH:RUOG 7RWDO 6RXUFH,QWHUQDWLRQDO&HQWHU8QLYHUVLW\RI/RXLVYLOOH Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area Appendix D. Explanation of Cover Map: Settlement Patterns by Zip Code of Immigrants to the Louisville MSA During the 1990s 6HWWOHPHQW3DWWHUQVRI,PPLJUDQWV WRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$'XULQJWKHV ,PPLJUDQWVWRWKH/RXLVYLOOH06$E\=LS&RGH Source: US Immigration and Naturalization Service. Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area 45 46 Immigration to the Louisville Metropolitan Area March 2000 The Foreign-Born Population in the United States Issued January 2001 Population Characteristics P20-534 This report describes the foreign-born population in the United States in 2000. It provides a profile of demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, such as region of birth, geographic distribution in the United States, age, educational attainment, earnings, and poverty status. These characteristics are compared with those of the native population, and because the foreign born are a heterogenous group, variability within the foreign-born population is also discussed.1 The findings are based on data collected by the Census Bureau in the March 2000 Current Population Survey (CPS).2 Simply put, the Foreign Born were not U.S. citizens at birth. Natives were born in the United States or a U.S. Island Area such as Puerto Rico, or born abroad of at least one parent who was a U.S. citizen. 1 For similar comparisons between the Hispanic and White, not Hispanic populations in the United States, see Therrien, Melissa, 2001, The Hispanic Population in the United States: March 2000, Current Population Reports, P20-535, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, D.C. 2 The population universe for the March 2000 CPS is the civilian noninstitutional population of the United States and members of the Armed Forces in the United States living off post or with their families on post, but excludes all other members of the Armed Forces. POPULATION SIZE AND COMPOSITION One-third of the foreign-born population is from Mexico or another Central American country. Current Population Reports By Lisa Lollock In 2000, 28.4 million foreign born resided in the United States, representing 10.4 percent of the total U.S. population. Among the foreign born, 51.0 percent were born in Latin America3, 25.5 percent were born in Asia, 15.3 percent were born in Europe, and the remaining 8.1 percent were born in other regions of the world.4 The foreign-born 3 Latin America includes Central America, the Caribbean, and South America. 4 For more information on the countries included in each of the six regions of the world used in this report, see Schmidley and Gibson, 1999, Profile of the ForeignBorn Population in the United States: 1997, U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Reports, Series P23-195, Washington, D.C. Figure 1. Foreign Born by Region of Birth: 2000 (In percent) LATIN AMERICA 51.0 Central America 34.5 EUROPE 15.3 Caribbean 9.9 ASIA 25.5 South America 6.6 OTHER REGIONS 8.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. Demographic Programs USCENSUSBUREAU U.S. Census Bureau Helping You Make Informed Decisions U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU 1 population from Central America (including Mexico) accounted for nearly two-thirds of the foreign born from Latin America and for about onethird of the total foreign born (see Figure 1). The foreign born are more geographically concentrated than the native population. In 2000, 39.9 percent of the foreign-born population lived in the West, 26.8 percent in the South, 22.6 percent in the Northeast, and 10.7 percent in the Midwest. Among natives, 35.9 percent lived in the South, 24.6 percent in the Midwest, 20.8 percent in the West, and 18.6 percent in the Northeast (see Figure 2). The foreign born from Latin America were more likely to live in the West (42.1 percent) and South (32.6 percent) than those from other regions of the world. The foreign born from Central America (who represent twothirds of the foreign born from Latin America) were also concentrated the most in the West (58.5 percent) and South (27.4 percent). The Latin American foreign born from the Caribbean and from South America were concentrated in the Northeast (45.5 percent and 46.0 percent, respectively) and the South (48.7 percent and 35.3 percent, respectively).5 Nearly half of the foreign born from Asia lived in the West (47.8 percent). Figure 2. Population by Nativity and Region of Residence: 2000 (As a percent of each population) Foreign born Native 22.6 Northeast 18.6 10.7 Midwest 24.6 26.8 South 35.9 39.9 West 20.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. Figure 3. Population by Nativity and Age Group: 2000 (As a percent of each population) Foreign born Native 10.0 Less than 18 years 28.3 79.0 18-64 years 59.7 11.0 65 years and over 12.0 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. The foreign born are more likely than the native population to live in central cities of metropolitan areas. Almost half of the foreign born lived in a central city in a metropolitan area (45.1 percent) compared with slightly more than one-quarter of the 5 The percentages living in the Northeast and South are not significantly different for either the Caribbean or South America. 