Environmental Factors Influential to the PCC Community (June 2014) Update to information prepared for the PCC Board of Directors, Dec 2012 Numerous factors influence the community served by and in which the College operates. This overview details a subset of elements likely to play a role in shaping PCC’s future. Population Demographics • PCC serves a growing population that is becoming increasingly diverse with the Hispanic population being the fastest growing ethnic group. Multnomah, Washington, Columbia, Clackamas, and Yamhill Counties: o Total population = 1.8 million (2010) o Growth: +14% (2000-­‐2010), +23% (1990-­‐2000) Examples of differences in size/growth by county: o Washington: 554,996 population (2013 est), +19% (2000-­‐2010), +43% (1990-­‐2000) o Multnomah: 766,135 population (2013 est), +11% (2000-­‐2010), +13% (1990-­‐2000) o Columbia: 49,344 population (2013 est), +13% (2000-­‐2010), +16% (1990-­‐2000) Examples of county and PCC student diversity: o Multnomah = 72% White, 11% Hispanic, 7% Asian, 5% Black, 4% Multi-­‐Racial, 1% Native American o Washington = 69% White, 15% Hispanic, 9% Asian, 2% Black, 3% Multi-­‐Racial, 1% Native American o Columbia = 90% White, 4% Hispanic, 1% Asian, <1% Black, 3% Multi-­‐Racial, 1% Native American o PCC Students = 66% White, 11% Hispanic, 8% Asian, 6% Black, 5% Multi-­‐Racial, 1% Native American (does not include 3% International students) Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, PCC Spring 2014 student fact sheet • Diversity is greater among youth where the percentage of area non-­‐White pre-­‐K through 6th grade students is almost twice the proportion of non-­‐White adults. o Pre-­‐K through 6th Grade: 57% White, 22.5% Hispanic, 9% Asian, 6% Multi-­‐Racial, 5% Black, and 1% Native American • Area school districts with the highest percent of non-­‐White students are Forest Grove (53%), Hillsboro (48%), Beaverton (47.5%) and Portland (43.5%). Source: Oregon Department of Education https://www.pcc.edu/ir/Future-­‐Students/PublicSchoolDiversity2012.pdf • On average, the community population is getting “older.” o Residents age 55+ increased from 18% (2000) to 22% (2010) of the total population o Residents age 24 and younger decreased from 34% (2000) to 32% (2010) Sources: 2000 and 2010 Census PCC Office of Institutional Effectiveness, EnvScanUpdateJune2014.docx •
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Languages other than English are commonly spoken in over 20% of households in the community and more than 15% of the area population was not born in the United States. Educational attainment is higher in the Portland area than the state average. In-­‐migration of residents with college degrees contribute to the higher educational attainment. Educational Attainment Columbia, Multnomah, Level of Education Yamhill, Washington Oregon Counties combined Less than HS graduate 10.2% 10.7% High School Graduate or GED 20.8% 25.0% Some College, no degree 23.8% 26.9% Associates Degree 7.7% 8.1% Bachelor's Degree or higher 37.4% 29.3% Source: American Community Survey, 3-­‐Year (2010-­‐2012) Est., Table S1501 • In-­‐migrants to the Portland metro area tend to have higher educational attainment than the existing population. Nearly half of new residents have a bachelor's degree or higher. Source: http://www.qualityinfo.org/olmisj/ArticleReader?itemid=00008656 • Poverty status varies significantly within the PCC service community where 18% of Multnomah County residents live “in poverty” compared to 12% in Washington County. Source: American Community Survey, US Census Bureau; Table S1701; 2012 (1-­‐year est.) Workforce and Education Connections • The Portland area unemployment rate is similar to the national average although it exceeded the national rate during much of the recession. Local, State and National Unemployment Rates Portland-­‐Vancouver-­‐
Year Oregon U.S. Hillsboro MSA 2008 6% 6.5% 5.8% 2009 10.7% 11.1% 9.3% 2010 10.5% 10.7% 9.6% 2011 9.1% 9.5% 8.9% 2012 8.1% 8.6% 8.2% 2013 7.3% 7.1% 7.4% (prelim) 2014 6.1% 6.9% 6.3% Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics PCC Office of Institutional Effectiveness, EnvScanUpdateJune2014.docx •
