British Journal of Industrial Relations 38:4 December 2000 0007±1080 pp. 585±609 `Worth So Appallingly Little': A Workplace-Level Analysis of Low Pay Robert McNabb and Keith Whitfield Abstract Using Britain's 1998 Workplace Employee Relations Survey, this paper investigates the characteristics of establishments paying low wages immediately prior to the introduction of the UK's National Minimum Wage in April 1999. It demonstrates that a range of personal, oragnizational and environmental factors are related to the incidence of low pay. These relationships are more complex than previously suggested. In particular, that between establishment size and low pay is moderated by whether the establishment is part of a larger organization; the incidence of low pay is high in single establishments and low in small establishments that are part of large organizations. 1. Introduction The characteristics of persons in low pay are well known (for the UK see the Low Pay Commission's first report: Low Pay Commission 1998), but research that has shaped our understanding of what distinguishes the low paid has almost entirely taken the employee as the unit of analysis. There has been much less work on what distinguishes employing organizations that pay low wages; moreover, there has been little research in the UK on the distribution of low pay at and around the level at which the National Minimum Wage (NMW) was set in 1999 when it was first introduced. Britain's 1998 Workplace Employee Relations Survey (WERS98) allows this to be addressed. It is important to understand the characteristics of establishments employing low paid workers, for two main reasons. First, it assists the identification of those most affected by the introduction of the NMW, thereby aiding the monitoring process and the targeting of assistance to those most `at risk' from its implementation. Second, it allows a greater understanding of the factors promoting the payment of low wages and Robert McNabb and Keith Whitfield are both at the Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University. # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. Published by Blackwell Publishers Ltd, 108 Cowley Road, Oxford OX4 1JF, UK and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA. 586 British Journal of Industrial Relations consequently helps the formulation of policy that can mitigate its incidence. Key issues in this respect are the degree to which low pay reflects employee attributes or employer-specific factors and, if the latter, whether the main impetus comes from the labour market (external or internal) or the product market. The relative importance of these factors and the attendant policy corollaries are, of course, at the heart of the debates between human capital and segmentation theorists. The structure of the paper is as follows. In the next section the main theoretical explanations for low pay are discussed, distinguishing those that focus on employee-related attributes and those that emphasize institutional factors associated with the employment strategies of employing organizations, the structure of labour and/or product markets and the nature of collective employee relations. Section 3 provides an overview of the empirical findings of a number of previous studies in this area. A description of the WERS98 data used in the study and the statistical methodology employed is given in Section 4. Sections 5 and 6 present the results of the analysis. Finally, Section 7 gives conclusions and policy recommendations. 2. Perspectives on low pay Traditionally, the emphasis on the correlates of low pay has been upon worker attributes. Such an approach implicitly assumes that Hicks (1963) was correct in asserting that low paid labour `is often badly paid, not because it gets less than its worth, but because it is worth so appallingly little'. The essence of this approach is that the factors generating low pay are associated predominantly with the characteristics of the workers themselves and particularly with their low productivity levels. Its analytical basis lies in human capital theory, with its emphasis on education, training and work experience as the main determinants of both the incidence and duration of low-wage employment (see e.g. McKnight 1998; Stewart and Swaffield 1999). Factors relating to the nature of their employing organizations and/ or to the markets in which they operate are deemed to be of much less importance and hence attract scant attention in this literature. Such an approach therefore implies that the propensity of establishments to pay low wages is determined primarily by the background characteristics of its workers rather than by factors associated with the establishment per se. Policies aimed at mitigating low pay should therefore focus on augmenting the productivity of low paid workers. There is, however, a contrasting view that at least some of the crucial factors associated with the distribution of low pay are institutional in nature and are related to the strategies of employing organizations, the structure of labour and/or product markets and the nature of collective employment relations. Analyses of these phenomena have been undertaken most comprehensively by researchers in the segmented labour market tradition. Their work implies that low pay is the result of a number of distinct demand and # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 587 supply-side influences, some of which reflect labour market factors and others, product market factors (Rubery and Wilkinson 1994; McNabb and Whitfield 1998). Of particular significance are the major changes that have taken place in recent years in the manner in which firms organize employment (Appelbaum and Batt 1994; Rubery and Wilkinson 1994; Whitfield and Poole 1998). These changes have involved, inter alia, increased flexibility (both numerical and functional) in the deployment of workers, efforts to increase the involvement of employees in decision-making and attempts to link compensation to measures of performance. A major consequence has been the emergence of two main competitive strategies. The first focuses on gaining and sustaining competitive advantage via the direct minimization of costs, involving some mixture of low pay and numerical flexibility. The second focuses on a more indirect route to competitive advantage via functional flexibility and/or quality enhancement. These strategies clearly influence the nature of internal labour markets and thereby the processes through which workers' pay is determined. The choice of strategy is seen to be associated with the nature of the product markets in which establishments operate. Employer strategies based on direct cost minimization tend to be found in those that operate in product markets in which price (as opposed to quality) is the main determinant of market success, demand is stable or highly predictable, change is slow and/or straightforward, and customization is not important to consumers (Kochan et al. 1986). Supply-side factors are also acknowledged to be important. Where employers can readily obtain a supply of low-wage, committed workers, they typically tailor their internal labour markets to allow for this (Rubery 1994). Such a situation might reflect chronic excess supply in the local labour market or the existence of employer monopsony (Dickens et al. 1994). The latter is most likely to occur through the geographical isolation of the local labour market.1 There is also substantial evidence that firms in positions of product market monopoly share the resultant rents with their unionized employees by paying a wage that is higher than equivalent workers obtain elsewhere (Stewart 1990). Such a policy