2 native population (27.5 percent). The percentage living outside central cities but within a metropolitan area was slightly less for the foreign born than for the native population (49.8 percent and 51.9 percent, respectively). The percentage of the foreign born living in nonmetropolitan areas (5.1 percent) was much smaller than the percentage of natives (20.7 percent). The foreign born are more likely than natives to be 18 to 64 years of age. In 2000, 79.0 percent of the foreign born were 18 to 64 years of age, whereas 59.7 percent of natives were in this age group (see Figure 3). More specifically, whereas 43.6 percent of the foreign born were ages 25 to 44, 28.6 percent of the native population were in this age group. U.S. Census Bureau Figure 4. Population by Nativity, Age, and Sex: 2000 (In percent)1 Foreign Born Age Males 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 Native Age Males Females 85+ 85+ 80-84 80-84 75-79 75-79 70-74 70-74 65-69 65-69 60-64 60-64 55-59 55-59 50-54 50-54 45-49 45-49 40-44 40-44 35-39 35-39 30-34 30-34 25-29 25-29 20-24 20-24 15-19 15-19 10-14 10-14 5-9 5-9 0-4 0-4 0 0 Percent 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0 0 Percent Females 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 1 Each bar represents the percent of the foreign-born (native) population who were within the specified age group and of the specified sex. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. of the native population. The small proportion of foreign born in the youngest age group occurred because most of the children of foreign-born parents are natives. Figure 5. U.S. Citizenship of the Foreign-Born Population by Year of Entry: 2000 (In percent) 80.4 Before 1970 61.9 1970-79 38.9 1980-89 After 1990 8.9 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. Among the foreign born, 24.3 percent were 45 to 64 years old compared with 21.7 percent of natives (see Figure 4). U.S. Census Bureau The proportion age 65 and over was about the same for the foreign born (11.0 percent) and natives (12.0 percent). Relatively few foreign born were less than 18 years of age (10.0 percent) compared with 28.3 percent More than one of every three foreign born are naturalized citizens. Among the foreign born in 2000, 39.5 percent entered the United States in the 1990s, another 28.3 percent came in the 1980s, 16.2 percent entered in the 1970s, and the remaining 16.0 percent arrived before 1970.6 Among those who arrived before 1970, 80.4 percent had obtained citizenship by 2000. Of those who entered from 1970 to 1979, 61.9 percent had obtained citizenship by 2000, compared with 38.9 percent of those 6 The percentage of foreign born who entered in the 1970s is not statistically different from the percentage who entered before 1970. 3 who entered from 1980 to 1989, and only 8.9 percent of those who entered from 1990 to 1999 (see Figure 5).7 Figure 6. Family Households With Five or More People by Nativity and World Region of Birth: 2000 (In percent)1 FAMILY HOUSEHOLD SIZE AND MARITAL STATUS The foreign born live in family households that are larger than those of natives. In 2000, 26.6 percent of family households in which a foreign-born person was the householder consisted of five or more people.8 In contrast, only 13.2 percent of native family households were this large. Among foreignborn family households, the proportion with five or more people varied from 42.1 percent when the householder was from Central America to 9.8 percent when the householder was from Europe (see Figure 6).9 13.2 Native 26.6 Foreign born 9.8 Europe 22.2 Asia 35.1 Latin America 42.1 Central America 19.7 Caribbean 23.3 South America 19.4 Other Regions 1 Each bar represents the percent of family households, whose householder was born in the specified area, that consisted of 5 or more people. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. Among the population 15 years and over, the foreign born were more likely to be currently married10 than natives (61.0 percent compared with 53.2 percent). Of the foreign born, naturalized citizens had a higher proportion married (66.4 percent) than non-citizens (57.4 percent).11 Figure 7. Population by Nativity and Educational Attainment: 2000 (As a percent of each population age 25 and over) Foreign born Native 22.2 EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT Two of three foreign born have graduated from high school. The foreign-born population age 25 and over was less likely to have graduated from high school than 7 After migration to the United States, some foreign-born residents become naturalized citizens. This process usually requires 5 years of residence in the United States. 8 Family households consist of two or more people, at least one of whom is related to the householder (the person who owns or rents the housing unit). Foreign-born households have a foreign-born householder. 9 The percentage of family households that contained five or more people did not differ significantly between those maintained by a foreign-born person from Asia, the Caribbean, South America, or other regions. 