NIELSENNEWS Edition June 2010 50% of Consumers in Indonesia will Follow Football World Cup 2010 With the World Cup finals already started in Johannesburg on 11 June, a global survey Dear Clients, I welcome you to the first issue of Nielsen News. In this edition, we provide you with information from the perspective of what consumers watch and what consumers buy, so that you will have a complete view of the market which will help you in making strategic decision for your company. conducted by The Nielsen Company reveals that 50 percent of consumers in Indonesia will follow the games. Globally, 51 percent indicate they will watch the game, and 34 percent consider themselves football fans. In the Asia Pacific region, Indonesians declares themselves the most avid followers of football with more than half (54%) saying they are fans of the game, followed by Vietnamese (52%) and Indians (47%). But the appeal of the World Cup finals I hope you find this newsletter useful, and thank you for your continuous support to Nielsen. appears to reach far beyond football’s usual fan base – the Nielsen figures reveal Best Regards, Steve finals were South Korea (76%), Vietnam (68%) and China (65%). that in all Asia Pacific countries, intent to follow the World Cup is much higher than the traditional football fan base. Countries with the highest level of intent to follow the 24% Indonesian favor Brazil to win 2010 World Cup, 40% Globally Brazil is cited as the team most people think will win - globally, 39% think so. So is Content: • 50% of Consumers in Indonesians, 24% people think Brazil will win, but 22% said England, and 11% think Spain will win. Brazilians are also optimistic as 86% is confident to say their home team will bring the trophy, but Brazil is not the only optimistic nations, since Spanish Indonesia will follow people (65%), Italians (45%) and Germans (40%) also believe that their home nation Football World Cup will see World Cup Glory. 2010 • FMCG Sales Grow 8% in First Quarter of 2010 • Badminton National Team Grabbed TV TV is not the only medium, and new media will be alternatives How will Indonesians follow the World Cup? Television is still the main medium with 77 percent said they will watch live coverage of the games, however, in Asia Pacific region, only 59% will use TV as their main medium. Viewers’ Attention Copyright © 2010 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved www.nielsen.com 1 Nielsen News Based on Nielsen Television Audience TV - Who watched World Cup in 2006? Measurement, the World Cup in 2006, broadcast 64 per cent of the audience were men. Source: Nielsen - TAM 32.6% of those who watched at least half hour of the 3rd place match were watching the final match live from Germany, was watched by an average of nearly 3 million people (aged above 5 years in 10 major cities). However, TV is not the only medium, as 62 49 per cent of those who watched were aged 20-39 years percent will read newspapers to follow World Cup 2010. Even the new media: online and mobile phones has become alternatives for Indonesians to follow the matches as 31% plan to watch live 15 streaming of the matches, 45% will read online articles, and 32% will read through blogs or online forum. With the growing penetration of mobile phone, 34% will follow the soccer event through mobile internet, and 13% will download world-cup-related apps for their phones. Key Product Categories during World Cup expect to see growth during the weeks. World Cup does not only mean football and games, it also means money. Manufacturers also see this event as opportunity to push more sales. Nielsen data shows sales for key world cup product categories increased 31% reaching Rp. 67 Billion during the world cup weeks in 2006 (week commencing June 5, 2006 to end of July 9, Indonesians opted for Snack, Soft Drink, Nuts, Cigarettes, and Energy Drinks. 2010) compare to the same period in 2005. Final Week In Rp. ‘000 German vs Argentina 6,000,000 While in other markets, we would expect to see bigger growth in beers, in Indonesia, categories Snack 5,000,000 Soft Drink 4,000,000 like snack, soft drink, peanuts, cigarettes, and Nuts 3,000,000 energy drink will enjoy more sales. Peanuts 2,000,000 Cigarettes experienced the highest growth with 72 percent, 24-Jul -06 17-Jul -06 10-Jul-06 3-Jul-06 26-Jun-06 19-Jun-06 12-Jun-06 5-Jun-06 29-May-06 Week Com mencing… Energy Drink 22-May-06 0 15-May-06 Snack (28%) and Soft Drink (19%). 8-May-06 followed by Cigarettes (37%), Energy Drink (35%), 1,000,000 The sales were high especially during the week with most watched broadcast such as Germany 22 So urc e: N ie ls en Sc an Tr ack d ata vs. Argentina in the quarter-final that had won the most TV viewers between 10.30 pm to 2 am with 6.25 million people aged above 5 years. Another sales peak was during the final week that aired the final match between Italy and France which broadcasted at 11.30 pm to 4.30 am and reached 4.2 million people. Copyright © 2010 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved www.nielsen.com 2 Nielsen News During the hype of world cup in June 2002 & 2006, adspend increased 12% from the previous month (May). While in regular year it only increase around 5%. Advertising Spending rose! Jan – Dec 2002, 2006, in all media type, based on gross rate card (doesn’t calculate discount, promo, bonus, etc.), in Rp Million, all comm ercial product only. 3,500 ,0 00 Advertising spending will also see growth during the month of June as world cup sponsors in Indonesia are in geared to air their commercials. Looking at World Cup in 2002 and 2006, advertising spending in June rose 3,000 ,0 00 to the average of 12%, compare to only 5% in 2006 2,500 ,0 00 non-World-Cup years. However, the world cup 2,000 ,0 00 did not push the total advertising spending to 1,500 ,0 00 grow higher than usual. 