is likely to reduce the probability that such firms will pay low wages. Furthermore, numerous studies have demonstrated a positive relationship between work-unit size and average earnings (Rebick 1993; Oosterbeek and van Praag 1995; Brunello and Colussi 1998). Whether this reflects the joint association of size with other characteristics related to earnings, compensating wage differentials or differential monitoring costs is, however, debatable. The nature of the collective employment relations at a workplace is also likely to have an impact on its propensity to pay low wages. Those workplaces at which unions are present, especially where these are recognized for the purpose of collective bargaining, are less likely to employ low paid workers (Stewart 1983). It is, however, possible that employers may create primary and secondary segments within the same organization, the former # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 588 British Journal of Industrial Relations offering union recognition and the latter not, an example of this being the separation of core and ancillary activities (such as catering) in large organizations. In recent years there has also been a major increase in the degree to which organizations subcontract ancillary activities and thereby externalize low pay (see e.g. Cully et al. 1999: 34±8). A related factor influencing an establishment's propensity to pay low wages is the degree to which its workers are covered by collective agreements (Metcalf et al. 2000). Even in the absence of union recognition, workers may benefit from union activity if their pay is linked to some form of collective agreement. The potential importance of institutional factors in influencing the structure of the labour market suggests that there is a prima facie case that the factors determining the distribution of low pay at the workplace go well beyond the background characteristics of the workers themselves. In short, some individuals could be paid less than £3.50 per hour not because they are `worth so appallingly little', but because they are simply in the wrong place at the wrong time. Workers with similar background characteristics may be paid different wage-rates because they work for firms with different competitive strategies or different product market circumstances. For a strict human capital theorist such factors would be, at most, just short-run aberrations which will be eradicated by workers moving away from lowpaying jobs and firms reducing the pay of workers receiving more than their `true worth'. However, these processes may be suppressed by other forces, such as the payment of efficiency wages, and therefore the influence of institutional factors may be of lasting importance. If so, this suggests a rather different policy for mitigating low pay Ð one that emphasizes intervention on the demand side of the labour market. 3. Empirical studies of low pay The factors correlated with low pay in Britain have typically been analysed using individual/household data sets such as the Labour Force Survey, the General Household Survey and the Family Expenditure Survey. Such studies have highlighted age, gender, occupation, race, employment status, disability and parental status as strong correlates of low pay, and sector, union recognition and employment size as the main characteristics of establishments employing low paid workers (Webb et al. 1996; Low Pay Commission 1998). They have also shown that since the late 1960s the incidence of low pay has risen among men but fallen among women, though it is still three times greater for women (Webb et al. 1996). Such analyses, however, generally fail to disentangle the relative importance of different factors associated with low pay. This is particularly problematic as many of the correlates are themselves interrelated. For example, small firms are more likely to be found in the private sector, to employ a higher proportion of women and to be union-free. One study that has attempted to distinguish between the personal, job and industry # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 589 characteristics of low pay in Britain found that each type was important (Sloane and Theodossiou 1994). The study used data from the 1986 Social and Economic Life Initiative (SCELI) based on 4024 individuals in six local labour markets and estimated the characteristics of those located in the bottom three deciles of the hourly earnings distribution. A more ambitious analysis using French longitudinal data (Abowd et al. 1999) found that both personal and firm characteristics were important in explaining the distribution of pay, though the former were more so. Person effects explained approximately 90 per cent of inter-industry differentials and approximately three-quarters of the firm-size wage effect, while firm characteristics explained relatively little of either. Very little correlation was evident between measures developed from the person and firm effects, suggesting that models focusing on explanations for the individual heterogeneity (human capital) and the firm heterogeneity (segmentation) are addressing aspects of the labour market that do not have large interactions. However, an analysis using data from the 1995 Australian Workplace Industrial Relations Survey (Wooden 1998) found that controlling for fixed workplace effects increased the proportion of variance in individual log earnings explained by approximately 50 per cent. These were found to vary systematically with workplace characteristics including establishment size, the nature of the product market, the occupational composition of the work-force, the incidence of shiftwork and overtime and the location of the workplace. A similar conclusion was reached in a study using data for Norway (Salvanes et al. 1999), which found that plant characteristics had significant impacts on earnings, but did not add a great deal of explanation over and above that of the individual's characteristics. 4. Data and estimation The WERS98 data set contains information that is of direct relevance to pay at the level initially set at £3.60 per hour from April 1999 for the adult National Minimum Wage.2 This relates to the number of employees at each establishment who are paid less than £3.50 per hour. Uprated to allow for inflation in the period between the collection of the data and the implementation of the NMW, this is almost directly comparable with the figure of £3.60. As such, it allows an analysis to be made of those establishments that were most affected by the NMW's introduction (that is, were most `at risk' from its implementation). The WERS98 data also have limitations that reduce their efficacy for a project of this sort. Most importantly, they relate only to establishments that have 10 or more employees. Data collected in the Labour Force Survey suggest that 38 per cent of employees earning less than £3.50 an hour in the spring of 1998 were in establishments with fewer than 10 employees. Similarly, New Earnings Survey data show that 30 per cent of low paid workers worked in such establishments. The establishment analysis presented # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 590 British Journal of Industrial Relations here therefore covers only two-thirds of those in low pay. The main effect of such a restriction is that it could markedly affect the correlates of low pay identified in the WERS98 data. For example, some industries, such as hotels/restaurants and construction, have higher proportions of small establishments employing fewer than 10 people. If the correlates of low pay vary by size of establishment, the omission of these smaller work units from the analysis might affect the relationships