10 Includes cases in which the spouse is absent, but excludes those who are separated. 11 Marital status is calculated for those age 15 and over. 4 Less than 9th grade 4.7 10.8 9th to 12th grade 8.7 41.2 High school graduate or some college Bachelor's degree or more 61.0 25.8 25.6 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. natives (67.0 percent and 86.6 percent, respectively). In addition, more than one-fifth of the foreign born had less than a ninth-grade education (22.2 percent) compared with about one-twentieth of the native population (4.7 percent). The proportions with a bachelor’s degree or more education were not significantly different between the U.S. Census Bureau but differed between foreign-born women (5.5 percent) and native women (4.2 percent).14 Figure 8. Population With at Least a High School Education by Nativity and World Region of Birth: 2000 (In percent)1 86.6 Native 67.0 Foreign born 81.3 Europe 83.8 Asia 49.6 Latin America Central America 37.3 68.1 Caribbean 79.6 South America 86.6 Other Regions 1 Each bar represents the percent of individuals age 25 and over, who were born in the specified area, who have at least a high school education. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. foreign-born (25.8 percent) and the native population (25.6 percent, see Figure 7). The foreign born who were naturalized citizens were more likely to have graduated from high school than the foreign born who were not citizens (76.2 percent and 59.8 percent, respectively). Educational attainment among the foreign born varies by region of birth. The highest percentages of high school graduates were found among Asians, Europeans, and those from other regions (83.8 percent, 81.3 percent, and 86.6 percent, respectively), compared with Latin Americans (49.6 percent). Among the foreign born from Latin America, those from South America were most likely to have graduated from high school (79.6 percent), and those 12 The percentages of foreign born from Europe and Asia with a high school degree or more were not significantly different from each other or from the percentage of those from South America. The percentage of Asians that had graduated from high school was not significantly different from the percentages from other regions. U.S. Census Bureau Foreign-born workers were more likely than native workers to be in service occupations (19.2 percent and 13.2 percent, respectively).15 Conversely, 24.7 percent of the foreign born were in managerial or professional specialty occupations, compared with 30.9 percent of natives. Among the foreign born, the percentage of workers in managerial or professional specialty occupations ranged from 7.0 percent of those from Central America to 38.7 percent of those from Asia.16 from Central America were the least likely (37.3 percent), as shown in Figure 8.12 The proportion who had attained a bachelor’s degree ranged from 44.9 percent for those from Asia to 5.5 percent for those from Central America. ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS The foreign born earn less than natives. In 1999, 36.3 percent of foreignborn full-time, year-round workers and 21.3 percent of native workers earned less than $20,000.17 Among foreign-born workers, the proportions earning less than $20,000 ranged from 57.1 percent of those from Central America to 16.2 percent of those from Europe and 22.4 percent from Asia.18 More natives earned $50,000 or more (24.6 percent) than foreign born (19.1 percent). The foreign born are more likely to be unemployed than natives. In March 2000, 4.9 percent of the foreign born in the civilian labor force were unemployed compared with 4.3 percent of natives.13 Unemployment rates were similar between foreign-born men (4.5 percent) and native men (4.4 percent), 13 Civilian labor force data shown in this report reflect characteristics of the civilian noninstitutionalized population age 15 and over for March 2000 and are not adjusted for seasonal changes. Data released by the Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, may not agree entirely with data shown in this report because of differences in methodological procedures and their seasonal adjustment of the data. 14 The unemployment rates were not statistically different between native women and native or foreign-born men, or between foreignborn women and foreign-born men. 15 The occupational classification system used here and by the Bureau of Labor Statistics is the one used in the 1990 Census of Population and is based largely on the 1980 Standard Occupational Classification (SOC). 16 The percentage of foreign-born workers from Asia who were in executive, administrative, or managerial occupations did not differ from the percentage from Europe or other regions. 17 Data on earnings and poverty in this report refer to the calendar year before the survey. In this case, earnings information collected in March 2000 refers to calendar year 1999. 