Adults without high school degrees are unemployed at a rate more than 50% higher than those with some college or an Associate’s degree and more than double the rate of individuals with Bachelor’s degrees or higher. 2012 Unemployment Rates by Educational Attainment Educational Attainment •
Portland-­‐
Vancouver-­‐
Hillsboro MSA Oregon Less than High School Graduate 14.3% 16.6% HS Diploma or GED 11.6% 12.2% Some college or Associate Degree 9.1% 10.3% Bachelor’s Degree and higher 4.6% 5.0% Source: American Community Survey, 2012 1-­‐Year Est., Table S2301 U.S. 14.2% 10.1% 8.0% 4.2% Retirements anticipated over the next ten years will create more job openings due to the need for replacements. Source: Oregon Labor Market information System, Region 2: Multnomah/Washington • Registered Nurses, Bookkeeping & Accounting, General & Operations Management, Truck Driving, and Computer Support have the largest number of projected openings in the Portland area among occupations requiring postsecondary training or an associate degree. Occupation Total Openings Minimum Education 2010-­‐2020 Needed Registered Nurse 6,081 Associate’s Degree Bookkeeping, Accounting and Auditing 3,170 Post-­‐Sec Training Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor Trailer 2,772 Post-­‐Sec Training Computer Support Specialists 2,219 Post-­‐Sec Training Source: Oregon Labor Market information System, Occupational Prioritization Tool, Region 2 • Medical Laboratory Technicians, Emergency Medical Technicians, Paramedics and Medical Assistants are among occupations in the Portland area with the highest projected growth rates. (Note: High growth rate does not necessarily = large number of jobs.) Occupation 2010-­‐2020 Projected Growth Total Openings Medical Laboratory Technicians 41% 428 Emergency Medical Techs/Paramedics 38% 471 Medical Assistants 36% 1,670 Source: Oregon Labor Market information System, Occupational Prioritization Tool, Region 2 PCC Office of Institutional Effectiveness, EnvScanUpdateJune2014.docx •
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Ten year projections for emerging occupations such as “green jobs” are not yet available. Currently, 2.8% of all jobs in Oregon meet the state’s definition of a green job. o Oregon Employment Department estimates Oregon had 43,148 green jobs in 2010, spread across 4,339 employers. Source: “The Greening of Oregon’s Workforce,” January 2012, QualityInfo.org/Green PCC’s growth exceeded the average of the combined 16 other Oregon community colleges with a 5-­‐year FTE of +27% compared to the 16 college average of +6%. Total FTE Enrollment of Oregon Community Colleges 2008-­‐09 through 2012-­‐13 College
% 2008-09
to 2012-13
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
26,602.2
31,593.8
32,768.2
34,287.6
33,703.6
26.69%
Lane
13,179.7
15,355.6
15,821.9
15,860.1
14,381.50
9.12%
Chemeketa
12,503.6
13,982.6
14,311.2
13,945.2
13,925.77
11.37%
Mount Hood
9,482.9
10,840.9
10,715.6
9,917.2
9,801.43
3.36%
Clackamas
7,969.0
9,127.2
8,941.5
8,747.8
8,101.81
1.67%
Linn-Benton
7,259.3
8,255.3
8,302.8
7,320.7
7,122.19
-1.89%
Central Oregon
5,175.0
6,386.6
6,986.5
7,136.4
6,997.63
35.22%
Rogue
5,103.4
6,004.2
6,358.0
5,862.0
5,597.07
9.67%
Umpqua
3,875.2
4,812.2
4,924.7
4,577.0
3,407.76
-12.06%
Southwestern Oregon
3,276.6
3,327.0
3,389.6
3,347.9
3,115.64
-4.91%
Treasure Valley
3,045.4
3,522.0
3,627.1
3,307.4
3,187.83
4.68%
Blue Mountain
2,657.3
3,000.5
2,986.7
2,857.7
2,710.00
1.98%
Klamath
1,618.6
1,806.5
2,004.9
2,002.1
1,654.12
2.19%
Clatsop
1,487.3
1,522.6
1,550.1
1,520.7
1,392.11
-6.40%
Columbia Gorge
1,090.3
1,269.8
1,262.4
1,248.6
1,075.50
-1.35%
Tillamook Bay
346.5
435.9
518.6
558.5
505.99
46.01%
Oregon Coast
477.0
571.9
518.5
515.5
552.68
15.87%
Total (w/out PCC)
78,547.2
90,220.9
92,220.1
88,724.7
83,529.0
6.34%
Total With PCC
105,149.4
121,814.7
124,988.4
120,154.5
117,232.6
11.49%
Portland
Source: Oregon Department of Community Colleges and Workforce Development PCC Office of Institutional Effectiveness, EnvScanUpdateJune2014.docx