that can be identified. A further problem with the WERS98 low pay measure is that they relate only to the adult national minimum wage and thereby implicitly ignore the separate and lower national minimum wage for persons aged 21 years and less. Some of those establishments employing workers at less than £3.50 per hour could have been paying such wages only to young workers. Furthermore, it is possible for firms to pay the lower (training) rate to older workers during their first six months of employment. However, this is not expected to present too much of a problem as recent information on the implementation of the NMW suggests that many employers are paying it to all workers, irrespective of age or training status (Low Pay Commission 2000). A key issue is how to define a low-paying establishment. At one extreme this can be any establishment with one or more individuals earning less than £3.50 per hour; alternatively, it can be restricted to those with substantial concentrations of workers earning below this level. If the latter definition is adopted, a further question concerns the choice of an appropriate threshold. Analysis is therefore undertaken using two types of dependent variable. The first is based on the proportion of an establishment's work-force earning less than £3.50 per hour. This variable is continuous but has a high proportion (over two-thirds) of zero observations. Consequently, the Tobit model is used for multivariate analysis. The second is based on proxies of different concentrations of low pay. Three variables are analysed. These take the value 1 if more than one-hundredth, one-tenth and one-quarter, respectively, of an establishment's work-force earned less than £3.50 per hour. These thresholds are somewhat arbitrary; however, they can be expected to capture any differences there might be in the correlates of different concentrations of low pay. The 25 per cent threshold mirrors that used by Cully et al. (1999) in their early explorations of the correlates of low pay. All three variables are dichotomous and therefore the appropriate multivariate technique is the probit model. The majority (67 per cent) of establishments in the nationally representative WERS98 sample did not pay wages of less than £3.50 per hour to any of their employees. At the other end of the spectrum, just over 12 per cent paid such wages to more than a quarter of their workers; 32 per cent of establishments paid less than £3.50 per hour to more than one-hundreth of their employees, and 21 per cent paid such wages to more than one-tenth. Section 2 above indicated that employee-related characteristics are potentially important correlates of low pay. To capture these effects, a number of variables describing the composition of the work-force are # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 591 included in the analysis. Specifically, measures of the age composition of the work-force, the proportion of disabled workers, the gender and ethnic mix of the work-force and the use of part-time employment are included. Consideration of the different theoretical perspectives highlighted the possibility that low pay might also be associated with characteristics of the establishment, such as the number of people employed, the nature of the labour and/or product market and the nature of collective employment relations. Accordingly, the following variables are drawn from WERS98 to capture these effects: size of establishment and size of organization of which the establishment is part; union presence, union recognition and the extent of collective bargaining coverage; whether the establishment is foreign-owned; the number of competitors and the degree of competition in the product market; whether the establishment supplies a local/regional/national/international market; whether the establishment faces overseas competition; the establishment's share of the UK market; whether the firm's market and/or sales are growing; and the nature of the way in which work is organized at the workplace. The industry in which the establishment is located is also included to capture other unmeasured industry-specific effects. The definitions of the variables used are shown in the Appendix. The total sample size is 2191 establishments. However, because some respondents failed to answer some questions, each of the analyses has missing observations. These vary between analyses and are greatest in the multivariate analyses (approximately 450), owing to missing values for one or more of the independent variables. All the analyses are weighted to allow for the overrepresentation of larger establishments in the WERS98 sample. 5. Tobit analysis of the proportion of low paid employees The Size Relationship Research on the correlates of low pay has suggested that smaller work units have, on average, a higher incidence of low pay (Low Pay Commission 1998; Metcalf 1999). Two variables representing work unit size are available in WERS98. The first is the number of employees at the establishment level (defined as a single employer at a single set of premises); the second is the number of employees at the ultimate controlling company for that establishment. The rationale for examining both is that they may have different impacts on the propensity to pay low wages; for example, small establishments that are part of a large organization might behave differently from those that are either independent or part of a small organization. The incidence of low pay at establishments of different sizes is summarized in Figure 1. The proportion of establishments with at least 1 per cent of workers in low pay is a shallow inverted U-shape. It is greatest in the middle of the size range (peaking in the 50±99 employees group) and least at the ends. In contrast, the proportion of establishments with more than one-quarter of their workers in low pay declines from over 12 per cent for # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 592 British Journal of Industrial Relations FIGURE 1 The Distribution of Low Pay by Size of Establishment (a) Percentage of establishments where at least 1% of employees earn less than £3.50 per hour 40% 36% 32% 28% 24% 20% 10±24 25±49 50±99 100±199 200+ No. of employees at establishment (b) Percentage of establishments where at least 10% of employees earn less than £3.50 per hour 25% 21% 17% 13% 9% 5% 10±24 25±49 50±99 100±199 200+ No. of employees at establishment (c) Percentage of establishments where at least 25% of employees earn less than £3.50 per hour 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% 10±24 25±49 50±99 100±199 200+ No. of employees at establishment # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 593 those with 10±24 employees to less than 4 per cent for those with over 200 employees. It is notable that large establishments that employ some employees on less than £3.50 per hour typically employ only a small proportion of their employees on such low wages. Thus, seven of the nine establishments in the over 200 employees category employing workers on low pay are in the 0±5 per cent region; this can be contrasted to only 15 of the 348 establishments in the 10±24 employees category. In short, where large establishments have some workers on low pay, they typically have only a small proportion. However, where small establishments have low paid workers, they generally have a significant proportion. The corresponding information for organizations of different sizes is summarized in Figure 2. This suggests that the relationship for the proportion with at least one low paid worker is approximately U-shaped (but not inverted, in contrast to the establishment size analysis), with a slight downward trend. The 500±999 employees group has the lowest proportion of organizations, with at least 1 per cent of employees in low pay, and the 50±199 employees group has the highest. A similar pattern exists for establishments with more than a quarter of their workers in low pay. A strong negative relationship between work unit size and low pay exists only for one of the comparisons made Ð that for establishments with more than a quarter of employees in low pay against establishment size. These relationships are typically nonlinear in form, though the nature of this nonlinearity differs for the two measures of work unit size in that the incidence of low pay is greatest for medium-sized establishments but least for medium-sized organizations. The multivariate analysis of the incidence of low pay also suggested that the relationship between work unit size and incidence of low pay is complex. In the main specification (see column (1) of Table 1), establishment size is entered as the logarithm of the number of employees to allow for the nonlinearities suggested above. In general, the incidence of low pay is higher in larger establishments and lower the larger the organization of which the establishment is a part. The strongest relationship, however, relates to whether the establishment is a single entity or part of a larger organization.3 The relationship between size and low pay was further investigated by dividing establishments into six categories: (1) single, small establishments (50 employees or less); (2) single, big establishments (more than 50 employees); (3) small establishments that are part of a small organization (less than 5000 employees); (4) large establishments that are part of a small organization; (5) small establishments that are part of a large organization (5000 or more employees); (6) large establishments that are part of a large organization.4 The distribution of these types of establishment is shown in Table 2. Omitting the first category as the reference group, five dummy variables taking the value 1 if the establishment fitted the definition above and 0 otherwise were entered into the multivariate analysis instead of the basic size # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 594 British Journal of Industrial Relations FIGURE 2 The Distribution of Low Pay by Size of Organization (a) Percentage of organizations where at least 1% of employees earn less than £3.50 per hour 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 10±49 50±199 200±499 500±999 1000± 4999 4999± 10,000 10,000+ No. of people employed by organization in the UK (b) Percentage of organizations where at least 10% of employees earn less than £3.50 per hour 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10±49 50±199 200±499 500±999 1000± 4999 4999± 10,000 10,000+ No. of people employed by organization in the UK (c) Percentage of organizations where at least 25% of employees earn less than £3.50 per hour 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 10±49 50±199 200±499 500±999 1000± 4999 4999± 10,000 10,000+ No. of people employed by organization in the UK # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 595 TABLE 1 Tobit Analysis of Proportion of Employees Earning less than £3.50 per houra Basic specification (1) Constant Log of employment size 70.485 0.056 (77.378)*** (4.268)*** 70.006 70.058 0.134 (70.191) (71.510) (5.234)*** Interactive specification (2) 70.183 (74.078)*** 0.008 70.116 (0.171) (73.859)*** 70.004 (70.100) 70.129 (74.219)*** 70.085 (71.865)* Organization employs: 200±10,000 employees More than 10,000 employees Single establishment Single large establishment Small establishment, small organization Large establishment, small organization Small establishment, large organization Large establishment, large organization Public sector How long establishment has been in operation Foreign-owned 70.312 0.000 (75.517)*** (0.577) 70.328 0.000 (75.951)*** (1.033) 70.083 (72.004)** 70.084 (72.034)** Percentage of work-force: Aged under 20 Aged over 51 Disabled Ethnic minority Female Part-time Unskilled 0.738 70.154 0.157 70.723 0.170 0.149 0.245 (9.072)*** (71.568) (0.290) (74.916)*** (3.134)*** (2.806)*** (5.489)*** 0.735 70.159 0.224 70.714 0.148 0.142 0.256 (9.009)*** (71.633) (0.416) (74.882)*** (2.718)** (2.737)*** (5.703)*** Union presence Recognized unions Collective bargaining 0.062 70.132 70.082 (1.719)* (72.909)*** (72.651)*** 0.064 70.123 70.084 (1.760)* (72.747)*** (72.697)*** 0.037 0.076 0.173 0.067 70.336 70.100 0.019 70.244 0.091 70.063 (0.672) (1.982)** (3.457)*** (1.191) (73.334)*** (72.207)** (0.186) (73.321)*** (1.910)* (71.105) 0.026 0.056 0.153 0.057 70.332 70.095 0.001 70.235 0.098 70.063 (0.466) (1.455) (3.071)*** (1.019) (73.383)*** (72.082)** (0.006) (73.201)*** (2.042)** (71.095) Industry sector (reference group is manufacturing and utilities) Construction Wholesale & retail trade Hotels & restaurants Transport and communications Finance Other business services Public administration Education Health Other community services N Log likelihood function Pseudo R 2 1723 7591 0.388 a Numbers in parentheses are t-ratios. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 1723 7603 0.375 596 British Journal of Industrial Relations TABLE 2 Type of Establishmenta Description No. % Single small establishment Single large establishment Small establishment, small organization Large establishment, small organization Small establishment, large organization Large establishment, large organization Total 472 104 510 180 548 174 1988 24 5 26 9 27 9 100 a The cell frequencies are weighted to allow for the disproportionate sampling by establishment size in WERS98. variables. The results are summarized in column (2) of Table 1. They indicate that single establishments have the highest propensity for low pay, though large establishments that are part of small organizations are not significantly different from them in this respect. In short, they act as if they are single establishments in terms of their propensity to pay low wages. Furthermore, the results suggest that small establishments in large organizations have the lowest propensity to pay low wages and small establishments in small organizations have the second lowest. Thus, the negative relationship between work-unit size and the incidence of low pay relates to organization size rather than establishment size, and similarly to whether the establishment is part of a larger organization; indeed, small establishments per se are less likely to pay low wages. Other Establishment Characteristics In line with previous research, the analysis provides strong evidence that the propensity to pay low wages is significantly greater in the private sector. The analysis also suggests that those establishments that are owned by foreign organizations are less likely to pay low wages. The view that low pay is related to the composition of the work-force also finds support. In particular, the employment of young people (aged less than 20 years) and of female and part-time employees are all positively associated with the proportion of an establishment's work-force that is low paid. However, the employment of disabled workers and older workers (over the age of 50) is not significantly associated with low pay. The former could simply reflect the very broad definition used for disability Ð `Of those currently employed here, how many have a disability?' Ð or the fact that the question was put to the manager most responsible for personnel issues rather than to the workers themselves. The latter could reflect that the older age-group is extremely heterogeneous, including a lot of well paid workers and others who are less well placed in the labour market. Establishments