18 The percentage of foreign born from South America who earned less than $20,000 was not significantly different from the percentage from Asia. 5 The foreign born are more likely to live in poverty than natives. In 1999, 16.8 percent of foreignborn residents were living below the poverty level, compared with 11.2 percent of natives.19 The foreign born without U.S. citizenship were more than twice as likely to live in poverty (21.3 percent) as foreignborn naturalized citizens (9.1 percent).20 Among the foreign born, Latin Americans had the highest poverty rate, whereas Europeans had the lowest (21.9 percent and 9.3 percent, respectively).21 Among Latin Americans, the poverty rate was lowest for South Americans (11.5 percent), in comparison with Central Americans and Caribbeans (24.2 percent and 20.6 percent, respectively), as shown in Figure 9.22 Figure 9. People Living Below the Poverty Level by Nativity and World Region of Birth: 2000 (In percent)1 11.2 Native 16.8 Foreign born Europe Asia 9.3 12.8 21.9 Latin America 24.2 Central America 20.6 Caribbean South America Other Regions 11.5 11.0 1 Each bar represents the percent of individuals, who were born in the specified area, who were living in poverty. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March 2000. SOURCE OF THE DATA Estimates in this report come from data obtained in March 2000 by the CPS. The Census Bureau conducts the CPS every month, although this report uses only data from the March survey. ACCURACY OF THE ESTIMATES Statistics from surveys are subject to sampling and nonsampling error. All comparisons presented in this report have taken sampling error into account and meet the Census Bureau’s standards for statistical significance. Nonsampling errors in surveys may 19 Poverty status is based on a set of money income thresholds that vary by family size and composition (see Dalaker, Joseph, 2000. Poverty in the United States: 1999. U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Reports, P20-207; or www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty.html). 20 The poverty rate for naturalized citizens was not significantly different from the rate for natives. 21 The poverty rates for those from Europe, Asia, and other regions were not statistically different. 22 The poverty rates for those from Central America and the Caribbean were not statistically different. 6 be attributed to a variety of sources, such as how the survey was designed, how respondents interpret questions, how able and willing respondents are to provide correct answers, and how accurately the answers are coded and classified. The Census Bureau employs quality control procedures throughout the production process — including the overall design of surveys, the wording of questions, reviews of the work of interviewers and coders, and statistical review of reports. the categories used in weighting (age, race, sex, and Hispanic origin). All of these considerations affect comparisons across different surveys or data sources. For further information on statistical standards and the computation and use of standard errors, contact Jeffrey Stratton at the Census Bureau Demographic Statistical Methods Division on the Internet at: dsmd_s&[email protected]. MORE INFORMATION The Current Population Survey employs ratio estimation, whereby sample estimates are adjusted to independent estimates of the national population by age, race, sex, and Hispanic origin. This weighting partially corrects for bias due to undercoverage, but how it affects different variables in the survey is not precisely known. Moreover, biases may also be present when people who are missed in the survey differ from those interviewed in ways other than Sixty detailed tables from the March 2000 CPS are available on the Internet, at the Census Bureau’s Web site (www.census.gov). Once on the site, click on “F,” then select “Foreign Born Population Data.” Under “CPS March 2000" choose “Data Tables.” Data from previous years (19951999) are also available on this Web site. U.S. Census Bureau To receive a paper version of these tables, send your request for “PPL135, Profile of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States: March 2000,” along with a check or money order in the amount of $38.80, payable to “Commerce-Census-88-00-9010,” U.S. Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, P.O. Box 277943, Atlanta, GA 303847943, or call the Statistical Information Office at 301-457-2422. A copy of these tables will be made available to any existing Current Population Report P20 subscriber without charge, provided that the request is made within 3 months of the issue date of this report. U.S. Census Bureau CONTACT Statistical Information Office: [email protected] 301-457-2422 This report was partially funded by the Immigration and Naturalization Service. SUGGESTED CITATION USER COMMENTS The Census Bureau welcomes the comments and advice of data and report users. If you have any suggestions or comments, please write to: Lollock, Lisa, 2001, The Foreign Born Population in the United States: March 2000, Current Population Reports, P20-534, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, D.C. Chief, Population Division U.S. Census Bureau Washington, DC 20233 or send e-mail to: [email protected] 7
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz