October– December 2016 Quarter 3 1 1 Welcome This report brings together key business, economic and labour market intelligence to provide a regular insight into the current state of the Norfolk economy. Data is correct to 31st December 2016. 0.5% National Gross Domestic Product (QoQ% change JulySept 2016 ) 0.25% 1.2% 6.9% Interest Rates (Current rate Dec 2016) Consumer Price Index (annual % change Nov 2016) UK House Prices (annual % change to Oct 2016) Source: ONS, Bank of England. Map above shows number of starts by district for 2015/16 - FE Data Library The latest data released by Government has shown that growth in Apprenticeships across the Eastern Region was highest in Norfolk last year with regional growth only around 1%. In particular, in Norfolk we have seen a significant rise in Apprenticeship starts at Level 3 and above, which is excellent news given we know this is the level identified for major job creation in the future. The story however is not all good news. There has been a general decline in Engineering and Manufacturing Apprenticeships across the county. 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 6,270 7,290 7,670 This is largely related to the slow down in oil and gas production and a reduction in retail as a result of the move to more online sales. The service industries continue to be the areas where a lack of applications from learners poses the biggest barrier to growth or starts. Health and Social Care and Business Administration continue to be the strongest performers with more work required to develop scientific, engineering and mathematics based Apprenticeships locally. Quick Links Norfolk Economic Snapshot Business Infrastructure Skills Funding 2 Norfolk Economic Snapshot Employment Data Source: NOMIS. The labour market in Norfolk stays in good shape. It continues the upward trend of increased employment levels, getting closer to the regional rate, narrowing to a 0.5% gap. At 76.6%, the County has a higher rate of people in employment compared to the national average of 73.8%. However, Norfolk still lags slightly behind when compared to the regional average of 77%. Year on year comparison shows employment rates in almost all of the districts has increased. At 3.1%, Norfolk’s unemployment level continues to remain below the regional average of 3.7% and national average of 5.1%. The rate of claimants for main out of work benefits (10.9%) is lower than the national rate (11.5%). Source: NOMIS. Data Source: NOMIS. Economic Strategy - Facing Future Challenges Norfolk Strategic Growth Group – made up of the chief officers of all local authorities in Norfolk – is to commission a new, evidencebased economic growth strategy for Norfolk. The strategy will take a different approach towards economic development with a narrower focus on key areas for investment with the aim of making a step change in the county’s economy. Norfolk currently has high employment levels but remains predominantly a low wage, low skill economy with productivity levels that are starting to diverge from regional and national averages. The challenge for the strategy is to set out how to reverse these trends by rebalancing the economy towards more knowledge intensive businesses, whilst maintaining high levels of employment. Work has started in conjunction with the district authorities to produce an evidence base and work on the strategy itself will begin in January 2017. The strategy will be developed in parallel with the new Strategic Economic Plan that is being led by the New Anglia Local Enterprise Partnership. This plan covers the whole of Norfolk and Suffolk and is due to be completed by September 2017. 3 Business BUSINESS UPDATES Offshore Energy Sector The benefits we hope to derive from offshore wind investment are starting to materialise in Great Yarmouth and Lowestoft. The decisions by some of the Round 2 windfarms in the Southern North Sea such as Sheringham Shoal and Dudgeon to establish their long term operations and maintenance bases locally has been extremely welcome. These are significant facilities creating long term, sustainable jobs putting the area on the map. Plus, in the past 12 months Galloper and Scottish Power have successively chosen Great Yarmouth to be the construction and assembly port for the Galloper and EA1 windfarms. This has heralded a £7m investment in the port, with significant more investment to come. For the past few years discussions with developers and component manufacturers have focused on the potential of attracting one or more component manufacturers to the town. This is where the major job growth will come from and discussions have revealed that it is visibility of a long enough pipeline of subsidies that will be the main decision driver. Advanced manufacturing Businesses from across Norfolk and Suffolk gathered at The Future of Making Things event which took place near Thetford on the 23rd November. The event provided the opportunity for organisations to discuss how to embrace the ‘Fourth Industrial Revolution’ - the term used to describe the modern mix of advanced manufacturing with smart technology. The event was jointly organised and funded by Norfolk County Council working in partnership with Autodesk, New Anglia LEP and Hethel Innovation Ltd. Government has recently provided much greater visibility and certainty with a new round of “Contract for Difference” funding £290m due to open in April 2017 for projects to be delivered in either 2021-22 or 2022-23. Further rounds totaling £730m will be offered before the end of the next parliament and visibility of funding for another 4GW of capacity after 2020 has also been offered. In total, the British, Dutch and German governments are bringing forward over 11 GW in auctions to be completed by 2020; with a further 20 GW between 2020 and 2030. To give some context, East Anglia One is 0.7GW. However, in return, Government is expecting substantial reductions in the levels of subsidy offered and wants to see vigorous cost cutting and innovation within the sector. Both Great Yarmouth and Lowestoft are well placed to respond. Business team email: [email protected] Norfolk County Council has also helped to establish The Greater Norwich Manufacturing Group (GNMG) which is a new forum, bringing together businesses from the manufacturing sector as well as partner organisations. It aims to encourage better networking, sharing of best practice, supply chain development and collaborative working . The next meeting is scheduled for 25th April 2017 and will have a focus on skills. To learn more or join the GNMG visit http://www.naame.net/ manufacturinggroups/gnmg/ The Group is part of a wider network of manufacturing clubs across Norfolk and Suffolk known as New Anglia Advanced Manufacturing and Engineering group (NAAME). Further details can be found here http:// www.naame.net/ 4 Infrastructure A47 The A47 Alliance Steering Group met in early December to keep up the momentum on A47 improvements. They heard that progress with the Roads Investment Strategy 1 schemes (dualling Wansford to Sutton, Easton to N Tuddenham and Blofield to Burlingham, plus junction improvements at Guyhirn, Thickthorn (A11) and in Great Yarmouth) are currently on track for consultation on options early next year. The A47 Alliance is gearing up its activities to influence the trunk road programme for 2020 to 2025. As part of this, Norfolk County Council is meeting Highways England early in the New Year to press home its work on business cases for its two priorities: Acle Straight and Tilney to East Winch dualling. Highways England’s Route Strategy is due to be published in March, which will provide the first major opportunity for people to feed in their views about the future programme. In the shorter term, Highways England will complete renumbering of the A12 to the A47 before the Easter holiday. There are also safety schemes planned for the Acle Straight to help improve the safety of the road. Housing The chart compares the number of houses completed across Norfolk in the last financial year against the combined annual targets of Local Plans (this is expressed as the residual target i.e. it takes account of under-delivery in the previous years covered by each Local Plan). In common with the national position, it demonstrates housing delivery falls well short of the amount needed. There is generally a large stock of planning permissions but these are not being implemented sufficiently quickly by the development industry. A number of initiatives are currently being discussed by partners to try to address this problem. Infrastructure and Economic Growth Team supports growth and helps remove infrastructure constraints in key areas such as transport, housing and planning. MIPIM UK Local authorities from Norfolk teamed up with New Anglia LEP and around 30 business ambassadors to attend MIPIM UK in London to promote a range of development opportunities and raise Norfolk and Norwich’s profile to a national and international audience of property investors. An investment prospectus (http:// www.newanglia.co.uk/wp-content/ uploads/2016/10/Invest-East-FINAL-Webversion-1.pdf ) was produced which included sites from both Norfolk and Suffolk under the Invest East brand. The event was attended by over 3000 participants, with 350 exhibiting companies and 1500 visiting companies. There was strong interest in the Norfolk offer from those attending the event including Gavin Barwell MP, Minister for Housing. He was impressed by the partnership approach, and the range of development opportunities on offer. The IEG team at Norfolk County Council are following up on around 40 leads generated at the event with a range of investors and property professionals. Infrastructure team email: [email protected] 5 Skills Employment and Skills Team comprises the Apprenticeships Team, the Skills Development Partnership and the ESF Facilitator teams. The focus is on raising skills levels within Norfolk for the benefit of both the individual and the economy. ESF Project SkillsReach has been awarded an ESF contract by the Skills Funding Agency to develop Sector Education and Skills Plans over the period up to March 2018. Working in close partnership with New Anglia LEP, this project seeks to understand the growth needs of eight key sectors and articulate the education and skills interventions required to optimise that growth potential. New Anglia LEP has identified the following sectors to be covered through this project: Agriculture & AgriFood Tech ICT Digital Energy Life Sciences and bio-technology Adv Manufacturing and Engineering Ports and Logistics Financial and Insurance Services Tourism and Culture For more information visit www.newanglia.co.uk/sector-skills-plans Future funding opportunities Five calls for proposals are expected to be published in January 2017 to fund projects delivering: An integrated Employment Service to address both employment and health issues Youth Pledge - provision for young people out of work or training and engagement with employers to offer placements or apprenticeships In work Pay and Progression in the Health and Social Care sector If you are interested in knowing more please contact [email protected] Employment and Skills team email: [email protected] The Prince’s Trust - free courses for young people The Prince’s Trust, supported by Norfolk County Council, is providing free training courses for young people who are aged 1630 and looking for work. The Get Started programme includes short courses that engage and develop young people through themes such as sport or the arts and support them into further education, training or employment. The ‘Get Into’ programme includes short courses that develop young people’s skills, gives them work experience in a specific sector and supports them into jobs. To find out more visit www.norfolk.gov.uk/jobs-training-andvolunteering/training/the-princes-trust 6 Funding Economic Programmes Team provides support to the Council and other partners to access external funding, with the aim of increasing funds spent in Norfolk. It has specialist expertise in European funding. Funding Success for Norfolk Businesses 25 rural businesses so far have benefitted from EU investment through a £9m business growth initiative. Over £950,000 has been invested in businesses in Norfolk and North Suffolk through LEADER, which enables ‘Local Action Groups’ (LAGs) from across the private, community and public sectors to allocate EU funding, supported by the Rural Programmes Team at Norfolk County Council. Projects supported so far include a £22,347 grant from the Wensum and Coast LAG to Branthill Farm Micro-brewery to set up a new brewery to complement their real ale shop. EU Rural Funding Event On Tuesday 10th January 2017, businesses from across the East of England attended an event at Red Lodge Millennium Centre to hear about EU rural funding opportunities. Another business to receive LEADER support is Buxton Potato Company, which was awarded £13,866 by the Broads LAG to develop a new potato processing facility, enabling them to develop more product lines and grow the business. For more information on LEADER, visit www.norfolklags.co.uk. Current Funding Opportunities National Calls for business development, food processing and tourism infrastructure investment in rural businesses are expected to be launched under the Growth Programme during January. Check for https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/ growth-programme-grants-for-the-ruraleconomy updates. The Interreg France (Channel) England Programme has a call for projects opening on 2nd March 2017 for one month. The event showcased the LEADER Programme, and the rural funding calls soon to be launched under the Growth Programme (see adjacent box). Economic Programmes team email: [email protected]
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