that employ high proportions of workers from ethnic minorities are less likely to have workers on low wages. # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 597 Factors relating to the collective employment relations of the establishment are also strongly linked to the incidence of low pay. Those variables indicating whether the establishment has a union recognized for collective bargaining and whether more than 60 per cent of the work-force is covered by collective bargaining arrangements are negative and significant at the 1 per cent level, and the variable for union presence has a positive coefficient. This suggests that the concentration of low paid workers is reduced not by union presence per se, but by the possibility this offers for access to the benefits of collective bargaining. Product Market Analyses including variables proxying the characteristics of the product markets in which the establishments operate are summarized in Table 3. The sample on which these are based is establishments operating in the trading sector.5 Column (1) shows the results of the analysis without the product market variables; these are equivalent to the results shown in column (1) of Table 1. The second column shows results that also include the product market variables. The analysis indicates that the propensity to pay low wages is significantly influenced by the product market in which the establishment operates. The incidence of low pay is higher in those establishments that state that they face high or very high competition in their product markets, and lower where an establishment's market share is greater than 25 per cent and where sales have grown in the recent past. However, the incidence of low pay does not seem to be higher where the establishment faces competition from overseas or operates in international markets. The overall fit of the equation improves slightly when the product market variables are included. The pseudo-R 2 increases from 0.376 to 0.399. This is less than might be expected, given that two of the product market variables are significant at the 1 per cent level and two are significant at the 5 per cent level and could reflect some collinearity between them and other variables. In short, part of the effect of the product market variables could be captured by other variables in the specification that excludes them. Work Organization Both prior reasoning and previous evidence suggest that the way in which work is organized is likely to have a significant impact on the propensity of an establishment to pay low wages. In general, the more the emphasis is on direct cost minimization, the more likely it is that low wages will be paid. Cully et al. (1999: 45) contrast those that follow this route to competitive advantage and those that operate a strategy of numerical flexibility to achieve the same. They indicate that the latter are less likely to operate a policy of functional flexibility. Additionally, one would expect establishments # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 598 TABLE 3 Tobit Analysis of Proportion of Employees Earning less than £3.50 per hour (Trading Sector)a Incl. product market variables (1) (2) Excl. product market variables but incl. workplace organization variables (3) Incl. product market variables and incl. workplace organization variables (4) # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 70.413 0.043 (75.364)*** (2.716)*** 70.432 0.047 (74.845)*** (2.978)*** 70.438 0.054 (75.133)*** (3.175)*** 70.514 0.058 (75.269)*** (3.518)*** Organization employs: 200±10,000 employees 70.008 More than 10,000 employees 70.113 Single establishment 0.119 Public sector 70.317 How long establishment has been in operation 0.000 Foreign-owned 70.087 (70.220) (72.396)** (4.132)*** (74.001)*** (1.258) (71.858)* 70.018 70.107 0.116 70.291 0.001 70.080 (70.523) (72.275)** (4.081)*** (73.654)*** (1.575) (71.674)* 0.005 70.113 0.089 70.332 70.001 70.038 (0.141) (72.307)** (2.903)*** (74.040)*** (71.206) (70.801) 70.008 70.120 0.093 70.306 70.001 70.044 (70.223) (72.478)** (3.095)*** (73.755)*** (71.336) (70.931) Percentage of work-force: Aged under 20 Aged over 51 Disabled Ethnic minority Female Part-time Unskilled 0.559 70.269 0.626 70.568 0.146 0.275 0.185 (5.955)*** 0.553 (72.160)** 70.215 (0.860) 0.764 (72.949)*** 70.612 (2.280)** 0.120 (4.097)*** 0.265 (3.178)*** 0.149 (5.814)*** (71.696)* (1.023) (73.195)*** (1.871)* (3.953)*** (2.517)** 0.728 70.112 1.055 70.651 0.153 0.264 0.216 (6.454)*** (70.865) (1.428) (73.273)*** (2.284)** (3.819)*** (3.621)*** 0.702 70.033 1.061 70.688 0.114 0.260 0.176 (6.199)*** (70.252) (1.420) (73.542)*** (1.724)* (3.812)*** (2.960)*** 0.079 70.149 0.057 70.059 70.120 0.020 70.008 0.114 70.036 0.073 70.144 (2.019)** (72.071)** (73.916)*** (0.466) (70.254) (2.717)*** (70.913) (1.825)* (72.742)*** (2.354)** (72.779)*** 0.082 70.076 70.129 0.025 70.024 0.164 0.013 0.100 70.150 (2.836)*** (72.614)*** (74.094)*** (0.589) (70.745) (3.655)*** (0.324) (2.439)** (72.835)*** Market grew Sales revenue grew Market share 425% International market Many competitors High level of competition Overseas competitors Union presence Recognized unions (1.985)** (72.816)*** 0.096 70.150 British Journal of Industrial Relations Constant Log of employment size Excl. product market variables Industry sector (reference group is manufacturing and utilities) Construction Wholesale & retail trade Hotels & restaurants Transport and communications Finance Other business services Public administration Education Health Other community services N Log likelihood function Pseudo R 2 a 70.093 (72.445)** 70.102 (72.693)*** 70.095 0.129 70.017 70.016 70.058 0.094 70.052 70.036 70.112 70.099 (72.386)** (3.168)*** (70.622) (70.508) (72.078)** (2.408)** (71.836)* (71.220) (71.765)* (71.587) 70.099 0.122 70.017 70.007 70.057 0.104 70.051 70.034 70.087 70.101 (72.544)** (3.033)*** (70.622) (70.237) (72.074)** (2.690)*** (71.819)* (71.194) (71.408) (71.644) 0.078 0.094 0.155 0.106 70.335 70.071 70.073 70.377 0.108 70.044 (1.285) (2.241)** (2.654)*** (1.661)* (72.860)*** (71.401) (70.242) (73.881)*** (1.883)* (70.639) 0.034 0.060 0.139 0.084 70.356 70.135 70.028 70.413 0.067 70.021 (0.534) (1.357) (2.301)** (1.320) (73.125)*** (72.544)** (70.093) (74.217)*** (1.100) (70.297) 0.068 0.136 0.146 0.140 70.215 70.002 70.004 70.297 0.124 0.008 (1.035) (3.055)*** (2.379)** (2.105)** (71.836)* (70.041) (70.013) (73.027)*** (2.052)** (0.109) 0.048 0.111 0.152 0.116 70.211 70.054 0.079 70.314 0.111 0.064 (0.714) (2.350)** (2.423)** (1.770)* (71.879)* (70.958) (0.257) (73.197)*** (1.733)* (0.874) 1100 7386 0.376 Numbers in parentheses are t-ratios. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. 1100 7372 0.399 1030 7342 0.403 1030 7322 0.437 `Worth So Appallingly Little' # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. Collective bargaining Subcontracting Temporary workers Multi-tasking Teamworking Problem solving groups Briefing groups Financial participation Individual PRP Group PRP 599 600 British Journal of Industrial Relations following a `high performance' strategy involving employee involvement, teamworking and financial participation to be less likely to have workers on low wages (Appelbaum and Batt 1994). Variables measuring these factors were added to the base specification and analyses were undertaken using the trading sector sub-sample. The results are summarized in columns (3) and (4) of Table 3. The former excludes the product market variables and the latter includes them. These figures indicate that the propensity to pay low wages is much greater in establishments that also engage in subcontracting. In short, it seems that subcontracting is a complement to paying low wages rather than a substitute for it. However, those with multi-tasking and temporary workers are neither more nor less likely to pay low wages. The case for numerical flexibility reducing the propensity to pay low wages is therefore not proven. It could be that there are two types of establishment engaging in such flexibility Ð those determinedly pursuing a direct cost minimization strategy and those trying to avoid low wages by being more externally flexible. Similarly, this analysis suggests that there is no strong link between internal flexibility (as proxied by multi-tasking) and low pay. The variables proxying employee participation also show mixed results. Workplaces with problem-solving groups have a higher propensity to pay low wages, whereas those operating teamworking and briefing groups are less likely to do so. The analysis also suggests that establishments operating financial participation schemes ranging from employee share ownership to individual performance-related pay are less likely to employ workers on low wages, though none of the coefficient estimates are significant at the 5 per cent level. These analyses therefore offer some, but not strong, support for the view that establishments with high-performance work practices are less likely to pay low wages than those following a more traditional route to competitive advantage. In particular, they suggest that problem-solving groups are more likely to be linked to a direct cost minimization, rather than a high-performance, strategy. The effect of including these work organization variables on the overall fit is similar to that for the product market variables. In the latter case the pseudo-R 2 increases from 0.376 to 0.399 and in the former case it increases to 0.403. Including both sets of variables increases the pseudo-R 2 to 0.437. The stability of the coefficient estimates for the base variables in the different specifications suggests that there is not strong collinearity between the base, product market and work organization variables. Full- and Part-Time Employees In Table 4 the results corresponding to column (1) of Table 1 for the incidence of low pay among full-time and part-time employees are presented. It is perhaps most significant that, despite some overlap, there are a number of significant differences in the correlates of low pay among respectively fulland part-time employees. # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 601 TABLE 4 Tobit Analysis of Proportion of Full-Time and Part-Time Employees Earning less than £3.50 per houra Full-time employees (1) Constant Log of employment size Part-time employees (2) 70.606 0.064 (76.980)*** (3.723)*** 71.877 0.160 (78.801)*** (4.235)*** Organization employs: 200±10,000 employees More than 10,000 employees Single establishment Public sector How long establishment has been in operation Foreign-owned 70.017 0.021 0.127 70.342 0.000 (70.438) (0.413) (3.906)*** (74.348)*** (0.695) 0.176 70.110 0.304 70.862 0.001 (2.000)** (70.993) (3.965)*** (75.241)*** (1.782)* 70.035 (70.707) 70.295 (72.303)** Percentage of work-force: Aged under 20 Aged over 51 Disabled Ethnic minority Female Part-time Unskilled 0.713 70.286 70.230 70.822 0.154 70.347 0.216 (6.648)*** (72.179)** (70.319) (73.828)*** (2.194)** (74.591)*** (3.759)*** 0.938 70.308 2.217 71.058 0.561 0.685 0.522 (4.191)*** (71.107) (1.532) (72.799)*** (3.560)*** (4.626)*** (4.100)*** Union presence Recognized unions Collective bargaining 0.173 70.154 70.146 (3.849)*** (72.615)*** (73.390)*** 70.050 70.184 70.082 (70.466) (71.418) (70.976) Industry sector (reference group is manufacturing and utilities) Construction Wholesale & retail trade Hotels & restaurants Transport and communications Finance Other business services Public administration Education Health Other community services 0.119 0.186 0.094 0.106 70.296 0.020 70.092 70.151 0.220 0.073 (1.814)* (3.747)*** (1.393) (1.514) (72.384)** (0.347) (70.577) (71.506) (3.447)*** (0.972) 70.451 0.363 0.612 0.054 70.649 70.505 0.385 70.405 0.248 70.111 (71.771)* (3.180)*** (4.349)*** (0.285) (72.206)** (73.321)*** (1.458) (71.997)** (1.848)* (70.679) N Log likelihood function Pseudo R 2 1727 7593 0.235 1726 7788 0.288 a Numbers in parentheses are t-ratios. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. One set of differences concerns the effect of establishment age and foreign ownership on the incidence of low pay. These are not significant in the fulltime employee equation but both are significant at the 10 per cent level in the part-time equation. In the latter, older and British-owned establishments are more likely to pay low wages. Additionally, the signs and significance of some coefficients on the industry variables change. Of particular note is the high propensity of establishments in the hotel and restaurant sector that employ low paid part-time employees. # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 602 British Journal of Industrial Relations The analyses suggest that, the higher the proportion of part-time employees at an establishment, the lower the proportion of full-time employees and the higher the proportion of part-time employees who are low paid. This could reflect a strategy whereby establishments avoid low pay among their core, full-time staff by employing low paid part-timers. It could explain why the results relating to numerical flexibility above were so mixed. Cost reductions in high-paying establishments could well be made via the selective employment of part-timers rather than numerical flexibility per se. In contrast to the results for full-time workers, there is no evidence that the presence of unions, union recognition or coverage by collective bargaining has an effect on the incidence of low pay among part-time staff, other things equal. It would seem that unions and associated collective industrial relations institutions have been most effective in reducing low pay for fulltime employees. It is also notable that workplaces with a union presence but no recognized union, and where the majority of employees are not covered by a collective bargain, are more likely to have full-time employees who are low paid. In short, union presence in itself does not reduce low pay: that requires the development of institutions resulting from union activity. 6. Probit analysis of establishments with 1, 10 or 25 per cent of workers in low pay Most establishments do not have any low paid employees and, among those that do, many employ only a small percentage of their work-force on wages of £3.50 or less. An important issue is whether the correlates of low pay in those establishments that employ a significant percentage of low-wage workers are different from those employing only a small proportion. The rationale for this is that policy-making aimed at minimizing low pay or at mitigating its negative consequences might be more effective if it were focused on those establishments that have substantial concentrations of low pay. Any differences between these and those with a low incidence of low pay need to be taken into account in policy-making. Estimates of the probit models of establishments with 1, 10 and 25 per cent, respectively, of their employees in low pay are presented in Table 5. In general, the results for the three groups are similar. Notable differences, however, concern the effect of establishment size, the role of unions and the effect of establishment age on the likelihood of significant levels of low pay. The positive relationship between establishment size and low pay which was seen in the proportions analysis above is found only in the analysis of establishments with more than 1 per cent of their employees in low pay. A negative