1,000 ,0 00 2002 500 ,0 00 During World Cup 2006, products that 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov So urc e: N ie ls en Ad ve rtisi ng S ervi ce s Dec 33 advertised during live broadcast of World Cup 2006 was Djarum Super with more than 1000 spots, Extra Joss (476 spots) and KratingDaeng (110 spots). Looking back at the World Cup viewing trend which had boosted television viewing successfully, the 2010 World Cup is a lure for more television viewers. In just a few hours from now, we will see how World Cup 2010 will rock TV viewers. Will the number of audience soar beyond the year 2006? We’ll have to wait and see, but Nielsen will certainly update you! All the data above are extracted from Nielsen studies below: About Global Online Survey: The survey reaches over 27,000 Internet users around the world every three months – representing a global online population of close to one billion consumers. The survey was established in 2005 and is used to gauge consumer sentiment in the economy, follow consumers spending intentions and monitor changing habits. The survey currently spans 55 countries across 15 time zones. In Indonesia, we reach more than 500 internet users – representing almost 30 million consumers. About TV Audience Measurement: TV Audience Measurement is conducted in 10 major cities in Indonesia (Jakarta, Surabaya, Medan, Semarang, Bandung, Makassar, Yogyakarta, Palembang, Denpasar, and Banjarmasin) with TV population of 49,525,104 individuals aged above 5 years old. The result of this survey covers 10 major cities in Indonesia only and does not represent Indonesian population. About Nielsen Scan Track: ScanTrack data is gathered by scanning selling out data in Total Country Key account (with in-store promotion data). Covering more than 100 product categories, Scan Track is conducted in 6 cities: Greater Jakarta, Bandung, Yogyakarta, Surabaya, Denpasar and Makassar. About Nielsen Advertising Services: Nielsen Advertising Information Services is advertising monitoring services to advertising activities in Indonesia that includes 24 TV stations, 103 newspapers and 165 Magazines and Tabloids. Figures are gross rate card, and excluding discount, promo, etc. For more information on above services, please contact your Nielsen client services. Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved Nielsen and Nielsen logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of CZT/ACN Trademarks, L.L.C. 3 Nielsen News FMCG Sales Grow 8% in First Quarter 2010 Consumers are gaining more confidence to spend more Another good news from the market, after a healthy growth in advertising spending, FMCG sales also shows a good 8% growth in the first quarter 2010 compare to the same period last year, and compare to only 5% growth in 2009 vs 2008, Nielsen reports. Consumers are gaining much more confidence to spend more, as we see positive grow in both volume and value of sales in FMCG Categories, excluding Cigarettes. Categories like instant noodles, biscuits, toilet shops, and cooking oil that suffered declines last year, are experiencing positive growth. Consumers do spend more, however they are spending more rationally for categories Strong FMCG sales since 2nd half 2009! with lower emotional attachment, by choosing bigger packs that will allow them Top FMCG Sales Tren d Growth Growth FY '09 vs '0 8 In Million 9,500,000 to save their money. Growth Q1 '10 vs '09 Top FMCG (100%) Top FMCG 5 8 9,000,000 Let’s look at Powder Milk. The volume Foods (64%) growth for bigger packs increases 16% this first quarter, compare to slower growth for the medium (-7%) and small size (-3%). 3 8 8,500,000 Households (12%) 8,000,000 6 8 Personal Care (20%) 7,500,000 10 11 Consumers opt to purchase the bigger size and save 20% rather than the medium 7,000,000 Jan'08 J ul '08 Jan'09 Jul'09 Jan'10 Pharmaceutical (4%) 8 5 pack. Nielsen reported at the end of last year, that (branded) cooking oil sales are dropping in both volume and value, however, it is a different story this year. This first quarter, cooking oil grows the highest with 16% increase in volume compare to other top categories, while for values, cooking oil increases 7%. Sales volume of 2L refills are also increasing 37% compare to first quarter of last year, beside the price of curah that is almost the same, by buying bigger packs, they could also save up to 14%. “The increase of both volume and value for cooking oil is because the price for ‘curah’ is almost the same with the branding ones that Nielsen measures,” said Teguh Yunanto, Executive Director, Retailer Measurement Services, Nielsen. Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved Nielsen and Nielsen logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of CZT/ACN Trademarks, L.L.C. 4 Nielsen News Consumers spend wiser? Well, not when it comes to Personal Care and other lifestyle products! They need to indulge themselves by purchasing the best for them, even if it’s of premium brand. For Mosturizers and Cleanser, the premium brands experience 18% and 15%, growths, respectively. “For personal care products, consumers have different priorities,” Teguh explained However, when it comes to Personal Care.. consumer does not seem to think of saving! Premium products are the product of choice in Skin Care categories for Q1 2010 Moisturizers Even for Shampoo, consumers do not choose to save and buy the bigger packs, instead they opt for the sachets shampoo. The frequency of Cleansers Growth purchasing sachets increases to 3 times a ‐10 ‐4 Q1 2010 vs. 2009 6 month this quarter, buying 3 pieces of sachets ‐1 per week! Talking about smelling good! 15 18 “Well, consumers want to look look and feel 12 ‐10 Q1 2009 vs. 2008 by better by purchasing shampoo more 12 ‐1 18 31 frequently, instead of just buying one bottle per month!” said Teguh. ‐2 0 ‐10 0 High 10 Medium 20 30 Low 40 ‐20 ‐10 High 0 Medium 10 Low 20 After economic slow down last year, people will not just buy the essentials, as Nielsen also shows 16% increase in mobile phone penetration. Credit card ownership among the upper class also increases 12% from last year. “Market will enjoy stronger and healthier growth this year compare to last year, with all the indicators showing upward moves: FMCG sales are up 8%, advertising spending jumped 26%, even automotive sales are up 74% this quarter!” Teguh said. As the consumers say in their own words: We’re holding back a bit too much last year, as things get better, I want to pamper myself more these days. Now, who wants to help? About Retail Audit Retail Audit is the most common service used in Retail Measurement Services. It measures sales from retail outlet/channels, using a technique that has been internationally practiced and accepted for many years. Including Modern and Traditional trade, the retail audit’s coverage is national. Data provided would be market size, market share, distribution, stock and pricing. Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved Nielsen and Nielsen logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of CZT/ACN Trademarks, L.L.C. 5 Nielsen News Badminton National Team Grabbed TV Viewers’ Attention Besides soccer, badminton is also one of Indonesian favorite sport. The final of Thomas & Uber Cup program even could beat other favorite programs and sit at top of the most watched program during weekend afternoon. The badminton tournament that held on May 9-16, 2010 got its peak viewing on the semifinal of Uber Cup between Indonesia and China. Thomas & Uber Cup’s viewing trend tended to increase from the first match until Uber Cup semifinal, where the semifinal’s gained the highest viewer with 3.7 rating point or watched by approximately 1.8 million viewers (above 5 years old in 10 survey cities). Viewers’ enthusiasm dropped when Thomas Cup semifinal between Indonesia and Japan was on-air on the next day after Uber’s semifinal. Viewers only 2.3 point rating (about 1.1 million viewers). During Uber Cup final between China and South Korea, the number of TV viewers increased into approximately 1.4 million viewers or similar to 2.8 rating points. However the amount was lower than Thomas Cup final between Indonesia and China (3.4 rating points or around 1.7 million viewers). Of the total broadcast hour of Thomas & Per iod Day part Target aud ience Market Banjarm asi n It seems that badm inton : May 15-16, 2010 : 12.30 to 5 pm : All people ab ove 5 year s old (TV pop ulation : 49,525,104 i ndividu als) : Jakarta, Surabaya, Med an , Semarang, Bandung , Makassar, Yog yakar ta, Palem bang, Denpasar, nation al team still gain ed su ppor t from TV viewers th ough it ended u p with losin g the gam e.* Uber Cup, viewers spent 1 hour 42 minutes to watch the matches. They spent Program Type Average number of viewer s (in thousand) Rating (in %) Share (in % ) Program Channel (about an hour), followed by Thomas Cup PROTON-BWF THOMAS & UBER CUP(L TRA NS7 Sport:Match 1,633 3.3 20.2 TP I semifinal (48 minutes). Time spent for TV CHAMPION 2 OB ITU NAMANYA KOMAR SC TV Ent ertainment:Game Show Movie:Drama 1,541 1,472 3.1 3.0 14.0 17.9 PROTON-BWF THOMAS & UBER CUP(L TRAN S Sport:Match 1,359 2.7 15.4 TOLAK ANGIN HIP HIP HURA SC TV Entert ainment: Music 1,331 2.7 14.1 ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS FINDING NEMO STATUS SELEBRITIS FIN ISL U21:PERSIB VS PELITA(L R CTI Movie:Drama Movie: Animation/Puppet Information:Infotainment Sport:Match Information:Travel/Lifestyle/ Leisure 1,323 1,307 1,278 1,183 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.4 19.5 13.6 14.6 12.3 1,180 2.4 18.3 the longest time on Thomas Cup final other round of matches was less than 42 minutes. Broadcast on the weekend, between PEPPY THE XPLORER R CTI SC TV AN TV TRAN S 12.30 and 5 pm, the Thomas & Uber Cup final had to compete with entertainment program, children movies, lifestyle program, sport, etc. Although, among various programs those days, the Thomas & Uber Cup final lead in the most watched program with 3.3 rating points on average (about 1.6 million viewers). Nielsen News is released quarterly. If you want to receive the issue regularly, please email your name to [email protected], or contact your Nielsen client service. Copyright © 2007 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved Nielsen and Nielsen logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of CZT/ACN Trademarks, L.L.C. 6
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