relationship between establishment size and low pay is found in both the 10 and 25 per cent analyses, though it is not significant at the 10 per cent level in the latter. The analyses also indicate that the relationships between the collective industrial relations variables and low pay that were found in the proportions # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. TABLE 5 Probit Analysis of Establishments with more than 1, 10 and 25 per cent of Employees earning less than £3.50 an houra More than 10% of employees in low pay More than 25% of employees in low pay Constant Log of employment size 71.680 0.232 (77.660)*** (5.076)*** 70.921 70.122 (73.895)*** (72.300)** 71.789 70.074 (75.561)*** (71.071) Organization employs: 200±10,000 employees More than 10,000 employees Single establishment Public sector How long establishment has been in operation Foreign-owned 0.059 70.078 0.416 70.889 0.000 70.344 (0.569) (70.570) (4.743)*** (74.810)*** (70.345) (72.441)** 0.015 70.099 0.486 70.800 70.001 0.057 (0.126) (70.670) (5.001)*** (74.047)*** (70.751) (0.364) 0.186 0.192 0.647 70.551 70.006 0.092 (1.230) (1.051) (5.284)*** (72.104)** (73.175)*** (0.489) Percentage of work-force: Aged under 20 Aged over 51 Disabled Ethnic minority Female Part-time Unskilled 3.102 70.287 3.006 72.115 0.649 0.114 0.459 (9.839)*** (70.860) (1.542) (74.239)*** (3.383)*** (0.606) (2.725)*** 1.933 71.277 75.785 71.323 0.435 0.008 0.683 (6.539)*** (73.355)*** (72.249)** (72.443)** (2.158)** (0.038) (3.938)*** 1.613 70.780 78.163 71.641 0.756 0.382 0.924 (4.840)*** (71.664)* (72.273)** (72.414)** (3.082)*** (1.636) (4.734)*** Union presence Recognized unions Collective bargaining 0.414 70.604 70.249 (3.142)*** (73.804)*** (72.297)** 0.652 70.357 70.021 (4.775)*** (72.168)** (70.180) 0.089 70.206 70.264 (0.515) (70.924) (71.778)* Industry sector (reference group is manufacturing and utilities) Construction Wholesale & retail trade Hotels & restaurants Transport and communications Finance Other business services Public administration Education Health Other community services 0.267 0.307 0.124 0.160 71.088 70.456 70.175 70.874 70.042 70.418 (0.478) (2.338)** (0.674) (0.857) (73.464)*** (73.004)*** (70.547) (73.621)*** (70.250) (72.067)** 70.153 70.036 0.597 70.113 71.015 70.334 70.337 70.402 0.230 0.055 (70.701) (70.231) (3.064)*** (70.494) (72.799)*** (71.873)* (70.863) (71.582) (1.233) (0.263) 70.875 70.029 0.661 0.497 71.146 70.393 70.413 70.362 0.280 70.065 (71.691)* (70.139) (2.825)*** (1.914)* (71.758)* (71.681)* (70.588) (71.079) (1.206) (70.239) a Numbers in parentheses are t-ratios. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. 1719 7775 0.219 1719 7640 0.335 1719 7418 0.367 603 N Log likelihood function Pseudo R 2 `Worth So Appallingly Little' # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. More than 1% of employees in low pay 604 British Journal of Industrial Relations analyses are fully reflected only in the more than 1 per cent analysis. In the more than 10 per cent analysis the relationship for the collective bargaining variable is not significant at the 10 per cent level, and in the more than 25 per cent analysis none of the variables are significant at the 5 per cent level. The suggestion is that collective industrial relations institutions are important in determining whether a workplace has a small amount of low pay or none at all, but do not impact markedly on whether it has a lot or a little. The results also indicate that younger establishments are more likely to have substantial concentrations of low paid workers than older establishments. This variable is not significant in the 1 and 10 per cent analyses, but is significant at the 1 per cent significance level in the 25 per cent analysis. The overall fit of the 25 per cent equation is better than that for the 10 per cent equation, which in turn is better than that for the greater than 1 per cent equation, the pseudo-R 2 being 0.367, 0.335 and 0.219, respectively. This suggests that establishments with high concentrations of low paid workers are more homogeneous than those with lower concentrations. 7. Conclusions In general, this study of Britain has supported the proposition that low pay at the establishment level is linked to a wide range of factors, many of which are specific to the establishment and its competitive strategy. The strength and range of such relationships and their compatibility with underlying theory suggests that they are more than just temporary aberrations: they need to be incorporated into theoretical models attempting to explain low pay. Moreover, these relationships are considerably more complex than might be concluded from analyses based on individual- and householdbased data sets, especially those relating to work-unit size. The work-unit size±low pay relationship has been shown to be nonlinear and different for varying measures of both work-unit size and low pay incidence. The most important factor in this respect is whether an establishment is a single entity or part of a larger organization and, if the latter, whether it is small or large in relation to the organization. Other things being equal, larger organizations and smaller establishments have less low pay. Factors such as the nature of collective employment relations and the product markets in which establishments operate are extremely important correlates of low pay. The presence of a union per se seems less important than union recognition and collective bargaining coverage in mitigating low pay. Product market competition and the establishment's dominance in the product market were shown to be key correlates of low pay incidence. The correlates of low pay incidence were somewhat different for full- and part-time employees, suggesting that these markets are, to some extent, segmented from each other and operate in distinctively different ways. Of particular note is that there are less strong relationships between collective industrial relations institutions and part-time low pay. The suggestion is that # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 605 such institutions do little to affect the part-time labour market vis aÁ vis the full-time market. It has also been shown that the correlates of establishments with substantial concentrations of low paid employees differ to some extent from those with only a few. The suggestion is that collective industrial relations institutions are more effective in eradicating small pockets of low pay than substantial concentrations. The main implication of this analysis is that great care must be taken to disentangle the interrelationships between the factors generating the distribution of low pay at the workplace. This is especially important for government policy ancillary to the implementation of the National Minimum Wage. If this regulatory initiative is to be effective, it needs to be both properly monitored and supported by policies that minimize the risk to firms of increases in their costs. One of the main aims of this research has been to identify those establishments most likely to pay low wages and thereby most at risk both of not complying with the legislation and of being adversely affected by a wage-floor. These have been shown to be single, private-sector establishments, in competitive product markets, which have limited collective industrial relations institutions. Both monitoring and ancillary support should be focused on these. Appendix: Definitions of Variables Variable Definition Low pay variables Proportion of employees earning less than £3.50 per hour Number of employees earning less than £3.50 divided by number of employees in relevant category Establishments that have any employees in low pay `1' if the establishment had one or more employees in low pay, `0' otherwise Establishments that have more than 10% of all employees in low pay `1' if the establishment had more than 10% of all employees in low pay, `0' otherwise Establishments that have more than 25% of all employees in low pay `1' if the establishment had more than 25% of all employees in low pay, `0' otherwise Establishment variables Log of employment size Logarithm of the total number of employees on the payroll of the establishment Organization employs: Number of people employed by the establishment 10±199 employees `1' if the establishment employed between 10 and 199 people, `0' otherwise (omitted category) 200±10,000 `1' if the establishment employed between 200 and 10,000 people, `0' otherwise 10,001+ `1' if the establishment employed more than 10,000 people, `0' otherwise Occupational composition Percentage of people on the payroll described as being in each of the respective occupational groups (omitted category is `Managers and Administrators') # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 606 British Journal of Industrial Relations Variable Definition Industry Main activity of the establishment (omitted category is `Manufacturing') Work-force composition: Aged under 20 Percentage of employees on the payroll under the age of 20 Aged over 50 Percentage of employees on the payroll over the age of 50 Disabled Ethnic minority Percentage of employees on the payroll with a disability Percentage of employees on the payroll from an ethnic minority Percentage of employees on the payroll who were female Female Part-time Percentage of employees on the payroll employed on a part-time basis Union presence `1' if there was at least one union at the establishment, `0' otherwise Recognized unions `1' if there was at least one recognized union at the establishment, `0' otherwise Collective bargaining `1' if more than 60% of the workers were covered by collective bargaining arrangements, `0' otherwise Foreign-owned `1' if the establishment was predominantly or completely foreign-owned (51% or more), `0' otherwise Public sector `1' if the establishment was in the public sector, `0' otherwise How long establishment has been in operation Number of years the establishment had been in operation Work organization variables Subcontracting `1' if any activities or services had been carried out for the workplace by independent contractors, `0' otherwise Temporary workers `1' if the establishment was using temporary agency workers or people working on a temporary basis or on fixed-term contracts for less than one year, `0' otherwise Multi-tasking `1' if over 60% of employees in the largest occupational group were formally trained to do jobs other than their own, `0' otherwise Teamworking `1' if more than 60% of employees in the largest occupational group worked in formally designated teams, `0' otherwise Problem-solving groups `1' if the establishment had groups that solved specific problems or discussed aspects of performance or quality and more than 60% of non-managerial employees are involved, `0' otherwise Briefing groups `1' if the establishment had a system of briefings for any section or sections of the work-force and more than 25% of the time at meetings was given over to questions from employees, or for employees to offer their views, `0' otherwise Representative participation `1' if the establishment had any committees of managers and employees primarily concerned with consultation rather than negotiation, `0' otherwise # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. `Worth So Appallingly Little' 607 Financial participation `1' if the establishment had an employee share ownership scheme or a profit-related payment scheme, `0' otherwise Individual PRP `1' if the establishment had an individual performancerelated pay scheme, `0' otherwise Group PRP `1' if the establishment has a group performance-related pay scheme, `0' otherwise Product market variables Many competitors `1' if the establishment had many competitors in the market for its main product or service, `0' otherwise High degree of competition in product market `1' if the establishment assessed the degree of competition in the market for its main product or service, `0' otherwise International product market `1' if the market for the establishment's main product market was international, `0' otherwise Share of UK product market `1' if the establishment's share of the UK market for its main product was greater than 26%, `0' otherwise Market growing `1' if the market for the main product or service of the establishment was growing, `0' otherwise Sales growing `1' if the value of sales for the main product or service of the establishment had been rising, `0' otherwise Final version accepted 3 July 2000. Acknowledgements This research is based on data from the 1998 Workplace Employee Relations Survey (WERS98). The survey was jointly sponsored by the Department of Trade and Industry, the Advisory, Conciliation and Arbitration Service (ACAS), the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) and the Policy Studies Institute (PSI). As with other surveys in the series, the National Centre for Social Research, formerly Social Community Planning and Research (SCPR), was commissioned to conduct the survey fieldwork on behalf of the sponsors. WERS98 is deposited and available from the Data Archive at Essex University. Neither the sponsors nor the Data Archive has any responsibility for the analysis or interpretation of the material contained in this paper. The original research on which this paper was based was carried out under the Low Pay Commission's Research Programme and we are grateful for their support. Thanks are due to to Mark Beatson, William Brown, Mark Cully, Linda Dickens, Paul Marginson, David Metcalf, Neil Millward, Andrew Rees, Jonathan Thomas, Stephen Wood and Stephen Woodland for helpful and incisive comments on earlier drafts; and to Richard Jones for excellent research assistance. # Blackwell Publishers Ltd/London School of Economics 2000. 608 British Journal of Industrial Relations Notes 1. The development of variables to proxy monopsony resulting from geographical isolation was not possible in this study, which was completed before the release of the WERS98 restricted data relating to geographical location. 2. WERS98 also contains information on the weekly pay of a sub-sample of its employees and the hours that they usually worked each week. This can be used to indicate which employees were definitely earning less than £3.50 per hour, that is any individual for whom the division of the top point of their pay band by their usual hours of work was less than £3.50. However, the banded nature of the pay variable means that this is a very imprecise measure of those in low pay, excluding many of those that earned less than the top point of their pay band but less than £3.50 per hour. An analysis undertaken on these data for the Low Pay Commission indicated that the proportion of workers who could definitely be identified as earning less than £3.50 per hour on this basis (3.4 per cent) was far less than might have been anticipated from other information on low pay (McNabb and Whitfield 1999). Whether such an analysis indicates anything reliable about the incidence of low pay is debatable. 3. To check whether the coefficient on the establishment size variable reflected that the logarithmic transformation was a misspecification, a number of alternative specifications of establishment size were tried (quadratic, reciprocal and step function). The model was also re-estimated without the organization size variables. 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